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# ![@MendezMovieRPT Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::955253530486591488.png) @MendezMovieRPT Luis A. Mendez

Luis A. Mendez posts on X about marty supreme, movies, sinners, secret the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and 1482 posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::955253530486591488/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::955253530486591488/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX +8.40%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +294%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +839%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::955253530486591488/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::955253530486591488/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX +22%
- X Month XXX +99%
- X Months XXX +26%
- X Year XXX +117%

### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::955253530486591488/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::955253530486591488/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +6.20%
- X Month XXXXX +17%
- X Months XXXXX +41%
- X Year XXXXX +122%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::955253530486591488/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::955253530486591488/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [pga golfers](/list/pga-golfers)  [countries](/list/countries) 

**Social topic influence**
[marty supreme](/topic/marty-supreme) #361, [movies](/topic/movies), [sinners](/topic/sinners), [secret](/topic/secret), [saving](/topic/saving), [at least](/topic/at-least), [categories](/topic/categories), [grande](/topic/grande) #871, [bp](/topic/bp), [looking for](/topic/looking-for) #674

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@prcritics](/creator/undefined) [@cacfcritics](/creator/undefined) [@robertdoc1984](/creator/undefined) [@jmmendez89](/creator/undefined) [@ifscritics](/creator/undefined) [@ordinarytimemag](/creator/undefined) [@jamesy_ia_k](/creator/undefined) [@birdienest89](/creator/undefined) [@slayingfashion5](/creator/undefined) [@nextbestpicture](/creator/undefined) [@aklay19](/creator/undefined) [@1upvault](/creator/undefined) [@dizifilmbulteni](/creator/undefined) [@ezracubero](/creator/undefined) [@logan5345127929](/creator/undefined) [@variety](/creator/undefined) [@ptafanboy2](/creator/undefined) [@guilhermerdinha](/creator/undefined) [@wpositions24](/creator/undefined) [@thefilmmaniac](/creator/undefined)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Unlike the previous two installments the awe and wonder of discovering new corners of Pandora has faded in #AvatarFireAndAsh replaced by a handful of set pieces that feel like retreads. And like many third entries it struggles to be much more than set up for a big finale. And yet the evolving character arcs built from the last film a genuinely terrifying new villain and a third-act spectacle thats an action-packed adrenaline rush all help elevate the movie past any potential stumbles. It still lands as one of the better blockbuster experiences of the year. I suspect this one will become the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1995742226039939215)  2025-12-02T06:30Z 2517 followers, 61.1K engagements


"My fitbit just told me my heart rate is up LOL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1996295813736095772)  2025-12-03T19:09Z 2517 followers, 3796 engagements


"My wife has agreed to come with me when I *finally* see HAMNET this weekend. My pregnant wife and I. Watching a movie about a couple losing a child"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1996434611707232390)  2025-12-04T04:21Z 2517 followers, 8897 engagements


"Movies that got into AFI+CCA+NBR but missed with Oscar (since 2009): - The Town (Missed Globes) - Inside Llewyn Davis (Missed PGA) - Saving Mr. Banks (Missed Globes) - Unbroken (Missed Globes + PGA) - Sully (Missed Globes + PGA) - Florida Project (Missed Globes + PGA) - If Beale Street Could Talk (Missed Globes + PGA) - Mary Poppins Returns (Missed PGA) - Da X Bloods (Missed Globes + PGA) - Sing Sing (Missed Globes + PGA) I hope I didn't miss any but out of these XX X missed both the Globes and PGA while X at least missed with either. IOTW among the bubble contenders that have made everything"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997135087184293916)  2025-12-06T02:44Z 2517 followers, 25.2K engagements


"I'm seeing people still predicting a BP XX at Oscar that is nothing but critical darlings and FT beloved films.I see some have learned nothing about how this tends to play out. This is not the FT awards its the Academy awards. At least one of Jay Kelly/Wicked is getting in which of the two is what I'm trying to figure out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997725648001909024)  2025-12-07T17:51Z 2518 followers, 15.7K engagements


