#  @Rob_Jones19 Rob Rob posts on X about liquidity, in the, bitcoin, debt the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1208709673/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] -31% - [--] Month [------] -34% - [--] Months [-------] -83% - [--] Year [---------] +8,937% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1208709673/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +5.90% - [--] Month [--] +2% - [--] Months [---] +66% - [--] Year [---] +653% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1208709673/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +0.56% - [--] Month [-----] +2.30% - [--] Months [-----] +87% - [--] Year [-----] +286% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1208709673/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [stocks](/list/stocks) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) [currencies](/list/currencies) [countries](/list/countries) [us election](/list/us-election) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) **Social topic influence** [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) #569, [in the](/topic/in-the), [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin), [debt](/topic/debt), [update](/topic/update), [$btc](/topic/$btc), [fed](/topic/fed) #233, [sol](/topic/sol), [for the](/topic/for-the), [gold](/topic/gold) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [USELESS COIN (USELESS)](/topic/$useless) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/$sol) [Monero (XMR)](/topic/$xmr) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Dash (DASH)](/topic/$dash) [Zcash (ZEC)](/topic/$zec) [aura (AURA)](/topic/$aura) [Horizen (ZEN)](/topic/$zen) [BNB (BNB)](/topic/$bnb) [Apu Apustaja (APU)](/topic/$apu) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@eatsether @dogwifcoin Took a 4x Lev position yesterday morning 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1827430677131771976) 2024-08-24T19:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "DXY at its lowest point since December MOVE index down. Interest rate cut confirmed by Powell and a shift in FED monetary stance. PBOC MLF day today (meant to be the 25th however they don't like banking at the weekends so probably tomorrow)" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1827627402861724083) 2024-08-25T08:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@RaoulGMI check that for correlation. Correlation between GLI (Weighted) and BTC Price (Lagged [--] Days): [----------------] Non-Repainting Correlation: 0.9204697074736138" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1846817719150149910) 2024-10-17T07:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@RaoulGMI Built from scratch so haven't based it from GMI. Weighted components Inc shadow banking and collateral values adjusted specifically to get the best correlation with BTC. Obviously some components would overlap with GMI" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1846843252701265982) 2024-10-17T09:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Todays Crypto Insights from the Dash Fair Value (liquidity-based): $81857 (BTC +20.93% above FV). This isnt a liquidity-driven market SOL leads but with the highest volatility (+71.0%). Is this rally sustainable without liquidity support Lets see. #Crypto #Bitcoin #SOL #ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1860091971706175505) 2024-11-22T22:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "ETH takes the No. [--] spot in relative performance overtaking BTC. BTC pulls back (-1.41% in 24h) while SOL leads the 7-day ROC at +17.47% despite its high volatility (70% - carful with leverage). BTCs Fair Value gap narrows to +15.19% hinting at potential consolidation. The market remains in a Bull Volatile Trending regime but liquidity (GLI ROC +0.20%) shows limited expansioncan this rally sustain without fresh inflows #btc #Crypto" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1860466757636386890) 2024-11-23T23:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Good thing we rotated BTC into Eth 😂 Daily dash update All [--] majors with a slight decrease nothing to note too much. Sol maintaining its dominance in 1st place with 38%. ETH holds its spot at 2nd with 37% while BTC remains in 3rd at 36%. The systems position size remains at 96.6% with the signal holding steady https://t.co/iv0kUtkmDG Daily dash update All [--] majors with a slight decrease nothing to note too much. Sol maintaining its dominance in 1st place with 38%. ETH holds its spot at 2nd with 37% while BTC remains in 3rd at 36%. The systems position size remains at 96.6% with the signal" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1860997274806976515) 2024-11-25T10:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "M2 is good but not all the components are liquidity creating = correlation with btc. An overall GLI works better with a much lower lag time Once you add all the factors the FV gap comes down to just under 10%. Which isn't impossible. Sentiment playing a fair substantial role rn though i would argue" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1861297869929746562) 2024-11-26T06:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Next up on our dash overview posts is our GLI The Global Liquidity Index (GLI) is a core driver of our dashboard serving as a leading indicator for market trends. Its tightly correlated with BTC price with a [----] correlation over a [--] year span leading btc by [--] days. This insight and lag shapes our fair value signals and broader strategy decisions helping us gauge liquiditys impact on market conditions. The GLIs precision provides an edge in navigating volatile markets making it an essential tool in our risk management and position-sizing framework. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Liquidity #BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1861306985569763514) 2024-11-26T07:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Daily Dash Overview BTC and SOL saw slight pullbacks yesterday bringing prices closer to our liquidity fair value. With a modest 7-day increase in liquidity the market retains support but we may see further pullbacks or consolidation in the coming weeks. As always we follow the system's. Signals remain max long with ETH holding the dominant position while BTC and SOL are tied for second. The market state is still a volatile trending bull regime favouring max spot exposure while avoiding leverage for now. #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #BTC #ETH #SOL #Liquidity #CryptoTrading" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1861311241852981361) 2024-11-26T07:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Nice big uptick in GL to start the week along with a dip in btc price. Now brings us to back to our FV after the trump pump. Normal viewing commence #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #BTC #ETH #SOL #Liquidity #CryptoTrading #TradingSignals #CryptoAnalysis #DeFi #Blockchain #CryptoStrategy #Investing #CryptoMarket" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1861517131377946686) 2024-11-26T21:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Daily Crypto Dash Update Market's showing strength today. We've got a higher ROC on the GLI and our regime just flipped back to bullish. The system re-entered the market catching ETH as our dominant major right after it took us out yesterday morning and dodged that small drawdown. Timing's been spot onETH is still leading the pack and we're well positioned again. Keeping a close eye on things as this volatile trending state unfolds. Let's see how this plays out. #CryptoMarket #GlobalLiquidity #Ethereum #ETH #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoSignals #MarketUpdate #CryptoTrading #CryptoStrategy #Bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1862384443769422167) 2024-11-29T06:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@misterrcrypto Where do you get this idea from Alt seasons here wifs down 10% Pepe down 8% sol down [--] doge down [--]. Clueless 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1863522332435779993) 2024-12-02T09:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Daily Crypto Dash Overview Todays key takeaway is BTC now sitting just 2.6% above its fair value. In bull markets its common to see BTC outpace fair value before consolidating back which weve witnessed in recent weeks. Based on the current data we could expect further consolidation before the next leg higher likely by the weekend or early next week. The market remains in a bull state with a volatile regime which calls for caution. Spot positions remain preferable unless youre actively managing leverage as volatility continues to dominate. ETH continues to lead as the dominant major" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1863845467219485040) 2024-12-03T07:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@misterrcrypto Saying it [--] times a day doesn't make it true. then when it actually happens you'll say you called it haha Clown" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1863986342188711968) 2024-12-03T16:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Since our rotation into Eth we have seen a price difference of +23%. This is why you have systems. This is why you rotate and dont hodl. This is why you should follow the daily dash updates. #CryptoMarket #BTC #ETH #BTCvsETH #CryptoTrading #BTCPrice #Ethereum #Solana #SOL #GlobalLiquidityIndex #CryptoStrategy #BTCAnalysis #ETHDominance #CryptoNews #CryptoCharts #MarketTrends #TradingSignals #CryptoInvesting #LeverageTrading #FairValue #BTCFairValue #MarketState #MarketRegime #BullMarket #CryptoVolatility #Altcoins #ETHPerformance #BTCvsSOL #CryptoMetrics #BTCUpdates #GLI #RiskManagement" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1864378674910298469) 2024-12-04T18:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Crypto Dash Update BTC's correlation with our Global Liquidity Index (GLI) remains strong but the story hasnt changed much. The GLI has stayed in its range since late November and BTC is doing exactly what we predicted last week: consolidating. Despite all the noise from influencers claiming nonstop bullish sentiment let's look at the numbersBTC was around $96K two weeks ago and is now sitting at $97K. Thats textbook consolidation plain and simple. Fair Value (FV) sits roughly 3% below the current price but remains well within [--] standard deviation reinforcing the idea that BTC is neither" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1866723831596892161) 2024-12-11T05:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Been quiet for a while whilst i create some mega alpha to help maximise gains. I introduce to you - my new Alt League Rankings: a dynamic chart to quickly spot whos winning and whos losing in the #altcoin arena. Top gainers right now #ENA #VIRTUAL #OM and #CHEX. Top losers are #TRAC #ALPH #FWOG and #POPCAT. Too many people still cling to laggards like #POPCAT or #FLOKI or #WIF . @eatsether missing the rotation opportunities that could maximize their gains. Dont let poor performers drag you downrotate smarter. Also WHEN #Altseason is here. this chart will be the first to show it. Not these" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1869652553157226616) 2024-12-19T07:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Firstly you split over the top [--] performers so the one at the top you wouldn't get into at the top you'd get in earlier. Secondly it's based on a longer time period than just a few days more like 1m+. Secondly it doesn't just work on returns it works on volume volatility and trend score also so just having the most gains doesn't get an asset to the top spot. Backtests prove that a trend following rotation system significantly increases gains. Guys that hodl just don't do the research that's needed. Your risky meme play is down 60% on the safest crypto asset there is bitcoin in a [--] month" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1869725014481670222) 2024-12-19T12:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Our weighted GLI just hit its yearly high showing solid strength before the holiday period. With $BTC so closely correlated Im expecting a strong year-end rally now that weve seen a healthy correction. This could be the catalyst for the next leg upand a great buying opportunity for the #Bitcoin maxis. #Crypto #BTC #GLI #YearlyHigh #HolidaySeason @AndreasSteno" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1870421932870361309) 2024-12-21T10:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@RaoulGMI If you're still there make sure you check out casa malca - Pablo Escabars old estate turned hotel. You can go in and look around have a drink etc. Very cool While you're there send Ol' Jay a text and tell him to sort the fed out please" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1873384296515604991) 2024-12-29T15:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Crypto Market State Update We've just hit a new phase in the crypto world - Calm Ranging. This isn't just market chatter; it's a signal for us to step back and protect our portfolios. Here's why: Calm Trending (Green Dots) - Think of this as the market's sweet spot. It's like a gentle uphill ride with minimal bumps. Here you can lean into the market with light leverage and enjoy the gains with low risk. Volatile Trending (Red Dots) - This is where the market gets spicy. You might still make some solid gains but keep your wits about you. It's like riding a wave; know when to paddle out." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1873632268951892471) 2024-12-30T07:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Very interesting post and a great read. My counter argument would be; Honestly I just cant see how the TGA wont get spent down at least partially. It might not be the big liquidity release we were hoping for but for that well have to wait and see. The number of times Janet Yellen has mentioned "extraordinary measures" is almost laughable at this point. Essentially she means halting investments into certain federal funds freeing up roughly $300 billion. Sounds like a lot but considering the U.S. rolls over about $100 billion in debt every month. Thats only [--] months of breathing room s you" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1873692002119721307) 2024-12-30T11:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "New Year GLI Update: The year kicks off with a sharp decline in liquidity - not ideal but perhaps anticipated by some. This pullback also impacts our liquidity fair value which has consistently proven highly accurate in tracking BTC prices over the past few months. Currently the fair value for BTC sits at $87269 reflecting a 7.44% gap below the current price a level that feels increasingly plausible given the macro conditions. Fortunately as highlighted in previous updates our portfolio is positioned defensively with 80% in cash ready to re-enter the market when liquidity conditions improve." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1874510479600615688) 2025-01-01T17:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Tell me crypto is male dominated without telling me its male dominated i'll go first. #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Blockchain #DeFi #Web3 #NFT #CryptoCommunity #HODL #Altcoins" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1875434868966092871) 2025-01-04T06:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@RaoulGMI @osf_rekt And buttholecoin 🙆🏻😂 which is smashing it" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1875977660230443502) 2025-01-05T18:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "GLI Update: Fortune Favors the Brave Just like that the liquidity tables have turned. After the quick year-end correction were now seeing the highest GLI levels since the last bull run. The "banana zone" Its incoming. With clear skies ahead and January shaping up to be green momentum looks set to accelerate as we approach the inauguration. I can only see upside from here. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Liquidity #BTCAnalysis #CryptoTrading @RaoulGMI @Jamie1Coutts" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1877843201383407998) 2025-01-10T22:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "markets have totally puked. Sol btc and eth. === Market Analysis Results === Latest Market Metrics: - Total Market Cap: $110000.00 - Total Volume: [--------] - Market Volatility: 20.00% - 24h Market Cap Change: 1.00% - Volume Ratio: [----] (above average volume) Market Trends: - 7-day Market Cap Change: +5.00% - 30-day Market Cap Change: +10.00% - Current Market Volatility: 20.00% - Volume Ratio (Current/30d avg): [----] Overall Market Trend: BULLISH (Strength: 0.10)" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1878163799791816943) 2025-01-11T19:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Fair Value & BTC Update: Thought i'd share this ahead of Trumps speech instead of after. today we hit a fresh ATH before pulling back slightly but I think we should break higher again after the speech or even during possibly with easedepending on what he says about the BSR. Thats the short-term take but remember were in this for the long run. In the coming weeks or months liquidity is the main factor to watch as always. Were already trading above current fair value but the near-term FV is only about 34% below todays levelsso a big pullback seems unlikely. I still see a lot upside here though" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1881367956791181521) 2025-01-20T15:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "We are back baby (bull regime) But not back enough yet to be in a trending market state. Can't be much longer until that triggers and then. We are back back" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1881957505867346337) 2025-01-22T06:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Yeah i've have seen that to be fair but i can't see it happening not unless we had some major bearish news which isn't expected. To be completely honest i'm one of the few that think liquidation maps are pointless. I do realise i'm alone on that haha. I don't think they're good analysis at all" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1882401433288421632) 2025-01-23T12:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ewiooo I'll be the first to admit i was wrong if it does go there though - I'll make a heatmap chart that day for the dashboard 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1882401702823051772) 2025-01-23T12:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Its the crypto reserve and not the bitcoin reserve for one reason and one reason only in my opinion. They wont be purchasing the assets within it. They'll be seized assets. Like they do with gold. You can't add seized Solana to a Bitcoin reserve" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1882773688724172930) 2025-01-24T12:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Update done. Dom calc edited backtests are staggering. New liquidation chart added which is going into forward testing backtesting on these is pretty much impossible BUT im giving a disclaimer. I added this chart by popular demand not because i believe in them or think they give any alpha what so ever and i personally wont be using it in my system (i have never used liquidation maps) its a rough outline of where leveraged positions may blow up if price moves enough. We have to rely on openinterest data (since real liquidation info is locked behind exchange walls) and illegal for exchanges to" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1887233113610227828) 2025-02-05T20:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Fair Value Update Quick update on my BTC liquidity fair value model -price is just inside the [--] SD band below fv. We got a small kick in GLI (thanks to RRP) and Im expecting another soon from the TGA. Over the next couple of days Im looking for price to push closer to fair value. Were about 4% below todays FV but next weeks is only 1.2% away. So maybe a small runup is in the cards but nothing major yet though Im still waiting for more liquidity to really kick things off. Either way Im fully personally allocated after my DCA period so Ill happily wait this one out. As always catch this on the" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1887771889919005092) 2025-02-07T07:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hump day hopeium for all the astute degens. While deep in commodity analysis digging into Precious Metals Industrial Metals and Agricultural I took a closer look at something weve known for a while: the Gold/BTC correlation. Gold has a twist in comparison to almost all of it while most metals move in sync with BTC Gold actually leads by [--] days. Since [----] gold has held a [----] correlation with BTC on a 65-day lead and in the last two years thats tightened to a very strong [-----]. Interestingly while golds price movements predict BTCs direction with serious accuracy the daily percentage moves" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1892170684681322698) 2025-02-19T11:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@MeetAshCampbell @CarlBMenger @crossbordercap global m2 isn't global liquidity" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1898485365146554777) 2025-03-08T21:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Looking at a [--] month window for correlation on a 16+ year time series and then moving them back and forth [---] days just find correlation for the last [--] months is really lazy and quite frankly awful. Everyones drunk on poor m2 analysis. If you are going to study and learn m2 follow @0ut3r3. Proper analysis" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1900818990999519677) 2025-03-15T07:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Theres a value gap brewing. Over the past few weeks Ive mentioned that Im expecting a strong end to Q1. Weve seen a decent uptick in liquidity this past week but BTC hasnt really followed suit yet. Our gold correlation (a 65-day lead correlation) suggests BTC is about to move higher in line with golds recent upswing over the past few months. Thats created a large gap between the current BTC price and fair value and I believe it needs to close. With the UkraineRussian war continuing and Putin reluctant to sit down for talks tariffs at an all-time high and Trump just being himself investors" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1901603781743386880) 2025-03-17T11:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "GLI update and to no surprise (maybe a little) it has done exactly what we expected dropped sharply right on schedule. Todays update shows a solid liquidity contraction perfectly in line with the biggest US Treasury debt rollover in history. As covered in detail in my previous post weve been watching this week like hawks and now its here. As always massive refinancing = liquidity gets temporarily sucked out of the system. But heres the good news: history has shown that these GLI dips tend to be short-lived. Liquidity bounces back fast and when it does so do risk assets.Hard. If we go by" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1906793604959375615) 2025-03-31T19:39Z [----] followers, 10K engagements "@capseyeth Bessent just said they're considering removing Chinese stocks from the US stock exchange 😂😂😂" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1909959335645413829) 2025-04-09T13:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Quick follow up after my last update on GLI and Treasury debt rollover: the DCA window from April 6th through the 13th seems to be nailing the local bottom. Unless we get some more Trump theatrics roiling the markets I doubt well break the lows set in that span especially with Treasury yields kicking up while were still in a refinancing phase. Frankly I cant imagine the Fed or Treasury letting him cause further chaos on top of whats already unfolding and the FED statements to cool the market i would argue back this thesis up. GLIs bounce from the late March refinancing hit right on schedule" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1910993461626495428) 2025-04-12T09:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@KeithMcCullough @TheMasters Great book Love Robert Greenes stuff" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1911768905518895534) 2025-04-14T13:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dominance rotation matters more than people realise. Backtests from me and a others I rate highly all show the same thing - a systemised rotation between trending majors massively outperforms just holding with way less downside risk. Thats why I always say at the absolute degen bare minimum 80% of your stack should sit in the dominant asset. Let the alt league handle the fun stuff. And this week is a perfect example of why. While most were guessing or stuck in BTC we rotated cleanly: BTC SOL now SUI. Just following the system this week alone would've outperformed simply holding BTC by 35%. A" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1915703519383847289) 2025-04-25T09:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Yeah - this actually coincides with something i've already mentioned that the next [--] weeks could seem some high vol. This week because of the Treasury DD although this doesn't have as much effect as if it was reduced liquidity from the fed. And the 1st week as the US has another high debt roll over at the end of this month. After that we have pretty clear sailing for a few months and i'm expecting a large run up" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1916796301448024576) 2025-04-28T10:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dashboard legends Weekly market analysis will start this week. If you've signed up with a proxy email as I know some have and still want to be part of the newsletter. Please let me know" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1919380182093168944) 2025-05-05T13:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@danisdriven got into this bad boy [--] minutes in. Exited now though HcMHyLYQCDBFPYw8HSSVXc3jBdtezb3ADFdTY5Cfpump" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1923767440950858021) 2025-05-17T15:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Currently working on tomorrows weekly analysis drop for the dashboard and honestly Im getting more bullish by the hour. The U.S. needs GDP growth massively this year and that usually comes hand in hand with a big ol' wave of liquidity. If you're trying to map out where the big plays are coming from get yourself on the dashboard. 3-day free trial. No excuses. "It is the set of the sails not the direction of the wind that determines which way we will go." Jim Rohn https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1926745959154725173) 2025-05-25T21:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Dashboard update dropping tomorrow. One of the things coming is so simple but so handy. Our new Market Calendar designed to keep you ahead of every major macro event without the noise. It's fully filterable by priority: High = Fed CPI SEC ETF rulings FOMC minutes debt ceilings etc helps keep you up to date with all macro events and it will give you links to minutes and meetings. Medium/Low = relevant news but filtered cleanly so youre not wasting time on headlines that dont move markets. Also going live: a new BTC Fair Value model based on golds correlation shifted [--] days ahead. It's shown a" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1932181615410848039) 2025-06-09T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Coming to a dashboard near you 👀 Exchange risk coming to the dashboard. Please list any exchanges you would like to see on here that arent already below" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1932745489218482535) 2025-06-11T10:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "For those using the Alt league. We will soon add contract addresses as there can be some confusion. The entry signal for Trac is for TRAC (Ordinals) CA - b006d8e232bdd01e656c40bdbec83bb38413a8af3a58570551940d8f23d4b85ai0" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1933144879619592588) 2025-06-12T12:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Weekly analysis will be on the dashboard tomorrow. Tomorrow nights deep dive lands on the dash and its a chunky one. Im walking through how last weeks Middle-East scare Trump tariff noise and shrinking Fed balance sheet all fed into that $110k rejection and why the GLI says the dip was more gift than warning. Well look at the market state readout vol at [--] % trend barely [--] % yet a [--] % bull probability and what Powells tone tomorrow could do to the $104-105k support zone. Im also unpacking ETHs quiet dominance the gold-to-BTC fair value model that points to $134k in the next couple of months" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1934713720271454487) 2025-06-16T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "SNT casually doing 80% since adding it to the watch list a week ago and 50% since shilling it on the ones to watch list. For those on the dashboard the ticker is on the ones to watch for exchange listings in this weeks analysis" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1935317272672821563) 2025-06-18T12:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "FOMC done rates held again. Thats [--] in a row now and while most were caught off guard our dashboard model wasnt. Rate cut odds sat under the 40% threshold which meant no cut expected and thats exactly what we got. If youre sick of scrambling for Fed minutes dot plots or what Powell actually said our Market new and events Calendar has it all linked and sorted for you the second it drops. You dont need [--] tabs open anymore. Its all on RJ Alpha. 3-day free trial still live. TRW and RV members dm for discount code https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1935440002735030545) 2025-06-18T20:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Quick round-up from yesterdays RJ Alpha calendar to keep you all up to speed. VanEcks Solana ETF hit the DTCC site approval odds now up to 91%. Serious momentum building. Trump fired another shot at Powell pushing for rate cuts ahead of the FOMC which again didn't happen. The Fed held rates for the 4th time in a row (no surprise to us our dashboard flagged sub 40% cut odds). Powells speech showed clear concern over tariffs and sticky inflation as the pair continue to clash. And the Senate is now drafting its own version of the CLARITY Actcrypto regulation might actually be coming with some" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1935600686730797124) 2025-06-19T07:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Fresh update from the RJ Alpha Exchange Risk Tracker: [--] low risk [--] moderate [--] high risk. KuCoin and OKX still holding the yellow jerseys but nothing to be concerned about. Its not on the dash just yet our favourite devs on a well earned break and Im not about to be that guy to push it on him on his holidays 😂. Ill keep posting updates here every other day until hes back and we wire it in properly. Stay safe out there - dont wait for withdrawals to freeze before you check the risk. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1935631548583137608) 2025-06-19T09:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "SNT having another beast of a day. Hope you all added it to your list. SNT casually doing 80% since adding it to the watch list a week ago and 50% since shilling it on the ones to watch list. For those on the dashboard the ticker is on the ones to watch for exchange listings in this weeks analysis. SNT casually doing 80% since adding it to the watch list a week ago and 50% since shilling it on the ones to watch list. For those on the dashboard the ticker is on the ones to watch for exchange listings in this weeks analysis" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1935741074607149319) 2025-06-19T16:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Another day another dose of news from the RJ Alpha calendar heres what mattered: Talks heating up around a Fed rate cut potentially landing as early as July. Tariffs + war risks pushing the Fed toward easing and some are now calling for $120K BTC off the back of it. This would line up very well with our gold/btc fair value model. Elsewhere the XRP SOL and DOGE ETF narrative is picking up steam. Sources say approval odds are nearing a [----] near lock. Fed also dropped a fresh enforcement action another reminder that behind the scenes pressures still building on the banking system. And if youre" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1936287700765622450) 2025-06-21T04:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "In other news our Alt League is heating up. LQTY and SEI both sitting near full entry 7/8 and 6/8 criteria hit and ranking top [--] on the board. Price momentum and RSI all lining up. SCFs bounced to 4th spot with a strong 14-day return and KMNOs holding onto top [--] despite short-term chop. These are the kinds of setups we watch closely. When multiple metrics align they tend to run hard. Keep your eyes on that right hand column. Live on the dashboard now. 3-day trial open. TRW + RV get discount DM me for it. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1936291923729199544) 2025-06-21T05:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Rate cut odds creeping up now sitting at 35.5% and edging closer to our 40% trigger We will watch this like a hawk going into Julys FOMC (see the date of this on the news and event calendar page). QT still firmly in place at 73% and market stress remains elevated above 86%. The systems tight liquiditys still thin and were very far from anything that resembles proper easing. Remember: not all liquidity is equal. 'Not-QE QE' doesnt carry the same weight. Knowing the difference matters and thats exactly what the dashboard tracks in real time. Weekly market analysis is being written up today and" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1936744533212942582) 2025-06-22T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I'll add the market stress here for you. Market Stress; What it means: Financial markets are experiencing significant stress or dysfunction Key Indicators & Thresholds: VIX 20% High Yield Spreads widening Financial Stress Index above threshold SOFR spiking Repo Volume declining Bank Reserves falling Signal Processing: Fastest detection (5-day rolling window 10-day EWM) Economic Environment: Fed: Emergency response mode may provide liquidity facilities Treasury: Coordinates with Fed on stability measures Markets: High volatility flight to quality potential circuit breakers Economy: Risk of" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937026971042513228) 2025-06-23T05:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@yxinsights Each regime works hand in hand too. higher recession probability increases rate cut probability. Higher market stress increases QE probability QE/QT are mutually exclusive" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937027762583167171) 2025-06-23T05:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dashboard update; Markets in a holding pattern right now and it shows across every part of the dash. GLI is still leading BTC by [--] days and pointing slightly higher which keeps the broader bias constructive but BTCs fair value sits around $103k while price is clinging to $100k flat. This is exactly what calm ranging looks like low volatility low trend strength and a market waiting on its next cue. Rate cut probability is nudging higher again now up to 35.5% but were still not over that 40% trigger. QT remains firmly in place and market stress is still high at 86% so conditions havent flipped" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937034207701721161) 2025-06-23T06:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Did anyone jump into LQTY here Please say yes. 😂 In other news our Alt League is heating up. LQTY and SEI both sitting near full entry 7/8 and 6/8 criteria hit and ranking top [--] on the board. Price momentum and RSI all lining up. SCFs bounced to 4th spot with a strong 14-day return and KMNOs holding onto top [--] despite https://t.co/TEb0F9VRSj In other news our Alt League is heating up. LQTY and SEI both sitting near full entry 7/8 and 6/8 criteria hit and ranking top [--] on the board. Price momentum and RSI all lining up. SCFs bounced to 4th spot with a strong 14-day return and KMNOs holding" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937226445971161309) 2025-06-23T19:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Market Analysis Now Live This weeks breakdown is up on the dashboard. Fed holding steady QT still the dominant regime but QE signs are quietly building in the background. BTCs debt schedule trade is playing out to the percentage still on track for the $110K target by early July if liquidity steps in. GLI fair value sits at $105K Gold FV closer to $120K. Range-bound conditions persist BTC remains dominant and the Alt League caught another clean move with LQTY up 18% from signal. Full write-up charts macro regime map and GLI signals now live. Also full break down of the market regime analysis" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937236057134903433) 2025-06-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Quick news round up from yesterdays calendar. Some big central bank noise worth paying attention to: The Fed dropped new proposed rules that would tighten oversight of non-bank financial firms. If this gets through expect heavier scrutiny on shadow banking players especially those tied to credit markets and private funding. Its a quiet but important step that could restrict liquidity channels outside the traditional system. In Europe the ECB's Panetta laid it out: "rates are headed lower but slowly." The message was measured progress on inflation but not enough to open the floodgates. Theyre" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937392069347057790) 2025-06-24T06:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🧯Exchange Risk Update June [--] All clear today across the board. ✅ [--] exchanges flagged as low risk 🟡 [--] exchanges at moderate risk 🔴 [--] high-risk alerts 📊 [--] platforms monitored in total KuCoin and OKX still top the moderate-risk list but no immediate red flags across the system. Everything operational and steady. Stay ahead of exchange risk. Live updates on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937421688838160780) 2025-06-24T08:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Todays macro regime readings are starting to get real interesting. Rate cut probability is still grinding up now 36.5% closing in on our 40% trigger. Recession signal building too at 44% and market stress is still through the roof at 87.8%. All three are stacking up together. That combo usually spells incoming policy shift. Rate cut in July . @capseyeth 👀 QTs still high at 72.8% so the Fed hasnt flinched yet but the clocks ticking. Could be the early stages of a proper pivot. Watching it closely at https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1937603137973424244) 2025-06-24T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt League Update Alt League looking pretty clear again today. LQTY still on top and to be honest if you're in it you're probably staying in it. Entry score is strong and nothings come close to overtaking it yet. That said its running hot short-term RSI is pretty cooked and it might need a breather before the next leg. Meanwhile a few others like Kas and APU are strarting to come into play nicely and might be getting ready to move. Still early on most of them though Im just watching for now. The Alt League will guide us like a shining little degen star in the night. Watch it closely. You can" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938110897798418770) 2025-06-26T05:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "If you're not using our Dominant Asset Rotation system you're probably leaving serious gains on the table in the large part of your portfolio. This tracks where your major bag (80%) should be; BTC ETH SOL or SUI based on momentum volume volatility and strength based rotation to keep you in the best performing large cap while limiting drawdowns. ETH just flipped SOL back into 2nd place this morning. It comes straight to your phone as a push. If youre not getting them toggle notifications off/on in your phone settings and in your account tab. Should kick it back into gear. Stay safe. Stay" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938178105744515298) 2025-06-26T10:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@RaoulGMI You could have been in Eth or BTC and had better return in comparison the last [--] months. Why would you be in Sui" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938331388589068555) 2025-06-26T20:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt league will very much still be in play. Im taking some profits from LQTY here. 41% this week isn't bad at all. Rotating into the next alt thats 7/8 on the Alt league. Im not taking 100% out i will probably go 50/50. Un decided. DYOR not financial advice. Get the next Alt to enter on the dashboard @ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938499261068357977) 2025-06-27T07:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@LIL_ALIENZ @RaoulGMI i'll go further back if you want" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938596036379099265) 2025-06-27T13:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "GLI looks grim and its not even the 29th. Could be wrong but i'm going protection mode and exiting positions. I'm honestly tempted to put a short on 😂. Could be wrong DYOR" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938610949822222837) 2025-06-27T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@hightimeframe_ This specific one is short term liquidity. Hits markets much quicker. Its doesn't follow balance sheets but actual liquidity" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938820647364304944) 2025-06-28T04:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Yes mate. We have seen a sharp drop in short term liquidity plus we have a fair large debt rollover on Monday which will cause another drop sharp drop in liquidity. Generally we see the effects of this [--] days later. But with the decline pre roll over event I'm playing safe and protecting profits just until it clears. We will DCA back in in a few weeks to catch the next leg up off the bull market" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938821228262764806) 2025-06-28T04:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@rozlekrelj Mate it could easily happen. But im happy with the current gains for the period so far going pretty much to plan. I'm personally just not risking it" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1938821691934699908) 2025-06-28T04:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@CRYPT0JPH Yeah. that one hurt i'll be honest. You think i'd be happy with 100%. Im not. haha" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1939315027892228268) 2025-06-29T13:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I won't mate. I won't fomo back in. I have my analysis on my next entry point which is in the trading strategy on the letters page The only way I would have either stayed in or re entered before that point would have been on a positive gli. But considering it's in the dirt and it works 7-9 days ahead of price I doubt anything will change my decision and I will dca in as planned" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1939711111487435227) 2025-06-30T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Like absolute clockwork. That sharp drop in GLI is exactly what I flagged in the analysis yesterday on the dashboard. End of quarter window dressing and debt rollover hitting right on schedule. This is the kind of move we step aside for and why the exit came early. The next couple weeks might get choppy but thats fine. This kind of drawdown is exactly what clears the way for the next pump. Patience here is key. Watch the GLI like a hawk over the next few days. If it starts to recover thats our cue. Had a few questions about my decision to pull from the market and i think i will explain it a" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1939947045151797545) 2025-07-01T07:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "also wish i shorted Sui when i posted it a few days back. 🤠🤠" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1940124850376339950) 2025-07-01T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Alt League just hit a 7/8 entry but didnt fire the alert thats on us. Fix is being rolled out now. If youre not using the league youre missing the early moves. It's on the dashboard discount codes for RV and TRW members DM me for them and the 3-day free trial is still up. No excuses really. Two cool new charts being added soon i will share on here later or tomorrow. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1940450982816850409) 2025-07-02T16:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Quick update from the news + events calendar on the dashboard AI generated TL;DR Figma just dropped their IPO filing turns out theyre already holding nearly $70M in Bitcoin ETFs with approval to double that. Not bad for a design firm. US M2 money supply just hit an all-time high of $21.9T. Historically that tends to show up in inflation after a lag. One to watch. Also spot Bitcoin ETFs finally broke their 15-day inflow streak shedding $342M. But heres the kicker BlackRocks IBIT now earns more in fees than their flagship S&P500 ETF. Wild. Get the full calendar events and daily breakdowns live" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1940721254043897969) 2025-07-03T10:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Finally got a recommendation First one in days after slowly relaxing the filters. Nearly at 100% in [--] minutes strong start" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1940804364693901502) 2025-07-03T16:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ambitiousgoy its not mate. Just something i'm working on at the moment" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1940858448033485163) 2025-07-03T19:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Exchange Risk Intelligence is now liveeeeeee on the dashboard Built to track wallets sentiment SEC flags proof of reserves and more. All cross referenced and scored so you can actually see which exchanges carry the most risk. Its available now on the premium subscription. The first of the add on's for premium. VAMS signals and the debt burden strategy will also be added to the premium tier in the next couple of days. After that were rolling out a proper community space more Reddit style than chatroom to ask questions share insights and build signal. If you're not on the dashboard yet now's" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1941497213999255983) 2025-07-05T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Class to wake up to a flood of messages this morning from people locking in gains on the dashboard. BONK ripped 26% in [--] days while the rest of the market was mostly red. Some of you absolute lunatics even sent it with leverage and printed. I dont condone it but I do respect it 🦹 It's looking a little hot now so time to exit for me. Appreciate all the messages and i'm glad to see it working for so many of you. Thats exactly why it exists. If youre not on the dashboard yet nows the time. Free 3-day trial still running. TRW and RV members DM me for discount codes. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1941789404822925638) 2025-07-06T09:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Our Stablecoin Risk Intelligence panel goes live shortly. Its built to help you quickly spot which stables are safest to sit in rotate through or use while moving funds around. Tracks everything from peg health to volume volatility and market integrity. Multi currency multi source updated daily. Its just one more tool to keep your portfolio protected. Jump on the dash to check it out: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1942269933016010842) 2025-07-07T17:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "New update just went live on the dashboard. The stablecoin risk chart is now up on the Risk Intel tab. It updates daily and should help you pick where to park funds safely while the market chops or youre rotating between plays. Also dropped this weeks market analysis. If youre seeing people panic over the TGA refill and shouting nervous of the 'liquidity drain' give it a read. Ive broken down exactly how this system works who fills the TGA what QE actually is and why the whole thing is one big loop that keeps the show running. TGA spike isnt the problem its how the Fed reacts to it that" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1942323887100027239) 2025-07-07T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "New update from the News & Events calendar. Heres the AI generated TL;DR: Crypto ETPs posted a massive $1 billion+ inflow last week pushing AUM to record highs amid a bullish greed sentiment Strategy (MicroStrategy) paused its 12week BTC buying spree despite scooping up nearly 5k BTC last week On that pause theyve launched a $4.2 billion STRD offering to fund more BTC purchases looking to top 600k BTC Trump slapped [--] % tariffs on Japan & South Korea (effective Aug 1) BTC dipped toward $108k amid rising trade war fears US government moved $200k of ETH to Coinbase triggering concerns of a" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1942469128469561416) 2025-07-08T06:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@RaoulGMI @themompreneur36 @erikasturino @RealVision You should/could implement what some exchanges do where by you can verify their employees via their website using a link or their X handle. It won't stop the scammers but will help when you actually want to reach out to someone to help them verify" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1942481153388171347) 2025-07-08T07:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "One of the most overlooked tools on the dashboard is the Regime Probability model and its probably one of the most useful for forward guidance. This week we saw a sharp drop in rate cut expectations and market stress. Overall financial conditions are clearly normalising. VIX has cooled off yield curve is steepening and stress indicators are starting to ease. Markets are shifting from expecting emergency Fed intervention via cuts to now pricing in a kind of policy calm. Fed Funds is holding where it is and for now that seems to be enough. If this sticks its literally the definition of a soft" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1943069362656571575) 2025-07-09T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Finally have some time to get back into the deep trenches too 😈 See if i can finalise this monster for the gamblers to get rich" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1943989768745861190) 2025-07-12T11:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is exactly why following dominant asset rotation matters. Our model flagged the BTC breakout early in the week caught the ETH move right after and today it nailed SUIs 12% pump before it even started trending. Don't just hold and hope. Rotate into strength as the market shifts. Thats how you stack gains and compound edge over time. The dashboard tracks it live updates daily and shows you where the flow is going. You can test it yourself with a 3-day free trial at no charge if you cancel before it kicks in. TRW and RV members dm for discount https://rjalphadash.co.uk" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1944691058685698184) 2025-07-14T09:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "140% gain on MICRO today absolute madness. Did anyone catch it when it spiked up on the Alt League I faded it myself as I was already fully allocated but if any of you legends jumped on it I salute you. Top of the board's looking pretty hot short term but there are some absolute gems setting up further down. Alt League is tracking [--] tokens right now and more are being added soon. This is where the gains are. Get on the dashboard and stay ahead: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1944781576438465024) 2025-07-14T15:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt League continues to deliver even when the day is looking red. Watching the market so you don't have to tracking what has potential to pump before it happens. Were tracking [--] tokens live currently but I want to expand it and rotate some of the trash out. If theres a token you think deserves to be on the list DM me or drop a reply. Ill be adding more soon. I realise a few of you have given me a couple to add already they're on the list. Track the entries in real-time here: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1945051948941484284) 2025-07-15T09:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Exchange and stablecoin risk models update; both holding steady. Most major exchanges remain in the moderate zone. Nothing new but still worth watching. On the stablecoin side the majority continue to sit in low risk with no major shifts this week. USDC continues to be the safest bet when moving your port around. Well be rolling out notifications soon for both of these as well as VAMS so you can stay informed wherever you are even if youre on holiday by a pool. like me" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1945057035684352230) 2025-07-15T09:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "AI generated TL;DR from the news yesterday. Some important bits to keep an eye on. 🔍 Macro + Fed Update: Fed Stays on Hold (Again) The Fed kept the primary credit rate steady at 4.5% with no dissent and no new direction for now. This aligns with the FOMCs broader decision to hold the federal funds rate at 4.254.5% and reinforces a wait-and-see stance amid economic uncertainty. Fed Enforcement: Cease and Desist for Texas Banking Group The Fed and Texas regulators hit Industry Bancshares with a cease-and-desist order citing deficiencies in oversight capital planning and liquidity risk. Its a" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1945404231659159938) 2025-07-16T08:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Alt League Signal Hits Again While most of the market is red today MOG just ripped from +1% to +8% intraday and our Alt League system caught the move early. Entry triggered this morning with 7/8 criteria flashing green. Built to surface early momentum before it becomes obvious. Tracks RSI shifts volume trends Sharpe ratio EMA diff and more all in one composite score. The Alt League isnt about hype its about data driven rotation into strength and its printing lately Want to see whats next Live signals updated every [--] mins RJ Alpha. Find the leaders. Rotate with conviction." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1945510789601006024) 2025-07-16T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "RJ dashboard overview. Users of the dash do me a solid and repost this. Lets create some traction ❤ Peeking under the hood of our RJALPHA dashboard right now you can see the Global Liquidity Index slowly ramping up ahead of Bitcoins rebound. Bitcoin is trading above its fair value green band a signal that momentum could slow. Implied volatility sits subdued in a calm ranging bull market state. On the regime side both QE and rate cut probabilities are ticking higher in the last months but neither are at threshold feeding into a bullish macro backdrop thats lifted BTC into a clear bull regime." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1945962357525762234) 2025-07-17T21:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "A quick note on navigating the Alt League: seeing a token hit [--] out of [--] entry criteria is a real signal when it just upgraded from 6/8 and that alert is your cue not the reversal back. With nearly [---] tokens under the microscope its easy to flit between every fresh ping but the real edge comes from conviction and a small amount of patience. Take APU for example. It flipped green at 7/8 yesterday barely nudged higher by 1% then and today its up 10%. That kind of patient hold lets you ride the move rather than chop around and once momentum peters out you can pivot with confidence. Patience" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1946100485322428568) 2025-07-18T06:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "On the total opposite end of my degeneracy is our new hodl index which nord will be making look pretty. Built this because pure hodling felt too simplistic and im personally a huge fan of dca'ing in and out of markets. The system pulls live analySing Treasury yields Fed funds rate money supply equity indices dollar strength VIX and gold prices and a few others alongside BTC's momentum patterns. The momentum component tracks BTC across multiple timeframes to catch sustained moves without getting shafted by short term noise. But the edge comes from the macro analysis. Treasury yields get" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1946527726552150494) 2025-07-19T11:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Stablecoin Risk just got a n update too Now with another gold alternative extra EUR stables and a few more USD options. Ive been deep into a Chain Risk model but between API rate limits and budget constraints its hitting the pause button for now. Normally Id find a workaround but this one needs a paid tier. Im juggling half a dozen projects so Chain Risk goes on the back burner until we have more subs (and better API access). So spread the word bring your friends on board and lets unlock it together Premium members can dive in here: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/risk-intel" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1946581955752919147) 2025-07-19T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Our GLI stopped working as perfectly this year for the short term at least and i'm going to break down why. The old model thrived under a Fed led regimes. BTC tracked balance sheet expansion repo ops shadow banking RRP and a few countries sprinkled in lightly like clockwork. That broke the moment Trump returned to office and the debt burden i've spoke about previously kicked in. Since then weve been running on a different kind of liquidity one driven by Treasury and not the Fed. Helped along with the large amount of debt refinancing. Powell hasnt pivoted to bend the knee. No rate cuts" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1947915457165414408) 2025-07-23T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "BTC is still tracking the new CLI pretty much perfectly. Price is following the model almost tick for tick and until we see a turn in the CLI (or GLI) theres still some downside risk on the table. The lead time on the dashboard is holding up well worth watching if youre trying to time your next move. The HODL index isnt flagging much risk this week though so theres no need to panic. I doubt well see BTC come all the way down to GLI fair value but it should work its way into the standard deviation bands. Since were still above fair value and downside risk remains if youve got spare cash todays" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1948627970840535314) 2025-07-25T06:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Im not even sure the challenge is finding buys but how much buying power is actually out there at scale. especially when they feel like they arent the safe no brainer play they used to be. tough to find enough buyers willing to take on the currency and duration risk for yields that are still running below inflation. It's just an off the cuff comment tbh i saw the post and i liked it haha" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1949163262555177191) 2025-07-26T17:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Been a bit hands off with the portfolio this week. Not by design just busy as hell but thats the whole point of building this dashboard. Even when Im flat out the models are tracking everything for me in real time. Im locking back in now though. GLI and CLI look like we should come out of this range in the next day or two. and when that comes alts will be first in line to follow. The next few weeks should be lively and the dashboard will be the place to stay one step ahead. If you dont know where to park your main bag the Dom Major rotation will point you in the right direction. Not sure" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1949231598299439337) 2025-07-26T22:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Yes mate. The honest truth is i'm not even sure its viable now. It might even just be a case of buy and use the hodl strat. Liquidity is going to now be coming thick and fast. I will be doing new work on this though this week don't worry. We are still in our 3m hold period based on the older analysis and that still sticks" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1949592179728588802) 2025-07-27T22:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Stablecoin and exchange risk both looking clean this morning. No high risk flags in sight. Ten of the twenty biggest stablecoins sit in low-risk territory including USDC DAI and USDT while the rest are just moderate. On the exchange side most majors are holding steady under [--] with OKX and Kucoin topping out at [----] still just moderate risk. No signs of counterparty stress anywhere. Solid across the board. Stay safe and keep on the right side of risk using the risk intel page of the dashboard. Get it at https://rjalphadash.co.uk https://rjalphadash.co.uk" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1950804078541381699) 2025-07-31T06:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The amount of people spouting and expecting a September rate cut now actually makes me push towards it not happening 😂. The markets are out to fuck everyone they always are and that certain would screw a few. Our probabilities indicator looks at [--] macro series all of which move in different ways before each regime. Right now even after the report we aren't seeing too much that forces the feds hand. Back tests of this model have shown that these things generally always happen. Not to say that can't change We will be keeping a close watch on it this month to see if it catches up with others" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1951624220636836182) 2025-08-02T12:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Another absolute belter of an update to help ensure our dashboard users are so far ahead of the field. Small but important. Now on the calendar page you will see the Treasury auction calendar. So you will see it there the treasury maturity tracker and the CPI. ALL before you see how it effects risk asset prices. This is for basic and premium users. Check our the recent duration collapse pdf thats in the letters page to fully understand how and why you need this info. Head to the calendar page and its in with the news. Stay ahead of the market at all times." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1951755410777444561) 2025-08-02T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Market Analysis drops on the dashboard today. Covering the TGA rebuild Not the liquidity drain people think. Short-term bill refinancing is still quietly pumping cash back into markets. Macro flows GLI/CLI and credit data are all pointing higher with BTC and majors set up perfectly for more upside. ETH still leading the pack. Free [--] day trial in place upon sign up RV and TRW members DM for discount codes. https://rjalphadash.co.uk https://rjalphadash.co.uk" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1953707007120146766) 2025-08-08T06:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Eagerly waiting on the next US data drop for the CLI. Bias remains tilted higher with heavy short-term bill issuance last week and more lined up this week. The CLI and Treasury Tracker remain the go to guides for direction. Still holding the dominant major ETH and I doubt anyones upset with a 65% gain over the past month. Life. Is. Good. Track it all in real time on the dashboard: Free [--] day trial cancel before its up and pay nothing. TRW & RV members DM for discount codes. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1955189793257570685) 2025-08-12T08:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I had this idea recently while I was in Rennes airport that Bitcoin dominance could show us market tops and bottoms. Highest peaks of dominance in my mind should/would be at the very end of the bear market this dominance would continue strong while BTC led the way then extreme low dominance meant alt season was ending and money would flow back to BTC and/or out of the market. The theory actually worked brilliantly - backtesting showed 94% success rates with massive outperformance signals. But the market isn't moving like it used to and neither is the money thats entering the system (into" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1955376935594258689) 2025-08-12T21:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Our macro regime model has been firmly against the rate cut is guaranteed narrative all month. While plenty have been shouting its a done deal the data we track has just never lined up with that view. Todays hotter-than-expected PPI only strengthens that stance its another signal that the Fed is unlikely to ease up just yet. Now the question is after todays print are you still betting on a cut You can track the model in real time on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1956054750627070050) 2025-08-14T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Called this absolutely ages ago when everyone thought the US would buy their reserve 😂 Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited to the federal government will be the foundation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve that President Trump established in his March Executive Order. In addition Treasury is committed to exploring budget-neutral pathways to acquire more Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited to the federal government will be the foundation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve that President Trump established in his March Executive Order. In addition Treasury is committed to exploring" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1956090892336472417) 2025-08-14T20:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Quick dashboard update GLI still holding flat as the Fed keeps pressing against inflation risk but the Treasury hasnt slowed its liquidity push. This weeks new wave of short term bill issuance is keeping the CLI moving higher which should feed straight through into crypto strength. ETH is still the dominant major backed by massive daily ETF inflows. The flows are so large and so calculated that instead of sparking volatility theyre actually making ETH more stable than its market cap would suggest. The HODL Index remains fully allocated to the dominant major signalling no short term risk in" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1956316898972291179) 2025-08-15T11:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Macro Regime update Another leg down in the probability of a rate cut as the model keeps adjusting to current conditions. Its been spot on every time so far but that doesnt mean it cant be wrong eventually. Right now though its looking more and more like a cut just isnt happening. Pressure on Powell is mounting but history tells us hes not the type to bend under noise. If that holds were in for an interesting few weeks ahead. Keep an eye on this on the dashboard this is one of those signals that tends to matter more than most. Free [--] day trial still open. RV and TRW members DM me for your" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1957695731407392998) 2025-08-19T06:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Market Analysis 19th August Weve had a fresh CLI update this morning so Ive completed this weeks full analysis. Picture is looking good and liquidity conditions remain supportive. Full breakdown will be live on the dashboard for you to read through today. Free [--] day trial still open. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1957707937151086624) 2025-08-19T07:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I have a deep dive into it on the letters page of our dashboard under the title 'The Duration collapse' You can sign up for the [--] day free trial and just cancel before the [--] days runs out to read it Hopefully there's enough on there to convince you to stay but if not at least you will get the letter. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1957918168992891265) 2025-08-19T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@MilkRoadDegen You need to get yourselves a scanner that does it for you. 😆 Scans dexscreen coingecko and bullX every second and filters each one. Tracks them for a period of time to see if they meet criteria. 10k+ tokens per minute" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1957919845187739739) 2025-08-19T21:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dominant Major Update Dominant major has now flipped to Sol. I didnt move into LINK when it came up in the rotation it was added late and with downside risk in the market I wasnt prepared to leave ETH for a higher beta play. Different story now. I have already now made the switch from ETH into Sol purely on its relative strength. Charts like this and plenty more to follow to help you grow and position your portfolio are live here: 🔗 https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960937770966507562) 2025-08-28T05:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ColinTCrypto You can make short term predictions based on macro money flows. Not correlations with ZERO causality. Like M2. A chart that you all seem to move the correlation lag on to fit your purpose. Inverse DXY doesn't matter at all either" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1961908710235615703) 2025-08-30T21:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Weekly analysis will be out once the next CLI/GLI update hits. Should be today. Weve already had $200B roll through refinancing and leave the tracker which will start showing up in the charts. By now you should have all noticed the trail. First in the auction calendar then off the maturity tracker and now we wait for it to flow into the CLI itself. Thats the last stop before it feeds directly into the fundamental calculations. The $200B isn't including yesterdays $300B (roughly) in bills most of which were reopenings. Which will now be filtering through Ill get the write up out asap. For now" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1963119913196826844) 2025-09-03T06:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$ALU still running the show in the Alt League. Its held the #1 spot since mid August and anyone who caught the entry back then is sitting on 200% gains. The League makes it clear which alts are actually performing and when dont sleep on it" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1963271792279077266) 2025-09-03T16:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt League still flagging Griffain as a good entry and in a risk on condition. It'll be interesting to see how this one play out. Catch it on the Alt league" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1964928104331186604) 2025-09-08T05:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$Griffain still looking good nice entry when the alt league flagged and it's still risk on. $Sol now showing a bit of risk to the downside slightly. We could see it drop back to $211/$212 before a move higher. If it highs the $212 level I'll enter a leveraged position again. $USELESS dominating the chart still as mentioned yesterday. 👀👀👀👀 Alt League still flagging Griffain as a good entry and in a risk on condition. It'll be interesting to see how this one play out. Catch it on the Alt league. https://t.co/qejs9IaL7h Alt League still flagging Griffain as a good entry and in a risk on" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1965079599848534031) 2025-09-08T15:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt League update LIVE. First and foremost the league has been cut by over half. Taken away all the crap that just hasn't lived up to hype in the past [--] months. Added a few new tokens the most notable being $USELESS which is added by popular demand. Entry scores work as always good places to enter. Exit criteria is now by risk gauge. Always DYOR but you should be staying allocated until you leave a risk on environment. A few other updates have been done which I will go through tomorrow. Get on the dashboard to make tracking Macro Majors and Alts the easiest is can be. P.S take a look at" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1965159184061911396) 2025-09-08T21:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alts are stealing the show right now and the Alt League is catching it clean. If youve been riding the risk on names from a few days back youre probably still in $GRIFFAIN. The League flagged a ready signal on $SPX early this morning and its already about +4% from entry. SOL played out nicely too re-levered at $212 as i mentioned I would in a previous post TP hit at $221. If we tag $226 today Ill look for a quick fade; if not Im done on leverage and just letting the main spot bag run. If youre feeling a bit lost the dashboard sorts you out all the signals and context in one place. Full market" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1965705607136383433) 2025-09-10T09:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Bluntz_Capital Highest 7d sharpe ratio in our Alt league" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1965899556924826081) 2025-09-10T22:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "PREMIUM USERS LIQUIDATION MAPS ARE ONLINE Currently at the airport so I'll do a better post for them tomorrow. But check them out let us know what you think" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1967365102044385670) 2025-09-14T23:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "BTC price is tracking our liquidity measures beautifully right now. On one side youve got the Credit Liquidity Index (CLI) showing how credit creation and flow is feeding into markets. On the other youve got the Global Liquidity Index (GLI) which captures central bank and shadow banking liquidity. Both are leading BTC perfectly at the moment and its exactly these flows that explain the moves youre seeing on the chart. To add to that the BTC/Gold correlation has tightened up considerably over. the past few months. Our fair value model based on gold (with a 65-day lead) is lining up closely" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1967676230817419504) 2025-09-15T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I've been analysing Bitcoin's behavior around Fed rate cuts since [----] across [--] events not the largest sample size but it's what we get with Bitcoin. Found some patterns worth noting ahead of today's decision. Bitcoin shows consistent volatility spikes around rate cuts as we all know averaging 31% above baseline on cut days with elevated vol persisting from a month before through the event. Markets clearly position ahead of announcements. Performance varies dramatically by cut size. Small cuts under 25bp average just 3.2% gains over the following month with 45% win rates. Standard 25bp cuts" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1967930007176515982) 2025-09-16T12:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Market analysis drops on the dashboard today. Were looking at the expected Fed rate cut tonight why credit flows have been delayed and how this sets up the next wave of liquidity expansion. BTC has followed the refinancing playbook to the letter Sol ripped 20% since the last letter and now comes the real question. what happens post-cut It will all be on the dashboard. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1968206286442340691) 2025-09-17T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$251 hit. giving you all the play book right now. The Liq maps are scarily accurate. Rebalanced down to 15x this morning and it carried straight into $251 as planned. Volatility had potential to pick up but the liquidation structure is still pointing higher. Next key level on my radar is $262. The Liquidity Maps on the dashboard have been stupidly accurate over the last week. every level has been lining up clean. If youre not using them youre already a step behind. over 80% up in less that [--] hours in the trading acc. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ Starting to see some real potential for $SOL to" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1968727354965967193) 2025-09-18T17:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Ok enough of the small port degen play. Back to the heavy macro. Following up on what I wrote a last month. Rate cuts have now landed debt is expected to expand and already since that last chart weve seen another $0.5T in debt added alongside $0.4T in new bills. That is straight liquidity creation and if youve read my analysis on the dashboard youll know exactly how that transmission works. On top of that $0.06T has been added to next months refinancing load. This is the reality of where we are. The need for credit is growing the refinancing cycle is getting heavier and each month is stacking" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1968733579141140672) 2025-09-18T17:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$Hype $Link $CRV and $Aura added to the alt league by user request" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1968764841771880591) 2025-09-18T19:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@pollomarihuano Everything is on the dashboard mate. You can't add your own but you can request others to be added. There's [--] tokens on there so far we have most of the ground covered. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1969261247913705950) 2025-09-20T04:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A few red candles and suddenly its BTC crash all over my feed. Come on. We literally paused credit around the Fed cut thats how the system works. CLI has already spiked again and should push higher into next week. The pipes are fully loaded Trillions in bills rolling over in the coming months and as the cherry on top of the already bullish cake the collateral multiplier is at a [--] year high That means; More collateral reuse Faster rehypothecation AND even more credit creation. . Liquidity efficiency is rising while everyone on my X has gone bearish. What is everyone seeing 😂 Life is bullish AF" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1969365252560110011) 2025-09-20T11:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Added a real-time inflation panel to the dashboard today: Trueflation (daily nowcast) alongside CPI/PCE and the gap to the Feds 2% PCE target. This is informational only for now. Why its there: the Fed reacts to inflation; Treasury doesnt in the same way. Fed policy (rates and QE/QT) is shaped by PCE and related measures so a clear read on price pressure helps map the policy path. Treasurys financing choices bills vs coupons buybacks the TGA path and duration mix drive liquidity transmission but arent set off an inflation mandate which is why CLI can still expand even when inflation runs hot." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1969860092339081680) 2025-09-21T20:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "As mentioned yesterday our app received a few upgrades and a refresh Cleaner UI smother charts faster everything. Everything on the desktop on your phone but with notifications (make sure you allow these in your settings if you want them) Perfect for keeping tabs on your analysis and portfolio while you're away from your desk. This is by far the easiest way to do it. I've attached a short walkthrough so you can see the upgrades. To install the app simply open on your phone browsers and tap the install app link. Simple. More upgrades coming more analysis coming more alpha coming. More More" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1969998806738407827) 2025-09-22T05:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "A new deep dive analysis up on the dashboard Looking into the US Debt Crisis Everyone's focused on the $37T debt number and the debt-to-GDP. We've been above 100% debt-to-GDP since [----]. The actual problem The duration collapse creating a refinancing machine that needs to place $2.51 TRILLION in peak months. That's $84 billion EVERY DAY for a month. Has the market ever been tested at this scale No. Can it handle it without Fed intervention We're about to find out. The system isn't broken yet but the margin for error is shrinking fast. Peak months are pushing capacity limits and any shock" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1971523508023783595) 2025-09-26T10:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Looks like weve either had a major data revision or a late backfill. Convenient timing. This series has never printed like that and then right as funds are sidelined and the market rolls over we suddenly get a revised/lagged dump. Im heading out for a round of golf; Ill dig into it properly when Im back and share what changed and why" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971812410429227426) 2025-09-27T05:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Looks like this was a data error from FRED which has quickly been fixed. Nothing in our debug and all back to normal. End of month dynamics should continue as usual. Apologies for any inconveniences caused. FRED doing us dirty 😂 Looks like weve either had a major data revision or a late backfill. Convenient timing. This series has never printed like that and then right as funds are sidelined and the market rolls over we suddenly get a revised/lagged dump. Im heading out for a round of golf; Ill https://t.co/Bw3HghjnPF Looks like weve either had a major data revision or a late backfill." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1971937061918920856) 2025-09-27T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "We recently moved the Gold/BTC lead to [--] days instead of [--]. I think when you see the chart from the past few months it's obvious why we have shifted [--] days. Not that [--] days makes much difference as investors except for the fact it's very easy on the eye. However IF this correlation continues mid-late October through to the end of the year is looking extremely wild for $BTC Now I don't ever believe that you should ever rely on one single chart or analysis to position yourself. But when most of what you're looking at is pointing in one direction it's hard not to be overly bullish right now." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1972985755908645038) 2025-09-30T11:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "It takes a lot of work and understanding to follow market dynamics before they happen. Most people think things continue as they did before forever. Which just isn't the case. The vast amount of debt added from COVID and the layover from that has been eye watering. As @RaoulGMI and @BittelJulien mention in their everything code with the US pushing the debt out. Probably the same as the shit they take for the 'banana zone' theme. I genuinely saw someone comment last week slating the thesis just after Sol ripped 20% in [--] weeks 😂. On top of the COVID issue we also have Scott Bessent doubling" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1973062489022542094) 2025-09-30T16:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@defi_mochi I was thinking the same thing this morning after checking out our Alt League. For such a high beta token it's showing A LOT of strength in the choppy period of the market. @theunipcs and $USELESS family looking very strong for the next phase I think" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1973263075911541007) 2025-10-01T05:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Seriously though" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1973424459953611261) 2025-10-01T16:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt League just received an update. We have now added the CA's for all your favourite tokens. $Aura and $USELESS leading the way rn and both absolutely printing. Make sure you're always in the right Alts at the right time With the Alt league. On the dashboard. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1973852704645787978) 2025-10-02T20:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Our new liquid glass nav bar is honestly a thing of pure beauty 😍 Style gold from the king dev" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1974468753791615396) 2025-10-04T13:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I'm doing some analysis on meme coin and their communities. Shill me your memes. I have $USELESS and $AURA already" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1974504211615297771) 2025-10-04T15:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@CiuckaSzymon I'm keen to understand if community size and ROC or other factors can predict token growth rate and token strength. Obviously a few other questions to be asked but this is the main focus right now" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1974544466414608784) 2025-10-04T18:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Alt League is spitting out some nice entries this morning for those not already allocate. Plenty of names still Risk On and a bit of juice left to run. $USELESS has been a bit of a cheat code on our signals most times weve had a fresh entry its thrown a double digit day. Lets see if it behaves again. If your token is still flagged Risk On dont overthink it; ride it until the signal flips Live list and updates are on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1974732780509561336) 2025-10-05T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@xbtcas Eth and btc maybe level out tomorrow and don't really move sol has some more DD in it. My opinion. Time will tell" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1976373854709944759) 2025-10-09T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$ZORA and $ZEN added to the alt league. I will be looking to remove a few tokens this weekend. Ideally want to keep the tracking around [--] tokens so that the notifications are too wild. Any suggestions on tokens to remove or any under performers you want me to keep let me know. Alt League Tracker https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1976714214740812002) 2025-10-10T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Followering on from our last $GOLD and $BTC correlation post. Still beautifully on track. The correlation is actually crazy. A small dip wouldn't and doesn't take uptober away. In fact it's expected. We would fly through the skies after the coming weeks consolidation. Which would make sense to me. Is it that simple ABSOLUTELY NOT. It can and will de-correlate. Bloody beautiful for the moment though so let's just enjoy it. http://www.rjalphadash.co.uk http://www.rjalphadash.co.uk" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1976745245749785075) 2025-10-10T20:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Yesterdays dump was a manufactured flush IMO and the whole market puked. $BTC snapped straight back into our GLI fair value band the same zone it tends to reconverge into after an over extension. Nothing in the liquidity backdrop changed in a minute; price simply reset. Gold lead stays glued to spot and points higher into next week. Bigger picture unchanged. $150K+ is the next 3m target. On the risk side the leverage gaugers were all in RISK OFF going into the move so users SHOULDN'T HAVE BEN IN LEVERAGE. If you were in our current dominant major BNB you even got a small relief bounce today" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977110357526409693) 2025-10-11T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "So risk on risk of is whether you can/should be in the token. Entry signal dictates quality of entry. So i will enter a token when the entry is 7/8 minimum and in a risk on status. When that goes to neutral or risk off I exit and wait for the next entry signal on a risk on token. Im going to do a video later explaining it to people" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1977325974384501003) 2025-10-12T10:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Another Alt League special from a user this morning. Guys Its simple and easy to use so don't over complicate it. You want to be in the highest performing assets with a Risk on signal You want to enter on the best entry score you can. The entry score is there so you don't top tick the asset. Ideally enter on a 7/8 or an 8/8. Diversify if you can if not don't. As an example I left $USELESS and $AURA and rotated it all into $DASH because that was the only one with a good entry. If another entry comes up else where I will split 50/50 and I will ride them until they're neutral/risk off. Patience" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1977608702447300854) 2025-10-13T05:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@caueconomy @alphaextract_ I'd argue this chart and this post are incredibly misleading. There's nothing here thats going to push the FED into QE. Not any time soon at least" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1978501312762294383) 2025-10-15T16:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Crypto_Inside_ 0x8cedb0680531d26e62abdbd0f4c5428b7fdc26d5 Micro gpt" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1875542371934613654) 2025-01-04T13:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "TGA QE/not QE This Cycle Feels More [----] Than [----] Heres Why Ive been digging into how the Treasury General Account (TGA) Fed Balance Sheet (BS) and Reverse Repo (RRP) levels line up with Bitcoin in [----] [----] and [----]. Quick takeaways: We Look More Like [----] TGA is at moderate levels - much bigger than in [----] but nowhere near 2021s wild swings. Expect partial spend-downs until late March but don't expect the full amount yet then likely a pause around tax season before another push. Historically Q3 shows the strongest gains so keep powder dry and protect profits from late Q1 in Q2. Fed" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1888889255767798145) 2025-02-10T09:54Z [----] followers, 46.2K engagements "@mdtrade @JoeSmit29707150 @DavidWil123 Youre mixing up macro liquidity with market liquidity two very different things. Just because rates are high and QE isnt on doesnt mean liquidity isnt being injected. TGA drawdowns RRP shifts global flows" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1890392887793226169) 2025-02-14T13:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It's easy to get lost in all the moving parts and i think it gets made over complicated but the big picture is simple declining RRP = cash that was sitting idle is now actually moving into the real economy/markets. The Fed balance sheet RRP TGA are only a few pieces of the puzzle. If youre not watching all of it together youre missing half the picture. My dashboard simplifies this with my GLI which tracks it all for you. Feel free to check it out and message me directly with any questions" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1890460593397870949) 2025-02-14T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Theyll slowly weaken the dollar let liquidity drip-feed into markets and keep bond yields stable without formally restarting QE. Its a fine line but theyve done this before in 2017-2019 and it worked (for a while). Hence why i mention many times this is looking a lot like [----]. Debasing the dollar doesnt solve anything long-term but it helps with debt rollover by making Treasuries more attractive to foreign buyers and reducing real debt burdens. At the same time TGA drawdowns RRP unwinds (like it has) and rate cuts will inject liquidity without an official QE announcement not QE/QE. They have" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1891040645617226037) 2025-02-16T08:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "More solid picks from @MarktQuant bringing toptier data and analysis to the table. If you're not following him yet you're missing out on some serious alpha. Check out his latest selection. P.s i now need to update the alt league with this one. If you have any other alts you want added to the league please let me know and i will add them today. 🌐MARKTQUANTs Asset Selection Table Positions: 🟢LONG $BEL ⚠Important Disclaimer This is not financial advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any financial decisions. The system is currently in its" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1892873309697548482) 2025-02-21T09:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@realConfiend Auctions are on the 3rd settlements are on the 8th 10th and 15th so expect movement then. We will be dca'ing back in around that time any as we follow the trading strategy on the platform (the btc trading strat through to 2028)" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1940115650136911948) 2025-07-01T18:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Update. Now added [--] EUR Stablecoins: EURQ (0.257) CEUR (0.276) VEUR (0.292) EURI (0.293) AEUR (0.319) [--] Gold-Backed: PAXG (0.147) Rate limits are an issue with more others we will see what we can do on that front. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ Youll all be thinking surely not. Not another thing being added to the dashboard Yep. Another one. Safety in this space is non negotiable and after a user request were adding a Stable Coin Risk tracking system. Tracking price stability volume peg health and risk in real https://t.co/GxYSd7eYrh https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ Youll all be thinking surely not." [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1941580999403487493) 2025-07-05T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "GMGM New chart added last night. The HODL Index. As previously mentioned created for a user who specifically asked for this type of product. BTC HODL Index blends 75% macro drivers (yields Fed policy equities dollar gold correlations nasdaq + more) with 25% Bitcoin momentum to highlight windows for accumulation and derisking. Youll see clear HODL NEUTRAL (dca periods with clear allocation amounts) and CAUTION markers on the chart. Forward seeing indicator tracking risk in the market. Can be blended with the GLI to help us guide the coming weeks. Premium subscribers can start using it here:" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1947549412885979614) 2025-07-22T06:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Alt League is seeing a big rework this weekend. I'm removing at least 50% to the tokens. I will add some new ones also adding exit criteria. First question should USELESS be added to the alt league Request from the $USELESS man himself @eatsether Fuck YEAH Fuck NO Yes and add. (comment) No but add.(comment) Fuck YEAH Fuck NO Yes and add. (comment) No but add.(comment)" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1964286812089634900) 2025-09-06T11:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Risk On / Risk Off gauges (like the new leverage gauges) are coming in to sharpen entries + exits in the Alt League. Right now only $ALU and $USELESS are sitting in true Risk On territory. League size cut from [--] to [--] tokens to clean things up less spammy notifications more focus on what tokens that are actually performing. Youll also be able to filter + favourite the ones you want to track. All this goes live over the next week or so. And yes $USELESS is officially being added to the League. You got your wish @eatsether @theunipcs" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1964574459282567206) 2025-09-07T06:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Another quick update: Our SOL leverage gauge flipped to Neutral earlier. We entered on the 9th and were closing the leveraged leg here for a nice 19% move. We cap this at 2x . Rotating funds back to spot and waiting for a fresh Risk on signal before re-levering. If you missed the flip its on the Asset Dominance Risk Intelligence panel (updates every [--] minutes) - Risk Intel page of the dashboard. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1969863918911721922 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1969863918911721922" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1969863918911721922) 2025-09-21T20:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Two months after we launched the Treasury Maturity Tracker the curve is already heavier. Since [--] July: Total UST outstanding has risen from $29.13T $29.80T (+$0.67T). Bills outstanding climbed $6.31T $6.64T (+$0.33T). Next-12M refinancing stepped up $9.53T $9.95T (+$0.42T). The peak rollover month has shifted to Oct [--] and the single-month load jumped $1.97T $2.61T. Thats +$640B concentrated into one month. Most of the increment is short-end. The bill stack keeps getting fatter which is exactly the point I made back in April: This market runs on refinancing waves. Short-dated supply credit" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1972758318322946201) 2025-09-29T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Our Truflation measure has slid back again now in the low 2s and very close to the FEDs 2% benchmark. Even as the Fed has already started cutting which is exactly what you want for potential easing. disinflation holding while policy turns looser. That gives the Fed real room to keep cutting or add balance sheet support if growth or funding stress shows up without immediately stoking inflation fears. From a liquidity lens that mix tends to pull real yields lower and ease financial conditions constructive for risk especially BTC and the broader Crypto market. Not a promise of QE ofc but the" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1973262509810311394) 2025-10-01T05:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Treasury update from the tracker: total US public debt has edged down to $29.69T but the mix keeps sliding to the front end. Bills have pushed up while total has come down. Bills now a huge $6.67T and the next 12M refinancing load is now just over a whopping $10.0T. Peak rollover is still this month (now $2.32T). T Credit liquidity is still running through the system while this mix holds. Watch settlement weeks for confirmation. We have now added settlement dates to the calendar page" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1974211135697048033) 2025-10-03T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Both charts keep doing their job. Our majors rotation flipped back into BTC a few days ago and the bags up just under 10% already. The normalised rotation line says it all. Stay in the market rotate to the leader. AURA is +91% for me (Aura Network not the meme 🙈) and the meme versions been printing too. $USELESS is +45% from the entry. Systems are working. 11% up from the entry signal yesterday morning too. Im still leaning for a pullback somewhere up here so dont chase every green candle too much Follow the signals and scale sensibly. If you havent printed in the last two weeks you probably" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1975174538108231825) 2025-10-06T12:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Alt league says buy the $USELESS dip. @eatsether and @theunipcs what do you guys reckon 👀 Not financial advice" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1976718894527025297) 2025-10-10T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Aura network for the win 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1976762812446740827) 2025-10-10T21:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Alt League gave us a beauty of an entry into $DASH this morning. 5% up in a few hours. Lets hope this keeps running today" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1977257102977778012) 2025-10-12T06:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Receipts from this mornings Alt League. The system flagged $DASH as a clean Ready + Risk On. User took it and is sitting on +100% ROI at [--] (spot move was +20% from [-----] 51.24). I got in a little earlier perks of being a super early riser 😂 Thats exactly what the Alt League is built for: surface the strongest setups early and let you act with a plan. It updates live ranks by our composite score and only shows Ready names when the conditions line up. If you want these pings in real time plus the rotation GLI/CLI fair value and risk panels - its all on the dashboard. Do your own research" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1977278060412948969) 2025-10-12T07:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Something I find wild and it's another Treasury Maturity Tracker update. The bill stack keeps getting fatter and fatter and fatter each month. Peak rollover has ALREADY shifted to Nov [--] at $1.85T (about $1.57T in bills) and this months has barely even got going yet. If they keep rolling bill-into-bill-into-bill-into bill the monthly maturity pile only grows and the short end dominates more each turn. Watch settlements. On our calendar page you can see every auctions settlement date; flows typically show up [--] weeks after settlement. Roughly $250B settled last week as an example. Very small" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1977312501034266658) 2025-10-12T09:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "If your portfolio is small you cannot afford risk. Full stop. The idea that because my port is small I need higher risk to make it is how people blow up and make [--] gains. A 4060% drawdown when youre compounding from a small base is fatal. If you drop 50% it takes you 100% to get back to where you were. Your job isnt to swing for home runs on a weekly basis its to stay in the game long enough to let compounding do the heavy lifting. Dashboard users with a smaller port - stick to the dominant asset rotation. Thats your core. When the lev gauges flip to allow it you can add a little controlled" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977617593465819544) 2025-10-13T06:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$SOL looks like its got a bit more downside to run into today. Liq maps show a chunky pocket around $199 which I wouldnt be surprised to see quick sweep there and a bounce. Watching. Full map: NFA. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/liquidation-maps https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/liquidation-maps" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1977972206362571206) 2025-10-14T05:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "My current quick read. More detail will be in this weeks market analysis on the dashboard but for now. Current read: brutal flush but the most bullish structural setup of the year might be forming. From Jul 31Sep [--] Treasury cycled roughly $2.72T in bills (gross) and added roughly $401B net. Over the same stretch the TGA reloaded around $434B So despite trillions moving more cash was locked away than released. But the markets still held up pretty well: BTC tagged $122.6k majors near ATHs S&P steady. Then funding maxed (0.10%/8h) leverage got torched funding flipped negative spreads widened" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1978366217632006624) 2025-10-15T07:43Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements "Thats why I said the Fed I'm not talking about the moved from the Treasury included. But for context I've added the same chart but with longer data history for context The urgency framing doesn't match the actual reserve levels. Reserves are at 10.77% of GDP as of August not in any crisis territory. The 8% threshold is based on exactly one data point in history. Basin III was fully implemented in [----] so September [----] is the only test we have under the current regulatory framework. Sample size: N=1. We're currently [----] percentage points above the 8% threshold claim. At the current pace of" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1978506633547227340) 2025-10-15T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Per FRED today: Reserves are $3.282T GDP is $30.486T giving a ratio of 10.77% is there somewhere more updated than FRED They have mentioned 8-10% as a framework but not a rule and if 8% is "ample" then 8% isn't a crisis threshold it's a comfort zone. UK gilts was pension fund margin calls not bank reserves. SVB (2023) was one bank's ALM failure not system reserves. Only [----] repo is actually relevant to the reserves/GDP discussion the others are different failure modes that don't rely on US banking reserves" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1978689474558091334) 2025-10-16T05:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Alt League fired another clean entry on $DASH this morning. Flipped green a few hours ago and its already up 3% from trigger. Liq map wise $BTC looking steady but $ETH looks like its got a little heat to the upside. Could see it creep higher today. Follow strength manage risk. Keep your eyes peeled 👀 Everything you need is live on the dashboard https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1978713053718819179) 2025-10-16T06:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I feel like its time to drop some financial wisdom for the dashboard users today. Lets really break down why banking reserves dont matter right now and why the Fed really isnt watching them the way people think. Even some of the experts still dont understand the current mechanism. Is there huge stress in the market Yes. Is it due to banking reserves No. But fear not RJ Alphas here to guide you through the maze that is the modern financial system. And of course keep an eye out for the analysis to get copied in about a week" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1979062529314722206) 2025-10-17T05:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Credit has tightened significantly over the past few weeks and our Credit Liquidity Index flagged the risk before Bitcoin's $25k drop from the October highs. Even caught the small inflection to the upside in between. The whole financial system runs on credit right now that's why traditional metrics like bank reserves do not matter. When credit conditions shift everything else follows. We'll break down exactly what happened and what it means for the broader market in our deep dive analysis later today. The CLI shows us the general direction before these moves happen. Do not fear. This is a" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979156378045362390) 2025-10-17T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Quick update from the dashboard Weve had another dump in the credit gauges inside the CLI and it doesnt look like a bottom for $BTC yet. This still feels like a grind lower or at best a period of chop and base building before the next leg. Were roughly sitting on GLI fair value but I can see a path to $101k if the tightening persists. The Gold lead fair value model starts pointing higher around the 24th which lines up with a heavy bill-settlement window the week before. So theres a plausible macro handoff there. My only hesitation is the current monthly trend which I mentioned previously:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979448513059586326) 2025-10-18T07:24Z [----] followers, 23.1K engagements "@100trillionUSD I doubt we will see below [---] but we could get close. Big credit liquidity drain still playing out plus end of month refinancing. It'll bounce back pretty quickly though IMO. A few charts in a post I sent out earlier. https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1979448513059586326t=qhMUFHVbvIvRLk2nY_cTuA&s=19 Quick update from the dashboard Weve had another dump in the credit gauges inside the CLI and it doesnt look like a bottom for $BTC yet. This still feels like a grind lower or at best a period of chop and base building before the next leg. Were roughly sitting on GLI" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1979475937671733696) 2025-10-18T09:13Z [----] followers, 18K engagements "Gold maxis slating $BTC rn are laughable. Seeing it everywhere. Gold isn't backed by anything. It literally hasn't been since Nixon ended the gold standard in [----]. Both gold and Bitcoin are the same value from scarcity plus belief. The difference is how you verify that scarcity. For U.S. gold reserves the government reports [-----] million oz worth $693 billion stored at Fort Knox West Point Denver and the NY Fed. To verify that you have to literally trust their internal audits. The last external audit was in [----] when they checked [--] of [--] compartments at Fort Knox. Every audit since has been" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979991180524892516) 2025-10-19T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Collectivexit @AnarchyBuddhist Its hilarious that gold maxi's never seem to mention the fact they haven't done that. Almost like its because its not there 😆. I reckon Nancy Pelosi has most of it 😂😂😂" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1980159995737252006) 2025-10-20T06:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$BTC is still tracking credit conditions almost move for move it's been pretty much same story all year. We got a big drawdown in credit and the majors followed ( $BTC $ETH $SOL $BNB the lot). Weve seen the precise little bounce the CLI hinted at but it still looks like theres at least one more shakeout potentially to come. Do not touch leverage. Seriously youve donated enough already. Let this week play through; direction is up in the air until the next data prints. If youre not following the data you'll be very confused in the current market. Watch it all on the dashboard:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980162211826774149) 2025-10-20T06:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Time to exit $DASH here for me. Although it's still 'risk on' within the Alt League - I do think there's strong potential for another shake out. So protect profits on this little uptick and take the +19% on a difficult week in the market wait for the next set up. Alt League fired another clean entry on $DASH this morning. Flipped green a few hours ago and its already up 3% from trigger. Liq map wise $BTC looking steady but $ETH looks like its got a little heat to the upside. Could see it creep higher today. Follow strength manage https://t.co/g9hR0KiFv2 Alt League fired another clean entry on" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1980336960305820145) 2025-10-20T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Time to start scaling back in here for me. Im starting my SDCA today sticking with our dominant major $BTC. Still think $ETH and $SOL could see a bit more downside but the setup looks right for the king. Im already 50% spot in BTC and will ramp in around 10% a day unless we see a bigger flush in which case Ill LSI though I dont think thats likely. GLI is sitting right on fair value which has been solid support all year. Gold fair value is above us with a potential climb kicking off around the 24th if that model holds. Add in the coming FOMC inflations under control the regime model is leaning" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980515495955636616) 2025-10-21T06:04Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements "I personally believe the extra price is worth it. It depends if you're using it for macro or just to be told what token to be in. If you're just wanting to HODL then you only need the dominant major rotation system and the Alt league (for a small portion of your port). Which are both in basic If you want a deeper overview you need premium. I use literally every chart so I would need premium personally" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1980652972490084727) 2025-10-21T15:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Good news Todays market analysis is going live on the dashboard soon. Ive included a full breakdown of my DCA plan from yesterday why the timing lines up here and my broader outlook for the next [--] months. Im still leaning toward this bull leg extending at least into late [----] with a strong chance it runs into [----] depending on how fast the Fed moves under the next Chair. All the details are up on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/" [X Link](https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1980878274789073407) 2025-10-22T06:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "DCA zone still looks solid to me current average entry sitting around $108166. End of month shenanigans could still show up though I dont really expect much with FOMC in play just something to keep in mind. If youre following along do it safely. $BTC only no leverage. My bias leans up from here. Liq maps gold CLI data and the FOMC setup all point that way. But Ive been wrong before and Ill be wrong again. Stay on the right side of the risk curve and youll be fine. Time to start scaling back in here for me. Im starting my SDCA today sticking with our dominant major $BTC. Still think $ETH and" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1981234684865466627) 2025-10-23T05:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Seeing the Gold vs $BTC chart everywhere at the moment and yeah its beautiful. If it keeps tracking like this Ill happily retire early. But please dont build your outlook off a single chart. As I said in the weekly analysis letter for dashboard users it works right now and while its working it cannot be ignored. There is 100% merit to the relationship between the two but it wont hold like this forever. These relationships never do. That said theres more behind this direction that adds weight. A few models and thesis all back the same direction so theres a solid chance this plays out for a" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1981986060604199374) 2025-10-25T07:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@Rob_Jones19 Rob
Rob posts on X about liquidity, in the, bitcoin, debt the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] -31%
- [--] Month [------] -34%
- [--] Months [-------] -83%
- [--] Year [---------] +8,937%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +5.90%
- [--] Month [--] +2%
- [--] Months [---] +66%
- [--] Year [---] +653%
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +0.56%
- [--] Month [-----] +2.30%
- [--] Months [-----] +87%
- [--] Year [-----] +286%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance cryptocurrencies stocks exchanges currencies countries us election social networks technology brands travel destinations
Social topic influence liquidity #569, in the, bitcoin, debt, update, $btc, fed #233, sol, for the, gold
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) USELESS COIN (USELESS) Solana (SOL) Monero (XMR) Ethereum (ETH) Dash (DASH) Zcash (ZEC) aura (AURA) Horizen (ZEN) BNB (BNB) Apu Apustaja (APU)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@eatsether @dogwifcoin Took a 4x Lev position yesterday morning 😂"
X Link 2024-08-24T19:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"DXY at its lowest point since December MOVE index down. Interest rate cut confirmed by Powell and a shift in FED monetary stance. PBOC MLF day today (meant to be the 25th however they don't like banking at the weekends so probably tomorrow)"
X Link 2024-08-25T08:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@RaoulGMI check that for correlation. Correlation between GLI (Weighted) and BTC Price (Lagged [--] Days): [----------------] Non-Repainting Correlation: 0.9204697074736138"
X Link 2024-10-17T07:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@RaoulGMI Built from scratch so haven't based it from GMI. Weighted components Inc shadow banking and collateral values adjusted specifically to get the best correlation with BTC. Obviously some components would overlap with GMI"
X Link 2024-10-17T09:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Todays Crypto Insights from the Dash Fair Value (liquidity-based): $81857 (BTC +20.93% above FV). This isnt a liquidity-driven market SOL leads but with the highest volatility (+71.0%). Is this rally sustainable without liquidity support Lets see. #Crypto #Bitcoin #SOL #ETH"
X Link 2024-11-22T22:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"ETH takes the No. [--] spot in relative performance overtaking BTC. BTC pulls back (-1.41% in 24h) while SOL leads the 7-day ROC at +17.47% despite its high volatility (70% - carful with leverage). BTCs Fair Value gap narrows to +15.19% hinting at potential consolidation. The market remains in a Bull Volatile Trending regime but liquidity (GLI ROC +0.20%) shows limited expansioncan this rally sustain without fresh inflows #btc #Crypto"
X Link 2024-11-23T23:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Good thing we rotated BTC into Eth 😂 Daily dash update All [--] majors with a slight decrease nothing to note too much. Sol maintaining its dominance in 1st place with 38%. ETH holds its spot at 2nd with 37% while BTC remains in 3rd at 36%. The systems position size remains at 96.6% with the signal holding steady https://t.co/iv0kUtkmDG Daily dash update All [--] majors with a slight decrease nothing to note too much. Sol maintaining its dominance in 1st place with 38%. ETH holds its spot at 2nd with 37% while BTC remains in 3rd at 36%. The systems position size remains at 96.6% with the signal"
X Link 2024-11-25T10:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"M2 is good but not all the components are liquidity creating = correlation with btc. An overall GLI works better with a much lower lag time Once you add all the factors the FV gap comes down to just under 10%. Which isn't impossible. Sentiment playing a fair substantial role rn though i would argue"
X Link 2024-11-26T06:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Next up on our dash overview posts is our GLI The Global Liquidity Index (GLI) is a core driver of our dashboard serving as a leading indicator for market trends. Its tightly correlated with BTC price with a [----] correlation over a [--] year span leading btc by [--] days. This insight and lag shapes our fair value signals and broader strategy decisions helping us gauge liquiditys impact on market conditions. The GLIs precision provides an edge in navigating volatile markets making it an essential tool in our risk management and position-sizing framework. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Liquidity #BTC"
X Link 2024-11-26T07:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Daily Dash Overview BTC and SOL saw slight pullbacks yesterday bringing prices closer to our liquidity fair value. With a modest 7-day increase in liquidity the market retains support but we may see further pullbacks or consolidation in the coming weeks. As always we follow the system's. Signals remain max long with ETH holding the dominant position while BTC and SOL are tied for second. The market state is still a volatile trending bull regime favouring max spot exposure while avoiding leverage for now. #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #BTC #ETH #SOL #Liquidity #CryptoTrading"
X Link 2024-11-26T07:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Nice big uptick in GL to start the week along with a dip in btc price. Now brings us to back to our FV after the trump pump. Normal viewing commence #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #BTC #ETH #SOL #Liquidity #CryptoTrading #TradingSignals #CryptoAnalysis #DeFi #Blockchain #CryptoStrategy #Investing #CryptoMarket"
X Link 2024-11-26T21:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Daily Crypto Dash Update Market's showing strength today. We've got a higher ROC on the GLI and our regime just flipped back to bullish. The system re-entered the market catching ETH as our dominant major right after it took us out yesterday morning and dodged that small drawdown. Timing's been spot onETH is still leading the pack and we're well positioned again. Keeping a close eye on things as this volatile trending state unfolds. Let's see how this plays out. #CryptoMarket #GlobalLiquidity #Ethereum #ETH #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoSignals #MarketUpdate #CryptoTrading #CryptoStrategy #Bullish"
X Link 2024-11-29T06:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@misterrcrypto Where do you get this idea from Alt seasons here wifs down 10% Pepe down 8% sol down [--] doge down [--]. Clueless 😂"
X Link 2024-12-02T09:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Daily Crypto Dash Overview Todays key takeaway is BTC now sitting just 2.6% above its fair value. In bull markets its common to see BTC outpace fair value before consolidating back which weve witnessed in recent weeks. Based on the current data we could expect further consolidation before the next leg higher likely by the weekend or early next week. The market remains in a bull state with a volatile regime which calls for caution. Spot positions remain preferable unless youre actively managing leverage as volatility continues to dominate. ETH continues to lead as the dominant major"
X Link 2024-12-03T07:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@misterrcrypto Saying it [--] times a day doesn't make it true. then when it actually happens you'll say you called it haha Clown"
X Link 2024-12-03T16:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Since our rotation into Eth we have seen a price difference of +23%. This is why you have systems. This is why you rotate and dont hodl. This is why you should follow the daily dash updates. #CryptoMarket #BTC #ETH #BTCvsETH #CryptoTrading #BTCPrice #Ethereum #Solana #SOL #GlobalLiquidityIndex #CryptoStrategy #BTCAnalysis #ETHDominance #CryptoNews #CryptoCharts #MarketTrends #TradingSignals #CryptoInvesting #LeverageTrading #FairValue #BTCFairValue #MarketState #MarketRegime #BullMarket #CryptoVolatility #Altcoins #ETHPerformance #BTCvsSOL #CryptoMetrics #BTCUpdates #GLI #RiskManagement"
X Link 2024-12-04T18:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Crypto Dash Update BTC's correlation with our Global Liquidity Index (GLI) remains strong but the story hasnt changed much. The GLI has stayed in its range since late November and BTC is doing exactly what we predicted last week: consolidating. Despite all the noise from influencers claiming nonstop bullish sentiment let's look at the numbersBTC was around $96K two weeks ago and is now sitting at $97K. Thats textbook consolidation plain and simple. Fair Value (FV) sits roughly 3% below the current price but remains well within [--] standard deviation reinforcing the idea that BTC is neither"
X Link 2024-12-11T05:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Been quiet for a while whilst i create some mega alpha to help maximise gains. I introduce to you - my new Alt League Rankings: a dynamic chart to quickly spot whos winning and whos losing in the #altcoin arena. Top gainers right now #ENA #VIRTUAL #OM and #CHEX. Top losers are #TRAC #ALPH #FWOG and #POPCAT. Too many people still cling to laggards like #POPCAT or #FLOKI or #WIF . @eatsether missing the rotation opportunities that could maximize their gains. Dont let poor performers drag you downrotate smarter. Also WHEN #Altseason is here. this chart will be the first to show it. Not these"
X Link 2024-12-19T07:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Firstly you split over the top [--] performers so the one at the top you wouldn't get into at the top you'd get in earlier. Secondly it's based on a longer time period than just a few days more like 1m+. Secondly it doesn't just work on returns it works on volume volatility and trend score also so just having the most gains doesn't get an asset to the top spot. Backtests prove that a trend following rotation system significantly increases gains. Guys that hodl just don't do the research that's needed. Your risky meme play is down 60% on the safest crypto asset there is bitcoin in a [--] month"
X Link 2024-12-19T12:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Our weighted GLI just hit its yearly high showing solid strength before the holiday period. With $BTC so closely correlated Im expecting a strong year-end rally now that weve seen a healthy correction. This could be the catalyst for the next leg upand a great buying opportunity for the #Bitcoin maxis. #Crypto #BTC #GLI #YearlyHigh #HolidaySeason @AndreasSteno"
X Link 2024-12-21T10:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@RaoulGMI If you're still there make sure you check out casa malca - Pablo Escabars old estate turned hotel. You can go in and look around have a drink etc. Very cool While you're there send Ol' Jay a text and tell him to sort the fed out please"
X Link 2024-12-29T15:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Crypto Market State Update We've just hit a new phase in the crypto world - Calm Ranging. This isn't just market chatter; it's a signal for us to step back and protect our portfolios. Here's why: Calm Trending (Green Dots) - Think of this as the market's sweet spot. It's like a gentle uphill ride with minimal bumps. Here you can lean into the market with light leverage and enjoy the gains with low risk. Volatile Trending (Red Dots) - This is where the market gets spicy. You might still make some solid gains but keep your wits about you. It's like riding a wave; know when to paddle out."
X Link 2024-12-30T07:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Very interesting post and a great read. My counter argument would be; Honestly I just cant see how the TGA wont get spent down at least partially. It might not be the big liquidity release we were hoping for but for that well have to wait and see. The number of times Janet Yellen has mentioned "extraordinary measures" is almost laughable at this point. Essentially she means halting investments into certain federal funds freeing up roughly $300 billion. Sounds like a lot but considering the U.S. rolls over about $100 billion in debt every month. Thats only [--] months of breathing room s you"
X Link 2024-12-30T11:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"New Year GLI Update: The year kicks off with a sharp decline in liquidity - not ideal but perhaps anticipated by some. This pullback also impacts our liquidity fair value which has consistently proven highly accurate in tracking BTC prices over the past few months. Currently the fair value for BTC sits at $87269 reflecting a 7.44% gap below the current price a level that feels increasingly plausible given the macro conditions. Fortunately as highlighted in previous updates our portfolio is positioned defensively with 80% in cash ready to re-enter the market when liquidity conditions improve."
X Link 2025-01-01T17:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Tell me crypto is male dominated without telling me its male dominated i'll go first. #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Blockchain #DeFi #Web3 #NFT #CryptoCommunity #HODL #Altcoins"
X Link 2025-01-04T06:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@RaoulGMI @osf_rekt And buttholecoin 🙆🏻😂 which is smashing it"
X Link 2025-01-05T18:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"GLI Update: Fortune Favors the Brave Just like that the liquidity tables have turned. After the quick year-end correction were now seeing the highest GLI levels since the last bull run. The "banana zone" Its incoming. With clear skies ahead and January shaping up to be green momentum looks set to accelerate as we approach the inauguration. I can only see upside from here. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Liquidity #BTCAnalysis #CryptoTrading @RaoulGMI @Jamie1Coutts"
X Link 2025-01-10T22:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"markets have totally puked. Sol btc and eth. === Market Analysis Results === Latest Market Metrics: - Total Market Cap: $110000.00 - Total Volume: [--------] - Market Volatility: 20.00% - 24h Market Cap Change: 1.00% - Volume Ratio: [----] (above average volume) Market Trends: - 7-day Market Cap Change: +5.00% - 30-day Market Cap Change: +10.00% - Current Market Volatility: 20.00% - Volume Ratio (Current/30d avg): [----] Overall Market Trend: BULLISH (Strength: 0.10)"
X Link 2025-01-11T19:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Fair Value & BTC Update: Thought i'd share this ahead of Trumps speech instead of after. today we hit a fresh ATH before pulling back slightly but I think we should break higher again after the speech or even during possibly with easedepending on what he says about the BSR. Thats the short-term take but remember were in this for the long run. In the coming weeks or months liquidity is the main factor to watch as always. Were already trading above current fair value but the near-term FV is only about 34% below todays levelsso a big pullback seems unlikely. I still see a lot upside here though"
X Link 2025-01-20T15:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We are back baby (bull regime) But not back enough yet to be in a trending market state. Can't be much longer until that triggers and then. We are back back"
X Link 2025-01-22T06:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Yeah i've have seen that to be fair but i can't see it happening not unless we had some major bearish news which isn't expected. To be completely honest i'm one of the few that think liquidation maps are pointless. I do realise i'm alone on that haha. I don't think they're good analysis at all"
X Link 2025-01-23T12:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ewiooo I'll be the first to admit i was wrong if it does go there though - I'll make a heatmap chart that day for the dashboard 😂"
X Link 2025-01-23T12:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Its the crypto reserve and not the bitcoin reserve for one reason and one reason only in my opinion. They wont be purchasing the assets within it. They'll be seized assets. Like they do with gold. You can't add seized Solana to a Bitcoin reserve"
X Link 2025-01-24T12:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Update done. Dom calc edited backtests are staggering. New liquidation chart added which is going into forward testing backtesting on these is pretty much impossible BUT im giving a disclaimer. I added this chart by popular demand not because i believe in them or think they give any alpha what so ever and i personally wont be using it in my system (i have never used liquidation maps) its a rough outline of where leveraged positions may blow up if price moves enough. We have to rely on openinterest data (since real liquidation info is locked behind exchange walls) and illegal for exchanges to"
X Link 2025-02-05T20:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Fair Value Update Quick update on my BTC liquidity fair value model -price is just inside the [--] SD band below fv. We got a small kick in GLI (thanks to RRP) and Im expecting another soon from the TGA. Over the next couple of days Im looking for price to push closer to fair value. Were about 4% below todays FV but next weeks is only 1.2% away. So maybe a small runup is in the cards but nothing major yet though Im still waiting for more liquidity to really kick things off. Either way Im fully personally allocated after my DCA period so Ill happily wait this one out. As always catch this on the"
X Link 2025-02-07T07:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hump day hopeium for all the astute degens. While deep in commodity analysis digging into Precious Metals Industrial Metals and Agricultural I took a closer look at something weve known for a while: the Gold/BTC correlation. Gold has a twist in comparison to almost all of it while most metals move in sync with BTC Gold actually leads by [--] days. Since [----] gold has held a [----] correlation with BTC on a 65-day lead and in the last two years thats tightened to a very strong [-----]. Interestingly while golds price movements predict BTCs direction with serious accuracy the daily percentage moves"
X Link 2025-02-19T11:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MeetAshCampbell @CarlBMenger @crossbordercap global m2 isn't global liquidity"
X Link 2025-03-08T21:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looking at a [--] month window for correlation on a 16+ year time series and then moving them back and forth [---] days just find correlation for the last [--] months is really lazy and quite frankly awful. Everyones drunk on poor m2 analysis. If you are going to study and learn m2 follow @0ut3r3. Proper analysis"
X Link 2025-03-15T07:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Theres a value gap brewing. Over the past few weeks Ive mentioned that Im expecting a strong end to Q1. Weve seen a decent uptick in liquidity this past week but BTC hasnt really followed suit yet. Our gold correlation (a 65-day lead correlation) suggests BTC is about to move higher in line with golds recent upswing over the past few months. Thats created a large gap between the current BTC price and fair value and I believe it needs to close. With the UkraineRussian war continuing and Putin reluctant to sit down for talks tariffs at an all-time high and Trump just being himself investors"
X Link 2025-03-17T11:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"GLI update and to no surprise (maybe a little) it has done exactly what we expected dropped sharply right on schedule. Todays update shows a solid liquidity contraction perfectly in line with the biggest US Treasury debt rollover in history. As covered in detail in my previous post weve been watching this week like hawks and now its here. As always massive refinancing = liquidity gets temporarily sucked out of the system. But heres the good news: history has shown that these GLI dips tend to be short-lived. Liquidity bounces back fast and when it does so do risk assets.Hard. If we go by"
X Link 2025-03-31T19:39Z [----] followers, 10K engagements
"@capseyeth Bessent just said they're considering removing Chinese stocks from the US stock exchange 😂😂😂"
X Link 2025-04-09T13:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Quick follow up after my last update on GLI and Treasury debt rollover: the DCA window from April 6th through the 13th seems to be nailing the local bottom. Unless we get some more Trump theatrics roiling the markets I doubt well break the lows set in that span especially with Treasury yields kicking up while were still in a refinancing phase. Frankly I cant imagine the Fed or Treasury letting him cause further chaos on top of whats already unfolding and the FED statements to cool the market i would argue back this thesis up. GLIs bounce from the late March refinancing hit right on schedule"
X Link 2025-04-12T09:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@KeithMcCullough @TheMasters Great book Love Robert Greenes stuff"
X Link 2025-04-14T13:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dominance rotation matters more than people realise. Backtests from me and a others I rate highly all show the same thing - a systemised rotation between trending majors massively outperforms just holding with way less downside risk. Thats why I always say at the absolute degen bare minimum 80% of your stack should sit in the dominant asset. Let the alt league handle the fun stuff. And this week is a perfect example of why. While most were guessing or stuck in BTC we rotated cleanly: BTC SOL now SUI. Just following the system this week alone would've outperformed simply holding BTC by 35%. A"
X Link 2025-04-25T09:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yeah - this actually coincides with something i've already mentioned that the next [--] weeks could seem some high vol. This week because of the Treasury DD although this doesn't have as much effect as if it was reduced liquidity from the fed. And the 1st week as the US has another high debt roll over at the end of this month. After that we have pretty clear sailing for a few months and i'm expecting a large run up"
X Link 2025-04-28T10:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dashboard legends Weekly market analysis will start this week. If you've signed up with a proxy email as I know some have and still want to be part of the newsletter. Please let me know"
X Link 2025-05-05T13:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@danisdriven got into this bad boy [--] minutes in. Exited now though HcMHyLYQCDBFPYw8HSSVXc3jBdtezb3ADFdTY5Cfpump"
X Link 2025-05-17T15:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Currently working on tomorrows weekly analysis drop for the dashboard and honestly Im getting more bullish by the hour. The U.S. needs GDP growth massively this year and that usually comes hand in hand with a big ol' wave of liquidity. If you're trying to map out where the big plays are coming from get yourself on the dashboard. 3-day free trial. No excuses. "It is the set of the sails not the direction of the wind that determines which way we will go." Jim Rohn https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-05-25T21:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dashboard update dropping tomorrow. One of the things coming is so simple but so handy. Our new Market Calendar designed to keep you ahead of every major macro event without the noise. It's fully filterable by priority: High = Fed CPI SEC ETF rulings FOMC minutes debt ceilings etc helps keep you up to date with all macro events and it will give you links to minutes and meetings. Medium/Low = relevant news but filtered cleanly so youre not wasting time on headlines that dont move markets. Also going live: a new BTC Fair Value model based on golds correlation shifted [--] days ahead. It's shown a"
X Link 2025-06-09T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Coming to a dashboard near you 👀 Exchange risk coming to the dashboard. Please list any exchanges you would like to see on here that arent already below"
X Link 2025-06-11T10:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"For those using the Alt league. We will soon add contract addresses as there can be some confusion. The entry signal for Trac is for TRAC (Ordinals) CA - b006d8e232bdd01e656c40bdbec83bb38413a8af3a58570551940d8f23d4b85ai0"
X Link 2025-06-12T12:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Weekly analysis will be on the dashboard tomorrow. Tomorrow nights deep dive lands on the dash and its a chunky one. Im walking through how last weeks Middle-East scare Trump tariff noise and shrinking Fed balance sheet all fed into that $110k rejection and why the GLI says the dip was more gift than warning. Well look at the market state readout vol at [--] % trend barely [--] % yet a [--] % bull probability and what Powells tone tomorrow could do to the $104-105k support zone. Im also unpacking ETHs quiet dominance the gold-to-BTC fair value model that points to $134k in the next couple of months"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"SNT casually doing 80% since adding it to the watch list a week ago and 50% since shilling it on the ones to watch list. For those on the dashboard the ticker is on the ones to watch for exchange listings in this weeks analysis"
X Link 2025-06-18T12:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"FOMC done rates held again. Thats [--] in a row now and while most were caught off guard our dashboard model wasnt. Rate cut odds sat under the 40% threshold which meant no cut expected and thats exactly what we got. If youre sick of scrambling for Fed minutes dot plots or what Powell actually said our Market new and events Calendar has it all linked and sorted for you the second it drops. You dont need [--] tabs open anymore. Its all on RJ Alpha. 3-day free trial still live. TRW and RV members dm for discount code https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-06-18T20:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Quick round-up from yesterdays RJ Alpha calendar to keep you all up to speed. VanEcks Solana ETF hit the DTCC site approval odds now up to 91%. Serious momentum building. Trump fired another shot at Powell pushing for rate cuts ahead of the FOMC which again didn't happen. The Fed held rates for the 4th time in a row (no surprise to us our dashboard flagged sub 40% cut odds). Powells speech showed clear concern over tariffs and sticky inflation as the pair continue to clash. And the Senate is now drafting its own version of the CLARITY Actcrypto regulation might actually be coming with some"
X Link 2025-06-19T07:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Fresh update from the RJ Alpha Exchange Risk Tracker: [--] low risk [--] moderate [--] high risk. KuCoin and OKX still holding the yellow jerseys but nothing to be concerned about. Its not on the dash just yet our favourite devs on a well earned break and Im not about to be that guy to push it on him on his holidays 😂. Ill keep posting updates here every other day until hes back and we wire it in properly. Stay safe out there - dont wait for withdrawals to freeze before you check the risk. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-06-19T09:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"SNT having another beast of a day. Hope you all added it to your list. SNT casually doing 80% since adding it to the watch list a week ago and 50% since shilling it on the ones to watch list. For those on the dashboard the ticker is on the ones to watch for exchange listings in this weeks analysis. SNT casually doing 80% since adding it to the watch list a week ago and 50% since shilling it on the ones to watch list. For those on the dashboard the ticker is on the ones to watch for exchange listings in this weeks analysis"
X Link 2025-06-19T16:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Another day another dose of news from the RJ Alpha calendar heres what mattered: Talks heating up around a Fed rate cut potentially landing as early as July. Tariffs + war risks pushing the Fed toward easing and some are now calling for $120K BTC off the back of it. This would line up very well with our gold/btc fair value model. Elsewhere the XRP SOL and DOGE ETF narrative is picking up steam. Sources say approval odds are nearing a [----] near lock. Fed also dropped a fresh enforcement action another reminder that behind the scenes pressures still building on the banking system. And if youre"
X Link 2025-06-21T04:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In other news our Alt League is heating up. LQTY and SEI both sitting near full entry 7/8 and 6/8 criteria hit and ranking top [--] on the board. Price momentum and RSI all lining up. SCFs bounced to 4th spot with a strong 14-day return and KMNOs holding onto top [--] despite short-term chop. These are the kinds of setups we watch closely. When multiple metrics align they tend to run hard. Keep your eyes on that right hand column. Live on the dashboard now. 3-day trial open. TRW + RV get discount DM me for it. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-06-21T05:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Rate cut odds creeping up now sitting at 35.5% and edging closer to our 40% trigger We will watch this like a hawk going into Julys FOMC (see the date of this on the news and event calendar page). QT still firmly in place at 73% and market stress remains elevated above 86%. The systems tight liquiditys still thin and were very far from anything that resembles proper easing. Remember: not all liquidity is equal. 'Not-QE QE' doesnt carry the same weight. Knowing the difference matters and thats exactly what the dashboard tracks in real time. Weekly market analysis is being written up today and"
X Link 2025-06-22T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I'll add the market stress here for you. Market Stress; What it means: Financial markets are experiencing significant stress or dysfunction Key Indicators & Thresholds: VIX 20% High Yield Spreads widening Financial Stress Index above threshold SOFR spiking Repo Volume declining Bank Reserves falling Signal Processing: Fastest detection (5-day rolling window 10-day EWM) Economic Environment: Fed: Emergency response mode may provide liquidity facilities Treasury: Coordinates with Fed on stability measures Markets: High volatility flight to quality potential circuit breakers Economy: Risk of"
X Link 2025-06-23T05:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@yxinsights Each regime works hand in hand too. higher recession probability increases rate cut probability. Higher market stress increases QE probability QE/QT are mutually exclusive"
X Link 2025-06-23T05:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dashboard update; Markets in a holding pattern right now and it shows across every part of the dash. GLI is still leading BTC by [--] days and pointing slightly higher which keeps the broader bias constructive but BTCs fair value sits around $103k while price is clinging to $100k flat. This is exactly what calm ranging looks like low volatility low trend strength and a market waiting on its next cue. Rate cut probability is nudging higher again now up to 35.5% but were still not over that 40% trigger. QT remains firmly in place and market stress is still high at 86% so conditions havent flipped"
X Link 2025-06-23T06:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Did anyone jump into LQTY here Please say yes. 😂 In other news our Alt League is heating up. LQTY and SEI both sitting near full entry 7/8 and 6/8 criteria hit and ranking top [--] on the board. Price momentum and RSI all lining up. SCFs bounced to 4th spot with a strong 14-day return and KMNOs holding onto top [--] despite https://t.co/TEb0F9VRSj In other news our Alt League is heating up. LQTY and SEI both sitting near full entry 7/8 and 6/8 criteria hit and ranking top [--] on the board. Price momentum and RSI all lining up. SCFs bounced to 4th spot with a strong 14-day return and KMNOs holding"
X Link 2025-06-23T19:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Market Analysis Now Live This weeks breakdown is up on the dashboard. Fed holding steady QT still the dominant regime but QE signs are quietly building in the background. BTCs debt schedule trade is playing out to the percentage still on track for the $110K target by early July if liquidity steps in. GLI fair value sits at $105K Gold FV closer to $120K. Range-bound conditions persist BTC remains dominant and the Alt League caught another clean move with LQTY up 18% from signal. Full write-up charts macro regime map and GLI signals now live. Also full break down of the market regime analysis"
X Link 2025-06-23T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Quick news round up from yesterdays calendar. Some big central bank noise worth paying attention to: The Fed dropped new proposed rules that would tighten oversight of non-bank financial firms. If this gets through expect heavier scrutiny on shadow banking players especially those tied to credit markets and private funding. Its a quiet but important step that could restrict liquidity channels outside the traditional system. In Europe the ECB's Panetta laid it out: "rates are headed lower but slowly." The message was measured progress on inflation but not enough to open the floodgates. Theyre"
X Link 2025-06-24T06:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🧯Exchange Risk Update June [--] All clear today across the board. ✅ [--] exchanges flagged as low risk 🟡 [--] exchanges at moderate risk 🔴 [--] high-risk alerts 📊 [--] platforms monitored in total KuCoin and OKX still top the moderate-risk list but no immediate red flags across the system. Everything operational and steady. Stay ahead of exchange risk. Live updates on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-06-24T08:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Todays macro regime readings are starting to get real interesting. Rate cut probability is still grinding up now 36.5% closing in on our 40% trigger. Recession signal building too at 44% and market stress is still through the roof at 87.8%. All three are stacking up together. That combo usually spells incoming policy shift. Rate cut in July . @capseyeth 👀 QTs still high at 72.8% so the Fed hasnt flinched yet but the clocks ticking. Could be the early stages of a proper pivot. Watching it closely at https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-06-24T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt League Update Alt League looking pretty clear again today. LQTY still on top and to be honest if you're in it you're probably staying in it. Entry score is strong and nothings come close to overtaking it yet. That said its running hot short-term RSI is pretty cooked and it might need a breather before the next leg. Meanwhile a few others like Kas and APU are strarting to come into play nicely and might be getting ready to move. Still early on most of them though Im just watching for now. The Alt League will guide us like a shining little degen star in the night. Watch it closely. You can"
X Link 2025-06-26T05:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you're not using our Dominant Asset Rotation system you're probably leaving serious gains on the table in the large part of your portfolio. This tracks where your major bag (80%) should be; BTC ETH SOL or SUI based on momentum volume volatility and strength based rotation to keep you in the best performing large cap while limiting drawdowns. ETH just flipped SOL back into 2nd place this morning. It comes straight to your phone as a push. If youre not getting them toggle notifications off/on in your phone settings and in your account tab. Should kick it back into gear. Stay safe. Stay"
X Link 2025-06-26T10:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@RaoulGMI You could have been in Eth or BTC and had better return in comparison the last [--] months. Why would you be in Sui"
X Link 2025-06-26T20:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt league will very much still be in play. Im taking some profits from LQTY here. 41% this week isn't bad at all. Rotating into the next alt thats 7/8 on the Alt league. Im not taking 100% out i will probably go 50/50. Un decided. DYOR not financial advice. Get the next Alt to enter on the dashboard @ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-06-27T07:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@LIL_ALIENZ @RaoulGMI i'll go further back if you want"
X Link 2025-06-27T13:51Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"GLI looks grim and its not even the 29th. Could be wrong but i'm going protection mode and exiting positions. I'm honestly tempted to put a short on 😂. Could be wrong DYOR"
X Link 2025-06-27T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@hightimeframe_ This specific one is short term liquidity. Hits markets much quicker. Its doesn't follow balance sheets but actual liquidity"
X Link 2025-06-28T04:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Yes mate. We have seen a sharp drop in short term liquidity plus we have a fair large debt rollover on Monday which will cause another drop sharp drop in liquidity. Generally we see the effects of this [--] days later. But with the decline pre roll over event I'm playing safe and protecting profits just until it clears. We will DCA back in in a few weeks to catch the next leg up off the bull market"
X Link 2025-06-28T04:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@rozlekrelj Mate it could easily happen. But im happy with the current gains for the period so far going pretty much to plan. I'm personally just not risking it"
X Link 2025-06-28T04:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@CRYPT0JPH Yeah. that one hurt i'll be honest. You think i'd be happy with 100%. Im not. haha"
X Link 2025-06-29T13:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I won't mate. I won't fomo back in. I have my analysis on my next entry point which is in the trading strategy on the letters page The only way I would have either stayed in or re entered before that point would have been on a positive gli. But considering it's in the dirt and it works 7-9 days ahead of price I doubt anything will change my decision and I will dca in as planned"
X Link 2025-06-30T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Like absolute clockwork. That sharp drop in GLI is exactly what I flagged in the analysis yesterday on the dashboard. End of quarter window dressing and debt rollover hitting right on schedule. This is the kind of move we step aside for and why the exit came early. The next couple weeks might get choppy but thats fine. This kind of drawdown is exactly what clears the way for the next pump. Patience here is key. Watch the GLI like a hawk over the next few days. If it starts to recover thats our cue. Had a few questions about my decision to pull from the market and i think i will explain it a"
X Link 2025-07-01T07:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"also wish i shorted Sui when i posted it a few days back. 🤠🤠"
X Link 2025-07-01T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Alt League just hit a 7/8 entry but didnt fire the alert thats on us. Fix is being rolled out now. If youre not using the league youre missing the early moves. It's on the dashboard discount codes for RV and TRW members DM me for them and the 3-day free trial is still up. No excuses really. Two cool new charts being added soon i will share on here later or tomorrow. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-07-02T16:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Quick update from the news + events calendar on the dashboard AI generated TL;DR Figma just dropped their IPO filing turns out theyre already holding nearly $70M in Bitcoin ETFs with approval to double that. Not bad for a design firm. US M2 money supply just hit an all-time high of $21.9T. Historically that tends to show up in inflation after a lag. One to watch. Also spot Bitcoin ETFs finally broke their 15-day inflow streak shedding $342M. But heres the kicker BlackRocks IBIT now earns more in fees than their flagship S&P500 ETF. Wild. Get the full calendar events and daily breakdowns live"
X Link 2025-07-03T10:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Finally got a recommendation First one in days after slowly relaxing the filters. Nearly at 100% in [--] minutes strong start"
X Link 2025-07-03T16:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ambitiousgoy its not mate. Just something i'm working on at the moment"
X Link 2025-07-03T19:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Exchange Risk Intelligence is now liveeeeeee on the dashboard Built to track wallets sentiment SEC flags proof of reserves and more. All cross referenced and scored so you can actually see which exchanges carry the most risk. Its available now on the premium subscription. The first of the add on's for premium. VAMS signals and the debt burden strategy will also be added to the premium tier in the next couple of days. After that were rolling out a proper community space more Reddit style than chatroom to ask questions share insights and build signal. If you're not on the dashboard yet now's"
X Link 2025-07-05T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Class to wake up to a flood of messages this morning from people locking in gains on the dashboard. BONK ripped 26% in [--] days while the rest of the market was mostly red. Some of you absolute lunatics even sent it with leverage and printed. I dont condone it but I do respect it 🦹 It's looking a little hot now so time to exit for me. Appreciate all the messages and i'm glad to see it working for so many of you. Thats exactly why it exists. If youre not on the dashboard yet nows the time. Free 3-day trial still running. TRW and RV members DM me for discount codes. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-07-06T09:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Our Stablecoin Risk Intelligence panel goes live shortly. Its built to help you quickly spot which stables are safest to sit in rotate through or use while moving funds around. Tracks everything from peg health to volume volatility and market integrity. Multi currency multi source updated daily. Its just one more tool to keep your portfolio protected. Jump on the dash to check it out: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-07-07T17:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"New update just went live on the dashboard. The stablecoin risk chart is now up on the Risk Intel tab. It updates daily and should help you pick where to park funds safely while the market chops or youre rotating between plays. Also dropped this weeks market analysis. If youre seeing people panic over the TGA refill and shouting nervous of the 'liquidity drain' give it a read. Ive broken down exactly how this system works who fills the TGA what QE actually is and why the whole thing is one big loop that keeps the show running. TGA spike isnt the problem its how the Fed reacts to it that"
X Link 2025-07-07T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"New update from the News & Events calendar. Heres the AI generated TL;DR: Crypto ETPs posted a massive $1 billion+ inflow last week pushing AUM to record highs amid a bullish greed sentiment Strategy (MicroStrategy) paused its 12week BTC buying spree despite scooping up nearly 5k BTC last week On that pause theyve launched a $4.2 billion STRD offering to fund more BTC purchases looking to top 600k BTC Trump slapped [--] % tariffs on Japan & South Korea (effective Aug 1) BTC dipped toward $108k amid rising trade war fears US government moved $200k of ETH to Coinbase triggering concerns of a"
X Link 2025-07-08T06:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@RaoulGMI @themompreneur36 @erikasturino @RealVision You should/could implement what some exchanges do where by you can verify their employees via their website using a link or their X handle. It won't stop the scammers but will help when you actually want to reach out to someone to help them verify"
X Link 2025-07-08T07:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"One of the most overlooked tools on the dashboard is the Regime Probability model and its probably one of the most useful for forward guidance. This week we saw a sharp drop in rate cut expectations and market stress. Overall financial conditions are clearly normalising. VIX has cooled off yield curve is steepening and stress indicators are starting to ease. Markets are shifting from expecting emergency Fed intervention via cuts to now pricing in a kind of policy calm. Fed Funds is holding where it is and for now that seems to be enough. If this sticks its literally the definition of a soft"
X Link 2025-07-09T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Finally have some time to get back into the deep trenches too 😈 See if i can finalise this monster for the gamblers to get rich"
X Link 2025-07-12T11:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is exactly why following dominant asset rotation matters. Our model flagged the BTC breakout early in the week caught the ETH move right after and today it nailed SUIs 12% pump before it even started trending. Don't just hold and hope. Rotate into strength as the market shifts. Thats how you stack gains and compound edge over time. The dashboard tracks it live updates daily and shows you where the flow is going. You can test it yourself with a 3-day free trial at no charge if you cancel before it kicks in. TRW and RV members dm for discount https://rjalphadash.co.uk"
X Link 2025-07-14T09:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"140% gain on MICRO today absolute madness. Did anyone catch it when it spiked up on the Alt League I faded it myself as I was already fully allocated but if any of you legends jumped on it I salute you. Top of the board's looking pretty hot short term but there are some absolute gems setting up further down. Alt League is tracking [--] tokens right now and more are being added soon. This is where the gains are. Get on the dashboard and stay ahead: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-07-14T15:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt League continues to deliver even when the day is looking red. Watching the market so you don't have to tracking what has potential to pump before it happens. Were tracking [--] tokens live currently but I want to expand it and rotate some of the trash out. If theres a token you think deserves to be on the list DM me or drop a reply. Ill be adding more soon. I realise a few of you have given me a couple to add already they're on the list. Track the entries in real-time here: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-07-15T09:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Exchange and stablecoin risk models update; both holding steady. Most major exchanges remain in the moderate zone. Nothing new but still worth watching. On the stablecoin side the majority continue to sit in low risk with no major shifts this week. USDC continues to be the safest bet when moving your port around. Well be rolling out notifications soon for both of these as well as VAMS so you can stay informed wherever you are even if youre on holiday by a pool. like me"
X Link 2025-07-15T09:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"AI generated TL;DR from the news yesterday. Some important bits to keep an eye on. 🔍 Macro + Fed Update: Fed Stays on Hold (Again) The Fed kept the primary credit rate steady at 4.5% with no dissent and no new direction for now. This aligns with the FOMCs broader decision to hold the federal funds rate at 4.254.5% and reinforces a wait-and-see stance amid economic uncertainty. Fed Enforcement: Cease and Desist for Texas Banking Group The Fed and Texas regulators hit Industry Bancshares with a cease-and-desist order citing deficiencies in oversight capital planning and liquidity risk. Its a"
X Link 2025-07-16T08:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Alt League Signal Hits Again While most of the market is red today MOG just ripped from +1% to +8% intraday and our Alt League system caught the move early. Entry triggered this morning with 7/8 criteria flashing green. Built to surface early momentum before it becomes obvious. Tracks RSI shifts volume trends Sharpe ratio EMA diff and more all in one composite score. The Alt League isnt about hype its about data driven rotation into strength and its printing lately Want to see whats next Live signals updated every [--] mins RJ Alpha. Find the leaders. Rotate with conviction."
X Link 2025-07-16T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"RJ dashboard overview. Users of the dash do me a solid and repost this. Lets create some traction ❤ Peeking under the hood of our RJALPHA dashboard right now you can see the Global Liquidity Index slowly ramping up ahead of Bitcoins rebound. Bitcoin is trading above its fair value green band a signal that momentum could slow. Implied volatility sits subdued in a calm ranging bull market state. On the regime side both QE and rate cut probabilities are ticking higher in the last months but neither are at threshold feeding into a bullish macro backdrop thats lifted BTC into a clear bull regime."
