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# ![@carney Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1797991.png) @carney John Carney

John Carney posts on X about inflation, tariffs, fed, money the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1797991/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1797991/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -23%
- [--] Month [---------] +3.80%
- [--] Months [---------] -29%
- [--] Year [----------] +79%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1797991/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1797991/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +156%
- [--] Month [---] +41%
- [--] Months [-----] +20%
- [--] Year [-----] -13%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1797991/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1797991/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.17%
- [--] Month [------] +0.67%
- [--] Months [------] +1.70%
- [--] Year [------] +6.40%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1797991/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1797991/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [countries](/list/countries)  [us election](/list/us-election)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [musicians](/list/musicians) 

**Social topic influence**
[inflation](/topic/inflation) #1554, [tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #1242, [fed](/topic/fed) #618, [money](/topic/money), [china](/topic/china), [donald trump](/topic/donald-trump), [rates](/topic/rates), [investment](/topic/investment), [kamala harris](/topic/kamala-harris), [debt](/topic/debt)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@breitbartnews](/creator/undefined) [@besttrousers](/creator/undefined) [@jamessurowiecki](/creator/undefined) [@thestalwart](/creator/undefined) [@noahpinion](/creator/undefined) [@mattyglesias](/creator/undefined) [@roccitybuilt](/creator/undefined) [@conor64](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@biancoresearch](/creator/undefined) [@modeledbehavior](/creator/undefined) [@bickerinbrattle](/creator/undefined) [@nicktimiraos](/creator/undefined) [@stephenwhudson1](/creator/undefined) [@ernietedeschi](/creator/undefined) [@ny1david](/creator/undefined) [@wbmosler](/creator/undefined) [@sassermac99706](/creator/undefined) [@bobmurphyecon](/creator/undefined) [@morganwarstler](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Reserve (RSV)](/topic/reserve) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@biancoresearch I had forgotten he was part owner of the Beverly Hills Hilton where the Milken Global Conference takes place every year. Amazing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1792727222890942516)  2024-05-21T01:20Z 66.9K followers, [---] engagements


"How Ackman's Hong Kong Dollar Bet Works When Pershing Square founder Bill Ackman advocated buying Hong Kong dollar call options Wednesday I was a bit surprised that such things even exist"  
[X Link](https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2011/09/15/how-ackmans-hong-kong-dollar-bet-works.html)  2025-04-10T05:21Z 64.5K followers, [---] engagements


"The Great Wikileaks Bank of America Hoax What ever happened to the cache of banking secrets Wikileaks was supposedly going to release early this year"  
[X Link](https://www.cnbc.com/2011/04/26/the-great-wikileaks-bank-of-america-hoax.html)  2025-10-08T00:48Z 65.8K followers, [---] engagements


"The Size of the Bank Bailout: $29 Trillion So this guy from Morgan Stanley walks into a bar"  
[X Link](https://www.cnbc.com/2011/12/14/the-size-of-the-bank-bailout-29-trillion.html)  2025-10-15T22:50Z 228.6M followers, [--] engagements


"@alexlmiller Same. I think maybe a ceiling mount works best"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1634005928314916868)  2023-03-10T01:39Z 61.6K followers, [--] engagements


"@SMTuffy This is like the fifth time Ive heard this. What do they think Glass Steagall would have done in this case From what I can tell Silicon Valley Bank was mostly engaged in commercial banking. Doesnt seem like underwriting securities was a big part of what they did"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1635819670761615361)  2023-03-15T01:46Z 61.1K followers, [---] engagements


"If you could only invest in one: $HAS or $MAT Why"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1649125614689845258)  2023-04-20T18:59Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Whoa. Breaking: Morgan Stanley Chief Executive James Gorman plans to step down within the next [--] months after more than a decade leading the Wall Street bank https://t.co/KmyQeE7V2E Breaking: Morgan Stanley Chief Executive James Gorman plans to step down within the next [--] months after more than a decade leading the Wall Street bank https://t.co/KmyQeE7V2E"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1659548968261414913)  2023-05-19T13:18Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Kudlow on Consumers Research Report About Bank of America: The Worst Woke Story Ive Seen via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1668960062432223232)  2023-06-14T12:34Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Hell yes. Paneled Library. Yes or No https://t.co/QcV3Sy6IMJ Paneled Library. Yes or No https://t.co/QcV3Sy6IMJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1687107995614978049)  2023-08-03T14:27Z 65.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@jyarow And not just in Ukraine but right up on the war-fighting front"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1689621615099760640)  2023-08-10T12:55Z 60.4K followers, 1.2M engagements


"@JessicaVaugn I have not ever even considered it because I assume the powers that be hate me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1690856419770183680)  2023-08-13T22:42Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Fun hit on last nights @BottomLineFBN with @dagenmcdowell and @SeanDuffyWI. Inflation Reduction Act turning [--] is 'the anniversary of a lie': John Carney"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1692137337101209630)  2023-08-17T11:32Z 60.4K followers, 14.3K engagements


"Inflation Reduction Act turning [--] is 'the anniversary of a lie': John Carney"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1692139568080818330)  2023-08-17T11:41Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"DEFLATION. Fed's gotta cut. New Hampshire Barbershop Gives Free Haircuts to School Children via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1693705819550785973)  2023-08-21T19:25Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@BrcliftonBrian @elonmusk @DonaldJTrumpJr @TuckerCarlson I mentioned China exporting deflation on the radio with Larry Kudlow on Saturday. Its true but probably only worth a few basis points off CPI here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1693770691269591326)  2023-08-21T23:42Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Get ready for Biden and the Democrats to go to war with the Fed. via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/08/25/breitbart-business-digest-powells-jackson-hole-speech-gives-a-whiff-of-a-clash-with-biden-white-house/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/08/25/breitbart-business-digest-powells-jackson-hole-speech-gives-a-whiff-of-a-clash-with-biden-white-house/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1695233369905242240)  2023-08-26T00:35Z 61.1K followers, 32.7K engagements


"@fenstermakerd Justin is an old friend and a very smart guy. Ill give his article some thought today. My instinct is that he has underestimated the chances that inflation inches up sparking more rate hikes. But as I said anything by @jdlahart deserves serious consideration"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1695448603874005165)  2023-08-26T14:50Z 61.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Hiring Slowed in the Private Sector in August ADP Says via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1696901888782766310)  2023-08-30T15:05Z 60.4K followers, 12.9K engagements


"Worth listening to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1696904742872416626)  2023-08-30T15:16Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Good morning Happy Labor Day Found this fine fellow hanging about in my backyard today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1698651852701577678)  2023-09-04T10:58Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Yet Wall Street is enamored with the idea that the Fed is going to start cutting rates in the first half of next year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1699398023397208302)  2023-09-06T12:23Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Overheating: Unemployment Claims Plunge as Businesses Capitulate to Growth via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1699777400127488394)  2023-09-07T13:31Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Unit Labor Costs Revised Up Sharply and Productivity Drops Raising Inflation Risks via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1699787541094990058)  2023-09-07T14:11Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Bidenomics Is Creating a Debt-Inflation Spiral via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1699968736428429471)  2023-09-08T02:11Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Borrow money for government spending--inflation rises--Fed hikes interest rates--government spends more on interest--interest payments increase income of bond holders--inflation rises--Fed hikes interest rates---government spends more on interest--interest payments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1700148072393715792)  2023-09-08T14:04Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@pjsliney Lol. Spelljammer has a massive fanbase. We never played it back in my day. It actually came out a bit late for us and wasn't really fitted to our taste for Tolkein-esqe rpg. I'm curious to try it out. We did try Traveller Gamma World and even Star Frontiers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1700702861376536641)  2023-09-10T02:48Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Food at home prices are up by 20% since Biden took office but certain economists are convinced worries about inflation are signs the perceptions are detached from reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1702064012815376446)  2023-09-13T20:57Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Bidenflation at the Pump: U.S. Retail Sales Pushed Higher Than Expected By Soaring Gas Prices via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1702319499171520728)  2023-09-14T13:52Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Four hours of D&D today. Prepped lots of stuff the players avoided in an unexpectedly wise decision. Thats one of the things I love about this game: you cannot tell where it is going to go. Lots of fun with AI art. Players making their characters. DM (me) showing setting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1703543556462215605)  2023-09-17T22:56Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Check me out on GB News They have nothing left Oil to surge to $100 per barrel as Biden accused of major mistake"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1704836060314739055)  2023-09-21T12:32Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Why did Brooks take the salad part off his burger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1704841222194377157)  2023-09-21T12:53Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Inflation has made us all think a $17.50 burger is fine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1704942484260848019)  2023-09-21T19:35Z 60.3K followers, 21.4K engagements


"@Ny1david Your demand itself is xenophobic paranoid and based on falsehood. Describing anyone who criticizes the Biden administration's Russia policies as a "shill for Putin" is insane level Russiaphobica"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1705311441220227484)  2023-09-22T20:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"LETS GO One of the best conservative writers in America spent seven years writing this groundbreaking novel. It's about a guy who has been alive for [----] years. "When you live forever everything you love will die." Borrowed Time #borrowedtime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1706670256197160974)  2023-09-26T14:01Z 60.4K followers, 16.2K engagements


