#  @Investwithj25 Investwithj Investwithj posts on X about $googl, market, ai, in the the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1905817536014241792/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] +7,730% - [--] Month [-----] +38,716% - [--] Months [-------] +235% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1905817536014241792/posts_active)  - [--] Months [---] +129% ### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1905817536014241792/followers)  - [--] Week [---] +1.90% - [--] Month [---] +1.90% - [--] Months [---] +132% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1905817536014241792/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [finance](/list/finance) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) [countries](/list/countries) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) **Social topic influence** [$googl](/topic/$googl), [market](/topic/market), [ai](/topic/ai), [in the](/topic/in-the), [company](/topic/company), [stocks](/topic/stocks), [$amzn](/topic/$amzn), [has been](/topic/has-been), [meta](/topic/meta) #5032, [$lulu](/topic/$lulu) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@dividenddudex](/creator/undefined) [@dividendology](/creator/undefined) [@stocksavvyshay](/creator/undefined) [@joecarlsonshow](/creator/undefined) [@stockmktnewz](/creator/undefined) [@dividendtalks](/creator/undefined) [@finchatio](/creator/undefined) [@charliebilello](/creator/undefined) [@patientinvestt](/creator/undefined) [@tacticzh](/creator/undefined) [@boujeefinances](/creator/undefined) [@thelonginvest](/creator/undefined) [@burrytracker](/creator/undefined) [@investwithj25siyfculdmjrpl1ycj](/creator/undefined) [@mrderivatives](/creator/undefined) [@devoteddividend](/creator/undefined) [@cud1446](/creator/undefined) [@realroseceline](/creator/undefined) [@bourboncap](/creator/undefined) [@jonkuestini](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU)](/topic/$lulu) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)](/topic/$hims) [Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL)](/topic/$duol) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)](/topic/$tsm) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/$uber) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)](/topic/$pep) [Mastercard, Inc. (MA)](/topic/$ma) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [Novo-Nordisk (NVO)](/topic/$nvo) [Coca-Cola Co (KO)](/topic/$ko) [JPMorgan Chase (JPM)](/topic/$jpm) [Progressive Corp (PGR)](/topic/$pgr) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@DevotedDividend Just a question are you concerned with the actual appreciation of SCHD or just the dividend return" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1910816983987237086) 2025-04-11T22:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "1. Chip makers like $NVDA $AMD $TSM and $AVGO all traded down today as the tariff war introduced the next battle curbing chip makers from selling to China. The Chinese market represents 13% of $NVDA's revenue and has an impressive 29% CAGR. [--]. $TSLA reported California registrations were down 15.1% from a year ago. For context $TSLA's most popular brand the Model Y went through a refresh in production this past quarter which attributed to the decline. Market share in California fell from 55% to 44%. [--]. $ASML reported earnings with revenue growing 46% YoY. The company reported massive margin" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1912554774257369188) 2025-04-16T17:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@DividendTalks $GOOG and $AMZN. I'm watching $META and $NVDA. Lots of good companies on discount" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1912612754151587885) 2025-04-16T21:03Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "MARKET CLOSE UPDATE [--]. Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke today and reminded investors of the cost these tariffs will have long-term. Powell said these tariffs were "highly likely to cause inflation" and have diminished expectations of further interest rate cuts in the near future. [--]. Chips slid on the day with news that chip makers like $NVDA will be potentially prohibited to selling to China. Chip stocks like $AMD $TSM $ASML were all down on the news. [--]. Top finishers today were mostly defensive stocks as the uncertainty grows. $LMT $JNJ $BUD $TRV all finished in the green on a day where most of" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1912618007731273761) 2025-04-16T21:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@finchat_io Shhhh keep $PGR hidden. It's doing wonders for my portfolio" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1912883156597846179) 2025-04-17T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@cud1446 $VOO a lot of $GOOG and $AMZN and probs a bit of $ASML and $NVDA. Lots of good choices tho" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1913418521591046639) 2025-04-19T02:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$AMZN is being sold off and becoming the cheapest it has ever been. I get the threats of a trade war and how that effects its business. But in what world is Amazon not a winner [--] years from now AI would only make this company more efficient AND Amazon is still reinvesting heavily back into their business and growing. Also did I mention it is the second largest company in revenue in the world I'm long on Amazon. #stocks #investing #money #stockmarket #amazon #tesla #palantir" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1914843384478306356) 2025-04-23T00:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Trump announced that tariff won't be 145% but still greater than zero: Bullish✅ Trump announced he won't fire J. Powell: Bullish✅ Perhaps a rally back into the positives here with earnings season underway #stocks #tesla #investing #usa #china #stockmarket #trump #elon $TSLA" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1914878087340175776) 2025-04-23T03:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Morgan Stanley says that the AI slowdown this year is just a short-term bump. Many investors feared that this year was the beginning of the end for the AI bubble. But demand for GPU's from companies like $GOOG and #OpenAI continue to persist. Despite $NVDA and other MAG [--] companies being down -20% and more Morgan Stanley sees tremendous upside. #tesla $TSLA #AI $PLTR https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-streets-fear-ai-slowdown-164501282.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-streets-fear-ai-slowdown-164501282.html" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1916239717290659860) 2025-04-26T21:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$Visa reported a $30B share buyback program Beat on EPS: [----] vs [----] est Beat on revenue: $9.59B vs $9.55B est Some key takeaways was service revenue was up 9% YoY and payment volume was up 8% YoY. They also expect to grow revenue 10-12% YoY. Do you love Visa stock" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1917334243199381996) 2025-04-29T21:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@patientinvestt If someone buys a house for $1 million dollars but its only worth $300000 you probably wouldn't buy it. If they turned around and offered it again for $500000 you still wouldn't buy it. Same thing applies for $SBUX as this stock gets cheaper" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1917594002427203774) 2025-04-30T14:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$AMZN EARNINGS How is this company flat over the past [--] years Revenue Beat: $155.7 billion up 9% year-over-year exceeding the $155 billion est. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.59 reported beating $1.36 est. North America Sales: $92.9 billion an 8% increase year-over-year. Amazon Web Services (AWS): Revenue of $29.3 billion growing 17% year-over-year slightly below expectations. Advertising Revenue: $13.9 billion a 19% increase surpassing forecasts. Tariff Concerns: Jassy addressed the impact of President Trump's 145% tariff on Chinese imports which affects over 50% of Amazon's products. He" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1918139320093102200) 2025-05-02T03:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@realroseceline The growth is great. Wall Street is just crying about the forward guidance. IMO it's dumb and an overreaction as $AMZN is clearly an improving company" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1918144085283455078) 2025-05-02T03:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@DividendDude_X Stocks are more "simple" and liquid than real estate. They have also become so much more accessible to the average Joe. They are the perfect asset to start building wealth for many" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1919155578284216721) 2025-05-04T22:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Biggest earnings reports to pay attention to for the rest of the week: Tuesday [--]. Advanced Micro Devices $AMD [--]. Rivian $RIVN Wednesday [--]. Novo Nordisk $NVO [--]. Walt Disney $DIS [--]. Uber $UBER Thursday [--]. Shopify $SHOP [--]. Coinbase $COIN [--]. Lyft $LYFT Friday [--]. Walmart $WMT [--]. Alibaba $BABA [--]. Applied Materials $AMAT" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1919580490190742006) 2025-05-06T02:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "3.) Record-Breaking Share Buybacks This past earnings season we saw US companies announce over $500 billion in share buybacks. Buybacks are every investors friend. When a company buys back shares it reduces their total shares available. When there are less shares available the profits are spread among less investors which increases EPS" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1921696881819738431) 2025-05-11T22:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "4.) Improved Economic Indicators The US added [------] jobs in April and inflation has remained moderate over the year. Many investors feared the trade war would pull the US into a recession but so far the economy has shown resilience" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1921696885070336382) 2025-05-11T22:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$GOOGL has so many avenues of growth. I understand the fears of Google search losing market share from AI but people are still going to use Google search and YouTube (which they own). Also Google has its impressive Google cloud which is competeing with AWS and Azure. Waymo is a leader in the robotaxi space. All these revenue streams for a P/E of [--] seems a bit absurd. Any investor should take a long and hard look at Google" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1922013960716292537) 2025-05-12T19:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$GOOG average FCF growth rate since 2010: 18.27% Average FCF growth rate since 2020: 20.96% The tech giant is getting more efficient at bringing cash to the bottom line. Running a simple reverse DCF with the assumptions below: Terminal Growth rate (expected growth of US GDP overall which is typically between 2-4% growth): 3% Discount rate: 12% (market rate of return is 10% so I moved it up 2% to account for AI risk) FCF Growth rate: 21% (essentially what they have done the past [--] years) Share price comes out to be $243 a share intrinsic value" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1923165486553927952) 2025-05-15T23:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@DividendTalks This is how the market plays retail investors. The news around all these companies was that they were dead and retail investors sold out. This is why it's important to stay invested at all times" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1923395568333697140) 2025-05-16T15:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "What about $WMT Obviously I think $COST is the way to go but Walmart is still growing revenue (although its slowing revenue growth see first picture). FCF has also averaged growth of about 3.28% every year. Walmart obviously has a high employee count and margins are already tough but I can see them becoming more efficient with AI and automation. Either way $COST is has to be the better play if your looking to invest in this industry" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1925299058262122650) 2025-05-21T21:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Pepsi is definitely a safe company to buy and has experienced quite the sell-off. However it isn't a screaming buy at these prices. Over the past [--] years $PEP has grown FCF at an average rate of 4.8%. Doing a simple reverse DCF with assumptions of 2% terminal growth rate (not much growth for them left aka very mature company) 9% discount rate (could argue lower as they are an extremely safe company) and an average FCF growth rate of 5.5% (above their average the past [--] years). With these assumptions it has a fair value of about $100 a share. Now if you lower the discount to 8% and raise FCF" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1927151953877823688) 2025-05-26T23:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$PGR 16.66% (cost basis of 185.70) $V 13.22% (cost basis of 257.48) $GOOG 12.74% (cost basis of 94.07) $PYPL 12.59% (cost basis of 58.31) $AMZN 11.47% (cost basis of 182.06) $ASML 10.79% (cost basis of 764.87) $SPY 8.7% (cost basis of 417.63) $BRKB 7.56% (cost basis of 522.85) $AAPL 5.87% (cost basis of 177.39)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1927156893316689940) 2025-05-27T00:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$ASML is severely undervalued. Applying a terminal growth rate of 4% (due to the high growth AI and chip industry) a hurdle rate of 11% (assuming a bit of risk even tho the company is monopolistic in their area) and assuming a growth rate of 20% (their average FCF growth rate has been 63.5% over the past [--] years). I get a fair value of $1116/share" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1927500266510692491) 2025-05-27T23:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@DividendTalks Not saying $COST is a screaming buy but the market is pricing in 24% FCF growth. The past [--] years they've averaged 25%. I think it's reasonable to assume that they will improve their FCF growth over the next [--] years. This stock could still be undervalued" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1929369352748326971) 2025-06-02T02:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Check out my recent short on ASML Comment below if you would like a full length video on ASML soon. https://youtube.com/shorts/JVFbvIZTems https://youtube.com/shorts/JVFbvIZTems" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1929372330947469373) 2025-06-02T02:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@BourbonCap $ASML has to be the most obvious buy. Clean financials little debt high growth industry monopolistic. I have about $400 upside on them" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1929672910261604503) 2025-06-02T22:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$GOOGL is up 15% in the last month. The market is slowly recognizing that this was oversold. I ran a reverse dcf (using growth assumptions to see the stocks intrinsic value) and I get a future share price of $250/share. And that's conservative. I assigned a hurdle rate of 12% due to the risk of AI and it potentially disrupting business (even though Gemini is proving to become stronger and growing in user base). I also assumed Free Cash Flow growth of 21%. This is lower than the 23% average growth rate google has averaged the past [--] years. Usually companies like Google will expand margins as" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1932939295276368267) 2025-06-11T23:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Any other value investors looking at $LULU at these levels The company has had massive outperformance of the overall market over the past 5-6 years. However its down 35% YTD. They use a good portion of their FCF on share buybacks and have been increasing the buyback amount every year. Sales growth is at a [--] YR CAGR of 21.6% Net income is at a [--] YR CAGR of 22.5% And FCF is at a [--] YR CAGR of 32.6% Im beginning to look at this one $UNH $MSFT $GOOG $AAPL $PLTR $AMZN $TSMC $NVDA $TSLA $MSTR $SPY $VOO $SCHD $AMD $ASML $V $MA $JPM $QQQ $QQQI $JEPI $JEPQ $NIO $F $NFLX $AVGO $PEP $KO $DJI" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1933246419063775657) 2025-06-12T19:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$V is down 4.85% on the stable coin news Total overreaction. People are going to continue to use visa and Mastercard for decades to come. These companies are intertwined in our everyday lives and the economy as a whole. Might be a great opportunity to buy at these levels. $MA $AMZN $WMT $PYPL $AAPL $GOOG $GOOGL $META $MSFT $NVDA $AMD $TSLA $UNH $PEP $PGR $KO $HIMS $NVO $VOO $SCHD $JPM $JEPI $JEPQ $AVGO $ASML $CELH $SPY $SPYI $QQQ $QQQI $SPX $BRKB $BA $LUV $NIO $BABA $RIVN $LULU $CRM $NKE $TSM $COST $DIS" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1933568505804148866) 2025-06-13T16:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Which Big Tech stock has the best financials/fundamentals Let me know why below $MSFT $GOOG $AAPL $META $NVDA $AMD $SNAP $PEP $KO $LULU $PLTR $TSLA $AMZN $JEPI $SCHD $QQQ $SPY $QQQI $SPYI $SPDR $V $PYPL $MA $JNJ $NOVO $LLY $PNC $JPM $BLACK $LMT $TSM $BABA $BRKA $BKR Microsoft Google Nvidia Meta Microsoft Google Nvidia Meta" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1945177691730202753) 2025-07-15T17:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@DividendDude_X Google Waymo is going to be a very interesting bet for Google. Its exciting being invested into a company where revenue is diversified and can come from so many different streams" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1945226053577822709) 2025-07-15T20:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@dividendology There is for sure some over optimism in this market right now. Just buying and holding the big names probably wont be enough to outperform in the long run. However I would not be surprised if the euphoric state lets us continue to climb here in the short term" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1945226567308702131) 2025-07-15T20:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Which remaining earnings report excites you the most this week $NFLX $AXP $TSM $SPY $VOO $NASDAQ Netflix American Express TSM Netflix American Express TSM" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1945454175782912350) 2025-07-16T12:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@dividendology Clear overreaction. $ASML is being beat up for essentially no reason. Nothing has fundamentally changed in the company. Im buying more🤑" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1945478957618343989) 2025-07-16T13:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Trump just announced he does not plan to do anything on Jerome Powell the Fed Chair. The firing of the Fed chair would have major implications both politically and economically. Markets have already been trading significantly lower today based on the uncertainty of what President Trump will do next. Follow for more updates #trump #FederalReserve #StockMarket $VOO $SPY $NVDA $AAPL $QQQ $NFLX $GOOG $HIMS $ASML $AMZN" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1945514363189653729) 2025-07-16T16:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@TacticzH $ASML literally has a toll booth on the AI supply chain. If youre bullish on AI than you should be 10x more bullish on ASML Not to mention their incredible stock buyback program and dividend is extremely attractive" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1954676991623393462) 2025-08-10T22:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Great list. The slam dunk by far is Google. We are in an AI bubble/market. AI is here to stay and businesses will be looking to innovate. Google is by far the best positioned with all their data and overall maturity. Billions of dollars of cash in the balance sheet to pour into their model as well. For a riskier pick but higher reward Lululemon looks attractive. Its getting slammed because of tariff uncertainty but this is a brand that women love. Theyre expanding into mens as well as other niches. The story looks great but whats important is the numbers. They have superior margins over comps" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1954679116143136930) 2025-08-10T22:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Replace $AMZN with $TSLA. Teslas valuation does not justify their growth. A lot of people are banking on robotics and autonomous taxis both categories they arent even the leader in now. Amazon already has [--] million robots working for them and plans to replace delivery drivers with a fleet of robots. Googles Waymo dominates in the autonomous vehicles market and has outshined Tesla in their own market" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1954701711102423319) 2025-08-11T00:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Jonkuestini @KeithKail @BoujeeFinances You mentioned it in the sentence Waymo has been doing this for several years. And with significantly less accidents too. Between Waymo uber and Tesla they are all scaling fast no doubt. Its not going to be a winner take all market. However Tesla is behind at the moment" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1954717840285528200) 2025-08-11T01:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@SargonDinkha1 @BoujeeFinances Absolutely Amazon is highly susceptible to any macroeconomic policy shift. Interest rate cut is going to bolster this stock just like how tariffs made it tumble" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1954718315521216548) 2025-08-11T01:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "For sure I totally agree. Amazon was overvalued in early 2020s and thats why their growth has trailed the market returns. PE isnt the only metric we should look at when valuing Tesla because if Elons vision and promises come true than Tesla absolutely deserves that valuation. However we know Elon has a history of overpromising and it just seems like the valuation is a bit unrealistic given their current state. Im not bearish on Tesla I just like some other companies above it" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1954910003082543350) 2025-08-11T14:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "With the recent news of the AMD/NVIDIA chip deal with China Wells Fargo upgraded their price target to $220. Obviously China is a huge AI opportunity as analysts expect the AI spaces CAGR to be +40% until [----]. This deal is a win for both companies however its important to note that trade to China wont be as profitable as it was before. (Read my comments below)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1954944389631131766) 2025-08-11T16:33Z [--] followers, [----] engagements "Not a shareholder of $HIMS by any means but insiders sell all the time for so many reasons. Sometimes its because they think the company is overvalued but a lot of times its for personal reasons like they need income since most of their salary comes from stocks. Whats most important is to track when insiders are buying. People sell for a lot of reasons they only buy for one to make money" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1955073057883672979) 2025-08-12T01:05Z [---] followers, 10.8K engagements "People who remember 2022-2023 remember what happens if rates go to zero too quickly. Yes lowering the interest rate on loans lowers the cost of borrowing which incentivizes companies to spend and grow. It was necessary in the early 2020s because the economy was shut down from COVID and needed stimulation. However when companies spend more they are pouring billions/trillions of dollars into the economy which increases inflation. When inflation rises quickly it gets out of control. Thats why we saw inflation climb to 9-10%. Sure the short term stock market run up is nice for us shareholders but" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1955391027256205403) 2025-08-12T22:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "If the claim by the DOJ who is bringing up this case is that Google is monopolistic with Google chrome then the recent AI developments have weakened their case. Chat GPT Grok and the AI software Meta is developing are all huge competitors to Google. Now Gemini looks strong and Google search is still gaining searches despite AI but the onset of AI and how rapidly Chat GPT gained users and searches makes me believe that the punishment will be very light" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1955455943795171637) 2025-08-13T02:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$LULU has the best margins out of all their comps. Towers above American Eagle and Nike. The only reason they are able to keep this up is because people still view it as a premium brand and will pay more for it. As soon as a China trade deal gets announced and uncertainty is lifted Lululemon is gonna fly" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1955456574853468662) 2025-08-13T02:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Check out my recent video on Tik Tok and YouTube Shorts that explains the opportunities in the tobacco market And how tobacco has performed just as well as the AI segment Tik Tok:investwithj25 #TikTok https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8ko8SS8/ https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8ko8SS8/" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1955780028215779763) 2025-08-13T23:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "It likely is. Not even factoring in the potential growth from Gemini and Waymo (both are highest quality in their categories) -Overall revenue rose 14% -Net Income up 19% -EPS rose 22% -Google cloud up 32% -Google services (includes search/youtube/ads/subscriptions) up 12% Idk about you guys but this does not look like a dead company" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1955803188809883896) 2025-08-14T01:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$AMZN and $GOOGL Hes going all in on big tech. Both monopolistic businesses that were oversold this year. Might not be the flashiest stock picks but its embedded in value. If youre trying to beat the market it is almost impossible to do it without the MAG [--]. These stocks rise the most when the market runs up. Dont make it harder than it has to be. invest in quality" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1956167153343668566) 2025-08-15T01:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "🏬🏬Big news: Amazon is doubling down on grocery now offering same-day delivery of fresh goods in [----] U.S. cities by year-end. Prime members get free delivery on orders over $25. 