#  @MeteoMark Mark Margavage Mark Margavage posts on X about euro, if you, in the, new england the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1219488966/interactions)  - [--] Week [-------] +20% - [--] Month [---------] +973% - [--] Months [---------] +692% - [--] Year [---------] -57% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1219488966/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -49% - [--] Month [---] +263% - [--] Months [---] +276% - [--] Year [---] +34% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1219488966/followers)  - [--] Week [------] +0.71% - [--] Month [------] +12% - [--] Months [------] +27% - [--] Year [------] +33% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1219488966/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [countries](/list/countries) [currencies](/list/currencies) [finance](/list/finance) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [stocks](/list/stocks) #5001 [us election](/list/us-election) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) **Social topic influence** [euro](/topic/euro) #741, [if you](/topic/if-you), [in the](/topic/in-the), [new england](/topic/new-england), [has been](/topic/has-been), [maga](/topic/maga), [snow](/topic/snow), [jersey](/topic/jersey), [canada](/topic/canada), [storm](/topic/storm) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@realdonaldtrump](/creator/undefined) [@judah47](/creator/undefined) [@nwsbinghamton](/creator/undefined) [@leonardyou23495](/creator/undefined) [@epawawx](/creator/undefined) [@psimmswx](/creator/undefined) [@weatherbob](/creator/undefined) [@mesnowman1](/creator/undefined) [@weathernut27](/creator/undefined) [@bigjoebastardi](/creator/undefined) [@daddyd0dd](/creator/undefined) [@lclimateguy](/creator/undefined) [@bennollweather](/creator/undefined) [@climatologist49](/creator/undefined) [@nwsbuffalo](/creator/undefined) [@tonypannwbal](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@wxnjsn0wf4nn](/creator/undefined) [@enlighten2017](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Rally (RLY)](/topic/rally) [GrokCoin (GROKCOIN)](/topic/grok) [Auroracoin (AUR)](/topic/aurora) [IBM (IBM)](/topic/ibm) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Avalanche (AVAX)](/topic/avalanche) [AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC)](/topic/$amc) [Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)](/topic/$ttwo) [American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)](/topic/$aeo) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@judah47 @Cnewcity Do you think it is a once in a lifetime event On Nov [----] the same exact area got hit on the same dates under an almost identical synoptic setup. Maybe warming climate will yield more extreme lake effect since the lakes will retain heat for longer" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1594137370412081155) 2022-11-20T01:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@f_johnmatt7777 I believe they said something similar last year and not too long after Boston was hit by a historic Blizzard" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1596206381341761538) 2022-11-25T18:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Michael10711597 Ive seen speculation that something about their propulsion system makes them appear out of focus ๐คท๐ผโ" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1625141241770803200) 2023-02-13T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@EdKrassen How much does the Biden crime family pay you to propagandize our Twitter feed" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1674513161007906819) 2023-06-29T22:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@disclosetv Id like to know by what measure the climate czar is deeming it the Hottest July Clearly hes not looking at maximum US temperature because that has been trending down over the last [---] years. #Climatescam" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1678445117970034688) 2023-07-10T17:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Philadelphia hasnt hit 100F in [--] years. If it doesnt happen in the next [--] days its not happening in [----] either. #Philadelphia #PAwx #Climate" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1679102380246286337) 2023-07-12T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "First it was Bombogenesis then it was Polar Vortex once they used that up it was Atmospheric River now theyre on Heat Dome which obscure meteorological term will they try to scare the public with next Any guesses #wxtwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1681134932989542402) 2023-07-18T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Ill say it again for the people in the back #Climate change is being driven by underwater volcanoes. Hunga-Tonga was by far the biggest Atmospheric CO2 is NOT the problemH2O is. Perhaps we should start removing water vapor from the atmosphere. We could distribute it to" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1682777718587285504) 2023-07-22T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "โ Big Time Severe Weather Day Tomorrow โ The NWS has issued one of the largest Enhanced Risk zones Ive ever seen Severe Wind and Tornadoes are definitely on the menu tomorrow from the Southeast all the way up through the Mid-Atlantic. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1688279368773050368) 2023-08-06T20:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Jurassic_Liz The font that is changeable in accessibility is only the dialogue. Im talking about the UI scaleie the text that appears when you hover your mouse over an item in your inventory" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1689433922432647168) 2023-08-10T00:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "โ Enhanced Risk Todayโ The NWS has upgraded all of Northern Pennsylvania and most of Southern New York to an Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather this afternoon and evening. The primary hazard is damaging winds in excess of 60mph but a few isolated tornadoes are also possible. Modelling suggests that the risk for severe thunderstorms begins during the afternoon but the majority of the action falls between 8-11pm tonight. #PAwx #NYwx #wxX #wxtwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1690308905522409472) 2023-08-12T10:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Wow ๐ฎ what a view of that Severe Thunderstorm near Allentown PA @nynjpaweather @epawawx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1690480828734738432) 2023-08-12T21:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt had Dorothy in the movie Twister๐ชas their probe well this snowstorm chaser has Elsa Here is her First Flight โ" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1692596718137729164) 2023-08-18T17:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Welcome to Kingston Pennsylvania where the Susquehanna River is near flood stage. #NEPA #Drone" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1693381366971293724) 2023-08-20T21:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The GFS sees #snow in Eastern Canada on September 1st. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1693498104354418710) 2023-08-21T05:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Total Disgrace ๐ก [--] days after the Maui Fire @POTUS requested $40 Billion in weapons for Ukraine Meanwhile he waited for [--] days before traveling to Hawaii Once there he met with survivors and fell asleep.at the same time This is disgraceful and embarrassing #25thamendment" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1693997110361027065) 2023-08-22T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "MIA: Summer [----] Heatwave in the Northeast US #wxX #wxtwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1695069251403387122) 2023-08-25T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@POTUS So what youre saying is everything that went up 8.3% because of the Inflation that YOU caused has now continued to go up another 3.2% Nobody in their right mind is happy about that. We need DEFLATION and we need it NOW" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1695221952971940190) 2023-08-25T23:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "๐ณ๐ฑ -4C to -8C anomalies for PA That would be BY FAR the most extreme #winter temperature anomaly of my [--] laps around the sun. Heres a look at the reanalysis for DJF 1993-1994 which was the coldest Ive experienced. -8C for the entire winter is like ice age level stuff" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1695812904837173433) 2023-08-27T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "โ Flood Watchโ Has been issued by the NWS for all Of #NEPA and #CNY starting 10pm tonight. The potential exists for rapid onset flash flooding due to excessive rainfall overnight tonight. #PAwx #NYwx #wxX #wxtwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1696591723772670017) 2023-08-29T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "๐จEye Candy Alert๐จ Is September 14th too soon for a monster +PNA The 12z GFS says no. #wxtwitter #wxxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1696607862078800255) 2023-08-29T19:36Z [----] followers, 13.1K engagements "@LIGHTNING_FAN91 I think the last half of September youll get some savings on your cooling bill. Looking like a +PNA develops" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1698478890732118165) 2023-09-03T23:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A pattern change will bring much cooler air to the Northeast US by this weekend. #wxtwitter #wxX #Winteriscoming" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1698751850390978946) 2023-09-04T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Quite the run from the 12z EPS Control. It takes #HurricaneLee very close to #Boston in the wee hours of the morning on September 16th and then makes landfall in Maine. If this model is correct there would be upwards of 8.5" of rain northwest of the track. If you live in Eastern New England you should definitely keep an eye on the forecast. #MAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1699903352920776729) 2023-09-07T21:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Evolution of the NWS Temperature outlook over the last week #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1699957083607642222) 2023-09-08T01:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "It looks like #ClimateChange will save us from #HurricaneLee. ๐ In reality Lee is being weakened by wind sheer induced by El Nio. The eye has completely vanished since yesterday and Lee has been downgraded from a Cat [--] to a Cat [--] with additional weakening likely as it moves over colder waters. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1700494418287956212) 2023-09-09T13:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@TwiistedTr33_ Preview for a winter storm coming this winter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1700679935277359457) 2023-09-10T01:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The September C3S Update for #Winter has NorEasters written all over it The dark blues indicate lower than normal MSLP across the southern USThats a very strong signal for an active southern storm track something very typical of El Nio seasons. Also of note is the yellow" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1701070857102098925) 2023-09-11T03:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Football + Weather = 1990s Vibes The CS3 shows a #Winter in the Eastern US similar to the 1993-1996 era. Coincidentally the last time the Cowboys won a Super Bowl (1996) they started off the season with a 35-0 win on the road against the Giants. Therefore 1995-96 is my best analogue year. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1701250830517555312) 2023-09-11T15:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hurricane Lee So far is exactly on track according to my forecast given to my Patreon Supporters last Wednesday. I completely agree with the NHCs latest forecast track and intensity outlook. To recap I forecasted Lee to weaken as it moves north over much cooler waters caused by Franklin. I also said a landfall anywhere in the US is extremely unlikely but not impossible as of today both of these statements still look to be true. I also noted The areas that could still see an impact regardless of landfall location are Nantucket Cape Cod and Maine. This also looks to still be the case as even" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1701641354655252753) 2023-09-12T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "โ FLOOD WATCHโ in effect starting TONIGHT and lasting until Wednesday morning for #NEPA and #CNY #PAwx #NYwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1701678283555831817) 2023-09-12T19:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@BenNollWeather @MicalThompson I think theres pretty compelling evidence that the Hunga-Tonga Eruption is still impacting global weather today. You can see it reflected in the troposphere with increased dew points across the globe since the eruption. In the stratosphere the footprint is even more striking" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1701691273462083774) 2023-09-12T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@yeahrightgirlhg Your credit score is a representation of the banks ability to make money off of you. If you pay off your car loan the bank cannot collect any more monthly payments from you and therefore your score goes down. Your credit score only goes up if you make monthly payments on-time" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702171658407047599) 2023-09-14T04:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Bostons80113133 The leading hypothesis that Im aware of is that its related to thermodynamic changes along the boundary between the Earths solid and molten core. Its thought that the magnetic pole wandering and impending polarity flip are also related to this phenomenon" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702457940094107946) 2023-09-14T23:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A Curious look CFS hinting at #Winter Weather around Mid-October Its got an arctic blocking surface high situated over the Great Lakes funneling cold into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic all the while a storm system is gathering moisture near the Gulfexciting times ahead #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702615559139926169) 2023-09-15T09:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Not2BeTrite The Cowboys are going to destroy themtwice" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702728308243185863) 2023-09-15T16:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ocschwar Not everywhere mostly in Europe and the United States which coincidently show up as warm. The places where there were no thermometers are colored blue instead of data missing" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702810420359078039) 2023-09-15T22:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Pennsylvania will see its First Freeze of Summer ๐ค tomorrow morning The average date of the first freeze even in Bradford County is not until October 1st. This will officially be one of the shortest growing seasons on record given the late freeze in May. #PAwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702812549874409835) 2023-09-15T22:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@WeenieWx Africa is one of the Largest Continents on the planet and there was virtually no data in [----]. Antarctica is one of the largest continents on Earth and there was literally one thermometer there in [----]. The point is there was not a dense enough network of sensors in [----] to" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702817258811109674) 2023-09-15T22:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@WeenieWx You just proved my point. Africa has virtually no data coverage prior to the 1940s. Antarctica had [--] thermometer compared to complete satellite coverage today. South America also had virtually no thermometers prior to [----]. So the map in the OP which shows these continents as" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1702827991917556091) 2023-09-15T23:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Heres where all the thermometers were in the world during the 1930s notice they are nearly absent from places like Africa South America India and Southeast Asia yet the Global Temperature map posted shows these areas as Blue as if we know what the temperature was in those" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1703074440609759705) 2023-09-16T15:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Cold Air is Rapidly Expanding across Siberia. This will likely lead to some impressive September snowcover expansion in this all-important part of the Northern Hemisphere. Im sure Dr. @judah47 will be covering this extensively in his blog in the coming weeks. #WinterIsComing" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1703384601446543833) 2023-09-17T12:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@mzjacobson I challenge you to power your own home for an entire year using only wind water and solar. Let me know how that goes for you through the Winter when the water is frozen the solar panels are covered in snow and the wind doesnt blowCombustion will never be eliminated" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1703386028050882692) 2023-09-17T12:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Cold Comes in October The CFSv2 has been very consistently showing a cold air outbreak in the Central/Eastern US during the middle and later part of October. Ensemble teleconnections support this with a signal for a -AO/NAO and the likelihood of a +PNA developing in the long term. #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704152399097610678) 2023-09-19T15:16Z [----] followers, 28K engagements "All Eyes on The Coast Yet another coastal storm will bring the potential for *A LOT* of rain this weekend. Some areas of MD VA NC PA and NJ could see upwards of [--] or more in [--] hours. Im highlighting the Canadian model because it has done very well since they upgraded to a Super Computer for data processing but there are other models with dissenting opinions. If you have plans to see a College Football game on Saturday especially Saturday night get the poncho ready and pay close attention to the forecast. Area rivers and streams will need to be monitored for Flash Flood potential as well." [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704195363664449964) 2023-09-19T18:06Z [----] followers, 13.2K engagements "๐๐ฌ6z CFSv2 for October 11th ๐ฅถ๐ Too soon #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704237654349385891) 2023-09-19T20:54Z [----] followers, 14.7K engagements "The Penn State White-Out Game could turn into the worlds largest Wet Tee Shirt Contest this Saturday Night The Canadian model has been locked in over the last few runs showing excessive rainfall across much of the mid-Atlantic. If you have weekend plans monitor future forecasts closely. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704352938963951835) 2023-09-20T04:33Z [----] followers, 27.6K engagements "@MikeMasco Well you cant say its wrong yet it nailed Lee when the Euro was bringing it into NJI do think its got a better chance of being correct than the sheared off precipitation shield ending up east of Boston with the LP center near North Carolina Coast" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704643655024214313) 2023-09-20T23:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The Canadian model sees the Euros bluff and re-raises In my humble opinion the sheared out precipitation shield solution shown by the European and GFS models makes absolutely no sense given the dynamics in play here. Big Rainstorm Coming This Weekend. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704696749116231766) 2023-09-21T03:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BigJoeBastardi Im thinking the PSU White Out Game has a really good chance to be the worlds largest Wet Tee Shirt Contest this Saturday. Regardless of what happens in Happy Valley I agree this thing has flooding rains written all over it for the Mid-Atlantic" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704719043960152346) 2023-09-21T04:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The First Public Advisory from the NHC is up for PTC16 likely to be named Ophelia. As I've been advertising for a few days now this is going to be a big-time rainmaker. If you have outdoor weekend plans in the Mid-Atlantic or Southern New England. prepare to make alternative arrangements. Included are the 12z NAM and 12z Regional Canadian model output for 48-hr totals. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1704880598756606387) 2023-09-21T15:29Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements "@NWS_MountHolly Id rather have snow. A coastal storm bodes well for the upcoming winter pattern" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1705172785922822291) 2023-09-22T10:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Canadian Model Hands down out performed the Euro GFS NAM and every model at every time step even at long range. Both the Global and Regional Models shined. Their consistency was unflappable. This model deserves more respect. Heres the latest run #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1705205280835813579) 2023-09-22T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "#winteriscoming Latest GFS Outlook for October 10-11 #PAwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1707102760586375554) 2023-09-27T18:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Holy Smokes That is a big time bulls-eye in Northern New Jersey on Friday. Both the HRRR and NAM are showing this kind of extreme rainfall scenario. Definitely something to keep and eye on #NJwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1707219473692799021) 2023-09-28T02:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Be on High Alert for ๐จFlash Flooding potential๐จ in Eastern PA(east of I-81) Northern NJ and Southeast NY(including NYC) Friday. #PAwx #NJwx #NYwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1707337633414652194) 2023-09-28T10:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Its not a climate issue. Humans have replaced every inch of permeable green space outside Central Park with impermeable buildings and concrete. When it rains that water has to runoff somewhere. The sewer was built at a time when there was far less concrete and skyscrapers and so it wasnt designed to hold the amount of runoff that todays land use creates" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1707918836366717093) 2023-09-30T00:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@MatthewCappucci Come on Matthew. Youre better than this Why blame climate when theres an even stronger link between clogged storm drains and flooded streets" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708138875988701304) 2023-09-30T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@sleepnir Show me the data on rainfall rates increasing because according to Central Park Data that simply isnt happening. The solution is obviously to increase drainage capacity as land use changes" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708150068845363519) 2023-09-30T16:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@momstinfoilhat It turns out your statement is false. @CommunityNotes can we get a flag here Heres the Central Park Data" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708150510308442118) 2023-09-30T16:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "#WinterIsComing The Teleconnections are sending a clear signal; The first week of October is the warmest it will be in the Eastern US for the rest of the year. The Arctic Oscillation (first image) is forecast to be negative(cold signal) from October 8th all the way to Christmas. The PNA forecast (second image) doesnt doesnt go out as far but theres a clear flip from a warm signal (negative) to a cold signal (positive). Did I mention the #PolarVortex is forecast to do a Big Stretch towards North America Well yes that too is a factor. So enjoy the warmth while it lasts. By the 2nd and 3rd week" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708162538968359299) 2023-09-30T16:51Z [----] followers, 16.6K engagements "@MatthewCappucci Nothing in your response proves your original statement that this is what man-made climate change looks like. [--] out of the top [--] rain events and [--] out of the top [--] occurrd prior to [----]. Seems exactly what youd expect regardless of climate change. Id like to see you" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708169701782602167) 2023-09-30T17:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Guttmana9 The signals indicate the first week of October will be the warmest week of the rest of the year. Any future warm-ups wont reach the level of week [--] of October" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1708173221860639065) 2023-09-30T17:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "I can think of [--] reasons #NYC saw extreme flooding yesterday and none of them have anything to do with #Climate 1) the storm drains were clogged by street debris. 2) officials were warned of the incoming extreme rain in advance and did not clear the storm drains. 3) the rain arrived before the garbage was picked up for the day further clogging catch basins. 4) the sewer system was designed to serve the population of New York as it was [---] years ago. Since then almost all the surrounding farm land and green spaces outside of Central Park have been replaced with concrete structures and" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708211335270420918) 2023-09-30T20:04Z [----] followers, 38.9K engagements "@Carver012Josh There can be. I think a weak El Nio had a lot to do with that one too though. The powerful subtropical jet is a hallmark sign of El Nio and it being weak allows the cold air to get involved as well. Great storm" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708302173023453507) 2023-10-01T02:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I can think of several preventable reasons that contributed to the flooding in NY that have nothing to do with climate. Chief among them is the storm drains were clogged with debris prior to the storm and despite accurate forecasts and early warnings they werent cleared. As soon as the FDNY unclogged the drains the flooding subsided. But sure lets blame climate change" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708310702161617153) 2023-10-01T02:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is a blatant lie. The current El Nino has an MEI value of [---]. Its not even close to strongest ever. At this point in [----] the MEI was [---]. Dont fall for catastrophism" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708495397918752850) 2023-10-01T14:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Does anyone think a Super #ElNio is still possible In my opinion you can throw out the 1982-1983 1997-1998 and 2015-2016 #winter analogues. The Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) is currently sitting at [---]. Meaning Super El Nio is definitely not happening. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708673824311374116) 2023-10-02T02:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@FlattenTabatha Way below. Sep Oct of [----] the MEI was at [---] were at 0.4" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1708680187557126588) 2023-10-02T03:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It looks like October will end up colder than normal suggesting we are indeed on the path to a warm November and cold #Winter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1709561764231205294) 2023-10-04T13:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ProfMarkMaslin Good thing its not warming as fast as it was [-----] years ago That warm-up makes the modern warming look like a flat line Perspective is important" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1709582596613472322) 2023-10-04T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Tracking #Winter One of the most important indicators to how winter will play out is Fall SCE. Heres a visual look at where we stand on Snow Cover Extent(SCE) across the Northern Hemisphere relative to normal for Oct 4th. #winteriscoming" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1710066499837218884) 2023-10-05T22:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@RyanMaue I have a hypothesis" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1710357954870886852) 2023-10-06T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I think @JoeBiden is the most pro-war president weve ever had. Evidence: While Vice President under Barrack Hussein Obama the US went from being involved in [--] wars to [--]. Now President Joeseph Biden has: [--]. sent hundreds of billions of dollars to Ukraine to fight a proxy war with Russia. [--]. Intentionally left behind billions of dollars of US military guns and ammo during a haphazardly executed withdrawal from Afghanistan. [--]. on the anniversary of 9/11 he approved and released $6 billion of frozen Iranian assetsknowing full well that Iran is one of the biggest founders of terrorism in the" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1711070308570910866) 2023-10-08T17:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Mark my words 1993-1994 is the BEST analogue for the upcoming winter in both MEI value and -QBO. #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1711089425633915049) 2023-10-08T18:41Z [----] followers, 16.4K engagements "US Precip and Temp Anomaly Composites of My top [--] analogue years for the upcoming #winter (Dec-Mar) based on current recent and expected future Multivariant ENSO Index (MEI) values. Confidence in Precip map: High Confidence in T map: Medium #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1712003167074832627) 2023-10-11T07:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "#Winteriscoming Theres a strikingly strong ๐ช signal emerging from all seasonal models pointing towards the MJO getting stuck in phases [--] & [--] during winter. The CS3 SEAS5 NMME and CanSIPS show tropical convection clustered around East Africa as well as the international date line. This is a STRONG ๐ช indicator for MJO phases [--] & [--]. I should point out that the Walker Circulation patterns associated with both El Nio and the IOD support this suggesting these models are locked in on well established ocean-atmosphere couplings. Conclusion: Confidence in below normal temperatures during Winter for" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1712540222075056184) 2023-10-12T18:46Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements "@P_SimmsWX Based on what The AMO is strongly positive and thats why the NAO has been negative. Unless the water temperatures in the North Atlantic suddenly flip Id have to expect more of the same" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1712548841801789947) 2023-10-12T19:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The rain you are seeing today is actually melting #snow. The freezing level is at 700mb(3km altitude) which means this rain left the clouds in the form of snowflakes and melted as it fell into warmer air below. In only a few weeks time the freezing level will be much closer to the ground. #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter #wxX #PAwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1713203518826217870) 2023-10-14T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Incredible view of the Annular Eclipse from New Mexico via NASA. #Eclipse #Eclipse2023 #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1713234455983198437) 2023-10-14T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Eagles just blew a shot at a perfect season by passing in a running situation. Unreal coaching decision there" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1713698494353936797) 2023-10-15T23:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Interesting looking CFS run for the first week of November #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1713868889694572640) 2023-10-16T10:46Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements "@TMathSports The Dallas Cowboys" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1713877846706262271) 2023-10-16T11:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@eulermatthew4 NOAA is on a [--] year streak of failing to predict below normal temperatures anywhere in the US" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1715369357297991771) 2023-10-20T14:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@tulirs Its not defined by a number. Its just that the highest anomaly is in the central pacific and not the eastern pacific" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1715944726644371857) 2023-10-22T04:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "With [--] days to go until my #Winter Forecast release theres one thing I can cross off the watch list The so-called Kiss of Death October I-95 Snowstorm. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1718424707731493341) 2023-10-29T00:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Wax up the skis and snowboards With a late rally the Eurasian Snow Cover Extent made it above the 2009-2022 average at the critical time for building cold in the Northern Hemisphere. As Dr Cohen often explains in his blog there is a positive correlation between Autumnal Snowfall in Siberia and Winter cold/snow in the Eastern US. This is yet another signal that #WinterIsComing #wxX #wxtwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1719888896429850958) 2023-11-02T01:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Im starting to see a signal amongst the noise for a possible snowstorm in Northern Pennsylvania/Southern New York the weekend of Nov 11-12. Heres some possible snowfall patterns from the 0z GEFS. #pawx #nywx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1720097507785744713) 2023-11-02T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "According to this analysis Easterly QBO years which also occur during a solar maximum have a historical #SSW Sudden Stratospheric Warming occurrence of 100%. We are currently in an Easterly QBO during a solar maximum. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1721146923518660865) 2023-11-05T12:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The birds in #NEPA are going nuts What do you think they are squawking about I think they just got the weather forecast for Thanksgiving. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1722999052977967237) 2023-11-10T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@RyanMaue I hate to be the bearer of bad news but with warmth in Siberia Canada and Antarctica all while these areas see near record snowfall I think we may be at the terminus of the current interglacial period" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1723017648915542324) 2023-11-10T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I hate to be the bearer of bad news but with warmth in Siberia Canada and Antarctica all while these areas see near record snowfall I think we may be at the terminus of the current interglacial period. #climate #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1723018088579301644) 2023-11-10T16:41Z [----] followers, 14.7K engagements "@NoOne23131214 It definitely did inject unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere. How that impacted the Antarctic VortexIm not sure but the Arctic Vortex did see [--] warming events with [--] significant disruptions last year. Hard to attribute it specifically to the H2O though" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1723095036886229457) 2023-11-10T21:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Climatologist49 I'm looking at the NOWData set and yes it appears all the snow data is missing.on the phone with them now" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1723766233542062344) 2023-11-12T18:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Climatologist49 ok so. from 1996-2004 there is no data because of the switch to ASOS. Prior to [----] and from [----] to present there is daily "New Snow" data recorded but not snow depth. Here's an example of November [----] from the NOWData site" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1723769010456527227) 2023-11-12T18:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Looking at the potential for an epic Lake Effect Outbreak starting on Thanksgiving Day. Hamburg NY just south of Buffalo is in the running for up to several feet of snow again. Recall there was up to 77" measured there last November 17-18. #NYwx #wxTwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1725214539984073039) 2023-11-16T18:09Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements "El Nio is no longer East-Based The migration of the warmest SST anomalies from Nino Region 1+2(East Pacific) to Nino Region [---] (central Pacific) has completed. This is what I predicted would happen in my Winter Forecast (pinned to the top of my page) and is a crucial factor for snow this winter in the Eastern US. East-based El Nios during Winter historically produce below normal snow. Central Pacific-based El Nios historically produce above normal snow. We now have a Central Pacific-based El Nio prior to December. The writing is on the wall for #snow this winter. #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1726641174557921333) 2023-11-20T16:38Z [----] followers, 39.8K engagements "@epawawx @kenstradamus Whats false about it The graphs clearly show the warmest water relative to normal is no longer in Nino 1+2" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1727001412503281675) 2023-11-21T16:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@epawawx @kenstradamus Wikipedia uses this citation but its fairly common knowledge that an east based El Nio is one that is based in the eastern Nino Region" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1727008244986782097) 2023-11-21T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@NySoutheastern A [---] hour ensembleyeah sure. What could possibly change" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1727380730026807460) 2023-11-22T17:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@fishnski1 No. Theres a top down warming caused by the building of high pressure at the top of the stratosphere" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1727406210469773442) 2023-11-22T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The EPS is showing a strongly +PNA pattern resulting in a full latitude trough centered in the Eastern US to end November. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1727413783973511466) 2023-11-22T19:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "2023-24 Official Snowfall Forecast (Black Friday Update) If you missed the full forecast video its pinned to the top of this page. Ill be using acronyms in this post which are explained in detail in my Winter Outlook video. Please refer to that video for context to this post. As for the updateeverything looks on track. I expected there to be a slow start to the snow season as this is common of El Nio years. In fact I think December will be fairly mundane when it comes to Winter weather. Im expecting a seasonable December with near normal snowfall in most interior locations of the Northeast" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1728073956869980163) 2023-11-24T15:31Z [----] followers, 32.3K engagements "Ensembles are showing a textbook #Winter Weather pattern developing for the Eastern US in December. An East based -NAO migrates west as a +PNA developswhat more could you ask for #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1728167196218585532) 2023-11-24T21:42Z [----] followers, 17.2K engagements "@davidhelman_ This was the best football game Ive ever watched in my life. Its one Ill never forget" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1728484609107857824) 2023-11-25T18:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This isnt just any #snow chase This is a bullseye chase ๐ฏ Ill be staying at a highly rated bed and breakfast in Southwest Lewis County NY. Its located just north of Osceola and is set to be in the heart of this bullseye. Stay tuned for live coverage from ground zero #NYwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1728887695340982692) 2023-11-26T21:25Z [----] followers, 29.7K engagements "Snowflakes so big they cast shadows on the ground in the Tug Hill Plateau โโโ #NYwx #wxtwitter #wxX SW Lewis County @NWSBUFFALO" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1729302844895899750) 2023-11-28T00:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@JustinWx This map ends on Dec 24th but from the 24th to the 25th that cold wave moved into Northeast PA and produced the coldest Christmas Eve Ever in my backyard and the first and only arctic outbreak that came in from the Southwest. Hard to forget that if you ask me" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1729314012502880520) 2023-11-28T01:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TomNiziol Biggest graupel Ive ever seen at the end of this Ontario band in SW Lewis County. #snow #wxtwitter #wxX @NWSBUFFALO" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1729591895427358818) 2023-11-28T20:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@weather_buffalo please tell me you did this too" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1729941229197021339) 2023-11-29T19:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@accuweather That must be one heck of an experience. Ski in the morning and head down the mountain to surf in the afternoon" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1730316410125979968) 2023-11-30T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@pghjoseph Thanks. Ill do my best" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1730610370312634720) 2023-12-01T15:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@OzzieR89 ๐ oh idk about that. Its interesting but not a lock yet" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1730969122672955570) 2023-12-02T15:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@mfdwx Why doesnt that apply to the torch prediction as well" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1733477736927154220) 2023-12-09T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "4-5 hours of snow at home in Edwardsville produced [---] of slush on my snowboardmeanwhile just a few miles away a winter wonderland of dense snowman snow in Bear Creek. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734159941752021168) 2023-12-11T10:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "โ๐ป Its an absolute Winter Wonderland here in Bear Creek PA where 6-8 of Snowman snow has coated everything in sight Im much more excited about it than my brother. That said I think Smokey can lower the wildfire risk for today. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX #snow" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734273305828336013) 2023-12-11T18:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bear Creek Luzerne County PA is a Winter Wonderland Today @NWSBinghamton #PAwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734278847317561560) 2023-12-11T18:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "There and Back Again A Luzerne County PA Snow Chase where only [--] miles separates a Winter Wonderland from bare ground. #snow #NEPA #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734399054895784347) 2023-12-12T02:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Holy Grail of Winter Weather Patterns looms for the second half of December We just entered Phase [--] of the MJO but a progression into the Cold Phases of [--] [--] and [--] is coming. The first image is the current MJO forecast. The second image are the temperature implications of each phase for this time of year. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734537782763061320) 2023-12-12T11:36Z [----] followers, 49.2K engagements "@philnothere @kogasman The forecast dates are on the graph on the left" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734539807244611660) 2023-12-12T11:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "All Aboard the Polar Express If its going to get cold in the US that cold has to come from somewhere. So where is it The cold was in Europe last week and its in Russia this week where a temperature of -73.7F was observed. Thats the coldest temperature in all of Russia in at least the last [--] years My expectation is that this cold air mass makes its way to East Asia next which would be the last stop before a potential Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event sends it over the pole into North America. So if you start hearing about cold in China and Japan in the coming week to [--] days get ready" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734558354947600499) 2023-12-12T12:58Z [----] followers, 32.2K engagements "@MUweather @BobWx008 These images speak louder for themselves big change in [---] T over the US in the second half of December" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734601130263363820) 2023-12-12T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Anyone remember that Great Lakes Cutter that turned into an Appalachian Snow Storm yesterday I do. Were in a similar situation with the storm for the 18-19. The upper level energy is again in an area of poor data sampling. Once it enters N. America models will adjust. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734602740137898372) 2023-12-12T15:54Z [----] followers, 14.4K engagements "Looks like the "Christmas Torch" ran out of gas for the Northeast US. Either that or the GFS sees some Santa Magic Christmas Eve. ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734619778197708817) 2023-12-12T17:02Z [----] followers, 23K engagements "Im starting to think the people telling me there will be a Christmas Torch are lying. Santas magic is holding strong in the Northeast US. Ive been searching for this elusive torch on the GFS every [--] hours and havent found it yet. ๐ ๐ป#wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1734984838363419057) 2023-12-13T17:13Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements "It's going to be awfully hard to get blowtorch warmth in the Eastern US with an increasingly positive PNA pattern heading into Christmas. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1735456755948065100) 2023-12-15T00:28Z [----] followers, 13.4K engagements "18z Euro Snowfall by 7am Tuesday #wxtwitter #wxX #NYwx #PAwx #MDwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1735842846094066127) 2023-12-16T02:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Snow Monday night into Tuesday morning a vigorous upper level trough will cross Pennsylvania and produce a brief period of heavy snow for Eastern PA and Maryland. The Latest HRRR model has this band of snow right over the Wyoming Valley at 5am. #NEPA #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1736387431656554670) 2023-12-17T14:06Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements "My Winter Forecast is looking great right now. I predicted the behavior of the MJO using meteorology not models. #wxtwitter #winteriscoming" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1736566772109648056) 2023-12-18T01:59Z [--] followers, 22K engagements "On Today's Episode of "Where's the Christmas Torch". The GFS is placed on the Naughty List as an outlier for not giving Santa's Magic the respect it deserves. Meanwhile both the Canadian and European models show Santa's Magic keeping Christmas Eve cool in the Northeast US. ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1736824845558558811) 2023-12-18T19:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Santa Delivers a Gift for All Snow Lovers. The 0z EPS Control Run. It shows an even more extreme Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) than yesterday's run with a full split of the #PolarVortex and one piece coming to North America. Are you excited yet #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter #wxX @PvForecast @judah47" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1738990314159759525) 2023-12-24T18:29Z [----] followers, 28.4K engagements "@mfdwx @Uprising1928 @eSnowyyy Im sharpening my snow shovel as I read these comments" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739052771775533366) 2023-12-24T22:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Lets Spread some Holiday Cheer show me your Christmas Tree ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739358800711168492) 2023-12-25T18:53Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Collective Consciousness Experiment. Pick your favorite GEFS member. If enough of us pick the same one maybe the power of collective consciousness will make it happen. #snow #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739449661063111103) 2023-12-26T00:54Z [--] followers, 31K engagements "North America will likely see a massive expansion of snowcover in January. Ice Fishing chances north of I-80 look pretty good in [----]. #wxtwitter #wxX #snow #WinterIsComing" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1739750688006062445) 2023-12-26T20:51Z [----] followers, 30.4K engagements "The [--] sigma Heat Flux means business. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) is coming to the Northern Hemisphere and with it comes the increased risk for prolonged cold in the mid-latitudes. #wxtwitter #wxX Can't think of a better way to start a new year than with a #SSW. ๐ GEOS forecast model on board with some massive stratospheric heat fluxes in the next [--] days. https://t.co/3u56S8Mrzi Can't think of a better way to start a new year than with a #SSW. ๐ GEOS forecast model on board with some massive stratospheric heat fluxes in the next [--] days. https://t.co/3u56S8Mrzi" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740050536907382879) 2023-12-27T16:42Z [--] followers, 18K engagements "@colorwx A Warning is issued when the risk of a Major SSW (defined by zonal wind reversal) rises to the likely category. Stay tuned for further details as this is a developing situation" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740082558753559028) 2023-12-27T18:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Today's 12z Update brings the heat flux anomaly down to [--] sigma which isn't as strong as a [--] sigma anomaly but still off the top of the scale. The [--] sigma Heat Flux means business. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) is coming to the Northern Hemisphere and with it comes the increased risk for prolonged cold in the mid-latitudes. #wxtwitter #wxX The [--] sigma Heat Flux means business. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) is coming to the Northern Hemisphere and with it comes the increased risk for prolonged cold in the mid-latitudes. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740099623266693619) 2023-12-27T19:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "61F Below Normal That's the coldest temperature anomaly I've ever seen a model put over the US. That likely means it won't happen. So what does it mean The CFS is reacting to a Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event which likely will cause a cold air outbreak but we shouldn't expect a return to the depths of the Ice Age over North America. Takeaway Message: It could be a very cold January. #wxtwitter #wxX Todays 12z CFS is brutally cold ๐ฅถ in January this is going to be a fun run to share ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX https://t.co/g45knICcNF Todays 12z CFS is brutally cold ๐ฅถ in January this is going to be" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740112965322281129) 2023-12-27T20:50Z [----] followers, 93.6K engagements "Meanwhile today's 12z CFS is predicting a return to the depths of the Ice Age. Don't give up hope #WinterIsComing Help me wave the white flag.again. Giving up on Winter 2023-24. Bring on Spring https://t.co/K58WJfYRv7 Help me wave the white flag.again. Giving up on Winter 2023-24. Bring on Spring https://t.co/K58WJfYRv7" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740114163970478241) 2023-12-27T20:55Z [----] followers, 47.7K engagements "@susstooge No. Last December saw a record breaking cold air outbreak with virtually no snowcover. Here in NEPA it was the 2nd coldest Christmas Eve on record by 1F" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740364859479642185) 2023-12-28T13:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@tulirs Major SSWs start at the top of the stratosphere and work their way down to the tropopause" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740425876641398873) 2023-12-28T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It has come to my attention that I have been quoted by Newsweek. While I was not contacted at all prior to this quote being published I do stand by the statement I was quoted with in it's full context. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740442040092316096) 2023-12-28T18:38Z [----] followers, 10.3K engagements "@StephonStarran1 These predictions for NEPA have been fairly consistent since Christmas Eve. Snow chances dramatically increase Jan 4th and beyond" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740554365382066541) 2023-12-29T02:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@WestchesterWX Which do you think happens first [--] of snow in Central Park or the government discloses aliens" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740617621949792703) 2023-12-29T06:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Realistic Outlook on January Snow Given what has transpired in December and considering how things are shaping up in January I think we should expect most but not all storms to look something like this. I have removed the date and time stamp because I intend this to be for example purposes only. The general theme is that the [---] thickness line will more often than not run along or close to I-80 as it so often does in Winter. So for folks hoping for snow south of I-80 it's going to be very tough outside the elevated Appalachians. For folks in the Appalachians though I think the odds of snow" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740775324034445486) 2023-12-29T16:42Z [--] followers, 22.1K engagements "@JeffFordR07 the 45-day EPS Snow Matrix suggests 3" is achieved on or before the 15th so I'd give that a 50/50 shot" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740805630053470534) 2023-12-29T18:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Maybe we need to move to Los Angeles to see some snow. ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1740864643160330616) 2023-12-29T22:37Z [----] followers, 11.1K engagements "Ew ๐คข Heres hoping this is wrong. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741044716836401469) 2023-12-30T10:33Z [--] followers, 10.8K engagements "(3/6) Polar Vortex as of January 2nd This is the beginning of a significant transport of cold air across the north pole and into North America" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741105439620612265) 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "(4/6) Polar Vortex as of Jan 7th At this point the Polar Vortex has been weakened and stretched out like a rubber band. This causes cross polar flow in the stratosphere to extend from Mongolia across the North Pole and into the United States. I should emphasize that while this map is for Jan 7th it is a map of the stratosphere so in order for the effects to be felt at the surface in the United States it will take a few days to a week initially but once the stratosphere couples to the troposphere the effects will begin to become more immediate" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741105441344499997) 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "(5/6) Polar Vortex as of Jan 10th At this point the Stratospheric Warming Event is beginning to wane which allows the PV to consolidate into a more circular shape. However there still remains strong cross polar flow extending from East Asia across the pole and into the N. America. So while cross polar flow remains to provide a cold air source to N. America the consolidation of the Polar Vortex to the Arctic Ocean is a signal for a rebound in temperatures in the Eastern US with the cold likely focused in the Western US for a time. For my operational forecast area I expect that we see a" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741105443265479064) 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "(6/6) Polar Vortex as of Jan 15th Notice the Polar Vortex has elongated like a rubber band once again this time Centered over Greenland as the Vortex migrates towards Eastern North America. This causes the cross polar wind flow to extend from Mongolia and Siberia across the North Pole and into the Central and Eastern US. This should allow the cold air which moved into the Western portion of North America to migrate east of the Mississippi. This is also by far the strongest signal for a widespread cold air outbreak into the United States of any of the maps I have shown in this thread." [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741105445186449552) 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@rick_ecasey95 I just call it like I see it. No hedging" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741106695164543292) 2023-12-30T14:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Since "Meteorological Winter" is defined as the coldest [--] months of the year we're on the verge of climatology forcing that to be defined as Jan Feb and Mar here in NEPA and I imagine it would be a similar story for much of the Northeast US as December is warming as March is cooling" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741108823727780195) 2023-12-30T14:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@AirStess Well if you look at the first image it's no surprise that the Pacific has been dominant as the High pressure system in the stratosphere over Canada cuts off the Polar Vortex from influencing the weather pattern in the US. That's about to change in a big way" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741112361677660392) 2023-12-30T15:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@a_dauber1 Everything I outline in this thread is exactly how I think things will play out. I dont think its optimism either" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741187492269752400) 2023-12-30T20:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@burgwx Theres nothing misleading about anything in this post. When the stratosphere is coupled to the troposphere what happens above impacts below. The NAM clearly shows the Stratosphere coupling with the Troposphere although not initially which I state in part [--] of this thread" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741192128980496788) 2023-12-30T20:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "3 members of the Canadian Ensemble Package would produce a very impactful storm. Those central pressures are plotted at 980mb 970mb and 967mb. This is a sign that theres room for this to be closer to the coast and more impactful. The next update will be interesting. #wxtwitter #wxX The Canadian Models Depiction of snow storm on January 4th - 5th has support from exactly [--] GEFS members. #wxtwitter #wxX https://t.co/4HIEGyJ32v The Canadian Models Depiction of snow storm on January 4th - 5th has support from exactly [--] GEFS members. #wxtwitter #wxX https://t.co/4HIEGyJ32v" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741203443518197935) 2023-12-30T21:03Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements "@MESNOWman1 @TomNiziol @spann @foxweather La Nina produces the Epic Outbreaks. That's for certain. The [----] Hamburg storm was almost an identical copy of the pattern and dynamics that played out on nearly the exact same date in [----]. Nov 18-20th in a strong La Nina seems to be prime Lake Effect time" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741212984628719969) 2023-12-30T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "How to Build a Glacier. Step 1: Use the 18z GFS Step 2: Total up the snow to 384hours #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741258940204077167) 2023-12-31T00:44Z [----] followers, 22.3K engagements "The 12z Euro is about to absolutely blow up the weather community. โโโ #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741533548148842585) 2023-12-31T18:55Z [----] followers, 22.4K engagements "Narration of the 12z Euro inspired by the late Billy Mays. #wxtwitter #wxX #snow #winteriscoming #natgas" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741540007905558929) 2023-12-31T19:21Z [--] followers, 10.3K engagements "The CFS saw it first. ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX @Newsweek Good grief. The Euro control just goes completely in the tank ๐ฅถ https://t.co/UagrCYgKl2 Good grief. The Euro control just goes completely in the tank ๐ฅถ https://t.co/UagrCYgKl2" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741548478415679739) 2023-12-31T19:54Z [----] followers, 19K engagements "Well thats exciting ๐๐ค 12z EPS Snowfall Matrix for #NEPA #Scranton #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741577196181831894) 2023-12-31T21:48Z [----] followers, 15.3K engagements "The Storm Shifted South Folks watching the 12z Euro come in. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1741896677701595611) 2024-01-01T18:58Z [----] followers, 18.8K engagements "Feeling pretty good about my Winter Forecast right now The NWS has issued a moderate risk for heavy snow Jan 9-11th in the Appalachians. Note this does not pertain to the Jan 6-7th storm. If both of these storms hit the Appalachians my Winter Forecast for snow is going to get a huge boost. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741947958449291715) 2024-01-01T22:22Z [--] followers, 10K engagements "So far everything is on track for a significant snow storm to impact the region Jan 6-7. Here are the odds of getting [--] or more of #snow #PAwx #MDwx #NJwx #WVwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1742127112595689761) 2024-01-02T10:14Z [----] followers, 19.1K engagements "Pennsylvania looks like it will be ground zero for #snow Saturday - Sunday. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1742245407575437377) 2024-01-02T18:04Z [----] followers, 11.6K engagements "@judah47 @Climatologist49 This is going to look pretty different in [--] days" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1742248587428548662) 2024-01-02T18:16Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "@JeffFordR07 I don't get into specific numbers until [--] hours out. I've posted probability of 4" or more maps though and I stand by those" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1742251450074271961) 2024-01-02T18:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@MESNOWman1 No. High pressure in Canada essentially locks this in IMO" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1742278094856073578) 2024-01-02T20:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Here's my First Call Snowfall Map for this weekend. I'm heading in for surgery on my foot to remove the screw today so I may or may not be able to update this tonight. If not I'll do a Final Call on Friday and I plan to cover this live from Edwardsville PA Saturday night and Sunday. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1742862338661757138) 2024-01-04T10:55Z [--] followers, 20.7K engagements "I awoke from my surgery to a Winter Storm Watches alert. More are being issued now from North Carolina to Maine. They are following the exact area outlined by the Extreme Forecast Index maps I posted over the last couple of days. Get ready for an old fashioned Snowstorm #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1743003828440424905) 2024-01-04T20:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "๐จNew 18z Euro Continues to Show MAJOR Snowstorm from Pennsylvania - Massachusetts๐จ #wxtwitter #wxX #PAwx #NYwx #MAwx #VTwx #CTwx #NHwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1743068690310943075) 2024-01-05T00:35Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements "The Snow Makes a House Call Based on the incoming 0z data this is shaping up to be the Biggest All-Snow Event in my backyard of the Wyoming Valley since 11" fell December 16-17 [----]. That would potentially qualify this storm for a spot on my Historic Snow Measurement Board #PAwx #NEPA #Scranton" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1743116783769276441) 2024-01-05T03:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@epawawx Gonna be an interesting storm in NEPA. Check out the experimental RRFS-A. Absolute crush job" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1743152892238770573) 2024-01-05T06:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I decided to bust out the orange marker for the higher elevations of the Poconos Catskills Birkshires and Green Mountains. In general the higher end numbers here are expected at the highest elevations with the lower numbers at the lower elevations. I expect there to be a 2nd wave at 500mb which will extend snowfall for a longer period of time north of I-80 which is why I decided to increase totals from my first call there. The "Mark Model" was initialized using 18z data so let's see if the 0z models agree. The blend of data I used was GFS/ECM/CMC/NAM/RRFS-A. discounted the HRRR for now as I" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1743460624284233979) 2024-01-06T02:32Z [----] followers, 16.2K engagements "The 6z GFS snow forecast deserves to be framed and hung on the wall at a NEPA snow lovers house. Tonight will feature the heaviest snow weve seen in at least [--] years. (last heavy snow event was December 16-17 2020) #NEPA #Scranton #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1743643259090391223) 2024-01-06T14:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Good morning from the Winter Wonderland of NEPA #snow #NEPA #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1744000747862118547) 2024-01-07T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The CFS saw it first as highlighted by me in the @Newsweek article by @skinner_writer Next Tuesday morning: GFS 12z updated temperature anomalies now sinking to 50F below normal (for mid-January) centered upon Kentucky. The Arctic blast blows through Texas into the Gulf of Mexico w/extended period of sub-freezing temperatures. https://t.co/Z0SyirTti0 Next Tuesday morning: GFS 12z updated temperature anomalies now sinking to 50F below normal (for mid-January) centered upon Kentucky. The Arctic blast blows through Texas into the Gulf of Mexico w/extended period of sub-freezing temperatures." [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1744426160094577022) 2024-01-08T18:29Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements "@denyswx @penn_state Wow. That brings back memories" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1744896777692807307) 2024-01-10T01:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@BuffaloSnowKing @Billy_Ch4os @weather_buffalo Idk could be higher. The conditions for lake effect are going to persist for over a week" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745089009993351253) 2024-01-10T14:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Weather Rundown GLC Storm Friday-Saturday brings rain to most but will begin a long duration extreme Lake Effect Event lasting deep into next week at least. Life-Threatening Cold will begin to invade the Lower [--] states behind the storm Saturday. Actual air temperatures of -50F to -60F will be found in the core of this cold air mass in Montana Saturday. That Life-Threatening Cold starts to spread south and east eventually rotating Northeastward around the Great Lakes early next week. This will contribute to the extreme Lake Effect duration as Lake waters are currently record warm. A" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745123446755893256) 2024-01-10T16:40Z [----] followers, 21.2K engagements "@Sean884429574 Yeahbut the Euro is really into it. In these situations if the Euro locks onto a Blizzard I dont care what the other models show Ill believe the Euro" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745140264451067908) 2024-01-10T17:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Former President Trump weighs in on the Tuesday Storm threat. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745471741332169037) 2024-01-11T15:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Ronnie721131565 @UnderDeckBrewCo idk. I have the extreme western portion of NC included. I don't think it's necessary to change it yet. Still plenty of time for the storm to be stronger and even further NW" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1745482797257531908) 2024-01-11T16:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@Ronnie721131565 @UnderDeckBrewCo You've got extreme cold air meeting gulf and atlantic warmth. The contrast between airmasses is going to develop a surface storm along the arctic front not at the convection like models have shown. I expect this to be stronger and further NW than even the most NW solution" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745483655827366355) 2024-01-11T16:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Hot of the Presses: The UKMET Model brings a major snowstorm Tuesday Note: this snowfall map is based on a 10:1 ratio. This is probably much too low of a ratio based on the arctic cold availible to be tapped. If everything were to work out as the UKMET depicts actual snowfall would be at least [---] times higher than what you see here. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1745685978587541917) 2024-01-12T05:55Z [--] followers, 49.4K engagements "When the models disagree.I go with my instincts. Right now the models disagree greatly in regards to what will happen Tuesday. I believe they are suffering errors from trying to deal with the absolutely insane contrast between air temperatures of -40F to -60F moving south into the US and towards Gulf of Mexico warmth/moisture. Where the two meet becomes thermodynamic chaos from one model to the next. It is my firm belief that this extreme contrast in temperature will ultimately cause cyclogenesis to occur much faster and stronger than models give it credit for. The impact this will have on my" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745698483598684192) 2024-01-12T06:45Z [----] followers, 17.4K engagements "The Normally Rock Solid Euro has been wildly inconsistent. If this is what Rock Solid looks like I want a different rock. I think the Euro will snap to the correct solution at 0z tonight when it gets actual data from the upper air network to sample. Right now its guessing how this plays out in the Rockies which leads to inconsistent solutions in the Eastern US afterwards. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745855986613592334) 2024-01-12T17:11Z [----] followers, 11.1K engagements "Watching forecasts for Tuesday change every [--] hours #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745865381548339327) 2024-01-12T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The 12z CFS seems pretty reasonable. Id expect the Euro heads towards this solution tonight. #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745896840833253446) 2024-01-12T19:53Z [----] followers, 17.3K engagements "@BennyHootss I dont hold the 18z GFS in high regard" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745947078025695409) 2024-01-12T23:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "A keen observation from @BrianRuos I fully expect the Tuesday storm to end up NW of the most NW solution. Its been a running theme this winter. The storm Sunday brought the mix line all the way north of I-80 and that wasnt seen by models until the day of the storm" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1745955591074291784) 2024-01-12T23:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Im not backing down The NAM just came in agreeing with the Mark Model. Snow Tuesday #wxtwitter #wxX" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1746002761433395635) 2024-01-13T02:54Z [----] followers, 35.3K engagements "@BljediBardic @UnderDeckBrewCo The 0z GEM is going to go ballistic if that is any indication" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1746007413214355531) 2024-01-13T03:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Good Morning Snow Squalls continue to be a threat across Pennsylvania Maryland New York New Jersey and even parts of Southern New England tomorrow morning. The attached image is a snapshot of 9am tomorrow. Avoid highway travel during these squalls as they can create life-threatening highway driving conditions. As for Tuesday Im not backing down on the storm threat. Right now global models have a no storm while mesoscale models look much more impressive for a snowstorm in the area I have outlined in The Mark Model. Things will get iron out in the next [--] major model runs. #wxtwitter #wxX #PAwx" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1746149097822695584) 2024-01-13T12:36Z [----] followers, 14K engagements "@ElliotFiga @chrisspigt Oh I don't Here's a sounding from the latest NAM during the storm from a random spot in central Virginia.sure looks like an elevated warm layer causing freezing rain to me" [X Link](https://x.com/MeteoMark/status/1746233302615306525) 2024-01-13T18:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@MeteoMark Mark MargavageMark Margavage posts on X about euro, if you, in the, new england the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence countries currencies finance technology brands stocks #5001 us election travel destinations cryptocurrencies automotive brands social networks
Social topic influence euro #741, if you, in the, new england, has been, maga, snow, jersey, canada, storm
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @grok @realdonaldtrump @judah47 @nwsbinghamton @leonardyou23495 @epawawx @psimmswx @weatherbob @mesnowman1 @weathernut27 @bigjoebastardi @daddyd0dd @lclimateguy @bennollweather @climatologist49 @nwsbuffalo @tonypannwbal @elonmusk @wxnjsn0wf4nn @enlighten2017
Top assets mentioned Rally (RLY) GrokCoin (GROKCOIN) Auroracoin (AUR) IBM (IBM) Bitcoin (BTC) Avalanche (AVAX) AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC) Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@judah47 @Cnewcity Do you think it is a once in a lifetime event On Nov [----] the same exact area got hit on the same dates under an almost identical synoptic setup. Maybe warming climate will yield more extreme lake effect since the lakes will retain heat for longer"
X Link 2022-11-20T01:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@f_johnmatt7777 I believe they said something similar last year and not too long after Boston was hit by a historic Blizzard"
X Link 2022-11-25T18:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Michael10711597 Ive seen speculation that something about their propulsion system makes them appear out of focus ๐คท๐ผโ"
X Link 2023-02-13T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@EdKrassen How much does the Biden crime family pay you to propagandize our Twitter feed"
X Link 2023-06-29T22:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@disclosetv Id like to know by what measure the climate czar is deeming it the Hottest July Clearly hes not looking at maximum US temperature because that has been trending down over the last [---] years. #Climatescam"
X Link 2023-07-10T17:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Philadelphia hasnt hit 100F in [--] years. If it doesnt happen in the next [--] days its not happening in [----] either. #Philadelphia #PAwx #Climate"
X Link 2023-07-12T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"First it was Bombogenesis then it was Polar Vortex once they used that up it was Atmospheric River now theyre on Heat Dome which obscure meteorological term will they try to scare the public with next Any guesses #wxtwitter"
X Link 2023-07-18T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Ill say it again for the people in the back #Climate change is being driven by underwater volcanoes. Hunga-Tonga was by far the biggest Atmospheric CO2 is NOT the problemH2O is. Perhaps we should start removing water vapor from the atmosphere. We could distribute it to"
X Link 2023-07-22T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"โ Big Time Severe Weather Day Tomorrow โ The NWS has issued one of the largest Enhanced Risk zones Ive ever seen Severe Wind and Tornadoes are definitely on the menu tomorrow from the Southeast all the way up through the Mid-Atlantic. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-08-06T20:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Jurassic_Liz The font that is changeable in accessibility is only the dialogue. Im talking about the UI scaleie the text that appears when you hover your mouse over an item in your inventory"
X Link 2023-08-10T00:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"โ Enhanced Risk Todayโ The NWS has upgraded all of Northern Pennsylvania and most of Southern New York to an Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather this afternoon and evening. The primary hazard is damaging winds in excess of 60mph but a few isolated tornadoes are also possible. Modelling suggests that the risk for severe thunderstorms begins during the afternoon but the majority of the action falls between 8-11pm tonight. #PAwx #NYwx #wxX #wxtwitter"
X Link 2023-08-12T10:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Wow ๐ฎ what a view of that Severe Thunderstorm near Allentown PA @nynjpaweather @epawawx"
X Link 2023-08-12T21:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt had Dorothy in the movie Twister๐ชas their probe well this snowstorm chaser has Elsa Here is her First Flight โ"
X Link 2023-08-18T17:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Welcome to Kingston Pennsylvania where the Susquehanna River is near flood stage. #NEPA #Drone"
X Link 2023-08-20T21:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The GFS sees #snow in Eastern Canada on September 1st. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-08-21T05:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Total Disgrace ๐ก [--] days after the Maui Fire @POTUS requested $40 Billion in weapons for Ukraine Meanwhile he waited for [--] days before traveling to Hawaii Once there he met with survivors and fell asleep.at the same time This is disgraceful and embarrassing #25thamendment"
X Link 2023-08-22T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"MIA: Summer [----] Heatwave in the Northeast US #wxX #wxtwitter"
X Link 2023-08-25T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@POTUS So what youre saying is everything that went up 8.3% because of the Inflation that YOU caused has now continued to go up another 3.2% Nobody in their right mind is happy about that. We need DEFLATION and we need it NOW"
X Link 2023-08-25T23:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"๐ณ๐ฑ -4C to -8C anomalies for PA That would be BY FAR the most extreme #winter temperature anomaly of my [--] laps around the sun. Heres a look at the reanalysis for DJF 1993-1994 which was the coldest Ive experienced. -8C for the entire winter is like ice age level stuff"
X Link 2023-08-27T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"โ Flood Watchโ Has been issued by the NWS for all Of #NEPA and #CNY starting 10pm tonight. The potential exists for rapid onset flash flooding due to excessive rainfall overnight tonight. #PAwx #NYwx #wxX #wxtwitter"
X Link 2023-08-29T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"๐จEye Candy Alert๐จ Is September 14th too soon for a monster +PNA The 12z GFS says no. #wxtwitter #wxxX"
X Link 2023-08-29T19:36Z [----] followers, 13.1K engagements
"@LIGHTNING_FAN91 I think the last half of September youll get some savings on your cooling bill. Looking like a +PNA develops"
X Link 2023-09-03T23:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A pattern change will bring much cooler air to the Northeast US by this weekend. #wxtwitter #wxX #Winteriscoming"
X Link 2023-09-04T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Quite the run from the 12z EPS Control. It takes #HurricaneLee very close to #Boston in the wee hours of the morning on September 16th and then makes landfall in Maine. If this model is correct there would be upwards of 8.5" of rain northwest of the track. If you live in Eastern New England you should definitely keep an eye on the forecast. #MAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-07T21:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Evolution of the NWS Temperature outlook over the last week #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-08T01:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It looks like #ClimateChange will save us from #HurricaneLee. ๐ In reality Lee is being weakened by wind sheer induced by El Nio. The eye has completely vanished since yesterday and Lee has been downgraded from a Cat [--] to a Cat [--] with additional weakening likely as it moves over colder waters. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-09T13:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@TwiistedTr33_ Preview for a winter storm coming this winter"
X Link 2023-09-10T01:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The September C3S Update for #Winter has NorEasters written all over it The dark blues indicate lower than normal MSLP across the southern USThats a very strong signal for an active southern storm track something very typical of El Nio seasons. Also of note is the yellow"
X Link 2023-09-11T03:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Football + Weather = 1990s Vibes The CS3 shows a #Winter in the Eastern US similar to the 1993-1996 era. Coincidentally the last time the Cowboys won a Super Bowl (1996) they started off the season with a 35-0 win on the road against the Giants. Therefore 1995-96 is my best analogue year. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-11T15:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hurricane Lee So far is exactly on track according to my forecast given to my Patreon Supporters last Wednesday. I completely agree with the NHCs latest forecast track and intensity outlook. To recap I forecasted Lee to weaken as it moves north over much cooler waters caused by Franklin. I also said a landfall anywhere in the US is extremely unlikely but not impossible as of today both of these statements still look to be true. I also noted The areas that could still see an impact regardless of landfall location are Nantucket Cape Cod and Maine. This also looks to still be the case as even"
X Link 2023-09-12T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"โ FLOOD WATCHโ in effect starting TONIGHT and lasting until Wednesday morning for #NEPA and #CNY #PAwx #NYwx"
X Link 2023-09-12T19:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@BenNollWeather @MicalThompson I think theres pretty compelling evidence that the Hunga-Tonga Eruption is still impacting global weather today. You can see it reflected in the troposphere with increased dew points across the globe since the eruption. In the stratosphere the footprint is even more striking"
X Link 2023-09-12T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@yeahrightgirlhg Your credit score is a representation of the banks ability to make money off of you. If you pay off your car loan the bank cannot collect any more monthly payments from you and therefore your score goes down. Your credit score only goes up if you make monthly payments on-time"
X Link 2023-09-14T04:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Bostons80113133 The leading hypothesis that Im aware of is that its related to thermodynamic changes along the boundary between the Earths solid and molten core. Its thought that the magnetic pole wandering and impending polarity flip are also related to this phenomenon"
X Link 2023-09-14T23:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A Curious look CFS hinting at #Winter Weather around Mid-October Its got an arctic blocking surface high situated over the Great Lakes funneling cold into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic all the while a storm system is gathering moisture near the Gulfexciting times ahead #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-15T09:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Not2BeTrite The Cowboys are going to destroy themtwice"
X Link 2023-09-15T16:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ocschwar Not everywhere mostly in Europe and the United States which coincidently show up as warm. The places where there were no thermometers are colored blue instead of data missing"
X Link 2023-09-15T22:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Pennsylvania will see its First Freeze of Summer ๐ค tomorrow morning The average date of the first freeze even in Bradford County is not until October 1st. This will officially be one of the shortest growing seasons on record given the late freeze in May. #PAwx"
X Link 2023-09-15T22:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@WeenieWx Africa is one of the Largest Continents on the planet and there was virtually no data in [----]. Antarctica is one of the largest continents on Earth and there was literally one thermometer there in [----]. The point is there was not a dense enough network of sensors in [----] to"
X Link 2023-09-15T22:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@WeenieWx You just proved my point. Africa has virtually no data coverage prior to the 1940s. Antarctica had [--] thermometer compared to complete satellite coverage today. South America also had virtually no thermometers prior to [----]. So the map in the OP which shows these continents as"
X Link 2023-09-15T23:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Heres where all the thermometers were in the world during the 1930s notice they are nearly absent from places like Africa South America India and Southeast Asia yet the Global Temperature map posted shows these areas as Blue as if we know what the temperature was in those"
X Link 2023-09-16T15:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Cold Air is Rapidly Expanding across Siberia. This will likely lead to some impressive September snowcover expansion in this all-important part of the Northern Hemisphere. Im sure Dr. @judah47 will be covering this extensively in his blog in the coming weeks. #WinterIsComing"
X Link 2023-09-17T12:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@mzjacobson I challenge you to power your own home for an entire year using only wind water and solar. Let me know how that goes for you through the Winter when the water is frozen the solar panels are covered in snow and the wind doesnt blowCombustion will never be eliminated"
X Link 2023-09-17T12:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Cold Comes in October The CFSv2 has been very consistently showing a cold air outbreak in the Central/Eastern US during the middle and later part of October. Ensemble teleconnections support this with a signal for a -AO/NAO and the likelihood of a +PNA developing in the long term. #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-19T15:16Z [----] followers, 28K engagements
"All Eyes on The Coast Yet another coastal storm will bring the potential for A LOT of rain this weekend. Some areas of MD VA NC PA and NJ could see upwards of [--] or more in [--] hours. Im highlighting the Canadian model because it has done very well since they upgraded to a Super Computer for data processing but there are other models with dissenting opinions. If you have plans to see a College Football game on Saturday especially Saturday night get the poncho ready and pay close attention to the forecast. Area rivers and streams will need to be monitored for Flash Flood potential as well."
