#  @RayShioSays Ray Shio Ray Shio posts on X about polymarket, market, fan, me in the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::2005693306102235136/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +149% - [--] Month [------] +569% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2005693306102235136/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -13% - [--] Month [--] +92% ### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2005693306102235136/followers)  - [--] Week [--] +22% - [--] Month [--] +136% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::2005693306102235136/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 8.11% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 2.7% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 2.7% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 2.7% [countries](/list/countries) 2.7% **Social topic influence** [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #595, [market](/topic/market) 10.81%, [fan](/topic/fan) 8.11%, [me in](/topic/me-in) 5.41%, [money](/topic/money) 5.41%, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #252, [in the](/topic/in-the) 5.41%, [trust](/topic/trust) 5.41%, [new york](/topic/new-york) 2.7%, [york city](/topic/york-city) 2.7% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@navalismhq](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "After months of planning we're excited to announce 'The Polymarket' is coming to New York City. New York's first free grocery store. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. 🧵 https://t.co/BGMCWUMz8n After months of planning we're excited to announce 'The Polymarket' is coming to New York City. New York's first free grocery store. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. 🧵 https://t.co/BGMCWUMz8n" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2018788580525789347) 2026-02-03T20:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "me convincing my degenerate friend to come in with me on a polymarket bet (it's a lock)" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2019510681108939224) 2026-02-05T20:37Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "How it feels to take the 3% side of a polymarket bet (I suddenly become very philosophical about independent thinking)" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2019526963275481447) 2026-02-05T21:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Me when I overhear the guys behind me in line at sweetgreen talking about "polymarket" and "it's a lock" (they're wearing patagonia vests so it probably is a lock)" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2019780799290384891) 2026-02-06T14:30Z [--] followers, 10.4K engagements "Me when I make the bet on polymarket vs. when it doesn't resolves in my favor" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2021314558951030958) 2026-02-10T20:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""It's not gambling it's prediction markets. See you monitor the smart money track the whale movements and cross-reference all of that with Twitter discourse. It's basically free money for anyone paying attention. Anyways want another beer On me of course haha"" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2019060400713764916) 2026-02-04T14:48Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "ideal setup for monitoring situations on polymarket" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2021671623456436249) 2026-02-11T19:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""Trust me bro it's a lock I've done the research. I'm in the prediction market alpha group chats."" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2021949316408197208) 2026-02-12T14:07Z [--] followers, 10.5K engagements "when the rapture is here but you have a polymarket bet that it would happen before EOY" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2022050505615376732) 2026-02-12T20:49Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "One thing Polymarket makes very clear is how uncomfortable people are without certainty. They dont want to estimate. They want to belong. So they latch onto a position and start defending it like a team. Criticism feels personal because they made it personal. Thats not analysis. Thats identity management. I just sit back and watch the sheep herd themselves together. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006409522194387220 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006409522194387220" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2006409522194387220) 2025-12-31T16:58Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Polymarket traders love to say follow the whale because it lets them skip the part where they justify a probability. Its the intellectual equivalent of buying a jersey with someone elses name on it. Youre not analyzing youre attaching yourself to a perceived winner so you can feel insulated from blame. Then when it goes wrong you claim the whale baited everyone like you were tricked instead of lazy. Nobody tricked you you just refused to do your own research. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007101837665771570 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007101837665771570" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2007101837665771570) 2026-01-02T14:49Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "On Polymarket people treat a [--] percent contract like its a guarantee. Seventy percent means you still lose three times out of ten which is apparently too much reality for your brains to hold at once. So you speak in absolutes because absolutes feel safe and probabilities feel like weakness. Thats fan behavior not analyst behavior because fans need certainty to enjoy the game. When the [--] percent happens you dont say variance you say scam because accountability hurts. Polymarket is an IQ test where the questions are written in percentages and you keep answering in slogans." [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2008302766075371533) 2026-01-05T22:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "On Polymarket you can watch people become prisoners of their own posting history. They make a bold call get attention and then spend weeks defending it. Updating or admitting when you're wrong would be rational but rational doesnt get applause. So they choose consistency over accuracy. The market moves the evidence changes and they stay frozen because their identity is at stake. Polymarket is not your brand strategy and your inability to separate the two is why you keep losing. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008637862716256740 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008637862716256740" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2008637862716256740) 2026-01-06T20:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "I keep seeing Polymarket traders say they trust the process and then I look for the process and find nothing. The process is usually just watching the chart and hoping the next candle fixes their emotions. Hope is not a process" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2009003428933194119) 2026-01-07T20:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "On Polymarket people keep acting like being early is the same as being right. Being early and being wrong is just being wrong with extra time to embarrass yourself. But you love early because it feels like insider status. Thats fan logic where arriving before kickoff makes you feel like part of the team. A correct forecast is not a vibe its a probability that holds up under new information. Polymarket is full of people chasing the feeling of genius instead of the discipline of calibration. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009402062581436830 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009402062581436830" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2009402062581436830) 2026-01-08T23:09Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "I see Polymarket traders build entire theses around one source because it matches what they already want to believe. They call it credible which is their way of saying comfortable. Then they ignore every conflicting signal and act confused when the market doesnt follow their chosen storyline. Thats like a fan only watching highlights from their team and calling it film study. If you cant steelman the other side you dont have a view. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009735941003346063 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009735941003346063" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2009735941003346063) 2026-01-09T21:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "People on Polymarket love showing their positions like a fan showing a closet full of merch. They think more tickets means more intelligence. It usually just means more ways to be wrong without noticing. If your positions dont have a unified framework you dont have a strategy. You have a scrapbook of impulses. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010056301162967390 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010056301162967390" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2010056301162967390) 2026-01-10T18:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "When someone on Polymarket says they have info it usually means they have a notification. A notification is not an edge. An edge is understanding how the news changes the distribution which requires actual thinking. But thinking is lonely and youd rather be social. So you post the link claim superiority and wait for applause like a fan who memorized trivia. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010823608067899821 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010823608067899821" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2010823608067899821) 2026-01-12T21:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "A lot of Polymarket participants treat research like it means collecting links that agree with them. They dont weigh evidence they stack it like a fan stacking highlight clips. Then they call the stack due diligence and act offended when the market doesnt move. If your research doesnt include disconfirming data its not research. Its self-hypnosis with citations. Polymarket doesnt care how many tabs you opened it cares whether you changed your mind when you should have. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010833121772789836 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010833121772789836" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2010833121772789836) 2026-01-12T21:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "On Polymarket people do research the way fans do film study which is to say they watch what makes them feel correct. They cherry-pick a few points ignore the base rate and then declare a confident estimate. When challenged they say do your own research which is a classic sign they did none. Real work is structured comparative and explicit about uncertainty. You avoid that because structure limits your ability to posture. Polymarket is not impressed by your posture even if your followers are. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011101691039617523" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2011101691039617523) 2026-01-13T15:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "On Polymarket most people dont have a thesis they have a mood. A mood feels powerful in the moment so they bet post and recruit agreement. Then the market resolves and they retro fit a thesis to look competent. Thats not forecasting thats fan commentary after the game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011142964517748772 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011142964517748772" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2011142964517748772) 2026-01-13T18:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "On Polymarket people treat new highs like a spiritual event. They see a price at [--] and start talking like its destiny. Thats not destiny thats crowded positioning. Fans see a team on a win streak and start planning the parade before the playoffs. A high price is not a promise its an expensive contract. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011565140085522608 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011565140085522608" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2011565140085522608) 2026-01-14T22:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Every time someone says a Polymarket outcome was obvious what they mean is I feel better now that its over. That sentence alone explains most losses" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2012299680483524993) 2026-01-16T23:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Polymarket doesnt reward intelligence. It punishes emotional literacy gaps" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2013380087723544639) 2026-01-19T22:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Thinking in only polymarket odds has permanently damaged my personality behind repair I fear" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2013985947940225194) 2026-01-21T14:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "I cant enjoy events anymore. I just wonder how theyd be priced on