#  @HurricaneAddict Matthew Gross Matthew Gross posts on X about euro, new england, jamaica, ai the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1399795864693006336/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +45% - [--] Month [-------] +3,608% - [--] Months [-------] +478% - [--] Year [---------] -88% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1399795864693006336/posts_active)  - [--] Month [--] +3,000% - [--] Months [---] +364% - [--] Year [---] -32% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1399795864693006336/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +0.18% - [--] Month [-----] +2.60% - [--] Months [-----] +7.30% - [--] Year [-----] +10% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1399795864693006336/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [countries](/list/countries) 24% [currencies](/list/currencies) 19% [stocks](/list/stocks) 4% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 4% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 3% [finance](/list/finance) 2% **Social topic influence** [euro](/topic/euro) #801, [new england](/topic/new-england) 11%, [jamaica](/topic/jamaica) 9%, [ai](/topic/ai) 8%, [cuba](/topic/cuba) 6%, [over the](/topic/over-the) 5%, [haiti](/topic/haiti) 5%, [canada](/topic/canada) 4%, [bermuda](/topic/bermuda) 4%, [$googl](/topic/$googl) 4% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@themayeflowers](/creator/undefined) [@jacquiecharles](/creator/undefined) [@reidlt](/creator/undefined) [@mikemasco](/creator/undefined) [@amarkowitzwx](/creator/undefined) [@bostonwxconsult](/creator/undefined) [@floridatropics1](/creator/undefined) [@ferragamowx](/creator/undefined) [@isaiahrashid2](/creator/undefined) [@dylanfedericowx](/creator/undefined) [@tcugamer](/creator/undefined) [@thisthatother2](/creator/undefined) [@reakinrl9](/creator/undefined) [@jm5390](/creator/undefined) [@seckhardt](/creator/undefined) [@weatherboytyler](/creator/undefined) [@steveoweathaguy](/creator/undefined) [@hurricanejasonx](/creator/undefined) [@prasramchandran](/creator/undefined) [@dieselnyc1](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Right into Fort Myers this run" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1856194571719311801) 2024-11-12T04:37Z [----] followers, 1.7M engagements "@BostonWxConsult Unfortunately none of them have as high of a ceiling as this weekend did. You were talking a potential sub [---] mb bomb looping around south of Long Island into an extreme Arctic airmass with major snowpack already on the ground. Gonna be hard to get that back on the table" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016957989467435255) 2026-01-29T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Models are completely bamboozled by the 500mb setup over eastern Canada ahead of this weekend's potential east coast storm. Here's the Euro AI for instance over the last seven runs showing absolutely zero consistency in the mid range and looking totally lost" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021055103915139212) 2026-02-10T02:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The AI ensemble mean is calling for a DC to Boston snow event this weekend while most of the traditional models are flat and off the coast. This is a very good litmus test for an AI package that does well in verification scores but needs some impactful real life events where it went off script and nailed it. It will be very interesting to see who is right with this one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021272165690024373 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021272165690024373" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021272165690024373) 2026-02-10T17:16Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements "The Weathernext2 AI model remains locked into the idea of a snowstorm in New England Sunday night into Monday. This is either going to be a shining moment for these AI models (which have been much more aggressive on the idea of a northeast snowstorm this weekend) or a big missed opportunity. Verification scores are one thing but showing an impactful solution for days when other models don't have it and ultimately nailing the threat is where the true rubber meets the road. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021676288306819440 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021676288306819440" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021676288306819440) 2026-02-11T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "You know it's a wild winter setup when the "warmer" air more tolerable winds chills and lack of high wind gusts are also where all the heavy snow is falling" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2020140248966066500) 2026-02-07T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Approaching [--] inches here in Westetly RI this morning. (Everything on the table is the new snow.)" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2020143192767644143) 2026-02-07T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "What a wild band of heavy snow extending from Worcester down through and along the entire RI/CT border. Always neat when you can see the convergence of the two airmasses on radar" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2020154643590926634) 2026-02-07T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The 12z Euro just showed an impressive snowstorm over upstate New York and New England during the back half of next weekend but it's a very tricky setup that's really threading the needle and could easily fall apart. 1) There's a huge batch of Pacific energy crashing into the west coast around this time and pushing east (circled in black). By definition this means you can't have a large ridge on the west side of the Rockies which is generally present in some form during most large east coast snowstorms. 2) Even in this run that does produce impressive snow totals over much of the northeast" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2020569015224353097) 2026-02-08T18:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "It's bad enough when the Euro operational is completely unreliable and changes drastically from run to run but there's also been increased volatility in its ensembles which mostly follow the operational from run to run and have become increasingly unusable in the mid range" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2021653897660838033) 2026-02-11T18:33Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements "Excellent thread on the dynamics in play for the weekend. Highly recommend Meteorology explainer thread ๐งต Even though models no longer show a major snowstorm for Sun-Mon ensembles show a different story - while most ensemble members don't show snow out of those that do have snow most of those members show a major snowstorm. This is what we call https://t.co/LCj6xvuruG Meteorology explainer thread ๐งต Even though models no longer show a major snowstorm for Sun-Mon ensembles show a different story - while most ensemble members don't show snow out of those that do have snow most of those members" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2022083466578612620) 2026-02-12T23:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "While the current teleconnections are unfavorable for an east coast winter storm it appears we may have a window to thread the needle with the right ducks on the pond at the end of this weekend. We have: 1) A ridge out west. 2) A slow moving cutoff low at 500mb with confluence behind it forcing any new potential surface lows south. 3) A TPV lobe dropping down in-between these two features with the potential to phase with a coastal low (depending on timing). The window is narrow with this setup but the ceiling is high" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2023528422857744575) 2026-02-16T22:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The AI GFS is an absolute bomb for the 23rd. Holy Crap" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2023260898341650493) 2026-02-16T04:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Very heavy snow now over both Providence and Boston as the Arctic front and ocean effect snow begin to mingle. What an incredible convergence of winter ingredients in southeast New England today" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020184500521820348) 2026-02-07T17:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hang the Ukie 500mb map in the damn Louvre" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2023618146549084669) 2026-02-17T04:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@FloridaTropics1 The east coast better hope the hurricane models are wrong about Jerry becoming a major hurricane and fixing to go west of Bermuda during this timeframe" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1975626644862955672) 2025-10-07T18:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The sequel is rarely as good as the original" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1977768521229828104) 2025-10-13T16:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@FerragamoWx One of the most telling signs the northeast hasn't been hit by a purebred hurricane in decades is people living there mistaking whatever the hell you want to call this mess for a tropical cyclone. Not Even Close" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1977804454713081949) 2025-10-13T18:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Oh boy this ought to be good ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1978237783459176957) 2025-10-14T23:13Z [----] followers, 31.1K engagements "For comedic purposes it's an absolute shame the runs ends right here because we were about three frames away from completing an absolute circus. ๐๐คก Oh boy this ought to be good ๐ https://t.co/54jsIsVcTS Oh boy this ought to be good ๐ https://t.co/54jsIsVcTS" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1978240120609230864) 2025-10-14T23:22Z [----] followers, 18.8K engagements "End of the run. The bartender cut off the happy hour GFS just before it could complete its kooky party trick" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1978241039015034975) 2025-10-14T23:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@IsaiahRashid2 Verbatim yes. It was in the process of being captured by the huge cutoff over the southeast. It likely would have followed the path of wind in that image into New York / New Jersey. But its also hour [---] of the GFS so none of this is happening in reality" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1978277908943716674) 2025-10-15T01:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The 12z Euro ensembles illustrate many possibilities next week in the Caribbean but I think we can boil it down to three general buckets of potential: 1) The area of interest develops quickly in the eastern Caribbean. If this happens and things really take off it will likely feel the influence of a large trough coming off the east coast of the U.S. and turn north over the central Caribbean. This would likely spell bad news for a place like Hispaniola but would pretty much end any chance of a high end system striking the mainland U.S. this hurricane season as the storm would turn northeast" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1978556552555729052) 2025-10-15T20:20Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements "The Google Deep Mind ensembles also paint a wide variety of possible scenarios in the northwest Caribbean at the end of the month. We've got many members showing a complete nothing burger and others advertising almost unbelievably ominous outcomes. Little things will make massive differences in a setup like this" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1978687932534788255) 2025-10-16T05:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The HAFS-B hurricane model just went pants off on its 12z run Says Lee will become a [---] mph CAT [--] in JUST [--] HOURS" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1699832598430904663) 2023-09-07T17:10Z [----] followers, 30K engagements "How much flow develops south of this wave over the next few days will make an enormous difference in its ultimate direction given the steering currents setting up for the middle of next week. Quick southerly flow = Bad news for Hispaniola and a quick turn north. Weak southerly slow = It meanders west deeper into the Caribbean towards destination unknown. Recent ASCAT shows shows the sharp wave flow north of the ITCZ but very weak flow south of it https://t.co/ua4IPpBp2T Recent ASCAT shows shows the sharp wave flow north of the ITCZ but very weak flow south of it https://t.co/ua4IPpBp2T" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1979213045894373837) 2025-10-17T15:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Some of these models that go out beyond Day [--] (both operational and ensemble) are playing with serious fire around Halloween. We're not quite in range yet but if these pieces stay on the board for another two to three days business will pick up in a hurry" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1979817988892295309) 2025-10-19T07:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "On one hand the next ten days are a complete mystery. But at the same time there's already so many ugly scenarios raffle bin I'd be willing to bet Melissa isn't coming back on the hurricane list in [----]. There's two competing camps here and both are potentially disastrous. https://t.co/VjzH3n1EiA There's two competing camps here and both are potentially disastrous. https://t.co/VjzH3n1EiA" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1979976949851181210) 2025-10-19T18:24Z [----] followers, 15K engagements "This would be a rather significant development because the GFS and other models showing the quicker turn to the north are relying on the mid level center position to be accurate. If this low level center is our true starting point it could swing the ultimate path. ASCAT pass this morning from just a couple of hours ago shows that #98L might have a small LLC but much further south and west than I thought earlier near 13.2N & 67.7W well west of the MLC. @DylanFedericoWX https://t.co/fZqc5xHc7H ASCAT pass this morning from just a couple of hours ago shows that #98L might have a small LLC but" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980301330326687957) 2025-10-20T15:53Z [----] followers, 14.9K engagements "@reid_lt CMC partied a little too hard celebrating the Blue Jays win" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980618420497293632) 2025-10-21T12:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Not what you want to see if you're in Haiti. A weaker Mellissa is a more dangerous Melissa because it's more likely to stay lobsided and pile obnoxious amount of rain into the western half of Hispaniola when it stalls southwest of the island later this week. This will get UGLY Melissa over the Caribbean is not well organized at all. As stated shear is moderate to strong and it is expected to remain that way for the next week. Conditions never really are expected to become favorable. Thus expect slow and choppy intensification not rapid https://t.co/ftWz6JDqmz Melissa over the Caribbean is not" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980658902120518100) 2025-10-21T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "These lobsided stalled systems (which Melissa will be for Haiti) are some of the most dangerous creatures anywhere in the tropics. Chasers willing to venture into the eyewall of a CAT [--] won't even touch the epicenter of a disaster like this. Not what you want to see if you're in Haiti. A weaker Mellissa is a more dangerous Melissa because it's more likely to stay lobsided and pile obnoxious amount of rain into the western half of Hispaniola when it stalls southwest of the island later this week. This will get UGLY Not what you want to see if you're in Haiti. A weaker Mellissa is a more" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980660192762294643) 2025-10-21T15:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@TCU_Gamer In a CAT [--] or [--] the center is more dangerous because of the intense wind and surge. But in a slow moving lobsided system onshore flow on the down shear side of the storm (exactly where Haiti will end up) is the most dangerous part of the storm because of the biblical rains" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980661979795845474) 2025-10-21T15:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TheMayeflowers @Jacquiecharles It's pretty much impossible to overstate how bad the flooding will be for Haiti with this. People will underestimate it because they've seen hurricanes before and this one will be slow to develop wind wise but the rainfall coming will be historic and shockingly lethal" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980663530492948537) 2025-10-21T15:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@TheMayeflowers @Jacquiecharles But the big difference here is Harvey dumped it on the flat bayous of Houston. This will fall on mountainous rugged terrain of Hispaniola which will: 1) Enhance the rainfall rates. 2) Trigger mudslides. 