#  @aidansilverman0 coast of the weather coast of the weather posts on X about euro, in the, storm, the north the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [--] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1463869508951724037/interactions)  - [--] Month [-------] +90% - [--] Months [-------] +2,992% - [--] Year [-------] +434% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1463869508951724037/posts_active)  - [--] Month [--] +160% - [--] Months [--] +164% - [--] Year [---] +57% ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1463869508951724037/followers)  - [--] Month [---] +22% - [--] Months [---] +60% - [--] Year [---] +121% ### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::1463869508951724037/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [currencies](/list/currencies) 33.33% [countries](/list/countries) 1.96% **Social topic influence** [euro](/topic/euro) 33.33%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 7.84%, [storm](/topic/storm) 6.86%, [the north](/topic/the-north) 4.9%, [snow](/topic/snow) 3.92%, [rain](/topic/rain) 3.92%, [strong](/topic/strong) 3.92%, [sea](/topic/sea) 3.92%, [sunday](/topic/sunday) 3.92%, [guess](/topic/guess) 2.94% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@phillyjit2208](/creator/undefined) [@phillyweather1](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "As I highlighted a hour ago the north west trend on Euro and EPS may be starting. Right now really no snowfall however if this continues up until Saturday morning we could be looking at a higher then now event. Not a blizzard but maybe. 2-4 storm possible if trends continue" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1877142254260809827) 2025-01-08T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Both nams are trending closer to the GFS. The nam [--] shows around [--] inches of snow in the Philly area. The nam 3km shows a stronger winter storm then its previous run and moves more east closer to the GFS. Between 4-5 inches in Philly. Could see that go up as we get closer" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1880443109714313375) 2025-01-18T02:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Been so busy today so apologies on no updates. Similar look to yesterday. Will see how far east these can get" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1938340903632118029) 2025-06-26T20:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Today we have a marginal risk for severe weather. The threat will mainly cover southern New Jersey and Delaware. The beaches could be impacted this afternoon so if your on pay close attention to the conditions. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1939323122798477706) 2025-06-29T14:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "On radar just have storms to the north. Nothing SVR yet" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1939372505430438310) 2025-06-29T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Severe thunderstorm and flash flood warning issued for Philly. Damaging wind gust to 60MPH and flash flooding are likely. Too bad Im not there" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1942702587037507599) 2025-07-08T21:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Are severe pattern continues. Slight risk for severe weather and flash flooding. The biggest threat will be Philly on east and south. Philly to the shore will see a better potential for severe weather and flash flooding then they did yesterday. Timeframe 5pm-12am. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1942935312906559629) 2025-07-09T13:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Getting concerned on are flooding threat for later on. Moderate risk issued. I think where the red area is the best chance for flash flooding and isolated damaging wind gust to 75MPH. Recent runs on models have had me circle this. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1942992783188337100) 2025-07-09T17:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Life threatening flash flood warning issued. One more level up and its PDS. Please take this seriously. Stay safe. Flash Flood Warning including Philadelphia PA Wilmington DE and Chester PA until 12:00 AM EDT https://t.co/odVlMN7dJH Flash Flood Warning including Philadelphia PA Wilmington DE and Chester PA until 12:00 AM EDT https://t.co/odVlMN7dJH" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1943098582195679527) 2025-07-10T00:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Wow. This was a really bad cell. Tornado warning just to the north. This had speeds I think over 70MPH and was not warned a SVR. Lookout to the north" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1943142943075803644) 2025-07-10T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Most active cells were over south Jersey" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1943483709564358963) 2025-07-11T01:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Current flash flood warnings. Mostly packed from Philly to New York as expected" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1951021529355133397) 2025-07-31T20:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Looks like this will go west. Still Looking like some minor shifts from the Euro and GFS. Have to still look at models and will post if any major changes happen" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1957097284165869828) 2025-08-17T15:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Severe weather done for the area tonight. For Sunday widespread steady rain looks likely starting late tonight and ending mid afternoon tomorrow. Will help the recent drought issues more with a 0.5-1inch zone in are area" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1964517430992220261) 2025-09-07T02:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bands of rain starting to head northwest" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1977373021653311821) 2025-10-12T13:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "18s runs. GFS and Euro remain consistent with its snowfall and there ensembles. Overall looking for Philly between 7-10 inches. Except the mixing to reach Philly however it will already be so much snow from earlier it would not break the system and reduce snowfall Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014489566321766587) 2026-01-23T00:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@phillyjit2208 Nam comes out in a half hour. GFS and CMC load around 11pm. Will post Euro in the early morning" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1891666893888450924) 2025-02-18T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "GFS and CMC 0z runs. GFS continues to move 5-10 miles each run northwest. Trending towards the nam. If it continues Philly may get in on some action. Big 6z and 12z runs tomorrow to address that. CMC I think is having a harder to with this. Barley moves the system north at all" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1891701177273758142) 2025-02-18T04:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Euro similar to 18z" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1891722464624791779) 2025-02-18T05:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Decent conditions out there. Cape for the area is around [----]. Bulk sheer for the area between 40-50kt. Overall a good severe weather day looks likely" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1964363240772948176) 2025-09-06T16:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Euro AI very aggressive. Last run shows a very bad scenario with strong winds costal flooding and flooding rains near [--] inches. Have to watch this but dont focus on every run. Euro Ai has been great at coastal storms predict ment Dont focus on what specifically the solution is being shown. That will keep changing and I dont care much yet to be frank. But [--] straight runs trending towards a certain solution as we approach the medium range at least bears a little bit of weight. The pinwheel scenario at https://t.co/687JqHvQ8c Dont focus on what specifically the solution is being shown. That will" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1981520862177092000) 2025-10-24T00:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Between the Euro and GFS ens both show great potential for another noreaster Thursday into Friday. The question is how strong will the storm be and how much rain and strong winds will see. Still 5-6 days out so things can change however important to monitor it. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1982081168615891441) 2025-10-25T13:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "WPC has a marginal risk for flooding for Thursday. Right now rainfall looks between 1-3 inches. Higher as you go more east. Overall a slight could be introduced later however that area will be where the highest rain amounts shifts in the next 4-5 days" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1982540985327632659) 2025-10-26T20:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Maybe the first time in a while the Euro is caving more with the GFS. Both models continue to show rainfall between 1-3 inches and wind gust continuing to go up more on each run. Thursday coastal storm continues to get interesting and more of moderate impacts starting now" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1982599857098637760) 2025-10-27T00:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Both the GFS and Euro same thing now they show. Overall from now to Thursday it will be where the strongest winds and heavy rainfall is. Will start to use short term models as we get closer now. Winds look just around advisory level with higher gusts down the shore" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1982889766116119002) 2025-10-27T19:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Still [--] days out so these maps will change as models shift. Overall for now 1-2 inches of rain with a marginal risk for flooding seem appropriate. WPC may be on the lower side due to uncertainty. Marine conditions and coastal flooding is moderate. Will change as we get closer" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1982890741866344827) 2025-10-27T19:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Extreme range HRRR and Nam. Both show heavy rain during the day Thursday. Overall there will be a 3-5 hour period of this rain till it weakens. Lastly WPC and NWS rainfall maps are similar to each other however I think rainfall could reach the two inch mark due to stuff tomorrow" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1983273306762731615) 2025-10-28T20:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "0/6z runs tonight should be interesting. Will the snow come back south or will the rain continue. To know that shifts will happen however may be more clear if this is a rain event for Philly tomorrow and leaning towards that for now. If snow it will continue to go back and forth" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1994227535211598214) 2025-11-28T02:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "0z GFS and Euro similar to each other on these runs" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1994674308195447259) 2025-11-29T07:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Early chart for Tuesday. Lotsq of uncertainty still but I like this idea early. Dark green. All rain. Light green. Little snow with mostly rain. Light blue snow finishing as rain. 1-2 inches of snow Middle shade of blue. 2-4 inches of snow. Dark blue. 4-6 inches of snow" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1995157112675262508) 2025-11-30T15:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The snow will be to the north and the west of the Philly area. Unfortunately just looks like cold rain for Philly with maybe a little sleet in the beginning. Snowfall will be 4-6 inches in the Poconos and lower as you move east. Rainfall for Philly on east should be 1-2 inches" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1995648447517749423) 2025-12-02T00:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Between the Euro and GFS the GFS is following the Euro. Really looks like this could happen. Will post later again. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/1999080856447856819) 2025-12-11T11:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Very aggressive HRRR here and showing a very strong line of showers with damaging wind gust. If this continues to show up it would not surprise me if the SPC added a rare December Marginal risk for severe weather for Friday morning. Will see what happens. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2001467459329757543) 2025-12-18T01:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Will see if this trend continues with the storm moving more south. Big jackpot is North of are area for now but that could change as time goes on Traffic jam in the Atlantic forcing the Friday storm southeast of New England https://t.co/UuDd0k2C3a Traffic jam in the Atlantic forcing the Friday storm southeast of New England https://t.co/UuDd0k2C3a" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2003569181158199506) 2025-12-23T20:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "My first thinking for Friday-Saturday system. Low uncertainty and could be some shifts but the snow and rain areas I have a good feel with. Purple. Heavy snow 6-8 inches Blue. Moderate snow 4-6 inches Pink. 1-3 inches with some freezing rain in areas. Green. All rain" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2003601471544476093) 2025-12-23T22:59Z [---] followers, 22.9K engagements "Heading to bed for the night. To be honest for Philly not liking the trends if we want to see some significant snowfall. Still 2.5-3 days out so stuff will change but for now the highest amounts will be north. Will see what models bring the next couple days" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2003679302257402185) 2025-12-24T04:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Snowfall map based on model shifts overnight. Purple. Heavy snow. 6-8 inches Blue. Moderate snow. 4-6 inches Orange. Steady snow and sleet and some light freezing rain. 2-4 inches/ [--] inch of sleet. Pink. Freezing rain. 1-3 inches 0.10-0.20 ice accumulation Green. Rain" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2003820333510570272) 2025-12-24T13:29Z [---] followers, 12.3K engagements "Philly just gets included in the day [--] risk of heavy snow. WPC thinking at least for now Philly will get into some of the heavier action and accumulation for now" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2003923319155052687) 2025-12-24T20:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Winter storm watch issued for Philly. For now it looking like 3-5 inches with some sleet and ice accumulation. Moderate impacts look likely. Overall around Philly there will be a sharp cutoff of snow accumulation and wherever that is it will trim does snow totals significantly" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2003924539445858335) 2025-12-24T20:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "New snowfall map. Models have shifted north over the last couple runs. Still a little uncertainty Purple. Heavy snow 6-8 inches Blue. Moderate snow 3-6 inches Orange. Steady snow and sleet 1-3 inches with light freezing rain Pink. Freezing rain 0.05-0.10 Green. All rain" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004169088369938945) 2025-12-25T12:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "While snow accumulation is still a bit uncertain at this time what does look likely is 1-2 inches of sleet. This would obviously cut down on totals however travel would be significant and roads would be a disaster. Will watch this closely as the hours pass by" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004225998477508914) 2025-12-25T16:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "HRRR run has it move a hair north. With the system the cold air overtakes the warm air meaning more snow for the Philly area. Warm air wins out though towards the end meaning rain. The nam has sleet storm with 1-2 inches with no snow. 18-24 hours out and still uncertainty" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004374699351089621) 2025-12-26T02:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Still some uncertainty regarding are system for tomorrow. Is worthy to know that the HRRR has the storm come in [--] hours earlier then the nam. Hopefully have better clarity in the morning. Is also worthy to know real time map of are system is closer to the HRRR then the nam" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004375571640508623) 2025-12-26T02:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Final call here. Going with confidence. Purple. Heavy snow. 6-8 inches with isolated amounts higher. Blue. Moderate snow. 3-6 inches. Some sleet possible. Orange. Steady snow/sleet Total snow and sleet 1-3 inches. Pink. Freezing rain. 0.05-0.10 Green. All rain" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004389141757546546) 2025-12-26T03:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Bit of a heavier band of freezing rain here. Roads are becoming a mess. No real accumulation to measure for now" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004703651827523612) 2025-12-26T23:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Last bigger scattered band of sleet/freeIng rain. Will be areas of moderate precip falling. Should wrap up around midnight with some light showers behind it" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004745436264104357) 2025-12-27T02:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "System last night we were obviously not expecting too much snow but the sleet accumulation was bad on roads and sidewalks. New York even had totals not as high. Overall warm dose won and cut down totals in lots of places around the area. Will see what are next event brings" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2004927357988352107) 2025-12-27T14:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Next chance for at least some snow will be around New Years Day. Both GFS and Euro show the potential for some light snow with the Euro showing more actively. Overall not a strong storm and will see if anything can materialize further. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2005372843186647317) 2025-12-28T20:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Sorry for no updates for Philly earlier. Getting slammed here this morning. Very rare for a snow squall to make it this far east but here we are" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2006709082477248612) 2026-01-01T12:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Really rare morning for us. Had snow squalls race through the region. Philly got hit around 5am plowing through shore points and out to sea. Pretty rare for squalls to survive that far east but strong arctic fronts can do that" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2006727844370464897) 2026-01-01T14:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "GFS and Euro runs and ensembles. GFS has a major winter storm Friday where the energy pieces match up. Overall think its a little overdone but for a storm to happen right idea. Euro is starting to show a wintery system but way weaker. GEFS and EPS increasing there totals as well" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2010078287759061183) 2026-01-10T19:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Latest NBM shows around [--] inches area wide with are Thursday into Friday system. Overall still lots of uncertainty to handle but for now its looking like we have a storm to track. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2010449244394795087) 2026-01-11T20:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Definitely keeping a eye on for Sunday. Looks like a decent snow storm could happen along the GFS. Euro is out to sea and flat but a close call. Are eyes will turn to that" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2011570119822995606) 2026-01-14T22:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Looks like snow comes in Sunday morning around 6am and continues till midnight. Could be a little break then another round forms and snow starts to fall again. Overall not the worst storm ever but will definitely cause an issue on roads. Winter starting to pick up once again" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2012696882766565588) 2026-01-18T01:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Minor snow storm today. Area of snow moving in this morning and will fall. First round will end around 12pm today while a second round will start in the afternoon. Second round will have some heavier snow. Between 2-4 inches look likely in spots. Only minor impacts look likely" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2012842666334052665) 2026-01-18T11:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Looking towards next weekend. Starting to look like Sunday into Monday event. Both models show the storm. Still On uncertainty on location and this will continue to shift. Ensembles also show a decent signal as well. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013327543097585915) 2026-01-19T19:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "First crack at it for this weekend. Definitely are biggest signal of the year so far. Changes and shifts will happen Low uncertainty. Light blue. Light accumulating snow possible. Dark blue. Moderate accumulating snow possible. Purple. Heavy accumulating snow possible" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013431542932967651) 2026-01-20T02:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Sorry for no updates been busy. Winter storm possibly impacting are area with odds increasing for Philly. Looking to be a Sunday into Monday event. NBM is aggressive and shows a high amount of snow. Will see what happens. Will post some other models later. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013745482456011164) 2026-01-20T22:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Both the GFS and Euro remain very aggressive for are storm this weekend. Right now as it stands we have one of are bigger storms the last couple years very possible for are area. Will continue to watch shifts through the next couple days however odds are increasing quickly" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013764998779027461) 2026-01-21T00:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Fits my idea. Definitely some shifts north today. Still some uncertainty and except some shifts still however really starting to look like a big time setup for are area. *POTENTIAL BLOCKBUSTER EAST COAST SNOWSTORM* 🧵 Confidence is rapidly increasing a major winter storm in the east from Saturday-Monday. There are still a few uncertainties concerning exact track and northern edge of precip as we are still 4-5 days out. https://t.co/0HTkROclzE *POTENTIAL BLOCKBUSTER EAST COAST SNOWSTORM* 🧵 Confidence is rapidly increasing a major winter storm in the east from Saturday-Monday. There are still" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013778266365051200) 2026-01-21T00:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The storm hits the area it will likely feel below [--] while snowing. That is certainly very rare for this area and usually areas up North not near here see those conditions. I also dont expect blizzard conditions with this at less if this moves substantially north. Ai run as well" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013797625435128095) 2026-01-21T02:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Last idea here before I head to bed. Low uncertainty. I think the Euro is overdoing it slightly on the northern piece. Light blue. Light snow. Minor impacts Dark blue. Moderate snow. High impacts. Purple. Heavy snow. Significant impacts" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2013802384334397771) 2026-01-21T02:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Starting to get more consistent on models. Not showing too high amounts like earlier but not too low. Looks like each run coming in a little faster. Not surprised by that. Overall both GFS Euro and there ensembles show a lot of snow. Looking likely this will happen. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014129269371187516) 2026-01-22T00:13Z [---] followers, 10.8K engagements "New snowfall map. Low confidence . First crack at it with snowfall amounts. Light blue. Moderate snow taken over my mixing. 4-6 inches. Dark blue. Heavy snow taken over by mixing. 6-8 inches. Purple. Heavy snow with little to no mixing. 8-12 inches. Isolated higher amounts" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014143419363266636) 2026-01-22T01:09Z [---] followers, 10.2K engagements "@Philly_Weather1 What are your thoughts on this. Do you think its too north and models are overdoing the warmth layer" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014145519497408887) 2026-01-22T01:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Getting to the point where Philly is starting to get into that place where mixing will lower totals if the north shifts continues. My feeling is due it may be overdoing the warm sector and the 850mb it will only go so far north and eventually stop or correct its self back south" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014152836246884431) 2026-01-22T01:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "0z GFS Looks similar to its 18z run but maybe a little north. Very interesting and thought it would jump back significantly but I guess not. Either its out to lunch or onto something. Euro will also be the big model we look at tonight. Will post it in the morning. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014186082175213857) 2026-01-22T03:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Little wiggle south from 0z Euro" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014231420831498396) 2026-01-22T06:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Not much change regarding the 6z GFS and Euro and there ensembles. GFS stating steady while the Euro ticked a little south. Starting to get into a place of consistently and looking like a good snow storm for the area. Snow lovers happy the north trend has stopped" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014309281877594224) 2026-01-22T12:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Major snowstorm ready to hit the Philly area. NWS first crack at it with snowfall. Overall thinking it may be lower near the [--] mark however still a good sign. Winter storm watches in effect. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014430338131366020) 2026-01-22T20:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Nam is way north and shows around [--] inches of snow for the Philly area with near [--] inches of sleet and total near [--]. Not sure thats happening but would be amazed if that did" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014536506560364877) 2026-01-23T03:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Warm dose GFS and Euro. The thing everyone is tracking closely and the most significant thing. Both 60-75 miles difference however makes a big impact. My guess is it will set up around 1-95 or may even creep more west into the Leigh valley. Will have to see" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014537814210167221) 2026-01-23T03:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Thinking is the nam 3km will be the best model for this storm. Is awesome predicting how far the north dose goes. Currently thinking it ends up near the Euro solution but will see. Will post some models in the morning. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014537910419087688) 2026-01-23T03:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Heading to bed for the night and will update in morning. For now Philly looks 6-8 inches of snow with significant sleet and ice accumulation. Overall will create more of a mess on roads and will be more dangerous if it were just a snowstorm with none of this. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2014910315150917731) 2026-01-24T03:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "HRRR and Nam. Both models continue to show a significant snow storm tomorrow. Differences are HRRR showing more snow then the nam. I think the nam is a bit too far north compared to real time data as of now. I think we get somewhere between 6-8 inches of snow" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015070119609725140) 2026-01-24T14:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Both models here show the potential for significant sleet and ice accumulation. The more north it is the more of that mix stuff we get. HRRR is more south so not as much ice however the nam shows some significant ice accumulation. Again think it could be too far but will see" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015070125813084604) 2026-01-24T14:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Nam 12km is the closest model to real time radar. Nam 3km is a bit more north while the HRRR is a bit south. But this may be a disaster for Philly because the nam 12km is showing around [----] ice accumulation [--] inches of snow but higher as sleet near [--] inches. Very concerning" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015093277133885686) 2026-01-24T16:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Final-call. High confidence Light blue. Heavy snow. 4-6 inches of snowfall/sleet. Ice accumulation 0.05-0.40 Dark blue. Heavy snow/mix. 5-9 inches of snowfall/sleet. Extreme ice possible. 0.10-0.70 Light purple. Heavy snow. [---] inches. Dark purple. Heavy snow. 12-18 inches" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015096340166918238) 2026-01-24T16:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The ice accumulation will be significant and I updated this because of that. I cant stress this enough and looking at real live data I cant unfortunately rule at the extreme ice accumulation. I think it may be catastrophic and with the sleet on top with snow make this worse" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015096342540943630) 2026-01-24T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "18z HRRR run. Not much of a change to it as similar to the 12z. Only difference is freezing rain accumulation is increased which is becoming a concern. Looks like good swatch of snow changing over to sleet between 12-2pm" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015146959959392697) 2026-01-24T19:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Snow will start soon in the area" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015329861988933882) 2026-01-25T07:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Moderate snow is now falling in the city. Guess is falling between 0.5-0.7 per hour" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015425670604587269) 2026-01-25T14:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Currently steady sleeting in the city. Looks like mix line trying to tome back south but definitely will not reach the city. Because of this the HRRR had it more north but because its more south it now has around [----] inches of freezing rain in the city starting in the evening" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015503755806974151) 2026-01-25T19:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "This continues. Can officially put major winter storm for [----]. Crazy how the end of January can have significant systems. January Storm activity continues. January 28-29th [----] Blizzard. January 25th [----] coastal low with wintry mix heavy rain and strong wind gust January 29th [----]. System with wintry mix wind gust and flooding. No Storm January 24-25th [----]. Big system possible January Storm activity continues. January 28-29th [----] Blizzard. January 25th [----] coastal low with wintry mix heavy rain and strong wind gust January 29th [----]. System with wintry mix wind gust and flooding. No" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015623560581030103) 2026-01-26T03:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Euro just misses for this weekend. Would not get to caught up in the miss. Dont want to be in the center if snowfall 5-6 days out. Will continue to shift both ways. Will see what ensembles say in a bit" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015848950402588792) 2026-01-26T18:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "WPC highlighting big area of a potential winter storm next weekend. Far out and shifts will happen so I dont expect this to increase to mid or even the end of the week if models hold there ground. NBM is once again aggressive. Was aggressive the last storm and is again here" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015889580776394799) 2026-01-26T20:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "First hazard map for this weekend. Very High uncertainty. White blue. 0-10% low risk of a significant winter storm for now. Light blue. 10-20% risk of a significant winter storm for now. Watch for trends. Blue. 20-30% of a significant winter storm for now Watch for trends" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015893982362980410) 2026-01-26T21:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "GFS had a shift to the east. Members show however very widespread. The Euro is more west and shows a blizzard off the NJ coast with members widespread still. Nothing is sold. Important to note that the Euro was more north then the GFS last storm and over time the GFS followed" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2015944104320864377) 2026-01-27T00:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Heading to bed for the night. Before I head off GFS went west and is similar to the Euro. Close miss for Philly but being in this position 5-6 days out for now lovers is a good sign. Will see what tomorrow brings" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016001084230123615) 2026-01-27T04:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Hazard map. High uncertainty. White blue. Significant snowfall 0-10% Light blue. Significant snowfall 10-20% Blue. Significant snowfall 20-30%. Where I stand for now. Some models show a hit however most accurate one is out to sea. 4-5 days out still. This will change" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016224794065129922) 2026-01-27T19:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "18z Euro. A significant shift west and now looks like game on for the Philly area. Exactly why not to write this off. Energy pieces are way more delayed meaning why it took a more west turn. Looking it may be following the GFS. Time will tell. 4-5 days out. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016297237773430797) 2026-01-27T23:48Z [---] followers, 15.2K engagements "GEFS and EPS. Both models continue to move west and this is exactly where Philly wants to be to see a significant winter storm potential. More members spread out here. Will see if 0z models continue to show this. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016308939625758829) 2026-01-28T00:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "0z GFS. A small west shift here. Can see snowfall coming down with blizzard conditions down at the coast. Philly in a good place for now. Interesting run. Can see the energy is more delayed. Will fall asleep for the Euro so will post that as soon as I can. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016361981242917123) 2026-01-28T04:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "0z Euro just a miss" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016407519585804471) 2026-01-28T07:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "6z models here. GFS a tick east and the ensemble backing it up. Still members pretty widespread so some uncertainty. Euro is now the model most west and is a couple miles away from showing a big snow storm. EPS also move west. [--] days out and Philly in a good spot. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016482871842587073) 2026-01-28T12:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "12z GFS. Overall a bit of a east shift here and snow just misses the area. [--] days out so this will continue to change in each way for a bit more but the clock contuines to click. Will see what the Euro says. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016567129265295827) 2026-01-28T17:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "New mos here. Low confidence. White blue. 0-10% chance of a significant snow storm. Light blue. 10-30% chance of a significant snow storm. Blue. 20-40% chance of a significant snow storm. Overall still lots of uncertainty and [--] days out so this will change" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016639636316041688) 2026-01-28T22:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "18z Euro here. It shifted significantly west and shows a minor snow storm in Philly with a moderate one down the shore. Energy more south. Likely blizzard conditions with this. Still flip flopping around but overnight if this continues beware of it. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016657541103489036) 2026-01-28T23:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "GEFS and EPS. Both could not be different as the EPS is finally starting to back up the Euro. Do we see any northwest trends for both models or was it just [--] run from the Euro. Time will tell but dont be surprised if you see bigger shifts as we get close into either direction" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016665883540656237) 2026-01-29T00:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "0z GFS with a west shift here. Just scraping the NJ coast however a notable shift. Too close for comfort [--] hours out. This thing can go both ways however the classic northwest trend may come into play here. Can see the energy piece is more south. Will post Euro later or tomorrow" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016723067494363366) 2026-01-29T04:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "GFS right here. Just a bit of a tick west. You can see that due to the energy being transferred a couple hours earlier then what it had later. Can see the energy is more sped up. More sped up= out to sea and vise versa. Is it a start to a shift to the Euro Time will tell" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2016275544606650529) 2026-01-27T22:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "A clipper is expected to hit are area midweek. Question is how much can it materialize. Snow map. Medium Confidence. White blue. Flurries or light snow. Accumulation 0.5-1 inch. Steady light snow. Accumulation 1-3 inches. Expected to change in coming days. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/aidansilverman0/status/2018047832897319029) 2026-02-01T19:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@aidansilverman0 coast of the weathercoast of the weather posts on X about euro, in the, storm, the north the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [--] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence currencies 33.33% countries 1.96%
Social topic influence euro 33.33%, in the 7.84%, storm 6.86%, the north 4.9%, snow 3.92%, rain 3.92%, strong 3.92%, sea 3.92%, sunday 3.92%, guess 2.94%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @phillyjit2208 @phillyweather1
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"As I highlighted a hour ago the north west trend on Euro and EPS may be starting. Right now really no snowfall however if this continues up until Saturday morning we could be looking at a higher then now event. Not a blizzard but maybe. 2-4 storm possible if trends continue"
X Link 2025-01-08T23:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Both nams are trending closer to the GFS. The nam [--] shows around [--] inches of snow in the Philly area. The nam 3km shows a stronger winter storm then its previous run and moves more east closer to the GFS. Between 4-5 inches in Philly. Could see that go up as we get closer"
X Link 2025-01-18T02:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Been so busy today so apologies on no updates. Similar look to yesterday. Will see how far east these can get"
X Link 2025-06-26T20:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Today we have a marginal risk for severe weather. The threat will mainly cover southern New Jersey and Delaware. The beaches could be impacted this afternoon so if your on pay close attention to the conditions. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-06-29T14:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"On radar just have storms to the north. Nothing SVR yet"
X Link 2025-06-29T17:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Severe thunderstorm and flash flood warning issued for Philly. Damaging wind gust to 60MPH and flash flooding are likely. Too bad Im not there"
X Link 2025-07-08T21:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Are severe pattern continues. Slight risk for severe weather and flash flooding. The biggest threat will be Philly on east and south. Philly to the shore will see a better potential for severe weather and flash flooding then they did yesterday. Timeframe 5pm-12am. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-07-09T13:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Getting concerned on are flooding threat for later on. Moderate risk issued. I think where the red area is the best chance for flash flooding and isolated damaging wind gust to 75MPH. Recent runs on models have had me circle this. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-07-09T17:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Life threatening flash flood warning issued. One more level up and its PDS. Please take this seriously. Stay safe. Flash Flood Warning including Philadelphia PA Wilmington DE and Chester PA until 12:00 AM EDT https://t.co/odVlMN7dJH Flash Flood Warning including Philadelphia PA Wilmington DE and Chester PA until 12:00 AM EDT https://t.co/odVlMN7dJH"
X Link 2025-07-10T00:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Wow. This was a really bad cell. Tornado warning just to the north. This had speeds I think over 70MPH and was not warned a SVR. Lookout to the north"
X Link 2025-07-10T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Most active cells were over south Jersey"
X Link 2025-07-11T01:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Current flash flood warnings. Mostly packed from Philly to New York as expected"
X Link 2025-07-31T20:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Looks like this will go west. Still Looking like some minor shifts from the Euro and GFS. Have to still look at models and will post if any major changes happen"
X Link 2025-08-17T15:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Severe weather done for the area tonight. For Sunday widespread steady rain looks likely starting late tonight and ending mid afternoon tomorrow. Will help the recent drought issues more with a 0.5-1inch zone in are area"
X Link 2025-09-07T02:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bands of rain starting to head northwest"
X Link 2025-10-12T13:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"18s runs. GFS and Euro remain consistent with its snowfall and there ensembles. Overall looking for Philly between 7-10 inches. Except the mixing to reach Philly however it will already be so much snow from earlier it would not break the system and reduce snowfall Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-23T00:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@phillyjit2208 Nam comes out in a half hour. GFS and CMC load around 11pm. Will post Euro in the early morning"
X Link 2025-02-18T01:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"GFS and CMC 0z runs. GFS continues to move 5-10 miles each run northwest. Trending towards the nam. If it continues Philly may get in on some action. Big 6z and 12z runs tomorrow to address that. CMC I think is having a harder to with this. Barley moves the system north at all"
X Link 2025-02-18T04:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Euro similar to 18z"
X Link 2025-02-18T05:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Decent conditions out there. Cape for the area is around [----]. Bulk sheer for the area between 40-50kt. Overall a good severe weather day looks likely"
