[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

# ![@HedgieMarkets Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936.png) @HedgieMarkets Hedgie

Concerns are growing about the financial stability of companies heavily investing in AI, particularly those with significant debt and unproven profitability. Many experts warn of a potential bubble, citing the large amounts of money being spent on AI infrastructure and the lack of clear returns on investment. Layoffs and economic uncertainty are also on the rise, with some fearing a recession.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +33%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +1,534%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX +36%
- X Months XXX +202%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +1.20%
- X Month XXXXXX +30%
- X Months XXXXXX +310%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1898261963601575936/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1898261963601575936/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  #5467 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXXX% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  XXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXX% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  XXX% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  XXX%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 24.18%, [debt](/topic/debt) #107, [open ai](/topic/open-ai) #352, [microsoft](/topic/microsoft) #164, [oracle](/topic/oracle) #198, [ceo](/topic/ceo) #1381, [the first](/topic/the-first) 3.3%, [fed rate](/topic/fed-rate) #462, [credit default swaps](/topic/credit-default-swaps) #22, [stocks](/topic/stocks) #2449

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@discountedbtc](/creator/undefined) [@naujseber](/creator/undefined) [@underdogcap25](/creator/undefined) [@biswaskali46268](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@noruserious](/creator/undefined) [@pbaron9tx](/creator/undefined) [@dasvee](/creator/undefined) [@itsmeagain4126](/creator/undefined) [@bluestats_one](/creator/undefined) [@smrahmad7](/creator/undefined) [@observathor1](/creator/undefined) [@oldf500cfo](/creator/undefined) [@theworststink](/creator/undefined) [@bluestatsone](/creator/undefined) [@malikasfriend](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@graystokev2](/creator/undefined) [@mandy80814996](/creator/undefined) [@danielt19822100](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD)](/topic/crowdstrike) [Bank of America (BAC)](/topic/bank-of-america) [IBM (IBM)](/topic/ibm) [JPMorgan Chase (JPM)](/topic/jpmorgan-chase) [General Motors Company (GM)](/topic/general-motors) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/morgan-stanley) [HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBC)](/topic/$hsbc) [Dell Technologies, Inc. (DELL)](/topic/dell) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [USDC (USDC)](/topic/usdc) [Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock (ALAB)](/topic/$alab)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"🦔Oracle has pushed back completion dates for some OpenAI data centers to 2028 from 2027 due to labor and material shortages. Oracle is working to deliver on a $XXX billion contract to supply computing power for OpenAI's models. The first data center in Abilene Texas is on track with more than 96000 Nvidia chips delivered. Oracle Co-CEO Clay Magouyrk said on this week's earnings call "we have ambitious achievable goals for capacity delivery worldwide." My Take We just covered yesterday how Oracle's debt protection costs hit record levels at XXX basis points and the company has $XXX billion in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999534129470116086)  2025-12-12T17:37Z 21.7K followers, 4139 engagements


"🦔Hedge fund giants are moving into private credit right as the sector shows cracks. Steve Cohen's Point72 is raising at least $X billion Millennium is raising $X billion and Jain Global raised $XXX million. They believe their ability to price risk and recruit talent gives them an edge in markets traditionally dominated by Blackstone Ares and Apollo. The Challenge Private credit boomed to $XXX trillion since 2008. But the skills that make great liquid-credit managers speed and derivatives don't translate to private lending where relationships matter and returns take years. Direct lending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1988658297751367700)  2025-11-12T17:21Z 21.7K followers, 3997 engagements


"🦔Oracle's five-year credit default swap spread jumped XXXX basis points Friday to XXXXXX basis points the biggest move since December 2021. CDS prices usually rise as investor confidence in credit quality falls. Worries that Oracle's rising leverage may push its credit ratings into junk territory plus hedging related to tens of billions in AI debt financing are driving the surge. The AI Spending Oracle alongside OpenAI and SoftBank is spearheading Stargate a project to invest $XXX billion to build AI infrastructure. About XX banks are supplying a roughly $XX billion project finance loan to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1989466372292944242)  2025-11-14T22:52Z 21.7K followers, 8761 engagements


