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# ![@MaxAnderson Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::404552269.png) @MaxAnderson Max Anderson

Max Anderson posts on X about $spx, spx, liquidity, debt the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::404552269/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::404552269/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] -95%
- [--] Month [-------] -5.10%
- [--] Months [----------] +975%
- [--] Year [----------] +331%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::404552269/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::404552269/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Months [--] -28%
- [--] Year [--] -13%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::404552269/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::404552269/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] -0.06%
- [--] Month [------] -0.19%
- [--] Months [------] +5.80%
- [--] Year [------] +5.80%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::404552269/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::404552269/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  77.57% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  12.15% [currencies](/list/currencies)  8.41% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  3.74% [stocks](/list/stocks)  1.87% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  1.87% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  1.87% [countries](/list/countries)  1.87% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.93%

**Social topic influence**
[$spx](/topic/$spx) 33.64%, [spx](/topic/spx) 32.71%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 31.78%, [debt](/topic/debt) 20.56%, [inflation](/topic/inflation) 14.95%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 9.35%, [$btc](/topic/$btc) 9.35%, [the next](/topic/the-next) 8.41%, [target](/topic/target) 6.54%, [gdp](/topic/gdp) 5.61%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@dieworkwear](/creator/undefined) [@strive4more](/creator/undefined) [@nikitabier](/creator/undefined) [@rickkruse](/creator/undefined) [@orrdavid](/creator/undefined) [@foulke_david](/creator/undefined) [@brown_gupta](/creator/undefined) [@__strive4more_](/creator/undefined) [@searchit001](/creator/undefined) [@spxtrades](/creator/undefined) [@carrymonkey](/creator/undefined) [@mrbdelany](/creator/undefined) [@b2b_mikey](/creator/undefined) [@goatedeng](/creator/undefined) [@leeleepenkman](/creator/undefined) [@mwfowlie](/creator/undefined) [@andrewoetting](/creator/undefined) [@spirobayc](/creator/undefined) [@seaneganx](/creator/undefined) [@meck___](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"The only chart you need to understand macro economics and personal finance for the next [--] yrs πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283650713153714)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 1.3M engagements


"Ultimate tax cheat code Take a bunch of BTC or assets you know will appreciate Stuff them into a c corp Operate a lemonade stand or another basic biz using your c corp Wait [--] years Sell c corp containing all your appreciated assets Elect QSBS Keep $15M or 10x your cost basis tax free $30M if you co-own c corp with your wife https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021423833018925522 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021423833018925522"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2021423833018925522)  2026-02-11T03:19Z 31K followers, 26.3K engagements


"The US dollar has now declined 50% against gold in the past year Gold is not rising The dollar is imploding CPI is a fake metric that does not measure inflation It takes twice as many dollars to buy an ounce of gold as it did [--] yr ago True inflation over the past 12mos is near 100% Your dollars are worth half as much as they were a year ago https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016612983686975959 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016612983686975959"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2016612983686975959)  2026-01-28T20:42Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The global monetary system is one giant game of musical chairs Fiat currencies are the players Bars of gold are the chairs Central banks around the world are coming to the realization that the music has stopped The US dollar has now declined 50% against gold in the past year Gold is not rising The dollar is imploding CPI is a fake metric that does not measure inflation It takes twice as many dollars to buy an ounce of gold as it did [--] yr ago True inflation over the past 12mos is The US dollar has now declined 50% against gold in the past year Gold is not rising The dollar is imploding CPI is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2016615545085571509)  2026-01-28T20:53Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements


"This is why you costless-collar your IPO shares Imagine being a Figma employee who waited a decade for the IPO only to have a 180-day lock-up that ended last week. https://t.co/wpfVNFGjkJ Imagine being a Figma employee who waited a decade for the IPO only to have a 180-day lock-up that ended last week. https://t.co/wpfVNFGjkJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2019164811284869634)  2026-02-04T21:42Z 31.1K followers, 576.3K engagements


"@dieworkwear Beautiful https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2666-Aberdeen-Ave-Los-Angeles-CA-90027/20809401_zpid/ https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2666-Aberdeen-Ave-Los-Angeles-CA-90027/20809401_zpid/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2019418869564412330)  2026-02-05T14:32Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Software ate the world Now AI is eating software"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2019441191276749213)  2026-02-05T16:01Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements


"It will stop being a good idea to own Bitcoin if/when the government stops running deficits and starts paying down its debt Until then dips are to be bought and everything else is noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2018425850434298043)  2026-02-02T20:46Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"@__strive4more_ Hence the lemonade stand bruh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2021436906433851759)  2026-02-11T04:11Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"@nikitabier Unplug twilio Email is already a goner"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/2021969137086652789)  2026-02-12T15:26Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"3) Reverse Repo: Updated daily at 3pm Eastern https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1546473268986650627)  2022-07-11T12:35Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Liquidity says we likely continue up towards $SPX [----] over next 1-2 wks. After that we go down. A lot. People looking to get short may want to wait. We're likely to see a better entry point in the days to week ahead $300bn of net liquidity ADDED to the economy so far in July 🀯 So much for all that talk about #QT πŸ˜‚ Has $SPX positioned for a bounce to [----] over the next week or two. After that we go much lower. https://t.co/Y9Q8YvtyiO $300bn of net liquidity ADDED to the economy so far in July 🀯 So much for all that talk about #QT πŸ˜‚ Has $SPX positioned for a bounce to [----] over the next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1548264764458971139)  2022-07-16T11:14Z 31K followers, [--] engagements


"How long until the market realizes the rug just got pulled out from beneath this rally From $300bn of liquidity added in the first [--] wks of July. To $140bn of liquidity removed over the past [--] days. Here's why $SPX moved the way it has so far this month: Liquidity says we likely continue up towards $SPX [----] over next 1-2 wks. After that we go down. A lot. People looking to get short may want to wait. We're likely to see a better entry point in the days to week ahead https://t.co/y6Os974fzR Liquidity says we likely continue up towards $SPX [----] over next 1-2 wks. After that we go down. A lot."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1550229440222924800)  2022-07-21T21:21Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Liquidity says $SPX now 300pts overvalued looking fwd 1-2 wks Largest deviation we've seen at any point in past [--] yrs Either the model finally breaks here or the reversion in the wks ahead will be rather violent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1557627642924392450)  2022-08-11T07:19Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Based on Net Liquidity $SPX remains 350pts overvalued looking fwd 1-2wks After $300bn of Net Liquidity ADDED from end of Jun thru beginning of Aug it looks like tide may have finally turned $80bn removed this wk Fed + Treasury plan to accelerate reduction in Sep πŸ‘€"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1560740645643628545)  2022-08-19T21:29Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"The Liquidity magnet continues to do its thing like clockwork After the most extreme upside deviation we've seen in over [--] years $SPX has reverted back to exactly fair value based on Net Liquidity The Liquidity drain is on track to drag $SPX down to [----] by year end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1570786880534482944)  2022-09-16T14:49Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Fair value for $SPX rapidly falling to [----] $105bn pulled out of the economy by Treasury over past [--] days likely related to Oct tax extension deadline mentioned in prior tweet πŸ”΄ TGA 🟒 Net Liquidity πŸ”΅ $SPX (and most risk assets) TGA growth likely not finished yet After today's selloff $SPX is back near fair value of 3800-3900 looking forward 1-2 wks Zooming out Liquidity continues to gently roll down in line with our expectations for accelerated QT beginning in September EOY targets remains around [----] https://t.co/A7cRkzSQB4 After today's selloff $SPX is back near fair value of 3800-3900"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1572512487882522625)  2022-09-21T09:06Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Massive $77bn sucked out of the economy into Reverse Repo today ($130bn so far this wk) Fair value for $SPX has now dropped to [----] based on Net Liquidity looking fwd 1wk With both TGA & RRP growing fast again looks like we're on track for retest of the Jun lows in stocks Fair value for $SPX rapidly falling to [----] $105bn pulled out of the economy by Treasury over past [--] days likely related to Oct tax extension deadline mentioned in prior tweet πŸ”΄ TGA 🟒 Net Liquidity πŸ”΅ $SPX (and most risk assets) TGA growth likely not finished yet https://t.co/hFpwMfquoY Fair value for $SPX rapidly falling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1572861223028531200)  2022-09-22T08:11Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Reverse Repo rose again today to a new ALL TIME HIGH of $2.36 trillion (+$183bn this wk ) Combined with. TGA balance (+$72bn this wk) Fed Bal Sheet i.e. "QT" (-$16bn this wk) = $270bn total reduction in Net Liquidity this wk Brings fair value for $SPX down to [----] Massive $77bn sucked out of the economy into Reverse Repo today ($130bn so far this wk) Fair value for $SPX has now dropped to [----] based on Net Liquidity looking fwd 1wk With both TGA & RRP growing fast again looks like we're on track for retest of the Jun lows in stocks https://t.co/YKv4qIatxG Massive $77bn sucked out of the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1573144449865379841)  2022-09-23T02:57Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Retest of June lows across $SPX and most other risk assets coming in hot πŸ‘€"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1573144452855697408)  2022-09-23T02:57Z 31K followers, [--] engagements


"$SPX is now back to roughly fair value based on Net Liquidity looking forward [--] week Those pressing shorts here may want to pull their head up for a breather Not that we can't still see more downside from here but the bulk of the obvious move is behind us for now Retest of June lows across $SPX and most other risk assets coming in hot πŸ‘€ Retest of June lows across $SPX and most other risk assets coming in hot πŸ‘€"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1573543468869091328)  2022-09-24T05:22Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Fair value for $SPX remains @ [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious immediate-term moves here Those looking for shorts may want to wait for more favorable entry EOY target = 3300-3400 Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity remains [----] looking forward [--] wk Will be watching closely in the weeks ahead to see if. 1) RRP growth resumes secular uptrend 2) TGA balance jumps w/ tax ext. deadline on Oct [--] Either of which could drag fair value much lower https://t.co/A6BPThoMfp Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity remains [----] looking forward [--] wk Will be watching closely in the weeks ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1575590729648197634)  2022-09-29T20:57Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Massive $101bn reduction in Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ last week: $127bn into Reverse Repo ($54bn on Fri alone) $21bn reduction of Fed Bal Sheet partially offset by $47bn spend from Treasury Brings fair value for $SPX down to $3550 as we enter next week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1576409183272185856)  2022-10-02T03:10Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"How to spot the perfect entry point to short $SPX This formula caught [--] of the best short oppty's of [----] to the day with [--] day's advance warning: ➑ Jan [--] ➑ Apr [--] ➑ Aug [--] Here's how it works and how you can use it too πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1576609692675362817)  2022-10-02T16:26Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"MASSIVE $196bn 🀯 pump in Net Liquidity today: $23bn spend from Treasury $173bn pulled from Reverse Repo Resets fair value of $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk This 🐻 mkt rally is likely just getting started Fair value for $SPX remains @ [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious immediate-term moves here Those looking for shorts may want to wait for more favorable entry EOY target = 3300-3400 https://t.co/YfaJJVtEbb Fair value for $SPX remains @ [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious immediate-term moves here Those looking for shorts may want to wait for more favorable entry EOY target = 3300-3400"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1577034228931301376)  2022-10-03T20:33Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"Another $19bn pulled out of Reverse Repo today If no significant changes in TGA will push fair value for $SPX higher again Lets see what TGA prints today @ US mkt close πŸ‘€ MASSIVE $196bn 🀯 pump in Net Liquidity today: $23bn spend from Treasury $173bn pulled from Reverse Repo Resets fair value of $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk This 🐻 mkt rally is likely just getting started https://t.co/ksfzlW3Yyh MASSIVE $196bn 🀯 pump in Net Liquidity today: $23bn spend from Treasury $173bn pulled from Reverse Repo Resets fair value of $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk This 🐻 mkt rally is likely just"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1577363627166044160)  2022-10-04T18:22Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"$SPX is now nearing 200pts below fair value based on Net Liquidity Historically this is the area where the balance of risks begins to favor covering shorts EOY target remains lower @ 3400-3500. However that doesn't mean we necessarily have to go there in a straight line How to spot the perfect entry point to short $SPX This formula caught [--] of the best short oppty's of [----] to the day with [--] day's advance warning: ➑ Jan [--] ➑ Apr [--] ➑ Aug [--] Here's how it works and how you can use it too πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/KFjd3oF0hZ How to spot the perfect entry point to short $SPX This formula caught [--] of the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1579955329739390976)  2022-10-11T22:01Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"After brief intra-day visit to 270pts below fair value yday (historic extreme) $SPX found a bid Followed by massive short-covering rally to finish day at more reasonable 100pts below fair value You'll see many narratives on FinTwit today Remember it's a mechanical system $SPX finished the day 150pts below fair value based on Net Liquidity If CPI at or below expectations tmrw = probable setup for squeeze On the other hand tax extension deadline on Oct [--] creates risk for spike up in TGA causing risk assets to dump Spicy week πŸ‘€πŸΏ https://t.co/cJa2X0Gy0Q $SPX finished the day 150pts below fair"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1580929402749132800)  2022-10-14T14:31Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Despite today's rally $SPX remains 150pts below fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ Why $115 billion of liquidity was pumped in the system over past [--] days: $40bn from Treasury $75bn from RRP Brings fair value for $SPX up to [----] looking forward [--] wk After brief intra-day visit to 270pts below fair value yday (historic extreme) $SPX found a bid Followed by massive short-covering rally to finish day at more reasonable 100pts below fair value You'll see many narratives on FinTwit today Remember it's a mechanical system https://t.co/Ky67S3f4jF After brief intra-day visit to 270pts below fair"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1582156270286430208)  2022-10-17T23:47Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"As expected US tax extension deadline drove a meaningful reduction in liquidity with $80bn flowing into TGA this wk Add that to $70bn increase in RRP = $150bn removed from economy so far this wk Lowers fair value for $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk Despite today's rally $SPX remains 150pts below fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ Why $115 billion of liquidity was pumped in the system over past [--] days: $40bn from Treasury $75bn from RRP Brings fair value for $SPX up to [----] looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/wI2NYo77gw Despite today's rally $SPX remains 150pts below fair value based on Net"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1582929796081717248)  2022-10-20T03:00Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"$15bn spend from the Treasury + $8bn removed from RRP today Roughly cancels out balance sheet reduction ("QT") from the Fed this week Fair value for $SPX remains [----] looking forward [--] wk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1583215274303442944)  2022-10-20T21:55Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Someone please explain to me how this ends well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1583882915926007808)  2022-10-22T18:08Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"This is wild The average 30yr fixed mortgage just hit 7.2% Last time rates were this high (Q4 2000) median US home price was $172900 (4x median salary) Today median US home price is $440300 (6.5x median salary)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1584016375554527233)  2022-10-23T02:58Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"I currently generate 1.5-2% on my cash every week (80-100% annualized) with cash-covered puts. Yes - you read that right. It comes with some risks one must be aware of & comfortable with but those numbers are real. Here's how πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1584988788899840000)  2022-10-25T19:22Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Fair value for $SPX based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ remains at [----] looking forward [--] wk With $SPX currently 150pts above fair value heading into next week the balance of risks favors beginning to fade this rally Something magic happened in July [----]. Since then you can predict the future. With 95% accuracy. It's worked perfectly for over [--] years. The 1% who know have made billions betting on it. But nobody else is paying attention. Here's how you can use this too πŸ‘‡ Something magic happened in July [----]. Since then you can predict the future. With 95% accuracy. It's worked perfectly for over 2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1586759937320833027)  2022-10-30T16:40Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"$SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk Fair value for $SPX based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ remains at [----] looking forward [--] wk With $SPX currently 150pts above fair value heading into next week the balance of risks favors beginning to fade this rally https://t.co/9XdWCXUm2S Fair value for $SPX based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ remains at [----] looking forward [--] wk With $SPX currently 150pts above fair value heading into next week the balance of risks favors beginning to fade this rally https://t.co/9XdWCXUm2S"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1587492738156699648)  2022-11-01T17:12Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Intraday update: MASSIVE $75bn pulled from Reverse Repo today Nearly a month of "QT" (Fed balance sheet reduction) cancelled out in a day Raises fair value for $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk $SPX now sitting 100pts above fair value $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1587519997697556481)  2022-11-01T19:00Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"This is fascinating Visualization of all yield curve inversions vs. total US stock market since 1980:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1587653110117371904)  2022-11-02T03:49Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"$100 billion of new liquidity was added to the US economy today $75bn from Reverse Repo $25bn from the Treasury That's an entire month of "QT" (Fed bal sheet reduction) canceled out in a single day If you aren't watching RRP & TGA you're missing the entire show $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1587657700481155073)  2022-11-02T04:07Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"Another day of massive liquidity injection courtesy of grandma YellenπŸ‘΅πŸ» $46bn spend from Treasury partially offset by $29bn removed into Reverse Repo $100 billion of new liquidity was added to the US economy today $75bn from Reverse Repo $25bn from the Treasury That's an entire month of "QT" (Fed bal sheet reduction) canceled out in a single day If you aren't watching RRP & TGA you're missing the entire show https://t.co/CsyYYqXCQN $100 billion of new liquidity was added to the US economy today $75bn from Reverse Repo $25bn from the Treasury That's an entire month of "QT" (Fed bal sheet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1587929365501054976)  2022-11-02T22:07Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"The Fed just gave *big* guidance They plan to take rates to 5%+ And hold them there for most of next year until they've "defeated" inflation Here's why this won't work (according to basic math) πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588039111973257221)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"Don't get me wrong zero interest rates were a god damn good time It felt amazing. Downright orgasmic πŸ’¦ But sadly nothing good lasts forever 0% turned into 4% On its way to 5% Really really f*cking quick"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588039139873722375)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"At 4% interest our debt svc cost grows to 22% of the planned federal budget #3 biggest line item [----] Budget (@ 4%): πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn ❌ Debt Service: $1250bn ⚠ πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588039146089619456)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Now let's try 5% 😈 Debt service grows to 27% of the planned federal budget #2 biggest line item [----] Budget (@ 5%): πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn ❌ Debt Service: $1560bn πŸ”₯ πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588039154549547008)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"At 5.5% debt service grows to 30% of the planned federal budget Line item numero uno πŸ₯‡ [----] Budget (@ 5.5%): ❌ Debt Service: $1720bn πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588039169426743297)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"$1.7 trillion just to pay the interest on our debt for a single year Fun stuff Your taxes go up by 24%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588039172266381312)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"By now it's probably becoming clear how difficult it would be for the Fed to hold rates much higher than 5% for any significant period of time Go much above there and stay for long things break badly Now let's move on to the part about the Fed's plan to defeat inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588039174866845696)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"In fact in Jun [----] to finally kill the 70's inflation for good Volcker had to raise Fed Funds to a peak of 19.1% Nineteen-point-one percent Roughly *double* the 9.7% CPI at the time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588039184274661377)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"At 16% interest debt service would become 86% of the planned federal budget [----] Budget (w/ 16% Treasury yields): ❌ Debt Service: $5000bn πŸ’€ πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588039190742179846)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"And just for some comic relief If you want to get the same services from your government your taxes *sextuple* The avg American earning the median household income of $78000 would need to pay $116000 per year in taxes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588039200720519169)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"I'm no expert in math but I think that might not work Unless of course we're using alternate-universe Federal Reserve math in which case it makes total sense"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588039203698667521)  2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"With $31 trillion in outstanding debt there's a fundamental ceiling on how high rates can go before everything breaks At 100% debt / GDP that ceiling isn't very high and we're already close to it now So yeah - in short JPow's job is shittier than yours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588040965113126913)  2022-11-03T05:30Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"❀ or RT if you're now as jaded as me πŸ₯² https://x.com/maxjanderson/status/1588039111973257221s=20&t=FXGHrCiqJe0cSCfsCH274g The Fed just gave *big* guidance They plan to take rates to 5%+ And hold them there for most of next year until they've "defeated" inflation Here's why this won't work (according to basic math) πŸ‘‡ https://x.com/maxjanderson/status/1588039111973257221s=20&t=FXGHrCiqJe0cSCfsCH274g The Fed just gave *big* guidance They plan to take rates to 5%+ And hold them there for most of next year until they've "defeated" inflation Here's why this won't work (according to basic math) πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588051711683436544)  2022-11-03T06:13Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"For anyone who still believes the narrative that this inflation was an accident Or some kind of "policy error" Here's a brief reminder about how sovereign debt bubbles work πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588164627866828801)  2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"3 Print sh*tloads of $ anytime there's a crisis and gradually inflate the debt away over the course of a decade Hmm. yeah We like option #3 😁"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588164667469438976)  2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"But before you get too far ahead of yourself you've got to go about option #3 the right way You can't just start printing money out of nowhere. That might raise some questions Questions you'd really rather not have to answer What you need is a ✨crisis✨"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588164672514969601)  2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Any old crisis should do the trick War pandemic natural disaster etc. You get my drift If you're lucky you can just wait around until a big beautiful crisis lands on your doorstep If you're unlucky and no crisis seems to be showing up on its own you'll have to create one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588164675627368450)  2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"It's remarkably simple Just generate some inflation allow it to run hot for a year or two and then hold bond yields below CPI Repeat a few times (preferably spaced out inconspicuously over a decade) until Debt/GDP comes back down to target something manageable like 50%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588164688763932677)  2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Voil πŸͺ„ Your horrifying potentially empire-toppling civilization-ending clusterf*ck of a debt bubble miraculously disappears πŸ₯³"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588164696095481860)  2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"❀ or RT πŸ‘‡ For anyone who still believes the narrative that this inflation was an accident Or some kind of "policy error" Here's a brief reminder about how sovereign debt bubbles work πŸ‘‡ For anyone who still believes the narrative that this inflation was an accident Or some kind of "policy error" Here's a brief reminder about how sovereign debt bubbles work πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1588167012416569345)  2022-11-03T13:51Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ remains [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious moves here immediate-term However QRA announcement from Treasury this week materially lowers end of year target from [----] to [----] Details below πŸ‘‡ Another day of massive liquidity injection courtesy of grandma YellenπŸ‘΅πŸ» $46bn spend from Treasury partially offset by $29bn removed into Reverse Repo https://t.co/ouQ2Luxrwe Another day of massive liquidity injection courtesy of grandma YellenπŸ‘΅πŸ» $46bn spend from Treasury partially offset by $29bn removed into Reverse Repo https://t.co/ouQ2Luxrwe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1588947500462841857)  2022-11-05T17:32Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct just as we head into midterms. Fully canceling out the Feds $90 billion per month QT and then some. By a factor of nearly 2x. Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ remains [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious moves here immediate-term However QRA announcement from Treasury this week materially lowers end of year target from [----] to [----] Details below πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/oidDIDWXtq Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ remains [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious moves here immediate-term However QRA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1589021453110083585)  2022-11-05T22:26Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"Right on queue as soon as elections are done they plan to reverse course. Removing $175 billion from the economy from mid Nov through year end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1589021455526031361)  2022-11-05T22:26Z 31K followers, [---] engagements


"Brief reminder that starting later this wk the US Treasury will join forces with the Fed in waging war on your portfolio Stated plans call for a combined $350 billion of net liquidity removal over the next [--] weeks An amount typically good for wiping 300-400pts off the S&P The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct just as we head into midterms. Fully canceling out the Feds $90 billion per month QT and then some. By a factor of nearly 2x. The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct just as we head into midterms. Fully canceling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1589701520521842688)  2022-11-07T19:29Z 31K followers, [----] engagements


"Fair value for $SPX is 4000-4050 looking forward [--] wk (based on USD liquidity*). $BTC fair value is $27000 If history is any guide odds support another correction relatively soon then smoothish sailing until debt ceiling resolved. Directionally downward bias from there until things get bad enough to necessitate the next phase of QE *BTFP not factored in intentionally $ into the banking system are $ into the banking system period unless/until they get sucked back out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1649198543226408962)  2023-04-20T23:49Z 31K followers, 96.6K engagements


"Fair value for $SPX is currently 3900-4000 based on USD Liquidity looking forward 1wk Fair value for $BTC is $26-27k on same basis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1650645207623557120)  2023-04-24T23:37Z 31K followers, 81.1K engagements


"With today's rally $SPX is now 150-200pts above fair value based on USD Net Liquidity looking forward 1-2 wks $BTC seems to be pricing in an imminent return to the recent highs in liquidity during peak-BTFP at the start the month 3rd chart shows scaling coefficients used in these models drug out to span the past decade for reference (shown as 50d SMA)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1651691658059329537)  2023-04-27T20:55Z 31K followers, 108.4K engagements


"I share this chart periodically The media & most of FinTwit tend to focus on [--] main factors: βšͺ Fed Bal Sheet 🟒 Net Liqudity Recently w/ debt ceiling on horizon theres been a lot of talk around TGA πŸ”΄ too But none of that matters relative to what happens with RRP 🟑 πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1651822450949120002)  2023-04-28T05:35Z 31K followers, 86.1K engagements


"$SPX and $BTC are right about where USD liquidity says they should be. Which is much higher than where they will be over the remainder of the year (assuming Fed stays the course with QT)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1659585577455603714)  2023-05-19T15:43Z 31K followers, 87.1K engagements


"$SPX is 100pts above fair value based on USD Liquidity looking forward 1-2 wks $BTC is $500 above fair value based on same model Neither divergence is significant on a coincident basis But both are exceedingly offsides on a 3-4mo forward basis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1660731803869786112)  2023-05-22T19:38Z 31K followers, 124.2K engagements


"First meaningful increase in TGA since debt ceiling today w/ $50bn sucked out of the economy by the US Treasury Interestingly no significant change in RRP despite $40bn in net new bill issuance spanning 1-4mo duration $BTC sits at fair value currently $SPX sits 100-150pts above fair value"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1666351821630107648)  2023-06-07T07:50Z 31K followers, 104.4K engagements


"Massive $120bn drawdown in Reverse Repo yesterday atop no significant change in TGA and flat Fed Bal Sheet week-over-week. Strong bid for Treasuries across the curve for everything 6mo+ duration coming out of yday's FOMC $SPX 200pts above fair value while $BTC has reverted to slightly below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1669737499026128897)  2023-06-16T16:03Z 31K followers, 573K engagements


"Huge $115bn liquidity draw by the US Treasury yesterday taking TGA up to $250bn Coupled with a $20bn rise in RRP a total of $135bn was removed from the US economy yesterday $SPX now sits 300pts above fair value a [--] standard-deviation overshoot $BTC remains more or less @ fair value Massive $120bn drawdown in Reverse Repo yesterday atop no significant change in TGA and flat Fed Bal Sheet week-over-week. Strong bid for Treasuries across the curve for everything 6mo+ duration coming out of yday's FOMC $SPX 200pts above fair value while $BTC has reverted https://t.co/YXUX0KmfXB Massive $120bn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1670109294677864449)  2023-06-17T16:40Z 31K followers, 618.7K engagements


"Only 50% of TGA rebuild has been neutralized by RRP withdrawals so far in June Combined with the steady grind down of Fed's balance sheet thru ongoing QT USD Liquidity continues to roll over sharply. Change so far in June: $340bn sucked into the TGA $170bn pulled out of RRP $95bn / mo Fed Bal Sheet reduction ongoing Both $SPX & $BTC are nearing 5-standard deviations above Fair Value based on USD Liquidity Fair value for $SPX currently sits @ 4000-4050 Fair value for $BTC currently sits @ 28-29k Huge $115bn liquidity draw by the US Treasury yesterday taking TGA up to $250bn Coupled with a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1673728694278582273)  2023-06-27T16:23Z 31K followers, 464.8K engagements


"Either we're about to have the biggest correction in risk assets since Aug '22 or this model is no longer useful Model says fair value for $SPX currently [----] & fair value for $BTC currently $28500 Only 50% of TGA rebuild has been neutralized by RRP withdrawals so far in June Combined with the steady grind down of Fed's balance sheet thru ongoing QT USD Liquidity continues to roll over sharply. Change so far in June: $340bn sucked into the TGA $170bn pulled out https://t.co/IFNbPk25me Only 50% of TGA rebuild has been neutralized by RRP withdrawals so far in June Combined with the steady grind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1675949432372862976)  2023-07-03T19:27Z 31K followers, 328.3K engagements


"In case anyone's wondering an update on these charts:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1687531503792898048)  2023-08-04T18:30Z 31K followers, 58.5K engagements


"The most obvious multi-billion $ killer app for generative AI NSFW content (text images video & audio) [--] out of [--] searches on the internet is for adult content But the current suite of AI tools dont support it And they cant / wont ever support it Heres why πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1696183915311165721)  2023-08-28T15:32Z 31K followers, 26.6K engagements


"US treasury net issuance over past [--] months: Bills (1yr duration): +$1.1 Trillion Notes (2-10yrs duration): -$0.1 Trillion Bonds (20yr+ duration): +$0.1 Trillion $0.9T of the 1.1T in Bills was funded by withdrawals from RRP (roughly 80% of issuance)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1705963481982460405)  2023-09-24T15:12Z 31K followers, 174.4K engagements