3) Leave more people in inescapable low areas when the worst arrives" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980666043900313763) 2025-10-21T16:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@TheMayeflowers @Jacquiecharles Depends how close the stall is to Hispaniola (closer stall worse over in the DR as well). I think Haiti gets the worst almost no matter what at this point but the eastern extend of the most brutal rains is still TBD" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980667382508188129) 2025-10-21T16:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Euro is once again flirting with nuclear weapons tonight. Still no kaboom on this run but we're riding the cliff's edge of a circus. The 12z Euro flirts with a truly bonkers scenario. No phase this run though. https://t.co/KoEfLhN30e The 12z Euro flirts with a truly bonkers scenario. No phase this run though. https://t.co/KoEfLhN30e" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1980882340277530979) 2025-10-22T06:22Z [----] followers, 14K engagements "Today's 12z model suite in summation: What if Wilma and Sandy had a baby named Melissa" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981076138513272861) 2025-10-22T19:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The run to run shifts in the upper atmospheric pattern along the east coast (valid for late next week) are just wild to watch on all the models. Here's the Euro with last night on the left and this afternoon on the right" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981424122044289093) 2025-10-23T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "An uncomfortably large percentage of the GENC Google Deep Mind ensembles now landfall Melissa somewhere between the upper Mid Atlantic and Nova Scotia late next week" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981461388813070793) 2025-10-23T20:43Z [----] followers, 38K engagements "@ThisThatOther2 So if it just turns northeast beyond the Bahamas and doesn't interact with anything you'd be correct. However there's potential for it to phase with a huge 500mb cutoff low seen here and that's both what could pull it west and cause additional intensification up north" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981531600757149877) 2025-10-24T01:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@reakin_rl9 I'd say the verdict is a draw. There was a reformation of the center further east (so they sniffed that out correctly) but it wasn't anywhere near as far east as they thought" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981755469032018065) 2025-10-24T16:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@MikeMasco Out to sea Jamaica Cuba the Bahamas Bermuda and Atlantic Canada could all end up getting hit like dominos Melissa might make more landfalls than any Atlantic storm we've seen this decade" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981791189025112297) 2025-10-24T18:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I did read your post which is why I found it so puzzling. You literally mention Cuba getting hit IN THE SAME SENTANCE you talk about an out to sea track. If the point is a U.S. landfall is unlikely I'm with you there but that vs. an out to sea track are two wildly difference animals particular with the intensity we could see on some of these landfalls" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981796257292333541) 2025-10-24T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@MikeMasco Models show the landfalls starting in Jamaica on Monday and Cuba on Tuesday both of which are next week" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981798886894449126) 2025-10-24T19:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The goods news for the U.S. is I only count one European ensemble member on today's 12z run that landfalls Melissa along the east coast (seen here near Boston). The bad news is tremendous impacts are likely over Jamaica and eastern Cuba early next week" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981799756080046349) 2025-10-24T19:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The majority of Jamaica's population is under the age of [--] and Gilbert [--] years ago (black line) was the last time a major hurricane made landfall on the island. If Melissa brings her worst the majority of the people living there don't fully understand what's coming" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981837269188137015) 2025-10-24T21:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "New Euro coming in crazy weak with Melissa. Almost 60mb off the last run at the same time stamp on Tuesday. The model mayhem continues ๐คฃ" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1981962298219712808) 2025-10-25T05:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Melissa is now creeping into the warmest waters in the entire Atlantic basin" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982282179209044462) 2025-10-26T03:04Z [----] followers, 17.5K engagements "@jm5390 And it wasn't just one suite either it was about half of the Google Deep Mind ensembles on multiple batches. This will be a mix of what Dorian was for the northern Bahamas and what Maria was for Puerto Rico" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982291209558131141) 2025-10-26T03:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I sincerely hope the people of Jamaica are heeding the warnings and doing whatever is necessary to protect their lives. What's coming over the next [--] hours is unmatched anywhere in the record book for the island. This could be a storm of truly historical proportions" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982298217015292362) 2025-10-26T04:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The latest hurricane model runs of both the HAFS-A and HAFS-B peak Melissa's intensity at exactly 910mb Tuesday morning. What they disagree on is the specific location and timing of the landfall in Jamaica. Either way it's a historic CAT [--] disaster for the island" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982516775930745033) 2025-10-26T18:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@seckhardt How That puts more of the island in the onshore flow which means heavier rain from the upsloping of the mountains" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982519549905023368) 2025-10-26T18:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The recon plane just turned around likely missing one of the most incredible hurricane peaks in Atlantic history. Just brutal" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982673742204698793) 2025-10-27T05:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The vast majority of the 12z Google Deep Mind ensembles are now zoning in on a landfall point between White House and Lovers Leap Jamaica" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982889147686916364) 2025-10-27T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Do not be shocked if this movement turns out to be a mini loop and the storm shoots northeast from here. Slow moving hurricanes often loop when changing direction and give off a false signal they're moving in one direction when really they're about to move in the other. #Melissa is dealing with some internal issues. While we cant say for certain its an eyewall replacement cycle we do know theres some trochoidal wobbles that has made it go more west. Dont be fooled its still expected to be pulled north. #tropicswx https://t.co/9kApTo66mv #Melissa is dealing with some internal issues. While we" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982949047112458733) 2025-10-27T23:14Z [----] followers, 76.8K engagements "Beauty and a Beast Oh my #Melissa https://t.co/PCn8GwYixD Oh my #Melissa https://t.co/PCn8GwYixD" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1982995267659223136) 2025-10-28T02:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "What [----] was for Galveston what [----] was for the Keys what [----] was for New England what Katrina was for New Orleans and the Mississippi coast and what Maria was for Puerto Rico Melissa will be that for Jamaica. An undisputed benchmark for all future storms in that region" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1983171900923883772) 2025-10-28T14:00Z [----] followers, 111.5K engagements "I'm still astounded by this update from the National Hurricane Center. This is one for the record books" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1983221147505197401) 2025-10-28T17:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The worst of the wind is over for Jamaica but the worst of the flooding is not. Torrential rain bands will continue for the next several hours overwhelming already bulging rivers. Dangerous waters will carry wind blown debris wherever the path of least resistance takes them. My word https://t.co/xxxZrBpTHQ My word https://t.co/xxxZrBpTHQ" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1983253987898892306) 2025-10-28T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Melissa is not done She's back out over open water and rapidly reforming her CDO. While she will NOT get as strong as she was upon landfall in Jamaica she is forecasted to hit Cuba as a CAT [--] and unlike in Jamaica's case where the less populated areas got the biggest blow Cuba's second largest city appears in line to take the right front punch of the storm" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1983344468506943657) 2025-10-29T01:25Z [----] followers, 86.7K engagements "Santiago de Cuba (the nation's second largest city) is in line to take the brunt of the right front surge punch from still major hurricane Melissa. If we just draw a straight line from the center's current trajectory and circle the city it's easy to see how this is going to go" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1983405023724990564) 2025-10-29T05:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Tomorrow could be the last truly fantastic NFL weather day we ever see with half the league moving indoors over the next five years.