#  @TheQuantWiz BacktestBrian BacktestBrian posts on X about ai, anthropic, gold, money the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1971668998241898496/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] -85% - [--] Month [-------] +812% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1971668998241898496/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -35% - [--] Month [---] +125% ### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1971668998241898496/followers)  - [--] Week [--] +3.70% - [--] Month [--] +167% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1971668998241898496/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 67% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 24% [stocks](/list/stocks) 19% [countries](/list/countries) 15% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 12% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 8% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 7% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 5% [currencies](/list/currencies) 4% [vc firms](/list/vc-firms) 3% **Social topic influence** [ai](/topic/ai) 17%, [anthropic](/topic/anthropic) 11%, [gold](/topic/gold) 10%, [money](/topic/money) 9%, [we are](/topic/we-are) 9%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 8%, [ipo](/topic/ipo) #276, [target](/topic/target) 7%, [open ai](/topic/open-ai) 7%, [beijing](/topic/beijing) 7% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@b1nkboy](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Stellantis N.V. (STLA)](/topic/$stla) [CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)](/topic/$crwv) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Caduceus Protocol (CAD)](/topic/$cad) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Anthropic just doubled its raise to $20B at a $350B valuation and the cap table is officially a "Whos Who" of the AI bubble. The headline alpha: Sequoia Capital is reportedly backing this round despite being a major investor in OpenAI. In [----] the old VC taboos against backing direct rivals are dead. When the "smart money" is bidding 5x over the initial target to buy a piece of a $350B startup they aren't betting on a product; theyre betting on a Sovereign Infrastructure play. If you aren't long the compute-valuation divergence you're missing the final private sprint before the IPO floodgates" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016353666194723068) 2026-01-28T03:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "51st State" Crisis Canada is in a full-blown sovereignty panic following the FT report of covert U.S.-Alberta meetings. Weekend Watch: Prime Minister Mark Carney is meeting with Alberta Premier Danielle Smith in Ottawa TODAY. Any leak regarding the rumored $500B U.S. credit facility for secessionists will send the $CAD into a tailspin against the Greenback. ๐ก๐ฅ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273055744078144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273055744078144" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273055744078144) 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Junior Analyst" role is being rewritten in code. ๐๐ค Goldman Sachs ($GS) just confirmed they are using Anthropics Claude model to automate two of the most friction-heavy parts of banking: Trade Accounting and Client Onboarding (KYC). The Alpha: CIO Marco Argenti noted that the bank was "surprised" by Claudes reasoning abilities in accounting fields that require professional judgment not just pattern matching. In the [----] regime Goldman isn't looking for more headcount; they are looking for "Operational Leverage" where one senior lead manages a fleet of autonomous compliance agents." [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019769796934459725) 2026-02-06T13:46Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "The "Lump Sum" rent model is officially being disrupted. ๐๐ซ Affirm just launched a pilot with Esusu to allow Americans to split their rent into two equal bi-weekly payments. The Alpha: This isn't just about debt; its about "Income Synchronization." For the [--] million renter households in the U.S. the 1st of the month has always been a liquidity crunch. By aligning payments with bi-weekly paychecks at 0% APR BNPL is becoming the "working capital" for the American family. If you can't change the rent price you change the payment frequency. ๐งโ๐ $AFRM" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019770212673810766) 2026-02-06T13:48Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Software engineering isn't dying; it's becoming a Management Role. ๐๐ป Dario Amodeis "6-12 month" warning at Davos confirms that the act of "typing code" is officially a legacy skill. The Alpha: At Anthropic engineers are already reporting they don't write code anymore they edit AI-generated outputs and "do the things around it". We are moving from the "Handwritten Age" to the "Agentic Age" where your value as a dev is measured by your ability to guide the model not your WPM. If youre still charging for "hours of coding" in [----] youre selling ice to an eskimo. ๐งโ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019771917356429595) 2026-02-06T13:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Beijing just closed the "De-Pegging" backdoor. ๐๐ซ The ban on unapproved overseas yuan stablecoins is a direct response to the "Shadow Yuan" market that exploded in late [----]. By blocking private issuers like AnchorX and stopping tech giants (Ant Group/JD.com) from launching in Hong Kong the PBoC is ensuring that the Digital Yuan (e-CNY) remains the only programmable path for the Renminbi. The Alpha: China just upgraded the e-CNY (as of Jan [--] 2026) to pay interest on holdings a move intended to suck liquidity out of private stablecoins and back into the state-controlled ledger. The 2026" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019772148525527455) 2026-02-06T13:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Income Play" is officially dead. ๐๐ซ Stellantis just nuked its [----] dividend after reporting a staggering [--] billion loss for the second half of [----]. The Alpha: For years $STLA was the "Yield King" of the auto sector but the [----] regime is now pivoting to Liquidity Survival. By suspending the payout and issuing [--] billion in hybrid bonds CEO Antonio Filosa is trying to protect a $46 billion cash pile from being incinerated by the [----] "execution mess". If you were in this for the check the exit door just got very crowded. ๐งโ๐ $STLA $VWAGY" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019772393040789979) 2026-02-06T13:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Beijing just closed the "De-Pegging" backdoor. ๐๐ซ The ban on unapproved overseas yuan stablecoins is a direct response to the "Shadow Yuan" market that exploded in late [----]. By blocking private issuers and stopping tech giants from using Hong Kong as a "neutral" ground the PBoC is ensuring that the Digital Yuan (e-CNY) remains the only programmable Renminbi. The Alpha: China just upgraded the e-CNY (as of Jan [--] 2026) to pay interest on holdings. They aren't just banning the competition; theyre out-competing it with state-backed yield. ๐งโ๐ $CNY $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019772534544031912) 2026-02-06T13:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The ultimate Floor Price isn't just a meme its a cypherpunk tradition. ๐๐ Fact check: Adam Back actually outbid Alistair Milne's 1-cent order with a 2-cent limit order for all 21M BTC on Bitfinex back in [----]. Even if he cancelled it to "buy the dip" at higher prices the message for [----] is clear: The math of Hashcash makes $0 a physical impossibility as long as the OGs are still breathing. ๐งโ๐ $BTC https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019772840476581930 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019772840476581930" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019772840476581930) 2026-02-06T13:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Income Play" is officially dead. ๐๐ซ Stellantis just nuked its [----] dividend after reporting a staggering [--] billion loss for the second half of [----]. The Alpha: For years $STLA was the "Yield King" of the auto sector but the [----] regime is now pivoting to Liquidity Survival. By suspending the payout and issuing [--] billion in hybrid bonds CEO Antonio Filosa is trying to protect a $46 billion cash pile from being incinerated by the previous administration's "execution mess". If you were in this for the check the exit door just got very crowded. ๐งโ๐ $STLA $VWAGY" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019773053937291614) 2026-02-06T13:59Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Is the "Regime Change" for exchange treasuries finally here ๐๐ซ The news that Binance just acquired $235 Million in Bitcoin (approx. [----] BTC at today's $67k price) signals a massive shift from "Fee Collector" to "Asset Holder". The Alpha: Coming on the heels of the Warsh Fed nomination and the Stellantis collapse Binance is effectively front-running a "Flight to Quality". When the world's largest exchange stops selling its fees for cash and starts stacking the underlying the "Supply Shock" is no longer a meme it's the [----] structural reality. ๐งโ๐ $BTC $BNB" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019773229678686237) 2026-02-06T14:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@B1nkBoy Good Shout sold my $UPST FREAKY FRIDAY 0dte cons for +49%" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019818017425879064) 2026-02-06T16:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Polymarket is currently pricing a "No IPO in 2026" for OpenAI at 52%. ๐๐ฐ Despite the WSJ hype about a Q4 listing the recent VP firing and $14B projected burn are making the "Smart Money" flinch. A $500B valuation is a tough sell when your rival (Anthropic) is currently winning the end-of-February "Best Model" prediction markets. ๐ค๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428673131823439 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428673131823439" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022428673131823439) 2026-02-13T21:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Anthropic just closed the second-largest venture deal in history. ๐๐ฐ Yesterday (Feb 12) they raised $30 BILLION in a Series G led by GIC and Coatue. The post-money valuation $380 BILLION. We are witnessing the fastest valuation ramp for any private software company in the 21st century. ๐งโ๐ #Anthropic #Claude4 #AI" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022429736237174930) 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The revenue multiples are finally catching up to the hype. ๐ฆโ Anthropics run-rate just crossed $14 Billion maintaining a 10x YoY growth streak for three years straight. Claude Code alone is now a $2.5B business doubling its run-rate since January as engineers shift from "coding" to "agent management." ๐โ #SaaS #Growth #Revenue https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429738942226523 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429738942226523" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022429738942226523) 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Product Velocity: The Claude Opus [---] launch (Feb 2026) has officially redefined the "Model Moat." ๐ง โก It isn't just a chatbot anymore; its an agentic operating system. Over [---] customers are now spending $1M+ annually on Claude. The "Per-Seat" model is dying but the "Per-Token" enterprise spend is hitting record highs. ๐๐ #GenerativeAI #Opus4 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429742108938705 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429742108938705" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022429742108938705) 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "As an engineer and user of Claude myself this is an IPO opportunity rare to see and Ill be jumping in head first right away Stay up to date on all current stock and tech news with me @TheQuantWiz ๐ง ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022429750128730449) 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "1. The Anchor: Pelosis Conviction in $TEM Nancy Pelosi didn't just trade Tempus AI ($TEM); she doubled down on it for the long haul. The Entry: On January [--] [----] she purchased [--] call options with a $20 strike price. The Exercise: Instead of selling the options for a quick profit she exercised them on January [--] [----] taking delivery of [----] shares. The Performance: By the time she exercised $TEM was up over 120% from her entry making it one of the top-performing "Pelosi Picks" of the 2025-2026 cycle. [--]. The Derivative Play: Tempus Buys the $PSNL Dip Tempus AI isn't just a diagnostics" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022813873707823413) 2026-02-14T23:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Quantitative Edge: Q3 revenue hit $1.4 Billion a 134% increase YoY. ๐ฆ๐ Wall Street is projecting $12 Billion in revenue for [----]. While they aren't fully GAAP profitable yet due to massive build-outs in Texas and Pennsylvania the 73.8% gross margins suggest a massive cash-flow monster is currently being born. ๐งโ๐ #Earnings #Stocks #CRWV" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022430565748650121) 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Europe is officially moving to a "War Footing." ๐๐ซ Keir Starmer just warned at Munich that Russias appetite for aggression won't stop at Ukraine projecting a high-risk window for a broader European attack by [----]. The Alpha: Starmer called Europe a "sleeping giant" whose economy dwarfs Russias by 10x but remains "wildly inefficient" due to fragmented procurement. His solution A "generational shift" toward deeper EU-UK defense integration. We are watching the end of the "Brexit isolation" era as the threat of [----] forces a pragmatic return to the Single Market for defense. ๐งโ๐ #Munich2026" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022817031309934827) 2026-02-14T23:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Verdict: CoreWeave is the "Pick and Shovel" play for [----]. ๐โ As the "Warsh Fed" looks to stabilize the dollar investors are fleeing to high-growth infrastructure with tangible assets. $CRWV isn't trading on vibesits trading on Megawatts and H100s. The AI supercycle has its infrastructure king. ๐๐ #Trading #Macro #Bitcoin https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430570412699765 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430570412699765" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022430570412699765) 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "China is officially retiring the "Paper General." ๐๐งฑ A civil engineering student at Southeast University just earned his PhD not with a thesis but by defending a set of Lego-like reinforced steel blocks that snap together to build massive bridge pylons. The Alpha: Under the new [----] Degree Law if you build a machine that works you don't need to write a PDF that nobody reads. By rewarding tangible deliverables like vacuum laser welding or aircraft fire-fighting systems China is clearing out the "zombie science" to make room for actual industrial leaps. If it doesn't solve a real-world" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022817429903004094) 2026-02-14T23:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Vitalik is right but the market is voting for dopamine over utility right now. In [----] 70% of volume was purely speculative. In early [----] were seeing "SocialFi" tokens like $DEGEN and $FRIEND down 99% because they financialized people instead of providing value. Speculation is a feature but its a terrible foundation. +1 If the industry doesn't pivot to things people actually use like DeSoc decentralized AI or privacy-preserving payments were just building a high-throughput casino. And casinos always eventually run out of new players. ๐ฐ #fintwit $ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016526723882324149) 2026-01-28T15:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Wholesale inflation is the "ghost in the machine" for [----]. ๐๐ซ December PPI just printed at 3.0% YoY with Core at a scorching 3.3%. This "Pipeline Inflation" means the Fed is flying blind into the spring. If the wholesale margins stay this hot the "Warsh Fed" won't be cutting rates in May they'll be bracing for the second wave. ๐งโ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428895719625075 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428895719625075" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022428895719625075) 2026-02-13T21:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The Q4 IPO countdown is officially on. ๐ With nearly $64B in total funding and CFO Krishna Rao cleaning up the books the 41% Polymarket odds for a [----] listing are looking far too low. Anthropic isn't just a research lab; its now a structural utility for the global economy. ๐งโ๐ $AMZN $GOOGL #IPO #Fintech https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429746512937129 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429746512937129" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022429746512937129) 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Big Techs $650 Billion [----] CapEx plans are the ultimate fuel for the $CRWV fire. ๐๐ธ While the hyperscalers ($MSFT $AMZN) build their own centers they are increasingly relying on CoreWeaves [---] Gigawatt contracted capacity to handle the spillover demand for OpenAIs training runs. The grid is the new gold. ๐โก #Nvidia #Energy #DataCenters https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430559239073825 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430559239073825" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022430559239073825) 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Winter Olympics Flex: CoreWeave just launched its first major brand campaign featuring Chance the Rapper. โท๐ค "Ready for Anything Ready for AI" isn't just a slogan it's a marketing blitz to prove they can scale for the masses. Theyve moved from "the dev's secret" to a household name in the [----] institutional portfolio. ๐โ #WinterOlympics #Marketing #AI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430562716106968 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430562716106968" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022430562716106968) 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Cashtag" just became a "Buy Button." ๐๐ณ X is launching Smart Cashtags in the next [--] days enabling direct trading of stocks and crypto from your feed. The Alpha: Nikita Bier framed this as a way to "proliferate crypto on X" while killing off the spammy third-party bots that currently plague the platform. By bringing the execution layer directly into the conversation Elon is betting that Context + Capital = the end of legacy brokerage apps. Why open Robinhood when you can trade the news as it breaks ๐งโ๐ $BTC $TSLA JUST IN: X to launch crypto and stock trading directly from the" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022705395664294169) 2026-02-14T16:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "We have a Fed Chair nominee (Kevin Warsh) and a sitting Chair (Jerome Powell) but the real bottleneck is Senator Thom Tillis. ๐๐ง Tillis is currently holding the nomination hostage over a probe into the Feds building renovations. Markets hate a vacuum and with Powell out in May the "Warsh Era" is currently stuck in a legislative cul-de-sac. ๐โ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428313814274140 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428313814274140" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022428313814274140) 2026-02-13T21:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$SoFi just hit the holy grail: a $1 Billion revenue quarter with [--] straight quarters of GAAP profitability. ๐ฆ๐ While the rest of fintech is fighting for "active users" $SOFI is cross-selling into a 13.7M member base that actually has a pulse (and a direct deposit). The "Rule of 40" score of 68% proves that Noto isnt just building an app; hes building a structural cash machine. ๐งโ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428441744679317 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428441744679317" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022428441744679317) 2026-02-13T21:51Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Stellantis ( $STLA ) just took the ultimate "Big Bath." ๐๐ฟ A $26.5 Billion write-down on their EV business and a total [----] dividend cut. Its the worst trading day in company history but its a necessary autopsy of the "EV-at-all-costs" era. The new strategy Hybrids and ICE. They aren't leaving the road; they're just going back to what actually sells. โฝ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428794942792102 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428794942792102" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022428794942792102) 2026-02-13T21:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "AI Hyperscaler" is officially eating the traditional cloud. ๐โ CoreWeave ($CRWV) is up over 40% in early [----] as it transitions from a specialized miner to the backbone of the LLM era. With a $55.6 Billion revenue backlog the "Bubble" talk is being silenced by hard customer commitments. ๐งโ๐ #CRWV #CoreWeave #AIInfrastructure https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430555212546211 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430555212546211" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022430555212546211) 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Dollar Bear" thesis is officially the consensus at [---] Park Avenue. As of Saturday February [--] [----] JPMorgan's David Kelly is calling the bluff on the "DXY collapse = market crash" narrative arguing that a weaker greenback is actually the high-octane fuel this aging bull market needs. ๐๐ Here is the Senior Quant breakdown of the JPM vs. The Greenback tape: [--]. The "Kelly" Reality Check Despite the S&P 500's 1.4% weekly stumble JPMs Chief Global Strategist remains unfazed by the dollars slide to [-----]. ๐งโ๐ The Quote: Kelly notes that while current economic conditions are "moderately" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022816018175828305) 2026-02-14T23:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Adobe Premium" is officially gone. ๐๐Figma just touched an $11.17B valuation down 80% from its post-IPO high of $68B last summer.The Alpha: In July [----] $FIG was the "hot IPO" that was 40x oversubscribed causing a first-day surge to $115/share. But the [----] regime is ruthless: without the Adobe safety net investors are valuing Figma as a standalone SaaS company not a strategic monopoly. At 15x Price-to-Sales it's finally becoming "affordable" but the [--] million users aren't enough to justify the "FOMO" pricing of [----]. ๐งโ๐ $FIG $ADBE #Figma #Stocks2026" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2022819202977919443) 2026-02-14T23:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Product: Imagine a postage stamp that replaces the bulky terrifying EpiPen. ๐ฎ๐ It dissolves under the tongue is weather-resistant and fits in a wallet. It removes the #1 barrier to allergy treatment: The Fear of the Needle. ๐ซ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016882832019234969) 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Deficiency" Shakeout: ๐๐ข Earlier this month (Jan 9) the FDA flagged "deficiencies" in the NDA. The stock dipped but the review is still active. Senior quants view this as a classic "Buy the Dip" shakeout before a potential labeling agreement. ๐๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016882833365619171) 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Global Expansion: ๐๐ซ This isn't just a U.S. play. $AQST is already prepping submissions for Canada and Europe for the second half of [----]. With $120M in cash they are fully funded for the most aggressive pharma launch of the year. ๐ฐ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016882834816831563) 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Verdict: The Put/Call ratio is at [----]. The "Smart Money" is betting the FDA won't block a life-saving needle-free alternative over a minor labeling tweak. ๐ฅ๐ If it clears Saturday $3.50 is the distant memory. $AQST" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016882836070952987) 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Follow @TheQuantWiz for the instant "Approval vs. Rejection" analysis on Saturday morning. ๐งโโก $AQST Get the full breakdown of the PDUFA calendar and the FDA status here: https://investors.aquestive.com/news-releases/news-release-details/aquestive-therapeutics-announces-regulatory-development https://investors.aquestive.com/news-releases/news-release-details/aquestive-therapeutics-announces-regulatory-development" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016882837345988900) 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Axis of Resistance" just ran out of gas. โฝ๐ The rial hitting [----] million is the market's reaction to the total hollowing out of the Iranian state. Following the "Twelve-Day War" with Israel and the fall of the Assad regime in Syria Tehrans "land bridge" is gone and its foreign reserves are exhausted. With the USS Abraham Lincoln positioned in the Gulf and President Trump laying down "red lines" on protester violence the "Sovereignty Discount" on the rial has become a Sovereignty Death Spiral. This isn't just inflation; it's the price of a failing state. ๐๐ฃ $DXY $GLD" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016883444488327210) 2026-01-29T14:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The Model S and Model X are dead. Long live the Physical AI Revolution. ๐๐ค In a move that shocked the tape Musk announced an "Honorable Discharge" for Tesla's flagship sedans. The Fremont GA1 lines will now be gutted and repurposed to build 1M Optimus units annually. +1 But the Texas "Giga-Bot" Factory is the real alpha. Musk is targeting a staggering 10M units per year by [----] in a standalone facility currently under construction in Austin. Musks logic Humanity will eventually want billions of these. You dont build a billion-unit product in a legacy car factory; you build it in a Texas" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016883534464520589) 2026-01-29T14:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Mark Zuckerberg just confirmed the "Peak Trough". Reality Labs lost $19.19B in [----] but the structure of that loss has fundamentally changed. Zuckerberg told analysts that [----] is likely the "peak loss" year with [----] losses expected to remain "similar" before finally trending down. The Alpha: Meta is effectively cannibalizing its own VR division to fund AI. Earlier this month they laid off [----] RL employees and shuttered three major VR studios (Sanzaru Twisted Pixel and Armature) to move capital into AI-augmented glasses. The "Metaverse" isn't dead; its just being shrunk down into a pair of" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016883796029669699) 2026-01-29T14:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "209k vs. 205k Expected. A slight "miss" on the headline but dont let the delta fool you. We are still parked in the low 200s historically tight territory. The [----] regime isn't about a "hiring boom"; it's about a "layoff drought." Companies are hoarding talent because theyre terrified they won't be able to replace them if the "AI Productivity" leap doesn't hit in Q3. The market isn't breaking; it's just hibernating. ๐ป๐ค https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884126909943882 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884126909943882" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016884126909943882) 2026-01-29T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The real alpha today isn't the 209k initial print its the Continuing Claims hitting 1.827M. ๐๐ผ This is the lowest level in [--] months. While new filings ticked up the backlog of the long-term unemployed is shrinking at the fastest rate since [----]. People are finally finding a floor. This is the exact "stabilization" Powell referenced in yesterday's (Jan 28) FOMC presser. ๐ฆ๐งโ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884201702785469 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884201702785469" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016884201702785469) 2026-01-29T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Powell called it yesterday: "The labor market has stabilized after a period of gradual softening." ๐๐ฆ Todays 209k print confirms his decision to hold rates at 3.5%3.75%. With claims holding steady and productivity revised to a 2-year high (+4.9%) the Fed has zero incentive to cut in March. We are officially in the "Neutral Zone" for the foreseeable future. ๐ฏ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884275329499543 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884275329499543" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016884275329499543) 2026-01-29T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Crypto Ban" on your retirement is officially over. ๐๐ SEC Chair Paul Atkins just declared it the "right time" to unlock the $12.5 Trillion 401(k) market for digital assets. This follows the Trump Administration's August [----] Executive Order "Democratizing Access to Alternative Assets" which forced the Labor Department to stop blocking crypto as a "high-risk" outlier. For the first time [--] million Americans can treat Bitcoin like a blue-chip stock within their tax-advantaged accounts. Are you sticking to the 60/40 split or is [----] the year you add a 5% "Sovereign Hedge" ๐งโ๐ $BTC $ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016884899320336815) 2026-01-29T14:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements ""A playground for financial risk."- Senator Elizabeth Warren ๐๐ฅ The battle for your 401(k) has reached a fever pitch. While Warren is demanding answers on "protecting" savers Atkins is arguing that denying access to the best-performing asset class of the decade is the real fiduciary failure. The [----] Reality: Institutional Demand: 52% of plan sponsors now want "Alternative Access". The Trump Effect: The administration views crypto in 401(k)s as a tool to bypass the "surveillance" of traditional banks. The Ticker: Expect $STAR and $SPACE (SpaceX) to be the next "Alternative" targets for" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016885060310331422) 2026-01-29T14:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Crypto Ban" on your retirement is officially over. ๐๐ SEC Chair Paul Atkins just declared it the "right time" to unlock the $12.5 Trillion 401(k) market for digital assets. This follows the Trump Administration's August [----] Executive Order "Democratizing Access to Alternative Assets" which forced the Labor Department to stop blocking crypto as a "high-risk" outlier. For the first time [--] million Americans can treat Bitcoin like a blue-chip stock within their tax-advantaged accounts. Are you sticking to the 60/40 split or is [----] the year you add a 5% "Sovereign Hedge" ๐งโ๐ $BTC $ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016885115566096519) 2026-01-29T14:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "SpaceX + xAI = The Worlds First Orbital AGI. The headline: Musk is reportedly combining his rocket business the Starlink satellite network the X social media platform and the Grok AI chatbot into a single corporate umbrella. The alpha: Under the proposed deal xAI shares would be swapped for SpaceX equity. By merging the companies Musk is creating a "vertical stack" of intelligence: X provides the real-time data xAI provides the compute and Starlink provides the global distribution. If youre waiting for the IPO youre no longer buying a rocket company; youre buying the operating system for the" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016958643686551998) 2026-01-29T19:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$140000000 in a single hour. ๐๐ The "Long Squeeze" is back in full force. Following the $1.7B liquidation wave we saw on Jan [--] (the largest since the "Greenland Tariff" shock) this is the market clearing out the over-leveraged "moon boys" before tomorrows final FOMC verdict. With $BTC oscillating around $112k the funding rates are finally resetting. This isn't a trend reversal; it's a Healthy Deleveraging designed to punish those trying to front-run the $125k psychological breakout. ๐งโ๐ $IBIT $MSTR https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958739652215163" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016958739652215163) 2026-01-29T19:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Muskonomy" singularity has arrived. ๐๐ค Merging SpaceX and xAI is the only logical path to a $1.5 Trillion IPO. By housing Grok inside the SpaceX ecosystem Elon is creating a vertically integrated "Orbital Intelligence" platform. SpaceX provides the Starlink compute nodes in low-earth orbit and xAI provides the software to bypass terrestrial power constraints. If this deal signs you aren't buying a rocket company; you're buying the Space-Based Data Center monopoly. $SPACE $TSLA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958792194527587 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958792194527587" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016958792194527587) 2026-01-29T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Great Re-Opening" just hit London. ๐๐ซ Prime Minister Keir Starmers Beijing trip just delivered the biggest diplomatic win for UK services in a decade: 30-day visa-free entry for British citizens. China is effectively competing for Global Tourism & Professional Services to offset the 31% drop in UK exports seen last year. By bringing the UK in line with [--] other "preferred" nations like Germany and France Beijing is signaling that the [----] trade war has a "Services Siding" designed to keep the capital flowing. ๐งง๐ท $FXI $KWEB https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958851833352646" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016958851833352646) 2026-01-29T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Siri just got a $2 Billion heart transplant. ๐๐ง Apples acquisition of Israeli-based is their second-largest deal in history (after Beats). The Alpha: specializes in "Facial Skin Micro-Movements"technology that allows for silent communication and enhanced audio in "noisy" environments. This is a massive "Privacy-First" hardware move. Apple is building the foundation for AI-powered wearables (glasses/headphones) that can interpret your speech before you even make a sound. Tim Cook is making sure Apple Intelligence doesn't just talk it listens to the silence. $AAPL http://Q.ai