X Link 2025-07-17T21:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A quick note on navigating the Alt League: seeing a token hit [--] out of [--] entry criteria is a real signal when it just upgraded from 6/8 and that alert is your cue not the reversal back. With nearly [---] tokens under the microscope its easy to flit between every fresh ping but the real edge comes from conviction and a small amount of patience. Take APU for example. It flipped green at 7/8 yesterday barely nudged higher by 1% then and today its up 10%. That kind of patient hold lets you ride the move rather than chop around and once momentum peters out you can pivot with confidence. Patience"
X Link 2025-07-18T06:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"On the total opposite end of my degeneracy is our new hodl index which nord will be making look pretty. Built this because pure hodling felt too simplistic and im personally a huge fan of dca'ing in and out of markets. The system pulls live analySing Treasury yields Fed funds rate money supply equity indices dollar strength VIX and gold prices and a few others alongside BTC's momentum patterns. The momentum component tracks BTC across multiple timeframes to catch sustained moves without getting shafted by short term noise. But the edge comes from the macro analysis. Treasury yields get"
X Link 2025-07-19T11:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Stablecoin Risk just got a n update too Now with another gold alternative extra EUR stables and a few more USD options. Ive been deep into a Chain Risk model but between API rate limits and budget constraints its hitting the pause button for now. Normally Id find a workaround but this one needs a paid tier. Im juggling half a dozen projects so Chain Risk goes on the back burner until we have more subs (and better API access). So spread the word bring your friends on board and lets unlock it together Premium members can dive in here: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/risk-intel"
X Link 2025-07-19T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Our GLI stopped working as perfectly this year for the short term at least and i'm going to break down why. The old model thrived under a Fed led regimes. BTC tracked balance sheet expansion repo ops shadow banking RRP and a few countries sprinkled in lightly like clockwork. That broke the moment Trump returned to office and the debt burden i've spoke about previously kicked in. Since then weve been running on a different kind of liquidity one driven by Treasury and not the Fed. Helped along with the large amount of debt refinancing. Powell hasnt pivoted to bend the knee. No rate cuts"
X Link 2025-07-23T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"BTC is still tracking the new CLI pretty much perfectly. Price is following the model almost tick for tick and until we see a turn in the CLI (or GLI) theres still some downside risk on the table. The lead time on the dashboard is holding up well worth watching if youre trying to time your next move. The HODL index isnt flagging much risk this week though so theres no need to panic. I doubt well see BTC come all the way down to GLI fair value but it should work its way into the standard deviation bands. Since were still above fair value and downside risk remains if youve got spare cash todays"
X Link 2025-07-25T06:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Im not even sure the challenge is finding buys but how much buying power is actually out there at scale. especially when they feel like they arent the safe no brainer play they used to be. tough to find enough buyers willing to take on the currency and duration risk for yields that are still running below inflation. It's just an off the cuff comment tbh i saw the post and i liked it haha"
X Link 2025-07-26T17:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Been a bit hands off with the portfolio this week. Not by design just busy as hell but thats the whole point of building this dashboard. Even when Im flat out the models are tracking everything for me in real time. Im locking back in now though. GLI and CLI look like we should come out of this range in the next day or two. and when that comes alts will be first in line to follow. The next few weeks should be lively and the dashboard will be the place to stay one step ahead. If you dont know where to park your main bag the Dom Major rotation will point you in the right direction. Not sure"
X Link 2025-07-26T22:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yes mate. The honest truth is i'm not even sure its viable now. It might even just be a case of buy and use the hodl strat. Liquidity is going to now be coming thick and fast. I will be doing new work on this though this week don't worry. We are still in our 3m hold period based on the older analysis and that still sticks"
X Link 2025-07-27T22:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Stablecoin and exchange risk both looking clean this morning. No high risk flags in sight. Ten of the twenty biggest stablecoins sit in low-risk territory including USDC DAI and USDT while the rest are just moderate. On the exchange side most majors are holding steady under [--] with OKX and Kucoin topping out at [----] still just moderate risk. No signs of counterparty stress anywhere. Solid across the board. Stay safe and keep on the right side of risk using the risk intel page of the dashboard. Get it at https://rjalphadash.co.uk https://rjalphadash.co.uk"
X Link 2025-07-31T06:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The amount of people spouting and expecting a September rate cut now actually makes me push towards it not happening 😂. The markets are out to fuck everyone they always are and that certain would screw a few. Our probabilities indicator looks at [--] macro series all of which move in different ways before each regime. Right now even after the report we aren't seeing too much that forces the feds hand. Back tests of this model have shown that these things generally always happen. Not to say that can't change We will be keeping a close watch on it this month to see if it catches up with others"
X Link 2025-08-02T12:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Another absolute belter of an update to help ensure our dashboard users are so far ahead of the field. Small but important. Now on the calendar page you will see the Treasury auction calendar. So you will see it there the treasury maturity tracker and the CPI. ALL before you see how it effects risk asset prices. This is for basic and premium users. Check our the recent duration collapse pdf thats in the letters page to fully understand how and why you need this info. Head to the calendar page and its in with the news. Stay ahead of the market at all times."
X Link 2025-08-02T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Market Analysis drops on the dashboard today. Covering the TGA rebuild Not the liquidity drain people think. Short-term bill refinancing is still quietly pumping cash back into markets. Macro flows GLI/CLI and credit data are all pointing higher with BTC and majors set up perfectly for more upside. ETH still leading the pack. Free [--] day trial in place upon sign up RV and TRW members DM for discount codes. https://rjalphadash.co.uk https://rjalphadash.co.uk"
X Link 2025-08-08T06:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Eagerly waiting on the next US data drop for the CLI. Bias remains tilted higher with heavy short-term bill issuance last week and more lined up this week. The CLI and Treasury Tracker remain the go to guides for direction. Still holding the dominant major ETH and I doubt anyones upset with a 65% gain over the past month. Life. Is. Good. Track it all in real time on the dashboard: Free [--] day trial cancel before its up and pay nothing. TRW & RV members DM for discount codes. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-08-12T08:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I had this idea recently while I was in Rennes airport that Bitcoin dominance could show us market tops and bottoms. Highest peaks of dominance in my mind should/would be at the very end of the bear market this dominance would continue strong while BTC led the way then extreme low dominance meant alt season was ending and money would flow back to BTC and/or out of the market. The theory actually worked brilliantly - backtesting showed 94% success rates with massive outperformance signals. But the market isn't moving like it used to and neither is the money thats entering the system (into"
X Link 2025-08-12T21:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Our macro regime model has been firmly against the rate cut is guaranteed narrative all month. While plenty have been shouting its a done deal the data we track has just never lined up with that view. Todays hotter-than-expected PPI only strengthens that stance its another signal that the Fed is unlikely to ease up just yet. Now the question is after todays print are you still betting on a cut You can track the model in real time on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-08-14T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Called this absolutely ages ago when everyone thought the US would buy their reserve 😂 Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited to the federal government will be the foundation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve that President Trump established in his March Executive Order. In addition Treasury is committed to exploring budget-neutral pathways to acquire more Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited to the federal government will be the foundation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve that President Trump established in his March Executive Order. In addition Treasury is committed to exploring"
X Link 2025-08-14T20:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Quick dashboard update GLI still holding flat as the Fed keeps pressing against inflation risk but the Treasury hasnt slowed its liquidity push. This weeks new wave of short term bill issuance is keeping the CLI moving higher which should feed straight through into crypto strength. ETH is still the dominant major backed by massive daily ETF inflows. The flows are so large and so calculated that instead of sparking volatility theyre actually making ETH more stable than its market cap would suggest. The HODL Index remains fully allocated to the dominant major signalling no short term risk in"
X Link 2025-08-15T11:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Macro Regime update Another leg down in the probability of a rate cut as the model keeps adjusting to current conditions. Its been spot on every time so far but that doesnt mean it cant be wrong eventually. Right now though its looking more and more like a cut just isnt happening. Pressure on Powell is mounting but history tells us hes not the type to bend under noise. If that holds were in for an interesting few weeks ahead. Keep an eye on this on the dashboard this is one of those signals that tends to matter more than most. Free [--] day trial still open. RV and TRW members DM me for your"
X Link 2025-08-19T06:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Market Analysis 19th August Weve had a fresh CLI update this morning so Ive completed this weeks full analysis. Picture is looking good and liquidity conditions remain supportive. Full breakdown will be live on the dashboard for you to read through today. Free [--] day trial still open. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis"
X Link 2025-08-19T07:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I have a deep dive into it on the letters page of our dashboard under the title 'The Duration collapse' You can sign up for the [--] day free trial and just cancel before the [--] days runs out to read it Hopefully there's enough on there to convince you to stay but if not at least you will get the letter. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-08-19T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@MilkRoadDegen You need to get yourselves a scanner that does it for you. 😆 Scans dexscreen coingecko and bullX every second and filters each one. Tracks them for a period of time to see if they meet criteria. 10k+ tokens per minute"
X Link 2025-08-19T21:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dominant Major Update Dominant major has now flipped to Sol. I didnt move into LINK when it came up in the rotation it was added late and with downside risk in the market I wasnt prepared to leave ETH for a higher beta play. Different story now. I have already now made the switch from ETH into Sol purely on its relative strength. Charts like this and plenty more to follow to help you grow and position your portfolio are live here: 🔗 https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-08-28T05:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ColinTCrypto You can make short term predictions based on macro money flows. Not correlations with ZERO causality. Like M2. A chart that you all seem to move the correlation lag on to fit your purpose. Inverse DXY doesn't matter at all either"
X Link 2025-08-30T21:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Weekly analysis will be out once the next CLI/GLI update hits. Should be today. Weve already had $200B roll through refinancing and leave the tracker which will start showing up in the charts. By now you should have all noticed the trail. First in the auction calendar then off the maturity tracker and now we wait for it to flow into the CLI itself. Thats the last stop before it feeds directly into the fundamental calculations. The $200B isn't including yesterdays $300B (roughly) in bills most of which were reopenings. Which will now be filtering through Ill get the write up out asap. For now"
X Link 2025-09-03T06:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$ALU still running the show in the Alt League. Its held the #1 spot since mid August and anyone who caught the entry back then is sitting on 200% gains. The League makes it clear which alts are actually performing and when dont sleep on it"
X Link 2025-09-03T16:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt League still flagging Griffain as a good entry and in a risk on condition. It'll be interesting to see how this one play out. Catch it on the Alt league"
X Link 2025-09-08T05:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Griffain still looking good nice entry when the alt league flagged and it's still risk on. $Sol now showing a bit of risk to the downside slightly. We could see it drop back to $211/$212 before a move higher. If it highs the $212 level I'll enter a leveraged position again. $USELESS dominating the chart still as mentioned yesterday. 👀👀👀👀 Alt League still flagging Griffain as a good entry and in a risk on condition. It'll be interesting to see how this one play out. Catch it on the Alt league. https://t.co/qejs9IaL7h Alt League still flagging Griffain as a good entry and in a risk on"
X Link 2025-09-08T15:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt League update LIVE. First and foremost the league has been cut by over half. Taken away all the crap that just hasn't lived up to hype in the past [--] months. Added a few new tokens the most notable being $USELESS which is added by popular demand. Entry scores work as always good places to enter. Exit criteria is now by risk gauge. Always DYOR but you should be staying allocated until you leave a risk on environment. A few other updates have been done which I will go through tomorrow. Get on the dashboard to make tracking Macro Majors and Alts the easiest is can be. P.S take a look at"
X Link 2025-09-08T21:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alts are stealing the show right now and the Alt League is catching it clean. If youve been riding the risk on names from a few days back youre probably still in $GRIFFAIN. The League flagged a ready signal on $SPX early this morning and its already about +4% from entry. SOL played out nicely too re-levered at $212 as i mentioned I would in a previous post TP hit at $221. If we tag $226 today Ill look for a quick fade; if not Im done on leverage and just letting the main spot bag run. If youre feeling a bit lost the dashboard sorts you out all the signals and context in one place. Full market"
X Link 2025-09-10T09:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Bluntz_Capital Highest 7d sharpe ratio in our Alt league"
X Link 2025-09-10T22:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"PREMIUM USERS LIQUIDATION MAPS ARE ONLINE Currently at the airport so I'll do a better post for them tomorrow. But check them out let us know what you think"
X Link 2025-09-14T23:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"BTC price is tracking our liquidity measures beautifully right now. On one side youve got the Credit Liquidity Index (CLI) showing how credit creation and flow is feeding into markets. On the other youve got the Global Liquidity Index (GLI) which captures central bank and shadow banking liquidity. Both are leading BTC perfectly at the moment and its exactly these flows that explain the moves youre seeing on the chart. To add to that the BTC/Gold correlation has tightened up considerably over. the past few months. Our fair value model based on gold (with a 65-day lead) is lining up closely"
X Link 2025-09-15T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I've been analysing Bitcoin's behavior around Fed rate cuts since [----] across [--] events not the largest sample size but it's what we get with Bitcoin. Found some patterns worth noting ahead of today's decision. Bitcoin shows consistent volatility spikes around rate cuts as we all know averaging 31% above baseline on cut days with elevated vol persisting from a month before through the event. Markets clearly position ahead of announcements. Performance varies dramatically by cut size. Small cuts under 25bp average just 3.2% gains over the following month with 45% win rates. Standard 25bp cuts"
X Link 2025-09-16T12:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Market analysis drops on the dashboard today. Were looking at the expected Fed rate cut tonight why credit flows have been delayed and how this sets up the next wave of liquidity expansion. BTC has followed the refinancing playbook to the letter Sol ripped 20% since the last letter and now comes the real question. what happens post-cut It will all be on the dashboard. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-09-17T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$251 hit. giving you all the play book right now. The Liq maps are scarily accurate. Rebalanced down to 15x this morning and it carried straight into $251 as planned. Volatility had potential to pick up but the liquidation structure is still pointing higher. Next key level on my radar is $262. The Liquidity Maps on the dashboard have been stupidly accurate over the last week. every level has been lining up clean. If youre not using them youre already a step behind. over 80% up in less that [--] hours in the trading acc. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ Starting to see some real potential for $SOL to"
X Link 2025-09-18T17:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Ok enough of the small port degen play. Back to the heavy macro. Following up on what I wrote a last month. Rate cuts have now landed debt is expected to expand and already since that last chart weve seen another $0.5T in debt added alongside $0.4T in new bills. That is straight liquidity creation and if youve read my analysis on the dashboard youll know exactly how that transmission works. On top of that $0.06T has been added to next months refinancing load. This is the reality of where we are. The need for credit is growing the refinancing cycle is getting heavier and each month is stacking"
X Link 2025-09-18T17:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$Hype $Link $CRV and $Aura added to the alt league by user request"
X Link 2025-09-18T19:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@pollomarihuano Everything is on the dashboard mate. You can't add your own but you can request others to be added. There's [--] tokens on there so far we have most of the ground covered. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-09-20T04:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A few red candles and suddenly its BTC crash all over my feed. Come on. We literally paused credit around the Fed cut thats how the system works. CLI has already spiked again and should push higher into next week. The pipes are fully loaded Trillions in bills rolling over in the coming months and as the cherry on top of the already bullish cake the collateral multiplier is at a [--] year high That means; More collateral reuse Faster rehypothecation AND even more credit creation. . Liquidity efficiency is rising while everyone on my X has gone bearish. What is everyone seeing 😂 Life is bullish AF"
X Link 2025-09-20T11:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Added a real-time inflation panel to the dashboard today: Trueflation (daily nowcast) alongside CPI/PCE and the gap to the Feds 2% PCE target. This is informational only for now. Why its there: the Fed reacts to inflation; Treasury doesnt in the same way. Fed policy (rates and QE/QT) is shaped by PCE and related measures so a clear read on price pressure helps map the policy path. Treasurys financing choices bills vs coupons buybacks the TGA path and duration mix drive liquidity transmission but arent set off an inflation mandate which is why CLI can still expand even when inflation runs hot."
X Link 2025-09-21T20:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As mentioned yesterday our app received a few upgrades and a refresh Cleaner UI smother charts faster everything. Everything on the desktop on your phone but with notifications (make sure you allow these in your settings if you want them) Perfect for keeping tabs on your analysis and portfolio while you're away from your desk. This is by far the easiest way to do it. I've attached a short walkthrough so you can see the upgrades. To install the app simply open on your phone browsers and tap the install app link. Simple. More upgrades coming more analysis coming more alpha coming. More More"
X Link 2025-09-22T05:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A new deep dive analysis up on the dashboard Looking into the US Debt Crisis Everyone's focused on the $37T debt number and the debt-to-GDP. We've been above 100% debt-to-GDP since [----]. The actual problem The duration collapse creating a refinancing machine that needs to place $2.51 TRILLION in peak months. That's $84 billion EVERY DAY for a month. Has the market ever been tested at this scale No. Can it handle it without Fed intervention We're about to find out. The system isn't broken yet but the margin for error is shrinking fast. Peak months are pushing capacity limits and any shock"
X Link 2025-09-26T10:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looks like weve either had a major data revision or a late backfill. Convenient timing. This series has never printed like that and then right as funds are sidelined and the market rolls over we suddenly get a revised/lagged dump. Im heading out for a round of golf; Ill dig into it properly when Im back and share what changed and why"
X Link 2025-09-27T05:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looks like this was a data error from FRED which has quickly been fixed. Nothing in our debug and all back to normal. End of month dynamics should continue as usual. Apologies for any inconveniences caused. FRED doing us dirty 😂 Looks like weve either had a major data revision or a late backfill. Convenient timing. This series has never printed like that and then right as funds are sidelined and the market rolls over we suddenly get a revised/lagged dump. Im heading out for a round of golf; Ill https://t.co/Bw3HghjnPF Looks like weve either had a major data revision or a late backfill."
X Link 2025-09-27T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"We recently moved the Gold/BTC lead to [--] days instead of [--]. I think when you see the chart from the past few months it's obvious why we have shifted [--] days. Not that [--] days makes much difference as investors except for the fact it's very easy on the eye. However IF this correlation continues mid-late October through to the end of the year is looking extremely wild for $BTC Now I don't ever believe that you should ever rely on one single chart or analysis to position yourself. But when most of what you're looking at is pointing in one direction it's hard not to be overly bullish right now."
X Link 2025-09-30T11:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It takes a lot of work and understanding to follow market dynamics before they happen. Most people think things continue as they did before forever. Which just isn't the case. The vast amount of debt added from COVID and the layover from that has been eye watering. As @RaoulGMI and @BittelJulien mention in their everything code with the US pushing the debt out. Probably the same as the shit they take for the 'banana zone' theme. I genuinely saw someone comment last week slating the thesis just after Sol ripped 20% in [--] weeks 😂. On top of the COVID issue we also have Scott Bessent doubling"
X Link 2025-09-30T16:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@defi_mochi I was thinking the same thing this morning after checking out our Alt League. For such a high beta token it's showing A LOT of strength in the choppy period of the market. @theunipcs and $USELESS family looking very strong for the next phase I think"
X Link 2025-10-01T05:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Seriously though"
X Link 2025-10-01T16:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt League just received an update. We have now added the CA's for all your favourite tokens. $Aura and $USELESS leading the way rn and both absolutely printing. Make sure you're always in the right Alts at the right time With the Alt league. On the dashboard. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league"
X Link 2025-10-02T20:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Our new liquid glass nav bar is honestly a thing of pure beauty 😍 Style gold from the king dev"
X Link 2025-10-04T13:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I'm doing some analysis on meme coin and their communities. Shill me your memes. I have $USELESS and $AURA already"
X Link 2025-10-04T15:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@CiuckaSzymon I'm keen to understand if community size and ROC or other factors can predict token growth rate and token strength. Obviously a few other questions to be asked but this is the main focus right now"
X Link 2025-10-04T18:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Alt League is spitting out some nice entries this morning for those not already allocate. Plenty of names still Risk On and a bit of juice left to run. $USELESS has been a bit of a cheat code on our signals most times weve had a fresh entry its thrown a double digit day. Lets see if it behaves again. If your token is still flagged Risk On dont overthink it; ride it until the signal flips Live list and updates are on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis"
X Link 2025-10-05T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@xbtcas Eth and btc maybe level out tomorrow and don't really move sol has some more DD in it. My opinion. Time will tell"
X Link 2025-10-09T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$ZORA and $ZEN added to the alt league. I will be looking to remove a few tokens this weekend. Ideally want to keep the tracking around [--] tokens so that the notifications are too wild. Any suggestions on tokens to remove or any under performers you want me to keep let me know. Alt League Tracker https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/analysis/alt-league"
X Link 2025-10-10T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Followering on from our last $GOLD and $BTC correlation post. Still beautifully on track. The correlation is actually crazy. A small dip wouldn't and doesn't take uptober away. In fact it's expected. We would fly through the skies after the coming weeks consolidation. Which would make sense to me. Is it that simple ABSOLUTELY NOT. It can and will de-correlate. Bloody beautiful for the moment though so let's just enjoy it. http://www.rjalphadash.co.uk http://www.rjalphadash.co.uk"
X Link 2025-10-10T20:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Yesterdays dump was a manufactured flush IMO and the whole market puked. $BTC snapped straight back into our GLI fair value band the same zone it tends to reconverge into after an over extension. Nothing in the liquidity backdrop changed in a minute; price simply reset. Gold lead stays glued to spot and points higher into next week. Bigger picture unchanged. $150K+ is the next 3m target. On the risk side the leverage gaugers were all in RISK OFF going into the move so users SHOULDN'T HAVE BEN IN LEVERAGE. If you were in our current dominant major BNB you even got a small relief bounce today"
X Link 2025-10-11T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"So risk on risk of is whether you can/should be in the token. Entry signal dictates quality of entry. So i will enter a token when the entry is 7/8 minimum and in a risk on status. When that goes to neutral or risk off I exit and wait for the next entry signal on a risk on token. Im going to do a video later explaining it to people"
X Link 2025-10-12T10:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Another Alt League special from a user this morning. Guys Its simple and easy to use so don't over complicate it. You want to be in the highest performing assets with a Risk on signal You want to enter on the best entry score you can. The entry score is there so you don't top tick the asset. Ideally enter on a 7/8 or an 8/8. Diversify if you can if not don't. As an example I left $USELESS and $AURA and rotated it all into $DASH because that was the only one with a good entry. If another entry comes up else where I will split 50/50 and I will ride them until they're neutral/risk off. Patience"
X Link 2025-10-13T05:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@caueconomy @alphaextract_ I'd argue this chart and this post are incredibly misleading. There's nothing here thats going to push the FED into QE. Not any time soon at least"
X Link 2025-10-15T16:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Crypto_Inside_ 0x8cedb0680531d26e62abdbd0f4c5428b7fdc26d5 Micro gpt"
X Link 2025-01-04T13:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"TGA QE/not QE This Cycle Feels More [----] Than [----] Heres Why Ive been digging into how the Treasury General Account (TGA) Fed Balance Sheet (BS) and Reverse Repo (RRP) levels line up with Bitcoin in [----] [----] and [----]. Quick takeaways: We Look More Like [----] TGA is at moderate levels - much bigger than in [----] but nowhere near 2021s wild swings. Expect partial spend-downs until late March but don't expect the full amount yet then likely a pause around tax season before another push. Historically Q3 shows the strongest gains so keep powder dry and protect profits from late Q1 in Q2. Fed"
X Link 2025-02-10T09:54Z [----] followers, 46.2K engagements
"@mdtrade @JoeSmit29707150 @DavidWil123 Youre mixing up macro liquidity with market liquidity two very different things. Just because rates are high and QE isnt on doesnt mean liquidity isnt being injected. TGA drawdowns RRP shifts global flows"
X Link 2025-02-14T13:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It's easy to get lost in all the moving parts and i think it gets made over complicated but the big picture is simple declining RRP = cash that was sitting idle is now actually moving into the real economy/markets. The Fed balance sheet RRP TGA are only a few pieces of the puzzle. If youre not watching all of it together youre missing half the picture. My dashboard simplifies this with my GLI which tracks it all for you. Feel free to check it out and message me directly with any questions"
X Link 2025-02-14T17:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Theyll slowly weaken the dollar let liquidity drip-feed into markets and keep bond yields stable without formally restarting QE. Its a fine line but theyve done this before in 2017-2019 and it worked (for a while). Hence why i mention many times this is looking a lot like [----]. Debasing the dollar doesnt solve anything long-term but it helps with debt rollover by making Treasuries more attractive to foreign buyers and reducing real debt burdens. At the same time TGA drawdowns RRP unwinds (like it has) and rate cuts will inject liquidity without an official QE announcement not QE/QE. They have"
X Link 2025-02-16T08:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"More solid picks from @MarktQuant bringing toptier data and analysis to the table. If you're not following him yet you're missing out on some serious alpha. Check out his latest selection. P.s i now need to update the alt league with this one. If you have any other alts you want added to the league please let me know and i will add them today. 🌐MARKTQUANTs Asset Selection Table Positions: 🟢LONG $BEL ⚠Important Disclaimer This is not financial advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any financial decisions. The system is currently in its"
X Link 2025-02-21T09:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@realConfiend Auctions are on the 3rd settlements are on the 8th 10th and 15th so expect movement then. We will be dca'ing back in around that time any as we follow the trading strategy on the platform (the btc trading strat through to 2028)"
X Link 2025-07-01T18:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Update. Now added [--] EUR Stablecoins: EURQ (0.257) CEUR (0.276) VEUR (0.292) EURI (0.293) AEUR (0.319) [--] Gold-Backed: PAXG (0.147) Rate limits are an issue with more others we will see what we can do on that front. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ Youll all be thinking surely not. Not another thing being added to the dashboard Yep. Another one. Safety in this space is non negotiable and after a user request were adding a Stable Coin Risk tracking system. Tracking price stability volume peg health and risk in real https://t.co/GxYSd7eYrh https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ Youll all be thinking surely not."
X Link 2025-07-05T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"GMGM New chart added last night. The HODL Index. As previously mentioned created for a user who specifically asked for this type of product. BTC HODL Index blends 75% macro drivers (yields Fed policy equities dollar gold correlations nasdaq + more) with 25% Bitcoin momentum to highlight windows for accumulation and derisking. Youll see clear HODL NEUTRAL (dca periods with clear allocation amounts) and CAUTION markers on the chart. Forward seeing indicator tracking risk in the market. Can be blended with the GLI to help us guide the coming weeks. Premium subscribers can start using it here:"
X Link 2025-07-22T06:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Alt League is seeing a big rework this weekend. I'm removing at least 50% to the tokens. I will add some new ones also adding exit criteria. First question should USELESS be added to the alt league Request from the $USELESS man himself @eatsether Fuck YEAH Fuck NO Yes and add. (comment) No but add.(comment) Fuck YEAH Fuck NO Yes and add. (comment) No but add.(comment)"
X Link 2025-09-06T11:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Risk On / Risk Off gauges (like the new leverage gauges) are coming in to sharpen entries + exits in the Alt League. Right now only $ALU and $USELESS are sitting in true Risk On territory. League size cut from [--] to [--] tokens to clean things up less spammy notifications more focus on what tokens that are actually performing. Youll also be able to filter + favourite the ones you want to track. All this goes live over the next week or so. And yes $USELESS is officially being added to the League. You got your wish @eatsether @theunipcs"
X Link 2025-09-07T06:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Another quick update: Our SOL leverage gauge flipped to Neutral earlier. We entered on the 9th and were closing the leveraged leg here for a nice 19% move. We cap this at 2x . Rotating funds back to spot and waiting for a fresh Risk on signal before re-levering. If you missed the flip its on the Asset Dominance Risk Intelligence panel (updates every [--] minutes) - Risk Intel page of the dashboard. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1969863918911721922 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1969863918911721922"
X Link 2025-09-21T20:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Two months after we launched the Treasury Maturity Tracker the curve is already heavier. Since [--] July: Total UST outstanding has risen from $29.13T $29.80T (+$0.67T). Bills outstanding climbed $6.31T $6.64T (+$0.33T). Next-12M refinancing stepped up $9.53T $9.95T (+$0.42T). The peak rollover month has shifted to Oct [--] and the single-month load jumped $1.97T $2.61T. Thats +$640B concentrated into one month. Most of the increment is short-end. The bill stack keeps getting fatter which is exactly the point I made back in April: This market runs on refinancing waves. Short-dated supply credit"
X Link 2025-09-29T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Our Truflation measure has slid back again now in the low 2s and very close to the FEDs 2% benchmark. Even as the Fed has already started cutting which is exactly what you want for potential easing. disinflation holding while policy turns looser. That gives the Fed real room to keep cutting or add balance sheet support if growth or funding stress shows up without immediately stoking inflation fears. From a liquidity lens that mix tends to pull real yields lower and ease financial conditions constructive for risk especially BTC and the broader Crypto market. Not a promise of QE ofc but the"
X Link 2025-10-01T05:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Treasury update from the tracker: total US public debt has edged down to $29.69T but the mix keeps sliding to the front end. Bills have pushed up while total has come down. Bills now a huge $6.67T and the next 12M refinancing load is now just over a whopping $10.0T. Peak rollover is still this month (now $2.32T). T Credit liquidity is still running through the system while this mix holds. Watch settlement weeks for confirmation. We have now added settlement dates to the calendar page"
X Link 2025-10-03T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Both charts keep doing their job. Our majors rotation flipped back into BTC a few days ago and the bags up just under 10% already. The normalised rotation line says it all. Stay in the market rotate to the leader. AURA is +91% for me (Aura Network not the meme 🙈) and the meme versions been printing too. $USELESS is +45% from the entry. Systems are working. 11% up from the entry signal yesterday morning too. Im still leaning for a pullback somewhere up here so dont chase every green candle too much Follow the signals and scale sensibly. If you havent printed in the last two weeks you probably"
X Link 2025-10-06T12:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Alt league says buy the $USELESS dip. @eatsether and @theunipcs what do you guys reckon 👀 Not financial advice"
X Link 2025-10-10T18:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aura network for the win 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂"
X Link 2025-10-10T21:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Alt League gave us a beauty of an entry into $DASH this morning. 5% up in a few hours. Lets hope this keeps running today"
X Link 2025-10-12T06:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Receipts from this mornings Alt League. The system flagged $DASH as a clean Ready + Risk On. User took it and is sitting on +100% ROI at [--] (spot move was +20% from [-----] 51.24). I got in a little earlier perks of being a super early riser 😂 Thats exactly what the Alt League is built for: surface the strongest setups early and let you act with a plan. It updates live ranks by our composite score and only shows Ready names when the conditions line up. If you want these pings in real time plus the rotation GLI/CLI fair value and risk panels - its all on the dashboard. Do your own research"
X Link 2025-10-12T07:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Something I find wild and it's another Treasury Maturity Tracker update. The bill stack keeps getting fatter and fatter and fatter each month. Peak rollover has ALREADY shifted to Nov [--] at $1.85T (about $1.57T in bills) and this months has barely even got going yet. If they keep rolling bill-into-bill-into-bill-into bill the monthly maturity pile only grows and the short end dominates more each turn. Watch settlements. On our calendar page you can see every auctions settlement date; flows typically show up [--] weeks after settlement. Roughly $250B settled last week as an example. Very small"
X Link 2025-10-12T09:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If your portfolio is small you cannot afford risk. Full stop. The idea that because my port is small I need higher risk to make it is how people blow up and make [--] gains. A 4060% drawdown when youre compounding from a small base is fatal. If you drop 50% it takes you 100% to get back to where you were. Your job isnt to swing for home runs on a weekly basis its to stay in the game long enough to let compounding do the heavy lifting. Dashboard users with a smaller port - stick to the dominant asset rotation. Thats your core. When the lev gauges flip to allow it you can add a little controlled"
X Link 2025-10-13T06:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$SOL looks like its got a bit more downside to run into today. Liq maps show a chunky pocket around $199 which I wouldnt be surprised to see quick sweep there and a bounce. Watching. Full map: NFA. https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/liquidation-maps https://rjalphadash.co.uk/en/liquidation-maps"
X Link 2025-10-14T05:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"My current quick read. More detail will be in this weeks market analysis on the dashboard but for now. Current read: brutal flush but the most bullish structural setup of the year might be forming. From Jul 31Sep [--] Treasury cycled roughly $2.72T in bills (gross) and added roughly $401B net. Over the same stretch the TGA reloaded around $434B So despite trillions moving more cash was locked away than released. But the markets still held up pretty well: BTC tagged $122.6k majors near ATHs S&P steady. Then funding maxed (0.10%/8h) leverage got torched funding flipped negative spreads widened"
X Link 2025-10-15T07:43Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements
"Thats why I said the Fed I'm not talking about the moved from the Treasury included. But for context I've added the same chart but with longer data history for context The urgency framing doesn't match the actual reserve levels. Reserves are at 10.77% of GDP as of August not in any crisis territory. The 8% threshold is based on exactly one data point in history. Basin III was fully implemented in [----] so September [----] is the only test we have under the current regulatory framework. Sample size: N=1. We're currently [----] percentage points above the 8% threshold claim. At the current pace of"
X Link 2025-10-15T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Per FRED today: Reserves are $3.282T GDP is $30.486T giving a ratio of 10.77% is there somewhere more updated than FRED They have mentioned 8-10% as a framework but not a rule and if 8% is "ample" then 8% isn't a crisis threshold it's a comfort zone. UK gilts was pension fund margin calls not bank reserves. SVB (2023) was one bank's ALM failure not system reserves. Only [----] repo is actually relevant to the reserves/GDP discussion the others are different failure modes that don't rely on US banking reserves"
X Link 2025-10-16T05:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Alt League fired another clean entry on $DASH this morning. Flipped green a few hours ago and its already up 3% from trigger. Liq map wise $BTC looking steady but $ETH looks like its got a little heat to the upside. Could see it creep higher today. Follow strength manage risk. Keep your eyes peeled 👀 Everything you need is live on the dashboard https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-10-16T06:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I feel like its time to drop some financial wisdom for the dashboard users today. Lets really break down why banking reserves dont matter right now and why the Fed really isnt watching them the way people think. Even some of the experts still dont understand the current mechanism. Is there huge stress in the market Yes. Is it due to banking reserves No. But fear not RJ Alphas here to guide you through the maze that is the modern financial system. And of course keep an eye out for the analysis to get copied in about a week"
X Link 2025-10-17T05:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Credit has tightened significantly over the past few weeks and our Credit Liquidity Index flagged the risk before Bitcoin's $25k drop from the October highs. Even caught the small inflection to the upside in between. The whole financial system runs on credit right now that's why traditional metrics like bank reserves do not matter. When credit conditions shift everything else follows. We'll break down exactly what happened and what it means for the broader market in our deep dive analysis later today. The CLI shows us the general direction before these moves happen. Do not fear. This is a"
X Link 2025-10-17T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Quick update from the dashboard Weve had another dump in the credit gauges inside the CLI and it doesnt look like a bottom for $BTC yet. This still feels like a grind lower or at best a period of chop and base building before the next leg. Were roughly sitting on GLI fair value but I can see a path to $101k if the tightening persists. The Gold lead fair value model starts pointing higher around the 24th which lines up with a heavy bill-settlement window the week before. So theres a plausible macro handoff there. My only hesitation is the current monthly trend which I mentioned previously:"
X Link 2025-10-18T07:24Z [----] followers, 23.1K engagements
"@100trillionUSD I doubt we will see below [---] but we could get close. Big credit liquidity drain still playing out plus end of month refinancing. It'll bounce back pretty quickly though IMO. A few charts in a post I sent out earlier. https://x.com/Rob_Jones19/status/1979448513059586326t=qhMUFHVbvIvRLk2nY_cTuA&s=19 Quick update from the dashboard Weve had another dump in the credit gauges inside the CLI and it doesnt look like a bottom for $BTC yet. This still feels like a grind lower or at best a period of chop and base building before the next leg. Were roughly sitting on GLI"
X Link 2025-10-18T09:13Z [----] followers, 18K engagements
"Gold maxis slating $BTC rn are laughable. Seeing it everywhere. Gold isn't backed by anything. It literally hasn't been since Nixon ended the gold standard in [----]. Both gold and Bitcoin are the same value from scarcity plus belief. The difference is how you verify that scarcity. For U.S. gold reserves the government reports [-----] million oz worth $693 billion stored at Fort Knox West Point Denver and the NY Fed. To verify that you have to literally trust their internal audits. The last external audit was in [----] when they checked [--] of [--] compartments at Fort Knox. Every audit since has been"
X Link 2025-10-19T19:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Collectivexit @AnarchyBuddhist Its hilarious that gold maxi's never seem to mention the fact they haven't done that. Almost like its because its not there 😆. I reckon Nancy Pelosi has most of it 😂😂😂"
X Link 2025-10-20T06:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$BTC is still tracking credit conditions almost move for move it's been pretty much same story all year. We got a big drawdown in credit and the majors followed ( $BTC $ETH $SOL $BNB the lot). Weve seen the precise little bounce the CLI hinted at but it still looks like theres at least one more shakeout potentially to come. Do not touch leverage. Seriously youve donated enough already. Let this week play through; direction is up in the air until the next data prints. If youre not following the data you'll be very confused in the current market. Watch it all on the dashboard:"
X Link 2025-10-20T06:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Time to exit $DASH here for me. Although it's still 'risk on' within the Alt League - I do think there's strong potential for another shake out. So protect profits on this little uptick and take the +19% on a difficult week in the market wait for the next set up. Alt League fired another clean entry on $DASH this morning. Flipped green a few hours ago and its already up 3% from trigger. Liq map wise $BTC looking steady but $ETH looks like its got a little heat to the upside. Could see it creep higher today. Follow strength manage https://t.co/g9hR0KiFv2 Alt League fired another clean entry on"
X Link 2025-10-20T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Time to start scaling back in here for me. Im starting my SDCA today sticking with our dominant major $BTC. Still think $ETH and $SOL could see a bit more downside but the setup looks right for the king. Im already 50% spot in BTC and will ramp in around 10% a day unless we see a bigger flush in which case Ill LSI though I dont think thats likely. GLI is sitting right on fair value which has been solid support all year. Gold fair value is above us with a potential climb kicking off around the 24th if that model holds. Add in the coming FOMC inflations under control the regime model is leaning"
X Link 2025-10-21T06:04Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"I personally believe the extra price is worth it. It depends if you're using it for macro or just to be told what token to be in. If you're just wanting to HODL then you only need the dominant major rotation system and the Alt league (for a small portion of your port). Which are both in basic If you want a deeper overview you need premium. I use literally every chart so I would need premium personally"
X Link 2025-10-21T15:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Good news Todays market analysis is going live on the dashboard soon. Ive included a full breakdown of my DCA plan from yesterday why the timing lines up here and my broader outlook for the next [--] months. Im still leaning toward this bull leg extending at least into late [----] with a strong chance it runs into [----] depending on how fast the Fed moves under the next Chair. All the details are up on the dashboard: https://rjalphadash.co.uk/ https://rjalphadash.co.uk/"
X Link 2025-10-22T06:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"DCA zone still looks solid to me current average entry sitting around $108166. End of month shenanigans could still show up though I dont really expect much with FOMC in play just something to keep in mind. If youre following along do it safely. $BTC only no leverage. My bias leans up from here. Liq maps gold CLI data and the FOMC setup all point that way. But Ive been wrong before and Ill be wrong again. Stay on the right side of the risk curve and youll be fine. Time to start scaling back in here for me. Im starting my SDCA today sticking with our dominant major $BTC. Still think $ETH and"
X Link 2025-10-23T05:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Seeing the Gold vs $BTC chart everywhere at the moment and yeah its beautiful. If it keeps tracking like this Ill happily retire early. But please dont build your outlook off a single chart. As I said in the weekly analysis letter for dashboard users it works right now and while its working it cannot be ignored. There is 100% merit to the relationship between the two but it wont hold like this forever. These relationships never do. That said theres more behind this direction that adds weight. A few models and thesis all back the same direction so theres a solid chance this plays out for a"
X Link 2025-10-25T07:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing