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# ![@PunterJeff Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::500601961.png) @PunterJeff Jeff Walton

MicroStrategy ($MSTR) is making significant strides, with its market capitalization currently ranking around 105th largest US company, and has been consistently qualifying for the S&P XXX for over XX days. The company's success is attributed to its bitcoin holdings, which are expected to generate substantial net income, with estimates suggesting $XXX billion in Q3 2025. MicroStrategy's innovative approach to digital credit and risk transfer is also gaining attention.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::500601961/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::500601961/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX -XXXX%
- X Months XXXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXX +309%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::500601961/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::500601961/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX -XXXX%
- X Months XXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXX +60%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::500601961/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::500601961/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +0.10%
- X Month XXXXXX +0.75%
- X Months XXXXXX +23%
- X Year XXXXXX +256%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::500601961/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::500601961/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::500601961/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #1664 [finance](/list/finance)  XXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXX% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  #4955 [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  XXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXX% [currencies](/list/currencies)  XXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXXX% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #1011, [$mstr](/topic/$mstr) #24, [market cap](/topic/market-cap) #74, [money](/topic/money) 0.52%, [land of](/topic/land-of) #447, [tracking](/topic/tracking) #216, [cash flow](/topic/cash-flow) #128, [balance sheet](/topic/balance-sheet) #1513, [$5b](/topic/$5b) #37, [debt](/topic/debt) #1621

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@saylor](/creator/undefined) [@benwerkman](/creator/undefined) [@joshmandell6](/creator/undefined) [@mstrtruenorth](/creator/undefined) [@hillerydan](/creator/undefined) [@strategy](/creator/undefined) [@realjimchanos](/creator/undefined) [@colemacro](/creator/undefined) [@timkotzman](/creator/undefined) [@hurdleratepod](/creator/undefined) [@ryquant](/creator/undefined) [@z06z07](/creator/undefined) [@hermeslux](/creator/undefined) [@80iqmindset](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@mmmicrostrategy](/creator/undefined) [@adrian_r_morris](/creator/undefined) [@nithusezni](/creator/undefined) [@jberneburg](/creator/undefined) [@thejessemk](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Metaplanet Inc. (MTPLF)](/topic/$mtplf) [Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY)](/topic/$bmy) [American Tower Corp (AMT)](/topic/$amt) [Duke Energy Corp (DUK)](/topic/$duk) [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH)](/topic/$ph) [Cadence Design Systems Inc (CDNS)](/topic/$cdns) [HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA)](/topic/$hca) [Waste Management, Inc. (WM)](/topic/$wm) [Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)](/topic/$ceg) [CME Group Inc (CME)](/topic/$cme) [Moody's Corporation (MCO)](/topic/$mco) [Strive, Inc. (ASST)](/topic/$asst) [Allstate Corp (ALL)](/topic/allstate) [Ford Motor Company (F)](/topic/ford-motor-company)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::500601961/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Would you rather: Lend money to someone with a high paying job and few assets Or Lend money to someone with a low paying job and tons of assets Which is a better credit risk What about in a market downtown"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1977233172795715872) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-12T04:41Z 55.9K followers, 31.9K engagements


"@dailydirtnap Bewilderment intensifying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978973675865989563) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-16T23:57Z 55.9K followers, 10.7K engagements


"Real Estate is like a margin-able junk status convertible non cumulative perpetual preferred equity with a XXX BP expense ratio and sporadic liquidity. Trading at X% ARRs Digital Credit will disrupt the entire architecture of the financial system with sound money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1973954741257605134) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-03T03:34Z 55.9K followers, 28.5K engagements


"The notoriously OPAQUE Private Credit market ($2T - $5T) has a composite average interest coverage ratio (ICR) of 1.5x which is down XX% in the last X years (see image). Interest coverage ratio is defined as: (Earnings before interest & tax / Interest expense) XX% of Private Credit borrowers have ICR below 1.5x meaning that they have annual earnings less than XX% greater than their annual interest expense. Typical private credit yields are between X% and XX% incredibly difficult to underwrite & notoriously illiquid (as seen in recent debacle with First Brands bankruptcy - bonds trading to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1977990882705187267) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T06:52Z 55.9K followers, 53.7K engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 117th largest US company by market cap ($90.6B) Jumped X companies today. Behind green aprons & bean water + coinbase. Day XX in a row qualifying for the S&P XXX 17th largest publicly traded company by market cap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1977996965700096165) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T07:16Z 55.9K followers, 49.5K engagements


"We're back with Hurdle Rate episode XX. We hit on: - Crypto Market flash crash - Building a BTC Treasury company from zero - The Private Credit market Tune in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978137565522723196) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T16:35Z 55.9K followers, 18.3K engagements


"Insurance Company business model: Steps: X. Start with assets (base capital) X. Issue tail risk protection products to the market in exchange for premium X. Invest premium in assets (diversified) X. Pay for claims when they arise using future premiums and only assets if absolutely necessary X. Make PROFIT on the float (holding assets against future liabilities) The premium collected IS the cash flow. The operational costs are factored into the liabilities as an expense ratio. Sound familiar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978249818100449724) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-15T00:01Z 55.9K followers, 25K engagements


"Optional steps: X. Influence local jurisdiction tax laws to improve profitability. X. Utilize jurisdictional tax law arbitrage to your advantage X. Purchase reinsurance to protect base assets from large catastrophic downside events (to avoid liquidating illiquid assets) X. Utilize technology to improve distribution channels and product implementation (given the hyper competitive landscape) X. Explore creative financing mechanisms to manage tail exposure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978251416121872728) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-15T00:07Z 55.9K followers, 7117 engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 125th largest US company by market cap ($86.3B) Fell X companies yesterday. Paint is in the building Day XX in a row qualifying for the S&P XXX 18th largest publicly traded equity by volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978428649922564256) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-15T11:52Z 55.9K followers, 44.8K engagements


"Private credit showing strain: - XX% of market has negative cash flow - Interest coverage down XX% in 3yrs - Bankruptcies from First Brands and Tricor - Large downtown CRE leases rolling over Pensions Insurers & Endowments have been chasing that sexy high yield to meet growing fiat liabilities. The overwhelming demand for yield has made the opaque high yield market too big to fail. You can almost hear the printer warming. Long digital credit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1979048053572022442) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-17T04:53Z 55.9K followers, 25.1K engagements


"If I were a hedge fund short Metaplanet ( $MTPLF) right now the most cost effective thing you can do to get out of this pickle is to find and PAY another alternative Japanese corporation $XXX Million to go buy 4500 BTC and put it on balance sheet (ASAP) There are XXX companies with a market cap $5B USD in Japan trading on Japan stock exchange"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1925452577032081783) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-05-22T07:24Z 55.9K followers, 63.8K engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 111th largest US company by market cap ($95.5B) Fell XX companies today. Back in the land of Big Trash and Biopharma For comparison sake: Net incomes (Retained Earnings) in 2024 (excluding 2025 YTD) $MSTR: $12.7B $CEG: $3.7B $BMY: -$8.9B $CME: $3.48B $AMT: $2.25B $DUK: $4.4B $HOOD: $1.4B $PH: $3.5B $CDNS: $1.05B $HCA: $5.7B $WM: $2.7B $MCO: $2.0B $DELL: $4.5B $MSTR in a league of its own. Day XX in a row of qualifying for S&P XXX 13th largest publicly traded equity by volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1957925030232535220) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-08-19T21:57Z 55.9K followers, 45.6K engagements


"My math wasn't correct in the video. Chevron did a $75B buyback in 2023. If they would have taken XX% of this $75B to buy BTC they would have purchased 806900 Bitcoin worth $92Billion. The market cap of Chevron today is $326B. Since the buyback in 2023 the market cap of Chevron dropped $XX Billion. The Bitcoin purchased would have gained $XX Billion. increasing the asset side of their balance sheet by 36%. If Chevron would have purchased XXX% of their buyback in BTC (3227600) the value of the BTC ($366B) would be greater than the current market cap ($326B) Crazy statistic regardless"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1970926697630531977) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-09-24T19:01Z 55.9K followers, 7087 engagements


"A couple people caught a mistake in the calcs updates: X days into Q4 and $MSTR is sitting on $6.98B of unrealized gain & $4.9B of net income Roughly: $XXX Million of Net Income per day $XXX Thousand of Net Income per employee per day What's another $470M between friends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975355340289179825) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-07T00:19Z 55.9K followers, 28.5K engagements


"Eventually $MSTR will be issuing $1B / month in preferred equity. Then $1B / week. Then $1B / day. There's so much Bewilderment on the horizon. Tons of meat left on the bone. The math looks good 🟩👆"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975447327977676808) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-07T06:25Z 55.9K followers, 48.2K engagements


"$MSTR 1x mNAV analysis: Bitcoin TC's are constantly working to increase the Bitcoin exposure per share (BTC yield). This creates another dimension of risk when valuing these companies; however at different points in time offer substantial value generating opportunities Math is clear as day and Bitcoin NGU technology is what affords this opportunity. Since 12/30/23: Bitcoin: + XXX% MSTR 1x mNAV: + XXX% MSTR price: $XXX These equities aren't broken. They're likely going to the top of the publicly traded leaderboard. 🟩👆"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975660151349912056) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-07T20:31Z 55.9K followers, 38.4K engagements