X Link 2025-09-06T16:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Euro AI very aggressive. Last run shows a very bad scenario with strong winds costal flooding and flooding rains near [--] inches. Have to watch this but dont focus on every run. Euro Ai has been great at coastal storms predict ment Dont focus on what specifically the solution is being shown. That will keep changing and I dont care much yet to be frank. But [--] straight runs trending towards a certain solution as we approach the medium range at least bears a little bit of weight. The pinwheel scenario at https://t.co/687JqHvQ8c Dont focus on what specifically the solution is being shown. That will"
X Link 2025-10-24T00:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Between the Euro and GFS ens both show great potential for another noreaster Thursday into Friday. The question is how strong will the storm be and how much rain and strong winds will see. Still 5-6 days out so things can change however important to monitor it. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-10-25T13:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"WPC has a marginal risk for flooding for Thursday. Right now rainfall looks between 1-3 inches. Higher as you go more east. Overall a slight could be introduced later however that area will be where the highest rain amounts shifts in the next 4-5 days"
X Link 2025-10-26T20:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe the first time in a while the Euro is caving more with the GFS. Both models continue to show rainfall between 1-3 inches and wind gust continuing to go up more on each run. Thursday coastal storm continues to get interesting and more of moderate impacts starting now"
X Link 2025-10-27T00:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Both the GFS and Euro same thing now they show. Overall from now to Thursday it will be where the strongest winds and heavy rainfall is. Will start to use short term models as we get closer now. Winds look just around advisory level with higher gusts down the shore"
X Link 2025-10-27T19:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Still [--] days out so these maps will change as models shift. Overall for now 1-2 inches of rain with a marginal risk for flooding seem appropriate. WPC may be on the lower side due to uncertainty. Marine conditions and coastal flooding is moderate. Will change as we get closer"
X Link 2025-10-27T19:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Extreme range HRRR and Nam. Both show heavy rain during the day Thursday. Overall there will be a 3-5 hour period of this rain till it weakens. Lastly WPC and NWS rainfall maps are similar to each other however I think rainfall could reach the two inch mark due to stuff tomorrow"
X Link 2025-10-28T20:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"0/6z runs tonight should be interesting. Will the snow come back south or will the rain continue. To know that shifts will happen however may be more clear if this is a rain event for Philly tomorrow and leaning towards that for now. If snow it will continue to go back and forth"
X Link 2025-11-28T02:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"0z GFS and Euro similar to each other on these runs"
X Link 2025-11-29T07:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Early chart for Tuesday. Lotsq of uncertainty still but I like this idea early. Dark green. All rain. Light green. Little snow with mostly rain. Light blue snow finishing as rain. 1-2 inches of snow Middle shade of blue. 2-4 inches of snow. Dark blue. 4-6 inches of snow"
X Link 2025-11-30T15:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The snow will be to the north and the west of the Philly area. Unfortunately just looks like cold rain for Philly with maybe a little sleet in the beginning. Snowfall will be 4-6 inches in the Poconos and lower as you move east. Rainfall for Philly on east should be 1-2 inches"
X Link 2025-12-02T00:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Between the Euro and GFS the GFS is following the Euro. Really looks like this could happen. Will post later again. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-12-11T11:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Very aggressive HRRR here and showing a very strong line of showers with damaging wind gust. If this continues to show up it would not surprise me if the SPC added a rare December Marginal risk for severe weather for Friday morning. Will see what happens. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-12-18T01:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Will see if this trend continues with the storm moving more south. Big jackpot is North of are area for now but that could change as time goes on Traffic jam in the Atlantic forcing the Friday storm southeast of New England https://t.co/UuDd0k2C3a Traffic jam in the Atlantic forcing the Friday storm southeast of New England https://t.co/UuDd0k2C3a"
X Link 2025-12-23T20:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"My first thinking for Friday-Saturday system. Low uncertainty and could be some shifts but the snow and rain areas I have a good feel with. Purple. Heavy snow 6-8 inches Blue. Moderate snow 4-6 inches Pink. 1-3 inches with some freezing rain in areas. Green. All rain"
X Link 2025-12-23T22:59Z [---] followers, 22.9K engagements
"Heading to bed for the night. To be honest for Philly not liking the trends if we want to see some significant snowfall. Still 2.5-3 days out so stuff will change but for now the highest amounts will be north. Will see what models bring the next couple days"
X Link 2025-12-24T04:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Snowfall map based on model shifts overnight. Purple. Heavy snow. 6-8 inches Blue. Moderate snow. 4-6 inches Orange. Steady snow and sleet and some light freezing rain. 2-4 inches/ [--] inch of sleet. Pink. Freezing rain. 1-3 inches 0.10-0.20 ice accumulation Green. Rain"
X Link 2025-12-24T13:29Z [---] followers, 12.3K engagements
"Philly just gets included in the day [--] risk of heavy snow. WPC thinking at least for now Philly will get into some of the heavier action and accumulation for now"
X Link 2025-12-24T20:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Winter storm watch issued for Philly. For now it looking like 3-5 inches with some sleet and ice accumulation. Moderate impacts look likely. Overall around Philly there will be a sharp cutoff of snow accumulation and wherever that is it will trim does snow totals significantly"
X Link 2025-12-24T20:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"New snowfall map. Models have shifted north over the last couple runs. Still a little uncertainty Purple. Heavy snow 6-8 inches Blue. Moderate snow 3-6 inches Orange. Steady snow and sleet 1-3 inches with light freezing rain Pink. Freezing rain 0.05-0.10 Green. All rain"
X Link 2025-12-25T12:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"While snow accumulation is still a bit uncertain at this time what does look likely is 1-2 inches of sleet. This would obviously cut down on totals however travel would be significant and roads would be a disaster. Will watch this closely as the hours pass by"
X Link 2025-12-25T16:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"HRRR run has it move a hair north. With the system the cold air overtakes the warm air meaning more snow for the Philly area. Warm air wins out though towards the end meaning rain. The nam has sleet storm with 1-2 inches with no snow. 18-24 hours out and still uncertainty"
X Link 2025-12-26T02:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Still some uncertainty regarding are system for tomorrow. Is worthy to know that the HRRR has the storm come in [--] hours earlier then the nam. Hopefully have better clarity in the morning. Is also worthy to know real time map of are system is closer to the HRRR then the nam"
X Link 2025-12-26T02:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Final call here. Going with confidence. Purple. Heavy snow. 6-8 inches with isolated amounts higher. Blue. Moderate snow. 3-6 inches. Some sleet possible. Orange. Steady snow/sleet Total snow and sleet 1-3 inches. Pink. Freezing rain. 0.05-0.10 Green. All rain"
X Link 2025-12-26T03:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Bit of a heavier band of freezing rain here. Roads are becoming a mess. No real accumulation to measure for now"
X Link 2025-12-26T23:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Last bigger scattered band of sleet/freeIng rain. Will be areas of moderate precip falling. Should wrap up around midnight with some light showers behind it"
X Link 2025-12-27T02:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"System last night we were obviously not expecting too much snow but the sleet accumulation was bad on roads and sidewalks. New York even had totals not as high. Overall warm dose won and cut down totals in lots of places around the area. Will see what are next event brings"
X Link 2025-12-27T14:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Next chance for at least some snow will be around New Years Day. Both GFS and Euro show the potential for some light snow with the Euro showing more actively. Overall not a strong storm and will see if anything can materialize further. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-12-28T20:18Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Sorry for no updates for Philly earlier. Getting slammed here this morning. Very rare for a snow squall to make it this far east but here we are"
X Link 2026-01-01T12:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Really rare morning for us. Had snow squalls race through the region. Philly got hit around 5am plowing through shore points and out to sea. Pretty rare for squalls to survive that far east but strong arctic fronts can do that"
X Link 2026-01-01T14:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"GFS and Euro runs and ensembles. GFS has a major winter storm Friday where the energy pieces match up. Overall think its a little overdone but for a storm to happen right idea. Euro is starting to show a wintery system but way weaker. GEFS and EPS increasing there totals as well"
X Link 2026-01-10T19:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Latest NBM shows around [--] inches area wide with are Thursday into Friday system. Overall still lots of uncertainty to handle but for now its looking like we have a storm to track. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-11T20:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Definitely keeping a eye on for Sunday. Looks like a decent snow storm could happen along the GFS. Euro is out to sea and flat but a close call. Are eyes will turn to that"
X Link 2026-01-14T22:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Looks like snow comes in Sunday morning around 6am and continues till midnight. Could be a little break then another round forms and snow starts to fall again. Overall not the worst storm ever but will definitely cause an issue on roads. Winter starting to pick up once again"
X Link 2026-01-18T01:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Minor snow storm today. Area of snow moving in this morning and will fall. First round will end around 12pm today while a second round will start in the afternoon. Second round will have some heavier snow. Between 2-4 inches look likely in spots. Only minor impacts look likely"
X Link 2026-01-18T11:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Looking towards next weekend. Starting to look like Sunday into Monday event. Both models show the storm. Still On uncertainty on location and this will continue to shift. Ensembles also show a decent signal as well. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-19T19:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"First crack at it for this weekend. Definitely are biggest signal of the year so far. Changes and shifts will happen Low uncertainty. Light blue. Light accumulating snow possible. Dark blue. Moderate accumulating snow possible. Purple. Heavy accumulating snow possible"
X Link 2026-01-20T02:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Sorry for no updates been busy. Winter storm possibly impacting are area with odds increasing for Philly. Looking to be a Sunday into Monday event. NBM is aggressive and shows a high amount of snow. Will see what happens. Will post some other models later. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-20T22:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Both the GFS and Euro remain very aggressive for are storm this weekend. Right now as it stands we have one of are bigger storms the last couple years very possible for are area. Will continue to watch shifts through the next couple days however odds are increasing quickly"
X Link 2026-01-21T00:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Fits my idea. Definitely some shifts north today. Still some uncertainty and except some shifts still however really starting to look like a big time setup for are area. POTENTIAL BLOCKBUSTER EAST COAST SNOWSTORM 🧵 Confidence is rapidly increasing a major winter storm in the east from Saturday-Monday. There are still a few uncertainties concerning exact track and northern edge of precip as we are still 4-5 days out. https://t.co/0HTkROclzE POTENTIAL BLOCKBUSTER EAST COAST SNOWSTORM 🧵 Confidence is rapidly increasing a major winter storm in the east from Saturday-Monday. There are still"
X Link 2026-01-21T00:58Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The storm hits the area it will likely feel below [--] while snowing. That is certainly very rare for this area and usually areas up North not near here see those conditions. I also dont expect blizzard conditions with this at less if this moves substantially north. Ai run as well"
X Link 2026-01-21T02:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Last idea here before I head to bed. Low uncertainty. I think the Euro is overdoing it slightly on the northern piece. Light blue. Light snow. Minor impacts Dark blue. Moderate snow. High impacts. Purple. Heavy snow. Significant impacts"
X Link 2026-01-21T02:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Starting to get more consistent on models. Not showing too high amounts like earlier but not too low. Looks like each run coming in a little faster. Not surprised by that. Overall both GFS Euro and there ensembles show a lot of snow. Looking likely this will happen. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-22T00:13Z [---] followers, 10.8K engagements
"New snowfall map. Low confidence . First crack at it with snowfall amounts. Light blue. Moderate snow taken over my mixing. 4-6 inches. Dark blue. Heavy snow taken over by mixing. 6-8 inches. Purple. Heavy snow with little to no mixing. 8-12 inches. Isolated higher amounts"
X Link 2026-01-22T01:09Z [---] followers, 10.2K engagements
"@Philly_Weather1 What are your thoughts on this. Do you think its too north and models are overdoing the warmth layer"
X Link 2026-01-22T01:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Getting to the point where Philly is starting to get into that place where mixing will lower totals if the north shifts continues. My feeling is due it may be overdoing the warm sector and the 850mb it will only go so far north and eventually stop or correct its self back south"
X Link 2026-01-22T01:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"0z GFS Looks similar to its 18z run but maybe a little north. Very interesting and thought it would jump back significantly but I guess not. Either its out to lunch or onto something. Euro will also be the big model we look at tonight. Will post it in the morning. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-22T03:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Little wiggle south from 0z Euro"
X Link 2026-01-22T06:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Not much change regarding the 6z GFS and Euro and there ensembles. GFS stating steady while the Euro ticked a little south. Starting to get into a place of consistently and looking like a good snow storm for the area. Snow lovers happy the north trend has stopped"
X Link 2026-01-22T12:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Major snowstorm ready to hit the Philly area. NWS first crack at it with snowfall. Overall thinking it may be lower near the [--] mark however still a good sign. Winter storm watches in effect. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-22T20:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Nam is way north and shows around [--] inches of snow for the Philly area with near [--] inches of sleet and total near [--]. Not sure thats happening but would be amazed if that did"
X Link 2026-01-23T03:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Warm dose GFS and Euro. The thing everyone is tracking closely and the most significant thing. Both 60-75 miles difference however makes a big impact. My guess is it will set up around 1-95 or may even creep more west into the Leigh valley. Will have to see"
X Link 2026-01-23T03:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Thinking is the nam 3km will be the best model for this storm. Is awesome predicting how far the north dose goes. Currently thinking it ends up near the Euro solution but will see. Will post some models in the morning. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-23T03:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Heading to bed for the night and will update in morning. For now Philly looks 6-8 inches of snow with significant sleet and ice accumulation. Overall will create more of a mess on roads and will be more dangerous if it were just a snowstorm with none of this. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-24T03:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"HRRR and Nam. Both models continue to show a significant snow storm tomorrow. Differences are HRRR showing more snow then the nam. I think the nam is a bit too far north compared to real time data as of now. I think we get somewhere between 6-8 inches of snow"
X Link 2026-01-24T14:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Both models here show the potential for significant sleet and ice accumulation. The more north it is the more of that mix stuff we get. HRRR is more south so not as much ice however the nam shows some significant ice accumulation. Again think it could be too far but will see"
X Link 2026-01-24T14:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Nam 12km is the closest model to real time radar. Nam 3km is a bit more north while the HRRR is a bit south. But this may be a disaster for Philly because the nam 12km is showing around [----] ice accumulation [--] inches of snow but higher as sleet near [--] inches. Very concerning"
X Link 2026-01-24T16:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Final-call. High confidence Light blue. Heavy snow. 4-6 inches of snowfall/sleet. Ice accumulation 0.05-0.40 Dark blue. Heavy snow/mix. 5-9 inches of snowfall/sleet. Extreme ice possible. 0.10-0.70 Light purple. Heavy snow. [---] inches. Dark purple. Heavy snow. 12-18 inches"
X Link 2026-01-24T16:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The ice accumulation will be significant and I updated this because of that. I cant stress this enough and looking at real live data I cant unfortunately rule at the extreme ice accumulation. I think it may be catastrophic and with the sleet on top with snow make this worse"
X Link 2026-01-24T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"18z HRRR run. Not much of a change to it as similar to the 12z. Only difference is freezing rain accumulation is increased which is becoming a concern. Looks like good swatch of snow changing over to sleet between 12-2pm"
X Link 2026-01-24T19:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Snow will start soon in the area"
X Link 2026-01-25T07:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Moderate snow is now falling in the city. Guess is falling between 0.5-0.7 per hour"
X Link 2026-01-25T14:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Currently steady sleeting in the city. Looks like mix line trying to tome back south but definitely will not reach the city. Because of this the HRRR had it more north but because its more south it now has around [----] inches of freezing rain in the city starting in the evening"
X Link 2026-01-25T19:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"This continues. Can officially put major winter storm for [----]. Crazy how the end of January can have significant systems. January Storm activity continues. January 28-29th [----] Blizzard. January 25th [----] coastal low with wintry mix heavy rain and strong wind gust January 29th [----]. System with wintry mix wind gust and flooding. No Storm January 24-25th [----]. Big system possible January Storm activity continues. January 28-29th [----] Blizzard. January 25th [----] coastal low with wintry mix heavy rain and strong wind gust January 29th [----]. System with wintry mix wind gust and flooding. No"
X Link 2026-01-26T03:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Euro just misses for this weekend. Would not get to caught up in the miss. Dont want to be in the center if snowfall 5-6 days out. Will continue to shift both ways. Will see what ensembles say in a bit"
X Link 2026-01-26T18:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"WPC highlighting big area of a potential winter storm next weekend. Far out and shifts will happen so I dont expect this to increase to mid or even the end of the week if models hold there ground. NBM is once again aggressive. Was aggressive the last storm and is again here"
X Link 2026-01-26T20:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"First hazard map for this weekend. Very High uncertainty. White blue. 0-10% low risk of a significant winter storm for now. Light blue. 10-20% risk of a significant winter storm for now. Watch for trends. Blue. 20-30% of a significant winter storm for now Watch for trends"
X Link 2026-01-26T21:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"GFS had a shift to the east. Members show however very widespread. The Euro is more west and shows a blizzard off the NJ coast with members widespread still. Nothing is sold. Important to note that the Euro was more north then the GFS last storm and over time the GFS followed"
X Link 2026-01-27T00:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Heading to bed for the night. Before I head off GFS went west and is similar to the Euro. Close miss for Philly but being in this position 5-6 days out for now lovers is a good sign. Will see what tomorrow brings"
X Link 2026-01-27T04:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Hazard map. High uncertainty. White blue. Significant snowfall 0-10% Light blue. Significant snowfall 10-20% Blue. Significant snowfall 20-30%. Where I stand for now. Some models show a hit however most accurate one is out to sea. 4-5 days out still. This will change"
X Link 2026-01-27T19:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"18z Euro. A significant shift west and now looks like game on for the Philly area. Exactly why not to write this off. Energy pieces are way more delayed meaning why it took a more west turn. Looking it may be following the GFS. Time will tell. 4-5 days out. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-27T23:48Z [---] followers, 15.2K engagements
"GEFS and EPS. Both models continue to move west and this is exactly where Philly wants to be to see a significant winter storm potential. More members spread out here. Will see if 0z models continue to show this. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-28T00:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"0z GFS. A small west shift here. Can see snowfall coming down with blizzard conditions down at the coast. Philly in a good place for now. Interesting run. Can see the energy is more delayed. Will fall asleep for the Euro so will post that as soon as I can. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-28T04:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"0z Euro just a miss"
X Link 2026-01-28T07:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"6z models here. GFS a tick east and the ensemble backing it up. Still members pretty widespread so some uncertainty. Euro is now the model most west and is a couple miles away from showing a big snow storm. EPS also move west. [--] days out and Philly in a good spot. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-28T12:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"12z GFS. Overall a bit of a east shift here and snow just misses the area. [--] days out so this will continue to change in each way for a bit more but the clock contuines to click. Will see what the Euro says. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-28T17:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"New mos here. Low confidence. White blue. 0-10% chance of a significant snow storm. Light blue. 10-30% chance of a significant snow storm. Blue. 20-40% chance of a significant snow storm. Overall still lots of uncertainty and [--] days out so this will change"
X Link 2026-01-28T22:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"18z Euro here. It shifted significantly west and shows a minor snow storm in Philly with a moderate one down the shore. Energy more south. Likely blizzard conditions with this. Still flip flopping around but overnight if this continues beware of it. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-01-28T23:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"GEFS and EPS. Both could not be different as the EPS is finally starting to back up the Euro. Do we see any northwest trends for both models or was it just [--] run from the Euro. Time will tell but dont be surprised if you see bigger shifts as we get close into either direction"
X Link 2026-01-29T00:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"0z GFS with a west shift here. Just scraping the NJ coast however a notable shift. Too close for comfort [--] hours out. This thing can go both ways however the classic northwest trend may come into play here. Can see the energy piece is more south. Will post Euro later or tomorrow"
X Link 2026-01-29T04:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"GFS right here. Just a bit of a tick west. You can see that due to the energy being transferred a couple hours earlier then what it had later. Can see the energy is more sped up. More sped up= out to sea and vise versa. Is it a start to a shift to the Euro Time will tell"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"A clipper is expected to hit are area midweek. Question is how much can it materialize. Snow map. Medium Confidence. White blue. Flurries or light snow. Accumulation 0.5-1 inch. Steady light snow. Accumulation 1-3 inches. Expected to change in coming days. Stay tuned"
X Link 2026-02-01T19:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
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