๐คฎ In New England 3-5 inches of snow will cover the field in a blanket of white for Texans vs. Patriots as the sun goes down. In Chicago the Rams and Bears will have to battle temperatures falling through the teens throughout the game with increasing wind gusts to over 30mph. This will push wind chills below zero and could also bring some light snow here as well. Perfection Enjoy it while it lasts because in a few years the NFL will make glorious days like this" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2012614151797940642) 2026-01-17T19:53Z [----] followers, 12.9K engagements "The GFS is lost There's absolutely no way you're going to have a band of precipitation stretching from Bermuda to Cabo San Lucas. This is fantasyland" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2013645060613570781) 2026-01-20T16:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The 18z Euro phases the trailing energy at 500mb and still pulls off the second low south of New England at the end of the run (hour 144) even with the initial eastern low winning out. The ceiling is obnoxiously high with this setup There's a subtle but extremely important detail that happens around hour [---] of today's 12z Euro that shows there's still an additional level of craziness to unlock with this setup. Here on Sunday afternoon we have two very weak 1011mb surface lows showing up simultaneously: One https://t.co/EqvBixLBbV There's a subtle but extremely important detail that happens" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2013760644437131558) 2026-01-20T23:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@reid_lt And then it tries to add a second monster the following weekend" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014019907269038302) 2026-01-21T16:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The ICON is showing (freezing) rain getting to the DC to NYC corridor with surface temperatures in the teens. What a bonkers battle between the warm air aloft and the cold air near the ground" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014098395237949920) 2026-01-21T22:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@amarkowitzWX Juno in January [----]. It's very very rare but it has happened" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014205429803270608) 2026-01-22T05:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@amarkowitzWX Euro was throwing 2-3 foot totals back into NYC and the GFS was keeping them confined to New England" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014206193741312249) 2026-01-22T05:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The Euro AI is starting to pick up on the idea of a more significant "Part 2" of the storm in New England on Monday as the 500mb energy catches up to the coastal low before it departs and reenergizes the setup. This is how Boston could end up with some truly incredible totals" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014336483432296783) 2026-01-22T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The National Weather Service is betting against the Euro's more amplified solution. They have widespread snow totals over a foot in Philadelphia New York City and Long Island but are only calling for 6-12 in southern New England in what would be a colder more suppressed solution. It will be interesting to see if the models or the meteorologists win out with this one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014420820349628607 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014420820349628607" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014420820349628607) 2026-01-22T19:32Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements "@WeatherBoyTyler Well in that Winter Storm Watch they say the 6-12 is for the forecast period extending through Monday evening" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014426146587148525) 2026-01-22T19:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Whoever stays just north of the sleet line in southern New England is going to get the jackpot snow totals in this storm. The dynamics here for Sunday evening are off the charts" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014901071005569383) 2026-01-24T03:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The 6z NAM gives both DC and Baltimore two inches of QPF and this is the warmest they ever get at the surface for the whole storm (with lows between [--] and [--] degrees coming Monday night). We can joke about the lack of snowfall here all we want but that's a highly impactful storm when you consider the entire picture. Snow sleet freezing rain Regardless of the breakdown [---] percent of that QPF is coming down in some frozen form it's not melting during or behind the storm and if there's power outages things are gonna get ugly real quick" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2014985290171977988) 2026-01-24T08:55Z [----] followers, 14.3K engagements "Severe Ice Storm impacts are increasingly likely for Nashville. What makes this threat particularly concerning is not just the potential for widespread power outages but the bitterly cold airmass invading behind the storm. Nightmare combination (These temperature and wind chill maps are for Monday night.) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015145629765284247 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015145629765284247" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015145629765284247) 2026-01-24T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Regardless of the details this will be the most impressive winter storm to strike the northeast in a long long time" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015184625677570255) 2026-01-24T22:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Mid Atlantic weenies: "I want a big January storm with a huge precipitation field and temperatures in the teens along I-95" . monkey paw curls" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015497342695141438) 2026-01-25T18:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Euro AI model says get ready to do it all again next weekend" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015670779430535365) 2026-01-26T06:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@SteveOweathaguy Euro ensembles are also barking up a storm" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015685265222738246) 2026-01-26T07:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The difference between the 12z Euro and previous runs is a stronger connection at 500mb to the 50/50 low all the way up east of Canada. The stronger the connection the more it pulls the western extent of the energy over the lower [--] to the east which both suppresses the southern stream and forces the eventual storm off the coast. Ironing out a detail like this is probably going to take several more days. In the 6z run you see a much weaker connection east of New England and south of Nova Scotia which allows the energy over the Great Lakes to stay west longer consolidate better and" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015845852301189524) 2026-01-26T17:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@HurricaneJasonX That's probably a solid NESIS CAT 3" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2015921762551140773) 2026-01-26T22:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "My guess however is this trends back northwest over the next few days. The big question is how much. Only enough for a graze Or all the way back for a direct hit Today's Euro ensembles are overwhelmingly a miss for I-95 from Virginia on north. None tuck into the coast and only a few on the western edge pass by the 40/70 benchmark. It's a complete reversal from yesterday when at least a couple dozen members were showing a highly impactful https://t.co/H3mNC9M9an Today's Euro ensembles are overwhelmingly a miss for I-95 from Virginia on north. None tuck into the coast and only a few on the" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016233079166161217) 2026-01-27T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The GFS is a bonafide blizzard out on Cape Cod. [--] inches of snow and winds gusting close to hurricane force" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016364098749886800) 2026-01-28T04:13Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements "@prasramchandran Statistically yes but they haven't really nailed a big money system days in advance like say the Euro did for Superstorm Sandy. They're tools that like every other model gets plenty wrong" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016372905752363430) 2026-01-28T04:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Meanwhile the Euro is still mostly offshore. Tomorrow is a big day" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016386943689355687) 2026-01-28T05:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The GFS trending southeast in the midrange is certainly unusual. https://t.co/x7yElAjS9l https://t.co/x7yElAjS9l" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016556494326530503) 2026-01-28T16:58Z [----] followers, 18.4K engagements "Made a video on this weekend's storm setup" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2016704734434844846) 2026-01-29T02:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "There was a time when the European model was appointment viewing. Weenies and meteorologists alike would stay up late into the wee hours of the night to watch its 0z run come in frame by frame. If you didn't do this it felt like you missed out on part of the overall storm experience. The Euro wasn't just the best model it was the best model by an enormous margin and had a track record of nailing multiple big ticket events a week or more in advance. Then somewhere along the line they started making "upgrades" to the model and while I know it performs better than it ever has in global" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2017049630945714362) 2026-01-30T01:38Z [----] followers, 31.6K engagements "This is like watching a walk-off home run drift foul" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2017281652695630210) 2026-01-30T16:59Z [----] followers, 75.8K engagements "@dieselnyc1 The nice thing about that analogy is it works in both directions" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2017360684812480647) 2026-01-30T22:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Just six days ago the Euro AI model was featuring a high end blizzard for the entire northeast today. Whoops ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2018067319411335332) 2026-02-01T21:01Z [----] followers, 20.6K engagements "Weenies watching the GFS come in tonight:" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2018187441585147999) 2026-02-02T04:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I think there's a growing potential for a pretty feisty Norlun trough feature somewhere over New England on Saturday. You're going to have: 1) Multiple departing surface lows forming over the Gulf Stream and headed east late in the week which will kick up surface winds in the western Atlantic and allow the last low to be the anchor for a potential Norlun trough itself. 2) A tremendous blast of Arctic air invading the region from the northwest with temperatures plunging to below zero for many locations Saturday night. This has the potential to create a potent clash of airmasses and depending" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2018747419526103055) 2026-02-03T18:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "So uh this is a pretty interesting little disagreement between the Euro AI model and its ensembles at Day 7:" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2019521784966676817) 2026-02-05T21:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@tripplehahn I'm not getting notified at all. If I click on notifications I can see them but there's no alerts" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/2020186753831956993) 2026-02-07T17:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Happy Hurricane Season to all who celebrate" [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1797332676162068504) 2024-06-02T18:21Z [----] followers, 113.8K engagements "RT @burgwx: Welp I said that before seeing the reports that already came in this morning. Were easily getting a solid area of 12-14+ in s" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2020138674826911752) 2026-02-07T14:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The scariest thing about today's trends is that models are sliding the huge cutoff up in Canada east faster. The problem that could create is depicted well by the ICON model here at hour [---]. In short there's room opening up for that ridge around Bermuda to try and nose out and link up with the ridging coming into the eastern U.S. As of right now I see this as unlikely but the faster / further east that Canadian piece to the north trends the more of an opening there would be for something like that to happen. 12z ICON a good example of how this can still get close to impacting the East coast." [X Link](https://x.com/HurricaneAddict/status/1955670283437707766) 2025-08-13T16:38Z [----] followers, 23.1K engagements "There's two competing camps here and both are potentially disastrous" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979975159822926153) 2025-10-19T18:17Z [----] followers, 31.5K engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@HurricaneAddict Matthew GrossMatthew Gross posts on X about euro, new england, jamaica, ai the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence countries 24% currencies 19% stocks 4% technology brands 4% travel destinations 3% finance 2%
Social topic influence euro #801, new england 11%, jamaica 9%, ai 8%, cuba 6%, over the 5%, haiti 5%, canada 4%, bermuda 4%, $googl 4%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @themayeflowers @jacquiecharles @reidlt @mikemasco @amarkowitzwx @bostonwxconsult @floridatropics1 @ferragamowx @isaiahrashid2 @dylanfedericowx @tcugamer @thisthatother2 @reakinrl9 @jm5390 @seckhardt @weatherboytyler @steveoweathaguy @hurricanejasonx @prasramchandran @dieselnyc1
Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Right into Fort Myers this run"
X Link 2024-11-12T04:37Z [----] followers, 1.7M engagements
"@BostonWxConsult Unfortunately none of them have as high of a ceiling as this weekend did. You were talking a potential sub [---] mb bomb looping around south of Long Island into an extreme Arctic airmass with major snowpack already on the ground. Gonna be hard to get that back on the table"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Models are completely bamboozled by the 500mb setup over eastern Canada ahead of this weekend's potential east coast storm. Here's the Euro AI for instance over the last seven runs showing absolutely zero consistency in the mid range and looking totally lost"
X Link 2026-02-10T02:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The AI ensemble mean is calling for a DC to Boston snow event this weekend while most of the traditional models are flat and off the coast. This is a very good litmus test for an AI package that does well in verification scores but needs some impactful real life events where it went off script and nailed it. It will be very interesting to see who is right with this one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021272165690024373 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021272165690024373"
X Link 2026-02-10T17:16Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements
"The Weathernext2 AI model remains locked into the idea of a snowstorm in New England Sunday night into Monday. This is either going to be a shining moment for these AI models (which have been much more aggressive on the idea of a northeast snowstorm this weekend) or a big missed opportunity. Verification scores are one thing but showing an impactful solution for days when other models don't have it and ultimately nailing the threat is where the true rubber meets the road. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021676288306819440 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021676288306819440"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"You know it's a wild winter setup when the "warmer" air more tolerable winds chills and lack of high wind gusts are also where all the heavy snow is falling"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Approaching [--] inches here in Westetly RI this morning. (Everything on the table is the new snow.)"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What a wild band of heavy snow extending from Worcester down through and along the entire RI/CT border. Always neat when you can see the convergence of the two airmasses on radar"
X Link 2026-02-07T15:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The 12z Euro just showed an impressive snowstorm over upstate New York and New England during the back half of next weekend but it's a very tricky setup that's really threading the needle and could easily fall apart. 1) There's a huge batch of Pacific energy crashing into the west coast around this time and pushing east (circled in black). By definition this means you can't have a large ridge on the west side of the Rockies which is generally present in some form during most large east coast snowstorms. 2) Even in this run that does produce impressive snow totals over much of the northeast"
X Link 2026-02-08T18:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It's bad enough when the Euro operational is completely unreliable and changes drastically from run to run but there's also been increased volatility in its ensembles which mostly follow the operational from run to run and have become increasingly unusable in the mid range"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:33Z [----] followers, 12.7K engagements
"Excellent thread on the dynamics in play for the weekend. Highly recommend Meteorology explainer thread ๐งต Even though models no longer show a major snowstorm for Sun-Mon ensembles show a different story - while most ensemble members don't show snow out of those that do have snow most of those members show a major snowstorm. This is what we call https://t.co/LCj6xvuruG Meteorology explainer thread ๐งต Even though models no longer show a major snowstorm for Sun-Mon ensembles show a different story - while most ensemble members don't show snow out of those that do have snow most of those members"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"While the current teleconnections are unfavorable for an east coast winter storm it appears we may have a window to thread the needle with the right ducks on the pond at the end of this weekend. We have: 1) A ridge out west. 2) A slow moving cutoff low at 500mb with confluence behind it forcing any new potential surface lows south. 3) A TPV lobe dropping down in-between these two features with the potential to phase with a coastal low (depending on timing). The window is narrow with this setup but the ceiling is high"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The AI GFS is an absolute bomb for the 23rd. Holy Crap"