""The Debasement Trade" US M2 money supply has grown XXX times faster than CPI over the last XX years. "The De-NothingStopsThisTrain-ment Trade""  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975749288161411284) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-08T02:25Z 55.9K followers, 15.2K engagements


"@Adrian_R_Morris Throw Metaplanet in there too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1800920806320644153) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2024-06-12T15:59Z 55.9K followers, 2704 engagements


"$MSTR now ranked 141st largest US company by market cap ($73.52B) Fell XX companies today. Back in no mans land sandwiched between toothpaste and TransDigm Group (whoever the hell that is) Day XXX in a row of qualifying for S&P XXX market cap threshold 9th largest publicly traded equity by volume today. Enjoy the ride 🌊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1894137569455345922) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-02-24T21:29Z 55.9K followers, 59.9K engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 109th largest US company by market cap ($96.4B) Fell X company today. Who the hell is Cadence design systems just another XX PE equity with an XXXX P/book ratio Day XX in a row of qualifying for S&P XXX 18th largest publicly traded equity by volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1961210566477058243) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-08-28T23:33Z 55.9K followers, 44.1K engagements


"Oof Perhaps 24/7/365 collateral is a better credit risk. Bitcoin Backed Digital Credit will run circles around the entire corporate credit world. You can also see the CLEAR liquidity risk in the graphs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1974606041057993182) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-04T22:42Z 55.9K followers, 33.2K engagements


"Time to go to Werk man Brain power + AI + Bitcoin engineering the cleanest Bitcoin accumulating machine Excitement is an understatement. Thrilled to have @BenWerkman in the brain trust"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975187255607369999) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-06T13:11Z 55.9K followers, 22.8K engagements


"@mozyapper They use EV. I used simple equity market cap relative to BTC nav"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975660849282052183) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-07T20:33Z 55.9K followers, 1474 engagements


"$5b worth of collateral could support $2.5B of PPE at XX% annual interest coverage. Hundreds of billions of this product offered by hundreds of companies makes a dent in the fixed income market. Scale as an industry matters. Same reason you can buy the same commoditized home insurance product from StateFarm Allstate Nationwide Progressive Chubb Travelers American Family Liberty Mutual USAA Berkshire Hathaway CNA The Hartford AIG etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975691259265310842) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-07T22:34Z 55.9K followers, 10.4K engagements


"Sneak preview of this week's Bad Bond of the Week: Ford Motor Company $F has XXX% more DEBT than liquid assets on their balance sheet and declining net income $88B in Long Term debt against $37B in cash Ford has some debt maturities out to 2032 2046 2048 2059 and 2062"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1975822133944328544) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-08T07:14Z 55.9K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Imagine having $250K in Credit Card Limit and a mortgage thats 5x your assets but still worrying about Strategys XX% leverage. Theres bad debt everywhere AT SCALE and credit QUALITY will become INCREASINGLY more important in the digital era backed by Digital CAPITAL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1976006661736366193) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-08T19:27Z 55.9K followers, 24.7K engagements


"Agenda for tonights broadcast: Tune in 10pm ET / 7pm PST Agenda: STR update X. What is money What is credit What is risk X. BTC treasury co's - can multiple exist & Dominant empires X. "The debasement trade" & the dollar abroad X. Bad bond of the week segment (Ford motor) X. "AI / Cisco" - Silicon Valley business models"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1976059894953542139) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-08T22:59Z 55.9K followers, 26.1K engagements


"@Adrian_R_Morris Omar comin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1976462321917808994) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-10T01:38Z 55.9K followers, 2305 engagements


"First Brands (a private co.) just filed for bankruptcy Reports of $5B - $11B of debt / O/S liabilities Below is an image of their INSANELY complex corporate capital structure This company was able to raise Billions in the credit markets with extreme complexity and apparently separate opaque off balance sheet financing. Conversely Strategy provides liability & risk profile transparency updated 24/7/365. There are thousands of examples like this in the private and corporate credit world. Which is a better credit risk Which would you rather underwrite First Brands or $MSTR Bitcoin backed digital"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1976524850241077275) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-10T05:47Z 55.9K followers, 35.2K engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 123rd largest US company by market cap ($87.5B) Fell X companies today. Back in the land of BIG Paint spark plugs / windshield wipers and floating hotels. Day XX in a row qualifying for the S&P XXX 20th largest publicly traded equity by volume No tariffs on Bitcoin long leverage completely wiped out Bitcoin dominance going higher. We continue to plow forward full steam ahead. Lots of work to be done"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1976860312558354828) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-11T04:00Z 55.9K followers, 51.6K engagements


""But there's no cash flow" Ok buddy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1977625718944374979) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-13T06:41Z 55.9K followers, 13.8K engagements