polymarket" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2014019689333330192) 2026-01-21T16:58Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "How it feels explaining prediction markets to my novice friend (he only bets on sports)" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2014083847714226285) 2026-01-21T21:13Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "How I pull up to happy hour with the boys after going undefeated on polymarket this week" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2014834458856394802) 2026-01-23T22:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The look my girl gives me when she sees polymarket pulled up on my phone" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2015935945338716316) 2026-01-26T23:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "i predict this is going to do numbers on this app" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2016627284372021383) 2026-01-28T21:39Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Can guarantee this setup belongs to some unemployed [--] year old who is monitoring situations on polymarket like it's his full time job" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2016287925554840011) 2026-01-27T23:11Z [--] followers, 22.2K engagements "me opening my grandmother's eyes to the incredible opportunity that is emptying her retirement account so that I can double her money by betting it on global political unrest on polymarket" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2017317855545725315) 2026-01-30T19:23Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "me after going 0/10 on Grammy picks on polymarket" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2018411612139659459) 2026-02-02T19:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "me in the comments on polymarket hyping up an event from [--] different burner accounts" [X Link](https://x.com/RayShioSays/status/2018711844937207822) 2026-02-03T15:43Z [--] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@RayShioSays Ray Shio
Ray Shio posts on X about polymarket, market, fan, me in the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [------] #
- [--] Week [------] +149%
- [--] Month [------] +569%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] -13%
- [--] Month [--] +92%
Followers: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +22%
- [--] Month [--] +136%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance 8.11% travel destinations 2.7% social networks 2.7% technology brands 2.7% countries 2.7%
Social topic influence polymarket #595, market 10.81%, fan 8.11%, me in 5.41%, money 5.41%, prediction markets #252, in the 5.41%, trust 5.41%, new york 2.7%, york city 2.7%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @navalismhq
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"After months of planning we're excited to announce 'The Polymarket' is coming to New York City. New York's first free grocery store. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. 🧵 https://t.co/BGMCWUMz8n After months of planning we're excited to announce 'The Polymarket' is coming to New York City. New York's first free grocery store. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. 🧵 https://t.co/BGMCWUMz8n"
X Link 2026-02-03T20:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"me convincing my degenerate friend to come in with me on a polymarket bet (it's a lock)"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:37Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"How it feels to take the 3% side of a polymarket bet (I suddenly become very philosophical about independent thinking)"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Me when I overhear the guys behind me in line at sweetgreen talking about "polymarket" and "it's a lock" (they're wearing patagonia vests so it probably is a lock)"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:30Z [--] followers, 10.4K engagements
"Me when I make the bet on polymarket vs. when it doesn't resolves in my favor"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""It's not gambling it's prediction markets. See you monitor the smart money track the whale movements and cross-reference all of that with Twitter discourse. It's basically free money for anyone paying attention. Anyways want another beer On me of course haha""
X Link 2026-02-04T14:48Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"ideal setup for monitoring situations on polymarket"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""Trust me bro it's a lock I've done the research. I'm in the prediction market alpha group chats.""
X Link 2026-02-12T14:07Z [--] followers, 10.5K engagements
"when the rapture is here but you have a polymarket bet that it would happen before EOY"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:49Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"One thing Polymarket makes very clear is how uncomfortable people are without certainty. They dont want to estimate. They want to belong. So they latch onto a position and start defending it like a team. Criticism feels personal because they made it personal. Thats not analysis. Thats identity management. I just sit back and watch the sheep herd themselves together. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006409522194387220 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006409522194387220"
X Link 2025-12-31T16:58Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Polymarket traders love to say follow the whale because it lets them skip the part where they justify a probability. Its the intellectual equivalent of buying a jersey with someone elses name on it. Youre not analyzing youre attaching yourself to a perceived winner so you can feel insulated from blame. Then when it goes wrong you claim the whale baited everyone like you were tricked instead of lazy. Nobody tricked you you just refused to do your own research. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007101837665771570 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007101837665771570"
X Link 2026-01-02T14:49Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"On Polymarket people treat a [--] percent contract like its a guarantee. Seventy percent means you still lose three times out of ten which is apparently too much reality for your brains to hold at once. So you speak in absolutes because absolutes feel safe and probabilities feel like weakness. Thats fan behavior not analyst behavior because fans need certainty to enjoy the game. When the [--] percent happens you dont say variance you say scam because accountability hurts. Polymarket is an IQ test where the questions are written in percentages and you keep answering in slogans."
