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# ![@Fierce__beast Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1472099252239224844.png) @Fierce__beast Fierce_beast

Fierce_beast posts on X about ai, stocks, $fds, $morn the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1472099252239224844/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1472099252239224844/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] -54%
- [--] Month [-------] +192%
- [--] Months [-------] +231%
- [--] Year [---------] +456%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1472099252239224844/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1472099252239224844/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +56%
- [--] Month [---] +112%
- [--] Months [---] +106%
- [--] Year [---] +146%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1472099252239224844/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1472099252239224844/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +2.70%
- [--] Month [-----] +11%
- [--] Months [-----] +141%
- [--] Year [-----] +589%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1472099252239224844/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1472099252239224844/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  67.27% [finance](/list/finance)  33.64% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  27.27% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  3.64% [countries](/list/countries)  2.73% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  2.73% [financial services](/list/financial-services)  0.91%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 26.36%, [stocks](/topic/stocks) #3677, [$fds](/topic/$fds) #6, [$morn](/topic/$morn) 7.27%, [business](/topic/business) 7.27%, [$angi](/topic/$angi) 6.36%, [$amzn](/topic/$amzn) #279, [$goog](/topic/$goog) #51, [data](/topic/data) 5.45%, [money](/topic/money) 4.55%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@fiercebeast](/creator/undefined) [@blinklebloop](/creator/undefined) [@joinyellowbrick](/creator/undefined) [@ragingventures](/creator/undefined) [@firstadopter](/creator/undefined) [@acaciacap](/creator/undefined) [@glbeaty](/creator/undefined) [@utilitypure](/creator/undefined) [@k3ithmccullough](/creator/undefined) [@icgmode](/creator/undefined) [@yilengyao1](/creator/undefined) [@capitalfang](/creator/undefined) [@stockjabber](/creator/undefined) [@noodles_crusher](/creator/undefined) [@theotheraharon](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@fiscalai](/creator/undefined) [@murraystres](/creator/undefined) [@geminiapp](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Factset Research Systems, Inc. (FDS)](/topic/$fds) [Morningstar, Inc. (MORN)](/topic/$morn) [Angi Inc. Class A Common Stock (ANGI)](/topic/$angi) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$goog) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI)](/topic/$tri) [NerdWallet, Inc.  (NRDS)](/topic/$nrds) [Expensify, Inc.  (EXFY)](/topic/$exfy) [Workday Inc (WDAY)](/topic/$wday) [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)](/topic/$tsm) [WIX.com Ltd. (WIX)](/topic/$wix) [Cars.com Inc. (CARS)](/topic/$cars) [Newell Brands Inc (NWL)](/topic/$nwl) [Autodesk Inc (ADSK)](/topic/$adsk) [Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)](/topic/$mu) [Frodo the virtual samurai (FROG)](/topic/$frog) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR)](/topic/$mpwr) [GoDaddy, Inc. (GDDY)](/topic/$gddy) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [Acco Brands Corporation (ACCO)](/topic/$acco) [Bentley Systems Inc (BSY)](/topic/$bsy) [Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER)](/topic/$aer) [Coursera, Inc. (COUR)](/topic/$cour) [Duolingo, Inc.  (DUOL)](/topic/$duol) [Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares (NVMI)](/topic/$nvmi) [Camtek Ltd (CAMT)](/topic/$camt) [Snap, Inc. (SNAP)](/topic/$snap) [Figma, Inc. (FIG)](/topic/$fig) [Salesforce Inc (CRM)](/topic/$crm) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Shopify Inc (SHOP)](/topic/$shop) [TaskUs, Inc.  (TASK)](/topic/$task) [Concentrix Corporation Common Stock (CNXC)](/topic/$cnxc) [Asana, Inc. (ASAN)](/topic/$asan) [FIVE9, INC. (FIVN)](/topic/$fivn) [Robert Half International Inc (RHI)](/topic/$rhi) [Huron Consulting Group Inc. (HURN)](/topic/$hurn)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Why would anyone use this $NRDY. NRDY provides an online platform for tutors to meet clients ands costs $50/hour or more in some cases for customers to help highschool and above students learn things. ChatGPT has destroyed the use case of tutors and consequently NRDY. I am short. ChatGPT5 is gonna be free and has PhD level knowledge across any domain. How do tutors compete now Nerdy Inc. (NYSE: NRDY) today announced Financial results for the second quarter ended June [--] [----]. Q2 proved that our Live+AI strategy is a growth engine said Chuck Cohn Founder Chairman and CEO of Nerdy. We reignited"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1953588802754073009)  2025-08-07T22:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Yes this link was what I was referring to. Wix i think pays ChatGPT for leads this way. I don't think you can actually build anything on chatgpt yet it directs you to the Wix Website. On $WIX i just saw a 2B startup website builder is raising money and doing well. https://techcrunch.com/2025/08/28/no-code-website-builder-framer-reaches-2b-valuation/ https://techcrunch.com/2025/08/28/no-code-website-builder-framer-reaches-2b-valuation/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1961420867876818993)  2025-08-29T13:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"it's been the same idea as what happened to $ADBE. i see competitors to $FDS that can do 80% of what factset does for 10% or less of the monthly price. $MORN seems also implicated here. financial data or other types of analytics providers may be very pressured by 1) less users 2) pricing pressure I've been short $FDS since this post. There is a lot of potential for disruption and generally a headwind of less seats and harder time to upsell new AI features (commoditized). Started shorting $TRI and reopened the $MORN short. $FDS is close to my PT but i see more downside I've been short $FDS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1969806235609489658)  2025-09-21T16:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"another blow to $exfy I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small businesses (12 people). Some tables: https://t.co/0kBVRNPtKY I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small businesses (12 people). Some tables:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1973199709683720204)  2025-10-01T01:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"i'm short $TRI $morn $mktw and $fds. seems like they are being hit by this news i should notice the anthropic/fds partnership but i just don't see exactly how this LT benefits $fds. i think being able to provide verified financial data (the big claimed advantage of $fds) is being rapidly commoditized) https://www.reuters.com/business/lseg-partners-with-anthropic-bring-financial-data-access-claude-users-2025-10-27/ https://www.reuters.com/business/lseg-partners-with-anthropic-bring-financial-data-access-claude-users-2025-10-27/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1983594555720061192)  2025-10-29T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$MORN seems a little suss. Pitchbook was supposed to be a differentiated product with proprietary data yet this segment is decelerating. Now raising debt to fund buybacks Not inherently bad but not sure it makes sense if parts of the business is decelerating. Makes me wonder if they're struggling to find reinvestment opportunities in their businesses. $MORN earnings: Morningstar Q325: Strong Credit Performance Offsets PitchBook Deceleration Morningstar delivered a solid quarter with revenue and adjusted earnings growth largely driven by an exceptional performance in its Credit business."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1984275729253556466)  2025-10-31T15:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"bear case for $morn $fds $mktw $TRI who am i missing The new Google Finance is shipping 🚀 - Deep Search so you can ask your most complex research q's - Prediction markets data from @Kalshi & @Polymarket so you can explore q's about future market events - And its first international expansion to India https://t.co/J8Ei788LXv https://t.co/H6b8V5VfRI The new Google Finance is shipping 🚀 - Deep Search so you can ask your most complex research q's - Prediction markets data from @Kalshi & @Polymarket so you can explore q's about future market events - And its first international expansion to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1986656853036519514)  2025-11-07T04:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$EXFY short working. Probably just too much competition. I hear from friends this is a great product but its a mono product company with low economics and LT will have a serious issue competing with more holistic solutions IMO. Buyout risk is here so hard to short in size and large cash balance but I think that created the opportunity on the other hand. I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1986857844100985313)  2025-11-07T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"adding screenshot for record $NRDY Why would anyone use this $NRDY. NRDY provides an online platform for tutors to meet clients ands costs $50/hour or more in some cases for customers to help highschool and above students learn things. ChatGPT has destroyed the use case of tutors and consequently NRDY. I am https://t.co/zMeNXTK397 Why would anyone use this $NRDY. NRDY provides an online platform for tutors to meet clients ands costs $50/hour or more in some cases for customers to help highschool and above students learn things. ChatGPT has destroyed the use case of tutors and consequently"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1988367783361744899)  2025-11-11T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Ramp competes in many domains. Often a great source of short ideas is identifying fast growth startups and figuring out who's marke share they are winning. In my short thesis for $EXFY I factored this into my forecast for revenues and margins. It may be playing part in $BILL's malaise and host of other publicly traded SaaS. If Ramp is 2xing revenues why is $BILL's revenues expected to decline Is there some marketshare shift going on here Today Ramp raised another $300M at a $32B valuation. In the past year our revenue has doubled to over $1B growing 10x faster than the median public SaaS. We"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1990481796278915310)  2025-11-17T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This has everything that $fds it $morn has and it won't be the only one. is @fiscal_ai the only platform in the world that already has all of Nvidia's financials https://t.co/1pRpElwgXn is @fiscal_ai the only platform in the world that already has all of Nvidia's financials https://t.co/1pRpElwgXn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1991274331398078748)  2025-11-19T22:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$CTRI Thesis is they don't have much exposure to capacity additions but they should LT benefit from more maintenance work. They are trying to get more involved in the same stuff $PWR does but it's a long shot let's be honest. Seemed like one of the few power beneficiaries still trading for a decent valuation on a likely strong multi-year tailwind for the stock. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1995967632755786169 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1995967632755786169"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1995967632755786169)  2025-12-02T21:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"short $alrm $rezi etc i wonder I was inspired by this so I wanted to see if Claude Code can get into my Lutron home automation system. - it found my Lutron controllers on the local wifi network - checked for open ports connected got some metadata and identified the devices and their firmware - searched the I was inspired by this so I wanted to see if Claude Code can get into my Lutron home automation system. - it found my Lutron controllers on the local wifi network - checked for open ports connected got some metadata and identified the devices and their firmware - searched the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2005074077615292646)  2025-12-28T00:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Are lead gen informational websites like the ones run by $QNST $NRDS $CARS $TTGT $ZD $TBLA $TRIP $YELP etc etc the retail store apocalypse of tomorrow Web traffic continues to hemorrhage to one-click and within a year or two I think it's likely that we will be in the early stages of utilizing AI agents to organize our lives plan and purchase trips order basic home goods (or return them) advise us and execute large discretionary or non-discretionary purchases like cars or homes advise us on our taxes and likely fill them out help with business formation paperwork insurance claims etc etc. If"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2009703913360961707)  2026-01-09T19:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"short case for $zip BREAKING 🚨: OpenAI is developing ChatGPT Jobs a new career-focused AI agent designed to help users with resume tips job search and career guidance. AI Job search will be a big market too 🤖 https://t.co/2QvFDqr6XM BREAKING 🚨: OpenAI is developing ChatGPT Jobs a new career-focused AI agent designed to help users with resume tips job search and career guidance. AI Job search will be a big market too 🤖 https://t.co/2QvFDqr6XM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2009789779605680350)  2026-01-10T00:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"A little update on $ANGI: This observation from Burry adds another interesting element to the short thesis. I'm not quite sure the extent of work that most customers seek out on Angi's list but i do recall plumbing was a big one. The revenue estimates for $ANGI are in the screenshot attached. Another 4Q2025 revenue decline is expected by analysts but they have it suddenly returning to growth in [----]. Angi claims they can accomplish this inflection primarily through increased spending on TV ads (like 2xing it) getting more professionals on their platform and increasing the price per lead they"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2010403204056363201)  2026-01-11T17:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@glbeaty Yea that seems right. I think the $ANGI short will mostly only work due encroaching competition and higher CAC. The DIY vs hiring thing is a little speculative and if happens only would be at the margins at least NT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011096160300384709)  2026-01-13T15:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ACCO Seems like underneath its relative stability is a huge fundamental problem. The reason it's stable I think is because of cost savings initiatives that now seem behind it. So now I'm not sure how much longer that lasts and then what happens I think there is a small chance that the company rapidly deteriorates from here or more likely that it continues to gradually worsen. It's not clear to me that it's a short. by my estimate it trades somewhere in the range of 2-4x forward real earnings. That is pricing a swift end which I think there is actually only a small chance of happening. On the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011349479912264114)  2026-01-14T08:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$NWL Fair enough It's not clear to me whether underlying demand/pricing recovers for their core products but I get the long bet here. I think 2-3 years from now the stock will likely be flat or lower given the decline in their actual products. I think they could pull off some margin efficiencies but cannot keep that up forever. So it's a tough outlook and yes there could be a valuation re-rate but there's that big looming terminal value question that might keep it lower than people think. @Fierce__beast I suggest you read the Q3 earnings transcript and then read the transcript from the Morgan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011493451758780872)  2026-01-14T17:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$NWL looks like a mess -- look how many brands they have. They have [--] baby stroller brands. The baby segment is probably no more than 20% of sales. Even if that grows 10% a year it would only add 2% total sales growth look at their sales compared to related peers -- Sales declines are close to $ACCO and $JOUT but they have a way higher ev/ebtida multiple interestingly enough https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520234834829629 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520234834829629"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011520234834829629)  2026-01-14T19:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Yea the $ADBE thing happened quickly because a lot of the users also hated it and though it was overpriced. I have no idea if that's the case with $ADSK or $BSY fwiw. The concern i have is that they used to have some big advantage by having the best and most integrated design tech. But i feel like this advantage may slowly erode as AI competitors strengthen. So what they are left with is just switching costs mostly but they also need to reduce price in this scenario otherwise customers will leave. Yea something to monitor for now https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011896383658148041"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011896383658148041)  2026-01-15T20:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ADSK and $BSY -- i am short a small amount of each. Very low conviction but I can see a path to these sort of becoming like the $ADBE's of 2027/2028. Faster if AI gets better. There are literally examples of it already. I'm sus that they have a data advantage. If there are advanced engineering books out there that the models are training on then you couple that with the SOTA math abilities of the models I think engineering data is effectively a commodity. I believe it's likely the world goes that direction. Makes me wonder about the other design software companies. @Fierce__beast The future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011896587807797738)  2026-01-15T20:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@murrayst_res very cool example. And somehow that doesn't really feel surprising. $fvrr not sure. still need a human in the loop but inidivudal tasks are getting automated. just lets human do a lot more higher level stuff now. just not sure about that one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011911550685081939)  2026-01-15T21:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"A similar dynamic occurs in what industry $AER Jensen just said GPUs are effectively sold out across the cloud with availability so tight that even renting older-generation chips has become difficult. AI bubble narrative was a bubble. https://t.co/DyBAQrQLTC Jensen just said GPUs are effectively sold out across the cloud with availability so tight that even renting older-generation chips has become difficult. AI bubble narrative was a bubble. https://t.co/DyBAQrQLTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2014054982589309163)  2026-01-21T19:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"ty $AER for all the good times. really i should thank Mr. Angus Kelly From my [----] notes: "3% of aircraft leased in 1970s 20% leased in 1990s 25% in early 2000s today roughly 40% leased. By [----] estimated 50% leased. Why Airliners need to lease in order to maintain financial flexibility and liquidity during cycles. Replacement cycle: Aircraft life-cycle 25-30 years means 3-4% of global fleet must be replaced each year roughly. Constant flow of leased aircraft with higher rents. Airbus estimates 40% will be replaced and 60% will be growth." With a big supply/demand issue for aircraft for the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2014060480596152637)  2026-01-21T19:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"dam rip SAT tutors $cour $nrdy $dcbo probably $duol Were launching full-length on demand practice exams for standardized tests in @GeminiApp starting with the SAT available now at no cost. Practice SATs are grounded in rigorously vetted content in partnership with @ThePrincetonRev and Gemini will provide immediate feedback https://t.co/GmivPuBp7B Were launching full-length on demand practice exams for standardized tests in @GeminiApp starting with the SAT available now at no cost. Practice SATs are grounded in rigorously vetted content in partnership with @ThePrincetonRev and Gemini will"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2014063309331292312)  2026-01-21T19:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am short a lot of SaaS but also am starting to increase SaaS long exposure. I am long some $WDAY and $FROG for now. Obviously very long $AMZN $GOOG and all the main semi's $TSM $NVDA $MU $ASML $NVMI $CAMT -- these seem like sure bets as enterprise adoption kicks the second leg of the AI scale buildout into hyperdrive for the next [--] months at least. Alarm bells are going off for beaten down SaaS though. Found one with accelerating rev growth super FCF positive down 50% over the last year and not totally sure if AI even disrupts them since they have some physical presence exposure."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2015516563772670441)  2026-01-25T20:06Z [----] followers, 13K engagements