"JP Morgan has raised approx $XXX Trillion of credit & capital for businesses and consumers YTD. The credit market is ENORMOUS and underpins the entire global economy. This is just *one* part of the TAM of BTCTC's issuing fixed income powered by Bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978120239872110775) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T15:26Z 55.9K followers, 11.1K engagements


"Also JPM's provision for credit losses is up XX% QoQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978120242426491121) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T15:26Z 55.9K followers, 5226 engagements


"Press release:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978120244234219631) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T15:26Z 55.9K followers, 4125 engagements


"@ChrisChattin how many dividend payments have Strategy missed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978127363046076512) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T15:54Z 55.9K followers, XXX engagements


"@Adrian_R_Morris @saylor We need this to accelerate: Perhaps this is why Saylor was in Austin 🤷♂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978847562967687657) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-16T15:36Z 55.9K followers, 15.3K engagements


"Agree on normal distribution Ive been exploring four separate Monte Carlo models. Normal distribution - baseline X Log distribution - baseline X Jump diffusion - stress test shocks GARCH - vol of vol quiet & loud periods All calibrated to different periods of historical data. With OEP distributions and different input variable assumptions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978909109270229459) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-16T19:41Z 55.9K followers, 1647 engagements


"My Keynote "The Digital Transformation of Risk" at Bitcoin Asia 2025 in Hong Kong 0:00 - Intro 0:36 - The Story of Risk 6:22 - Bitcoin Backed Risk Pioneered by @Strategy & @saylor 9:52 - Quantifying the risk 13:43 - The Biggest Story in all of Finance 15:37 - Risk is Evolving humanity needs to adapt EMRACE THE RISK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1961457417444889011) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-08-29T15:54Z 55.9K followers, 102.8K engagements


"The 2053 $TGT corporate bond is yielding XXX% with nearly ZERO liquidity. $XXXX Billion O/S Currently rated A investment grade Leveraged on the risk of future cash flows Now go look at $STRF $STRC $STRK $STRD Bitcoin credit yielding 9.5%+ 4.6x+ overcollateralized and LIQUID Risk is mispriced Globally. The $300T+ bond market will be disrupted by digital credit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1971475170310389810) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-09-26T07:21Z 55.9K followers, 64.6K engagements


"SAT question: If someone gave you a Bitcoin today for free ($110000) but you were obligated to pay them $13000 / year would you take that trade That's the preferred equity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978500117519818891) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-15T16:36Z 55.9K followers, 173.4K engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 128th largest US company by market cap ($81.5B) Fell X companies today. Big paint painting the equity world red. Day XX in a row qualifying for the S&P XXX 16th largest publicly traded equity by volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978938232680153529) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-16T21:36Z 55.9K followers, 47.4K engagements


"@gerovich Its a great math problem Once you see it you cant unsee it. The Torque 🔥"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1979041506930372697) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-17T04:27Z 55.9K followers, 16.1K engagements


"This Bitcoin drawdown is within XXX standard deviations of typical bull market drawdowns ATH was XX days ago. Business as usual"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1979252690732384609) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-17T18:26Z 55.9K followers, 60.3K engagements


"Strategy tracking day XXX $MSTR now ranked 126th largest US company by market cap ($83.6B) Jumped X companies today. Trailing Moodys. Knocking at the door for credit ratings. Day XX in a row qualifying for the S&P XXX 16th largest publicly traded equity by volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1979281457446293928) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-17T20:20Z 55.9K followers, 26.5K engagements


"@lindsaystamp3 Badge of honor 🫡 Long teeth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1979353237024313450) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-18T01:06Z 55.9K followers, 5209 engagements


"Using Geometric Brownian Motion Monte Carlo simulations a normal distribution a BTC ARR of XX% and Vol of XX% theres a XXXX% probability that at the end of X years (the current duration of the lowest instrument in the capital stack) that MSTR has less collateral than the notional capital outstanding. This equates to a X in XXX year return period probability (incredibly unlikely). Also assuming a normal distribution theres an equal probability that MSTR is holding $XXXX TRILLION on the balance sheet at the end of the duration period (8 years). That is the probabilistic downside and upside"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1978205388362449123) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-14T21:04Z 55.9K followers, 52.9K engagements


"Lots of criticism toward Bitcoin Treasury companies lately. That energy would be FAR better spent criticizing the $145T bond market full of busted paper notes sitting in your familys pension funds. Were on the same team. Focus your energy Upgrade the world"  
[X Link](https://x.com/PunterJeff/status/1979363963235385759) [@PunterJeff](/creator/x/PunterJeff) 2025-10-18T01:48Z 55.9K followers, 38.7K engagements