📉Rival grocery stocks are tumbling: Instacart down 11% DoorDash down 4% Uber slipping 1% Kroger off 45% Walmart down 22.5% Honestly I get why people hate $AMZN as a company. They want their hands into every segment of the market and are willing to operate at razor thin margins or even a LOSS to gain market share and revenue. But as an investment you have to love Amazon. A mature company that spends like a start-up." [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1956328451067015239) 2025-08-15T12:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "For any $GOOGL investors who are scared that they will have to sell its looking very unlikely. First off the argument that Google is monopolistic in that space has just gotten so much weaker as the onset of AI has come about. Google has more competition than ever before. Second off multiple third party legal researchers have expressed that they dont believe there is enough substance to force Google to sell Chrome" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1956351990809944464) 2025-08-15T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "For any $GOOGL investors who are scared that they will have to sell its looking very unlikely. First off the argument that Google is monopolistic in that space has just gotten so much weaker as the onset of AI has come about. Google has more competition than ever before. Second off multiple third party legal researchers have expressed that they dont believe there is enough substance to force Google to sell Chrome" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1956352246435737927) 2025-08-15T13:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "🏠 The housing market isnt hot its broken Median U.S. home price: $420K 📈 Up 120% in [--] years while wages grew 25% 💸 Average mortgage rate: 67% (double from 2021) Renting Thats up 30% in just [--] years 📊 Were not in a boom. Were in a housing crisis. #HousingCrisis #RealEstate #Economy" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1956363040409936184) 2025-08-15T14:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "📊 Beating the market sounds easy until you try. 👥90%+ of professional fund managers underperform the S&P [---] over [--] years. 📈Even Warren Buffett says most investors should just buy an index fund. 🔥The market doesnt care about your hot tip. Beating the market is about establishing a process. Evaluating every stock with no biases and purely looking at the financials. Thats how I beat the market with my portfolio over the past [--] years. Click the follow button as I will begin to share how I have achieved market beating returns. #Investing #StockMarket #Finance" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1956449239883518324) 2025-08-15T20:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "🤑 Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway is pulling in a cool $300 million/year from Apple dividends alonethats roughly $821K per day. And thats just passive income from one stock. Imagine the full portfolio. #Buffett #Dividends #Apple #Investing" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1956741474747310142) 2025-08-16T15:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "✈ Say find me a ski trip next February with nonstop flights and buckle up. $GOOGL is now getting into the travel business and is leveraging AI to do so. This company simply wont stop innovating and is still trading as the cheapest Big tech company Why this matters: -No more endless fiddling with dates airports or price grids. Just ask. -Its rolling out in the U.S. Canada and India and yes you dont need to opt-in. -Plus: Google Flights now lets you filter out basic economy fares altogether so you dont get stuck with those bagless seatless surprises" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1957442924301476246) 2025-08-18T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "AI stocks have added $2T+ in market cap this year NVIDIA trades at 70x earnings and Palantir trades at 20x sales. Incredible tech no doubt but valuations are stretched thin. 📈💭 AI will be part of our future in a similar way where we knew the internet would be part of our future. However just like the dot com bubble it is completely possible that people could be overpaying for a good thing. Follow for more financial + investing insights. #AI #StockMarket #Investing" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1957479391648493582) 2025-08-18T16:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "For anyone saying the wage increases are a bad thing does not understand what $SBUX is trying to do. How do you improve your companies quality Paying higher wages. When you pay higher wages your employees do better work and stay longer which reduces turnover. All Starbucks is trying to do is improve the customer experience which has been this CEOs specialty" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1957537133792506168) 2025-08-18T20:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Unfortunately their debt is $44 billion. They need a massive turnaround to get their balance sheet put together. Luckily we are in the beginning of the AI race. Intel has time and maybe more importantly the United States behind them. Lip-bu Tan their new CEO definitely has the potential to flip this company around but its gonna be tough" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1957621288542798098) 2025-08-19T01:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Want to retire comfortably Start investing 1520% of income early. Future you will thank you. 🙌 A $10k investment in the S&P [---] in [----] would be worth $209k+ today. Compounding is the 8th wonder of the world" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1957927924050354655) 2025-08-19T22:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@StockSavvyShay $TSM just seems like a higher quality chip and company than Samsung at this juncture. And if $GOOGL wants to eat into that Apple ecosystem then they need top of the line chips. Smart strategic move for Google" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958345730524885420) 2025-08-21T01:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@DividendDude_X Not sure if we can look at this as bearish. $META tends to spend and see margin compression (we saw this with the metaverse in 2022) and they slowly roll it back. Its just about improving financials and maintaining margins" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958347424189042736) 2025-08-21T01:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Totally expensive but I agree. I feel like Palantir has the same hype and fanboys that Tesla had when it was in its hyper growth stage in 2020-2021. Sometimes all you can do is let Father Time set in and let the market slowly realize the fundamentals dont match the fantastic story Palantir has" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958683199518740984) 2025-08-22T00:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Icy_911 @joecarlsonshow Its not necessarily about competition its just overvaluation. There is absolutely nothing wrong with Palantir as a company its just trading extremely high. Or do you think the valuation is justified" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958703133334327327) 2025-08-22T01:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "So lets take a step back to our economics [---] class. Tariffs (which are known to be INFLATIONARY) plus cutting rates (incentivizes spending which increases INFLATION) in an environment where we are struggling to reduce sticky INFLATION. Being cautious is the correct move here. Markets wont like it but the Fed doesnt/shouldnt care about the markets" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958731729876791677) 2025-08-22T03:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Exactly. The markets and President Trump want that cheap superficial boost to the economy. The fact is that we are struggling with inflation from the last 3-4 years still unemployment is ticking up wages remain basically unchanged and a housing/rent market that is unaffordable. It would be a poor decision to do a rate cut and open that door for inflation to tick up again" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958866358877249589) 2025-08-22T12:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "So there is obviously a case that the market is overvalued but does it mean the market is actually going to go down AI is the next frontier and is no doubt the future. Nations like China and the United States war over who controls what chips. The strongest companies in the world like the MAG [--] Nvidia TSM AMD and more are all leading the charge" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958915220346155239) 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "However even these companies are starting to pull back. Meta is reducing their AI spend after pouring billions into building an all star team. Nvidia is halting production of their chips to China. Now that doesnt necessarily mean that the AI race is dead. These companies like Meta are protecting margins. However a pull back is certainly not a bullish sign" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958915236549075128) 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The great thing about $GOOGL is that they are such a large company and many investors dont know just how much they offer. We know about their complete dominance in search and the internet with Google Search and YouTube. We now see YouTube TV becoming a top streaming platform. Gemini has emerged as the best AI platform and has the biggest internet giant at its back. Poised to integrate it with the Google ecosystem Google cloud is scaling fast trying to catch up with Amazon. They secured a huge $10billion deal with Meta. And finally after all that you get Waymo that is just a sliver of their" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958916904858656911) 2025-08-22T15:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@charliebilello Inflation has been persistent since [----] and now we are opening the door back up to rate cuts which incentivize spending and causes inflation. I just dont see the logic here. Fed must know something" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958920155180015901) 2025-08-22T15:52Z [---] followers, 14.2K engagements "Ya know outside of $NVDA it looks like a quiet earnings week. Sure you have Crowdstrike and Dicks but none of those guys are gonna move the market. The market will rise up significantly or fall significantly based on Nvidias earnings. And with the hype and optimism we are at anything bad or bearish in their report could lead to a sell off" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1959090891911533007) 2025-08-23T03:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "All fair points and obviously there is a balance to it right The Fed raised rates to extremely high levels to combat inflation in [----] and obviously those werent sustainable. So the Fed has been cutting those rates which has spurred growth helped tremendously with the AI race and most importantly lowered sky high inflation caused by zero interest rates in 2019-2021. Small businesses and AI are obviously on the forefront of everyones mind as we have this debate. Yes lower interest rates makes the cost of debt extremely lower and incentivizes growth but its a balancing act. Think of a small" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1959243374889762866) 2025-08-23T13:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "HIMS absolutely has the capacity to become the leading GLP-1 manufacturer in America. The problem is whether competition from Eli Lily and Novo Nordisk are going to stomp them out. Fundamentally the company looks good. Its just very early in the race and HIMS has a lot of ground to catch up" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960377359506210841) 2025-08-26T16:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "This all depends on how $GOOGL builds it out. If somehow Google builds out a version that is more addicting and fun to use than $DUOL than it could be problematic for Duo. But I still think most people will default to duo. Its still a good platform. All depends on marketing and customer loyalty I suppose" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960384217038069760) 2025-08-26T16:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Not necessarily. It happens in both. People hear the noise about the AI bubble and will hop out at the first sign of weakness. Not AI but look at another hype market like the GLP-1. Eli Lily an established and dominant player in that market reported a small disappointment in their phase [--] oral medication. And the stock dumped 16% I understand we are in a hype market and I hope Nvidia booms bc it is a tremendous company. Im just saying there are investors who are ready to dump" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960461547240661312) 2025-08-26T21:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LetsGoB10647498 @TradingThomas3 They dont outright say it but their numbers can say demand is weakening. The revenue growth in certain products could be decreasing" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960484860570820946) 2025-08-26T23:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Guys at the end of the day it is just a quarterly earnings report. Dont let the hype or speculation dictate your stock decisions. Know the situation: - We are at ATH - AI is racing up (is it overvalued at this juncture) - Nvidia has had a nice run up and is the clear leader in the AI market Research and due diligence should have been done already. Whether we go up or down you should have your mind made up on Nvidia the AI market and the macroeconomic picture. Trust your gut and your research" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1960524497523486730) 2025-08-27T02:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$HIMS stock has fallen -22.5% in THE PAST MONTH Many investors are wondering if this is an opportunity of a lifetime to buy or to sell.📈📉 I break down my analysis below(a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960743689531129953) 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "To begin analysis on $HIMS you have to understand what has made the company so popular the past few years. The equivalent of the AI market for pharmaceuticals is the GLP-1 medicine. Major players like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk have offered the name brands like Ozempic and Mounjaro. But $HIMS has been able to undercut the giants with a lower priced off brand version and has seen tremendous success" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960743700964823269) 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "How $HIMS has been able to do this is by focusing on the US market They also operate fully online which reduces costs for property which in turn should produce better margins. Online personalized teams help $HIMS with the ability to reach consumers from anywhere and so far consumers have loved it" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960743712646160862) 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$HIMS has enjoyed a nice series of wins🥇 - Turned profitable in [----] posting a Net income of $126 million (-$23.5m in 2023) - Bull market has favored growth stocks like $HIMS - Their GLP-1 medication has a 75% customer retention rate - Revenue has grown 73% YoY and subscribers have grown 31% YoY" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960743717813342516) 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "So why has the stock been struggling In Q2 of [----] they posted their first revenue decline. They reported revenue of $544 million (down from $586 million). Novo Nordisk also has accused $HIMS of selling knock off versions of their drugs (Ozempic and Wegovy) and currently have a lawsuit ongoing with $HIMS. Not to mention the GLP-1 space has gotten crowded with a lot of competitors and its been a difficult market to compete in" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1960743720908738715) 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@joecarlsonshow Youre in reaaaaaaal bad shape if you have to use Palantir. [---] P/sales over [---] P/E. Was $TSLA in 2020-2021 even this overvalued Great stories can become bad investments at the wrong price. I fear a lot of ppl are missing that point right now" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1961102511168762171) 2025-08-28T16:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@dividendology Both businesses are monopolistic recurring revenue businesses. You cant go wrong with either. Id say from the looks here maybe slightly in favor of $MA but both are dominant. These are the types of companies as an investor you want to look for" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961479045675090241) 2025-08-29T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "There are certain companies too big to fail. And then theres even bigger companies too big to not grow. Thats $JPM. When you think banks thats the first company that comes to mind. They are diversified and have performed time and time again. Investors that hold $JPM know there is little risk and a whole lot of reward" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961480584389160966) 2025-08-29T17:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@ADrunkenMarcus @dividendology Exactly. Cant go wrong with either tho" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961544440972992543) 2025-08-29T21:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$NVO is down -57% in the last year The giant that owns Ozempic and Wegovy faces competition and pressure in a growing GLP-1 market Is this an opportunity to scoop up shares at a discount or should you stay away (A thread📖)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545152515727521) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "As mentioned above this stock has had a long and hard fall from its all time highs. - Eli Lilly and HIMS have taken market share - Change at CEO which causes uncertainty - Previous high valuation and perhaps a return to normalcy Novo was trading in the [--] P/E range which is debatably pricey. The market average is a [--] P/E. Since those highs Novo now trades at that [--] level but is that too cheap for a company with tremendous growth potential" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545178868539564) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The absolute success of Ozempic and Wegovy cant be ignored: - Market leader in the GLP-1 space - Accounts for significant portion of their revenue - Revenue at a [--] year average CAGR of 23% It is worth noting that revenue growth in this recent quarter slowed down from 26% growth to 16%. This caused Novo to reduce their guidance expectations" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545187735310355) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Diving into the revenue charts (pictured below) its a consistent climber. Exactly what you hope to see with your investments. Revenue growth has accelerated (34% in [----] and 24% in 2024). You can see that they are heavily entrenched in the American market and their second largest is the European market. These two regions are the largest battlegrounds for the GLP-1 medications" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545198615531808) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Next we look at their margins. Novo consistently posts strong margin results. They have gross margins of 84%. Revenue is growing faster than COGS so expect this to maintain. Operating margins are still above competitors despite them ramping up R&D costs. And the net margin is just shy of 40% which is very strong. Overall Novo is proving they are a very efficient company" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545209516626035) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Now interestingly despite revenue growth and margin improvement/maintaining free cash flow has dipped in the past year. This follows years and years of consistent growth. This is due to the purchase and one time expense of [--] Catalent sites worth $11.7 billion. These sites are necessary as there was a bottle neck in the final step in the drug manufacturing process (fill finish capacity)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545219570032802) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Finally we look at their share buybacks and debt management. With $HIMS we saw share dilution as they are a younger company and are trying to secure funding. Novo is much different as they are slowly and consistently buying back shares. Nothing too crazy but they should buy back more shares since their stock seems to be undervalued. They also have about $12 billion in debt. Debt has increased slightly as Novo has been expanding and trying to take hold of the GLP-1 market. However if we look at their FCF last year we see they brought in $10.7 billion which would imply it would take a little" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545228537512163) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "So my final verdict is that this stock looks undervalued. Its the major player in the GLP-1 race and I think it carries less risk than $HIMS. $HIMS is higher risk but has higher reward. Novo Nordisk Carries its fair share of risk no doubt but looks very beaten up and could see good returns" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545233046573418) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@DividendDude_X I mean whats realistically going to happen from this Are all the tariffs going to get pulled back If thats the case then the market should shoot up. Now for our debt crisis it could send us back to square one" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961552252792951031) 2025-08-29T22:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Totally agree. A rate cut right now is logically not needed and the FED knows that. The only reason they would be cutting is if they see something breaking or already broken. I dont think a rate cut in September is the most bullish thing but the market will interpret it that way" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961553019818107107) 2025-08-29T22:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GOOG: anti trust case is looking to be a slap on the wrist. Gets rid of a major overhang on the stock $NOVO: Still the major player in the GLP-1 