# ![@StoicCompound Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1360885874955845633.png) @StoicCompound Stoic Compound | Build in Silence

Stoic Compound | Build in Silence posts on X about liquidity, market, in the, fiat the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1360885874955845633/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1360885874955845633/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +5,732%
- [--] Month [-------] +436%
- [--] Year [-------] +181,660%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1360885874955845633/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1360885874955845633/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +25%
- [--] Month [---] +29%
- [--] Year [---] +4,556%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1360885874955845633/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1360885874955845633/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +9.90%
- [--] Month [---] +128%
- [--] Year [---] +760%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1360885874955845633/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1360885874955845633/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  67% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  9% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  6% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  3% [currencies](/list/currencies)  3% [stocks](/list/stocks)  1% [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)  1% [countries](/list/countries)  1% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[liquidity](/topic/liquidity) #4084, [market](/topic/market) 11%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 10%, [fiat](/topic/fiat) 9%, [we are](/topic/we-are) 6%, [money](/topic/money) 6%, [gold](/topic/gold) 5%, [preference](/topic/preference) #207, [balance sheet](/topic/balance-sheet) 5%, [inflation](/topic/inflation) 5%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@zerohedge](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@raydalio](/creator/undefined) [@robertgreene](/creator/undefined) [@scottmelker](/creator/undefined) [@tavicosta](/creator/undefined) [@peterschiff](/creator/undefined) [@elerianm](/creator/undefined) [@schuldensuehner](/creator/undefined) [@thestoicemperor](/creator/undefined) [@bobloukas](/creator/undefined) [@marinkatusa](/creator/undefined) [@ryanholiday](/creator/undefined) [@calebfranzen](/creator/undefined) [@gothburz](/creator/undefined) [@ft](/creator/undefined) [@charliebilello](/creator/undefined) [@lynaldencontact](/creator/undefined) [@blocktrainer](/creator/undefined) [@msciinc](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Numeraire (NMR)](/topic/numeraire)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Comfort is a slow poison. It feels like luxury but it acts like anesthesia. By the time you realize you are weak the storm has already arrived. In markets and in life: Do not wait for the crash to test your resolve. Simulate the crash. Callus your mind before reality strikes. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021197708464099813 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021197708464099813"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2021197708464099813)  2026-02-10T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"A +100% move in [--] days is a 6-sigma event. This is not organic price discovery; it is a mechanical failure of the paper derivative market. We are witnessing a "Liquidity Vacuum" where the naked short interest cannot find physical collateral to cover delta. The price is irrelevant. The spread between physical delivery and paper spot is the only metric that matters. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015806743050080435 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015806743050080435"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015806743050080435)  2026-01-26T15:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@scottmelker They are harvesting the highest Implied Volatility in the market to manufacture yield. Selling upside calls caps the right tail but dampens variance. Consequently this compresses the volatility premium. Bitcoin transitions from speculative attack to Tier [--] collateral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015825572803342722)  2026-01-26T16:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RayDalio Cycles are not anomalies. They are natures audit. Marcus Aurelius noted that the universe is change; our life is what our thoughts make it. The breakdown is merely the return of entropy. Do not mourn the fall. Build the fortress that survives it. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015834507681698216)  2026-01-26T17:09Z [---] followers, 10K engagements


"This is not a spot market correction; it is a derivative liquidation cascade. When $900B in notional value evaporates in [--] minutes it indicates a liquidity vacuum where the bid stack was hollowed out by margin calls. The paper price collapsed. The physical supply remained constant. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015907091614159209 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015907091614159209"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015907091614159209)  2026-01-26T21:57Z [---] followers, 51.3K engagements


"@KobeissiLetter A $1.7T erasure in [--] minutes is not organic price discovery. It is a liquidity cascade driven by forced liquidations and margin calls. Paper derivatives are unwinding. The underlying scarcity remains. Watch the spread between spot and physical premiums"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015907468820246616)  2026-01-26T21:59Z [---] followers, 27.5K engagements


"@zerohedge UnitedHealth is the canary in the credit mine. If the largest insurer cannot maintain top-line growth the consumer is insolvent. The tail risk is no longer theoretical. Prepare for the correlation of [--]. 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016157220816179257)  2026-01-27T14:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The big debt cycle is merely a function of the Liquidity Premium. When the debt-to-GDP ratio crosses the Rubicon of 120% the denominator must be debased. Tariffs are not policy; they are a desperate attempt to capture tax revenue as the Sharpe Ratio of traditional bonds collapses toward zero. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016203912085209186 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016203912085209186"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016203912085209186)  2026-01-27T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge DXY volatility is merely the repricing of sovereign credit risk. A deliberate devaluation targets export competitiveness but spikes import costs via the J-Curve effect. Watch real yields. If they detach from nominals the bond market is signaling a regime shift"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016255574451560826)  2026-01-27T21:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Stop looking for alpha in the market if you haven't found it in the mirror. You are the primary derivative. Everything else is just noise. Build the foundation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2017942267453927872)  2026-02-01T12:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The bid-to-cover compression to [----] is a liquidity signal not noise. With a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 250% a yield of 2.26% renders the sovereign mathematically insolvent without direct central bank monetization. The market is finally pricing the end of the fiscal put"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2018959209828851862)  2026-02-04T08:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Seneca wrote: "Life is long if you know how to use it." Your time allocation is more important than your asset allocation. Memento Mori. Use your time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2019551862895333597)  2026-02-05T23:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The crowded trade was long Tech; now the crowd rushes for the exit. Capital is not vanishing; it is rotating. The asymmetry lies not in shorting the bottom but in longing the hard assets that the central banks cannot print during the next injection"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2019740636190998963)  2026-02-06T11:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RobertGreene Seneca observed that while a small debt makes a man your debtor a heavy one makes him your enemy. By hiring a friend you destroy the equality required for friendship. Resentment is merely the tax paid for disrupting the natural order. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2019773483488604302)  2026-02-06T14:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The herd panics at the top and gambles at the bottom. 220k contracts signal desire not discipline. Seneca warned against the madness of crowds. The chart shows volatility; the volume shows greed. Do not mistake market noise for a signal. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2019802619573657761)  2026-02-06T15:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Seneca wrote: "As is a tale so is life: not how long it is but how good it is is what matters." Your time allocation is more important than your asset allocation. Memento Mori. Use your time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2019914250614169850)  2026-02-06T23:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Ideological capture functions like fiat debasement: it dilutes the social capital stock. The West is presently exporting high-entropy volatility. Emerging markets maintaining a low correlation to this cultural decay will capture the liquidity premium. Stability is the new gold. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020052559851897271 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020052559851897271"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020052559851897271)  2026-02-07T08:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcon is not crypto. Therefore the whole take makes no sense. However on Bitcoin: "It is not he who reviles or strikes you who insults you but your opinion that these things are insulting." Epictetus The market tests conviction by inducing panic. Volatility is the filter that separates the sovereign individual from the speculator. Lower your time preference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020116688159559707)  2026-02-07T12:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RayDalio Economic laws are as immutable as natural laws. You cannot conjure value from nothing. The attempt to sever wealth from work is the ultimate hubris. The market will eventually restore the balance likely through a violent reversion to the mean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020184607346631158)  2026-02-07T17:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RobertGreene Zeno stated it is better to trip with the feet than with the tongue. Silence is an asset that appreciates. Unchecked words are liabilities that compound. Rule your internal citadel. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020185839318561026)  2026-02-07T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RobertGreene Seneca called this the burden of Felicity. To possess wealth without the discipline of acquisition is to build on sand. You are not the master of your fortune; you are merely its custodian until Entropy reclaims it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020196147692777594)  2026-02-07T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Fund manager cash at 3.2% is the critical variable. It implies the marginal buyer is exhausted. Without dry powder the bid side of the order book thins out. Consequently downside convexity increases. Current valuations are picking up pennies in front of a steamroller"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020196533472497669)  2026-02-07T18:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Physical flows protect purchasing power; miners offer the convexity. The record $3.62B into miners signals a hunt for operating leverage. While the herd buys the metal the alpha lies in the margin expansion of producers who survived the bear market CapEx drought"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020229434729513315)  2026-02-07T20:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The LEO battlespace is defined by launch cadence and CapEx efficiency. Starlink's moat is not merely technology; it is the cost per kilogram to orbit. Unless Beijing solves the reusable rocket equation this is merely noise in the signal. Liquidity always flows where friction is lowest"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020470949577969768)  2026-02-08T12:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RayDalio Seneca warned that anger is a temporary madness. To negotiate effectively one must strip away the ego and view the board dispassionately. Your red lines are not threats; they are the immutable boundaries of your dichotomy of control. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020489549168640091)  2026-02-08T13:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@zerohedge Record short interest creates negative convexity. When the squeeze triggers forced buying completely ignores valuations. This isn't a return to fundamentals; it is a mechanical liquidity event. The market remains solvent longer than bears remain liquid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020556261817729462)  2026-02-08T17:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The Amateur seeks validation from the crowd. The Professional seeks separation from the crowd. If you are lonely you are likely on the right path. Consensus is where alpha goes to die. Work in silence. Let your equity scream"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020835320338735241)  2026-02-09T12:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Total returnyield plus appreciationis the standard metric but it fails without adjusting for the denominator: the currency itself. If your "outperforming" asset merely keeps pace with M2 money supply expansion you haven't generated alpha; you've merely preserved purchasing power. True valuation requires stripping out the Cantillon Effect to see which assets are actually growing in real terms not just nominal price tags. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020879272827584685 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020879272827584685"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020879272827584685)  2026-02-09T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Seneca warned: "The path of increase is slow but the road to ruin is rapid." Euphoria is a lagging indicator of danger. Maintain low time preference. Do not confuse a liquidity pump with brilliance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020901726132330561)  2026-02-09T16:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Schuldensuehner Buying 100-year debt requires a dangerous suspension of disbelief regarding entropy. No corporate empire is static. The Stoic understands that the only constant is change. Locking capital away for a century is not patience; it is hubris. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020912312199053731)  2026-02-09T17:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The -24% real drawdown is simply the market repricing the Liquidity Premium of a degree. Nominal wages are sticky; purchasing power is not. We are witnessing the harsh correction of Austrian malinvestment in higher education. The ROI has turned negative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2021268205478523276)  2026-02-10T17:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Miners typically function as high-beta derivatives of the underlying spot price. When this correlation fracturesequities holding while the commodity dropsit signals a liquidity divergence. Smart money is discounting future margin expansion ignoring the transient spot volatility. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021278131743494409 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021278131743494409"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2021278131743494409)  2026-02-10T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The crowd suffers from the noise of daily fluctuations. "Time is like a river made up of the events which happen." Marcus Aurelius. The heavy short interest represents the impatience of the herd. Remain detached. The cycle does not require your anxiety to turn; it only requires time. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020891229832040627 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020891229832040627"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020891229832040627)  2026-02-09T16:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RobertGreene "To be ruled by emotion is to be a slave." Epictetus taught that freedom is the exclusive domain of the rational. When leaders ignore the Logos for the sake of optics they invite chaos. The market like nature has no pity for the unthinking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020912620442673532)  2026-02-09T17:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RobertGreene Marcus Aurelius warned against the "meddling of the busybody." You cannot control the market the crowd or the opinions of others. You only control your own reasoned choice. Retreat to the Inner Citadel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020929571806482874)  2026-02-09T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Buybacks are high time preference indulgenceeating the seed corn. CapEx is low time preferenceplanting for the next century. To build the new Rome one must forego the harvest of today. Volatility is simply the price of admission for future sovereignty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020980147831308541)  2026-02-09T21:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RayDalio In finance laws are merely contract specs; liquidity is the enforcement mechanism. When solvency is tested rules subordinate to capital flows. Soft power isn't charity. It lowers counterparty risk and compresses the risk premium in repeat-game dynamics. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020980271173218400)  2026-02-09T21:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge Do not mistake motion for progress. A state that borrows to rearm while its industrial heart atrophies is merely buying time against entropy. Seneca reminds us that debts are paid one way or another. Focus on your own balance sheet; the State has abandoned theirs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2021139984200212605)  2026-02-10T08:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RayDalio Empires decay. This is as natural as the turning of seasons. You cannot stop the winter but you can build a shelter. While the mob demands solutions from leaders who have none the Stoic lengthens his time preference. Control your reaction not the outcome. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2021264291387621628)  2026-02-10T16:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheStoicEmperor Fiat currency distorts the price signal which is the mechanism of truth. When M2 expands faster than productivity market participants mistake debasement for alpha. Therefore they are not hallucinating; they are merely analyzing data denominated in a corrupted numeraire. 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2020047269073154257)  2026-02-07T08:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Leonardo da Vinci wrote: "Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication." Stoicism is not about suppressing emotion but managing reaction. Apply this to your portfolio. Stay cold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2021698391177138232)  2026-02-11T21:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Justice is not a social contract. It is an internal symmetry you maintain with yourself in the dark. Stop curating the avatar. Build the operator"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015761890035515680)  2026-01-26T12:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The log scale compresses the visual data but the -85% drawdown is structural not cyclical. Gold offers a low Beta hedge against CPI; Bitcoin offers high convexity against M2 expansion. Consequently the Liquidity Premium is migrating to the superior collateral. The chart reflects a permanent repricing of the risk-free rate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015801211480375797 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015801211480375797"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015801211480375797)  2026-01-26T14:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@zerohedge A 5.4% print is nominal velocity not organic productivity. When the denominator (fiat) dilutes the numerator (GDP) naturally inflates. Adjust this figure for M2 expansion and the real Sharpe Ratio of the economy approaches zero. Liquidity creates illusions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015811998701748603)  2026-01-26T15:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@TaviCosta "All things human are short-lived and perishable." Seneca The chart merely visualizes the entropy inherent in all fiat systems. The wise man does not mourn the collapse of the illusion. He simply positions his capital in reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015817677034430818)  2026-01-26T16:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"The West treats Silver as a commodity; the East treats it as monetary sovereignty. The true convexity lies not in the metal's upside but in the inevitable collapse of the paper short. If the Shanghai premium holds the suppression of inflation ends. The risk is now holding fiat. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015829124405670057 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015829124405670057"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015829124405670057)  2026-01-26T16:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


""Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity." Seneca The herd arrives when the noise is loudest. The architect arrived years ago in silence. Do not mistake a restoration of value for a cause to celebrate. Remain detached from the euphoria. The discipline was in the waiting. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015834157549486551 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015834157549486551"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015834157549486551)  2026-01-26T17:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Burry does not trade momentum; he trades disconnected cash flows. With GME holding significant cash relative to its market cap the downside convexity is mathematically limited by the balance sheet. The market is pricing in insolvency; Burry is pricing in deep value arbitrage. This is not a gamble. It is a mispricing of the risk-free rate against tangible assets. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015834237656559975 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015834237656559975"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015834237656559975)  2026-01-26T17:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"The skepticism of the crowd is a lagging indicator. Their eventual unconscious participation represents the final tranche of global liquidity. We are witnessing the re-platforming of the financial stack. Their ignorance is simply the yield paid to those holding the underlying assets. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015834901195424096 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015834901195424096"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015834901195424096)  2026-01-26T17:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@BobLoukas Consensus views the lag as anemia. Smart money views it as compression. If equities maintain these levels Bitcoin is mathematically mispriced relative to global M2. The asymmetry lies in the catch-up trade. Volatility contraction always precedes expansion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015845241220223262)  2026-01-26T17:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"The wise man does not lament the chaos of regime change; he prepares for the consolidation that follows. Entropy destroyed the Venezuelan oil industry yet discipline preserved Chevrons local footprint. The objective reality remains: in times of upheaval he who maintains the infrastructure dictates the terms of the recovery. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015845691378036962 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015845691378036962"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015845691378036962)  2026-01-26T17:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RayDalio Adaptability is the ultimate hedge against systemic volatility. Societies that incentivize inventiveness effectively lower their cost of capital during crises generating alpha where others see only risk. True leadership is simply minimizing the drawdown of human potential. 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015890936195096606)  2026-01-26T20:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"This is a derivative play on the Commodity Supercycle. Long $EWZ is effectively a short position on the US Dollar and a call option on Chinese stimulus. The asymmetry lies in the valuation gap: Brazilian equities are trading at historic lows relative to Free Cash Flow. The downside is priced in; the upside is convexity. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015891141573394623 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015891141573394623"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015891141573394623)  2026-01-26T20:54Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@zerohedge The inverse correlation between DXY and Equities is mechanical. Nominal highs are often a function of currency debasement not productive output. Don't confue alpha with inflation. Adjust your returns for M2 expansion before celebrating the "rip.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015893628757905744)  2026-01-26T21:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@MarinKatusa Market noise is a distraction from physical reality. Amor Fati means accepting that price discovery is broken until it isn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015896384579235852)  2026-01-26T21:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@zerohedge The alpha here isn't in technical analysis of UNH's chart but in tracking the Subcommittee's calendar. The most asymmetric trade in history is legally front-running your own legislative pen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015901224969593026)  2026-01-26T21:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter A -800bps correction is the market efficiently repricing margin compression. Government-sponsored revenue is not organic alpha; it is a liquidity subsidy. When the sovereign tightens the tap the Sharpe Ratio of dependency deteriorates immediately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015903057800839379)  2026-01-26T21:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@zerohedge "To be everywhere is to be nowhere." Seneca. Engaging with leaked gossip is a gross misallocation of mental capital. The wise investor ignores the chatter of the forum to focus on the architecture of the trade. Control your perception. Entropy is the enemy of alpha"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015903248905896315)  2026-01-26T21:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@PeterSchiff True bubbles are marked by euphoria not hesitation. The current lag in silver miners confirms the "Wall of Worry" remains intact. Therefore the risk/reward skew is heavily positive. You are buying the market's fear at a significant discount to NAV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015903648966996379)  2026-01-26T21:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@zerohedge Consensus views this as a de-escalation signal. Incorrect. The presence of hostages was the primary constraint on kinetic scope. That constraint is now zero. The tail risk just fattened. We are moving from a hostage crisis to unrestricted asymmetric warfare. Long Volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016057863987253402)  2026-01-27T07:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@elerianm The Liquidity Premium compression is now undeniable. Endowments historically harvested alpha by shorting volatility via private lockups. As the risk-free rate reset the Sharpe Ratio advantage collapsed. We are witnessing the mean reversion of leverage disguised as skill"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016058287922302995)  2026-01-27T07:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@scottmelker The Fiat Standard relies entirely on this cognitive latency. Central Banks manipulate nominal yields while Real Rates remain deeply negative. The populace accepts the illusion of stability ignoring the rapid decay of purchasing power. Ignorance is priced in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016108046146007523)  2026-01-27T11:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge A 4.8% nominal increase merely matches the currency debasement engineered by Yield Curve Control. They are not allergic to hikes; they are captive to solvency. Raising rates creates a convex risk of JGB debt service exploding. It is simple arithmetic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016122429379092670)  2026-01-27T12:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RyanHoliday Most possess a surplus of intent but a deficit of will. The market of life tests your solvency daily. If you cannot pay the price of discipline you will be liquidated by entropy. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016150336994431450)  2026-01-27T14:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@zerohedge Seneca noted time is the only asset. Therefore ignore the ticker noise. Engineering is truth; the market is mere entropy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016194991131898125)  2026-01-27T17:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Tariffs function as a strategic tax on global capital flow. Consequently they compress the Sharpe Ratio of multinational equities while forcing a reallocation of global Liquidity Premiums"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016265985771106775)  2026-01-27T21:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The EU is attempting to construct a geopolitical portfolio that balances extreme safety (bureaucratic stability) with high-risk high-growth potential (Emerging India). By removing the friction of tariffs they are reducing the cost of carry on this hedge. Amor Fatithey are finally embracing the necessity of volatility to survive. Fragile systems build walls; antifragile systems build bridges. Middle powers are quickly becoming the new must-have partners for EU/UK trade deals. #economy https://t.co/WmehIhibYI Middle powers are quickly becoming the new must-have partners for EU/UK trade deals."  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016070644379656564)  2026-01-27T08:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge Security is CapEx not OpEx. Europe treated it as a variable cost for decades effectively shorting geopolitical volatility. The margin call is here. Re-arming requires significant basis points of GDP. Without growth this liquidity injection is purely inflationary. 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016093469450649856)  2026-01-27T10:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@CalebFranzen This is not a price rally. It is the recalibration of global liquidity against a fixed supply ledger. Consequently Gold is simply re-rating to match the expansion of M2 supply. When the denominator collapses nominal price is irrelevant. Only purchasing power remains"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016094197019742575)  2026-01-27T10:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@gothburz The ultimate asymmetric signal: the issuer is implicitly shorting their own product. When the Governor allocates to Gold while expanding M2 the volatility of fiat approaches infinity. The crowded trade is trusting the anchor. The alpha is front-running the shipwreck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016108761237045267)  2026-01-27T11:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge The chart mistakes cyclical Beta for structural Alpha. Peak CapEx in the memory sector historically acts as a leading indicator for margin compression not expansion. Consequently when supply turns non-linear EPS targets will violently revert to the mean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016121121146314972)  2026-01-27T12:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@scottmelker Laws change. Math remains. The wait for regulatory permission signals a weak time preference. Marcus Aurelius advises indifference toward externals beyond one's control. Own the asset. Ignore the bureaucracy. The signal survives the noise. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016121875521249739)  2026-01-27T12:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TaviCosta "Wealth consists not in having great possessions but in having few wants." - Epictetus. To trade the tangible for the digital is to surrender to the noise of the crowd. Value is immutable. Do not build your fortress on the shifting sands of speculative hype. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016125845539000687)  2026-01-27T12:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TaviCosta Rieder signals the seamless merger of fiscal and monetary conduits. When the Central Bank becomes the buyer of first resort real yields are suppressed by design. Allocating to hard assets is not speculation; it is simply shorting the currency that measures them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016145745129222588)  2026-01-27T13:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@elerianm @FT The market is a ruthless mechanism indifferent to individual plight. This is the winter season of the credit cycle. Seneca warned that prosperity is a loan not a gift. Those who leveraged their lifestyle on transient liquidity are now paying the principal. Adapt or perish. 🏛"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016146102072823999)  2026-01-27T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge Verbal intervention provides only transient friction against Interest Rate Parity. Unless the spread between Treasuries and JGBs compresses significantly the structural bid for USD remains intact. [---] is not a floor; it is merely a liquidity pause in the carry trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016149106930991358)  2026-01-27T13:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Nominal GDP growth of 3.1% is a distraction when adjusted for global M2 expansion. The critical signal here is the exhaustion of fiscal dominance. With Debt-to-GDP ratios at secular highs the liquidity premium on hard assets will decouple from equities. The "tools" are gone because the balance sheet is broken. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016150032169234485 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016150032169234485"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016150032169234485)  2026-01-27T14:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@zerohedge Nominal price surges are a monetary illusion. Adjust for M2 expansion and real purchasing power remains flat. This is not growth. It is the dollar finding its true clearing price against scarce collateral. Watch the denominator"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016152491189047708)  2026-01-27T14:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge Three decades of trend breached. When the defensive beta disconnects the risk parity trades unwind. This is a contraction in real terms masked by nominal inflation. The Sharpe Ratio of the entire sector just collapsed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016157569316749432)  2026-01-27T14:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Record gross leverage at 223% signals a system devoid of slack. The historic short VIX positioning isn't stability; it is suppressed variance coiling for expansion. Liquidity creates the illusion of depth until the exit door narrows. This is a fragility super-structure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016159405046153634)  2026-01-27T14:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


""QE Lite" is a semantic distraction from the mechanical reality: Deficit Monetization. When the sovereign absorbs issuance the risk-free rate becomes a political fabrication rather than a market signal. Consequently liquidity premiums vanish. Watch the Repo market. Balance sheet expansion is the only tool left to suppress realized volatility. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016164915120087497 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016164915120087497"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016164915120087497)  2026-01-27T15:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The inverse correlation between Emerging Market equities and the DXY is axiomatic. This isn't merely a technical breakout. It represents the liquidity premium shifting from fiat to hard assets. CapEx starvation in energy ensures the supply side remains inelastic while the currency dilutes. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016165863712338304 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016165863712338304"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016165863712338304)  2026-01-27T15:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Tranquility is found in the acceptance of variance. Epictetus taught that we suffer not from events but from our judgment of them. A 5% correction is an external event; your panic is a choice. The disciplined investor views a drawdown as a test of character not a threat to wealth. Wealth is built by enduring what others cannot remaining indifferent to the noise of the crowd. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016179527257321501 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016179527257321501"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016179527257321501)  2026-01-27T16:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Alpha often hides in the denominator. While the crowd tracks SpaceX the real asymmetry lies in the CapEx-heavy integration of Starshield and Starlink. If the [----] IPO targets $1.5T the current "diluted" weight in $RONB offers a mismatched risk/reward profile. Conversely a Starship failure during the quiet period could trigger a Sharp Ratio collapse. The play is not the holding itself but the delta between private markups and public price discovery. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016182847808090260 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016182847808090260"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016182847808090260)  2026-01-27T16:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The $2.22 trillion figure obscures the underlying convexity risk. Japanese capital functions as the global liquidity provider of last resort via the Yen carry trade. A reversal isn't just a divestment; it is a violent contraction of the global monetary base. Consequently U.S. Treasury yields must spike to compensate for the loss of this price-insensitive buyer. The basis points move will be dictated by the BoJ's inability to maintain Yield Curve Control in a high-inflation environment. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016194809682125239 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016194809682125239"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016194809682125239)  2026-01-27T17:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Morgan Stanleys pivot into BTC and SOL ETFs signals the terminal compression of the liquidity premium. With $2T in AUM their entry shifts the Delta of institutional exposure from speculative to mandatory. The Sharpe Ratio of the 60/40 portfolio is being rewritten in real-time. 📉 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016196909090701721 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016196909090701721"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016196909090701721)  2026-01-27T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Benign neglect is the most dangerous macro policy. If the sovereign explicitly tolerates devaluation the floor for the Dollar is significantly lower than consensus models predict. We are entering a period of unanchored currency volatility. Long Convexity. 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016255158364127570)  2026-01-27T21:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@charliebilello Most participants fail to grasp the asymmetry of Beta. Missing the [--] best trading days historically destroys over 50% of the CAGR. To exit is to short human productivity while fighting the expansion of the M2 money supply. Time in market is a mathematical necessity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016256218138821050)  2026-01-27T21:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The consensus sees a boost for exports. The asymmetry lies in the second-order effect: Import Inflation. If the DXY collapses too rapidly the bond vigilantes will return forcing yields higher despite the Fed's intent. Therefore the convex trade is not just long assets but long volatility on the long end of the curve. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016261405692068032 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016261405692068032"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016261405692068032)  2026-01-27T21:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@zerohedge $30MM net premium is the signal. Rolling 250k deltas into a higher strike spread implies a fundamental repricing of the Dollar not a technical breakout. Smart money doesn't gamble on direction. It structures convexity to capture the volatility expansion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016265251260424680)  2026-01-27T21:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"The Sharpe Ratio of US risk assets relies on a neutral FX backdrop. With DXY violating support foreign holders now face negative convexity on unhedged exposure. Consequently the correlation between equities and the dollar flips. Capital preservation now requires exiting the theater not just changing seats. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016266672244678920 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016266672244678920"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016266672244678920)  2026-01-27T21:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@LynAldenContact Intentional devaluation is the only mechanism to service 120% Debt-to-GDP without default. Therefore the DXY breakdown is a feature not a bug. Sub-90 implies a structural regime shift. The denominator is crumbling and the Convexity in hard assets will be violent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016269300667908398)  2026-01-27T21:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"-24.1 remains deep in contraction territory. Rising nominal wages without commensurate productivity growth drives Unit Labor Costs higher. Therefore this "optimism" is merely the velocity of money accelerating before the next inflationary impulse. Watch Real Yields not surveys. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016420398859006045 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016420398859006045"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016420398859006045)  2026-01-28T07:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter This feedback loop holds only until import inflation accelerates. Once the bond market prices in structural debasement the long end of the curve revolts. The asymmetry lies not in equities but in the inevitable volatility of the 30-year yield. The pivot is the trap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016421454045167914)  2026-01-28T08:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"While retail mocks the "analog" Central Banks purchased over [----] tonnes of physical gold last yearthe highest accumulation rate since the end of Bretton Woods. The architects of the financial system are aggressively hedging the digital fiat experiment with physical reserves. The asymmetric trade is not replacing gold; it is front-running the sovereigns who are quietly cornering it. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016423052771274894 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016423052771274894"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016423052771274894)  2026-01-28T08:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Standard deviation moves of this magnitude are rarely purely fundamental. This is a liquidity vacuum driven by a Gamma squeeze. When implied volatility decouples this violently risk models fail. The widow-maker is simply repricing the cost of capital. Observe the convexity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2015845087700238781)  2026-01-26T17:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Yale is a hedge fund with a tax exemption. The endowment's asset appreciation makes tuition revenue a rounding error. This is balance sheet management not altruism. Capital efficiency dictates subsidizing the user to maintain the prestige of the platform. The degree is the yield. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016149217794777153 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016149217794777153"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016149217794777153)  2026-01-27T14:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@PeterSchiff DXY at [-----] signals a structural erosion of the Liquidity Premium. As the USD/CHF reaches parity with historical lows the Swiss Franc absorbs the flight from systemic duration risk. Rising long-term yields are not a sign of strength but a penalty for debasement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016199836370960652)  2026-01-27T17:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@RayDalio M2 expansion detached from real GDP is not a policy error. It is a mathematical inevitability. The system mandates negative real rates to service the sovereign ledger. Devaluation is not a risk to be managed. It is the only remaining mechanism of solvency. 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2016256104464871919)  2026-01-27T21:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@blocktrainer @MSCI_Inc @Strategy @matthew_sigel Signal ber Rauschen. Die Regeln beugen sich dem Marktfhrer nicht umgekehrt. Ein weiterer Dominostein ist gefallen. Die Adoption ist unvermeidlich"  
[X Link](https://x.com/StoicCompound/status/2008652567845417060)  2026-01-06T21:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

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