X Link 2026-02-16T04:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Very heavy snow now over both Providence and Boston as the Arctic front and ocean effect snow begin to mingle. What an incredible convergence of winter ingredients in southeast New England today"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hang the Ukie 500mb map in the damn Louvre"
X Link 2026-02-17T04:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@FloridaTropics1 The east coast better hope the hurricane models are wrong about Jerry becoming a major hurricane and fixing to go west of Bermuda during this timeframe"
X Link 2025-10-07T18:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The sequel is rarely as good as the original"
X Link 2025-10-13T16:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FerragamoWx One of the most telling signs the northeast hasn't been hit by a purebred hurricane in decades is people living there mistaking whatever the hell you want to call this mess for a tropical cyclone. Not Even Close"
X Link 2025-10-13T18:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Oh boy this ought to be good ๐"
X Link 2025-10-14T23:13Z [----] followers, 31.1K engagements
"For comedic purposes it's an absolute shame the runs ends right here because we were about three frames away from completing an absolute circus. ๐๐คก Oh boy this ought to be good ๐ https://t.co/54jsIsVcTS Oh boy this ought to be good ๐ https://t.co/54jsIsVcTS"
X Link 2025-10-14T23:22Z [----] followers, 18.8K engagements
"End of the run. The bartender cut off the happy hour GFS just before it could complete its kooky party trick"
X Link 2025-10-14T23:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@IsaiahRashid2 Verbatim yes. It was in the process of being captured by the huge cutoff over the southeast. It likely would have followed the path of wind in that image into New York / New Jersey. But its also hour [---] of the GFS so none of this is happening in reality"
X Link 2025-10-15T01:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The 12z Euro ensembles illustrate many possibilities next week in the Caribbean but I think we can boil it down to three general buckets of potential: 1) The area of interest develops quickly in the eastern Caribbean. If this happens and things really take off it will likely feel the influence of a large trough coming off the east coast of the U.S. and turn north over the central Caribbean. This would likely spell bad news for a place like Hispaniola but would pretty much end any chance of a high end system striking the mainland U.S. this hurricane season as the storm would turn northeast"
X Link 2025-10-15T20:20Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements
"The Google Deep Mind ensembles also paint a wide variety of possible scenarios in the northwest Caribbean at the end of the month. We've got many members showing a complete nothing burger and others advertising almost unbelievably ominous outcomes. Little things will make massive differences in a setup like this"
X Link 2025-10-16T05:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The HAFS-B hurricane model just went pants off on its 12z run Says Lee will become a [---] mph CAT [--] in JUST [--] HOURS"
X Link 2023-09-07T17:10Z [----] followers, 30K engagements
"How much flow develops south of this wave over the next few days will make an enormous difference in its ultimate direction given the steering currents setting up for the middle of next week. Quick southerly flow = Bad news for Hispaniola and a quick turn north. Weak southerly slow = It meanders west deeper into the Caribbean towards destination unknown. Recent ASCAT shows shows the sharp wave flow north of the ITCZ but very weak flow south of it https://t.co/ua4IPpBp2T Recent ASCAT shows shows the sharp wave flow north of the ITCZ but very weak flow south of it https://t.co/ua4IPpBp2T"
X Link 2025-10-17T15:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Some of these models that go out beyond Day [--] (both operational and ensemble) are playing with serious fire around Halloween. We're not quite in range yet but if these pieces stay on the board for another two to three days business will pick up in a hurry"
X Link 2025-10-19T07:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"On one hand the next ten days are a complete mystery. But at the same time there's already so many ugly scenarios raffle bin I'd be willing to bet Melissa isn't coming back on the hurricane list in [----]. There's two competing camps here and both are potentially disastrous. https://t.co/VjzH3n1EiA There's two competing camps here and both are potentially disastrous. https://t.co/VjzH3n1EiA"
X Link 2025-10-19T18:24Z [----] followers, 15K engagements
"This would be a rather significant development because the GFS and other models showing the quicker turn to the north are relying on the mid level center position to be accurate. If this low level center is our true starting point it could swing the ultimate path. ASCAT pass this morning from just a couple of hours ago shows that #98L might have a small LLC but much further south and west than I thought earlier near 13.2N & 67.7W well west of the MLC. @DylanFedericoWX https://t.co/fZqc5xHc7H ASCAT pass this morning from just a couple of hours ago shows that #98L might have a small LLC but"
X Link 2025-10-20T15:53Z [----] followers, 14.9K engagements
"@reid_lt CMC partied a little too hard celebrating the Blue Jays win"
X Link 2025-10-21T12:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Not what you want to see if you're in Haiti. A weaker Mellissa is a more dangerous Melissa because it's more likely to stay lobsided and pile obnoxious amount of rain into the western half of Hispaniola when it stalls southwest of the island later this week. This will get UGLY Melissa over the Caribbean is not well organized at all. As stated shear is moderate to strong and it is expected to remain that way for the next week. Conditions never really are expected to become favorable. Thus expect slow and choppy intensification not rapid https://t.co/ftWz6JDqmz Melissa over the Caribbean is not"
X Link 2025-10-21T15:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"These lobsided stalled systems (which Melissa will be for Haiti) are some of the most dangerous creatures anywhere in the tropics. Chasers willing to venture into the eyewall of a CAT [--] won't even touch the epicenter of a disaster like this. Not what you want to see if you're in Haiti. A weaker Mellissa is a more dangerous Melissa because it's more likely to stay lobsided and pile obnoxious amount of rain into the western half of Hispaniola when it stalls southwest of the island later this week. This will get UGLY Not what you want to see if you're in Haiti. A weaker Mellissa is a more"
X Link 2025-10-21T15:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@TCU_Gamer In a CAT [--] or [--] the center is more dangerous because of the intense wind and surge. But in a slow moving lobsided system onshore flow on the down shear side of the storm (exactly where Haiti will end up) is the most dangerous part of the storm because of the biblical rains"
X Link 2025-10-21T15:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheMayeflowers @Jacquiecharles It's pretty much impossible to overstate how bad the flooding will be for Haiti with this. People will underestimate it because they've seen hurricanes before and this one will be slow to develop wind wise but the rainfall coming will be historic and shockingly lethal"
X Link 2025-10-21T15:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@TheMayeflowers @Jacquiecharles But the big difference here is Harvey dumped it on the flat bayous of Houston. This will fall on mountainous rugged terrain of Hispaniola which will: 1) Enhance the rainfall rates. 2) Trigger mudslides. 3) Leave more people in inescapable low areas when the worst arrives"
X Link 2025-10-21T16:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@TheMayeflowers @Jacquiecharles Depends how close the stall is to Hispaniola (closer stall worse over in the DR as well). I think Haiti gets the worst almost no matter what at this point but the eastern extend of the most brutal rains is still TBD"
X Link 2025-10-21T16:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Euro is once again flirting with nuclear weapons tonight. Still no kaboom on this run but we're riding the cliff's edge of a circus. The 12z Euro flirts with a truly bonkers scenario. No phase this run though. https://t.co/KoEfLhN30e The 12z Euro flirts with a truly bonkers scenario. No phase this run though. https://t.co/KoEfLhN30e"
X Link 2025-10-22T06:22Z [----] followers, 14K engagements
"Today's 12z model suite in summation: What if Wilma and Sandy had a baby named Melissa"
