Dark | Light
# ![@beowulf888 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::16211134.png) @beowulf888 beowulf888

beowulf888 posts on X about australia, israel, countries, in the the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::16211134/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::16211134/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +2%
- [--] Month [------] +287%
- [--] Months [------] +490%
- [--] Year [------] +58%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::16211134/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::16211134/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Months [---] +62%
- [--] Year [---] +13%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::16211134/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::16211134/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +0.18%
- [--] Month [---] +0.53%
- [--] Months [---] +3.70%
- [--] Year [---] +2.70%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::16211134/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::16211134/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[countries](/list/countries)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [finance](/list/finance)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [us election](/list/us-election)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 

**Social topic influence**
[australia](/topic/australia), [israel](/topic/israel), [countries](/topic/countries), [in the](/topic/in-the), [xec](/topic/xec), [hamas](/topic/hamas), [china](/topic/china), [rates](/topic/rates), [france](/topic/france), [germany](/topic/germany)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/google) [Waves (WAVES)](/topic/waves)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@dmoulding @MJnanostretch @stuartjdneil @theintercept OTOH Daszak's making things worse for himself refusing release earlier grant proposals. They'll eventually come outwhat's he thinking It's clear he doesn't want restrictions imposed on GoF research. Does he think all those people with pitchforks and torches will just go away"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1450619822673317895)  2021-10-20T00:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MattSainsb It didn't in Californiayou really really really should look at CA's mistakes before you undertake this project. Projected at US$33 Billion in [----] with trains running the 800km between LA & SF by 2020costs have ballooned to $105Billion & only 250km will be done by 2030if then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1601000809608925184)  2022-12-08T23:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"19-1/ Summary of COVID trends as of Epidemiological Week [--]. Hospitalizations and wastewater numbers continue to fall (yawn). And unless something interesting happens I'll be posting this summary every other week moving forward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1657545906059894784)  2023-05-14T00:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RajlabN 27-28/ Maybe XBB.1.16 will finally sprint ahead of the others or maybe XBB.1.9 beat .16. Despite the sparsity of samples to base that judgement on their growth curves don't make them look like wave material. (h/t again to @Mike_Honey_ for his cool variant analysis tool)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1677884519700119552)  2023-07-09T03:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RajlabN @Mike_Honey_ 27-29/ So what's happening in the rest of the world In North America and Europe new hospitalizations for COVID are all on downward trend. And ICU rates are down too. (I displayed these as log graphs because OWiD doesn't display the numbers as ratio per population)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1677887602689740802)  2023-07-09T03:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RajlabN @Mike_Honey_ 27-30/ In the southern hemisphere Australia is getting over a COVID wave but flu cases are ramping up. I don't know if they're getting a triple whammy with an RSV wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1677892676140826624)  2023-07-09T04:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"27-31/ Likewise New Zealand is getting over a COVID waveas indicated by case counts. I can't find a graphical representation of their hospitalization rates or ICU rates. They still have a relatively high number of deaths per day"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1677895545040568331)  2023-07-09T04:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ejustin46 27-38/ Okinawa prefecture's hospitals are swamped with cases. The rest of JP is seeing an increase in hospitalizations but so far not nearly as bad as Okinawa. I sure wish NIID would put together some tables and graphs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1677928244102979584)  2023-07-09T06:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer 1/ Great thread. I notice that a lot of post-COVID arguments on Twitter have focused on excess deathsI suspect as an apologia for certain nations' COVID policies. "See we didn't do so bad compared to these nations if we look at excess deaths" But you said it so elegantly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1678784479274622977)  2023-07-11T15:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@CovidConfusion @Jean__Fisch LifeSiteNews is a Canadian conservative Catholic anti-abortion advocacy website. LifeSiteNews has a history of publishing misleading information and conspiracy theories and spreading COVID-19 misinformation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1679157126135189504)  2023-07-12T15:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Metblondie @RaffyFlynnArt I understand there're dyes that bind to clotted fibrin proteins & fluoresce. So microclots can be detected visually under a microscope. But ESR CRP and/or fibrinogen levels should be elevated if clots are happening. My question is why don't we see this in blood chemistry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1686202289814704128)  2023-08-01T02:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@andyaschmidt The CoV-Spectrum tool seems to indicate its growth rate is slowing (log scale). The sampling size is pretty small most recently thoughso the CI is pretty wide. I think it's slowing but I'd prefer a couple of weeks more of sampling to before I feel certain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1689501482008317953)  2023-08-10T04:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RealCheckMarker @limits_stop @VGrubsky @shay_fleishon @GISAID Hey I've been obsessing about the data since March [----] & despite that we're in a wave right now things don't look bad at all compared to previous waves. As for Long COVID we're [--] months into Pandemic and we're not seeing excess mortality nor SS disability applications"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1690912820064563200)  2023-08-14T02:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@IsabelRamirezRD @Salon @ahandvanish This is the form. It may be hard to get the APPROVAL for disability but it looks pretty easy to get the request submitted. Are you telling me that these Long COVID sufferers are so sick that they or their caregivers can't be bothered to even submit a simple form"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1691130971964452864)  2023-08-14T16:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@green1234_5678 @IsabelRamirezRD @Salon @ahandvanish The trouble with all yr whining and complaining about how hard it is to get disability is that it may discourage people from even trying. If you're disabled APPLY goddammit If a wave of COVID disabled suddenly apply PH officials & pols will begin to notice a problem. But"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1691484236220600320)  2023-08-15T16:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"33-10/ As an aside I wondered if we could use Paxlovid Rx's as a proxy for symptomatic COVID cases. CNN says HHS & CDC stopped tracking antiviral Rx's when gov stopped subsidizing them. I'd be interested what this yr's numbers are vs last yr's (below)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1693327099342491886)  2023-08-20T18:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"33-11/ As for EG.5 CoV-Spectrum put EG.5x at 17% as of [--] August. So CDC's Nowcast is probably accurate (it only seems to provide bogus estimates if growth rates are rapidly changing). And if we look at EG.5x's growth rate on a log scale we see its growth rate has slowed. So"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1693329463009030236)  2023-08-20T18:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@VGrubsky @simon_faire @MichaelSFuhrer @RajlabN 1/ I don't know. I think the data is pretty conclusive for a bunch of SARS2 behaviors. For instance: COVID-19 is becoming significantly less deadlymostly due to the vast majority of the world's population having antibodies or at least T Cell memory of generic SARS2 epitopes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1695636501055598908)  2023-08-27T03:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@VGrubsky @simon_faire @MichaelSFuhrer @RajlabN 2/ Generalities like this may seem facile but there are all sorts of research avenues around this observation that can lend themselves to falsifiable inquiry (at least in the attenuated Bayesian sense of that term)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1695638006210953444)  2023-08-27T03:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@VGrubsky @simon_faire @MichaelSFuhrer @RajlabN 3/ What annoys me about this whole ginormous COVID-19 enterprise is there is a high ratio of bullshit-laden and poorly executed studies being produced. And people fall for them hook line and sinker. rant off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1695641722309714110)  2023-08-27T03:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"35-11/ .that on purely circumstantial evidence EG.5 is certainly not more virulent than its XBB cousins (which was a big worry caused by EG.5's in vitro immune escape numbers) and may very well be less virulent (hear me out)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1698029666760790432)  2023-09-02T17:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"35-12/ For instance in Australia EG.5 is now sampling 28% (h/t to @Mike_Honey_ and his variant proportion tool). But it's not creating a new wave of hospitalizations in Australia. And Denmark has increased its testing (b/c of BA.2.86). EG.5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1698034457280979417)  2023-09-02T18:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ The Leakers are celebrating the demise of DEEP VZN but I believe them sincerely full of shite that SARS2 was a leak. I can't think of any leak incident that released a pathogen that wasn't already circulating in human or domestic animal pops. Please correct me if I'm wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1699980754527359215)  2023-09-08T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ We need to monitor our domestic animals for known pathogens. But o/c economic interests have resisted. FI The US Cattleman's Assoc. was against monitoring US herds for BSE until BSE was spotted in Brazil imports. Now they're for it. BR is against it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1699983665386992028)  2023-09-08T03:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"10/ And the Chinese "wild" animal trade (actually farm-raised wild animals) is an est. $70 billion business. Don't expect the Chinese government to be proactive about regulating this economic engine. And too many party members are invested in it. But"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1699984530122383811)  2023-09-08T03:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Special thread on the demise of the DEEP VZN program and why I don't think it matters from a practical standpoint"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1699986431060639931)  2023-09-08T03:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@JBananasPhD @BallouxFrancois 1/ Have *you* bothered to look at excess deaths"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1700233856815923390)  2023-09-08T19:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@_ppmv @HarrySpoelstra @ejustin46 @mrmickme @arijitchakrav @C_A_Gustave @DavidJoffe64 @MeetJess @RadCentrism @falsel_net @georgimarinov @outbreakupdates @LongDesertTrain @siamosolocani @triangle24 @Rrenzokutai @RajlabN @RealCheckMarker 4/ .which changed the configuration of the RBD to improve ACE2 binding and the lineages that had that mutation (Alpha Beta and Gamma) were able to infect more people faster and the rest of the B.1x swarm went extinct (except for the mysterious precursor to Omicron)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1700582312378044668)  2023-09-09T18:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@_ppmv @HarrySpoelstra @ejustin46 @mrmickme @arijitchakrav @C_A_Gustave @DavidJoffe64 @MeetJess @RadCentrism @georgimarinov @outbreakupdates @LongDesertTrain @siamosolocani @triangle24 @Rrenzokutai @RajlabN @RealCheckMarker 5/ @theosanderson did this cool nucleotide entropy chart of SARS2 variants in UK over time (I've annotated it). But we can see the entropy (=mutational diversity) of the swarm increases until a perturbation event occurs (i.e. a particular variant outcompetes the others) and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1700584136820555904)  2023-09-09T18:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@skdh @ChrisJa77825774 Dr Hossenfelder: Could you do a discussion on what the "spin" value defines I've seen contradictory explanations in popular science articles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1700904076723281953)  2023-09-10T16:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@viv_anand @skdh @ChrisJa77825774 So you're saying spin has nothing to do with the angular momentum of a particle With waves we can infer their existence from the double-slit experiment. If spin angular momentum what sort of measurement is taken to confirm this value Or is it derived some other way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1700925755189043517)  2023-09-10T17:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Paulnternet @skdh @ChrisJa77825774 OK. Understood. Spin IS NOT angular momentum Wikipedia sez otherwise. But I keep hearing that spin isn't spin. ;-)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1700927611122401556)  2023-09-10T17:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RajlabN 39-22/ But 12% of the world's BA.2.86 sequences have shown up in the US. Yet it's not showing up in any detectable levels in US wastewater numbers. So BA.2.86 is spreading widely but it's not competing well against the current variant soup. This slide again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1708171627224318262)  2023-09-30T17:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RajlabN 39-23/ Neher also speculated that it's likely been circulating in South Africa for a long time. But @dominiksteiger posted this graphic (not sure of the link). If it's in RSA wastewater it's numbers are so small that it's been clumped under "other""  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1708173406125048243)  2023-09-30T17:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@_Pradhyumn_ @JPWeiland How good is the data from India though Ive heard claims that the gov wasnt reporting the real hosp data during Delta & Omicron b/c of embarrassment with high numbers. I dont know what to think when I see Indias numbers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1709289615218323903)  2023-10-03T19:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@shashj I've never found the Daily Mail to be a particularly reliable newspaper. But if true what is the UK doing in the South China Sea Is the Royal Navy assisting the US Navy during this current escalation of tensions Or do they regularly patrol the South China Sea"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1709346030326857979)  2023-10-03T23:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@JPWeiland Excellent chart Where did you get the data from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1712984346997772338)  2023-10-14T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@arijitchakrav @KevinDrum 41-16/ Let's check in on the variants with the FLip mutations. Cov-Spectrum's log view shows they're growing slowly but not making much progress aganst the current variants without the FLip mutations (at least in the US)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1713631402929868940)  2023-10-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@arijitchakrav @KevinDrum 41-17/ Remember FLip is the S:F456L and S:L455F mutations that seem to increase immune evasion and ACE2 binding. But doesn't it look like FLip may have topped out (except for Singapore) This may just be sampling biasbut I can't help but think I'm seeing a pattern here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1713632378822799851)  2023-10-15T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"41-21/ And @MichaelSFuhrer has an interesting thread on this Lancet paper that compares post-acute respiratory infection symptoms between SARS2 and other acute viral infections"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1713641914950422932)  2023-10-15T19:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"41-22/ His thread is worth reading if you don't want to dig into the paper. Turns out there are some symptoms differences between Long COVID and Long Flu but there's also a lot of overlap. Are we over-counting Long COVID"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1713642921126252934)  2023-10-15T19:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"43-12/ While the US wave is fading it looks Australia has a wave started. Unlike the US it's pretty clear that EG.5 is driving hospitalizations upever so slightly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1718782055272915397)  2023-10-30T00:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"44-12/ Not much data coming out of Europe anymore (or maybe OWiD has stopped reporting on many European countries). Anyhew looking at new hospital admissions Italy is coming off a wave coincident with the US and Canadabut a new wave seems to be revving up in the Netherlands"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1718783509580640284)  2023-10-30T00:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"45-1/ Summary of COVID trends as of Epidemiological Weeks 44-45. Covid noogies for me I was expecting the current wave to continue to recede in an uneven step-down manner but it looks like weve got a secondary wavelet caused by HV.1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1723732348079124825)  2023-11-12T15:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-3/ .but current hospitalizations are 25% of what they were during Delta. And deaths are roughly 10% of what they were at the peak Delta. Part of this may be due to antivirals like Paxlovid which came into common use spring of [----] but COVID is not the killer it used to be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1723738177071153446)  2023-11-12T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@LongDesertTrain ORF7aand ORF7b seem to have a role in blocking IFN signaling and it's been proposed that ORF8 represses IFN signaling. Are these ORFless variants propagating at all or are the all dead ends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1727751464750399650)  2023-11-23T18:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"45-19/ I would tend to trust Richard Cao's assessment more than the Cornelius Roemer model used by Raj Rajnarayananbecause I don't think the model distinguishes between different classes of NAbs. But all this speculation may be for naught"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728884416787980485)  2023-11-26T21:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-20/ This paper by Yasa et al argues that although "serum antibody neutralization titers can be accurate in predicting the prevention of initial infection" they are not so useful in predicting the progression to serious disease"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728888334246973795)  2023-11-26T21:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-22/ Here's how B-cell derived Abs respond to different variants. Antibody docking scores and ACE2 docking scores. You should be able to expand this pic to read the fine print"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728891425994211786)  2023-11-26T21:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-23/ A couple of mechanisms drive B-cell Ab diversity and evolution. I've touched on them at a high level in some of my previous updates. Suffice it to say that B-cells are why COVID has gone from pandemic to endemic (but hyperendemic describes the current situation better)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728896691917697290)  2023-11-26T22:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-24/ If JN.1 does take off in the US we'll probably see a big increase in paucisymptomatic cases with an increase in ER visits a low % being hospitalized but not much increase in mortality rate. I'll check back on this prediction at end of Jan to see how it turns out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728898809307283623)  2023-11-26T22:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-25/ Elsewhere in the world Scandinavia and the Baltics are getting hit hard by COVID right now. h/t to @Jean__Fisch for these graphs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728903913410383965)  2023-11-26T22:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Jean__Fisch 45-26/ Sweden's wave seems driven by EG.5x and related lineages that are grouped in the Nextstrain 23F clade (99%)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728905452048761036)  2023-11-26T22:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Jean__Fisch 45-27/ Finland is also having a mixed-strain wave with HK.3 is the dominant variant. Pirola is not driving Scandinavian and Baltic waves though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728906789675205017)  2023-11-26T22:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-30/ And RSV rates are still climbing. Although RSV cases may not peak as high as last year's record season it doesn't look like immunity from last season is carrying over to this season. Another nail in the coffin of the immunity debt hypothesis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728928333428305952)  2023-11-27T00:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-31/ China France and South Korea have noted significant increases in pediatric pneumonia cases. The culprit seems to be Mycoplasma pneumoniae (a bacterial pathogen). The WHO is bugging China for more details. But"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728931960075268368)  2023-11-27T00:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"45-32/ .South Korea and France have confirmed their outbreaks are mycoplasma pneumonia. The usual suspects are claiming this is due to COVID-damaged immunity. Where's the evidence And"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1728934309414015299)  2023-11-27T00:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JPWeiland @Mike_Honey_ Where are you getting your data for France from They stopped reporting their hospitalization data to the ECDC last Spring. I cant find anything on their Sante Publique except Tendance la hausse de la plupart des indicateurs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1730040312356335788)  2023-11-30T01:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Marc_Veld Ahhh. I see. Thanks. My understanding is respiratory pathogens have evolved strategies to evade binding to mucin matrix (smaller size & lipid chemistry). Plus initial defense depends on IgA while other Abs like IgG take days to diffuse thru mucosal tissues. Thoughts/corrections"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1731371474664239589)  2023-12-03T17:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@phl43 Kornbluth (MIT) seemed to indicate that harassment had to be directed at a specific person to violate policies. But MIT's P&P Section [---] (Violence Against Community Members) prohibits *threats* of violence against MIT com members. Is calling for genocide a threat I think so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1732456019505410422)  2023-12-06T17:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KathrynPaisner Kornbluth (MIT) seemed to indicate that harassment had to be directed at a specific person to violate policies. But MIT's P&P Section [---] (Violence Against Community Members) prohibits *threats* of violence against MIT com members. Is calling for genocide a threat I think so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1732456301522022793)  2023-12-06T17:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KathrynPaisner Now having said that has anyone on the MIT campus called for the liquidation of Jews Some of those blathering about Rivers-to-Sea may have done so. I don't know"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1732456761951744310)  2023-12-06T17:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@phl43 Now having said that has anyone on the MIT campus called for the liquidation of Jews Some of those blathering about Rivers-to-Sea may have done so. I don't know"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1732456870663831995)  2023-12-06T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@PatWitt2432 @KathrynPaisner Both your points are good. But this would be the sniff pretend whoever is the object of the statement is the President. Would what you say about them cause the Secret Service to pay you a house call"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1732809755457122366)  2023-12-07T17:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@realCarrickRyan @richimedhurst And the Qur'an says: "O Prophet Lo We have made lawful to you your wives to whom you have paid their dowries and those whom your right hand possesses of those whom Allah has given you as spoils of war" (33:50). Yazidi women can testify to this treatment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1732932865623834685)  2023-12-08T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"49-11/ Or maybe cold weather *really* does play a role in transmission I've shown plenty of counterexamples in the past where temperatures DON'T correlate w/ transmission but it sure looks like hospital admissions are higher in colder areas right now. ๐Ÿคทโ™‚๐Ÿคท๐Ÿคทโ™€"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1734012355582062605)  2023-12-11T00:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"49-12/ Just out of curiosity what's happening where it's summer. Unfortunately I can't find any current data for Braziland Argentina stopped updating its excellent COVID dashboard last May. We've got Australia though EG.5x dominates but JN.1 was at 10% two wks ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1734016277046595922)  2023-12-11T01:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@CJ_Dewing @ChronicBabak @fitterhappierAJ @MatthewSlyman 1/ But they're not even bothering to make the frigging claims I'm always amazed at how many people offhandedly offer bullshit opinions without bothering to google the data. Notice that initial (i.e. online) SS disability applications are lower than they've been since 2001"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1734741730501738733)  2023-12-13T01:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@_TheAncientOne_ Hmmm. Ireland's JN.1 percentage somewhat above 41% by now. COVID hospitalizations not up much at all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1734761472469991850)  2023-12-13T02:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RyanMaue When you say Hollywood funds them do you mean the movie studios like Disney are funding this stuff Or do you mean the Screen Actors Guild and the Writers Guild Or is it individual actors like Sylvestor Stallone and Julia Butters Or directors like Clint Eastwood"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1734994955876323787)  2023-12-13T17:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dominiksteiger @ejustin46 1/ The Munich data is interesting because if your analysis is correct (and I think it is) superspreader events are still occurring on a large scale. I was unable to confirm any superspreader events in the US this year. The usual suspects like the Sturgis motorcycle rally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735005340918514106)  2023-12-13T18:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ejustin46 @dominiksteiger 1/ So the annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally in South Dakota was a huge superspreader event in Aug of [----]. Half a million+ people descend on a town with a population of [----]. SD hospitals were swamped with COVID cases and outbreaks across the US were correlated with attendees"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735023791095549976)  2023-12-13T19:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ejustin46 @dominiksteiger 2/ It was held again in '21 when Delta was just ramping up. Same results. This yr's rally happened epi wk [--]. Sturgis is in Meade Co. (pop. 30K). Before and after this year's rally this is what we see. Clinical cases in Meade spiked the following at [--] with [--] death in week 35"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735026236953649636)  2023-12-13T19:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ejustin46 @dominiksteiger 3/ Sorry but I don't think this qualifies as superspreader event. Yes we saw a spike in COVID cases the week after the rally. But this is nothing compared to the thousands of cases and deaths in Meade Co. after the [----] Sturgis rally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735027060102586508)  2023-12-13T20:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dominiksteiger @ejustin46 This is why I found your analysis interesting I was trying to track down any confirmable ss events in the US for the past year and I've found none. Certainly the start of the school year creates an uptick of casesbut post BA.1 it seems to be ripples rather than waves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735039202688164201)  2023-12-13T20:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dominiksteiger @ejustin46 I can't explain the obvious differences between Germany and the USespecially since booster uptake in the US has been miserable. Anyway this virus continues to amaze me. Cheers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735040346541965476)  2023-12-13T20:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dobssi 4/ I should clarify. In my above example if pathogen C selectively killed older age cohorts country B might have a significant public health crisis on its hands while ASMR would show everything as being hunky-dory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735758230939410941)  2023-12-15T20:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dobssi Well played sir Well played. I'd be curious what we see if add a non-European country like South Africa to mix. They kept very good statistics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735765736168231324)  2023-12-15T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dobssi I don't think I've ever seen an apples-to-apples comparison of ESP vs WHO. I had assumed that the choice would affect the results but it looks like not so much. Thanks for those examples I'm more convinced by your arguments now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735767170934808731)  2023-12-15T21:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@veeslerlab @YoungjunPark11 @dabiophysicist @aschaefe29 @Baric_Lab @KingLabIPD Fascinating And that animation of the SARS2 fusion process in tweet [--] is SUPERB It's the clearest visual description of the process that I've seen so far. Kudos to J. Isawa (But I don't suppose you have one that shows the Cathepsin/endocytosis process as well do you) ;-)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735918386109096303)  2023-12-16T07:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@LongDesertTrain @DonEford @Friesein @michele_hiatus @veeslerlab Even if it does use the entire S protein that doesn't seem to have made much difference in its overall effectivenesswith the exception of Hispanic populations for whom it's LESS effective for some unknown reason. () https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2116185effectiveness https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2116185effectiveness"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1735938530055270730)  2023-12-16T08:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@LongDesertTrain @DonEford @Friesein @michele_hiatus @veeslerlab 2/ I need to check if there're some studies on the efficacy of mRNA vaccines in Hispanic populations. I don't *think* that Pfizer/Moderna showed this discrepancybut I can't say I ever paid much attention to efficacy diffs across populations. That's my white bias showing. Ouch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1736093587589534055)  2023-12-16T18:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@LongDesertTrain @DonEford @Friesein @michele_hiatus @veeslerlab 3/ A study is underway in Australia to see if a protein-based booster (NVX) on top of a mRNA primary series works better than mRNA [--] followed by mRNA but it won't be complete until [----]. Ugggh. A J&J [--] w/ NVX booster study that suggested it might"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1736097012204929432)  2023-12-16T18:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"51-1/ Summary of COVID trends as of epidemiological weeks [--] & [--]. Wastewater numbers continue to rise. Biobot and CDC agree (but I suspect they're using the same sewersheds for their data). OTOH before we freak out we should zoom out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739080683770032387)  2023-12-25T00:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mike_Honey_ 55-7/ I looked at Australia and the BA.2.86* (which is mostly JN.1) percentages are similar to US. But their hosp rates were falling as of two weeks ago. Maybe SARS2 is becoming seasonal like the flu We'll see if AUS gets hit hard with a var in June that we shrug off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739099069463880071)  2023-12-25T01:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Mike_Honey_ 55-8/ Europe is a few weeks ahead of the US in their JN.1 wave Unfortunately a lot of European countries are no longer reporting their case or hosp numbers. Ireland and JN.1 70%. Maybe Ireland can give us a hint of what's in store for us over New Year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739101721765519470)  2023-12-25T01:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@_mbdr_ What are the hospitalization rates Is Switzerland still publishing numbers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740170060633866611)  2023-12-28T00:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@JPWeiland Yes please @DrBillyAye. Feed me data. Here's the last NY State reinfection data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740456588975223221)  2023-12-28T19:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2-5/ Nationally hospitalizations & ED visits are below the BQ.1x wave Dec of [----]. If we look at the HHS regions though there's a lot of variation. Hosp/ED in Regions [--] and [--] are above BQ.1x now but [--] & [--] much lower. Track the data here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1746285729641333150)  2024-01-13T21:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"2-6/ As usual the over-70 age cohorts are getting hit the hardest. Among pediatric cases the 0-4 yo age cohort is getting the worst of this wave. Omicron BA.2/5 swept thru schools so it's understandable that the 0-4 age group doesn't have much immunity yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1746287292325720131)  2024-01-13T21:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"2-28/ Worldwide CoV-Spectrum puts it at 81%. JN.1x has risen to dominance but at a slower rate than Omicron BA.1 did"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1746684392377077878)  2024-01-15T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"2-29/ Marc Johnson (@SolidEvidence) wrote an interesting thread that suggests older variants are holding on at the levels they were before the JN.1 wave took off. And JN.1 has taken off without forcing the older variants to extinction. I'm done manually logging the week's sequencing results for [--] sewersheds that averaged 5-8 different lineages per sewershed. Kind of exhausting. I'm noticing an overall shift in SARS-CoV-2 diversity. 1/ https://t.co/8zINRshEJp I'm done manually logging the week's sequencing results for [--] sewersheds that averaged 5-8 different lineages per sewershed. Kind of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1746686325519204442)  2024-01-15T00:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"2-34/ JN.1 is 67% in AU. So JN.1 is behaving the same way in the southern hemisphere as it is in the north. SARS2 hasn't transitioned to a seasonal virus yet. I wonder if its mutational behavior will ever allow it to follow cycles like flu does following the winter between hemis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1746697352499577144)  2024-01-15T00:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"2-35/ SARS2 has been present in the US for almost [--] years. It's gone from a pandemic to hyperendemic. With PASC (aka Long COVID) being a major concern and US seroprevalence at 70% (as of 1Q 2023) one would expect to see the effects of LC reflected in the macro data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1746753670140907687)  2024-01-15T04:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RealCheckMarker @yousitonmyspot @abledoc @vipintukur 1/ I wouldn't call it a "flaw" in the human immune system. All the respiratory viruses first attack the mucosa where circulating IgG NAbs can't get at them except via a slow diffusion process. So resp viruses can get a toehold in mucosa before a full immune response revs up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1751289184558723228)  2024-01-27T17:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"4-3/ If we zoom out Biobot's wastewater data shows us that next to Omicron (BA.1) this has been the second largest wave of the pandemic. And just as an aside the models that predicted dampened wave oscillations post BA.1 were proved wrong by this JN.1 wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1751386179860386099)  2024-01-27T23:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"4-4/ Obviously a lot of people were infected with COVID over the past two months. But if we assume wastewater numbers reflect the number of people being infected the hospitalization rate per presumed cases is less than half the BQ.1 wave last winter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1751388979289854104)  2024-01-27T23:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@SevaUT Seems like Lithuania may have some historical claims that he might want to considerjust based on historical principles Lithuania should be one of the largest nations in Europe right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1756024107236536708)  2024-02-09T18:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RajlabN 6-5/ If wastewater numbers correlate w/ infection rates then both hospitalization and mortality *RATES* have been the lowest of any variant so far. But with [----] people hospitalized and between [---] and [---] dying each day (at peak) COVID is still a public health issue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1756453976273465806)  2024-02-10T23:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RajlabN 6-6/ Influenza rates have dropped a bit. Epi week [--] and [--] showed a resurgence in test positivity rates though. Not sure if that's due to Type B picking up the slack as Type A recedes. Hospitalizations are falling though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1756498401489985945)  2024-02-11T02:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"8-11/ Although JN.1 hosp and deaths are nowhere near peak BA.1 (Omicron) like BA.1 JN.1 has come to dominate the viral landscape in the US pushing other vars to extinction. Likewise for the world (h/t #NYITCOM). And JN.1 is evolving spawning 36+ subvariants"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1761871316641329457)  2024-02-25T21:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"8-12/ The secondary wave I mentioned above may be mostly caused by JN.1.4 whose proportions have grown to 40%. But the JN.1's mostly cluster together on the immune-escape ACE-binding axis. I doubt if any of these will have the steam to create a new bigger wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1761874539234107472)  2024-02-25T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"10-16/ @ejustin46 has a cool GIF of a cytotoxic CD8+ T cell attacking an infected cell. It doesn't look like it's AI-generated. I'm not sure of it's source. WHEN the KILLER of the VIRUS is SICK (Cytotoxic CD8+ T cell attacking infected cell) https://t.co/mWoqPZhcme WHEN the KILLER of the VIRUS is SICK (Cytotoxic CD8+ T cell attacking infected cell) https://t.co/mWoqPZhcme"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1767011196727902658)  2024-03-11T02:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10-17/ And in other COVID news we have the story of a man who received [---] vaccinations (h/t to @kischober) They don't seem to have had any adverse effects. Spike-specific IgG NAbs were very high. No sign of IgG4 subclass switching as would be expected. What would happen if you got vaccinated against the same antigen over and over again In @TheLancetInfDis we now report on a hypervaccinated individual from Magdeburg (HIM) who received [---] vaccinations within [--] months against SARS-CoV-2. ๐Ÿ‘‡ 1/19 https://t.co/or1gLBFDgk What would happen if you got vaccinated against the same antigen over and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1767027141999505457)  2024-03-11T03:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@VGrubsky Well if we look at deaths it was hardly a ripple compared to previous waves. The wave was most pronounced in the US wastewater data. In AUSwhere they don't do much WW monitoringit showed up in the COVID Rxs. Of course hospitalizations rose too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1771994841372905758)  2024-03-24T20:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DrEricDing 14-16/ Oops. I had a numbering problem in my thread. I accidentally truncated the leading 1's. Those 4's should be 14s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1777052675470946550)  2024-04-07T19:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"14-17/ But how is H5N1 spreading in cattle Per this article in Science: "USDA researchers tested milk nasal swabs and blood from cows at affected dairies and only found clear signals of the virus in the milk." Milking machines are the suspected vector. https://tinyurl.com/zejjyw62 https://tinyurl.com/zejjyw62"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1777058069924794415)  2024-04-07T19:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@LakerNation1999 @Censored4sure @morgan_freeman You're saying Luther is AI But the "I" implies intelligence. More like AS(S)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1782851815115223348)  2024-04-23T19:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Truth_in_Number 18-6/ In fact none of the HHS regions have provided enough sequences to create a regional Nowcast. This is the first time I've seen all of the HHS regions w/o a Nowcast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1787216086628221091)  2024-05-05T20:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Truth_in_Number 18-7/ COV-Spectrum puts KP.2 at 14%. I think this is closer to reality. It's growth seems to be slowing. I'm pretty sure this won't kick off a new wave. Nor do I think it will displace the rest of JN.1x clan. But in India it's displaced most other vars (but it originated there)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1787220570943418407)  2024-05-05T20:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Laurie_Garrett Hes on the pro-Palestinians feces roster because of a big interview where he declared his support for Israel. And there was a WaPo op-ed today that claims his humor is mean-spirited and in suitable for young people. Did he send any zingers after them when they left"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1789767051252314432)  2024-05-12T21:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@taipan168 @nz_gordo You had two infections I'm still a COVID virgin. But I wore masks. LoL Neener neener ๐Ÿคฃ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1790908917704536499)  2024-05-16T00:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"20-1/ COVID update for epidemiological weeks 19-20 of [----]. COVID data sources (both public and private) are continuing to go offline. I don't know if I'll be able to keep these updates going much longer. Although I think the worst that SARS2 can hand us is over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1792370656790872121)  2024-05-20T01:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 Wismar DEU has 175+ years of sea level data. There's no geological subsidence going on there. Sea level has been rising [--] inches per century and it has *not* accelerated. At the current rate I don't think they need worry about it for [--] or [--] centuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1794819135026901011)  2024-05-26T19:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 SF has had a [--] inch/per century sea level rise. We agreed the ice caps weren't melting all that quickly so I think I'll be able to enjoy the Fog City for the rest of my life and probably my g g grandchildren will be able to enjoy it tooif the Googlers don't kill it first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1794820896928211221)  2024-05-26T20:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 O/c if you're on a coral atoll it'll eventually decay & sink beneath the waves regardless of sea-level rise [--]. But Tuvalu is still therein fact its land mass increased a wee bit since the big going-under scare [--]. https://tinyurl.com/ppczcfn5 https://tinyurl.com/7vuypuhd https://tinyurl.com/ppczcfn5 https://tinyurl.com/7vuypuhd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1794824706690011369)  2024-05-26T20:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 And if you live Louisiana you can mostly blame the Army Corps of Engineer's flood protection infrastructure for the erosion and subsidence of the Mississippi delta lands. And your mileage may vary depending on where you live in Florida"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1794827057631002810)  2024-05-26T20:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 I get tired of the scare stories. For instance the Greenland ice sheet is losing equiv 1-1.5 Lake Eeries each year Scary isn't it Look up the vol Greenland ice & vol Lake Eerie. Vg/Ve to get years left at current melt rate. You'll be surprised how long it will be there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1794829707453882841)  2024-05-26T20:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ErikDavisforNC1 @Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze Where shall we find a "proper" trend line You and @Hadeweka can find sea level trends for US & world coastal regions on the NOAA website (link below). For instance Sitka AK: falling; Dunkerque FR Dubrovnik HR Wellington NZ rising at different rates. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_global.shtml https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_global.shtml"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1795117506518028784)  2024-05-27T15:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"22-1/ COVID update for epidemiological weeks 21-22 of [----]. COVID wastewater numbers are on the rise. Biobot shows all four regions rising while CDC shows it mostly confined to the western states. I'll give it a few more weeks before I call it a waveor it might be a blip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1797343113176035355)  2024-06-02T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"22-2/ Biobot reports that the average concentration end of epi week [--] was [---] copies per mLup from week 19's [---] CpmL. The expert consensus is that an Aug wave is the pattern for the US but that only happened in '21 and '23"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1797346547895582848)  2024-06-02T19:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Quodvox5 @_ClimateCraze Do you have a link to that Tonga Hunga eruption data Roy Spencer describes [--] possible reasons the water vapor positive feedback scenario may be wrong but I can't say I understand all [--] of his arguments. :-) https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/14/spencer-on-water-vapor-feedback/ https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/14/spencer-on-water-vapor-feedback/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1798763546576343083)  2024-06-06T17:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@JosetteSchoenma @Wim_Belgium I assumed they meant "more general" in regards to the range of epitopes antibodies can bind to (beyond the two FLiRT mutations). But I didn't see any discussion of this term. Thoughts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1798768512565141947)  2024-06-06T17:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dominiksteiger Unless that 40% jump comes from them combining the 22-23 and he 23-24 seasons. Which would be different sort of bullshit statement because 22-23 was a record season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1802016582002209215)  2024-06-15T16:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"24-2/ And in the US should we be calling this a wave yet Both the Biobot and CDC show nat'l wastewater indicators are rising. But when I zoom into various metro dashboards the current WW is by no means consistent across the US. For instance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1802389561022280052)  2024-06-16T17:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"24-3/ Among East Coast cities Boston is showing a distinct uptick. New York City not so much"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1802391401147269351)  2024-06-16T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"26-1/ COVID update for epidemiological weeks 25-26 of [----]. CDC wastewater trends show that the numbers are risingespecially in the West. Biobot shows a gentler upward trend with no big surge in the West. Not all counties and municipalities seem to be affected though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1807610242450296832)  2024-07-01T03:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"26-2/ For instance San Jose and Santa Clara County have shown a distinct uptick. But Los Angeles isn't (though some sewersheds around it are). On the other side of the country most of the sewersheds in NYC show no increase or only a slight increase"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1807614504546734164)  2024-07-01T03:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MuirheadJE @RachelBitecofer @catturd2 Thanks. I couldn't find out what happened with this case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1808228408788410778)  2024-07-02T19:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"30-3/ NYC (Manhattan) has seen a strong surge in the past [--] weeks. While up in Boston things may have peaked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1818072992758513791)  2024-07-29T23:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"30-4/ While the US's summer wave was ramping up Australia was having its winter wave. AUS has been slow to update its national stats but the New South Wales data (NSW is the most populous state in AUS) shows that their wave is over. And it was largely a KP.3x wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1818074627819929894)  2024-07-30T00:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"30-5/ KP.3 descendants are the most common but KP.3x is not the sole driver of the US wave. @RajlabN's NYITCOM report shows other vars are still common. CDC suggests that KP.3.1.1 will be the big grower this week but Cov-Spectrum suggests its rate of growth is tapering off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1818077164350411067)  2024-07-30T00:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RajlabN 30-6/ COVID hospitalizations remain lowand they've stayed lower for the first half of this year than any previous years. That could change of course but for some unexplained reason the CDC is predicting that hospitalizations will drop this month (I think they'll rise a bit)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1818079571465662878)  2024-07-30T00:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@AnSir86 @NOELreports Google Maps says it's [--] km NNW of Kursk. Or is this a village with a similar name"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1821599467508002846)  2024-08-08T17:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@yashar Better than being a coward with bone spurs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1821744675629535538)  2024-08-09T03:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@bff77777 @yashar Ahhhh yes. The inevitable shite-spewers of the deranged right tarnish everything they touch including military service including America. You should be ashamed of yourself but you can't help yourself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1822134048606859265)  2024-08-10T04:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheStudyofWar I wish you'd position the battle lines in your maps in relation to major cities. AFAICS Google maps says the town of Zhuravli is 120km away (75 miles by US measurements) from Kursk city over some backroads and then E38. Kursk is still out of the 25km range of quad drones"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1823177205020823552)  2024-08-13T01:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@lkeren1998 @TheStudyofWar I understand and mostly agree. However my complaint is I can't put the battle lines on a scale against the oblast as a whole w/o a landmark like Kursk. Although we can only speculate about Ukr's tactical and strategic goals but there may be valid military targets within Kursk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1823190461865152914)  2024-08-13T02:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"32-12/ The Olympics didn't implement universal COVID testing and reporting protocols. So athletes and countries did their own thing. So it's impossible get a clear picture of the infection rate among athletes. https://tinyurl.com/z66dfnfk https://tinyurl.com/z66dfnfk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1823237508169424927)  2024-08-13T05:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"32-12/ What surprised me is that at least [--] athletes who tested positive (and were symptomatic) won medals. COVID wasn't able to stop them from winning medals (amazing). Of course Noah Lyles had to be carried off the field after he won his bronze. https://tinyurl.com/mwdyhwrf https://tinyurl.com/mwdyhwrf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1823238736337137899)  2024-08-13T06:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@jonatanpallesen 1/ Except there are legal documents and precedents to go with those "shibboleths." The US Supreme Court and Oklahoma Courts found that the Cherokee Nation reservation "had never been legally disestablished" and gave back the eastern third of Oklahoma to the Cherokee nation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1825969383111537116)  2024-08-20T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@simo1652 @taipan168 My theory is that left or right were randomly decided upon. The folks in 18th century Austria of the Holy Roman *may* have traditionally kept traffic to the left in their capital city and imposed that on their client subject states. France conquered them & imposed the opposite.๐Ÿคท"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1827537274059551230)  2024-08-25T02:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@america_mad @CalltoActivism The Orange Shitgibbon prob would've had to pay in excess of $50K to license their songeven for a one-time use. Sliding scales for multiple use & type of events. Trump is stealing their intellectual propertylike as if the Foo Fighters started selling their own "Trump" bibles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1827583071547486476)  2024-08-25T05:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"34-2/ O/c Sentinelle tracks aggregated ARI numbersCOVID isn't broken out of the statsbut if COVID cases had increased due to the Olympics they weren't high enough to impact the overall ARI numbers. Worth noting that the summer KP.x wave seems to have minimally affected FR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1828151541552779538)  2024-08-26T19:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"34-3/ And was the DNC in Chicago a superspreader event Several DNC attendees tweeted pics of positive COVID tests and they set off a meme stampede that the DNC was a superspreader event. I'm still waiting for the Chicago wastewater numbers from last week. But"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1828153220944032040)  2024-08-26T19:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"35-4/ Here's the official WW date from the Chicago's North Branch sewershed as of 8/14pre-DNCNC. The United Center where the DNC was held was in the center of that watershed. Maybe we'll see a signal in the 8/21 data But numbers were falling pre-convention"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1828154343390077399)  2024-08-26T19:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@adventure_ali_ @taipan168 1/ I'll get to farming in a minute but first off I acknowledge that Australia is a paradise and I can see why you might not be inclined to consider change. On the plus side your GDP has been growing better than most of the G7 countries over the past [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1830365706652889261)  2024-09-01T22:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@adventure_ali_ @taipan168 2/ Your unemployment rate is low and your educational levels are highyou're in the top [--] most educated countries in the world. And you have valuable natural resources that you export (iron coal LNG gold lithium)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1830367528348221907)  2024-09-01T22:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@atrupar Excellent points in the article. But the Harris campaign *does* make fun of Trump's manufactured spectacles. So they are responding. But not with facts but with sarcastic humor. I think this is brilliant"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1831038634797236604)  2024-09-03T18:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@JPWeiland 2/ for basic statistical purposes (simple T-tests etc.) but it overlooks the asynchronous way the virus spreads. When CDC collected data from all US counties they had a great county-level hosp hotspot map. We could see hotspots move and fade across the US over time. That was"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1832547913723211961)  2024-09-07T22:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@JPWeiland 3/ very useful. We've lost that granularity. Most of the CDC's other map products were uselessespecially at the state level. It's embarrassing During the pandemic South Africa presented their data in easily readable formats. Why couldn't we do that O/c everyone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1832551368009380107)  2024-09-07T22:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"36-2/ ED visits seem to have peaked as wellalthough the 5-17 age cohort is lagging other age groupsprobably due to the opening of schools across the US. But crude death rate rose to .3/100K the 3rd week of August. They may be dropping now (or not yet)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833300922908471384)  2024-09-10T00:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"36-3/ Age-adjusted deaths look a little better at .2/100K but IMHO a death is a death. When referring to US death rates from here on out I will only use the crude death rate. Age-adjustment is useful for comparing how we do against other countries w/ different demographics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833302125742592131)  2024-09-10T00:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"36-4/ The freq of KP.3x is still trending up slightly (eating a bigger slice of a smaller pie as cases drop). Some experts think XDV.1 may take up the slack. But it doesn't have much of a growth rate in the US right nowbut wait a few months for some of its mutated offspring"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833306832598929438)  2024-09-10T00:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer TRG made lots of scary predictions about COVID becoming *more* deadly. He blocked me after I bet him $100 that Kraken would be a dud. Unfortunately expertise in the evolution of spider mites does not make him an expert in viruses (not to be spider mite minimizer)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833311096863920164)  2024-09-10T01:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"36-5/ And @Mike_Honey points out that XEC has high growth rates in places like France and Spain. I trust his app but for some reason I'm not seeing XEC hits for these countries on User error in my part I need to dig into this. https://x.com/Mike_Honey_/status/1833136693509320788 http://cov-spectrum.org Recombinant variant XEC looks a likely next challenger against the dominant DeFLuQE variants. Here are the leading countries reporting XEC. Strong growth has been reported from Denmark during August reaching 18%. France and Spain have reached 11%. ๐Ÿงต https://t.co/K9G3aF0MpR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833355553126682973)  2024-09-10T04:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@mike_honey 36-7/ Clade I Mpox hasn't reached the US yet. Clade II is circulating at low levels. Despite earlier reports of 10% CFR US CDC says current outbreak has 1-3% fatality rate. The ECDC considers the severity risk to be low. Hmmm. https://tinyurl.com/2fmac5c7 https://tinyurl.com/3uzerab2 https://tinyurl.com/2fmac5c7 https://tinyurl.com/3uzerab2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833362846908092769)  2024-09-10T04:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@mike_honey 36-8/ Health authorities in some countries are tracking the prevalence of Mpox Clade II via discarded condoms. Positivity rates are highest in India Pakistan and Thailand (all than 2% positivity with India at 2.75%). https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(24)00514-0/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(24)00514-0/fulltext"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1833367660245225926)  2024-09-10T04:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer @SolidEvidence 3/ But you're right. SE Asia especially South China are the big flu reservoirs. And I never bothered to wonder that why it would it go S and then N instead of spread from the N to the S. That would make more sense. I guess i'll need to dig into Google Scholar after all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1835831832665063852)  2024-09-17T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RealAaronGoren @sentdefender According to WaPo they were Gold Apollo Co. AR-924 pagers a model which uses a lithium battery"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1836235428074295589)  2024-09-18T02:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@arnau1700 @BallouxFrancois Seems like the pager attack totally complies with the laws of war. Israel knew who the pagers were being distributed toHezbollah operativesnot civs. They knew the numbers of the pagers to be able to detonate them. This is much more precise than a missile or even a drone attack"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1836513177628217658)  2024-09-18T21:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ejustin46 1/ What's the source of that graph According to Google Scholar COVID-19 papers published by year. 2020: 1080k 2021: 841k 2022: 554k 2023: 317k 2024: 205k (on track for 270k)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1836795180558532634)  2024-09-19T15:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ejustin46 2/ Scientific attention to COVID-19 has been waning since the first year of the pandemic. Possibly b/c journal editors no longer prioritizing C19 papers. And it may be more difficult to get grants. And part of it might be fashion. I bet we'd see an upward trend for H5N1. ๐Ÿ˜‰"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1836801793029775708)  2024-09-19T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ejustin46 3/ Of course we'd have to admit that there were plethora of questionable studies rushed to press during the peak pandemic. But cutting-edge COVID-Pokemon studies are still being published #MildSarcasm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1836803236004868236)  2024-09-19T16:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@tapir_worf [---] BCE when Cleisthenes promulgated the idea of democracy in Athens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840217911400731131)  2024-09-29T02:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@jonathanstea But it's worth mentioning that there's a long history of scientific consensus being wrong. The most recent consensus screwup was that COVID wasn't airborne"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840426191834210311)  2024-09-29T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@guboya @jonathanstea The scientific consensus in [----] was that powered flight by heavier-than-air machines would be impossible. And there's nothing "consensus" about how GPS was developed. The antenna design and frequency modulations were derived through repeated experiments and testing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840427771316875412)  2024-09-29T16:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@guboya @jonathanstea typo: i meant [----] not [----]. Until the Wright Bros demonstrated powered flight of a heavier-than-air machine in Dec of [----] the consensus was that this would be impossible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840432903190454632)  2024-09-29T16:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@worstninjaever @jonathanstea No it had nothing to do with the virus itself. The 20th Cent consensus was that diseases weren't airborne. No one ever considered (nor looked for) the [--] m aerosols exhaled by breath. http://tinyurl.com/2p8ee6rb http://tinyurl.com/2p8ee6rb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840762188136677715)  2024-09-30T14:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@worstninjaever @jonathanstea It was assumed when transmission occurred without direct contact that pathogen was carried by saliva droplets that were heavy enough to fall to ground short distance from a person's face. In 1960s TB transmission was proved to be airborne but TB was considered an exception"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840762784604361144)  2024-09-30T14:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@worstninjaever @jonathanstea This idea can be traced back to the last decades of 19th Cent when germ theory overthrew the previous consensus that miasmas (airborne disease) caused illnesses. This is why hand-washing was recommended early in the pandemic and masks were dismissed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840763938566521171)  2024-09-30T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer Take a look at few European countries and you'll see that its bi-seasonal signal is a lot less distinct. For instance the UK had four distinct wave peaks in [------] Jan [--] April [--] July and [--] Oct plus one immediately after the new year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1840929822161453186)  2024-10-01T01:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@shadihamid @washingtonpost "And whatever affliction befalls you it is because of what your hands have earned." Surah Ash-Shura (42:30) Hezbollah and Iran declared war on the US when they murdered [---] US Marines in Beirut in [----]. Although Bibi is an asshole Nasrallah was our enemy. Simple as that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1841326700875128848)  2024-10-02T03:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ATKequity @StevenGlinert @CastIrony Norway supposedly has a supply. And they process most or all of the Spruce Pine output"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1841355304770150549)  2024-10-02T05:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer @bobepidemiology 1/ Again I think the US is an outlier. Germany had five peaks in [----]. France followed a similar pattern. Australia had [--] or [--] (depending) on how you count them in 2022"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1841862387466699077)  2024-10-03T15:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer @bobepidemiology 2/ Of course it's hard to know what's happening now because many of our data sources are going offline. But Looking at ww numbers for Munich it looks like maybe (maybe) Germany might be transitioning into a biseasonal COVID pattern (h/t @Jean__Fisch)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1841864321904873497)  2024-10-03T15:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MatthewWielicki Yes. But theres a limited amount of uranium remaining in estimated deposits. Far Short of enough to power 21st Century civilization. Same For Thorium. Possibly breeder reactors though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1842370770254852194)  2024-10-05T01:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@elonmusk @fema Ummm. Are the FEMA peeps stationed all over the place to prevent them from landing Did this chopper ever try to land somewhere I suggest you take a deep breath and cut back on your ketamine intake"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1842403855654601077)  2024-10-05T03:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-7/ So far in [----] COVID has dropped to 14th place in the top [--] causes of deathbelow septicemia and above nutritional deficiencies. O/c final numbers take a couple of months to trickle in but that's true for all other causes too. I don't expect COVID will move up much"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843433195641213272)  2024-10-07T23:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-8/ Lots of scare stories about the rates of heart attacks rising (due to Long COVID) but the US data doesn't support this. It looks like the US is on track to have 630k heart disease deaths in '24. This would put the post-pandemic rate at 189/100k vs pre-pandemic 200/100k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843436701747949776)  2024-10-07T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-14/ During the 2023-24 respiratory season COVID deaths were within the hi-lo range of estimated flu deaths. Hard to know what the CFR is but there were [---] million *diagnosed* COVID cases during that season. That puts the upper CFR boundary for COVID at 0.8%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843481616339058692)  2024-10-08T02:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-15/ The CDC says the CFR for recent flu variants is 0.1%. Say there were 54k flu deaths during the 23-24 season. That suggests that only 575k people (out of [---] million) caught the flu last season. That seems kind of low. Whatever. COVID is still more deadly than the flu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843486256904458685)  2024-10-08T02:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-18/ Let's face it: COVID will be around for the foreseeable future. Zero COVID was always a pipe dream. Our population immunity keeps it at bay and it's becoming less deadly. But it has a long way to go before it becomes another common cold virus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843495252247847158)  2024-10-08T03:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-19/ So yes there will be further waves. The current Scariant of Concern is XECa recombinant lineage of KS.1.1 and KP.3.3. And it looks like it's taking off in Italy and Germanybefore their current KP.3x waves have burned themselves out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843501436463915234)  2024-10-08T03:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-20/ In Italy it showed up in 54% of the samplesbut the sampling size is pretty small and the confidence interval is between [--] and 89%. But Cov-Spectrum puts its relative growth advantage at 55% (+/-3%) which is damn high It's being blamed for current case rise in Italy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843504455536521673)  2024-10-08T04:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"40-21/ XEC is present in the US. Although it's way outnumbered by the KP.3.1.1 it's the 3rd most common variant in the US. It seems to be growing fast (but again we're dealing with a small sample size). H/t to @RajlabN and his excellent NYITCOM graphics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843507170664665289)  2024-10-08T04:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RajlabN 40-22/ We've every reason to believe there will be a winter wave in the US. Even if it stays at 14th place as a cause of death a winter wave will present a significant public health burden. We can reduce the chance of serious illness & lower transmission rates if we get boosted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843513972659761176)  2024-10-08T04:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RajlabN 40-23/ Speaking of boosters the current mRNA vaccines should provide pretty good protection against XEC (if it does cause the next wave). https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.04.616448v1 https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.04.616448v1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843515141935276360)  2024-10-08T04:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"40-24/ Here's the 1st data I've seen that Novavax generates longer-lasting NAbs. But they admit "The clinical relevance of the higher antibody responses to the mRNA vaccines is uncertain." The heck with it. My HMO covers Pfizer. That's what I'm getting.๐Ÿ™ƒ https://tinyurl.com/5fwk9kd5 https://tinyurl.com/5fwk9kd5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1843518852354965631)  2024-10-08T05:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@NGrammozis @arijitchakrav @Truth_in_Number Where are you getting your information from I'm just giving you the numbers that I get from the CDC. Maybe the CDC is cooking the books but that sort of conspiracy would have to include all 3000+ county health agencies that report their numbers to CDC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1845344259320566104)  2024-10-13T06:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@tastybits @phl43 Very probably. A Hamas political spokesmen (in Dubai I think) said that the intention of 10/7 was to provoke an Israeli overreaction to further radicalize Palestians & bog down Israel in endless urban ambushes. I doubt if he expected Israel to be so successful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1847020478457958798)  2024-10-17T21:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"42-2/ COVID ED visits are following the downward wastewater trend. Although there may be delays in tabulation weekly deaths (per 100k) may clock in at the lowest any time since the start of the pandemic. Hospitalizations dropping too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1848547007901651264)  2024-10-22T02:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"42-3/ Lots of scary stories in the MSM that XEC will bring on the next COVID wave RSN (Real Soon Now). Its frequency is growing but so far it hasn't stopped the downward trend in cases (at least in the US). Its frequency *is* growing fast though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1848549094635028842)  2024-10-22T02:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"42-4/ While US numbers are dropping some countries are on the riseGermany for instance. And the Netherlands. Driven partially by XEC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1848556742734401826)  2024-10-22T02:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"42-5/ XEC is close to 50% in Germany a few weeks ago. And 35% in the Netherlands. Notice that they're not coming off a wave like we are. I'm guessing that the current [--] XEC.x variants will not kick off the next wave in the US. Maybe their descendants will though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1848557807249019069)  2024-10-22T02:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ValentinaForUSA @ZelenskyyUa @SecDef I hope the Kremlin is paying you in dollars Valentina because I hear the Ruble is tanking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1848573699240137175)  2024-10-22T03:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SEAsheltie @MichaelSFuhrer 6/ I'm a wine snob. The wine is good in NZ. I was in a high-end restaurant in Gisborne. I ordered a glass of the local wines. It was dead. I asked the waitress to take it back. She refused. Asked the manager. She refused and seemed outraged by the request. I asked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1849331308394414483)  2024-10-24T06:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SEAsheltie @MichaelSFuhrer 7/ how long the bottle had been open. She said "only [--] days" I asked: would you keep a bottle of Coke open for [--] days Beer open for [--] days "You're in one of the primo wine-growing regions of the world and you serve spoiled wine to your customers" Sorry NZ is kinda sucky"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1849332264166941034)  2024-10-24T06:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@MichaelSFuhrer @SEAsheltie I love Melbourne. I thought it was like a dozen different takes on San Francisco stitched together. It's big I found it difficult to get across the city though (but I didn't know the ins-and-outs of how to get around)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1849335359475486958)  2024-10-24T06:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SolidEvidence Right. Typing and not-thinking too fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/beowulf888/status/1849519901268230326)  2024-10-24T18:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@beowulf888 Avatar @beowulf888 beowulf888

beowulf888 posts on X about australia, israel, countries, in the the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-----] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-----] +2%
  • [--] Month [------] +287%
  • [--] Months [------] +490%
  • [--] Year [------] +58%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Months [---] +62%
  • [--] Year [---] +13%

Followers: [---] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [---] +0.18%
  • [--] Month [---] +0.53%
  • [--] Months [---] +3.70%
  • [--] Year [---] +2.70%

CreatorRank: [---------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence countries technology brands finance travel destinations stocks celebrities social networks currencies us election exchanges

Social topic influence australia, israel, countries, in the, xec, hamas, china, rates, france, germany

Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Waves (WAVES)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@dmoulding @MJnanostretch @stuartjdneil @theintercept OTOH Daszak's making things worse for himself refusing release earlier grant proposals. They'll eventually come outwhat's he thinking It's clear he doesn't want restrictions imposed on GoF research. Does he think all those people with pitchforks and torches will just go away"
X Link 2021-10-20T00:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@MattSainsb It didn't in Californiayou really really really should look at CA's mistakes before you undertake this project. Projected at US$33 Billion in [----] with trains running the 800km between LA & SF by 2020costs have ballooned to $105Billion & only 250km will be done by 2030if then"
X Link 2022-12-08T23:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"19-1/ Summary of COVID trends as of Epidemiological Week [--]. Hospitalizations and wastewater numbers continue to fall (yawn). And unless something interesting happens I'll be posting this summary every other week moving forward"
X Link 2023-05-14T00:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"@RajlabN 27-28/ Maybe XBB.1.16 will finally sprint ahead of the others or maybe XBB.1.9 beat .16. Despite the sparsity of samples to base that judgement on their growth curves don't make them look like wave material. (h/t again to @Mike_Honey_ for his cool variant analysis tool)"
X Link 2023-07-09T03:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RajlabN @Mike_Honey_ 27-29/ So what's happening in the rest of the world In North America and Europe new hospitalizations for COVID are all on downward trend. And ICU rates are down too. (I displayed these as log graphs because OWiD doesn't display the numbers as ratio per population)"
X Link 2023-07-09T03:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RajlabN @Mike_Honey_ 27-30/ In the southern hemisphere Australia is getting over a COVID wave but flu cases are ramping up. I don't know if they're getting a triple whammy with an RSV wave"
X Link 2023-07-09T04:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"27-31/ Likewise New Zealand is getting over a COVID waveas indicated by case counts. I can't find a graphical representation of their hospitalization rates or ICU rates. They still have a relatively high number of deaths per day"
X Link 2023-07-09T04:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@ejustin46 27-38/ Okinawa prefecture's hospitals are swamped with cases. The rest of JP is seeing an increase in hospitalizations but so far not nearly as bad as Okinawa. I sure wish NIID would put together some tables and graphs"
X Link 2023-07-09T06:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer 1/ Great thread. I notice that a lot of post-COVID arguments on Twitter have focused on excess deathsI suspect as an apologia for certain nations' COVID policies. "See we didn't do so bad compared to these nations if we look at excess deaths" But you said it so elegantly"
X Link 2023-07-11T15:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@CovidConfusion @Jean__Fisch LifeSiteNews is a Canadian conservative Catholic anti-abortion advocacy website. LifeSiteNews has a history of publishing misleading information and conspiracy theories and spreading COVID-19 misinformation"
X Link 2023-07-12T15:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Metblondie @RaffyFlynnArt I understand there're dyes that bind to clotted fibrin proteins & fluoresce. So microclots can be detected visually under a microscope. But ESR CRP and/or fibrinogen levels should be elevated if clots are happening. My question is why don't we see this in blood chemistry"
X Link 2023-08-01T02:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@andyaschmidt The CoV-Spectrum tool seems to indicate its growth rate is slowing (log scale). The sampling size is pretty small most recently thoughso the CI is pretty wide. I think it's slowing but I'd prefer a couple of weeks more of sampling to before I feel certain"
X Link 2023-08-10T04:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RealCheckMarker @limits_stop @VGrubsky @shay_fleishon @GISAID Hey I've been obsessing about the data since March [----] & despite that we're in a wave right now things don't look bad at all compared to previous waves. As for Long COVID we're [--] months into Pandemic and we're not seeing excess mortality nor SS disability applications"
X Link 2023-08-14T02:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@IsabelRamirezRD @Salon @ahandvanish This is the form. It may be hard to get the APPROVAL for disability but it looks pretty easy to get the request submitted. Are you telling me that these Long COVID sufferers are so sick that they or their caregivers can't be bothered to even submit a simple form"
X Link 2023-08-14T16:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@green1234_5678 @IsabelRamirezRD @Salon @ahandvanish The trouble with all yr whining and complaining about how hard it is to get disability is that it may discourage people from even trying. If you're disabled APPLY goddammit If a wave of COVID disabled suddenly apply PH officials & pols will begin to notice a problem. But"
X Link 2023-08-15T16:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"33-10/ As an aside I wondered if we could use Paxlovid Rx's as a proxy for symptomatic COVID cases. CNN says HHS & CDC stopped tracking antiviral Rx's when gov stopped subsidizing them. I'd be interested what this yr's numbers are vs last yr's (below)"
X Link 2023-08-20T18:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"33-11/ As for EG.5 CoV-Spectrum put EG.5x at 17% as of [--] August. So CDC's Nowcast is probably accurate (it only seems to provide bogus estimates if growth rates are rapidly changing). And if we look at EG.5x's growth rate on a log scale we see its growth rate has slowed. So"
X Link 2023-08-20T18:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@VGrubsky @simon_faire @MichaelSFuhrer @RajlabN 1/ I don't know. I think the data is pretty conclusive for a bunch of SARS2 behaviors. For instance: COVID-19 is becoming significantly less deadlymostly due to the vast majority of the world's population having antibodies or at least T Cell memory of generic SARS2 epitopes"
X Link 2023-08-27T03:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@VGrubsky @simon_faire @MichaelSFuhrer @RajlabN 2/ Generalities like this may seem facile but there are all sorts of research avenues around this observation that can lend themselves to falsifiable inquiry (at least in the attenuated Bayesian sense of that term)"
X Link 2023-08-27T03:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@VGrubsky @simon_faire @MichaelSFuhrer @RajlabN 3/ What annoys me about this whole ginormous COVID-19 enterprise is there is a high ratio of bullshit-laden and poorly executed studies being produced. And people fall for them hook line and sinker. rant off"
X Link 2023-08-27T03:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"35-11/ .that on purely circumstantial evidence EG.5 is certainly not more virulent than its XBB cousins (which was a big worry caused by EG.5's in vitro immune escape numbers) and may very well be less virulent (hear me out)"
X Link 2023-09-02T17:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"35-12/ For instance in Australia EG.5 is now sampling 28% (h/t to @Mike_Honey_ and his variant proportion tool). But it's not creating a new wave of hospitalizations in Australia. And Denmark has increased its testing (b/c of BA.2.86). EG.5"
X Link 2023-09-02T18:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"5/ The Leakers are celebrating the demise of DEEP VZN but I believe them sincerely full of shite that SARS2 was a leak. I can't think of any leak incident that released a pathogen that wasn't already circulating in human or domestic animal pops. Please correct me if I'm wrong"
X Link 2023-09-08T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"9/ We need to monitor our domestic animals for known pathogens. But o/c economic interests have resisted. FI The US Cattleman's Assoc. was against monitoring US herds for BSE until BSE was spotted in Brazil imports. Now they're for it. BR is against it"
X Link 2023-09-08T03:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"10/ And the Chinese "wild" animal trade (actually farm-raised wild animals) is an est. $70 billion business. Don't expect the Chinese government to be proactive about regulating this economic engine. And too many party members are invested in it. But"
X Link 2023-09-08T03:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"Special thread on the demise of the DEEP VZN program and why I don't think it matters from a practical standpoint"
X Link 2023-09-08T03:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@JBananasPhD @BallouxFrancois 1/ Have you bothered to look at excess deaths"
X Link 2023-09-08T19:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@_ppmv @HarrySpoelstra @ejustin46 @mrmickme @arijitchakrav @C_A_Gustave @DavidJoffe64 @MeetJess @RadCentrism @falsel_net @georgimarinov @outbreakupdates @LongDesertTrain @siamosolocani @triangle24 @Rrenzokutai @RajlabN @RealCheckMarker 4/ .which changed the configuration of the RBD to improve ACE2 binding and the lineages that had that mutation (Alpha Beta and Gamma) were able to infect more people faster and the rest of the B.1x swarm went extinct (except for the mysterious precursor to Omicron)"
X Link 2023-09-09T18:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@_ppmv @HarrySpoelstra @ejustin46 @mrmickme @arijitchakrav @C_A_Gustave @DavidJoffe64 @MeetJess @RadCentrism @georgimarinov @outbreakupdates @LongDesertTrain @siamosolocani @triangle24 @Rrenzokutai @RajlabN @RealCheckMarker 5/ @theosanderson did this cool nucleotide entropy chart of SARS2 variants in UK over time (I've annotated it). But we can see the entropy (=mutational diversity) of the swarm increases until a perturbation event occurs (i.e. a particular variant outcompetes the others) and"
X Link 2023-09-09T18:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@skdh @ChrisJa77825774 Dr Hossenfelder: Could you do a discussion on what the "spin" value defines I've seen contradictory explanations in popular science articles"
X Link 2023-09-10T16:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"@viv_anand @skdh @ChrisJa77825774 So you're saying spin has nothing to do with the angular momentum of a particle With waves we can infer their existence from the double-slit experiment. If spin angular momentum what sort of measurement is taken to confirm this value Or is it derived some other way"
X Link 2023-09-10T17:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Paulnternet @skdh @ChrisJa77825774 OK. Understood. Spin IS NOT angular momentum Wikipedia sez otherwise. But I keep hearing that spin isn't spin. ;-)"
X Link 2023-09-10T17:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"@RajlabN 39-22/ But 12% of the world's BA.2.86 sequences have shown up in the US. Yet it's not showing up in any detectable levels in US wastewater numbers. So BA.2.86 is spreading widely but it's not competing well against the current variant soup. This slide again"
X Link 2023-09-30T17:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@RajlabN 39-23/ Neher also speculated that it's likely been circulating in South Africa for a long time. But @dominiksteiger posted this graphic (not sure of the link). If it's in RSA wastewater it's numbers are so small that it's been clumped under "other""
X Link 2023-09-30T17:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Pradhyumn @JPWeiland How good is the data from India though Ive heard claims that the gov wasnt reporting the real hosp data during Delta & Omicron b/c of embarrassment with high numbers. I dont know what to think when I see Indias numbers"
X Link 2023-10-03T19:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@shashj I've never found the Daily Mail to be a particularly reliable newspaper. But if true what is the UK doing in the South China Sea Is the Royal Navy assisting the US Navy during this current escalation of tensions Or do they regularly patrol the South China Sea"
X Link 2023-10-03T23:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"@JPWeiland Excellent chart Where did you get the data from"
X Link 2023-10-14T00:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@arijitchakrav @KevinDrum 41-16/ Let's check in on the variants with the FLip mutations. Cov-Spectrum's log view shows they're growing slowly but not making much progress aganst the current variants without the FLip mutations (at least in the US)"
X Link 2023-10-15T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@arijitchakrav @KevinDrum 41-17/ Remember FLip is the S:F456L and S:L455F mutations that seem to increase immune evasion and ACE2 binding. But doesn't it look like FLip may have topped out (except for Singapore) This may just be sampling biasbut I can't help but think I'm seeing a pattern here"
X Link 2023-10-15T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"41-21/ And @MichaelSFuhrer has an interesting thread on this Lancet paper that compares post-acute respiratory infection symptoms between SARS2 and other acute viral infections"
X Link 2023-10-15T19:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"41-22/ His thread is worth reading if you don't want to dig into the paper. Turns out there are some symptoms differences between Long COVID and Long Flu but there's also a lot of overlap. Are we over-counting Long COVID"
X Link 2023-10-15T19:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"43-12/ While the US wave is fading it looks Australia has a wave started. Unlike the US it's pretty clear that EG.5 is driving hospitalizations upever so slightly"
X Link 2023-10-30T00:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"44-12/ Not much data coming out of Europe anymore (or maybe OWiD has stopped reporting on many European countries). Anyhew looking at new hospital admissions Italy is coming off a wave coincident with the US and Canadabut a new wave seems to be revving up in the Netherlands"
X Link 2023-10-30T00:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"45-1/ Summary of COVID trends as of Epidemiological Weeks 44-45. Covid noogies for me I was expecting the current wave to continue to recede in an uneven step-down manner but it looks like weve got a secondary wavelet caused by HV.1"
X Link 2023-11-12T15:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-3/ .but current hospitalizations are 25% of what they were during Delta. And deaths are roughly 10% of what they were at the peak Delta. Part of this may be due to antivirals like Paxlovid which came into common use spring of [----] but COVID is not the killer it used to be"
X Link 2023-11-12T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@LongDesertTrain ORF7aand ORF7b seem to have a role in blocking IFN signaling and it's been proposed that ORF8 represses IFN signaling. Are these ORFless variants propagating at all or are the all dead ends"
X Link 2023-11-23T18:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"45-19/ I would tend to trust Richard Cao's assessment more than the Cornelius Roemer model used by Raj Rajnarayananbecause I don't think the model distinguishes between different classes of NAbs. But all this speculation may be for naught"
X Link 2023-11-26T21:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-20/ This paper by Yasa et al argues that although "serum antibody neutralization titers can be accurate in predicting the prevention of initial infection" they are not so useful in predicting the progression to serious disease"
X Link 2023-11-26T21:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-22/ Here's how B-cell derived Abs respond to different variants. Antibody docking scores and ACE2 docking scores. You should be able to expand this pic to read the fine print"
X Link 2023-11-26T21:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-23/ A couple of mechanisms drive B-cell Ab diversity and evolution. I've touched on them at a high level in some of my previous updates. Suffice it to say that B-cells are why COVID has gone from pandemic to endemic (but hyperendemic describes the current situation better)"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-24/ If JN.1 does take off in the US we'll probably see a big increase in paucisymptomatic cases with an increase in ER visits a low % being hospitalized but not much increase in mortality rate. I'll check back on this prediction at end of Jan to see how it turns out"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-25/ Elsewhere in the world Scandinavia and the Baltics are getting hit hard by COVID right now. h/t to @Jean__Fisch for these graphs"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Jean__Fisch 45-26/ Sweden's wave seems driven by EG.5x and related lineages that are grouped in the Nextstrain 23F clade (99%)"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Jean__Fisch 45-27/ Finland is also having a mixed-strain wave with HK.3 is the dominant variant. Pirola is not driving Scandinavian and Baltic waves though"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-30/ And RSV rates are still climbing. Although RSV cases may not peak as high as last year's record season it doesn't look like immunity from last season is carrying over to this season. Another nail in the coffin of the immunity debt hypothesis"
X Link 2023-11-27T00:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-31/ China France and South Korea have noted significant increases in pediatric pneumonia cases. The culprit seems to be Mycoplasma pneumoniae (a bacterial pathogen). The WHO is bugging China for more details. But"
X Link 2023-11-27T00:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"45-32/ .South Korea and France have confirmed their outbreaks are mycoplasma pneumonia. The usual suspects are claiming this is due to COVID-damaged immunity. Where's the evidence And"
X Link 2023-11-27T00:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@JPWeiland @Mike_Honey_ Where are you getting your data for France from They stopped reporting their hospitalization data to the ECDC last Spring. I cant find anything on their Sante Publique except Tendance la hausse de la plupart des indicateurs"
X Link 2023-11-30T01:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Marc_Veld Ahhh. I see. Thanks. My understanding is respiratory pathogens have evolved strategies to evade binding to mucin matrix (smaller size & lipid chemistry). Plus initial defense depends on IgA while other Abs like IgG take days to diffuse thru mucosal tissues. Thoughts/corrections"
X Link 2023-12-03T17:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@phl43 Kornbluth (MIT) seemed to indicate that harassment had to be directed at a specific person to violate policies. But MIT's P&P Section [---] (Violence Against Community Members) prohibits threats of violence against MIT com members. Is calling for genocide a threat I think so"
X Link 2023-12-06T17:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@KathrynPaisner Kornbluth (MIT) seemed to indicate that harassment had to be directed at a specific person to violate policies. But MIT's P&P Section [---] (Violence Against Community Members) prohibits threats of violence against MIT com members. Is calling for genocide a threat I think so"
X Link 2023-12-06T17:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@KathrynPaisner Now having said that has anyone on the MIT campus called for the liquidation of Jews Some of those blathering about Rivers-to-Sea may have done so. I don't know"
X Link 2023-12-06T17:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@phl43 Now having said that has anyone on the MIT campus called for the liquidation of Jews Some of those blathering about Rivers-to-Sea may have done so. I don't know"
X Link 2023-12-06T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@PatWitt2432 @KathrynPaisner Both your points are good. But this would be the sniff pretend whoever is the object of the statement is the President. Would what you say about them cause the Secret Service to pay you a house call"
X Link 2023-12-07T17:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@realCarrickRyan @richimedhurst And the Qur'an says: "O Prophet Lo We have made lawful to you your wives to whom you have paid their dowries and those whom your right hand possesses of those whom Allah has given you as spoils of war" (33:50). Yazidi women can testify to this treatment"
X Link 2023-12-08T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"49-11/ Or maybe cold weather really does play a role in transmission I've shown plenty of counterexamples in the past where temperatures DON'T correlate w/ transmission but it sure looks like hospital admissions are higher in colder areas right now. ๐Ÿคทโ™‚๐Ÿคท๐Ÿคทโ™€"
X Link 2023-12-11T00:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"49-12/ Just out of curiosity what's happening where it's summer. Unfortunately I can't find any current data for Braziland Argentina stopped updating its excellent COVID dashboard last May. We've got Australia though EG.5x dominates but JN.1 was at 10% two wks ago"
X Link 2023-12-11T01:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@CJ_Dewing @ChronicBabak @fitterhappierAJ @MatthewSlyman 1/ But they're not even bothering to make the frigging claims I'm always amazed at how many people offhandedly offer bullshit opinions without bothering to google the data. Notice that initial (i.e. online) SS disability applications are lower than they've been since 2001"
X Link 2023-12-13T01:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@TheAncientOne Hmmm. Ireland's JN.1 percentage somewhat above 41% by now. COVID hospitalizations not up much at all"
X Link 2023-12-13T02:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RyanMaue When you say Hollywood funds them do you mean the movie studios like Disney are funding this stuff Or do you mean the Screen Actors Guild and the Writers Guild Or is it individual actors like Sylvestor Stallone and Julia Butters Or directors like Clint Eastwood"
X Link 2023-12-13T17:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dominiksteiger @ejustin46 1/ The Munich data is interesting because if your analysis is correct (and I think it is) superspreader events are still occurring on a large scale. I was unable to confirm any superspreader events in the US this year. The usual suspects like the Sturgis motorcycle rally"
X Link 2023-12-13T18:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@ejustin46 @dominiksteiger 1/ So the annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally in South Dakota was a huge superspreader event in Aug of [----]. Half a million+ people descend on a town with a population of [----]. SD hospitals were swamped with COVID cases and outbreaks across the US were correlated with attendees"
X Link 2023-12-13T19:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@ejustin46 @dominiksteiger 2/ It was held again in '21 when Delta was just ramping up. Same results. This yr's rally happened epi wk [--]. Sturgis is in Meade Co. (pop. 30K). Before and after this year's rally this is what we see. Clinical cases in Meade spiked the following at [--] with [--] death in week 35"
X Link 2023-12-13T19:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@ejustin46 @dominiksteiger 3/ Sorry but I don't think this qualifies as superspreader event. Yes we saw a spike in COVID cases the week after the rally. But this is nothing compared to the thousands of cases and deaths in Meade Co. after the [----] Sturgis rally"
X Link 2023-12-13T20:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dominiksteiger @ejustin46 This is why I found your analysis interesting I was trying to track down any confirmable ss events in the US for the past year and I've found none. Certainly the start of the school year creates an uptick of casesbut post BA.1 it seems to be ripples rather than waves"
X Link 2023-12-13T20:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dominiksteiger @ejustin46 I can't explain the obvious differences between Germany and the USespecially since booster uptake in the US has been miserable. Anyway this virus continues to amaze me. Cheers"
X Link 2023-12-13T20:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dobssi 4/ I should clarify. In my above example if pathogen C selectively killed older age cohorts country B might have a significant public health crisis on its hands while ASMR would show everything as being hunky-dory"
X Link 2023-12-15T20:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dobssi Well played sir Well played. I'd be curious what we see if add a non-European country like South Africa to mix. They kept very good statistics"
X Link 2023-12-15T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dobssi I don't think I've ever seen an apples-to-apples comparison of ESP vs WHO. I had assumed that the choice would affect the results but it looks like not so much. Thanks for those examples I'm more convinced by your arguments now"
X Link 2023-12-15T21:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@veeslerlab @YoungjunPark11 @dabiophysicist @aschaefe29 @Baric_Lab @KingLabIPD Fascinating And that animation of the SARS2 fusion process in tweet [--] is SUPERB It's the clearest visual description of the process that I've seen so far. Kudos to J. Isawa (But I don't suppose you have one that shows the Cathepsin/endocytosis process as well do you) ;-)"
X Link 2023-12-16T07:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@LongDesertTrain @DonEford @Friesein @michele_hiatus @veeslerlab Even if it does use the entire S protein that doesn't seem to have made much difference in its overall effectivenesswith the exception of Hispanic populations for whom it's LESS effective for some unknown reason. () https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2116185effectiveness https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2116185effectiveness"
X Link 2023-12-16T08:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@LongDesertTrain @DonEford @Friesein @michele_hiatus @veeslerlab 2/ I need to check if there're some studies on the efficacy of mRNA vaccines in Hispanic populations. I don't think that Pfizer/Moderna showed this discrepancybut I can't say I ever paid much attention to efficacy diffs across populations. That's my white bias showing. Ouch"
X Link 2023-12-16T18:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@LongDesertTrain @DonEford @Friesein @michele_hiatus @veeslerlab 3/ A study is underway in Australia to see if a protein-based booster (NVX) on top of a mRNA primary series works better than mRNA [--] followed by mRNA but it won't be complete until [----]. Ugggh. A J&J [--] w/ NVX booster study that suggested it might"
X Link 2023-12-16T18:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"51-1/ Summary of COVID trends as of epidemiological weeks [--] & [--]. Wastewater numbers continue to rise. Biobot and CDC agree (but I suspect they're using the same sewersheds for their data). OTOH before we freak out we should zoom out"
X Link 2023-12-25T00:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@Mike_Honey_ 55-7/ I looked at Australia and the BA.2.86* (which is mostly JN.1) percentages are similar to US. But their hosp rates were falling as of two weeks ago. Maybe SARS2 is becoming seasonal like the flu We'll see if AUS gets hit hard with a var in June that we shrug off"
X Link 2023-12-25T01:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@Mike_Honey_ 55-8/ Europe is a few weeks ahead of the US in their JN.1 wave Unfortunately a lot of European countries are no longer reporting their case or hosp numbers. Ireland and JN.1 70%. Maybe Ireland can give us a hint of what's in store for us over New Year"
X Link 2023-12-25T01:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@mbdr What are the hospitalization rates Is Switzerland still publishing numbers"
X Link 2023-12-28T00:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@JPWeiland Yes please @DrBillyAye. Feed me data. Here's the last NY State reinfection data"
X Link 2023-12-28T19:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"2-5/ Nationally hospitalizations & ED visits are below the BQ.1x wave Dec of [----]. If we look at the HHS regions though there's a lot of variation. Hosp/ED in Regions [--] and [--] are above BQ.1x now but [--] & [--] much lower. Track the data here"
X Link 2024-01-13T21:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2-6/ As usual the over-70 age cohorts are getting hit the hardest. Among pediatric cases the 0-4 yo age cohort is getting the worst of this wave. Omicron BA.2/5 swept thru schools so it's understandable that the 0-4 age group doesn't have much immunity yet"
X Link 2024-01-13T21:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"2-28/ Worldwide CoV-Spectrum puts it at 81%. JN.1x has risen to dominance but at a slower rate than Omicron BA.1 did"
X Link 2024-01-15T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"2-29/ Marc Johnson (@SolidEvidence) wrote an interesting thread that suggests older variants are holding on at the levels they were before the JN.1 wave took off. And JN.1 has taken off without forcing the older variants to extinction. I'm done manually logging the week's sequencing results for [--] sewersheds that averaged 5-8 different lineages per sewershed. Kind of exhausting. I'm noticing an overall shift in SARS-CoV-2 diversity. 1/ https://t.co/8zINRshEJp I'm done manually logging the week's sequencing results for [--] sewersheds that averaged 5-8 different lineages per sewershed. Kind of"
X Link 2024-01-15T00:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2-34/ JN.1 is 67% in AU. So JN.1 is behaving the same way in the southern hemisphere as it is in the north. SARS2 hasn't transitioned to a seasonal virus yet. I wonder if its mutational behavior will ever allow it to follow cycles like flu does following the winter between hemis"
X Link 2024-01-15T00:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"2-35/ SARS2 has been present in the US for almost [--] years. It's gone from a pandemic to hyperendemic. With PASC (aka Long COVID) being a major concern and US seroprevalence at 70% (as of 1Q 2023) one would expect to see the effects of LC reflected in the macro data"
X Link 2024-01-15T04:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RealCheckMarker @yousitonmyspot @abledoc @vipintukur 1/ I wouldn't call it a "flaw" in the human immune system. All the respiratory viruses first attack the mucosa where circulating IgG NAbs can't get at them except via a slow diffusion process. So resp viruses can get a toehold in mucosa before a full immune response revs up"
X Link 2024-01-27T17:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"4-3/ If we zoom out Biobot's wastewater data shows us that next to Omicron (BA.1) this has been the second largest wave of the pandemic. And just as an aside the models that predicted dampened wave oscillations post BA.1 were proved wrong by this JN.1 wave"
X Link 2024-01-27T23:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"4-4/ Obviously a lot of people were infected with COVID over the past two months. But if we assume wastewater numbers reflect the number of people being infected the hospitalization rate per presumed cases is less than half the BQ.1 wave last winter"
X Link 2024-01-27T23:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@SevaUT Seems like Lithuania may have some historical claims that he might want to considerjust based on historical principles Lithuania should be one of the largest nations in Europe right now"
X Link 2024-02-09T18:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RajlabN 6-5/ If wastewater numbers correlate w/ infection rates then both hospitalization and mortality RATES have been the lowest of any variant so far. But with [----] people hospitalized and between [---] and [---] dying each day (at peak) COVID is still a public health issue"
X Link 2024-02-10T23:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RajlabN 6-6/ Influenza rates have dropped a bit. Epi week [--] and [--] showed a resurgence in test positivity rates though. Not sure if that's due to Type B picking up the slack as Type A recedes. Hospitalizations are falling though"
X Link 2024-02-11T02:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"8-11/ Although JN.1 hosp and deaths are nowhere near peak BA.1 (Omicron) like BA.1 JN.1 has come to dominate the viral landscape in the US pushing other vars to extinction. Likewise for the world (h/t #NYITCOM). And JN.1 is evolving spawning 36+ subvariants"
X Link 2024-02-25T21:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"8-12/ The secondary wave I mentioned above may be mostly caused by JN.1.4 whose proportions have grown to 40%. But the JN.1's mostly cluster together on the immune-escape ACE-binding axis. I doubt if any of these will have the steam to create a new bigger wave"
X Link 2024-02-25T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"10-16/ @ejustin46 has a cool GIF of a cytotoxic CD8+ T cell attacking an infected cell. It doesn't look like it's AI-generated. I'm not sure of it's source. WHEN the KILLER of the VIRUS is SICK (Cytotoxic CD8+ T cell attacking infected cell) https://t.co/mWoqPZhcme WHEN the KILLER of the VIRUS is SICK (Cytotoxic CD8+ T cell attacking infected cell) https://t.co/mWoqPZhcme"
X Link 2024-03-11T02:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"10-17/ And in other COVID news we have the story of a man who received [---] vaccinations (h/t to @kischober) They don't seem to have had any adverse effects. Spike-specific IgG NAbs were very high. No sign of IgG4 subclass switching as would be expected. What would happen if you got vaccinated against the same antigen over and over again In @TheLancetInfDis we now report on a hypervaccinated individual from Magdeburg (HIM) who received [---] vaccinations within [--] months against SARS-CoV-2. ๐Ÿ‘‡ 1/19 https://t.co/or1gLBFDgk What would happen if you got vaccinated against the same antigen over and"
X Link 2024-03-11T03:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@VGrubsky Well if we look at deaths it was hardly a ripple compared to previous waves. The wave was most pronounced in the US wastewater data. In AUSwhere they don't do much WW monitoringit showed up in the COVID Rxs. Of course hospitalizations rose too"
X Link 2024-03-24T20:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@DrEricDing 14-16/ Oops. I had a numbering problem in my thread. I accidentally truncated the leading 1's. Those 4's should be 14s"
X Link 2024-04-07T19:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"14-17/ But how is H5N1 spreading in cattle Per this article in Science: "USDA researchers tested milk nasal swabs and blood from cows at affected dairies and only found clear signals of the virus in the milk." Milking machines are the suspected vector. https://tinyurl.com/zejjyw62 https://tinyurl.com/zejjyw62"
X Link 2024-04-07T19:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@LakerNation1999 @Censored4sure @morgan_freeman You're saying Luther is AI But the "I" implies intelligence. More like AS(S)"
X Link 2024-04-23T19:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Truth_in_Number 18-6/ In fact none of the HHS regions have provided enough sequences to create a regional Nowcast. This is the first time I've seen all of the HHS regions w/o a Nowcast"
X Link 2024-05-05T20:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Truth_in_Number 18-7/ COV-Spectrum puts KP.2 at 14%. I think this is closer to reality. It's growth seems to be slowing. I'm pretty sure this won't kick off a new wave. Nor do I think it will displace the rest of JN.1x clan. But in India it's displaced most other vars (but it originated there)"
X Link 2024-05-05T20:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Laurie_Garrett Hes on the pro-Palestinians feces roster because of a big interview where he declared his support for Israel. And there was a WaPo op-ed today that claims his humor is mean-spirited and in suitable for young people. Did he send any zingers after them when they left"
X Link 2024-05-12T21:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@taipan168 @nz_gordo You had two infections I'm still a COVID virgin. But I wore masks. LoL Neener neener ๐Ÿคฃ"
X Link 2024-05-16T00:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"20-1/ COVID update for epidemiological weeks 19-20 of [----]. COVID data sources (both public and private) are continuing to go offline. I don't know if I'll be able to keep these updates going much longer. Although I think the worst that SARS2 can hand us is over"
X Link 2024-05-20T01:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 Wismar DEU has 175+ years of sea level data. There's no geological subsidence going on there. Sea level has been rising [--] inches per century and it has not accelerated. At the current rate I don't think they need worry about it for [--] or [--] centuries"
X Link 2024-05-26T19:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 SF has had a [--] inch/per century sea level rise. We agreed the ice caps weren't melting all that quickly so I think I'll be able to enjoy the Fog City for the rest of my life and probably my g g grandchildren will be able to enjoy it tooif the Googlers don't kill it first"
X Link 2024-05-26T20:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 O/c if you're on a coral atoll it'll eventually decay & sink beneath the waves regardless of sea-level rise [--]. But Tuvalu is still therein fact its land mass increased a wee bit since the big going-under scare [--]. https://tinyurl.com/ppczcfn5 https://tinyurl.com/7vuypuhd https://tinyurl.com/ppczcfn5 https://tinyurl.com/7vuypuhd"
X Link 2024-05-26T20:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 And if you live Louisiana you can mostly blame the Army Corps of Engineer's flood protection infrastructure for the erosion and subsidence of the Mississippi delta lands. And your mileage may vary depending on where you live in Florida"
X Link 2024-05-26T20:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze @ErikDavisforNC1 I get tired of the scare stories. For instance the Greenland ice sheet is losing equiv 1-1.5 Lake Eeries each year Scary isn't it Look up the vol Greenland ice & vol Lake Eerie. Vg/Ve to get years left at current melt rate. You'll be surprised how long it will be there"
X Link 2024-05-26T20:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@ErikDavisforNC1 @Hadeweka @_ClimateCraze Where shall we find a "proper" trend line You and @Hadeweka can find sea level trends for US & world coastal regions on the NOAA website (link below). For instance Sitka AK: falling; Dunkerque FR Dubrovnik HR Wellington NZ rising at different rates. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_global.shtml https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_global.shtml"
X Link 2024-05-27T15:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"22-1/ COVID update for epidemiological weeks 21-22 of [----]. COVID wastewater numbers are on the rise. Biobot shows all four regions rising while CDC shows it mostly confined to the western states. I'll give it a few more weeks before I call it a waveor it might be a blip"
X Link 2024-06-02T19:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"22-2/ Biobot reports that the average concentration end of epi week [--] was [---] copies per mLup from week 19's [---] CpmL. The expert consensus is that an Aug wave is the pattern for the US but that only happened in '21 and '23"
X Link 2024-06-02T19:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@Quodvox5 @_ClimateCraze Do you have a link to that Tonga Hunga eruption data Roy Spencer describes [--] possible reasons the water vapor positive feedback scenario may be wrong but I can't say I understand all [--] of his arguments. :-) https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/14/spencer-on-water-vapor-feedback/ https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/14/spencer-on-water-vapor-feedback/"
X Link 2024-06-06T17:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@JosetteSchoenma @Wim_Belgium I assumed they meant "more general" in regards to the range of epitopes antibodies can bind to (beyond the two FLiRT mutations). But I didn't see any discussion of this term. Thoughts"
X Link 2024-06-06T17:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@dominiksteiger Unless that 40% jump comes from them combining the 22-23 and he 23-24 seasons. Which would be different sort of bullshit statement because 22-23 was a record season"
X Link 2024-06-15T16:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"24-2/ And in the US should we be calling this a wave yet Both the Biobot and CDC show nat'l wastewater indicators are rising. But when I zoom into various metro dashboards the current WW is by no means consistent across the US. For instance"
X Link 2024-06-16T17:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"24-3/ Among East Coast cities Boston is showing a distinct uptick. New York City not so much"
X Link 2024-06-16T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"26-1/ COVID update for epidemiological weeks 25-26 of [----]. CDC wastewater trends show that the numbers are risingespecially in the West. Biobot shows a gentler upward trend with no big surge in the West. Not all counties and municipalities seem to be affected though"
X Link 2024-07-01T03:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"26-2/ For instance San Jose and Santa Clara County have shown a distinct uptick. But Los Angeles isn't (though some sewersheds around it are). On the other side of the country most of the sewersheds in NYC show no increase or only a slight increase"
X Link 2024-07-01T03:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@MuirheadJE @RachelBitecofer @catturd2 Thanks. I couldn't find out what happened with this case"
X Link 2024-07-02T19:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"30-3/ NYC (Manhattan) has seen a strong surge in the past [--] weeks. While up in Boston things may have peaked"
X Link 2024-07-29T23:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"30-4/ While the US's summer wave was ramping up Australia was having its winter wave. AUS has been slow to update its national stats but the New South Wales data (NSW is the most populous state in AUS) shows that their wave is over. And it was largely a KP.3x wave"
X Link 2024-07-30T00:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"30-5/ KP.3 descendants are the most common but KP.3x is not the sole driver of the US wave. @RajlabN's NYITCOM report shows other vars are still common. CDC suggests that KP.3.1.1 will be the big grower this week but Cov-Spectrum suggests its rate of growth is tapering off"
X Link 2024-07-30T00:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@RajlabN 30-6/ COVID hospitalizations remain lowand they've stayed lower for the first half of this year than any previous years. That could change of course but for some unexplained reason the CDC is predicting that hospitalizations will drop this month (I think they'll rise a bit)"
X Link 2024-07-30T00:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@AnSir86 @NOELreports Google Maps says it's [--] km NNW of Kursk. Or is this a village with a similar name"
X Link 2024-08-08T17:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@yashar Better than being a coward with bone spurs"
X Link 2024-08-09T03:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"@bff77777 @yashar Ahhhh yes. The inevitable shite-spewers of the deranged right tarnish everything they touch including military service including America. You should be ashamed of yourself but you can't help yourself"
X Link 2024-08-10T04:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@TheStudyofWar I wish you'd position the battle lines in your maps in relation to major cities. AFAICS Google maps says the town of Zhuravli is 120km away (75 miles by US measurements) from Kursk city over some backroads and then E38. Kursk is still out of the 25km range of quad drones"
X Link 2024-08-13T01:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

"@lkeren1998 @TheStudyofWar I understand and mostly agree. However my complaint is I can't put the battle lines on a scale against the oblast as a whole w/o a landmark like Kursk. Although we can only speculate about Ukr's tactical and strategic goals but there may be valid military targets within Kursk"
X Link 2024-08-13T02:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"32-12/ The Olympics didn't implement universal COVID testing and reporting protocols. So athletes and countries did their own thing. So it's impossible get a clear picture of the infection rate among athletes. https://tinyurl.com/z66dfnfk https://tinyurl.com/z66dfnfk"
X Link 2024-08-13T05:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"32-12/ What surprised me is that at least [--] athletes who tested positive (and were symptomatic) won medals. COVID wasn't able to stop them from winning medals (amazing). Of course Noah Lyles had to be carried off the field after he won his bronze. https://tinyurl.com/mwdyhwrf https://tinyurl.com/mwdyhwrf"
X Link 2024-08-13T06:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@jonatanpallesen 1/ Except there are legal documents and precedents to go with those "shibboleths." The US Supreme Court and Oklahoma Courts found that the Cherokee Nation reservation "had never been legally disestablished" and gave back the eastern third of Oklahoma to the Cherokee nation"
X Link 2024-08-20T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@simo1652 @taipan168 My theory is that left or right were randomly decided upon. The folks in 18th century Austria of the Holy Roman may have traditionally kept traffic to the left in their capital city and imposed that on their client subject states. France conquered them & imposed the opposite.๐Ÿคท"
X Link 2024-08-25T02:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@america_mad @CalltoActivism The Orange Shitgibbon prob would've had to pay in excess of $50K to license their songeven for a one-time use. Sliding scales for multiple use & type of events. Trump is stealing their intellectual propertylike as if the Foo Fighters started selling their own "Trump" bibles"
X Link 2024-08-25T05:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"34-2/ O/c Sentinelle tracks aggregated ARI numbersCOVID isn't broken out of the statsbut if COVID cases had increased due to the Olympics they weren't high enough to impact the overall ARI numbers. Worth noting that the summer KP.x wave seems to have minimally affected FR"
X Link 2024-08-26T19:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"34-3/ And was the DNC in Chicago a superspreader event Several DNC attendees tweeted pics of positive COVID tests and they set off a meme stampede that the DNC was a superspreader event. I'm still waiting for the Chicago wastewater numbers from last week. But"
X Link 2024-08-26T19:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"35-4/ Here's the official WW date from the Chicago's North Branch sewershed as of 8/14pre-DNCNC. The United Center where the DNC was held was in the center of that watershed. Maybe we'll see a signal in the 8/21 data But numbers were falling pre-convention"
X Link 2024-08-26T19:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@adventure_ali_ @taipan168 1/ I'll get to farming in a minute but first off I acknowledge that Australia is a paradise and I can see why you might not be inclined to consider change. On the plus side your GDP has been growing better than most of the G7 countries over the past [--] years"
X Link 2024-09-01T22:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@adventure_ali_ @taipan168 2/ Your unemployment rate is low and your educational levels are highyou're in the top [--] most educated countries in the world. And you have valuable natural resources that you export (iron coal LNG gold lithium)"
X Link 2024-09-01T22:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@atrupar Excellent points in the article. But the Harris campaign does make fun of Trump's manufactured spectacles. So they are responding. But not with facts but with sarcastic humor. I think this is brilliant"
X Link 2024-09-03T18:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@JPWeiland 2/ for basic statistical purposes (simple T-tests etc.) but it overlooks the asynchronous way the virus spreads. When CDC collected data from all US counties they had a great county-level hosp hotspot map. We could see hotspots move and fade across the US over time. That was"
X Link 2024-09-07T22:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@JPWeiland 3/ very useful. We've lost that granularity. Most of the CDC's other map products were uselessespecially at the state level. It's embarrassing During the pandemic South Africa presented their data in easily readable formats. Why couldn't we do that O/c everyone"
X Link 2024-09-07T22:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"36-2/ ED visits seem to have peaked as wellalthough the 5-17 age cohort is lagging other age groupsprobably due to the opening of schools across the US. But crude death rate rose to .3/100K the 3rd week of August. They may be dropping now (or not yet)"
X Link 2024-09-10T00:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"36-3/ Age-adjusted deaths look a little better at .2/100K but IMHO a death is a death. When referring to US death rates from here on out I will only use the crude death rate. Age-adjustment is useful for comparing how we do against other countries w/ different demographics"
X Link 2024-09-10T00:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"36-4/ The freq of KP.3x is still trending up slightly (eating a bigger slice of a smaller pie as cases drop). Some experts think XDV.1 may take up the slack. But it doesn't have much of a growth rate in the US right nowbut wait a few months for some of its mutated offspring"
X Link 2024-09-10T00:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer TRG made lots of scary predictions about COVID becoming more deadly. He blocked me after I bet him $100 that Kraken would be a dud. Unfortunately expertise in the evolution of spider mites does not make him an expert in viruses (not to be spider mite minimizer)"
X Link 2024-09-10T01:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"36-5/ And @Mike_Honey points out that XEC has high growth rates in places like France and Spain. I trust his app but for some reason I'm not seeing XEC hits for these countries on User error in my part I need to dig into this. https://x.com/Mike_Honey_/status/1833136693509320788 http://cov-spectrum.org Recombinant variant XEC looks a likely next challenger against the dominant DeFLuQE variants. Here are the leading countries reporting XEC. Strong growth has been reported from Denmark during August reaching 18%. France and Spain have reached 11%. ๐Ÿงต https://t.co/K9G3aF0MpR"
X Link 2024-09-10T04:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@mike_honey 36-7/ Clade I Mpox hasn't reached the US yet. Clade II is circulating at low levels. Despite earlier reports of 10% CFR US CDC says current outbreak has 1-3% fatality rate. The ECDC considers the severity risk to be low. Hmmm. https://tinyurl.com/2fmac5c7 https://tinyurl.com/3uzerab2 https://tinyurl.com/2fmac5c7 https://tinyurl.com/3uzerab2"
X Link 2024-09-10T04:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@mike_honey 36-8/ Health authorities in some countries are tracking the prevalence of Mpox Clade II via discarded condoms. Positivity rates are highest in India Pakistan and Thailand (all than 2% positivity with India at 2.75%). https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(24)00514-0/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(24)00514-0/fulltext"
X Link 2024-09-10T04:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer @SolidEvidence 3/ But you're right. SE Asia especially South China are the big flu reservoirs. And I never bothered to wonder that why it would it go S and then N instead of spread from the N to the S. That would make more sense. I guess i'll need to dig into Google Scholar after all"
X Link 2024-09-17T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@RealAaronGoren @sentdefender According to WaPo they were Gold Apollo Co. AR-924 pagers a model which uses a lithium battery"
X Link 2024-09-18T02:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@arnau1700 @BallouxFrancois Seems like the pager attack totally complies with the laws of war. Israel knew who the pagers were being distributed toHezbollah operativesnot civs. They knew the numbers of the pagers to be able to detonate them. This is much more precise than a missile or even a drone attack"
X Link 2024-09-18T21:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@ejustin46 1/ What's the source of that graph According to Google Scholar COVID-19 papers published by year. 2020: 1080k 2021: 841k 2022: 554k 2023: 317k 2024: 205k (on track for 270k)"
X Link 2024-09-19T15:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@ejustin46 2/ Scientific attention to COVID-19 has been waning since the first year of the pandemic. Possibly b/c journal editors no longer prioritizing C19 papers. And it may be more difficult to get grants. And part of it might be fashion. I bet we'd see an upward trend for H5N1. ๐Ÿ˜‰"
X Link 2024-09-19T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@ejustin46 3/ Of course we'd have to admit that there were plethora of questionable studies rushed to press during the peak pandemic. But cutting-edge COVID-Pokemon studies are still being published #MildSarcasm"
X Link 2024-09-19T16:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@tapir_worf [---] BCE when Cleisthenes promulgated the idea of democracy in Athens"
X Link 2024-09-29T02:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@jonathanstea But it's worth mentioning that there's a long history of scientific consensus being wrong. The most recent consensus screwup was that COVID wasn't airborne"
X Link 2024-09-29T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@guboya @jonathanstea The scientific consensus in [----] was that powered flight by heavier-than-air machines would be impossible. And there's nothing "consensus" about how GPS was developed. The antenna design and frequency modulations were derived through repeated experiments and testing"
X Link 2024-09-29T16:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@guboya @jonathanstea typo: i meant [----] not [----]. Until the Wright Bros demonstrated powered flight of a heavier-than-air machine in Dec of [----] the consensus was that this would be impossible"
X Link 2024-09-29T16:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@worstninjaever @jonathanstea No it had nothing to do with the virus itself. The 20th Cent consensus was that diseases weren't airborne. No one ever considered (nor looked for) the [--] m aerosols exhaled by breath. http://tinyurl.com/2p8ee6rb http://tinyurl.com/2p8ee6rb"
X Link 2024-09-30T14:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@worstninjaever @jonathanstea It was assumed when transmission occurred without direct contact that pathogen was carried by saliva droplets that were heavy enough to fall to ground short distance from a person's face. In 1960s TB transmission was proved to be airborne but TB was considered an exception"
X Link 2024-09-30T14:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@worstninjaever @jonathanstea This idea can be traced back to the last decades of 19th Cent when germ theory overthrew the previous consensus that miasmas (airborne disease) caused illnesses. This is why hand-washing was recommended early in the pandemic and masks were dismissed"
X Link 2024-09-30T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer Take a look at few European countries and you'll see that its bi-seasonal signal is a lot less distinct. For instance the UK had four distinct wave peaks in [------] Jan [--] April [--] July and [--] Oct plus one immediately after the new year"
X Link 2024-10-01T01:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@shadihamid @washingtonpost "And whatever affliction befalls you it is because of what your hands have earned." Surah Ash-Shura (42:30) Hezbollah and Iran declared war on the US when they murdered [---] US Marines in Beirut in [----]. Although Bibi is an asshole Nasrallah was our enemy. Simple as that"
X Link 2024-10-02T03:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@ATKequity @StevenGlinert @CastIrony Norway supposedly has a supply. And they process most or all of the Spruce Pine output"
X Link 2024-10-02T05:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer @bobepidemiology 1/ Again I think the US is an outlier. Germany had five peaks in [----]. France followed a similar pattern. Australia had [--] or [--] (depending) on how you count them in 2022"
X Link 2024-10-03T15:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer @bobepidemiology 2/ Of course it's hard to know what's happening now because many of our data sources are going offline. But Looking at ww numbers for Munich it looks like maybe (maybe) Germany might be transitioning into a biseasonal COVID pattern (h/t @Jean__Fisch)"
X Link 2024-10-03T15:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@MatthewWielicki Yes. But theres a limited amount of uranium remaining in estimated deposits. Far Short of enough to power 21st Century civilization. Same For Thorium. Possibly breeder reactors though"
X Link 2024-10-05T01:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@elonmusk @fema Ummm. Are the FEMA peeps stationed all over the place to prevent them from landing Did this chopper ever try to land somewhere I suggest you take a deep breath and cut back on your ketamine intake"
X Link 2024-10-05T03:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-7/ So far in [----] COVID has dropped to 14th place in the top [--] causes of deathbelow septicemia and above nutritional deficiencies. O/c final numbers take a couple of months to trickle in but that's true for all other causes too. I don't expect COVID will move up much"
X Link 2024-10-07T23:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-8/ Lots of scare stories about the rates of heart attacks rising (due to Long COVID) but the US data doesn't support this. It looks like the US is on track to have 630k heart disease deaths in '24. This would put the post-pandemic rate at 189/100k vs pre-pandemic 200/100k"
X Link 2024-10-07T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-14/ During the 2023-24 respiratory season COVID deaths were within the hi-lo range of estimated flu deaths. Hard to know what the CFR is but there were [---] million diagnosed COVID cases during that season. That puts the upper CFR boundary for COVID at 0.8%"
X Link 2024-10-08T02:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-15/ The CDC says the CFR for recent flu variants is 0.1%. Say there were 54k flu deaths during the 23-24 season. That suggests that only 575k people (out of [---] million) caught the flu last season. That seems kind of low. Whatever. COVID is still more deadly than the flu"
X Link 2024-10-08T02:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-18/ Let's face it: COVID will be around for the foreseeable future. Zero COVID was always a pipe dream. Our population immunity keeps it at bay and it's becoming less deadly. But it has a long way to go before it becomes another common cold virus"
X Link 2024-10-08T03:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-19/ So yes there will be further waves. The current Scariant of Concern is XECa recombinant lineage of KS.1.1 and KP.3.3. And it looks like it's taking off in Italy and Germanybefore their current KP.3x waves have burned themselves out"
X Link 2024-10-08T03:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-20/ In Italy it showed up in 54% of the samplesbut the sampling size is pretty small and the confidence interval is between [--] and 89%. But Cov-Spectrum puts its relative growth advantage at 55% (+/-3%) which is damn high It's being blamed for current case rise in Italy"
X Link 2024-10-08T04:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"40-21/ XEC is present in the US. Although it's way outnumbered by the KP.3.1.1 it's the 3rd most common variant in the US. It seems to be growing fast (but again we're dealing with a small sample size). H/t to @RajlabN and his excellent NYITCOM graphics"
X Link 2024-10-08T04:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@RajlabN 40-22/ We've every reason to believe there will be a winter wave in the US. Even if it stays at 14th place as a cause of death a winter wave will present a significant public health burden. We can reduce the chance of serious illness & lower transmission rates if we get boosted"
X Link 2024-10-08T04:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@RajlabN 40-23/ Speaking of boosters the current mRNA vaccines should provide pretty good protection against XEC (if it does cause the next wave). https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.04.616448v1 https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.04.616448v1"
X Link 2024-10-08T04:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"40-24/ Here's the 1st data I've seen that Novavax generates longer-lasting NAbs. But they admit "The clinical relevance of the higher antibody responses to the mRNA vaccines is uncertain." The heck with it. My HMO covers Pfizer. That's what I'm getting.๐Ÿ™ƒ https://tinyurl.com/5fwk9kd5 https://tinyurl.com/5fwk9kd5"
X Link 2024-10-08T05:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@NGrammozis @arijitchakrav @Truth_in_Number Where are you getting your information from I'm just giving you the numbers that I get from the CDC. Maybe the CDC is cooking the books but that sort of conspiracy would have to include all 3000+ county health agencies that report their numbers to CDC"
X Link 2024-10-13T06:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@tastybits @phl43 Very probably. A Hamas political spokesmen (in Dubai I think) said that the intention of 10/7 was to provoke an Israeli overreaction to further radicalize Palestians & bog down Israel in endless urban ambushes. I doubt if he expected Israel to be so successful"
X Link 2024-10-17T21:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"42-2/ COVID ED visits are following the downward wastewater trend. Although there may be delays in tabulation weekly deaths (per 100k) may clock in at the lowest any time since the start of the pandemic. Hospitalizations dropping too"
X Link 2024-10-22T02:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"42-3/ Lots of scary stories in the MSM that XEC will bring on the next COVID wave RSN (Real Soon Now). Its frequency is growing but so far it hasn't stopped the downward trend in cases (at least in the US). Its frequency is growing fast though"
X Link 2024-10-22T02:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"42-4/ While US numbers are dropping some countries are on the riseGermany for instance. And the Netherlands. Driven partially by XEC"
X Link 2024-10-22T02:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"42-5/ XEC is close to 50% in Germany a few weeks ago. And 35% in the Netherlands. Notice that they're not coming off a wave like we are. I'm guessing that the current [--] XEC.x variants will not kick off the next wave in the US. Maybe their descendants will though"
X Link 2024-10-22T02:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

"@ValentinaForUSA @ZelenskyyUa @SecDef I hope the Kremlin is paying you in dollars Valentina because I hear the Ruble is tanking"
X Link 2024-10-22T03:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@SEAsheltie @MichaelSFuhrer 6/ I'm a wine snob. The wine is good in NZ. I was in a high-end restaurant in Gisborne. I ordered a glass of the local wines. It was dead. I asked the waitress to take it back. She refused. Asked the manager. She refused and seemed outraged by the request. I asked"
X Link 2024-10-24T06:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@SEAsheltie @MichaelSFuhrer 7/ how long the bottle had been open. She said "only [--] days" I asked: would you keep a bottle of Coke open for [--] days Beer open for [--] days "You're in one of the primo wine-growing regions of the world and you serve spoiled wine to your customers" Sorry NZ is kinda sucky"
X Link 2024-10-24T06:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@MichaelSFuhrer @SEAsheltie I love Melbourne. I thought it was like a dozen different takes on San Francisco stitched together. It's big I found it difficult to get across the city though (but I didn't know the ins-and-outs of how to get around)"
X Link 2024-10-24T06:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

"@SolidEvidence Right. Typing and not-thinking too fast"
X Link 2024-10-24T18:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

creator/x::beowulf888
/creator/x::beowulf888