"The Federal government can run a multi-trillion $ deficit right now with minimal consequence because they are simply raiding the $2.3T piggy bank that was sitting in the RRP Were now down to $1.4T remaining in RRP enough to fund another 9-10 months of spending @ current rate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1705963487871303847)  2023-09-24T15:12Z 31K followers, 502.8K engagements


"Most people fail to understand how big of a deal it is for inflation to stabilize at 3% rather than 2% If you're [--] today with a lifestyle that costs $10000 per month and you plan to live until 80: @ 2% inflation you'll need a portfolio that generates $24000 per month @ 3% inflation you'll need a portfolio that generates $38000 per month"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1759669495202038199)  2024-02-19T20:01Z 31K followers, 118.6K engagements


"Coming out of WW2 the US federal debt hit a whopping 120% of GDP Which was a problem because of the next thing: There's a law of nature when it comes to taxes No government has ever been able to sustainably collect more than 20% of it's GDP as tax revenue Regardless of what it tries to do with taxes rates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283653506310196)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 105.9K engagements


"The US learned this lesson the hard way in [----] when in an attempted to deal with our 120% debt to GDP conundrum we raised the top marginal tax rate to 94% What happened over the next [--] years Federal revenue absolutely cratered From 20% all the way down to 13% of GDP by [----] Raising taxes wasn't a solution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283655750189353)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 76.7K engagements


"So what does it mean if your debt is 120% of GDP and your revenue is capped at 20% of GDP It means you have to grow the size of your economy SIX TIMES FASTER than prevailing interest rates or you spiral into bankruptcy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283657268801873)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 69.5K engagements


"Which is pretty fucked Because it's hard to grow an economy Even emerging economies (like the US in the 1950's) are typically only able to grow at 5% per year And mature economies (like the US today) only grow at 2-3% per year And remember -- that growth number has to remain [--] times bigger than interest rates else you get a debt spiral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283659491623368)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 72.2K engagements


"Put another way if your debt is 120% of GDP Your tax receipts are capped at 20% of GDP And your growth is capped at 5% per year Then your government will quickly spiral into bankruptcy if interest rates ever push above a measly 0.8% That's a sticky situation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283661576401326)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 56.7K engagements


"But thankfully for the US in the late 1940's we had a special advantage America had all the guns The rest of the world was rubble And scientists at the Federal Reserve had just discovered a magical new pixie dust This discovery appeared to be a one-stop miracle cure for any dangerously over-indebted nation's financial woes They called it ✨Inflation✨"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283663614849234)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 63.6K engagements


"So what did America do We took everyone's gold and we crammed the dollar down their throats Held at gunpoint we made all the other countries peg their currencies to the dollar And then we unleashed our magical miracle cure We let inflation rip more or less unencumbered for the next [--] consecutive yrs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283665258774573)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 75K engagements


"Yea fine we might have reduced the purchasing power of the dollar by 2/3 from the mid 40's to the mid 70's And then cut it in half again from there by [----] Ultimately destroying 80% of the value of everyone's savings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875283695969693957)  2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 39.3K engagements


"And refinancing at lower interest rates meant you could literally get cash back on an asset you bought with borrowed money and your debt service payments either stayed the same or went down and you still own the asset the infinite money glitch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1875290532156731776)  2025-01-03T21:17Z 31K followers, 33K engagements


"So what does that mean for the next [--] years Well as they say history doesn't repeat but it rhymes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875290540331430166)  2025-01-03T21:18Z 31K followers, 37.3K engagements


"With rates having it the zero lower bound in [----] and debt-to-gdp teetering on the edge of federal bankruptcy were starting the 70-80 year cycle over again: Inflation is likely to continue trending up for the next [--] years There will be cyclical spikes and troths but the underlying trend will be up-and-to-the-right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875298330831368254)  2025-01-03T21:48Z 31K followers, 42.7K engagements


"Similarly the easy money made in real estate over the past [--] years is likely gone with the refinancing dynamic that steadily drove asset prices up no longer in play Boomer parents who got rich in real estate will continue to tell their kids that real estate is the best and safest investment That is no longer true and hopefully their kids don't listen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1875310647229214763)  2025-01-03T22:37Z 31K followers, 34.3K engagements


"That leaves risk assets -- stocks and crypto -- plus commodities as the attractive places to play We'll likely see risk appetite continue its trend up as the hurdle rate to beat inflation continues to rise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1875311830710837637)  2025-01-03T22:42Z 31K followers, 30.7K engagements


"Over the long term the main driver of inflation is government deficits as those deficits ultimately get monetized by the central bank resulting in monetary debasement. So with the US federal deficits running around 6% on their way to 7% that's a better long term hurdle rate to keep in mind If an asset doesn't grow 7% and/or yield 7% on a POST TAX basis (so likely needs to yield 10%+ on a pre-tax basis depending on your situation) it's likely a money-loser on a real basis over the decades ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875313860397113401)  2025-01-03T22:50Z 31K followers, 33K engagements


"So personally I like to use 2x the ongoing federal deficit as my hurdle rate I need to target to stay ahead of inflation over the next [--] years With deficit current running around 6.5% that means I need investment returns 13% to expect to actually accumulate wealth over the long term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MaxAnderson/status/1875321215667032361)  2025-01-03T23:19Z 31K followers, 30.6K engagements


"Bonds dividend stocks and real estate are out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1875321934382248085)  2025-01-03T23:22Z 31K followers, 57.7K engagements


"If Trump wants to maximize his odds of a strong legacy + set JD up for presidential win in [----] best strategy is: - Nuke the market ASAP and blame it on Biden - Make sure crash is bad enough to justify massive rate cuts + QE - Market bloodbath in middle of this yr but back to new ATHs before end of year - Market rips through years 2-4 of his term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1881777919535833413)  2025-01-21T18:56Z 31K followers, 73K engagements


"$100B+ of liquidity injections from the US Treasury over the past week $700B more coming over the next 7-8 weeks You know what happens next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1893330465718776144)  2025-02-22T16:02Z 31K followers, 82.8K engagements


"Weighted avg interest rate on US federal debt is currently 3.3% Long end of the Treasury curve is 4.5% We have to roll over $10 trillion of debt in next [--] mos When: ❌ Youre running massive deficits ❌ Your old debt is coming due ❌ And now you have to roll it over into even higher interest rates Thats called a debt spiral. The fast lane to bankruptcy If I was in the administration my main goal would be: βœ… Get the long end of the Treasury curve below 3.3% ASAP βœ… As our debt rolls over this yr our interest expense goes down not up That ☝🏼 is how you avoid a debt spiral Whats the easiest way to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1904566653851173255)  2025-03-25T16:10Z 31K followers, 77.9K engagements


"Some scary early results from our microplastics tests in the 🍻beer category: 🚨 180ppt of PFAS in Coors Light (45x EPAs legal limit for drinking water) 🚨 200ppt of PFAS in Michelob Ultra (50x EPA legal limit) 🚨 1500ppt or Bisphenol F in Bud Light (no EPA limit established but extremely toxic) Its looking like alcohol may actually be one of the least toxic things in many popular beer brands πŸ‘€"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1906836733276373017)  2025-03-31T22:31Z 31K followers, 12.1K engagements


"Never been religious Been trying out church with my wife & 2yr old son past few wks b/c we like the values + community Sitting thru sermon trying to keep an open mind and no judgement But it often sounds like crazy talk super culty Specially the references to scripture. Overly cryptic rather than just saying the lesson in plain english And stuff like you need to submit reminds me of the way religion was used historically to control people in some pretty dark ways Causes this repulsive reaction Finding it hard to buy in Any advice from Christian folks on how to get past this Genuinely want to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1911593198641979830)  2025-04-14T01:31Z 31K followers, 398.9K engagements


"No amount of deflationary technology can overcome the fact that we have 120% debt / gdp compounding at 6% ongoing deficits + interest Massive currency devaluation is the only outcome Gold and Bitcoin arent going up The denominator is collapsing Gold and bitcoin is acting like were about to enter into a period of hyperinflationbut no one realizes that AI is deflationary. Gold and bitcoin is acting like were about to enter into a period of hyperinflationbut no one realizes that AI is deflationary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1976349644352520335)  2025-10-09T18:10Z 31K followers, 24.4K engagements


"To anyone who still thinks owning a home in the US is a good investment: Interest rates went straight down for 40yrs from 1980-2020 driving cap rates down and therefore real estate prices relentlessly up When we hit the [--] bound on interest rates we proceeded to open our borders and let tens of millions of immigrants into the country replacing the cap rate driven increase in home prices with population driven increase And now were out of bullets Immigration is done for the foreseeable future Interest rates are in the beginning stages of a multi-decade uptrend The world is coming to the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1976361681778507933)  2025-10-09T18:58Z 31K followers, 94.6K engagements


"Run more High intensity cardio first thing in the morning will spike your cortisol Youll have less cortisol left for the rest of the day which lowers your anxiety chemically The more stressful the cardio the better the effect for rest of day Also work on cutting out stimulants if youre a caffeine drinker etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1981770016329793922)  2025-10-24T17:09Z 31K followers, 741.8K engagements


"Andrew deserves a lot of flowers for this Incredible call I think I found a Picasso at a garage sale. But not the kind youd think Lately Ive been thinking about how to capture some of the upside of this AI boom in my stock portfolio. But its hard. Im a value investor. The idea of paying 30x earnings for NVIDIA almost I think I found a Picasso at a garage sale. But not the kind youd think Lately Ive been thinking about how to capture some of the upside of this AI boom in my stock portfolio. But its hard. Im a value investor. The idea of paying 30x earnings for NVIDIA almost"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987614606861439055)  2025-11-09T20:13Z 31K followers, 2.1M engagements


"This is the only chart you need to understand to win at investing over the next 30-40 yrs The real red pill is realizing that most of the economic data you see is fake and inaccurate. The real red pill is realizing that most of the economic data you see is fake and inaccurate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1987916686830498096)  2025-11-10T16:14Z 31K followers, 274.9K engagements


"Sold for $875k right before the movie came out One of the hardest parts about watching Home Alone as I get older is knowing that Kevin's parents probably bought the house for like $175k https://t.co/zKkEdpoDGW One of the hardest parts about watching Home Alone as I get older is knowing that Kevin's parents probably bought the house for like $175k https://t.co/zKkEdpoDGW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988005333063848242)  2025-11-10T22:06Z 31K followers, 1.2M engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@MaxAnderson Avatar @MaxAnderson Max Anderson

Max Anderson posts on X about $spx, spx, liquidity, debt the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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  • [--] Week [------] -95%
  • [--] Month [-------] -5.10%
  • [--] Months [----------] +975%
  • [--] Year [----------] +331%

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Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Months [--] -28%
  • [--] Year [--] -13%

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Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] -0.06%
  • [--] Month [------] -0.19%
  • [--] Months [------] +5.80%
  • [--] Year [------] +5.80%

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CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance 77.57% cryptocurrencies 12.15% currencies 8.41% technology brands 3.74% stocks 1.87% social networks 1.87% exchanges 1.87% countries 1.87% automotive brands 0.93%

Social topic influence $spx 33.64%, spx 32.71%, liquidity 31.78%, debt 20.56%, inflation 14.95%, in the 9.35%, $btc 9.35%, the next 8.41%, target 6.54%, gdp 5.61%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @dieworkwear @strive4more @nikitabier @rickkruse @orrdavid @foulke_david @brown_gupta @_strive4more @searchit001 @spxtrades @carrymonkey @mrbdelany @b2b_mikey @goatedeng @leeleepenkman @mwfowlie @andrewoetting @spirobayc @seaneganx @meck___

Top assets mentioned SPX6900 (SPX) Bitcoin (BTC)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"The only chart you need to understand macro economics and personal finance for the next [--] yrs πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 1.3M engagements

"Ultimate tax cheat code Take a bunch of BTC or assets you know will appreciate Stuff them into a c corp Operate a lemonade stand or another basic biz using your c corp Wait [--] years Sell c corp containing all your appreciated assets Elect QSBS Keep $15M or 10x your cost basis tax free $30M if you co-own c corp with your wife https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021423833018925522 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021423833018925522"
X Link 2026-02-11T03:19Z 31K followers, 26.3K engagements

"The US dollar has now declined 50% against gold in the past year Gold is not rising The dollar is imploding CPI is a fake metric that does not measure inflation It takes twice as many dollars to buy an ounce of gold as it did [--] yr ago True inflation over the past 12mos is near 100% Your dollars are worth half as much as they were a year ago https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016612983686975959 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016612983686975959"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:42Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements

"The global monetary system is one giant game of musical chairs Fiat currencies are the players Bars of gold are the chairs Central banks around the world are coming to the realization that the music has stopped The US dollar has now declined 50% against gold in the past year Gold is not rising The dollar is imploding CPI is a fake metric that does not measure inflation It takes twice as many dollars to buy an ounce of gold as it did [--] yr ago True inflation over the past 12mos is The US dollar has now declined 50% against gold in the past year Gold is not rising The dollar is imploding CPI is"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:53Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements

"This is why you costless-collar your IPO shares Imagine being a Figma employee who waited a decade for the IPO only to have a 180-day lock-up that ended last week. https://t.co/wpfVNFGjkJ Imagine being a Figma employee who waited a decade for the IPO only to have a 180-day lock-up that ended last week. https://t.co/wpfVNFGjkJ"
X Link 2026-02-04T21:42Z 31.1K followers, 576.3K engagements

"@dieworkwear Beautiful https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2666-Aberdeen-Ave-Los-Angeles-CA-90027/20809401_zpid/ https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2666-Aberdeen-Ave-Los-Angeles-CA-90027/20809401_zpid/"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:32Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Software ate the world Now AI is eating software"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:01Z 31.1K followers, [----] engagements

"It will stop being a good idea to own Bitcoin if/when the government stops running deficits and starts paying down its debt Until then dips are to be bought and everything else is noise"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:46Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"@_strive4more Hence the lemonade stand bruh"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:11Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"@nikitabier Unplug twilio Email is already a goner"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:26Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"3) Reverse Repo: Updated daily at 3pm Eastern https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD"
X Link 2022-07-11T12:35Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Liquidity says we likely continue up towards $SPX [----] over next 1-2 wks. After that we go down. A lot. People looking to get short may want to wait. We're likely to see a better entry point in the days to week ahead $300bn of net liquidity ADDED to the economy so far in July 🀯 So much for all that talk about #QT πŸ˜‚ Has $SPX positioned for a bounce to [----] over the next week or two. After that we go much lower. https://t.co/Y9Q8YvtyiO $300bn of net liquidity ADDED to the economy so far in July 🀯 So much for all that talk about #QT πŸ˜‚ Has $SPX positioned for a bounce to [----] over the next"
X Link 2022-07-16T11:14Z 31K followers, [--] engagements

"How long until the market realizes the rug just got pulled out from beneath this rally From $300bn of liquidity added in the first [--] wks of July. To $140bn of liquidity removed over the past [--] days. Here's why $SPX moved the way it has so far this month: Liquidity says we likely continue up towards $SPX [----] over next 1-2 wks. After that we go down. A lot. People looking to get short may want to wait. We're likely to see a better entry point in the days to week ahead https://t.co/y6Os974fzR Liquidity says we likely continue up towards $SPX [----] over next 1-2 wks. After that we go down. A lot."
X Link 2022-07-21T21:21Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Liquidity says $SPX now 300pts overvalued looking fwd 1-2 wks Largest deviation we've seen at any point in past [--] yrs Either the model finally breaks here or the reversion in the wks ahead will be rather violent"
X Link 2022-08-11T07:19Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Based on Net Liquidity $SPX remains 350pts overvalued looking fwd 1-2wks After $300bn of Net Liquidity ADDED from end of Jun thru beginning of Aug it looks like tide may have finally turned $80bn removed this wk Fed + Treasury plan to accelerate reduction in Sep πŸ‘€"
X Link 2022-08-19T21:29Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"The Liquidity magnet continues to do its thing like clockwork After the most extreme upside deviation we've seen in over [--] years $SPX has reverted back to exactly fair value based on Net Liquidity The Liquidity drain is on track to drag $SPX down to [----] by year end"
X Link 2022-09-16T14:49Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Fair value for $SPX rapidly falling to [----] $105bn pulled out of the economy by Treasury over past [--] days likely related to Oct tax extension deadline mentioned in prior tweet πŸ”΄ TGA 🟒 Net Liquidity πŸ”΅ $SPX (and most risk assets) TGA growth likely not finished yet After today's selloff $SPX is back near fair value of 3800-3900 looking forward 1-2 wks Zooming out Liquidity continues to gently roll down in line with our expectations for accelerated QT beginning in September EOY targets remains around [----] https://t.co/A7cRkzSQB4 After today's selloff $SPX is back near fair value of 3800-3900"
X Link 2022-09-21T09:06Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Massive $77bn sucked out of the economy into Reverse Repo today ($130bn so far this wk) Fair value for $SPX has now dropped to [----] based on Net Liquidity looking fwd 1wk With both TGA & RRP growing fast again looks like we're on track for retest of the Jun lows in stocks Fair value for $SPX rapidly falling to [----] $105bn pulled out of the economy by Treasury over past [--] days likely related to Oct tax extension deadline mentioned in prior tweet πŸ”΄ TGA 🟒 Net Liquidity πŸ”΅ $SPX (and most risk assets) TGA growth likely not finished yet https://t.co/hFpwMfquoY Fair value for $SPX rapidly falling"
X Link 2022-09-22T08:11Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Reverse Repo rose again today to a new ALL TIME HIGH of $2.36 trillion (+$183bn this wk ) Combined with. TGA balance (+$72bn this wk) Fed Bal Sheet i.e. "QT" (-$16bn this wk) = $270bn total reduction in Net Liquidity this wk Brings fair value for $SPX down to [----] Massive $77bn sucked out of the economy into Reverse Repo today ($130bn so far this wk) Fair value for $SPX has now dropped to [----] based on Net Liquidity looking fwd 1wk With both TGA & RRP growing fast again looks like we're on track for retest of the Jun lows in stocks https://t.co/YKv4qIatxG Massive $77bn sucked out of the"
X Link 2022-09-23T02:57Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Retest of June lows across $SPX and most other risk assets coming in hot πŸ‘€"
X Link 2022-09-23T02:57Z 31K followers, [--] engagements

