#  @LeafiestParapet Lev Lev posts on X about $btc, bitcoin, in the, binance the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1387374422336679939/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] +21% - [--] Month [-----] +9.60% - [--] Months [-------] +67% - [--] Year [-------] +498% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1387374422336679939/posts_active)  - [--] Months [---] -8.30% - [--] Year [---] +106% ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1387374422336679939/followers)  - [--] Week [---] -0.23% - [--] Month [---] +0.12% - [--] Months [---] +63% - [--] Year [---] +788% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1387374422336679939/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [currencies](/list/currencies) 97.22% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 47.22% [finance](/list/finance) 19.44% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 9.26% [stocks](/list/stocks) 6.48% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 3.7% [financial services](/list/financial-services) #926 [social networks](/list/social-networks) 0.93% [countries](/list/countries) 0.93% **Social topic influence** [$btc](/topic/$btc) 21.3%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 14.81%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 8.33%, [binance](/topic/binance) 7.41%, [bear](/topic/bear) 6.48%, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 5.56%, [$eth](/topic/$eth) 5.56%, [strong](/topic/strong) 4.63%, [bull](/topic/bull) 4.63%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 3.7% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@therealplanc](/creator/undefined) [@wclemente](/creator/undefined) [@donnellybrent](/creator/undefined) [@coinmamba](/creator/undefined) [@mleinweber2](/creator/undefined) [@saschoenfeld](/creator/undefined) [@marketvector](/creator/undefined) [@exitpumpbtc](/creator/undefined) [@atalantis7](/creator/undefined) [@0xbigmikey](/creator/undefined) [@bankless](/creator/undefined) [@vitalikbuterin](/creator/undefined) [@financialjuice](/creator/undefined) [@treeofalpha](/creator/undefined) [@mialgos](/creator/undefined) [@dylanleclair](/creator/undefined) [@gameoftrades](/creator/undefined) [@kamikazeth](/creator/undefined) [@mandlehu](/creator/undefined) [@therationalroot](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [XRP (XRP)](/topic/xrp) [Bonk (BONK)](/topic/$bonk) [BlackRock Inc (BLK)](/topic/blackrock) [Qtum (QTUM)](/topic/$qtum) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Uniswap (UNI)](/topic/$uni) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/$sol) [Ondo (ONDO)](/topic/$ondo) [Chainlink (LINK)](/topic/$link) [Layerzero (ZRO)](/topic/$zro) [Morpho (MORPHO)](/topic/$morpho) [Sui (SUI)](/topic/$sui) [Litecoin (LTC)](/topic/$ltc) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@donnelly_brent Thanks for sharing. I think bitcoin is appealing precisely because it lacks a core narrative and a fair value/anchor (in the traditional sense). And if you think about its about the only asset that has these characteristics. Its a "post-fundamental asset"" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022208607828529229) 2026-02-13T07:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "3/ Apollo is buying morpho over [--] months so the near term prospects are less clear. Blackrock bought some uniswap and is looking to offer Defi services but Uni has been a cursed coin for 5ever. Picked up a little spot nonetheless https://fortune.com/2026/02/11/blackrock-uniswap/ https://fortune.com/2026/02/11/blackrock-uniswap/" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022758547482681481) 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Junk bonds serve as a nice proxy for credit expansion and contraction. When the slope of HYGs [--] DMA turns positive it usually means investors are taking risk and liquidity is flowing. Its in precisely these environments when $BTC thrives" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2015118551099543827) 2026-01-24T17:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Bear market rally will be glorious feels good being a bull again" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2019659257910816780) 2026-02-06T06:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@mleinweber2 @SASchoenfeld @MarketVector Volatility has been quite muted in recent months tho so price was already closer to the [---] day than in past instances. Even a normal move can screen as an extreme event in that instance. A 5m wave feels insane if the oceans been flat for months" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2020128815339479161) 2026-02-07T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "He does have a point quantum risks are real but quantum equities selling off alongside bitcoin make it difficult to reconcile a narrative of accelerating existential quantum threat. Bitcoin Market Update: Deleveraging Narrative Shock and an Oversold Setup Bitcoin has experienced a sharp drawdown over the past week with prices falling roughly [--] percent and currently trading in the mid-$60000s. The move has been driven by a rapid unwind of leverage from Bitcoin Market Update: Deleveraging Narrative Shock and an Oversold Setup Bitcoin has experienced a sharp drawdown over the past week with" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2020136662374699071) 2026-02-07T14:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Then again in moves like this correlations go to [--] anyway so its difficult to say conclusively. Perhaps monitoring a divergence between the [--] is worthwhile $QTUM / $BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2020137574656844031) 2026-02-07T14:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Sentiment is absolutely cooked. People were already disillusioned with crypto before the bear market truly began but now even more so since bitcoin started going down. I feel 60k will prove a more sustainable bottom than 80k but its difficult to know if it will be THE bottom" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2021478321159274514) 2026-02-11T06:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@exitpumpBTC Lol 4k btc on offer on coinbase Thats wild actually" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1888681138979246329) 2025-02-09T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Expansionary move still hasn't started really though volatility is picking up a bit so you can tell we're close. Looking at prior instances of very low volume (colored red) the next move is often violent. Cant tell if we're at the first or second circle tho quite yet" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1940403843298476193) 2025-07-02T13:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Then again $QTUM / $BTC looking interesting on the monthly. Something to monitor for sure He does have a point quantum risks are real but quantum equities selling off alongside bitcoin make it difficult to reconcile a narrative of accelerating existential quantum threat. He does have a point quantum risks are real but quantum equities selling off alongside bitcoin make it difficult to reconcile a narrative of accelerating existential quantum threat" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2020140398438481927) 2026-02-07T14:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I highly doubt(hope) binance is this cycles Luna but the chain of events unfolding scares me a bit. Lets see how the market churns through this FUD. Steady lads Binance SAFU Fund completes $1B BTC purchasing plan https://t.co/cVM0HKliUa Binance SAFU Fund completes $1B BTC purchasing plan https://t.co/cVM0HKliUa" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2021848833014345927) 2026-02-12T07:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@atalantis7 I think more than anything bitcoin price itself is the fundamental and it can be whatever the market needs it to be at that moment. Only question is whether theres enough juice (liquidity) to keep the reflexive engine from stalling. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022208607828529229s=20 @donnelly_brent Thanks for sharing. I think bitcoin is appealing precisely because it lacks a core narrative and a fair value/anchor (in the traditional sense). And if you think about its about the only asset that has these characteristics. Its a "post-fundamental asset"" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022210546997886981) 2026-02-13T07:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4/ Cant help but think $ETH $LINK $ONDO and your choice staking protocol also benefit (On-chain Plumbing RWA and Staking). Bought some even smaller allocations of these" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022758551223963898) 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5/ One thing to remember we are in a bear market. Even if this trade plays out it will likely get sold into. Thats the prior belief of the market right now the regime we are in. And the regime will persist until weve accumulated enough evidence to overcome that prior" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022758556794069380) 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "6/ For now tho I think a decent bear market rally is loading and some of these coins are more investable than they were just a couple months ago (not just because of the near term catalyst). I think its worth making some longer-term buys here (the kind you forget about) but I think its also wise to still have stables on hand in anticipation of further downside at some point in the