"@UtilityPure How do you know -- have you ran an ERP integration before"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2015530483828834699)  2026-01-25T21:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$HCA I am long The bull case for hospitals: https://t.co/BI5dPF1Vvm Minute 19:00 Less busy work for nurses charting. 5m nurse shortage in the US. AI does charting and transcription for patient visits nurses spend 50% of their time charting. They can spend more time visiting patients and The bull case for hospitals: https://t.co/BI5dPF1Vvm Minute 19:00 Less busy work for nurses charting. 5m nurse shortage in the US. AI does charting and transcription for patient visits nurses spend 50% of their time charting. They can spend more time visiting patients and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2016185031597633758)  2026-01-27T16:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"like $MPWR is a stock i've been long and wrote about it when it was $550/sh. i thought "fair value was in the range of [---] upper bound. and i just don't think that in the majority of cases it's worth rotating out of it to buy a stock like $gddy that had an 11x fwd p/e and growing low double digit eps which would have 100% upside if it turns out to be roughly stable in the LT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016197470389240060 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016197470389240060"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2016197470389240060)  2026-01-27T17:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$MPWR early testing of claude back in [----] My god how things have changed since.You cannot make up how dramatically the world has shifted. I thought fair value was somewhere around $750-$850 at that time in Nov [----]. I was new to the stock and forecasted what i thought was likely. Full saga of my thoughts scattered throughout my feed fun to look back on what went right and what went wrong I am long some $MPWR in my new hedge fund sleeve. $MPWR https://t.co/PTmNRRoVsk $MPWR https://t.co/PTmNRRoVsk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2017067785688666349)  2026-01-30T02:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$cars short saw the openclaw thing use this to buy a car for someone and negotiate prices with various dealers. lead gen for cars mmmm. scary. why would dealers pay for visibility if clawbot or some other ai agent negotiates a price for you direct also autonomous vehicles slowly gonna eat into volumes http://cars.com https://hexorcism.com/HyundaiApp/inventory.php http://cars.com https://hexorcism.com/HyundaiApp/inventory.php"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2017375928318619779)  2026-01-30T23:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RagingVentures i'm short all but $wday am long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2018835557116453318)  2026-02-03T23:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I spelled it out in Sep 2025-- legal corporate accounting etc. I am short $CBZ and maybe it's time to short that accounting cult stock from Australia. Dam already down 50% @Deuceswild221 $TRI I'm still not sure about it. It seems more like an enterprise saas stock than a financial data provider like $FDS The area that looks suspect to me is the legal coporate and tax&accounting biz which are most of its profits. If a large portion of the business is driven https://t.co/vCV6cAuABh @Deuceswild221 $TRI I'm still not sure about it. It seems more like an enterprise saas stock than a financial data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2018888691708530796)  2026-02-04T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"does anyone know anyone who uses and loves $PTON or $SNAP $SNAP not growing much in US That doesn't seem good because ARPU is higher in US. Same story $PINS. $COUR earnings tn Estimates look like its expected to grow a lot in [----] but how $EGHT results with declining incremental margins How is that gonna work out LT for them https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019471291581882658 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019471291581882658"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019471291581882658)  2026-02-05T18:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Anybody worried about long $CARS or $QNST $EVR $NRDS I am"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019471647657390352)  2026-02-05T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"woah. $msft How dylan repays satya for that datacenter tour 🥀 https://t.co/7rfZEEdzCy How dylan repays satya for that datacenter tour 🥀 https://t.co/7rfZEEdzCy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019552575889219726)  2026-02-05T23:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am short $FDS and $MORN the issue @firstadopter is that these companies have historically earned very high margins and little incremental capital. They are pulling data from SEC filings. Can a LLM not do that eventually What happens to the customer base of $FDS if they have more options What happens to active investing if AI's make things even more competitive and difficult to find edges in the market I mean Opus [---] isn't terrible but it is still using unreliable web data pulled from Yahoo Finance and random websites. There is no way this replaces FactSet (FDS stock down 7% on dumb media"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019555040021692726)  2026-02-05T23:33Z [----] followers, 49.6K engagements


"How can $NVDA $AMZN $TSM and $GOOG all be down because of increased capex Hmm. Let's see. [--]. Peak cycle -- there will be no more capital for [----] or [----] capex to keep growing. Not impossible at all. What if there are no more SaaS stocks to keep spending on cloud services What if all the AI native startups fail My counter -- look at freaking code applications alone. 2% github commits from claude code on a 2T tam for software (thanks @SemiAnalysis_ ). What happens to that [--] years from now 20% -- 50% [--]. $NVDA down because more marketshare to $AMZN and TPU So then $AMZN takes massive share in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019560938576248894)  2026-02-05T23:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"the bear case on hyperscalers: they are irrationally spending to take share and there is no current or expected realistically high enough ROI to justify the investment. ok so why not go into $tsm or $asml then it would seem irrational for those to sell-off too. The hyperscalers have all converged on spending 65% of gross profit on capex. [--] years ago the average was 33% and from 2017-2022 it was 27%. https://t.co/xKPlMvXlWZ The hyperscalers have all converged on spending 65% of gross profit on capex. [--] years ago the average was 33% and from 2017-2022 it was 27%. https://t.co/xKPlMvXlWZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019566595950227882)  2026-02-06T00:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"poor $FIG https://blog.janestreet.com/i-design-with-claude-code-more-than-figma-now-index/ https://blog.janestreet.com/i-design-with-claude-code-more-than-figma-now-index/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019588669976527003)  2026-02-06T01:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"disgusting what opus [---] can do and what it means for $FDS and $MORN and other analytics providers. I am short $FDS and $MORN the issue @firstadopter is that these companies have historically earned very high margins and little incremental capital. They are pulling data from SEC filings. Can a LLM not do that eventually What happens to the customer base of $FDS if they I am short $FDS and $MORN the issue @firstadopter is that these companies have historically earned very high margins and little incremental capital. They are pulling data from SEC filings. Can a LLM not do that eventually What"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019603386472206527)  2026-02-06T02:45Z [----] followers, 49.4K engagements


"What happens to investment banking fees and equity research value Do we short banks that have high exposure to this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019632156989849649)  2026-02-06T04:40Z [----] followers, 18.7K engagements


"I'm short some $ENR but is it actually just too cheap here It's very close to being too cheap i think I get around 2.6/sh of real eps. If that declines at 2-3% perhaps a fair value might be roughly at this price i would guess. And if its anything more than that the stock could go lower first. LT headwinds are lower cost substitutes and who cares about battery brands at all Also aren't most consumer batteries going integrated lithium-ion (rechargeable via USB-C) look at the organic growth (claude snapshot). The decline accelerated starting in FY1Q25. APS (Advanced Power Solutions) was acquired"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019639256533090505)  2026-02-06T05:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Long $COKE Just brainstorming some things you cannot currently prompt your way out of: -Eating -Toilet Paper -Drinking -Extracting Raw Materials -Turning Raw Materials into Goods -Aging -Lead times -Supply chains -Oil Just brainstorming some things you cannot currently prompt your way out of: -Eating -Toilet Paper -Drinking -Extracting Raw Materials -Turning Raw Materials into Goods -Aging -Lead times -Supply chains -Oil"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019640092730524078)  2026-02-06T05:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"short $OI though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019640174700114047)  2026-02-06T05:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"who's paying $35k a year for screeners and financial analysis when there are options to get roughly 80-90% of everything you need with claude and TIKR for 10x less I've used factset and bloomberg and unfortunately i can tell you that the rate at which AI is improving these tools seem to me to be in serious trouble of losing a lot of relevance and thus value over time. it will likely just be a slow and gradual bleed but there is a non-zero growing probability this happens in like [--] years. i guess i'll likely continue being short $fds and $morn. there is an extension of this short thesis to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019773856064442527)  2026-02-06T14:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"shocked that ai capex for [----] just got revised up by like 25% (about 120b) in a week and no meaningful move in Semis. xAI gets the capital base of Spacex to raise even more capital. Anthropic threatening openai and its VCs scrambling to raise even more capital asap. sorry to bring it up but it seems simply too divergent to not bring it up. Has there ever been a stronger and perhaps more sustainable undercurrent than what we are seeing here Just NT speaking not medium or LT even. like next [--] months time frame. my pedantic and annoyingly recurring thoughts on how this plays out: 1) market is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019779869811363843)  2026-02-06T14:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"for sure -- but what didn't get right basically the entire universe of saas stocks that might be impacted. all i cared was for it to rank the largest to smallest and give a list of saas seat based stocks. i think the finer details of less hallucinations will be solved over time. but i agree and for financial analysis i use something like TIKR supplementing the work i do with claude https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019781082170691614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019781082170691614"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019781082170691614)  2026-02-06T14:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AcaciaCap @pekwat i've seen someone bearish on even pitchbook"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019799743866527781)  2026-02-06T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"minute [--] bear case $crm new AI companies that are claiming to replace your salesforce and replacing 10-20-30 sales people. CRM is still great but what happens to seat based pricing if this AI stuff succeeds https://m.youtube.com/watchv=F9NekS6PCM0 https://m.youtube.com/watchv=F9NekS6PCM0"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019803594015621201)  2026-02-06T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RagingVentures @firstadopter but why ok in theory if they LLM could accurately compile data from SEC filings and press releases isn't that like 90% of what buyside/sellside guys use factset for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019809811634987302)  2026-02-06T16:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@k3ithmccullough just type $fds in my search profile"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019926712038092928)  2026-02-07T00:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Blinklebloop $adbe $fig $sstk etc etc https://x.com/fierce__beast/status/1797641284288688523s=46 What duopoly/monopoly type of industries or businesses are being disrupted by AI today I have a few but one interesting name that comes to mind is $adbe -- pricing power and retention likely to decline vs historical rates due to alternatives like Midjourney. https://x.com/fierce__beast/status/1797641284288688523s=46 What duopoly/monopoly type of industries or businesses are being disrupted by AI today I have a few but one interesting name that comes to mind is $adbe -- pricing power and retention"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2020579711949377742)  2026-02-08T19:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"if saas stocks recover eventually and survive won't they just have more money to spend on AI products"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2020601798088864163)  2026-02-08T20:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@its_moonberries if company survives stock survives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2020604626983326182)  2026-02-08T21:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Heading back to NYC Spent last [--] weeks in rio. pretty insane lifestyle some people have. i met an investor he lives [--] block from the beach [--] block from his office works out everyday and takes a swim multiple times a week. Anyone want to meet to talk saas stocks in NYC maybe we can get a group of people together"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2020702819045581315)  2026-02-09T03:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"uh oh $snap Business Insider reports $META Instagram is internally testing a prototype for a new standalone app that looks a lot like Snapchat. https://t.co/jSOUtKfTSb Business Insider reports $META Instagram is internally testing a prototype for a new standalone app that looks a lot like Snapchat. https://t.co/jSOUtKfTSb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021071029930734055)  2026-02-10T03:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"For $ANGI not even cost cuts seems to help the stock. For declining businesses cost cuts may only be perceived as temporary cash flow boosts. Stock goes up initially but then normalizes to what its true value is and in most cases is just going to be anchored a lot to its terminal growth prospects A little update on $ANGI: This observation from Burry adds another interesting element to the short thesis. I'm not quite sure the extent of work that most customers seek out on Angi's list but i do recall plumbing was a big one. The revenue estimates for $ANGI are in the https://t.co/VLWwI1YcRO A"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021329306924826752)  2026-02-10T21:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"One example of this today is $PLBY. By my estimates $PLBY will likely spend all of its operating cash flows on paying down its debt. So yes this deal announced today helps it but also cannot hide the concern that its operating business is in pretty bad shape. Can they keep pushing out new license deals Maybe but what if these license deals get renewed in a year but no partner wants to renew at current rates or just cancel all together What if next quarter a few cancel or the declines in their store business accelerates For $ANGI not even cost cuts seems to help the stock. For declining"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021330104446849167)  2026-02-10T21:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ZezimaLincoln i don't know if the result was good why is $angi down so much after market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021335000780767261)  2026-02-10T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"i first wrote about $ANGI here A couple more short ideas: $ANGI has been a bad company for a while losing to Google local service ads thumbtack taskrabbit houzz amazon home services and others. i feel like this gets worse with AI. but if not they have tried different things and fundamentals keep getting A couple more short ideas: $ANGI has been a bad company for a while losing to Google local service ads thumbtack taskrabbit houzz amazon home services and others. i feel like this gets worse with AI. but if not they have tried different things and fundamentals keep getting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021338069241299039)  2026-02-10T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$ANGI 1q26 ebitda guide down 40% from prior year and maybe 50% or so below consensus of around 30m EBITDA and they are guiding to 15-17m EBITDA Ok. Why All KPI's measures are up. If you wanna spend more you're gonna get more growth. You go crazy spending you're gonna get really good growth. I dunno what $ANGI has in mind but it's not even a current problem angi has just faced tons of competitors for a while. It's just not going anywhere and getting marginally wrose over time as competitors and alternatives take share. Let's see how it does tomorrow For $ANGI not even cost cuts seems to help"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021338939399831927)  2026-02-10T21:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"have the switching costs for web hosting stocks just been mostly obliterated $gddy $wix -- who am else am i missing here Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary collapse in realtime 😵. https://t.co/Z7gpyizSDO Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021415102810030175)  2026-02-11T02:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"grocery stores have physicals moats. Digital native stocks that are reliant upon online ordering commoditized product like compounded GLP-1s have no moat. $btmd $ww $lfmd $hims $med any others im missing @Fierce__beast How do grocery stores make money @Fierce__beast How do grocery stores make money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021612819884474446)  2026-02-11T15:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"i am also long some $FNMA -- seems more like a political bet then anything else at this point. the value is clear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021616617184968997)  2026-02-11T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$OATLY looks like an interesting short (claude excerpt below:) -- does the company ever reach profitability if north america is declining revs by high single digits Why would it suddenly change now Guidance for [----] is 3-5% rev growth. Need margins to keep inflecting up but not clear how much more that can go. "SBC is $13.3M on $862M revenue = 1.5% of revenue. Not egregious but on a company with only $6.8M adj. EBITDA SBC is 2x the adj. EBITDA. Adj. EBITDA is a very generous metric here it excludes SBC restructuring ($4.9M) China review costs ($7.5M) and other items totaling $25.2M."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021623999709471166)  2026-02-11T16:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Same thing happened to $MPWR when they lost allocation to blackwell and stock dropped like 40% in a few days. Then later they won it back and then later won even more from ASIC. It just seems like good things tend to happen to good companies in growth industries. But holding a good company in a prolonged bad env for its industry just unforuntaly may not be enough for a good return. $MU presentation at Wolfe just started. Let me "address some recent inaccurate reporting on our HBM [--] position." - Have been in high volume production - Commenced HBM4 production - Shipment ramping successfully in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021626122216120553)  2026-02-11T16:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bear thesis for $REAL $AMZN $SHOP etc something about agentic shopping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021638965296865345)  2026-02-11T17:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"do you not think $goog can do this and better too $TMUS $DUOL T-Mobile introduced real-time AI translation for phone calls across 50+ languages built directly into its wireless network 🗣💬 Shares of Duolingo fell about 5% in premarket trading. How big is the moat of Duolingo 🤔 https://t.co/hmi7rshJGu $TMUS $DUOL T-Mobile introduced real-time AI translation for phone calls across 50+ languages built directly into its wireless network 🗣💬 Shares of Duolingo fell about 5% in premarket trading. How big is the moat of Duolingo 🤔 https://t.co/hmi7rshJGu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021648465441566784)  2026-02-11T18:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"i graduated college in [----] with a bad gpa i got fired from most jobs. i was running out of hope in [----] and had been investing for like [--] years by that point with so-so results around market return or slightly better but not full time. here's an email for a garbage truck driver job that i had an interview for. nobody wanted to hire me https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665802269675764 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665802269675764"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021665802269675764)  2026-02-11T19:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@StraightCap_ i am 2.5% each $FMCC and $FNMA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021721384930472061)  2026-02-11T23:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@icg_mode that too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022372385744212317)  2026-02-13T18:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@icg_mode For now it seems likely there will be differentiation between generic AI and high quaility AI content. For high quality AI content creators may want to maximize their monetization and let $NFLX acquire it for their own distribution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022372842742907133)  2026-02-13T18:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"He gives a concrete example of how claude replaced a lot of his maintenance work of answering questions from new hires. This is bear case for stocks like $NICE $TASK $CNXC etc. Look what he wrote in [----]. 100x larger compute projects expected. @andy_l_jones is a thoughtful forecaster https://t.co/uaC2DGxe3f Look what he wrote in [----]. 100x larger compute projects expected. @andy_l_jones is a thoughtful forecaster https://t.co/uaC2DGxe3f"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1998266652518170749)  2025-12-09T05:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Losing SaaS vs winning SaaS A SaaS like $ASAN seems very bad and I am short. Will they ever scale if their rev growth continues decelerating (financials in screenshot) I am long $FROG. There seems to be a possible direct correlations between the amount of code and ultimately applications being generated and their cloud business. Look at the inflection if their growth since Claude [---] came out and now imagine what that growth might be over the next year as claude [---] adoption explodes. I am short a lot of SaaS but also am starting to increase SaaS long exposure. I am long some $WDAY and $FROG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2015521307727650818)  2026-01-25T20:25Z [----] followers, 10.5K engagements


"$GDRX vs TrumpRX huh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019472246419472528)  2026-02-05T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Moment of reckoning for my current favorite saas long $FROG. Will the artifactory get replaced or made irrelevant now that claude code and codex are so capable Or will they actually benefit from all the security add-ons they provide and explosion of code ( how does $AMZN $MSFT $GOOG not benefit from an explosion of code that literally has no theoretical limit There are lots of inefficiencies in society and until all of them are fixed or improved we may continue solving for them one after another. Any software engineers who follow me have any thoughts on $FROG We will see how wrong i am on it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021628359843651794)  2026-02-11T16:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"is there a good bear case for $BTSG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022021322336014657)  2026-02-12T18:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am short some $NWL with a pt [---]. This is a lower conviction idea since there is no clear explanation as to why the business is struggling. Maybe there is some disruption of Schools buying less stuff because everyone is doing a lot more digital stuff: Writing (Sharpie/Paper Mate) -- maybe private label erosion or shift to digital Outdoor (Coleman) -- specialty DTC brands i guess Baby (Graco) -- different competitive set entirely Home fragrance (Yankee Candle) -- candle commoditization Here are the facts: [--]. [--] consecutive quarters of high single digit rev growth and EPS declines 2."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011341966961688891)  2026-01-14T07:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The reality is that still [--] year later the fundamental outlook for $CAMT $NVMI and $ONTO have significantly appreciated. Probably more than their current 1-year return. $KLAC has is up 100% far exceeding the peers even while the peers have a much smaller base to grow from and prior to the recent run up had outperformed KLAC on a [--] year time horizon. The market is unable to suspend its belief for what it thinks are cylical semi's. It made this mistake with $MU and $ASMl last year. It is likely at least in my view that they become cyclical again eventually. However I have been moving up my"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2011349112671629339)  2026-01-14T08:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"ELF--PT [---] (same as many sell-side analysts) 40% upside Company description -- brief history e.l.f. Beauty founded in [----] has undergone a remarkable transformation over the past decade. Initially a digitally native brand selling $1 cosmetics e.l.f. http://x.com/i/article/1846641374231515136 http://x.com/i/article/1846641374231515136"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1846655140507312543)  2024-10-16T20:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am short $NRDS PT 5.6/sh for 45% downside. NRDS seems to be at least attempting to diversify its business into wealth management and other verticals besides lead gen for insurance credit card and mortgages. I like they that they are being a bit offensive. Insurance could do pretty well because it seems that the auto insurers are spending a lot on marketing and that could continue but at the end of the day it still functions like the mortgage and credit card business ie They get paid by the vendor to direct customers to that vendor's website/services and they also get paid a success fee of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1945889758779175194)  2025-07-17T16:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$IGIC started buying this again and kinda like the setup into 2Q. Had the equity and warrants when stock was single digits for a while but sold in high-teens. It was never a bad stock to me just felt like there were better opportunities in some other stuff. But now it's looking pretty attractive relative to other opportunities again. I think something like 34/sh by the end of the year is probably fair value for several reasons and if not for the 1Q miss would be in the [--] handle now i'd guess. I also like that the 1Q headline numbers kind of were a bummer with the big decline in ROE and CR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1949934527075488109)  2025-07-28T20:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am short $EGHT $FIVN and $TTEC and laid out the bear thesis on CcaaS almost [--] years ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1953591349691003035)  2025-08-07T22:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I don't think stocks like $QNST or $NRDS do well here. They have ways to mitigate this and some of their content is not replacable by zero click answers like insurance rate comparisons. But it does dilute their value as content providers to some extent. I also think at some point over the next 12-18 months it's likely ChatGPT will come out with their own advertising model putting even more pressure on traffic acquistions costs for sites like or We'll see how it plays out http://nerdwallet.com http://Inusrance.com Googles AI Overviews are shaking things up publishers report traffic drops of up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/1957452416162447509)  2025-08-18T14:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small businesses (12 people). Some tables:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1969461177261408298)  2025-09-20T17:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I've been short $FDS since this post. There is a lot of potential for disruption and generally a headwind of less seats and harder time to upsell new AI features (commoditized). Started shorting $TRI and reopened the $MORN short. $FDS is close to my PT but i see more downside @jojo_capital $FDS yea maybe i'm overestimating the rate of churn or pricing pressure. But i think ChatGPT will get faster better than FDS can and i think it obvieates theneed for FDS at its price range. I've been wrong about this for a while but only recentl put on a short. Small size for @jojo_capital $FDS yea maybe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1969801316307210266)  2025-09-21T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Lower cost of inference should eventually benefit competitively durable SaaS stocks by improving the economics of inventing and deploying new AI products and services. $WDAY $CRM $NOW $INTU who else am i missing I've gone long some of these stocks recently. Not only because of this but also because they are trading at lows from disruption fears. People fear they are the next $ADBE. Won't be easy for enterprises to switch especially if they are multi-national with different local protocols and compliance issues to worry about. It's not clear what happens if there are less seats to fill. what"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1970311905580400894)  2025-09-23T02:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"i think this is wrong but we'll see. it's not like $goog they don't have a clear advantage over other ai startups or foundational image gen models. 1) $adbe used to be a monopoly 2) as a monopoly you have pricing power high switching costs low CAC 3) New AI gen tools reduces the reason to use adbe. 4) midjourney was growing revenues faster than $adbe's incremental revenue growth 5) its entire ability to future grow margins be resilient and keep customers has significantly decreased"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980025074842579195)  2025-10-19T21:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$rhi $tbi $hqi all down since this post. should i keep posting ideas part of the short case for $RHI $TBI $HQI "Artificial intelligence is already starting to take a "disproportionate" bite out of entry-level job opportunities in certain fields according to a paper from Stanford researchers published this week. Analyzing ADP data the study part of the short case for $RHI $TBI $HQI "Artificial intelligence is already starting to take a "disproportionate" bite out of entry-level job opportunities in certain fields according to a paper from Stanford researchers published this week. Analyzing ADP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986636045425729952)  2025-11-07T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"interesting bull thesis for payments tech. I am short $MQ $PAR and $LSPD though Our rival @brexHQ just sold to @CapitalOne for $5.1B. I think this is the start of fintech's $100B decade. Every major bank is staring at the same problem. Their infrastructure is [--] years behind. They know it. Their boards know it. Their investors know it. They also know they Our rival @brexHQ just sold to @CapitalOne for $5.1B. I think this is the start of fintech's $100B decade. Every major bank is staring at the same problem. Their infrastructure is [--] years behind. They know it. Their boards know it. Their"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2016626036008497547)  2026-01-28T21:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Efficiency era for banks incoming but bodes poorly for $rhi $kfrc $cbx and consultants $acn $hurn probably many others immmissing GOLDMAN SACHS $GS IS TAPPING ANTHROPICS AI MODEL TO AUTOMATE ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE ROLES Embedded Anthropic engineers have spent six months at Goldman building autonomous systems for time-intensive high-volume back-office work - CNBC https://t.co/BcVwYUj301 GOLDMAN SACHS $GS IS TAPPING ANTHROPICS AI MODEL TO AUTOMATE ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE ROLES Embedded Anthropic engineers have spent six months at Goldman building autonomous systems for time-intensive high-volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2019775621987987705)  2026-02-06T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"bull case for $spgi All this fuss over the market intelligence segment which is responsible for 20% of operating profits. This unit could be a zero and $SPGI would trade below 25x NTM right now. This isnt an average business. S&P Global earns a 50% operating margin that will step higher after the All this fuss over the market intelligence segment which is responsible for 20% of operating profits. This unit could be a zero and $SPGI would trade below 25x NTM right now. This isnt an average business. S&P Global earns a 50% operating margin that will step higher after the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021398203367842126)  2026-02-11T01:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"have the switching costs for web hosting stocks just gone to zero $gddy $wix -- who am else am i missing here Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary collapse in realtime 😵. https://t.co/Z7gpyizSDO Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary collapse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021426752397115896)  2026-02-11T03:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@AggieCapitalist what $mcd is moving to $par is papa john's a growing company"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021607018226647177)  2026-02-11T15:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"ever lose so much hope in getting a conventional job or any job for that matter that you almost became a garbage truck driver for 1-800-got-junk my plan at that time was to keep writing seeking alpha articles at night to build my resume and pay rent with the garbage truck money. also i thought it would be a good workout"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021669792193601567)  2026-02-11T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"bull case for $real @Fierce__beast $REAL is not disruptable (prob $AMZN too not sure on $SHOP) because literally their entire edge is the physical verification/distribution center. Can never be replicated by AI. @Fierce__beast $REAL is not disruptable (prob $AMZN too not sure on $SHOP) because literally their entire edge is the physical verification/distribution center. Can never be replicated by AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2021689568806707346)  2026-02-11T20:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$RDDT bear thesis:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022007361322525051)  2026-02-12T17:58Z [----] followers, 12K engagements


"AI generated films seem likely to happen in the next [--] years. Will $NFLX content spend continue on its current trajectory get revised down or get revised up Will their margins explode if you can make previously high budget films for now a fraction of its cost Or instead will NFLX continue massively spending to acquire the best content I don't know but i wonder https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022371567930380611 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022371567930380611"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022371567930380611)  2026-02-13T18:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Went long some $RDDT in the midst of this confusion I think they will still try and maybe succeed to monetize us logged-out users so that issue may not be an issue logged in user growth is shrinking as % of total users but flat overall on absolute basis https://t.co/QQ3C8eICAA logged in user growth is shrinking as % of total users but flat overall on absolute basis https://t.co/QQ3C8eICAA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022372207163261434)  2026-02-13T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$FORR or $HURN shorts seem to be working insane what this does to $forr or $houn insane what this does to $forr or $houn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022374990004253143)  2026-02-13T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$NRDS or $QNST shorts seem to be working I don't think stocks like $QNST or $NRDS do well here. They have ways to mitigate this and some of their content is not replacable by zero click answers like insurance rate comparisons. But it does dilute their value as content providers to some extent. I also think at some I don't think stocks like $QNST or $NRDS do well here. They have ways to mitigate this and some of their content is not replacable by zero click answers like insurance rate comparisons. But it does dilute their value as content providers to some extent. I also think at some"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022376825964376493)  2026-02-13T18:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"tracking the short case for $NICE $TASK $CNXC $FIVN $EGHT etc https://t.co/TlE6eLRlDQ https://t.co/TlE6eLRlDQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022384780164387194)  2026-02-13T18:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was short $CRSR today on the thought that they would be supply constrained for components and unable to sell as much equipment. Lo and behold they sell memory sticks and had some in inventory that they sold for like 3x the price and margins exploded up. Will that continue going forward or will margins normalize. I think margins should normalize a lot and they guided to that trajectory. Licking my wounds a bit here but short still could work. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022420144128168104 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022420144128168104"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022420144128168104)  2026-02-13T21:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"can you see the end of $adsk here Gemini Ultra can now make 3-D print files 👀 https://t.co/PRSoCEFfxF Gemini Ultra can now make 3-D print files 👀 https://t.co/PRSoCEFfxF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022460252164333963)  2026-02-13T23:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Blinklebloop i think so. also amazon prime maybe i'd guess nflx will have higher quality and very high budget content but youtube will have abundantly more content but lower budget content"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022466291467247830)  2026-02-14T00:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"the LT bear case for $GOOG $MSFT $META $AMZN anthtopic openai etc. My response would be that they will also provide the compute needed for everyone so there is that but not sure how anthropic or openai deal with that. They are currently on an incredible growth trajectory they could drop in valuation perhaps but it would be difficult to sustain a compressed valuation in the face of such high growth and potential As AI company valuations are skyrocketing and "traditional" software company valuations are being trashed can someone explain the thesis on what the AI company moats are Frankly there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022470314349728252)  2026-02-14T00:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@SouthernValue95 i think this trade from ai uncertainty to safe/boring could continue for a while. the safe/boring stocks that aren't at risk of displacement actually become pure beneficiaries of the AI era by default"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022713948533833858)  2026-02-14T16:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@BillAckman @leevalueroach yes but whats the case to invest today in your fund Past results don't matter unfortunately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Fierce__beast/status/2022745438013833352)  2026-02-14T18:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@Fierce__beast Avatar @Fierce__beast Fierce_beast

Fierce_beast posts on X about ai, stocks, $fds, $morn the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-----] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] -54%
  • [--] Month [-------] +192%
  • [--] Months [-------] +231%
  • [--] Year [---------] +456%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Week [---] +56%
  • [--] Month [---] +112%
  • [--] Months [---] +106%
  • [--] Year [---] +146%

Followers: [-----] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [-----] +2.70%
  • [--] Month [-----] +11%
  • [--] Months [-----] +141%
  • [--] Year [-----] +589%

CreatorRank: [-------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence stocks 67.27% finance 33.64% technology brands 27.27% social networks 3.64% countries 2.73% cryptocurrencies 2.73% financial services 0.91%

Social topic influence ai 26.36%, stocks #3677, $fds #6, $morn 7.27%, business 7.27%, $angi 6.36%, $amzn #279, $goog #51, data 5.45%, money 4.55%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @fiercebeast @blinklebloop @joinyellowbrick @ragingventures @firstadopter @acaciacap @glbeaty @utilitypure @k3ithmccullough @icgmode @yilengyao1 @capitalfang @stockjabber @noodles_crusher @theotheraharon @kalshi @polymarket @fiscalai @murraystres @geminiapp

Top assets mentioned Factset Research Systems, Inc. (FDS) Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) Angi Inc. Class A Common Stock (ANGI) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI) NerdWallet, Inc. (NRDS) Expensify, Inc. (EXFY) Workday Inc (WDAY) Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) WIX.com Ltd. (WIX) Cars.com Inc. (CARS) Newell Brands Inc (NWL) Autodesk Inc (ADSK) Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) Frodo the virtual samurai (FROG) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) GoDaddy, Inc. (GDDY) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Netflix Inc (NFLX) Acco Brands Corporation (ACCO) Bentley Systems Inc (BSY) Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER) Coursera, Inc. (COUR) Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares (NVMI) Camtek Ltd (CAMT) Snap, Inc. (SNAP) Figma, Inc. (FIG) Salesforce Inc (CRM) Metadium (META) Shopify Inc (SHOP) TaskUs, Inc. (TASK) Concentrix Corporation Common Stock (CNXC) Asana, Inc. (ASAN) FIVE9, INC. (FIVN) Robert Half International Inc (RHI) Huron Consulting Group Inc. (HURN)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Why would anyone use this $NRDY. NRDY provides an online platform for tutors to meet clients ands costs $50/hour or more in some cases for customers to help highschool and above students learn things. ChatGPT has destroyed the use case of tutors and consequently NRDY. I am short. ChatGPT5 is gonna be free and has PhD level knowledge across any domain. How do tutors compete now Nerdy Inc. (NYSE: NRDY) today announced Financial results for the second quarter ended June [--] [----]. Q2 proved that our Live+AI strategy is a growth engine said Chuck Cohn Founder Chairman and CEO of Nerdy. We reignited"
X Link 2025-08-07T22:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Yes this link was what I was referring to. Wix i think pays ChatGPT for leads this way. I don't think you can actually build anything on chatgpt yet it directs you to the Wix Website. On $WIX i just saw a 2B startup website builder is raising money and doing well. https://techcrunch.com/2025/08/28/no-code-website-builder-framer-reaches-2b-valuation/ https://techcrunch.com/2025/08/28/no-code-website-builder-framer-reaches-2b-valuation/"
X Link 2025-08-29T13:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"it's been the same idea as what happened to $ADBE. i see competitors to $FDS that can do 80% of what factset does for 10% or less of the monthly price. $MORN seems also implicated here. financial data or other types of analytics providers may be very pressured by 1) less users 2) pricing pressure I've been short $FDS since this post. There is a lot of potential for disruption and generally a headwind of less seats and harder time to upsell new AI features (commoditized). Started shorting $TRI and reopened the $MORN short. $FDS is close to my PT but i see more downside I've been short $FDS"
X Link 2025-09-21T16:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"another blow to $exfy I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small businesses (12 people). Some tables: https://t.co/0kBVRNPtKY I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small businesses (12 people). Some tables:"
X Link 2025-10-01T01:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"i'm short $TRI $morn $mktw and $fds. seems like they are being hit by this news i should notice the anthropic/fds partnership but i just don't see exactly how this LT benefits $fds. i think being able to provide verified financial data (the big claimed advantage of $fds) is being rapidly commoditized) https://www.reuters.com/business/lseg-partners-with-anthropic-bring-financial-data-access-claude-users-2025-10-27/ https://www.reuters.com/business/lseg-partners-with-anthropic-bring-financial-data-access-claude-users-2025-10-27/"
X Link 2025-10-29T17:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$MORN seems a little suss. Pitchbook was supposed to be a differentiated product with proprietary data yet this segment is decelerating. Now raising debt to fund buybacks Not inherently bad but not sure it makes sense if parts of the business is decelerating. Makes me wonder if they're struggling to find reinvestment opportunities in their businesses. $MORN earnings: Morningstar Q325: Strong Credit Performance Offsets PitchBook Deceleration Morningstar delivered a solid quarter with revenue and adjusted earnings growth largely driven by an exceptional performance in its Credit business."
X Link 2025-10-31T15:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"bear case for $morn $fds $mktw $TRI who am i missing The new Google Finance is shipping 🚀 - Deep Search so you can ask your most complex research q's - Prediction markets data from @Kalshi & @Polymarket so you can explore q's about future market events - And its first international expansion to India https://t.co/J8Ei788LXv https://t.co/H6b8V5VfRI The new Google Finance is shipping 🚀 - Deep Search so you can ask your most complex research q's - Prediction markets data from @Kalshi & @Polymarket so you can explore q's about future market events - And its first international expansion to"
X Link 2025-11-07T04:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$EXFY short working. Probably just too much competition. I hear from friends this is a great product but its a mono product company with low economics and LT will have a serious issue competing with more holistic solutions IMO. Buyout risk is here so hard to short in size and large cash balance but I think that created the opportunity on the other hand. I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small"
X Link 2025-11-07T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"adding screenshot for record $NRDY Why would anyone use this $NRDY. NRDY provides an online platform for tutors to meet clients ands costs $50/hour or more in some cases for customers to help highschool and above students learn things. ChatGPT has destroyed the use case of tutors and consequently NRDY. I am https://t.co/zMeNXTK397 Why would anyone use this $NRDY. NRDY provides an online platform for tutors to meet clients ands costs $50/hour or more in some cases for customers to help highschool and above students learn things. ChatGPT has destroyed the use case of tutors and consequently"
X Link 2025-11-11T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Ramp competes in many domains. Often a great source of short ideas is identifying fast growth startups and figuring out who's marke share they are winning. In my short thesis for $EXFY I factored this into my forecast for revenues and margins. It may be playing part in $BILL's malaise and host of other publicly traded SaaS. If Ramp is 2xing revenues why is $BILL's revenues expected to decline Is there some marketshare shift going on here Today Ramp raised another $300M at a $32B valuation. In the past year our revenue has doubled to over $1B growing 10x faster than the median public SaaS. We"
X Link 2025-11-17T18:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This has everything that $fds it $morn has and it won't be the only one. is @fiscal_ai the only platform in the world that already has all of Nvidia's financials https://t.co/1pRpElwgXn is @fiscal_ai the only platform in the world that already has all of Nvidia's financials https://t.co/1pRpElwgXn"
X Link 2025-11-19T22:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CTRI Thesis is they don't have much exposure to capacity additions but they should LT benefit from more maintenance work. They are trying to get more involved in the same stuff $PWR does but it's a long shot let's be honest. Seemed like one of the few power beneficiaries still trading for a decent valuation on a likely strong multi-year tailwind for the stock. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1995967632755786169 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1995967632755786169"
X Link 2025-12-02T21:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"short $alrm $rezi etc i wonder I was inspired by this so I wanted to see if Claude Code can get into my Lutron home automation system. - it found my Lutron controllers on the local wifi network - checked for open ports connected got some metadata and identified the devices and their firmware - searched the I was inspired by this so I wanted to see if Claude Code can get into my Lutron home automation system. - it found my Lutron controllers on the local wifi network - checked for open ports connected got some metadata and identified the devices and their firmware - searched the"
X Link 2025-12-28T00:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Are lead gen informational websites like the ones run by $QNST $NRDS $CARS $TTGT $ZD $TBLA $TRIP $YELP etc etc the retail store apocalypse of tomorrow Web traffic continues to hemorrhage to one-click and within a year or two I think it's likely that we will be in the early stages of utilizing AI agents to organize our lives plan and purchase trips order basic home goods (or return them) advise us and execute large discretionary or non-discretionary purchases like cars or homes advise us on our taxes and likely fill them out help with business formation paperwork insurance claims etc etc. If"
X Link 2026-01-09T19:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"short case for $zip BREAKING 🚨: OpenAI is developing ChatGPT Jobs a new career-focused AI agent designed to help users with resume tips job search and career guidance. AI Job search will be a big market too 🤖 https://t.co/2QvFDqr6XM BREAKING 🚨: OpenAI is developing ChatGPT Jobs a new career-focused AI agent designed to help users with resume tips job search and career guidance. AI Job search will be a big market too 🤖 https://t.co/2QvFDqr6XM"
X Link 2026-01-10T00:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"A little update on $ANGI: This observation from Burry adds another interesting element to the short thesis. I'm not quite sure the extent of work that most customers seek out on Angi's list but i do recall plumbing was a big one. The revenue estimates for $ANGI are in the screenshot attached. Another 4Q2025 revenue decline is expected by analysts but they have it suddenly returning to growth in [----]. Angi claims they can accomplish this inflection primarily through increased spending on TV ads (like 2xing it) getting more professionals on their platform and increasing the price per lead they"
X Link 2026-01-11T17:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@glbeaty Yea that seems right. I think the $ANGI short will mostly only work due encroaching competition and higher CAC. The DIY vs hiring thing is a little speculative and if happens only would be at the margins at least NT"
X Link 2026-01-13T15:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$ACCO Seems like underneath its relative stability is a huge fundamental problem. The reason it's stable I think is because of cost savings initiatives that now seem behind it. So now I'm not sure how much longer that lasts and then what happens I think there is a small chance that the company rapidly deteriorates from here or more likely that it continues to gradually worsen. It's not clear to me that it's a short. by my estimate it trades somewhere in the range of 2-4x forward real earnings. That is pricing a swift end which I think there is actually only a small chance of happening. On the"
X Link 2026-01-14T08:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$NWL Fair enough It's not clear to me whether underlying demand/pricing recovers for their core products but I get the long bet here. I think 2-3 years from now the stock will likely be flat or lower given the decline in their actual products. I think they could pull off some margin efficiencies but cannot keep that up forever. So it's a tough outlook and yes there could be a valuation re-rate but there's that big looming terminal value question that might keep it lower than people think. @Fierce__beast I suggest you read the Q3 earnings transcript and then read the transcript from the Morgan"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$NWL looks like a mess -- look how many brands they have. They have [--] baby stroller brands. The baby segment is probably no more than 20% of sales. Even if that grows 10% a year it would only add 2% total sales growth look at their sales compared to related peers -- Sales declines are close to $ACCO and $JOUT but they have a way higher ev/ebtida multiple interestingly enough https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520234834829629 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011520234834829629"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Yea the $ADBE thing happened quickly because a lot of the users also hated it and though it was overpriced. I have no idea if that's the case with $ADSK or $BSY fwiw. The concern i have is that they used to have some big advantage by having the best and most integrated design tech. But i feel like this advantage may slowly erode as AI competitors strengthen. So what they are left with is just switching costs mostly but they also need to reduce price in this scenario otherwise customers will leave. Yea something to monitor for now https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011896383658148041"
X Link 2026-01-15T20:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$ADSK and $BSY -- i am short a small amount of each. Very low conviction but I can see a path to these sort of becoming like the $ADBE's of 2027/2028. Faster if AI gets better. There are literally examples of it already. I'm sus that they have a data advantage. If there are advanced engineering books out there that the models are training on then you couple that with the SOTA math abilities of the models I think engineering data is effectively a commodity. I believe it's likely the world goes that direction. Makes me wonder about the other design software companies. @Fierce__beast The future"
X Link 2026-01-15T20:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@murrayst_res very cool example. And somehow that doesn't really feel surprising. $fvrr not sure. still need a human in the loop but inidivudal tasks are getting automated. just lets human do a lot more higher level stuff now. just not sure about that one"
X Link 2026-01-15T21:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A similar dynamic occurs in what industry $AER Jensen just said GPUs are effectively sold out across the cloud with availability so tight that even renting older-generation chips has become difficult. AI bubble narrative was a bubble. https://t.co/DyBAQrQLTC Jensen just said GPUs are effectively sold out across the cloud with availability so tight that even renting older-generation chips has become difficult. AI bubble narrative was a bubble. https://t.co/DyBAQrQLTC"
X Link 2026-01-21T19:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"ty $AER for all the good times. really i should thank Mr. Angus Kelly From my [----] notes: "3% of aircraft leased in 1970s 20% leased in 1990s 25% in early 2000s today roughly 40% leased. By [----] estimated 50% leased. Why Airliners need to lease in order to maintain financial flexibility and liquidity during cycles. Replacement cycle: Aircraft life-cycle 25-30 years means 3-4% of global fleet must be replaced each year roughly. Constant flow of leased aircraft with higher rents. Airbus estimates 40% will be replaced and 60% will be growth." With a big supply/demand issue for aircraft for the"
X Link 2026-01-21T19:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"dam rip SAT tutors $cour $nrdy $dcbo probably $duol Were launching full-length on demand practice exams for standardized tests in @GeminiApp starting with the SAT available now at no cost. Practice SATs are grounded in rigorously vetted content in partnership with @ThePrincetonRev and Gemini will provide immediate feedback https://t.co/GmivPuBp7B Were launching full-length on demand practice exams for standardized tests in @GeminiApp starting with the SAT available now at no cost. Practice SATs are grounded in rigorously vetted content in partnership with @ThePrincetonRev and Gemini will"
X Link 2026-01-21T19:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I am short a lot of SaaS but also am starting to increase SaaS long exposure. I am long some $WDAY and $FROG for now. Obviously very long $AMZN $GOOG and all the main semi's $TSM $NVDA $MU $ASML $NVMI $CAMT -- these seem like sure bets as enterprise adoption kicks the second leg of the AI scale buildout into hyperdrive for the next [--] months at least. Alarm bells are going off for beaten down SaaS though. Found one with accelerating rev growth super FCF positive down 50% over the last year and not totally sure if AI even disrupts them since they have some physical presence exposure."
X Link 2026-01-25T20:06Z [----] followers, 13K engagements

"@UtilityPure How do you know -- have you ran an ERP integration before"
X Link 2026-01-25T21:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$HCA I am long The bull case for hospitals: https://t.co/BI5dPF1Vvm Minute 19:00 Less busy work for nurses charting. 5m nurse shortage in the US. AI does charting and transcription for patient visits nurses spend 50% of their time charting. They can spend more time visiting patients and The bull case for hospitals: https://t.co/BI5dPF1Vvm Minute 19:00 Less busy work for nurses charting. 5m nurse shortage in the US. AI does charting and transcription for patient visits nurses spend 50% of their time charting. They can spend more time visiting patients and"
X Link 2026-01-27T16:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"like $MPWR is a stock i've been long and wrote about it when it was $550/sh. i thought "fair value was in the range of [---] upper bound. and i just don't think that in the majority of cases it's worth rotating out of it to buy a stock like $gddy that had an 11x fwd p/e and growing low double digit eps which would have 100% upside if it turns out to be roughly stable in the LT https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016197470389240060 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016197470389240060"
X Link 2026-01-27T17:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$MPWR early testing of claude back in [----] My god how things have changed since.You cannot make up how dramatically the world has shifted. I thought fair value was somewhere around $750-$850 at that time in Nov [----]. I was new to the stock and forecasted what i thought was likely. Full saga of my thoughts scattered throughout my feed fun to look back on what went right and what went wrong I am long some $MPWR in my new hedge fund sleeve. $MPWR https://t.co/PTmNRRoVsk $MPWR https://t.co/PTmNRRoVsk"
X Link 2026-01-30T02:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$cars short saw the openclaw thing use this to buy a car for someone and negotiate prices with various dealers. lead gen for cars mmmm. scary. why would dealers pay for visibility if clawbot or some other ai agent negotiates a price for you direct also autonomous vehicles slowly gonna eat into volumes http://cars.com https://hexorcism.com/HyundaiApp/inventory.php http://cars.com https://hexorcism.com/HyundaiApp/inventory.php"
X Link 2026-01-30T23:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@RagingVentures i'm short all but $wday am long"
X Link 2026-02-03T23:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I spelled it out in Sep 2025-- legal corporate accounting etc. I am short $CBZ and maybe it's time to short that accounting cult stock from Australia. Dam already down 50% @Deuceswild221 $TRI I'm still not sure about it. It seems more like an enterprise saas stock than a financial data provider like $FDS The area that looks suspect to me is the legal coporate and tax&accounting biz which are most of its profits. If a large portion of the business is driven https://t.co/vCV6cAuABh @Deuceswild221 $TRI I'm still not sure about it. It seems more like an enterprise saas stock than a financial data"
X Link 2026-02-04T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"does anyone know anyone who uses and loves $PTON or $SNAP $SNAP not growing much in US That doesn't seem good because ARPU is higher in US. Same story $PINS. $COUR earnings tn Estimates look like its expected to grow a lot in [----] but how $EGHT results with declining incremental margins How is that gonna work out LT for them https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019471291581882658 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019471291581882658"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Anybody worried about long $CARS or $QNST $EVR $NRDS I am"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"woah. $msft How dylan repays satya for that datacenter tour 🥀 https://t.co/7rfZEEdzCy How dylan repays satya for that datacenter tour 🥀 https://t.co/7rfZEEdzCy"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I am short $FDS and $MORN the issue @firstadopter is that these companies have historically earned very high margins and little incremental capital. They are pulling data from SEC filings. Can a LLM not do that eventually What happens to the customer base of $FDS if they have more options What happens to active investing if AI's make things even more competitive and difficult to find edges in the market I mean Opus [---] isn't terrible but it is still using unreliable web data pulled from Yahoo Finance and random websites. There is no way this replaces FactSet (FDS stock down 7% on dumb media"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:33Z [----] followers, 49.6K engagements

"How can $NVDA $AMZN $TSM and $GOOG all be down because of increased capex Hmm. Let's see. [--]. Peak cycle -- there will be no more capital for [----] or [----] capex to keep growing. Not impossible at all. What if there are no more SaaS stocks to keep spending on cloud services What if all the AI native startups fail My counter -- look at freaking code applications alone. 2% github commits from claude code on a 2T tam for software (thanks @SemiAnalysis_ ). What happens to that [--] years from now 20% -- 50% [--]. $NVDA down because more marketshare to $AMZN and TPU So then $AMZN takes massive share in"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"the bear case on hyperscalers: they are irrationally spending to take share and there is no current or expected realistically high enough ROI to justify the investment. ok so why not go into $tsm or $asml then it would seem irrational for those to sell-off too. The hyperscalers have all converged on spending 65% of gross profit on capex. [--] years ago the average was 33% and from 2017-2022 it was 27%. https://t.co/xKPlMvXlWZ The hyperscalers have all converged on spending 65% of gross profit on capex. [--] years ago the average was 33% and from 2017-2022 it was 27%. https://t.co/xKPlMvXlWZ"
X Link 2026-02-06T00:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"poor $FIG https://blog.janestreet.com/i-design-with-claude-code-more-than-figma-now-index/ https://blog.janestreet.com/i-design-with-claude-code-more-than-figma-now-index/"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"disgusting what opus [---] can do and what it means for $FDS and $MORN and other analytics providers. I am short $FDS and $MORN the issue @firstadopter is that these companies have historically earned very high margins and little incremental capital. They are pulling data from SEC filings. Can a LLM not do that eventually What happens to the customer base of $FDS if they I am short $FDS and $MORN the issue @firstadopter is that these companies have historically earned very high margins and little incremental capital. They are pulling data from SEC filings. Can a LLM not do that eventually What"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:45Z [----] followers, 49.4K engagements