"My take on the supporting categories so far: - The dudes: Benicio is emerging as the early frontrunner but Stellan will get a push at a few groups - The ladies: Chaos. Some groups will go for Madigan some will go for Inga some will go for Taylor and Grande is just praying her movie still finds a way into BP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997787387167158393)  2025-12-07T21:56Z 2517 followers, 16.9K engagements


"I guess some of you are gonna have to learn this lesson again after all. See yawl at SAG and PGA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998044520513187908)  2025-12-08T14:58Z 2518 followers, 6931 engagements


"For reference 'Wakanda Forever' made PGA before coming 1-2 slots away from a BP nom. It didn't replicate the SAG Ensemble nom that its predecessor did however. I think Wicked is very likely in for PGA the question is does it replicate that ensemble nom WF also didn't make any of the big early groups but I'll never forget how surprised we all were when it had a big showing with the shortlists. So Tuesday is gonna' be interesting to compare and contrast to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998059952250769646)  2025-12-08T15:59Z 2517 followers, 11.1K engagements


"I was so focused on the BP race that I'm just catching up to this news. Sweeney really needs to get a new team behind her. I thought at the very least she'd get in here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998083885780050360)  2025-12-08T17:34Z 2518 followers, 3887 engagements


"We really shouldn't be surprised. There's a reason I always crack "jokes" about drinking bleach when this group's noms come around. All that week-long wait for clarity and now we're right back to where we started. We won't know for weeks what SAG and PGA are gonna' do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998026368668639465)  2025-12-08T13:46Z 2518 followers, 7184 engagements


"Not enough observations that Leo has been attending a handful of OBAA FYC Q&A events. I still think he and Timmy are in for an epic battle for that Oscar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1995362871505736183)  2025-12-01T05:22Z 2515 followers, 13K engagements


"What I'm looking for with AFI tomorrow: - I'm **extremely** confident that OBAA Sinners Hamnet Marty Supreme and Frankenstein will get in. No reason for any of these five to miss there. - If Avatar Jay Kelly or Wicked miss with these guys that would be a massive red flag and reason enough to think they're potentially very weak. There is no international competition to fight for attention with and AFI tends to be more populist than the average critic. - Can Ann Lee finally get a mention Will Bugonia F1 or Rental Family get their 2nd big mention of the season Can Train Dreams keep chugging"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1996336691989127210)  2025-12-03T21:52Z 2515 followers, 27.1K engagements


"Big day today for Avatar/Jay Kelly/Train Dreams/Wicked. Potentially getting some questions answered on what aside from OBAA/Hamnet/Sinners/Marty/Frankenstein from the non-international stuff could be inching closer to "its looking like it may be in" territory. Also likely do/die for Ann Lee Bugonia F1 Rental Family Weapons etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1996549695359844743)  2025-12-04T11:58Z 2517 followers, 17.8K engagements


"- Has the "its their time" narrative - Has the "last great WB movie" narrative - Its gonna sweep regionals win CCA and win DGA - The entire industry is calling it their favorite of the year - Has one of the casts everyone wants to hang out with - Has the best critical reviews - Has the best audience scores - Has Frances Fisher behind it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997677930000834976)  2025-12-07T14:41Z 2518 followers, 230.9K engagements


"Out of the X films that have made AFI/CCA/HCA/NBR Id say you can bet your mortgage that OBBA Sinners and Marty Supreme are all in with Globes. As for the X others it would blow my mind if they all made it in as well; I think 1-2 miss tomorrow. Here are my thoughts on each of their chances: - Frankenstein: This is borderline guaranteed but the only reason Im not bet my mortgage cocky is because it was received so badly at Venice and Drama is absolutely stacked when you look at the titles theyre trying to squeeze into a field of X. Id be extremely surprised but not outright shocked if it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997685788054552618)  2025-12-07T15:13Z 2517 followers, 6833 engagements


"JAY KELLY's audience scores are a mixed bag on its 1st weekend on Netflix. Not on the best trajectory based on how these things go as the sample size grows. Has a XXX on LB and a XXX on IMDB. And while it does have a verified XX% recommending it on RT that number drops to the rotten range with "all" which tells me that RT score is gonna drop. All of these are lower audience scores than that other bubble contender (Wicked) fighting to be this year's industry passion pick"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997693611450777931)  2025-12-07T15:44Z 2518 followers, 6291 engagements


"If you truly believe we're gonna see X movies join this list I have a bridge to sell you. We are in the endgame now for Jay Kelly Train Dreams and Wicked. X or X of those are joining this list but I'd bet my reputation that not all X are missing. SAG/PGA are gonna be huge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998033848756785559)  2025-12-08T14:16Z 2518 followers, 5364 engagements


"If you average out everything that's gotten into these X and use it to make your current predicted XX you get the CCA XX + IWJAA. Which is kinda' perfect given CCA usually only gets 1-2 misses with Oscar. So basically even if you believe say WFG is completely dead (I don't cause a SAG/PGA combo is still plausible but let's play with that scenario) then if you want to add 'Secret Agent' you have to then start playing with scenarios that 'Bugonia' or 'Train Dreams' or 'Jay Kelly' miss as well. And if you're a "Neon will get all X of their contenders in" truther then you would need to take out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998095219934314769)  2025-12-08T18:19Z 2518 followers, 6487 engagements


"All critical darlings and X movies from X studio IDK guys this isn't how it tends to play out. I think a lot of you are basically just predicting what you wish for rather than what will happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998115305625641348)  2025-12-08T19:39Z 2518 followers, 14.4K engagements


"@AKlay19 I think X are plausible for the last X slots - Bugonia Jay Kelly No Other Choice Secret Agent Train Dreams and Wicked. What other X do you think are still plausible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998153054873587945)  2025-12-08T22:09Z 2518 followers, 3437 engagements


"I still think Grande is safe. It just shows even groups that don't back Erivo will still want to nominate Ari"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1996991729061269520)  2025-12-05T17:15Z 2518 followers, 27.5K engagements


"I think she's in she seems stronger than the movie overall. She really needs the movie to show up strong with guilds and then hope she has some JLC-level like late surge; but at this point I think SA is a chaotic mess that will sort itself late into the season. I'm open to various possibilities in that race"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998064997012803891)  2025-12-08T16:19Z 2518 followers, 15.7K engagements


"When even South Florida isn't immune to the vibe shift"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998546827004752063)  2025-12-10T00:14Z 2518 followers, XXX engagements


"@slayingfashion5 HCA They usually go crazy big for X movie to levels of insanity. With X categories I'm expecting they just go all out for OBAA and Sinners"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998867491670602221)  2025-12-10T21:28Z 2518 followers, XX engagements


"Im usually a rom-com guy but love triangles typically make me want to tear my hair out and the premise for ETERNITY had me bracing for that frustration. So the fact that it still won me over and charmed me enough to land a positive mark probably says a lot about why audiences have loved it. Its a sweet little movie even if a few of the characters were driving me absolutely crazy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1993790026594046089)  2025-11-26T21:12Z 2518 followers, 243.6K engagements


"HAMNET I expected the emotional catharsis I was expecting the love story but I was not expecting all the supernatural and witchy elements that had me locked in from start to finish. What could've been a pretentious X hour sob fest is an engaging film with so many accessible elements for all kinds of audiences. Jessie Buckley is the only woman who can challenge Erivo for my year-end ballot and Paul Mescal is excellent. I was a big fan of NOMADLAND but Zhao has surpassed herself here. One of the best films of the year for sure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1997523753148743850)  2025-12-07T04:29Z 2518 followers, 314.3K engagements


"Ain't no way all X of those movies don't make the Oscar XX. The industry is gonna save X or X of them at PGA or SAG. I knew those clowns at the Globes were gonna start trouble"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998024767371391126)  2025-12-08T13:40Z 2518 followers, 29.5K engagements


"TRAIN DREAMS doesn't have a prayer at making SAG Ensemble whereas both JAY KELLY and WICKED do. Its best shot now is to do extremely well with BAFTA or somehow pull off a holy crap nom at PGA which both JAY KELLY and WICKED can play for; out of the X bubble contenders that took the hit today I would argue it took the biggest step back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998026814451548559)  2025-12-08T13:48Z 2518 followers, 6776 engagements


"The Oscar shortlists Absolutely. And then we'll start to see the smaller guilds trickle in afterwards. In a month we'll have SAG/PGA/DGA noms which will be bigger deals than even the last week's big early groups. You miss there you're in a big trouble"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998041106546823436)  2025-12-08T14:44Z 2518 followers, 2597 engagements


