#  @CompoundingLab Compounding Lab Compounding Lab posts on X about model, company, fv, if you the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::4704224978/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] -15% - [--] Month [------] +11% - [--] Months [-------] +10% - [--] Year [-------] +26,638% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::4704224978/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -20% - [--] Month [---] +20% - [--] Months [---] -17% - [--] Year [-----] +3,629% ### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::4704224978/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] +1.60% - [--] Month [-----] +6% - [--] Months [-----] +81% - [--] Year [-----] +21,800% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::4704224978/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [stocks](/list/stocks) 58.54% [finance](/list/finance) 30.08% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 12.2% [countries](/list/countries) 5.69% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 2.44% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 1.63% [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) 1.63% [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands) 0.81% [financial services](/list/financial-services) 0.81% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 0.81% **Social topic influence** [model](/topic/model) 9.76%, [company](/topic/company) 6.5%, [fv](/topic/fv) 6.5%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 5.69%, [business](/topic/business) 4.07%, [strong](/topic/strong) 4.07%, [$evo](/topic/$evo) 4.07%, [gas](/topic/gas) 3.25%, [$pypl](/topic/$pypl) 3.25%, [market cap](/topic/market-cap) 3.25% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@ichlerne2](/creator/undefined) [@oguzerkan](/creator/undefined) [@thelonginvest](/creator/undefined) [@leevalueroach](/creator/undefined) [@chartslion](/creator/undefined) [@investseekers](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@simonepaglia75](/creator/undefined) [@gnufs](/creator/undefined) [@nataninvesting](/creator/undefined) [@investedinyou](/creator/undefined) [@endicottinvests](/creator/undefined) [@genzinvest0r](/creator/undefined) [@moneycruncher](/creator/undefined) [@stonkmetal](/creator/undefined) [@eliteoptions2](/creator/undefined) [@barchart](/creator/undefined) [@finchatio](/creator/undefined) [@fcompounders](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Evotec SE (EVO)](/topic/$evo) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [NVR, Inc. (NVR)](/topic/$nvr) [Novo-Nordisk (NVO)](/topic/$nvo) [Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (NBIS)](/topic/$nbis) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU)](/topic/$lulu) [Iqvia Holdings Inc (IQV)](/topic/$iqv) [Icon Plc (ICLR)](/topic/$iclr) [Lennox International, Inc. (LII)](/topic/$lii) [Fair Isaac, Corp. (FICO)](/topic/fair-isaac-corp) [BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)](/topic/$bwa) [Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL)](/topic/$tyl) [T Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW)](/topic/$trow) [RH (RH)](/topic/$rh) [Wall Street Memes (WSM)](/topic/$wsm) [Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)](/topic/$dltr) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)](/topic/$payx) [Paylocity Holding, Corp. (PCTY)](/topic/$pcty) [Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB)](/topic/$wab) [EQT, Corp. (EQT)](/topic/$eqt) [Range Resources, Corp. (RRC)](/topic/$rrc) [Effect.AI (EFX)](/topic/$efx) [LPL Financial Holdings, Inc. (LPLA)](/topic/$lpla) [PG&E, Corp. (PCG)](/topic/$pcg) [Edison International (EIX)](/topic/$eix) [Paycom Software Inc (PAYC)](/topic/paycom-software-inc) [Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN)](/topic/$algn) [Rollins, Inc. (ROL)](/topic/$rol) [Cheniere Energy Partners, LP. (CQP)](/topic/$cqp) [Dover Corp (DOV)](/topic/$dov) [Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)](/topic/$cmg) [Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)](/topic/$dri) [Ubiquiti, Inc. (UI)](/topic/$ui) [SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC)](/topic/$sbac) [Minted (MTD)](/topic/$mtd) [PPL Corp (PPL)](/topic/$ppl) [Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE)](/topic/$cboe) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "$IQV vs $ICLR: Data Giant vs Execution Machine Place Your Bets" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1990008248670249030) 2025-11-16T10:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oguzerkan What do you have to support your claims Price/sales is not enough. You should know by now that ROIC is equally important as growth" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2021980476731490421) 2026-02-12T16:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$LII 10Y ROIC Average 32% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 10% FCFE 3Y Average per share $17 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 49% Narrow Moat Market Price $567 Fair value $560 Shares FAIRLY VALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 1% The ROIC stability is impressive here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022626023410438163 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022626023410438163" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2022626023410438163) 2026-02-14T10:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TheLongInvest Do you have proof of this I don't trust this chart" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1921964465265791294) 2025-05-12T16:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Realty Income $O - The Gold Standard in Dividend Real Estate" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1953158125722431714) 2025-08-06T18:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Can $FICO Rebound A Wide-Moat Compounder Trading Below Fair Value. This company is a real beast. Only a handful of companies can improve ROIC from 13% to almost 50% in just [--] years. Shareholders love it. As a result beating index on all timeframes except for the most recent year. Lets examine what is happening here. Fair Isaac Corp has experienced a mixed track record relative to the S&P [---] across different time horizons. Over the past [--] months FICO shares have declined 22.5% underperforming the S&P 500s 20% gain. However looking longer-term FICO has significantly outpaced the index. Over" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958166866163114024) 2025-08-20T13:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Selling full holding of $BWA today - price close to my fair value. Also trimming $GOOG and $SBH a bit. The projected stress value in case of 50% market collapse is now 31%. How are you hedging" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1966232358836908212) 2025-09-11T20:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$TYL: The Silent Software Powering Government Cash Flows. Tyler Technologies was underperforming the index across all timeframes to such an extent that it now seems meaningfully undervalued. Revenue segmentation reflects Tylers continuing shift toward cloud-centric recurring revenue (SaaS + transaction fees) as its dominant source of growth. EPS however is not growing in line with Revenue which is why ROIC is declining. It can still be a decent buy. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002750194266276271 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002750194266276271" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2002750194266276271) 2025-12-21T14:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$TROW is trading like a broken asset manager - but the math says its being priced like a melting ice cube while still earning elite returns and carrying zero debt. Either the business is quietly deteriorating or the market is badly misreading it. I ran the numbers - they dont match the narrative. Introduction T. Rowe Price looks like a value trap at first glance. Years of stock underperformance versus the S&P [---] and persistent outflows from active funds have pushed sentiment into the basement. But underneath the weak chart sits a business with double-digit returns on capital fortress balance" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020446559167520800) 2026-02-08T10:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$PNDORA DCF valuation model. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 10Y growth @ 4-5%. For [----] I am incorporating 1% based on Pandoras target for organic revenue growth of -1% to 2%. [--]. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2.6% [--]. Drop by [---] bps in EBITDA margin for [----] but gradual recovery to normal 30-31% range. [--]. WACC @ 8.6%. Implied market return used in the calculation is 8.2% [--]. An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] [--]. Tax rate 24% [--]. Reinvestment: The input that drives reinvestment is Sales to Capital ratio = [---] Conclusion: Valuation suggests that the PNDORA is trading at 48% discount to fair value." [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2021332064608391573) 2026-02-10T21:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$RH vs $WSM Williams Sonoma is a perfect example of how ROIC drives stock returns" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2022634825937539514) 2026-02-14T11:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$DLTR 10Y ROIC Average 10% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 17% FCFE 3Y Average per share $7 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 45% None Moat Market Price $126 Fair value $116 Shares OVERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 9% Price recovered recently but this is not the stock I will bet on. When ROIC = WACC it's not good. Not surprised at all to see $DLTR underperform S&P. Investors don't appreciate falling ROIC. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022638351199752318 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022638351199752318" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2022638351199752318) 2026-02-14T11:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$AMZN trading at [--] P/E is justified" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2022645257238941855) 2026-02-14T12:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I do believe Adobe is currently undervalued but I am not planning to buy more since it already makes up 3% of my portfolio. I rarely go to 5% and only with high-conviction low-volatility stocks. It will be interesting to observe whether EMH will succeed this time or not. Finally my $ADBE model was updated with the figures from the most recent quarter. Discount to intrinsic value: 12%. Changes made: - Updated tax rate. Credit to one of my followers who spotted this error. - Unlevered free cash flow formula updated as it was adding back https://t.co/AjcEcFfdnc Finally my $ADBE model was updated" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2022665936600248575) 2026-02-14T13:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Payroll Showdown: $PAYX vs $PCTY" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1952799838170493159) 2025-08-05T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$WAB: Why This Industrial Compounder Keeps Chugging Ahead Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies is one of those industrial names that rarely makes headlines but quietly powers critical infrastructure across global freight and transit markets. The company sits at the intersection of transportation automation and decarbonization making its fundamentals worth a closer look. With a balance of recurring aftermarket revenues and exposure to long-cycle equipment cycles Wabtec has carved out a durable position in the rail ecosystem. That durability is underpinned by consistent returns on capital and an" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1977818053376168370) 2025-10-13T19:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@gnufs Even with 5-6% growth factored still undervalued" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1981247023773839752) 2025-10-23T06:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Battle for the basin ⚔ $EQT vs $RRC the gas titan face-off" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1984698530653487231) 2025-11-01T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Is $EFX the Next Moodys Quick Dive Into the Forgotten Data Moat 1/ Introduction Equifax Inc. sits at the intersection of data credit and trust a business built on information but valued on execution. While its often viewed through the same lens as peers like Experian or TransUnion Equifax has quietly evolved into a diversified human capital and analytics engine. That evolution has redefined its fundamentals: recurring revenue now makes up over half its top line and its data assets stretch far beyond credit files into employment income and identity verification. Yet the stocks muted" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1985065943463264417) 2025-11-02T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Everyone talks about Goldman. Nobody talks about $LPLA. Heres why they should" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1986523256631779539) 2025-11-06T19:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "⚔ $PCG vs $EIX: Californias utility heavyweights go head-to-head" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1986528565072912673) 2025-11-06T20:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I was considering preparing DCF for $TEP.PA but after conducting research on the current situation of the company and industry trends I came to the conclusion that Onepager will be enough. Teleperformance peaked around [---] in early January [----] and trades near [--] today 85% decline from that peak. There are several key reasons why $TEP.PA shares have fallen sharply: many are structural tied to market fears and some to more company-specific issues. Heres a breakdown: 1) AI Disruption Fears The big one: investors worry that artificial intelligence will replace large parts of Teleperformances" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1990122883008623002) 2025-11-16T18:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$NVR is widely viewed as best-in-class homebuilder because of its combination of unique structural advantages disciplined operations and exceptional long-term performance" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1993424747246309461) 2025-11-25T21:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$PAYC Just [--] years ago Paycom Software Inc had an earnings yield of 2-3%. Even with very decent median Return on Capital of 31% and Revenue growth @ 29% something clearly did not align with the shareholders' expectations back then resulting in negative stock performance on 5Y 3Y and 1Y timeframes. Only on 10Y timeframe still shows decent 14.57%. ROIC was heading lower for the last 5Y and the same for growth with the lowest rate in [----] and [----] (just 11%). That is not what shareholders initially expected. Currently the earnings yield provides 5% which indicates that shares are slightly" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1993760777891959190) 2025-11-26T19:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Is $ALGN Quietly Realigning for a Comeback" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1995598380815581395) 2025-12-01T20:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$ROL Bugs Billions & Big Moat: The Pest Control Giant Quietly Eating Market Share" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1996275328784711734) 2025-12-03T17:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CQP: The LNG Cash Machine Powering Americas Energy Exports" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1998478889820237847) 2025-12-09T19:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$DOV Revenue Engines at a Glance" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2001676973068697990) 2025-12-18T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Fast Lunch or Sit-Down Dinner $CMG vs $DRI" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2002088368482759132) 2025-12-19T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$UI 71% YTD. Incredible ROIC. Founder-Led. Cash-Rich. Under the Radar" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2002411946625442267) 2025-12-20T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Every Signal Needs a Tower $SBAC Owns Them" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2002820795874390204) 2025-12-21T19:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$MTD is what everyone wants to own: Elite ROIC Durable margins Strong compounding The problem Youre paying for perfection. Would you buy at $1412" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2003566746918355184) 2025-12-23T20:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Not All Power Stocks Are Created Equal Meet $PPL" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2003936206598570068) 2025-12-24T21:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CBOE Dominant high-moat position in options and volatility trading combined with structurally high margins and recurring fee revenue. Revenue spike in [----] due to the acquisition of Bats Global Markets. Subsequent ROIC dropped to low double-digits due to increased capital. Largest 10Y drawdown -44%. Stock price outperforming S&P recently. Mauboussin cheatsheet should be P/E [--] vs [--] actual. Shares overvalued. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012825051834339494 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012825051834339494" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2012825051834339494) 2026-01-18T09:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$ATO Atmos owns irreplaceable gas infrastructure in territories where it faces no real competition and regulators allow it to earn a steady (6% on average) return on that investment. The majority of natural gas is supplied to residential buildings. Earnings are increasing steadily at 6% annually which is an excellent rate for a regulated utility. This growth aligns closely with revenue growth although revenue tends to fluctuate significantly from year to year (which is normal and expected for this industry). 28% operating margin is also considered very strong for a regulated utility. Stock" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2014770832204018100) 2026-01-23T18:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CDW: the infrastructure backbone Wall Street ignores 📌 $CDW isnt a tech company - its the toll booth. Every IT upgrade cloud migration or security refresh flows through distributors like CDW. 📌 Approx. 90% of revenue comes from repeat customers. IT budgets renew. Hardware breaks. Software licenses expire. CDW lives off replacement cycles. 📌 More than half of Fortune [---] companies buy from CDW. Its embedded deep in enterprise IT procurement - switching costs are quietly high. 📌 Margins look boring - returns arent. Low margins high volume fast inventory turns = strong ROIC. 📌 CDW sells" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2015130709472481497) 2026-01-24T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "As promised Im releasing my $PGR valuation model (DDM with a terminal multiple cross-check). I spent half a day building the model and stress-testing assumptions. Result: Progressive appears undervalued by 25%. If the stock converges to fair value over the next [--] years this implies 10% annual alpha. Key assumptions: [--]. Long-term EPS growth: 4% [--]. ROE remains structurally high at 32% [--]. Cost of Equity: 6.5% (Patreon followers have full visibility of calculation) [--]. P/E exit multiple: [----] Key points: 🔹 Progressive has the highest 10Y average ROA among listed P&C insurers (5.68%). 🔹 #2 U.S." [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2015486377178066986) 2026-01-25T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CPAY: a high-margin payments machine. Big Business Scale: Corpay generated about $4 billion in revenue in [----] and serves 800000+ business clients globally - not small change. Profit Power: Adjusted net income was roughly $1.4 billion in [----] showing strong profitability in a payments-led model. Global Reach: The company helps businesses pay everything from fuel & EV charging to lodging and payables across multiple continents. S&P [---] Member: Corpay is part of the S&P [---] index signaling size and stability among U.S. public companies. Rebrand Spotlight: Formerly part of Fleetcor the company" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2015547760632811913) 2026-01-25T22:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$CNP vs $ES: Texas Powerhouse or New England Fortress" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2015868743050485914) 2026-01-26T19:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$EXPE A strong recovery across all metrics is clearly visible since Covid-19 when Expedia Group was hit extremely hard as global travel essentially stopped. For the full year [----] total revenue collapsed by around 57% compared to [----] as travel restrictions and lockdowns decimated bookings. The market reacted by dropping the stock value by 71%. Subsequent recovery was expected - macro trends vaccine rollouts and early booking data pointed toward a rebound in travel demand that benefited Expedia as the world reopened. Recently revenue growth was just 5% YTD below the 10Y CAGR of 13%." [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2016975798192775340) 2026-01-29T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Everyone agrees $HUBB is a great business. Wide moat. High ROIC. Grid spending tailwinds. Thats exactly why Im not buying it. Hubbell sells mission-critical components utilities cant easily replace. Switching costs are real. Pricing power is real. This part of the story already worked. The market noticed. Returns on capital improved. Margins expanded. The stock crushed the S&P. None of this is a secret anymore. Heres where it gets uncomfortable: Revenue growth is basically flat right now. Yet the stock trades like growth is guaranteed. The bull case assumes: grid spending keeps accelerating" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2017547902713794862) 2026-01-31T10:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Buy homebuilders below book. Sounds smart. Until you compare $LGIH at [---] P/B with $NVR at [--]. Book value isnt the asset. Business quality is" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2017580922741182606) 2026-01-31T12:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Luxury product luxury investment. After a 35% drawdown it may still be too early for $RACE to leave the pit lane. I ran a DCF to see whether the selloff is justified. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit growth @ 4-5% [--]. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2.6% [--]. I am factoring EBITDA margin expansion for Ferrari from 40% today to 52% in [--] years. [--]. WACC @ 7.6%. The implied market return used in the calculation is 8.2% [--]. An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] [--]. Tax rate 19% [--]. The input that drives reinvestment is the most recent Sales/Capital ratio adjusted for artificially inflated assets that dont scale" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2018068560099352908) 2026-02-01T21:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@nataninvesting Dude I think you should start questioning your conviction. When I look at western union it's also 20% yield. [--] years in a row" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2018811655724159234) 2026-02-03T22:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Invested_In_You It is now less relevant. Markets are global and borders are blurred. However some diversification is always a good thing" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2019507146359284045) 2026-02-05T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Going to update my DCF models soon for $PYPL and $NVO. A lot has happened since last workings" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2019713697967751487) 2026-02-06T10:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Dude is comparing market cap with revenue. No further comments from my side. $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2019743948072186251) 2026-02-06T12:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dude is comparing market cap with revenue. This is not analysis. People didn't realise that $NBIS should be looked upon as a start-up (it really is). With all related conclusions about risk etc. $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2019744743370961146) 2026-02-06T12:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@EndicottInvests @genZinvest0r You have no idea what you are talking about" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2019799567848395076) 2026-02-06T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@money_cruncher This should not be shocking at all. And you don't need to wait for Vanguard to tell you this. I am projecting actual returns will be somewhere between -5% to + 5%" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020230152534503450) 2026-02-07T20:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I just published the updated $NVO intrinsic value calculation. Also available on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/posts/nvo-dcf-model-150234985 https://t.co/moPq9xlpcd https://www.patreon.com/posts/nvo-dcf-model-150234985 https://t.co/moPq9xlpcd" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020472684853760258) 2026-02-08T12:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@investseekers I hold both Pandora and Novo. Not gonna sell with losses" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020502395000910167) 2026-02-08T14:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@IchLerne2 That's why I am holding" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020547337228107782) 2026-02-08T17:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$PHM Average 10Y ROIC 14% None Moat Average fcfe [--] years/price per share 5% Standard 10Y deviation of FCF per share 80% ROIC 10Y coefficient of variation 39% Market Price $135 Fair value $116 Shares OVERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 17%" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020555633108333002) 2026-02-08T17:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The LEI continued to decline in October and November [----]. This indicator will eventually work out as expected. Not to scare anyone but to prepare