"What happens to investment banking fees and equity research value Do we short banks that have high exposure to this"
X Link 2026-02-06T04:40Z [----] followers, 18.7K engagements

"I'm short some $ENR but is it actually just too cheap here It's very close to being too cheap i think I get around 2.6/sh of real eps. If that declines at 2-3% perhaps a fair value might be roughly at this price i would guess. And if its anything more than that the stock could go lower first. LT headwinds are lower cost substitutes and who cares about battery brands at all Also aren't most consumer batteries going integrated lithium-ion (rechargeable via USB-C) look at the organic growth (claude snapshot). The decline accelerated starting in FY1Q25. APS (Advanced Power Solutions) was acquired"
X Link 2026-02-06T05:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Long $COKE Just brainstorming some things you cannot currently prompt your way out of: -Eating -Toilet Paper -Drinking -Extracting Raw Materials -Turning Raw Materials into Goods -Aging -Lead times -Supply chains -Oil Just brainstorming some things you cannot currently prompt your way out of: -Eating -Toilet Paper -Drinking -Extracting Raw Materials -Turning Raw Materials into Goods -Aging -Lead times -Supply chains -Oil"
X Link 2026-02-06T05:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"short $OI though"
X Link 2026-02-06T05:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"who's paying $35k a year for screeners and financial analysis when there are options to get roughly 80-90% of everything you need with claude and TIKR for 10x less I've used factset and bloomberg and unfortunately i can tell you that the rate at which AI is improving these tools seem to me to be in serious trouble of losing a lot of relevance and thus value over time. it will likely just be a slow and gradual bleed but there is a non-zero growing probability this happens in like [--] years. i guess i'll likely continue being short $fds and $morn. there is an extension of this short thesis to"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"shocked that ai capex for [----] just got revised up by like 25% (about 120b) in a week and no meaningful move in Semis. xAI gets the capital base of Spacex to raise even more capital. Anthropic threatening openai and its VCs scrambling to raise even more capital asap. sorry to bring it up but it seems simply too divergent to not bring it up. Has there ever been a stronger and perhaps more sustainable undercurrent than what we are seeing here Just NT speaking not medium or LT even. like next [--] months time frame. my pedantic and annoyingly recurring thoughts on how this plays out: 1) market is"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"for sure -- but what didn't get right basically the entire universe of saas stocks that might be impacted. all i cared was for it to rank the largest to smallest and give a list of saas seat based stocks. i think the finer details of less hallucinations will be solved over time. but i agree and for financial analysis i use something like TIKR supplementing the work i do with claude https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019781082170691614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019781082170691614"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@AcaciaCap @pekwat i've seen someone bearish on even pitchbook"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"minute [--] bear case $crm new AI companies that are claiming to replace your salesforce and replacing 10-20-30 sales people. CRM is still great but what happens to seat based pricing if this AI stuff succeeds https://m.youtube.com/watchv=F9NekS6PCM0 https://m.youtube.com/watchv=F9NekS6PCM0"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@RagingVentures @firstadopter but why ok in theory if they LLM could accurately compile data from SEC filings and press releases isn't that like 90% of what buyside/sellside guys use factset for"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@k3ithmccullough just type $fds in my search profile"
X Link 2026-02-07T00:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Blinklebloop $adbe $fig $sstk etc etc https://x.com/fierce__beast/status/1797641284288688523s=46 What duopoly/monopoly type of industries or businesses are being disrupted by AI today I have a few but one interesting name that comes to mind is $adbe -- pricing power and retention likely to decline vs historical rates due to alternatives like Midjourney. https://x.com/fierce__beast/status/1797641284288688523s=46 What duopoly/monopoly type of industries or businesses are being disrupted by AI today I have a few but one interesting name that comes to mind is $adbe -- pricing power and retention"
X Link 2026-02-08T19:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"if saas stocks recover eventually and survive won't they just have more money to spend on AI products"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@its_moonberries if company survives stock survives"
X Link 2026-02-08T21:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Heading back to NYC Spent last [--] weeks in rio. pretty insane lifestyle some people have. i met an investor he lives [--] block from the beach [--] block from his office works out everyday and takes a swim multiple times a week. Anyone want to meet to talk saas stocks in NYC maybe we can get a group of people together"
X Link 2026-02-09T03:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"uh oh $snap Business Insider reports $META Instagram is internally testing a prototype for a new standalone app that looks a lot like Snapchat. https://t.co/jSOUtKfTSb Business Insider reports $META Instagram is internally testing a prototype for a new standalone app that looks a lot like Snapchat. https://t.co/jSOUtKfTSb"
X Link 2026-02-10T03:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"For $ANGI not even cost cuts seems to help the stock. For declining businesses cost cuts may only be perceived as temporary cash flow boosts. Stock goes up initially but then normalizes to what its true value is and in most cases is just going to be anchored a lot to its terminal growth prospects A little update on $ANGI: This observation from Burry adds another interesting element to the short thesis. I'm not quite sure the extent of work that most customers seek out on Angi's list but i do recall plumbing was a big one. The revenue estimates for $ANGI are in the https://t.co/VLWwI1YcRO A"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"One example of this today is $PLBY. By my estimates $PLBY will likely spend all of its operating cash flows on paying down its debt. So yes this deal announced today helps it but also cannot hide the concern that its operating business is in pretty bad shape. Can they keep pushing out new license deals Maybe but what if these license deals get renewed in a year but no partner wants to renew at current rates or just cancel all together What if next quarter a few cancel or the declines in their store business accelerates For $ANGI not even cost cuts seems to help the stock. For declining"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@ZezimaLincoln i don't know if the result was good why is $angi down so much after market"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"i first wrote about $ANGI here A couple more short ideas: $ANGI has been a bad company for a while losing to Google local service ads thumbtack taskrabbit houzz amazon home services and others. i feel like this gets worse with AI. but if not they have tried different things and fundamentals keep getting A couple more short ideas: $ANGI has been a bad company for a while losing to Google local service ads thumbtack taskrabbit houzz amazon home services and others. i feel like this gets worse with AI. but if not they have tried different things and fundamentals keep getting"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ANGI 1q26 ebitda guide down 40% from prior year and maybe 50% or so below consensus of around 30m EBITDA and they are guiding to 15-17m EBITDA Ok. Why All KPI's measures are up. If you wanna spend more you're gonna get more growth. You go crazy spending you're gonna get really good growth. I dunno what $ANGI has in mind but it's not even a current problem angi has just faced tons of competitors for a while. It's just not going anywhere and getting marginally wrose over time as competitors and alternatives take share. Let's see how it does tomorrow For $ANGI not even cost cuts seems to help"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"have the switching costs for web hosting stocks just been mostly obliterated $gddy $wix -- who am else am i missing here Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary collapse in realtime 😵. https://t.co/Z7gpyizSDO Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"grocery stores have physicals moats. Digital native stocks that are reliant upon online ordering commoditized product like compounded GLP-1s have no moat. $btmd $ww $lfmd $hims $med any others im missing @Fierce__beast How do grocery stores make money @Fierce__beast How do grocery stores make money"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"i am also long some $FNMA -- seems more like a political bet then anything else at this point. the value is clear"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$OATLY looks like an interesting short (claude excerpt below:) -- does the company ever reach profitability if north america is declining revs by high single digits Why would it suddenly change now Guidance for [----] is 3-5% rev growth. Need margins to keep inflecting up but not clear how much more that can go. "SBC is $13.3M on $862M revenue = 1.5% of revenue. Not egregious but on a company with only $6.8M adj. EBITDA SBC is 2x the adj. EBITDA. Adj. EBITDA is a very generous metric here it excludes SBC restructuring ($4.9M) China review costs ($7.5M) and other items totaling $25.2M."
X Link 2026-02-11T16:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Same thing happened to $MPWR when they lost allocation to blackwell and stock dropped like 40% in a few days. Then later they won it back and then later won even more from ASIC. It just seems like good things tend to happen to good companies in growth industries. But holding a good company in a prolonged bad env for its industry just unforuntaly may not be enough for a good return. $MU presentation at Wolfe just started. Let me "address some recent inaccurate reporting on our HBM [--] position." - Have been in high volume production - Commenced HBM4 production - Shipment ramping successfully in"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Bear thesis for $REAL $AMZN $SHOP etc something about agentic shopping"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"do you not think $goog can do this and better too $TMUS $DUOL T-Mobile introduced real-time AI translation for phone calls across 50+ languages built directly into its wireless network 🗣💬 Shares of Duolingo fell about 5% in premarket trading. How big is the moat of Duolingo 🤔 https://t.co/hmi7rshJGu $TMUS $DUOL T-Mobile introduced real-time AI translation for phone calls across 50+ languages built directly into its wireless network 🗣💬 Shares of Duolingo fell about 5% in premarket trading. How big is the moat of Duolingo 🤔 https://t.co/hmi7rshJGu"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"i graduated college in [----] with a bad gpa i got fired from most jobs. i was running out of hope in [----] and had been investing for like [--] years by that point with so-so results around market return or slightly better but not full time. here's an email for a garbage truck driver job that i had an interview for. nobody wanted to hire me https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665802269675764 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021665802269675764"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@StraightCap_ i am 2.5% each $FMCC and $FNMA"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@icg_mode that too"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@icg_mode For now it seems likely there will be differentiation between generic AI and high quaility AI content. For high quality AI content creators may want to maximize their monetization and let $NFLX acquire it for their own distribution"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"He gives a concrete example of how claude replaced a lot of his maintenance work of answering questions from new hires. This is bear case for stocks like $NICE $TASK $CNXC etc. Look what he wrote in [----]. 100x larger compute projects expected. @andy_l_jones is a thoughtful forecaster https://t.co/uaC2DGxe3f Look what he wrote in [----]. 100x larger compute projects expected. @andy_l_jones is a thoughtful forecaster https://t.co/uaC2DGxe3f"
X Link 2025-12-09T05:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Losing SaaS vs winning SaaS A SaaS like $ASAN seems very bad and I am short. Will they ever scale if their rev growth continues decelerating (financials in screenshot) I am long $FROG. There seems to be a possible direct correlations between the amount of code and ultimately applications being generated and their cloud business. Look at the inflection if their growth since Claude [---] came out and now imagine what that growth might be over the next year as claude [---] adoption explodes. I am short a lot of SaaS but also am starting to increase SaaS long exposure. I am long some $WDAY and $FROG"
X Link 2026-01-25T20:25Z [----] followers, 10.5K engagements