"$SPX is now back to roughly fair value based on Net Liquidity looking forward [--] week Those pressing shorts here may want to pull their head up for a breather Not that we can't still see more downside from here but the bulk of the obvious move is behind us for now Retest of June lows across $SPX and most other risk assets coming in hot πŸ‘€ Retest of June lows across $SPX and most other risk assets coming in hot πŸ‘€"
X Link 2022-09-24T05:22Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Fair value for $SPX remains @ [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious immediate-term moves here Those looking for shorts may want to wait for more favorable entry EOY target = 3300-3400 Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity remains [----] looking forward [--] wk Will be watching closely in the weeks ahead to see if. 1) RRP growth resumes secular uptrend 2) TGA balance jumps w/ tax ext. deadline on Oct [--] Either of which could drag fair value much lower https://t.co/A6BPThoMfp Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity remains [----] looking forward [--] wk Will be watching closely in the weeks ahead"
X Link 2022-09-29T20:57Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Massive $101bn reduction in Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ last week: $127bn into Reverse Repo ($54bn on Fri alone) $21bn reduction of Fed Bal Sheet partially offset by $47bn spend from Treasury Brings fair value for $SPX down to $3550 as we enter next week"
X Link 2022-10-02T03:10Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"How to spot the perfect entry point to short $SPX This formula caught [--] of the best short oppty's of [----] to the day with [--] day's advance warning: ➑ Jan [--] ➑ Apr [--] ➑ Aug [--] Here's how it works and how you can use it too πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2022-10-02T16:26Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"MASSIVE $196bn 🀯 pump in Net Liquidity today: $23bn spend from Treasury $173bn pulled from Reverse Repo Resets fair value of $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk This 🐻 mkt rally is likely just getting started Fair value for $SPX remains @ [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious immediate-term moves here Those looking for shorts may want to wait for more favorable entry EOY target = 3300-3400 https://t.co/YfaJJVtEbb Fair value for $SPX remains @ [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious immediate-term moves here Those looking for shorts may want to wait for more favorable entry EOY target = 3300-3400"
X Link 2022-10-03T20:33Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"Another $19bn pulled out of Reverse Repo today If no significant changes in TGA will push fair value for $SPX higher again Lets see what TGA prints today @ US mkt close πŸ‘€ MASSIVE $196bn 🀯 pump in Net Liquidity today: $23bn spend from Treasury $173bn pulled from Reverse Repo Resets fair value of $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk This 🐻 mkt rally is likely just getting started https://t.co/ksfzlW3Yyh MASSIVE $196bn 🀯 pump in Net Liquidity today: $23bn spend from Treasury $173bn pulled from Reverse Repo Resets fair value of $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk This 🐻 mkt rally is likely just"
X Link 2022-10-04T18:22Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"$SPX is now nearing 200pts below fair value based on Net Liquidity Historically this is the area where the balance of risks begins to favor covering shorts EOY target remains lower @ 3400-3500. However that doesn't mean we necessarily have to go there in a straight line How to spot the perfect entry point to short $SPX This formula caught [--] of the best short oppty's of [----] to the day with [--] day's advance warning: ➑ Jan [--] ➑ Apr [--] ➑ Aug [--] Here's how it works and how you can use it too πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/KFjd3oF0hZ How to spot the perfect entry point to short $SPX This formula caught [--] of the"
X Link 2022-10-11T22:01Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"After brief intra-day visit to 270pts below fair value yday (historic extreme) $SPX found a bid Followed by massive short-covering rally to finish day at more reasonable 100pts below fair value You'll see many narratives on FinTwit today Remember it's a mechanical system $SPX finished the day 150pts below fair value based on Net Liquidity If CPI at or below expectations tmrw = probable setup for squeeze On the other hand tax extension deadline on Oct [--] creates risk for spike up in TGA causing risk assets to dump Spicy week πŸ‘€πŸΏ https://t.co/cJa2X0Gy0Q $SPX finished the day 150pts below fair"
X Link 2022-10-14T14:31Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Despite today's rally $SPX remains 150pts below fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ Why $115 billion of liquidity was pumped in the system over past [--] days: $40bn from Treasury $75bn from RRP Brings fair value for $SPX up to [----] looking forward [--] wk After brief intra-day visit to 270pts below fair value yday (historic extreme) $SPX found a bid Followed by massive short-covering rally to finish day at more reasonable 100pts below fair value You'll see many narratives on FinTwit today Remember it's a mechanical system https://t.co/Ky67S3f4jF After brief intra-day visit to 270pts below fair"
X Link 2022-10-17T23:47Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"As expected US tax extension deadline drove a meaningful reduction in liquidity with $80bn flowing into TGA this wk Add that to $70bn increase in RRP = $150bn removed from economy so far this wk Lowers fair value for $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk Despite today's rally $SPX remains 150pts below fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ Why $115 billion of liquidity was pumped in the system over past [--] days: $40bn from Treasury $75bn from RRP Brings fair value for $SPX up to [----] looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/wI2NYo77gw Despite today's rally $SPX remains 150pts below fair value based on Net"
X Link 2022-10-20T03:00Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"$15bn spend from the Treasury + $8bn removed from RRP today Roughly cancels out balance sheet reduction ("QT") from the Fed this week Fair value for $SPX remains [----] looking forward [--] wk"
X Link 2022-10-20T21:55Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Someone please explain to me how this ends well"
X Link 2022-10-22T18:08Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"This is wild The average 30yr fixed mortgage just hit 7.2% Last time rates were this high (Q4 2000) median US home price was $172900 (4x median salary) Today median US home price is $440300 (6.5x median salary)"
X Link 2022-10-23T02:58Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"I currently generate 1.5-2% on my cash every week (80-100% annualized) with cash-covered puts. Yes - you read that right. It comes with some risks one must be aware of & comfortable with but those numbers are real. Here's how πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2022-10-25T19:22Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Fair value for $SPX based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ remains at [----] looking forward [--] wk With $SPX currently 150pts above fair value heading into next week the balance of risks favors beginning to fade this rally Something magic happened in July [----]. Since then you can predict the future. With 95% accuracy. It's worked perfectly for over [--] years. The 1% who know have made billions betting on it. But nobody else is paying attention. Here's how you can use this too πŸ‘‡ Something magic happened in July [----]. Since then you can predict the future. With 95% accuracy. It's worked perfectly for over 2"
X Link 2022-10-30T16:40Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"$SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk Fair value for $SPX based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ remains at [----] looking forward [--] wk With $SPX currently 150pts above fair value heading into next week the balance of risks favors beginning to fade this rally https://t.co/9XdWCXUm2S Fair value for $SPX based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ remains at [----] looking forward [--] wk With $SPX currently 150pts above fair value heading into next week the balance of risks favors beginning to fade this rally https://t.co/9XdWCXUm2S"
X Link 2022-11-01T17:12Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Intraday update: MASSIVE $75bn pulled from Reverse Repo today Nearly a month of "QT" (Fed balance sheet reduction) cancelled out in a day Raises fair value for $SPX to [----] looking forward [--] wk $SPX now sitting 100pts above fair value $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU"
X Link 2022-11-01T19:00Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"This is fascinating Visualization of all yield curve inversions vs. total US stock market since 1980:"
X Link 2022-11-02T03:49Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"$100 billion of new liquidity was added to the US economy today $75bn from Reverse Repo $25bn from the Treasury That's an entire month of "QT" (Fed bal sheet reduction) canceled out in a single day If you aren't watching RRP & TGA you're missing the entire show $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU $SPX remains 200pts above fair value based on Net LiquidityπŸ’¦ looking forward [--] wk https://t.co/FfkMmZZaDU"
X Link 2022-11-02T04:07Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"Another day of massive liquidity injection courtesy of grandma YellenπŸ‘΅πŸ» $46bn spend from Treasury partially offset by $29bn removed into Reverse Repo $100 billion of new liquidity was added to the US economy today $75bn from Reverse Repo $25bn from the Treasury That's an entire month of "QT" (Fed bal sheet reduction) canceled out in a single day If you aren't watching RRP & TGA you're missing the entire show https://t.co/CsyYYqXCQN $100 billion of new liquidity was added to the US economy today $75bn from Reverse Repo $25bn from the Treasury That's an entire month of "QT" (Fed bal sheet"
X Link 2022-11-02T22:07Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"The Fed just gave big guidance They plan to take rates to 5%+ And hold them there for most of next year until they've "defeated" inflation Here's why this won't work (according to basic math) πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"Don't get me wrong zero interest rates were a god damn good time It felt amazing. Downright orgasmic πŸ’¦ But sadly nothing good lasts forever 0% turned into 4% On its way to 5% Really really f*cking quick"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"At 4% interest our debt svc cost grows to 22% of the planned federal budget #3 biggest line item [----] Budget (@ 4%): πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn ❌ Debt Service: $1250bn ⚠ πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Now let's try 5% 😈 Debt service grows to 27% of the planned federal budget #2 biggest line item [----] Budget (@ 5%): πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn ❌ Debt Service: $1560bn πŸ”₯ πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"At 5.5% debt service grows to 30% of the planned federal budget Line item numero uno πŸ₯‡ [----] Budget (@ 5.5%): ❌ Debt Service: $1720bn πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"$1.7 trillion just to pay the interest on our debt for a single year Fun stuff Your taxes go up by 24%"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"By now it's probably becoming clear how difficult it would be for the Fed to hold rates much higher than 5% for any significant period of time Go much above there and stay for long things break badly Now let's move on to the part about the Fed's plan to defeat inflation"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"In fact in Jun [----] to finally kill the 70's inflation for good Volcker had to raise Fed Funds to a peak of 19.1% Nineteen-point-one percent Roughly double the 9.7% CPI at the time"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"At 16% interest debt service would become 86% of the planned federal budget [----] Budget (w/ 16% Treasury yields): ❌ Debt Service: $5000bn πŸ’€ πŸ₯ Healthcare: $1640bn πŸ§“πŸΌ Pensions: $1370bn πŸͺ– Defense: $1170bn πŸ‘ͺ Welfare: $510bn πŸ“š Education: $240bn πŸš€ NASA: $26bn"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"And just for some comic relief If you want to get the same services from your government your taxes sextuple The avg American earning the median household income of $78000 would need to pay $116000 per year in taxes"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"I'm no expert in math but I think that might not work Unless of course we're using alternate-universe Federal Reserve math in which case it makes total sense"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:23Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"With $31 trillion in outstanding debt there's a fundamental ceiling on how high rates can go before everything breaks At 100% debt / GDP that ceiling isn't very high and we're already close to it now So yeah - in short JPow's job is shittier than yours"
X Link 2022-11-03T05:30Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"❀ or RT if you're now as jaded as me πŸ₯² https://x.com/maxjanderson/status/1588039111973257221s=20&t=FXGHrCiqJe0cSCfsCH274g The Fed just gave big guidance They plan to take rates to 5%+ And hold them there for most of next year until they've "defeated" inflation Here's why this won't work (according to basic math) πŸ‘‡ https://x.com/maxjanderson/status/1588039111973257221s=20&t=FXGHrCiqJe0cSCfsCH274g The Fed just gave big guidance They plan to take rates to 5%+ And hold them there for most of next year until they've "defeated" inflation Here's why this won't work (according to basic math) πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2022-11-03T06:13Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"For anyone who still believes the narrative that this inflation was an accident Or some kind of "policy error" Here's a brief reminder about how sovereign debt bubbles work πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"3 Print sh*tloads of $ anytime there's a crisis and gradually inflate the debt away over the course of a decade Hmm. yeah We like option #3 😁"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"But before you get too far ahead of yourself you've got to go about option #3 the right way You can't just start printing money out of nowhere. That might raise some questions Questions you'd really rather not have to answer What you need is a ✨crisis✨"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Any old crisis should do the trick War pandemic natural disaster etc. You get my drift If you're lucky you can just wait around until a big beautiful crisis lands on your doorstep If you're unlucky and no crisis seems to be showing up on its own you'll have to create one"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"It's remarkably simple Just generate some inflation allow it to run hot for a year or two and then hold bond yields below CPI Repeat a few times (preferably spaced out inconspicuously over a decade) until Debt/GDP comes back down to target something manageable like 50%"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Voil πŸͺ„ Your horrifying potentially empire-toppling civilization-ending clusterf*ck of a debt bubble miraculously disappears πŸ₯³"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:42Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"❀ or RT πŸ‘‡ For anyone who still believes the narrative that this inflation was an accident Or some kind of "policy error" Here's a brief reminder about how sovereign debt bubbles work πŸ‘‡ For anyone who still believes the narrative that this inflation was an accident Or some kind of "policy error" Here's a brief reminder about how sovereign debt bubbles work πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2022-11-03T13:51Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ remains [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious moves here immediate-term However QRA announcement from Treasury this week materially lowers end of year target from [----] to [----] Details below πŸ‘‡ Another day of massive liquidity injection courtesy of grandma YellenπŸ‘΅πŸ» $46bn spend from Treasury partially offset by $29bn removed into Reverse Repo https://t.co/ouQ2Luxrwe Another day of massive liquidity injection courtesy of grandma YellenπŸ‘΅πŸ» $46bn spend from Treasury partially offset by $29bn removed into Reverse Repo https://t.co/ouQ2Luxrwe"
X Link 2022-11-05T17:32Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct just as we head into midterms. Fully canceling out the Feds $90 billion per month QT and then some. By a factor of nearly 2x. Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ remains [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious moves here immediate-term However QRA announcement from Treasury this week materially lowers end of year target from [----] to [----] Details below πŸ‘‡ https://t.co/oidDIDWXtq Fair value for $SPX based on Net Liquidity πŸ’¦ remains [----] looking forward [--] wk No obvious moves here immediate-term However QRA"
X Link 2022-11-05T22:26Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"Right on queue as soon as elections are done they plan to reverse course. Removing $175 billion from the economy from mid Nov through year end"
X Link 2022-11-05T22:26Z 31K followers, [---] engagements