for the imminent market crash. If you have been following me long enough and reading my monthly letters you are already ahead" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020592509681053745) 2026-02-08T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@stonkmetal Isn't it current market price at the moment [----] There is no way you can get more they are buying from the market. You have no choice other than to sell it's open market" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020789939294654684) 2026-02-09T09:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$LH 10Y ROIC Average 9% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 32% FCFE 5Y Average/Price per share 7% 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 44% Narrow Moat Market Price $277 Fair value $273 Shares FAIRLY VALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 2%" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020964126101733571) 2026-02-09T20:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@leevalueroach Fine but [--] % of people will underperform index no matter how much time they spend" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2021290418424447172) 2026-02-10T18:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@leevalueroach Read Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand if you are interested in this" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2021484362638950877) 2026-02-11T07:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$ULTA 10Y ROIC Average 27% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 29% FCFE 5Y Average/Price per share 4% 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 56% Narrow Moat Market Price $679 Fair value $462 Shares OVERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 47%" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2021693052729921846) 2026-02-11T21:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Follow the flow: how $XYL makes every drop count 🌍💧" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1985808187912831207) 2025-11-04T20:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$GIS Here is why you should not base your decisions solely on a multiple that is lowest in a decade. In 95% of cases there will be a reason why company is trading where it is. Let's break it down using General Mills "defensive" play as an example. At first glance revenue is flat and FCF is only slightly up. So we can say it's a stable entity that is growing in line with inflation. However when you look at acquisitions over the last [--] years there is 10B USD spent as per cash flow statement. You literally need to deduct those cash flows when calculating FCF because those are not "growth"" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1999528575003656200) 2025-12-12T17:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$NTAP 10Y ROIC Average 21% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation33% FCFE 5Y Average/Price per share6% 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation29% NarrowMoat Market Price$103 Fair value$130 SharesUNDERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+)-20%" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2020971256494031085) 2026-02-09T21:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Water stock ran dry The $AWK story you mightve missed" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1992527234473820290) 2025-11-23T09:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$GDDY: Strong Setup or Still Sleeping See the Data" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1994136901763387744) 2025-11-27T20:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Today Passive ETFs manage c. 14% of the total US market cap. Still a long way to go. Likely destination range 5060% of equity fund assets. It means that ETFs like $SPY $VOO $VGT will keep outperforming stock pickers" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2022673876338216962) 2026-02-14T14:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@EliteOptions2 This is worst advise ever for investor. Buying the dip is when wealth is built" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1913335688860193114) 2025-04-18T20:55Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements "@Barchart Of course not. Interest rates play big role - eu downshifting" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1921106510999904585) 2025-05-10T07:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@TheLongInvest No this is not the proof. It is just random chart. Independent source which shows your performance like portfolio tracker" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1921967688571646247) 2025-05-12T16:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It's not a fus. Moody's was not the first major credit rating agency to downgrade the United States' credit rating. That distinction belongs to Standard & Poor's (S&P) which downgraded the U.S. from AAA to AA+ in August [----]. Fitch Ratings followed suit in August [----] also lowering the U.S. rating from AAA to AA+. Moody's maintained its AAA rating for the U.S. until May [--] [----] when it downgraded the rating to Aa1. This action marked the loss of the last remaining AAA rating from the three major credit rating agencies. Therefore Moody's was the last of the "Big Three" credit rating agencies" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1923493968844644850) 2025-05-16T21:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@finchat_io I love Youtube. Since we live in attention economy my thesis is that it's shares will prosper going forward. That is one of the reasons why Google is my largest position" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1926369691032764781) 2025-05-24T20:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@F_Compounders Show us his long-term performance where he worked is completely irrelevant" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1926623468616855690) 2025-05-25T12:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "that's because stock price is based on expectations about the future not the past performance" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1927038068764152012) 2025-05-26T16:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@realDonaldTrump God bless America" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1927107594495185156) 2025-05-26T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@unusual_whales est. [----] not 0.75" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1927823002458071155) 2025-05-28T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This transaction is now completed. Total value of $EVO shares bought 2k USD. Which is not a game changer probably since it's only 5% of my total portfolio but I really wanted to onboard this undervalued opportunity. I am ready to purchase more if share price keep declining. Tomorrow I am trimming my $PYPL position to buy some $EVO. https://t.co/8escDAO49K Tomorrow I am trimming my $PYPL position to buy some $EVO. https://t.co/8escDAO49K" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1932083616915300378) 2025-06-09T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@oguzerkan Total visits recovered already from April drop. Yes advertising will be different but it's fine - world is not static. I know google is well positioned for the change and I know their teams are working hard on AI" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1932708968939331993) 2025-06-11T07:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is how my portfolio looks after yesterday's reconstitution. Doubling down on $UNH and $EVO. Also parked some cash for now which will be allocated to $SHY within the next few days. Today made a small reconstitution to my portfolio (again). Now there is [--] positions but my largest will be $EVO $NVDA $UNH. How much do you have in your portfolio Today made a small reconstitution to my portfolio (again). Now there is [--] positions but my largest will be $EVO $NVDA $UNH. How much do you have in your portfolio" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1933266128261845293) 2025-06-12T20:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This calculation will explain why $EVO is my largest position. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 39% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate alpha 15%. Key assumptions: Explicit 5Y growth @ 8% Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 3% WACC @ 10.6% EBITDA multiple [----] Historic EPS Growth (for context) Past 5year EPS growth averaged around 3050% per year but this includes early-stage catch-up and is not indicative of future expectations. Conclusion: I am in. How about you http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/vebitda.html" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1933641782316630413) 2025-06-13T21:45Z [----] followers, 20.4K engagements "@unusual_whales The median household wealth in USA is around $193k. US National debt per citizen 107k. The average number of people per household in the USA is approximately [---]. Total debt per household 267k. 267k - 193k = - 74k deficit. Where is wealth or am I missing smth" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1935801611584201027) 2025-06-19T20:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@DrEliDavid @JMilei Ukraine might have had same decent result if Russia would not invade. They definitely don't want to see Ukraine succeed" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1937812309906260463) 2025-06-25T09:57Z [----] followers, 20K engagements "@MasculineBased @unusual_whales Insulating people is not guts. You should be ashamed of his tone if you know what shame means of course" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1937889442561437958) 2025-06-25T15:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@DividendDude_X My bet is that it will not have major effect on markets since it was already priced in" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1938340104306659592) 2025-06-26T20:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BarkInvesting Good achievement but purely due to luck. Investor on average can not pick such a stock without the high chance to lose most capital" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1938350570231783508) 2025-06-26T21:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@unusual_whales And no one from X specialist community didn't tell us Upset" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1938352933457838293) 2025-06-26T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "1/ Super Micro Computer Inc Today I am sharing with you DCF valuation together with my research on $SMCI. Summary: Industry: Computer Hardware Valuation: shares undervalued Moat: Narrow Market Cap: $28B" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1939773669607137687) 2025-06-30T19:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ChifoiCristian Dude you will do us a lot of favour by just stopping posting this non-sense" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1941583488953503909) 2025-07-05T19:42Z [----] followers, 23.7K engagements "@pepemoonboy I disagree. If you track all your performance from this strategy and compare to holding index fund directly you will see that in long-term it's underperforming. Otherwise we should have seen many billionaires in Forbes who made wealth by doing this. There are none" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1942324433882079710) 2025-07-07T20:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$SBH DCF valuation model (Top-10). Sally is a professional beauty-products retailer a mature industry in most developed markets. They are based in the United States with operations also in Puerto Rico the United Kingdom Belgium Canada Chile Mexico Peru France Ireland Spain Germany and the Netherlands. I started accumulating this position in Dec [----] and sold a few months later with 100% profit. The highest price since I became interested in the stock was recorded in May [----]. Subsequently it was consistently falling lower and lower and now my weighted average price is barely breakeven. Recent" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1942917458626589135) 2025-07-09T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$LULU DCF valuation model. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 20% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate alpha 8%. Key assumptions: Explicit 5Y growth @ 5% Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2% WACC @ 7.7% EBITDA multiple [----] Historic Growth (for context) Historically Lululemon repeatedly outperformed due to a combination of premium brand power direct-to-consumer strategy category diversification and effective global execution. However we need to use projection variables that are cautious by default and reflect industry-wide expected growth" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1943339438505103362) 2025-07-10T16:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BarbellFi No it's not normal. If you don't have peace inside it doesn't matter how much you have. And for some people the more they have gives them more headache and anxiety" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1943682358143562227) 2025-07-11T14:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives You can not really beat index with technical charts. Like [--] % can't do it neither with any other means" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1944837938765832238) 2025-07-14T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@oguzerkan It's not [--] analysts do not confuse people. It's simple wall street calculation of intrinsic value with DCF model. Please check what you are writing" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1946170526000349563) 2025-07-18T11:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$OKE Stock price is currently -4% YTD and the reason is in falling ROIC which dropped from 12% in [----] to just 9% in [----] and even lower in 1H [----]. We observed such a low level of ROIC only in [----] and [----] both crisis years for the energy sector. Not surprisingly investors are dumping the stock. Investors dont like decreasing ROIC and for a good reason they understand that growth and ROIC are the primary drivers of value. On other timeframes (3Y 5Y and 10Y) stock performed much better especially on 5Y where it had outperformed SPX by 10%. However this outperformance clearly comes after" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1953856096604487695) 2025-08-08T16:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Ace & Ten: The House Favors $EVO" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1955648952243761261) 2025-08-13T15:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$GOOG updated DCF model just landed Base case valuation scenario suggests that the stock is trading at 26% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate alpha 8%. What I like about the stock 🔹High (and rising) return on invested capital 28% as of today higher than 10Y average of 19%. Rising ROIC accompanied by a high growth rate is a powerful combination. 🔹I personally use and like Google products. This gives me some additional comfort. Logic is simple if you dont need this product why would others care 🔹Alphabet has a massive opportunity in the lucrative public" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1956703888741953912) 2025-08-16T13:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@IlyaYashin @anatoliisharii - . . . " [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1968675988214059252) 2025-09-18T13:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "You asked I deliver. Here is my actionable DCF model for $ADBE. Base case scenario suggests that the stock is trading at 17% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate an annual alpha 6%. Key assumptions: Explicit 5Y growth @ 8%. Most analysts suggest 10% growth or higher but I prefer to be conservative. You can call me a sandbagger. Alternatively you can use my bull case scenario which can better reflect your optimism. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 3% (long-term GDP growth for developed economies) WACC @ 8.7% An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] which I believe" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1969394467212796050) 2025-09-20T13:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$PYPL valuation model As promised sharing with all of you my carefully crafted DCF model for PayPal. Do not forget to hit the like button if you find it useful. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 18% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate an annual alpha 7%. Key assumptions: 1) Explicit 5Y growth @ 6% subsequently 4% until reaching the perpetuity stage in [----]. From [----] to [----] PayPal delivered strong double-digit revenue growth averaging 1520% annually driven by rising transaction volumes global expansion and pandemic-era e-commerce tailwinds." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1970892585381110236) 2025-09-24T16:46Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements "@grok @Rational_Answer @Big_Belot @grok . " [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1979484315097371115) 2025-10-18T09:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "lululemon athletica inc $LULU DCF valuation model (Top-15). The last time I shared with you my intrinsic valuation for LULU was [--] months ago. So I thought its about time to give you a heads-up on this promising opportunity. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 43% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate annual alpha 20%. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 10Y growth @ 3-5% Over the past ten years Lululemon delivered strong historic growth representing a CAGR of around 20%+ while EPS also expanded sharply due to both sales momentum and margin gains; this" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980021540885500370) 2025-10-19T21:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Everyone Talks AI. Few Notice $EVO Printing Free Cash Flow Like a Casino Banker 🏦🎰 Updated $EVO valuation model = shares undervalued by 41%. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate annual alpha @ 20%. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 5Y growth @ 5-6% [--]. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2.6% (Global economic growth projection) [--]. WACC @ 8.2% [--]. An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] [--]. Reinvestment: The input that drives reinvestment is the most recent Sales to Capital ratio of the Company = [---] [--]. Tax rate 15% = in line with OECDs Pillar [--] Global Minimum Tax Conclusion: great business" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1981022501569274356) 2025-10-22T15:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$UNH - DCF valuation model. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 27% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate annual alpha 11%. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 5Y growth @ 6-7% Over the past decade UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has delivered consistently strong revenue growth expanding from about $157 billion in [----] to roughly $400 billion in [----]. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 11%. Year-over-year growth has generally ranged between 7% and 15% with recent years showing some moderation as the companys scale has increased for" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1981084556070703580) 2025-10-22T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@valuations_ No it means that company might be destroying value and growth prospectives are poor. Nothing to do with what market think about estimats" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984640525991870638) 2025-11-01T15:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$CSU.TO : if Warren Buffett ran a software company it would look like this" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986895228557496422) 2025-11-07T20:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$JD: The Logistics Machine Behind Chinas Online Boom" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989073023530627368) 2025-11-13T20:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$SPMO quite surprisingly had only 31% max 10Y drawdown lower than $USMV or $SPLV. SPMO is a momentum ETF and is expected to be riskier than low-volatility ETFs. However the reality shows a different story which I find quite weird 🧐. Add to this 10Y returns: $SPMO - 17.93% $SPY - 14.53% And you will get a superior Sharpe ratio meaning you can get much better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P500. Crazy market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008259092817514668 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008259092817514668" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2008259092817514668) 2026-01-05T19:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@BourbonCap @theTIKR Trying to relate historical data to stock price is so sick. Price is based on future expectations not historical data" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1967212938034573445) 2025-09-14T13:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "From Gas to Grid: How $WEC Fuels the Midwest Economy" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1984675416473256148) 2025-11-01T17:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "$AVB AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of [---] apartment communities with almost [-----] units and is developing [--] additional properties with approximately [----] units. The company focuses on owning large high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England New York/New Jersey Washington D.C. California and the Pacific Northwest. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989742477247467660 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989742477247467660" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1989742477247467660) 2025-11-15T17:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "REIT Rumble: $VTR or $DOC Who Reigns Supreme" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1990162160534606300) 2025-11-16T20:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@elonmusk @WSJ If you really care about Tesla you should consider whether company will be better off without you. And it's fine" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1917936372242956569) 2025-05-01T13:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "i was too young as I was born in [----] in USSR city (Eastern Ukraine nowadays). 90s were tough but at the same time very exciting and interesting. Maybe it's just about being a child maybe no. But now I don't think it's the same. We used to spend all time outside the apartment and only arrive for a lunch. No one was scared. Mum told me that during USSR times they did not even bother to close the entrance door. There were no thefts. After USSR collapse this has changed" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1927111522641166510) 2025-05-26T21:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@unusual_whales And guess why Cause no one wants to live in the world that politicians have created" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1937901318825521348) 2025-06-25T15:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@HolySmokas VGT is better than qqq. But ye i will go for qqq from the list" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1942491712297001288) 2025-07-08T07:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@MichaelMOTTCM That is divergence. Not necessarily good for dollar it only shows that strength of downward trend is weakening. But it is still downward" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1943685863088464302) 2025-07-11T14:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@LeStonkJames @TheLongInvest He is a clown chartist no hate but true" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1969487362678726694) 2025-09-20T19:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Best performing S&P500 components YTD: Seagate Technology Holdings $STX +227% Micron Technology $MU +200% Western Digital Corporation $WDC +184% Warner Bros. Discovery $WBD +167% Newmont Corporation $NEM +153% Palantir Technologies $PLTR +140% Lam Research Corporation $LRCX +130% Intel Corporation $INTC +102% Amphenol Corporation $APH +99% KLA Corporation $KLAC +95% https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998753057341931668 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998753057341931668" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1998753057341931668) 2025-12-10T13:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@SEC_digger @dirtcheapbanks The LRBI portfolio looks safer I agree" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/2018059763653783580) 2026-02-01T20:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "5/✅ Consider rebalancing now while S&P is near ATH. Increase exposure to low-volatility ETFs to 30-40% of your portfolio: $SHY $SPHD $USMV $LQD $IEF $SPLV $AGG (I currently hold [--] of these 15% of my portfolio and plan to add more.)" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1948004025061826648) 2025-07-23T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "4/ That experience changed how I manage risk. This time Im prepared and I want you to be as well. Heres an actionable guide to prepare your portfolio for the next inevitable crash:" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1948004023568564293) 2025-07-23T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "$TRGP vs The Market: Quiet Climber or Bubble Risk Targa Resources Corp is involved in gathering processing separation and delivery services of gas & liquids. Lets break down past performance and look into the value proposition of this oil & gas midstream company. Notable outperformance on 5Y timeframe but dont get excited too fast this is coming from COVID market crash. In fact on 10Y they only delivered 14% which is also decent but a more down-to-earth performance in line with S&P index. Revenue growth is 7% which is ok and in line with industrial rates; however last few years registered a" [X Link](https://x.com/CompoundingLab/status/1971926780781932857) 2025-09-27T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@CompoundingLab Compounding LabCompounding Lab posts on X about model, company, fv, if you the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence stocks 58.54% finance 30.08% technology brands 12.2% countries 5.69% cryptocurrencies 2.44% automotive brands 1.63% fashion brands 1.63% luxury brands 0.81% financial services 0.81% social networks 0.81%
Social topic influence model 9.76%, company 6.5%, fv 6.5%, if you 5.69%, business 4.07%, strong 4.07%, $evo 4.07%, gas 3.25%, $pypl 3.25%, market cap 3.25%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @unusualwhales @ichlerne2 @oguzerkan @thelonginvest @leevalueroach @chartslion @investseekers @grok @simonepaglia75 @gnufs @nataninvesting @investedinyou @endicottinvests @genzinvest0r @moneycruncher @stonkmetal @eliteoptions2 @barchart @finchatio @fcompounders