X Link 2023-09-19T18:06Z [----] followers, 13.2K engagements
"๐๐ฌ6z CFSv2 for October 11th ๐ฅถ๐ Too soon #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-19T20:54Z [----] followers, 14.7K engagements
"The Penn State White-Out Game could turn into the worlds largest Wet Tee Shirt Contest this Saturday Night The Canadian model has been locked in over the last few runs showing excessive rainfall across much of the mid-Atlantic. If you have weekend plans monitor future forecasts closely. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-20T04:33Z [----] followers, 27.6K engagements
"@MikeMasco Well you cant say its wrong yet it nailed Lee when the Euro was bringing it into NJI do think its got a better chance of being correct than the sheared off precipitation shield ending up east of Boston with the LP center near North Carolina Coast"
X Link 2023-09-20T23:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The Canadian model sees the Euros bluff and re-raises In my humble opinion the sheared out precipitation shield solution shown by the European and GFS models makes absolutely no sense given the dynamics in play here. Big Rainstorm Coming This Weekend. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-21T03:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BigJoeBastardi Im thinking the PSU White Out Game has a really good chance to be the worlds largest Wet Tee Shirt Contest this Saturday. Regardless of what happens in Happy Valley I agree this thing has flooding rains written all over it for the Mid-Atlantic"
X Link 2023-09-21T04:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The First Public Advisory from the NHC is up for PTC16 likely to be named Ophelia. As I've been advertising for a few days now this is going to be a big-time rainmaker. If you have outdoor weekend plans in the Mid-Atlantic or Southern New England. prepare to make alternative arrangements. Included are the 12z NAM and 12z Regional Canadian model output for 48-hr totals. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-21T15:29Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements
"@NWS_MountHolly Id rather have snow. A coastal storm bodes well for the upcoming winter pattern"
X Link 2023-09-22T10:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Canadian Model Hands down out performed the Euro GFS NAM and every model at every time step even at long range. Both the Global and Regional Models shined. Their consistency was unflappable. This model deserves more respect. Heres the latest run #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-22T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#winteriscoming Latest GFS Outlook for October 10-11 #PAwx"
X Link 2023-09-27T18:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Holy Smokes That is a big time bulls-eye in Northern New Jersey on Friday. Both the HRRR and NAM are showing this kind of extreme rainfall scenario. Definitely something to keep and eye on #NJwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-28T02:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Be on High Alert for ๐จFlash Flooding potential๐จ in Eastern PA(east of I-81) Northern NJ and Southeast NY(including NYC) Friday. #PAwx #NJwx #NYwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-09-28T10:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Its not a climate issue. Humans have replaced every inch of permeable green space outside Central Park with impermeable buildings and concrete. When it rains that water has to runoff somewhere. The sewer was built at a time when there was far less concrete and skyscrapers and so it wasnt designed to hold the amount of runoff that todays land use creates"
X Link 2023-09-30T00:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MatthewCappucci Come on Matthew. Youre better than this Why blame climate when theres an even stronger link between clogged storm drains and flooded streets"
X Link 2023-09-30T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@sleepnir Show me the data on rainfall rates increasing because according to Central Park Data that simply isnt happening. The solution is obviously to increase drainage capacity as land use changes"
X Link 2023-09-30T16:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@momstinfoilhat It turns out your statement is false. @CommunityNotes can we get a flag here Heres the Central Park Data"
X Link 2023-09-30T16:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#WinterIsComing The Teleconnections are sending a clear signal; The first week of October is the warmest it will be in the Eastern US for the rest of the year. The Arctic Oscillation (first image) is forecast to be negative(cold signal) from October 8th all the way to Christmas. The PNA forecast (second image) doesnt doesnt go out as far but theres a clear flip from a warm signal (negative) to a cold signal (positive). Did I mention the #PolarVortex is forecast to do a Big Stretch towards North America Well yes that too is a factor. So enjoy the warmth while it lasts. By the 2nd and 3rd week"
X Link 2023-09-30T16:51Z [----] followers, 16.6K engagements
"@MatthewCappucci Nothing in your response proves your original statement that this is what man-made climate change looks like. [--] out of the top [--] rain events and [--] out of the top [--] occurrd prior to [----]. Seems exactly what youd expect regardless of climate change. Id like to see you"
X Link 2023-09-30T17:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Guttmana9 The signals indicate the first week of October will be the warmest week of the rest of the year. Any future warm-ups wont reach the level of week [--] of October"
X Link 2023-09-30T17:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"I can think of [--] reasons #NYC saw extreme flooding yesterday and none of them have anything to do with #Climate 1) the storm drains were clogged by street debris. 2) officials were warned of the incoming extreme rain in advance and did not clear the storm drains. 3) the rain arrived before the garbage was picked up for the day further clogging catch basins. 4) the sewer system was designed to serve the population of New York as it was [---] years ago. Since then almost all the surrounding farm land and green spaces outside of Central Park have been replaced with concrete structures and"
X Link 2023-09-30T20:04Z [----] followers, 38.9K engagements
"@Carver012Josh There can be. I think a weak El Nio had a lot to do with that one too though. The powerful subtropical jet is a hallmark sign of El Nio and it being weak allows the cold air to get involved as well. Great storm"
X Link 2023-10-01T02:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I can think of several preventable reasons that contributed to the flooding in NY that have nothing to do with climate. Chief among them is the storm drains were clogged with debris prior to the storm and despite accurate forecasts and early warnings they werent cleared. As soon as the FDNY unclogged the drains the flooding subsided. But sure lets blame climate change"
X Link 2023-10-01T02:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is a blatant lie. The current El Nino has an MEI value of [---]. Its not even close to strongest ever. At this point in [----] the MEI was [---]. Dont fall for catastrophism"
X Link 2023-10-01T14:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Does anyone think a Super #ElNio is still possible In my opinion you can throw out the 1982-1983 1997-1998 and 2015-2016 #winter analogues. The Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) is currently sitting at [---]. Meaning Super El Nio is definitely not happening. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-10-02T02:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FlattenTabatha Way below. Sep Oct of [----] the MEI was at [---] were at 0.4"
X Link 2023-10-02T03:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It looks like October will end up colder than normal suggesting we are indeed on the path to a warm November and cold #Winter"
X Link 2023-10-04T13:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ProfMarkMaslin Good thing its not warming as fast as it was [-----] years ago That warm-up makes the modern warming look like a flat line Perspective is important"
X Link 2023-10-04T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Tracking #Winter One of the most important indicators to how winter will play out is Fall SCE. Heres a visual look at where we stand on Snow Cover Extent(SCE) across the Northern Hemisphere relative to normal for Oct 4th. #winteriscoming"
X Link 2023-10-05T22:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@RyanMaue I have a hypothesis"
X Link 2023-10-06T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I think @JoeBiden is the most pro-war president weve ever had. Evidence: While Vice President under Barrack Hussein Obama the US went from being involved in [--] wars to [--]. Now President Joeseph Biden has: [--]. sent hundreds of billions of dollars to Ukraine to fight a proxy war with Russia. [--]. Intentionally left behind billions of dollars of US military guns and ammo during a haphazardly executed withdrawal from Afghanistan. [--]. on the anniversary of 9/11 he approved and released $6 billion of frozen Iranian assetsknowing full well that Iran is one of the biggest founders of terrorism in the"
X Link 2023-10-08T17:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mark my words 1993-1994 is the BEST analogue for the upcoming winter in both MEI value and -QBO. #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-10-08T18:41Z [----] followers, 16.4K engagements
"US Precip and Temp Anomaly Composites of My top [--] analogue years for the upcoming #winter (Dec-Mar) based on current recent and expected future Multivariant ENSO Index (MEI) values. Confidence in Precip map: High Confidence in T map: Medium #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-10-11T07:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#Winteriscoming Theres a strikingly strong ๐ช signal emerging from all seasonal models pointing towards the MJO getting stuck in phases [--] & [--] during winter. The CS3 SEAS5 NMME and CanSIPS show tropical convection clustered around East Africa as well as the international date line. This is a STRONG ๐ช indicator for MJO phases [--] & [--]. I should point out that the Walker Circulation patterns associated with both El Nio and the IOD support this suggesting these models are locked in on well established ocean-atmosphere couplings. Conclusion: Confidence in below normal temperatures during Winter for"
X Link 2023-10-12T18:46Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements
"@P_SimmsWX Based on what The AMO is strongly positive and thats why the NAO has been negative. Unless the water temperatures in the North Atlantic suddenly flip Id have to expect more of the same"
X Link 2023-10-12T19:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The rain you are seeing today is actually melting #snow. The freezing level is at 700mb(3km altitude) which means this rain left the clouds in the form of snowflakes and melted as it fell into warmer air below. In only a few weeks time the freezing level will be much closer to the ground. #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter #wxX #PAwx"
X Link 2023-10-14T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Incredible view of the Annular Eclipse from New Mexico via NASA. #Eclipse #Eclipse2023 #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-10-14T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Eagles just blew a shot at a perfect season by passing in a running situation. Unreal coaching decision there"
X Link 2023-10-15T23:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Interesting looking CFS run for the first week of November #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-10-16T10:46Z [----] followers, 12.6K engagements
"@TMathSports The Dallas Cowboys"
X Link 2023-10-16T11:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@eulermatthew4 NOAA is on a [--] year streak of failing to predict below normal temperatures anywhere in the US"
X Link 2023-10-20T14:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@tulirs Its not defined by a number. Its just that the highest anomaly is in the central pacific and not the eastern pacific"
X Link 2023-10-22T04:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"With [--] days to go until my #Winter Forecast release theres one thing I can cross off the watch list The so-called Kiss of Death October I-95 Snowstorm. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-10-29T00:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Wax up the skis and snowboards With a late rally the Eurasian Snow Cover Extent made it above the 2009-2022 average at the critical time for building cold in the Northern Hemisphere. As Dr Cohen often explains in his blog there is a positive correlation between Autumnal Snowfall in Siberia and Winter cold/snow in the Eastern US. This is yet another signal that #WinterIsComing #wxX #wxtwitter"
X Link 2023-11-02T01:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im starting to see a signal amongst the noise for a possible snowstorm in Northern Pennsylvania/Southern New York the weekend of Nov 11-12. Heres some possible snowfall patterns from the 0z GEFS. #pawx #nywx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-02T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"According to this analysis Easterly QBO years which also occur during a solar maximum have a historical #SSW Sudden Stratospheric Warming occurrence of 100%. We are currently in an Easterly QBO during a solar maximum. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-05T12:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The birds in #NEPA are going nuts What do you think they are squawking about I think they just got the weather forecast for Thanksgiving. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-10T15:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@RyanMaue I hate to be the bearer of bad news but with warmth in Siberia Canada and Antarctica all while these areas see near record snowfall I think we may be at the terminus of the current interglacial period"
X Link 2023-11-10T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I hate to be the bearer of bad news but with warmth in Siberia Canada and Antarctica all while these areas see near record snowfall I think we may be at the terminus of the current interglacial period. #climate #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-10T16:41Z [----] followers, 14.7K engagements
"@NoOne23131214 It definitely did inject unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere. How that impacted the Antarctic VortexIm not sure but the Arctic Vortex did see [--] warming events with [--] significant disruptions last year. Hard to attribute it specifically to the H2O though"
X Link 2023-11-10T21:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Climatologist49 I'm looking at the NOWData set and yes it appears all the snow data is missing.on the phone with them now"
X Link 2023-11-12T18:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Climatologist49 ok so. from 1996-2004 there is no data because of the switch to ASOS. Prior to [----] and from [----] to present there is daily "New Snow" data recorded but not snow depth. Here's an example of November [----] from the NOWData site"
X Link 2023-11-12T18:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Looking at the potential for an epic Lake Effect Outbreak starting on Thanksgiving Day. Hamburg NY just south of Buffalo is in the running for up to several feet of snow again. Recall there was up to 77" measured there last November 17-18. #NYwx #wxTwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-16T18:09Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"El Nio is no longer East-Based The migration of the warmest SST anomalies from Nino Region 1+2(East Pacific) to Nino Region [---] (central Pacific) has completed. This is what I predicted would happen in my Winter Forecast (pinned to the top of my page) and is a crucial factor for snow this winter in the Eastern US. East-based El Nios during Winter historically produce below normal snow. Central Pacific-based El Nios historically produce above normal snow. We now have a Central Pacific-based El Nio prior to December. The writing is on the wall for #snow this winter. #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter"
X Link 2023-11-20T16:38Z [----] followers, 39.8K engagements
"@epawawx @kenstradamus Whats false about it The graphs clearly show the warmest water relative to normal is no longer in Nino 1+2"
