#  @TraderFortune John Fortune
John Fortune posts on X about forex, stocks, $dxy, $spx the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::855720255741710336/interactions)
- [--] Week [-----] -8.20%
- [--] Month [------] +346%
- [--] Months [---------] +1,294%
- [--] Year [---------] +1,468%
### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::855720255741710336/posts_active)
- [--] Month [--] +84%
- [--] Months [---] +319%
- [--] Year [---] +71%
### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::855720255741710336/followers)
- [--] Week [-----] +0.37%
- [--] Month [-----] +1.30%
- [--] Months [-----] +4.10%
- [--] Year [-----] +11%
### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::855720255741710336/influencer_rank)
### Social Influence
**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance) [currencies](/list/currencies) [stocks](/list/stocks) [countries](/list/countries) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [us election](/list/us-election) [exchanges](/list/exchanges)
**Social topic influence**
[forex](/topic/forex), [stocks](/topic/stocks), [$dxy](/topic/$dxy) #35, [$spx](/topic/$spx), [spx](/topic/spx), [$ndx](/topic/$ndx), [$rut](/topic/$rut), [$djia](/topic/$djia), [$wti](/topic/$wti), [$eurusd](/topic/$eurusd)
**Top assets mentioned**
[SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Rally (RLY)](/topic/rally) [AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC)](/topic/$amc) [ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX)](/topic/$asx) [Caduceus Protocol (CAD)](/topic/$cad) [United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)](/topic/$ups)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"This tweet aged well. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings $NCLH Quarterly Earnings out today. Revenue miss by nearly 38%. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings $NCLH attempting a breakout of a Bear Flag pattern formed with a developing H&S Top. Bullish on #Stocks as per WFF video however interesting for Long/Short. Rising fuel costs to eat margins #NCHL already some of the tightest margins in industry. https://t.co/tmxw518h4D Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings $NCLH attempting a breakout of a Bear Flag pattern formed with a developing H&S Top. Bullish on #Stocks as per WFF video however interesting for"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1455906585247719425) 2021-11-03T14:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Just as Marky Marks new #Meta ( $FB ) is testing the under side of a confirmed Double Top reversal 🤔 #Facebook $meta #FB #MarkyMark"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1462867034744705028) 2021-11-22T19:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Another highlight from todays Free #GMT Catalyst Alerts report: [--] members of the Walton family sold nearly 1.5m shares (around $200m worth) between them of #Walmart on Friday just as $WMT nears a major Head & Shoulders confirmation level. Full Report - https://getmetrading.com/catalyst-alerts/ https://getmetrading.com/catalyst-alerts/"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1467906314559004680) 2021-12-06T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Mexican Peso Futures. #Mxn $Mxn #UsdMex $UsdMex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1470757565621489668) 2021-12-14T14:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Happy New Year Everyone These are the #Forex scorecards heading into next week. Last week $EurChf & $EurGbp were scored as the best shorts $ChfJpy & $GbpJpy scored as the best longs. This week $Chf & $Gbp remain top longs with $Nzd $Jpy & $Eur best shorts"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1477587206264995845) 2022-01-02T10:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#MidWeekUpdate Scorecards are updated & signalling some big themes: - $WTI probability of near term top increased even further - EM currencies are setting to outperform - Swedish Krona $SEK set to bottom in the next [--] weeks Markets are #Reflating guys & girls not crashing"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1493893152570482693) 2022-02-16T10:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"People asked on YouTube about #Stocks analysis but there's really nothing else to update on the #StockMarket since I last posted about it. We've broken the major structural levels I highlighted weeks ago & all US #StockMarkets are at risk of a major crash from here. $Spx $Ndx"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1523625766051024897) 2022-05-09T11:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$XLP outperformance is an early recessionary signal but it gets shot heading into the main event It's been one of the top [--] performing sectors recently & is now down over 10% this month When #XLP closed -10% in a month since 1999: Feb [--] -11.67% Jun [--] -10.46% Oct [--] -12.61%"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1527687749888778246) 2022-05-20T16:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Huge miss in #US Home Sales MoM too Not what you would expect to see at an absolute #StockMarket bottom. #Stocks $Spx $Dxy $Ndx $Rut $Djia"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1562078599540269056) 2022-08-23T14:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Running through all the data I am more & more convinced the sell off in the $Dxy is done. I think #CPI/#FOMC catalyses a reversal to the upside next week"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1601556126503702528) 2022-12-10T12:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Traders most Bullish heading into next Tuesdays US #CPI report since December 30th [----] The ultimate top in the $Spx Bull market was 4th January [----] [--] trading days later. $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1623726578298413057) 2023-02-09T16:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US PCE #Inflation 🔥🔥🔥 Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) 0.6% vs 0.4% (Exp.) Core PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) 4.7% vs 4.3% (Exp.) PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) 0.6% vs 0.3% (Exp.) PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) 5.4% vs 4.8% (Exp.) $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1629111994925084673) 2023-02-24T13:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Saturday Morning - They sleep we work 🤝 Dow Jones Transportation Index $DJT A leading indicator of #US Indices due to its sensitivity to the business cycle Now threatening a major breakdown having failed to break higher Jan/Feb $Spx $Djia $Ndx $Rut $Dxy #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1654691449764474880) 2023-05-06T03:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There is no breadth to the recent #US equities rally Quality #stocks are outperforming in a manner consistent with a pre-crisis flight to safety Don't confuse a flight to quality with a healthy market. $Spx $Spy $Ndx $Rut $Djia $QQQ"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1658826049554194434) 2023-05-17T13:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#US New Home Sales 🥵 Huge beat & up MoM despite an expected -2% contraction Those who were waiting for better rates/prices jumping in on the dip This is how you get second wave #inflation & illusion of a new Bull market before #recession $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1661012215313612809) 2023-05-23T14:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"German GDP QoQ Germany is in #recession $Eur $Dxy $EurUsd $Dax $Stoxx #Forex #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1661655042447794179) 2023-05-25T08:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#US PCE Inflation Data 🔥 There it is - Jerome Powell's preferred measure of #inflation $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1662376782463488001) 2023-05-27T08:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Summer #inflation bounce in full swing with both $Dxy & #Stocks rallying for the last [--] months Central Banks have to do more Federal Reserve will be no different Future Headwind for $SPX This bounce in Global Inflation is what's driving the illusion of a new Bull market"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1667075969595654144) 2023-06-28T08:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yesterdays soft US #CPI report was mainly driven by Energy deflation These are the most volatile parts of the survey & MoM #inflation is still far too sticky in other areas for FED to do anything other than Pause & Hold or Hike Rate Cuts still firmly off the table. $Dxy $Spx"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1668976220602613760) 2023-06-14T13:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 New Zealand Enters #Recession (GDP QoQ) $Ndz $NzdUsd $NzdJpy #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1669252508529688576) 2023-06-15T07:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Single Stock models we run are giving a clear book profits signal on both $Tsla & $Nvda Longs today If these #stocks are close to peaking near term likely $Ndx is running on fumes near term as well"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1669341199357050881) 2023-06-26T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$MXN 🚨 Mexican Peso has been one of the best Long ideas all year in the full #Forex Scorecards (not covered in the WFF video) Last week its probability score peaked for the first time suggesting upside is now limited in the Peso Near term top is likely over next [--] weeks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1671501379133644802) 2023-06-21T12:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Trying to work out financial market ramifications of "Russian Civil War" Not clear how situation will play out but on the surface risk is a similar supply shock to the Ukraine invasion: $NG $CL $Dxy $Spx Again we're talking *risk* Lots of unknown variables"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1672575674761064452) 2023-06-24T12:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@samaratprashant I think it's unlikely we see 10-12 again in $UsdTry tbh Prashant If a global recession is on the horizon that's just going to put more upward pressure on the exchange rate Lebanese Pound is never going to recover its value to the USD that's for absolute sure"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1672890752513327105) 2023-06-25T08:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Aged well. $Tsla -4.63% $Nvda -4.86% $Ndx -1.83% *From close 14th June when signal was given"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1673396046695637003) 2023-06-26T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Canada & Australia where #inflation bounced saw downside #CPI beats this week suggesting the Dead Cat Bounce is already rolling over Shows real strength in underlying trend of disinflation as Global #Recession now looms heading into H2 [----] $Cad $Tsx $Aud $Asx #Forex #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1673975139715645440) 2023-06-28T08:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$TLT has closed below $100 for the last couple of days the Bond market is signalling the FED are not done raising rates (one more hike IMO) Pain trade here will be taking out the [-----] lows causing all the $TLT Bulls to capitulate before the trade reversal happens"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1678659097539821568) 2023-07-11T10:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Bankruptcies in the first half of this year have surged at the fastest pace since the last major economic downturn ended (2010) Do new Bull Markets & economic cycles begin with this & the Yield Curve inverted 100bps Don't think so. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Ndx $Djia #Forex #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1679157266694516736) 2023-07-12T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BankofJapan has adjusted its #YCC Target Rate still 0% with +/- 0.5% Range Same as it was before except these are now "flexible" boundaries with the #BoJ ready to intervene anywhere up to +/- 1% from Target Rate $Jpy $UsdJpy $EurJpy $AudJpy $Nikkei"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1684839953702715392) 2023-07-31T10:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Equity traders are rotating into Higher for Longer (Stagflation) plays but any bounce in US #inflation will likely be short lived before a Deflationary (#Recession) regime takes over Global Demand for Chinese goods collapsing & Chinese Demand for Commodities with it. $Dxy"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1688852888699666432) 2023-08-08T10:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"🚨US #Inflation YoY Bounces but by less than expected Core #CPI comes in softer $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1689616502230507520) 2023-08-10T12:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Cleveland FED project this #inflation reacceleration to continue this month This is more significant than a minor beat of estimate Wouldn't be surprised to see the initial Risk On sell off in $Dxy & rally in $Spx get discounted & reverse $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1689618004978577408) 2023-08-10T12:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"IMO $XauUsd & $XagUsd head lower as the $Dxy rallies near term. I also think both dump in #recession + $Spx capitulation low + #Dxy flight to safety at some point When the FED fires up the printer again to fight Deflation I think both #Gold & #Silver enter major Bull Markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1692257303884386404) 2023-08-17T19:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Small Caps are once again selling off hard but this time Mega Caps aren't coming to the rescue (Apple in Orange) $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Aapl #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1692435129216409959) 2023-08-18T07:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpNzd $GbpJpy $GbpAud $NzdUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdChf $ChfJpy $AudChf $XauUsd $XagUsd $BtcUsd / #Bitcoin & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1692919030611398960) 2023-08-19T15:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Utilities $Xlu have now bottomed & Crude Oil $Wti has peaked in the Scorecard system Todays data suggests recent Stagflation regime shift (Scorecards highlighted August 2nd) is now fading & paving the way for a shift into a Deflation / #Recession regime $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1693562424203313653) 2023-08-21T09:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨#German & #EU Services PMI now in contraction territory alongside the Manufacturing PMI The #EU is now facing a full blown #recession not just in the Manufacturing Sector $Eur $Dxy $EurUsd $Dax $Cac $Ibex $Stoxx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1694278925512257935) 2023-08-23T09:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The last time Canadian Retail Sales went negative on a YoY basis was during the Covid crash & #recession More Global data confirming a potential regime shift from Stagflation Deflation in multiple countries US S&P PMIs out in 20m. $Cad $Tsx $Dxy $UsdCad #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1694340281678639296) 2023-08-23T13:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite seeing signs of a regime shift from Stagflation Deflation real Risk Off is unlikely to come into markets until we see $TLT clearing out the [-----] lows This is a key chart to watch in the coming weeks in terms of timing any shift into Risk Off $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1694767059064746301) 2023-08-24T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpNzd $GbpJpy $GbpAud $NzdUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdChf $ChfJpy $AudChf $CadJpy $XauUsd $XagUsd $BtcUsd / #Bitcoin & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1695440198576853303) 2023-08-26T14:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨US Non Farm Payrolls 187K vs 157K (Prev) vs 170K (Exp) 🚨US Unemployment Rate 3.8% vs 3.5% (Prev) vs 3.5% (Exp) Big Unexpected Jump in Unemployment Rate 👀 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1697588718377304566) 2023-09-01T12:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpNzd $GbpJpy $GbpAud $NzdUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdCad $CadJpy $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd $BtcUsd / #Bitcoin & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1698001113734066646) 2023-09-02T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdUsd $CadJpy $AudCad $NzdCad $EurCad $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1700539863689199703) 2023-09-09T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The BOJ & FED often coordinate on policy & I wonder if this was to help soften the $Dxy ahead of a hot #CPI print Guess we will find out tomorrow"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1701563056478674970) 2023-09-12T11:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨 #ECB Hikes Rates [--] bps unexpectedly $Eur $Dxy $Dax $Cac $EurUsd #Forex #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1702295717576839249) 2023-09-14T12:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdUsd $EurCad $EurChf $GbpCad $GbpChf $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1703076209930735855) 2023-09-16T15:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$WTI has been the No.1 Long idea in Commodities this month however Bullish Sentiment is becoming extreme on a Weekly basis Probabilities are (approx 70% chance) this rally in #Oil is about to pause or correct Should soften recent Bond Yield & $Dxy strength in next few weeks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1704072790935027916) 2023-09-19T09:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I believe we're now getting close to the final flight to safety rally in the $Dxy I have been outlining since last year - #Dxy capitulation low & rally - 1st Wave - $WTI & Yields rally stalls - 2nd Wave (right shoulder) - Credit Event/#Stocks Capitulation - 3rd Wave Breakout $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1704101278408683720) 2023-09-19T11:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 Fed keeps Rates at 5.5% as expected Hawkish Pause as FED signals one more hike in [----] Dollar popping. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1704559592456200659) 2023-09-20T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Powell SOFT LANDING NOT A BASELINE EXPECTATION $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1704569602959650917) 2023-09-20T18:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 $Jpy Another very Risk Off asset (like the $Vix) registering oversold sentiment over a Weekly time horizon Last time #Yen reached this level of Bearish Sentiment (June) it rallied 5% Another sign the overall Risk On regime is coming to its end $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1704848850706731493) 2023-09-21T13:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"BoJ Holds Rates as Expected No policy shift either. Non Event $Jpy $Dxy $UsdJpy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Nikkei #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1705071297997271532) 2023-09-22T04:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Today isn't a great day for selling #Stocks $Vix went into today with a 70% expectancy of pausing/reversing (Sentiment Overbought) hence the struggle to rally Once this washes out however - Buckle Up 🚨 Data points towards a major bottom in the #Vix now taking place $Dxy"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1706350246270312751) 2023-09-25T16:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$Dxy now trading at new highs for the year #Forex $EurUsd $GbpUsd $AudUsd $NzdUsd If last week was a capitulation bottom #Forex traders will be shocked when the $Dxy erases this years weakness in a very short period of time It will be a brutal lesson for #Dxy shorts on difference between corrective counter trend moves & impulsive moves with primary trend. https://t.co/yTv81y9QQu If last week was a capitulation bottom #Forex traders will be shocked when the $Dxy erases this years weakness in a very short period of time It will be a brutal lesson for #Dxy shorts on difference between corrective"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1706409648792674713) 2023-09-25T20:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨Multiple conditions are now in place for things to get very ugly very quickly $Dxy set for major upside breakouts vs exotics ( $Mxn & $Zar ) $TLT set for the mother of all short covering rallies $Vix has started to break higher with 150% upside potential Credit Spreads bottoming $Hg Copper breaking down from a year long consolidation Buckle up"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1707063922954523096) 2023-09-27T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$HG Dr Copper breaking a Head & Shoulders pattern & threatening a run to the July [--] lows $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1707065346463596834) 2023-09-27T16:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 US PCE #Inflation Data Headline Up Core Down Mixed release. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1707735649288077658) 2023-09-29T12:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨BREAKING Republican Holdouts reject stopgap funding bill US Shut Down all but guaranteed now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1707817529198919903) 2023-09-29T18:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The rejection of the stopgap funding bill is a spark threatening to light the volatility fuse into October Irrespective of continued negotiations traders now scrambling to exit positions to avoid weekend risk $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex 🚨BREAKING Republican Holdouts reject stopgap funding bill US Shut Down all but guaranteed now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex 🚨BREAKING Republican Holdouts reject stopgap funding bill US Shut Down all but guaranteed now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1707823062119268583) 2023-09-29T18:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpUsd $AudUsd $NzdUsd $GbpChf $EurChf $AudChf $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708158556246057162) 2023-09-30T16:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Government Shutdown averted. One catalyst removed for now. However the bigger threats to a Volatility shock in my opinion still remain: Japan $Jpy & US Treasuries $Tlt"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708409755641786643) 2023-10-01T09:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix closed Friday higher with a 10% reversal from the lows of the day Yet it only opened around 1% lower after a US Government Shutdown was averted Seems markets weren't worried about a Shutdown something else is spooking them. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708764408556486803) 2023-10-02T08:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending makes clear Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the weak point in US Real Estate $WFC Wells Fargo have the largest absolute exposure to CRE & IMO this stock can easily half to $20 if/when the bottom falls out of CRE $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut $Xlf #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708772276273869090) 2023-10-02T09:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Banks with largest CRE loans Q1 [----] (S&P Global) $Wfc $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut $Xlf #Stocks Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending makes clear Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the weak point in US Real Estate $WFC Wells Fargo have the largest absolute exposure to CRE & IMO this stock can easily half to $20 if/when the bottom falls out of CRE $Spx $Ndx $Djia Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending makes clear Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the weak point in US Real Estate $WFC Wells Fargo have the largest absolute exposure to CRE & IMO this stock can easily half to $20"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708773215084925251) 2023-10-02T09:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Argued since March only way to crush inflation save $Jpy & US Treasuries $Tlt in [--] policy is to induce a global #recession & flight to safety To bet against this = bet CB's wont act to resolve current problems (they will) No Growth/Inflation balancing act has taken place IMO"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708796276794388536) 2023-10-02T10:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix Sentiment still showing "Greed" in our rolling probabilities data This means the #Vix has a 70% chance of pausing or correcting still Bullish Sentiment is very close to washing out now though likely uncorking upside volatility later this week. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708869179984449637) 2023-10-02T15:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$XauUsd is exhibiting signs of liquidation. $XagUsd as well which is down 4.5% on the day There's real fear in these markets right now"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1708886213396984231) 2023-10-02T16:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We are seeing what's called "Fast Market" behaviour in $Dxy People start off waiting for a pullback pullbacks don't come people panic & FOMO in Exactly what you expect to see in a blow off top & is everything I've been saying was going to happen in the #Dxy since last year $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709179994071511379) 2023-10-03T12:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 $XLU Our data maps Sentiment across multiple time horizons: the last two times #XLU showed this level of Bearish Sentiment The July [----] Capitulation The October [----] Capitulation That's hard data folks not my opinion. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709214042298949709) 2023-10-03T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 Japan MoF Intervening in the $Jpy $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709215228154560698) 2023-10-03T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UsdCad (correlated to $Vix) is attempting to break out of a [--] month consolidation $UsdZar & $UsdMxn both on the verge of major breakouts higher These are all signs of an incoming Vol. spike & what I mean by "process of crashing" (still early)"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709247966421119299) 2023-10-03T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Nvda down 3% This stock has been outperforming everything until today. It's now leading the tech sell off with $AMD $MSFT & $NOW Something has started to break $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709290122477281729) 2023-10-03T19:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There we have it. $Tlt now in Capitulation Low territory. Further near term downside most likely limited now $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709293270570782726) 2023-10-03T19:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@leadlagreport I think we are definately close to that Mike. Decent chance a near term capitulation low is now in for $Tlt with that close IMO"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709300078735704323) 2023-10-03T20:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My personal view is $UsdCad can get to [----] quicker than many people probably think When this Housing Bubble in Canada pops the $Cad is going to be the release valve. $Tsx $Dxy #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709568830228287592) 2023-10-04T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It's that time again. $UsdZar $Dxy $Zar #Forex 👀 $Dxy $UsdZar $Zar #Forex https://t.co/0Ej1yKXNfV 👀 $Dxy $UsdZar $Zar #Forex https://t.co/0Ej1yKXNfV"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709573328527065094) 2023-10-04T14:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Current AAII Sentiment suggests this is wrong Bearish Sentiment was far more extreme at the October lows (60%) vs now (40.9%) There is room for further fear to enter the market before a bounce NB: This weeks AAII yet to be released"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709598604879389139) 2023-10-04T15:57Z [----] followers, 16.9K engagements
"The $Vix is down 10% high to low & Small Caps are still flashing red Not what you see in Bull Markets $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709617685149978888) 2023-10-04T17:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The $Vix is down 10% high to low & $NVDA is still flashing red Not what you see in Bull Markets $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709630485901590916) 2023-10-04T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This from Bloomberg today is exactly my point since March [----] 👇 What else apart from a stock market crash can: Bid US Treasuries whilst crushing inflation Bid $Jpy whilst allowing continued JGB purchases Crush $Wti so US can refill SPR Answer is nothing else can $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709877998646604245) 2023-10-05T10:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Whilst I believe this is still the case how US #Stocks behave from these levels will be telling A puke into "real fear" would be confirming of a crash in progress. Stocks would then likely Dead Cat Bounce A significant bounce without "real fear" would make me reconsider $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia $Dxy"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1709901731734208593) 2023-10-05T12:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Going to need to see follow through to the downside & a weak close in #US equities today to confirm "Real Fear" That's what is likely needed to hit those extreme Bearish Sentiment readings next week which is what I mean by "Real Fear""
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1710284334056231058) 2023-10-06T13:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We're now in Step [--] of [--] in the $Dxy blow off top thesis I've been tweeting about since last year A puke into extreme sentiment before a pullback would have been better/stronger confirmation of this however I still believe this is what's unfolding HAGW Traders"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1710333625017778544) 2023-10-06T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpUsd $AudUsd $UsdCad $GbpChf $EurChf $AudChf $CadChf $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1710687036665901466) 2023-10-07T16:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Spx going to close September 20th gap as $Dxy softens near term $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1711765206940946815) 2023-10-10T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"When the BoJ intervened in October the $Dxy peaked after a huge rally & it was the bottom for #Stocks This time though the BoJ intervened with the #Dxy nowhere near overbought If the $Jpy & $Dxy are about to rally together Risk Off is coming this time instead $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1712114109951393865) 2023-10-11T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 #US CPI 🥵 $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1712448730438197397) 2023-10-12T12:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 US #Inflation Expectations 🥵 3.8% vs 3.1% (Exp) vs 3.2% (Prev) Consumer Sentiment misses sharply to the downside as well Bad combo $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1712831594266767458) 2023-10-13T14:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The move in $XauUsd today is not normal #XauUsd was priced as having a 5% chance of this happening this week For this to come on a Friday means the market has some serious concerns about something escalating this weekend in the ME"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1712835793046143196) 2023-10-13T14:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What happens to the $Ndx now that $Nvda has a 70% chance of pausing or reversing over the next few months 🤔 What happens to the other US Benchmark Indices like $Spx $Djia & $Rut if the $Ndx collapses 🤔 #Probabilities"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1712883120272204114) 2023-10-13T17:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$EurChf Update: Highlighted in WFF video for further downside On Friday probabilities were 70% chance of pausing or reversing higher. Although it's up in [--] days since Bearish Sentiment still hasn't washed out It means $Chf longs unlikely to get going until Tomorrow/Thursday"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1714236478983696416) 2023-10-17T11:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BoJ steps in to buy bonds again to slow the rise of Yields $Jpy $UsdJpy"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1714533824862765125) 2023-10-18T06:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The $Kospi is a leading indicator (leads other Global Benchmark Indices) because of Korean exports role in the Global Economy It is threatening a major breakdown from current levels $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1714600714926719154) 2023-10-18T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$HSI down 2% overnight $SSE down nearly 2% overnight $Kospi down nearly 2% overnight $Spx Buckle up. $Dxy $Ndx $Rut $Dji #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1714902409569345625) 2023-10-19T07:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Something breaks with Yield Curve still inverted will catch many off guard This has been my working theory for the end of this cycle. 10y/3m & 10y/2y still inverted despite steepening It's likely now or never for this theory"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1715088247464861994) 2023-10-19T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@luke_1977hk If something breaks Bonds will rally on a flight to safety The Bond sell off is more or less done in my opinion. Upside risk in $Tlt far outweighs downside risk"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1715090029091938609) 2023-10-19T19:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨👇 Direction of travel here seems pretty clear. The #BlackSwan is an attack on #Iran to prevent them from gaining nuclear weapons whilst also taking out China's second support column (#China - #Russia - #Iran) isolating China ahead of any attempted invasion of #Taiwan"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1715324803903631665) 2023-10-20T11:11Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix up $Spx down but $Tlt *up* We may be seeing the return of the flight to safety trade if the recent positive correlation between #Stocks & Bonds is beginning to reverse Still early though"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1715382956305342678) 2023-10-20T15:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$Tsla is in trouble Two structural failures like a hot knife through butter hasn't even looked back 20% sell off in [--] days now this is crash territory"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1716450297529164231) 2023-10-23T13:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As volatility increases it's important not to confuse it for Bullish Sentiment Big green days in Bear markets reflect the increased volatility not increased market strength $Vix $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Dji #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1716826257902743721) 2023-10-24T14:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Australia Inflation Data 🥵 $AudUsd giving up the rally after this hot data shows the underlying currents of Risk Off in these markets $Asx $Aud"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717097717581639839) 2023-10-25T08:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bank of Canada decision to hold Interest Rates today at 5% is helping fuel the major breakout in $UsdCad"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717192604536717481) 2023-10-25T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨US Indices lower gapping down in the after market $Spx futures -0.41% $Ndx futures -0.63% $Vix $Dxy $Rut $Dji #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717304015912870017) 2023-10-25T22:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I believe we're now entering the 3rd & final stage of the thesis I have been highlighting since last year This is where with the Yield Curve still inverted the Bear market in #Stocks ends with a capitulation volatility shock & a blow off top in the #Dxy $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717509178204299775) 2023-10-26T11:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#ECB keep rates unchanged at 4.5% as expected $Eur $Dxy $EurUsd $Dax $Cac #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717516430860497185) 2023-10-26T12:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Very similar set up now to [----] when the US went into a #recession whilst disinflating from the absolute [----] CPI peak of around 15% In [----] US #Stocks sold off into a 4.3% GDP print before further collapsing after the print & bottoming nearly 20% lower in August '82 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717525359552335985) 2023-10-26T12:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@leadlagreport It mirrors the '81 inflationary period Mike where GDP printed 4.3% in Q3 of '81 whilst stocks were selling off from the highs The S&P [---] then fell another 20% as the US went into recession right after the 4.3% GDP print. The market bottomed almost a year later in August '82"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717532736632574171) 2023-10-26T13:24Z [----] followers, 12.3K engagements
"🚨👇 The *US* is now conducting airstrikes against Iranian proxies"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717800598844649714) 2023-10-27T07:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨👇 It appears the Israeli ground invasion into Gaza is underway This is the event the markets have been dreading due to its potential to cause an escalation of the conflict & draw in other countries $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1717979646006874312) 2023-10-27T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"From May to August I was fully Risk On Long $Spx Short $Dxy Short $Tlt Seems like such a long time ago now. When the data changes I will change my mind Risk On will come again but for now all signs still firmly point towards Risk Off $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1718688050081923203) 2023-10-29T17:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BankofJapan completely removes upper YCC ceiling of 1% (now a YCC "reference" point instead of a ceiling) Ueda doesn't see yields rising much above 1% BoJ are betting that the sell off in global bonds is over. Think about that for a moment. $Jpy $Dxy $UsdJpy $Nikkei $Spx $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719284626814857458) 2023-10-31T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Notes from the August 18th [----] FOMC meeting on investor sentiment in regards to US Treasuries [--] days before the market crashed & the onset of the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression (at the time) Sound familiar $Tlt $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719375368497287496) 2023-10-31T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UPS below its weekly 200ma Nothing good happens when UPS trades below its weekly 200ma. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719431847631794489) 2023-10-31T19:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#FOMC Day Safe Haven currencies outperforming today. $Dxy $Chf $Chf #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719684079459934539) 2023-11-01T11:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The next [--] days following todays FOMC are the absolute peak of market risk for the year $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719718461293682838) 2023-11-01T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨Big Misses in US ISM Manufacturing [----] vs [--] (Exp) #Contracting New Orders [----] vs [----] (Exp) #Contracting Employment [----] vs [----] (Exp) #Contracting $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719720788679409986) 2023-11-01T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@leadlagreport Investors dumping Junk Bonds & Buying Investment Grade Equity traders not paying attention"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719727313028252002) 2023-11-01T14:45Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements
"The decisive test for #stocks will likely be at the lows of last month Bearish markets often move higher at the start of the month printing the upper wick of the monthly candle If the data changes I will change my mind. Data hasn't changed yet"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1719808235987734645) 2023-11-01T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Pinkcasso13 Hard to say $Dxy could sell off anywhere between [--] & 6% in a liquidation event bute don't know if that's actually happening yet Price action post FOMC suggests some liquidation but it wont turn into a pre crisis liquidation if stocks hold up. It's something to keep an eye on"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720040391418794100) 2023-11-02T11:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Credit Spreads are widening today despite the #Stocks rally & all Risk Off signals that were in place [--] days ago are still intact I'm not dogmatic. When the data changes I will change my mind. Data hasn't changed yet"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720104910916628705) 2023-11-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"👇🚨 Been warning about this. Read carefully. US official says an escalation in the conflict between Hezbollah & *Israel or US* would likely provoke "direct counterattacks against Iran" Hezbollah are already firing rockets at Israel regularly"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720139236471410963) 2023-11-02T18:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Great question US Inflation heads to 2% & Unemployment Rate stays tight FED cuts rates in [----] to offset economic slowdown $Dxy trends lower & #Stocks rally into late 2024/early [----] on lower rates Recession takes place in [----] around [--] year after the first rate cut in 2024"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720423970661335427) 2023-11-03T12:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Markets have worked out that July was most likely the final rate hike & now they're stepping in to buy #stocks on lower yields & a Goldilocks outlook into 2024/25 This is the "something I think could catch people off guard" moment I referred to in the Dec. [----] tweet"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720469500842127721) 2023-11-03T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Entirely possible but nothing I have seen so far leads me to believe this is the case yet To the contrary the $Dxy liquidation is starting to confirm the '82 scenario"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720471183525593494) 2023-11-03T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Thanks Mark I appreciate that 🙏 I do cover it somewhere in the Free GMT Course Macro section The relationship is fairly simple Kospi tends to lead other benchmarks higher/lower as it's more sensitive to changes in the global economy due to South Koreas role as a Global exporter"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1720765583170396640) 2023-11-04T11:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"South Korea to Ban Short-Selling of Stocks Until June 2024"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1721096676490858998) 2023-11-05T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bans on short selling usually occur *during* a crisis The US did this most notably in September [----] right before the markets fully capitulated As this note from the New York Fed shows banning short selling does not prevent further market declines & can often make them worse"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1721109520821215724) 2023-11-05T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Kospi up nearly 6% after short selling ban The last time South Korea banned short selling was in the midst of the [----] crash on March 13th The #Kospi rallied 7% before collapsing a further 20% Where Dr. Kospi goes other Indices tend to follow. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1721497455177412637) 2023-11-06T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Chinese Exports YoY were expected to rebound instead they have worsened Telling the same story as the $Kospi & $Wti Global demand is cratering"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1721830564381008320) 2023-11-07T10:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Soft Landings are rare & historically require [--] things: 1) Hiking starts when inflation isn't an issue/pre-emptively ('65/'83/'93) 2) No external catalysts to kill the landing ('88/'04/'15) #Powell started hiking at 8.5% inflation & now war in Middle East Hard Landing 💯 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1722242549748994260) 2023-11-08T13:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#China CPI YoY The worlds second largest economy is in Deflation"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1722523503943946470) 2023-11-09T07:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Spot the odd one out. China Deflation Eurozone Recession Japan Tightening policy South Korea Banned short selling US Brand new Bull market LFG 🚀 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1722578024065835179) 2023-11-09T11:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What's required is a stock market sell off not Yield Curve Control Those declaring the Long Bond to be dead will be screaming for them again in fairly short order just like they did in [----] $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1722917441611661377) 2023-11-10T10:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If US Yield Curve Control is coming to save Bonds the #USD is going to collapse & $XauUsd is going to skyrocket. Why haven't the US or its closest ally the UK added any significant Gold Reserves in the last [--] decades $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1722944698531127628) 2023-11-10T11:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Rawurks Can't do it in the Saturday video unfortunately as it would take too long however a help centre is currently being built and will be released in the app in the next week or so 🤝"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1730267121777590535) 2023-11-30T16:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"New video format for [----] 🚀 Hope you guys enjoy the video ✌ NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $AudUsd $UsdChf $NzdUsd $EurAud $EurNzd $CadChf $NzdCad $NzdJpy $AudJpy $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1731029136989118763) 2023-12-02T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Thanks @GRTOceanRd Been a big project to put into place this year even requiring our own in-house developers but super happy with the latest release. Appreciate everyone who has helped us during the BETA phase 🙏 Additional features coming in [----] 🚀"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1734917070536540414) 2023-12-13T12:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Dji has made all time highs trading [-----] for the first time ever Based on the dovish FOMC catalyst today I think we probably see this replicated in $Spx & $Ndx as $Dxy trades [---] But not $Rut Small Caps which IMO foreshadows the ATH breakouts ultimately failing in Q1"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1735035159320125520) 2023-12-13T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lots of talk about #FED making a mistake by pivoting but I don't share that view Despite coming down in the last print the US Unemployment Rate is clearly trending off the lows & looks set to continue higher I'm still Risk On but markets will soon work out cuts aren't Bullish"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1737110506182504492) 2023-12-19T13:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"FedEx $Fdx is down 12% after cutting its FY24 revenue forecast & $Ups is still trading below its 200ma [--] significant bellwether signals suggesting recent equities rally is a mispricing of assets based on exuberance not a new Bull market $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1737848088805638284) 2023-12-21T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🎅🎄Merry Christmas folks🎄🎅 Back with the next Weekly Forex Forecast video on the 30th Have a fantastic holiday period everyone🚀"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1738924324629696681) 2023-12-24T14:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Two markets I have at the top of my Big Picture outlook this year are $Jpy & $Tlt As a more risk off environment takes over this year I expect last years $Dxy & $Wti targets to play out Alongside this I think we see a significant outperformance of both $Jpy & $Tlt this year"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1742123312455578093) 2024-01-02T09:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Job Openings are saying that the fight against inflation is over The lagged effects of the recent tightening cycle have yet to be fully felt by the US economy $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex US JOLTs (Job Openings) Worse than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/trzTB9sq1o US JOLTs (Job Openings) Worse than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/trzTB9sq1o"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1742594101961200018) 2024-01-03T17:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Jobs data out stronger than expected with NFPs & Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate trend off the lows still in place but no spike higher this time unlike after the previous times it fell by 0.2% Guess we have to wait till Feb to see whether the trend continues or breaks. US Unemployment Rate Better than expected - Unchanged $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/vTDuZM8Vd9 US Unemployment Rate Better than expected - Unchanged $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/vTDuZM8Vd9"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1743265198725546242) 2024-01-05T13:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ILeftTheLeft My point is it's academic. That argument didn't help any trader who went long with it in [----] Two back to back quarters of real GDP contraction & a nearly 30% sell off in stocks is clearly enough to redeem bears from being labelled "doom mongers" who need "soul searching""
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1743357005387968845) 2024-01-05T19:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Confirming of the ISM Services Employment print which showed a rare & severe recessionary reading on Friday Gradually then suddenly. The labour market in the US has been gradually breaking since Q2/Q3 of last year Current max drawdown in temporary help services employment only seen in prior recessions . in fact depth of today's decline was not even reached in early 1990s recession https://t.co/6cVgWJIzKI Current max drawdown in temporary help services employment only seen in prior recessions . in fact depth of today's decline was not even reached in early 1990s recession"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1744387934961254561) 2024-01-08T15:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$Spx now making the run at the ATH off the back of recessionary Employment print in the ISM Services Report on Friday Once we start to trade above the ATH I think many Bulls will book profits in the face of labour market deterioration catalysing a major top in equities in Q1 $Dxy $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex Still Bullish #Stocks very near term despite start of year sell off for US equities Based on trend off the lows good chance employment data comes out weaker tomorrow catalysing a drop in rates & pushing $Spx to ATH After that I think bad news starts being bad news in H1 '24 Still"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1744449155596947700) 2024-01-08T20:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Financials & Healthcare leading the #Stocks rally whilst Bonds outperform & Commodities underperform This is typical late cycle behaviour not new Bull market behaviour $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1744700767892627769) 2024-01-09T12:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"South Korea is a global bellwether economy UR - 3.3% vs 2.8% previously A higher print next month would completely reverse the downtrend in S.Korean Unemployment since the peak of the Covid crash #Stocks #Forex South Korea Unemployment Rate Higher than expected $Krw $UsdKrw $Kospi #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/t4JG5JkmMy South Korea Unemployment Rate Higher than expected $Krw $UsdKrw $Kospi #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/t4JG5JkmMy"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1745021807847969101) 2024-01-10T09:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Traders piling into Puts ahead of US #CPI today A benign or soft print which is quite likely will see these unwind & help drive $Spx to an ATH Yes my overall macro outlook is bearish but I still see risks near term as being to the upside $Dxy $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1745425362455044274) 2024-01-11T12:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Corn Weekly Chart 👀 $ZC 🚨 $ZC US Corn - Quarterly Grain Stocks (Dec) 12.169bn vs 12.05bn expected #Commodities 🚨 $ZC US Corn - Quarterly Grain Stocks (Dec) 12.169bn vs 12.05bn expected #Commodities"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1745857476111569109) 2024-01-12T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I've been buying the dip in #Stocks since late November this is the first time since then I've questioned doing it I've been looking for a Q1 Bullish reversal in the $Dxy & a peak in $Spx as previously posted. A number of data points suggest they may now be underway Wouldn't be surprised to see #stocks close negative in Dec but it looks like serious downside risk has been kicked into at least Q1 by Yellen's QRA rally $Dxy looks like it still has some more downside into Dec. Below [---] is consistent with a pre #recession/rates peak sell off Wouldn't be surprised to see #stocks close negative in"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1747690243074015432) 2024-01-17T18:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Jpy shorts outperformed this week in line with app data (Structural) However Yen sell off will now likely struggle near term with current in app implied probabilities of: 95% chance of pausing or reversing higher on both an *intra week* & *multi day* time horizon (Cyclical) Yen pairs still the go @HedgeDash https://t.co/ycF33v0SLO Yen pairs still the go @HedgeDash https://t.co/ycF33v0SLO"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1748284431926722807) 2024-01-19T10:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@samaratprashant Yes exactly near term cyclical low in $Jpy looks highly probable"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1748285532193341542) 2024-01-19T10:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Good mini thread 👇 I've noted that Claims may be a Red Herring this cycle leading people into a false sense of security on US labour market. Same thing happened in 81/82 cycle where Claims stayed low Idea it's opportunity cost of taking them due to inflation makes sense $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex Jobless claims are very low whatever seasonal factors one uses. Our latest on @theterminal assesses what the low level means. Spoiler: less unemployed people are applying for claims meaning that the low level doesn't mean it what it used to mean. https://t.co/7VEKV8PzIN (1/4)"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1749770924033704059) 2024-01-23T12:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Forex still showing Goldilocks (disinflation) as prevailing market regime EU currencies lead whilst safe haven & commodity currencies lag Regime shifts tend to require catalysts. It was the prev QRA that initiated this Goldilocks regime & this week also has the power to end it $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1751991461359370423) 2024-01-29T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Stock market internals have also been confirming a Goldilocks regime since last QRA caused yields to peak All of this is consistent with end of cycle/pre #recession behaviour with money flowing into tech market leaders like $NVDA & $MSFT instead of Small Caps $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1751994355525537954) 2024-01-29T15:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Treasury Marketable Borrowing Estimates $760bn $55bn *lower* than previous estimate of $816bn in October (attached) "largely due toprojections of higher net fiscal flows and a higher beginning of quarter cash balance" Goldilocks it is for now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1752093935588057183) 2024-01-29T22:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UPS trading below its weekly 200ma & down -8.6% today as it signalled a slow down of its delivery business & the cutting of [-----] jobs this year New ATHs in #Stocks a new Bull Market or a new Bull Trap I'll let you decide. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex 🟡 $UPS United Parcel Service plans to cut [-----] jobs this year as delivery business slows expects to save $1bn #Stocks 🟡 $UPS United Parcel Service plans to cut [-----] jobs this year as delivery business slows expects to save $1bn #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1752342604853739538) 2024-01-30T14:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Unanimous decision to hold US Fed Funds at 5.5% #FED pours cold water on Rate Cuts anytime soon saying they need to have "greater confidence" inflation is coming back to 2% $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex US Interest Rate Decision Unchanged - As expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/4pC4AyEFbI US Interest Rate Decision Unchanged - As expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/4pC4AyEFbI"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1752779746654498855) 2024-01-31T19:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#Powell We haven't achieved a soft landing still some way to go Interesting comment. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1752781633575424244) 2024-01-31T19:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Dxy sell off doesn't reflect what is being said in the press conference IMO #Powell has been pretty clear. Rates are staying high for now unless something breaks (labour market meaningfully deteriorates) $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1752784380806709659) 2024-01-31T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Powell asked multiple times about tapering QT he clearly doesn't want to discuss it Refusing to say anything on it except that it will be discussed more at next meeting $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex What to look out for heading into #FOMC 👀 Market will be looking for Powell to come out Dovish & to discuss tapering QT to offset Treasury Any failure to do this sets up a clear catalyst for a top in #Stocks & a bottom in $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Tlt #Forex What to look out for heading into #FOMC 👀 Market will be looking for Powell to come out Dovish & to discuss tapering QT to"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1752788949792079989) 2024-01-31T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Also happens to be my view 👇 Debt crisis crowd aren't wrong just early. Once this cycle ends boom into 2030's with new AI technology IMO Very Bullish on the next cycle. Also why I think $XauUsd underperforms for the rest of the decade vs the debt crisis Gold Breakout view $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex About the US debt Jamie Dimon of $JPM has said: "It is a cliff. We see the cliff. It's about [--] years out. We're going [--] miles an hour." About the US debt Jamie Dimon of $JPM has said: "It is a cliff. We see the cliff. It's about [--] years out. We're going [--] miles an hour.""
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1753478053479494130) 2024-02-02T17:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Remember the [--] key requirements for a Soft Landing historically Looks like you can now rule out both [--] & also [--]. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex The supply-chain price spike is here: Transportation impacts of the Suez Canal due to unrest in the Red Sea and the issues at the Panama Canal are impacting both costs and schedules for the transport of global goods. - ISM Respondent The supply-chain price spike is here: Transportation impacts of the Suez Canal due to unrest in the Red Sea and the issues at the Panama Canal are impacting both costs and schedules for the transport"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1754560257764872606) 2024-02-05T17:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Nzd set to gain as Rate Hike bets increase🚀 NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $CadJpy $AudCad $EurCad $CadChf $NzdJpy $AudNzd $EurNzd $NzdChf $XauUsd $XagUsd & more https://youtu.be/rFtxldmzdPgsi=qZjqd-Qk5ndg4yq6 https://youtu.be/rFtxldmzdPgsi=qZjqd-Qk5ndg4yq6"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1756353319046381593) 2024-02-10T16:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There's a decent chance we're now looking at the Q1 peak in US #Stocks $Usd is on the verge of significant breakouts vs exotics $UsdZar $UsdMxn $UsdPln etc. $Vix has just posted a [--] sigma weekly & [--] sigma daily move & $Rut looks set to hold the significant losses today $Dxy $Spx $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1757503377636814946) 2024-02-13T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Stocks peak because those who've made money book profits US equities rallied on belief of imminent FED pivot & Soft Landing. Who wouldn't want to close that trade with new data pointing to H4L If $Spx $Djia or $Ndx retest highs it likely encourages even more profit taking"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1757523445963796672) 2024-02-13T21:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Still Risk On based on new updated data this morning but the outlook has now shifted from *Strong Risk On* to *Weak Risk On* Narrow leadership can still push US Benchmarks higher. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex Markets still Risk On but. Shift from Goldilocks Risk On (Disinflation) to Inflationary Risk On (think 2021) $Usd & $Spx rising together but seems unsustainable for #Stocks. Still think equities peak Q1 with $Dxy Bullish reversal now taking place Still dip buying for now Markets still Risk On but. Shift from Goldilocks Risk On (Disinflation) to Inflationary Risk On (think"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1757758032686047286) 2024-02-14T13:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I know previous tweets probably sound contradictory so to clarify: #Stocks are at risk of peaking narrow leadership can push $Spx $Ndx $Djia back into highs but it probably causes more profit taking Highs can be tested & fail multiple times during a peak (it's a process) $Dxy $Rut #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1757778457218416843) 2024-02-14T14:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$SMCI is now trading over [----] & looks like a meme"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1758235329104884190) 2024-02-15T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Stocks in limbo currently Risk On but Weak + susceptible to a peak. Just needs the right catalyst to spark selling & everyone is just waiting to see if it will be $Nvda earnings after the close today Amber warning lights are flashing for Risk but not quite Red yet. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1760285898782969985) 2024-02-21T12:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The market behaviour (or lack of) today ahead of $Nvda earnings is pretty amazing Many of the exotic #Forex pairs have barely moved & volatility signals are flashing red. It's market behaviour you would expect to see ahead of a major macro event but it's an earnings report. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1760385781577728188) 2024-02-21T19:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Well I wouldn't bet against $Nvda earnings 😅 I think based on the moves already risk is weighted to the downside but I wouldn't short it. If earnings are simply in line with expectations we could see profit taking Shouldn't affect $Dxy unless it tanked the entire market @TraderFortune Any expectations to the Nvidia earnings from your side And would it actually be a catalyst to a move in DXY specially given the late time of the report Or you think it'll be reflected tomorrow more so @TraderFortune Any expectations to the Nvidia earnings from your side And would it actually be a catalyst to a"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1760389844025356406) 2024-02-21T19:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Corn👀 $ZC Corn Weekly Chart 👀 $ZC https://t.co/VvX2kRY7fb Corn Weekly Chart 👀 $ZC https://t.co/VvX2kRY7fb"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1760400445304897854) 2024-02-21T20:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Interesting data today $Jpy underperformance reaching extreme levels. Consistent historically with a near term bottom next [--] weeks or so (probably once it takes out lows) Same timeframe that $Tlt & $Dxy are threatening to rally together. Yet nobody thinks all [--] can rally"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1760748674815086757) 2024-02-22T19:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I've been Risk On & buying #stocks since late November & still am until my process says otherwise but everything is looking a bit more like last gasp FOMO than healthy new Bull market Current market risks are significantly underappreciated IMO"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1760756648857960640) 2024-02-22T20:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $AudUsd $NzdUsd $NzdCad $AudCad $EurCad $NzdJpy $EurJpy $AudJpy $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1761431108334354682) 2024-02-24T16:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"US Equities back to Strong Risk on bias #Forex markets confirming a Goldilocks regime back in play Warning signs still flashing amber in the background but little point trying to front run Risk Off The music continues to play. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks @Hedgedash"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1764596001271161030) 2024-03-04T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An amber warning light flashing from the #Forex universe is the $Jpy The most Risk Off currency has been relatively underperforming all others during this equities rally. This recent underperformance is now quantitatively reversing @HedgeDash Interesting data today $Jpy underperformance reaching extreme levels. Consistent historically with a near term bottom next [--] weeks or so (probably once it takes out lows) Same timeframe that $Tlt & $Dxy are threatening to rally together. Yet nobody thinks all [--] can rally. https://t.co/QENwQI0mxn Interesting data today $Jpy underperformance reaching"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1764948350594326750) 2024-03-05T09:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"We are also starting to see a rotation from High Yield Bonds $HYG into quality such as $TLT and $LQD None of these are yet flashing Red for equities (I'm still Risk On) but they are early warning signs (Amber) for this equities rally $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1764950444248330565) 2024-03-05T09:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Market reaction to data is crucial & markets are shrugging CPI print off for now Weak Risk On in place with Amber warning lights flashing in the background. Doesn't look like CPI is a catalyst to tip markets into Risk Off $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1767574968064151961) 2024-03-12T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yep rotation into quality #stocks just providing an illusion of Risk Appetite as narrowing leadership pushes $Spx $Djia & $Ndx Benchmarks higher This now following on from Bond markets rotating into quality recently as well Still in a rally no doubt but likely final innings Small-caps hold the key. Small-caps hold the key"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1767601417874018497) 2024-03-12T17:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Let's take this as true for now (which I don't) Avoiding a Hard Landing with a new Economic Expansion from the November "Yellen" rally would probably see: 10y-2y invert to around negative 3% with 10y-3m closer to negative 5% How does that work for the US economy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex The inverted US Yield Curve is no longer a reliable indicator for recession say [--] out of [--] strategists in a Reuters Poll $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex The inverted US Yield Curve is no longer a reliable indicator for recession say [--] out of [--] strategists in a Reuters Poll $Dxy $Spx"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1767607540097982589) 2024-03-12T17:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Dxy has quantitatively shrugged of yesterdays hot CPI print Despite warning signs from Bonds & internals of US equity markets Risk On is still intact & it wouldn't surprise me if it lasted at least another couple of weeks $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex @HedgeDash"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1767964362508054726) 2024-03-13T17:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Hotter than expected US PPI both Headline and Core just like CPI on Tuesday Same reaction from markets too. $Dxy up $Vix down $Spx $Ndx $Djia futures up with $Rut futures down This was a good opportunity to fade USD strength on Tuesday probably will be again today US PPI YoY Higher than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/HWQ7RhqcHn US PPI YoY Higher than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/HWQ7RhqcHn"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1768262575827861991) 2024-03-14T13:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix actually looks like it's responding to PPI now not the same set up as Tuesday anymore $Dxy move is more significant than Tuesday as well Markets definately taking that print worse than CPI. Still Risk On (on balance) but not the best price action to see if dip buying"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1768298276690772362) 2024-03-14T15:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe overvalued but anyone trying to pick the top in $Mxn this past year would have been carried out Still quantitatively strong this week so selling isn't an option for me (yet) @HedgeDash @TraderFortune what about eurmxn and usdmxn Mexican peso is so strange that even gold in peso is far from its highs Franc and all other currencies are in decades low unbelievable just look at mxncadmxnaud . [----] pricesbig mac index shows its more expensive than europeovervalued @TraderFortune what about eurmxn and usdmxn Mexican peso is so strange that even gold in peso is far from its highs Franc and all"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1768348031961686173) 2024-03-14T18:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Japan exits worlds last negative interest rate regime New #BOJ Target Rate 0% to 0.1% Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 10bps Hike - As expected $Jpy $UsdJpy $Nikkei #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/GbB4ahy0QA Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 10bps Hike - As expected $Jpy $UsdJpy $Nikkei #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/GbB4ahy0QA"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1769983079781699898) 2024-03-19T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Goldilocks looks finished ☠ Data continues to point to a new inflationary Risk Off regime coming similar to late '21 through late '22 Strongly supportive of a $Dxy upside breakout with US #Stocks now swimming upstream at these levels FOMC tomorrow. @HedgeDash"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1770044602805792874) 2024-03-19T11:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"SNB Cuts Rates ECB wont be far behind now $Dxy up today is a reminder that the FED not raising Rates anymore (holding) isn't relatively Bearish for $Usd in scenario where Europe begins Cutting Rates Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision 25bps Rate Cut - Lower than expected $Chf $Dxy $UsdChf $SMI #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/xkQYnvjiQb Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision 25bps Rate Cut - Lower than expected $Chf $Dxy $UsdChf $SMI #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/xkQYnvjiQb"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1770746788275703911) 2024-03-21T09:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Yesterday's Dovish FOMC makes a bit more sense with that unexpected SNB Rate Cut Especially if the Bank of England cuts 25bps today against consensus as well"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1770749496026132741) 2024-03-21T09:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"SNB Cutting Cycles vs $Spx This cycle is different from '01 & '08 which weren't inflationary regimes hence #Stocks currently supported at highs Still Risk On but I think we likely flush below [--] on the $Vix & then I think the Cuts start to become Bearish No Soft Landing IMO"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1770764149988999205) 2024-03-21T10:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Point of previous post being initiation of a Global Cutting Cycle plus the SNB ECB link re: Cuts With $Eur + $Chf being 61% of $Dxy any weakness which drives USD higher is restrictive for US Equities Not suggesting SNB policy directly drives $Spx returns to be clear"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1770770054121967840) 2024-03-21T11:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I love how Bond Yields are Bear Flattening today after Bull Steepening yesterday 😆 Inflation is going higher but FED wont raise anyway let's gooo 🚀 to Actually inflation is going higher maybe they will need to raise"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1770826733605822772) 2024-03-21T14:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Gets even better today. Bond traders do a full [---] as the Yield Curve Bull Flattens (flight to safety) 😂 Actually inflation is going higher maybe they will need to raise to If they raise something will break & they will Cut we should buy Bonds $Tlt What a [--] day ride. I love how Bond Yields are Bear Flattening today after Bull Steepening yesterday 😆 Inflation is going higher but FED wont raise anyway let's gooo 🚀 to Actually inflation is going higher maybe they will need to raise I love how Bond Yields are Bear Flattening today after Bull Steepening yesterday 😆 Inflation is going higher"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1771131657321590933) 2024-03-22T11:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mexico just Cut Rates as Inflation comes in Hot on both Headline & Core. Why Central Banks are focused on loosening policy even as inflation accelerates remains to be seen but logically they must be concerned about incoming Risks to Growth What do they know Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY Higher than expected $Mxn $UsdMxn $BMV #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/1pOwM0nYmp Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY Higher than expected $Mxn $UsdMxn $BMV #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/1pOwM0nYmp"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1771161618161783224) 2024-03-22T13:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$Dxy set for major breakout 🚨 NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $UsdChf $NzdUsd $GbpUsd $AudChf $AudNzd $GbpAud $EurChf $EurNzd $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1771605261444096395) 2024-03-23T18:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Unemployment Rate is also a better recession signal to track than Initial Claims this cycle because when inflation is high benefits get eroded in real terms meaning people opt for second jobs instead Good chunk of states (20) starting to trigger Sahm Rule (when 3m moving average of unemployment rate rises by [---] percentage points or more relative to its low during previous [--] months) @Bloomberg @BLS_gov @UBS https://t.co/CnoCDnNeyF Good chunk of states (20) starting to trigger Sahm Rule (when 3m moving average of unemployment rate rises by [---] percentage points or more relative to its low"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1772613651213484052) 2024-03-26T13:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Been tweeting Risk On since November. But there's trouble brewing for Q2 where Credit Spread tightness unwinds + $Dxy $Tlt & $Jpy rise together as we enter a higher volatility $Vix regime Not sure yet what could spark such Risk Off but a US Unemployment Rate spike could"
[X Link](https://x.com/TraderFortune/status/1772986960509878342) 2024-03-27T14:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@TraderFortune John Fortune
John Fortune posts on X about forex, stocks, $dxy, $spx the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] -8.20%
- [--] Month [------] +346%
- [--] Months [---------] +1,294%
- [--] Year [---------] +1,468%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Month [--] +84%
- [--] Months [---] +319%
- [--] Year [---] +71%
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +0.37%
- [--] Month [-----] +1.30%
- [--] Months [-----] +4.10%
- [--] Year [-----] +11%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance currencies stocks countries cryptocurrencies technology brands automotive brands social networks us election exchanges
Social topic influence forex, stocks, $dxy #35, $spx, spx, $ndx, $rut, $djia, $wti, $eurusd
Top assets mentioned SPX6900 (SPX) Vixco (VIX) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Bitcoin (BTC) Rally (RLY) AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC) ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX) Caduceus Protocol (CAD) United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"This tweet aged well. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings $NCLH Quarterly Earnings out today. Revenue miss by nearly 38%. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings $NCLH attempting a breakout of a Bear Flag pattern formed with a developing H&S Top. Bullish on #Stocks as per WFF video however interesting for Long/Short. Rising fuel costs to eat margins #NCHL already some of the tightest margins in industry. https://t.co/tmxw518h4D Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings $NCLH attempting a breakout of a Bear Flag pattern formed with a developing H&S Top. Bullish on #Stocks as per WFF video however interesting for"
X Link 2021-11-03T14:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Just as Marky Marks new #Meta ( $FB ) is testing the under side of a confirmed Double Top reversal 🤔 #Facebook $meta #FB #MarkyMark"
X Link 2021-11-22T19:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Another highlight from todays Free #GMT Catalyst Alerts report: [--] members of the Walton family sold nearly 1.5m shares (around $200m worth) between them of #Walmart on Friday just as $WMT nears a major Head & Shoulders confirmation level. Full Report - https://getmetrading.com/catalyst-alerts/ https://getmetrading.com/catalyst-alerts/"
X Link 2021-12-06T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Mexican Peso Futures. #Mxn $Mxn #UsdMex $UsdMex"
X Link 2021-12-14T14:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Happy New Year Everyone These are the #Forex scorecards heading into next week. Last week $EurChf & $EurGbp were scored as the best shorts $ChfJpy & $GbpJpy scored as the best longs. This week $Chf & $Gbp remain top longs with $Nzd $Jpy & $Eur best shorts"
X Link 2022-01-02T10:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#MidWeekUpdate Scorecards are updated & signalling some big themes: - $WTI probability of near term top increased even further - EM currencies are setting to outperform - Swedish Krona $SEK set to bottom in the next [--] weeks Markets are #Reflating guys & girls not crashing"
X Link 2022-02-16T10:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"People asked on YouTube about #Stocks analysis but there's really nothing else to update on the #StockMarket since I last posted about it. We've broken the major structural levels I highlighted weeks ago & all US #StockMarkets are at risk of a major crash from here. $Spx $Ndx"
X Link 2022-05-09T11:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$XLP outperformance is an early recessionary signal but it gets shot heading into the main event It's been one of the top [--] performing sectors recently & is now down over 10% this month When #XLP closed -10% in a month since 1999: Feb [--] -11.67% Jun [--] -10.46% Oct [--] -12.61%"
X Link 2022-05-20T16:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Huge miss in #US Home Sales MoM too Not what you would expect to see at an absolute #StockMarket bottom. #Stocks $Spx $Dxy $Ndx $Rut $Djia"
X Link 2022-08-23T14:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Running through all the data I am more & more convinced the sell off in the $Dxy is done. I think #CPI/#FOMC catalyses a reversal to the upside next week"
X Link 2022-12-10T12:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Traders most Bullish heading into next Tuesdays US #CPI report since December 30th [----] The ultimate top in the $Spx Bull market was 4th January [----] [--] trading days later. $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut #Stocks"
X Link 2023-02-09T16:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US PCE #Inflation 🔥🔥🔥 Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) 0.6% vs 0.4% (Exp.) Core PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) 4.7% vs 4.3% (Exp.) PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) 0.6% vs 0.3% (Exp.) PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) 5.4% vs 4.8% (Exp.) $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut #Stocks"
X Link 2023-02-24T13:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Saturday Morning - They sleep we work 🤝 Dow Jones Transportation Index $DJT A leading indicator of #US Indices due to its sensitivity to the business cycle Now threatening a major breakdown having failed to break higher Jan/Feb $Spx $Djia $Ndx $Rut $Dxy #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-05-06T03:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There is no breadth to the recent #US equities rally Quality #stocks are outperforming in a manner consistent with a pre-crisis flight to safety Don't confuse a flight to quality with a healthy market. $Spx $Spy $Ndx $Rut $Djia $QQQ"
X Link 2023-05-17T13:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#US New Home Sales 🥵 Huge beat & up MoM despite an expected -2% contraction Those who were waiting for better rates/prices jumping in on the dip This is how you get second wave #inflation & illusion of a new Bull market before #recession $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-05-23T14:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"German GDP QoQ Germany is in #recession $Eur $Dxy $EurUsd $Dax $Stoxx #Forex #Stocks"
X Link 2023-05-25T08:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#US PCE Inflation Data 🔥 There it is - Jerome Powell's preferred measure of #inflation $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-05-27T08:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Summer #inflation bounce in full swing with both $Dxy & #Stocks rallying for the last [--] months Central Banks have to do more Federal Reserve will be no different Future Headwind for $SPX This bounce in Global Inflation is what's driving the illusion of a new Bull market"
X Link 2023-06-28T08:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yesterdays soft US #CPI report was mainly driven by Energy deflation These are the most volatile parts of the survey & MoM #inflation is still far too sticky in other areas for FED to do anything other than Pause & Hold or Hike Rate Cuts still firmly off the table. $Dxy $Spx"
X Link 2023-06-14T13:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 New Zealand Enters #Recession (GDP QoQ) $Ndz $NzdUsd $NzdJpy #Stocks"
X Link 2023-06-15T07:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Single Stock models we run are giving a clear book profits signal on both $Tsla & $Nvda Longs today If these #stocks are close to peaking near term likely $Ndx is running on fumes near term as well"
X Link 2023-06-26T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$MXN 🚨 Mexican Peso has been one of the best Long ideas all year in the full #Forex Scorecards (not covered in the WFF video) Last week its probability score peaked for the first time suggesting upside is now limited in the Peso Near term top is likely over next [--] weeks"
X Link 2023-06-21T12:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Trying to work out financial market ramifications of "Russian Civil War" Not clear how situation will play out but on the surface risk is a similar supply shock to the Ukraine invasion: $NG $CL $Dxy $Spx Again we're talking risk Lots of unknown variables"
X Link 2023-06-24T12:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@samaratprashant I think it's unlikely we see 10-12 again in $UsdTry tbh Prashant If a global recession is on the horizon that's just going to put more upward pressure on the exchange rate Lebanese Pound is never going to recover its value to the USD that's for absolute sure"
X Link 2023-06-25T08:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Aged well. $Tsla -4.63% $Nvda -4.86% $Ndx -1.83% *From close 14th June when signal was given"
X Link 2023-06-26T18:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Canada & Australia where #inflation bounced saw downside #CPI beats this week suggesting the Dead Cat Bounce is already rolling over Shows real strength in underlying trend of disinflation as Global #Recession now looms heading into H2 [----] $Cad $Tsx $Aud $Asx #Forex #Stocks"
X Link 2023-06-28T08:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$TLT has closed below $100 for the last couple of days the Bond market is signalling the FED are not done raising rates (one more hike IMO) Pain trade here will be taking out the [-----] lows causing all the $TLT Bulls to capitulate before the trade reversal happens"
X Link 2023-07-11T10:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Bankruptcies in the first half of this year have surged at the fastest pace since the last major economic downturn ended (2010) Do new Bull Markets & economic cycles begin with this & the Yield Curve inverted 100bps Don't think so. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Ndx $Djia #Forex #Stocks"
X Link 2023-07-12T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BankofJapan has adjusted its #YCC Target Rate still 0% with +/- 0.5% Range Same as it was before except these are now "flexible" boundaries with the #BoJ ready to intervene anywhere up to +/- 1% from Target Rate $Jpy $UsdJpy $EurJpy $AudJpy $Nikkei"
X Link 2023-07-31T10:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Equity traders are rotating into Higher for Longer (Stagflation) plays but any bounce in US #inflation will likely be short lived before a Deflationary (#Recession) regime takes over Global Demand for Chinese goods collapsing & Chinese Demand for Commodities with it. $Dxy"
X Link 2023-08-08T10:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"🚨US #Inflation YoY Bounces but by less than expected Core #CPI comes in softer $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-10T12:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Cleveland FED project this #inflation reacceleration to continue this month This is more significant than a minor beat of estimate Wouldn't be surprised to see the initial Risk On sell off in $Dxy & rally in $Spx get discounted & reverse $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-10T12:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"IMO $XauUsd & $XagUsd head lower as the $Dxy rallies near term. I also think both dump in #recession + $Spx capitulation low + #Dxy flight to safety at some point When the FED fires up the printer again to fight Deflation I think both #Gold & #Silver enter major Bull Markets"
X Link 2023-08-17T19:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Small Caps are once again selling off hard but this time Mega Caps aren't coming to the rescue (Apple in Orange) $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Aapl #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-18T07:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpNzd $GbpJpy $GbpAud $NzdUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdChf $ChfJpy $AudChf $XauUsd $XagUsd $BtcUsd / #Bitcoin & more"
X Link 2023-08-19T15:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Utilities $Xlu have now bottomed & Crude Oil $Wti has peaked in the Scorecard system Todays data suggests recent Stagflation regime shift (Scorecards highlighted August 2nd) is now fading & paving the way for a shift into a Deflation / #Recession regime $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-21T09:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨#German & #EU Services PMI now in contraction territory alongside the Manufacturing PMI The #EU is now facing a full blown #recession not just in the Manufacturing Sector $Eur $Dxy $EurUsd $Dax $Cac $Ibex $Stoxx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-23T09:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The last time Canadian Retail Sales went negative on a YoY basis was during the Covid crash & #recession More Global data confirming a potential regime shift from Stagflation Deflation in multiple countries US S&P PMIs out in 20m. $Cad $Tsx $Dxy $UsdCad #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-23T13:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite seeing signs of a regime shift from Stagflation Deflation real Risk Off is unlikely to come into markets until we see $TLT clearing out the [-----] lows This is a key chart to watch in the coming weeks in terms of timing any shift into Risk Off $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-08-24T17:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpNzd $GbpJpy $GbpAud $NzdUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdChf $ChfJpy $AudChf $CadJpy $XauUsd $XagUsd $BtcUsd / #Bitcoin & more"
X Link 2023-08-26T14:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨US Non Farm Payrolls 187K vs 157K (Prev) vs 170K (Exp) 🚨US Unemployment Rate 3.8% vs 3.5% (Prev) vs 3.5% (Exp) Big Unexpected Jump in Unemployment Rate 👀 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-01T12:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpNzd $GbpJpy $GbpAud $NzdUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdCad $CadJpy $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd $BtcUsd / #Bitcoin & more"
X Link 2023-09-02T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdUsd $CadJpy $AudCad $NzdCad $EurCad $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2023-09-09T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The BOJ & FED often coordinate on policy & I wonder if this was to help soften the $Dxy ahead of a hot #CPI print Guess we will find out tomorrow"
X Link 2023-09-12T11:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨 #ECB Hikes Rates [--] bps unexpectedly $Eur $Dxy $Dax $Cac $EurUsd #Forex #Stocks"
X Link 2023-09-14T12:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $NzdUsd $EurCad $EurChf $GbpCad $GbpChf $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2023-09-16T15:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$WTI has been the No.1 Long idea in Commodities this month however Bullish Sentiment is becoming extreme on a Weekly basis Probabilities are (approx 70% chance) this rally in #Oil is about to pause or correct Should soften recent Bond Yield & $Dxy strength in next few weeks"
X Link 2023-09-19T09:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I believe we're now getting close to the final flight to safety rally in the $Dxy I have been outlining since last year - #Dxy capitulation low & rally - 1st Wave - $WTI & Yields rally stalls - 2nd Wave (right shoulder) - Credit Event/#Stocks Capitulation - 3rd Wave Breakout $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-19T11:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 Fed keeps Rates at 5.5% as expected Hawkish Pause as FED signals one more hike in [----] Dollar popping. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-20T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Powell SOFT LANDING NOT A BASELINE EXPECTATION $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-20T18:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 $Jpy Another very Risk Off asset (like the $Vix) registering oversold sentiment over a Weekly time horizon Last time #Yen reached this level of Bearish Sentiment (June) it rallied 5% Another sign the overall Risk On regime is coming to its end $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx"
X Link 2023-09-21T13:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"BoJ Holds Rates as Expected No policy shift either. Non Event $Jpy $Dxy $UsdJpy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Nikkei #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-22T04:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Today isn't a great day for selling #Stocks $Vix went into today with a 70% expectancy of pausing/reversing (Sentiment Overbought) hence the struggle to rally Once this washes out however - Buckle Up 🚨 Data points towards a major bottom in the #Vix now taking place $Dxy"
X Link 2023-09-25T16:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$Dxy now trading at new highs for the year #Forex $EurUsd $GbpUsd $AudUsd $NzdUsd If last week was a capitulation bottom #Forex traders will be shocked when the $Dxy erases this years weakness in a very short period of time It will be a brutal lesson for #Dxy shorts on difference between corrective counter trend moves & impulsive moves with primary trend. https://t.co/yTv81y9QQu If last week was a capitulation bottom #Forex traders will be shocked when the $Dxy erases this years weakness in a very short period of time It will be a brutal lesson for #Dxy shorts on difference between corrective"
X Link 2023-09-25T20:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨Multiple conditions are now in place for things to get very ugly very quickly $Dxy set for major upside breakouts vs exotics ( $Mxn & $Zar ) $TLT set for the mother of all short covering rallies $Vix has started to break higher with 150% upside potential Credit Spreads bottoming $Hg Copper breaking down from a year long consolidation Buckle up"
X Link 2023-09-27T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$HG Dr Copper breaking a Head & Shoulders pattern & threatening a run to the July [--] lows $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-27T16:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 US PCE #Inflation Data Headline Up Core Down Mixed release. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-29T12:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨BREAKING Republican Holdouts reject stopgap funding bill US Shut Down all but guaranteed now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-29T18:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The rejection of the stopgap funding bill is a spark threatening to light the volatility fuse into October Irrespective of continued negotiations traders now scrambling to exit positions to avoid weekend risk $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex 🚨BREAKING Republican Holdouts reject stopgap funding bill US Shut Down all but guaranteed now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex 🚨BREAKING Republican Holdouts reject stopgap funding bill US Shut Down all but guaranteed now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-09-29T18:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpUsd $AudUsd $NzdUsd $GbpChf $EurChf $AudChf $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2023-09-30T16:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Government Shutdown averted. One catalyst removed for now. However the bigger threats to a Volatility shock in my opinion still remain: Japan $Jpy & US Treasuries $Tlt"
X Link 2023-10-01T09:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix closed Friday higher with a 10% reversal from the lows of the day Yet it only opened around 1% lower after a US Government Shutdown was averted Seems markets weren't worried about a Shutdown something else is spooking them. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-02T08:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending makes clear Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the weak point in US Real Estate $WFC Wells Fargo have the largest absolute exposure to CRE & IMO this stock can easily half to $20 if/when the bottom falls out of CRE $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut $Xlf #Stocks"
X Link 2023-10-02T09:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Banks with largest CRE loans Q1 [----] (S&P Global) $Wfc $Spx $Ndx $Djia $Rut $Xlf #Stocks Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending makes clear Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the weak point in US Real Estate $WFC Wells Fargo have the largest absolute exposure to CRE & IMO this stock can easily half to $20 if/when the bottom falls out of CRE $Spx $Ndx $Djia Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending makes clear Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is the weak point in US Real Estate $WFC Wells Fargo have the largest absolute exposure to CRE & IMO this stock can easily half to $20"
X Link 2023-10-02T09:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Argued since March only way to crush inflation save $Jpy & US Treasuries $Tlt in [--] policy is to induce a global #recession & flight to safety To bet against this = bet CB's wont act to resolve current problems (they will) No Growth/Inflation balancing act has taken place IMO"
X Link 2023-10-02T10:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix Sentiment still showing "Greed" in our rolling probabilities data This means the #Vix has a 70% chance of pausing or correcting still Bullish Sentiment is very close to washing out now though likely uncorking upside volatility later this week. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-02T15:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$XauUsd is exhibiting signs of liquidation. $XagUsd as well which is down 4.5% on the day There's real fear in these markets right now"
X Link 2023-10-02T16:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We are seeing what's called "Fast Market" behaviour in $Dxy People start off waiting for a pullback pullbacks don't come people panic & FOMO in Exactly what you expect to see in a blow off top & is everything I've been saying was going to happen in the #Dxy since last year $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-03T12:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 $XLU Our data maps Sentiment across multiple time horizons: the last two times #XLU showed this level of Bearish Sentiment The July [----] Capitulation The October [----] Capitulation That's hard data folks not my opinion. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-03T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 Japan MoF Intervening in the $Jpy $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-03T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UsdCad (correlated to $Vix) is attempting to break out of a [--] month consolidation $UsdZar & $UsdMxn both on the verge of major breakouts higher These are all signs of an incoming Vol. spike & what I mean by "process of crashing" (still early)"
X Link 2023-10-03T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Nvda down 3% This stock has been outperforming everything until today. It's now leading the tech sell off with $AMD $MSFT & $NOW Something has started to break $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-03T19:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"There we have it. $Tlt now in Capitulation Low territory. Further near term downside most likely limited now $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-03T19:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@leadlagreport I think we are definately close to that Mike. Decent chance a near term capitulation low is now in for $Tlt with that close IMO"
X Link 2023-10-03T20:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My personal view is $UsdCad can get to [----] quicker than many people probably think When this Housing Bubble in Canada pops the $Cad is going to be the release valve. $Tsx $Dxy #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-04T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It's that time again. $UsdZar $Dxy $Zar #Forex 👀 $Dxy $UsdZar $Zar #Forex https://t.co/0Ej1yKXNfV 👀 $Dxy $UsdZar $Zar #Forex https://t.co/0Ej1yKXNfV"
X Link 2023-10-04T14:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Current AAII Sentiment suggests this is wrong Bearish Sentiment was far more extreme at the October lows (60%) vs now (40.9%) There is room for further fear to enter the market before a bounce NB: This weeks AAII yet to be released"
X Link 2023-10-04T15:57Z [----] followers, 16.9K engagements
"The $Vix is down 10% high to low & Small Caps are still flashing red Not what you see in Bull Markets $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-04T17:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The $Vix is down 10% high to low & $NVDA is still flashing red Not what you see in Bull Markets $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-04T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This from Bloomberg today is exactly my point since March [----] 👇 What else apart from a stock market crash can: Bid US Treasuries whilst crushing inflation Bid $Jpy whilst allowing continued JGB purchases Crush $Wti so US can refill SPR Answer is nothing else can $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-05T10:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Whilst I believe this is still the case how US #Stocks behave from these levels will be telling A puke into "real fear" would be confirming of a crash in progress. Stocks would then likely Dead Cat Bounce A significant bounce without "real fear" would make me reconsider $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia $Dxy"
X Link 2023-10-05T12:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Going to need to see follow through to the downside & a weak close in #US equities today to confirm "Real Fear" That's what is likely needed to hit those extreme Bearish Sentiment readings next week which is what I mean by "Real Fear""
X Link 2023-10-06T13:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We're now in Step [--] of [--] in the $Dxy blow off top thesis I've been tweeting about since last year A puke into extreme sentiment before a pullback would have been better/stronger confirmation of this however I still believe this is what's unfolding HAGW Traders"
X Link 2023-10-06T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $GbpUsd $AudUsd $UsdCad $GbpChf $EurChf $AudChf $CadChf $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2023-10-07T16:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Spx going to close September 20th gap as $Dxy softens near term $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-10T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"When the BoJ intervened in October the $Dxy peaked after a huge rally & it was the bottom for #Stocks This time though the BoJ intervened with the #Dxy nowhere near overbought If the $Jpy & $Dxy are about to rally together Risk Off is coming this time instead $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-11T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 #US CPI 🥵 $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-12T12:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 US #Inflation Expectations 🥵 3.8% vs 3.1% (Exp) vs 3.2% (Prev) Consumer Sentiment misses sharply to the downside as well Bad combo $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-13T14:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The move in $XauUsd today is not normal #XauUsd was priced as having a 5% chance of this happening this week For this to come on a Friday means the market has some serious concerns about something escalating this weekend in the ME"
X Link 2023-10-13T14:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What happens to the $Ndx now that $Nvda has a 70% chance of pausing or reversing over the next few months 🤔 What happens to the other US Benchmark Indices like $Spx $Djia & $Rut if the $Ndx collapses 🤔 #Probabilities"
X Link 2023-10-13T17:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$EurChf Update: Highlighted in WFF video for further downside On Friday probabilities were 70% chance of pausing or reversing higher. Although it's up in [--] days since Bearish Sentiment still hasn't washed out It means $Chf longs unlikely to get going until Tomorrow/Thursday"
X Link 2023-10-17T11:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BoJ steps in to buy bonds again to slow the rise of Yields $Jpy $UsdJpy"
X Link 2023-10-18T06:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The $Kospi is a leading indicator (leads other Global Benchmark Indices) because of Korean exports role in the Global Economy It is threatening a major breakdown from current levels $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Djia #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-18T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$HSI down 2% overnight $SSE down nearly 2% overnight $Kospi down nearly 2% overnight $Spx Buckle up. $Dxy $Ndx $Rut $Dji #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-19T07:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Something breaks with Yield Curve still inverted will catch many off guard This has been my working theory for the end of this cycle. 10y/3m & 10y/2y still inverted despite steepening It's likely now or never for this theory"
X Link 2023-10-19T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@luke_1977hk If something breaks Bonds will rally on a flight to safety The Bond sell off is more or less done in my opinion. Upside risk in $Tlt far outweighs downside risk"
X Link 2023-10-19T19:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚨👇 Direction of travel here seems pretty clear. The #BlackSwan is an attack on #Iran to prevent them from gaining nuclear weapons whilst also taking out China's second support column (#China - #Russia - #Iran) isolating China ahead of any attempted invasion of #Taiwan"
X Link 2023-10-20T11:11Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix up $Spx down but $Tlt up We may be seeing the return of the flight to safety trade if the recent positive correlation between #Stocks & Bonds is beginning to reverse Still early though"
X Link 2023-10-20T15:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$Tsla is in trouble Two structural failures like a hot knife through butter hasn't even looked back 20% sell off in [--] days now this is crash territory"
X Link 2023-10-23T13:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As volatility increases it's important not to confuse it for Bullish Sentiment Big green days in Bear markets reflect the increased volatility not increased market strength $Vix $Dxy $Spx $Ndx $Rut $Dji #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-24T14:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Australia Inflation Data 🥵 $AudUsd giving up the rally after this hot data shows the underlying currents of Risk Off in these markets $Asx $Aud"
X Link 2023-10-25T08:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bank of Canada decision to hold Interest Rates today at 5% is helping fuel the major breakout in $UsdCad"
X Link 2023-10-25T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨US Indices lower gapping down in the after market $Spx futures -0.41% $Ndx futures -0.63% $Vix $Dxy $Rut $Dji #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-25T22:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I believe we're now entering the 3rd & final stage of the thesis I have been highlighting since last year This is where with the Yield Curve still inverted the Bear market in #Stocks ends with a capitulation volatility shock & a blow off top in the #Dxy $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-26T11:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#ECB keep rates unchanged at 4.5% as expected $Eur $Dxy $EurUsd $Dax $Cac #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-26T12:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Very similar set up now to [----] when the US went into a #recession whilst disinflating from the absolute [----] CPI peak of around 15% In [----] US #Stocks sold off into a 4.3% GDP print before further collapsing after the print & bottoming nearly 20% lower in August '82 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-26T12:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@leadlagreport It mirrors the '81 inflationary period Mike where GDP printed 4.3% in Q3 of '81 whilst stocks were selling off from the highs The S&P [---] then fell another 20% as the US went into recession right after the 4.3% GDP print. The market bottomed almost a year later in August '82"
X Link 2023-10-26T13:24Z [----] followers, 12.3K engagements
"🚨👇 The US is now conducting airstrikes against Iranian proxies"
X Link 2023-10-27T07:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨👇 It appears the Israeli ground invasion into Gaza is underway This is the event the markets have been dreading due to its potential to cause an escalation of the conflict & draw in other countries $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-27T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"From May to August I was fully Risk On Long $Spx Short $Dxy Short $Tlt Seems like such a long time ago now. When the data changes I will change my mind Risk On will come again but for now all signs still firmly point towards Risk Off $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-29T17:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BankofJapan completely removes upper YCC ceiling of 1% (now a YCC "reference" point instead of a ceiling) Ueda doesn't see yields rising much above 1% BoJ are betting that the sell off in global bonds is over. Think about that for a moment. $Jpy $Dxy $UsdJpy $Nikkei $Spx $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-31T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Notes from the August 18th [----] FOMC meeting on investor sentiment in regards to US Treasuries [--] days before the market crashed & the onset of the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression (at the time) Sound familiar $Tlt $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-31T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UPS below its weekly 200ma Nothing good happens when UPS trades below its weekly 200ma. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-10-31T19:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#FOMC Day Safe Haven currencies outperforming today. $Dxy $Chf $Chf #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-01T11:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The next [--] days following todays FOMC are the absolute peak of market risk for the year $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-01T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨Big Misses in US ISM Manufacturing [----] vs [--] (Exp) #Contracting New Orders [----] vs [----] (Exp) #Contracting Employment [----] vs [----] (Exp) #Contracting $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-01T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@leadlagreport Investors dumping Junk Bonds & Buying Investment Grade Equity traders not paying attention"
X Link 2023-11-01T14:45Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements
"The decisive test for #stocks will likely be at the lows of last month Bearish markets often move higher at the start of the month printing the upper wick of the monthly candle If the data changes I will change my mind. Data hasn't changed yet"
X Link 2023-11-01T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Pinkcasso13 Hard to say $Dxy could sell off anywhere between [--] & 6% in a liquidation event bute don't know if that's actually happening yet Price action post FOMC suggests some liquidation but it wont turn into a pre crisis liquidation if stocks hold up. It's something to keep an eye on"
X Link 2023-11-02T11:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Credit Spreads are widening today despite the #Stocks rally & all Risk Off signals that were in place [--] days ago are still intact I'm not dogmatic. When the data changes I will change my mind. Data hasn't changed yet"
X Link 2023-11-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"👇🚨 Been warning about this. Read carefully. US official says an escalation in the conflict between Hezbollah & Israel or US would likely provoke "direct counterattacks against Iran" Hezbollah are already firing rockets at Israel regularly"
X Link 2023-11-02T18:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Great question US Inflation heads to 2% & Unemployment Rate stays tight FED cuts rates in [----] to offset economic slowdown $Dxy trends lower & #Stocks rally into late 2024/early [----] on lower rates Recession takes place in [----] around [--] year after the first rate cut in 2024"
X Link 2023-11-03T12:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Markets have worked out that July was most likely the final rate hike & now they're stepping in to buy #stocks on lower yields & a Goldilocks outlook into 2024/25 This is the "something I think could catch people off guard" moment I referred to in the Dec. [----] tweet"
X Link 2023-11-03T15:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Entirely possible but nothing I have seen so far leads me to believe this is the case yet To the contrary the $Dxy liquidation is starting to confirm the '82 scenario"
X Link 2023-11-03T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Thanks Mark I appreciate that 🙏 I do cover it somewhere in the Free GMT Course Macro section The relationship is fairly simple Kospi tends to lead other benchmarks higher/lower as it's more sensitive to changes in the global economy due to South Koreas role as a Global exporter"
X Link 2023-11-04T11:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"South Korea to Ban Short-Selling of Stocks Until June 2024"
X Link 2023-11-05T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bans on short selling usually occur during a crisis The US did this most notably in September [----] right before the markets fully capitulated As this note from the New York Fed shows banning short selling does not prevent further market declines & can often make them worse"
X Link 2023-11-05T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Kospi up nearly 6% after short selling ban The last time South Korea banned short selling was in the midst of the [----] crash on March 13th The #Kospi rallied 7% before collapsing a further 20% Where Dr. Kospi goes other Indices tend to follow. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-06T11:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Chinese Exports YoY were expected to rebound instead they have worsened Telling the same story as the $Kospi & $Wti Global demand is cratering"
X Link 2023-11-07T10:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Soft Landings are rare & historically require [--] things: 1) Hiking starts when inflation isn't an issue/pre-emptively ('65/'83/'93) 2) No external catalysts to kill the landing ('88/'04/'15) #Powell started hiking at 8.5% inflation & now war in Middle East Hard Landing 💯 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-08T13:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#China CPI YoY The worlds second largest economy is in Deflation"
X Link 2023-11-09T07:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Spot the odd one out. China Deflation Eurozone Recession Japan Tightening policy South Korea Banned short selling US Brand new Bull market LFG 🚀 $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-09T11:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What's required is a stock market sell off not Yield Curve Control Those declaring the Long Bond to be dead will be screaming for them again in fairly short order just like they did in [----] $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-10T10:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If US Yield Curve Control is coming to save Bonds the #USD is going to collapse & $XauUsd is going to skyrocket. Why haven't the US or its closest ally the UK added any significant Gold Reserves in the last [--] decades $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2023-11-10T11:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Rawurks Can't do it in the Saturday video unfortunately as it would take too long however a help centre is currently being built and will be released in the app in the next week or so 🤝"
X Link 2023-11-30T16:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"New video format for [----] 🚀 Hope you guys enjoy the video ✌ NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $AudUsd $UsdChf $NzdUsd $EurAud $EurNzd $CadChf $NzdCad $NzdJpy $AudJpy $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2023-12-02T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Thanks @GRTOceanRd Been a big project to put into place this year even requiring our own in-house developers but super happy with the latest release. Appreciate everyone who has helped us during the BETA phase 🙏 Additional features coming in [----] 🚀"
X Link 2023-12-13T12:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Dji has made all time highs trading [-----] for the first time ever Based on the dovish FOMC catalyst today I think we probably see this replicated in $Spx & $Ndx as $Dxy trades [---] But not $Rut Small Caps which IMO foreshadows the ATH breakouts ultimately failing in Q1"
X Link 2023-12-13T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lots of talk about #FED making a mistake by pivoting but I don't share that view Despite coming down in the last print the US Unemployment Rate is clearly trending off the lows & looks set to continue higher I'm still Risk On but markets will soon work out cuts aren't Bullish"
X Link 2023-12-19T13:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"FedEx $Fdx is down 12% after cutting its FY24 revenue forecast & $Ups is still trading below its 200ma [--] significant bellwether signals suggesting recent equities rally is a mispricing of assets based on exuberance not a new Bull market $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
X Link 2023-12-21T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🎅🎄Merry Christmas folks🎄🎅 Back with the next Weekly Forex Forecast video on the 30th Have a fantastic holiday period everyone🚀"
X Link 2023-12-24T14:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Two markets I have at the top of my Big Picture outlook this year are $Jpy & $Tlt As a more risk off environment takes over this year I expect last years $Dxy & $Wti targets to play out Alongside this I think we see a significant outperformance of both $Jpy & $Tlt this year"
X Link 2024-01-02T09:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Job Openings are saying that the fight against inflation is over The lagged effects of the recent tightening cycle have yet to be fully felt by the US economy $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex US JOLTs (Job Openings) Worse than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/trzTB9sq1o US JOLTs (Job Openings) Worse than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/trzTB9sq1o"
X Link 2024-01-03T17:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Jobs data out stronger than expected with NFPs & Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate trend off the lows still in place but no spike higher this time unlike after the previous times it fell by 0.2% Guess we have to wait till Feb to see whether the trend continues or breaks. US Unemployment Rate Better than expected - Unchanged $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/vTDuZM8Vd9 US Unemployment Rate Better than expected - Unchanged $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/vTDuZM8Vd9"
X Link 2024-01-05T13:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ILeftTheLeft My point is it's academic. That argument didn't help any trader who went long with it in [----] Two back to back quarters of real GDP contraction & a nearly 30% sell off in stocks is clearly enough to redeem bears from being labelled "doom mongers" who need "soul searching""
X Link 2024-01-05T19:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Confirming of the ISM Services Employment print which showed a rare & severe recessionary reading on Friday Gradually then suddenly. The labour market in the US has been gradually breaking since Q2/Q3 of last year Current max drawdown in temporary help services employment only seen in prior recessions . in fact depth of today's decline was not even reached in early 1990s recession https://t.co/6cVgWJIzKI Current max drawdown in temporary help services employment only seen in prior recessions . in fact depth of today's decline was not even reached in early 1990s recession"
X Link 2024-01-08T15:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$Spx now making the run at the ATH off the back of recessionary Employment print in the ISM Services Report on Friday Once we start to trade above the ATH I think many Bulls will book profits in the face of labour market deterioration catalysing a major top in equities in Q1 $Dxy $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex Still Bullish #Stocks very near term despite start of year sell off for US equities Based on trend off the lows good chance employment data comes out weaker tomorrow catalysing a drop in rates & pushing $Spx to ATH After that I think bad news starts being bad news in H1 '24 Still"
X Link 2024-01-08T20:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Financials & Healthcare leading the #Stocks rally whilst Bonds outperform & Commodities underperform This is typical late cycle behaviour not new Bull market behaviour $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
X Link 2024-01-09T12:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"South Korea is a global bellwether economy UR - 3.3% vs 2.8% previously A higher print next month would completely reverse the downtrend in S.Korean Unemployment since the peak of the Covid crash #Stocks #Forex South Korea Unemployment Rate Higher than expected $Krw $UsdKrw $Kospi #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/t4JG5JkmMy South Korea Unemployment Rate Higher than expected $Krw $UsdKrw $Kospi #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/t4JG5JkmMy"
X Link 2024-01-10T09:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Traders piling into Puts ahead of US #CPI today A benign or soft print which is quite likely will see these unwind & help drive $Spx to an ATH Yes my overall macro outlook is bearish but I still see risks near term as being to the upside $Dxy $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-01-11T12:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Corn Weekly Chart 👀 $ZC 🚨 $ZC US Corn - Quarterly Grain Stocks (Dec) 12.169bn vs 12.05bn expected #Commodities 🚨 $ZC US Corn - Quarterly Grain Stocks (Dec) 12.169bn vs 12.05bn expected #Commodities"
X Link 2024-01-12T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I've been buying the dip in #Stocks since late November this is the first time since then I've questioned doing it I've been looking for a Q1 Bullish reversal in the $Dxy & a peak in $Spx as previously posted. A number of data points suggest they may now be underway Wouldn't be surprised to see #stocks close negative in Dec but it looks like serious downside risk has been kicked into at least Q1 by Yellen's QRA rally $Dxy looks like it still has some more downside into Dec. Below [---] is consistent with a pre #recession/rates peak sell off Wouldn't be surprised to see #stocks close negative in"
X Link 2024-01-17T18:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Jpy shorts outperformed this week in line with app data (Structural) However Yen sell off will now likely struggle near term with current in app implied probabilities of: 95% chance of pausing or reversing higher on both an intra week & multi day time horizon (Cyclical) Yen pairs still the go @HedgeDash https://t.co/ycF33v0SLO Yen pairs still the go @HedgeDash https://t.co/ycF33v0SLO"
X Link 2024-01-19T10:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@samaratprashant Yes exactly near term cyclical low in $Jpy looks highly probable"
X Link 2024-01-19T10:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Good mini thread 👇 I've noted that Claims may be a Red Herring this cycle leading people into a false sense of security on US labour market. Same thing happened in 81/82 cycle where Claims stayed low Idea it's opportunity cost of taking them due to inflation makes sense $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex Jobless claims are very low whatever seasonal factors one uses. Our latest on @theterminal assesses what the low level means. Spoiler: less unemployed people are applying for claims meaning that the low level doesn't mean it what it used to mean. https://t.co/7VEKV8PzIN (1/4)"
X Link 2024-01-23T12:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Forex still showing Goldilocks (disinflation) as prevailing market regime EU currencies lead whilst safe haven & commodity currencies lag Regime shifts tend to require catalysts. It was the prev QRA that initiated this Goldilocks regime & this week also has the power to end it $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks"
X Link 2024-01-29T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Stock market internals have also been confirming a Goldilocks regime since last QRA caused yields to peak All of this is consistent with end of cycle/pre #recession behaviour with money flowing into tech market leaders like $NVDA & $MSFT instead of Small Caps $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-01-29T15:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Treasury Marketable Borrowing Estimates $760bn $55bn lower than previous estimate of $816bn in October (attached) "largely due toprojections of higher net fiscal flows and a higher beginning of quarter cash balance" Goldilocks it is for now. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Tlt #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-01-29T22:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UPS trading below its weekly 200ma & down -8.6% today as it signalled a slow down of its delivery business & the cutting of [-----] jobs this year New ATHs in #Stocks a new Bull Market or a new Bull Trap I'll let you decide. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Forex 🟡 $UPS United Parcel Service plans to cut [-----] jobs this year as delivery business slows expects to save $1bn #Stocks 🟡 $UPS United Parcel Service plans to cut [-----] jobs this year as delivery business slows expects to save $1bn #Stocks"
X Link 2024-01-30T14:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Unanimous decision to hold US Fed Funds at 5.5% #FED pours cold water on Rate Cuts anytime soon saying they need to have "greater confidence" inflation is coming back to 2% $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex US Interest Rate Decision Unchanged - As expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/4pC4AyEFbI US Interest Rate Decision Unchanged - As expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/4pC4AyEFbI"
X Link 2024-01-31T19:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#Powell We haven't achieved a soft landing still some way to go Interesting comment. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-01-31T19:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Dxy sell off doesn't reflect what is being said in the press conference IMO #Powell has been pretty clear. Rates are staying high for now unless something breaks (labour market meaningfully deteriorates) $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-01-31T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Powell asked multiple times about tapering QT he clearly doesn't want to discuss it Refusing to say anything on it except that it will be discussed more at next meeting $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex What to look out for heading into #FOMC 👀 Market will be looking for Powell to come out Dovish & to discuss tapering QT to offset Treasury Any failure to do this sets up a clear catalyst for a top in #Stocks & a bottom in $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Tlt #Forex What to look out for heading into #FOMC 👀 Market will be looking for Powell to come out Dovish & to discuss tapering QT to"
X Link 2024-01-31T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Also happens to be my view 👇 Debt crisis crowd aren't wrong just early. Once this cycle ends boom into 2030's with new AI technology IMO Very Bullish on the next cycle. Also why I think $XauUsd underperforms for the rest of the decade vs the debt crisis Gold Breakout view $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex About the US debt Jamie Dimon of $JPM has said: "It is a cliff. We see the cliff. It's about [--] years out. We're going [--] miles an hour." About the US debt Jamie Dimon of $JPM has said: "It is a cliff. We see the cliff. It's about [--] years out. We're going [--] miles an hour.""
X Link 2024-02-02T17:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Remember the [--] key requirements for a Soft Landing historically Looks like you can now rule out both [--] & also [--]. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx $Vix $Tlt #Stocks #Forex The supply-chain price spike is here: Transportation impacts of the Suez Canal due to unrest in the Red Sea and the issues at the Panama Canal are impacting both costs and schedules for the transport of global goods. - ISM Respondent The supply-chain price spike is here: Transportation impacts of the Suez Canal due to unrest in the Red Sea and the issues at the Panama Canal are impacting both costs and schedules for the transport"
X Link 2024-02-05T17:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Nzd set to gain as Rate Hike bets increase🚀 NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $UsdJpy $AudUsd $CadJpy $AudCad $EurCad $CadChf $NzdJpy $AudNzd $EurNzd $NzdChf $XauUsd $XagUsd & more https://youtu.be/rFtxldmzdPgsi=qZjqd-Qk5ndg4yq6 https://youtu.be/rFtxldmzdPgsi=qZjqd-Qk5ndg4yq6"
X Link 2024-02-10T16:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There's a decent chance we're now looking at the Q1 peak in US #Stocks $Usd is on the verge of significant breakouts vs exotics $UsdZar $UsdMxn $UsdPln etc. $Vix has just posted a [--] sigma weekly & [--] sigma daily move & $Rut looks set to hold the significant losses today $Dxy $Spx $Djia $Ndx #Forex"
X Link 2024-02-13T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Stocks peak because those who've made money book profits US equities rallied on belief of imminent FED pivot & Soft Landing. Who wouldn't want to close that trade with new data pointing to H4L If $Spx $Djia or $Ndx retest highs it likely encourages even more profit taking"
X Link 2024-02-13T21:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Still Risk On based on new updated data this morning but the outlook has now shifted from Strong Risk On to Weak Risk On Narrow leadership can still push US Benchmarks higher. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex Markets still Risk On but. Shift from Goldilocks Risk On (Disinflation) to Inflationary Risk On (think 2021) $Usd & $Spx rising together but seems unsustainable for #Stocks. Still think equities peak Q1 with $Dxy Bullish reversal now taking place Still dip buying for now Markets still Risk On but. Shift from Goldilocks Risk On (Disinflation) to Inflationary Risk On (think"
X Link 2024-02-14T13:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I know previous tweets probably sound contradictory so to clarify: #Stocks are at risk of peaking narrow leadership can push $Spx $Ndx $Djia back into highs but it probably causes more profit taking Highs can be tested & fail multiple times during a peak (it's a process) $Dxy $Rut #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-02-14T14:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$SMCI is now trading over [----] & looks like a meme"
X Link 2024-02-15T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Stocks in limbo currently Risk On but Weak + susceptible to a peak. Just needs the right catalyst to spark selling & everyone is just waiting to see if it will be $Nvda earnings after the close today Amber warning lights are flashing for Risk but not quite Red yet. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-02-21T12:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The market behaviour (or lack of) today ahead of $Nvda earnings is pretty amazing Many of the exotic #Forex pairs have barely moved & volatility signals are flashing red. It's market behaviour you would expect to see ahead of a major macro event but it's an earnings report. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks"
X Link 2024-02-21T19:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Well I wouldn't bet against $Nvda earnings 😅 I think based on the moves already risk is weighted to the downside but I wouldn't short it. If earnings are simply in line with expectations we could see profit taking Shouldn't affect $Dxy unless it tanked the entire market @TraderFortune Any expectations to the Nvidia earnings from your side And would it actually be a catalyst to a move in DXY specially given the late time of the report Or you think it'll be reflected tomorrow more so @TraderFortune Any expectations to the Nvidia earnings from your side And would it actually be a catalyst to a"
X Link 2024-02-21T19:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Corn👀 $ZC Corn Weekly Chart 👀 $ZC https://t.co/VvX2kRY7fb Corn Weekly Chart 👀 $ZC https://t.co/VvX2kRY7fb"
X Link 2024-02-21T20:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Interesting data today $Jpy underperformance reaching extreme levels. Consistent historically with a near term bottom next [--] weeks or so (probably once it takes out lows) Same timeframe that $Tlt & $Dxy are threatening to rally together. Yet nobody thinks all [--] can rally"
X Link 2024-02-22T19:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I've been Risk On & buying #stocks since late November & still am until my process says otherwise but everything is looking a bit more like last gasp FOMO than healthy new Bull market Current market risks are significantly underappreciated IMO"
X Link 2024-02-22T20:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $AudUsd $NzdUsd $NzdCad $AudCad $EurCad $NzdJpy $EurJpy $AudJpy $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2024-02-24T16:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"US Equities back to Strong Risk on bias #Forex markets confirming a Goldilocks regime back in play Warning signs still flashing amber in the background but little point trying to front run Risk Off The music continues to play. $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks @Hedgedash"
X Link 2024-03-04T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An amber warning light flashing from the #Forex universe is the $Jpy The most Risk Off currency has been relatively underperforming all others during this equities rally. This recent underperformance is now quantitatively reversing @HedgeDash Interesting data today $Jpy underperformance reaching extreme levels. Consistent historically with a near term bottom next [--] weeks or so (probably once it takes out lows) Same timeframe that $Tlt & $Dxy are threatening to rally together. Yet nobody thinks all [--] can rally. https://t.co/QENwQI0mxn Interesting data today $Jpy underperformance reaching"
X Link 2024-03-05T09:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"We are also starting to see a rotation from High Yield Bonds $HYG into quality such as $TLT and $LQD None of these are yet flashing Red for equities (I'm still Risk On) but they are early warning signs (Amber) for this equities rally $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-03-05T09:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Market reaction to data is crucial & markets are shrugging CPI print off for now Weak Risk On in place with Amber warning lights flashing in the background. Doesn't look like CPI is a catalyst to tip markets into Risk Off $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex"
X Link 2024-03-12T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yep rotation into quality #stocks just providing an illusion of Risk Appetite as narrowing leadership pushes $Spx $Djia & $Ndx Benchmarks higher This now following on from Bond markets rotating into quality recently as well Still in a rally no doubt but likely final innings Small-caps hold the key. Small-caps hold the key"
X Link 2024-03-12T17:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Let's take this as true for now (which I don't) Avoiding a Hard Landing with a new Economic Expansion from the November "Yellen" rally would probably see: 10y-2y invert to around negative 3% with 10y-3m closer to negative 5% How does that work for the US economy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex The inverted US Yield Curve is no longer a reliable indicator for recession say [--] out of [--] strategists in a Reuters Poll $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex The inverted US Yield Curve is no longer a reliable indicator for recession say [--] out of [--] strategists in a Reuters Poll $Dxy $Spx"
X Link 2024-03-12T17:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Dxy has quantitatively shrugged of yesterdays hot CPI print Despite warning signs from Bonds & internals of US equity markets Risk On is still intact & it wouldn't surprise me if it lasted at least another couple of weeks $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex @HedgeDash"
X Link 2024-03-13T17:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Hotter than expected US PPI both Headline and Core just like CPI on Tuesday Same reaction from markets too. $Dxy up $Vix down $Spx $Ndx $Djia futures up with $Rut futures down This was a good opportunity to fade USD strength on Tuesday probably will be again today US PPI YoY Higher than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/HWQ7RhqcHn US PPI YoY Higher than expected $Dxy $Spx $Rut $Djia $Ndx #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/HWQ7RhqcHn"
X Link 2024-03-14T13:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Vix actually looks like it's responding to PPI now not the same set up as Tuesday anymore $Dxy move is more significant than Tuesday as well Markets definately taking that print worse than CPI. Still Risk On (on balance) but not the best price action to see if dip buying"
X Link 2024-03-14T15:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe overvalued but anyone trying to pick the top in $Mxn this past year would have been carried out Still quantitatively strong this week so selling isn't an option for me (yet) @HedgeDash @TraderFortune what about eurmxn and usdmxn Mexican peso is so strange that even gold in peso is far from its highs Franc and all other currencies are in decades low unbelievable just look at mxncadmxnaud . [----] pricesbig mac index shows its more expensive than europeovervalued @TraderFortune what about eurmxn and usdmxn Mexican peso is so strange that even gold in peso is far from its highs Franc and all"
X Link 2024-03-14T18:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Japan exits worlds last negative interest rate regime New #BOJ Target Rate 0% to 0.1% Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 10bps Hike - As expected $Jpy $UsdJpy $Nikkei #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/GbB4ahy0QA Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 10bps Hike - As expected $Jpy $UsdJpy $Nikkei #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/GbB4ahy0QA"
X Link 2024-03-19T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Goldilocks looks finished ☠ Data continues to point to a new inflationary Risk Off regime coming similar to late '21 through late '22 Strongly supportive of a $Dxy upside breakout with US #Stocks now swimming upstream at these levels FOMC tomorrow. @HedgeDash"
X Link 2024-03-19T11:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"SNB Cuts Rates ECB wont be far behind now $Dxy up today is a reminder that the FED not raising Rates anymore (holding) isn't relatively Bearish for $Usd in scenario where Europe begins Cutting Rates Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision 25bps Rate Cut - Lower than expected $Chf $Dxy $UsdChf $SMI #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/xkQYnvjiQb Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision 25bps Rate Cut - Lower than expected $Chf $Dxy $UsdChf $SMI #Stocks #Forex https://t.co/xkQYnvjiQb"
X Link 2024-03-21T09:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Yesterday's Dovish FOMC makes a bit more sense with that unexpected SNB Rate Cut Especially if the Bank of England cuts 25bps today against consensus as well"
X Link 2024-03-21T09:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"SNB Cutting Cycles vs $Spx This cycle is different from '01 & '08 which weren't inflationary regimes hence #Stocks currently supported at highs Still Risk On but I think we likely flush below [--] on the $Vix & then I think the Cuts start to become Bearish No Soft Landing IMO"
X Link 2024-03-21T10:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Point of previous post being initiation of a Global Cutting Cycle plus the SNB ECB link re: Cuts With $Eur + $Chf being 61% of $Dxy any weakness which drives USD higher is restrictive for US Equities Not suggesting SNB policy directly drives $Spx returns to be clear"
X Link 2024-03-21T11:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I love how Bond Yields are Bear Flattening today after Bull Steepening yesterday 😆 Inflation is going higher but FED wont raise anyway let's gooo 🚀 to Actually inflation is going higher maybe they will need to raise"
X Link 2024-03-21T14:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Gets even better today. Bond traders do a full [---] as the Yield Curve Bull Flattens (flight to safety) 😂 Actually inflation is going higher maybe they will need to raise to If they raise something will break & they will Cut we should buy Bonds $Tlt What a [--] day ride. I love how Bond Yields are Bear Flattening today after Bull Steepening yesterday 😆 Inflation is going higher but FED wont raise anyway let's gooo 🚀 to Actually inflation is going higher maybe they will need to raise I love how Bond Yields are Bear Flattening today after Bull Steepening yesterday 😆 Inflation is going higher"
X Link 2024-03-22T11:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mexico just Cut Rates as Inflation comes in Hot on both Headline & Core. Why Central Banks are focused on loosening policy even as inflation accelerates remains to be seen but logically they must be concerned about incoming Risks to Growth What do they know Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY Higher than expected $Mxn $UsdMxn $BMV #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/1pOwM0nYmp Mexico Core Inflation Rate YoY Higher than expected $Mxn $UsdMxn $BMV #Forex #Stocks https://t.co/1pOwM0nYmp"
X Link 2024-03-22T13:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$Dxy set for major breakout 🚨 NEW #WeeklyForexForecast #Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti $EurUsd $UsdChf $NzdUsd $GbpUsd $AudChf $AudNzd $GbpAud $EurChf $EurNzd $EurGbp $XauUsd $XagUsd & more"
X Link 2024-03-23T18:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Unemployment Rate is also a better recession signal to track than Initial Claims this cycle because when inflation is high benefits get eroded in real terms meaning people opt for second jobs instead Good chunk of states (20) starting to trigger Sahm Rule (when 3m moving average of unemployment rate rises by [---] percentage points or more relative to its low during previous [--] months) @Bloomberg @BLS_gov @UBS https://t.co/CnoCDnNeyF Good chunk of states (20) starting to trigger Sahm Rule (when 3m moving average of unemployment rate rises by [---] percentage points or more relative to its low"
X Link 2024-03-26T13:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Been tweeting Risk On since November. But there's trouble brewing for Q2 where Credit Spread tightness unwinds + $Dxy $Tlt & $Jpy rise together as we enter a higher volatility $Vix regime Not sure yet what could spark such Risk Off but a US Unemployment Rate spike could"
X Link 2024-03-27T14:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
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