Top assets mentioned Evotec SE (EVO) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) NVR, Inc. (NVR) Novo-Nordisk (NVO) Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (NBIS) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) UnitedHealth Group (UNH) Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU) Iqvia Holdings Inc (IQV) Icon Plc (ICLR) Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Fair Isaac, Corp. (FICO) BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) T Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) RH (RH) Wall Street Memes (WSM) Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Paylocity Holding, Corp. (PCTY) Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp (WAB) EQT, Corp. (EQT) Range Resources, Corp. (RRC) Effect.AI (EFX) LPL Financial Holdings, Inc. (LPLA) PG&E, Corp. (PCG) Edison International (EIX) Paycom Software Inc (PAYC) Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Cheniere Energy Partners, LP. (CQP) Dover Corp (DOV) Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) Ubiquiti, Inc. (UI) SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC) Minted (MTD) PPL Corp (PPL) Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"$IQV vs $ICLR: Data Giant vs Execution Machine Place Your Bets"
X Link 2025-11-16T10:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oguzerkan What do you have to support your claims Price/sales is not enough. You should know by now that ROIC is equally important as growth"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$LII 10Y ROIC Average 32% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 10% FCFE 3Y Average per share $17 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 49% Narrow Moat Market Price $567 Fair value $560 Shares FAIRLY VALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 1% The ROIC stability is impressive here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022626023410438163 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022626023410438163"
X Link 2026-02-14T10:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheLongInvest Do you have proof of this I don't trust this chart"
X Link 2025-05-12T16:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Realty Income $O - The Gold Standard in Dividend Real Estate"
X Link 2025-08-06T18:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can $FICO Rebound A Wide-Moat Compounder Trading Below Fair Value. This company is a real beast. Only a handful of companies can improve ROIC from 13% to almost 50% in just [--] years. Shareholders love it. As a result beating index on all timeframes except for the most recent year. Lets examine what is happening here. Fair Isaac Corp has experienced a mixed track record relative to the S&P [---] across different time horizons. Over the past [--] months FICO shares have declined 22.5% underperforming the S&P 500s 20% gain. However looking longer-term FICO has significantly outpaced the index. Over"
X Link 2025-08-20T13:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Selling full holding of $BWA today - price close to my fair value. Also trimming $GOOG and $SBH a bit. The projected stress value in case of 50% market collapse is now 31%. How are you hedging"
X Link 2025-09-11T20:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$TYL: The Silent Software Powering Government Cash Flows. Tyler Technologies was underperforming the index across all timeframes to such an extent that it now seems meaningfully undervalued. Revenue segmentation reflects Tylers continuing shift toward cloud-centric recurring revenue (SaaS + transaction fees) as its dominant source of growth. EPS however is not growing in line with Revenue which is why ROIC is declining. It can still be a decent buy. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002750194266276271 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002750194266276271"
X Link 2025-12-21T14:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$TROW is trading like a broken asset manager - but the math says its being priced like a melting ice cube while still earning elite returns and carrying zero debt. Either the business is quietly deteriorating or the market is badly misreading it. I ran the numbers - they dont match the narrative. Introduction T. Rowe Price looks like a value trap at first glance. Years of stock underperformance versus the S&P [---] and persistent outflows from active funds have pushed sentiment into the basement. But underneath the weak chart sits a business with double-digit returns on capital fortress balance"
X Link 2026-02-08T10:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$PNDORA DCF valuation model. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 10Y growth @ 4-5%. For [----] I am incorporating 1% based on Pandoras target for organic revenue growth of -1% to 2%. [--]. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2.6% [--]. Drop by [---] bps in EBITDA margin for [----] but gradual recovery to normal 30-31% range. [--]. WACC @ 8.6%. Implied market return used in the calculation is 8.2% [--]. An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] [--]. Tax rate 24% [--]. Reinvestment: The input that drives reinvestment is Sales to Capital ratio = [---] Conclusion: Valuation suggests that the PNDORA is trading at 48% discount to fair value."
X Link 2026-02-10T21:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$RH vs $WSM Williams Sonoma is a perfect example of how ROIC drives stock returns"
X Link 2026-02-14T11:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$DLTR 10Y ROIC Average 10% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 17% FCFE 3Y Average per share $7 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 45% None Moat Market Price $126 Fair value $116 Shares OVERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 9% Price recovered recently but this is not the stock I will bet on. When ROIC = WACC it's not good. Not surprised at all to see $DLTR underperform S&P. Investors don't appreciate falling ROIC. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022638351199752318 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022638351199752318"
X Link 2026-02-14T11:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$AMZN trading at [--] P/E is justified"
X Link 2026-02-14T12:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I do believe Adobe is currently undervalued but I am not planning to buy more since it already makes up 3% of my portfolio. I rarely go to 5% and only with high-conviction low-volatility stocks. It will be interesting to observe whether EMH will succeed this time or not. Finally my $ADBE model was updated with the figures from the most recent quarter. Discount to intrinsic value: 12%. Changes made: - Updated tax rate. Credit to one of my followers who spotted this error. - Unlevered free cash flow formula updated as it was adding back https://t.co/AjcEcFfdnc Finally my $ADBE model was updated"
X Link 2026-02-14T13:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Payroll Showdown: $PAYX vs $PCTY"
X Link 2025-08-05T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$WAB: Why This Industrial Compounder Keeps Chugging Ahead Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies is one of those industrial names that rarely makes headlines but quietly powers critical infrastructure across global freight and transit markets. The company sits at the intersection of transportation automation and decarbonization making its fundamentals worth a closer look. With a balance of recurring aftermarket revenues and exposure to long-cycle equipment cycles Wabtec has carved out a durable position in the rail ecosystem. That durability is underpinned by consistent returns on capital and an"
X Link 2025-10-13T19:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@gnufs Even with 5-6% growth factored still undervalued"
X Link 2025-10-23T06:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Battle for the basin ⚔ $EQT vs $RRC the gas titan face-off"