"Bidenflation Bears Down On Consumer Confidence Tripping Recession Signal via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1706683235957190897)  2023-09-26T14:52Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@artimusgray2 @InezFeltscher Any reason your parents got gulaged is a disgusting and ignorant question. How about this Because the Soviet Union was run by a communist murder cult"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1706751746393915862)  2023-09-26T19:25Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@artimusgray2 @InezFeltscher *grandparent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1706756607625814193)  2023-09-26T19:44Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"CNBCs Sullivan: I Wanted to Ask Biden About EVs Hurting Jobs in MI But Security Was Way Tighter than a Foreign Visit via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707017768782999830)  2023-09-27T13:02Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"War Keynesianism: Military Spending Triggers Unexpected Surge In Durable Goods Orders via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707033821093187906)  2023-09-27T14:05Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Willa Cather should be much more widely read. It feels like they shoved her down a memory hole [--] years ago and then kept her there because she didn't fit the political agendas of the cultural elites in the subsequent decades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707227610516693116)  2023-09-28T02:55Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Is there a super-sized unemployment program still running that I have missed I'm confused what Vivek is talking about when he says we're paying people more to stay at home than to work. What program is doing that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707228226253214086)  2023-09-28T02:58Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Huge upward revision to q1 real GDI undercutting the arguments of the recessionistas and inflation doves that GDI was telling the "real story" about the economy. Real GDI is now estimated to have increased [---] percent in Q1 up from a contraction of 1.8"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707379023679021455)  2023-09-28T12:57Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Feds Fight Against Bidenflation Sends Pending Home Sales to Near Pandemic Lockdown Lows via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/09/28/feds-fight-against-bidenflation-sends-pending-home-sales-to-near-pandemic-lockdown-lows/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/09/28/feds-fight-against-bidenflation-sends-pending-home-sales-to-near-pandemic-lockdown-lows/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707428014735180256)  2023-09-28T16:12Z 61.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@tyillc I don't think that's a reasonable line of thought. Who knows how the guy who decried Welfare Queens imposed tariffs on Japan and vigorously campaigned against affirmative action would be situated in today's politics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707440173049409876)  2023-09-28T17:00Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The Enemy Is Bidenflation Not Auto Worker Wages via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707570181386510789)  2023-09-29T01:37Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@cheapgroundspec In the 1930s the New York literary scene basically turned socialist. Cather did not travel in that direction. Her work was not explicitly political but that was a problem for the woke literary elites of her era"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707581660491911201)  2023-09-29T02:22Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@InezFeltscher @GrizzlyJoeShow Absolutely true for me. I can now listen to books and podcasts on long walks while working out. Listen to podcasts while doing housework. Listen while riding in cars. A great expansion of the time I have to consume literature journalism and arguments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707738813672329252)  2023-09-29T12:47Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Bidenflation: Prices Rises Twice as Fast on Soaring Gas Highest Inflation in [--] Months via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707746414824972359)  2023-09-29T13:17Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements


""Long transitory" Still no recession but core PCE down to 2.2% on a three-month basis. Team Long Transitory for the win. Still no recession but core PCE down to 2.2% on a three-month basis. Team Long Transitory for the win"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707760205935628546)  2023-09-29T14:12Z 61.1K followers, 12.7K engagements


"Serious questions. [--]. Does Team Long Transitory think that inflation will return to two percent and stay there at a lower Fed Funds rate than we have today [--]. How long is long transitory One more year Two more Three more Five Ten"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707761010092745092)  2023-09-29T14:15Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@AlanTonelson I'm never going to get over the fact that they screamed about tariffs causing inflation for years despite the complete lack of evidence or even theory to support it. Yet when high inflation actually happens on Biden's watch and lasts years it's really nothing to worry about"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707762138461188435)  2023-09-29T14:19Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Carney on Kudlow: Trump Showed Last Night Why Hes the GOP Frontrunner via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1707890608013017232)  2023-09-29T22:50Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"This is so much more important than people realize. Publication in the elite journals specifically and the broken peer review system exercise way too much influence in science today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1708825784364736830)  2023-10-02T12:46Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"A few thoughts. [--]. Student loan payments do not really restart today. The on ramp to required repayments starts today. [--]. Nothing about repayments forces borrowers to take on more debt. [--]. Plenty of borrowers took on more debt while payments were paused"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1708827497968607254)  2023-10-02T12:53Z 60.4K followers, 10.7K engagements


"I dont blame people for spending the money that might have gone to student loan payments during the pause on consumption. Thats largely what was supposed to happen. The pause was not just reliefit was stimulus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1708850073201721395)  2023-10-02T14:23Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This is completely anecdotal but I just spoke with an investor who says hes seeing a resurgence in non-office commercial real estate. Like shopping center and malls. Customers signing big leases competition for space. Third guy in two months who is bullish on retail rents"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1708935049633054872)  2023-10-02T20:00Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Now this conspiratorial view of the worlda vast misinformation network masterminded by one guy with an agenda carried out by his minionsis not only embraced by progressives but treated as obviously true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709162151284212048)  2023-10-03T11:03Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"So Labor Market is NOT COOLING"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709217828098748652)  2023-10-03T14:44Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@dcg1114 @jasonfurman We know that deficits that introduce too much demand stimulate inflation and that the Fed responds to high inflation with higher interest rates. What part of that do you doubt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709381336811577467)  2023-10-04T01:34Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@GZuckerman Lewis wrong to say that SBF could have just tossed the hedge fund out and just made billions running the exchange. Alameda was a necessary part of the FTX business because it was the buyer of last resort and therefore price setter for FTT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709393101939233210)  2023-10-04T02:20Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Wait. Now de-inverting is a recession signal How does that work. Ordinarily we would think that falling bond prices and rising yields signal a strengthening economy. Is it different this time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709602891785179612)  2023-10-04T16:14Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@ModeledBehavior I'm not sure that having taller or more skilled players from abroad increases the enjoyment of basketball fans at all. So how would the game be worse with fewer foreign born players"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709608779409473550)  2023-10-04T16:37Z 60.3K followers, 16.7K engagements


"@ModeledBehavior From what I can tell some people are now defining greedflation as any price increase that was not preceded by exactly the same increase in the cost to produce the good or service. So they are declaring that any price increase not caused by higher costs is illegitimate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709898016528773298)  2023-10-05T11:47Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"So this is super interesting and has a lot of people perplexed. I have some thoughts (of course I do). [--]. Until relatively recently everyone had a recession built into their models in the medium term (6 months) which then led into expectations for a Fed cut"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709899580773421528)  2023-10-05T11:53Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"2. What has shifted then is not the Feds projections for rates but expectations about the economy next year and the Feds reaction to that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709902623401271438)  2023-10-05T12:05Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Jobless Claims Still Lagging Behind Expectations Painting Picture of Tight Labor Market via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1709916298719662137)  2023-10-05T12:59Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@ModeledBehavior Or maybe we just achieved exit velocity from the GFC era and we should expect a Fed Funds rate around 6%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710075560569733216)  2023-10-05T23:32Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Im basically alone in my view now and Im fine with that. See no evidence that FFR is too high. House prices rising manufacturing bottomed job openings rising GDP growth around 3% and inflation showing no signs of further decline. Rates need to go higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710076464211652745)  2023-10-05T23:36Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Forgot to add: M2 is no longer falling up since April stabilized for last few months. Wheres the evidence of monetary policy being restrictive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710077587618406437)  2023-10-05T23:40Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Take a moment to say a prayer for the forgiveness of everyone who told you the JOLTS increase was "noise.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710277426893160561)  2023-10-06T12:54Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@JerzyTommy It can be funky. Try again in a little bit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710277784239484941)  2023-10-06T12:56Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Still think the FFR is too high"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710280954038603928)  2023-10-06T13:08Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Is it my imagination or are there no major productions of Shakespeare (apart from the Public theaters musical Tempest) or Ancient Greek plays scheduled in New York for the coming year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710640176706261430)  2023-10-07T12:56Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This is really a weird thing to say. Does Biden really not remember that the PPP loans were designed as an employment support scheme and not primarily relief for businesses Does he not remember that we ordered businesses to shut down for the public good"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710658661729677430)  2023-10-07T14:09Z 60.4K followers, 18.8K engagements


"@MainStreetMuse Yes. That was the deal. If employers kept up payrolls the loans would be forgiven. This wasnt a gift. It was compensation for becoming instruments of public policy. We wanted employers to keep more workers on payrolls than made economic sense and we provided funds for it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1710987701514645839)  2023-10-08T11:57Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"What is your favorite measure of inflation and why"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1711342351421943991)  2023-10-09T11:26Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Heres a weird question: what do you think Chinas leadership expectations are for the potential of a U.S. civil war Like what are the odds that a Chinese communist official assigns to the U.S. falling into a civil war Seems likely to be non-zero right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1711349871997755839)  2023-10-09T11:56Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Probably around 10% maybe as high as 15%. The interesting question is what this does for Chinas foreign and economic policies. If you were China expecting a 10% chance of the U.S. civil war what would you do now and over the next quarter of a century"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1711362445694943489)  2023-10-09T12:46Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Actually the September Jobs Number Was Really Strong via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/10/breitbart-business-digest-actually-the-september-jobs-number-was-really-strong/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/10/breitbart-business-digest-actually-the-september-jobs-number-was-really-strong/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1711921921192038555)  2023-10-11T01:49Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements


"When people on the left try to absolve the Fed or Biden for inflation they often point to inflation in Europe. How that is supposed to work Is inflation just some sort of non-anthropogenic economic climate change If it is happening elsewhere too no one is to blame"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712105284909314272)  2023-10-11T13:58Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@danavachon I'd say that's definitely true. But the reason for the persistence of inflation was because of "fiscal impulse" accommodated by monetary policy. In [----] we had massive inflation and in [----] we had massive deflation. Post-covid we have just had inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712117301489607030)  2023-10-11T14:45Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"It's very tempting for conservatives right now to try to read weakness into positive economic data such as last week's jobs report. I'm fine with that whenjustified. But last week's jobs report really was good. via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712120018622631969)  2023-10-11T14:56Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Will the Bond Market Preempt the Feds Next Hike via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712323340126289962)  2023-10-12T04:24Z 60.4K followers, 17.6K engagements


"Inflation Still Much Too Hot: Consumer Prices Rise Faster Than Expected via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712447175337103588)  2023-10-12T12:36Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Everyone who is coming up with Arthur Burns-style measures of inflation that exclude things they think shouldn't count should read this speech. Torturing CPI Data until They Confess: Observations on Alternative Measures of Inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712543267290755237)  2023-10-12T18:58Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Consumer Sentiment Plunges as Inflation Fears Mount and Expected Business Conditions Crash via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712836591478002058)  2023-10-13T14:24Z 60.4K followers, 16.9K engagements