future. Stablecoin is king until further notice https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022758560027853258 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022758560027853258" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022758560027853258) 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/ Clarity Act Trade I bought some $ZRO (its looking to close the weekly above its 200d) and a bit of $MORPHO and $UNI today. In the past week alone weve had Blackrock Apollo and Citadel all buy DeFi tokens and Twitter announce theyll soon introduce crypto trading to their 550M MAUs. Starting to feel like institutions are positioning ahead of CLARITY. In the past week alone weve had Blackrock Apollo and Citadel all buy DeFi tokens and Twitter announce theyll soon introduce crypto trading to their 550M MAUs. Starting to feel like institutions are positioning ahead of CLARITY" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022758540016857264) 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "2/ Timing is less certain than when we had crypto week last July but I think theyre worth a little bear market allocation with clarity act passage approaching. Especially layer zero its quite strong despite all the turmoil in recent months https://fortune.com/2026/02/10/layerzero-blockchain-ark-citadel-cathie-wood-nyse-dtcc-ice-tokenization-crypto/ https://fortune.com/2026/02/10/layerzero-blockchain-ark-citadel-cathie-wood-nyse-dtcc-ice-tokenization-crypto/" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022758544194285898) 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@0xbigmikey Think coins are due for a rally and clarity act passage offers a near term catalyst. It will probably get sold into (as bear market rallies do) and downside risks still remain but i think its worth a small bet if anything" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022762259445887063) 2026-02-14T19:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@bankless @VitalikButerin What does Vitalik have to say to all the PoS centralization critics out there Specifically the concerns involving a concentrated validator pool" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1572582296137637898) 2022-09-21T13:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@financialjuice @wclemente Recession confirmed" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1580899615041146880) 2022-10-14T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Tree_of_Alpha I wonder how long it will take for people to realize you are joking 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1581228695762530306) 2022-10-15T10:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MI_Algos Its a do or die moment it seems I think we break the range to the downside. We just dont have that same bull market sentiment to help us eat through this wall the 2nd around. I guess well wait and see" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1582367385604222976) 2022-10-18T13:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@dylanleclair Right. cuz alameda would publicly announce their liquidation price" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1589857624857927681) 2022-11-08T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@GameofTrades_ **Bull Trap" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1602685731230580736) 2022-12-13T15:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@kamikaz_ETH Meanwhile ETH bailed on decentralization and takes orders from the to US treasury department now" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1606456675266854912) 2022-12-24T01:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@MandleHu That jump in volume is when Binance introduced zero spot trading fees" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1607056440207761409) 2022-12-25T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@therationalroot @BitcoinMagazine I find halvenings worrisome. If miners become too reliant on a diminishing source of block rewards to sustain themselves and fees earned from network activity remain depressed as they are now then what will incentivize miners to keep mining and secure the network in the future" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1611869394573070336) 2023-01-07T23:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@GonzaloLira1968 Bruv this is a chinese state owned news channel. Im skeptical" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1632293366791561216) 2023-03-05T08:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@0xMerp Lol you rarely see a 20k ETH bid on nance spoof" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1662323942722359299) 2023-05-27T05:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CryptoCon_ I dont see the 2nd entry into the cycle bottom zone as a particularly bullish sign for BTC the indicator never seems to enter the zone twice in a conventional bear market" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1708226167411462585) 2023-09-30T21:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@MacroScope17 BTC knows that China just turned on the liquidity spigot and the rest of the world will soon follow" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1718233098960166920) 2023-10-28T11:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@WuBlockchain @ZeMirch @ai_9684xtpa If their avg price was [----] its unlikely they caused the steep drop. Probably more related to the move in bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1793647208455426304) 2024-05-23T14:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@All_in_One_TDR @zerohedge Dampening of volatility is only the case if their gamma exposure is positive but dealers will actually amplify volatility if their gamma is negative. It cant be inferred from the headline what their directional gamma exposure is" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1810393358084485248) 2024-07-08T19:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@R89Capital" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1810400921945317384) 2024-07-08T19:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MatthewHyland_ Looks like a good place for some shorts invalidation at 64k" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1812596953957728496) 2024-07-14T21:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheRealPlanC Math represents objective truth when applied correctly respecting the principles of statistics. The low p-value doesnt prove non-randomness but rather highlights the pitfalls of applying regression to data that doesnt meet the requisite assumptions: data must NOT vary in time" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1823613841155973307) 2024-08-14T06:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@TheRealPlanC it is mathematically shown that autocorrelation only matters for standard errors and significance tests. This is exactly my point you can find an average but you can state with no statistical confidence that this is in fact the average. P-values dont make sense here" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1823629266753368201) 2024-08-14T07:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheRealPlanC So basically you have a model (a power law applied to a non-stationary time series) but you cant tell how good it is mathematically within the assumptions of regression you cant be certain whether the fit is random or not" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1823630096139235462) 2024-08-14T07:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheRealPlanC Same considerations apply if the data varies in time that is it has a trend exhibits seasonality or has a varying variance (BTC has quiet as well as volatile moments) you simply cannot use your typical regression techniques its not mathematically correct" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1823690786984075681) 2024-08-14T11:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheRealPlanC You have to transform the data in some way (log price isnt enough but differencing might work) or use a different model (like an ARIMA model) that can handle time varying (non stationary) data" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1823691090861392257) 2024-08-14T12:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@intocryptoverse Maybe a little ahead of schedule given we broke prior aths already" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1826360338545344669) 2024-08-21T20:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BittelJulien [----] vibes" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1826696728650674485) 2024-08-22T19:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@coinmamba Negative funding short liqs abound max pain is up rn" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1833210202516292052) 2024-09-09T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@NorthmanTrader On the weekly it dont look too bad" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1833545194471588137) 2024-09-10T16:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@QuintenFrancois Spot volumes on coinbase and binance are at multi-year lows though" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1847215224023105804) 2024-10-18T09:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@wclemente Its time to melt faces to the downside" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1847293689808191509) 2024-10-18T15:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MacroCRG Feel like you wait for lower prices if youre a bull" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1850808574710014023) 2024-10-28T07:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@AndreasSteno You need roughly 2n qubits to break BTC encryption where n is the number of bits in your private key (256 so [---] qubits needed). Googles new chip has [---] qubits. Thing is for every [--] logical qubit on paper you need like [-----] physical qubits because qubits are very noisy" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1866415107900874890) 2024-12-10T09:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@tonythebullBTC Btc looking weak" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1877779637767463221) 2025-01-10T18:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@fin_constructor @YannickKae I think the issue is that the trend appears artificially strong and more significant than it really is. Imagine if we accounted for the overlapping windows and the data in the 2nd graph looked more like the data in the 1st graph" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1878476192174530687) 2025-01-12T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@bennpeifert The standard error is underestimated. Calculating a rolling return artificially increases the sample size since the 10Y return in month i is basically the same as in month i-1 so theres a lot of redundant and correlated data points. This inflates the significane of the trend" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1878548821820473529) 2025-01-12T21:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@timelessbeing Not before Wednesday at least fed pause coming" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1883787807770190289) 2025-01-27T08:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$XRP $SUI and $LTC are the best looking charts on my radar. Still holding their 200dma along with bitcoin. If there will be any alt season from here these will likely be some of the top performers" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1896164883944939533) 2025-03-02T11:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TraderNomadX @TradingThomas3 The binance spot and futures orderbook this weekend was a huge tell imo 75M+ bid on futures 100M+ bid on spot. Extremely rare to see those type of orders not to mention the 500M+ bid ladder on futures that appeared at 80k (largest visible order i think ever)" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1896263255385080169) 2025-03-02T18:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@hedgedhog7 What a set of candles lol" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1896635579523269018) 2025-03-03T18:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@follis_ Gotta stop day trading and start taking longer term positions less stress and time spent tracking every move and in my experience more money cuz most of the gains are made with time anyway. Just my [--] cents brudda" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1897029664306290786) 2025-03-04T21:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@coinmamba Binance whale says otherwise" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1901953655156154508) 2025-03-18T11:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TheCryptoDog Btc/nasdaq approaching aths as equities crash. Actually insane if this holds" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1908164366056169763) 2025-04-04T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BTC drawdowns last under [--] months during bull runs. Consolidations stretch up to [--] months at most. Bear markets drag on for years. Majority of drawdowns last less than [--] month (82%) with median drawdown being [--] days" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1927746477381570645) 2025-05-28T15:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@evabeylin You paid with your attention/data on google services. openai having the same model might raise privacy concerns in this context tho so they have to find an alternative way to monetize" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1929068481321775355) 2025-06-01T06:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "What an awesome paper. Risk Without Reward The Introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs by Daniel Pastorek Peter Albrecht http://ftp.mendelu.cz/RePEc/men/wpaper/99_2025.pdf http://ftp.mendelu.cz/RePEc/men/wpaper/99_2025.pdf" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1930007064086290739) 2025-06-03T21:01Z [---] followers, 12.8K engagements "1/ Global orderbooks turned negative recently on $BTC. This is a signal that has never really failed to precipitate a major sell off consolidation or crash (even after the introduction of the ETFs). All signal instances are highlighed below. Brace yourselves" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1930268976698773993) 2025-06-04T14:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@JamesWynnReal Thank the+$20M order on binance" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1930310669527622067) 2025-06-04T17:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The only thing making ATHs in crypto is global ask liquidity in #bitcoin orderbooks ;) In all seriousness it really does look like this is a decision point. I think we'll ultimately need a catalyst. ie news that brings some real volume to help us chew through these offers" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1938973099778809914) 2025-06-28T14:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Bears have done well to defend the [---] day until now. Id like to see a daily close above 2.5k for $ETH (160 for $SOL 108.5k for $BTC) for me to get at least a little worried about my shorts. Till then im sitting comfy and looking to see if things change in the meanwhile" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1940403854790836250) 2025-07-02T13:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Got the daily close above 108.5k. We spent only a day above last two times couple days up here and i reckon bitcoin might just cum. Same goes for ETH. You dont know how long ive been waiting for this daily close above the 200day literally the most important line on chart" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1940573012782371171) 2025-07-03T00:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I just wanna say that im still exercising patience. The last [--] summers were chop [--] summers yo All either pump&dumps or vice-versa (some just straight up dumps lol). But the last time we made an ATH in the summer was the beginning of the [----] run sooooooo. Got the daily close above 108.5k. We spent only a day above last two times couple days up here and i reckon bitcoin might just cum. Same goes for ETH. You dont know how long ive been waiting for this daily close above the 200day literally the most important line on chart Got the daily close above 108.5k. We spent only a day above last two" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1940591390695870653) 2025-07-03T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Theres something undeniably poetic about the largest-ever transfer of old BTC happening the same day Trump signs the biggest deficit-increasing bill in U.S. history. On the 4th of July no less As if the system that birthed #bitcoin is reminding us why it exists" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1941210181247082996) 2025-07-04T18:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Crazy to think that just 10% of alts are above their 50/200 day moving averages. and so many others near their bear market lows" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1941449374896357625) 2025-07-05T10:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "1/ If you longed $SOL every time it closed at least [--] days above its [--] day MA your win rate was 38% with a [--] R:R. Those are insane odds if you think about it. Thats like flipping a coin and getting a [--] to [--] pay out every time you win" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1941508105071939899) 2025-07-05T14:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I compiled a small list of traders who have a history on binance/bybit/ftx/bitmex leaderboards. Some are indirectly affiliated somehow some are retired but still post every now and then some are quite active. https://x.com/i/lists/1941804248414474400 https://x.com/i/lists/1941804248414474400" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1941831623961428425) 2025-07-06T12:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I think $BONK is the coin to trade this coming week. Currently experiencing its largest short liquidation cascade and open interest is still "bonkers". --- see what i did there lol. More volatility to come. Some other choice memes are too bad looking eitherbut bonk is just wild" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1941862411725615378) 2025-07-06T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Crypto Week starts 7/14 historically where bull market drawdowns end and momentum returns (about [--] months in). The stars are aligning. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1927746477381570645 $BTC drawdowns last under [--] months during bull runs. Consolidations stretch up to [--] months at most. Bear markets drag on for years. Majority of drawdowns last less than [--] month (82%) with median drawdown being [--] days. https://t.co/bFta7Mu6Wr https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1927746477381570645 $BTC drawdowns last under [--] months during bull runs. Consolidations stretch up to [--] months at most. Bear" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942030184946749872) 2025-07-07T01:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I'm still seeing hesitancy here at the highs. Top of the chart to bottom we got some large persistent orders on binance futs holding the line right now [--] week cvd tapering off and the overall bid imbalance increasing. Last summer we were going into the highs much stronger" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942156792680620182) 2025-07-07T09:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "People are still in "wait" and see mode basically. Indecision is resolved this or next week I think given the dearth of volumes lately and potential upcoming catalysts on the horizon. Bigggg weeks ahead" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942156796916809935) 2025-07-07T09:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Spot on the other hand has been selling this entire rally. Since December really barring brief moments of strength near the 80k lows during last sell off. The sell pressure has eased a bit for sure but we'll need them to reverse course https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942156792680620182 I'm still seeing hesitancy here at the highs. Top of the chart to bottom we got some large persistent orders on binance futs holding the line right now [--] week cvd tapering off and the overall bid imbalance increasing. Last summer we were going into the highs much stronger https://t.co/mN77UOoBO0" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942163809663152494) 2025-07-07T10:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/ One of the hallmarks of an uptrend is consistently absorbing larger order blocks on the way up and respecting them on the way down. Bigger orders getting filled counter trend can signal a shift in market structure as was the case in late May" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942213392627798511) 2025-07-07T13:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "When volume picks up after price has been coiling like this the dominant side getting liquidated beforehand often hints at the direction of the breakout. Short squeezes tend to precede upside moves long liquidations downside" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942560498848805166) 2025-07-08T12:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Study richard feynman. my boi knew what was up" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942565066546515969) 2025-07-08T12:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In regards to this post $ETH is looking better than $BTC. Plus we've almost spent a solid week above its 200day (55% odds [--] R:R long lol. If wrong it always marked a strong local top). The time is nigh i can feel it in my bones https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942560498848805166 When volume picks up after price has been coiling like this the dominant side getting liquidated beforehand often hints at the direction of the breakout. Short squeezes tend to precede upside moves long liquidations downside. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942560498848805166 When volume picks up after" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942581120115056744) 2025-07-08T13:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@wclemente No ser for mi familia this cannot be true" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942606844809126000) 2025-07-08T15:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Theres nothing quite like trading price discovery. no crazy marked up charts no prior levels no anchor really to guide you through it (for the most part at least). Just a nice clean open board with a lot of potential" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1943266075073708049) 2025-07-10T11:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "9/ Anyways hope yall made some money too. Much more to come imo given the gravity of this move (and the magnitude of shorts that just got blown out). Starting to think [---] is too low a target on $BTC. gg" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1943467333332422794) 2025-07-11T00:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BTC $ETH $HYPE $FART $BONK $UNI $AERO all making new highs in this recent drive. $PEPE $XRP $AAVE still have yet to break local highs but are strong nonetheless. There are numerous others still that look like they're emerging from their bear market depths" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1943573466457772291) 2025-07-11T07:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "So 115k on $BTC was $100 on $FBTC. 175k is $100 on $IBIT. Some whole number biases on the suits side to keep in mind. It likely wont stop at 175k if we get there. The journey will be arduous thobut worth it" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1943583862350643490) 2025-07-11T08:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Occams razor till we begin to see what some of the runners are going to be ( $XRP $DOGE US blockchains all come to mind last expansion)" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1943633762757066912) 2025-07-11T11:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BTC is officially a boomer coin. New all-time high for Bitcoin. Shared a few words with @CoinDesk today about @volmexfinance's BVIV Index and market developments. https://t.co/0jSSo0LQex https://t.co/UbVwbWSqi2 New all-time high for Bitcoin. Shared a few words with @CoinDesk today about @volmexfinance's BVIV Index and market developments. https://t.co/0jSSo0LQex https://t.co/UbVwbWSqi2" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1943754222136185025) 2025-07-11T19:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@saylor @ladoger Saylors hot anime girl post" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1944008723816419476) 2025-07-12T12:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/ Alts have been in a bear market for [--] years against $BTC. it takes a while for that kind of momentum to fizzle out. But that doesn't mean we can't get multi-month rallies as we try to form a base and put in a bottom (see last cycles bear)" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1944326825074913595) 2025-07-13T09:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "6/ I think we're gonna need insane BTC strength to help pull alts out of their bear market is what im saying. And until that happens i think its safe to assume we're in a bitcoin (and choice alts) led bull market. If you're a value investor youd be accumulating here nonetheless" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1944326836990693661) 2025-07-13T09:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Respect the pump" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1944402550758814028) 2025-07-13T14:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Youd have to go back to the START of the post-election run to see this kind of short squeeze. The start yo" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1944642917886247334) 2025-07-14T06:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Maybe its crazy to think but $BTC 150k by end of the week . maybe end of the month Youd have to go back to the START of the post-election run to see this kind of short squeeze. The start yo. Youd have to go back to the START of the post-election run to see this kind of short squeeze. The start yo" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1944654182293663748) 2025-07-14T07:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Lol😅 Maybe its crazy to think but $BTC 150k by end of the week . maybe end of the month Maybe its crazy to think but $BTC 150k by end of the week . maybe end of the month" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1945010362509635783) 2025-07-15T06:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "We big chillin" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1945510565071249834) 2025-07-16T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "lol $bonk short liquidations for the day on par with $btc rn. $eth in the lead today naturally" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1945540298676777322) 2025-07-16T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Trimming some $ETH and smaller perp positions here; not feeling the need to squeeze every last penny as there are some early signs of overheating. Still holding my spot exposure. Already been on vacation for some time now but im logging off for the rest of summer. gg bois 🤝🏼 In regards to this post $ETH is looking better than $BTC. Plus we've almost spent a solid week above its 200day (55% odds [--] R:R long lol. If wrong it always marked a strong local top). The time is nigh i can feel it in my bones https://t.co/YKfQUOHGzo https://t.co/lGa4ruorCb In regards to this post $ETH is looking" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1947318377015280022) 2025-07-21T15:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/ $BTC price action right now looks very similar to Dec/Jan [--]. We had a [--] day drawdown before making a new high on inauguration day but that was a weak ass ATH break imo. This time we had a 30day drawdown before making a new high as well which ended up getting retraced" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1959679137934979554) 2025-08-24T18:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "3/ So basically I'd like to see $BTC put in a bottom this week and continue its ascent to new highs. Daily close below prior (prior) ATHs at 112k would be bearish imo but given that price has been rather noisy lately perhaps my real line in the sand is closer to 110k" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1959679145723793740) 2025-08-24T18:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Peculiar indeed BTCUSD overlaid with every day ETHUSD hit a new ATH. https://t.co/mKnC30bELV BTCUSD overlaid with every day ETHUSD hit a new ATH. https://t.co/mKnC30bELV" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1959957133736243584) 2025-08-25T12:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Ooof. that daily and weekly candle on $BTC is nasty. We're making lower lows and accepting below prior ATHs. it looks like we may be entering another multi-month consolidation. That would put median time to bottom around Oct/Nov https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1959679137934979554 1/ $BTC price action right now looks very similar to Dec/Jan [--]. We had a [--] day drawdown before making a new high on inauguration day but that was a weak ass ATH break imo. This time we had a 30day drawdown before making a new high as well which ended up getting retraced. https://t.co/fD5PNmJjMB" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1961460682202706371) 2025-08-29T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "BTC making lower highs against gold on longer timeframes still likely need another month or two of weakness to confirm tho. @PeterSchiff might be annoying af in the coming months" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1961839911255851440) 2025-08-30T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "75% of $BTC sell offs have already bottomed by now time wise but this decline has been relatively shallow price wise; among the weaker drops on record (25th percentile)" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1962590127726710959) 2025-09-01T18:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "1/ When considering price action I think a lot of people focus on price without considering time. To elaborate on this earlier post (for anyone interested) here's what the probability distribution looks like for past sell offs across both dimensions. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1962590127726710959 75% of $BTC sell offs have already bottomed by now time wise but this decline has been relatively shallow price wise; among the weaker drops on record (25th percentile). https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1962590127726710959 75% of $BTC sell offs have already bottomed by now time wise but" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1962919447691211005) 2025-09-02T16:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "To those who say crypto "cycles" are over hear hear. As long as debt is the backbone of finance the rhythm of liquidity/refinancing will continue to shape #Bitcoin 's boom-bust character as it has done for the last +10 years. Hard to see why that suddenly wouldnt matter" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1963192772799652016) 2025-09-03T10:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Pretty solid post on why alts havent really caught a bid this cycle theres too many of them nothing new or secret but actually visualizing altcoin count is pretty incredible supply fatigue (particularly for high fdv coins) really started as a theme in early [----] but these things of course operate on a lag. total number of listings aside the *rate* of new listings https://t.co/Ql0OQJdk1j nothing new or secret but actually visualizing altcoin count is pretty incredible supply fatigue (particularly for high fdv coins) really started as a theme in early [----] but these things of course operate on" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1963329470011461844) 2025-09-03T19:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "1/ The authors argue that the introduction of the US spot $BTC ETFs have increased volatility and downside risks while leaving average returns unchanged (hence the title). What an awesome paper. Risk Without Reward The Introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs by Daniel Pastorek Peter Albrecht https://t.co/621fyiNijf What an awesome paper. Risk Without Reward The Introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs by Daniel Pastorek Peter Albrecht https://t.co/621fyiNijf" [X Link](https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1930044886759137351) 2025-06-03T23:32Z [---] followers, 23.9K engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@LeafiestParapet LevLev posts on X about $btc, bitcoin, in the, binance the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence currencies 97.22% cryptocurrencies 47.22% finance 19.44% exchanges 9.26% stocks 6.48% technology brands 3.7% financial services #926 social networks 0.93% countries 0.93%
Social topic influence $btc 21.3%, bitcoin 14.81%, in the 8.33%, binance 7.41%, bear 6.48%, crypto 5.56%, $eth 5.56%, strong 4.63%, bull 4.63%, liquidity 3.7%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @therealplanc @wclemente @donnellybrent @coinmamba @mleinweber2 @saschoenfeld @marketvector @exitpumpbtc @atalantis7 @0xbigmikey @bankless @vitalikbuterin @financialjuice @treeofalpha @mialgos @dylanleclair @gameoftrades @kamikazeth @mandlehu @therationalroot
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) XRP (XRP) Bonk (BONK) BlackRock Inc (BLK) Qtum (QTUM) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Uniswap (UNI) Solana (SOL) Ondo (ONDO) Chainlink (LINK) Layerzero (ZRO) Morpho (MORPHO) Sui (SUI) Litecoin (LTC) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@donnelly_brent Thanks for sharing. I think bitcoin is appealing precisely because it lacks a core narrative and a fair value/anchor (in the traditional sense). And if you think about its about the only asset that has these characteristics. Its a "post-fundamental asset""
X Link 2026-02-13T07:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3/ Apollo is buying morpho over [--] months so the near term prospects are less clear. Blackrock bought some uniswap and is looking to offer Defi services but Uni has been a cursed coin for 5ever. Picked up a little spot nonetheless https://fortune.com/2026/02/11/blackrock-uniswap/ https://fortune.com/2026/02/11/blackrock-uniswap/"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Junk bonds serve as a nice proxy for credit expansion and contraction. When the slope of HYGs [--] DMA turns positive it usually means investors are taking risk and liquidity is flowing. Its in precisely these environments when $BTC thrives"
X Link 2026-01-24T17:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Bear market rally will be glorious feels good being a bull again"
X Link 2026-02-06T06:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@mleinweber2 @SASchoenfeld @MarketVector Volatility has been quite muted in recent months tho so price was already closer to the [---] day than in past instances. Even a normal move can screen as an extreme event in that instance. A 5m wave feels insane if the oceans been flat for months"
X Link 2026-02-07T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"He does have a point quantum risks are real but quantum equities selling off alongside bitcoin make it difficult to reconcile a narrative of accelerating existential quantum threat. Bitcoin Market Update: Deleveraging Narrative Shock and an Oversold Setup Bitcoin has experienced a sharp drawdown over the past week with prices falling roughly [--] percent and currently trading in the mid-$60000s. The move has been driven by a rapid unwind of leverage from Bitcoin Market Update: Deleveraging Narrative Shock and an Oversold Setup Bitcoin has experienced a sharp drawdown over the past week with"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Then again in moves like this correlations go to [--] anyway so its difficult to say conclusively. Perhaps monitoring a divergence between the [--] is worthwhile $QTUM / $BTC"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Sentiment is absolutely cooked. People were already disillusioned with crypto before the bear market truly began but now even more so since bitcoin started going down. I feel 60k will prove a more sustainable bottom than 80k but its difficult to know if it will be THE bottom"
X Link 2026-02-11T06:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@exitpumpBTC Lol 4k btc on offer on coinbase Thats wild actually"
X Link 2025-02-09T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Expansionary move still hasn't started really though volatility is picking up a bit so you can tell we're close. Looking at prior instances of very low volume (colored red) the next move is often violent. Cant tell if we're at the first or second circle tho quite yet"
X Link 2025-07-02T13:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Then again $QTUM / $BTC looking interesting on the monthly. Something to monitor for sure He does have a point quantum risks are real but quantum equities selling off alongside bitcoin make it difficult to reconcile a narrative of accelerating existential quantum threat. He does have a point quantum risks are real but quantum equities selling off alongside bitcoin make it difficult to reconcile a narrative of accelerating existential quantum threat"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I highly doubt(hope) binance is this cycles Luna but the chain of events unfolding scares me a bit. Lets see how the market churns through this FUD. Steady lads Binance SAFU Fund completes $1B BTC purchasing plan https://t.co/cVM0HKliUa Binance SAFU Fund completes $1B BTC purchasing plan https://t.co/cVM0HKliUa"
X Link 2026-02-12T07:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@atalantis7 I think more than anything bitcoin price itself is the fundamental and it can be whatever the market needs it to be at that moment. Only question is whether theres enough juice (liquidity) to keep the reflexive engine from stalling. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/2022208607828529229s=20 @donnelly_brent Thanks for sharing. I think bitcoin is appealing precisely because it lacks a core narrative and a fair value/anchor (in the traditional sense). And if you think about its about the only asset that has these characteristics. Its a "post-fundamental asset""
X Link 2026-02-13T07:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4/ Cant help but think $ETH $LINK $ONDO and your choice staking protocol also benefit (On-chain Plumbing RWA and Staking). Bought some even smaller allocations of these"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ One thing to remember we are in a bear market. Even if this trade plays out it will likely get sold into. Thats the prior belief of the market right now the regime we are in. And the regime will persist until weve accumulated enough evidence to overcome that prior"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"6/ For now tho I think a decent bear market rally is loading and some of these coins are more investable than they were just a couple months ago (not just because of the near term catalyst). I think its worth making some longer-term buys here (the kind you forget about) but I think its also wise to still have stables on hand in anticipation of further downside at some point in the future. Stablecoin is king until further notice https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022758560027853258 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022758560027853258"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ Clarity Act Trade I bought some $ZRO (its looking to close the weekly above its 200d) and a bit of $MORPHO and $UNI today. In the past week alone weve had Blackrock Apollo and Citadel all buy DeFi tokens and Twitter announce theyll soon introduce crypto trading to their 550M MAUs. Starting to feel like institutions are positioning ahead of CLARITY. In the past week alone weve had Blackrock Apollo and Citadel all buy DeFi tokens and Twitter announce theyll soon introduce crypto trading to their 550M MAUs. Starting to feel like institutions are positioning ahead of CLARITY"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/ Timing is less certain than when we had crypto week last July but I think theyre worth a little bear market allocation with clarity act passage approaching. Especially layer zero its quite strong despite all the turmoil in recent months https://fortune.com/2026/02/10/layerzero-blockchain-ark-citadel-cathie-wood-nyse-dtcc-ice-tokenization-crypto/ https://fortune.com/2026/02/10/layerzero-blockchain-ark-citadel-cathie-wood-nyse-dtcc-ice-tokenization-crypto/"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@0xbigmikey Think coins are due for a rally and clarity act passage offers a near term catalyst. It will probably get sold into (as bear market rallies do) and downside risks still remain but i think its worth a small bet if anything"
X Link 2026-02-14T19:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@bankless @VitalikButerin What does Vitalik have to say to all the PoS centralization critics out there Specifically the concerns involving a concentrated validator pool"
X Link 2022-09-21T13:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@financialjuice @wclemente Recession confirmed"
X Link 2022-10-14T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Tree_of_Alpha I wonder how long it will take for people to realize you are joking 😂"
X Link 2022-10-15T10:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MI_Algos Its a do or die moment it seems I think we break the range to the downside. We just dont have that same bull market sentiment to help us eat through this wall the 2nd around. I guess well wait and see"
X Link 2022-10-18T13:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@dylanleclair Right. cuz alameda would publicly announce their liquidation price"
X Link 2022-11-08T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@GameofTrades_ **Bull Trap"
X Link 2022-12-13T15:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@kamikaz_ETH Meanwhile ETH bailed on decentralization and takes orders from the to US treasury department now"
X Link 2022-12-24T01:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MandleHu That jump in volume is when Binance introduced zero spot trading fees"
X Link 2022-12-25T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@therationalroot @BitcoinMagazine I find halvenings worrisome. If miners become too reliant on a diminishing source of block rewards to sustain themselves and fees earned from network activity remain depressed as they are now then what will incentivize miners to keep mining and secure the network in the future"
X Link 2023-01-07T23:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@GonzaloLira1968 Bruv this is a chinese state owned news channel. Im skeptical"
X Link 2023-03-05T08:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@0xMerp Lol you rarely see a 20k ETH bid on nance spoof"
X Link 2023-05-27T05:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptoCon_ I dont see the 2nd entry into the cycle bottom zone as a particularly bullish sign for BTC the indicator never seems to enter the zone twice in a conventional bear market"
X Link 2023-09-30T21:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@MacroScope17 BTC knows that China just turned on the liquidity spigot and the rest of the world will soon follow"
X Link 2023-10-28T11:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@WuBlockchain @ZeMirch @ai_9684xtpa If their avg price was [----] its unlikely they caused the steep drop. Probably more related to the move in bitcoin"
X Link 2024-05-23T14:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@All_in_One_TDR @zerohedge Dampening of volatility is only the case if their gamma exposure is positive but dealers will actually amplify volatility if their gamma is negative. It cant be inferred from the headline what their directional gamma exposure is"
X Link 2024-07-08T19:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@R89Capital"
X Link 2024-07-08T19:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MatthewHyland_ Looks like a good place for some shorts invalidation at 64k"
X Link 2024-07-14T21:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheRealPlanC Math represents objective truth when applied correctly respecting the principles of statistics. The low p-value doesnt prove non-randomness but rather highlights the pitfalls of applying regression to data that doesnt meet the requisite assumptions: data must NOT vary in time"
X Link 2024-08-14T06:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TheRealPlanC it is mathematically shown that autocorrelation only matters for standard errors and significance tests. This is exactly my point you can find an average but you can state with no statistical confidence that this is in fact the average. P-values dont make sense here"
X Link 2024-08-14T07:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheRealPlanC So basically you have a model (a power law applied to a non-stationary time series) but you cant tell how good it is mathematically within the assumptions of regression you cant be certain whether the fit is random or not"
X Link 2024-08-14T07:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheRealPlanC Same considerations apply if the data varies in time that is it has a trend exhibits seasonality or has a varying variance (BTC has quiet as well as volatile moments) you simply cannot use your typical regression techniques its not mathematically correct"
X Link 2024-08-14T11:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheRealPlanC You have to transform the data in some way (log price isnt enough but differencing might work) or use a different model (like an ARIMA model) that can handle time varying (non stationary) data"
X Link 2024-08-14T12:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@intocryptoverse Maybe a little ahead of schedule given we broke prior aths already"
X Link 2024-08-21T20:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BittelJulien [----] vibes"
X Link 2024-08-22T19:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@coinmamba Negative funding short liqs abound max pain is up rn"
X Link 2024-09-09T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@NorthmanTrader On the weekly it dont look too bad"
X Link 2024-09-10T16:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@QuintenFrancois Spot volumes on coinbase and binance are at multi-year lows though"
X Link 2024-10-18T09:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@wclemente Its time to melt faces to the downside"
X Link 2024-10-18T15:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MacroCRG Feel like you wait for lower prices if youre a bull"
X Link 2024-10-28T07:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@AndreasSteno You need roughly 2n qubits to break BTC encryption where n is the number of bits in your private key (256 so [---] qubits needed). Googles new chip has [---] qubits. Thing is for every [--] logical qubit on paper you need like [-----] physical qubits because qubits are very noisy"
X Link 2024-12-10T09:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@tonythebullBTC Btc looking weak"