"I have my charts about the BP race ready to go but my home internet is shit right now so I'll get it up when I can. Suffice to say the Globes just made SAG/PGA a really big fucking deal (they're always a big deal though)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998042029822238727)  2025-12-08T14:48Z 2518 followers, 1511 engagements


"- Bet your mortgage they're in: X. OBAA X. Hamnet X. Sinners X. Marty Supreme X. Frankenstein - Extremely likely in barring an incredible phase two collapse with the industry: X. IWJAA X. Sentimental Value - Bubble contenders I'm currently tilting towards thinking they do well enough with industry: X. Bugonia X. Jay Kelly XX. Wicked: For Good - Bubble contenders I'm on the verge of buying stock on just want to see what happens with the industry: XX. The Secret Agent XX. Train Dreams XX. No Other Choice I am anticipating the guilds are gonna do what they always do and go harder for some stuff"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998068822192922856)  2025-12-08T16:35Z 2518 followers, 27.5K engagements


"Because I just know either one of JK/WFG is probably gonna' pull the SAG+PGA combo next month here's the info for you to bookmark on which films pulled that off and yet still didn't get into the Oscar lineup: - 2011: Bridesmaids (No CCA/Globes) - 2015: Straight Outta' Compton (No CCA/Globes) - 2017: The Big Sick (No Globes) - 2018: Crazy Rich Asians (No CCA) - 2020: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (No Globes) So the Globes miss for either means even a SAG/PGA combo doesn't make them a lock but it is a rare event to pull it off get into at least X of CCA/Globes and miss. It also has yet to happen in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998453047366922584)  2025-12-09T18:01Z 2518 followers, 5653 engagements


"- Drama Film: Sinners - Comedy Film: OBAA - Director: PTA - Actor Drama: Jordan - Actor Comedy: DiCaprio & Chalamet (Tie) - Actress Drama: Buckley - Actress Comedy: Byrne & Erivo (Tie) - Supp Actor Drama: Caton - Supp Actor Comedy: del Toro - Supp Actress Drama: Mosaku - Supp Actress Comedy: Grande - Original Screenplay: Sinners - Adapted Screenplay: OBAA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998872708075983275)  2025-12-10T21:49Z 2518 followers, XXX engagements


"- Cast: Sinners - Young Performer: Jupe - International: Sentimental Value - Doc: The Perfect Neighbor - Animated: KPop Demon Hunters - Action/Sci-Fi: Superman - Horror/Thriller: Weapons - Book To Screen: The Long Walk - Indie: Sorry Baby - First Feature: Sorry Baby"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MendezMovieRPT/status/1998874305741115440)  2025-12-10T21:55Z 2518 followers, XXX engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@MendezMovieRPT Avatar @MendezMovieRPT Luis A. Mendez

Luis A. Mendez posts on X about marty supreme, movies, sinners, secret the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and 1482 posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXXX +8.40%
  • X Month XXXXXXXXX +294%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXX +839%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX +22%
  • X Month XXX +99%
  • X Months XXX +26%
  • X Year XXX +117%

Followers: XXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXX +6.20%
  • X Month XXXXX +17%
  • X Months XXXXX +41%
  • X Year XXXXX +122%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance technology brands travel destinations pga golfers countries

Social topic influence marty supreme #361, movies, sinners, secret, saving, at least, categories, grande #871, bp, looking for #674

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @prcritics @cacfcritics @robertdoc1984 @jmmendez89 @ifscritics @ordinarytimemag @jamesy_ia_k @birdienest89 @slayingfashion5 @nextbestpicture @aklay19 @1upvault @dizifilmbulteni @ezracubero @logan5345127929 @variety @ptafanboy2 @guilhermerdinha @wpositions24 @thefilmmaniac

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Unlike the previous two installments the awe and wonder of discovering new corners of Pandora has faded in #AvatarFireAndAsh replaced by a handful of set pieces that feel like retreads. And like many third entries it struggles to be much more than set up for a big finale. And yet the evolving character arcs built from the last film a genuinely terrifying new villain and a third-act spectacle thats an action-packed adrenaline rush all help elevate the movie past any potential stumbles. It still lands as one of the better blockbuster experiences of the year. I suspect this one will become the"
X Link 2025-12-02T06:30Z 2517 followers, 61.1K engagements