"$GDRX vs TrumpRX huh"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Moment of reckoning for my current favorite saas long $FROG. Will the artifactory get replaced or made irrelevant now that claude code and codex are so capable Or will they actually benefit from all the security add-ons they provide and explosion of code ( how does $AMZN $MSFT $GOOG not benefit from an explosion of code that literally has no theoretical limit There are lots of inefficiencies in society and until all of them are fixed or improved we may continue solving for them one after another. Any software engineers who follow me have any thoughts on $FROG We will see how wrong i am on it"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"is there a good bear case for $BTSG"
X Link 2026-02-12T18:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I am short some $NWL with a pt [---]. This is a lower conviction idea since there is no clear explanation as to why the business is struggling. Maybe there is some disruption of Schools buying less stuff because everyone is doing a lot more digital stuff: Writing (Sharpie/Paper Mate) -- maybe private label erosion or shift to digital Outdoor (Coleman) -- specialty DTC brands i guess Baby (Graco) -- different competitive set entirely Home fragrance (Yankee Candle) -- candle commoditization Here are the facts: [--]. [--] consecutive quarters of high single digit rev growth and EPS declines 2."
X Link 2026-01-14T07:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The reality is that still [--] year later the fundamental outlook for $CAMT $NVMI and $ONTO have significantly appreciated. Probably more than their current 1-year return. $KLAC has is up 100% far exceeding the peers even while the peers have a much smaller base to grow from and prior to the recent run up had outperformed KLAC on a [--] year time horizon. The market is unable to suspend its belief for what it thinks are cylical semi's. It made this mistake with $MU and $ASMl last year. It is likely at least in my view that they become cyclical again eventually. However I have been moving up my"
X Link 2026-01-14T08:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"ELF--PT [---] (same as many sell-side analysts) 40% upside Company description -- brief history e.l.f. Beauty founded in [----] has undergone a remarkable transformation over the past decade. Initially a digitally native brand selling $1 cosmetics e.l.f. http://x.com/i/article/1846641374231515136 http://x.com/i/article/1846641374231515136"
X Link 2024-10-16T20:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I am short $NRDS PT 5.6/sh for 45% downside. NRDS seems to be at least attempting to diversify its business into wealth management and other verticals besides lead gen for insurance credit card and mortgages. I like they that they are being a bit offensive. Insurance could do pretty well because it seems that the auto insurers are spending a lot on marketing and that could continue but at the end of the day it still functions like the mortgage and credit card business ie They get paid by the vendor to direct customers to that vendor's website/services and they also get paid a success fee of"
X Link 2025-07-17T16:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$IGIC started buying this again and kinda like the setup into 2Q. Had the equity and warrants when stock was single digits for a while but sold in high-teens. It was never a bad stock to me just felt like there were better opportunities in some other stuff. But now it's looking pretty attractive relative to other opportunities again. I think something like 34/sh by the end of the year is probably fair value for several reasons and if not for the 1Q miss would be in the [--] handle now i'd guess. I also like that the 1Q headline numbers kind of were a bummer with the big decline in ROE and CR"
X Link 2025-07-28T20:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I am short $EGHT $FIVN and $TTEC and laid out the bear thesis on CcaaS almost [--] years ago"
X Link 2025-08-07T22:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I don't think stocks like $QNST or $NRDS do well here. They have ways to mitigate this and some of their content is not replacable by zero click answers like insurance rate comparisons. But it does dilute their value as content providers to some extent. I also think at some point over the next 12-18 months it's likely ChatGPT will come out with their own advertising model putting even more pressure on traffic acquistions costs for sites like or We'll see how it plays out http://nerdwallet.com http://Inusrance.com Googles AI Overviews are shaking things up publishers report traffic drops of up"
X Link 2025-08-18T14:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I am short $EXFY. PT 1.15/sh 4% short interest non-ai stock with declining organic revs and 5-7%/yr dilution. 30% of mcap in cash though. Insiders have also been selling. Used mostly as a travel and expense application for very small businesses (12 people). Some tables:"
X Link 2025-09-20T17:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I've been short $FDS since this post. There is a lot of potential for disruption and generally a headwind of less seats and harder time to upsell new AI features (commoditized). Started shorting $TRI and reopened the $MORN short. $FDS is close to my PT but i see more downside @jojo_capital $FDS yea maybe i'm overestimating the rate of churn or pricing pressure. But i think ChatGPT will get faster better than FDS can and i think it obvieates theneed for FDS at its price range. I've been wrong about this for a while but only recentl put on a short. Small size for @jojo_capital $FDS yea maybe"
X Link 2025-09-21T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Lower cost of inference should eventually benefit competitively durable SaaS stocks by improving the economics of inventing and deploying new AI products and services. $WDAY $CRM $NOW $INTU who else am i missing I've gone long some of these stocks recently. Not only because of this but also because they are trading at lows from disruption fears. People fear they are the next $ADBE. Won't be easy for enterprises to switch especially if they are multi-national with different local protocols and compliance issues to worry about. It's not clear what happens if there are less seats to fill. what"
X Link 2025-09-23T02:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"i think this is wrong but we'll see. it's not like $goog they don't have a clear advantage over other ai startups or foundational image gen models. 1) $adbe used to be a monopoly 2) as a monopoly you have pricing power high switching costs low CAC 3) New AI gen tools reduces the reason to use adbe. 4) midjourney was growing revenues faster than $adbe's incremental revenue growth 5) its entire ability to future grow margins be resilient and keep customers has significantly decreased"
X Link 2025-10-19T21:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$rhi $tbi $hqi all down since this post. should i keep posting ideas part of the short case for $RHI $TBI $HQI "Artificial intelligence is already starting to take a "disproportionate" bite out of entry-level job opportunities in certain fields according to a paper from Stanford researchers published this week. Analyzing ADP data the study part of the short case for $RHI $TBI $HQI "Artificial intelligence is already starting to take a "disproportionate" bite out of entry-level job opportunities in certain fields according to a paper from Stanford researchers published this week. Analyzing ADP"
X Link 2025-11-07T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"interesting bull thesis for payments tech. I am short $MQ $PAR and $LSPD though Our rival @brexHQ just sold to @CapitalOne for $5.1B. I think this is the start of fintech's $100B decade. Every major bank is staring at the same problem. Their infrastructure is [--] years behind. They know it. Their boards know it. Their investors know it. They also know they Our rival @brexHQ just sold to @CapitalOne for $5.1B. I think this is the start of fintech's $100B decade. Every major bank is staring at the same problem. Their infrastructure is [--] years behind. They know it. Their boards know it. Their"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Efficiency era for banks incoming but bodes poorly for $rhi $kfrc $cbx and consultants $acn $hurn probably many others immmissing GOLDMAN SACHS $GS IS TAPPING ANTHROPICS AI MODEL TO AUTOMATE ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE ROLES Embedded Anthropic engineers have spent six months at Goldman building autonomous systems for time-intensive high-volume back-office work - CNBC https://t.co/BcVwYUj301 GOLDMAN SACHS $GS IS TAPPING ANTHROPICS AI MODEL TO AUTOMATE ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE ROLES Embedded Anthropic engineers have spent six months at Goldman building autonomous systems for time-intensive high-volume"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"bull case for $spgi All this fuss over the market intelligence segment which is responsible for 20% of operating profits. This unit could be a zero and $SPGI would trade below 25x NTM right now. This isnt an average business. S&P Global earns a 50% operating margin that will step higher after the All this fuss over the market intelligence segment which is responsible for 20% of operating profits. This unit could be a zero and $SPGI would trade below 25x NTM right now. This isnt an average business. S&P Global earns a 50% operating margin that will step higher after the"
X Link 2026-02-11T01:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"have the switching costs for web hosting stocks just gone to zero $gddy $wix -- who am else am i missing here Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary collapse in realtime 😵. https://t.co/Z7gpyizSDO Im still processing this shock 😮 Opus [---] just migrated my entire website [---] pages of content across multiple categories from WordPress to Jekyll in one shot. this felt like watching an industry category boundary collapse"
X Link 2026-02-11T03:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@AggieCapitalist what $mcd is moving to $par is papa john's a growing company"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"ever lose so much hope in getting a conventional job or any job for that matter that you almost became a garbage truck driver for 1-800-got-junk my plan at that time was to keep writing seeking alpha articles at night to build my resume and pay rent with the garbage truck money. also i thought it would be a good workout"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"bull case for $real @Fierce__beast $REAL is not disruptable (prob $AMZN too not sure on $SHOP) because literally their entire edge is the physical verification/distribution center. Can never be replicated by AI. @Fierce__beast $REAL is not disruptable (prob $AMZN too not sure on $SHOP) because literally their entire edge is the physical verification/distribution center. Can never be replicated by AI"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RDDT bear thesis:"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:58Z [----] followers, 12K engagements

"AI generated films seem likely to happen in the next [--] years. Will $NFLX content spend continue on its current trajectory get revised down or get revised up Will their margins explode if you can make previously high budget films for now a fraction of its cost Or instead will NFLX continue massively spending to acquire the best content I don't know but i wonder https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022371567930380611 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022371567930380611"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Went long some $RDDT in the midst of this confusion I think they will still try and maybe succeed to monetize us logged-out users so that issue may not be an issue logged in user growth is shrinking as % of total users but flat overall on absolute basis https://t.co/QQ3C8eICAA logged in user growth is shrinking as % of total users but flat overall on absolute basis https://t.co/QQ3C8eICAA"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$FORR or $HURN shorts seem to be working insane what this does to $forr or $houn insane what this does to $forr or $houn"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$NRDS or $QNST shorts seem to be working I don't think stocks like $QNST or $NRDS do well here. They have ways to mitigate this and some of their content is not replacable by zero click answers like insurance rate comparisons. But it does dilute their value as content providers to some extent. I also think at some I don't think stocks like $QNST or $NRDS do well here. They have ways to mitigate this and some of their content is not replacable by zero click answers like insurance rate comparisons. But it does dilute their value as content providers to some extent. I also think at some"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"tracking the short case for $NICE $TASK $CNXC $FIVN $EGHT etc https://t.co/TlE6eLRlDQ https://t.co/TlE6eLRlDQ"
X Link 2026-02-13T18:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I was short $CRSR today on the thought that they would be supply constrained for components and unable to sell as much equipment. Lo and behold they sell memory sticks and had some in inventory that they sold for like 3x the price and margins exploded up. Will that continue going forward or will margins normalize. I think margins should normalize a lot and they guided to that trajectory. Licking my wounds a bit here but short still could work. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022420144128168104 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022420144128168104"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"can you see the end of $adsk here Gemini Ultra can now make 3-D print files 👀 https://t.co/PRSoCEFfxF Gemini Ultra can now make 3-D print files 👀 https://t.co/PRSoCEFfxF"
X Link 2026-02-13T23:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Blinklebloop i think so. also amazon prime maybe i'd guess nflx will have higher quality and very high budget content but youtube will have abundantly more content but lower budget content"
X Link 2026-02-14T00:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"the LT bear case for $GOOG $MSFT $META $AMZN anthtopic openai etc. My response would be that they will also provide the compute needed for everyone so there is that but not sure how anthropic or openai deal with that. They are currently on an incredible growth trajectory they could drop in valuation perhaps but it would be difficult to sustain a compressed valuation in the face of such high growth and potential As AI company valuations are skyrocketing and "traditional" software company valuations are being trashed can someone explain the thesis on what the AI company moats are Frankly there"
X Link 2026-02-14T00:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@SouthernValue95 i think this trade from ai uncertainty to safe/boring could continue for a while. the safe/boring stocks that aren't at risk of displacement actually become pure beneficiaries of the AI era by default"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@BillAckman @leevalueroach yes but whats the case to invest today in your fund Past results don't matter unfortunately"
X Link 2026-02-14T18:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

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