"Carney on Kudlow: Inflation Is Going Back Up and Well Need a Shock-Inducing Rate Hike via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712900749850472648)  2023-10-13T18:38Z 60.4K followers, 18.7K engagements


"People act like Bach and Mozart were great composers but that has to be fake because the population of the earth is larger now so statistics tell us that the greatest composers are actually people alive now. Wake up sheep"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712942018538705329)  2023-10-13T21:22Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Heres a good rule of thumb: you shouldnt accept lessons about the probability of outcomes from traders of financial products who have already shown usby going brokethat they do not understand the probability of outcomes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712966682786910587)  2023-10-13T23:00Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Bond Market Complacency May Get Run Over by Rate Hike Train via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712984066100748694)  2023-10-14T00:10Z 60.4K followers, 31.3K engagements


"Dropped some insight from @biancoresearch into tonights #BBD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1712985977516429632)  2023-10-14T00:17Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@literaryeric The problem is that the scale is so big it conceals the differences that really matter. It goes from -10% to 20% which makes it very hard to see where we are between say 4% and 2%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713013297073549585)  2023-10-14T02:06Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@literaryeric Everyone agrees that inflation has come down and almost no one expects inflation to get back up to [--] percent much less [--] percent. The question is how hard it is going to be to get from the current 4.9% annualized rate to two percent. Are we close Cant tell in that chart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713013932732879090)  2023-10-14T02:08Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"The still-developing communitarianism of the right will be disorienting too. Just like the lefts movement it involves abandoning old positions for new. It seeks ann alternative communitarian vision for our future rather than (futilely) resist the communitarian impulse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713192720179544503)  2023-10-14T13:59Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"This will be disorienting also. Especially to the left which developed its defense of communitarianism against a rightwing vision of individualism. The left will experience the shift on the right as hypocrisy rather than a mirror of its embrace of community standards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713193430891810914)  2023-10-14T14:01Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"But if you are an advocate of community standards you do not really have grounds for claiming rival visions cannot also embrace that framework. If the left wins the battle against free speech next we fight about whose justice which rationality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713198109302333567)  2023-10-14T14:20Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"A leftwing analysis of this could take the form: Conservatives Drop the Mask of Pretending to Be Free Speech Defenders: Heres What Theyll Do Next. A Gen X right analysis: We Lost the Free Speech Debate: A Lament and A Plan for Whats Next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713214235595927979)  2023-10-14T15:24Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@Frances_Coppola Frances I am an admirer of your work on financial and economic stuff. So this is a friendly question (I hope maybe you hate me). Why is this true Yes traffic is probably up but lots of advertisers probably do not want to advertise alongside bitter debate and news of war"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713360955239764366)  2023-10-15T01:07Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@JSelway3 @countyhwy @walterkirn Ha. If theyd have me Id totally write for them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713361578735665650)  2023-10-15T01:10Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Bond Market Complacency May Get Run Over by Rate Hike Train via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713367121764184250)  2023-10-15T01:32Z 60.4K followers, 32.7K engagements


"Bond Market Complacency May Get Run Over by Rate Hike Train via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1713903838669766811)  2023-10-16T13:04Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The Philly Feds Patrick Harker Thinks Interest Rates Are High Enough via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/16/breitbart-business-digest-the-philly-feds-patrick-harker-thinks-interest-rates-are-high-enough/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/16/breitbart-business-digest-the-philly-feds-patrick-harker-thinks-interest-rates-are-high-enough/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714096563385974919)  2023-10-17T01:50Z 61.1K followers, 28.6K engagements


"A huge percentage of Americans expect to spend more this year on holiday shopping. Almost none expect to spend less. Why does the Fed think the stance of monetary policy is restrictive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714097348769350001)  2023-10-17T01:53Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Ford Motors Bill Ford Defends American Manufacturing Against China; Tells Striking UAW: My Company Is Not Your Enemy via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714106976714551767)  2023-10-17T02:32Z 60.4K followers, 21.9K engagements


"Fed officials keep saying the stance of monetary policy is restrictive but holiday spending plans say something very different. via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714239013781950613)  2023-10-17T11:16Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Its pretty amazing how badly Goldman Sachs attempt to consumer banking went"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714257481776460222)  2023-10-17T12:30Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"But monetary policy is restrictive How could this be happening"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714258316602314814)  2023-10-17T12:33Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The first sign of softening in the labor market is a decline of multiple job holders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714598016215142830)  2023-10-18T11:03Z 60.4K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Housing Starts Rebound 7% and Permits Beat Expectations as Bidenflation Housing Squeeze Continues via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1714666540748967937)  2023-10-18T15:35Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"There have been plenty of takes on this but here is mine: she making a pretty common mistake. A lot of young people make the mistake of attempting to maximize current income at the expense of future income"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715000369850249517)  2023-10-19T13:42Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@DylanFrankJR The interest rate on student loans is pretty low and you can enroll in an income-driven repayment program that really drives it down and eventually forgives your loans. Even without those however she'd be better off taking a job that will earn her more money long run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715035376744649056)  2023-10-19T16:01Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"A Dovish Jerome Powell Signals Fed Is Done Hiking Rates via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715043151109345345)  2023-10-19T16:32Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Bidenomics: U.S. Budget Deficit Explodes 23% Higher to $1.7 Trillion via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715499941731143920)  2023-10-20T22:47Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The thing you probably won't read anywhere else is that inflation was a major contributor to the soaring deficit. It drove up Social Security and FDIC outlays. Pushed debt costs up. Drove down revenue from the Fed. If not for SCOTUS would have been even worse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715500577432477790)  2023-10-20T22:49Z 60.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Fed Officials Warn the Economy Will Slow or Well Face a Second Wave of Inflation via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715501054857482358)  2023-10-20T22:51Z 60.4K followers, 32.5K engagements


"Pathetically the Biden administration is trying to blame TRUMP for the deficit. The buck always stops with the other guy for these Biden folks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1715501990996783279)  2023-10-20T22:55Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Bigger Than Expected Deficit Is Feeding Higher Than Expected Inflation via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717130316173726204)  2023-10-25T10:45Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The governments deficit creates a private sector surplus. Last year that surplus doubled. The unsurprising result was excessive inflation and upside surprise to growth. Weve got fiscal policy driven inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717131879655051309)  2023-10-25T10:51Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"New Home Sales Surge Higher Up 34% Over the Year via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717185455370686920)  2023-10-25T14:24Z 60.4K followers, 14.5K engagements


"UAW wins a 25% raise for its members. Apple raises monthly fee for AppleTV+ by 43%. New home sales rise to level that would have broken records in the decade before pandemic. Yet people keep saying the stance of monetary policy is incredibly tight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717502650260873656)  2023-10-26T11:25Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@Jason What's weird is that this isn't a recession. The economy is growing at a jaw-dropping rate unemployment is non-existent and asset prices are rising"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717538990272700605)  2023-10-26T13:49Z 60.4K followers, 41.9K engagements


"@tyillc Right. But we can re-formulate Slok's comment to be definitely correct because he is mostly talking about the implications for Fed policy. And the Fed definitely believes further disinflation requires below-trend growth. So 4.9% means higher for longer at least"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717539755808735700)  2023-10-26T13:52Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"The question up for discussion has not been: will reducing inflation from 9% require a recession It has been: will reducing inflation to 2% and keeping it there require (or be likely to cause) a recession The real question people have been debating is still open"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717628797434921101)  2023-10-26T19:46Z 60.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@Tsunehme @Jason There were quite a few of us who said growth was likely to surprise to the upside this year. Certainly Warren's approach would tell him that doubling the deficit in a year with ultra-low unemployment would be unlikely to result in a recession"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717648664535978477)  2023-10-26T21:05Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"RIP Byron Wien a Wall Street institution in the best way. A life well lived. A man who made talking to smart people wide-ranging curiosity and a passion for figuring out how the world works into a lifelong profession. The dream. via @WSJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717663483985093035)  2023-10-26T22:04Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Prices Rise More Than Expected as Inflations Grip on Economy Persists via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717903141721510035)  2023-10-27T13:56Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Consumer Inflation Expectations Soar as Bidenomics Stumbles. via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1717950527332356121)  2023-10-27T17:04Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"While I am sympathetic to the view that the interest income channel might be offsetting the drag on demand from higher interest costs its weird that we didnt hear more about worries that low interest rates were depressing demand"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1718312647425237264)  2023-10-28T17:03Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@aaronchriscohen Why would anyone not want the deficit to be lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1718333355559625053)  2023-10-28T18:26Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"One thing that seems like it is a lasting change in behavior since the pandemic is earlier holiday shopping. For the past few years early holiday shopping has created a lot of confusion about how to read the economic data. Looks like its going to happen again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1718958472048394484)  2023-10-30T11:50Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Heres what happened in the past few years. Early holiday shopping led to big retail sales numbers for September and October and anticipation of even bigger sales numbers in November and December (consumer strength). But this was in large part sales being pulled forward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1718960851070095690)  2023-10-30T11:59Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"This is pretty wild. The Democratic Party platform in [----] promised a 25% reduction in the cost of government balanced budgets and a competitive tariff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1718985458619752854)  2023-10-30T13:37Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Architecturally what is the most beautiful city in the world"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1718988719204503877)  2023-10-30T13:50Z 60.4K followers, 118.4K engagements


"Digging this song and the Coney Island setting for the video. BONK BONK - "ONE TIME" via @YouTube"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719066029093945686)  2023-10-30T18:57Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"The Fed would be so much cooler if everyone showed up to the FOMC meeting today in costume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719319401441226824)  2023-10-31T11:44Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@SMTuffy Perhaps his ultimate defense against criminal charges will be that he has a careless and forgetful mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719361140713558165)  2023-10-31T14:30Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Consumer Confidence Tumbles to 5-Month Low Expectations Below Recession Threshold via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719368925152952485)  2023-10-31T15:01Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@TheStalwart WeWork thought it was Uber but it was Hertz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719702007143956950)  2023-11-01T13:04Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This is what it sounds like.when doves make monetary policy. "Tighter financial and credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity hiring and inflation.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719778277026402527)  2023-11-01T18:07Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Shorter Fed: The economy is accelerating but we still think that tighter financial conditions are going to slow things down any time now. Probably"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719780134922633465)  2023-11-01T18:15Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The Fed Is Ignoring Signs of Overheating Economy via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719835981228998693)  2023-11-01T21:57Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The Fed admitted today that growth was accelerating and labor market heating up. Inflation is up [--] months straight. So why has policy become more dovish Fed is once again behind the curve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1719905374382522413)  2023-11-02T02:32Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The Fed Is Ignoring Signs of Overheating Economy via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720053215666765845)  2023-11-02T12:20Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Are higher rates making the labor market tighter I argue that the broken housing market channel is not transmitting monetary policy properly. It is instead driving down labor supply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720054817962307617)  2023-11-02T12:26Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"I think it is very likely that the housing market is depressing hires and quits rates. Since a lot of people are looking at recent hires and quits as signals of a softening labor market this is probably creating a false picture of the economy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720407516096401460)  2023-11-03T11:48Z 60.4K followers, 14.4K engagements


"The odds of a hike at the next Fed meeting just dropped from around 20% to 10% according to CME's fed funds calculator"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720426247400861966)  2023-11-03T13:02Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Let me get this straight. Bond yields went up so people figured the Fed wouldn't have to tighten so bond yields went down. Now they are down by even more so does the Fed need to tighten more and will that make yields rise again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720428258368380973)  2023-11-03T13:10Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@TheStalwart Unfair. He was really just using the bet on bitcoin to send a bigger signal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720551840922653059)  2023-11-03T21:21Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This time is different I tell me self every year when I set the clock back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720552180703166841)  2023-11-03T21:23Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The October Jobs Numbers Killed the Chances of a December Rate Hike via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720571800889794979)  2023-11-03T22:40Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Sorry recessionistas: theres no cooling trend in the jobs data. Just like with inflation it looks like cooling is done and weve settled in at a high level"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720572578006184119)  2023-11-03T22:44Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"This is probably the least popular thing Ive written in years. Conservatives say Im going soft on the soft jobs numbers. Progressives say Im not appreciating the disinflation developments or recession risks. via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720834105997160711)  2023-11-04T16:03Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@BickerinBrattle Shoot. Forgot to include the link. Here you go. @wbmosler was my co-author on it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720840833514057731)  2023-11-04T16:30Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The last time I was reporting from this courthouse was the trial of Goldman Sachs junior investment banker Fab Fab Toure. These reports are making me nostalgic for those days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1720856111094321580)  2023-11-04T17:30Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Bruce Willis was so much better in this part than any of these options would have been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1721545649613689333)  2023-11-06T15:10Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"New "core" inflation index just dropped. An Alternative Measure of Core Inflation: The Trimmed Persistence PCE Price Index via @richmondfed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1721551781807661146)  2023-11-06T15:35Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"This is probably another one both conservatives and lefists will hate. Breitbart Business Digest: Holiday Sales Could Be Surprisingly Strong This Year via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1721682986918093124)  2023-11-07T00:16Z 60.4K followers, 17.6K engagements


"@MattZeitlin Inflation was a policy and disease was not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1721866871027159095)  2023-11-07T12:27Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"YES @neelkashkari describing term premia as dark matter on Bloomberg just now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1721869575220809819)  2023-11-07T12:37Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@Ritholtz Ive argued for years that term premia isnt a real thing. Its a mathematical artifact constructed to make bond numbers make sense"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1721871866262864308)  2023-11-07T12:46Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Good morning fellow enthusiasts for Old English. What do you think the word eadnys meanns. It appears in the Os entry of the OE Rune Poem but nowhere else I as far as I am aware of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1726210811884961930)  2023-11-19T12:08Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Wall Street Sees a Soft Landing Next Year After Getting Everything Wrong This Year via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1726986611492331890)  2023-11-21T15:31Z 60.4K followers, 14.4K engagements


"Home Sales Plunge to 13-Year Low as Bidenflation Mortgage Rates Crush Market via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1727004377850998881)  2023-11-21T16:41Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Well yes. I talk about this all the time. Negative emotions stem from our internal response to situations that dont unfold according to our desires. If you are focused on things beyond your control you can be overwhelmed by sadness anger disgust most of the time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1727291679366070777)  2023-11-22T11:43Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"You can't get patridge anywhere now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1728048799795286038)  2023-11-24T13:51Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"New Home Sales Plunge as Bidenflation Interest Rates Hit Hard via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729167695222911005)  2023-11-27T15:57Z 60.3K followers, 15.1K engagements


"This is a weighting that not everyone shares. "Inflation is a hardship; no paycheck is a disaster." Why not One: unemployment is typically transitory. Most people find new jobs. Price increases are typically permanent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729169794996535548)  2023-11-27T16:06Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@biancoresearch The problem with the original chartand Ive seen quite a few of themis that the median price does not take into account the size of the homes being sold. If builders construct cheaper homes because mortgage rates are so high median price will decline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729471499738783931)  2023-11-28T12:05Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@biancoresearch Unlike Case-Shiller which tracks repeat sales the new home prices can move because a change in the mix of the homes being constructed. With mortgage rates up 15% year over year what does a smart builder do to keep selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729473310260396226)  2023-11-28T12:12Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Joe Biden Resurrects His Claim That Gouging Is At Fault for High Prices via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729540938656023001)  2023-11-28T16:41Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"May Rate Cut. Higher for Longer. Rate Hike. Biden's pollsters"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729543299579437378)  2023-11-28T16:50Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Important response to Ackmans Q1 cut argument"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729830197363449864)  2023-11-29T11:50Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Congrats to Aditya Bhave of Bank of America whose forecast absolutely nailed the GDP report"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1729902188648935648)  2023-11-29T16:36Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Progressives: Inflation has fallen so you Biden should be popular. Americans: Nice theory bro. Biden's presidency had the worst inflation in decades. Progressives: You idiots just want prices to fall which would mean we're in a depression. Biden: Prices should be falling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730367136437060097)  2023-11-30T23:24Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Bidens claim that lower inflation means lower prices isnt a slip up. Its a claim he repeated at least three times THIS WEEK. Honest progressives with an interest in healthy public economic discourse should take him to task"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730551393377812833)  2023-12-01T11:36Z 60.3K followers, 16.9K engagements


"One way of looking at the last few months in bond yields is as a test of Fed communications strategy. What have we learned The Fed knows it can achieve substantial easing and tightening of financial conditions without any move in the Fed Funds rate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730569892154294520)  2023-12-01T12:49Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@DeanBaker13 Right. But thats not what Biden said. And hes said it three times so if he had a more accurate version of this he could have provided it. He didnt because he is actively attempting to Bidenboozle the public"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730579640664703488)  2023-12-01T13:28Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements


"There are two camps in the Fed Cut caucus. One says the Fed cuts because the economy falls into or near a recession. The other says the Fed cuts because it can. Im not sure I get the second argument. Why cut just because you can if economic growth isnt in a danger zone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730590711874015682)  2023-12-01T14:12Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@bad_dadd [--]. In the abstract I agree. [--]. I largely do. [--]. Sure. [--]. I'm not sure I believe in the existence of a natural interest rate in a regime of fiat currency and central bank rate and inflation targeting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730633761522417789)  2023-12-01T17:03Z 60.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The Fed Just Lost Control of Interest Rates via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1730778130359451819)  2023-12-02T02:37Z 60.4K followers, 26.2K engagements


"By adults he means people who will work to undermine Trump's presidential authority. Are there adults in the room for Biden If so why do they let him keep lying about inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1731871440821944745)  2023-12-05T03:01Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Im a big believer in the need for a third place. The notion of a friendship recession is heartbreaking. Are we in a recession of connection"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1732015502426276291)  2023-12-05T12:34Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"This is an attempt to raise the priority of climate change by claiming its victims have high status on the hierarchy of woke concerns. All policies questions are devolving into divisive who/whom arguments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1732026535354184048)  2023-12-05T13:18Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Astonishing arrogance on display in this letter. The message unfortunately is hardly surprising given what were seeing on college campuses. We educated a significant portion of Americas youth into an unsustainable doctrine. This is the harvest of that sowing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1732368864128684193)  2023-12-06T11:58Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Biden Threatens To Break Patents Over Drug Prices via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1732792501440761897)  2023-12-07T16:01Z 60.4K followers, 12K engagements


"This was a pretty violent swing. Are there precedents Theories about what caused it The University of Michigan consumer survey showed year-ahead inflation expectations fell to their lowest level since March [----] After rising from 3.2% in September to 4.5% in November year-ahead expectations reversed and then some to 3.1% in the preliminary December survey. https://t.co/H8BcnDiEDP The University of Michigan consumer survey showed year-ahead inflation expectations fell to their lowest level since March [----] After rising from 3.2% in September to 4.5% in November year-ahead expectations reversed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1733249865252000024)  2023-12-08T22:19Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@podcastrespectr I guess that's true if your definition of "contained" includes rising to four-decade highs and spreading throughout goods and then to services. And if your definition of "transitory" means reducing inflation required an unprecedented Fed hiking cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1733532607697109285)  2023-12-09T17:02Z 60.8K followers, [--] engagements


"@podcastrespectr When the Fed economists were describing inflation as due to "transitory" factors they were not using that definition. They meant that inflation would fall back to target without significant monetary tightening. But your definition is closer to what happened so gold star"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1733532971200544925)  2023-12-09T17:04Z 60.8K followers, [--] engagements