"My fitbit just told me my heart rate is up LOL"
X Link 2025-12-03T19:09Z 2517 followers, 3796 engagements

"My wife has agreed to come with me when I finally see HAMNET this weekend. My pregnant wife and I. Watching a movie about a couple losing a child"
X Link 2025-12-04T04:21Z 2517 followers, 8897 engagements

"Movies that got into AFI+CCA+NBR but missed with Oscar (since 2009): - The Town (Missed Globes) - Inside Llewyn Davis (Missed PGA) - Saving Mr. Banks (Missed Globes) - Unbroken (Missed Globes + PGA) - Sully (Missed Globes + PGA) - Florida Project (Missed Globes + PGA) - If Beale Street Could Talk (Missed Globes + PGA) - Mary Poppins Returns (Missed PGA) - Da X Bloods (Missed Globes + PGA) - Sing Sing (Missed Globes + PGA) I hope I didn't miss any but out of these XX X missed both the Globes and PGA while X at least missed with either. IOTW among the bubble contenders that have made everything"
X Link 2025-12-06T02:44Z 2517 followers, 25.2K engagements

"I'm seeing people still predicting a BP XX at Oscar that is nothing but critical darlings and FT beloved films.I see some have learned nothing about how this tends to play out. This is not the FT awards its the Academy awards. At least one of Jay Kelly/Wicked is getting in which of the two is what I'm trying to figure out"
X Link 2025-12-07T17:51Z 2518 followers, 15.7K engagements

"My take on the supporting categories so far: - The dudes: Benicio is emerging as the early frontrunner but Stellan will get a push at a few groups - The ladies: Chaos. Some groups will go for Madigan some will go for Inga some will go for Taylor and Grande is just praying her movie still finds a way into BP"
X Link 2025-12-07T21:56Z 2517 followers, 16.9K engagements

"I guess some of you are gonna have to learn this lesson again after all. See yawl at SAG and PGA"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:58Z 2518 followers, 6931 engagements

"For reference 'Wakanda Forever' made PGA before coming 1-2 slots away from a BP nom. It didn't replicate the SAG Ensemble nom that its predecessor did however. I think Wicked is very likely in for PGA the question is does it replicate that ensemble nom WF also didn't make any of the big early groups but I'll never forget how surprised we all were when it had a big showing with the shortlists. So Tuesday is gonna' be interesting to compare and contrast to"
X Link 2025-12-08T15:59Z 2517 followers, 11.1K engagements

"I was so focused on the BP race that I'm just catching up to this news. Sweeney really needs to get a new team behind her. I thought at the very least she'd get in here"
X Link 2025-12-08T17:34Z 2518 followers, 3887 engagements

"We really shouldn't be surprised. There's a reason I always crack "jokes" about drinking bleach when this group's noms come around. All that week-long wait for clarity and now we're right back to where we started. We won't know for weeks what SAG and PGA are gonna' do"
X Link 2025-12-08T13:46Z 2518 followers, 7184 engagements

"Not enough observations that Leo has been attending a handful of OBAA FYC Q&A events. I still think he and Timmy are in for an epic battle for that Oscar"
X Link 2025-12-01T05:22Z 2515 followers, 13K engagements

"What I'm looking for with AFI tomorrow: - I'm extremely confident that OBAA Sinners Hamnet Marty Supreme and Frankenstein will get in. No reason for any of these five to miss there. - If Avatar Jay Kelly or Wicked miss with these guys that would be a massive red flag and reason enough to think they're potentially very weak. There is no international competition to fight for attention with and AFI tends to be more populist than the average critic. - Can Ann Lee finally get a mention Will Bugonia F1 or Rental Family get their 2nd big mention of the season Can Train Dreams keep chugging"
X Link 2025-12-03T21:52Z 2515 followers, 27.1K engagements