http://Q.ai" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016958928312221922) 2026-01-29T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""There's an old-fashioned word for that and that word is treason." BC Premier David Eby The FT report confirms that leaders of the Alberta Prosperity Project (APP) have met with U.S. State Department officials three times since last April. The headline alpha: The separatists are reportedly asking for a $500 Billion credit facility from the U.S. Treasury to bankroll a new independent state. While the White House calls these "routine civil society meetings" the Canadian premiers are calling it an act of foreign aggression. Is this the first step toward the "51st State" annexation Trump teased" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016959178770657424) 2026-01-29T19:38Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "๐ $AQST: The "Postage Stamp" PDUFA Tomorrow Saturday Jan [--] is the FDAs final decision date for Anaphylm. The High Stakes: This needle-free epinephrine film could disrupt a $4B market. With the FDA flagging "deficiencies" earlier this month the stock is a binary play: A "Green Light" sends it to $8+; a CRL (rejection) sends it back to the penny-stock abyss. ๐ข๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273052724138418) 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "๐ The "Muskonomy" Merger (SpaceX + xAI) The "Yeah" heard 'round the world. Elon Musk essentially confirmed the SpaceX-xAI merger talks on X yesterday. The [----] Plan: By housing Grok inside SpaceX Musk is building a "Dyson Swarm" companyintegrating orbital compute with generative intelligence. Polymarket currently puts the odds of a mid-year merger at 48%. If you aren't modeling a $1.5 Trillion unified entity for the June IPO you aren't paying attention. ๐ฐ๐ค https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273054204768725 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273054204768725" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273054204768725) 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "๐งโ Top Pick: The $AQST Binary While the macro stories are loud $AQST is the only one with a hard "Yes/No" deadline this weekend. The [----] Put/Call ratio suggests the smart money is betting on a "Labeling Agreement" rather than a full rejection. Watch the 8-K filings on Saturday morning. ๐๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273058851979440 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273058851979440" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273058851979440) 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "The 50/50 odds are mathematically anchored in the Deribit Options Tape. ๐๐ As of Jan [--] we have a massive $1.45B Notional Open Interest sitting at the $100k strike. While prediction markets like Polymarket are more cautious (only 6% odds for a Feb breakout) the "Smart Money" is aggressively rolling their calls into April/May expiries. The Alpha: We are currently retesting support at $82k$83k. If this floor holds through the weekend shutdown the path to $100k is a simple "Mean Reversion" play. Don't fear the dip; trade the cycle. ๐งโ๐ $IBIT $MSTR" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273383583428970) 2026-01-30T16:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Unity isn't just fighting a "Software Sell-off" its fighting Googles Project Genie. ๐๐ง Todays 13% slide was triggered by Googles launch of Genie [--] an AI world-builder that creates interactive 3D environments from text prompts. The Alpha: Project Genie effectively automates the "Create" layer that Unity spent billions to build. If Google can generate physics-based worlds in real-time for AI Ultra subscribers the "Unity Moat" just got filled with sand. ๐๐ The market is pricing in a structural threat to the engines terminal value. $U $GOOGL" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273647527010482) 2026-01-30T16:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Michael Saylors "Bitcoin Standard" just got its most powerful ally yet. ๐ฆ๐งก With Kevin Warsh nominated today the Fed is about to be led by someone who actually speaks the language of the New Economy. The Alpha: Warsh isn't just "open" to digital assets hes an adviser to Bitwise and has been a vocal critic of the Fed's "mission creep" and bloated balance sheet. Saylor is betting that Warsh will be the first Chair to recognize Bitcoin as a legitimate hedge against fiat instability. If $BTC hits $125k on the news of a smaller Fed balance sheet the "Saylor Premium" will be a mathematical law." [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017274391390781941) 2026-01-30T16:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The NYT has the "Deal" but Polymarket has the "House Gap." ๐๐ฐ The 38% chance of a shutdown is essentially a bet on the calendar. While the Senate is voting to fund 96% of the government until September the House is on recess until Monday (Feb 2). Even if Trump and Schumer sign off today the government legally runs out of money at midnight. We are looking at a "Technical Shutdown" over the weekend while the House scrambles back to D.C. to rubber-stamp the split. For the markets it's a non-event; for the traders its a 38% arbitrage play on a weekend lapse. ๐งโ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017274773848338559) 2026-01-30T16:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Kazakhstan just fired the starting gun for Central Asia. ๐๐ By allocating $350 million from its gold and FX reserves to buy the dip the NIC is signaling that "Hard Money" now includes digital rails. They aren't just buying Bitcoin; they are hedging their legacy assets against a volatile [----] dollar. When a top-tier gold producer starts swapping bullion for BTC the "Store of Value" debate is officially over. ๐งโ๐ $BTC $GLD https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275284228132990 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275284228132990" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017275284228132990) 2026-01-30T16:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Kazakhstan is turning "Criminal Capital" into "Sovereign Strength." ๐๐ The new reserve isn't just funded by gold; its being seeded with $5 million in Bitcoin already seized from illegal exchanges during President Tokayevs recent crackdown. By recycling confiscated assets into a strategic stockpile they are following the "US Marshals Model" but with a permanent-hold mandate. The "Dip" isn't just bought it's reclaimed. ๐งกโ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275402545136069 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275402545136069" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017275402545136069) 2026-01-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "From "Mining Pariah" to "Crypto Protectorate." โก๐ In [----] Kazakhstan blamed Bitcoin miners for power outages. In [----] they are using the state-owned National Bank to buy the assets those miners produce. This $350M allocation is the final step in the "Alatau CryptoCity" project turning the nation's energy surplus into a digital reserve that cant be frozen by Western sanctions. ๐ก https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275479888191583 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275479888191583" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017275479888191583) 2026-01-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$350000000. Thats roughly 0.3% of Kazakhstans $104B total reserves. While its a small slice the signal is massive. Gold hit a record $5600/oz this week and the NIC is using those "expensive" gold gains to buy "cheap" Bitcoin at the $83k support floor. This is a textbook "Rebalancing Act" by a central bank that understands how to play the [----] commodity-to-crypto ratio. ๐ฆ๐งโ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275595202126075 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275595202126075" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017275595202126075) 2026-01-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The timing is almost too perfect. ๐๐ฐ Moments after the 3% PPI print dropped President Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell. The Alpha: Warsh is known for his "Hawkish" history on the balance sheet but has recently pivoted to an AI-Productivity lower-rate thesis. The market is now caught in a vice: hot inflation data demands hikes but the incoming "Trump Chair" is being signaled as the man to force cuts. The volatility is just beginning. ๐โ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276031053250629 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276031053250629" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017276031053250629) 2026-01-30T16:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Today is a Bloodletting for the "Inflation Hedge" trade. ๐ฉธ๐ Following the hot PPI and the Warsh news Gold plunged 5% and Silver collapsed 13% in the fastest sell-off of the year. Why Because the "Warsh Fed" is being priced as a regime that will aggressively shrink the balance sheet and protect the dollars strength. When the wholesale data stays this hot "Safe Havens" get liquidated to cover the margin on the Dollar rally. ๐ฆ๐งโ $GLD $SLV https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276079661015489 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276079661015489" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017276079661015489) 2026-01-30T16:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Jerome Powell's "Lame Duck" period just got significantly harder. ๐๐ฆ With the next PPI data release delayed until February [--] due to the technical shutdown the Fed is flying partially blind into the spring. Todays 0.7% core surge effectively kills the "May Pivot" for a rate cut. If Warsh is confirmed hell be walking into an Eccles Building where the fire is already out of control. ๐ $SPY $TLT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276433618325773 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276433618325773" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017276433618325773) 2026-01-30T16:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""We are choosing to drive capital-light fee-based revenue." CFO Chris Lapointe. Here is the quantitative pivot: Fee-Based Revenue: Hit a record $443 million (up 53%) now making up 44% of the total revenue mix. The Crypto Edge: In Q4 SoFi became the first national bank to launch its own stablecoin (SoFiUSD) and consumer crypto trading on a public blockchain. The Result: They are no longer just a lender. They are a diversified financial technology platform that earns money on movement not just interest. This "capital-light" model is why the [----] EBITDA guidance of $1.6 billion is actually" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017277634770534462) 2026-01-30T16:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Nine consecutive quarters of GAAP profitability. ๐๐ Wall Street was looking for $0.11 EPS; SoFi delivered $0.13. But the real "Senior Quant" signal is the [----] Guidance: Revenue: $4.66 Billion (30% YoY growth). EPS: $0.60 (beating the $0.58 consensus). The Bottom Line: SoFi has officially transitioned from a "disruptive startup" to a structurally profitable bank. With $37.5 billion in deposits they have a "sticky" funding base that protects them even if the Fed keeps rates higher for longer. The "Turnaround Story" is over; the "Compounding Era" has begun. ๐ฆ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017277707646615805) 2026-01-30T16:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "1000000. That is the record-breaking number of new members SoFi added in Q4 alone. The Alpha: This isn't just about raw numbers; its about Cross-Buying. 40% of all new products opened in Q4 came from existing membersa 7-percentage point jump from last year. SoFi has officially cracked the code on "Customer Acquisition Cost" (CAC). By selling multiple products to the same person their margins are becoming "escape velocity" efficient. If they hit that 30% member growth target for [----] the unit economics become untouchable. ๐งโ๐ $SOFI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017277772356296807" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017277772356296807) 2026-01-30T16:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "๐ The Warsh Factor: Regime Change is Here President Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell today. The market reaction was a textbook "Hawkish Shock": The Consensus: Warsh is seen as an "Inflation Hawk" who wants to shrink the Feds balance sheet and narrow its mission. The Pivot: While hes historically hawkish his recent focus on AI-driven productivity suggests he might be the only one who can justify lower rates in a high-growth environment. The Friction: Senator Thom Tillis has already vowed to block the nomination until the DOJ's criminal probe into Powell is" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017356654677737742) 2026-01-30T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "๐ Inflation & The Metals Massacre The December PPI report (+0.5% vs. +0.3% expected) was the catalyst for the intraday sell-off. It triggered a "Margin Call" across the board: Gold & Silver: Absolute carnage. Gold plunged 9% to $4880 after hitting record highs yesterday. Silver plummeted 28%. ๐ฉธโ The Dollar: The $DXY rallied to [-----] hitting its strongest level in months as traders fled to the safety of the greenback. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017356713381486832 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017356713381486832" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017356713381486832) 2026-01-30T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "Connected Fitness" dream just got a lot leaner. ๐๐ซ Todays 11% workforce cut primarily targets engineers working on technology and enterprise-related projects. Stern is sacrificing long-term R&D to hit his $100 million cost-savings target by the end of FY2026. The Alpha: This move comes just days before their Feb [--] earnings call. The market is pricing in a "survival mission" the stock is already down over 9% this month and nearly 30% since last year. The [----] Strategy: Hardware Exit By slashing enterprise engineers Peloton is effectively signaling a retreat from gym/hotel partnerships." [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017357141275804020) 2026-01-30T21:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""Regime Change" is now priced in. ๐๐ฐ The catalyst for todays historic gain was the collision of two massive signals: The Warsh Nomination: President Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell. While Trump wants lower rates the market views Warsh as an "Inflation Hawk" who will aggressively shrink the Fed's balance sheet to protect dollar dominance. The PPI Scorcher: December Producer Prices surged 3% YoY (vs. 2.7% expected) with Core PPI jumping 0.7% in a single month. Wholesale inflation is heating up effectively killing the "March Pivot" for a rate cut. ๐๐ซ The" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017357668487241873) 2026-01-30T22:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "Worker Drought" just got a $130000-unit infusion. ๐๐ The Trump administrations move to add [-----] supplemental H-2B visas is a massive 180-degree turn from the 50% cuts rumored on Jan [--]. The headline alpha: These visas are exclusively for businesses that can prove "irreparable harm" (severe financial loss) without seasonal help. For the seafood landscaping and hospitality sectors this is the difference between opening for the [----] summer season or shuttering permanently. The administration is essentially admitting that even in a "Nationalist" economy the $12.5 trillion services sector" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017358194650321323) 2026-01-30T22:04Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "The Fed just got its first "Digital Gold" Chairman. ๐ฆ๐งก Kevin Warshs declaration that "Bitcoin is the new gold" for everyone under [--] is the ultimate validation of the [----] "Sovereign Asset" thesis. The headline alpha: Warsh is an adviser to Bitwise and has long argued that Bitcoin acts as a "policeman" for bad monetary policy. He isn't coming in to "ban" crypto; hes coming in to integrate it into the [----] plumbing. If you aren't modeling a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve under a Warsh Fed youre trading with a 20th-century mindset. ๐งโ๐ $BTC $MSTR" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017358479220933095) 2026-01-30T22:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "OpenAI is racing to the public markets to outrun its own burn rate. ๐๐ฅ The headline alpha: OpenAI is eyeing a Q4 [----] IPO that could value the company at over $830 Billion. The Senior Quant view on the 41% skepticism: The Anthropic Factor: Internal leaks suggest OpenAI executives are "terrified" that rival Anthropic (currently breaking even in 2028) will beat them to a listing. The "Friar" Effect: CFO Sarah Friar (who took Square and Nextdoor public) is already cleaning up the books hiring accounting and IR chiefs to handle the transition. The Financial Abyss: OpenAI is projected to lose" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017358874408611860) 2026-01-30T22:06Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "US seizes Russian-flagged tanker linked to sanctioned Venezuelan oil a bold enforcement of global sanctions on the high seas. For markets: Expect short-term Brent spike (supply disruption fears) higher volatility in energy ETFs ( $USO $XLE) and pressure on $RUB / $USD pairs. Geopolitical risk premium is back watch oil $85 resistance. Position for energy longs or $VIX hedges ๐๐ข Is this a good or bad move/look for the US #FinTech #Commodities #Geopolitics #oil #crudeoil #Venezuela #russia #china $XOM $CVX JUST IN: US forces seize Russian-flagged oil tanker in the Atlantic." [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2008911736661762257) 2026-01-07T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "To clarify: xAIs Colossus supercomputer cluster (the worlds most powerful AI training system) is primarily in Memphis Tennessee with major expansion now crossing into Southaven Mississippi. The new [------] sq ft facility (dubbed Colossus [--] or MACROHARDRR) in Southaven is indeed part of a record-shattering $20B+ investmentthe largest private project in Mississippi history. This will push the overall cluster toward 2GW of compute power supporting hundreds of high-skill jobs and accelerating Groks development on a scale no one else is matching right now. From a computational geometry perspective" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2009361566995480792) 2026-01-08T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$2000 ETH implies a 35% drawdown from current $3150 levels. While BTC holds $92k and Gold hits $4736 Ethereum is caught in a "no man's land" between the Glamsterdam upgrade and a total lack of institutional narrative. If the Morgan Stanley ETH ETF doesn't see day-one inflows $2000 isn't just a forecast it's the liquidity floor. Why this works: It uses current price levels ($3150) and specific upcoming catalysts (Glamsterdam Morgan Stanley ETF) to ground the bear case in technical reality. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013637058829386057 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013637058829386057" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2013637058829386057) 2026-01-20T15:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Everyone was screaming "top" when the H200 was blocked at customs last week. Now Alibaba and ByteDance are cleared to prep orders for 200000+ units each. Thats a massive delta between the "China is dead" narrative and the actual order book. The real math: Trump takes a 25% "tariff" cut of these sales and Beijing forces a domestic chip quota. Its a geopolitical tax but at a $30B+ revenue run rate $NVDA won't mind the bill. Whos actually selling this news https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014800571899822087 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014800571899822087" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2014800571899822087) 2026-01-23T20:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "The "in-principle" approval for Alibaba and Tencent isn't a gift; its a transaction. Under the [----] AI Action Plan the US government takes a 25% "profit share" on these H200 exports. Trump isn't blocking the trade; hes just making the Treasury a majority shareholder in Nvidias China business. Beijing gets the compute Trump gets the cash and Jensen gets the volume. Who loses here besides the domestic Chinese chipmakers being forced into a "quota" system $NVDA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014805052859289882 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014805052859289882" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2014805052859289882) 2026-01-23T20:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "1/ The weekend is for backtesting but the tape is currently pricing in a massive "Regime Shift." Were seeing a structural divergence between gold tech capex and geopolitical tail risks. Here is what Im watching over the next [--] hours: ๐งต" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2014805397857566998) 2026-01-23T21:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "2/ $NVDA & The China Gap: Beijing finally greenlit H200 orders for Alibaba and ByteDance. The 25% US "profit share" means the Treasury is now a silent partner in the AI wars. Watch the Sunday night futures for a gap-up in semi-conductors" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2014805399250026684) 2026-01-23T21:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Rescheduled to Thursday (Jan 29) due to the "severe" Category [--] winter storm. The delay is a gift for Senator Tim Scott who is currently managing a "split" industry after Coinbase ($COIN) pulled support over the stablecoin reward ban. In quant terms: Every [--] hours of delay is a 24-hour extension for the lobbyist "wish list" to grow. If they don't strip the GENIUS Act interest amendments by Thursday morning the bill is dead on arrival. Watch the $MSTR basis the market is currently pricing in a 65% probability of a "diluted" pass. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015902267015078377" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2015902267015078377) 2026-01-26T21:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Trump just confirmed the "Kevins" are the play. With Jerome Powells term as Chair expiring in May [----] the shortlist is down to Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Trumps litmus test A target rate of 1% or lower to nuke the national debt servicing costs. Currently the Fed is at 3.5%3.75% and holding. We are looking at a potential 250bps of "political easing" in the second half of [----]. This isn't a forecast; it's a mandate. Whos ready to front-run the most aggressive rate-cut cycle in a generation $SPY $TLT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016299817350438934" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016299817350438934) 2026-01-27T23:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "SpaceX isn't just a rocket company anymore; its an Orbital AI Infrastructure play. The 87% IPO conviction stems from the newly disclosed plan to raise $25B+ to fund 100GW of space-based AI data centers by [----]. Elon is timing this to perfection Starlink is now a cash-flow monster ($10B+ revenue in 2025) and Starship V3 is ready to dominate the launch monopoly. At a projected $1.5 Trillion valuation SpaceX is coming for the S&P [---] crown. Who's ready for the first ticker to trade at 300x earnings because of "Mars optionality" $SPACE $MSTR $NVDA" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016300192450912300) 2026-01-28T00:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Trump just confirmed the "Kevins" are the play. With Jerome Powells term as Chair expiring on May [--] [----] the shortlist is officially narrowed to Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Trumps litmus test A target rate of 1% or lower to nuke the $1T+ annual cost of servicing the national debt. Currently the Fed is at 3.5%3.75% and holding. We are looking at a potential 250bps of "political easing" in the second half of [----]. This isn't a forecast; it's a mandate. Whos ready to front-run the most aggressive rate-cut cycle since the GFC $SPY $TLT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016300502867165293" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016300502867165293) 2026-01-28T00:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "OpenAI just set the bar: $60 CPM for ChatGPT ads. To put that in perspective thats 3x the average Meta rate ($20) and on par with a live NFL broadcast. OpenAI is betting that a user in a deep conversational flow has a "High-Intent" value that a scrolling Facebook user simply can't match. But theres a catch: Zero conversion tracking. Advertisers are paying first-class prices for "blind" impressions with no data on whether the user actually bought the product. Is this a luxury branding play or a desperate cash grab to fund the $1.4T infrastructure bill $MSFT $META $GOOGL" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016350604168155485) 2026-01-28T03:20Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Anthropic just doubled its raise to $20B at a $350B valuation and the cap table is officially a "Whos Who" of the AI bubble. The headline alpha: Sequoia Capital is reportedly backing this round despite being a major investor in OpenAI. In [----] the old VC taboos against backing direct rivals are dead. When the "smart money" is bidding 5x over the initial target to buy a piece of a $350B startup they aren't betting on a product; theyre betting on a Sovereign Infrastructure play. If you aren't long the compute-valuation divergence you're missing the final private sprint before the IPO floodgates" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016353231111160261) 2026-01-28T03:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Anthropic just doubled its raise to $20B at a $350B valuation and the cap table is officially a "Whos Who" of the AI bubble. The headline alpha: Sequoia Capital is reportedly backing this round despite being a major investor in OpenAI. In [----] the old VC taboos against backing direct rivals are dead. When the "smart money" is bidding 5x over the initial target to buy a piece of a $350B startup they aren't betting on a product; theyre betting on a Sovereign Infrastructure play. If you aren't long the compute-valuation divergence you're missing the final private sprint before the IPO floodgates" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016353403299860811) 2026-01-28T03:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The "batch" everyone is talking about: 400k H200s for Tencent Alibaba and ByteDance. At $35k per unit thats $14B in potential revenue $NVDA just unlocked. But the real alpha: Beijing is reportedly mandating a "Parallel Purchase" quota buy one H200 buy one domestic (Huawei/SMIC) chip. This isn't a trade thaw; its a tax on US tech to subsidize Chinese silicon. ๐จ #fintwit $NVDA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526413487046774 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526413487046774" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2016526413487046774) 2026-01-28T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Heading into the January 30February [--] [----] weekend the "Senior Quant" tape is flickering red with structural volatility. Between the midnight shutdown clock and the literal disintegration of the Iranian Rial the [----] regime is testing every "Soft Landing" thesis in the book. ๐๐ Here is the @TheQuantWiz Weekend Watchlist: ๐งต๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273049272221989 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273049272221989" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273049272221989) 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "1000000. That is the record-breaking number of new members SoFi added in Q4 alone. The Alpha: This isn't just about raw numbers; its about Cross-Buying. 40% of all new products opened in Q4 came from existing members a 7-percentage point jump from last year. SoFi has officially cracked the code on "Customer Acquisition Cost" (CAC). By selling multiple products to the same person their margins are becoming "escape velocity" efficient. If they hit that 30% member growth target for [----] the unit economics become untouchable. ๐งโ๐ $SOFI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017277554625757205" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017277554625757205) 2026-01-30T16:43Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "The "multi-trillion dollar" opportunity isn't in building the carit's in filling the seat. ๐๐ Dara just confirmed Uber's [----] playbook: By [----] they intend to be the largest facilitator of AV trips globally. The Alpha: AVs on Ubers platform currently see 30% higher utilization than standalone robotaxis. Why Because Uber has the "Demand Density." While Tesla and Waymo build the hardware Uber is building the toll booth. If you own the marketplace you don't need to own the fleet to win the trillion-dollar prize. ๐งโ๐ $UBER $TSLA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019088273835004156" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2019088273835004156) 2026-02-04T16:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$SpaceX is the only one I'd actually want shares of. Starlink is real revenue. $OpenAI at $830B with no clear monetization path Pass. $Stripe could work but fintech multiples compressed. Rest are overhyped. Wait for the IPO pop then short the lockup expiry. #IPO Top [--] largest potential IPO's: [--] SpaceX - $1.5T [--] OpenAI - $830B [--] ByteDance - $480B [--] Anthropic - $230B [--] Databricks - $160B [--] Stripe - $120B [--] Revolut - $90B [--] Shein - $55B [--] Ripple - $50B [--] Canva - $50B Would you consider any of these https://t.co/xBXXCem2UP Top [--] largest potential IPO's: [--] SpaceX - $1.5T [--] OpenAI - $830B 3" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2002788555152924919) 2025-12-21T17:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Irans Rial: The "Zero Floor" The Iranian Rial is currently unexchangeable on international platforms hitting a record [-------] per USD. The Reality: Merchants in the Tehran Grand Bazaar are shuttering doors as the currency effectively hits $0.00 in real-time. With the USS Abraham Lincoln now in the Gulf the market is pricing in a total regime fracture. ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273057291747548 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273057291747548" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017273057291747548) 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Nintendo $NTDOY is caught in a pincer move. Memory costs for LPDDR5X modules are up 41% since December and now production is stalling until 3Q [----]. The market is finally realized that a "fastest-selling console" doesn't matter if your unit margins are getting eaten by AI-driven component inflation. The 33% drawdown from the August peak wasn't a "glitch" it was the math catching up to the hype. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014335719016112588 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014335719016112588" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2014335719016112588) 2026-01-22T13:53Z [--] followers, [----] engagements ""The monetary order is breaking down." Ray Dalio just put a target on the dollars back. ๐๐ The headline alpha: Dalio officially labeled Gold as the "second largest reserve currency" in the world. The math is cold: Gold prices surged 66% in [----] outperforming even the high-flying tech sector. Dalios view Central banks are no longer treating U.S. debt as a safe "store of wealth" they are fleeing to hard assets to avoid the "Capital Wars" of [----]. If youre 100% in fiat and tech you arent diversified; youre exposed. ๐งโ๐ $GLD $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017274888373825886" [X Link](https://x.com/TheQuantWiz/status/2017274888373825886) 2026-01-30T16:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@TheQuantWiz BacktestBrianBacktestBrian posts on X about ai, anthropic, gold, money the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 67% technology brands 24% stocks 19% countries 15% cryptocurrencies 12% travel destinations 8% automotive brands 7% celebrities 5% currencies 4% vc firms 3%
Social topic influence ai 17%, anthropic 11%, gold 10%, money 9%, we are 9%, bitcoin 8%, ipo #276, target 7%, open ai 7%, beijing 7%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @b1nkboy
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Stellantis N.V. (STLA) CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Caduceus Protocol (CAD)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Anthropic just doubled its raise to $20B at a $350B valuation and the cap table is officially a "Whos Who" of the AI bubble. The headline alpha: Sequoia Capital is reportedly backing this round despite being a major investor in OpenAI. In [----] the old VC taboos against backing direct rivals are dead. When the "smart money" is bidding 5x over the initial target to buy a piece of a $350B startup they aren't betting on a product; theyre betting on a Sovereign Infrastructure play. If you aren't long the compute-valuation divergence you're missing the final private sprint before the IPO floodgates"
X Link 2026-01-28T03:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "51st State" Crisis Canada is in a full-blown sovereignty panic following the FT report of covert U.S.-Alberta meetings. Weekend Watch: Prime Minister Mark Carney is meeting with Alberta Premier Danielle Smith in Ottawa TODAY. Any leak regarding the rumored $500B U.S. credit facility for secessionists will send the $CAD into a tailspin against the Greenback. ๐ก๐ฅ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273055744078144 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273055744078144"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Junior Analyst" role is being rewritten in code. ๐๐ค Goldman Sachs ($GS) just confirmed they are using Anthropics Claude model to automate two of the most friction-heavy parts of banking: Trade Accounting and Client Onboarding (KYC). The Alpha: CIO Marco Argenti noted that the bank was "surprised" by Claudes reasoning abilities in accounting fields that require professional judgment not just pattern matching. In the [----] regime Goldman isn't looking for more headcount; they are looking for "Operational Leverage" where one senior lead manages a fleet of autonomous compliance agents."
X Link 2026-02-06T13:46Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"The "Lump Sum" rent model is officially being disrupted. ๐๐ซ Affirm just launched a pilot with Esusu to allow Americans to split their rent into two equal bi-weekly payments. The Alpha: This isn't just about debt; its about "Income Synchronization." For the [--] million renter households in the U.S. the 1st of the month has always been a liquidity crunch. By aligning payments with bi-weekly paychecks at 0% APR BNPL is becoming the "working capital" for the American family. If you can't change the rent price you change the payment frequency. ๐งโ๐ $AFRM"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:48Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Software engineering isn't dying; it's becoming a Management Role. ๐๐ป Dario Amodeis "6-12 month" warning at Davos confirms that the act of "typing code" is officially a legacy skill. The Alpha: At Anthropic engineers are already reporting they don't write code anymore they edit AI-generated outputs and "do the things around it". We are moving from the "Handwritten Age" to the "Agentic Age" where your value as a dev is measured by your ability to guide the model not your WPM. If youre still charging for "hours of coding" in [----] youre selling ice to an eskimo. ๐งโ๐"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Beijing just closed the "De-Pegging" backdoor. ๐๐ซ The ban on unapproved overseas yuan stablecoins is a direct response to the "Shadow Yuan" market that exploded in late [----]. By blocking private issuers like AnchorX and stopping tech giants (Ant Group/JD.com) from launching in Hong Kong the PBoC is ensuring that the Digital Yuan (e-CNY) remains the only programmable path for the Renminbi. The Alpha: China just upgraded the e-CNY (as of Jan [--] 2026) to pay interest on holdings a move intended to suck liquidity out of private stablecoins and back into the state-controlled ledger. The 2026"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Income Play" is officially dead. ๐๐ซ Stellantis just nuked its [----] dividend after reporting a staggering [--] billion loss for the second half of [----]. The Alpha: For years $STLA was the "Yield King" of the auto sector but the [----] regime is now pivoting to Liquidity Survival. By suspending the payout and issuing [--] billion in hybrid bonds CEO Antonio Filosa is trying to protect a $46 billion cash pile from being incinerated by the [----] "execution mess". If you were in this for the check the exit door just got very crowded. ๐งโ๐ $STLA $VWAGY"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Beijing just closed the "De-Pegging" backdoor. ๐๐ซ The ban on unapproved overseas yuan stablecoins is a direct response to the "Shadow Yuan" market that exploded in late [----]. By blocking private issuers and stopping tech giants from using Hong Kong as a "neutral" ground the PBoC is ensuring that the Digital Yuan (e-CNY) remains the only programmable Renminbi. The Alpha: China just upgraded the e-CNY (as of Jan [--] 2026) to pay interest on holdings. They aren't just banning the competition; theyre out-competing it with state-backed yield. ๐งโ๐ $CNY $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The ultimate Floor Price isn't just a meme its a cypherpunk tradition. ๐๐ Fact check: Adam Back actually outbid Alistair Milne's 1-cent order with a 2-cent limit order for all 21M BTC on Bitfinex back in [----]. Even if he cancelled it to "buy the dip" at higher prices the message for [----] is clear: The math of Hashcash makes $0 a physical impossibility as long as the OGs are still breathing. ๐งโ๐ $BTC https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019772840476581930 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019772840476581930"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Income Play" is officially dead. ๐๐ซ Stellantis just nuked its [----] dividend after reporting a staggering [--] billion loss for the second half of [----]. The Alpha: For years $STLA was the "Yield King" of the auto sector but the [----] regime is now pivoting to Liquidity Survival. By suspending the payout and issuing [--] billion in hybrid bonds CEO Antonio Filosa is trying to protect a $46 billion cash pile from being incinerated by the previous administration's "execution mess". If you were in this for the check the exit door just got very crowded. ๐งโ๐ $STLA $VWAGY"
X Link 2026-02-06T13:59Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Is the "Regime Change" for exchange treasuries finally here ๐๐ซ The news that Binance just acquired $235 Million in Bitcoin (approx. [----] BTC at today's $67k price) signals a massive shift from "Fee Collector" to "Asset Holder". The Alpha: Coming on the heels of the Warsh Fed nomination and the Stellantis collapse Binance is effectively front-running a "Flight to Quality". When the world's largest exchange stops selling its fees for cash and starts stacking the underlying the "Supply Shock" is no longer a meme it's the [----] structural reality. ๐งโ๐ $BTC $BNB"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@B1nkBoy Good Shout sold my $UPST FREAKY FRIDAY 0dte cons for +49%"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Polymarket is currently pricing a "No IPO in 2026" for OpenAI at 52%. ๐๐ฐ Despite the WSJ hype about a Q4 listing the recent VP firing and $14B projected burn are making the "Smart Money" flinch. A $500B valuation is a tough sell when your rival (Anthropic) is currently winning the end-of-February "Best Model" prediction markets. ๐ค๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428673131823439 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428673131823439"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Anthropic just closed the second-largest venture deal in history. ๐๐ฐ Yesterday (Feb 12) they raised $30 BILLION in a Series G led by GIC and Coatue. The post-money valuation $380 BILLION. We are witnessing the fastest valuation ramp for any private software company in the 21st century. ๐งโ๐ #Anthropic #Claude4 #AI"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The revenue multiples are finally catching up to the hype. ๐ฆโ Anthropics run-rate just crossed $14 Billion maintaining a 10x YoY growth streak for three years straight. Claude Code alone is now a $2.5B business doubling its run-rate since January as engineers shift from "coding" to "agent management." ๐โ #SaaS #Growth #Revenue https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429738942226523 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429738942226523"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Product Velocity: The Claude Opus [---] launch (Feb 2026) has officially redefined the "Model Moat." ๐ง โก It isn't just a chatbot anymore; its an agentic operating system. Over [---] customers are now spending $1M+ annually on Claude. The "Per-Seat" model is dying but the "Per-Token" enterprise spend is hitting record highs. ๐๐ #GenerativeAI #Opus4 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429742108938705 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429742108938705"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"As an engineer and user of Claude myself this is an IPO opportunity rare to see and Ill be jumping in head first right away Stay up to date on all current stock and tech news with me @TheQuantWiz ๐ง ๐"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"1. The Anchor: Pelosis Conviction in $TEM Nancy Pelosi didn't just trade Tempus AI ($TEM); she doubled down on it for the long haul. The Entry: On January [--] [----] she purchased [--] call options with a $20 strike price. The Exercise: Instead of selling the options for a quick profit she exercised them on January [--] [----] taking delivery of [----] shares. The Performance: By the time she exercised $TEM was up over 120% from her entry making it one of the top-performing "Pelosi Picks" of the 2025-2026 cycle. [--]. The Derivative Play: Tempus Buys the $PSNL Dip Tempus AI isn't just a diagnostics"
X Link 2026-02-14T23:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Quantitative Edge: Q3 revenue hit $1.4 Billion a 134% increase YoY. ๐ฆ๐ Wall Street is projecting $12 Billion in revenue for [----]. While they aren't fully GAAP profitable yet due to massive build-outs in Texas and Pennsylvania the 73.8% gross margins suggest a massive cash-flow monster is currently being born. ๐งโ๐ #Earnings #Stocks #CRWV"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Europe is officially moving to a "War Footing." ๐๐ซ Keir Starmer just warned at Munich that Russias appetite for aggression won't stop at Ukraine projecting a high-risk window for a broader European attack by [----]. The Alpha: Starmer called Europe a "sleeping giant" whose economy dwarfs Russias by 10x but remains "wildly inefficient" due to fragmented procurement. His solution A "generational shift" toward deeper EU-UK defense integration. We are watching the end of the "Brexit isolation" era as the threat of [----] forces a pragmatic return to the Single Market for defense. ๐งโ๐ #Munich2026"
X Link 2026-02-14T23:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Verdict: CoreWeave is the "Pick and Shovel" play for [----]. ๐โ As the "Warsh Fed" looks to stabilize the dollar investors are fleeing to high-growth infrastructure with tangible assets. $CRWV isn't trading on vibesits trading on Megawatts and H100s. The AI supercycle has its infrastructure king. ๐๐ #Trading #Macro #Bitcoin https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430570412699765 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430570412699765"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"China is officially retiring the "Paper General." ๐๐งฑ A civil engineering student at Southeast University just earned his PhD not with a thesis but by defending a set of Lego-like reinforced steel blocks that snap together to build massive bridge pylons. The Alpha: Under the new [----] Degree Law if you build a machine that works you don't need to write a PDF that nobody reads. By rewarding tangible deliverables like vacuum laser welding or aircraft fire-fighting systems China is clearing out the "zombie science" to make room for actual industrial leaps. If it doesn't solve a real-world"
X Link 2026-02-14T23:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Vitalik is right but the market is voting for dopamine over utility right now. In [----] 70% of volume was purely speculative. In early [----] were seeing "SocialFi" tokens like $DEGEN and $FRIEND down 99% because they financialized people instead of providing value. Speculation is a feature but its a terrible foundation. +1 If the industry doesn't pivot to things people actually use like DeSoc decentralized AI or privacy-preserving payments were just building a high-throughput casino. And casinos always eventually run out of new players. ๐ฐ #fintwit $ETH"
X Link 2026-01-28T15:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Wholesale inflation is the "ghost in the machine" for [----]. ๐๐ซ December PPI just printed at 3.0% YoY with Core at a scorching 3.3%. This "Pipeline Inflation" means the Fed is flying blind into the spring. If the wholesale margins stay this hot the "Warsh Fed" won't be cutting rates in May they'll be bracing for the second wave. ๐งโ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428895719625075 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428895719625075"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The Q4 IPO countdown is officially on. ๐ With nearly $64B in total funding and CFO Krishna Rao cleaning up the books the 41% Polymarket odds for a [----] listing are looking far too low. Anthropic isn't just a research lab; its now a structural utility for the global economy. ๐งโ๐ $AMZN $GOOGL #IPO #Fintech https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429746512937129 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022429746512937129"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Big Techs $650 Billion [----] CapEx plans are the ultimate fuel for the $CRWV fire. ๐๐ธ While the hyperscalers ($MSFT $AMZN) build their own centers they are increasingly relying on CoreWeaves [---] Gigawatt contracted capacity to handle the spillover demand for OpenAIs training runs. The grid is the new gold. ๐โก #Nvidia #Energy #DataCenters https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430559239073825 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430559239073825"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Winter Olympics Flex: CoreWeave just launched its first major brand campaign featuring Chance the Rapper. โท๐ค "Ready for Anything Ready for AI" isn't just a slogan it's a marketing blitz to prove they can scale for the masses. Theyve moved from "the dev's secret" to a household name in the [----] institutional portfolio. ๐โ #WinterOlympics #Marketing #AI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430562716106968 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430562716106968"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Cashtag" just became a "Buy Button." ๐๐ณ X is launching Smart Cashtags in the next [--] days enabling direct trading of stocks and crypto from your feed. The Alpha: Nikita Bier framed this as a way to "proliferate crypto on X" while killing off the spammy third-party bots that currently plague the platform. By bringing the execution layer directly into the conversation Elon is betting that Context + Capital = the end of legacy brokerage apps. Why open Robinhood when you can trade the news as it breaks ๐งโ๐ $BTC $TSLA JUST IN: X to launch crypto and stock trading directly from the"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"We have a Fed Chair nominee (Kevin Warsh) and a sitting Chair (Jerome Powell) but the real bottleneck is Senator Thom Tillis. ๐๐ง Tillis is currently holding the nomination hostage over a probe into the Feds building renovations. Markets hate a vacuum and with Powell out in May the "Warsh Era" is currently stuck in a legislative cul-de-sac. ๐โ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428313814274140 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428313814274140"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$SoFi just hit the holy grail: a $1 Billion revenue quarter with [--] straight quarters of GAAP profitability. ๐ฆ๐ While the rest of fintech is fighting for "active users" $SOFI is cross-selling into a 13.7M member base that actually has a pulse (and a direct deposit). The "Rule of 40" score of 68% proves that Noto isnt just building an app; hes building a structural cash machine. ๐งโ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428441744679317 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428441744679317"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:51Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Stellantis ( $STLA ) just took the ultimate "Big Bath." ๐๐ฟ A $26.5 Billion write-down on their EV business and a total [----] dividend cut. Its the worst trading day in company history but its a necessary autopsy of the "EV-at-all-costs" era. The new strategy Hybrids and ICE. They aren't leaving the road; they're just going back to what actually sells. โฝ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428794942792102 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022428794942792102"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "AI Hyperscaler" is officially eating the traditional cloud. ๐โ CoreWeave ($CRWV) is up over 40% in early [----] as it transitions from a specialized miner to the backbone of the LLM era. With a $55.6 Billion revenue backlog the "Bubble" talk is being silenced by hard customer commitments. ๐งโ๐ #CRWV #CoreWeave #AIInfrastructure https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430555212546211 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022430555212546211"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Dollar Bear" thesis is officially the consensus at [---] Park Avenue. As of Saturday February [--] [----] JPMorgan's David Kelly is calling the bluff on the "DXY collapse = market crash" narrative arguing that a weaker greenback is actually the high-octane fuel this aging bull market needs. ๐๐ Here is the Senior Quant breakdown of the JPM vs. The Greenback tape: [--]. The "Kelly" Reality Check Despite the S&P 500's 1.4% weekly stumble JPMs Chief Global Strategist remains unfazed by the dollars slide to [-----]. ๐งโ๐ The Quote: Kelly notes that while current economic conditions are "moderately"
X Link 2026-02-14T23:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Adobe Premium" is officially gone. ๐๐Figma just touched an $11.17B valuation down 80% from its post-IPO high of $68B last summer.The Alpha: In July [----] $FIG was the "hot IPO" that was 40x oversubscribed causing a first-day surge to $115/share. But the [----] regime is ruthless: without the Adobe safety net investors are valuing Figma as a standalone SaaS company not a strategic monopoly. At 15x Price-to-Sales it's finally becoming "affordable" but the [--] million users aren't enough to justify the "FOMO" pricing of [----]. ๐งโ๐ $FIG $ADBE #Figma #Stocks2026"
X Link 2026-02-14T23:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Product: Imagine a postage stamp that replaces the bulky terrifying EpiPen. ๐ฎ๐ It dissolves under the tongue is weather-resistant and fits in a wallet. It removes the #1 barrier to allergy treatment: The Fear of the Needle. ๐ซ๐"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Deficiency" Shakeout: ๐๐ข Earlier this month (Jan 9) the FDA flagged "deficiencies" in the NDA. The stock dipped but the review is still active. Senior quants view this as a classic "Buy the Dip" shakeout before a potential labeling agreement. ๐๐ค"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Global Expansion: ๐๐ซ This isn't just a U.S. play. $AQST is already prepping submissions for Canada and Europe for the second half of [----]. With $120M in cash they are fully funded for the most aggressive pharma launch of the year. ๐ฐ๐"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Verdict: The Put/Call ratio is at [----]. The "Smart Money" is betting the FDA won't block a life-saving needle-free alternative over a minor labeling tweak. ๐ฅ๐ If it clears Saturday $3.50 is the distant memory. $AQST"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Follow @TheQuantWiz for the instant "Approval vs. Rejection" analysis on Saturday morning. ๐งโโก $AQST Get the full breakdown of the PDUFA calendar and the FDA status here: https://investors.aquestive.com/news-releases/news-release-details/aquestive-therapeutics-announces-regulatory-development https://investors.aquestive.com/news-releases/news-release-details/aquestive-therapeutics-announces-regulatory-development"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Axis of Resistance" just ran out of gas. โฝ๐ The rial hitting [----] million is the market's reaction to the total hollowing out of the Iranian state. Following the "Twelve-Day War" with Israel and the fall of the Assad regime in Syria Tehrans "land bridge" is gone and its foreign reserves are exhausted. With the USS Abraham Lincoln positioned in the Gulf and President Trump laying down "red lines" on protester violence the "Sovereignty Discount" on the rial has become a Sovereignty Death Spiral. This isn't just inflation; it's the price of a failing state. ๐๐ฃ $DXY $GLD"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The Model S and Model X are dead. Long live the Physical AI Revolution. ๐๐ค In a move that shocked the tape Musk announced an "Honorable Discharge" for Tesla's flagship sedans. The Fremont GA1 lines will now be gutted and repurposed to build 1M Optimus units annually. +1 But the Texas "Giga-Bot" Factory is the real alpha. Musk is targeting a staggering 10M units per year by [----] in a standalone facility currently under construction in Austin. Musks logic Humanity will eventually want billions of these. You dont build a billion-unit product in a legacy car factory; you build it in a Texas"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Mark Zuckerberg just confirmed the "Peak Trough". Reality Labs lost $19.19B in [----] but the structure of that loss has fundamentally changed. Zuckerberg told analysts that [----] is likely the "peak loss" year with [----] losses expected to remain "similar" before finally trending down. The Alpha: Meta is effectively cannibalizing its own VR division to fund AI. Earlier this month they laid off [----] RL employees and shuttered three major VR studios (Sanzaru Twisted Pixel and Armature) to move capital into AI-augmented glasses. The "Metaverse" isn't dead; its just being shrunk down into a pair of"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"209k vs. 205k Expected. A slight "miss" on the headline but dont let the delta fool you. We are still parked in the low 200s historically tight territory. The [----] regime isn't about a "hiring boom"; it's about a "layoff drought." Companies are hoarding talent because theyre terrified they won't be able to replace them if the "AI Productivity" leap doesn't hit in Q3. The market isn't breaking; it's just hibernating. ๐ป๐ค https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884126909943882 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884126909943882"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The real alpha today isn't the 209k initial print its the Continuing Claims hitting 1.827M. ๐๐ผ This is the lowest level in [--] months. While new filings ticked up the backlog of the long-term unemployed is shrinking at the fastest rate since [----]. People are finally finding a floor. This is the exact "stabilization" Powell referenced in yesterday's (Jan 28) FOMC presser. ๐ฆ๐งโ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884201702785469 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884201702785469"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Powell called it yesterday: "The labor market has stabilized after a period of gradual softening." ๐๐ฆ
Todays 209k print confirms his decision to hold rates at 3.5%3.75%. With claims holding steady and productivity revised to a 2-year high (+4.9%) the Fed has zero incentive to cut in March. We are officially in the "Neutral Zone" for the foreseeable future. ๐ฏ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884275329499543 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016884275329499543"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Crypto Ban" on your retirement is officially over. ๐๐ SEC Chair Paul Atkins just declared it the "right time" to unlock the $12.5 Trillion 401(k) market for digital assets. This follows the Trump Administration's August [----] Executive Order "Democratizing Access to Alternative Assets" which forced the Labor Department to stop blocking crypto as a "high-risk" outlier. For the first time [--] million Americans can treat Bitcoin like a blue-chip stock within their tax-advantaged accounts. Are you sticking to the 60/40 split or is [----] the year you add a 5% "Sovereign Hedge" ๐งโ๐ $BTC $ETH"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
""A playground for financial risk."- Senator Elizabeth Warren ๐๐ฅ The battle for your 401(k) has reached a fever pitch. While Warren is demanding answers on "protecting" savers Atkins is arguing that denying access to the best-performing asset class of the decade is the real fiduciary failure. The [----] Reality: Institutional Demand: 52% of plan sponsors now want "Alternative Access". The Trump Effect: The administration views crypto in 401(k)s as a tool to bypass the "surveillance" of traditional banks. The Ticker: Expect $STAR and $SPACE (SpaceX) to be the next "Alternative" targets for"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Crypto Ban" on your retirement is officially over. ๐๐ SEC Chair Paul Atkins just declared it the "right time" to unlock the $12.5 Trillion 401(k) market for digital assets. This follows the Trump Administration's August [----] Executive Order "Democratizing Access to Alternative Assets" which forced the Labor Department to stop blocking crypto as a "high-risk" outlier. For the first time [--] million Americans can treat Bitcoin like a blue-chip stock within their tax-advantaged accounts. Are you sticking to the 60/40 split or is [----] the year you add a 5% "Sovereign Hedge" ๐งโ๐ $BTC $ETH"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"SpaceX + xAI = The Worlds First Orbital AGI. The headline: Musk is reportedly combining his rocket business the Starlink satellite network the X social media platform and the Grok AI chatbot into a single corporate umbrella. The alpha: Under the proposed deal xAI shares would be swapped for SpaceX equity. By merging the companies Musk is creating a "vertical stack" of intelligence: X provides the real-time data xAI provides the compute and Starlink provides the global distribution. If youre waiting for the IPO youre no longer buying a rocket company; youre buying the operating system for the"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$140000000 in a single hour. ๐๐ The "Long Squeeze" is back in full force. Following the $1.7B liquidation wave we saw on Jan [--] (the largest since the "Greenland Tariff" shock) this is the market clearing out the over-leveraged "moon boys" before tomorrows final FOMC verdict. With $BTC oscillating around $112k the funding rates are finally resetting. This isn't a trend reversal; it's a Healthy Deleveraging designed to punish those trying to front-run the $125k psychological breakout. ๐งโ๐ $IBIT $MSTR https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958739652215163"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Muskonomy" singularity has arrived. ๐๐ค Merging SpaceX and xAI is the only logical path to a $1.5 Trillion IPO. By housing Grok inside the SpaceX ecosystem Elon is creating a vertically integrated "Orbital Intelligence" platform. SpaceX provides the Starlink compute nodes in low-earth orbit and xAI provides the software to bypass terrestrial power constraints. If this deal signs you aren't buying a rocket company; you're buying the Space-Based Data Center monopoly. $SPACE $TSLA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958792194527587 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958792194527587"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Great Re-Opening" just hit London. ๐๐ซ Prime Minister Keir Starmers Beijing trip just delivered the biggest diplomatic win for UK services in a decade: 30-day visa-free entry for British citizens. China is effectively competing for Global Tourism & Professional Services to offset the 31% drop in UK exports seen last year. By bringing the UK in line with [--] other "preferred" nations like Germany and France Beijing is signaling that the [----] trade war has a "Services Siding" designed to keep the capital flowing. ๐งง๐ท $FXI $KWEB https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016958851833352646"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Siri just got a $2 Billion heart transplant. ๐๐ง Apples acquisition of Israeli-based is their second-largest deal in history (after Beats). The Alpha: specializes in "Facial Skin Micro-Movements"technology that allows for silent communication and enhanced audio in "noisy" environments. This is a massive "Privacy-First" hardware move. Apple is building the foundation for AI-powered wearables (glasses/headphones) that can interpret your speech before you even make a sound. Tim Cook is making sure Apple Intelligence doesn't just talk it listens to the silence. $AAPL http://Q.ai http://Q.ai"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""There's an old-fashioned word for that and that word is treason." BC Premier David Eby The FT report confirms that leaders of the Alberta Prosperity Project (APP) have met with U.S. State Department officials three times since last April. The headline alpha: The separatists are reportedly asking for a $500 Billion credit facility from the U.S. Treasury to bankroll a new independent state. While the White House calls these "routine civil society meetings" the Canadian premiers are calling it an act of foreign aggression. Is this the first step toward the "51st State" annexation Trump teased"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:38Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"๐ $AQST: The "Postage Stamp" PDUFA Tomorrow Saturday Jan [--] is the FDAs final decision date for Anaphylm. The High Stakes: This needle-free epinephrine film could disrupt a $4B market. With the FDA flagging "deficiencies" earlier this month the stock is a binary play: A "Green Light" sends it to $8+; a CRL (rejection) sends it back to the penny-stock abyss. ๐ข๐"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"๐ The "Muskonomy" Merger (SpaceX + xAI) The "Yeah" heard 'round the world. Elon Musk essentially confirmed the SpaceX-xAI merger talks on X yesterday. The [----] Plan: By housing Grok inside SpaceX Musk is building a "Dyson Swarm" companyintegrating orbital compute with generative intelligence. Polymarket currently puts the odds of a mid-year merger at 48%. If you aren't modeling a $1.5 Trillion unified entity for the June IPO you aren't paying attention. ๐ฐ๐ค https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273054204768725 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273054204768725"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"๐งโ Top Pick: The $AQST Binary While the macro stories are loud $AQST is the only one with a hard "Yes/No" deadline this weekend. The [----] Put/Call ratio suggests the smart money is betting on a "Labeling Agreement" rather than a full rejection. Watch the 8-K filings on Saturday morning. ๐๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273058851979440 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273058851979440"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"The 50/50 odds are mathematically anchored in the Deribit Options Tape. ๐๐ As of Jan [--] we have a massive $1.45B Notional Open Interest sitting at the $100k strike. While prediction markets like Polymarket are more cautious (only 6% odds for a Feb breakout) the "Smart Money" is aggressively rolling their calls into April/May expiries. The Alpha: We are currently retesting support at $82k$83k. If this floor holds through the weekend shutdown the path to $100k is a simple "Mean Reversion" play. Don't fear the dip; trade the cycle. ๐งโ๐ $IBIT $MSTR"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Unity isn't just fighting a "Software Sell-off" its fighting Googles Project Genie. ๐๐ง Todays 13% slide was triggered by Googles launch of Genie [--] an AI world-builder that creates interactive 3D environments from text prompts. The Alpha: Project Genie effectively automates the "Create" layer that Unity spent billions to build. If Google can generate physics-based worlds in real-time for AI Ultra subscribers the "Unity Moat" just got filled with sand. ๐๐ The market is pricing in a structural threat to the engines terminal value. $U $GOOGL"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Michael Saylors "Bitcoin Standard" just got its most powerful ally yet. ๐ฆ๐งก With Kevin Warsh nominated today the Fed is about to be led by someone who actually speaks the language of the New Economy. The Alpha: Warsh isn't just "open" to digital assets hes an adviser to Bitwise and has been a vocal critic of the Fed's "mission creep" and bloated balance sheet. Saylor is betting that Warsh will be the first Chair to recognize Bitcoin as a legitimate hedge against fiat instability. If $BTC hits $125k on the news of a smaller Fed balance sheet the "Saylor Premium" will be a mathematical law."
X Link 2026-01-30T16:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The NYT has the "Deal" but Polymarket has the "House Gap." ๐๐ฐ The 38% chance of a shutdown is essentially a bet on the calendar. While the Senate is voting to fund 96% of the government until September the House is on recess until Monday (Feb 2). Even if Trump and Schumer sign off today the government legally runs out of money at midnight. We are looking at a "Technical Shutdown" over the weekend while the House scrambles back to D.C. to rubber-stamp the split. For the markets it's a non-event; for the traders its a 38% arbitrage play on a weekend lapse. ๐งโ๐"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Kazakhstan just fired the starting gun for Central Asia. ๐๐ By allocating $350 million from its gold and FX reserves to buy the dip the NIC is signaling that "Hard Money" now includes digital rails. They aren't just buying Bitcoin; they are hedging their legacy assets against a volatile [----] dollar. When a top-tier gold producer starts swapping bullion for BTC the "Store of Value" debate is officially over. ๐งโ๐ $BTC $GLD https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275284228132990 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275284228132990"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Kazakhstan is turning "Criminal Capital" into "Sovereign Strength." ๐๐ The new reserve isn't just funded by gold; its being seeded with $5 million in Bitcoin already seized from illegal exchanges during President Tokayevs recent crackdown. By recycling confiscated assets into a strategic stockpile they are following the "US Marshals Model" but with a permanent-hold mandate. The "Dip" isn't just bought it's reclaimed. ๐งกโ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275402545136069 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275402545136069"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"From "Mining Pariah" to "Crypto Protectorate." โก๐ In [----] Kazakhstan blamed Bitcoin miners for power outages. In [----] they are using the state-owned National Bank to buy the assets those miners produce. This $350M allocation is the final step in the "Alatau CryptoCity" project turning the nation's energy surplus into a digital reserve that cant be frozen by Western sanctions. ๐ก https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275479888191583 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275479888191583"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$350000000. Thats roughly 0.3% of Kazakhstans $104B total reserves. While its a small slice the signal is massive. Gold hit a record $5600/oz this week and the NIC is using those "expensive" gold gains to buy "cheap" Bitcoin at the $83k support floor. This is a textbook "Rebalancing Act" by a central bank that understands how to play the [----] commodity-to-crypto ratio. ๐ฆ๐งโ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275595202126075 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017275595202126075"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The timing is almost too perfect. ๐๐ฐ Moments after the 3% PPI print dropped President Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell. The Alpha: Warsh is known for his "Hawkish" history on the balance sheet but has recently pivoted to an AI-Productivity lower-rate thesis. The market is now caught in a vice: hot inflation data demands hikes but the incoming "Trump Chair" is being signaled as the man to force cuts. The volatility is just beginning. ๐โ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276031053250629 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276031053250629"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Today is a Bloodletting for the "Inflation Hedge" trade. ๐ฉธ๐ Following the hot PPI and the Warsh news Gold plunged 5% and Silver collapsed 13% in the fastest sell-off of the year. Why Because the "Warsh Fed" is being priced as a regime that will aggressively shrink the balance sheet and protect the dollars strength. When the wholesale data stays this hot "Safe Havens" get liquidated to cover the margin on the Dollar rally. ๐ฆ๐งโ $GLD $SLV https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276079661015489 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276079661015489"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Jerome Powell's "Lame Duck" period just got significantly harder. ๐๐ฆ
With the next PPI data release delayed until February [--] due to the technical shutdown the Fed is flying partially blind into the spring. Todays 0.7% core surge effectively kills the "May Pivot" for a rate cut. If Warsh is confirmed hell be walking into an Eccles Building where the fire is already out of control. ๐ $SPY $TLT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276433618325773 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017276433618325773"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""We are choosing to drive capital-light fee-based revenue." CFO Chris Lapointe. Here is the quantitative pivot: Fee-Based Revenue: Hit a record $443 million (up 53%) now making up 44% of the total revenue mix. The Crypto Edge: In Q4 SoFi became the first national bank to launch its own stablecoin (SoFiUSD) and consumer crypto trading on a public blockchain. The Result: They are no longer just a lender. They are a diversified financial technology platform that earns money on movement not just interest. This "capital-light" model is why the [----] EBITDA guidance of $1.6 billion is actually"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Nine consecutive quarters of GAAP profitability. ๐๐ Wall Street was looking for $0.11 EPS; SoFi delivered $0.13. But the real "Senior Quant" signal is the [----] Guidance: Revenue: $4.66 Billion (30% YoY growth). EPS: $0.60 (beating the $0.58 consensus). The Bottom Line: SoFi has officially transitioned from a "disruptive startup" to a structurally profitable bank. With $37.5 billion in deposits they have a "sticky" funding base that protects them even if the Fed keeps rates higher for longer. The "Turnaround Story" is over; the "Compounding Era" has begun. ๐ฆ๐"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"1000000. That is the record-breaking number of new members SoFi added in Q4 alone. The Alpha: This isn't just about raw numbers; its about Cross-Buying. 40% of all new products opened in Q4 came from existing membersa 7-percentage point jump from last year. SoFi has officially cracked the code on "Customer Acquisition Cost" (CAC). By selling multiple products to the same person their margins are becoming "escape velocity" efficient. If they hit that 30% member growth target for [----] the unit economics become untouchable. ๐งโ๐ $SOFI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017277772356296807"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"๐ The Warsh Factor: Regime Change is Here President Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell today. The market reaction was a textbook "Hawkish Shock": The Consensus: Warsh is seen as an "Inflation Hawk" who wants to shrink the Feds balance sheet and narrow its mission. The Pivot: While hes historically hawkish his recent focus on AI-driven productivity suggests he might be the only one who can justify lower rates in a high-growth environment. The Friction: Senator Thom Tillis has already vowed to block the nomination until the DOJ's criminal probe into Powell is"
X Link 2026-01-30T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"๐ Inflation & The Metals Massacre The December PPI report (+0.5% vs. +0.3% expected) was the catalyst for the intraday sell-off. It triggered a "Margin Call" across the board: Gold & Silver: Absolute carnage. Gold plunged 9% to $4880 after hitting record highs yesterday. Silver plummeted 28%. ๐ฉธโ The Dollar: The $DXY rallied to [-----] hitting its strongest level in months as traders fled to the safety of the greenback. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017356713381486832 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017356713381486832"
X Link 2026-01-30T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "Connected Fitness" dream just got a lot leaner. ๐๐ซ Todays 11% workforce cut primarily targets engineers working on technology and enterprise-related projects. Stern is sacrificing long-term R&D to hit his $100 million cost-savings target by the end of FY2026. The Alpha: This move comes just days before their Feb [--] earnings call. The market is pricing in a "survival mission" the stock is already down over 9% this month and nearly 30% since last year. The [----] Strategy: Hardware Exit By slashing enterprise engineers Peloton is effectively signaling a retreat from gym/hotel partnerships."
X Link 2026-01-30T21:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""Regime Change" is now priced in. ๐๐ฐ The catalyst for todays historic gain was the collision of two massive signals: The Warsh Nomination: President Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell. While Trump wants lower rates the market views Warsh as an "Inflation Hawk" who will aggressively shrink the Fed's balance sheet to protect dollar dominance. The PPI Scorcher: December Producer Prices surged 3% YoY (vs. 2.7% expected) with Core PPI jumping 0.7% in a single month. Wholesale inflation is heating up effectively killing the "March Pivot" for a rate cut. ๐๐ซ The"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "Worker Drought" just got a $130000-unit infusion. ๐๐ The Trump administrations move to add [-----] supplemental H-2B visas is a massive 180-degree turn from the 50% cuts rumored on Jan [--]. The headline alpha: These visas are exclusively for businesses that can prove "irreparable harm" (severe financial loss) without seasonal help. For the seafood landscaping and hospitality sectors this is the difference between opening for the [----] summer season or shuttering permanently. The administration is essentially admitting that even in a "Nationalist" economy the $12.5 trillion services sector"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:04Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"The Fed just got its first "Digital Gold" Chairman. ๐ฆ๐งก Kevin Warshs declaration that "Bitcoin is the new gold" for everyone under [--] is the ultimate validation of the [----] "Sovereign Asset" thesis. The headline alpha: Warsh is an adviser to Bitwise and has long argued that Bitcoin acts as a "policeman" for bad monetary policy. He isn't coming in to "ban" crypto; hes coming in to integrate it into the [----] plumbing. If you aren't modeling a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve under a Warsh Fed youre trading with a 20th-century mindset. ๐งโ๐ $BTC $MSTR"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"OpenAI is racing to the public markets to outrun its own burn rate. ๐๐ฅ The headline alpha: OpenAI is eyeing a Q4 [----] IPO that could value the company at over $830 Billion. The Senior Quant view on the 41% skepticism: The Anthropic Factor: Internal leaks suggest OpenAI executives are "terrified" that rival Anthropic (currently breaking even in 2028) will beat them to a listing. The "Friar" Effect: CFO Sarah Friar (who took Square and Nextdoor public) is already cleaning up the books hiring accounting and IR chiefs to handle the transition. The Financial Abyss: OpenAI is projected to lose"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:06Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"US seizes Russian-flagged tanker linked to sanctioned Venezuelan oil a bold enforcement of global sanctions on the high seas. For markets: Expect short-term Brent spike (supply disruption fears) higher volatility in energy ETFs ( $USO $XLE) and pressure on $RUB / $USD pairs. Geopolitical risk premium is back watch oil $85 resistance. Position for energy longs or $VIX hedges ๐๐ข Is this a good or bad move/look for the US #FinTech #Commodities #Geopolitics #oil #crudeoil #Venezuela #russia #china $XOM $CVX JUST IN: US forces seize Russian-flagged oil tanker in the Atlantic."
X Link 2026-01-07T14:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"To clarify: xAIs Colossus supercomputer cluster (the worlds most powerful AI training system) is primarily in Memphis Tennessee with major expansion now crossing into Southaven Mississippi. The new [------] sq ft facility (dubbed Colossus [--] or MACROHARDRR) in Southaven is indeed part of a record-shattering $20B+ investmentthe largest private project in Mississippi history. This will push the overall cluster toward 2GW of compute power supporting hundreds of high-skill jobs and accelerating Groks development on a scale no one else is matching right now. From a computational geometry perspective"
X Link 2026-01-08T20:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$2000 ETH implies a 35% drawdown from current $3150 levels. While BTC holds $92k and Gold hits $4736 Ethereum is caught in a "no man's land" between the Glamsterdam upgrade and a total lack of institutional narrative. If the Morgan Stanley ETH ETF doesn't see day-one inflows $2000 isn't just a forecast it's the liquidity floor. Why this works: It uses current price levels ($3150) and specific upcoming catalysts (Glamsterdam Morgan Stanley ETF) to ground the bear case in technical reality. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013637058829386057 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013637058829386057"
X Link 2026-01-20T15:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Everyone was screaming "top" when the H200 was blocked at customs last week. Now Alibaba and ByteDance are cleared to prep orders for 200000+ units each. Thats a massive delta between the "China is dead" narrative and the actual order book. The real math: Trump takes a 25% "tariff" cut of these sales and Beijing forces a domestic chip quota. Its a geopolitical tax but at a $30B+ revenue run rate $NVDA won't mind the bill. Whos actually selling this news https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014800571899822087 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014800571899822087"
X Link 2026-01-23T20:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"The "in-principle" approval for Alibaba and Tencent isn't a gift; its a transaction. Under the [----] AI Action Plan the US government takes a 25% "profit share" on these H200 exports. Trump isn't blocking the trade; hes just making the Treasury a majority shareholder in Nvidias China business. Beijing gets the compute Trump gets the cash and Jensen gets the volume. Who loses here besides the domestic Chinese chipmakers being forced into a "quota" system $NVDA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014805052859289882 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014805052859289882"
X Link 2026-01-23T20:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"1/ The weekend is for backtesting but the tape is currently pricing in a massive "Regime Shift." Were seeing a structural divergence between gold tech capex and geopolitical tail risks. Here is what Im watching over the next [--] hours: ๐งต"
X Link 2026-01-23T21:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ $NVDA & The China Gap: Beijing finally greenlit H200 orders for Alibaba and ByteDance. The 25% US "profit share" means the Treasury is now a silent partner in the AI wars. Watch the Sunday night futures for a gap-up in semi-conductors"
X Link 2026-01-23T21:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Rescheduled to Thursday (Jan 29) due to the "severe" Category [--] winter storm. The delay is a gift for Senator Tim Scott who is currently managing a "split" industry after Coinbase ($COIN) pulled support over the stablecoin reward ban. In quant terms: Every [--] hours of delay is a 24-hour extension for the lobbyist "wish list" to grow. If they don't strip the GENIUS Act interest amendments by Thursday morning the bill is dead on arrival. Watch the $MSTR basis the market is currently pricing in a 65% probability of a "diluted" pass. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015902267015078377"
X Link 2026-01-26T21:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump just confirmed the "Kevins" are the play. With Jerome Powells term as Chair expiring in May [----] the shortlist is down to Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Trumps litmus test A target rate of 1% or lower to nuke the national debt servicing costs. Currently the Fed is at 3.5%3.75% and holding. We are looking at a potential 250bps of "political easing" in the second half of [----]. This isn't a forecast; it's a mandate. Whos ready to front-run the most aggressive rate-cut cycle in a generation $SPY $TLT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016299817350438934"
X Link 2026-01-27T23:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"SpaceX isn't just a rocket company anymore; its an Orbital AI Infrastructure play. The 87% IPO conviction stems from the newly disclosed plan to raise $25B+ to fund 100GW of space-based AI data centers by [----]. Elon is timing this to perfection Starlink is now a cash-flow monster ($10B+ revenue in 2025) and Starship V3 is ready to dominate the launch monopoly. At a projected $1.5 Trillion valuation SpaceX is coming for the S&P [---] crown. Who's ready for the first ticker to trade at 300x earnings because of "Mars optionality" $SPACE $MSTR $NVDA"
X Link 2026-01-28T00:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump just confirmed the "Kevins" are the play. With Jerome Powells term as Chair expiring on May [--] [----] the shortlist is officially narrowed to Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Trumps litmus test A target rate of 1% or lower to nuke the $1T+ annual cost of servicing the national debt. Currently the Fed is at 3.5%3.75% and holding. We are looking at a potential 250bps of "political easing" in the second half of [----]. This isn't a forecast; it's a mandate. Whos ready to front-run the most aggressive rate-cut cycle since the GFC $SPY $TLT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016300502867165293"
X Link 2026-01-28T00:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"OpenAI just set the bar: $60 CPM for ChatGPT ads. To put that in perspective thats 3x the average Meta rate ($20) and on par with a live NFL broadcast. OpenAI is betting that a user in a deep conversational flow has a "High-Intent" value that a scrolling Facebook user simply can't match. But theres a catch: Zero conversion tracking. Advertisers are paying first-class prices for "blind" impressions with no data on whether the user actually bought the product. Is this a luxury branding play or a desperate cash grab to fund the $1.4T infrastructure bill $MSFT $META $GOOGL"
X Link 2026-01-28T03:20Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Anthropic just doubled its raise to $20B at a $350B valuation and the cap table is officially a "Whos Who" of the AI bubble. The headline alpha: Sequoia Capital is reportedly backing this round despite being a major investor in OpenAI. In [----] the old VC taboos against backing direct rivals are dead. When the "smart money" is bidding 5x over the initial target to buy a piece of a $350B startup they aren't betting on a product; theyre betting on a Sovereign Infrastructure play. If you aren't long the compute-valuation divergence you're missing the final private sprint before the IPO floodgates"
X Link 2026-01-28T03:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Anthropic just doubled its raise to $20B at a $350B valuation and the cap table is officially a "Whos Who" of the AI bubble. The headline alpha: Sequoia Capital is reportedly backing this round despite being a major investor in OpenAI. In [----] the old VC taboos against backing direct rivals are dead. When the "smart money" is bidding 5x over the initial target to buy a piece of a $350B startup they aren't betting on a product; theyre betting on a Sovereign Infrastructure play. If you aren't long the compute-valuation divergence you're missing the final private sprint before the IPO floodgates"
X Link 2026-01-28T03:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The "batch" everyone is talking about: 400k H200s for Tencent Alibaba and ByteDance. At $35k per unit thats $14B in potential revenue $NVDA just unlocked. But the real alpha: Beijing is reportedly mandating a "Parallel Purchase" quota buy one H200 buy one domestic (Huawei/SMIC) chip. This isn't a trade thaw; its a tax on US tech to subsidize Chinese silicon. ๐จ #fintwit $NVDA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526413487046774 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016526413487046774"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Heading into the January 30February [--] [----] weekend the "Senior Quant" tape is flickering red with structural volatility. Between the midnight shutdown clock and the literal disintegration of the Iranian Rial the [----] regime is testing every "Soft Landing" thesis in the book. ๐๐ Here is the @TheQuantWiz Weekend Watchlist: ๐งต๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273049272221989 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273049272221989"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"1000000. That is the record-breaking number of new members SoFi added in Q4 alone. The Alpha: This isn't just about raw numbers; its about Cross-Buying. 40% of all new products opened in Q4 came from existing members a 7-percentage point jump from last year. SoFi has officially cracked the code on "Customer Acquisition Cost" (CAC). By selling multiple products to the same person their margins are becoming "escape velocity" efficient. If they hit that 30% member growth target for [----] the unit economics become untouchable. ๐งโ๐ $SOFI https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017277554625757205"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:43Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"The "multi-trillion dollar" opportunity isn't in building the carit's in filling the seat. ๐๐ Dara just confirmed Uber's [----] playbook: By [----] they intend to be the largest facilitator of AV trips globally. The Alpha: AVs on Ubers platform currently see 30% higher utilization than standalone robotaxis. Why Because Uber has the "Demand Density." While Tesla and Waymo build the hardware Uber is building the toll booth. If you own the marketplace you don't need to own the fleet to win the trillion-dollar prize. ๐งโ๐ $UBER $TSLA https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019088273835004156"
X Link 2026-02-04T16:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$SpaceX is the only one I'd actually want shares of. Starlink is real revenue. $OpenAI at $830B with no clear monetization path Pass. $Stripe could work but fintech multiples compressed. Rest are overhyped. Wait for the IPO pop then short the lockup expiry. #IPO Top [--] largest potential IPO's: [--] SpaceX - $1.5T [--] OpenAI - $830B [--] ByteDance - $480B [--] Anthropic - $230B [--] Databricks - $160B [--] Stripe - $120B [--] Revolut - $90B [--] Shein - $55B [--] Ripple - $50B [--] Canva - $50B Would you consider any of these https://t.co/xBXXCem2UP Top [--] largest potential IPO's: [--] SpaceX - $1.5T [--] OpenAI - $830B 3"
X Link 2025-12-21T17:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Irans Rial: The "Zero Floor" The Iranian Rial is currently unexchangeable on international platforms hitting a record [-------] per USD. The Reality: Merchants in the Tehran Grand Bazaar are shuttering doors as the currency effectively hits $0.00 in real-time. With the USS Abraham Lincoln now in the Gulf the market is pricing in a total regime fracture. ๐ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273057291747548 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017273057291747548"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Nintendo $NTDOY is caught in a pincer move. Memory costs for LPDDR5X modules are up 41% since December and now production is stalling until 3Q [----]. The market is finally realized that a "fastest-selling console" doesn't matter if your unit margins are getting eaten by AI-driven component inflation. The 33% drawdown from the August peak wasn't a "glitch" it was the math catching up to the hype. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014335719016112588 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014335719016112588"
X Link 2026-01-22T13:53Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
""The monetary order is breaking down." Ray Dalio just put a target on the dollars back. ๐๐ The headline alpha: Dalio officially labeled Gold as the "second largest reserve currency" in the world. The math is cold: Gold prices surged 66% in [----] outperforming even the high-flying tech sector. Dalios view Central banks are no longer treating U.S. debt as a safe "store of wealth" they are fleeing to hard assets to avoid the "Capital Wars" of [----]. If youre 100% in fiat and tech you arent diversified; youre exposed. ๐งโ๐ $GLD $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017274888373825886"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
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