X Link 2025-01-10T18:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@fin_constructor @YannickKae I think the issue is that the trend appears artificially strong and more significant than it really is. Imagine if we accounted for the overlapping windows and the data in the 2nd graph looked more like the data in the 1st graph"
X Link 2025-01-12T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@bennpeifert The standard error is underestimated. Calculating a rolling return artificially increases the sample size since the 10Y return in month i is basically the same as in month i-1 so theres a lot of redundant and correlated data points. This inflates the significane of the trend"
X Link 2025-01-12T21:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@timelessbeing Not before Wednesday at least fed pause coming"
X Link 2025-01-27T08:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$XRP $SUI and $LTC are the best looking charts on my radar. Still holding their 200dma along with bitcoin. If there will be any alt season from here these will likely be some of the top performers"
X Link 2025-03-02T11:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TraderNomadX @TradingThomas3 The binance spot and futures orderbook this weekend was a huge tell imo 75M+ bid on futures 100M+ bid on spot. Extremely rare to see those type of orders not to mention the 500M+ bid ladder on futures that appeared at 80k (largest visible order i think ever)"
X Link 2025-03-02T18:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@hedgedhog7 What a set of candles lol"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@follis_ Gotta stop day trading and start taking longer term positions less stress and time spent tracking every move and in my experience more money cuz most of the gains are made with time anyway. Just my [--] cents brudda"
X Link 2025-03-04T21:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@coinmamba Binance whale says otherwise"
X Link 2025-03-18T11:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TheCryptoDog Btc/nasdaq approaching aths as equities crash. Actually insane if this holds"
X Link 2025-04-04T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BTC drawdowns last under [--] months during bull runs. Consolidations stretch up to [--] months at most. Bear markets drag on for years. Majority of drawdowns last less than [--] month (82%) with median drawdown being [--] days"
X Link 2025-05-28T15:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@evabeylin You paid with your attention/data on google services. openai having the same model might raise privacy concerns in this context tho so they have to find an alternative way to monetize"
X Link 2025-06-01T06:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"What an awesome paper. Risk Without Reward The Introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs by Daniel Pastorek Peter Albrecht http://ftp.mendelu.cz/RePEc/men/wpaper/99_2025.pdf http://ftp.mendelu.cz/RePEc/men/wpaper/99_2025.pdf"
X Link 2025-06-03T21:01Z [---] followers, 12.8K engagements
"1/ Global orderbooks turned negative recently on $BTC. This is a signal that has never really failed to precipitate a major sell off consolidation or crash (even after the introduction of the ETFs). All signal instances are highlighed below. Brace yourselves"
X Link 2025-06-04T14:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@JamesWynnReal Thank the+$20M order on binance"
X Link 2025-06-04T17:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The only thing making ATHs in crypto is global ask liquidity in #bitcoin orderbooks ;) In all seriousness it really does look like this is a decision point. I think we'll ultimately need a catalyst. ie news that brings some real volume to help us chew through these offers"
X Link 2025-06-28T14:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Bears have done well to defend the [---] day until now. Id like to see a daily close above 2.5k for $ETH (160 for $SOL 108.5k for $BTC) for me to get at least a little worried about my shorts. Till then im sitting comfy and looking to see if things change in the meanwhile"
X Link 2025-07-02T13:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Got the daily close above 108.5k. We spent only a day above last two times couple days up here and i reckon bitcoin might just cum. Same goes for ETH. You dont know how long ive been waiting for this daily close above the 200day literally the most important line on chart"
X Link 2025-07-03T00:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I just wanna say that im still exercising patience. The last [--] summers were chop [--] summers yo All either pump&dumps or vice-versa (some just straight up dumps lol). But the last time we made an ATH in the summer was the beginning of the [----] run sooooooo. Got the daily close above 108.5k. We spent only a day above last two times couple days up here and i reckon bitcoin might just cum. Same goes for ETH. You dont know how long ive been waiting for this daily close above the 200day literally the most important line on chart Got the daily close above 108.5k. We spent only a day above last two"
X Link 2025-07-03T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Theres something undeniably poetic about the largest-ever transfer of old BTC happening the same day Trump signs the biggest deficit-increasing bill in U.S. history. On the 4th of July no less As if the system that birthed #bitcoin is reminding us why it exists"
X Link 2025-07-04T18:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Crazy to think that just 10% of alts are above their 50/200 day moving averages. and so many others near their bear market lows"
X Link 2025-07-05T10:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"1/ If you longed $SOL every time it closed at least [--] days above its [--] day MA your win rate was 38% with a [--] R:R. Those are insane odds if you think about it. Thats like flipping a coin and getting a [--] to [--] pay out every time you win"
X Link 2025-07-05T14:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I compiled a small list of traders who have a history on binance/bybit/ftx/bitmex leaderboards. Some are indirectly affiliated somehow some are retired but still post every now and then some are quite active. https://x.com/i/lists/1941804248414474400 https://x.com/i/lists/1941804248414474400"
X Link 2025-07-06T12:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I think $BONK is the coin to trade this coming week. Currently experiencing its largest short liquidation cascade and open interest is still "bonkers". --- see what i did there lol. More volatility to come. Some other choice memes are too bad looking eitherbut bonk is just wild"
X Link 2025-07-06T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Crypto Week starts 7/14 historically where bull market drawdowns end and momentum returns (about [--] months in). The stars are aligning. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1927746477381570645 $BTC drawdowns last under [--] months during bull runs. Consolidations stretch up to [--] months at most. Bear markets drag on for years. Majority of drawdowns last less than [--] month (82%) with median drawdown being [--] days. https://t.co/bFta7Mu6Wr https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1927746477381570645 $BTC drawdowns last under [--] months during bull runs. Consolidations stretch up to [--] months at most. Bear"
X Link 2025-07-07T01:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I'm still seeing hesitancy here at the highs. Top of the chart to bottom we got some large persistent orders on binance futs holding the line right now [--] week cvd tapering off and the overall bid imbalance increasing. Last summer we were going into the highs much stronger"
X Link 2025-07-07T09:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"People are still in "wait" and see mode basically. Indecision is resolved this or next week I think given the dearth of volumes lately and potential upcoming catalysts on the horizon. Bigggg weeks ahead"
X Link 2025-07-07T09:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Spot on the other hand has been selling this entire rally. Since December really barring brief moments of strength near the 80k lows during last sell off. The sell pressure has eased a bit for sure but we'll need them to reverse course https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942156792680620182 I'm still seeing hesitancy here at the highs. Top of the chart to bottom we got some large persistent orders on binance futs holding the line right now [--] week cvd tapering off and the overall bid imbalance increasing. Last summer we were going into the highs much stronger https://t.co/mN77UOoBO0"
X Link 2025-07-07T10:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ One of the hallmarks of an uptrend is consistently absorbing larger order blocks on the way up and respecting them on the way down. Bigger orders getting filled counter trend can signal a shift in market structure as was the case in late May"
X Link 2025-07-07T13:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"When volume picks up after price has been coiling like this the dominant side getting liquidated beforehand often hints at the direction of the breakout. Short squeezes tend to precede upside moves long liquidations downside"
X Link 2025-07-08T12:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Study richard feynman. my boi knew what was up"
X Link 2025-07-08T12:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In regards to this post $ETH is looking better than $BTC. Plus we've almost spent a solid week above its 200day (55% odds [--] R:R long lol. If wrong it always marked a strong local top). The time is nigh i can feel it in my bones https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942560498848805166 When volume picks up after price has been coiling like this the dominant side getting liquidated beforehand often hints at the direction of the breakout. Short squeezes tend to precede upside moves long liquidations downside. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1942560498848805166 When volume picks up after"
X Link 2025-07-08T13:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@wclemente No ser for mi familia this cannot be true"
X Link 2025-07-08T15:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Theres nothing quite like trading price discovery. no crazy marked up charts no prior levels no anchor really to guide you through it (for the most part at least). Just a nice clean open board with a lot of potential"
X Link 2025-07-10T11:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"9/ Anyways hope yall made some money too. Much more to come imo given the gravity of this move (and the magnitude of shorts that just got blown out). Starting to think [---] is too low a target on $BTC. gg"
X Link 2025-07-11T00:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BTC $ETH $HYPE $FART $BONK $UNI $AERO all making new highs in this recent drive. $PEPE $XRP $AAVE still have yet to break local highs but are strong nonetheless. There are numerous others still that look like they're emerging from their bear market depths"
X Link 2025-07-11T07:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"So 115k on $BTC was $100 on $FBTC. 175k is $100 on $IBIT. Some whole number biases on the suits side to keep in mind. It likely wont stop at 175k if we get there. The journey will be arduous thobut worth it"
X Link 2025-07-11T08:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Occams razor till we begin to see what some of the runners are going to be ( $XRP $DOGE US blockchains all come to mind last expansion)"
X Link 2025-07-11T11:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BTC is officially a boomer coin. New all-time high for Bitcoin. Shared a few words with @CoinDesk today about @volmexfinance's BVIV Index and market developments. https://t.co/0jSSo0LQex https://t.co/UbVwbWSqi2 New all-time high for Bitcoin. Shared a few words with @CoinDesk today about @volmexfinance's BVIV Index and market developments. https://t.co/0jSSo0LQex https://t.co/UbVwbWSqi2"
X Link 2025-07-11T19:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@saylor @ladoger Saylors hot anime girl post"
X Link 2025-07-12T12:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ Alts have been in a bear market for [--] years against $BTC. it takes a while for that kind of momentum to fizzle out. But that doesn't mean we can't get multi-month rallies as we try to form a base and put in a bottom (see last cycles bear)"
X Link 2025-07-13T09:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"6/ I think we're gonna need insane BTC strength to help pull alts out of their bear market is what im saying. And until that happens i think its safe to assume we're in a bitcoin (and choice alts) led bull market. If you're a value investor youd be accumulating here nonetheless"
X Link 2025-07-13T09:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Respect the pump"
X Link 2025-07-13T14:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Youd have to go back to the START of the post-election run to see this kind of short squeeze. The start yo"
X Link 2025-07-14T06:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Maybe its crazy to think but $BTC 150k by end of the week . maybe end of the month Youd have to go back to the START of the post-election run to see this kind of short squeeze. The start yo. Youd have to go back to the START of the post-election run to see this kind of short squeeze. The start yo"
X Link 2025-07-14T07:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lol😅 Maybe its crazy to think but $BTC 150k by end of the week . maybe end of the month Maybe its crazy to think but $BTC 150k by end of the week . maybe end of the month"
X Link 2025-07-15T06:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"We big chillin"
X Link 2025-07-16T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"lol $bonk short liquidations for the day on par with $btc rn. $eth in the lead today naturally"
X Link 2025-07-16T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Trimming some $ETH and smaller perp positions here; not feeling the need to squeeze every last penny as there are some early signs of overheating. Still holding my spot exposure. Already been on vacation for some time now but im logging off for the rest of summer. gg bois 🤝🏼 In regards to this post $ETH is looking better than $BTC. Plus we've almost spent a solid week above its 200day (55% odds [--] R:R long lol. If wrong it always marked a strong local top). The time is nigh i can feel it in my bones https://t.co/YKfQUOHGzo https://t.co/lGa4ruorCb In regards to this post $ETH is looking"
X Link 2025-07-21T15:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ $BTC price action right now looks very similar to Dec/Jan [--]. We had a [--] day drawdown before making a new high on inauguration day but that was a weak ass ATH break imo. This time we had a 30day drawdown before making a new high as well which ended up getting retraced"
X Link 2025-08-24T18:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"3/ So basically I'd like to see $BTC put in a bottom this week and continue its ascent to new highs. Daily close below prior (prior) ATHs at 112k would be bearish imo but given that price has been rather noisy lately perhaps my real line in the sand is closer to 110k"
X Link 2025-08-24T18:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Peculiar indeed BTCUSD overlaid with every day ETHUSD hit a new ATH. https://t.co/mKnC30bELV BTCUSD overlaid with every day ETHUSD hit a new ATH. https://t.co/mKnC30bELV"
X Link 2025-08-25T12:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Ooof. that daily and weekly candle on $BTC is nasty. We're making lower lows and accepting below prior ATHs. it looks like we may be entering another multi-month consolidation. That would put median time to bottom around Oct/Nov https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1959679137934979554 1/ $BTC price action right now looks very similar to Dec/Jan [--]. We had a [--] day drawdown before making a new high on inauguration day but that was a weak ass ATH break imo. This time we had a 30day drawdown before making a new high as well which ended up getting retraced. https://t.co/fD5PNmJjMB"
X Link 2025-08-29T16:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"BTC making lower highs against gold on longer timeframes still likely need another month or two of weakness to confirm tho. @PeterSchiff might be annoying af in the coming months"
X Link 2025-08-30T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"75% of $BTC sell offs have already bottomed by now time wise but this decline has been relatively shallow price wise; among the weaker drops on record (25th percentile)"
X Link 2025-09-01T18:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"1/ When considering price action I think a lot of people focus on price without considering time. To elaborate on this earlier post (for anyone interested) here's what the probability distribution looks like for past sell offs across both dimensions. https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1962590127726710959 75% of $BTC sell offs have already bottomed by now time wise but this decline has been relatively shallow price wise; among the weaker drops on record (25th percentile). https://x.com/LeafiestParapet/status/1962590127726710959 75% of $BTC sell offs have already bottomed by now time wise but"
X Link 2025-09-02T16:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"To those who say crypto "cycles" are over hear hear. As long as debt is the backbone of finance the rhythm of liquidity/refinancing will continue to shape #Bitcoin 's boom-bust character as it has done for the last +10 years. Hard to see why that suddenly wouldnt matter"
X Link 2025-09-03T10:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Pretty solid post on why alts havent really caught a bid this cycle theres too many of them nothing new or secret but actually visualizing altcoin count is pretty incredible supply fatigue (particularly for high fdv coins) really started as a theme in early [----] but these things of course operate on a lag. total number of listings aside the rate of new listings https://t.co/Ql0OQJdk1j nothing new or secret but actually visualizing altcoin count is pretty incredible supply fatigue (particularly for high fdv coins) really started as a theme in early [----] but these things of course operate on"
X Link 2025-09-03T19:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ The authors argue that the introduction of the US spot $BTC ETFs have increased volatility and downside risks while leaving average returns unchanged (hence the title). What an awesome paper. Risk Without Reward The Introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs by Daniel Pastorek Peter Albrecht https://t.co/621fyiNijf What an awesome paper. Risk Without Reward The Introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs by Daniel Pastorek Peter Albrecht https://t.co/621fyiNijf"
X Link 2025-06-03T23:32Z [---] followers, 23.9K engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
/creator/x::LeafiestParapet