case and trades at only a [--] P/E $LULU: Getting unnecessarily punished for tariffs. Premium brand trading at [--] P/E. Great fundamentals as well" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961555638498042147) 2025-08-29T22:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "If you are a long term/value driven investor than $ASML should be on your radar. The company continues to innovate and expand their moat. The product is one of a kind (clearly as whole countries like CHINA even lag them) and when you dive into this companys fundamentals they continue to improve. Consistent shareholder return and necessary in the AI supply chain" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1962531998607548925) 2025-09-01T15:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Investing in companies with powerful pricing leverage is often associated with high quality monopolistic type companies. $TSM fits that bill. One of the best countries in the world that is leaps and bounds ahead of their competitors. As the AI race continues on $TSM will be at the center of it. AI is here to stay no doubt but the AI market will be unpredictable. Stock prices may crash or pull back or continue to rise for years and years. We dont know. However buying quality businesses like $TSM should be a lesson every investor learns" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1962535654295748775) 2025-09-01T15:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Furthermore when you factor in $GOOGL getting into the space its going to be hard for $DUOL to be the dominant player. Im not doubting $DUOL fundamentals look great. However you always have to be cautious investing in companies that dont have that obvious moat. Google or any player can incorporate AI and make an addicting app. Duolingo has it now but it will be interesting to see if they can retain/grow it as AI continues to grow" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1962616993401434295) 2025-09-01T20:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Its September (historically the worst month in the market). A lot of volatility and uncertainty around geopolitics and tariffs. For the most part the only news that will come out is bad news. The next month or so will be a good time to find some stocks trading at great opportunities. Market may be overvalued in general but there are certainly still some uundervalued stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1962925632951857428) 2025-09-02T17:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$TSLA is lagging behind in the robo taxi race. This has been baked into their price for years and now companies like Waymo and $UBER are taking market share. Elon throws out these promises and continues to move onto the next thing without caring about the business potential in the present" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1963663279017910771) 2025-09-04T17:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It should still be the MAG [--]. Just take out Tesla. Tesla does not boast the fundamentals nor posses the moat these tech giants have. I have nothing against Tesla but when you dive into the numbers and financials you can see that their quality is nowhere near that of Microsoft Google Nvidia or Amazon" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1963981777824858556) 2025-09-05T15:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@DividendDude_X I would love for Google to ride this out until the end of the year. Flawless balance sheet and the company continues to improve. Gemini is looking like the best AI tool and Google cloud is securing tens of billions dollar deals. This stock is on a heater" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1963982549530665446) 2025-09-05T15:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Look at the sentiment on this stock. You can read it in the comments. Everyone thinks $LULU is dead. Its not just LULU its Nike and before American Eagles earnings report it was them too. Do people really think that apparel like Nike and Lulu are going to fade Or are they just becoming negative because the share price is down American eagle was this way too. Look at their one year chart attached. People were negative on this company all the way down and then it spiked and now ppl love the stock. The market is so emotionally driven dont let it fool you" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1963990461393039409) 2025-09-05T15:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@TheLongInvest As overvalued as I think it is all of AI is pulling back today. The overall market is pulling back today. This is just not unique to Palantir. Although Palantir has been due for a pull back for awhile now" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1963990937966723539) 2025-09-05T15:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@johnny_raku @patientinvestt This just isnt a true statement. Girls love Lululemon clothes. I will say fashion/apparel is the weakest moat you can have for a business because there is so much substitution but in the space lululemon definitely has one of the best" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1964324201793253701) 2025-09-06T13:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@OrangeCryptoTec @StockMKTNewz @VisualCap I agree with the dividend part. Instead of tech companies paying out these low yielded dividends they should reinvest it. But how much can companies like JP Morgan Citi and Goldman Sachs really spend on innovation and R&D theyre banks" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1964338213163540547) 2025-09-06T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Im sure the large banks have what they believe is proper allocation in those assets. Also the ones you listed are all highly speculative risky investments. Idk if I would want Morgan Stanley to dump $30b in $SOL and $TSLA. If I was an investor Id get far better returns even if these assets appreciated with a strong share buyback. Especially at the 15% buyback rate they are doing it at" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1964355213059318107) 2025-09-06T15:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$ASML has just traded flat mostly in the past few months. Its been an easy one to keep building because the fundamentals just keep improving with the valuation staying the same. Im surprised the market hasnt caught on yet though. You would think with a company that clearly has a monopoly in a space as high growth/hyped up as AI that this thing would get some love" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1964356150461190602) 2025-09-06T15:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$LULU at 12-13x earnings is the market saying that this company is going to shrink. Now is there a possibility of that occurring Of course. Is it likely Probably not. Lululemon is coming down to normal revenue growth. They were clipping 20-30% revenue growth during the pandemic and thats just not sustainable. A return to normalcy was inevitable. Women still love the brand and are willing to pay a premium for it. Thats how this company has achieved such high margins over competitors like Nike and American Eagle. This is an overhyped and unwarranted reaction from the market" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1964358621266936303) 2025-09-06T16:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Google remains at full strength. They continue to be a workhorse in all things internet. This helps them in the AI space as they already have built the ecosystem and have the data to optimize. Furthermore Google has multiple revenue stream options like Waymo and a rapidly growing cloud business. Google is poised to continue running" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965049234949824760) 2025-09-08T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The fundamentals on Duolingo are hard to argue with. They are a consistent grower and a dominant player in the language learning space. People are always going to want to learn a language just to say they can. Sure risks always come with an investment and any company can be dethroned given the right series of events" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965054881930023386) 2025-09-08T14:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The sentiment in this comment section around Lulu truly shows you how the emotions of the market work. When the stock tumbles the sentiment falls. It doesnt go the other way around. Lulu may fall more in the short term but this company is not going to die like everyone suspects" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965131647507968440) 2025-09-08T19:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@dividendology No Google is interesting. You would think with the ecosystem theyve built and the multiple streams of revenue they have flowing in" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965442027191239075) 2025-09-09T15:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$LULU is the worst performing stock in the S&P [---] this year as it is down 56% Investors are split: is this company dead or is this a chance to buy a premium company at an EXTREME discount Below is my analysis (a thread🧵)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470300331803062) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "When I first do analysis on a company I like to give myself a brief history lesson. The historic chart tells a story of an apparel brand that built a great business model: Comfy athletic clothes+High Quality= Premium Prices Lululemon was the darling stock of the early 2020s and had produced market bearing returns until recently" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470310557503955) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "However as the stock price soared valuations were climbing to 50+ PE ratios. Lululemon fit the bill of a hype stock that was popular during and immediately after COVID in the everything bubble. Since then the stock fell and returned to normalcy. However demand is wavering and investors have sold out of the apparel brand in fears that the company is dead" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470320707424386) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "North American demand has been the primary focus. Lululemon reported -.5% revenue growth in NA in Q2 of [----]. 75% of Lululemons revenue comes from the NA segment. Investors have every right to be concerned about this slow down. Lululemon has also only opened [--] new stores domestically since [----] vs almost [---] new stores internationally. There has been a clear focus shift from homegrown growth to international expansion" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470330094236071) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "One of the main culprits for this domestic slow down in growth was increased competition. Lululemon is a premium athleisure brand and has dominated that market for the past [--] years. However Alo has seemed to replicate Lululemons exact model and become Lulus single biggest competitor. Nike/Under Armor offers cheaper options which has stolen the price sensitive customers. Costco has also being sued by Lulu for selling rip off brands for cheaper" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470333277802892) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Finally tariff uncertainty has been a huge overhanging drag on the stock. With much of the manufacturing happening in Asia and many of the sales now going over seas Lululemon is highly susceptible to the tariff drama" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470341440176282) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Diving into the fundamentals: When we look at year over year revenue growth overall for Lululemon it looks clean. Lululemon is not going to grow revenue at 30-40% growth like it did in 2022-2023. And thats fine. A return to normalcy was destined and shouldnt be seen as a negative. Tracking demand and seeing if the company has a loyal base is more important" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470349719724337) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Lululemon is dominant when it has come to margins. They lead all their competitors in each major margin due to the ability of them to price their products at a premium. Lululemon has the same fixed costs and processes Nike and American Eagle has. Their key is that customers have always been willing to pay more. The concern now is whether that customer mentality is gone and will Lulu have to cut prices What Lululemon has to do is begin innovating again. The management team has gotten complacent and hasnt released any innovative products that have demanded a premium in price. If Lulu can get" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965470358787522710) 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@dividendology True monopoly with great fundamentals. They have everything you want to see in a company. - Recurring revenue - Little to know competition - High margins - Necessity in their field The road to AI runs through $ASML. If youre bullish on AI you have to be bullish on ASML" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965471028110635369) 2025-09-09T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I mean Google cloud is an impressive business. The fact that its only a portion of Google is insane. When you divide out Google into its segments you get a company like this: - Largest search engine in the world (oh but what about AI disruption) - The best AI model so far in Gemini integrated with the whole Google ecosystem - Cloud which is rapidly growing - YouTube which is the second biggest search engine and is completely self sustaining - YouTube Tv and streaming is grabbing nfl games and live events which competes with top streamers like Netflix - Waymo which is leading the robotaxi" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965532642377642176) 2025-09-09T21:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@truthdotphd $Lulu analysis pinned on my page" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965533179659657590) 2025-09-09T21:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheLongInvest $Lulu analysis pinned on my page" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1965534056613118050) 2025-09-09T21:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$HIMS has quite the winning streak going. I did analysis on this one a couple weeks ago and loved the initial fundamentals. - High growth - Quick turn to profitability - Early dominance in a growing market All good signs. My only thought with this company is the medium term (next 4ish years). Hims will be extremely volatile and like most smaller companies will be susceptible to market volatility. If the market goes down this will fall farther. Id be patient and try to buy this for a deep discount as there is still so many unknowns and a very competitive environment ( Eli Lilly and Novo being" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965780353269789002) 2025-09-10T14:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@joecarlsonshow I didnt say they didnt have a moat. They are a high quality business. Their competitive advantage just isnt comparable to Amazon or Google. The Mag [--] moats are clearly more entrenched than Duolingos. Thats all not bashing the company/investment" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1966201742196093057) 2025-09-11T18:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "You just cant help but laugh at all the individuals who said this company was dead in the spring. They thought AI would kill it but real investors knew Google would dominate AI. Cloud is growing hand over fist and YouTube is landing prime time events. They have partnerships with other Mag [--] companies that are unlikely to break off. Google is one of the most structurally sound stocks in the market" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1966232593927397702) 2025-09-11T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Banks have to be cautious. Its how they run their business so effectively. Long term investors know to tune out the bank sentiment. With that said valuations have ran up and thats a reason for concern. Still plenty of good opportunities in the market as plenty of high quality stocks have had recent sell offs" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1966233120832643094) 2025-09-11T20:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The name of the game is to buy the beaten down companies. BUT NOT EVERY BEATEN DOWN COMPANY Find the great companies that are being unfairly sold. If you buy every stock that sounds like it has a great story and has sold off then you will buy lots of value traps. Value traps are usually companies coming off extraordinary highs that have been sold off. These companies have good stories but there is no real moat or competitive advantage. Google was not that. Companies like Google were [--]. Unfairly sold [--]. Have a great ecosystem [--]. An impenetrable moat [--]. A clear growth path" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1966238567887208861) 2025-09-11T20:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The interest rate cuts could be looked at either way honestly. We have some sho view it as bullish because ofc lower rates spurs spending and growth. Then we have others who see clear weakness in the economy and can see this bull run wont go on forever. We wont know until the rate cuts happen" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1966254673179951611) 2025-09-11T21:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@jiepo12 @HolySmokas Define top [--] Do you mean Mag [--] or just which stocks have ran up in general" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1966282854528061527) 2025-09-11T23:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "SaaS isnt going anywhere. AI is forcing them to innovate but in the long run AI should help these companies. The hold that $CRM and $ADBE have in the market is very large and especially with CRM so many corporations use their software and make it very difficult to transition. Both of these companies seem like theyre at a discount" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1966286506181419214) 2025-09-11T23:43Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$DUOL is dominant in THEIR niche market. However there is a clear difference in quality between $DUOL and $GOOG or $AMZN. $DUOL is a high growth company and there is no denying that. But yes I think the companies above it on that list outside of maybe Netflix (and I still think they do) have stronger moats than Duo" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1966499725521121286) 2025-09-12T13:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "ASML is a dominant player in the market. They are needed for the progression of AI. For how cheap their valuation is currently this would seem like a great time to load up. They have an incredible fortress an intellectual moat which is the hardest to compete with and continue to innovate. The best part: this isnt just hype. There is fundamentals to back this company up and its a rare AI player that isnt reading for sky high valuations" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1966505889168248936) 2025-09-12T14:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$ASML is the monopolistic machine. Simply no one can compete with their technology and they are a must needed component of any innovative AI company. If you believe in the future of AI then you believe in the future of ASML. The risk is that the AI bubble pops and ASMLs gets less business or is unfairly sold off. $ADBE also looks great. Very cheap compared to its ATH (although very overvalued when it was at those levels). - 90% of its revenue is from recurring subscriptions - Business/professionals first choice - Implementation of AI has gone extremely well as they generate hundreds of" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1967713073247998391) 2025-09-15T22:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$LLY is focusing on efficiency and pushing drugs out at scale. The stock has had a tumble this year as it is down 17% in the last year. This is mostly due to the GLP-1 competition and regulatory challenges associated with it but a 17% discount seems like a deal for a company like $LLY. However it still trades at a [--] PE and a [--] fwd PE so perhaps this trade down has been warranted as the company seemed a bit overpriced" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1967976838367494632) 2025-09-16T15:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Unfortunately with all the job data coming out cooler it seems like a rate cut is going to happen. The Fed sees something is broke and is going to go forward with it despite: -markets at all time highs -sticky inflation still persistent -speculative investments ramping up to all time highs" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1968328376558452975) 2025-09-17T14:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Intel has been one of the biggest winners from this bull market without a question. Lip Bu Tang their CEO has had massive success in securing new deals and providing a focus on efficiency to this company. Keep in mind that Intel holds about $40B in debt has seen revenue slow down and has to play catch-up in this AI race. I personally think that investors are pricing in perfection for Intel right now which just simply isnt going to happen. Intel may very well be a long term winner but a major drawdown in the short run could lead to a massive sell off in this company. Be cautious as this run up" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1971220065954521222) 2025-09-25T14:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The major players in this space have already been preparing for this. $NFLX established a studio in NJ just for this. Trump mentioned that this would be a possibility and companies like Netflix Disney and Paramount adjusted. Costs on producing the movies may rise but theses companies have incredible margins and can withstand the short term impacts while they plan accordingly" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1972662556687847814) 2025-09-29T13:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Identifying early explosive stocks is not easy and investors know that. Look at every major market run up and the stocks that got pumped. A lot of the hype stocks like $NIO or $CLSK or the SPACs of [----] have fallen in half. Valuation was too high due to people being over optimistic. Even higher quality stocks like $PLTR and $TSLA took massive beatings before they ran back up. But these companies had improving fundamentals and growing margins. Every hype stock has a great story its identifying who has the improving fundamentals that is the key" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1973829031662420310) 2025-10-02T19:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Two of the highest quality MAG [--] companies being a buy right now is still baffling. The market has not given Amazon its flowers yet. Innovation has always been Amazons strong point but profitability has been the laggard for years. Now the profits are rising while the innovation and partnerships are snowballing. Its time the market gave $AMZN its time in the spot light" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1973876880915706200) 2025-10-02T22:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The big names of AI will probably be great investments for the future. The Nvidias AMDs Big tech scalers and Palantir will probably be the names that stick. But there are a lot of garbage stocks receiving hype right now. Bezos illustrates it perfectly. In the short term all these small companies will be bid up but the long term will reveal whos a real player and whos not. The internet bubble showed that. Most of those companies went to zero or havent even touched their all time highs from back then. The winners like Microsoft Amazon and Google became tremendous investments. But its not about" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1974172830062231862) 2025-10-03T18:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$SPB Spectrum Brands reported Q1 earnings and stock is down 2% in early trading. Revenue: $675.7 million vs analyst estimates of $691.1 million (6% year-on-year decline 2.2% miss) EPS: $0.68 vs analyst expectations of $1.38 (50.7% miss) Free Cash Flow was $13.9 million up from -$9 million in the same quarter last year Adjusted EBITDA: $71.3 million vs analyst estimates of $86.47 million (10.6% margin 17.5% miss) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920441004911476817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920441004911476817" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1920441004911476817) 2025-05-08T11:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Have we reached a top in the AI market Investors are divided on whether the market has reached a top or if we are just starting a new bull market Below is my analysis on where exactly we are at in this market (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958915158371152243) 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Market sentiment has been trending down from euphoria to greed and now to a neutral stance. The Buffett Indicator (which has long been used by investors to gauge whether the market is fairly priced or not) currently sits at STRONGLY overvalued. All the Buffett indicator reads is the total value of the US stock market ($65.4T) divided by the US GDP ($30.5T). This means the Buffett indicator currently sits at 217%" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1958915179116470545) 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "But its a legit worry. For a company as small as $HIMS a lawsuit to their GLP-1 meds would be quite the blow. They just turned to profitability and have great growth and fundamentals but a major lawsuit could flip all of that in a hurry. Analysis of HIMS is pinned on my account. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1961079000564150544 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1961079000564150544" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961079000564150544) 2025-08-28T14:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "When we look at $NVO stock run over the past [--] years it has largely outperformed the general market. Its breakthrough drugs of Ozempic and Wegovy caught the market by storm and investors loved it. But the past year has been rough as competition has increased and investors are worried that Novo Nordisk will begin losing a large amount of market share" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545161697104222) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Now in my last post we looked at $HIMS and how they were a strong start-up trying to undertake more established companies like $NOVO. As we can see Novo Nordisk has been around for more than a century and has accumulated a market cap of $253 billion (much larger and more established than HIMS) HIMS is concentrated solely in the US while Novo (pictured below) has geographic revenue diversification. They primarily do business in the US and Europe as those are the largest markets for the GLP-1 drugs" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961545170366705742) 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@cleverhandeln @nataninvesting Analysis of $NOVO pinned on my account" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961546147928903858) 2025-08-29T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@LKPreserve Analysis of $NOVO pinned in my account" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961546576129573117) 2025-08-29T21:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Robert46989257 $NOVO analysis on my account" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1961546828077228089) 2025-08-29T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "High quality moat like companies. Duolingo is the biggest risk of all them obviously. The risk/reward position is there for it. The rest of the companies are dominant in their areas. Dont make investing harder than it has to be. Buy high quality companies at discounts and you will perform very well" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1966192538047627321) 2025-09-11T17:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "With all the revenue avenues that Amazon is involved in it seems like they are going to get there. The legacy business of Amazon/ Prime is always going to give Amazon that foundational base. Consumers are loyal and the process has just been getting more efficient. The cloud business with AWS is equally as impressive and has been an established leader in the cloud market. Sure increased competition from Microsoft and Google is a factor but this market has so much potential and it wont be a winner take all. Finally when you look into future revenue drivers with Amazon you can see they are" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1971225663089610859) 2025-09-25T14:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@JeremyJaco32807 Yes its even cheaper now. The bad sentiment on this stock will blow over and this stock will rise again. Its a great company trading at an extremely cheap valuation. They are pricing in contraction at this point" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1979984990117966226) 2025-10-19T18:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Gold is often an overlooked investment. Over the past decade it has posted dismal returns (if any). But as uncertainty over the macro economic landscape grows so does the price of gold However in the past year gold is up a whopping 50%📈 This is an analysis of an alternative investment that may be worthy of a look👀 $GLD $SPY $AMZN $PYPL $TSLA $GOOG $MSFT $AAPL $NFLX $QQQ" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983186728086028750) 2025-10-28T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Many investment portfolios look for diversification away from stocks. Investors look for an asset class that provides uncorrelated returns compared to the stock market. For the longest time bonds have been the steady alternative. Bonds would perform better in bear markets and provided a safety net while still outpacing inflation. Here are the current yields for the US treasury bonds which have been a popular alternative for years: - [--] year US Treasury bonds: 3.94% - [--] year US Treasury Bonds: 4.54%" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983186735203864817) 2025-10-28T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "On paper it looks like these bonds are continuing to outpace inflation. CPI the main inflation gauge was at 2.9% in August. Far below the treasury bond yields. But what if the CPI figure from the Fed wasnt the TRUE VALUE of inflation See CPI is an estimate. It doesnt measure the true value of inflation. This is straight from the mouth of the NY Federal Reserve. Instead CPI measures the cost in the standard of living. But for who For what products This figure can (and has been) easily manipulated" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983186742086643870) 2025-10-28T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Economists estimate the true rate of inflation is double the rate of CPI So now that August figure now looks closer to 5.8% 🫠 Our wallets have felt it. This hasnt felt like a normal 2-3% inflation growth period. Smart money and investors are starting to realize that parking your money in a US treasury for 10-30 years isnt generating income but rather depleting it" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983186745131741313) 2025-10-28T14:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "However everyone likes to compare today to the [----] crash. Stocks fell about 43%. Gold returned 15% in that same time frame. If you are cautious about the market and believe our current market has echos of the bubble than gold is worth a look. http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983186760751300726) 2025-10-28T14:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Banks and institutions have caught onto the trend. Gold has risen 50% this year as investors brace for the inevitable turmoil ahead. As with every investment its important to know what you are buying and to do due diligence to assign the right price. Who knows what the future holds. Just thought this was interesting food for thought. Drop a follow if you enjoy finance related content✅" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983186764022907198) 2025-10-28T14:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "At what point do we as rational investors look into all the money being poured into deals Are these deals projected to give a positive ROI or do these companies know that the more deals you announce the better your demand looks. Nvidia is a strong company at least by its financial statements but at some point we have to pause and evaluate whether these are good partnerships or euphoria" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983204293042639350) 2025-10-28T16:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "With the recent CPI report showing persistent inflation its created a lot of questions about the overall economic picture. In my last post I highlighted the impressive run up in Gold prices and how Gold can provide some recessionary protection. Lets dive into the latest inflation figures and see how inflation acted in the moments before a crash" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983566116443000957) 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "We start with the September CPI report showing persistent 3% inflation for the month. This figure has been steadily rising in recent months yet it hasnt changed the Federal Reserves stance interest rate cuts persist" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983566119492259963) 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Since 2021-2022 the Fed has been battling to bring this figure done and it has done an impressive job. We now hover around the high 2-4% range which is much more sustainable but still short of the 2% goal. The Fed has repeatedly said they will reach that goal in the next 12-24 months but we are yet to see this come to fruition" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983566136730890599) 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "We have reached a point in the economic cycle where people believe a contraction is due. Markets are soaring and investors believe we might be on the cusp of another market collapse the AI bubble. As I saw the price of gold soaring and seeing how Gold often performs well in times of uncertainty it made me want to see if any trends with inflation exist" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983566140245676100) 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@OIPS1_as Agreed. The bottom line is that the past [--] times when the Federal reserve cut rates at market ATH (like they are expected to do today) the market has jumped another 20%. When markets run up so does inflation. We are bound to see both happen before we see a crash" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983583451782549646) 2025-10-29T17:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "So $AMZN seems to have little momentum going in their cloud business. Its a great business and a long term winner for Amazon but the market is seeing the growth of Azure and Google cloud. Short term Amazon cloud is struggling. The down servers a couple weeks ago will be reflected in this quarter and the next quarter. This earnings report could present a nice entry point for long term investors looking to start a position in Amazon" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983906804791668929) 2025-10-30T14:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The number one thing in this earnings report is managements guidance on AWS. Bottom line. It has struggled here in the short term. Its still a great product but competition like Azure and Google cloud have posted strong numbers. AWS might feel the pain from their hiccup but it could also present a tremendous buying opportunity" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1983930262967722059) 2025-10-30T16:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "All the chips were stacked against AWS this quarter. Amazons last earnings report for Q2 saw them losing share to Google cloud and Azure. Even in the past few weeks Amazons glitched that took the internet down for a day was highlighted as a major reason why companies should move away from AWS (we may see the effects of this during 4Q report). But here they are growing and accelerating growth. Cloud services is their pride and joy. Amazon has established this industry and intends to continue to be the leader. Bravo AWS" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1984000561914474623) 2025-10-30T20:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$AMZN $GOOGL and $META were the slam dunk buys this year. We all know how amazing their fundamentals are and how they dominate their markets. But the valuations that have been presented with these companies were too good to pass up. Buying a Mag [--] company in the low 20s PE has never been a bad idea" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1984036162667790674) 2025-10-30T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The [--] year run big tech has been on has been memorable. The continued growth expansion and development has established them as dominant moats. To truly achieve market beating returns you almost have to own at least a couple of these names. Companies like $GOOG $AAPL $MSFT and $AMZN have been in front of the pack for years and years and show no sign of slowing down. The moats these businesses possess have allowed them to achieve high returns on invested capital (ROIC) and have armed them with billions and billions of cash to continue to innovate in the next waves" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1984279468697952442) 2025-10-31T15:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$META has faced this scrutiny before in [----]. It sold off (much more than this) and roared back. One of the best investments you can make is a Mag [--] stock in the low 20s P/E on a discount. Google traded at a [--] P/E earlier this year and has returned near 100% returns from that low. Nvidia traded at $94/share and has returned 117% since then. Amazon traded at $147 and has since returned 68%. Big tech on sale should be immediately considered by long term investors" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984344291326771575) 2025-10-31T19:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$MA and $V have a chokehold on this industry. They have perfected their business structure and strategy and built this high margin business. Every tap swipe and chip inserted goes directly to their bottom line. Compound that with their millions and millions of customers and you get a quality business" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1984997672558764319) 2025-11-02T14:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$AMZN went to being flat this year to gaining almost 17% in a month. It was about time they got their flowers. On the other end of the deal where is OpenAi getting all this cash to sling around I could be missing something but these gigantic deals every week doesnt seem sustainable" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1985363956446158869) 2025-11-03T15:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@burrytracker Is Burry taking advantage of an overvalued stock Yes. Was it still gutsy Also yes. $PLTR had all the momentum and posted a great earnings. Unfortunately for investors who are long $PLTR Michael Burry will continue to have a sway because of his one good call years ago" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1985794166442299785) 2025-11-04T19:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Growing monthly active users yet stagnate gross margins. Management at Spotify knows they have to convert these users and its just a matter of time until they do. $SPOT has a very sticky business. Once a user elects to pay for a Spotify premium subscription then it becomes highly unlikely that they will switch. I see the fundamentals only getting better for Spotify here into the future" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1986116938297143384) 2025-11-05T17:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@KobeissiLetter Companies like Crocs and $LULU have been decimated by the tariffs. Both of these companies are selling for record low valuations. If the tariffs are overturned the next question becomes if these companies will pop. Tariffs have been the massive overhanging cloud over retailers" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1986118213734695065) 2025-11-05T17:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The market falling from here is simply unlikely. There is short term fluctuations in every bull market. Consumer spending and the jobs data is material and should be monitored. But thats why the Fed is cutting rates. They are trying to stimulate this economy which should lead to more short term growth. Inflation (although sticky) has gotten under control. It will tick up as the Fed quantitative easing continues but so will the market" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1986460535420829906) 2025-11-06T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$META also would have beaten their profitability this quarter if it wasnt for a non-cash one time tax expense. Yet ppl just look at the numbers not the context. Once you factor in that it was another great report of double digit revenue growth you can see this is trading for cheap rn" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1987890555427172719) 2025-11-10T14:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The market is at a time of high sensitivity. All news (good or bad) is going to be exaggerated. There is also a lot of profit taking occurring. People are locking in gains and are hedging against a crash. This is normal and healthy. With the government being shut down we have big reports being delayed such as the jobs report which will probably paint a grim picture. The market will react and there may be short term pain but this market looks like it has more to go if we are comparing it to the levels of the bubble http://dot.com http://dot.com" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1987912189030670775) 2025-11-10T15:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$PLTR will continue to rise in price and thats fine but what valuation becomes too much for investors Investors have to begin to consider what growth scenarios need to happen to justify Palantir valuation. Its a tremendous company but a fwd PE of over [---] is extremely hard to justify" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1987985972303458503) 2025-11-10T20:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Integrating Gemini into search was perfect for Google. It blends that quick answer with the ability to dig deeper via the online links. Its funny to think everyone was saying AI would kill this company earlier this year. When a Mag [--] stock sells off that violently it makes it an easy buy" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988233596910342340) 2025-11-11T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Not an investor of $DUOL personally but the bearish sentiment around this stock is insane. Yes it was overvalued at 400-500 per share. However this sell off is appearing over exaggerated. The valuation is still pricey but then again people are buying $PLTR with much higher valuations. Two very different companies with two very different sentiments surrounding them" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988285124425757018) 2025-11-11T16:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Not an investor of $DUOL personally but the bearish sentiment around this stock is insane. Yes it was overvalued at 400-500 per share. However this sell off is appearing over exaggerated. The valuation is still pricey but then again people are buying $PLTR with much higher valuations. Two very different companies with two very different sentiments surrounding them" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988285139336482941) 2025-11-11T16:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Its like every day a new big technology company announces a partnership or investment. Its the same players over and over again. I wouldnt go as far to say the AI market is completely circular but it has aspects. If one of these Mag [--] players picks up their cash and says Im out I fear the whole AI industry could tumble. Not saying that will happen soon but at some point there needs to be real ROI from all these deals" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988290778418876508) 2025-11-11T17:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "At some point valuations will start to matter again. Buying $DUOL at $400 was a mistake. Its a great business but for every business there is a fair price. The hype and the valuations will return back to normal one day but in the mean time investors are continuing to overlook fundamentals. Hype investors have stopped asking critical questions like what needs to happen to justify this valuation or what do the growth rates have to be to equate todays multiples" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988299673073803635) 2025-11-11T17:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "So youll continue to buy Tesla at $1000/share or Nvidia at $600/share Demand will absolutely fall once investors see that the actual growth cant keep up with their current valuation. $DUOL doesnt have that star power and thats why its falling. The hype didnt come to fruition and now its falling to more reasonable levels. Same thing will happen to all the other hype companies in the future" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988335221075493199) 2025-11-11T19:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Thats why you cant pay too much attention to headlines like this. Investors need to slow down and realize its one bank making one sale. Yushmitsu Goto the CEO of Softbank also said the sale has nothing to do with Nvidia in an interview with the NYT. Furthermore they are heavily investing into OpenAi who has a $100 billion partnership with Nvidia. SoftBank was in a [--] way circular deal" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988359800946852162) 2025-11-11T21:34Z [---] followers, 10.9K engagements "Investors arent questioning the spending on AI. Investors are instead questions what that ROIC will be. There is uncertainty whether their billions in investments is even worth it We know AI will be huge (just like how the internet became huge in the bubble) but that isnt an excuse for poor capital management. Out of all the deals and partnerships there is bound to be some that fall flat on their face. At some point companies will be punished if they dont deliver real value through these partnerships. http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988693991441985879) 2025-11-12T19:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "As a long term investor you want to buy $META at a cheaper price than this. The drawdown looks tempting and the company will be fine but you need a deeper discount than this. This year has provided investors with lots of opportunities to buy Mag [--] stocks at deep discounts. This one just doesnt seem as attractive as Google was at $140 or Amazon at $180" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988697015509823702) 2025-11-12T19:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I mean youre seeing weakness everywhere except the top few stocks. Tech is carrying the gains this year and the macroeconomic picture is ugly. Not to mention that valuations are a little frothy. Profit taking and pull backs are healthy. You cant have a market that jumps up 40% and expect that to continue forever. Always remain diversified in high quality companies and the run ups and pull backs wont matter" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988720801235738816) 2025-11-12T21:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I think Michael Burry just closed it because he is done dealing with the situation of the market. He knows the fundamentals arent meeting valuations and there is manipulation throughout the stock market. When you are running a fund with other peoples money you rely on market dynamics to determine trades. If manipulation is running rampant then you cant accurately predict where the market is going to go" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988985321044824528) 2025-11-13T15:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Gee it probably would have been nice to see some jobs and inflation data As investors we should be in the loop and evaluating the economy as we make investment decisions. Missing out on this key data as both unemployment and inflation rise is a major disservice to anyone invested right now" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988986064032149857) 2025-11-13T15:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Its still a [--] fwd PE ratio in a massively competitive space. To buy a company with this much uncertainty warrants a large margin of safety. Otherwise its gambling. The business is great the product is great and the opportunity is there but paying 70x forward earnings is a massive risk" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/1988993763536986200) 2025-11-13T15:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The opportunity to build a position in Google was first in [----] at around $90/share. Then you had another screaming opportunity this spring in the $150-$170 range. But now people are bidding it up and buying at $250+ It doesnt make sense. Google is a great company but it didnt just become a great company. It was great in [----] and [----] and [----] and now and it will remain a great company. However if you overpay for a great company then it becomes a BAD investment" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983929520282345884) 2025-10-30T16:10Z [---] followers, 109.3K engagements "Is meta at risk of getting disrupted though With the brand and moat they have built with their apps it seems extremely unlikely that anyone could dethrone Meta anytime soon Instagram and Facebook are almost must haves for their respective generations. I dont see any other app that has this staying power. At the end of the day Meta is an advertising company. 98% of revenue comes from advertising. As long as meta is able to keep us on the apps and show more ads I think this company is a buy. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020242972617412718 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020242972617412718" [X Link](https://x.com/Investwithj25/status/2020242972617412718) 2026-02-07T21:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@Investwithj25 Investwithj
Investwithj posts on X about $googl, market, ai, in the the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +7,730%
- [--] Month [-----] +38,716%
- [--] Months [-------] +235%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Months [---] +129%
Followers: [---] #
- [--] Week [---] +1.90%
- [--] Month [---] +1.90%
- [--] Months [---] +132%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence stocks technology brands finance automotive brands fashion brands countries social networks cryptocurrencies celebrities exchanges
Social topic influence $googl, market, ai, in the, company, stocks, $amzn, has been, meta #5032, $lulu
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @dividenddudex @dividendology @stocksavvyshay @joecarlsonshow @stockmktnewz @dividendtalks @finchatio @charliebilello @patientinvestt @tacticzh @boujeefinances @thelonginvest @burrytracker @investwithj25siyfculdmjrpl1ycj @mrderivatives @devoteddividend @cud1446 @realroseceline @bourboncap @jonkuestini
Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Metadium (META) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) Mastercard, Inc. (MA) Netflix Inc (NFLX) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) Novo-Nordisk (NVO) Coca-Cola Co (KO) JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Progressive Corp (PGR)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@DevotedDividend Just a question are you concerned with the actual appreciation of SCHD or just the dividend return"
X Link 2025-04-11T22:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"1. Chip makers like $NVDA $AMD $TSM and $AVGO all traded down today as the tariff war introduced the next battle curbing chip makers from selling to China. The Chinese market represents 13% of $NVDA's revenue and has an impressive 29% CAGR. [--]. $TSLA reported California registrations were down 15.1% from a year ago. For context $TSLA's most popular brand the Model Y went through a refresh in production this past quarter which attributed to the decline. Market share in California fell from 55% to 44%. [--]. $ASML reported earnings with revenue growing 46% YoY. The company reported massive margin"
X Link 2025-04-16T17:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@DividendTalks $GOOG and $AMZN. I'm watching $META and $NVDA. Lots of good companies on discount"
X Link 2025-04-16T21:03Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"MARKET CLOSE UPDATE [--]. Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke today and reminded investors of the cost these tariffs will have long-term. Powell said these tariffs were "highly likely to cause inflation" and have diminished expectations of further interest rate cuts in the near future. [--]. Chips slid on the day with news that chip makers like $NVDA will be potentially prohibited to selling to China. Chip stocks like $AMD $TSM $ASML were all down on the news. [--]. Top finishers today were mostly defensive stocks as the uncertainty grows. $LMT $JNJ $BUD $TRV all finished in the green on a day where most of"
X Link 2025-04-16T21:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@finchat_io Shhhh keep $PGR hidden. It's doing wonders for my portfolio"
X Link 2025-04-17T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@cud1446 $VOO a lot of $GOOG and $AMZN and probs a bit of $ASML and $NVDA. Lots of good choices tho"
X Link 2025-04-19T02:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$AMZN is being sold off and becoming the cheapest it has ever been. I get the threats of a trade war and how that effects its business. But in what world is Amazon not a winner [--] years from now AI would only make this company more efficient AND Amazon is still reinvesting heavily back into their business and growing. Also did I mention it is the second largest company in revenue in the world I'm long on Amazon. #stocks #investing #money #stockmarket #amazon #tesla #palantir"
X Link 2025-04-23T00:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Trump announced that tariff won't be 145% but still greater than zero: Bullish✅ Trump announced he won't fire J. Powell: Bullish✅ Perhaps a rally back into the positives here with earnings season underway #stocks #tesla #investing #usa #china #stockmarket #trump #elon $TSLA"
X Link 2025-04-23T03:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Morgan Stanley says that the AI slowdown this year is just a short-term bump. Many investors feared that this year was the beginning of the end for the AI bubble. But demand for GPU's from companies like $GOOG and #OpenAI continue to persist. Despite $NVDA and other MAG [--] companies being down -20% and more Morgan Stanley sees tremendous upside. #tesla $TSLA #AI $PLTR https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-streets-fear-ai-slowdown-164501282.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-streets-fear-ai-slowdown-164501282.html"
X Link 2025-04-26T21:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$Visa reported a $30B share buyback program Beat on EPS: [----] vs [----] est Beat on revenue: $9.59B vs $9.55B est Some key takeaways was service revenue was up 9% YoY and payment volume was up 8% YoY. They also expect to grow revenue 10-12% YoY. Do you love Visa stock"
X Link 2025-04-29T21:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@patientinvestt If someone buys a house for $1 million dollars but its only worth $300000 you probably wouldn't buy it. If they turned around and offered it again for $500000 you still wouldn't buy it. Same thing applies for $SBUX as this stock gets cheaper"
X Link 2025-04-30T14:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$AMZN EARNINGS How is this company flat over the past [--] years Revenue Beat: $155.7 billion up 9% year-over-year exceeding the $155 billion est. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.59 reported beating $1.36 est. North America Sales: $92.9 billion an 8% increase year-over-year. Amazon Web Services (AWS): Revenue of $29.3 billion growing 17% year-over-year slightly below expectations. Advertising Revenue: $13.9 billion a 19% increase surpassing forecasts. Tariff Concerns: Jassy addressed the impact of President Trump's 145% tariff on Chinese imports which affects over 50% of Amazon's products. He"
X Link 2025-05-02T03:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@realroseceline The growth is great. Wall Street is just crying about the forward guidance. IMO it's dumb and an overreaction as $AMZN is clearly an improving company"
X Link 2025-05-02T03:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@DividendDude_X Stocks are more "simple" and liquid than real estate. They have also become so much more accessible to the average Joe. They are the perfect asset to start building wealth for many"
X Link 2025-05-04T22:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Biggest earnings reports to pay attention to for the rest of the week: Tuesday [--]. Advanced Micro Devices $AMD [--]. Rivian $RIVN Wednesday [--]. Novo Nordisk $NVO [--]. Walt Disney $DIS [--]. Uber $UBER Thursday [--]. Shopify $SHOP [--]. Coinbase $COIN [--]. Lyft $LYFT Friday [--]. Walmart $WMT [--]. Alibaba $BABA [--]. Applied Materials $AMAT"
X Link 2025-05-06T02:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"3.) Record-Breaking Share Buybacks This past earnings season we saw US companies announce over $500 billion in share buybacks. Buybacks are every investors friend. When a company buys back shares it reduces their total shares available. When there are less shares available the profits are spread among less investors which increases EPS"
X Link 2025-05-11T22:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"4.) Improved Economic Indicators The US added [------] jobs in April and inflation has remained moderate over the year. Many investors feared the trade war would pull the US into a recession but so far the economy has shown resilience"
X Link 2025-05-11T22:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$GOOGL has so many avenues of growth. I understand the fears of Google search losing market share from AI but people are still going to use Google search and YouTube (which they own). Also Google has its impressive Google cloud which is competeing with AWS and Azure. Waymo is a leader in the robotaxi space. All these revenue streams for a P/E of [--] seems a bit absurd. Any investor should take a long and hard look at Google"
X Link 2025-05-12T19:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$GOOG average FCF growth rate since 2010: 18.27% Average FCF growth rate since 2020: 20.96% The tech giant is getting more efficient at bringing cash to the bottom line. Running a simple reverse DCF with the assumptions below: Terminal Growth rate (expected growth of US GDP overall which is typically between 2-4% growth): 3% Discount rate: 12% (market rate of return is 10% so I moved it up 2% to account for AI risk) FCF Growth rate: 21% (essentially what they have done the past [--] years) Share price comes out to be $243 a share intrinsic value"
X Link 2025-05-15T23:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@DividendTalks This is how the market plays retail investors. The news around all these companies was that they were dead and retail investors sold out. This is why it's important to stay invested at all times"
X Link 2025-05-16T15:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"What about $WMT Obviously I think $COST is the way to go but Walmart is still growing revenue (although its slowing revenue growth see first picture). FCF has also averaged growth of about 3.28% every year. Walmart obviously has a high employee count and margins are already tough but I can see them becoming more efficient with AI and automation. Either way $COST is has to be the better play if your looking to invest in this industry"
X Link 2025-05-21T21:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Pepsi is definitely a safe company to buy and has experienced quite the sell-off. However it isn't a screaming buy at these prices. Over the past [--] years $PEP has grown FCF at an average rate of 4.8%. Doing a simple reverse DCF with assumptions of 2% terminal growth rate (not much growth for them left aka very mature company) 9% discount rate (could argue lower as they are an extremely safe company) and an average FCF growth rate of 5.5% (above their average the past [--] years). With these assumptions it has a fair value of about $100 a share. Now if you lower the discount to 8% and raise FCF"
X Link 2025-05-26T23:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$PGR 16.66% (cost basis of 185.70) $V 13.22% (cost basis of 257.48) $GOOG 12.74% (cost basis of 94.07) $PYPL 12.59% (cost basis of 58.31) $AMZN 11.47% (cost basis of 182.06) $ASML 10.79% (cost basis of 764.87) $SPY 8.7% (cost basis of 417.63) $BRKB 7.56% (cost basis of 522.85) $AAPL 5.87% (cost basis of 177.39)"
X Link 2025-05-27T00:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$ASML is severely undervalued. Applying a terminal growth rate of 4% (due to the high growth AI and chip industry) a hurdle rate of 11% (assuming a bit of risk even tho the company is monopolistic in their area) and assuming a growth rate of 20% (their average FCF growth rate has been 63.5% over the past [--] years). I get a fair value of $1116/share"
X Link 2025-05-27T23:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@DividendTalks Not saying $COST is a screaming buy but the market is pricing in 24% FCF growth. The past [--] years they've averaged 25%. I think it's reasonable to assume that they will improve their FCF growth over the next [--] years. This stock could still be undervalued"
X Link 2025-06-02T02:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Check out my recent short on ASML Comment below if you would like a full length video on ASML soon. https://youtube.com/shorts/JVFbvIZTems https://youtube.com/shorts/JVFbvIZTems"
X Link 2025-06-02T02:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@BourbonCap $ASML has to be the most obvious buy. Clean financials little debt high growth industry monopolistic. I have about $400 upside on them"
X Link 2025-06-02T22:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$GOOGL is up 15% in the last month. The market is slowly recognizing that this was oversold. I ran a reverse dcf (using growth assumptions to see the stocks intrinsic value) and I get a future share price of $250/share. And that's conservative. I assigned a hurdle rate of 12% due to the risk of AI and it potentially disrupting business (even though Gemini is proving to become stronger and growing in user base). I also assumed Free Cash Flow growth of 21%. This is lower than the 23% average growth rate google has averaged the past [--] years. Usually companies like Google will expand margins as"
X Link 2025-06-11T23:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Any other value investors looking at $LULU at these levels The company has had massive outperformance of the overall market over the past 5-6 years. However its down 35% YTD. They use a good portion of their FCF on share buybacks and have been increasing the buyback amount every year. Sales growth is at a [--] YR CAGR of 21.6% Net income is at a [--] YR CAGR of 22.5% And FCF is at a [--] YR CAGR of 32.6% Im beginning to look at this one $UNH $MSFT $GOOG $AAPL $PLTR $AMZN $TSMC $NVDA $TSLA $MSTR $SPY $VOO $SCHD $AMD $ASML $V $MA $JPM $QQQ $QQQI $JEPI $JEPQ $NIO $F $NFLX $AVGO $PEP $KO $DJI"
X Link 2025-06-12T19:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$V is down 4.85% on the stable coin news Total overreaction. People are going to continue to use visa and Mastercard for decades to come. These companies are intertwined in our everyday lives and the economy as a whole. Might be a great opportunity to buy at these levels. $MA $AMZN $WMT $PYPL $AAPL $GOOG $GOOGL $META $MSFT $NVDA $AMD $TSLA $UNH $PEP $PGR $KO $HIMS $NVO $VOO $SCHD $JPM $JEPI $JEPQ $AVGO $ASML $CELH $SPY $SPYI $QQQ $QQQI $SPX $BRKB $BA $LUV $NIO $BABA $RIVN $LULU $CRM $NKE $TSM $COST $DIS"
X Link 2025-06-13T16:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Which Big Tech stock has the best financials/fundamentals Let me know why below $MSFT $GOOG $AAPL $META $NVDA $AMD $SNAP $PEP $KO $LULU $PLTR $TSLA $AMZN $JEPI $SCHD $QQQ $SPY $QQQI $SPYI $SPDR $V $PYPL $MA $JNJ $NOVO $LLY $PNC $JPM $BLACK $LMT $TSM $BABA $BRKA $BKR Microsoft Google Nvidia Meta Microsoft Google Nvidia Meta"
X Link 2025-07-15T17:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DividendDude_X Google Waymo is going to be a very interesting bet for Google. Its exciting being invested into a company where revenue is diversified and can come from so many different streams"
X Link 2025-07-15T20:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@dividendology There is for sure some over optimism in this market right now. Just buying and holding the big names probably wont be enough to outperform in the long run. However I would not be surprised if the euphoric state lets us continue to climb here in the short term"
X Link 2025-07-15T20:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Which remaining earnings report excites you the most this week $NFLX $AXP $TSM $SPY $VOO $NASDAQ Netflix American Express TSM Netflix American Express TSM"
X Link 2025-07-16T12:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@dividendology Clear overreaction. $ASML is being beat up for essentially no reason. Nothing has fundamentally changed in the company. Im buying more🤑"
X Link 2025-07-16T13:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump just announced he does not plan to do anything on Jerome Powell the Fed Chair. The firing of the Fed chair would have major implications both politically and economically. Markets have already been trading significantly lower today based on the uncertainty of what President Trump will do next. Follow for more updates #trump #FederalReserve #StockMarket $VOO $SPY $NVDA $AAPL $QQQ $NFLX $GOOG $HIMS $ASML $AMZN"
X Link 2025-07-16T16:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@TacticzH $ASML literally has a toll booth on the AI supply chain. If youre bullish on AI than you should be 10x more bullish on ASML Not to mention their incredible stock buyback program and dividend is extremely attractive"
X Link 2025-08-10T22:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Great list. The slam dunk by far is Google. We are in an AI bubble/market. AI is here to stay and businesses will be looking to innovate. Google is by far the best positioned with all their data and overall maturity. Billions of dollars of cash in the balance sheet to pour into their model as well. For a riskier pick but higher reward Lululemon looks attractive. Its getting slammed because of tariff uncertainty but this is a brand that women love. Theyre expanding into mens as well as other niches. The story looks great but whats important is the numbers. They have superior margins over comps"
X Link 2025-08-10T22:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Replace $AMZN with $TSLA. Teslas valuation does not justify their growth. A lot of people are banking on robotics and autonomous taxis both categories they arent even the leader in now. Amazon already has [--] million robots working for them and plans to replace delivery drivers with a fleet of robots. Googles Waymo dominates in the autonomous vehicles market and has outshined Tesla in their own market"
X Link 2025-08-11T00:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Jonkuestini @KeithKail @BoujeeFinances You mentioned it in the sentence Waymo has been doing this for several years. And with significantly less accidents too. Between Waymo uber and Tesla they are all scaling fast no doubt. Its not going to be a winner take all market. However Tesla is behind at the moment"
X Link 2025-08-11T01:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@SargonDinkha1 @BoujeeFinances Absolutely Amazon is highly susceptible to any macroeconomic policy shift. Interest rate cut is going to bolster this stock just like how tariffs made it tumble"
X Link 2025-08-11T01:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"For sure I totally agree. Amazon was overvalued in early 2020s and thats why their growth has trailed the market returns. PE isnt the only metric we should look at when valuing Tesla because if Elons vision and promises come true than Tesla absolutely deserves that valuation. However we know Elon has a history of overpromising and it just seems like the valuation is a bit unrealistic given their current state. Im not bearish on Tesla I just like some other companies above it"
X Link 2025-08-11T14:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"With the recent news of the AMD/NVIDIA chip deal with China Wells Fargo upgraded their price target to $220. Obviously China is a huge AI opportunity as analysts expect the AI spaces CAGR to be +40% until [----]. This deal is a win for both companies however its important to note that trade to China wont be as profitable as it was before. (Read my comments below)"
X Link 2025-08-11T16:33Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"Not a shareholder of $HIMS by any means but insiders sell all the time for so many reasons. Sometimes its because they think the company is overvalued but a lot of times its for personal reasons like they need income since most of their salary comes from stocks. Whats most important is to track when insiders are buying. People sell for a lot of reasons they only buy for one to make money"
X Link 2025-08-12T01:05Z [---] followers, 10.8K engagements
"People who remember 2022-2023 remember what happens if rates go to zero too quickly. Yes lowering the interest rate on loans lowers the cost of borrowing which incentivizes companies to spend and grow. It was necessary in the early 2020s because the economy was shut down from COVID and needed stimulation. However when companies spend more they are pouring billions/trillions of dollars into the economy which increases inflation. When inflation rises quickly it gets out of control. Thats why we saw inflation climb to 9-10%. Sure the short term stock market run up is nice for us shareholders but"
X Link 2025-08-12T22:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"If the claim by the DOJ who is bringing up this case is that Google is monopolistic with Google chrome then the recent AI developments have weakened their case. Chat GPT Grok and the AI software Meta is developing are all huge competitors to Google. Now Gemini looks strong and Google search is still gaining searches despite AI but the onset of AI and how rapidly Chat GPT gained users and searches makes me believe that the punishment will be very light"
X Link 2025-08-13T02:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$LULU has the best margins out of all their comps. Towers above American Eagle and Nike. The only reason they are able to keep this up is because people still view it as a premium brand and will pay more for it. As soon as a China trade deal gets announced and uncertainty is lifted Lululemon is gonna fly"
X Link 2025-08-13T02:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Check out my recent video on Tik Tok and YouTube Shorts that explains the opportunities in the tobacco market And how tobacco has performed just as well as the AI segment Tik Tok:investwithj25 #TikTok https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8ko8SS8/ https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8ko8SS8/"
X Link 2025-08-13T23:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"It likely is. Not even factoring in the potential growth from Gemini and Waymo (both are highest quality in their categories) -Overall revenue rose 14% -Net Income up 19% -EPS rose 22% -Google cloud up 32% -Google services (includes search/youtube/ads/subscriptions) up 12% Idk about you guys but this does not look like a dead company"
X Link 2025-08-14T01:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$AMZN and $GOOGL Hes going all in on big tech. Both monopolistic businesses that were oversold this year. Might not be the flashiest stock picks but its embedded in value. If youre trying to beat the market it is almost impossible to do it without the MAG [--]. These stocks rise the most when the market runs up. Dont make it harder than it has to be. invest in quality"
X Link 2025-08-15T01:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"🏬🏬Big news: Amazon is doubling down on grocery now offering same-day delivery of fresh goods in [----] U.S. cities by year-end. Prime members get free delivery on orders over $25. 📉Rival grocery stocks are tumbling: Instacart down 11% DoorDash down 4% Uber slipping 1% Kroger off 45% Walmart down 22.5% Honestly I get why people hate $AMZN as a company. They want their hands into every segment of the market and are willing to operate at razor thin margins or even a LOSS to gain market share and revenue. But as an investment you have to love Amazon. A mature company that spends like a start-up."
X Link 2025-08-15T12:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"For any $GOOGL investors who are scared that they will have to sell its looking very unlikely. First off the argument that Google is monopolistic in that space has just gotten so much weaker as the onset of AI has come about. Google has more competition than ever before. Second off multiple third party legal researchers have expressed that they dont believe there is enough substance to force Google to sell Chrome"
X Link 2025-08-15T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"For any $GOOGL investors who are scared that they will have to sell its looking very unlikely. First off the argument that Google is monopolistic in that space has just gotten so much weaker as the onset of AI has come about. Google has more competition than ever before. Second off multiple third party legal researchers have expressed that they dont believe there is enough substance to force Google to sell Chrome"
X Link 2025-08-15T13:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"🏠 The housing market isnt hot its broken Median U.S. home price: $420K 📈 Up 120% in [--] years while wages grew 25% 💸 Average mortgage rate: 67% (double from 2021) Renting Thats up 30% in just [--] years 📊 Were not in a boom. Were in a housing crisis. #HousingCrisis #RealEstate #Economy"
X Link 2025-08-15T14:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"📊 Beating the market sounds easy until you try. 👥90%+ of professional fund managers underperform the S&P [---] over [--] years. 📈Even Warren Buffett says most investors should just buy an index fund. 🔥The market doesnt care about your hot tip. Beating the market is about establishing a process. Evaluating every stock with no biases and purely looking at the financials. Thats how I beat the market with my portfolio over the past [--] years. Click the follow button as I will begin to share how I have achieved market beating returns. #Investing #StockMarket #Finance"
X Link 2025-08-15T20:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"🤑 Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway is pulling in a cool $300 million/year from Apple dividends alonethats roughly $821K per day. And thats just passive income from one stock. Imagine the full portfolio. #Buffett #Dividends #Apple #Investing"
X Link 2025-08-16T15:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"✈ Say find me a ski trip next February with nonstop flights and buckle up. $GOOGL is now getting into the travel business and is leveraging AI to do so. This company simply wont stop innovating and is still trading as the cheapest Big tech company Why this matters: -No more endless fiddling with dates airports or price grids. Just ask. -Its rolling out in the U.S. Canada and India and yes you dont need to opt-in. -Plus: Google Flights now lets you filter out basic economy fares altogether so you dont get stuck with those bagless seatless surprises"
X Link 2025-08-18T14:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"AI stocks have added $2T+ in market cap this year NVIDIA trades at 70x earnings and Palantir trades at 20x sales. Incredible tech no doubt but valuations are stretched thin. 📈💭 AI will be part of our future in a similar way where we knew the internet would be part of our future. However just like the dot com bubble it is completely possible that people could be overpaying for a good thing. Follow for more financial + investing insights. #AI #StockMarket #Investing"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"For anyone saying the wage increases are a bad thing does not understand what $SBUX is trying to do. How do you improve your companies quality Paying higher wages. When you pay higher wages your employees do better work and stay longer which reduces turnover. All Starbucks is trying to do is improve the customer experience which has been this CEOs specialty"
X Link 2025-08-18T20:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Unfortunately their debt is $44 billion. They need a massive turnaround to get their balance sheet put together. Luckily we are in the beginning of the AI race. Intel has time and maybe more importantly the United States behind them. Lip-bu Tan their new CEO definitely has the potential to flip this company around but its gonna be tough"
X Link 2025-08-19T01:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Want to retire comfortably Start investing 1520% of income early. Future you will thank you. 🙌 A $10k investment in the S&P [---] in [----] would be worth $209k+ today. Compounding is the 8th wonder of the world"
X Link 2025-08-19T22:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@StockSavvyShay $TSM just seems like a higher quality chip and company than Samsung at this juncture. And if $GOOGL wants to eat into that Apple ecosystem then they need top of the line chips. Smart strategic move for Google"
X Link 2025-08-21T01:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DividendDude_X Not sure if we can look at this as bearish. $META tends to spend and see margin compression (we saw this with the metaverse in 2022) and they slowly roll it back. Its just about improving financials and maintaining margins"
X Link 2025-08-21T01:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Totally expensive but I agree. I feel like Palantir has the same hype and fanboys that Tesla had when it was in its hyper growth stage in 2020-2021. Sometimes all you can do is let Father Time set in and let the market slowly realize the fundamentals dont match the fantastic story Palantir has"
X Link 2025-08-22T00:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Icy_911 @joecarlsonshow Its not necessarily about competition its just overvaluation. There is absolutely nothing wrong with Palantir as a company its just trading extremely high. Or do you think the valuation is justified"
X Link 2025-08-22T01:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"So lets take a step back to our economics [---] class. Tariffs (which are known to be INFLATIONARY) plus cutting rates (incentivizes spending which increases INFLATION) in an environment where we are struggling to reduce sticky INFLATION. Being cautious is the correct move here. Markets wont like it but the Fed doesnt/shouldnt care about the markets"
X Link 2025-08-22T03:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Exactly. The markets and President Trump want that cheap superficial boost to the economy. The fact is that we are struggling with inflation from the last 3-4 years still unemployment is ticking up wages remain basically unchanged and a housing/rent market that is unaffordable. It would be a poor decision to do a rate cut and open that door for inflation to tick up again"
X Link 2025-08-22T12:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"So there is obviously a case that the market is overvalued but does it mean the market is actually going to go down AI is the next frontier and is no doubt the future. Nations like China and the United States war over who controls what chips. The strongest companies in the world like the MAG [--] Nvidia TSM AMD and more are all leading the charge"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"However even these companies are starting to pull back. Meta is reducing their AI spend after pouring billions into building an all star team. Nvidia is halting production of their chips to China. Now that doesnt necessarily mean that the AI race is dead. These companies like Meta are protecting margins. However a pull back is certainly not a bullish sign"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The great thing about $GOOGL is that they are such a large company and many investors dont know just how much they offer. We know about their complete dominance in search and the internet with Google Search and YouTube. We now see YouTube TV becoming a top streaming platform. Gemini has emerged as the best AI platform and has the biggest internet giant at its back. Poised to integrate it with the Google ecosystem Google cloud is scaling fast trying to catch up with Amazon. They secured a huge $10billion deal with Meta. And finally after all that you get Waymo that is just a sliver of their"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@charliebilello Inflation has been persistent since [----] and now we are opening the door back up to rate cuts which incentivize spending and causes inflation. I just dont see the logic here. Fed must know something"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:52Z [---] followers, 14.2K engagements
"Ya know outside of $NVDA it looks like a quiet earnings week. Sure you have Crowdstrike and Dicks but none of those guys are gonna move the market. The market will rise up significantly or fall significantly based on Nvidias earnings. And with the hype and optimism we are at anything bad or bearish in their report could lead to a sell off"
X Link 2025-08-23T03:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"All fair points and obviously there is a balance to it right The Fed raised rates to extremely high levels to combat inflation in [----] and obviously those werent sustainable. So the Fed has been cutting those rates which has spurred growth helped tremendously with the AI race and most importantly lowered sky high inflation caused by zero interest rates in 2019-2021. Small businesses and AI are obviously on the forefront of everyones mind as we have this debate. Yes lower interest rates makes the cost of debt extremely lower and incentivizes growth but its a balancing act. Think of a small"
X Link 2025-08-23T13:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"HIMS absolutely has the capacity to become the leading GLP-1 manufacturer in America. The problem is whether competition from Eli Lily and Novo Nordisk are going to stomp them out. Fundamentally the company looks good. Its just very early in the race and HIMS has a lot of ground to catch up"
X Link 2025-08-26T16:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"This all depends on how $GOOGL builds it out. If somehow Google builds out a version that is more addicting and fun to use than $DUOL than it could be problematic for Duo. But I still think most people will default to duo. Its still a good platform. All depends on marketing and customer loyalty I suppose"
X Link 2025-08-26T16:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Not necessarily. It happens in both. People hear the noise about the AI bubble and will hop out at the first sign of weakness. Not AI but look at another hype market like the GLP-1. Eli Lily an established and dominant player in that market reported a small disappointment in their phase [--] oral medication. And the stock dumped 16% I understand we are in a hype market and I hope Nvidia booms bc it is a tremendous company. Im just saying there are investors who are ready to dump"
X Link 2025-08-26T21:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LetsGoB10647498 @TradingThomas3 They dont outright say it but their numbers can say demand is weakening. The revenue growth in certain products could be decreasing"
X Link 2025-08-26T23:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Guys at the end of the day it is just a quarterly earnings report. Dont let the hype or speculation dictate your stock decisions. Know the situation: - We are at ATH - AI is racing up (is it overvalued at this juncture) - Nvidia has had a nice run up and is the clear leader in the AI market Research and due diligence should have been done already. Whether we go up or down you should have your mind made up on Nvidia the AI market and the macroeconomic picture. Trust your gut and your research"
X Link 2025-08-27T02:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$HIMS stock has fallen -22.5% in THE PAST MONTH Many investors are wondering if this is an opportunity of a lifetime to buy or to sell.📈📉 I break down my analysis below(a thread)"
X Link 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"To begin analysis on $HIMS you have to understand what has made the company so popular the past few years. The equivalent of the AI market for pharmaceuticals is the GLP-1 medicine. Major players like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk have offered the name brands like Ozempic and Mounjaro. But $HIMS has been able to undercut the giants with a lower priced off brand version and has seen tremendous success"
X Link 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"How $HIMS has been able to do this is by focusing on the US market They also operate fully online which reduces costs for property which in turn should produce better margins. Online personalized teams help $HIMS with the ability to reach consumers from anywhere and so far consumers have loved it"
X Link 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$HIMS has enjoyed a nice series of wins🥇 - Turned profitable in [----] posting a Net income of $126 million (-$23.5m in 2023) - Bull market has favored growth stocks like $HIMS - Their GLP-1 medication has a 75% customer retention rate - Revenue has grown 73% YoY and subscribers have grown 31% YoY"
X Link 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"So why has the stock been struggling In Q2 of [----] they posted their first revenue decline. They reported revenue of $544 million (down from $586 million). Novo Nordisk also has accused $HIMS of selling knock off versions of their drugs (Ozempic and Wegovy) and currently have a lawsuit ongoing with $HIMS. Not to mention the GLP-1 space has gotten crowded with a lot of competitors and its been a difficult market to compete in"
X Link 2025-08-27T16:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@joecarlsonshow Youre in reaaaaaaal bad shape if you have to use Palantir. [---] P/sales over [---] P/E. Was $TSLA in 2020-2021 even this overvalued Great stories can become bad investments at the wrong price. I fear a lot of ppl are missing that point right now"
X Link 2025-08-28T16:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@dividendology Both businesses are monopolistic recurring revenue businesses. You cant go wrong with either. Id say from the looks here maybe slightly in favor of $MA but both are dominant. These are the types of companies as an investor you want to look for"
X Link 2025-08-29T17:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"There are certain companies too big to fail. And then theres even bigger companies too big to not grow. Thats $JPM. When you think banks thats the first company that comes to mind. They are diversified and have performed time and time again. Investors that hold $JPM know there is little risk and a whole lot of reward"
X Link 2025-08-29T17:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ADrunkenMarcus @dividendology Exactly. Cant go wrong with either tho"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$NVO is down -57% in the last year The giant that owns Ozempic and Wegovy faces competition and pressure in a growing GLP-1 market Is this an opportunity to scoop up shares at a discount or should you stay away (A thread📖)"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"As mentioned above this stock has had a long and hard fall from its all time highs. - Eli Lilly and HIMS have taken market share - Change at CEO which causes uncertainty - Previous high valuation and perhaps a return to normalcy Novo was trading in the [--] P/E range which is debatably pricey. The market average is a [--] P/E. Since those highs Novo now trades at that [--] level but is that too cheap for a company with tremendous growth potential"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The absolute success of Ozempic and Wegovy cant be ignored: - Market leader in the GLP-1 space - Accounts for significant portion of their revenue - Revenue at a [--] year average CAGR of 23% It is worth noting that revenue growth in this recent quarter slowed down from 26% growth to 16%. This caused Novo to reduce their guidance expectations"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Diving into the revenue charts (pictured below) its a consistent climber. Exactly what you hope to see with your investments. Revenue growth has accelerated (34% in [----] and 24% in 2024). You can see that they are heavily entrenched in the American market and their second largest is the European market. These two regions are the largest battlegrounds for the GLP-1 medications"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Next we look at their margins. Novo consistently posts strong margin results. They have gross margins of 84%. Revenue is growing faster than COGS so expect this to maintain. Operating margins are still above competitors despite them ramping up R&D costs. And the net margin is just shy of 40% which is very strong. Overall Novo is proving they are a very efficient company"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Now interestingly despite revenue growth and margin improvement/maintaining free cash flow has dipped in the past year. This follows years and years of consistent growth. This is due to the purchase and one time expense of [--] Catalent sites worth $11.7 billion. These sites are necessary as there was a bottle neck in the final step in the drug manufacturing process (fill finish capacity)"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Finally we look at their share buybacks and debt management. With $HIMS we saw share dilution as they are a younger company and are trying to secure funding. Novo is much different as they are slowly and consistently buying back shares. Nothing too crazy but they should buy back more shares since their stock seems to be undervalued. They also have about $12 billion in debt. Debt has increased slightly as Novo has been expanding and trying to take hold of the GLP-1 market. However if we look at their FCF last year we see they brought in $10.7 billion which would imply it would take a little"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"So my final verdict is that this stock looks undervalued. Its the major player in the GLP-1 race and I think it carries less risk than $HIMS. $HIMS is higher risk but has higher reward. Novo Nordisk Carries its fair share of risk no doubt but looks very beaten up and could see good returns"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@DividendDude_X I mean whats realistically going to happen from this Are all the tariffs going to get pulled back If thats the case then the market should shoot up. Now for our debt crisis it could send us back to square one"
X Link 2025-08-29T22:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Totally agree. A rate cut right now is logically not needed and the FED knows that. The only reason they would be cutting is if they see something breaking or already broken. I dont think a rate cut in September is the most bullish thing but the market will interpret it that way"
X Link 2025-08-29T22:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GOOG: anti trust case is looking to be a slap on the wrist. Gets rid of a major overhang on the stock $NOVO: Still the major player in the GLP-1 case and trades at only a [--] P/E $LULU: Getting unnecessarily punished for tariffs. Premium brand trading at [--] P/E. Great fundamentals as well"
X Link 2025-08-29T22:24Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"If you are a long term/value driven investor than $ASML should be on your radar. The company continues to innovate and expand their moat. The product is one of a kind (clearly as whole countries like CHINA even lag them) and when you dive into this companys fundamentals they continue to improve. Consistent shareholder return and necessary in the AI supply chain"
X Link 2025-09-01T15:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Investing in companies with powerful pricing leverage is often associated with high quality monopolistic type companies. $TSM fits that bill. One of the best countries in the world that is leaps and bounds ahead of their competitors. As the AI race continues on $TSM will be at the center of it. AI is here to stay no doubt but the AI market will be unpredictable. Stock prices may crash or pull back or continue to rise for years and years. We dont know. However buying quality businesses like $TSM should be a lesson every investor learns"
X Link 2025-09-01T15:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Furthermore when you factor in $GOOGL getting into the space its going to be hard for $DUOL to be the dominant player. Im not doubting $DUOL fundamentals look great. However you always have to be cautious investing in companies that dont have that obvious moat. Google or any player can incorporate AI and make an addicting app. Duolingo has it now but it will be interesting to see if they can retain/grow it as AI continues to grow"
X Link 2025-09-01T20:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Its September (historically the worst month in the market). A lot of volatility and uncertainty around geopolitics and tariffs. For the most part the only news that will come out is bad news. The next month or so will be a good time to find some stocks trading at great opportunities. Market may be overvalued in general but there are certainly still some uundervalued stocks"