X Link 2025-10-22T19:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The run to run shifts in the upper atmospheric pattern along the east coast (valid for late next week) are just wild to watch on all the models. Here's the Euro with last night on the left and this afternoon on the right"
X Link 2025-10-23T18:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"An uncomfortably large percentage of the GENC Google Deep Mind ensembles now landfall Melissa somewhere between the upper Mid Atlantic and Nova Scotia late next week"
X Link 2025-10-23T20:43Z [----] followers, 38K engagements
"@ThisThatOther2 So if it just turns northeast beyond the Bahamas and doesn't interact with anything you'd be correct. However there's potential for it to phase with a huge 500mb cutoff low seen here and that's both what could pull it west and cause additional intensification up north"
X Link 2025-10-24T01:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@reakin_rl9 I'd say the verdict is a draw. There was a reformation of the center further east (so they sniffed that out correctly) but it wasn't anywhere near as far east as they thought"
X Link 2025-10-24T16:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@MikeMasco Out to sea Jamaica Cuba the Bahamas Bermuda and Atlantic Canada could all end up getting hit like dominos Melissa might make more landfalls than any Atlantic storm we've seen this decade"
X Link 2025-10-24T18:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I did read your post which is why I found it so puzzling. You literally mention Cuba getting hit IN THE SAME SENTANCE you talk about an out to sea track. If the point is a U.S. landfall is unlikely I'm with you there but that vs. an out to sea track are two wildly difference animals particular with the intensity we could see on some of these landfalls"
X Link 2025-10-24T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@MikeMasco Models show the landfalls starting in Jamaica on Monday and Cuba on Tuesday both of which are next week"
X Link 2025-10-24T19:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The goods news for the U.S. is I only count one European ensemble member on today's 12z run that landfalls Melissa along the east coast (seen here near Boston). The bad news is tremendous impacts are likely over Jamaica and eastern Cuba early next week"
X Link 2025-10-24T19:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The majority of Jamaica's population is under the age of [--] and Gilbert [--] years ago (black line) was the last time a major hurricane made landfall on the island. If Melissa brings her worst the majority of the people living there don't fully understand what's coming"
X Link 2025-10-24T21:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"New Euro coming in crazy weak with Melissa. Almost 60mb off the last run at the same time stamp on Tuesday. The model mayhem continues ๐คฃ"
X Link 2025-10-25T05:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Melissa is now creeping into the warmest waters in the entire Atlantic basin"
X Link 2025-10-26T03:04Z [----] followers, 17.5K engagements
"@jm5390 And it wasn't just one suite either it was about half of the Google Deep Mind ensembles on multiple batches. This will be a mix of what Dorian was for the northern Bahamas and what Maria was for Puerto Rico"
X Link 2025-10-26T03:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I sincerely hope the people of Jamaica are heeding the warnings and doing whatever is necessary to protect their lives. What's coming over the next [--] hours is unmatched anywhere in the record book for the island. This could be a storm of truly historical proportions"
X Link 2025-10-26T04:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The latest hurricane model runs of both the HAFS-A and HAFS-B peak Melissa's intensity at exactly 910mb Tuesday morning. What they disagree on is the specific location and timing of the landfall in Jamaica. Either way it's a historic CAT [--] disaster for the island"
X Link 2025-10-26T18:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@seckhardt How That puts more of the island in the onshore flow which means heavier rain from the upsloping of the mountains"
X Link 2025-10-26T18:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The recon plane just turned around likely missing one of the most incredible hurricane peaks in Atlantic history. Just brutal"
X Link 2025-10-27T05:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The vast majority of the 12z Google Deep Mind ensembles are now zoning in on a landfall point between White House and Lovers Leap Jamaica"
X Link 2025-10-27T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Do not be shocked if this movement turns out to be a mini loop and the storm shoots northeast from here. Slow moving hurricanes often loop when changing direction and give off a false signal they're moving in one direction when really they're about to move in the other. #Melissa is dealing with some internal issues. While we cant say for certain its an eyewall replacement cycle we do know theres some trochoidal wobbles that has made it go more west. Dont be fooled its still expected to be pulled north. #tropicswx https://t.co/9kApTo66mv #Melissa is dealing with some internal issues. While we"
X Link 2025-10-27T23:14Z [----] followers, 76.8K engagements
"Beauty and a Beast Oh my #Melissa https://t.co/PCn8GwYixD Oh my #Melissa https://t.co/PCn8GwYixD"
X Link 2025-10-28T02:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What [----] was for Galveston what [----] was for the Keys what [----] was for New England what Katrina was for New Orleans and the Mississippi coast and what Maria was for Puerto Rico Melissa will be that for Jamaica. An undisputed benchmark for all future storms in that region"
X Link 2025-10-28T14:00Z [----] followers, 111.5K engagements
"I'm still astounded by this update from the National Hurricane Center. This is one for the record books"
X Link 2025-10-28T17:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The worst of the wind is over for Jamaica but the worst of the flooding is not. Torrential rain bands will continue for the next several hours overwhelming already bulging rivers. Dangerous waters will carry wind blown debris wherever the path of least resistance takes them. My word https://t.co/xxxZrBpTHQ My word https://t.co/xxxZrBpTHQ"
X Link 2025-10-28T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Melissa is not done She's back out over open water and rapidly reforming her CDO. While she will NOT get as strong as she was upon landfall in Jamaica she is forecasted to hit Cuba as a CAT [--] and unlike in Jamaica's case where the less populated areas got the biggest blow Cuba's second largest city appears in line to take the right front punch of the storm"
X Link 2025-10-29T01:25Z [----] followers, 86.7K engagements
"Santiago de Cuba (the nation's second largest city) is in line to take the brunt of the right front surge punch from still major hurricane Melissa. If we just draw a straight line from the center's current trajectory and circle the city it's easy to see how this is going to go"
X Link 2025-10-29T05:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Tomorrow could be the last truly fantastic NFL weather day we ever see with half the league moving indoors over the next five years.๐คฎ In New England 3-5 inches of snow will cover the field in a blanket of white for Texans vs. Patriots as the sun goes down. In Chicago the Rams and Bears will have to battle temperatures falling through the teens throughout the game with increasing wind gusts to over 30mph. This will push wind chills below zero and could also bring some light snow here as well. Perfection Enjoy it while it lasts because in a few years the NFL will make glorious days like this"
X Link 2026-01-17T19:53Z [----] followers, 12.9K engagements
"The GFS is lost There's absolutely no way you're going to have a band of precipitation stretching from Bermuda to Cabo San Lucas. This is fantasyland"
X Link 2026-01-20T16:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The 18z Euro phases the trailing energy at 500mb and still pulls off the second low south of New England at the end of the run (hour 144) even with the initial eastern low winning out. The ceiling is obnoxiously high with this setup There's a subtle but extremely important detail that happens around hour [---] of today's 12z Euro that shows there's still an additional level of craziness to unlock with this setup. Here on Sunday afternoon we have two very weak 1011mb surface lows showing up simultaneously: One https://t.co/EqvBixLBbV There's a subtle but extremely important detail that happens"
X Link 2026-01-20T23:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@reid_lt And then it tries to add a second monster the following weekend"
X Link 2026-01-21T16:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The ICON is showing (freezing) rain getting to the DC to NYC corridor with surface temperatures in the teens. What a bonkers battle between the warm air aloft and the cold air near the ground"
X Link 2026-01-21T22:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@amarkowitzWX Juno in January [----]. It's very very rare but it has happened"
X Link 2026-01-22T05:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@amarkowitzWX Euro was throwing 2-3 foot totals back into NYC and the GFS was keeping them confined to New England"
X Link 2026-01-22T05:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The Euro AI is starting to pick up on the idea of a more significant "Part 2" of the storm in New England on Monday as the 500mb energy catches up to the coastal low before it departs and reenergizes the setup. This is how Boston could end up with some truly incredible totals"
X Link 2026-01-22T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The National Weather Service is betting against the Euro's more amplified solution. They have widespread snow totals over a foot in Philadelphia New York City and Long Island but are only calling for 6-12 in southern New England in what would be a colder more suppressed solution. It will be interesting to see if the models or the meteorologists win out with this one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014420820349628607 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014420820349628607"
X Link 2026-01-22T19:32Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements
"@WeatherBoyTyler Well in that Winter Storm Watch they say the 6-12 is for the forecast period extending through Monday evening"
X Link 2026-01-22T19:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Whoever stays just north of the sleet line in southern New England is going to get the jackpot snow totals in this storm. The dynamics here for Sunday evening are off the charts"
X Link 2026-01-24T03:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The 6z NAM gives both DC and Baltimore two inches of QPF and this is the warmest they ever get at the surface for the whole storm (with lows between [--] and [--] degrees coming Monday night). We can joke about the lack of snowfall here all we want but that's a highly impactful storm when you consider the entire picture. Snow sleet freezing rain Regardless of the breakdown [---] percent of that QPF is coming down in some frozen form it's not melting during or behind the storm and if there's power outages things are gonna get ugly real quick"
X Link 2026-01-24T08:55Z [----] followers, 14.3K engagements
"Severe Ice Storm impacts are increasingly likely for Nashville. What makes this threat particularly concerning is not just the potential for widespread power outages but the bitterly cold airmass invading behind the storm. Nightmare combination (These temperature and wind chill maps are for Monday night.) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015145629765284247 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015145629765284247"
X Link 2026-01-24T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Regardless of the details this will be the most impressive winter storm to strike the northeast in a long long time"
X Link 2026-01-24T22:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mid Atlantic weenies: "I want a big January storm with a huge precipitation field and temperatures in the teens along I-95" . monkey paw curls"
X Link 2026-01-25T18:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Euro AI model says get ready to do it all again next weekend"
X Link 2026-01-26T06:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@SteveOweathaguy Euro ensembles are also barking up a storm"
X Link 2026-01-26T07:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The difference between the 12z Euro and previous runs is a stronger connection at 500mb to the 50/50 low all the way up east of Canada. The stronger the connection the more it pulls the western extent of the energy over the lower [--] to the east which both suppresses the southern stream and forces the eventual storm off the coast. Ironing out a detail like this is probably going to take several more days. In the 6z run you see a much weaker connection east of New England and south of Nova Scotia which allows the energy over the Great Lakes to stay west longer consolidate better and"
X Link 2026-01-26T17:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@HurricaneJasonX That's probably a solid NESIS CAT 3"
X Link 2026-01-26T22:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"My guess however is this trends back northwest over the next few days. The big question is how much. Only enough for a graze Or all the way back for a direct hit Today's Euro ensembles are overwhelmingly a miss for I-95 from Virginia on north. None tuck into the coast and only a few on the western edge pass by the 40/70 benchmark. It's a complete reversal from yesterday when at least a couple dozen members were showing a highly impactful https://t.co/H3mNC9M9an Today's Euro ensembles are overwhelmingly a miss for I-95 from Virginia on north. None tuck into the coast and only a few on the"
X Link 2026-01-27T19:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The GFS is a bonafide blizzard out on Cape Cod. [--] inches of snow and winds gusting close to hurricane force"
X Link 2026-01-28T04:13Z [----] followers, 11.3K engagements
"@prasramchandran Statistically yes but they haven't really nailed a big money system days in advance like say the Euro did for Superstorm Sandy. They're tools that like every other model gets plenty wrong"
X Link 2026-01-28T04:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Meanwhile the Euro is still mostly offshore. Tomorrow is a big day"
X Link 2026-01-28T05:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The GFS trending southeast in the midrange is certainly unusual. https://t.co/x7yElAjS9l https://t.co/x7yElAjS9l"
X Link 2026-01-28T16:58Z [----] followers, 18.4K engagements
"Made a video on this weekend's storm setup"
X Link 2026-01-29T02:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There was a time when the European model was appointment viewing. Weenies and meteorologists alike would stay up late into the wee hours of the night to watch its 0z run come in frame by frame. If you didn't do this it felt like you missed out on part of the overall storm experience. The Euro wasn't just the best model it was the best model by an enormous margin and had a track record of nailing multiple big ticket events a week or more in advance. Then somewhere along the line they started making "upgrades" to the model and while I know it performs better than it ever has in global"
X Link 2026-01-30T01:38Z [----] followers, 31.6K engagements
"This is like watching a walk-off home run drift foul"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:59Z [----] followers, 75.8K engagements
"@dieselnyc1 The nice thing about that analogy is it works in both directions"
X Link 2026-01-30T22:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Just six days ago the Euro AI model was featuring a high end blizzard for the entire northeast today. Whoops ๐"
X Link 2026-02-01T21:01Z [----] followers, 20.6K engagements
"Weenies watching the GFS come in tonight:"
X Link 2026-02-02T04:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I think there's a growing potential for a pretty feisty Norlun trough feature somewhere over New England on Saturday. You're going to have: 1) Multiple departing surface lows forming over the Gulf Stream and headed east late in the week which will kick up surface winds in the western Atlantic and allow the last low to be the anchor for a potential Norlun trough itself. 2) A tremendous blast of Arctic air invading the region from the northwest with temperatures plunging to below zero for many locations Saturday night. This has the potential to create a potent clash of airmasses and depending"
X Link 2026-02-03T18:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"So uh this is a pretty interesting little disagreement between the Euro AI model and its ensembles at Day 7:"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@tripplehahn I'm not getting notified at all. If I click on notifications I can see them but there's no alerts"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Happy Hurricane Season to all who celebrate"
X Link 2024-06-02T18:21Z [----] followers, 113.8K engagements
"RT @burgwx: Welp I said that before seeing the reports that already came in this morning. Were easily getting a solid area of 12-14+ in s"
X Link 2026-02-07T14:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The scariest thing about today's trends is that models are sliding the huge cutoff up in Canada east faster. The problem that could create is depicted well by the ICON model here at hour [---]. In short there's room opening up for that ridge around Bermuda to try and nose out and link up with the ridging coming into the eastern U.S. As of right now I see this as unlikely but the faster / further east that Canadian piece to the north trends the more of an opening there would be for something like that to happen. 12z ICON a good example of how this can still get close to impacting the East coast."
X Link 2025-08-13T16:38Z [----] followers, 23.1K engagements
"There's two competing camps here and both are potentially disastrous"
X Link 2025-10-19T18:17Z [----] followers, 31.5K engagements
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