"Brief reminder that starting later this wk the US Treasury will join forces with the Fed in waging war on your portfolio Stated plans call for a combined $350 billion of net liquidity removal over the next [--] weeks An amount typically good for wiping 300-400pts off the S&P The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct just as we head into midterms. Fully canceling out the Feds $90 billion per month QT and then some. By a factor of nearly 2x. The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct just as we head into midterms. Fully canceling"
X Link 2022-11-07T19:29Z 31K followers, [----] engagements

"Fair value for $SPX is 4000-4050 looking forward [--] wk (based on USD liquidity*). $BTC fair value is $27000 If history is any guide odds support another correction relatively soon then smoothish sailing until debt ceiling resolved. Directionally downward bias from there until things get bad enough to necessitate the next phase of QE *BTFP not factored in intentionally $ into the banking system are $ into the banking system period unless/until they get sucked back out"
X Link 2023-04-20T23:49Z 31K followers, 96.6K engagements

"Fair value for $SPX is currently 3900-4000 based on USD Liquidity looking forward 1wk Fair value for $BTC is $26-27k on same basis"
X Link 2023-04-24T23:37Z 31K followers, 81.1K engagements

"With today's rally $SPX is now 150-200pts above fair value based on USD Net Liquidity looking forward 1-2 wks $BTC seems to be pricing in an imminent return to the recent highs in liquidity during peak-BTFP at the start the month 3rd chart shows scaling coefficients used in these models drug out to span the past decade for reference (shown as 50d SMA)"
X Link 2023-04-27T20:55Z 31K followers, 108.4K engagements

"I share this chart periodically The media & most of FinTwit tend to focus on [--] main factors: βšͺ Fed Bal Sheet 🟒 Net Liqudity Recently w/ debt ceiling on horizon theres been a lot of talk around TGA πŸ”΄ too But none of that matters relative to what happens with RRP 🟑 πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2023-04-28T05:35Z 31K followers, 86.1K engagements

"$SPX and $BTC are right about where USD liquidity says they should be. Which is much higher than where they will be over the remainder of the year (assuming Fed stays the course with QT)"
X Link 2023-05-19T15:43Z 31K followers, 87.1K engagements

"$SPX is 100pts above fair value based on USD Liquidity looking forward 1-2 wks $BTC is $500 above fair value based on same model Neither divergence is significant on a coincident basis But both are exceedingly offsides on a 3-4mo forward basis"
X Link 2023-05-22T19:38Z 31K followers, 124.2K engagements

"First meaningful increase in TGA since debt ceiling today w/ $50bn sucked out of the economy by the US Treasury Interestingly no significant change in RRP despite $40bn in net new bill issuance spanning 1-4mo duration $BTC sits at fair value currently $SPX sits 100-150pts above fair value"
X Link 2023-06-07T07:50Z 31K followers, 104.4K engagements

"Massive $120bn drawdown in Reverse Repo yesterday atop no significant change in TGA and flat Fed Bal Sheet week-over-week. Strong bid for Treasuries across the curve for everything 6mo+ duration coming out of yday's FOMC $SPX 200pts above fair value while $BTC has reverted to slightly below"
X Link 2023-06-16T16:03Z 31K followers, 573K engagements

"Huge $115bn liquidity draw by the US Treasury yesterday taking TGA up to $250bn Coupled with a $20bn rise in RRP a total of $135bn was removed from the US economy yesterday $SPX now sits 300pts above fair value a [--] standard-deviation overshoot $BTC remains more or less @ fair value Massive $120bn drawdown in Reverse Repo yesterday atop no significant change in TGA and flat Fed Bal Sheet week-over-week. Strong bid for Treasuries across the curve for everything 6mo+ duration coming out of yday's FOMC $SPX 200pts above fair value while $BTC has reverted https://t.co/YXUX0KmfXB Massive $120bn"
X Link 2023-06-17T16:40Z 31K followers, 618.7K engagements

"Only 50% of TGA rebuild has been neutralized by RRP withdrawals so far in June Combined with the steady grind down of Fed's balance sheet thru ongoing QT USD Liquidity continues to roll over sharply. Change so far in June: $340bn sucked into the TGA $170bn pulled out of RRP $95bn / mo Fed Bal Sheet reduction ongoing Both $SPX & $BTC are nearing 5-standard deviations above Fair Value based on USD Liquidity Fair value for $SPX currently sits @ 4000-4050 Fair value for $BTC currently sits @ 28-29k Huge $115bn liquidity draw by the US Treasury yesterday taking TGA up to $250bn Coupled with a"
X Link 2023-06-27T16:23Z 31K followers, 464.8K engagements

"Either we're about to have the biggest correction in risk assets since Aug '22 or this model is no longer useful Model says fair value for $SPX currently [----] & fair value for $BTC currently $28500 Only 50% of TGA rebuild has been neutralized by RRP withdrawals so far in June Combined with the steady grind down of Fed's balance sheet thru ongoing QT USD Liquidity continues to roll over sharply. Change so far in June: $340bn sucked into the TGA $170bn pulled out https://t.co/IFNbPk25me Only 50% of TGA rebuild has been neutralized by RRP withdrawals so far in June Combined with the steady grind"
X Link 2023-07-03T19:27Z 31K followers, 328.3K engagements

"In case anyone's wondering an update on these charts:"
X Link 2023-08-04T18:30Z 31K followers, 58.5K engagements

"The most obvious multi-billion $ killer app for generative AI NSFW content (text images video & audio) [--] out of [--] searches on the internet is for adult content But the current suite of AI tools dont support it And they cant / wont ever support it Heres why πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡"
X Link 2023-08-28T15:32Z 31K followers, 26.6K engagements

"US treasury net issuance over past [--] months: Bills (1yr duration): +$1.1 Trillion Notes (2-10yrs duration): -$0.1 Trillion Bonds (20yr+ duration): +$0.1 Trillion $0.9T of the 1.1T in Bills was funded by withdrawals from RRP (roughly 80% of issuance)"
X Link 2023-09-24T15:12Z 31K followers, 174.4K engagements

"The Federal government can run a multi-trillion $ deficit right now with minimal consequence because they are simply raiding the $2.3T piggy bank that was sitting in the RRP Were now down to $1.4T remaining in RRP enough to fund another 9-10 months of spending @ current rate"
X Link 2023-09-24T15:12Z 31K followers, 502.8K engagements

"Most people fail to understand how big of a deal it is for inflation to stabilize at 3% rather than 2% If you're [--] today with a lifestyle that costs $10000 per month and you plan to live until 80: @ 2% inflation you'll need a portfolio that generates $24000 per month @ 3% inflation you'll need a portfolio that generates $38000 per month"
X Link 2024-02-19T20:01Z 31K followers, 118.6K engagements

"Coming out of WW2 the US federal debt hit a whopping 120% of GDP Which was a problem because of the next thing: There's a law of nature when it comes to taxes No government has ever been able to sustainably collect more than 20% of it's GDP as tax revenue Regardless of what it tries to do with taxes rates"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 105.9K engagements

"The US learned this lesson the hard way in [----] when in an attempted to deal with our 120% debt to GDP conundrum we raised the top marginal tax rate to 94% What happened over the next [--] years Federal revenue absolutely cratered From 20% all the way down to 13% of GDP by [----] Raising taxes wasn't a solution"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 76.7K engagements

"So what does it mean if your debt is 120% of GDP and your revenue is capped at 20% of GDP It means you have to grow the size of your economy SIX TIMES FASTER than prevailing interest rates or you spiral into bankruptcy"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 69.5K engagements

"Which is pretty fucked Because it's hard to grow an economy Even emerging economies (like the US in the 1950's) are typically only able to grow at 5% per year And mature economies (like the US today) only grow at 2-3% per year And remember -- that growth number has to remain [--] times bigger than interest rates else you get a debt spiral"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 72.2K engagements

"Put another way if your debt is 120% of GDP Your tax receipts are capped at 20% of GDP And your growth is capped at 5% per year Then your government will quickly spiral into bankruptcy if interest rates ever push above a measly 0.8% That's a sticky situation"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 56.7K engagements

"But thankfully for the US in the late 1940's we had a special advantage America had all the guns The rest of the world was rubble And scientists at the Federal Reserve had just discovered a magical new pixie dust This discovery appeared to be a one-stop miracle cure for any dangerously over-indebted nation's financial woes They called it ✨Inflation✨"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 63.6K engagements

"So what did America do We took everyone's gold and we crammed the dollar down their throats Held at gunpoint we made all the other countries peg their currencies to the dollar And then we unleashed our magical miracle cure We let inflation rip more or less unencumbered for the next [--] consecutive yrs"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 75K engagements

"Yea fine we might have reduced the purchasing power of the dollar by 2/3 from the mid 40's to the mid 70's And then cut it in half again from there by [----] Ultimately destroying 80% of the value of everyone's savings"
X Link 2025-01-03T20:50Z 31K followers, 39.3K engagements

"And refinancing at lower interest rates meant you could literally get cash back on an asset you bought with borrowed money and your debt service payments either stayed the same or went down and you still own the asset the infinite money glitch"
X Link 2025-01-03T21:17Z 31K followers, 33K engagements

"So what does that mean for the next [--] years Well as they say history doesn't repeat but it rhymes"
X Link 2025-01-03T21:18Z 31K followers, 37.3K engagements

"With rates having it the zero lower bound in [----] and debt-to-gdp teetering on the edge of federal bankruptcy were starting the 70-80 year cycle over again: Inflation is likely to continue trending up for the next [--] years There will be cyclical spikes and troths but the underlying trend will be up-and-to-the-right"
X Link 2025-01-03T21:48Z 31K followers, 42.7K engagements

"Similarly the easy money made in real estate over the past [--] years is likely gone with the refinancing dynamic that steadily drove asset prices up no longer in play Boomer parents who got rich in real estate will continue to tell their kids that real estate is the best and safest investment That is no longer true and hopefully their kids don't listen"
X Link 2025-01-03T22:37Z 31K followers, 34.3K engagements

"That leaves risk assets -- stocks and crypto -- plus commodities as the attractive places to play We'll likely see risk appetite continue its trend up as the hurdle rate to beat inflation continues to rise"
X Link 2025-01-03T22:42Z 31K followers, 30.7K engagements

"Over the long term the main driver of inflation is government deficits as those deficits ultimately get monetized by the central bank resulting in monetary debasement. So with the US federal deficits running around 6% on their way to 7% that's a better long term hurdle rate to keep in mind If an asset doesn't grow 7% and/or yield 7% on a POST TAX basis (so likely needs to yield 10%+ on a pre-tax basis depending on your situation) it's likely a money-loser on a real basis over the decades ahead"
X Link 2025-01-03T22:50Z 31K followers, 33K engagements

"So personally I like to use 2x the ongoing federal deficit as my hurdle rate I need to target to stay ahead of inflation over the next [--] years With deficit current running around 6.5% that means I need investment returns 13% to expect to actually accumulate wealth over the long term"
X Link 2025-01-03T23:19Z 31K followers, 30.6K engagements

"Bonds dividend stocks and real estate are out"
X Link 2025-01-03T23:22Z 31K followers, 57.7K engagements

"If Trump wants to maximize his odds of a strong legacy + set JD up for presidential win in [----] best strategy is: - Nuke the market ASAP and blame it on Biden - Make sure crash is bad enough to justify massive rate cuts + QE - Market bloodbath in middle of this yr but back to new ATHs before end of year - Market rips through years 2-4 of his term"
X Link 2025-01-21T18:56Z 31K followers, 73K engagements

"$100B+ of liquidity injections from the US Treasury over the past week $700B more coming over the next 7-8 weeks You know what happens next"
X Link 2025-02-22T16:02Z 31K followers, 82.8K engagements

"Weighted avg interest rate on US federal debt is currently 3.3% Long end of the Treasury curve is 4.5% We have to roll over $10 trillion of debt in next [--] mos When: ❌ Youre running massive deficits ❌ Your old debt is coming due ❌ And now you have to roll it over into even higher interest rates Thats called a debt spiral. The fast lane to bankruptcy If I was in the administration my main goal would be: βœ… Get the long end of the Treasury curve below 3.3% ASAP βœ… As our debt rolls over this yr our interest expense goes down not up That ☝🏼 is how you avoid a debt spiral Whats the easiest way to"
X Link 2025-03-25T16:10Z 31K followers, 77.9K engagements

"Some scary early results from our microplastics tests in the 🍻beer category: 🚨 180ppt of PFAS in Coors Light (45x EPAs legal limit for drinking water) 🚨 200ppt of PFAS in Michelob Ultra (50x EPA legal limit) 🚨 1500ppt or Bisphenol F in Bud Light (no EPA limit established but extremely toxic) Its looking like alcohol may actually be one of the least toxic things in many popular beer brands πŸ‘€"
X Link 2025-03-31T22:31Z 31K followers, 12.1K engagements

"Never been religious Been trying out church with my wife & 2yr old son past few wks b/c we like the values + community Sitting thru sermon trying to keep an open mind and no judgement But it often sounds like crazy talk super culty Specially the references to scripture. Overly cryptic rather than just saying the lesson in plain english And stuff like you need to submit reminds me of the way religion was used historically to control people in some pretty dark ways Causes this repulsive reaction Finding it hard to buy in Any advice from Christian folks on how to get past this Genuinely want to"
X Link 2025-04-14T01:31Z 31K followers, 398.9K engagements

"No amount of deflationary technology can overcome the fact that we have 120% debt / gdp compounding at 6% ongoing deficits + interest Massive currency devaluation is the only outcome Gold and Bitcoin arent going up The denominator is collapsing Gold and bitcoin is acting like were about to enter into a period of hyperinflationbut no one realizes that AI is deflationary. Gold and bitcoin is acting like were about to enter into a period of hyperinflationbut no one realizes that AI is deflationary"
X Link 2025-10-09T18:10Z 31K followers, 24.4K engagements

"To anyone who still thinks owning a home in the US is a good investment: Interest rates went straight down for 40yrs from 1980-2020 driving cap rates down and therefore real estate prices relentlessly up When we hit the [--] bound on interest rates we proceeded to open our borders and let tens of millions of immigrants into the country replacing the cap rate driven increase in home prices with population driven increase And now were out of bullets Immigration is done for the foreseeable future Interest rates are in the beginning stages of a multi-decade uptrend The world is coming to the"
X Link 2025-10-09T18:58Z 31K followers, 94.6K engagements

"Run more High intensity cardio first thing in the morning will spike your cortisol Youll have less cortisol left for the rest of the day which lowers your anxiety chemically The more stressful the cardio the better the effect for rest of day Also work on cutting out stimulants if youre a caffeine drinker etc"
X Link 2025-10-24T17:09Z 31K followers, 741.8K engagements

"Andrew deserves a lot of flowers for this Incredible call I think I found a Picasso at a garage sale. But not the kind youd think Lately Ive been thinking about how to capture some of the upside of this AI boom in my stock portfolio. But its hard. Im a value investor. The idea of paying 30x earnings for NVIDIA almost I think I found a Picasso at a garage sale. But not the kind youd think Lately Ive been thinking about how to capture some of the upside of this AI boom in my stock portfolio. But its hard. Im a value investor. The idea of paying 30x earnings for NVIDIA almost"
X Link 2025-11-09T20:13Z 31K followers, 2.1M engagements

"This is the only chart you need to understand to win at investing over the next 30-40 yrs The real red pill is realizing that most of the economic data you see is fake and inaccurate. The real red pill is realizing that most of the economic data you see is fake and inaccurate"
X Link 2025-11-10T16:14Z 31K followers, 274.9K engagements

"Sold for $875k right before the movie came out One of the hardest parts about watching Home Alone as I get older is knowing that Kevin's parents probably bought the house for like $175k https://t.co/zKkEdpoDGW One of the hardest parts about watching Home Alone as I get older is knowing that Kevin's parents probably bought the house for like $175k https://t.co/zKkEdpoDGW"
X Link 2025-11-10T22:06Z 31K followers, 1.2M engagements

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creator/x::MaxAnderson
/creator/x::MaxAnderson