X Link 2025-09-02T17:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$TSLA is lagging behind in the robo taxi race. This has been baked into their price for years and now companies like Waymo and $UBER are taking market share. Elon throws out these promises and continues to move onto the next thing without caring about the business potential in the present"
X Link 2025-09-04T17:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It should still be the MAG [--]. Just take out Tesla. Tesla does not boast the fundamentals nor posses the moat these tech giants have. I have nothing against Tesla but when you dive into the numbers and financials you can see that their quality is nowhere near that of Microsoft Google Nvidia or Amazon"
X Link 2025-09-05T15:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@DividendDude_X I would love for Google to ride this out until the end of the year. Flawless balance sheet and the company continues to improve. Gemini is looking like the best AI tool and Google cloud is securing tens of billions dollar deals. This stock is on a heater"
X Link 2025-09-05T15:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Look at the sentiment on this stock. You can read it in the comments. Everyone thinks $LULU is dead. Its not just LULU its Nike and before American Eagles earnings report it was them too. Do people really think that apparel like Nike and Lulu are going to fade Or are they just becoming negative because the share price is down American eagle was this way too. Look at their one year chart attached. People were negative on this company all the way down and then it spiked and now ppl love the stock. The market is so emotionally driven dont let it fool you"
X Link 2025-09-05T15:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TheLongInvest As overvalued as I think it is all of AI is pulling back today. The overall market is pulling back today. This is just not unique to Palantir. Although Palantir has been due for a pull back for awhile now"
X Link 2025-09-05T15:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@johnny_raku @patientinvestt This just isnt a true statement. Girls love Lululemon clothes. I will say fashion/apparel is the weakest moat you can have for a business because there is so much substitution but in the space lululemon definitely has one of the best"
X Link 2025-09-06T13:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@OrangeCryptoTec @StockMKTNewz @VisualCap I agree with the dividend part. Instead of tech companies paying out these low yielded dividends they should reinvest it. But how much can companies like JP Morgan Citi and Goldman Sachs really spend on innovation and R&D theyre banks"
X Link 2025-09-06T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Im sure the large banks have what they believe is proper allocation in those assets. Also the ones you listed are all highly speculative risky investments. Idk if I would want Morgan Stanley to dump $30b in $SOL and $TSLA. If I was an investor Id get far better returns even if these assets appreciated with a strong share buyback. Especially at the 15% buyback rate they are doing it at"
X Link 2025-09-06T15:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$ASML has just traded flat mostly in the past few months. Its been an easy one to keep building because the fundamentals just keep improving with the valuation staying the same. Im surprised the market hasnt caught on yet though. You would think with a company that clearly has a monopoly in a space as high growth/hyped up as AI that this thing would get some love"
X Link 2025-09-06T15:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$LULU at 12-13x earnings is the market saying that this company is going to shrink. Now is there a possibility of that occurring Of course. Is it likely Probably not. Lululemon is coming down to normal revenue growth. They were clipping 20-30% revenue growth during the pandemic and thats just not sustainable. A return to normalcy was inevitable. Women still love the brand and are willing to pay a premium for it. Thats how this company has achieved such high margins over competitors like Nike and American Eagle. This is an overhyped and unwarranted reaction from the market"
X Link 2025-09-06T16:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Google remains at full strength. They continue to be a workhorse in all things internet. This helps them in the AI space as they already have built the ecosystem and have the data to optimize. Furthermore Google has multiple revenue stream options like Waymo and a rapidly growing cloud business. Google is poised to continue running"
X Link 2025-09-08T13:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The fundamentals on Duolingo are hard to argue with. They are a consistent grower and a dominant player in the language learning space. People are always going to want to learn a language just to say they can. Sure risks always come with an investment and any company can be dethroned given the right series of events"
X Link 2025-09-08T14:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The sentiment in this comment section around Lulu truly shows you how the emotions of the market work. When the stock tumbles the sentiment falls. It doesnt go the other way around. Lulu may fall more in the short term but this company is not going to die like everyone suspects"
X Link 2025-09-08T19:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@dividendology No Google is interesting. You would think with the ecosystem theyve built and the multiple streams of revenue they have flowing in"
X Link 2025-09-09T15:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$LULU is the worst performing stock in the S&P [---] this year as it is down 56% Investors are split: is this company dead or is this a chance to buy a premium company at an EXTREME discount Below is my analysis (a thread🧵)"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"When I first do analysis on a company I like to give myself a brief history lesson. The historic chart tells a story of an apparel brand that built a great business model: Comfy athletic clothes+High Quality= Premium Prices Lululemon was the darling stock of the early 2020s and had produced market bearing returns until recently"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"However as the stock price soared valuations were climbing to 50+ PE ratios. Lululemon fit the bill of a hype stock that was popular during and immediately after COVID in the everything bubble. Since then the stock fell and returned to normalcy. However demand is wavering and investors have sold out of the apparel brand in fears that the company is dead"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"North American demand has been the primary focus. Lululemon reported -.5% revenue growth in NA in Q2 of [----]. 75% of Lululemons revenue comes from the NA segment. Investors have every right to be concerned about this slow down. Lululemon has also only opened [--] new stores domestically since [----] vs almost [---] new stores internationally. There has been a clear focus shift from homegrown growth to international expansion"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"One of the main culprits for this domestic slow down in growth was increased competition. Lululemon is a premium athleisure brand and has dominated that market for the past [--] years. However Alo has seemed to replicate Lululemons exact model and become Lulus single biggest competitor. Nike/Under Armor offers cheaper options which has stolen the price sensitive customers. Costco has also being sued by Lulu for selling rip off brands for cheaper"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Finally tariff uncertainty has been a huge overhanging drag on the stock. With much of the manufacturing happening in Asia and many of the sales now going over seas Lululemon is highly susceptible to the tariff drama"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Diving into the fundamentals: When we look at year over year revenue growth overall for Lululemon it looks clean. Lululemon is not going to grow revenue at 30-40% growth like it did in 2022-2023. And thats fine. A return to normalcy was destined and shouldnt be seen as a negative. Tracking demand and seeing if the company has a loyal base is more important"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lululemon is dominant when it has come to margins. They lead all their competitors in each major margin due to the ability of them to price their products at a premium. Lululemon has the same fixed costs and processes Nike and American Eagle has. Their key is that customers have always been willing to pay more. The concern now is whether that customer mentality is gone and will Lulu have to cut prices What Lululemon has to do is begin innovating again. The management team has gotten complacent and hasnt released any innovative products that have demanded a premium in price. If Lulu can get"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@dividendology True monopoly with great fundamentals. They have everything you want to see in a company. - Recurring revenue - Little to know competition - High margins - Necessity in their field The road to AI runs through $ASML. If youre bullish on AI you have to be bullish on ASML"
X Link 2025-09-09T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I mean Google cloud is an impressive business. The fact that its only a portion of Google is insane. When you divide out Google into its segments you get a company like this: - Largest search engine in the world (oh but what about AI disruption) - The best AI model so far in Gemini integrated with the whole Google ecosystem - Cloud which is rapidly growing - YouTube which is the second biggest search engine and is completely self sustaining - YouTube Tv and streaming is grabbing nfl games and live events which competes with top streamers like Netflix - Waymo which is leading the robotaxi"
X Link 2025-09-09T21:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@truthdotphd $Lulu analysis pinned on my page"
X Link 2025-09-09T21:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheLongInvest $Lulu analysis pinned on my page"
X Link 2025-09-09T21:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$HIMS has quite the winning streak going. I did analysis on this one a couple weeks ago and loved the initial fundamentals. - High growth - Quick turn to profitability - Early dominance in a growing market All good signs. My only thought with this company is the medium term (next 4ish years). Hims will be extremely volatile and like most smaller companies will be susceptible to market volatility. If the market goes down this will fall farther. Id be patient and try to buy this for a deep discount as there is still so many unknowns and a very competitive environment ( Eli Lilly and Novo being"
X Link 2025-09-10T14:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@joecarlsonshow I didnt say they didnt have a moat. They are a high quality business. Their competitive advantage just isnt comparable to Amazon or Google. The Mag [--] moats are clearly more entrenched than Duolingos. Thats all not bashing the company/investment"
X Link 2025-09-11T18:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"You just cant help but laugh at all the individuals who said this company was dead in the spring. They thought AI would kill it but real investors knew Google would dominate AI. Cloud is growing hand over fist and YouTube is landing prime time events. They have partnerships with other Mag [--] companies that are unlikely to break off. Google is one of the most structurally sound stocks in the market"
X Link 2025-09-11T20:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Banks have to be cautious. Its how they run their business so effectively. Long term investors know to tune out the bank sentiment. With that said valuations have ran up and thats a reason for concern. Still plenty of good opportunities in the market as plenty of high quality stocks have had recent sell offs"
X Link 2025-09-11T20:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The name of the game is to buy the beaten down companies. BUT NOT EVERY BEATEN DOWN COMPANY Find the great companies that are being unfairly sold. If you buy every stock that sounds like it has a great story and has sold off then you will buy lots of value traps. Value traps are usually companies coming off extraordinary highs that have been sold off. These companies have good stories but there is no real moat or competitive advantage. Google was not that. Companies like Google were [--]. Unfairly sold [--]. Have a great ecosystem [--]. An impenetrable moat [--]. A clear growth path"
X Link 2025-09-11T20:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The interest rate cuts could be looked at either way honestly. We have some sho view it as bullish because ofc lower rates spurs spending and growth. Then we have others who see clear weakness in the economy and can see this bull run wont go on forever. We wont know until the rate cuts happen"
X Link 2025-09-11T21:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@jiepo12 @HolySmokas Define top [--] Do you mean Mag [--] or just which stocks have ran up in general"
X Link 2025-09-11T23:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"SaaS isnt going anywhere. AI is forcing them to innovate but in the long run AI should help these companies. The hold that $CRM and $ADBE have in the market is very large and especially with CRM so many corporations use their software and make it very difficult to transition. Both of these companies seem like theyre at a discount"
X Link 2025-09-11T23:43Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$DUOL is dominant in THEIR niche market. However there is a clear difference in quality between $DUOL and $GOOG or $AMZN. $DUOL is a high growth company and there is no denying that. But yes I think the companies above it on that list outside of maybe Netflix (and I still think they do) have stronger moats than Duo"
X Link 2025-09-12T13:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"ASML is a dominant player in the market. They are needed for the progression of AI. For how cheap their valuation is currently this would seem like a great time to load up. They have an incredible fortress an intellectual moat which is the hardest to compete with and continue to innovate. The best part: this isnt just hype. There is fundamentals to back this company up and its a rare AI player that isnt reading for sky high valuations"
X Link 2025-09-12T14:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$ASML is the monopolistic machine. Simply no one can compete with their technology and they are a must needed component of any innovative AI company. If you believe in the future of AI then you believe in the future of ASML. The risk is that the AI bubble pops and ASMLs gets less business or is unfairly sold off. $ADBE also looks great. Very cheap compared to its ATH (although very overvalued when it was at those levels). - 90% of its revenue is from recurring subscriptions - Business/professionals first choice - Implementation of AI has gone extremely well as they generate hundreds of"
X Link 2025-09-15T22:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$LLY is focusing on efficiency and pushing drugs out at scale. The stock has had a tumble this year as it is down 17% in the last year. This is mostly due to the GLP-1 competition and regulatory challenges associated with it but a 17% discount seems like a deal for a company like $LLY. However it still trades at a [--] PE and a [--] fwd PE so perhaps this trade down has been warranted as the company seemed a bit overpriced"
X Link 2025-09-16T15:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Unfortunately with all the job data coming out cooler it seems like a rate cut is going to happen. The Fed sees something is broke and is going to go forward with it despite: -markets at all time highs -sticky inflation still persistent -speculative investments ramping up to all time highs"
X Link 2025-09-17T14:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Intel has been one of the biggest winners from this bull market without a question. Lip Bu Tang their CEO has had massive success in securing new deals and providing a focus on efficiency to this company. Keep in mind that Intel holds about $40B in debt has seen revenue slow down and has to play catch-up in this AI race. I personally think that investors are pricing in perfection for Intel right now which just simply isnt going to happen. Intel may very well be a long term winner but a major drawdown in the short run could lead to a massive sell off in this company. Be cautious as this run up"
X Link 2025-09-25T14:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The major players in this space have already been preparing for this. $NFLX established a studio in NJ just for this. Trump mentioned that this would be a possibility and companies like Netflix Disney and Paramount adjusted. Costs on producing the movies may rise but theses companies have incredible margins and can withstand the short term impacts while they plan accordingly"
X Link 2025-09-29T13:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Identifying early explosive stocks is not easy and investors know that. Look at every major market run up and the stocks that got pumped. A lot of the hype stocks like $NIO or $CLSK or the SPACs of [----] have fallen in half. Valuation was too high due to people being over optimistic. Even higher quality stocks like $PLTR and $TSLA took massive beatings before they ran back up. But these companies had improving fundamentals and growing margins. Every hype stock has a great story its identifying who has the improving fundamentals that is the key"
X Link 2025-10-02T19:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Two of the highest quality MAG [--] companies being a buy right now is still baffling. The market has not given Amazon its flowers yet. Innovation has always been Amazons strong point but profitability has been the laggard for years. Now the profits are rising while the innovation and partnerships are snowballing. Its time the market gave $AMZN its time in the spot light"
X Link 2025-10-02T22:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The big names of AI will probably be great investments for the future. The Nvidias AMDs Big tech scalers and Palantir will probably be the names that stick. But there are a lot of garbage stocks receiving hype right now. Bezos illustrates it perfectly. In the short term all these small companies will be bid up but the long term will reveal whos a real player and whos not. The internet bubble showed that. Most of those companies went to zero or havent even touched their all time highs from back then. The winners like Microsoft Amazon and Google became tremendous investments. But its not about"
X Link 2025-10-03T18:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$SPB Spectrum Brands reported Q1 earnings and stock is down 2% in early trading. Revenue: $675.7 million vs analyst estimates of $691.1 million (6% year-on-year decline 2.2% miss) EPS: $0.68 vs analyst expectations of $1.38 (50.7% miss) Free Cash Flow was $13.9 million up from -$9 million in the same quarter last year Adjusted EBITDA: $71.3 million vs analyst estimates of $86.47 million (10.6% margin 17.5% miss) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920441004911476817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1920441004911476817"
X Link 2025-05-08T11:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Have we reached a top in the AI market Investors are divided on whether the market has reached a top or if we are just starting a new bull market Below is my analysis on where exactly we are at in this market (a thread)"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Market sentiment has been trending down from euphoria to greed and now to a neutral stance. The Buffett Indicator (which has long been used by investors to gauge whether the market is fairly priced or not) currently sits at STRONGLY overvalued. All the Buffett indicator reads is the total value of the US stock market ($65.4T) divided by the US GDP ($30.5T). This means the Buffett indicator currently sits at 217%"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"But its a legit worry. For a company as small as $HIMS a lawsuit to their GLP-1 meds would be quite the blow. They just turned to profitability and have great growth and fundamentals but a major lawsuit could flip all of that in a hurry. Analysis of HIMS is pinned on my account. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1961079000564150544 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1961079000564150544"
