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# ![@EconBerger Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::702235316812275712.png) @EconBerger Guy Berger

Guy Berger posts on X about level, median, $100k, projection the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::702235316812275712/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +40%
- X Month XXXXXXX +266%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX -XX%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::702235316812275712/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XX%
- X Month XXX +48%
- X Months XXX +113%
- X Year XXX -XXXX%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::702235316812275712/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +1.90%
- X Month XXXXXX +4.60%
- X Months XXXXXX +16%
- X Year XXXXXX +34%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::702235316812275712/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::702235316812275712/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  XXXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[level](/topic/level) 6.06%, [median](/topic/median) 3.03%, [$100k](/topic/$100k) 3.03%, [projection](/topic/projection) 3.03%, [march](/topic/march) 3.03%, [when he](/topic/when-he) 3.03%, [status](/topic/status) 3.03%, [imperfect](/topic/imperfect) 3.03%, [collection](/topic/collection) 3.03%, [strike](/topic/strike) XXXX%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@dannydayan5](/creator/undefined) [@opinion](/creator/undefined) [@shguke](/creator/undefined) [@revcap](/creator/undefined) [@ernietedeschi](/creator/undefined) [@fmrsyfurrpunk](/creator/undefined) [@gmillermortgage](/creator/undefined) [@danevandyck](/creator/undefined) [@chicagofed](/creator/undefined) [@indeed](/creator/undefined) [@beancounter5247](/creator/undefined) [@mbjegovic](/creator/undefined) [@biancoresearch](/creator/undefined) [@mattyglesias](/creator/undefined) [@prestonmui](/creator/undefined) [@mill226](/creator/undefined) [@avitillu1](/creator/undefined) [@benfranklin927](/creator/undefined) [@mblancresearch](/creator/undefined) [@savarymathieu](/creator/undefined)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Without looking at the data the decade with the fastest growth in inflation-adjusted median household income was:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998818335153344718)  2025-12-10T18:13Z 19.6K followers, 2286 engagements


"side note wealth-millionaires self-characterizing as "middle class" used to the brunt of well-deserved ridicule but now it's actually true that a lot of them are *upper* middle-class (something around 80th percentile of the wealth distribution)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1995935687175229732)  2025-12-02T19:18Z 19.6K followers, 3413 engagements


"Provisional but a back of the envelope calculation is that the increase in layoff announcements is consistent with an increase of about 145K/month to JOLTS layoffs (something like an X% increase on top of prior levels) and 12K/week to initial claims (5% increase)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1996731647681876164)  2025-12-05T00:01Z 19.6K followers, 3740 engagements


"Interesting that the Fed has no change in their unemployment rate projection for 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998831559814820240)  2025-12-10T19:05Z 19.6K followers, 1910 engagements


"Thread on point on Powell's assessment that currently published NFP numbers are currently an overcount. 1/ This may be true but we don't have evidence for it yet. It's an extrapolation of QCEW data from March 2024-March 2025 (8-20 months ago)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998869995565261144)  2025-12-10T21:38Z 19.6K followers, 9814 engagements


"Im curious what Powell meant when he described the November household survey data having technical issues. Here is a thread with some ideas: 1/ Challenging seasonal adjustment in the absence of October data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998970964521197769)  2025-12-11T04:19Z 19.6K followers, 3019 engagements


"2/ Imperfect classification of government workers status because of the survey reference period including both shutdown and non-shutdown days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998971477241246131)  2025-12-11T04:21Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements


"3/ lower than usual response rate (because the data collection period may have run into Thanksgiving week)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998971747929030946)  2025-12-11T04:22Z 19.6K followers, 1426 engagements


"Claims: 1/ An extremely low read for initial claims (191K) during the Thanksgiving week. The comparison to 2024 is wonky due to last year's Boeing strike but it's also a lot lower than in 2023"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1996574259356057679)  2025-12-04T13:36Z 19.6K followers, 6302 engagements


"2/ The hiring rate was at XXX% in October. It's a really hard time to find a job. We saw this level of hiring in 2010-11 when unemployment was around 9%. (Right now the UR is around 4.5%.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998409717094457397)  2025-12-09T15:09Z 19.6K followers, 1344 engagements


"3/ The quit rate was XXX% in October its lowest level since May 2020. Job hugging is intense right now We saw quits at these levels in 2014-2015 when the unemployment rate was around 6.5%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998410355866001849)  2025-12-09T15:12Z 19.6K followers, 12.9K engagements


"4/ And the layoff rate picked up a little. We've been used to describing layoffs as unusually low but a layoff of XXX% is "normal" at least for an unemployment rate around 4.5%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998411055236821385)  2025-12-09T15:14Z 19.6K followers, 3705 engagements


"2/ It doesn't matter much for the Fed's mandate. The data that guides that that mandate - ratios in the household survey - won't get revised. We already know what it's doing: the unemployment rate has been going up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998870482616193161)  2025-12-10T21:40Z 19.6K followers, 1788 engagements


"Thursday's claims data: 1/ I expect we'll get payback for last week's very low number which reflected seasonal adjustment misfire. 240K wouldn't surprise me. I don't think 191K was a particularly accurate reflection of reality and 240K (if I'm right) won't reflect it either"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1998921008741556534)  2025-12-11T01:01Z 19.6K followers, 2050 engagements


"2/ .which means the partial-to-date effect on claims has been swamped by everything else. My back of the envelope calculation for the full impact was 12K in additional initial claims per week based on layoff announcements to date"  
[X Link](https://x.com/EconBerger/status/1999138002073715082)  2025-12-11T15:23Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@EconBerger Avatar @EconBerger Guy Berger

Guy Berger posts on X about level, median, $100k, projection the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +40%
  • X Month XXXXXXX +266%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXX -XX%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX -XX%
  • X Month XXX +48%
  • X Months XXX +113%
  • X Year XXX -XXXX%

Followers: XXXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +1.90%
  • X Month XXXXXX +4.60%
  • X Months XXXXXX +16%
  • X Year XXXXXX +34%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance XXXXX% stocks XXXX%

Social topic influence level 6.06%, median 3.03%, $100k 3.03%, projection 3.03%, march 3.03%, when he 3.03%, status 3.03%, imperfect 3.03%, collection 3.03%, strike XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @dannydayan5 @opinion @shguke @revcap @ernietedeschi @fmrsyfurrpunk @gmillermortgage @danevandyck @chicagofed @indeed @beancounter5247 @mbjegovic @biancoresearch @mattyglesias @prestonmui @mill226 @avitillu1 @benfranklin927 @mblancresearch @savarymathieu

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Without looking at the data the decade with the fastest growth in inflation-adjusted median household income was:"
X Link 2025-12-10T18:13Z 19.6K followers, 2286 engagements

"side note wealth-millionaires self-characterizing as "middle class" used to the brunt of well-deserved ridicule but now it's actually true that a lot of them are upper middle-class (something around 80th percentile of the wealth distribution)"
X Link 2025-12-02T19:18Z 19.6K followers, 3413 engagements

"Provisional but a back of the envelope calculation is that the increase in layoff announcements is consistent with an increase of about 145K/month to JOLTS layoffs (something like an X% increase on top of prior levels) and 12K/week to initial claims (5% increase)"
X Link 2025-12-05T00:01Z 19.6K followers, 3740 engagements

"Interesting that the Fed has no change in their unemployment rate projection for 2026"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:05Z 19.6K followers, 1910 engagements

"Thread on point on Powell's assessment that currently published NFP numbers are currently an overcount. 1/ This may be true but we don't have evidence for it yet. It's an extrapolation of QCEW data from March 2024-March 2025 (8-20 months ago)"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:38Z 19.6K followers, 9814 engagements

"Im curious what Powell meant when he described the November household survey data having technical issues. Here is a thread with some ideas: 1/ Challenging seasonal adjustment in the absence of October data"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:19Z 19.6K followers, 3019 engagements

"2/ Imperfect classification of government workers status because of the survey reference period including both shutdown and non-shutdown days"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:21Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements

"3/ lower than usual response rate (because the data collection period may have run into Thanksgiving week)"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:22Z 19.6K followers, 1426 engagements

"Claims: 1/ An extremely low read for initial claims (191K) during the Thanksgiving week. The comparison to 2024 is wonky due to last year's Boeing strike but it's also a lot lower than in 2023"
X Link 2025-12-04T13:36Z 19.6K followers, 6302 engagements

"2/ The hiring rate was at XXX% in October. It's a really hard time to find a job. We saw this level of hiring in 2010-11 when unemployment was around 9%. (Right now the UR is around 4.5%.)"
X Link 2025-12-09T15:09Z 19.6K followers, 1344 engagements

"3/ The quit rate was XXX% in October its lowest level since May 2020. Job hugging is intense right now We saw quits at these levels in 2014-2015 when the unemployment rate was around 6.5%"
X Link 2025-12-09T15:12Z 19.6K followers, 12.9K engagements

"4/ And the layoff rate picked up a little. We've been used to describing layoffs as unusually low but a layoff of XXX% is "normal" at least for an unemployment rate around 4.5%"
X Link 2025-12-09T15:14Z 19.6K followers, 3705 engagements

"2/ It doesn't matter much for the Fed's mandate. The data that guides that that mandate - ratios in the household survey - won't get revised. We already know what it's doing: the unemployment rate has been going up"
X Link 2025-12-10T21:40Z 19.6K followers, 1788 engagements

"Thursday's claims data: 1/ I expect we'll get payback for last week's very low number which reflected seasonal adjustment misfire. 240K wouldn't surprise me. I don't think 191K was a particularly accurate reflection of reality and 240K (if I'm right) won't reflect it either"
X Link 2025-12-11T01:01Z 19.6K followers, 2050 engagements

"2/ .which means the partial-to-date effect on claims has been swamped by everything else. My back of the envelope calculation for the full impact was 12K in additional initial claims per week based on layoff announcements to date"
X Link 2025-12-11T15:23Z 19.6K followers, XXX engagements

creator/x::EconBerger
/creator/x::EconBerger