"@bad_dadd Inflation came before rate hikes so that dog wont hunt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1733536286063956316)  2023-12-09T17:17Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@bad_dadd I definitely think the income effect of higher interest payments can increase inflation although how that balances out against the crowding out and other disinflationary effects of higher interest rates is very hard to measure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1733577656119984390)  2023-12-09T20:01Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Heres what I said on Kudlow today. There likely will not be a recession in [----]. The Fed is likely to find that inflation is stuck above 2% but will hesitate to raise rates. After the election Fed will probably begin raising rates again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1733584045932429504)  2023-12-09T20:26Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Here's what the SEP looked like a year ago. The Fed nailed its own policy rate And they were pretty close on PCE inflation. But got the corresponding GDP and Unemployment Rate really really wrong. Conclusion: the economy doesn't work like the Fed thinks it does"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1734978302865981869)  2023-12-13T16:47Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: Jerome Powell Plays Rate Cut Santa Claus via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1735102570329153986)  2023-12-14T01:01Z 60.4K followers, 20.9K engagements


"@JamesSurowiecki I dont think its crazy. I think people are rationally disappointed that Biden bungled the post-pandemic recovery"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1735422624702886008)  2023-12-14T22:12Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@biancoresearch It also shows the M2 contraction has ended and its now more or less steady"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1736436778226106562)  2023-12-17T17:22Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Breitbart Business Digest: The Market Is Drunk on Rate Cut Egg Nog via @BreitbartNews"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1736901912245457192)  2023-12-19T00:11Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@arnoblalam It was all done within the rules. Not sure what you are asking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/carney/status/1736905286105940131)  2023-12-19T00:24Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@carney Avatar @carney John Carney

John Carney posts on X about inflation, tariffs, fed, money the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-------] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-------] -23%
  • [--] Month [---------] +3.80%
  • [--] Months [---------] -29%
  • [--] Year [----------] +79%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Week [---] +156%
  • [--] Month [---] +41%
  • [--] Months [-----] +20%
  • [--] Year [-----] -13%

Followers: [------] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] +0.17%
  • [--] Month [------] +0.67%
  • [--] Months [------] +1.70%
  • [--] Year [------] +6.40%

CreatorRank: [-------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance countries us election celebrities stocks technology brands travel destinations social networks automotive brands musicians

Social topic influence inflation #1554, tariffs #1242, fed #618, money, china, donald trump, rates, investment, kamala harris, debt

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @breitbartnews @besttrousers @jamessurowiecki @thestalwart @noahpinion @mattyglesias @roccitybuilt @conor64 @elonmusk @biancoresearch @modeledbehavior @bickerinbrattle @nicktimiraos @stephenwhudson1 @ernietedeschi @ny1david @wbmosler @sassermac99706 @bobmurphyecon @morganwarstler

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Reserve (RSV) Goldman Sachs (GS)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@biancoresearch I had forgotten he was part owner of the Beverly Hills Hilton where the Milken Global Conference takes place every year. Amazing"
X Link 2024-05-21T01:20Z 66.9K followers, [---] engagements

"How Ackman's Hong Kong Dollar Bet Works When Pershing Square founder Bill Ackman advocated buying Hong Kong dollar call options Wednesday I was a bit surprised that such things even exist"
X Link 2025-04-10T05:21Z 64.5K followers, [---] engagements

"The Great Wikileaks Bank of America Hoax What ever happened to the cache of banking secrets Wikileaks was supposedly going to release early this year"
X Link 2025-10-08T00:48Z 65.8K followers, [---] engagements

"The Size of the Bank Bailout: $29 Trillion So this guy from Morgan Stanley walks into a bar"
X Link 2025-10-15T22:50Z 228.6M followers, [--] engagements

"@alexlmiller Same. I think maybe a ceiling mount works best"
X Link 2023-03-10T01:39Z 61.6K followers, [--] engagements

"@SMTuffy This is like the fifth time Ive heard this. What do they think Glass Steagall would have done in this case From what I can tell Silicon Valley Bank was mostly engaged in commercial banking. Doesnt seem like underwriting securities was a big part of what they did"
X Link 2023-03-15T01:46Z 61.1K followers, [---] engagements

"If you could only invest in one: $HAS or $MAT Why"
X Link 2023-04-20T18:59Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Whoa. Breaking: Morgan Stanley Chief Executive James Gorman plans to step down within the next [--] months after more than a decade leading the Wall Street bank https://t.co/KmyQeE7V2E Breaking: Morgan Stanley Chief Executive James Gorman plans to step down within the next [--] months after more than a decade leading the Wall Street bank https://t.co/KmyQeE7V2E"
X Link 2023-05-19T13:18Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Kudlow on Consumers Research Report About Bank of America: The Worst Woke Story Ive Seen via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-06-14T12:34Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Hell yes. Paneled Library. Yes or No https://t.co/QcV3Sy6IMJ Paneled Library. Yes or No https://t.co/QcV3Sy6IMJ"
X Link 2023-08-03T14:27Z 65.6K followers, [----] engagements

"@jyarow And not just in Ukraine but right up on the war-fighting front"
X Link 2023-08-10T12:55Z 60.4K followers, 1.2M engagements

"@JessicaVaugn I have not ever even considered it because I assume the powers that be hate me"
X Link 2023-08-13T22:42Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements

"Fun hit on last nights @BottomLineFBN with @dagenmcdowell and @SeanDuffyWI. Inflation Reduction Act turning [--] is 'the anniversary of a lie': John Carney"
X Link 2023-08-17T11:32Z 60.4K followers, 14.3K engagements

"Inflation Reduction Act turning [--] is 'the anniversary of a lie': John Carney"
X Link 2023-08-17T11:41Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"DEFLATION. Fed's gotta cut. New Hampshire Barbershop Gives Free Haircuts to School Children via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-08-21T19:25Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@BrcliftonBrian @elonmusk @DonaldJTrumpJr @TuckerCarlson I mentioned China exporting deflation on the radio with Larry Kudlow on Saturday. Its true but probably only worth a few basis points off CPI here"
X Link 2023-08-21T23:42Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Get ready for Biden and the Democrats to go to war with the Fed. via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/08/25/breitbart-business-digest-powells-jackson-hole-speech-gives-a-whiff-of-a-clash-with-biden-white-house/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/08/25/breitbart-business-digest-powells-jackson-hole-speech-gives-a-whiff-of-a-clash-with-biden-white-house/"
X Link 2023-08-26T00:35Z 61.1K followers, 32.7K engagements

"@fenstermakerd Justin is an old friend and a very smart guy. Ill give his article some thought today. My instinct is that he has underestimated the chances that inflation inches up sparking more rate hikes. But as I said anything by @jdlahart deserves serious consideration"
X Link 2023-08-26T14:50Z 61.1K followers, [--] engagements

"Hiring Slowed in the Private Sector in August ADP Says via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-08-30T15:05Z 60.4K followers, 12.9K engagements

"Worth listening to"
X Link 2023-08-30T15:16Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Good morning Happy Labor Day Found this fine fellow hanging about in my backyard today"
X Link 2023-09-04T10:58Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Yet Wall Street is enamored with the idea that the Fed is going to start cutting rates in the first half of next year"
X Link 2023-09-06T12:23Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Overheating: Unemployment Claims Plunge as Businesses Capitulate to Growth via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-07T13:31Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Unit Labor Costs Revised Up Sharply and Productivity Drops Raising Inflation Risks via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-07T14:11Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Bidenomics Is Creating a Debt-Inflation Spiral via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-08T02:11Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"Borrow money for government spending--inflation rises--Fed hikes interest rates--government spends more on interest--interest payments increase income of bond holders--inflation rises--Fed hikes interest rates---government spends more on interest--interest payments"
X Link 2023-09-08T14:04Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@pjsliney Lol. Spelljammer has a massive fanbase. We never played it back in my day. It actually came out a bit late for us and wasn't really fitted to our taste for Tolkein-esqe rpg. I'm curious to try it out. We did try Traveller Gamma World and even Star Frontiers"
X Link 2023-09-10T02:48Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Food at home prices are up by 20% since Biden took office but certain economists are convinced worries about inflation are signs the perceptions are detached from reality"
X Link 2023-09-13T20:57Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Bidenflation at the Pump: U.S. Retail Sales Pushed Higher Than Expected By Soaring Gas Prices via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-14T13:52Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Four hours of D&D today. Prepped lots of stuff the players avoided in an unexpectedly wise decision. Thats one of the things I love about this game: you cannot tell where it is going to go. Lots of fun with AI art. Players making their characters. DM (me) showing setting"
X Link 2023-09-17T22:56Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Check me out on GB News They have nothing left Oil to surge to $100 per barrel as Biden accused of major mistake"
X Link 2023-09-21T12:32Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Why did Brooks take the salad part off his burger"
X Link 2023-09-21T12:53Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Inflation has made us all think a $17.50 burger is fine"
X Link 2023-09-21T19:35Z 60.3K followers, 21.4K engagements

"@Ny1david Your demand itself is xenophobic paranoid and based on falsehood. Describing anyone who criticizes the Biden administration's Russia policies as a "shill for Putin" is insane level Russiaphobica"
X Link 2023-09-22T20:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"LETS GO One of the best conservative writers in America spent seven years writing this groundbreaking novel. It's about a guy who has been alive for [----] years. "When you live forever everything you love will die." Borrowed Time #borrowedtime"
X Link 2023-09-26T14:01Z 60.4K followers, 16.2K engagements