X Link 2025-08-28T14:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"When we look at $NVO stock run over the past [--] years it has largely outperformed the general market. Its breakthrough drugs of Ozempic and Wegovy caught the market by storm and investors loved it. But the past year has been rough as competition has increased and investors are worried that Novo Nordisk will begin losing a large amount of market share"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Now in my last post we looked at $HIMS and how they were a strong start-up trying to undertake more established companies like $NOVO. As we can see Novo Nordisk has been around for more than a century and has accumulated a market cap of $253 billion (much larger and more established than HIMS) HIMS is concentrated solely in the US while Novo (pictured below) has geographic revenue diversification. They primarily do business in the US and Europe as those are the largest markets for the GLP-1 drugs"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@cleverhandeln @nataninvesting Analysis of $NOVO pinned on my account"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@LKPreserve Analysis of $NOVO pinned in my account"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Robert46989257 $NOVO analysis on my account"
X Link 2025-08-29T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"High quality moat like companies. Duolingo is the biggest risk of all them obviously. The risk/reward position is there for it. The rest of the companies are dominant in their areas. Dont make investing harder than it has to be. Buy high quality companies at discounts and you will perform very well"
X Link 2025-09-11T17:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"With all the revenue avenues that Amazon is involved in it seems like they are going to get there. The legacy business of Amazon/ Prime is always going to give Amazon that foundational base. Consumers are loyal and the process has just been getting more efficient. The cloud business with AWS is equally as impressive and has been an established leader in the cloud market. Sure increased competition from Microsoft and Google is a factor but this market has so much potential and it wont be a winner take all. Finally when you look into future revenue drivers with Amazon you can see they are"
X Link 2025-09-25T14:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@JeremyJaco32807 Yes its even cheaper now. The bad sentiment on this stock will blow over and this stock will rise again. Its a great company trading at an extremely cheap valuation. They are pricing in contraction at this point"
X Link 2025-10-19T18:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Gold is often an overlooked investment. Over the past decade it has posted dismal returns (if any). But as uncertainty over the macro economic landscape grows so does the price of gold However in the past year gold is up a whopping 50%📈 This is an analysis of an alternative investment that may be worthy of a look👀 $GLD $SPY $AMZN $PYPL $TSLA $GOOG $MSFT $AAPL $NFLX $QQQ"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Many investment portfolios look for diversification away from stocks. Investors look for an asset class that provides uncorrelated returns compared to the stock market. For the longest time bonds have been the steady alternative. Bonds would perform better in bear markets and provided a safety net while still outpacing inflation. Here are the current yields for the US treasury bonds which have been a popular alternative for years: - [--] year US Treasury bonds: 3.94% - [--] year US Treasury Bonds: 4.54%"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"On paper it looks like these bonds are continuing to outpace inflation. CPI the main inflation gauge was at 2.9% in August. Far below the treasury bond yields. But what if the CPI figure from the Fed wasnt the TRUE VALUE of inflation See CPI is an estimate. It doesnt measure the true value of inflation. This is straight from the mouth of the NY Federal Reserve. Instead CPI measures the cost in the standard of living. But for who For what products This figure can (and has been) easily manipulated"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Economists estimate the true rate of inflation is double the rate of CPI So now that August figure now looks closer to 5.8% 🫠 Our wallets have felt it. This hasnt felt like a normal 2-3% inflation growth period. Smart money and investors are starting to realize that parking your money in a US treasury for 10-30 years isnt generating income but rather depleting it"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"However everyone likes to compare today to the [----] crash. Stocks fell about 43%. Gold returned 15% in that same time frame. If you are cautious about the market and believe our current market has echos of the bubble than gold is worth a look. http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Banks and institutions have caught onto the trend. Gold has risen 50% this year as investors brace for the inevitable turmoil ahead. As with every investment its important to know what you are buying and to do due diligence to assign the right price. Who knows what the future holds. Just thought this was interesting food for thought. Drop a follow if you enjoy finance related content✅"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"At what point do we as rational investors look into all the money being poured into deals Are these deals projected to give a positive ROI or do these companies know that the more deals you announce the better your demand looks. Nvidia is a strong company at least by its financial statements but at some point we have to pause and evaluate whether these are good partnerships or euphoria"
X Link 2025-10-28T16:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"With the recent CPI report showing persistent inflation its created a lot of questions about the overall economic picture. In my last post I highlighted the impressive run up in Gold prices and how Gold can provide some recessionary protection. Lets dive into the latest inflation figures and see how inflation acted in the moments before a crash"
X Link 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"We start with the September CPI report showing persistent 3% inflation for the month. This figure has been steadily rising in recent months yet it hasnt changed the Federal Reserves stance interest rate cuts persist"
X Link 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Since 2021-2022 the Fed has been battling to bring this figure done and it has done an impressive job. We now hover around the high 2-4% range which is much more sustainable but still short of the 2% goal. The Fed has repeatedly said they will reach that goal in the next 12-24 months but we are yet to see this come to fruition"
X Link 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"We have reached a point in the economic cycle where people believe a contraction is due. Markets are soaring and investors believe we might be on the cusp of another market collapse the AI bubble. As I saw the price of gold soaring and seeing how Gold often performs well in times of uncertainty it made me want to see if any trends with inflation exist"
X Link 2025-10-29T16:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@OIPS1_as Agreed. The bottom line is that the past [--] times when the Federal reserve cut rates at market ATH (like they are expected to do today) the market has jumped another 20%. When markets run up so does inflation. We are bound to see both happen before we see a crash"
X Link 2025-10-29T17:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"So $AMZN seems to have little momentum going in their cloud business. Its a great business and a long term winner for Amazon but the market is seeing the growth of Azure and Google cloud. Short term Amazon cloud is struggling. The down servers a couple weeks ago will be reflected in this quarter and the next quarter. This earnings report could present a nice entry point for long term investors looking to start a position in Amazon"
X Link 2025-10-30T14:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The number one thing in this earnings report is managements guidance on AWS. Bottom line. It has struggled here in the short term. Its still a great product but competition like Azure and Google cloud have posted strong numbers. AWS might feel the pain from their hiccup but it could also present a tremendous buying opportunity"
X Link 2025-10-30T16:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"All the chips were stacked against AWS this quarter. Amazons last earnings report for Q2 saw them losing share to Google cloud and Azure. Even in the past few weeks Amazons glitched that took the internet down for a day was highlighted as a major reason why companies should move away from AWS (we may see the effects of this during 4Q report). But here they are growing and accelerating growth. Cloud services is their pride and joy. Amazon has established this industry and intends to continue to be the leader. Bravo AWS"
X Link 2025-10-30T20:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$AMZN $GOOGL and $META were the slam dunk buys this year. We all know how amazing their fundamentals are and how they dominate their markets. But the valuations that have been presented with these companies were too good to pass up. Buying a Mag [--] company in the low 20s PE has never been a bad idea"
X Link 2025-10-30T23:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The [--] year run big tech has been on has been memorable. The continued growth expansion and development has established them as dominant moats. To truly achieve market beating returns you almost have to own at least a couple of these names. Companies like $GOOG $AAPL $MSFT and $AMZN have been in front of the pack for years and years and show no sign of slowing down. The moats these businesses possess have allowed them to achieve high returns on invested capital (ROIC) and have armed them with billions and billions of cash to continue to innovate in the next waves"
X Link 2025-10-31T15:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$META has faced this scrutiny before in [----]. It sold off (much more than this) and roared back. One of the best investments you can make is a Mag [--] stock in the low 20s P/E on a discount. Google traded at a [--] P/E earlier this year and has returned near 100% returns from that low. Nvidia traded at $94/share and has returned 117% since then. Amazon traded at $147 and has since returned 68%. Big tech on sale should be immediately considered by long term investors"
X Link 2025-10-31T19:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$MA and $V have a chokehold on this industry. They have perfected their business structure and strategy and built this high margin business. Every tap swipe and chip inserted goes directly to their bottom line. Compound that with their millions and millions of customers and you get a quality business"
X Link 2025-11-02T14:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$AMZN went to being flat this year to gaining almost 17% in a month. It was about time they got their flowers. On the other end of the deal where is OpenAi getting all this cash to sling around I could be missing something but these gigantic deals every week doesnt seem sustainable"
X Link 2025-11-03T15:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@burrytracker Is Burry taking advantage of an overvalued stock Yes. Was it still gutsy Also yes. $PLTR had all the momentum and posted a great earnings. Unfortunately for investors who are long $PLTR Michael Burry will continue to have a sway because of his one good call years ago"
X Link 2025-11-04T19:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Growing monthly active users yet stagnate gross margins. Management at Spotify knows they have to convert these users and its just a matter of time until they do. $SPOT has a very sticky business. Once a user elects to pay for a Spotify premium subscription then it becomes highly unlikely that they will switch. I see the fundamentals only getting better for Spotify here into the future"
X Link 2025-11-05T17:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@KobeissiLetter Companies like Crocs and $LULU have been decimated by the tariffs. Both of these companies are selling for record low valuations. If the tariffs are overturned the next question becomes if these companies will pop. Tariffs have been the massive overhanging cloud over retailers"
X Link 2025-11-05T17:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The market falling from here is simply unlikely. There is short term fluctuations in every bull market. Consumer spending and the jobs data is material and should be monitored. But thats why the Fed is cutting rates. They are trying to stimulate this economy which should lead to more short term growth. Inflation (although sticky) has gotten under control. It will tick up as the Fed quantitative easing continues but so will the market"
X Link 2025-11-06T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$META also would have beaten their profitability this quarter if it wasnt for a non-cash one time tax expense. Yet ppl just look at the numbers not the context. Once you factor in that it was another great report of double digit revenue growth you can see this is trading for cheap rn"
X Link 2025-11-10T14:30Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The market is at a time of high sensitivity. All news (good or bad) is going to be exaggerated. There is also a lot of profit taking occurring. People are locking in gains and are hedging against a crash. This is normal and healthy. With the government being shut down we have big reports being delayed such as the jobs report which will probably paint a grim picture. The market will react and there may be short term pain but this market looks like it has more to go if we are comparing it to the levels of the bubble http://dot.com http://dot.com"
X Link 2025-11-10T15:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$PLTR will continue to rise in price and thats fine but what valuation becomes too much for investors Investors have to begin to consider what growth scenarios need to happen to justify Palantir valuation. Its a tremendous company but a fwd PE of over [---] is extremely hard to justify"
X Link 2025-11-10T20:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Integrating Gemini into search was perfect for Google. It blends that quick answer with the ability to dig deeper via the online links. Its funny to think everyone was saying AI would kill this company earlier this year. When a Mag [--] stock sells off that violently it makes it an easy buy"
X Link 2025-11-11T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Not an investor of $DUOL personally but the bearish sentiment around this stock is insane. Yes it was overvalued at 400-500 per share. However this sell off is appearing over exaggerated. The valuation is still pricey but then again people are buying $PLTR with much higher valuations. Two very different companies with two very different sentiments surrounding them"
X Link 2025-11-11T16:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Not an investor of $DUOL personally but the bearish sentiment around this stock is insane. Yes it was overvalued at 400-500 per share. However this sell off is appearing over exaggerated. The valuation is still pricey but then again people are buying $PLTR with much higher valuations. Two very different companies with two very different sentiments surrounding them"
X Link 2025-11-11T16:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Its like every day a new big technology company announces a partnership or investment. Its the same players over and over again. I wouldnt go as far to say the AI market is completely circular but it has aspects. If one of these Mag [--] players picks up their cash and says Im out I fear the whole AI industry could tumble. Not saying that will happen soon but at some point there needs to be real ROI from all these deals"
X Link 2025-11-11T17:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"At some point valuations will start to matter again. Buying $DUOL at $400 was a mistake. Its a great business but for every business there is a fair price. The hype and the valuations will return back to normal one day but in the mean time investors are continuing to overlook fundamentals. Hype investors have stopped asking critical questions like what needs to happen to justify this valuation or what do the growth rates have to be to equate todays multiples"
X Link 2025-11-11T17:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"So youll continue to buy Tesla at $1000/share or Nvidia at $600/share Demand will absolutely fall once investors see that the actual growth cant keep up with their current valuation. $DUOL doesnt have that star power and thats why its falling. The hype didnt come to fruition and now its falling to more reasonable levels. Same thing will happen to all the other hype companies in the future"
X Link 2025-11-11T19:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Thats why you cant pay too much attention to headlines like this. Investors need to slow down and realize its one bank making one sale. Yushmitsu Goto the CEO of Softbank also said the sale has nothing to do with Nvidia in an interview with the NYT. Furthermore they are heavily investing into OpenAi who has a $100 billion partnership with Nvidia. SoftBank was in a [--] way circular deal"
X Link 2025-11-11T21:34Z [---] followers, 10.9K engagements
"Investors arent questioning the spending on AI. Investors are instead questions what that ROIC will be. There is uncertainty whether their billions in investments is even worth it We know AI will be huge (just like how the internet became huge in the bubble) but that isnt an excuse for poor capital management. Out of all the deals and partnerships there is bound to be some that fall flat on their face. At some point companies will be punished if they dont deliver real value through these partnerships. http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com http://dot.com"
X Link 2025-11-12T19:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"As a long term investor you want to buy $META at a cheaper price than this. The drawdown looks tempting and the company will be fine but you need a deeper discount than this. This year has provided investors with lots of opportunities to buy Mag [--] stocks at deep discounts. This one just doesnt seem as attractive as Google was at $140 or Amazon at $180"
X Link 2025-11-12T19:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I mean youre seeing weakness everywhere except the top few stocks. Tech is carrying the gains this year and the macroeconomic picture is ugly. Not to mention that valuations are a little frothy. Profit taking and pull backs are healthy. You cant have a market that jumps up 40% and expect that to continue forever. Always remain diversified in high quality companies and the run ups and pull backs wont matter"
X Link 2025-11-12T21:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I think Michael Burry just closed it because he is done dealing with the situation of the market. He knows the fundamentals arent meeting valuations and there is manipulation throughout the stock market. When you are running a fund with other peoples money you rely on market dynamics to determine trades. If manipulation is running rampant then you cant accurately predict where the market is going to go"
X Link 2025-11-13T15:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Gee it probably would have been nice to see some jobs and inflation data As investors we should be in the loop and evaluating the economy as we make investment decisions. Missing out on this key data as both unemployment and inflation rise is a major disservice to anyone invested right now"
X Link 2025-11-13T15:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Its still a [--] fwd PE ratio in a massively competitive space. To buy a company with this much uncertainty warrants a large margin of safety. Otherwise its gambling. The business is great the product is great and the opportunity is there but paying 70x forward earnings is a massive risk"
X Link 2025-11-13T15:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The opportunity to build a position in Google was first in [----] at around $90/share. Then you had another screaming opportunity this spring in the $150-$170 range. But now people are bidding it up and buying at $250+ It doesnt make sense. Google is a great company but it didnt just become a great company. It was great in [----] and [----] and [----] and now and it will remain a great company. However if you overpay for a great company then it becomes a BAD investment"
X Link 2025-10-30T16:10Z [---] followers, 109.3K engagements
"Is meta at risk of getting disrupted though With the brand and moat they have built with their apps it seems extremely unlikely that anyone could dethrone Meta anytime soon Instagram and Facebook are almost must haves for their respective generations. I dont see any other app that has this staying power. At the end of the day Meta is an advertising company. 98% of revenue comes from advertising. As long as meta is able to keep us on the apps and show more ads I think this company is a buy. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020242972617412718 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020242972617412718"
X Link 2026-02-07T21:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
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