X Link 2023-11-21T16:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@epawawx @kenstradamus Wikipedia uses this citation but its fairly common knowledge that an east based El Nio is one that is based in the eastern Nino Region"
X Link 2023-11-21T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@NySoutheastern A [---] hour ensembleyeah sure. What could possibly change"
X Link 2023-11-22T17:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@fishnski1 No. Theres a top down warming caused by the building of high pressure at the top of the stratosphere"
X Link 2023-11-22T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The EPS is showing a strongly +PNA pattern resulting in a full latitude trough centered in the Eastern US to end November. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-22T19:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"2023-24 Official Snowfall Forecast (Black Friday Update) If you missed the full forecast video its pinned to the top of this page. Ill be using acronyms in this post which are explained in detail in my Winter Outlook video. Please refer to that video for context to this post. As for the updateeverything looks on track. I expected there to be a slow start to the snow season as this is common of El Nio years. In fact I think December will be fairly mundane when it comes to Winter weather. Im expecting a seasonable December with near normal snowfall in most interior locations of the Northeast"
X Link 2023-11-24T15:31Z [----] followers, 32.3K engagements
"Ensembles are showing a textbook #Winter Weather pattern developing for the Eastern US in December. An East based -NAO migrates west as a +PNA developswhat more could you ask for #winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-24T21:42Z [----] followers, 17.2K engagements
"@davidhelman_ This was the best football game Ive ever watched in my life. Its one Ill never forget"
X Link 2023-11-25T18:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This isnt just any #snow chase This is a bullseye chase ๐ฏ Ill be staying at a highly rated bed and breakfast in Southwest Lewis County NY. Its located just north of Osceola and is set to be in the heart of this bullseye. Stay tuned for live coverage from ground zero #NYwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-11-26T21:25Z [----] followers, 29.7K engagements
"Snowflakes so big they cast shadows on the ground in the Tug Hill Plateau โโโ #NYwx #wxtwitter #wxX SW Lewis County @NWSBUFFALO"
X Link 2023-11-28T00:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@JustinWx This map ends on Dec 24th but from the 24th to the 25th that cold wave moved into Northeast PA and produced the coldest Christmas Eve Ever in my backyard and the first and only arctic outbreak that came in from the Southwest. Hard to forget that if you ask me"
X Link 2023-11-28T01:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TomNiziol Biggest graupel Ive ever seen at the end of this Ontario band in SW Lewis County. #snow #wxtwitter #wxX @NWSBUFFALO"
X Link 2023-11-28T20:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@weather_buffalo please tell me you did this too"
X Link 2023-11-29T19:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@accuweather That must be one heck of an experience. Ski in the morning and head down the mountain to surf in the afternoon"
X Link 2023-11-30T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@pghjoseph Thanks. Ill do my best"
X Link 2023-12-01T15:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@OzzieR89 ๐ oh idk about that. Its interesting but not a lock yet"
X Link 2023-12-02T15:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@mfdwx Why doesnt that apply to the torch prediction as well"
X Link 2023-12-09T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"4-5 hours of snow at home in Edwardsville produced [---] of slush on my snowboardmeanwhile just a few miles away a winter wonderland of dense snowman snow in Bear Creek. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-11T10:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"โ๐ป Its an absolute Winter Wonderland here in Bear Creek PA where 6-8 of Snowman snow has coated everything in sight Im much more excited about it than my brother. That said I think Smokey can lower the wildfire risk for today. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX #snow"
X Link 2023-12-11T18:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bear Creek Luzerne County PA is a Winter Wonderland Today @NWSBinghamton #PAwx"
X Link 2023-12-11T18:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There and Back Again A Luzerne County PA Snow Chase where only [--] miles separates a Winter Wonderland from bare ground. #snow #NEPA #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-12T02:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Holy Grail of Winter Weather Patterns looms for the second half of December We just entered Phase [--] of the MJO but a progression into the Cold Phases of [--] [--] and [--] is coming. The first image is the current MJO forecast. The second image are the temperature implications of each phase for this time of year. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-12T11:36Z [----] followers, 49.2K engagements
"@philnothere @kogasman The forecast dates are on the graph on the left"
X Link 2023-12-12T11:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"All Aboard the Polar Express If its going to get cold in the US that cold has to come from somewhere. So where is it The cold was in Europe last week and its in Russia this week where a temperature of -73.7F was observed. Thats the coldest temperature in all of Russia in at least the last [--] years My expectation is that this cold air mass makes its way to East Asia next which would be the last stop before a potential Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event sends it over the pole into North America. So if you start hearing about cold in China and Japan in the coming week to [--] days get ready"
X Link 2023-12-12T12:58Z [----] followers, 32.2K engagements
"@MUweather @BobWx008 These images speak louder for themselves big change in [---] T over the US in the second half of December"
X Link 2023-12-12T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Anyone remember that Great Lakes Cutter that turned into an Appalachian Snow Storm yesterday I do. Were in a similar situation with the storm for the 18-19. The upper level energy is again in an area of poor data sampling. Once it enters N. America models will adjust. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-12T15:54Z [----] followers, 14.4K engagements
"Looks like the "Christmas Torch" ran out of gas for the Northeast US. Either that or the GFS sees some Santa Magic Christmas Eve. ๐
#wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-12T17:02Z [----] followers, 23K engagements
"Im starting to think the people telling me there will be a Christmas Torch are lying. Santas magic is holding strong in the Northeast US. Ive been searching for this elusive torch on the GFS every [--] hours and havent found it yet. ๐
๐ป#wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-13T17:13Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements
"It's going to be awfully hard to get blowtorch warmth in the Eastern US with an increasingly positive PNA pattern heading into Christmas. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-15T00:28Z [----] followers, 13.4K engagements
"18z Euro Snowfall by 7am Tuesday #wxtwitter #wxX #NYwx #PAwx #MDwx"
X Link 2023-12-16T02:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Snow Monday night into Tuesday morning a vigorous upper level trough will cross Pennsylvania and produce a brief period of heavy snow for Eastern PA and Maryland. The Latest HRRR model has this band of snow right over the Wyoming Valley at 5am. #NEPA #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-17T14:06Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"My Winter Forecast is looking great right now. I predicted the behavior of the MJO using meteorology not models. #wxtwitter #winteriscoming"
X Link 2023-12-18T01:59Z [--] followers, 22K engagements
"On Today's Episode of "Where's the Christmas Torch". The GFS is placed on the Naughty List as an outlier for not giving Santa's Magic the respect it deserves. Meanwhile both the Canadian and European models show Santa's Magic keeping Christmas Eve cool in the Northeast US. ๐
#wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-18T19:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Santa Delivers a Gift for All Snow Lovers. The 0z EPS Control Run. It shows an even more extreme Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) than yesterday's run with a full split of the #PolarVortex and one piece coming to North America. Are you excited yet #WinterIsComing #wxtwitter #wxX @PvForecast @judah47"
X Link 2023-12-24T18:29Z [----] followers, 28.4K engagements
"@mfdwx @Uprising1928 @eSnowyyy Im sharpening my snow shovel as I read these comments"
X Link 2023-12-24T22:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Lets Spread some Holiday Cheer show me your Christmas Tree ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-25T18:53Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Collective Consciousness Experiment. Pick your favorite GEFS member. If enough of us pick the same one maybe the power of collective consciousness will make it happen. #snow #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-26T00:54Z [--] followers, 31K engagements
"North America will likely see a massive expansion of snowcover in January. Ice Fishing chances north of I-80 look pretty good in [----]. #wxtwitter #wxX #snow #WinterIsComing"
X Link 2023-12-26T20:51Z [----] followers, 30.4K engagements
"The [--] sigma Heat Flux means business. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) is coming to the Northern Hemisphere and with it comes the increased risk for prolonged cold in the mid-latitudes. #wxtwitter #wxX Can't think of a better way to start a new year than with a #SSW. ๐ GEOS forecast model on board with some massive stratospheric heat fluxes in the next [--] days. https://t.co/3u56S8Mrzi Can't think of a better way to start a new year than with a #SSW. ๐ GEOS forecast model on board with some massive stratospheric heat fluxes in the next [--] days. https://t.co/3u56S8Mrzi"
X Link 2023-12-27T16:42Z [--] followers, 18K engagements
"@colorwx A Warning is issued when the risk of a Major SSW (defined by zonal wind reversal) rises to the likely category. Stay tuned for further details as this is a developing situation"
X Link 2023-12-27T18:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Today's 12z Update brings the heat flux anomaly down to [--] sigma which isn't as strong as a [--] sigma anomaly but still off the top of the scale. The [--] sigma Heat Flux means business. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) is coming to the Northern Hemisphere and with it comes the increased risk for prolonged cold in the mid-latitudes. #wxtwitter #wxX The [--] sigma Heat Flux means business. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (#SSWE) is coming to the Northern Hemisphere and with it comes the increased risk for prolonged cold in the mid-latitudes. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-27T19:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"61F Below Normal That's the coldest temperature anomaly I've ever seen a model put over the US. That likely means it won't happen. So what does it mean The CFS is reacting to a Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event which likely will cause a cold air outbreak but we shouldn't expect a return to the depths of the Ice Age over North America. Takeaway Message: It could be a very cold January. #wxtwitter #wxX Todays 12z CFS is brutally cold ๐ฅถ in January this is going to be a fun run to share ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX https://t.co/g45knICcNF Todays 12z CFS is brutally cold ๐ฅถ in January this is going to be"
X Link 2023-12-27T20:50Z [----] followers, 93.6K engagements
"Meanwhile today's 12z CFS is predicting a return to the depths of the Ice Age. Don't give up hope #WinterIsComing Help me wave the white flag.again. Giving up on Winter 2023-24. Bring on Spring https://t.co/K58WJfYRv7 Help me wave the white flag.again. Giving up on Winter 2023-24. Bring on Spring https://t.co/K58WJfYRv7"
X Link 2023-12-27T20:55Z [----] followers, 47.7K engagements
"@susstooge No. Last December saw a record breaking cold air outbreak with virtually no snowcover. Here in NEPA it was the 2nd coldest Christmas Eve on record by 1F"
X Link 2023-12-28T13:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@tulirs Major SSWs start at the top of the stratosphere and work their way down to the tropopause"
X Link 2023-12-28T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It has come to my attention that I have been quoted by Newsweek. While I was not contacted at all prior to this quote being published I do stand by the statement I was quoted with in it's full context. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-28T18:38Z [----] followers, 10.3K engagements
"@StephonStarran1 These predictions for NEPA have been fairly consistent since Christmas Eve. Snow chances dramatically increase Jan 4th and beyond"
X Link 2023-12-29T02:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@WestchesterWX Which do you think happens first [--] of snow in Central Park or the government discloses aliens"
X Link 2023-12-29T06:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Realistic Outlook on January Snow Given what has transpired in December and considering how things are shaping up in January I think we should expect most but not all storms to look something like this. I have removed the date and time stamp because I intend this to be for example purposes only. The general theme is that the [---] thickness line will more often than not run along or close to I-80 as it so often does in Winter. So for folks hoping for snow south of I-80 it's going to be very tough outside the elevated Appalachians. For folks in the Appalachians though I think the odds of snow"
X Link 2023-12-29T16:42Z [--] followers, 22.1K engagements
"@JeffFordR07 the 45-day EPS Snow Matrix suggests 3" is achieved on or before the 15th so I'd give that a 50/50 shot"
X Link 2023-12-29T18:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Maybe we need to move to Los Angeles to see some snow. ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-29T22:37Z [----] followers, 11.1K engagements
"Ew ๐คข Heres hoping this is wrong. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-30T10:33Z [--] followers, 10.8K engagements
"(3/6) Polar Vortex as of January 2nd This is the beginning of a significant transport of cold air across the north pole and into North America"
X Link 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(4/6) Polar Vortex as of Jan 7th At this point the Polar Vortex has been weakened and stretched out like a rubber band. This causes cross polar flow in the stratosphere to extend from Mongolia across the North Pole and into the United States. I should emphasize that while this map is for Jan 7th it is a map of the stratosphere so in order for the effects to be felt at the surface in the United States it will take a few days to a week initially but once the stratosphere couples to the troposphere the effects will begin to become more immediate"
X Link 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(5/6) Polar Vortex as of Jan 10th At this point the Stratospheric Warming Event is beginning to wane which allows the PV to consolidate into a more circular shape. However there still remains strong cross polar flow extending from East Asia across the pole and into the N. America. So while cross polar flow remains to provide a cold air source to N. America the consolidation of the Polar Vortex to the Arctic Ocean is a signal for a rebound in temperatures in the Eastern US with the cold likely focused in the Western US for a time. For my operational forecast area I expect that we see a"
X Link 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"(6/6) Polar Vortex as of Jan 15th Notice the Polar Vortex has elongated like a rubber band once again this time Centered over Greenland as the Vortex migrates towards Eastern North America. This causes the cross polar wind flow to extend from Mongolia and Siberia across the North Pole and into the Central and Eastern US. This should allow the cold air which moved into the Western portion of North America to migrate east of the Mississippi. This is also by far the strongest signal for a widespread cold air outbreak into the United States of any of the maps I have shown in this thread."
X Link 2023-12-30T14:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@rick_ecasey95 I just call it like I see it. No hedging"
X Link 2023-12-30T14:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Since "Meteorological Winter" is defined as the coldest [--] months of the year we're on the verge of climatology forcing that to be defined as Jan Feb and Mar here in NEPA and I imagine it would be a similar story for much of the Northeast US as December is warming as March is cooling"
X Link 2023-12-30T14:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@AirStess Well if you look at the first image it's no surprise that the Pacific has been dominant as the High pressure system in the stratosphere over Canada cuts off the Polar Vortex from influencing the weather pattern in the US. That's about to change in a big way"
X Link 2023-12-30T15:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@a_dauber1 Everything I outline in this thread is exactly how I think things will play out. I dont think its optimism either"
X Link 2023-12-30T20:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@burgwx Theres nothing misleading about anything in this post. When the stratosphere is coupled to the troposphere what happens above impacts below. The NAM clearly shows the Stratosphere coupling with the Troposphere although not initially which I state in part [--] of this thread"
X Link 2023-12-30T20:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"3 members of the Canadian Ensemble Package would produce a very impactful storm. Those central pressures are plotted at 980mb 970mb and 967mb. This is a sign that theres room for this to be closer to the coast and more impactful. The next update will be interesting. #wxtwitter #wxX The Canadian Models Depiction of snow storm on January 4th - 5th has support from exactly [--] GEFS members. #wxtwitter #wxX https://t.co/4HIEGyJ32v The Canadian Models Depiction of snow storm on January 4th - 5th has support from exactly [--] GEFS members. #wxtwitter #wxX https://t.co/4HIEGyJ32v"
X Link 2023-12-30T21:03Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements
"@MESNOWman1 @TomNiziol @spann @foxweather La Nina produces the Epic Outbreaks. That's for certain. The [----] Hamburg storm was almost an identical copy of the pattern and dynamics that played out on nearly the exact same date in [----]. Nov 18-20th in a strong La Nina seems to be prime Lake Effect time"
X Link 2023-12-30T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"How to Build a Glacier. Step 1: Use the 18z GFS Step 2: Total up the snow to 384hours #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-31T00:44Z [----] followers, 22.3K engagements
"The 12z Euro is about to absolutely blow up the weather community. โโโ #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-31T18:55Z [----] followers, 22.4K engagements
"Narration of the 12z Euro inspired by the late Billy Mays. #wxtwitter #wxX #snow #winteriscoming #natgas"
X Link 2023-12-31T19:21Z [--] followers, 10.3K engagements
"The CFS saw it first. ๐ #wxtwitter #wxX @Newsweek Good grief. The Euro control just goes completely in the tank ๐ฅถ https://t.co/UagrCYgKl2 Good grief. The Euro control just goes completely in the tank ๐ฅถ https://t.co/UagrCYgKl2"
X Link 2023-12-31T19:54Z [----] followers, 19K engagements
"Well thats exciting ๐๐ค 12z EPS Snowfall Matrix for #NEPA #Scranton #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2023-12-31T21:48Z [----] followers, 15.3K engagements
"The Storm Shifted South Folks watching the 12z Euro come in. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-01T18:58Z [----] followers, 18.8K engagements
"Feeling pretty good about my Winter Forecast right now The NWS has issued a moderate risk for heavy snow Jan 9-11th in the Appalachians. Note this does not pertain to the Jan 6-7th storm. If both of these storms hit the Appalachians my Winter Forecast for snow is going to get a huge boost. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-01T22:22Z [--] followers, 10K engagements
"So far everything is on track for a significant snow storm to impact the region Jan 6-7. Here are the odds of getting [--] or more of #snow #PAwx #MDwx #NJwx #WVwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-02T10:14Z [----] followers, 19.1K engagements
"Pennsylvania looks like it will be ground zero for #snow Saturday - Sunday. #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-02T18:04Z [----] followers, 11.6K engagements
"@judah47 @Climatologist49 This is going to look pretty different in [--] days"
X Link 2024-01-02T18:16Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"@JeffFordR07 I don't get into specific numbers until [--] hours out. I've posted probability of 4" or more maps though and I stand by those"
X Link 2024-01-02T18:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@MESNOWman1 No. High pressure in Canada essentially locks this in IMO"
X Link 2024-01-02T20:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Here's my First Call Snowfall Map for this weekend. I'm heading in for surgery on my foot to remove the screw today so I may or may not be able to update this tonight. If not I'll do a Final Call on Friday and I plan to cover this live from Edwardsville PA Saturday night and Sunday. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-04T10:55Z [--] followers, 20.7K engagements
"I awoke from my surgery to a Winter Storm Watches alert. More are being issued now from North Carolina to Maine. They are following the exact area outlined by the Extreme Forecast Index maps I posted over the last couple of days. Get ready for an old fashioned Snowstorm #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-04T20:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"๐จNew 18z Euro Continues to Show MAJOR Snowstorm from Pennsylvania - Massachusetts๐จ #wxtwitter #wxX #PAwx #NYwx #MAwx #VTwx #CTwx #NHwx"
X Link 2024-01-05T00:35Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements
"The Snow Makes a House Call Based on the incoming 0z data this is shaping up to be the Biggest All-Snow Event in my backyard of the Wyoming Valley since 11" fell December 16-17 [----]. That would potentially qualify this storm for a spot on my Historic Snow Measurement Board #PAwx #NEPA #Scranton"
X Link 2024-01-05T03:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@epawawx Gonna be an interesting storm in NEPA. Check out the experimental RRFS-A. Absolute crush job"
X Link 2024-01-05T06:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I decided to bust out the orange marker for the higher elevations of the Poconos Catskills Birkshires and Green Mountains. In general the higher end numbers here are expected at the highest elevations with the lower numbers at the lower elevations. I expect there to be a 2nd wave at 500mb which will extend snowfall for a longer period of time north of I-80 which is why I decided to increase totals from my first call there. The "Mark Model" was initialized using 18z data so let's see if the 0z models agree. The blend of data I used was GFS/ECM/CMC/NAM/RRFS-A. discounted the HRRR for now as I"
X Link 2024-01-06T02:32Z [----] followers, 16.2K engagements
"The 6z GFS snow forecast deserves to be framed and hung on the wall at a NEPA snow lovers house. Tonight will feature the heaviest snow weve seen in at least [--] years. (last heavy snow event was December 16-17 2020) #NEPA #Scranton #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-06T14:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Good morning from the Winter Wonderland of NEPA #snow #NEPA #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-07T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The CFS saw it first as highlighted by me in the @Newsweek article by @skinner_writer Next Tuesday morning: GFS 12z updated temperature anomalies now sinking to 50F below normal (for mid-January) centered upon Kentucky. The Arctic blast blows through Texas into the Gulf of Mexico w/extended period of sub-freezing temperatures. https://t.co/Z0SyirTti0 Next Tuesday morning: GFS 12z updated temperature anomalies now sinking to 50F below normal (for mid-January) centered upon Kentucky. The Arctic blast blows through Texas into the Gulf of Mexico w/extended period of sub-freezing temperatures."
X Link 2024-01-08T18:29Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements
"@denyswx @penn_state Wow. That brings back memories"
X Link 2024-01-10T01:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@BuffaloSnowKing @Billy_Ch4os @weather_buffalo Idk could be higher. The conditions for lake effect are going to persist for over a week"
X Link 2024-01-10T14:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Weather Rundown GLC Storm Friday-Saturday brings rain to most but will begin a long duration extreme Lake Effect Event lasting deep into next week at least. Life-Threatening Cold will begin to invade the Lower [--] states behind the storm Saturday. Actual air temperatures of -50F to -60F will be found in the core of this cold air mass in Montana Saturday. That Life-Threatening Cold starts to spread south and east eventually rotating Northeastward around the Great Lakes early next week. This will contribute to the extreme Lake Effect duration as Lake waters are currently record warm. A"
X Link 2024-01-10T16:40Z [----] followers, 21.2K engagements
"@Sean884429574 Yeahbut the Euro is really into it. In these situations if the Euro locks onto a Blizzard I dont care what the other models show Ill believe the Euro"
X Link 2024-01-10T17:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Former President Trump weighs in on the Tuesday Storm threat. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-11T15:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Ronnie721131565 @UnderDeckBrewCo idk. I have the extreme western portion of NC included. I don't think it's necessary to change it yet. Still plenty of time for the storm to be stronger and even further NW"
X Link 2024-01-11T16:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@Ronnie721131565 @UnderDeckBrewCo You've got extreme cold air meeting gulf and atlantic warmth. The contrast between airmasses is going to develop a surface storm along the arctic front not at the convection like models have shown. I expect this to be stronger and further NW than even the most NW solution"
X Link 2024-01-11T16:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Hot of the Presses: The UKMET Model brings a major snowstorm Tuesday Note: this snowfall map is based on a 10:1 ratio. This is probably much too low of a ratio based on the arctic cold availible to be tapped. If everything were to work out as the UKMET depicts actual snowfall would be at least [---] times higher than what you see here. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-12T05:55Z [--] followers, 49.4K engagements
"When the models disagree.I go with my instincts. Right now the models disagree greatly in regards to what will happen Tuesday. I believe they are suffering errors from trying to deal with the absolutely insane contrast between air temperatures of -40F to -60F moving south into the US and towards Gulf of Mexico warmth/moisture. Where the two meet becomes thermodynamic chaos from one model to the next. It is my firm belief that this extreme contrast in temperature will ultimately cause cyclogenesis to occur much faster and stronger than models give it credit for. The impact this will have on my"
X Link 2024-01-12T06:45Z [----] followers, 17.4K engagements
"The Normally Rock Solid Euro has been wildly inconsistent. If this is what Rock Solid looks like I want a different rock. I think the Euro will snap to the correct solution at 0z tonight when it gets actual data from the upper air network to sample. Right now its guessing how this plays out in the Rockies which leads to inconsistent solutions in the Eastern US afterwards. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-12T17:11Z [----] followers, 11.1K engagements
"Watching forecasts for Tuesday change every [--] hours #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-12T17:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The 12z CFS seems pretty reasonable. Id expect the Euro heads towards this solution tonight. #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-12T19:53Z [----] followers, 17.3K engagements
"@BennyHootss I dont hold the 18z GFS in high regard"
X Link 2024-01-12T23:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"A keen observation from @BrianRuos I fully expect the Tuesday storm to end up NW of the most NW solution. Its been a running theme this winter. The storm Sunday brought the mix line all the way north of I-80 and that wasnt seen by models until the day of the storm"
X Link 2024-01-12T23:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im not backing down The NAM just came in agreeing with the Mark Model. Snow Tuesday #wxtwitter #wxX"
X Link 2024-01-13T02:54Z [----] followers, 35.3K engagements
"@BljediBardic @UnderDeckBrewCo The 0z GEM is going to go ballistic if that is any indication"
X Link 2024-01-13T03:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Good Morning Snow Squalls continue to be a threat across Pennsylvania Maryland New York New Jersey and even parts of Southern New England tomorrow morning. The attached image is a snapshot of 9am tomorrow. Avoid highway travel during these squalls as they can create life-threatening highway driving conditions. As for Tuesday Im not backing down on the storm threat. Right now global models have a no storm while mesoscale models look much more impressive for a snowstorm in the area I have outlined in The Mark Model. Things will get iron out in the next [--] major model runs. #wxtwitter #wxX #PAwx"
X Link 2024-01-13T12:36Z [----] followers, 14K engagements
"@ElliotFiga @chrisspigt Oh I don't Here's a sounding from the latest NAM during the storm from a random spot in central Virginia.sure looks like an elevated warm layer causing freezing rain to me"
X Link 2024-01-13T18:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
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