#  @assymetrix_com assymetrix assymetrix posts on X about prediction markets, polymarket, kalshi, market the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1981736745298497536/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +692% - [--] Month [-------] +8,017,150% ### Mentions: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1981736745298497536/posts_active)  ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1981736745298497536/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +42% - [--] Month [-----] +115,450% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1981736745298497536/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 21.79% [stocks](/list/stocks) 11.11% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) #1986 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 5.13% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #530 [musicians](/list/musicians) 0.85% [countries](/list/countries) 0.43% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 0.43% [events](/list/events) 0.43% **Social topic influence** [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #192, [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #156, [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #52, [market](/topic/market) #1040, [realtime](/topic/realtime) #174, [crypto](/topic/crypto) #4535, [super bowl](/topic/super-bowl) 8.97%, [$hood](/topic/$hood) #888, [events](/topic/events) 8.12%, [money](/topic/money) 7.69% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@polymarkettrade](/creator/undefined) [@opinionlabsxyz](/creator/undefined) [@polymarketsport](/creator/undefined) [@novig](/creator/undefined) [@sxbet](/creator/undefined) [@dnyelfy](/creator/undefined) [@predictiondeskx](/creator/undefined) [@uspredict](/creator/undefined) [@predictdotfun](/creator/undefined) [@overtimeio](/creator/undefined) [@crvsxd](/creator/undefined) [@earnedalpha](/creator/undefined) [@cnbc](/creator/undefined) [@breezyjpg](/creator/undefined) [@weatheredgefind](/creator/undefined) [@msbintel](/creator/undefined) [@eyedigitalmula](/creator/undefined) [@wallachlegal](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Chainlink (LINK)](/topic/chainlink) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Bank of America (BAC)](/topic/bank-of-america) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "This is the play. Two data points anyone can find official travel schedule + current location and you've got risk-free money before the market catches up. The people consistently winning on Polymarket aren't trading on secrets. They're just faster at connecting public information. The edge is synthesis speed. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020652911680725414 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020652911680725414" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020652911680725414) 2026-02-09T00:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$700M+ traded on a single game. Celebrities checking odds courtside. 38M monthly visitors. Prediction markets aren't just an alternative to sportsbooks anymore they're becoming the real-time information layer for every major event. The next frontier isn't more markets. It's better intelligence tools to synthesize what these markets are actually telling us. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020654904205889722 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020654904205889722" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020654904205889722) 2026-02-09T00:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket generating more traffic than Bank of America and PayPal tells you everything. People want real-time probabilistic intelligence not static financial dashboards. The next big opportunity in this space isn't another prediction market it's the intelligence layer that sits on top of all of them and turns market signals into actionable clarity. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020655800436310336 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020655800436310336" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020655800436310336) 2026-02-09T00:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Copy trading is a solid entry point for prediction market newcomers. But the traders actually worth copying aren't just reacting to price they're synthesizing news public schedules cross-market signals and event data before the market reprices. The next evolution of prediction market tools won't just let you mirror trades. It'll surface the intelligence that top traders are already using to make those decisions in the first place. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020656863780471088 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020656863780471088" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020656863780471088) 2026-02-09T00:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Cross-venue aggregation is a massive unlock. Seeing the same market on Kalshi Polymarket and Limitless side-by-side lets you spot pricing discrepancies instantly. The next layer: connecting market prices with the news data and events driving them. When you can see not just WHAT the market is pricing but WHY it's moving prediction markets become a real-time intelligence system not just a trading venue. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020657706734927957 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020657706734927957" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020657706734927957) 2026-02-09T00:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is actually the market working perfectly. A coin toss is a 50/50 event the market priced it at 50%. That's correct calibration not a failure. The real test of prediction markets isn't random events. It's information-dense ones where the crowd is synthesizing travel schedules regulatory filings insider signals and news in real time. The Super Bowl winner market moved [--] points in the last [--] hours based on injury reports and weather data. That's where prediction markets show their edge: synthesizing fragmented information faster than any single analyst can." [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020665826756436388) 2026-02-09T01:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The steady decline from 55% to 30% is more telling than any single poll. It reflects thousands of traders continuously synthesizing donor signals endorsement patterns policy positioning and early state organizing data updating in real time as new information surfaces. Prediction markets don't just tell you who's ahead. They tell you the rate and direction of momentum change. That declining slope on Newsom is traders pricing in a structural shift not a news cycle blip. $45M+ in volume on this market means the signal has real conviction behind it." [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020667166920421765) 2026-02-09T01:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$250M in Super Bowl volume on Kalshi alone. Add Polymarket's numbers and you're looking at close to $1B in capital deployed on a single event all reacting to real-time information. The volume isn't just impressive as a number. It means the price signals are becoming increasingly accurate and responsive. More capital = more information being synthesized = sharper real-time intelligence. The platforms are racing to build better trading UIs. But the real unlock is the intelligence layer sitting on top connecting why prices move with the news data and events driving them." [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020667698913357903) 2026-02-09T01:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Robinhood built the rails. $1.1M in fees from prediction markets alone proves the infrastructure play works. But the bigger opportunity is what sits on top of those rails the intelligence layer that helps traders synthesize signals across venues before they place a bet. Right now $109M+ in volume on this one game and most participants are flying blind. The platform that gives traders clarity across Polymarket Kalshi and Robinhood simultaneously wins the next chapter. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020669309299904950 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020669309299904950" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020669309299904950) 2026-02-09T01:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements ""Gambling apps" is the wrong frame. These are intelligence markets. Polymarket called the election better than every major pollster. Kalshi is pricing geopolitical risk in real time. Combined Super Bowl volume is approaching $1B. The real battle isn't Kalshi vs Polymarket it's who builds the intelligence layer that synthesizes signals across both venues simultaneously. That's what turns speculation into informed decision-making. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671073138692232 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671073138692232" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020671073138692232) 2026-02-09T01:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$250M on Kalshi alone. Polymarket's Super Bowl pool crossed $100M+. Combined that's over $1B in event-driven capital across venues and the Polymarket Portal just hit [--] million concurrent viewers. The infrastructure layer is proven. The next unlock is the intelligence layer synthesizing signals across Kalshi Polymarket and Robinhood so traders can see the full picture instead of venue-siloed data. Capital is here. Clarity is the bottleneck. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671642448310563 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671642448310563" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020671642448310563) 2026-02-09T01:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Prediction markets are becoming the fastest breaking news source in culture. That 55% isn't a poll it's real money synthesizing rehearsal intel venue logistics social media activity and insider signals into a single probability. Over [--] million people are watching Polymarket's live portal right now. We're watching a new information layer emerge in real time. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020688428010996119 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020688428010996119" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020688428010996119) 2026-02-09T02:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Consumer protection matters. And so does accurate framing. Prediction markets called the [----] election more accurately than every major pollster. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated. These are information tools not slot machines. The real consumer risk isn't prediction markets existing. It's participants trading without understanding the signals they're pricing. Better information infrastructure protects consumers far more than prohibition. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020689613296226388 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020689613296226388" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020689613296226388) 2026-02-09T02:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$213M volume. 32M+ contracts at a single price level. Liquidity is no longer the bottleneck. The next unlock is intelligence helping traders understand WHY the line sits at [--] not just that they can enter at size. Execution infrastructure is built. The synthesis layer is what's missing. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020691767201243484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020691767201243484" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020691767201243484) 2026-02-09T02:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is exactly why prediction markets aren't sportsbooks with different UI. They create entirely new categories of tradeable events. But here's the thing the more creative the contract the harder it is to price with just stats. "Will someone cry during the anthem" requires synthesizing emotional context not running models. That's the gap. The contracts exist. The intelligence layer to trade them doesn't. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692901907313004 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692901907313004" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020692901907313004) 2026-02-09T02:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$90M on Robinhood alone. Add Kalshi's $213M Polymarket's volume and the sportsbooks there's over $1B in combined capital flowing into Super Bowl event outcomes right now. The rails are built. Every major platform is competing on execution. Nobody is competing on intelligence helping traders synthesize why SEA sits at [--] and whether that number is right. That's the real opportunity. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020693534739759296 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020693534739759296" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020693534739759296) 2026-02-09T02:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is a solved problem in a narrow domain crypto direction markets where a single oracle feed (Binance/Chainlink) gives you a clean signal to arb against Polymarket lag. But crypto direction is maybe 5% of total prediction market volume. The other 95% elections geopolitics regulation culture has no clean oracle feed. The "signal" is scattered across press conferences court filings satellite imagery social sentiment. For those markets the edge isn't speed (46 trades/min). It's synthesis processing multiple unstructured sources into a probability shift before the market reprices. That" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020876948822438073) 2026-02-09T15:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Comprehensive map. One vertical still emerging: the intelligence synthesis layer. @bapdict MoltNBA and @jupiterzhouqi all touch prediction markets but agents competing in those markets need real-time synthesis of news on-chain data and sentiment to actually generate edge. The infrastructure to launch and tokenize agents is here. The intelligence layer that makes prediction market agents actually sharp That's the next unlock for BNB Chain. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020885570323394603 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020885570323394603" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020885570323394603) 2026-02-09T15:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@JeongHaeju This is the gap prediction markets haven't solved yet. Price movement tells you *what* happened. It doesn't tell you *why* or who's behind it. That's the intelligence layer most platforms are missing. We're building it" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020962371150414104) 2026-02-09T20:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@PolymarketBlitz Prediction markets turning sports discourse into real-time sentiment pricing is just the beginning. The next step is synthesizing *why* the odds move not just *that* they moved. That's where the real edge lives" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020963843128606846) 2026-02-09T20:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@PolymarketTrade Raw order flow is data. Synthesized order flow is intelligence. Watching trades scroll by tells you volume. It doesn't tell you conviction correlation or context. That's the layer prediction markets still need and it's exactly what we're building" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020964220582433048) 2026-02-09T20:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Polymarket Odds doubled overnight but nobody can tell you what drove it. That's the core problem: prediction markets give you prices without context. No signal synthesis no source attribution no intelligence layer. We're building the platform that closes that gap" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020964646921130268) 2026-02-09T20:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@KalshiTrade 45% chance is a number. What moves that number macro sentiment whale positioning on-chain signals is the intelligence underneath. Prediction markets price outcomes. The next frontier is synthesizing *why* the price is where it is" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020965500705178080) 2026-02-09T20:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The core issue isn't prediction markets themselves it's how they're positioned. Framing event contracts as get-rich-quick entertainment rather than information tools is what creates the Juul parallel. The real value of these markets is the intelligence they generate. That's where the industry needs to go. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020965933095817415 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020965933095817415" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020965933095817415) 2026-02-09T21:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$780M+ in Super Bowl volume across [--] platforms and still no unified intelligence layer connecting them. Every platform prices independently. Nobody synthesizes the signal across all of them. That's the opportunity we see at Assymetrix: cross-platform prediction market intelligence. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020966761257107486 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020966761257107486" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020966761257107486) 2026-02-09T21:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Predictefy @Polymarket @Novig @opinionlabsxyz @alphaarcade @SX_Bet @trylimitless @Stake @Kalshi [--] platforms $2.13 spread between best and worst payout on the same event. That spread *is* the intelligence. Where the lines diverge tells you who sees what and where the real edge is hiding. Aggregating this is step one. Synthesizing *why* they differ is the real unlock" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020967359209668719) 2026-02-09T21:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Every platform priced the same event and each one priced it differently. The spread between best and worst payout on a $100 Seahawks bet $2.13 💰 That divergence isn't a flaw. It's a feature. And it's full of signal" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020976518051369065) 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@mansourtarek_ $50B annualized. 140+ countries. One liquidity pool. Genuinely impressive infrastructure. As @Kalshi scales globally the intelligence layer on top becomes even more valuable. More markets = more signal to synthesize" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020984073573830992) 2026-02-09T22:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport $701M on a single game. And that's just @Polymarket. Add Kalshi's $500M+ and the rest you're looking at $1B+ in combined prediction market volume on one event. The question isn't volume anymore. It's intelligence. Who's synthesizing all of it" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020985832514126047) 2026-02-09T22:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@KyleDeWriter [--] predictions. $18.7K profit. One anonymous wallet. The signal was there before the show even started. Tracking wallets like this across platforms spotting informed money before it resolves is exactly the kind of intelligence layer prediction markets need" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020987035842949125) 2026-02-09T22:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Egichzz @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade @zscdao $200K+ wallets crushing Super Bowl markets while most traders are still refreshing odds on a single platform. The edge isn't just better pricing it's seeing where the smart money moves across every platform in real time" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020987530154315965) 2026-02-09T22:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@syanovee @Polymarket @Drake $166K left on the table because of platform choice. Now multiply that across every major event Super Bowl elections crypto earnings. Cross-platform price comparison in real time is the unlock. Best odds shouldn't require [--] open tabs" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020988042102833507) 2026-02-09T22:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Personalized feeds are step one. But the real unlock is synthesis combining signals across Polymarket Kalshi and every other platform into one intelligence layer. Billions of users won't check [--] apps. They'll use one that shows them the best odds the sharpest money and the clearest signal all in one place. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020989520292831710 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020989520292831710" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020989520292831710) 2026-02-09T22:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@fxnction The 3am screen stare is real. Now imagine doing that across Polymarket Kalshi and every other platform simultaneously. That's why we're building a synthesis layer so you can actually sleep while the intelligence works for you" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020990059277644173) 2026-02-09T22:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@PredictionDeskX $1B+ across Kalshi Polymarket and Robinhood on a single event. The Super Bowl just proved prediction markets are mainstream infrastructure now. Next question: who's synthesizing all that fragmented signal into one view Great recap" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020991304134500777) 2026-02-09T22:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The better question: does it have to be either/or Both serve different demographics regulated US traders vs global crypto-native participants. The real edge is synthesizing intelligence across both. That's exactly why we're building Assymetrix one layer for every prediction market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021207174953750594 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021207174953750594" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021207174953750594) 2026-02-10T12:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@tradefoxintern Cross-platform visibility is where the real alpha lives. Having both Polymarket and Kalshi side by side is exactly how traders should be approaching these markets. Great execution on the calendar view" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021207617519943768) 2026-02-10T13:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@USPredict @Kalshi @Polymarket Exactly right infrastructure not a fad. And when the biggest firms commit to BOTH platforms it confirms that the future isn't one exchange winning. It's the entire prediction market ecosystem maturing together" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021208762854301956) 2026-02-10T13:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@quantam_lock @Nithin0dha Robinhood Kalshi Polymarket Interactive Brokers every major platform is adding prediction markets. More platforms = more fragmented liquidity and information. That's exactly why cross-platform intelligence becomes essential" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021209226257871143) 2026-02-10T13:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@graviahq Essentially treating long-tail contracts as deep OTM options buy at 0.1c lose most of them but the occasional winner returns 1000x+. The 50% win rate with massive skew is the tell. This only works at scale with serious intelligence on which markets are mispriced" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021212702022967640) 2026-02-10T13:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi This is exactly why prediction markets matter. Politicians say "landslide" the market says 23%. The gap between rhetoric and probability is where real intelligence lives" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021265972431126613) 2026-02-10T16:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@vikas_basiya This is the exact use case. Shutdown probability spiking to 71% on Polymarket days before the deadline that's actionable intelligence for crypto risk management. Traders watching prediction markets had this signal before the BTC dump. Those who didn't are reading about it now" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021298922518376541) 2026-02-10T19:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Kalshi 50% "expect" stocks to rise. But what does the money say Survey optimism and market positioning tell very different stories right now. The gap between what people say and what they trade is where the real signal lives" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021303658558693732) 2026-02-10T19:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi Delinquencies at [----] highs. Shutdown probability at 74%. Consumer sentiment collapsing. Each data point alone is noise. Together they're a macro risk map that most traders aren't reading yet" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021304076483371363) 2026-02-10T19:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi 69% on Kalshi. 74% on Polymarket. Two platforms converging probabilities. When independent prediction markets agree that's about as close to consensus as you get in real-time forecasting" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021304808062284264) 2026-02-10T19:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Dnyelfy @Polymarket Exactly. Event markets tell you what happened. Attention markets tell you what's about to matter. Layer both together and you get something closer to a real-time map of how narrative drives price. That's the intelligence stack being built right now" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021306453391265877) 2026-02-10T19:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@BTCDailyNotes 71% on Polymarket. 69% on Kalshi. Both converging fast. Prediction markets priced this risk before the selling started the question now is whether traders are watching these signals or still reading yesterday's headlines" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021309160743133610) 2026-02-10T19:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@yo $1.33B across prediction markets for one event. 10x Vegas. And each platform prices differently based on its user base. The alpha isn't on any single platform anymore. It's in tracking how prices diverge and converge across all of them" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021315325795414450) 2026-02-10T20:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@MovieTimeDev @Kalshi @Polymarket @opinionlabsxyz @predictdotfun @Novig @SX_Bet @Overtime_io [--] platforms. $1.33B in volume. Each with different odds different user bases different price discovery. Most traders watched one. The edge goes to whoever sees across all of them at once" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021319099184226632) 2026-02-10T20:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Dnyelfy @Polymarket Once you start tracking the same events across platforms you can't unsee it. The price gaps are everywhere and they tell you exactly where different markets disagree on what's about to happen" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021324848564212124) 2026-02-10T20:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@midascabal Kalshi at 69%. Polymarket at 74%. Two platforms same conclusion: the smart money thinks this is happening. What's interesting is these odds have been climbing steadily for days not spiking on one headline. That's consensus building in real time" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021329422452674955) 2026-02-10T21:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The CFTC preemption argument is critical ⚖ If Congress gave federal regulators exclusive authority over event contracts states can't reclassify them as gambling. The outcome here determines whether prediction markets operate under one regulatory framework or fifty different ones 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021336554619261160 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021336554619261160" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021336554619261160) 2026-02-10T21:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Nevada blocked ✋ Massachusetts challenged ⚖ Eight more states circling. This is why CFTC preemption matters without a unified federal framework prediction markets face [--] different regulatory battles. The industry can't scale under fragmented rules. This lawsuit sets the precedent 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021337909597479144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021337909597479144" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021337909597479144) 2026-02-10T21:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Equity stakes not just trading fees 🎯 Jump isn't providing liquidity as a side bet they're acquiring ownership in both Polymarket AND Kalshi. That's a $20B+ firm saying prediction markets aren't a niche product. They're core infrastructure. The institutional validation phase is here 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349492226744746 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349492226744746" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021349492226744746) 2026-02-10T22:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The deal structure tells the story 📊 Fixed equity in Kalshi (regulated stable framework) vs. capacity-based in Polymarket (growth tied to volume). Two different bets on two different models but the same conviction that prediction markets are institutional-grade infrastructure now 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350168969335179 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350168969335179" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021350168969335179) 2026-02-10T22:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The tension between state gaming laws and federal CFTC authority is the defining regulatory question for prediction markets right now ⚖ Both sides want consumer protection the disagreement is over jurisdiction. How this resolves determines whether event contracts develop under one framework or become a state-by-state patchwork 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021354433339179200 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021354433339179200" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021354433339179200) 2026-02-10T22:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "75% on Polymarket 69% on Kalshi both surging but a 6-point spread tells you liquidity and sentiment aren't uniform across platforms 📊 The real edge isn't the headline number. It's watching where the volume concentrates as the Feb [--] deadline approaches. Order flow is the leading indicator. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610514774651118 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610514774651118" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021610514774651118) 2026-02-11T15:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "c) Both and that's bullish 📊 $113M on a song choice means prediction markets have broken out of politics and finance into pure entertainment. That's TAM expansion in real-time. Kalshi processed this on a regulated exchange while Polymarket handled the crypto side. Two venues one event massive liquidity. The infrastructure is here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021617925568762267 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021617925568762267" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021617925568762267) 2026-02-11T16:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "It's not that amateurs are smarter it's that markets aggregate distributed information faster than any individual model can 📊🧠 A PhD builds ONE model. Kalshi and Polymarket aggregate thousands of informed opinions into a single price. The edge isn't expertise it's synthesis at scale. And it extends well beyond economics into any domain with measurable uncertainty 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629256153891322 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629256153891322" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021629256153891322) 2026-02-11T16:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@LuluMarkets @Polymarket This is the distinction most people miss 📊🎯 Odds doubling doubled confidence in the outcome. The market is repricing regulatory risk not event probability. Understanding what's actually being priced legal access vs outcome likelihood is where the real edge lives 🧠" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021635966969237825) 2026-02-11T17:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@CoinMarketCap 5-minute intervals change the game entirely. This compresses the decision loop from hours to minutes rewarding traders who can synthesize price action sentiment and macro signals in real-time. Prediction markets are becoming the fastest price discovery layer in crypto ⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022098003176403404) 2026-02-12T23:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Polymarket Settlement compression in real time. Elections took days. Sports took hours. Now price action settles in minutes with @chainlink oracles removing the trust layer entirely. This is where prediction markets stop being a niche and start becoming trading infrastructure ⚡📊" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022380581900980566) 2026-02-13T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@aixbt_agent $1B open interest and $17M day-one volume on 5-min markets Polymarket is building the infrastructure layer for event-driven trading at scale. Settlement compression is the thesis and the numbers are validating it fast 📊⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022524661980864550) 2026-02-14T04:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@WhaleInsider Kalshi price forecasts are becoming the real-time sentiment layer for crypto. When you aggregate thousands of traders putting capital behind their convictions you get signal that traditional analyst consensus can't match. Markets as oracle 🔮⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022529303150497955) 2026-02-14T04:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@RobinhoodApp Event contracts on commodities are the bridge between TradFi and prediction markets. Gold traders now get simple directional exposure without futures margin complexity. This is how event-driven trading goes mainstream 📊⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022531487061418178) 2026-02-14T04:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The prediction market stack is forming in real time: Chainlink oracles for settlement MCP integrations for AI execution Maker-taker fees for liquidity depth 5-minute windows for high-frequency conviction We're watching TradFi market microstructure get rebuilt on-chain in months not decades. The question isn't whether prediction markets become a core financial primitive. It's who builds the intelligence layer on top. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022537650742177830 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022537650742177830" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022537650742177830) 2026-02-14T05:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The prediction market credibility crisis is here. Kalshi resolves $3M+ against traders who were objectively right. Polymarket's shutdown market hinges on a single government website updating on a Saturday. Traders are getting banned for speaking up. Resolution infrastructure isn't a feature it's the foundation. Single-source oracles will keep failing on edge cases until platforms build multi-oracle verification with transparent methodology. The market that solves resolution credibility doesn't just win trust. It wins the entire category. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022562073251647530) 2026-02-14T06:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The bot concern is valid but it mirrors every market evolution HFT dominated equities too. The real opportunity for retail isn't competing on speed it's competing on synthesis. Longer-duration prediction markets where domain expertise beats algorithmic execution is where human edge still lives 🧠⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022566620762194073 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022566620762194073" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022566620762194073) 2026-02-14T07:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This reframes the entire narrative. Prediction markets as hedging infrastructure not gambling unlocks institutional capital. A $9B insurance market converging with real-time event pricing is where things get interesting 🔮 The traders and institutions who move first will shape this market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022095700452954369 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022095700452954369" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022095700452954369) 2026-02-12T23:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$184K in day one by exploiting the lag between Binance/Coinbase feeds and Polymarket's order book. That's not prediction it's pure information arbitrage at machine speed. The real question isn't whether to throttle bots. It's how retail traders get access to the same signal synthesis that automated systems already have 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022359607440556535 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022359607440556535" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022359607440556535) 2026-02-13T17:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Today in prediction markets: - CFTC names Innovation Advisory Committee (Polymarket Kalshi DraftKings CEOs) - Senate tells CFTC to stay out of court battles - Polymarket opens a free grocery store in NYC The industry just had its best day ever. And most people still don't know what an event contract is 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022506969307680932 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022506969307680932" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022506969307680932) 2026-02-14T03:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@polycommand This is the alpha most prediction market traders miss. Crowd hype creates systematic mispricing on NO positions and the smart money farms that inefficiency at scale. On-chain wallet tracking makes these strategies visible for the first time 🔮⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022541273324834869) 2026-02-14T05:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Polymarket 5-minute settlement windows transform prediction markets from event-driven instruments into real-time trading primitives. Chainlink oracles as the settlement layer is the missing piece that makes sub-hour markets trustless at scale ⚡🔮" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022543568842183137) 2026-02-14T05:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Knibbs Key context: this pushback lands the same week the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee seated Polymarket and Kalshi leadership. The Senate letter versus the committee composition tells the real story institutional adoption is outpacing legislative resistance 📊⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022554467799863583) 2026-02-14T06:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@cryptorover $9M+ in volume on this market alone. Polymarket repricing government shutdown odds faster than any news desk or analyst real capital expressing real-time consensus. This is prediction markets becoming the default intelligence layer for macro events 🔮⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022559724583981165) 2026-02-14T06:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The prediction market stack is being built in real time. Forbes covering VCs backing college grads to build prediction platforms. Kalshi doing more Super Bowl volume in a single day than their entire year just two years ago. CFTC putting Polymarket Kalshi Chainlink and DraftKings CEOs on the same advisory committee. The infrastructure layer is what matters next. Not more markets better intelligence synthesis resolution transparency and risk tooling. The platforms that help traders think not just trade will capture the most defensible position in the category. Information is everywhere." [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022566913168060738) 2026-02-14T07:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Super Bowl ad during a game with $213M+ in volume on their own platform and deposits are failing. The whole space is still solving basic infrastructure. Meanwhile the layer that actually matters helping traders synthesize WHY a line moves not just that it exists hasn't been built yet. Execution is table stakes. Intelligence is the unlock. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692375786397719 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692375786397719" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020692375786397719) 2026-02-09T02:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "7 platforms traded $780M+ on the Super Bowl moneyline alone 🏈 Kalshi: $500M Opinion Labs: $208M Polymarket: $55M .and [--] others splitting the rest. Here's what caught our attention 🧵👇" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020976515731816625) 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The real edge isn't on any single platform. It's in the space between all of them 🔍 Cross-platform signal synthesis. Whale pattern recognition. Source-level attribution. Not replacing exchanges building the intelligence layer on top of them" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020976524732879038) 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "We're building that layer at Assymetrix 🧠 Not another exchange. Not another aggregator. A synthesis engine that turns fragmented signals into clarity making every platform more valuable. Early access opens March [----] 🚀 http://waitlist.assymetrix.com http://waitlist.assymetrix.com" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020976527287124044) 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Weather contracts. Energy futures. Utility hedging. Prediction markets aren't just expanding they're becoming infrastructure 📊 As the surface area grows so does the need for cross-market intelligence. More contracts more platforms more signal to synthesize. This is exactly why we're building Assymetrix. To everyone who said prediction markets are just sports heres the CEO of a $110b company: [--]. Weather and temperature contracts are the most frequently traded [--]. Utilities will soon hedge electricity and natural gas contracts using these markets Prediction markets are already" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020978601412497775) 2026-02-09T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Count the logos. That's 14+ platforms each with its own order book its own odds its own whales 🐋 Now imagine synthesizing the signal across ALL of them in real time. That's the intelligence gap. That's what we're building at Assymetrix ⚡ Put together a complete overview of the prediction markets space as many new teams are building in the vertical. A quick summary on prediction market categories their GTM strategies product updates some numbers mechanism explanations and where we are headed: https://t.co/X17KePhFu5 Put together a complete overview of the prediction markets space as many new" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020979195552108806) 2026-02-09T21:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$722.5M in open interest across politics sports crypto culture STEM and economics 📊 Exploring this data is powerful. But the next frontier is synthesizing it understanding how whale movements on one platform predict price shifts on another. Data exploration intelligence synthesis. That's the gap we're closing at Assymetrix. new from paradigm: we are building a tool for exploring prediction market data try it out today. I bet you'll find new markets you never knew existed https://t.co/HtDBWtFoys new from paradigm: we are building a tool for exploring prediction market data try it out today. I" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2020980937211748742) 2026-02-09T21:59Z [----] followers, 15.5K engagements "Jump Trading market-making BOTH Polymarket and Kalshi is the signal everyone should be watching Cross-platform liquidity is the future. That's exactly why we're building Assymetrix one intelligence layer across every prediction market. http://waitlist.assymetrix.com THIS IS MASSIVE: Jump Trading will soon be be MMing prediction markets Institutional interest in PMs is growing but considering most top PM traders earn $600k per year is there enough liquidity for a PM market-making team economically viable for a top quant firm like Jump https://t.co/ER2E2dTVwV http://waitlist.assymetrix.com THIS" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021206117498683661) 2026-02-10T12:54Z [----] followers, 15.4K engagements "The CEX vs DEX parallel to prediction markets is spot on. But here's the thing it won't be winner-take-all. Kalshi serves regulated US traders. Polymarket serves crypto-native globals. Both will thrive. The real opportunity Building the intelligence layer that synthesizes across all of them. http://waitlist.assymetrix.com Historically CEXs have dwarfed spot perps etc. DEXs (popularly @binance vs. @HyperliquidX) Could this materialize within prediction markets where @Kalshi eventually outshines @Polymarket Or is non-KYC trading a defensible moat Food for thought https://t.co/ow1vUlUsbY" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021210314818142423) 2026-02-10T13:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Kalshi Sentiment surveys measure feelings. Prediction markets measure conviction with capital at risk. One of these is a leading indicator. The other is a headline" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021266364929827303) 2026-02-10T16:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is the thesis playing out in real time. Event markets price outcomes. Attention markets price narrative. The next edge belongs to whoever synthesizes both into a single intelligence layer. Jump Trading taking stakes. Kaito x Polymarket launching attention markets. The prediction market stack is assembling fast. We're taking the next step into Attention Markets built in partnership with @Polymarket - the next stage in predicting internet trends Prediction Markets are becoming a core part of not only crypto but everyday life more widely. Measurable attention opens up a new way for" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021268414547771798) 2026-02-10T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@KaitoAI @Polymarket Attention is the leading indicator. Events are the settlement layer. Building both into one stack is where real trading intelligence emerges. Exciting to see this space evolving beyond binary outcomes" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021268791099879933) 2026-02-10T17:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "That's literally what prediction markets do. Polymarket showed government shutdown probability spiking to 71% days before BTC dumped below $68K. The data isn't hidden from retail it's just scattered across platforms. The edge goes to whoever synthesizes it into one clear signal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021299553874362682 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021299553874362682" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021299553874362682) 2026-02-10T19:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@WalkerAmerica @_Rob_Wallace @RoxomTV Gambling is paying to guess. Prediction markets are paying to know. Polymarket called the shutdown probability spike days before BTC dumped below $68K. That's not a slot machine it's an information market producing real-time intelligence that traditional finance can't match" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021300294374580276) 2026-02-10T19:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Government shutdown probability hits 74% on Polymarket. BTC drops below $68K hours later. This is the pattern. Prediction markets price political risk in real time. Crypto markets react after. The traders who watch both have the edge. The ones who don't are always a step behind. BREAKING: The U.S. Government is projected to shutdown this week. 74% chance. https://t.co/FxgrNGvkCo BREAKING: The U.S. Government is projected to shutdown this week. 74% chance. https://t.co/FxgrNGvkCo" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021302071186645057) 2026-02-10T19:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Kalshi $1 trillion in a single day. That's not just volume it's uncertainty being priced in real time. When markets move this fast the advantage goes to whoever has the clearest signal not the fastest finger" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021305447890706892) 2026-02-10T19:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Today in prediction market intelligence: - Shutdown probability hits 74% on Polymarket 69% on Kalshi - BTC drops below $68K as macro risk reprices - US stock trading hits $1 trillion highest since [----] - Kaito x Polymarket launch attention markets - Loan delinquencies hit [----] highs Each signal alone is a headline. Together they're the clearest macro risk map available right now and prediction markets had it first. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021308033570164964 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021308033570164964" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021308033570164964) 2026-02-10T19:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@FOS $47M traded on one question. The dispute isn't about what happened everyone saw Cardi B on stage. It's about what "perform" means in the contract. Resolution criteria are the most underpriced risk in prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021310663176442149) 2026-02-10T19:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@HelloShreyas Insider trading in prediction markets is fundamentally an intelligence problem. Track unusual volume spikes. Cross-reference timing with information events. Flag anomalous patterns. The data to police these markets already exists it just isn't synthesized yet" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021311153406697749) 2026-02-10T19:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This debate is actually bullish. It means prediction market prices are real enough that information advantages matter. Traditional markets solved this with surveillance not bans. Prediction markets need the same the integrity infrastructure just hasn't caught up to the volume yet. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021311867671437415 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021311867671437415" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021311867671437415) 2026-02-10T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$47M wagered on Super Bowl halftime performers. Now a CFTC complaint over what "performing" means. A dancer who watched rehearsals placed bets. Prediction markets just outgrew their infrastructure. The volume is there. The surveillance tools aren't. Yet. On Squawk Box Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour struggles to answer why a Bad Bunny dancer -- who watched rehearsals -- betting on the Halftime Show predictions markets would not be considered insider trading. Sports was estimated to be 90% of betting on Kalshi during the NFL season. https://t.co/4fautTxZhs On Squawk Box Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021312449329111055) 2026-02-10T19:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@BenHorney The cautionary tale isn't prediction markets it's ambiguous resolution criteria. "Will Cardi B perform" seems simple until it isn't. The smarter the money gets the more precise the contracts need to be. This is growing pains not a fundamental flaw" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021313640134062469) 2026-02-10T20:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Prediction markets did $1.33B on the Super Bowl. Vegas did $130M. That's not a trend. That's a regime change. [--] different platforms each pricing the same events differently. The fragmentation is the opportunity for traders who can see across all of them. Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl. Prediction markets did $1.33B. 10x Vegas [--]. @Kalshi - $871M [--]. @Polymarket - $312M [--]. @opinionlabsxyz - $92M [--]. @predictdotfun - $31M [--]. @Novig - $19M [--]. @SX_Bet - $5M [--]. @Overtime_io - $443K Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl. Prediction markets did $1.33B. 10x Vegas [--]. @Kalshi - $871M [--]. @Polymarket - $312M" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021319787821842610) 2026-02-10T20:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "What prediction markets are telling you right now: - Government shutdown probability: 74% (Polymarket) / 69% (Kalshi) - BTC just crashed below $68K $40B wiped in [--] minutes - A Polymarket whale bet $26K on BTC hitting $62K this week. Already up $187K - Super Bowl prediction markets did $1.33B. Vegas did $130M - Kalshi CEO on CNBC defending insider trading questions Every signal is scattered across different platforms. The traders connecting them have the edge. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021322069170901426 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021322069170901426" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021322069170901426) 2026-02-10T20:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@crvsxd @coinbureau The more interesting signal isn't the 34% it's that it dropped [--] points. BTC just crashed $40B in [--] minutes and the $40K probability still fell. The money is saying this is a dip not a regime change. Prediction market prices tell you what panic won't" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021322637058720067) 2026-02-10T20:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@crvsxd @Investments_CEO 32% on Polymarket. But compare that to how Kalshi prices the same question with a different user base. Political event contracts price differently across platforms because retail vs. institutional money reads policy signals differently. The edge is in tracking the divergence" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021323059601252497) 2026-02-10T20:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Hourly BTC contracts are a great entry point fast feedback loops teach you how prediction markets price differently than spot exchanges. Once you see that start watching how the same events price across Kalshi Polymarket and others. The divergences are where it gets interesting. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021324118059098528 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021324118059098528" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021324118059098528) 2026-02-10T20:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@EarnedAlpha And the signal gets sharper when you compare across platforms. Polymarket has shutdown at 74% Kalshi at 69%. That 5-point gap tells you how different pools of money assess political risk. One number is information. The spread between them is intelligence" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021325369849086327) 2026-02-10T20:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is exactly it. 'Collaborative performances where performer is on stage' listed as qualifying. Clear language until $47M is on the line and people lawyer every word. Resolution criteria are the most underpriced risk in prediction markets. The contracts need to evolve as fast as the volume. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021326589200417094 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021326589200417094" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021326589200417094) 2026-02-10T20:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Prediction markets have been pricing this in for weeks. Kalshi at 69% Polymarket at 74%. When two platforms with different user bases converge on the same direction the signal isn't noise. These markets are becoming the fastest real-time read on political risk faster than polls faster than pundits. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328139603919323 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328139603919323" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021328139603919323) 2026-02-10T20:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The data to detect it already exists unusual volume spikes timing correlations with information events anomalous price movements before public announcements. Traditional markets solved this with surveillance infrastructure. Prediction markets just need the same toolkit adapted for event contracts. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021330581103984872 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021330581103984872" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021330581103984872) 2026-02-10T21:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@hshaban Smart framing. Prediction markets don't create inside information they surface it faster. The data is already there: volume spikes timing patterns price movements before announcements. The question isn't whether information leaks. It's whether we build the tools to read it" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021331845888225456) 2026-02-10T21:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The insider trading conversation is actually healthy for the space. It pushes prediction markets toward building the surveillance infrastructure they need at scale. Event contracts are inherently more transparent than traditional markets the data to detect anomalies already exists. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021332471464214558 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021332471464214558" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021332471464214558) 2026-02-10T21:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@FatzHomer @JustinCLeto @Kalshi @CNBC No single exchange controls what participants know before they trade true in equities and prediction markets alike. The difference: event contract order flow is far more transparent. The surveillance tools to catch unusual patterns just need to match the volume growth" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021332818035605589) 2026-02-10T21:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the legal fight that defines the space. Whether event contracts are classified as gambling or financial instruments determines what platforms can offer and who can participate. This won't just affect Polymarket it sets the regulatory framework for every prediction market in the US. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333331162378340 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333331162378340" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021333331162378340) 2026-02-10T21:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "69% on Kalshi for Starmer out this year. What makes political leadership contracts fascinating is how differently they price across platforms each user base reads the same signals through a different lens. One platform's odds are data. The spread across all of them is intelligence. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333747862286343 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333747862286343" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021333747862286343) 2026-02-10T21:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$100K on a geopolitical event contract is a serious signal. Whether it reflects conviction or information that kind of capital commitment tells you more about perceived probability than any headline or analyst estimate. Prediction markets are becoming real-time intelligence infrastructure. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021334260854956346 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021334260854956346" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021334260854956346) 2026-02-10T21:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@The_Real_Matt_R @Kalshi @Polymarket @CNBC Exactly detection is always step one. Traditional markets built prevention on top of surveillance. Prediction markets actually have an advantage: far more transparent order flow than equities ever offered. Build the detection layer right and the prevention framework follows" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021334832031391909) 2026-02-10T21:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Exactly right Kalshi is an exchange not a bookmaker. They match buyers with sellers and take a fee regardless of outcome. No financial interest in which side wins. The resolution debate is a separate issue: contract language precision not the exchange model. Both can improve independently. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021335538729398591 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021335538729398591" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021335538729398591) 2026-02-10T21:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@BlaineofTB The real shift: prediction markets now price shutdowns in real time 📈 Polymarket at 74% Kalshi at 69%. Before these platforms you waited for pundits to guess. Now you get continuous probability backed by real capital 💰 One is opinion. The other is intelligence" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021338569697321382) 2026-02-10T21:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@delawareonline The numbers right now 📊 Polymarket: 74% shutdown probability. Kalshi: 69%. Both climbing steadily not spiking on a single headline but building consensus over days. When two platforms with different user bases converge on the same direction the signal is hard to ignore 🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021343113026076938) 2026-02-10T21:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@pandavishnu08 @Polymarket And the signal gets sharper when you compare across platforms 📊 Polymarket at 74% Kalshi at 69% both climbing steadily over days not spiking on a single headline. That sustained convergence means the market isn't reacting to noise. It's pricing in real risk 🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021343569496375397) 2026-02-10T22:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Jump investing in both Polymarket AND Kalshi says it all 🎯 They're not picking a winner they're betting the entire prediction market category becomes institutional infrastructure. Different platforms pricing the same events differently = cross-platform alpha. That's the play 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021347920532869367 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021347920532869367" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021347920532869367) 2026-02-10T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Venture-style deals are the signal 📊 Jump isn't treating prediction markets like a trading opportunity they're treating them like infrastructure worth owning. More liquidity + institutional backing = tighter spreads and better price discovery across every contract. The category is leveling up 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349796754145697 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349796754145697" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021349796754145697) 2026-02-10T22:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The industry has arrived now the infrastructure race begins 📊 More institutional liquidity means tighter spreads and deeper order books. But it also means the data layer needs to keep pace: tracking how the same events price differently across platforms as volume scales. That's where the real intelligence edge emerges 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350609878679921 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350609878679921" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021350609878679921) 2026-02-10T22:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This lawsuit could reshape the entire prediction market landscape ⚖ If Polymarket wins on CFTC preemption event contracts operate under one federal framework. If Massachusetts wins every state can define its own rules. The outcome determines whether the industry scales nationally or fights [--] separate battles 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021351443270111520 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021351443270111520" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021351443270111520) 2026-02-10T22:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The core argument matters for every prediction market not just Polymarket 📊 If CFTC-approved event contracts are federally regulated financial instruments states can't reclassify them as gambling. One ruling here creates the framework for whether the entire industry operates under unified federal oversight or a patchwork of [--] state laws ⚖ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021352217056342044 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021352217056342044" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021352217056342044) 2026-02-10T22:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "12 billion event contracts in [----] 📊 And 8.5B in Q4 alone that's acceleration not just growth. Robinhood is proving retail demand for prediction markets at massive scale. Add Polymarket Kalshi and the rest the total addressable volume across platforms is staggering. The data layer to synthesize it all is the next frontier 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021353523032559647 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021353523032559647" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021353523032559647) 2026-02-10T22:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Today in prediction markets: 📊 Robinhood traded 12B event contracts in [----] ⚖ Polymarket sued Massachusetts over state gambling laws 💰 Jump Trading took equity stakes in both Polymarket AND Kalshi 📺 Kalshi's CEO defended insider trading transparency on CNBC One day. Four signals. The industry isn't coming it's here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021355063306829945 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021355063306829945" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021355063306829945) 2026-02-10T22:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The order book doesn't lie 📊 72% on Polymarket 69% on Kalshi both climbing on sustained volume not a single headline spike. When two platforms with different user bases independently converge on the same direction over days that's not noise. That's the market pricing in real political risk in real time 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021357012341150127 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021357012341150127" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021357012341150127) 2026-02-10T22:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The prediction markets saw this coming days ago 📊 Kalshi at 69% Polymarket at 72% both climbing steadily on sustained volume. Before these platforms existed shutdown risk was measured by pundit speculation. Now it's measured by capital commitment in real time. The data doesn't wait for headlines 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021358033373213038 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021358033373213038" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021358033373213038) 2026-02-10T22:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Whale orders are the signal beneath the headline 📊 $22K at [--] means this trader sees significant upside and HongKongMenace's track record on Polymarket backs it up. When on-chain order flow aligns with 75% market consensus that's not speculation. That's conviction with receipts. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610170871054351 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610170871054351" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021610170871054351) 2026-02-11T15:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Bi-weekly shutdowns are the new normal and prediction markets are pricing them faster than traditional media reports them 📊 Polymarket at 75% Kalshi at 69%. The 6-point spread between platforms shows where informed capital is flowing. This is exactly why cross-platform data synthesis matters. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610887426064841 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610887426064841" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021610887426064841) 2026-02-11T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Senate vote 45-55 is the catalyst but prediction markets priced the risk before the roll call 📊 Polymarket moved to 75% while Kalshi sits at 69% that 6-point spread reflects different trader bases pricing the same event. No path to resolution + [--] days = the order books are doing the analysis for you. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611601690771457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611601690771457" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021611601690771457) 2026-02-11T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements ""Biweekly event" is the key insight here 🎯 When shutdowns become recurring prediction markets become essential infrastructure not novelty. Traders need real-time probability data across Polymarket Kalshi and Robinhood to position ahead of each cycle. The data layer for this doesn't fully exist yet. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611995078783200 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611995078783200" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021611995078783200) 2026-02-11T15:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Hayek framing is exactly right prediction markets are information aggregation machines 📊 But the next question is: what happens when the SAME event is priced on Polymarket Kalshi AND Robinhood simultaneously You get competing information processors with different trader bases. The spread between them IS the signal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021613565476487184 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021613565476487184" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021613565476487184) 2026-02-11T15:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Great map and it shows what's still missing 📊 Nearly every tool here is Polymarket-native. The next wave of builders will synthesize data ACROSS platforms Polymarket Kalshi Robinhood and beyond. Cross-platform analytics unified order flow and multi-venue intelligence are the white space on this ecosystem map. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021614605647200767 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021614605647200767" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021614605647200767) 2026-02-11T15:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Exactly the Feb [--] order flow is where it gets interesting. Watch for bid-ask spread tightening on Kalshi's regulated contracts vs. Polymarket's crypto-native books. When both venues start pricing convergence on high volume that's the signal the market has made up its mind. The clock is ticking. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021615638465159203 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021615638465159203" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021615638465159203) 2026-02-11T16:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "AI Agents + Prediction Markets is the convergence to watch 🎯 AI bots are already trading Polymarket profitably. Now imagine agents that synthesize odds across Polymarket Kalshi and Robinhood in real-time spotting arbitrage tracking order flow and surfacing intelligence before humans can. That's where these two narratives merge. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616419796914431 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616419796914431" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021616419796914431) 2026-02-11T16:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Congrats on the transparency seed details on Crunchbase is a strong signal 📊 The agentic + prediction markets intersection is where the real alpha is. As platforms multiply (Polymarket Kalshi Robinhood) the intelligence layer that connects them all becomes critical infrastructure. Exciting to see more builders in this space. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616893618995579 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616893618995579" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021616893618995579) 2026-02-11T16:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The headline is revenue but the signal is contract volume 📊 12B event contracts means Robinhood isn't bolting on prediction markets they're rebuilding around them. 52% revenue growth follows the attention. Now compare: Kalshi hit $1B+ in Super Bowl trades alone. Three venues three price feeds one question who's synthesizing the edge https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619013483159683 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619013483159683" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021619013483159683) 2026-02-11T16:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$1B+ on Super Bowl alone and that's just Kalshi 📊 Add Polymarket and Robinhood volume and prediction markets likely moved more money on the game than most sportsbooks. The "threat to gambling companies" framing undersells it. This is a new asset class for event-driven conviction not just entertainment. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619486273474827 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619486273474827" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021619486273474827) 2026-02-11T16:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Fair points but worth nuancing 📊 Notional volume is inflated on onchain PMs agreed. But Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and reports actual dollars not notional. Their $1B+ Super Bowl figure is real money. On airdrop farming: that's a Polymarket-specific critique not a prediction market critique. Robinhood traded 8.5B event contracts in Q4 with zero airdrop incentive. The signal is cleaner than the skeptics think you just have to separate the venues. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021620594475700452 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021620594475700452" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021620594475700452) 2026-02-11T16:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Attention Markets is the logical next step 🧠📊 Prediction markets price WHAT will happen. Attention markets price what people CARE about. Combine them and you get a real-time intelligence layer not just "will X happen" but "is anyone watching X closely enough to trade it" That's where alpha lives 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021622661231579431 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021622661231579431" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021622661231579431) 2026-02-11T16:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Pokmon cards on Kalshi prediction markets have officially entered collectibles 📊 This is the TAM expansion in real-time: politics finance sports entertainment now alternative assets. When Kalshi lists odds on a Pikachu card auction you know event contracts have gone fully mainstream 🚀 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623010520633845 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623010520633845" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021623010520633845) 2026-02-11T16:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$4.9M in profit across [----] predictions that's not gambling that's systematic intelligence 📊🎯 The leaderboard data is the most underappreciated signal in prediction markets right now. Tracking WHAT top traders bet on WHEN they size up and HOW their positions correlate across events is where the real edge lives. This is institutional-grade conviction data hiding in plain sight 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623515141530077 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623515141530077" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021623515141530077) 2026-02-11T16:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "10x Vegas on the biggest betting day of the year 🤯📊 Kalshi alone did $871M in regulated event contracts. Add Polymarket and Robinhood and prediction markets absolutely dwarfed traditional sportsbooks. The adoption curve isn't slow it's vertical. And we're still early in terms of the data infrastructure being built around it 🚀 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623930125946955 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623930125946955" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021623930125946955) 2026-02-11T16:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "AI agents running prediction markets is the next frontier 🤖📊 Right now bots are already profiting on Polymarket. But a prediction market BUILT for agents where the resolution liquidity and market creation are all autonomous that's a different category entirely. The question becomes: who aggregates intelligence across agent-run AND human-run markets 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625762126741924 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625762126741924" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021625762126741924) 2026-02-11T16:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the underappreciated edge in weather prediction markets 🌦📊 A 1-degree shift = 20% contract swing means the data-to-trade pipeline has to be faster than the models themselves. It's not enough to know the forecast you need to see the liquidity shifting in real-time across venues. Weather is where prediction markets and quantitative trading truly converge 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021627681427554439 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021627681427554439" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021627681427554439) 2026-02-11T16:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Exactly and the accountability mechanism is what separates prediction markets from every other forecasting tool 📊🎯 Pundits face zero cost for being wrong. Market participants lose capital. That feedback loop is why $1.33B flowed into Super Bowl prediction markets vs $130M in Vegas money migrates to where price discovery is most efficient. The next step is making that intelligence accessible in real time not just to traders but to anyone making decisions under uncertainty 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629643523031048 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629643523031048" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021629643523031048) 2026-02-11T16:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the institutional legitimacy moment 📊🎯 The parent company of the NYSE is now packaging Polymarket data as a signals product for institutional investors. That's not crypto hype that's TradFi infrastructure treating prediction market data as a core input for decision-making. Prediction market intelligence is becoming standard toolkit for professional traders 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021630914812313886 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021630914812313886" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021630914812313886) 2026-02-11T17:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The timing on this NYT piece is perfect 📊 Same day ICE (the NYSE parent) launched Polymarket Signals as an institutional data product. Wall Street isn't dismissing prediction markets anymore they're building infrastructure around them. When the exchange operators start packaging prediction market data alongside traditional market feeds you know the paradigm has shifted 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021632477362634775 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021632477362634775" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021632477362634775) 2026-02-11T17:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Poly_PlayBook @breezyjpg @Polymarket @warriors @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade That 6-minute window IS the thesis 📊🔍 Wall Street arbitraged those gaps with HFT and Bloomberg terminals decades ago. Prediction markets haven't built that intelligence layer yet the one that maps breaking news to price movement in real time. First to build it wins 🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021635562353176617) 2026-02-11T17:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@WeatherEdgeFind @USPredict @Kalshi @Polymarket The maturation curve is real 📊 First came retail volume then institutional liquidity now the infrastructure layer ICE literally just launched Polymarket data as a signals product for Wall Street. When the pipes get built the edge shifts from access to intelligence 🎯🧠" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021636197706031275) 2026-02-11T17:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Attention markets + prediction markets is the convergence to watch 📊🔍 Kaito tracks where attention flows Polymarket tracks where conviction prices. Combine the two and you get something close to real-time intelligence knowing not just what people think but where thinking is concentrating 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021636444477853817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021636444477853817" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021636444477853817) 2026-02-11T17:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Kalshi going from economic forecasting to collectibles pricing tells the whole story 📊 These aren't betting markets they're information markets. Same probability engine different inputs. Today Pikachu cards tomorrow every asset class with uncertain pricing gets a prediction market 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021637676378595782 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021637676378595782" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021637676378595782) 2026-02-11T17:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The AI agent prediction market pipeline is one of the most underrated developments right now 🤖📊 When agents can autonomously create price and trade markets you get a self-organizing intelligence layer. The next question: who aggregates all these agent-created markets into actionable signals 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021639191201824813 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021639191201824813" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021639191201824813) 2026-02-11T17:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@elmatinocn @pinai_io Real-time AI agents pulling live prediction market data is the future of event intelligence 🤖📊 The gap between "something happened" and "how does the market price it" is where alpha lives. Whoever closes that gap fastest human or agent captures the edge 🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021643328157364513) 2026-02-11T17:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@DustinGouker The disconnect is telling 📊📉 Wall Street prices $HOOD on crypto revenue not prediction market growth. Volume doubling while crypto drops 38% shows where durable demand lives. The street catches up once prediction markets stop being a 'feature' and become infrastructure 🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021648295341486265) 2026-02-11T18:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Exactly this 📊🤖 Kaito structures noise Polymarket financializes it the alpha is the spread BETWEEN those layers. Speed of attention concentrating vs speed of market repricing creates the arbitrage window. First to close that gap captures the intelligence edge 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021650092327928159 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021650092327928159" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021650092327928159) 2026-02-11T18:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@getfirstmover The media integration tells the story 📊 Google Finance CNN WSJ embedding prediction market data = baseline financial infrastructure not alternative. The institutional flow isn't just capital it's information architecture becoming standard on every terminal 🎯🧠" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021659140817662313) 2026-02-11T18:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@MazinoTower @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 60% win rate with laddered position sizing isn't gambling it's systematic probability analysis 📊 The edge isn't the win rate it's the risk management: sizing bets to survive losses while compounding wins. Sports prediction markets reward process over conviction 🎯🧠" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021660837124137144) 2026-02-11T19:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@MSBIntel @Altcoinbuzzio @Polymarket Alternative data stack is exactly the right framing 📊 Prediction markets sit alongside order flow sentiment feeds and macro signals as a real-time probability layer. Once it's infrastructure not speculation every terminal needs it 🧠🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021662266312347689) 2026-02-11T19:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the gap nobody talks about 📊 AI scaffolds the boilerplate but market microstructure void liquidity cross-market arb timing order book dynamics requires domain intelligence that prompts can't replicate. The real moat is specialized market knowledge not code generation 🧠🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021662602078609480 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021662602078609480" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021662602078609480) 2026-02-11T19:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@MSBIntel @Polymarket $136.8B in exchange infrastructure backing prediction market data 📊 ICE doesn't launch for niche they build for institutional demand. Polymarket Signals on professional terminals means crowd-sourced probability is becoming baseline market intelligence 🎯🧠" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021662942010450195) 2026-02-11T19:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Degen to institutional in under [--] years that's how fast information markets evolve when the data is genuinely valuable 📊 TradFi paying for crowd wisdom validates the thesis: prediction markets aren't replacing institutions they're becoming the signal source institutions can't ignore 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021663582606307481 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021663582606307481" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021663582606307481) 2026-02-11T19:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The specialization story is fascinating 📊 Kalshi dominating crypto spot + Robinhood integration while Polymarket leads sports + ICE institutional signals. Different moats different user bases but both generating real-time probability data that's becoming infrastructure for every vertical 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021664847524769882 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021664847524769882" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021664847524769882) 2026-02-11T19:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A prediction market on what a CEO will say during earnings and it nearly swept every outcome 📊 This is meta-intelligence: markets pricing corporate messaging before the event. When prediction markets become the pre-briefing for institutional research that's the inflection point 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665548371689767 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665548371689767" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021665548371689767) 2026-02-11T19:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$7M trailing weekly is fair context early innings by sportsbook standards 📊 But the signal isn't today's volume it's the distribution shift: event contracts pulling in finance-native users who'd never open a sportsbook account. Different TAM different growth curve than traditional sports betting 🧠🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021667367021936663 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021667367021936663" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021667367021936663) 2026-02-11T19:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Great piece the money dimension is about accountability not just accuracy incentives 📊 Survey-based forecasts carry no cost for being wrong. Prediction markets do. The real evolution: when institutions use these probability signals to calibrate their own models not replace them 🧠🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021668560938959290 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021668560938959290" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021668560938959290) 2026-02-11T19:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The structural shift here: prediction markets moving from binary events to continuous metrics. You're no longer just betting "will X happen" you're pricing narrative momentum in real time. Key question is resolution design. Binary markets have clean settlement. Attention markets need an oracle for continuous data Kaito's mindshare scores solve that but the calibration of what counts as "attention" and over what window becomes the new edge to trade around. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021708442898141599 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021708442898141599" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021708442898141599) 2026-02-11T22:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements ""Trade repricing not outcomes" is the mental model most retail traders miss completely. One thing to add: cross-platform correlation is a massive untapped edge in the niches you're describing. When a new low-liquidity market opens and its implied probability diverges from similar markets on other platforms or from live news sentiment that gap is information that hasn't propagated yet. First person to synthesize those signals wins. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021710067620311201 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021710067620311201" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021710067620311201) 2026-02-11T22:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Solid list. One gap worth noting: all [--] tools focus on what's happening inside the market trader activity wallet flows price movements copy trading. That's useful for following smart money but it's inherently lagging. The missing category is the intelligence layer what's happening outside the market that will move it. News events policy signals sentiment shifts mapped to specific contracts before the price adjusts. By the time whale wallets move the information edge is already gone. The real 100x tool would synthesize off-chain signals and surface mispricings across platforms not just track" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021712793154531740) 2026-02-11T22:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Worth distinguishing what kind of edge this actually is. On 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets this isn't prediction it's latency arbitrage. The bot processes spot price movements faster than the Polymarket order book reprices. That's a speed game not an information game. The sustainability question is when enough bots compete on the same arb that the spread compresses below fees. Or when LPs on the other side realize they're losing systematically and pull liquidity. Either way this type of edge has a half-life the more people know about 0x8dxd the faster it decays. Compare that to event-based" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021714842931925023) 2026-02-11T22:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The interesting part isn't just betting on popularity it's what attention data reveals about other markets. If Kaito tracks narrative momentum in real time that becomes a leading indicator for event-based prediction markets. Right now traders manually track social signals and news cycles to find mispricings. Attention markets formalize that into a tradeable instrument essentially creating a derivatives layer on narrative momentum. The bigger question is whether attention markets stay standalone or become an intelligence feed for the broader prediction market ecosystem. If attention surges on" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021717532525068780) 2026-02-11T22:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the case that defines whether prediction markets live under federal derivatives law or a patchwork of [--] state gambling regimes. The 9th Circuit outcome sets the precedent for federal preemption. Why it matters practically: state-by-state gambling regulation fragments liquidity. If Nevada can block every state can create its own rules. Thin fragmented markets produce worse prices. Federal CFTC oversight creates a unified framework where liquidity concentrates and price discovery actually works. Regulatory clarity is the single biggest catalyst for prediction market growth. Once the" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2021718638978367560) 2026-02-11T22:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@helicerat0x This is the breakdown 🎯 Most traders obsess over classic arb spreads. The real edge is in event assessment synthesizing news sentiment and probability faster than the market reprices. Asymmetric sizing on high-conviction reads is how you compound in prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022090458143633528) 2026-02-12T23:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Koltrognarek @inference_labs ZK-proof inference is a game changer for autonomous trading ⚡ Verifiable decision-making removes the trust bottleneck. The next frontier is agents that don't just execute they synthesize across multiple data streams in real-time to find edge before the market moves" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022090742681030963) 2026-02-12T23:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@kiracorex @Polymarket [--] to [--] in [--] minutes that's decisive execution 📊 These shorter intervals reward traders who can synthesize price action and sentiment in real-time. The speed game on prediction markets is just getting started" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022091350339166234) 2026-02-12T23:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "DOW below [-----]. Polymarket launches 5-minute Bitcoin bets. Bots extracting six figures from crypto prediction markets. Three signals. One convergence. The traders capturing alpha right now aren't watching one feed they're synthesizing all of them in real-time. Speed without synthesis is just noise ⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022093306402881614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022093306402881614" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022093306402881614) 2026-02-12T23:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@luanalopeslara Demand outpacing infrastructure is the best problem to have. The fact that prediction market traffic is breaking forecasts tells you everything about where this space is headed. Making it right with reimbursements builds the kind of trust that compounds 📊" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022097289637150902) 2026-02-12T23:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "It's the logical evolution. Prediction markets started with elections expanded to macro events and now they're compressing into real-time price action. 5-minute BTC markets turn Polymarket into a speed layer for directional conviction. The question is who builds the intelligence tools to keep up 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022098306021708252 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022098306021708252" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022098306021708252) 2026-02-12T23:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The AI agent angle is the part most people miss. While everyone debates "is it gambling" autonomous systems are already scanning settlement rules comparing contract terms across platforms and executing trades faster than any human can read a headline. The intelligence layer between traders and these markets is where the real alpha lives. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324909322453218 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324909322453218" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022324909322453218) 2026-02-13T15:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@0xkhan_ @Kalshi @opinionlabsxyz @Polymarket $26B monthly notional is the number that makes TradFi pay attention. The real signal here: [--] platforms now competing for volume means price discovery is getting sharper across the board. Fragmentation is a feature not a bug if you know how to synthesize across venues 📊" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022326676257190306) 2026-02-13T15:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Prediction markets just hit $26B monthly volume while crypto shed $850B in market cap. 5-minute BTC resolution cycles. AI agents running 30% of weekly flow. [--] platforms competing for liquidity. The signal has never been louder or more fragmented. Speed without synthesis is just noise. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022329618422694044 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022329618422694044" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022329618422694044) 2026-02-13T15:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@1024EX The lifecycle is universal. The edge is in what happens between "price" and "trade" who can synthesize macro sentiment and cross-platform signals fastest. More event categories = more alpha for traders who see connections others miss 🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022331368974536901) 2026-02-13T15:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9400% returns from two words nobody caught in real-time. That's the gap prediction markets move fast but most traders are still synthesizing signals manually across fragmented platforms. The edge isn't speed alone. It's structured intelligence that surfaces what matters before the crowd connects the dots. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022358256069546187 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022358256069546187" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022358256069546187) 2026-02-13T17:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "To your sustainability question when you're doing $26B/month in volume and just crossed $1B open interest for the first time a free grocery store is a rounding error on the CAC. The real signal is what it means for the industry: prediction markets are no longer just a crypto niche. They're becoming consumer brands ⚡🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374306857034008 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374306857034008" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022374306857034008) 2026-02-13T18:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "5-min markets turned prediction trading into a speed layer. But the real edge isn't clicking Up or Down faster it's synthesizing the signals that tell you which way before the candle closes. The traders winning here aren't guessing. They're reading cross-platform data that most people don't even know exists 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022377781019996554 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022377781019996554" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022377781019996554) 2026-02-13T18:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@suswatibasu @SenCortezMasto Huge signal. Senate telling CFTC to let prediction markets operate while courts decide same week the new Innovation Advisory Committee launches with Polymarket Kalshi and DraftKings at the table. Regulatory clarity is accelerating fast 📊⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022503832547205419) 2026-02-14T02:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@eyedigitalmula @Kalshi Prediction markets are becoming the real-time sentiment layer for crypto policy. When @Kalshi surfaces White House signals before traditional media catches up that's the edge event-driven traders have been waiting for ⚡🔮" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022510761830973925) 2026-02-14T03:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoLady_M Valid liquidity concern. But short-duration markets aren't replacing long-duration ones they're a different instrument. Chainlink oracles handle settlement trustlessly. The real question is whether they attract new capital or just fragment existing flow 🧠⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022515645305540836) 2026-02-14T03:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Emily_Xbt [--] industry leaders advising the CFTC signals prediction markets are being treated as financial infrastructure not novelty products. The framework is being shaped by builders now not just lawyers. Decisive shift for the space ⚡🎯" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022523724059070692) 2026-02-14T04:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@HiveLiveHQ This lawsuit is the exact legal battle that will define whether event contracts are financial instruments or gambling products. The classification question is existential and it's why federal preemption under CFTC exclusive jurisdiction matters more than ever 📊⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022526731559780565) 2026-02-14T04:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Kalshi traffic broke their own forecasts this week. Polymarket just launched 5-minute BTC markets. Jump Trading is now market-making across both. The prediction market infrastructure race is accelerating faster than anyone expected. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022098637652910299) 2026-02-13T00:00Z [----] followers, 14.2K engagements "$DKNG betting big on prediction markets while the stock takes a hit tells you everything about where TradFi sees the growth. 38-state Predictions rollout + in-house market making = they're building infrastructure not just another feature. The real question is whether fragmented platforms with different settlement rules can scale without better cross-platform intelligence tools for traders 💡📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374999181652130 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374999181652130" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022374999181652130) 2026-02-13T18:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@WALLACHLEGAL Strong argument from Kalshi. CFTC-regulated prediction markets have a cleaner track record than state-regulated sportsbooks on integrity issues. The data backs it up. Different regulatory framework different outcomes 🧠⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022513192107413762) 2026-02-14T03:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Settlement windows are compressing fast: Elections days Sports hours Price action [--] minutes Polymarket just did $17M volume on day one of 5-min crypto markets. Open interest crossed $1B for the first time. Prediction markets aren't competing with sportsbooks anymore. They're competing with options desks ⚡🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022526077034250503 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022526077034250503" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022526077034250503) 2026-02-14T04:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@EverythingAjay This committee tells the story. Polymarket Kalshi Chainlink Robinhood DraftKings all at the same table with CFTC. Regulators building the framework with the builders not against them 🎯⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022531083540087045) 2026-02-14T04:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "In the last [--] hours: - CFTC appointed [--] industry leaders to its Innovation Advisory Committee - Polymarket crossed $1B open interest for the first time - Robinhood launched gold event contracts - got hit with a class-action over sports event contracts The classification battle is here. Financial instrument or gambling product The answer reshapes a trillion-dollar market. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮⚡ http://Crypto.com http://Crypto.com" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022531932450385979) 2026-02-14T04:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@alch3my101 @Kalshi $535 to $1126 in a day is what happens when you combine signal intelligence with decisive execution. Mention data gave you the edge most traders were flying blind on that rally. The ones synthesizing real-time data consistently outperform gut calls 🎯⚡" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022548315540279321) 2026-02-14T05:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The prediction market regulatory map right now: - [--] Senate Democrats pushing back on CFTC Chairman Selig - CFTC Innovation Committee seats Polymarket + Kalshi leadership - 9th Circuit weighing prediction markets vs sportsbooks - CLARITY Act could unlock trillions in crypto investment Follow the committee structure not the headlines. Institutional adoption is outpacing legislative resistance and the platforms building intelligence infrastructure now will define the category when clarity arrives 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022554897288163838" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022554897288163838) 2026-02-14T06:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Single-day Super Bowl volume exceeding a full year's trading is the adoption inflection point. Prediction markets aren't replacing experts they're aggregating collective intelligence faster than any individual analyst ever could. When real capital meets real-time consensus you get the most honest signal in any market 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022564868407050536 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022564868407050536" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022564868407050536) 2026-02-14T06:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "5-minute settlement cycles are about to separate the signal-driven traders from the noise traders in real time. The question isn't up or down it's whether you have the intelligence infrastructure to synthesize price feeds sentiment and order flow fast enough to have an edge at this speed. This is where prediction markets stop being polls and start being trading venues ⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022348131023618214 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022348131023618214" [X Link](https://x.com/assymetrix_com/status/2022348131023618214) 2026-02-13T16:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@assymetrix_com assymetrix
assymetrix posts on X about prediction markets, polymarket, kalshi, market the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [------] #
- [--] Week [------] +692%
- [--] Month [-------] +8,017,150%
Mentions: [---] #
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +42%
- [--] Month [-----] +115,450%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance 21.79% stocks 11.11% cryptocurrencies #1986 technology brands 5.13% exchanges #530 musicians 0.85% countries 0.43% celebrities 0.43% events 0.43%
Social topic influence prediction markets #192, polymarket #156, kalshi #52, market #1040, realtime #174, crypto #4535, super bowl 8.97%, $hood #888, events 8.12%, money 7.69%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @polymarket @kalshi @polymarkettrade @opinionlabsxyz @polymarketsport @novig @sxbet @dnyelfy @predictiondeskx @uspredict @predictdotfun @overtimeio @crvsxd @earnedalpha @cnbc @breezyjpg @weatheredgefind @msbintel @eyedigitalmula @wallachlegal
Top assets mentioned Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Chainlink (LINK) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Bank of America (BAC)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"This is the play. Two data points anyone can find official travel schedule + current location and you've got risk-free money before the market catches up. The people consistently winning on Polymarket aren't trading on secrets. They're just faster at connecting public information. The edge is synthesis speed. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020652911680725414 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020652911680725414"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$700M+ traded on a single game. Celebrities checking odds courtside. 38M monthly visitors. Prediction markets aren't just an alternative to sportsbooks anymore they're becoming the real-time information layer for every major event. The next frontier isn't more markets. It's better intelligence tools to synthesize what these markets are actually telling us. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020654904205889722 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020654904205889722"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket generating more traffic than Bank of America and PayPal tells you everything. People want real-time probabilistic intelligence not static financial dashboards. The next big opportunity in this space isn't another prediction market it's the intelligence layer that sits on top of all of them and turns market signals into actionable clarity. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020655800436310336 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020655800436310336"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Copy trading is a solid entry point for prediction market newcomers. But the traders actually worth copying aren't just reacting to price they're synthesizing news public schedules cross-market signals and event data before the market reprices. The next evolution of prediction market tools won't just let you mirror trades. It'll surface the intelligence that top traders are already using to make those decisions in the first place. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020656863780471088 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020656863780471088"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Cross-venue aggregation is a massive unlock. Seeing the same market on Kalshi Polymarket and Limitless side-by-side lets you spot pricing discrepancies instantly. The next layer: connecting market prices with the news data and events driving them. When you can see not just WHAT the market is pricing but WHY it's moving prediction markets become a real-time intelligence system not just a trading venue. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020657706734927957 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020657706734927957"
X Link 2026-02-09T00:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is actually the market working perfectly. A coin toss is a 50/50 event the market priced it at 50%. That's correct calibration not a failure. The real test of prediction markets isn't random events. It's information-dense ones where the crowd is synthesizing travel schedules regulatory filings insider signals and news in real time. The Super Bowl winner market moved [--] points in the last [--] hours based on injury reports and weather data. That's where prediction markets show their edge: synthesizing fragmented information faster than any single analyst can."
X Link 2026-02-09T01:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The steady decline from 55% to 30% is more telling than any single poll. It reflects thousands of traders continuously synthesizing donor signals endorsement patterns policy positioning and early state organizing data updating in real time as new information surfaces. Prediction markets don't just tell you who's ahead. They tell you the rate and direction of momentum change. That declining slope on Newsom is traders pricing in a structural shift not a news cycle blip. $45M+ in volume on this market means the signal has real conviction behind it."
X Link 2026-02-09T01:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$250M in Super Bowl volume on Kalshi alone. Add Polymarket's numbers and you're looking at close to $1B in capital deployed on a single event all reacting to real-time information. The volume isn't just impressive as a number. It means the price signals are becoming increasingly accurate and responsive. More capital = more information being synthesized = sharper real-time intelligence. The platforms are racing to build better trading UIs. But the real unlock is the intelligence layer sitting on top connecting why prices move with the news data and events driving them."
X Link 2026-02-09T01:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Robinhood built the rails. $1.1M in fees from prediction markets alone proves the infrastructure play works. But the bigger opportunity is what sits on top of those rails the intelligence layer that helps traders synthesize signals across venues before they place a bet. Right now $109M+ in volume on this one game and most participants are flying blind. The platform that gives traders clarity across Polymarket Kalshi and Robinhood simultaneously wins the next chapter. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020669309299904950 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020669309299904950"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
""Gambling apps" is the wrong frame. These are intelligence markets. Polymarket called the election better than every major pollster. Kalshi is pricing geopolitical risk in real time. Combined Super Bowl volume is approaching $1B. The real battle isn't Kalshi vs Polymarket it's who builds the intelligence layer that synthesizes signals across both venues simultaneously. That's what turns speculation into informed decision-making. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671073138692232 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671073138692232"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$250M on Kalshi alone. Polymarket's Super Bowl pool crossed $100M+. Combined that's over $1B in event-driven capital across venues and the Polymarket Portal just hit [--] million concurrent viewers. The infrastructure layer is proven. The next unlock is the intelligence layer synthesizing signals across Kalshi Polymarket and Robinhood so traders can see the full picture instead of venue-siloed data. Capital is here. Clarity is the bottleneck. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671642448310563 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020671642448310563"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Prediction markets are becoming the fastest breaking news source in culture. That 55% isn't a poll it's real money synthesizing rehearsal intel venue logistics social media activity and insider signals into a single probability. Over [--] million people are watching Polymarket's live portal right now. We're watching a new information layer emerge in real time. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020688428010996119 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020688428010996119"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Consumer protection matters. And so does accurate framing. Prediction markets called the [----] election more accurately than every major pollster. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated. These are information tools not slot machines. The real consumer risk isn't prediction markets existing. It's participants trading without understanding the signals they're pricing. Better information infrastructure protects consumers far more than prohibition. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020689613296226388 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020689613296226388"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$213M volume. 32M+ contracts at a single price level. Liquidity is no longer the bottleneck. The next unlock is intelligence helping traders understand WHY the line sits at [--] not just that they can enter at size. Execution infrastructure is built. The synthesis layer is what's missing. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020691767201243484 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020691767201243484"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is exactly why prediction markets aren't sportsbooks with different UI. They create entirely new categories of tradeable events. But here's the thing the more creative the contract the harder it is to price with just stats. "Will someone cry during the anthem" requires synthesizing emotional context not running models. That's the gap. The contracts exist. The intelligence layer to trade them doesn't. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692901907313004 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692901907313004"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$90M on Robinhood alone. Add Kalshi's $213M Polymarket's volume and the sportsbooks there's over $1B in combined capital flowing into Super Bowl event outcomes right now. The rails are built. Every major platform is competing on execution. Nobody is competing on intelligence helping traders synthesize why SEA sits at [--] and whether that number is right. That's the real opportunity. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020693534739759296 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020693534739759296"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is a solved problem in a narrow domain crypto direction markets where a single oracle feed (Binance/Chainlink) gives you a clean signal to arb against Polymarket lag. But crypto direction is maybe 5% of total prediction market volume. The other 95% elections geopolitics regulation culture has no clean oracle feed. The "signal" is scattered across press conferences court filings satellite imagery social sentiment. For those markets the edge isn't speed (46 trades/min). It's synthesis processing multiple unstructured sources into a probability shift before the market reprices. That"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Comprehensive map. One vertical still emerging: the intelligence synthesis layer. @bapdict MoltNBA and @jupiterzhouqi all touch prediction markets but agents competing in those markets need real-time synthesis of news on-chain data and sentiment to actually generate edge. The infrastructure to launch and tokenize agents is here. The intelligence layer that makes prediction market agents actually sharp That's the next unlock for BNB Chain. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020885570323394603 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020885570323394603"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@JeongHaeju This is the gap prediction markets haven't solved yet. Price movement tells you what happened. It doesn't tell you why or who's behind it. That's the intelligence layer most platforms are missing. We're building it"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@PolymarketBlitz Prediction markets turning sports discourse into real-time sentiment pricing is just the beginning. The next step is synthesizing why the odds move not just that they moved. That's where the real edge lives"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@PolymarketTrade Raw order flow is data. Synthesized order flow is intelligence. Watching trades scroll by tells you volume. It doesn't tell you conviction correlation or context. That's the layer prediction markets still need and it's exactly what we're building"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Polymarket Odds doubled overnight but nobody can tell you what drove it. That's the core problem: prediction markets give you prices without context. No signal synthesis no source attribution no intelligence layer. We're building the platform that closes that gap"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@KalshiTrade 45% chance is a number. What moves that number macro sentiment whale positioning on-chain signals is the intelligence underneath. Prediction markets price outcomes. The next frontier is synthesizing why the price is where it is"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The core issue isn't prediction markets themselves it's how they're positioned. Framing event contracts as get-rich-quick entertainment rather than information tools is what creates the Juul parallel. The real value of these markets is the intelligence they generate. That's where the industry needs to go. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020965933095817415 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020965933095817415"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$780M+ in Super Bowl volume across [--] platforms and still no unified intelligence layer connecting them. Every platform prices independently. Nobody synthesizes the signal across all of them. That's the opportunity we see at Assymetrix: cross-platform prediction market intelligence. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020966761257107486 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020966761257107486"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Predictefy @Polymarket @Novig @opinionlabsxyz @alphaarcade @SX_Bet @trylimitless @Stake @Kalshi [--] platforms $2.13 spread between best and worst payout on the same event. That spread is the intelligence. Where the lines diverge tells you who sees what and where the real edge is hiding. Aggregating this is step one. Synthesizing why they differ is the real unlock"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Every platform priced the same event and each one priced it differently. The spread between best and worst payout on a $100 Seahawks bet $2.13 💰 That divergence isn't a flaw. It's a feature. And it's full of signal"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@mansourtarek_ $50B annualized. 140+ countries. One liquidity pool. Genuinely impressive infrastructure. As @Kalshi scales globally the intelligence layer on top becomes even more valuable. More markets = more signal to synthesize"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport $701M on a single game. And that's just @Polymarket. Add Kalshi's $500M+ and the rest you're looking at $1B+ in combined prediction market volume on one event. The question isn't volume anymore. It's intelligence. Who's synthesizing all of it"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@KyleDeWriter [--] predictions. $18.7K profit. One anonymous wallet. The signal was there before the show even started. Tracking wallets like this across platforms spotting informed money before it resolves is exactly the kind of intelligence layer prediction markets need"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Egichzz @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade @zscdao $200K+ wallets crushing Super Bowl markets while most traders are still refreshing odds on a single platform. The edge isn't just better pricing it's seeing where the smart money moves across every platform in real time"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@syanovee @Polymarket @Drake $166K left on the table because of platform choice. Now multiply that across every major event Super Bowl elections crypto earnings. Cross-platform price comparison in real time is the unlock. Best odds shouldn't require [--] open tabs"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Personalized feeds are step one. But the real unlock is synthesis combining signals across Polymarket Kalshi and every other platform into one intelligence layer. Billions of users won't check [--] apps. They'll use one that shows them the best odds the sharpest money and the clearest signal all in one place. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020989520292831710 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020989520292831710"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@fxnction The 3am screen stare is real. Now imagine doing that across Polymarket Kalshi and every other platform simultaneously. That's why we're building a synthesis layer so you can actually sleep while the intelligence works for you"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@PredictionDeskX $1B+ across Kalshi Polymarket and Robinhood on a single event. The Super Bowl just proved prediction markets are mainstream infrastructure now. Next question: who's synthesizing all that fragmented signal into one view Great recap"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The better question: does it have to be either/or Both serve different demographics regulated US traders vs global crypto-native participants. The real edge is synthesizing intelligence across both. That's exactly why we're building Assymetrix one layer for every prediction market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021207174953750594 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021207174953750594"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@tradefoxintern Cross-platform visibility is where the real alpha lives. Having both Polymarket and Kalshi side by side is exactly how traders should be approaching these markets. Great execution on the calendar view"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@USPredict @Kalshi @Polymarket Exactly right infrastructure not a fad. And when the biggest firms commit to BOTH platforms it confirms that the future isn't one exchange winning. It's the entire prediction market ecosystem maturing together"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@quantam_lock @Nithin0dha Robinhood Kalshi Polymarket Interactive Brokers every major platform is adding prediction markets. More platforms = more fragmented liquidity and information. That's exactly why cross-platform intelligence becomes essential"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@graviahq Essentially treating long-tail contracts as deep OTM options buy at 0.1c lose most of them but the occasional winner returns 1000x+. The 50% win rate with massive skew is the tell. This only works at scale with serious intelligence on which markets are mispriced"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi This is exactly why prediction markets matter. Politicians say "landslide" the market says 23%. The gap between rhetoric and probability is where real intelligence lives"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@vikas_basiya This is the exact use case. Shutdown probability spiking to 71% on Polymarket days before the deadline that's actionable intelligence for crypto risk management. Traders watching prediction markets had this signal before the BTC dump. Those who didn't are reading about it now"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kalshi 50% "expect" stocks to rise. But what does the money say Survey optimism and market positioning tell very different stories right now. The gap between what people say and what they trade is where the real signal lives"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi Delinquencies at [----] highs. Shutdown probability at 74%. Consumer sentiment collapsing. Each data point alone is noise. Together they're a macro risk map that most traders aren't reading yet"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi 69% on Kalshi. 74% on Polymarket. Two platforms converging probabilities. When independent prediction markets agree that's about as close to consensus as you get in real-time forecasting"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Dnyelfy @Polymarket Exactly. Event markets tell you what happened. Attention markets tell you what's about to matter. Layer both together and you get something closer to a real-time map of how narrative drives price. That's the intelligence stack being built right now"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@BTCDailyNotes 71% on Polymarket. 69% on Kalshi. Both converging fast. Prediction markets priced this risk before the selling started the question now is whether traders are watching these signals or still reading yesterday's headlines"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@yo $1.33B across prediction markets for one event. 10x Vegas. And each platform prices differently based on its user base. The alpha isn't on any single platform anymore. It's in tracking how prices diverge and converge across all of them"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@MovieTimeDev @Kalshi @Polymarket @opinionlabsxyz @predictdotfun @Novig @SX_Bet @Overtime_io [--] platforms. $1.33B in volume. Each with different odds different user bases different price discovery. Most traders watched one. The edge goes to whoever sees across all of them at once"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Dnyelfy @Polymarket Once you start tracking the same events across platforms you can't unsee it. The price gaps are everywhere and they tell you exactly where different markets disagree on what's about to happen"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@midascabal Kalshi at 69%. Polymarket at 74%. Two platforms same conclusion: the smart money thinks this is happening. What's interesting is these odds have been climbing steadily for days not spiking on one headline. That's consensus building in real time"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The CFTC preemption argument is critical ⚖ If Congress gave federal regulators exclusive authority over event contracts states can't reclassify them as gambling. The outcome here determines whether prediction markets operate under one regulatory framework or fifty different ones 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021336554619261160 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021336554619261160"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Nevada blocked ✋ Massachusetts challenged ⚖ Eight more states circling. This is why CFTC preemption matters without a unified federal framework prediction markets face [--] different regulatory battles. The industry can't scale under fragmented rules. This lawsuit sets the precedent 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021337909597479144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021337909597479144"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Equity stakes not just trading fees 🎯 Jump isn't providing liquidity as a side bet they're acquiring ownership in both Polymarket AND Kalshi. That's a $20B+ firm saying prediction markets aren't a niche product. They're core infrastructure. The institutional validation phase is here 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349492226744746 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349492226744746"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The deal structure tells the story 📊 Fixed equity in Kalshi (regulated stable framework) vs. capacity-based in Polymarket (growth tied to volume). Two different bets on two different models but the same conviction that prediction markets are institutional-grade infrastructure now 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350168969335179 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350168969335179"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The tension between state gaming laws and federal CFTC authority is the defining regulatory question for prediction markets right now ⚖ Both sides want consumer protection the disagreement is over jurisdiction. How this resolves determines whether event contracts develop under one framework or become a state-by-state patchwork 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021354433339179200 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021354433339179200"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"75% on Polymarket 69% on Kalshi both surging but a 6-point spread tells you liquidity and sentiment aren't uniform across platforms 📊 The real edge isn't the headline number. It's watching where the volume concentrates as the Feb [--] deadline approaches. Order flow is the leading indicator. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610514774651118 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610514774651118"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"c) Both and that's bullish 📊 $113M on a song choice means prediction markets have broken out of politics and finance into pure entertainment. That's TAM expansion in real-time. Kalshi processed this on a regulated exchange while Polymarket handled the crypto side. Two venues one event massive liquidity. The infrastructure is here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021617925568762267 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021617925568762267"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"It's not that amateurs are smarter it's that markets aggregate distributed information faster than any individual model can 📊🧠 A PhD builds ONE model. Kalshi and Polymarket aggregate thousands of informed opinions into a single price. The edge isn't expertise it's synthesis at scale. And it extends well beyond economics into any domain with measurable uncertainty 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629256153891322 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629256153891322"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@LuluMarkets @Polymarket This is the distinction most people miss 📊🎯 Odds doubling doubled confidence in the outcome. The market is repricing regulatory risk not event probability. Understanding what's actually being priced legal access vs outcome likelihood is where the real edge lives 🧠"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@CoinMarketCap 5-minute intervals change the game entirely. This compresses the decision loop from hours to minutes rewarding traders who can synthesize price action sentiment and macro signals in real-time. Prediction markets are becoming the fastest price discovery layer in crypto ⚡"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Polymarket Settlement compression in real time. Elections took days. Sports took hours. Now price action settles in minutes with @chainlink oracles removing the trust layer entirely. This is where prediction markets stop being a niche and start becoming trading infrastructure ⚡📊"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@aixbt_agent $1B open interest and $17M day-one volume on 5-min markets Polymarket is building the infrastructure layer for event-driven trading at scale. Settlement compression is the thesis and the numbers are validating it fast 📊⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@WhaleInsider Kalshi price forecasts are becoming the real-time sentiment layer for crypto. When you aggregate thousands of traders putting capital behind their convictions you get signal that traditional analyst consensus can't match. Markets as oracle 🔮⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@RobinhoodApp Event contracts on commodities are the bridge between TradFi and prediction markets. Gold traders now get simple directional exposure without futures margin complexity. This is how event-driven trading goes mainstream 📊⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The prediction market stack is forming in real time: Chainlink oracles for settlement MCP integrations for AI execution Maker-taker fees for liquidity depth 5-minute windows for high-frequency conviction We're watching TradFi market microstructure get rebuilt on-chain in months not decades. The question isn't whether prediction markets become a core financial primitive. It's who builds the intelligence layer on top. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022537650742177830 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022537650742177830"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The prediction market credibility crisis is here. Kalshi resolves $3M+ against traders who were objectively right. Polymarket's shutdown market hinges on a single government website updating on a Saturday. Traders are getting banned for speaking up. Resolution infrastructure isn't a feature it's the foundation. Single-source oracles will keep failing on edge cases until platforms build multi-oracle verification with transparent methodology. The market that solves resolution credibility doesn't just win trust. It wins the entire category. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T06:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The bot concern is valid but it mirrors every market evolution HFT dominated equities too. The real opportunity for retail isn't competing on speed it's competing on synthesis. Longer-duration prediction markets where domain expertise beats algorithmic execution is where human edge still lives 🧠⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022566620762194073 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022566620762194073"
X Link 2026-02-14T07:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This reframes the entire narrative. Prediction markets as hedging infrastructure not gambling unlocks institutional capital. A $9B insurance market converging with real-time event pricing is where things get interesting 🔮 The traders and institutions who move first will shape this market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022095700452954369 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022095700452954369"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$184K in day one by exploiting the lag between Binance/Coinbase feeds and Polymarket's order book. That's not prediction it's pure information arbitrage at machine speed. The real question isn't whether to throttle bots. It's how retail traders get access to the same signal synthesis that automated systems already have 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022359607440556535 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022359607440556535"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Today in prediction markets: - CFTC names Innovation Advisory Committee (Polymarket Kalshi DraftKings CEOs) - Senate tells CFTC to stay out of court battles - Polymarket opens a free grocery store in NYC The industry just had its best day ever. And most people still don't know what an event contract is 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022506969307680932 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022506969307680932"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@polycommand This is the alpha most prediction market traders miss. Crowd hype creates systematic mispricing on NO positions and the smart money farms that inefficiency at scale. On-chain wallet tracking makes these strategies visible for the first time 🔮⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Polymarket 5-minute settlement windows transform prediction markets from event-driven instruments into real-time trading primitives. Chainlink oracles as the settlement layer is the missing piece that makes sub-hour markets trustless at scale ⚡🔮"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Knibbs Key context: this pushback lands the same week the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee seated Polymarket and Kalshi leadership. The Senate letter versus the committee composition tells the real story institutional adoption is outpacing legislative resistance 📊⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T06:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@cryptorover $9M+ in volume on this market alone. Polymarket repricing government shutdown odds faster than any news desk or analyst real capital expressing real-time consensus. This is prediction markets becoming the default intelligence layer for macro events 🔮⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T06:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The prediction market stack is being built in real time. Forbes covering VCs backing college grads to build prediction platforms. Kalshi doing more Super Bowl volume in a single day than their entire year just two years ago. CFTC putting Polymarket Kalshi Chainlink and DraftKings CEOs on the same advisory committee. The infrastructure layer is what matters next. Not more markets better intelligence synthesis resolution transparency and risk tooling. The platforms that help traders think not just trade will capture the most defensible position in the category. Information is everywhere."
X Link 2026-02-14T07:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Super Bowl ad during a game with $213M+ in volume on their own platform and deposits are failing. The whole space is still solving basic infrastructure. Meanwhile the layer that actually matters helping traders synthesize WHY a line moves not just that it exists hasn't been built yet. Execution is table stakes. Intelligence is the unlock. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692375786397719 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020692375786397719"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"7 platforms traded $780M+ on the Super Bowl moneyline alone 🏈 Kalshi: $500M Opinion Labs: $208M Polymarket: $55M .and [--] others splitting the rest. Here's what caught our attention 🧵👇"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The real edge isn't on any single platform. It's in the space between all of them 🔍 Cross-platform signal synthesis. Whale pattern recognition. Source-level attribution. Not replacing exchanges building the intelligence layer on top of them"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"We're building that layer at Assymetrix 🧠 Not another exchange. Not another aggregator. A synthesis engine that turns fragmented signals into clarity making every platform more valuable. Early access opens March [----] 🚀 http://waitlist.assymetrix.com http://waitlist.assymetrix.com"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Weather contracts. Energy futures. Utility hedging. Prediction markets aren't just expanding they're becoming infrastructure 📊 As the surface area grows so does the need for cross-market intelligence. More contracts more platforms more signal to synthesize. This is exactly why we're building Assymetrix. To everyone who said prediction markets are just sports heres the CEO of a $110b company: [--]. Weather and temperature contracts are the most frequently traded [--]. Utilities will soon hedge electricity and natural gas contracts using these markets Prediction markets are already"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Count the logos. That's 14+ platforms each with its own order book its own odds its own whales 🐋 Now imagine synthesizing the signal across ALL of them in real time. That's the intelligence gap. That's what we're building at Assymetrix ⚡ Put together a complete overview of the prediction markets space as many new teams are building in the vertical. A quick summary on prediction market categories their GTM strategies product updates some numbers mechanism explanations and where we are headed: https://t.co/X17KePhFu5 Put together a complete overview of the prediction markets space as many new"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$722.5M in open interest across politics sports crypto culture STEM and economics 📊 Exploring this data is powerful. But the next frontier is synthesizing it understanding how whale movements on one platform predict price shifts on another. Data exploration intelligence synthesis. That's the gap we're closing at Assymetrix. new from paradigm: we are building a tool for exploring prediction market data try it out today. I bet you'll find new markets you never knew existed https://t.co/HtDBWtFoys new from paradigm: we are building a tool for exploring prediction market data try it out today. I"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:59Z [----] followers, 15.5K engagements
"Jump Trading market-making BOTH Polymarket and Kalshi is the signal everyone should be watching Cross-platform liquidity is the future. That's exactly why we're building Assymetrix one intelligence layer across every prediction market. http://waitlist.assymetrix.com THIS IS MASSIVE: Jump Trading will soon be be MMing prediction markets Institutional interest in PMs is growing but considering most top PM traders earn $600k per year is there enough liquidity for a PM market-making team economically viable for a top quant firm like Jump https://t.co/ER2E2dTVwV http://waitlist.assymetrix.com THIS"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:54Z [----] followers, 15.4K engagements
"The CEX vs DEX parallel to prediction markets is spot on. But here's the thing it won't be winner-take-all. Kalshi serves regulated US traders. Polymarket serves crypto-native globals. Both will thrive. The real opportunity Building the intelligence layer that synthesizes across all of them. http://waitlist.assymetrix.com Historically CEXs have dwarfed spot perps etc. DEXs (popularly @binance vs. @HyperliquidX) Could this materialize within prediction markets where @Kalshi eventually outshines @Polymarket Or is non-KYC trading a defensible moat Food for thought https://t.co/ow1vUlUsbY"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Kalshi Sentiment surveys measure feelings. Prediction markets measure conviction with capital at risk. One of these is a leading indicator. The other is a headline"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is the thesis playing out in real time. Event markets price outcomes. Attention markets price narrative. The next edge belongs to whoever synthesizes both into a single intelligence layer. Jump Trading taking stakes. Kaito x Polymarket launching attention markets. The prediction market stack is assembling fast. We're taking the next step into Attention Markets built in partnership with @Polymarket - the next stage in predicting internet trends Prediction Markets are becoming a core part of not only crypto but everyday life more widely. Measurable attention opens up a new way for"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@KaitoAI @Polymarket Attention is the leading indicator. Events are the settlement layer. Building both into one stack is where real trading intelligence emerges. Exciting to see this space evolving beyond binary outcomes"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"That's literally what prediction markets do. Polymarket showed government shutdown probability spiking to 71% days before BTC dumped below $68K. The data isn't hidden from retail it's just scattered across platforms. The edge goes to whoever synthesizes it into one clear signal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021299553874362682 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021299553874362682"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@WalkerAmerica @_Rob_Wallace @RoxomTV Gambling is paying to guess. Prediction markets are paying to know. Polymarket called the shutdown probability spike days before BTC dumped below $68K. That's not a slot machine it's an information market producing real-time intelligence that traditional finance can't match"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Government shutdown probability hits 74% on Polymarket. BTC drops below $68K hours later. This is the pattern. Prediction markets price political risk in real time. Crypto markets react after. The traders who watch both have the edge. The ones who don't are always a step behind. BREAKING: The U.S. Government is projected to shutdown this week. 74% chance. https://t.co/FxgrNGvkCo BREAKING: The U.S. Government is projected to shutdown this week. 74% chance. https://t.co/FxgrNGvkCo"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Kalshi $1 trillion in a single day. That's not just volume it's uncertainty being priced in real time. When markets move this fast the advantage goes to whoever has the clearest signal not the fastest finger"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Today in prediction market intelligence: - Shutdown probability hits 74% on Polymarket 69% on Kalshi - BTC drops below $68K as macro risk reprices - US stock trading hits $1 trillion highest since [----] - Kaito x Polymarket launch attention markets - Loan delinquencies hit [----] highs Each signal alone is a headline. Together they're the clearest macro risk map available right now and prediction markets had it first. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021308033570164964 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021308033570164964"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@FOS $47M traded on one question. The dispute isn't about what happened everyone saw Cardi B on stage. It's about what "perform" means in the contract. Resolution criteria are the most underpriced risk in prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@HelloShreyas Insider trading in prediction markets is fundamentally an intelligence problem. Track unusual volume spikes. Cross-reference timing with information events. Flag anomalous patterns. The data to police these markets already exists it just isn't synthesized yet"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This debate is actually bullish. It means prediction market prices are real enough that information advantages matter. Traditional markets solved this with surveillance not bans. Prediction markets need the same the integrity infrastructure just hasn't caught up to the volume yet. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021311867671437415 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021311867671437415"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$47M wagered on Super Bowl halftime performers. Now a CFTC complaint over what "performing" means. A dancer who watched rehearsals placed bets. Prediction markets just outgrew their infrastructure. The volume is there. The surveillance tools aren't. Yet. On Squawk Box Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour struggles to answer why a Bad Bunny dancer -- who watched rehearsals -- betting on the Halftime Show predictions markets would not be considered insider trading. Sports was estimated to be 90% of betting on Kalshi during the NFL season. https://t.co/4fautTxZhs On Squawk Box Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@BenHorney The cautionary tale isn't prediction markets it's ambiguous resolution criteria. "Will Cardi B perform" seems simple until it isn't. The smarter the money gets the more precise the contracts need to be. This is growing pains not a fundamental flaw"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Prediction markets did $1.33B on the Super Bowl. Vegas did $130M. That's not a trend. That's a regime change. [--] different platforms each pricing the same events differently. The fragmentation is the opportunity for traders who can see across all of them. Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl. Prediction markets did $1.33B. 10x Vegas [--]. @Kalshi - $871M [--]. @Polymarket - $312M [--]. @opinionlabsxyz - $92M [--]. @predictdotfun - $31M [--]. @Novig - $19M [--]. @SX_Bet - $5M [--]. @Overtime_io - $443K Vegas did $130M on the Super Bowl. Prediction markets did $1.33B. 10x Vegas [--]. @Kalshi - $871M [--]. @Polymarket - $312M"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"What prediction markets are telling you right now: - Government shutdown probability: 74% (Polymarket) / 69% (Kalshi) - BTC just crashed below $68K $40B wiped in [--] minutes - A Polymarket whale bet $26K on BTC hitting $62K this week. Already up $187K - Super Bowl prediction markets did $1.33B. Vegas did $130M - Kalshi CEO on CNBC defending insider trading questions Every signal is scattered across different platforms. The traders connecting them have the edge. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021322069170901426 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021322069170901426"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@crvsxd @coinbureau The more interesting signal isn't the 34% it's that it dropped [--] points. BTC just crashed $40B in [--] minutes and the $40K probability still fell. The money is saying this is a dip not a regime change. Prediction market prices tell you what panic won't"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@crvsxd @Investments_CEO 32% on Polymarket. But compare that to how Kalshi prices the same question with a different user base. Political event contracts price differently across platforms because retail vs. institutional money reads policy signals differently. The edge is in tracking the divergence"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Hourly BTC contracts are a great entry point fast feedback loops teach you how prediction markets price differently than spot exchanges. Once you see that start watching how the same events price across Kalshi Polymarket and others. The divergences are where it gets interesting. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021324118059098528 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021324118059098528"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@EarnedAlpha And the signal gets sharper when you compare across platforms. Polymarket has shutdown at 74% Kalshi at 69%. That 5-point gap tells you how different pools of money assess political risk. One number is information. The spread between them is intelligence"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is exactly it. 'Collaborative performances where performer is on stage' listed as qualifying. Clear language until $47M is on the line and people lawyer every word. Resolution criteria are the most underpriced risk in prediction markets. The contracts need to evolve as fast as the volume. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021326589200417094 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021326589200417094"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Prediction markets have been pricing this in for weeks. Kalshi at 69% Polymarket at 74%. When two platforms with different user bases converge on the same direction the signal isn't noise. These markets are becoming the fastest real-time read on political risk faster than polls faster than pundits. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328139603919323 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328139603919323"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The data to detect it already exists unusual volume spikes timing correlations with information events anomalous price movements before public announcements. Traditional markets solved this with surveillance infrastructure. Prediction markets just need the same toolkit adapted for event contracts. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021330581103984872 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021330581103984872"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@hshaban Smart framing. Prediction markets don't create inside information they surface it faster. The data is already there: volume spikes timing patterns price movements before announcements. The question isn't whether information leaks. It's whether we build the tools to read it"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The insider trading conversation is actually healthy for the space. It pushes prediction markets toward building the surveillance infrastructure they need at scale. Event contracts are inherently more transparent than traditional markets the data to detect anomalies already exists. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021332471464214558 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021332471464214558"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@FatzHomer @JustinCLeto @Kalshi @CNBC No single exchange controls what participants know before they trade true in equities and prediction markets alike. The difference: event contract order flow is far more transparent. The surveillance tools to catch unusual patterns just need to match the volume growth"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the legal fight that defines the space. Whether event contracts are classified as gambling or financial instruments determines what platforms can offer and who can participate. This won't just affect Polymarket it sets the regulatory framework for every prediction market in the US. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333331162378340 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333331162378340"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"69% on Kalshi for Starmer out this year. What makes political leadership contracts fascinating is how differently they price across platforms each user base reads the same signals through a different lens. One platform's odds are data. The spread across all of them is intelligence. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333747862286343 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021333747862286343"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$100K on a geopolitical event contract is a serious signal. Whether it reflects conviction or information that kind of capital commitment tells you more about perceived probability than any headline or analyst estimate. Prediction markets are becoming real-time intelligence infrastructure. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021334260854956346 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021334260854956346"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@The_Real_Matt_R @Kalshi @Polymarket @CNBC Exactly detection is always step one. Traditional markets built prevention on top of surveillance. Prediction markets actually have an advantage: far more transparent order flow than equities ever offered. Build the detection layer right and the prevention framework follows"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Exactly right Kalshi is an exchange not a bookmaker. They match buyers with sellers and take a fee regardless of outcome. No financial interest in which side wins. The resolution debate is a separate issue: contract language precision not the exchange model. Both can improve independently. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021335538729398591 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021335538729398591"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@BlaineofTB The real shift: prediction markets now price shutdowns in real time 📈 Polymarket at 74% Kalshi at 69%. Before these platforms you waited for pundits to guess. Now you get continuous probability backed by real capital 💰 One is opinion. The other is intelligence"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@delawareonline The numbers right now 📊 Polymarket: 74% shutdown probability. Kalshi: 69%. Both climbing steadily not spiking on a single headline but building consensus over days. When two platforms with different user bases converge on the same direction the signal is hard to ignore 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@pandavishnu08 @Polymarket And the signal gets sharper when you compare across platforms 📊 Polymarket at 74% Kalshi at 69% both climbing steadily over days not spiking on a single headline. That sustained convergence means the market isn't reacting to noise. It's pricing in real risk 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Jump investing in both Polymarket AND Kalshi says it all 🎯 They're not picking a winner they're betting the entire prediction market category becomes institutional infrastructure. Different platforms pricing the same events differently = cross-platform alpha. That's the play 📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021347920532869367 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021347920532869367"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Venture-style deals are the signal 📊 Jump isn't treating prediction markets like a trading opportunity they're treating them like infrastructure worth owning. More liquidity + institutional backing = tighter spreads and better price discovery across every contract. The category is leveling up 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349796754145697 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021349796754145697"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The industry has arrived now the infrastructure race begins 📊 More institutional liquidity means tighter spreads and deeper order books. But it also means the data layer needs to keep pace: tracking how the same events price differently across platforms as volume scales. That's where the real intelligence edge emerges 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350609878679921 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021350609878679921"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This lawsuit could reshape the entire prediction market landscape ⚖ If Polymarket wins on CFTC preemption event contracts operate under one federal framework. If Massachusetts wins every state can define its own rules. The outcome determines whether the industry scales nationally or fights [--] separate battles 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021351443270111520 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021351443270111520"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The core argument matters for every prediction market not just Polymarket 📊 If CFTC-approved event contracts are federally regulated financial instruments states can't reclassify them as gambling. One ruling here creates the framework for whether the entire industry operates under unified federal oversight or a patchwork of [--] state laws ⚖ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021352217056342044 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021352217056342044"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"12 billion event contracts in [----] 📊 And 8.5B in Q4 alone that's acceleration not just growth. Robinhood is proving retail demand for prediction markets at massive scale. Add Polymarket Kalshi and the rest the total addressable volume across platforms is staggering. The data layer to synthesize it all is the next frontier 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021353523032559647 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021353523032559647"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Today in prediction markets: 📊 Robinhood traded 12B event contracts in [----] ⚖ Polymarket sued Massachusetts over state gambling laws 💰 Jump Trading took equity stakes in both Polymarket AND Kalshi 📺 Kalshi's CEO defended insider trading transparency on CNBC One day. Four signals. The industry isn't coming it's here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021355063306829945 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021355063306829945"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The order book doesn't lie 📊 72% on Polymarket 69% on Kalshi both climbing on sustained volume not a single headline spike. When two platforms with different user bases independently converge on the same direction over days that's not noise. That's the market pricing in real political risk in real time 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021357012341150127 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021357012341150127"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The prediction markets saw this coming days ago 📊 Kalshi at 69% Polymarket at 72% both climbing steadily on sustained volume. Before these platforms existed shutdown risk was measured by pundit speculation. Now it's measured by capital commitment in real time. The data doesn't wait for headlines 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021358033373213038 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021358033373213038"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Whale orders are the signal beneath the headline 📊 $22K at [--] means this trader sees significant upside and HongKongMenace's track record on Polymarket backs it up. When on-chain order flow aligns with 75% market consensus that's not speculation. That's conviction with receipts. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610170871054351 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610170871054351"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Bi-weekly shutdowns are the new normal and prediction markets are pricing them faster than traditional media reports them 📊 Polymarket at 75% Kalshi at 69%. The 6-point spread between platforms shows where informed capital is flowing. This is exactly why cross-platform data synthesis matters. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610887426064841 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021610887426064841"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Senate vote 45-55 is the catalyst but prediction markets priced the risk before the roll call 📊 Polymarket moved to 75% while Kalshi sits at 69% that 6-point spread reflects different trader bases pricing the same event. No path to resolution + [--] days = the order books are doing the analysis for you. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611601690771457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611601690771457"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
""Biweekly event" is the key insight here 🎯 When shutdowns become recurring prediction markets become essential infrastructure not novelty. Traders need real-time probability data across Polymarket Kalshi and Robinhood to position ahead of each cycle. The data layer for this doesn't fully exist yet. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611995078783200 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021611995078783200"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Hayek framing is exactly right prediction markets are information aggregation machines 📊 But the next question is: what happens when the SAME event is priced on Polymarket Kalshi AND Robinhood simultaneously You get competing information processors with different trader bases. The spread between them IS the signal. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021613565476487184 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021613565476487184"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Great map and it shows what's still missing 📊 Nearly every tool here is Polymarket-native. The next wave of builders will synthesize data ACROSS platforms Polymarket Kalshi Robinhood and beyond. Cross-platform analytics unified order flow and multi-venue intelligence are the white space on this ecosystem map. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021614605647200767 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021614605647200767"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Exactly the Feb [--] order flow is where it gets interesting. Watch for bid-ask spread tightening on Kalshi's regulated contracts vs. Polymarket's crypto-native books. When both venues start pricing convergence on high volume that's the signal the market has made up its mind. The clock is ticking. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021615638465159203 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021615638465159203"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"AI Agents + Prediction Markets is the convergence to watch 🎯 AI bots are already trading Polymarket profitably. Now imagine agents that synthesize odds across Polymarket Kalshi and Robinhood in real-time spotting arbitrage tracking order flow and surfacing intelligence before humans can. That's where these two narratives merge. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616419796914431 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616419796914431"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Congrats on the transparency seed details on Crunchbase is a strong signal 📊 The agentic + prediction markets intersection is where the real alpha is. As platforms multiply (Polymarket Kalshi Robinhood) the intelligence layer that connects them all becomes critical infrastructure. Exciting to see more builders in this space. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616893618995579 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021616893618995579"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The headline is revenue but the signal is contract volume 📊 12B event contracts means Robinhood isn't bolting on prediction markets they're rebuilding around them. 52% revenue growth follows the attention. Now compare: Kalshi hit $1B+ in Super Bowl trades alone. Three venues three price feeds one question who's synthesizing the edge https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619013483159683 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619013483159683"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$1B+ on Super Bowl alone and that's just Kalshi 📊 Add Polymarket and Robinhood volume and prediction markets likely moved more money on the game than most sportsbooks. The "threat to gambling companies" framing undersells it. This is a new asset class for event-driven conviction not just entertainment. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619486273474827 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021619486273474827"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Fair points but worth nuancing 📊 Notional volume is inflated on onchain PMs agreed. But Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and reports actual dollars not notional. Their $1B+ Super Bowl figure is real money. On airdrop farming: that's a Polymarket-specific critique not a prediction market critique. Robinhood traded 8.5B event contracts in Q4 with zero airdrop incentive. The signal is cleaner than the skeptics think you just have to separate the venues. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021620594475700452 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021620594475700452"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Attention Markets is the logical next step 🧠📊 Prediction markets price WHAT will happen. Attention markets price what people CARE about. Combine them and you get a real-time intelligence layer not just "will X happen" but "is anyone watching X closely enough to trade it" That's where alpha lives 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021622661231579431 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021622661231579431"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Pokmon cards on Kalshi prediction markets have officially entered collectibles 📊 This is the TAM expansion in real-time: politics finance sports entertainment now alternative assets. When Kalshi lists odds on a Pikachu card auction you know event contracts have gone fully mainstream 🚀 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623010520633845 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623010520633845"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$4.9M in profit across [----] predictions that's not gambling that's systematic intelligence 📊🎯 The leaderboard data is the most underappreciated signal in prediction markets right now. Tracking WHAT top traders bet on WHEN they size up and HOW their positions correlate across events is where the real edge lives. This is institutional-grade conviction data hiding in plain sight 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623515141530077 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623515141530077"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"10x Vegas on the biggest betting day of the year 🤯📊 Kalshi alone did $871M in regulated event contracts. Add Polymarket and Robinhood and prediction markets absolutely dwarfed traditional sportsbooks. The adoption curve isn't slow it's vertical. And we're still early in terms of the data infrastructure being built around it 🚀 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623930125946955 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021623930125946955"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"AI agents running prediction markets is the next frontier 🤖📊 Right now bots are already profiting on Polymarket. But a prediction market BUILT for agents where the resolution liquidity and market creation are all autonomous that's a different category entirely. The question becomes: who aggregates intelligence across agent-run AND human-run markets 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625762126741924 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625762126741924"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the underappreciated edge in weather prediction markets 🌦📊 A 1-degree shift = 20% contract swing means the data-to-trade pipeline has to be faster than the models themselves. It's not enough to know the forecast you need to see the liquidity shifting in real-time across venues. Weather is where prediction markets and quantitative trading truly converge 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021627681427554439 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021627681427554439"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Exactly and the accountability mechanism is what separates prediction markets from every other forecasting tool 📊🎯 Pundits face zero cost for being wrong. Market participants lose capital. That feedback loop is why $1.33B flowed into Super Bowl prediction markets vs $130M in Vegas money migrates to where price discovery is most efficient. The next step is making that intelligence accessible in real time not just to traders but to anyone making decisions under uncertainty 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629643523031048 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021629643523031048"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the institutional legitimacy moment 📊🎯 The parent company of the NYSE is now packaging Polymarket data as a signals product for institutional investors. That's not crypto hype that's TradFi infrastructure treating prediction market data as a core input for decision-making. Prediction market intelligence is becoming standard toolkit for professional traders 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021630914812313886 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021630914812313886"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The timing on this NYT piece is perfect 📊 Same day ICE (the NYSE parent) launched Polymarket Signals as an institutional data product. Wall Street isn't dismissing prediction markets anymore they're building infrastructure around them. When the exchange operators start packaging prediction market data alongside traditional market feeds you know the paradigm has shifted 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021632477362634775 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021632477362634775"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Poly_PlayBook @breezyjpg @Polymarket @warriors @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade That 6-minute window IS the thesis 📊🔍 Wall Street arbitraged those gaps with HFT and Bloomberg terminals decades ago. Prediction markets haven't built that intelligence layer yet the one that maps breaking news to price movement in real time. First to build it wins 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@WeatherEdgeFind @USPredict @Kalshi @Polymarket The maturation curve is real 📊 First came retail volume then institutional liquidity now the infrastructure layer ICE literally just launched Polymarket data as a signals product for Wall Street. When the pipes get built the edge shifts from access to intelligence 🎯🧠"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Attention markets + prediction markets is the convergence to watch 📊🔍 Kaito tracks where attention flows Polymarket tracks where conviction prices. Combine the two and you get something close to real-time intelligence knowing not just what people think but where thinking is concentrating 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021636444477853817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021636444477853817"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Kalshi going from economic forecasting to collectibles pricing tells the whole story 📊 These aren't betting markets they're information markets. Same probability engine different inputs. Today Pikachu cards tomorrow every asset class with uncertain pricing gets a prediction market 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021637676378595782 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021637676378595782"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The AI agent prediction market pipeline is one of the most underrated developments right now 🤖📊 When agents can autonomously create price and trade markets you get a self-organizing intelligence layer. The next question: who aggregates all these agent-created markets into actionable signals 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021639191201824813 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021639191201824813"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@elmatinocn @pinai_io Real-time AI agents pulling live prediction market data is the future of event intelligence 🤖📊 The gap between "something happened" and "how does the market price it" is where alpha lives. Whoever closes that gap fastest human or agent captures the edge 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@DustinGouker The disconnect is telling 📊📉 Wall Street prices $HOOD on crypto revenue not prediction market growth. Volume doubling while crypto drops 38% shows where durable demand lives. The street catches up once prediction markets stop being a 'feature' and become infrastructure 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Exactly this 📊🤖 Kaito structures noise Polymarket financializes it the alpha is the spread BETWEEN those layers. Speed of attention concentrating vs speed of market repricing creates the arbitrage window. First to close that gap captures the intelligence edge 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021650092327928159 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021650092327928159"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@getfirstmover The media integration tells the story 📊 Google Finance CNN WSJ embedding prediction market data = baseline financial infrastructure not alternative. The institutional flow isn't just capital it's information architecture becoming standard on every terminal 🎯🧠"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@MazinoTower @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 60% win rate with laddered position sizing isn't gambling it's systematic probability analysis 📊 The edge isn't the win rate it's the risk management: sizing bets to survive losses while compounding wins. Sports prediction markets reward process over conviction 🎯🧠"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@MSBIntel @Altcoinbuzzio @Polymarket Alternative data stack is exactly the right framing 📊 Prediction markets sit alongside order flow sentiment feeds and macro signals as a real-time probability layer. Once it's infrastructure not speculation every terminal needs it 🧠🎯"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the gap nobody talks about 📊 AI scaffolds the boilerplate but market microstructure void liquidity cross-market arb timing order book dynamics requires domain intelligence that prompts can't replicate. The real moat is specialized market knowledge not code generation 🧠🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021662602078609480 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021662602078609480"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@MSBIntel @Polymarket $136.8B in exchange infrastructure backing prediction market data 📊 ICE doesn't launch for niche they build for institutional demand. Polymarket Signals on professional terminals means crowd-sourced probability is becoming baseline market intelligence 🎯🧠"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Degen to institutional in under [--] years that's how fast information markets evolve when the data is genuinely valuable 📊 TradFi paying for crowd wisdom validates the thesis: prediction markets aren't replacing institutions they're becoming the signal source institutions can't ignore 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021663582606307481 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021663582606307481"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The specialization story is fascinating 📊 Kalshi dominating crypto spot + Robinhood integration while Polymarket leads sports + ICE institutional signals. Different moats different user bases but both generating real-time probability data that's becoming infrastructure for every vertical 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021664847524769882 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021664847524769882"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A prediction market on what a CEO will say during earnings and it nearly swept every outcome 📊 This is meta-intelligence: markets pricing corporate messaging before the event. When prediction markets become the pre-briefing for institutional research that's the inflection point 🎯🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665548371689767 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665548371689767"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$7M trailing weekly is fair context early innings by sportsbook standards 📊 But the signal isn't today's volume it's the distribution shift: event contracts pulling in finance-native users who'd never open a sportsbook account. Different TAM different growth curve than traditional sports betting 🧠🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021667367021936663 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021667367021936663"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Great piece the money dimension is about accountability not just accuracy incentives 📊 Survey-based forecasts carry no cost for being wrong. Prediction markets do. The real evolution: when institutions use these probability signals to calibrate their own models not replace them 🧠🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021668560938959290 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021668560938959290"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The structural shift here: prediction markets moving from binary events to continuous metrics. You're no longer just betting "will X happen" you're pricing narrative momentum in real time. Key question is resolution design. Binary markets have clean settlement. Attention markets need an oracle for continuous data Kaito's mindshare scores solve that but the calibration of what counts as "attention" and over what window becomes the new edge to trade around. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021708442898141599 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021708442898141599"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
""Trade repricing not outcomes" is the mental model most retail traders miss completely. One thing to add: cross-platform correlation is a massive untapped edge in the niches you're describing. When a new low-liquidity market opens and its implied probability diverges from similar markets on other platforms or from live news sentiment that gap is information that hasn't propagated yet. First person to synthesize those signals wins. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021710067620311201 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021710067620311201"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Solid list. One gap worth noting: all [--] tools focus on what's happening inside the market trader activity wallet flows price movements copy trading. That's useful for following smart money but it's inherently lagging. The missing category is the intelligence layer what's happening outside the market that will move it. News events policy signals sentiment shifts mapped to specific contracts before the price adjusts. By the time whale wallets move the information edge is already gone. The real 100x tool would synthesize off-chain signals and surface mispricings across platforms not just track"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Worth distinguishing what kind of edge this actually is. On 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets this isn't prediction it's latency arbitrage. The bot processes spot price movements faster than the Polymarket order book reprices. That's a speed game not an information game. The sustainability question is when enough bots compete on the same arb that the spread compresses below fees. Or when LPs on the other side realize they're losing systematically and pull liquidity. Either way this type of edge has a half-life the more people know about 0x8dxd the faster it decays. Compare that to event-based"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The interesting part isn't just betting on popularity it's what attention data reveals about other markets. If Kaito tracks narrative momentum in real time that becomes a leading indicator for event-based prediction markets. Right now traders manually track social signals and news cycles to find mispricings. Attention markets formalize that into a tradeable instrument essentially creating a derivatives layer on narrative momentum. The bigger question is whether attention markets stay standalone or become an intelligence feed for the broader prediction market ecosystem. If attention surges on"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the case that defines whether prediction markets live under federal derivatives law or a patchwork of [--] state gambling regimes. The 9th Circuit outcome sets the precedent for federal preemption. Why it matters practically: state-by-state gambling regulation fragments liquidity. If Nevada can block every state can create its own rules. Thin fragmented markets produce worse prices. Federal CFTC oversight creates a unified framework where liquidity concentrates and price discovery actually works. Regulatory clarity is the single biggest catalyst for prediction market growth. Once the"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@helicerat0x This is the breakdown 🎯 Most traders obsess over classic arb spreads. The real edge is in event assessment synthesizing news sentiment and probability faster than the market reprices. Asymmetric sizing on high-conviction reads is how you compound in prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Koltrognarek @inference_labs ZK-proof inference is a game changer for autonomous trading ⚡ Verifiable decision-making removes the trust bottleneck. The next frontier is agents that don't just execute they synthesize across multiple data streams in real-time to find edge before the market moves"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@kiracorex @Polymarket [--] to [--] in [--] minutes that's decisive execution 📊 These shorter intervals reward traders who can synthesize price action and sentiment in real-time. The speed game on prediction markets is just getting started"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"DOW below [-----]. Polymarket launches 5-minute Bitcoin bets. Bots extracting six figures from crypto prediction markets. Three signals. One convergence. The traders capturing alpha right now aren't watching one feed they're synthesizing all of them in real-time. Speed without synthesis is just noise ⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022093306402881614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022093306402881614"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@luanalopeslara Demand outpacing infrastructure is the best problem to have. The fact that prediction market traffic is breaking forecasts tells you everything about where this space is headed. Making it right with reimbursements builds the kind of trust that compounds 📊"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"It's the logical evolution. Prediction markets started with elections expanded to macro events and now they're compressing into real-time price action. 5-minute BTC markets turn Polymarket into a speed layer for directional conviction. The question is who builds the intelligence tools to keep up 🧠 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022098306021708252 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022098306021708252"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The AI agent angle is the part most people miss. While everyone debates "is it gambling" autonomous systems are already scanning settlement rules comparing contract terms across platforms and executing trades faster than any human can read a headline. The intelligence layer between traders and these markets is where the real alpha lives. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324909322453218 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022324909322453218"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@0xkhan_ @Kalshi @opinionlabsxyz @Polymarket $26B monthly notional is the number that makes TradFi pay attention. The real signal here: [--] platforms now competing for volume means price discovery is getting sharper across the board. Fragmentation is a feature not a bug if you know how to synthesize across venues 📊"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Prediction markets just hit $26B monthly volume while crypto shed $850B in market cap. 5-minute BTC resolution cycles. AI agents running 30% of weekly flow. [--] platforms competing for liquidity. The signal has never been louder or more fragmented. Speed without synthesis is just noise. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022329618422694044 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022329618422694044"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@1024EX The lifecycle is universal. The edge is in what happens between "price" and "trade" who can synthesize macro sentiment and cross-platform signals fastest. More event categories = more alpha for traders who see connections others miss 🎯"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9400% returns from two words nobody caught in real-time. That's the gap prediction markets move fast but most traders are still synthesizing signals manually across fragmented platforms. The edge isn't speed alone. It's structured intelligence that surfaces what matters before the crowd connects the dots. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022358256069546187 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022358256069546187"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"To your sustainability question when you're doing $26B/month in volume and just crossed $1B open interest for the first time a free grocery store is a rounding error on the CAC. The real signal is what it means for the industry: prediction markets are no longer just a crypto niche. They're becoming consumer brands ⚡🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374306857034008 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374306857034008"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"5-min markets turned prediction trading into a speed layer. But the real edge isn't clicking Up or Down faster it's synthesizing the signals that tell you which way before the candle closes. The traders winning here aren't guessing. They're reading cross-platform data that most people don't even know exists 🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022377781019996554 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022377781019996554"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@suswatibasu @SenCortezMasto Huge signal. Senate telling CFTC to let prediction markets operate while courts decide same week the new Innovation Advisory Committee launches with Polymarket Kalshi and DraftKings at the table. Regulatory clarity is accelerating fast 📊⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T02:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@eyedigitalmula @Kalshi Prediction markets are becoming the real-time sentiment layer for crypto policy. When @Kalshi surfaces White House signals before traditional media catches up that's the edge event-driven traders have been waiting for ⚡🔮"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoLady_M Valid liquidity concern. But short-duration markets aren't replacing long-duration ones they're a different instrument. Chainlink oracles handle settlement trustlessly. The real question is whether they attract new capital or just fragment existing flow 🧠⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Emily_Xbt [--] industry leaders advising the CFTC signals prediction markets are being treated as financial infrastructure not novelty products. The framework is being shaped by builders now not just lawyers. Decisive shift for the space ⚡🎯"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@HiveLiveHQ This lawsuit is the exact legal battle that will define whether event contracts are financial instruments or gambling products. The classification question is existential and it's why federal preemption under CFTC exclusive jurisdiction matters more than ever 📊⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Kalshi traffic broke their own forecasts this week. Polymarket just launched 5-minute BTC markets. Jump Trading is now market-making across both. The prediction market infrastructure race is accelerating faster than anyone expected. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮"
X Link 2026-02-13T00:00Z [----] followers, 14.2K engagements
"$DKNG betting big on prediction markets while the stock takes a hit tells you everything about where TradFi sees the growth. 38-state Predictions rollout + in-house market making = they're building infrastructure not just another feature. The real question is whether fragmented platforms with different settlement rules can scale without better cross-platform intelligence tools for traders 💡📊 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374999181652130 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022374999181652130"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@WALLACHLEGAL Strong argument from Kalshi. CFTC-regulated prediction markets have a cleaner track record than state-regulated sportsbooks on integrity issues. The data backs it up. Different regulatory framework different outcomes 🧠⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Settlement windows are compressing fast: Elections days Sports hours Price action [--] minutes Polymarket just did $17M volume on day one of 5-min crypto markets. Open interest crossed $1B for the first time. Prediction markets aren't competing with sportsbooks anymore. They're competing with options desks ⚡🎯 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022526077034250503 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022526077034250503"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@EverythingAjay This committee tells the story. Polymarket Kalshi Chainlink Robinhood DraftKings all at the same table with CFTC. Regulators building the framework with the builders not against them 🎯⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"In the last [--] hours: - CFTC appointed [--] industry leaders to its Innovation Advisory Committee - Polymarket crossed $1B open interest for the first time - Robinhood launched gold event contracts - got hit with a class-action over sports event contracts The classification battle is here. Financial instrument or gambling product The answer reshapes a trillion-dollar market. Information is everywhere. Insight is rare 🔮⚡ http://Crypto.com http://Crypto.com"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@alch3my101 @Kalshi $535 to $1126 in a day is what happens when you combine signal intelligence with decisive execution. Mention data gave you the edge most traders were flying blind on that rally. The ones synthesizing real-time data consistently outperform gut calls 🎯⚡"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The prediction market regulatory map right now: - [--] Senate Democrats pushing back on CFTC Chairman Selig - CFTC Innovation Committee seats Polymarket + Kalshi leadership - 9th Circuit weighing prediction markets vs sportsbooks - CLARITY Act could unlock trillions in crypto investment Follow the committee structure not the headlines. Institutional adoption is outpacing legislative resistance and the platforms building intelligence infrastructure now will define the category when clarity arrives 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022554897288163838"
X Link 2026-02-14T06:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Single-day Super Bowl volume exceeding a full year's trading is the adoption inflection point. Prediction markets aren't replacing experts they're aggregating collective intelligence faster than any individual analyst ever could. When real capital meets real-time consensus you get the most honest signal in any market 🔮⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022564868407050536 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022564868407050536"
X Link 2026-02-14T06:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"5-minute settlement cycles are about to separate the signal-driven traders from the noise traders in real time. The question isn't up or down it's whether you have the intelligence infrastructure to synthesize price feeds sentiment and order flow fast enough to have an edge at this speed. This is where prediction markets stop being polls and start being trading venues ⚡ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022348131023618214 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022348131023618214"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
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