"🦔CrowdStrike found that DeepSeek-R1 produces code with severe security vulnerabilities up to XX% more often when prompts contain topics sensitive to the Chinese Communist Party. Mentioning Tibet Uyghurs or Falun Gong in a system prompt caused the AI to generate insecure code even though those words had nothing to do with the actual coding task. What They Found At baseline DeepSeek-R1 produced vulnerable code in XX% of cases. When told it was coding for a financial institution "based in Tibet" that jumped to 27.2%. In one test DeepSeek hard-coded secret values used insecure methods for user"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994126831474147806)  2025-11-27T19:31Z 21.7K followers, 5876 engagements


"🦔AI data centers are crushing the US aluminum industry by outbidding smelters for electricity. Aluminum smelters need 10-20 year power contracts at $30-40 per megawatt-hour to operate profitably. Amazon and Microsoft are willing to pay over $XXX per megawatt-hour. Alcoa is now considering selling assets to Big Tech companies that might get more use out of the power generation equipment than the aluminum it produces. The Problem Producing one metric ton of aluminum requires about XX megawatt-hours of electricity enough to power an average US home for nearly a year and a half. A new domestic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1994458830768419284)  2025-11-28T17:30Z 21.7K followers, 223.9K engagements


"🦔US factory activity contracted for the ninth straight month in November. The ISM manufacturing index fell XXX points to XXXX below the XX level that separates expansion from contraction. Orders contracted at the fastest pace since July while backlogs shrank by the most in seven months. Factory employment contracted more steeply. The Details The prices paid index picked up for the first time in five months and sits about X points higher than a year ago. Eleven manufacturing industries contracted in November led by apparel wood products paper and textiles. Only four industries reported growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995580912658997734)  2025-12-01T19:49Z 21.7K followers, 3394 engagements


"🦔YouTube's tool to help creators remove AI deepfakes also gives Google permission to train AI models on their biometric data according to intellectual property experts. To use the "likeness detection" feature creators must upload a government ID and a biometric video of their face. Google's privacy policy states that public content including biometric information can be used "to help train Google's AI models and build products and features." What YouTube Says A YouTube spokesperson told CNBC that Google has never used creators' biometric data to train AI models and is reviewing the language"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996009234870534653)  2025-12-03T00:11Z 21.7K followers, 6854 engagements


"🦔Microsoft lowered sales growth targets for AI products across multiple divisions after many sales staff missed goals in the fiscal year ending June according to The Information. The report cited two Azure cloud salespeople who said it's rare for Microsoft to lower quotas for specific products. Shares fell over X% in premarket trading. The Context Microsoft reported record capex of nearly $XX billion in its fiscal Q1 and warned spending would rise. US tech giants are expected to spend around $XXX billion on AI this year. Microsoft has said it will remain short on AI capacity until at least"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996243277327356132)  2025-12-03T15:41Z 21.7K followers, 27.1K engagements


"🦔American AI startups are increasingly using free Chinese open-source models like DeepSeek's R1 and Alibaba's Qwen instead of expensive US systems from OpenAI and Anthropic. NBC spoke to over XX founders and engineers who said Chinese models are cheaper more customizable and now sufficiently capable. Dayflow founder says XX% of users choose open-source models and paying for closed-model usage can cost up to $1000 per person. Of the top XX models in coding app Kilo Code seven are Chinese. The Numbers Chinese models now closely approach or match leading American closed models in many domains."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996362059890454850)  2025-12-03T23:33Z 21.7K followers, 45.3K engagements


"🦔Bank of America says the AI boom isn't heading for a 2000-style bubble burst but warns investors should brace for an "air pocket." The five hyperscalers issued $XXX billion in debt this year to fund AI infrastructure four times their average annual debt from the past five years with another $XXX billion expected in 2026. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said there's no way to get a return: "$8 trillion of capex means you need roughly $XXX billion of profit just to pay for the interest." What This Means AI infrastructure supply increased over 1000% from 2024 to 2025. Data center capex surged 53%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996376406062952726)  2025-12-04T00:30Z 21.7K followers, 23.7K engagements


"🦔Microsoft Teams is rolling out automatic location tracking in January 2026 that will inform employers when workers connect to office Wi-Fi. The feature will be off by default with administrators deciding whether to enable it. The update automatically shows which building employees are in as soon as they connect. The Context Surveys show many workers would rather take pay cuts or quit than work in offices full-time. At least one survey indicated employees feel more productive at home. A study from earlier this year found the most productive workers spend nearly two and a half hours resting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996641652593631453)  2025-12-04T18:04Z 21.7K followers, 6494 engagements


"🦔Logitech CEO Hanneke Faber called current AI hardware "a solution looking for a problem that doesn't exist." This comes from the same person who last month said AI agents should be in every board meeting to improve productivity. AI-focused consumer hardware has largely failed. The Humane Ai Pin launched at $XXX with a $XX monthly subscription got scathing reviews and Humane shut down the business after being bought by HP. The Rabbit R1 promised to perform tasks like a human but was called "barely reviewable" by Marques Brownlee. Some Rabbit employees reportedly haven't been paid in months."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996672354362270151)  2025-12-04T20:06Z 21.7K followers, 8631 engagements


"🦔A review of XX studies with nearly 100000 participants found heavy short-form video consumption (TikTok Reels Shorts) was associated with poorer attention spans impulse control plus increased depression anxiety and loneliness. ADHD diagnoses are rising with X in X children diagnosed by 2022. Researchers are asking whether some diagnoses might actually be impacts from video use. What Researchers Say Studies from multiple countries found associations between consumption and attention problems memory disruption and cognitive fatigue. One pediatric endocrinologist called it "video games and TV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997085828888264748)  2025-12-05T23:29Z 21.7K followers, 15.1K engagements


"🦔The bond market's reaction to Fed rate cuts has been highly unusual. Ten-year Treasury yields have risen nearly half a percentage point to XXX% since the Fed started cutting in September and 30-year yields are up over XXX percentage points. Normally when the Fed cuts short-term rates long-term bond yields follow. The Fed has cut XXX percentage points to 3.75%-4% with another quarter-point cut expected Wednesday. Why It's Happening Markets priced in Fed cuts well before they started with 10-year yields peaking in late 2023. By cutting rates while inflation remains elevated the Fed is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997845884764147791)  2025-12-08T01:49Z 21.7K followers, 22.4K engagements


"🦔US student loan debt hit a peak of $XXXX trillion in 2024 then fell to $XXXX trillion in 2025 YTD. Not because the system improved but because borrowing is collapsing. Meanwhile XX colleges have closed since 2022 including XX in 2024 alone. Over XX institutions shut down since 2020. The Philadelphia Fed warns as many as XX colleges could permanently close by the end of the 2025-26 school year. Pew Research shows XX% of Americans think the higher education system is headed in the wrong direction up from XX% in 2020. Tuition has more than doubled over XX years. Americans owe $XXXX trillion in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998178026064912417)  2025-12-08T23:49Z 21.7K followers, 6238 engagements


"🦔Commercial real estate transaction volume turned negative year-over-year in October for the first time since the post-Fed rate hike recovery began in early 2024. October saw $XXXX billion in sales about XX% of October 2019 levels. Moody's said the negative growth reflects a "stalemate between buyers and sellers" with high interest rates and economic uncertainty lengthening the recovery. Multifamily had the biggest pullback down XX% from last year. Office buildings continue getting sold at steep discounts or converted to other uses. New York Life bought a distressed Manhattan office building"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998421747792564346)  2025-12-09T15:57Z 21.7K followers, 2155 engagements


"🦔SpaceX is moving ahead with an IPO that would seek to raise significantly more than $XX billion targeting a valuation of about $XXX trillion for the entire company. That would make it the biggest listing of all time surpassing Saudi Aramco's $XX billion record in 2019. SpaceX is targeting mid-to-late 2026 for the listing though timing could slip to 2027 based on market conditions. The company expects to produce around $XX billion in revenue in 2025 increasing to $22-$24 billion in 2026 with the majority from Starlink. SpaceX plans to use some IPO funds to develop space-based data centers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998552996666347870)  2025-12-10T00:39Z 21.7K followers, 2757 engagements


"🦔Trump is reportedly considering eliminating federal taxes on gambling winnings. This follows passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act earlier this year which removed federal taxes on tips and overtime pay. No formal proposal has been announced yet. According to the American Gaming Association nearly XX% of American adults gambled in the past year. About XX% visited a physical casino while XX% placed sports bets. How It Works Now Under current IRS rules all gambling winnings are taxable income including cash and non-cash prizes like trips or cars. Anyone who wins more than $XXX must be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998831582287921541)  2025-12-10T19:06Z 21.7K followers, 2769 engagements


"🦔Oracle shares fell about XX% after reporting capital expenditures of $XX billion in the quarter up from $XXX billion prior. Analysts expected $XXXX billion. Cloud sales increased XX% to $XXXX billion while infrastructure gained XX% to $XXXX billion. Both missed estimates. Oracle now expects capex will reach $XX billion in fiscal 2026 a $XX billion increase from September's forecast. Free cash flow reached negative $XX billion. The company has about $XXX billion in debt. My Take Oracle is spending faster than revenue is coming in and investors are getting nervous. They went from $XXX billion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999140243274940501)  2025-12-11T15:32Z 21.7K followers, 3067 engagements


"🦔OpenAI warned its upcoming AI models could pose a "high" cybersecurity risk potentially developing zero-day exploits or assisting with complex intrusion operations. The company is investing in defensive tools and implementing access controls infrastructure hardening and monitoring. OpenAI will introduce tiered access for qualifying cyberdefense users and establish the Frontier Risk Council advisory group. My Take OpenAI just admitted their upcoming models could develop zero-day exploits which are vulnerabilities nobody knows about yet and extremely valuable for cyberattacks. When the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999220897438458159)  2025-12-11T20:53Z 21.7K followers, 2363 engagements


"🦔JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said AI will eliminate jobs but people will have other jobs if they develop the right skills. "My advice to people would be critical thinking learn EQ emotional intelligence learn how to be good in a meeting how to communicate how to write. You'll have plenty of jobs." Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned AI could erase up to half of all white-collar jobs over the next five years. Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said "AI is going to change literally every job." Amazon Web Services CEO Matt Garman said "you're going to want to be creative critical thinking and flexible."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999242037003190276)  2025-12-11T22:17Z 21.7K followers, 6062 engagements


"🦔Oracle's stock lost $XXX billion in market value since announcing a $XXX billion deal with OpenAI on September XX effectively wiping out more value than the entire market cap of General Motors twice over. The company's credit default swaps hit a three-year high as investors question Oracle's debt-financed bet on a single customer. The Structure Oracle's net debt already sits at XXX times EBITDA after more than doubling since 2021 and analysts expect it to nearly double again by 2030. The company is spending $XX billion in capex this fiscal year with consensus estimates at $XX billion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1990852757813621125)  2025-11-18T18:41Z 21.7K followers, 47.6K engagements


"🦔Oracle has become the credit market's barometer for AI risk. The cost to insure against Oracle defaulting tripled in recent months to a near three-year high. Trading volume on Oracle's credit default swaps ballooned to $X billion over seven weeks ending November XX up from $XXX million in the same period last year. The stock has lost about a third of its value since September XX. Why Oracle Oracle is central to the AI buildout but has weaker credit grades than Microsoft or Alphabet. It's a key player in the $XXX billion Stargate project alongside OpenAI and SoftBank. A club of about 20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995269108057915769)  2025-11-30T23:10Z 21.7K followers, 11.8K engagements


"🦔ChatGPT's growth is slowing according to Sensor Tower data. The chatbot still leads with XX% of global mobile downloads and XX% of monthly active users but its monthly active users only grew X% from August to November reaching XXX million. Google Gemini's monthly active users jumped XX% in the same period. ChatGPT's share dropped three percentage points over four months while Gemini gained three points. Perplexity and Claude saw triple-digit growth up XXX% and XXX% year-over-year. The Details ChatGPT's downloads grew XX% year-over-year lagging the cohort's XXX% average. Gemini users now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997101035140059392)  2025-12-06T00:29Z 21.7K followers, 5995 engagements


"🦔Fed Chair Jerome Powell said federal jobs data could be overestimating job creation by up to 60000 jobs per month. Official figures show 40000 jobs added monthly since April but the real number could be negative 20000 per month. The problem involves the birth-death model which estimates jobs when businesses open or close and has overstated job creation by hundreds of thousands annually. Powell said "the labor market is under pressure where job creation may actually be negative." My Take Powell just admitted the job numbers might be completely wrong. If we're not gaining 40000 jobs per month"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999195983373111801)  2025-12-11T19:14Z 21.7K followers, 3224 engagements


"@NaujSeber 🦔I agree AI will be transformative and increase inequality but this specific case shows companies aren't even using AI. They're exploiting workers while claiming innovation which makes the inequality worse without delivering the actual technology"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999937471522783365)  2025-12-13T20:20Z 21.7K followers, XX engagements


"🦔Meta is hiding $XX billion in AI infrastructure debt off its balance sheet using special purpose vehicles echoing the financial engineering that triggered Enron's collapse and the 2008 mortgage crisis. Morgan Stanley estimates tech firms will need $XXX billion from private credit in off-balance-sheet deals by 2028. UBS notes AI debt building at $XXX billion per quarter "raises eyebrows for anyone that has seen credit cycles." The Structure Off-balance-sheet debt through SPVs or joint ventures is becoming the standard for AI data center deals. Morgan Stanley structured Meta's $XX billion in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1986226020924719198)  2025-11-06T00:16Z 21.7K followers, 1.8M engagements


"🦔HSBC built a model to figure out if OpenAI can actually pay for all the compute it's contracted. The answer is no. OpenAI has committed to $XXX billion in cloud compute from Microsoft and $XX billion from Amazon bringing contracted compute to XX gigawatts. Based on total deal value of up to $XXX trillion HSBC estimates OpenAI is heading for data center rental bills of about $XXX billion a year though only a third of that capacity comes online by 2030. The Math HSBC projects OpenAI's cumulative rental costs at $XXX billion through 2030 rising to $XXX trillion by 2033. Against that they"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1993836166563676184)  2025-11-27T00:16Z 21.7K followers, 1M engagements


"🦔AI adoption at work has fallen and now sits at XX% of Americans according to Census Bureau data. Adoption has fallen sharply at the largest businesses employing over XXX people. Other surveys show stagnation too: one found AI use at work dropped from XX% in June to XX% in September. Another found daily AI use at work went from XXXX% to XXXX% over a year. A fintech firm tracking corporate spending found AI use soared to XX% in early 2025 before leveling off. Why It Matters Big tech will spend $X trillion on AI infrastructure through 2030. To make those investments worthwhile they need around"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1995589972590772347)  2025-12-01T20:25Z 21.7K followers, 322.5K engagements


"🦔Dell says roughly a billion PCs are still running Windows XX despite Microsoft ending mainstream support in October. During Dell's latest earnings call COO Jeffrey Clarke said XXX million Windows machines are too old to run Windows XX while another XXX million are capable but haven't upgraded yet. StatCounter data shows Windows XX installed on XXXXX% of desktops compared to Windows 11's 53.79%. The Upgrade Problem Windows XX launched in late 2021 with strict hardware requirements that prevent many seemingly capable machines from installing it forcing users to buy new hardware instead."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996408603293450695)  2025-12-04T02:37Z 21.7K followers, 19.3K engagements


"🦔Wall Street is lending trillions to AI companies while simultaneously buying insurance against those same loans going bad. Oracle's debt protection costs have hit 2008 financial crisis levels. Trading of Oracle credit default swaps (insurance against defaults) jumped to $X billion over nine weeks versus $XXX million last year. Protecting $XX million of Microsoft debt now costs $34000 annually versus $20000 in mid-October. The Risk Transfer Global bond issuance hit $XXXX trillion in 2025. Hyperscalers are expected to spend at least $X trillion on AI infrastructure. Morgan Stanley held talks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1996986675961188654)  2025-12-05T16:55Z 21.7K followers, 18.3K engagements


"🦔Goldman Sachs says the AI boom now looks like tech stocks did in 1997 several years before the dot-com bubble burst. The bank flagged five warning signs from the late 1990s investors should watch: peak investment spending falling corporate profits rising corporate debt Fed rate cuts and widening credit spreads. The Warnings Today Investment spending: Amazon Meta Microsoft Alphabet and Apple are on track to spend $XXX billion on capex in 2025. Corporate profits: S&P XXX margins at XXXX% above the five-year average of 12.1%. Corporate debt: Meta raised $XX billion in bonds in October. Most"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1997392097104572850)  2025-12-06T19:46Z 21.7K followers, 33.9K engagements


"🦔This week's newsletter is out: The Disconnect Deepens. The S&P XXX is up XXXX% year-to-date but the bond market is flashing warning signs. Fed cuts rates while Treasury yields rise. Goldman says AI investment looks like 1997. The top XX% do half of consumer spending while car repos hit X million. Read it here:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998092442927530314)  2025-12-08T18:08Z 21.7K followers, 6982 engagements


"🦔Mortgage delinquency is worsening across most of the country with rates ranging from X% to nearly XX% depending on the city according to WalletHub. The firm found XX of the XXX largest US cities saw delinquency rates rise between Q1 and Q2 2025 as elevated mortgage rates high home prices and cost-of-living pressures strained household finances. Laredo Texas posted the highest share at XX% with a nearly X% quarter-over-quarter increase. Detroit ranked second at nearly XX% up XX% in the latest quarter. Newark New Jersey placed third at close to XX% with a X% quarter-to-quarter surge. My Take"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998146820191732168)  2025-12-08T21:45Z 21.7K followers, 66.4K engagements


"🦔Bitcoin is struggling to turn recent good news into a rebound dipping below $90000 Tuesday before fighting to stay above that level. This comes despite supportive signals: the CFTC cleared Bitcoin Ether and USDC as eligible collateral for derivatives trades Michael Saylor's Strategy made its biggest Bitcoin purchase since July and Vanguard opened access to crypto funds. The market is still reeling from the October XX flash crash when over $XX billion in crypto bets liquidated in hours. Spot trading volumes across tokens on major exchanges have fallen XX% since January highs. Market depth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998473724283260957)  2025-12-09T19:24Z 21.7K followers, 2124 engagements


"🦔Investors have plowed $XXX billion into leveraged ETFs the highest amount in history. Leveraged ETFs use derivatives and debt to amplify returns typically offering 2x or 3x the daily performance of an underlying index. They can be both long and short positions. The total stock market cap is $XXX trillion so leveraged ETFs represent about XXX% of the market. My Take Leveraged ETFs at record highs shows how much risk people are taking to chase returns. These products amplify both gains and losses so when the market moves against you losses pile up fast. What concerns me is this happening"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998515751045701635)  2025-12-09T22:11Z 21.7K followers, 11K engagements


"🦔I came across a Financial Times deep dive on Silicon Valley's "network state" movement where tech billionaires are funding projects to build their own cities and countries. There are now about XXX "start-up societies" in the works with some receiving hundreds of millions in venture capital from Peter Thiel Marc Andreessen Sam Altman and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong. The concept is to gather online communities and buy land to establish physical homelands marketed as the "ultimate exit" from "failing" US institutions and democracy. The Projects Balaji Srinivasan former Coinbase CTO started a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998561804927005059)  2025-12-10T01:14Z 21.7K followers, 13.3K engagements


"🦔The Fed cut rates by a quarter-point to 3.5%-3.75% in a 9-3 vote marking the most dissents at a Fed meeting in years. Fed Governor Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a larger half-point cut while Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee dissented in favor of holding rates steady. The Fed's dot plot shows the median official expects to lower rates by a quarter-point in 2026 and another quarter-point in 2027. The Fed tweaked the statement to say it will consider "the extent and timing of additional adjustments" suggesting officials will likely pause"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998840331878502676)  2025-12-10T19:40Z 21.7K followers, 5007 engagements


"🦔McDonald's Netherlands released a 45-second AI-generated Christmas ad created by agency TBWANeboko and production company The Sweetshop. The ad features rapidly-changing scenes in AI's typical style with grotesque characters poor color grading and janky physics. Backlash in YouTube comments was so intense that McDonald's shut down comments over the weekend before delisting the video entirely. The Sweetshop released a defensive statement saying their team "hardly slept for seven weeks" with up to XX AI and post specialists working to generate "thousands of takes" that they shaped in editing."  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998878390863147076)  2025-12-10T22:12Z 21.7K followers, 6479 engagements


"🦔Mark Zuckerberg's $XXX million mega yacht Launchpad runs on four diesel engines that burn about XXX gallons of fuel per hour emitting XX tons of CO over that same period. In nine months between 2024 and 2025 the yacht burned over 528000 gallons of diesel fuel producing more than 5300 tons of carbon emissions equivalent to nearly XXX US households over one year. The yacht is accompanied by a $XX million support ship called Wingman that carries smaller boats a submarine and a helicopter. Zuckerberg worth roughly $XXX billion has been an outspoken advocate for climate policies including the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1998916894724861997)  2025-12-11T00:45Z 21.7K followers, 27.7K engagements


"🦔The AI sector is generating $XX billion in revenue against $XXX billion in spending this year with the gap filled by circular financing and off-balance-sheet debt. CoreWeave exemplifies this: the company uses Nvidia's money to buy Nvidia's chips and rents them back to Nvidia while spending $XX billion against $X billion in revenue. The company has $XX billion in debt due within a year and $XX billion in lease payments starting through 2028. The Structure Nvidia invested $XXX billion in OpenAI. OpenAI has $XXX billion in agreements with Oracle $XX billion with Amazon $XX billion with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999263679540248818)  2025-12-11T23:43Z 21.7K followers, 20.8K engagements


"🦔Oracle's credit default swap spreads have shot up to around XXX basis points the most expensive on record after its latest earnings reignited worries about AI spending and borrowing. Oracle has just over $XXX billion in debt and has become a bellwether for sentiment toward AI as bubble concerns grow. Daily notional average CDS trading on Oracle hit $XX million in Q3 up XXX% from this point last year. By comparison Nvidia CDS trade around XX bps and Meta around XX bps. What This Means Credit default swaps are insurance against bond issuer default. The spread is measured in basis points with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999293219700367681)  2025-12-12T01:40Z 21.7K followers, 11.1K engagements


"🦔AI infrastructure stocks sold off sharply after Oracle delayed OpenAI data center completion to 2028 from 2027 and Broadcom's AI revenue forecast missed expectations. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell as much as X% on track for its worst decline in two months. Broadcom dropped as much as XX% while Astera Labs and Coherent Corp. fell more than 10%. Nvidia dropped as much as XXX% and CoreWeave fell 11%. The selloff extended to power-related stocks including Constellation Energy Vistra GE Vernova and Cummins. The semiconductor index remains up XX% this year outpacing the Nasdaq 100's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999581775463387567)  2025-12-12T20:47Z 21.7K followers, 9221 engagements


"🦔McDonald's removed its AI-generated Christmas commercial after it went viral for being terrible. TBWA and The Sweetshop the agency and production company behind the ad tried to scrub it from the internet along with a defensive statement from Sweetshop's CEO. The statement claimed "for seven weeks we hardly slept with up to XX of our in-house AI and post specialists working in lockstep with the directors." McDonald's responded by blaming its Netherlands branch and insisting any coverage reference "McDonald's Netherlands" for accuracy. The company's parent Omnicom recently became the largest"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999617007650488334)  2025-12-12T23:07Z 21.7K followers, 18.5K engagements


"🦔Oracle shares have plunged more than XX% since their September XX all-time high. The company's new investment-grade notes are now trading like junk bonds after delays on data center completion dates for OpenAI projects were pushed back to 2028 due to labor and material shortages. Paper losses for investors who bought the $XX billion of high-grade notes Oracle sold in September now total about $XXXX billion. The cost of protecting Oracle's debt against default rose as much as XXXX basis points Friday to XXXXX basis points poised to finish at its highest level since 2009 for a second straight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/1999938837305266205)  2025-12-13T20:25Z 21.7K followers, 8020 engagements


"🦔More than X million US student loan holders have missed at least one payment this year as delinquencies in the $XXX trillion market soar following the end of Biden's post-pandemic payment holiday. The share of balances more than XX days past due has doubled since the payment holiday began in early 2020. New York Fed data shows XXX% of the $XXXX trillion in US student debt is more than XX days past due up from XXX% a year ago. A TransUnion poll found almost half of those missing payments said they couldn't afford them while a quarter were waiting for forgiveness information. Delinquencies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/2000000786361614739)  2025-12-14T00:32Z 21.7K followers, 45.9K engagements


"🦔Microsoft has cut sales targets for its agentic AI software by up to XX% after struggling to find buyers. Compared to ChatGPT and Google's Gemini Copilot is falling behind. Tests from earlier this year found AI agents failed to complete tasks up to XX% of the time. ChatGPT commands over XX% of the market Google's Gemini sits at XX% with XX% growth last quarter and Microsoft's Copilot holds 14%. My Take Microsoft cutting sales targets by XX% for AI software tells me nobody wants what they're selling. When AI agents fail XX% of the time at completing tasks I can see why companies aren't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/2000417692625305669)  2025-12-15T04:08Z 21.7K followers, 6651 engagements