"Big day today for Avatar/Jay Kelly/Train Dreams/Wicked. Potentially getting some questions answered on what aside from OBAA/Hamnet/Sinners/Marty/Frankenstein from the non-international stuff could be inching closer to "its looking like it may be in" territory. Also likely do/die for Ann Lee Bugonia F1 Rental Family Weapons etc"
X Link 2025-12-04T11:58Z 2517 followers, 17.8K engagements

"- Has the "its their time" narrative - Has the "last great WB movie" narrative - Its gonna sweep regionals win CCA and win DGA - The entire industry is calling it their favorite of the year - Has one of the casts everyone wants to hang out with - Has the best critical reviews - Has the best audience scores - Has Frances Fisher behind it"
X Link 2025-12-07T14:41Z 2518 followers, 230.9K engagements

"Out of the X films that have made AFI/CCA/HCA/NBR Id say you can bet your mortgage that OBBA Sinners and Marty Supreme are all in with Globes. As for the X others it would blow my mind if they all made it in as well; I think 1-2 miss tomorrow. Here are my thoughts on each of their chances: - Frankenstein: This is borderline guaranteed but the only reason Im not bet my mortgage cocky is because it was received so badly at Venice and Drama is absolutely stacked when you look at the titles theyre trying to squeeze into a field of X. Id be extremely surprised but not outright shocked if it"
X Link 2025-12-07T15:13Z 2517 followers, 6833 engagements

"JAY KELLY's audience scores are a mixed bag on its 1st weekend on Netflix. Not on the best trajectory based on how these things go as the sample size grows. Has a XXX on LB and a XXX on IMDB. And while it does have a verified XX% recommending it on RT that number drops to the rotten range with "all" which tells me that RT score is gonna drop. All of these are lower audience scores than that other bubble contender (Wicked) fighting to be this year's industry passion pick"
X Link 2025-12-07T15:44Z 2518 followers, 6291 engagements

"If you truly believe we're gonna see X movies join this list I have a bridge to sell you. We are in the endgame now for Jay Kelly Train Dreams and Wicked. X or X of those are joining this list but I'd bet my reputation that not all X are missing. SAG/PGA are gonna be huge"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:16Z 2518 followers, 5364 engagements

"If you average out everything that's gotten into these X and use it to make your current predicted XX you get the CCA XX + IWJAA. Which is kinda' perfect given CCA usually only gets 1-2 misses with Oscar. So basically even if you believe say WFG is completely dead (I don't cause a SAG/PGA combo is still plausible but let's play with that scenario) then if you want to add 'Secret Agent' you have to then start playing with scenarios that 'Bugonia' or 'Train Dreams' or 'Jay Kelly' miss as well. And if you're a "Neon will get all X of their contenders in" truther then you would need to take out"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:19Z 2518 followers, 6487 engagements

"All critical darlings and X movies from X studio IDK guys this isn't how it tends to play out. I think a lot of you are basically just predicting what you wish for rather than what will happen"
X Link 2025-12-08T19:39Z 2518 followers, 14.4K engagements

"@AKlay19 I think X are plausible for the last X slots - Bugonia Jay Kelly No Other Choice Secret Agent Train Dreams and Wicked. What other X do you think are still plausible"
X Link 2025-12-08T22:09Z 2518 followers, 3437 engagements

"I still think Grande is safe. It just shows even groups that don't back Erivo will still want to nominate Ari"
X Link 2025-12-05T17:15Z 2518 followers, 27.5K engagements

"I think she's in she seems stronger than the movie overall. She really needs the movie to show up strong with guilds and then hope she has some JLC-level like late surge; but at this point I think SA is a chaotic mess that will sort itself late into the season. I'm open to various possibilities in that race"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:19Z 2518 followers, 15.7K engagements

"When even South Florida isn't immune to the vibe shift"
X Link 2025-12-10T00:14Z 2518 followers, XXX engagements

"@slayingfashion5 HCA They usually go crazy big for X movie to levels of insanity. With X categories I'm expecting they just go all out for OBAA and Sinners"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:28Z 2518 followers, XX engagements

"Im usually a rom-com guy but love triangles typically make me want to tear my hair out and the premise for ETERNITY had me bracing for that frustration. So the fact that it still won me over and charmed me enough to land a positive mark probably says a lot about why audiences have loved it. Its a sweet little movie even if a few of the characters were driving me absolutely crazy"
X Link 2025-11-26T21:12Z 2518 followers, 243.6K engagements