X Link 2026-01-05T22:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"On Polymarket you can watch people become prisoners of their own posting history. They make a bold call get attention and then spend weeks defending it. Updating or admitting when you're wrong would be rational but rational doesnt get applause. So they choose consistency over accuracy. The market moves the evidence changes and they stay frozen because their identity is at stake. Polymarket is not your brand strategy and your inability to separate the two is why you keep losing. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008637862716256740 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008637862716256740"
X Link 2026-01-06T20:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"I keep seeing Polymarket traders say they trust the process and then I look for the process and find nothing. The process is usually just watching the chart and hoping the next candle fixes their emotions. Hope is not a process"
X Link 2026-01-07T20:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"On Polymarket people keep acting like being early is the same as being right. Being early and being wrong is just being wrong with extra time to embarrass yourself. But you love early because it feels like insider status. Thats fan logic where arriving before kickoff makes you feel like part of the team. A correct forecast is not a vibe its a probability that holds up under new information. Polymarket is full of people chasing the feeling of genius instead of the discipline of calibration. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009402062581436830 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009402062581436830"
X Link 2026-01-08T23:09Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"I see Polymarket traders build entire theses around one source because it matches what they already want to believe. They call it credible which is their way of saying comfortable. Then they ignore every conflicting signal and act confused when the market doesnt follow their chosen storyline. Thats like a fan only watching highlights from their team and calling it film study. If you cant steelman the other side you dont have a view. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009735941003346063 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009735941003346063"
X Link 2026-01-09T21:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"People on Polymarket love showing their positions like a fan showing a closet full of merch. They think more tickets means more intelligence. It usually just means more ways to be wrong without noticing. If your positions dont have a unified framework you dont have a strategy. You have a scrapbook of impulses. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010056301162967390 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010056301162967390"
X Link 2026-01-10T18:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"When someone on Polymarket says they have info it usually means they have a notification. A notification is not an edge. An edge is understanding how the news changes the distribution which requires actual thinking. But thinking is lonely and youd rather be social. So you post the link claim superiority and wait for applause like a fan who memorized trivia. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010823608067899821 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010823608067899821"
X Link 2026-01-12T21:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"A lot of Polymarket participants treat research like it means collecting links that agree with them. They dont weigh evidence they stack it like a fan stacking highlight clips. Then they call the stack due diligence and act offended when the market doesnt move. If your research doesnt include disconfirming data its not research. Its self-hypnosis with citations. Polymarket doesnt care how many tabs you opened it cares whether you changed your mind when you should have. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010833121772789836 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010833121772789836"
X Link 2026-01-12T21:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"On Polymarket people do research the way fans do film study which is to say they watch what makes them feel correct. They cherry-pick a few points ignore the base rate and then declare a confident estimate. When challenged they say do your own research which is a classic sign they did none. Real work is structured comparative and explicit about uncertainty. You avoid that because structure limits your ability to posture. Polymarket is not impressed by your posture even if your followers are. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011101691039617523"
X Link 2026-01-13T15:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"On Polymarket most people dont have a thesis they have a mood. A mood feels powerful in the moment so they bet post and recruit agreement. Then the market resolves and they retro fit a thesis to look competent. Thats not forecasting thats fan commentary after the game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011142964517748772 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011142964517748772"
X Link 2026-01-13T18:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"On Polymarket people treat new highs like a spiritual event. They see a price at [--] and start talking like its destiny. Thats not destiny thats crowded positioning. Fans see a team on a win streak and start planning the parade before the playoffs. A high price is not a promise its an expensive contract. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011565140085522608 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011565140085522608"
X Link 2026-01-14T22:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Every time someone says a Polymarket outcome was obvious what they mean is I feel better now that its over. That sentence alone explains most losses"
X Link 2026-01-16T23:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Polymarket doesnt reward intelligence. It punishes emotional literacy gaps"
X Link 2026-01-19T22:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Thinking in only polymarket odds has permanently damaged my personality behind repair I fear"
X Link 2026-01-21T14:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"I cant enjoy events anymore. I just wonder how theyd be priced on polymarket"
X Link 2026-01-21T16:58Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"How it feels explaining prediction markets to my novice friend (he only bets on sports)"
X Link 2026-01-21T21:13Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"How I pull up to happy hour with the boys after going undefeated on polymarket this week"
X Link 2026-01-23T22:55Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The look my girl gives me when she sees polymarket pulled up on my phone"
X Link 2026-01-26T23:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"i predict this is going to do numbers on this app"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:39Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Can guarantee this setup belongs to some unemployed [--] year old who is monitoring situations on polymarket like it's his full time job"
X Link 2026-01-27T23:11Z [--] followers, 22.2K engagements
"me opening my grandmother's eyes to the incredible opportunity that is emptying her retirement account so that I can double her money by betting it on global political unrest on polymarket"
X Link 2026-01-30T19:23Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"me after going 0/10 on Grammy picks on polymarket"
X Link 2026-02-02T19:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"me in the comments on polymarket hyping up an event from [--] different burner accounts"
X Link 2026-02-03T15:43Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing