[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @Vincent_Ledvina Vincent Ledvina Vincent Ledvina posts on X about sun, monday night, strong, solar the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and 2798 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::2778999600/interactions)  - X Week XXXXXXX -XX% - X Month XXXXXXXXX +1,220% - X Months XXXXXXXXXX +28% - X Year XXXXXXXXXX +30% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::2778999600/posts_active)  - X Week XX -XX% - X Month XXX +49% - X Months XXXXX +148% - X Year XXXXX +41% ### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::2778999600/followers)  - X Week XXXXXX +0.50% - X Month XXXXXX +9.70% - X Months XXXXXX +15% - X Year XXXXXX +33% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::2778999600/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [social networks](/list/social-networks) [nfl](/list/nfl) **Social topic influence** [sun](/topic/sun), [monday night](/topic/monday-night) #129, [strong](/topic/strong) #3043, [solar](/topic/solar) #751, [if you](/topic/if-you), [red](/topic/red), [will be](/topic/will-be), [all the](/topic/all-the), [science](/topic/science), [proton](/topic/proton) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "Thank you all for the hundreds of photo submissions You can still submit your suspected FAE images to vledvina@alaska.edu for science purposes. If you want to be more confident that what you captured is indeed an FAE and not proton aurora see the flier attached here" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1994809728015483091) 2025-11-29T16:44Z 44.8K followers, 2230 engagements "Why do I hear boss music playing" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1994922341596545423) 2025-11-30T00:12Z 44.8K followers, 56.9K engagements "Wow that ramp in background x-ray flux is crazy. Over the last seven days weve gone from mid-B range to mid-C range a nearly 10x increase. This is due to AR 4294 and AR 4295 (northern hemisphere) rotating into our view. M- and X-class flares are possible" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1995144932567515366) 2025-11-30T14:56Z 44.8K followers, 2763 engagements "STOP comparing the sunspots facing Earth now to a drawing of the sunspot region that contributed to the Carrington Event. This is: X. Inaccurate. Large sunspot groups do not guarantee flare activity. We have seen this as AR 4294 and AR 4296 are essentially quiet although they are magnetically complex. Comparing this region to the Carrington sunspot group doesn't say anything except they are both large in size. Furthermore the Carrington region doesn't even look like AR 4294 or AR 4296. If we can trust the drawing notice how mangled and twisted the umbras and penumbras are in that group" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997100217620128004) 2025-12-06T00:26Z 44.8K followers, 10.4K engagements "Center-disk M8.12 flare from AR 4299+CME are happening as we speak. Here are the latest XX frames from GOES SUVI XXX and you can see violent field-line movement and a blastwave emanating from AR 4299. This CME will likely have an Earth-directed component" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997407145072210060) 2025-12-06T20:45Z 44.8K followers, 6975 engagements "An impressive CME with this M8.1 flare from AR 4299. As more frames are available we see the blast wave nearly reaches the south pole of the Sun It is impossible to determine when this may impact Earth and with what severity without more data (which will be available soona)" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997421851413504169) 2025-12-06T21:44Z 44.8K followers, 3976 engagements "Here is a 48-hour timelapse of AR 4299 showing increased development and magnetic mixing in the leader spots. Blue and red colors represent opposite polarities. Red touching blue = instability. Perhaps this contributed to the M1.1 and M8.1 flares today and we will see more" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997485502065467678) 2025-12-07T01:57Z 44.8K followers, 3243 engagements "A G3 (STRONG) geomagnetic storm watch has JUST been issued by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. This is due to a CME predicted to arrive at Earth around early-midday Dec X UT (Monday night). Auroral displays may be seen across the central U.S. Follow for more updates" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997527637846335839) 2025-12-07T04:44Z 44.8K followers, 6437 engagements "Difference imagery of the recent M2.4 and M2.0 flares. The CME associated with the M2.4 flare is pretty weak unfortunately but we'll see what the signature in coronagraphs look like. That will give us a better idea" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997847602998788219) 2025-12-08T01:56Z 44.8K followers, 4128 engagements "Another unexpected major-flare player AR 4298 just fired off an impulsive X1.14 flare The proximity of this region to the limb and the impulsive nature of the flare means there may not be much of a CME with this event and/or it may not have much of an Earth-directed component" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997896532486681017) 2025-12-08T05:10Z 44.8K followers, 6322 engagements "AR 4294 the moment other active regions started picking up the slack and firing off M- and X-class flares:" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997903425116475599) 2025-12-08T05:37Z 44.8K followers, 3397 engagements "The Sun is firing on all cylinders as we now have an M1.84 flare peaking now from AR 4299. This region is in a good position to produce CMEs which could affect Earth. Let's see if it launched one with this latest event" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997926639163085028) 2025-12-08T07:10Z 44.8K followers, 4931 engagements "AR 4299 kept the show going with an M2.4 flare and Earth-directed CME which has recently been modeled by NASA as a direct hit to Earth around Dec XX at X UT. This could be interesting if Earth is still recovering from the M8.1 CME and geomagnetic effects could be enhanced" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998091536123470211) 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, XXX engagements "Direct hit Here is a preliminary WSA ENLIL+Cone model of the M8.1 CME from NASA M2M. Earth shock arrival time is calculated to be Dec X X UT +/- X hr (Monday night). G2-G3 conditions may be possible but we'll see what the official forecast from NOAA SWPC is. Stay tuned" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997451166809207179) 2025-12-06T23:40Z 44.9K followers, 20.5K engagements "How things can change in an instant. Check out the solar wind right nownice enhancement XX nT with straight-south Bz. We could see G2-G3 conditions if the Bz stays pointed south. Some periods of Bz north could help the situation actually to avoid SMC conditions. Ill keep an eye on the situation today. I have a final exam and one on Friday Im prepping for but Ill be checking data as much as I can 🙂 Monitor real-time data now that conditions are favorable for mid-latitude aurora. Do not use Kp or OVATION to track auroral visibility" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998867410011697394) 2025-12-10T21:28Z 44.9K followers, 4592 engagements "Not bad right above the house Decent substorm here and even more impressive to see bright aurora at 6:15 pm" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998955028909039939) 2025-12-11T03:16Z 44.9K followers, 7748 engagements "If you have a very low-latitude aurora observation from tonight please record your exact time and rough location and DO NOT DELETE your photo. These observations will be important for scientific research. Comment below if you have a very low-latitude aurora sighting" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1988427606295990455) 2025-11-12T02:04Z 44.8K followers, 139.1K engagements "Well now we have two major-flare players on the Earth-facing disk and every day they are moving into more favorable positions for Earth-directed CMEs. Will Christmas come early for aurora chasers this year 👀👀" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1995361813962314177) 2025-12-01T05:18Z 44.8K followers, 5501 engagements "The spectacular fireworks of two eruptive M-class flares from AR 4299 today. First an M1.1 around 1921 UT followed by an M8.1 around 2039 UT. Both flares were near the center of the Earth-facing disk and eruptive. The M8.1 CME looks the most Earth-directed" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997433109936300425) 2025-12-06T22:28Z 44.8K followers, 5919 engagements "Imitation is the highest form of flattery right haha" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998077306489962632) 2025-12-08T17:08Z 44.8K followers, 4035 engagements "Here is the NASA M2M WSA ENLIL+Cone model for the M1.1 flare from AR 4299. Note that this CME was fired right in front of the M8.1 CME so it may get "swept up" in that eruption and both may arrive as one enhancement. We'll see though Impact time will be uncertain due to this" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998091528229798268) 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, XXX engagements "I also sent an aurora alert email about this event. If you did not receive it then make sure to sign up for my email list so you don't miss the next one These emails are geared towards aurora chasers and help make sense of all the details and jargon:" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998091533934047575) 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, XXX engagements "Finally the Sun put on a big show with an X1.1 flare. The flare was impressive but the CME was minor and is mostly heading away from Earth. Still NASA modeled the eruption and we may see a glancing blow around Dec XX at XX UT" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998091538346480009) 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, 1774 engagements "Here is the HUXt model visualization of all the CMEs currently being tracked. The Sun is at the center and Earth is the black dot. There are two CME direct hits in the M8.1+M1.1 and M2.4 (assuming the CMEs combine) CME and there is one glancing blow in the X1.1 CME" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998114215358517650) 2025-12-08T19:35Z 44.8K followers, 3822 engagements "My parents bought Packers season tickets for me the day after I was born. Just got a letter that Im only no. 24615 on the waiting list. 😂😭" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1995157445602374076) 2025-11-30T15:46Z 44.9K followers, 2.3M engagements "The M1.1 flare from AR 4299 apparently destabilized a filament immediately to the east of the active region. A CME may be associated with this development but we'll need to see what emerges in coronagraph imagery to confirm. finally the Sun gives us something to talk about" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997388872691388640) 2025-12-06T19:33Z 44.9K followers, 7350 engagements "AR 4299 is producing an M-flare right now with CME which could deliver an impact to Earth. Im currently outside and may not have an update for XX min since I need to drive home from UAF but heads up" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998195867858419774) 2025-12-09T00:59Z 44.9K followers, 4500 engagements "The aurora is so bright that the ground is literally glowing red to the naked eye. I have never seen this before" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1988471883839508810) 2025-11-12T05:00Z 44.9K followers, 1.2M engagements "Intense pink aurora shortly after sunset tonight driving south out of Fairbanks Alaska. Some of the most stunning color in the aurora I have ever seen" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1988509211521606039) 2025-11-12T07:28Z 44.9K followers, 1.1M engagements "The scale of today's X1.9 CME compared to the Earth. Truly a monstorous eruption" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1995606525352837308) 2025-12-01T21:30Z 44.9K followers, 50.2K engagements "The M8.1 CME has emerged in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 images as an asymmetric full halo. This means it is heading at Earth. NOAA and NASA have modeled the eruption predicting impact sometime on Dec X early (NASA) or in the later half (NOAA). We may see a geomagneic storm Monday night" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997479470513721426) 2025-12-07T01:33Z 44.9K followers, 5862 engagements "Tonight the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has issued a G3 (STRONG) watch for December X and a G1 (minor) watch for December XX due to a coronal mass ejection (CME) that is directed at Earth. Auroras may be seen further equator ward than usual Monday night. Let me break down what is happening including aurora chances. Strap in for a deep dive. **First what happened** The active region that gave us the big G4 storm in November is back on the Earth-facing disk and fired off an M1.1 and M8.1 flare today. Both flares were eruptive although the M8.1 CME looked far more impressive and" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997558510608060686) 2025-12-07T06:47Z 44.9K followers, 39K engagements "Tomorrow we may see a strong G3 geomagnetic storm and auroras occuring further equatorward than usual. This is in response to a coronal mass ejection (CME) heading towards Earth. Impact may occur sometime Monday night into Tuesday. Here's what's happening and what to expect 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997750907744977225) 2025-12-07T19:31Z 44.9K followers, 42.3K engagements "Just now: M2.4 + M2 solar flares from AR 4299 and AR 4294 respectively. There is a CME associated with the former that looks to have a substantial Earth-directed component Great news for aurora chasers to mark a potentially THIRD Earth-directed CME hitting this week" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997831060676354125) 2025-12-08T00:50Z 44.9K followers, 9180 engagements "Although the X1.14 flare from AR 4298 was impulsive there was still a CME generated. You can see it in this 20-frame loop of GOES SUVI XXX . It appears to have a strong northwestern bias and may not have any Earth-directed components but we'll see" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1997906559972896958) 2025-12-08T05:50Z 44.9K followers, 3994 engagements "There are FOUR CMEs that could impact Earth soon Flare source and impact timing: M1.1 from AR 4299: Dec XX X UT (glancing blow) M8.1 from AR 4299: Dec X X UT (direct hit) M2.4 from AR 4299: Dec XX X UT (direct hit) X1.1 from AR 4298: Dec XX XX UT (glancing blow)" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998091526598197510) 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.9K followers, 24.8K engagements "Here is the most promising of the CMEs headed for us now launched with an M8.1 flare from AR 4299 in the Earth-strike zone. It may impact Earth around Dec X at X UT. Both NASA and NOAA agree with this timing. Impact may be slightly before or after (+/- X hr) this prediction" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998091530083655877) 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.9K followers, 1201 engagements "AR 4294 is finally doing something with an M3.19 flare happening now. not sure yet if there is a CME associated with this event but it may have an Earth-directed component. We will see" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998141758937739450) 2025-12-08T21:24Z 44.9K followers, 9087 engagements "The recent M3.19 flare from AR 4294 had no associated CME after reviewing imagery. See below a three channel combination from SDO AIA (171 XXX and XXX ). Oh well" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998156273284760021) 2025-12-08T22:22Z 44.9K followers, 5936 engagements "The M8.1 CME arrival is slightly behind schedule but arrival is still within the range of possibility easily In the screenshot below you see the UK Met Office's ensemble model of solar wind enhancements from Dec 8-14. The vertical line is current time" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998290624618148134) 2025-12-09T07:16Z 44.9K followers, 2717 engagements "Current update: the M8.1 CME is late but it could still arrive. G3 conditions are unlikely at this point since the CME is slower than expected and may not have as much energy. All this is pending what actually happens when and if the CME arrives at our upstream solar wind satellites. There are also other CMEs en route to Earth that could save us from a complete shut out so keep an eye out for those to impact over the next couple days. Those are mostly glancing blow impacts so theres a bit more uncertainty in the arrival time and strength of impact. The M8.1 CME looked promising from the start" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998476756303622404) 2025-12-09T19:36Z 44.9K followers, 4582 engagements "Aurora is a bit brighter now to the eye in Fairbanks Alaska. Nice night Had some clouds to the north but its clearing" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998658688417210659) 2025-12-10T07:38Z 44.9K followers, 2525 engagements "There was an impulsive M4.4 flare from around AR 4294 just now. A CME is associated with this event but it is too early to say whether it may have an Earth-directed component. Due to the limb position of AR 4294 my guess is a glancing blow is possible but unlikely" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998883405480776190) 2025-12-10T22:31Z 44.9K followers, 2479 engagements "We have aurora across the northern tier of the U.S. happening right now Heres whats going on and how you can track the activity" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998912174065156138) 2025-12-11T00:26Z 44.9K followers, 2944 engagements "Substorm may be starting now according to GOES MAG" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998940032611267104) 2025-12-11T02:16Z 44.9K followers, 4517 engagements "FAA cam is seeing aurora in Corinth Mississippi right now. Crazy substorm" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998942005569925424) 2025-12-11T02:24Z 44.9K followers, 9842 engagements "Update: We appear to be in a south-east-north (SEN) flux rope and the Bz may stay positive for some time. The next 6+ hours could be predominantly +B_y and +B_z stifling mid-latitude auroral displays. Minor sporadic substorms are possible at high-latitudes but we'll see" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998982620013801540) 2025-12-11T05:06Z 44.9K followers, 2430 engagements "Dynamic aurora tonight via THEMIS ASI real-time data (low resolution). Substorm initiation looked to be over Pinawa Manitoba (station ID=PINA) at XXX UT on a growth phase arc over the southern shores of Lake Winnipeg. Auroral beads were present" [X Link](https://x.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1998997239369478268) 2025-12-11T06:04Z 44.9K followers, 1412 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@Vincent_Ledvina Vincent Ledvina
Vincent Ledvina posts on X about sun, monday night, strong, solar the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and 2798 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +1,220%
- X Months XXXXXXXXXX +28%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXX +30%
Mentions: XX #
- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX +49%
- X Months XXXXX +148%
- X Year XXXXX +41%
Followers: XXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXX +0.50%
- X Month XXXXXX +9.70%
- X Months XXXXXX +15%
- X Year XXXXXX +33%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #
Social Influence
Social category influence social networks nfl
Social topic influence sun, monday night #129, strong #3043, solar #751, if you, red, will be, all the, science, proton
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"Thank you all for the hundreds of photo submissions You can still submit your suspected FAE images to vledvina@alaska.edu for science purposes. If you want to be more confident that what you captured is indeed an FAE and not proton aurora see the flier attached here"
X Link 2025-11-29T16:44Z 44.8K followers, 2230 engagements
"Why do I hear boss music playing"
X Link 2025-11-30T00:12Z 44.8K followers, 56.9K engagements
"Wow that ramp in background x-ray flux is crazy. Over the last seven days weve gone from mid-B range to mid-C range a nearly 10x increase. This is due to AR 4294 and AR 4295 (northern hemisphere) rotating into our view. M- and X-class flares are possible"
X Link 2025-11-30T14:56Z 44.8K followers, 2763 engagements
"STOP comparing the sunspots facing Earth now to a drawing of the sunspot region that contributed to the Carrington Event. This is: X. Inaccurate. Large sunspot groups do not guarantee flare activity. We have seen this as AR 4294 and AR 4296 are essentially quiet although they are magnetically complex. Comparing this region to the Carrington sunspot group doesn't say anything except they are both large in size. Furthermore the Carrington region doesn't even look like AR 4294 or AR 4296. If we can trust the drawing notice how mangled and twisted the umbras and penumbras are in that group"
X Link 2025-12-06T00:26Z 44.8K followers, 10.4K engagements
"Center-disk M8.12 flare from AR 4299+CME are happening as we speak. Here are the latest XX frames from GOES SUVI XXX and you can see violent field-line movement and a blastwave emanating from AR 4299. This CME will likely have an Earth-directed component"
X Link 2025-12-06T20:45Z 44.8K followers, 6975 engagements
"An impressive CME with this M8.1 flare from AR 4299. As more frames are available we see the blast wave nearly reaches the south pole of the Sun It is impossible to determine when this may impact Earth and with what severity without more data (which will be available soona)"
X Link 2025-12-06T21:44Z 44.8K followers, 3976 engagements
"Here is a 48-hour timelapse of AR 4299 showing increased development and magnetic mixing in the leader spots. Blue and red colors represent opposite polarities. Red touching blue = instability. Perhaps this contributed to the M1.1 and M8.1 flares today and we will see more"
X Link 2025-12-07T01:57Z 44.8K followers, 3243 engagements
"A G3 (STRONG) geomagnetic storm watch has JUST been issued by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. This is due to a CME predicted to arrive at Earth around early-midday Dec X UT (Monday night). Auroral displays may be seen across the central U.S. Follow for more updates"
X Link 2025-12-07T04:44Z 44.8K followers, 6437 engagements
"Difference imagery of the recent M2.4 and M2.0 flares. The CME associated with the M2.4 flare is pretty weak unfortunately but we'll see what the signature in coronagraphs look like. That will give us a better idea"
X Link 2025-12-08T01:56Z 44.8K followers, 4128 engagements
"Another unexpected major-flare player AR 4298 just fired off an impulsive X1.14 flare The proximity of this region to the limb and the impulsive nature of the flare means there may not be much of a CME with this event and/or it may not have much of an Earth-directed component"
X Link 2025-12-08T05:10Z 44.8K followers, 6322 engagements
"AR 4294 the moment other active regions started picking up the slack and firing off M- and X-class flares:"
X Link 2025-12-08T05:37Z 44.8K followers, 3397 engagements
"The Sun is firing on all cylinders as we now have an M1.84 flare peaking now from AR 4299. This region is in a good position to produce CMEs which could affect Earth. Let's see if it launched one with this latest event"
X Link 2025-12-08T07:10Z 44.8K followers, 4931 engagements
"AR 4299 kept the show going with an M2.4 flare and Earth-directed CME which has recently been modeled by NASA as a direct hit to Earth around Dec XX at X UT. This could be interesting if Earth is still recovering from the M8.1 CME and geomagnetic effects could be enhanced"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, XXX engagements
"Direct hit Here is a preliminary WSA ENLIL+Cone model of the M8.1 CME from NASA M2M. Earth shock arrival time is calculated to be Dec X X UT +/- X hr (Monday night). G2-G3 conditions may be possible but we'll see what the official forecast from NOAA SWPC is. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-12-06T23:40Z 44.9K followers, 20.5K engagements
"How things can change in an instant. Check out the solar wind right nownice enhancement XX nT with straight-south Bz. We could see G2-G3 conditions if the Bz stays pointed south. Some periods of Bz north could help the situation actually to avoid SMC conditions. Ill keep an eye on the situation today. I have a final exam and one on Friday Im prepping for but Ill be checking data as much as I can 🙂 Monitor real-time data now that conditions are favorable for mid-latitude aurora. Do not use Kp or OVATION to track auroral visibility"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:28Z 44.9K followers, 4592 engagements
"Not bad right above the house Decent substorm here and even more impressive to see bright aurora at 6:15 pm"
X Link 2025-12-11T03:16Z 44.9K followers, 7748 engagements
"If you have a very low-latitude aurora observation from tonight please record your exact time and rough location and DO NOT DELETE your photo. These observations will be important for scientific research. Comment below if you have a very low-latitude aurora sighting"
X Link 2025-11-12T02:04Z 44.8K followers, 139.1K engagements
"Well now we have two major-flare players on the Earth-facing disk and every day they are moving into more favorable positions for Earth-directed CMEs. Will Christmas come early for aurora chasers this year 👀👀"
X Link 2025-12-01T05:18Z 44.8K followers, 5501 engagements
"The spectacular fireworks of two eruptive M-class flares from AR 4299 today. First an M1.1 around 1921 UT followed by an M8.1 around 2039 UT. Both flares were near the center of the Earth-facing disk and eruptive. The M8.1 CME looks the most Earth-directed"
X Link 2025-12-06T22:28Z 44.8K followers, 5919 engagements
"Imitation is the highest form of flattery right haha"
X Link 2025-12-08T17:08Z 44.8K followers, 4035 engagements
"Here is the NASA M2M WSA ENLIL+Cone model for the M1.1 flare from AR 4299. Note that this CME was fired right in front of the M8.1 CME so it may get "swept up" in that eruption and both may arrive as one enhancement. We'll see though Impact time will be uncertain due to this"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, XXX engagements
"I also sent an aurora alert email about this event. If you did not receive it then make sure to sign up for my email list so you don't miss the next one These emails are geared towards aurora chasers and help make sense of all the details and jargon:"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, XXX engagements
"Finally the Sun put on a big show with an X1.1 flare. The flare was impressive but the CME was minor and is mostly heading away from Earth. Still NASA modeled the eruption and we may see a glancing blow around Dec XX at XX UT"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.8K followers, 1774 engagements
"Here is the HUXt model visualization of all the CMEs currently being tracked. The Sun is at the center and Earth is the black dot. There are two CME direct hits in the M8.1+M1.1 and M2.4 (assuming the CMEs combine) CME and there is one glancing blow in the X1.1 CME"
X Link 2025-12-08T19:35Z 44.8K followers, 3822 engagements
"My parents bought Packers season tickets for me the day after I was born. Just got a letter that Im only no. 24615 on the waiting list. 😂😭"
X Link 2025-11-30T15:46Z 44.9K followers, 2.3M engagements
"The M1.1 flare from AR 4299 apparently destabilized a filament immediately to the east of the active region. A CME may be associated with this development but we'll need to see what emerges in coronagraph imagery to confirm. finally the Sun gives us something to talk about"
X Link 2025-12-06T19:33Z 44.9K followers, 7350 engagements
"AR 4299 is producing an M-flare right now with CME which could deliver an impact to Earth. Im currently outside and may not have an update for XX min since I need to drive home from UAF but heads up"
X Link 2025-12-09T00:59Z 44.9K followers, 4500 engagements
"The aurora is so bright that the ground is literally glowing red to the naked eye. I have never seen this before"
X Link 2025-11-12T05:00Z 44.9K followers, 1.2M engagements
"Intense pink aurora shortly after sunset tonight driving south out of Fairbanks Alaska. Some of the most stunning color in the aurora I have ever seen"
X Link 2025-11-12T07:28Z 44.9K followers, 1.1M engagements
"The scale of today's X1.9 CME compared to the Earth. Truly a monstorous eruption"
X Link 2025-12-01T21:30Z 44.9K followers, 50.2K engagements
"The M8.1 CME has emerged in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 images as an asymmetric full halo. This means it is heading at Earth. NOAA and NASA have modeled the eruption predicting impact sometime on Dec X early (NASA) or in the later half (NOAA). We may see a geomagneic storm Monday night"
X Link 2025-12-07T01:33Z 44.9K followers, 5862 engagements
"Tonight the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has issued a G3 (STRONG) watch for December X and a G1 (minor) watch for December XX due to a coronal mass ejection (CME) that is directed at Earth. Auroras may be seen further equator ward than usual Monday night. Let me break down what is happening including aurora chances. Strap in for a deep dive. First what happened The active region that gave us the big G4 storm in November is back on the Earth-facing disk and fired off an M1.1 and M8.1 flare today. Both flares were eruptive although the M8.1 CME looked far more impressive and"
X Link 2025-12-07T06:47Z 44.9K followers, 39K engagements
"Tomorrow we may see a strong G3 geomagnetic storm and auroras occuring further equatorward than usual. This is in response to a coronal mass ejection (CME) heading towards Earth. Impact may occur sometime Monday night into Tuesday. Here's what's happening and what to expect 🧵"
X Link 2025-12-07T19:31Z 44.9K followers, 42.3K engagements
"Just now: M2.4 + M2 solar flares from AR 4299 and AR 4294 respectively. There is a CME associated with the former that looks to have a substantial Earth-directed component Great news for aurora chasers to mark a potentially THIRD Earth-directed CME hitting this week"
X Link 2025-12-08T00:50Z 44.9K followers, 9180 engagements
"Although the X1.14 flare from AR 4298 was impulsive there was still a CME generated. You can see it in this 20-frame loop of GOES SUVI XXX . It appears to have a strong northwestern bias and may not have any Earth-directed components but we'll see"
X Link 2025-12-08T05:50Z 44.9K followers, 3994 engagements
"There are FOUR CMEs that could impact Earth soon Flare source and impact timing: M1.1 from AR 4299: Dec XX X UT (glancing blow) M8.1 from AR 4299: Dec X X UT (direct hit) M2.4 from AR 4299: Dec XX X UT (direct hit) X1.1 from AR 4298: Dec XX XX UT (glancing blow)"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.9K followers, 24.8K engagements
"Here is the most promising of the CMEs headed for us now launched with an M8.1 flare from AR 4299 in the Earth-strike zone. It may impact Earth around Dec X at X UT. Both NASA and NOAA agree with this timing. Impact may be slightly before or after (+/- X hr) this prediction"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:05Z 44.9K followers, 1201 engagements
"AR 4294 is finally doing something with an M3.19 flare happening now. not sure yet if there is a CME associated with this event but it may have an Earth-directed component. We will see"
X Link 2025-12-08T21:24Z 44.9K followers, 9087 engagements
"The recent M3.19 flare from AR 4294 had no associated CME after reviewing imagery. See below a three channel combination from SDO AIA (171 XXX and XXX ). Oh well"
X Link 2025-12-08T22:22Z 44.9K followers, 5936 engagements
"The M8.1 CME arrival is slightly behind schedule but arrival is still within the range of possibility easily In the screenshot below you see the UK Met Office's ensemble model of solar wind enhancements from Dec 8-14. The vertical line is current time"
X Link 2025-12-09T07:16Z 44.9K followers, 2717 engagements
"Current update: the M8.1 CME is late but it could still arrive. G3 conditions are unlikely at this point since the CME is slower than expected and may not have as much energy. All this is pending what actually happens when and if the CME arrives at our upstream solar wind satellites. There are also other CMEs en route to Earth that could save us from a complete shut out so keep an eye out for those to impact over the next couple days. Those are mostly glancing blow impacts so theres a bit more uncertainty in the arrival time and strength of impact. The M8.1 CME looked promising from the start"
X Link 2025-12-09T19:36Z 44.9K followers, 4582 engagements
"Aurora is a bit brighter now to the eye in Fairbanks Alaska. Nice night Had some clouds to the north but its clearing"
X Link 2025-12-10T07:38Z 44.9K followers, 2525 engagements
"There was an impulsive M4.4 flare from around AR 4294 just now. A CME is associated with this event but it is too early to say whether it may have an Earth-directed component. Due to the limb position of AR 4294 my guess is a glancing blow is possible but unlikely"
X Link 2025-12-10T22:31Z 44.9K followers, 2479 engagements
"We have aurora across the northern tier of the U.S. happening right now Heres whats going on and how you can track the activity"
X Link 2025-12-11T00:26Z 44.9K followers, 2944 engagements
"Substorm may be starting now according to GOES MAG"
X Link 2025-12-11T02:16Z 44.9K followers, 4517 engagements
"FAA cam is seeing aurora in Corinth Mississippi right now. Crazy substorm"
X Link 2025-12-11T02:24Z 44.9K followers, 9842 engagements
"Update: We appear to be in a south-east-north (SEN) flux rope and the Bz may stay positive for some time. The next 6+ hours could be predominantly +B_y and +B_z stifling mid-latitude auroral displays. Minor sporadic substorms are possible at high-latitudes but we'll see"
X Link 2025-12-11T05:06Z 44.9K followers, 2430 engagements
"Dynamic aurora tonight via THEMIS ASI real-time data (low resolution). Substorm initiation looked to be over Pinawa Manitoba (station ID=PINA) at XXX UT on a growth phase arc over the southern shores of Lake Winnipeg. Auroral beads were present"
X Link 2025-12-11T06:04Z 44.9K followers, 1412 engagements