"Bidenflation Bears Down On Consumer Confidence Tripping Recession Signal via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-26T14:52Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@artimusgray2 @InezFeltscher Any reason your parents got gulaged is a disgusting and ignorant question. How about this Because the Soviet Union was run by a communist murder cult"
X Link 2023-09-26T19:25Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@artimusgray2 @InezFeltscher *grandparent"
X Link 2023-09-26T19:44Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"CNBCs Sullivan: I Wanted to Ask Biden About EVs Hurting Jobs in MI But Security Was Way Tighter than a Foreign Visit via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-27T13:02Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"War Keynesianism: Military Spending Triggers Unexpected Surge In Durable Goods Orders via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-27T14:05Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Willa Cather should be much more widely read. It feels like they shoved her down a memory hole [--] years ago and then kept her there because she didn't fit the political agendas of the cultural elites in the subsequent decades"
X Link 2023-09-28T02:55Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Is there a super-sized unemployment program still running that I have missed I'm confused what Vivek is talking about when he says we're paying people more to stay at home than to work. What program is doing that"
X Link 2023-09-28T02:58Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Huge upward revision to q1 real GDI undercutting the arguments of the recessionistas and inflation doves that GDI was telling the "real story" about the economy. Real GDI is now estimated to have increased [---] percent in Q1 up from a contraction of 1.8"
X Link 2023-09-28T12:57Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Feds Fight Against Bidenflation Sends Pending Home Sales to Near Pandemic Lockdown Lows via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/09/28/feds-fight-against-bidenflation-sends-pending-home-sales-to-near-pandemic-lockdown-lows/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/09/28/feds-fight-against-bidenflation-sends-pending-home-sales-to-near-pandemic-lockdown-lows/"
X Link 2023-09-28T16:12Z 61.1K followers, [---] engagements

"@tyillc I don't think that's a reasonable line of thought. Who knows how the guy who decried Welfare Queens imposed tariffs on Japan and vigorously campaigned against affirmative action would be situated in today's politics"
X Link 2023-09-28T17:00Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The Enemy Is Bidenflation Not Auto Worker Wages via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-29T01:37Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@cheapgroundspec In the 1930s the New York literary scene basically turned socialist. Cather did not travel in that direction. Her work was not explicitly political but that was a problem for the woke literary elites of her era"
X Link 2023-09-29T02:22Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@InezFeltscher @GrizzlyJoeShow Absolutely true for me. I can now listen to books and podcasts on long walks while working out. Listen to podcasts while doing housework. Listen while riding in cars. A great expansion of the time I have to consume literature journalism and arguments"
X Link 2023-09-29T12:47Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Bidenflation: Prices Rises Twice as Fast on Soaring Gas Highest Inflation in [--] Months via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-29T13:17Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements

""Long transitory" Still no recession but core PCE down to 2.2% on a three-month basis. Team Long Transitory for the win. Still no recession but core PCE down to 2.2% on a three-month basis. Team Long Transitory for the win"
X Link 2023-09-29T14:12Z 61.1K followers, 12.7K engagements

"Serious questions. [--]. Does Team Long Transitory think that inflation will return to two percent and stay there at a lower Fed Funds rate than we have today [--]. How long is long transitory One more year Two more Three more Five Ten"
X Link 2023-09-29T14:15Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@AlanTonelson I'm never going to get over the fact that they screamed about tariffs causing inflation for years despite the complete lack of evidence or even theory to support it. Yet when high inflation actually happens on Biden's watch and lasts years it's really nothing to worry about"
X Link 2023-09-29T14:19Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Carney on Kudlow: Trump Showed Last Night Why Hes the GOP Frontrunner via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-09-29T22:50Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"This is so much more important than people realize. Publication in the elite journals specifically and the broken peer review system exercise way too much influence in science today"
X Link 2023-10-02T12:46Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"A few thoughts. [--]. Student loan payments do not really restart today. The on ramp to required repayments starts today. [--]. Nothing about repayments forces borrowers to take on more debt. [--]. Plenty of borrowers took on more debt while payments were paused"
X Link 2023-10-02T12:53Z 60.4K followers, 10.7K engagements

"I dont blame people for spending the money that might have gone to student loan payments during the pause on consumption. Thats largely what was supposed to happen. The pause was not just reliefit was stimulus"
X Link 2023-10-02T14:23Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"This is completely anecdotal but I just spoke with an investor who says hes seeing a resurgence in non-office commercial real estate. Like shopping center and malls. Customers signing big leases competition for space. Third guy in two months who is bullish on retail rents"
X Link 2023-10-02T20:00Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Now this conspiratorial view of the worlda vast misinformation network masterminded by one guy with an agenda carried out by his minionsis not only embraced by progressives but treated as obviously true"
X Link 2023-10-03T11:03Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"So Labor Market is NOT COOLING"
X Link 2023-10-03T14:44Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@dcg1114 @jasonfurman We know that deficits that introduce too much demand stimulate inflation and that the Fed responds to high inflation with higher interest rates. What part of that do you doubt"
X Link 2023-10-04T01:34Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@GZuckerman Lewis wrong to say that SBF could have just tossed the hedge fund out and just made billions running the exchange. Alameda was a necessary part of the FTX business because it was the buyer of last resort and therefore price setter for FTT"
X Link 2023-10-04T02:20Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Wait. Now de-inverting is a recession signal How does that work. Ordinarily we would think that falling bond prices and rising yields signal a strengthening economy. Is it different this time"
X Link 2023-10-04T16:14Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@ModeledBehavior I'm not sure that having taller or more skilled players from abroad increases the enjoyment of basketball fans at all. So how would the game be worse with fewer foreign born players"
X Link 2023-10-04T16:37Z 60.3K followers, 16.7K engagements

"@ModeledBehavior From what I can tell some people are now defining greedflation as any price increase that was not preceded by exactly the same increase in the cost to produce the good or service. So they are declaring that any price increase not caused by higher costs is illegitimate"
X Link 2023-10-05T11:47Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"So this is super interesting and has a lot of people perplexed. I have some thoughts (of course I do). [--]. Until relatively recently everyone had a recession built into their models in the medium term (6 months) which then led into expectations for a Fed cut"
X Link 2023-10-05T11:53Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"2. What has shifted then is not the Feds projections for rates but expectations about the economy next year and the Feds reaction to that"
X Link 2023-10-05T12:05Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Jobless Claims Still Lagging Behind Expectations Painting Picture of Tight Labor Market via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-05T12:59Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements

"@ModeledBehavior Or maybe we just achieved exit velocity from the GFC era and we should expect a Fed Funds rate around 6%"
X Link 2023-10-05T23:32Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Im basically alone in my view now and Im fine with that. See no evidence that FFR is too high. House prices rising manufacturing bottomed job openings rising GDP growth around 3% and inflation showing no signs of further decline. Rates need to go higher"
X Link 2023-10-05T23:36Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Forgot to add: M2 is no longer falling up since April stabilized for last few months. Wheres the evidence of monetary policy being restrictive"
X Link 2023-10-05T23:40Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Take a moment to say a prayer for the forgiveness of everyone who told you the JOLTS increase was "noise.""
X Link 2023-10-06T12:54Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@JerzyTommy It can be funky. Try again in a little bit"
X Link 2023-10-06T12:56Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Still think the FFR is too high"
X Link 2023-10-06T13:08Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Is it my imagination or are there no major productions of Shakespeare (apart from the Public theaters musical Tempest) or Ancient Greek plays scheduled in New York for the coming year"
X Link 2023-10-07T12:56Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"This is really a weird thing to say. Does Biden really not remember that the PPP loans were designed as an employment support scheme and not primarily relief for businesses Does he not remember that we ordered businesses to shut down for the public good"
X Link 2023-10-07T14:09Z 60.4K followers, 18.8K engagements

"@MainStreetMuse Yes. That was the deal. If employers kept up payrolls the loans would be forgiven. This wasnt a gift. It was compensation for becoming instruments of public policy. We wanted employers to keep more workers on payrolls than made economic sense and we provided funds for it"
X Link 2023-10-08T11:57Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"What is your favorite measure of inflation and why"
X Link 2023-10-09T11:26Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Heres a weird question: what do you think Chinas leadership expectations are for the potential of a U.S. civil war Like what are the odds that a Chinese communist official assigns to the U.S. falling into a civil war Seems likely to be non-zero right"
X Link 2023-10-09T11:56Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Probably around 10% maybe as high as 15%. The interesting question is what this does for Chinas foreign and economic policies. If you were China expecting a 10% chance of the U.S. civil war what would you do now and over the next quarter of a century"
X Link 2023-10-09T12:46Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Actually the September Jobs Number Was Really Strong via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/10/breitbart-business-digest-actually-the-september-jobs-number-was-really-strong/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/10/breitbart-business-digest-actually-the-september-jobs-number-was-really-strong/"
X Link 2023-10-11T01:49Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements

"When people on the left try to absolve the Fed or Biden for inflation they often point to inflation in Europe. How that is supposed to work Is inflation just some sort of non-anthropogenic economic climate change If it is happening elsewhere too no one is to blame"
X Link 2023-10-11T13:58Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@danavachon I'd say that's definitely true. But the reason for the persistence of inflation was because of "fiscal impulse" accommodated by monetary policy. In [----] we had massive inflation and in [----] we had massive deflation. Post-covid we have just had inflation"
X Link 2023-10-11T14:45Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"It's very tempting for conservatives right now to try to read weakness into positive economic data such as last week's jobs report. I'm fine with that whenjustified. But last week's jobs report really was good. via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-11T14:56Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Will the Bond Market Preempt the Feds Next Hike via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-12T04:24Z 60.4K followers, 17.6K engagements

"Inflation Still Much Too Hot: Consumer Prices Rise Faster Than Expected via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-12T12:36Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Everyone who is coming up with Arthur Burns-style measures of inflation that exclude things they think shouldn't count should read this speech. Torturing CPI Data until They Confess: Observations on Alternative Measures of Inflation"
X Link 2023-10-12T18:58Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Consumer Sentiment Plunges as Inflation Fears Mount and Expected Business Conditions Crash via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-13T14:24Z 60.4K followers, 16.9K engagements

"Carney on Kudlow: Inflation Is Going Back Up and Well Need a Shock-Inducing Rate Hike via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-13T18:38Z 60.4K followers, 18.7K engagements

"People act like Bach and Mozart were great composers but that has to be fake because the population of the earth is larger now so statistics tell us that the greatest composers are actually people alive now. Wake up sheep"
X Link 2023-10-13T21:22Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Heres a good rule of thumb: you shouldnt accept lessons about the probability of outcomes from traders of financial products who have already shown usby going brokethat they do not understand the probability of outcomes"
X Link 2023-10-13T23:00Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Bond Market Complacency May Get Run Over by Rate Hike Train via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-14T00:10Z 60.4K followers, 31.3K engagements

"Dropped some insight from @biancoresearch into tonights #BBD"
X Link 2023-10-14T00:17Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@literaryeric The problem is that the scale is so big it conceals the differences that really matter. It goes from -10% to 20% which makes it very hard to see where we are between say 4% and 2%"
X Link 2023-10-14T02:06Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@literaryeric Everyone agrees that inflation has come down and almost no one expects inflation to get back up to [--] percent much less [--] percent. The question is how hard it is going to be to get from the current 4.9% annualized rate to two percent. Are we close Cant tell in that chart"
X Link 2023-10-14T02:08Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"The still-developing communitarianism of the right will be disorienting too. Just like the lefts movement it involves abandoning old positions for new. It seeks ann alternative communitarian vision for our future rather than (futilely) resist the communitarian impulse"
X Link 2023-10-14T13:59Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"This will be disorienting also. Especially to the left which developed its defense of communitarianism against a rightwing vision of individualism. The left will experience the shift on the right as hypocrisy rather than a mirror of its embrace of community standards"
X Link 2023-10-14T14:01Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"But if you are an advocate of community standards you do not really have grounds for claiming rival visions cannot also embrace that framework. If the left wins the battle against free speech next we fight about whose justice which rationality"
X Link 2023-10-14T14:20Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"A leftwing analysis of this could take the form: Conservatives Drop the Mask of Pretending to Be Free Speech Defenders: Heres What Theyll Do Next. A Gen X right analysis: We Lost the Free Speech Debate: A Lament and A Plan for Whats Next"
X Link 2023-10-14T15:24Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@Frances_Coppola Frances I am an admirer of your work on financial and economic stuff. So this is a friendly question (I hope maybe you hate me). Why is this true Yes traffic is probably up but lots of advertisers probably do not want to advertise alongside bitter debate and news of war"
X Link 2023-10-15T01:07Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@JSelway3 @countyhwy @walterkirn Ha. If theyd have me Id totally write for them"
X Link 2023-10-15T01:10Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Bond Market Complacency May Get Run Over by Rate Hike Train via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-15T01:32Z 60.4K followers, 32.7K engagements

"Bond Market Complacency May Get Run Over by Rate Hike Train via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-16T13:04Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The Philly Feds Patrick Harker Thinks Interest Rates Are High Enough via @BreitbartNews https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/16/breitbart-business-digest-the-philly-feds-patrick-harker-thinks-interest-rates-are-high-enough/ https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2023/10/16/breitbart-business-digest-the-philly-feds-patrick-harker-thinks-interest-rates-are-high-enough/"
X Link 2023-10-17T01:50Z 61.1K followers, 28.6K engagements

"A huge percentage of Americans expect to spend more this year on holiday shopping. Almost none expect to spend less. Why does the Fed think the stance of monetary policy is restrictive"
X Link 2023-10-17T01:53Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Ford Motors Bill Ford Defends American Manufacturing Against China; Tells Striking UAW: My Company Is Not Your Enemy via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-17T02:32Z 60.4K followers, 21.9K engagements

"Fed officials keep saying the stance of monetary policy is restrictive but holiday spending plans say something very different. via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-17T11:16Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Its pretty amazing how badly Goldman Sachs attempt to consumer banking went"
X Link 2023-10-17T12:30Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"But monetary policy is restrictive How could this be happening"
X Link 2023-10-17T12:33Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"The first sign of softening in the labor market is a decline of multiple job holders"
X Link 2023-10-18T11:03Z 60.4K followers, 17.8K engagements

"Housing Starts Rebound 7% and Permits Beat Expectations as Bidenflation Housing Squeeze Continues via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-18T15:35Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"There have been plenty of takes on this but here is mine: she making a pretty common mistake. A lot of young people make the mistake of attempting to maximize current income at the expense of future income"
X Link 2023-10-19T13:42Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@DylanFrankJR The interest rate on student loans is pretty low and you can enroll in an income-driven repayment program that really drives it down and eventually forgives your loans. Even without those however she'd be better off taking a job that will earn her more money long run"
X Link 2023-10-19T16:01Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"A Dovish Jerome Powell Signals Fed Is Done Hiking Rates via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-19T16:32Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Bidenomics: U.S. Budget Deficit Explodes 23% Higher to $1.7 Trillion via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-20T22:47Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"The thing you probably won't read anywhere else is that inflation was a major contributor to the soaring deficit. It drove up Social Security and FDIC outlays. Pushed debt costs up. Drove down revenue from the Fed. If not for SCOTUS would have been even worse"
X Link 2023-10-20T22:49Z 60.5K followers, [---] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Fed Officials Warn the Economy Will Slow or Well Face a Second Wave of Inflation via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-20T22:51Z 60.4K followers, 32.5K engagements

"Pathetically the Biden administration is trying to blame TRUMP for the deficit. The buck always stops with the other guy for these Biden folks"
X Link 2023-10-20T22:55Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Bigger Than Expected Deficit Is Feeding Higher Than Expected Inflation via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-25T10:45Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"The governments deficit creates a private sector surplus. Last year that surplus doubled. The unsurprising result was excessive inflation and upside surprise to growth. Weve got fiscal policy driven inflation"
X Link 2023-10-25T10:51Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"New Home Sales Surge Higher Up 34% Over the Year via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-25T14:24Z 60.4K followers, 14.5K engagements

"UAW wins a 25% raise for its members. Apple raises monthly fee for AppleTV+ by 43%. New home sales rise to level that would have broken records in the decade before pandemic. Yet people keep saying the stance of monetary policy is incredibly tight"
X Link 2023-10-26T11:25Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@Jason What's weird is that this isn't a recession. The economy is growing at a jaw-dropping rate unemployment is non-existent and asset prices are rising"
X Link 2023-10-26T13:49Z 60.4K followers, 41.9K engagements

"@tyillc Right. But we can re-formulate Slok's comment to be definitely correct because he is mostly talking about the implications for Fed policy. And the Fed definitely believes further disinflation requires below-trend growth. So 4.9% means higher for longer at least"
X Link 2023-10-26T13:52Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"The question up for discussion has not been: will reducing inflation from 9% require a recession It has been: will reducing inflation to 2% and keeping it there require (or be likely to cause) a recession The real question people have been debating is still open"
X Link 2023-10-26T19:46Z 60.5K followers, [---] engagements

"@Tsunehme @Jason There were quite a few of us who said growth was likely to surprise to the upside this year. Certainly Warren's approach would tell him that doubling the deficit in a year with ultra-low unemployment would be unlikely to result in a recession"
X Link 2023-10-26T21:05Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"RIP Byron Wien a Wall Street institution in the best way. A life well lived. A man who made talking to smart people wide-ranging curiosity and a passion for figuring out how the world works into a lifelong profession. The dream. via @WSJ"
X Link 2023-10-26T22:04Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Prices Rise More Than Expected as Inflations Grip on Economy Persists via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-27T13:56Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Consumer Inflation Expectations Soar as Bidenomics Stumbles. via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-27T17:04Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"While I am sympathetic to the view that the interest income channel might be offsetting the drag on demand from higher interest costs its weird that we didnt hear more about worries that low interest rates were depressing demand"
X Link 2023-10-28T17:03Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@aaronchriscohen Why would anyone not want the deficit to be lower"
X Link 2023-10-28T18:26Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"One thing that seems like it is a lasting change in behavior since the pandemic is earlier holiday shopping. For the past few years early holiday shopping has created a lot of confusion about how to read the economic data. Looks like its going to happen again"
X Link 2023-10-30T11:50Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Heres what happened in the past few years. Early holiday shopping led to big retail sales numbers for September and October and anticipation of even bigger sales numbers in November and December (consumer strength). But this was in large part sales being pulled forward"
X Link 2023-10-30T11:59Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"This is pretty wild. The Democratic Party platform in [----] promised a 25% reduction in the cost of government balanced budgets and a competitive tariff"
X Link 2023-10-30T13:37Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Architecturally what is the most beautiful city in the world"
X Link 2023-10-30T13:50Z 60.4K followers, 118.4K engagements

"Digging this song and the Coney Island setting for the video. BONK BONK - "ONE TIME" via @YouTube"
X Link 2023-10-30T18:57Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"The Fed would be so much cooler if everyone showed up to the FOMC meeting today in costume"
X Link 2023-10-31T11:44Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@SMTuffy Perhaps his ultimate defense against criminal charges will be that he has a careless and forgetful mind"
X Link 2023-10-31T14:30Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Consumer Confidence Tumbles to 5-Month Low Expectations Below Recession Threshold via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-10-31T15:01Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@TheStalwart WeWork thought it was Uber but it was Hertz"
X Link 2023-11-01T13:04Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"This is what it sounds like.when doves make monetary policy. "Tighter financial and credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity hiring and inflation.""
X Link 2023-11-01T18:07Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Shorter Fed: The economy is accelerating but we still think that tighter financial conditions are going to slow things down any time now. Probably"
X Link 2023-11-01T18:15Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The Fed Is Ignoring Signs of Overheating Economy via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-01T21:57Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"The Fed admitted today that growth was accelerating and labor market heating up. Inflation is up [--] months straight. So why has policy become more dovish Fed is once again behind the curve"
X Link 2023-11-02T02:32Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The Fed Is Ignoring Signs of Overheating Economy via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-02T12:20Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Are higher rates making the labor market tighter I argue that the broken housing market channel is not transmitting monetary policy properly. It is instead driving down labor supply"
X Link 2023-11-02T12:26Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"I think it is very likely that the housing market is depressing hires and quits rates. Since a lot of people are looking at recent hires and quits as signals of a softening labor market this is probably creating a false picture of the economy"
X Link 2023-11-03T11:48Z 60.4K followers, 14.4K engagements

"The odds of a hike at the next Fed meeting just dropped from around 20% to 10% according to CME's fed funds calculator"
X Link 2023-11-03T13:02Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Let me get this straight. Bond yields went up so people figured the Fed wouldn't have to tighten so bond yields went down. Now they are down by even more so does the Fed need to tighten more and will that make yields rise again"
X Link 2023-11-03T13:10Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@TheStalwart Unfair. He was really just using the bet on bitcoin to send a bigger signal"
X Link 2023-11-03T21:21Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"This time is different I tell me self every year when I set the clock back"
X Link 2023-11-03T21:23Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The October Jobs Numbers Killed the Chances of a December Rate Hike via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-03T22:40Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Sorry recessionistas: theres no cooling trend in the jobs data. Just like with inflation it looks like cooling is done and weve settled in at a high level"
X Link 2023-11-03T22:44Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"This is probably the least popular thing Ive written in years. Conservatives say Im going soft on the soft jobs numbers. Progressives say Im not appreciating the disinflation developments or recession risks. via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-04T16:03Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@BickerinBrattle Shoot. Forgot to include the link. Here you go. @wbmosler was my co-author on it"
X Link 2023-11-04T16:30Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"The last time I was reporting from this courthouse was the trial of Goldman Sachs junior investment banker Fab Fab Toure. These reports are making me nostalgic for those days"
X Link 2023-11-04T17:30Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Bruce Willis was so much better in this part than any of these options would have been"
X Link 2023-11-06T15:10Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"New "core" inflation index just dropped. An Alternative Measure of Core Inflation: The Trimmed Persistence PCE Price Index via @richmondfed"
X Link 2023-11-06T15:35Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"This is probably another one both conservatives and lefists will hate. Breitbart Business Digest: Holiday Sales Could Be Surprisingly Strong This Year via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-07T00:16Z 60.4K followers, 17.6K engagements

"@MattZeitlin Inflation was a policy and disease was not"
X Link 2023-11-07T12:27Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"YES @neelkashkari describing term premia as dark matter on Bloomberg just now"
X Link 2023-11-07T12:37Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"@Ritholtz Ive argued for years that term premia isnt a real thing. Its a mathematical artifact constructed to make bond numbers make sense"
X Link 2023-11-07T12:46Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Good morning fellow enthusiasts for Old English. What do you think the word eadnys meanns. It appears in the Os entry of the OE Rune Poem but nowhere else I as far as I am aware of"
X Link 2023-11-19T12:08Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Wall Street Sees a Soft Landing Next Year After Getting Everything Wrong This Year via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-21T15:31Z 60.4K followers, 14.4K engagements

"Home Sales Plunge to 13-Year Low as Bidenflation Mortgage Rates Crush Market via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-21T16:41Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Well yes. I talk about this all the time. Negative emotions stem from our internal response to situations that dont unfold according to our desires. If you are focused on things beyond your control you can be overwhelmed by sadness anger disgust most of the time"
X Link 2023-11-22T11:43Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"You can't get patridge anywhere now"
X Link 2023-11-24T13:51Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"New Home Sales Plunge as Bidenflation Interest Rates Hit Hard via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-27T15:57Z 60.3K followers, 15.1K engagements

"This is a weighting that not everyone shares. "Inflation is a hardship; no paycheck is a disaster." Why not One: unemployment is typically transitory. Most people find new jobs. Price increases are typically permanent"
X Link 2023-11-27T16:06Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@biancoresearch The problem with the original chartand Ive seen quite a few of themis that the median price does not take into account the size of the homes being sold. If builders construct cheaper homes because mortgage rates are so high median price will decline"
X Link 2023-11-28T12:05Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@biancoresearch Unlike Case-Shiller which tracks repeat sales the new home prices can move because a change in the mix of the homes being constructed. With mortgage rates up 15% year over year what does a smart builder do to keep selling"
X Link 2023-11-28T12:12Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Joe Biden Resurrects His Claim That Gouging Is At Fault for High Prices via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-11-28T16:41Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"May Rate Cut. Higher for Longer. Rate Hike. Biden's pollsters"
X Link 2023-11-28T16:50Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Important response to Ackmans Q1 cut argument"
X Link 2023-11-29T11:50Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Congrats to Aditya Bhave of Bank of America whose forecast absolutely nailed the GDP report"
X Link 2023-11-29T16:36Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements

"Progressives: Inflation has fallen so you Biden should be popular. Americans: Nice theory bro. Biden's presidency had the worst inflation in decades. Progressives: You idiots just want prices to fall which would mean we're in a depression. Biden: Prices should be falling"
X Link 2023-11-30T23:24Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Bidens claim that lower inflation means lower prices isnt a slip up. Its a claim he repeated at least three times THIS WEEK. Honest progressives with an interest in healthy public economic discourse should take him to task"
X Link 2023-12-01T11:36Z 60.3K followers, 16.9K engagements

"One way of looking at the last few months in bond yields is as a test of Fed communications strategy. What have we learned The Fed knows it can achieve substantial easing and tightening of financial conditions without any move in the Fed Funds rate"
X Link 2023-12-01T12:49Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@DeanBaker13 Right. But thats not what Biden said. And hes said it three times so if he had a more accurate version of this he could have provided it. He didnt because he is actively attempting to Bidenboozle the public"
X Link 2023-12-01T13:28Z 60.3K followers, [---] engagements

"There are two camps in the Fed Cut caucus. One says the Fed cuts because the economy falls into or near a recession. The other says the Fed cuts because it can. Im not sure I get the second argument. Why cut just because you can if economic growth isnt in a danger zone"
X Link 2023-12-01T14:12Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"@bad_dadd [--]. In the abstract I agree. [--]. I largely do. [--]. Sure. [--]. I'm not sure I believe in the existence of a natural interest rate in a regime of fiat currency and central bank rate and inflation targeting"
X Link 2023-12-01T17:03Z 60.3K followers, [--] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The Fed Just Lost Control of Interest Rates via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-12-02T02:37Z 60.4K followers, 26.2K engagements

"By adults he means people who will work to undermine Trump's presidential authority. Are there adults in the room for Biden If so why do they let him keep lying about inflation"
X Link 2023-12-05T03:01Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Im a big believer in the need for a third place. The notion of a friendship recession is heartbreaking. Are we in a recession of connection"
X Link 2023-12-05T12:34Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"This is an attempt to raise the priority of climate change by claiming its victims have high status on the hierarchy of woke concerns. All policies questions are devolving into divisive who/whom arguments"
X Link 2023-12-05T13:18Z 60.3K followers, [----] engagements

"Astonishing arrogance on display in this letter. The message unfortunately is hardly surprising given what were seeing on college campuses. We educated a significant portion of Americas youth into an unsustainable doctrine. This is the harvest of that sowing"
X Link 2023-12-06T11:58Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Biden Threatens To Break Patents Over Drug Prices via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-12-07T16:01Z 60.4K followers, 12K engagements

"This was a pretty violent swing. Are there precedents Theories about what caused it The University of Michigan consumer survey showed year-ahead inflation expectations fell to their lowest level since March [----] After rising from 3.2% in September to 4.5% in November year-ahead expectations reversed and then some to 3.1% in the preliminary December survey. https://t.co/H8BcnDiEDP The University of Michigan consumer survey showed year-ahead inflation expectations fell to their lowest level since March [----] After rising from 3.2% in September to 4.5% in November year-ahead expectations reversed"
X Link 2023-12-08T22:19Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@podcastrespectr I guess that's true if your definition of "contained" includes rising to four-decade highs and spreading throughout goods and then to services. And if your definition of "transitory" means reducing inflation required an unprecedented Fed hiking cycle"
X Link 2023-12-09T17:02Z 60.8K followers, [--] engagements

"@podcastrespectr When the Fed economists were describing inflation as due to "transitory" factors they were not using that definition. They meant that inflation would fall back to target without significant monetary tightening. But your definition is closer to what happened so gold star"
X Link 2023-12-09T17:04Z 60.8K followers, [--] engagements

"@bad_dadd Inflation came before rate hikes so that dog wont hunt"
X Link 2023-12-09T17:17Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"@bad_dadd I definitely think the income effect of higher interest payments can increase inflation although how that balances out against the crowding out and other disinflationary effects of higher interest rates is very hard to measure"
X Link 2023-12-09T20:01Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

"Heres what I said on Kudlow today. There likely will not be a recession in [----]. The Fed is likely to find that inflation is stuck above 2% but will hesitate to raise rates. After the election Fed will probably begin raising rates again"
X Link 2023-12-09T20:26Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"Here's what the SEP looked like a year ago. The Fed nailed its own policy rate And they were pretty close on PCE inflation. But got the corresponding GDP and Unemployment Rate really really wrong. Conclusion: the economy doesn't work like the Fed thinks it does"
X Link 2023-12-13T16:47Z 61.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: Jerome Powell Plays Rate Cut Santa Claus via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-12-14T01:01Z 60.4K followers, 20.9K engagements

"@JamesSurowiecki I dont think its crazy. I think people are rationally disappointed that Biden bungled the post-pandemic recovery"
X Link 2023-12-14T22:12Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@biancoresearch It also shows the M2 contraction has ended and its now more or less steady"
X Link 2023-12-17T17:22Z 60.4K followers, [---] engagements

"Breitbart Business Digest: The Market Is Drunk on Rate Cut Egg Nog via @BreitbartNews"
X Link 2023-12-19T00:11Z 60.4K followers, [----] engagements

"@arnoblalam It was all done within the rules. Not sure what you are asking"
X Link 2023-12-19T00:24Z 60.4K followers, [--] engagements

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