"HAMNET I expected the emotional catharsis I was expecting the love story but I was not expecting all the supernatural and witchy elements that had me locked in from start to finish. What could've been a pretentious X hour sob fest is an engaging film with so many accessible elements for all kinds of audiences. Jessie Buckley is the only woman who can challenge Erivo for my year-end ballot and Paul Mescal is excellent. I was a big fan of NOMADLAND but Zhao has surpassed herself here. One of the best films of the year for sure"
X Link 2025-12-07T04:29Z 2518 followers, 314.3K engagements

"Ain't no way all X of those movies don't make the Oscar XX. The industry is gonna save X or X of them at PGA or SAG. I knew those clowns at the Globes were gonna start trouble"
X Link 2025-12-08T13:40Z 2518 followers, 29.5K engagements

"TRAIN DREAMS doesn't have a prayer at making SAG Ensemble whereas both JAY KELLY and WICKED do. Its best shot now is to do extremely well with BAFTA or somehow pull off a holy crap nom at PGA which both JAY KELLY and WICKED can play for; out of the X bubble contenders that took the hit today I would argue it took the biggest step back"
X Link 2025-12-08T13:48Z 2518 followers, 6776 engagements

"The Oscar shortlists Absolutely. And then we'll start to see the smaller guilds trickle in afterwards. In a month we'll have SAG/PGA/DGA noms which will be bigger deals than even the last week's big early groups. You miss there you're in a big trouble"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:44Z 2518 followers, 2597 engagements

"I have my charts about the BP race ready to go but my home internet is shit right now so I'll get it up when I can. Suffice to say the Globes just made SAG/PGA a really big fucking deal (they're always a big deal though)"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:48Z 2518 followers, 1511 engagements

"- Bet your mortgage they're in: X. OBAA X. Hamnet X. Sinners X. Marty Supreme X. Frankenstein - Extremely likely in barring an incredible phase two collapse with the industry: X. IWJAA X. Sentimental Value - Bubble contenders I'm currently tilting towards thinking they do well enough with industry: X. Bugonia X. Jay Kelly XX. Wicked: For Good - Bubble contenders I'm on the verge of buying stock on just want to see what happens with the industry: XX. The Secret Agent XX. Train Dreams XX. No Other Choice I am anticipating the guilds are gonna do what they always do and go harder for some stuff"
X Link 2025-12-08T16:35Z 2518 followers, 27.5K engagements

"Because I just know either one of JK/WFG is probably gonna' pull the SAG+PGA combo next month here's the info for you to bookmark on which films pulled that off and yet still didn't get into the Oscar lineup: - 2011: Bridesmaids (No CCA/Globes) - 2015: Straight Outta' Compton (No CCA/Globes) - 2017: The Big Sick (No Globes) - 2018: Crazy Rich Asians (No CCA) - 2020: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (No Globes) So the Globes miss for either means even a SAG/PGA combo doesn't make them a lock but it is a rare event to pull it off get into at least X of CCA/Globes and miss. It also has yet to happen in"
X Link 2025-12-09T18:01Z 2518 followers, 5653 engagements

"- Drama Film: Sinners - Comedy Film: OBAA - Director: PTA - Actor Drama: Jordan - Actor Comedy: DiCaprio & Chalamet (Tie) - Actress Drama: Buckley - Actress Comedy: Byrne & Erivo (Tie) - Supp Actor Drama: Caton - Supp Actor Comedy: del Toro - Supp Actress Drama: Mosaku - Supp Actress Comedy: Grande - Original Screenplay: Sinners - Adapted Screenplay: OBAA"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:49Z 2518 followers, XXX engagements

"- Cast: Sinners - Young Performer: Jupe - International: Sentimental Value - Doc: The Perfect Neighbor - Animated: KPop Demon Hunters - Action/Sci-Fi: Superman - Horror/Thriller: Weapons - Book To Screen: The Long Walk - Indie: Sorry Baby - First Feature: Sorry Baby"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:55Z 2518 followers, XXX engagements

creator/x::MendezMovieRPT
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