X Link 2025-11-01T19:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Is $EFX the Next Moodys Quick Dive Into the Forgotten Data Moat 1/ Introduction Equifax Inc. sits at the intersection of data credit and trust a business built on information but valued on execution. While its often viewed through the same lens as peers like Experian or TransUnion Equifax has quietly evolved into a diversified human capital and analytics engine. That evolution has redefined its fundamentals: recurring revenue now makes up over half its top line and its data assets stretch far beyond credit files into employment income and identity verification. Yet the stocks muted"
X Link 2025-11-02T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Everyone talks about Goldman. Nobody talks about $LPLA. Heres why they should"
X Link 2025-11-06T19:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"⚔ $PCG vs $EIX: Californias utility heavyweights go head-to-head"
X Link 2025-11-06T20:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I was considering preparing DCF for $TEP.PA but after conducting research on the current situation of the company and industry trends I came to the conclusion that Onepager will be enough. Teleperformance peaked around [---] in early January [----] and trades near [--] today 85% decline from that peak. There are several key reasons why $TEP.PA shares have fallen sharply: many are structural tied to market fears and some to more company-specific issues. Heres a breakdown: 1) AI Disruption Fears The big one: investors worry that artificial intelligence will replace large parts of Teleperformances"
X Link 2025-11-16T18:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$NVR is widely viewed as best-in-class homebuilder because of its combination of unique structural advantages disciplined operations and exceptional long-term performance"
X Link 2025-11-25T21:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$PAYC Just [--] years ago Paycom Software Inc had an earnings yield of 2-3%. Even with very decent median Return on Capital of 31% and Revenue growth @ 29% something clearly did not align with the shareholders' expectations back then resulting in negative stock performance on 5Y 3Y and 1Y timeframes. Only on 10Y timeframe still shows decent 14.57%. ROIC was heading lower for the last 5Y and the same for growth with the lowest rate in [----] and [----] (just 11%). That is not what shareholders initially expected. Currently the earnings yield provides 5% which indicates that shares are slightly"
X Link 2025-11-26T19:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Is $ALGN Quietly Realigning for a Comeback"
X Link 2025-12-01T20:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$ROL Bugs Billions & Big Moat: The Pest Control Giant Quietly Eating Market Share"
X Link 2025-12-03T17:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CQP: The LNG Cash Machine Powering Americas Energy Exports"
X Link 2025-12-09T19:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$DOV Revenue Engines at a Glance"
X Link 2025-12-18T15:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Fast Lunch or Sit-Down Dinner $CMG vs $DRI"
X Link 2025-12-19T18:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$UI 71% YTD. Incredible ROIC. Founder-Led. Cash-Rich. Under the Radar"
X Link 2025-12-20T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Every Signal Needs a Tower $SBAC Owns Them"
X Link 2025-12-21T19:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$MTD is what everyone wants to own: Elite ROIC Durable margins Strong compounding The problem Youre paying for perfection. Would you buy at $1412"
X Link 2025-12-23T20:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Not All Power Stocks Are Created Equal Meet $PPL"
X Link 2025-12-24T21:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CBOE Dominant high-moat position in options and volatility trading combined with structurally high margins and recurring fee revenue. Revenue spike in [----] due to the acquisition of Bats Global Markets. Subsequent ROIC dropped to low double-digits due to increased capital. Largest 10Y drawdown -44%. Stock price outperforming S&P recently. Mauboussin cheatsheet should be P/E [--] vs [--] actual. Shares overvalued. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012825051834339494 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012825051834339494"
X Link 2026-01-18T09:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$ATO Atmos owns irreplaceable gas infrastructure in territories where it faces no real competition and regulators allow it to earn a steady (6% on average) return on that investment. The majority of natural gas is supplied to residential buildings. Earnings are increasing steadily at 6% annually which is an excellent rate for a regulated utility. This growth aligns closely with revenue growth although revenue tends to fluctuate significantly from year to year (which is normal and expected for this industry). 28% operating margin is also considered very strong for a regulated utility. Stock"
X Link 2026-01-23T18:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CDW: the infrastructure backbone Wall Street ignores 📌 $CDW isnt a tech company - its the toll booth. Every IT upgrade cloud migration or security refresh flows through distributors like CDW. 📌 Approx. 90% of revenue comes from repeat customers. IT budgets renew. Hardware breaks. Software licenses expire. CDW lives off replacement cycles. 📌 More than half of Fortune [---] companies buy from CDW. Its embedded deep in enterprise IT procurement - switching costs are quietly high. 📌 Margins look boring - returns arent. Low margins high volume fast inventory turns = strong ROIC. 📌 CDW sells"
X Link 2026-01-24T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As promised Im releasing my $PGR valuation model (DDM with a terminal multiple cross-check). I spent half a day building the model and stress-testing assumptions. Result: Progressive appears undervalued by 25%. If the stock converges to fair value over the next [--] years this implies 10% annual alpha. Key assumptions: [--]. Long-term EPS growth: 4% [--]. ROE remains structurally high at 32% [--]. Cost of Equity: 6.5% (Patreon followers have full visibility of calculation) [--]. P/E exit multiple: [----] Key points: 🔹 Progressive has the highest 10Y average ROA among listed P&C insurers (5.68%). 🔹 #2 U.S."
X Link 2026-01-25T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CPAY: a high-margin payments machine. Big Business Scale: Corpay generated about $4 billion in revenue in [----] and serves 800000+ business clients globally - not small change. Profit Power: Adjusted net income was roughly $1.4 billion in [----] showing strong profitability in a payments-led model. Global Reach: The company helps businesses pay everything from fuel & EV charging to lodging and payables across multiple continents. S&P [---] Member: Corpay is part of the S&P [---] index signaling size and stability among U.S. public companies. Rebrand Spotlight: Formerly part of Fleetcor the company"
X Link 2026-01-25T22:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$CNP vs $ES: Texas Powerhouse or New England Fortress"
X Link 2026-01-26T19:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$EXPE A strong recovery across all metrics is clearly visible since Covid-19 when Expedia Group was hit extremely hard as global travel essentially stopped. For the full year [----] total revenue collapsed by around 57% compared to [----] as travel restrictions and lockdowns decimated bookings. The market reacted by dropping the stock value by 71%. Subsequent recovery was expected - macro trends vaccine rollouts and early booking data pointed toward a rebound in travel demand that benefited Expedia as the world reopened. Recently revenue growth was just 5% YTD below the 10Y CAGR of 13%."
X Link 2026-01-29T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Everyone agrees $HUBB is a great business. Wide moat. High ROIC. Grid spending tailwinds. Thats exactly why Im not buying it. Hubbell sells mission-critical components utilities cant easily replace. Switching costs are real. Pricing power is real. This part of the story already worked. The market noticed. Returns on capital improved. Margins expanded. The stock crushed the S&P. None of this is a secret anymore. Heres where it gets uncomfortable: Revenue growth is basically flat right now. Yet the stock trades like growth is guaranteed. The bull case assumes: grid spending keeps accelerating"
X Link 2026-01-31T10:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Buy homebuilders below book. Sounds smart. Until you compare $LGIH at [---] P/B with $NVR at [--]. Book value isnt the asset. Business quality is"
X Link 2026-01-31T12:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Luxury product luxury investment. After a 35% drawdown it may still be too early for $RACE to leave the pit lane. I ran a DCF to see whether the selloff is justified. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit growth @ 4-5% [--]. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2.6% [--]. I am factoring EBITDA margin expansion for Ferrari from 40% today to 52% in [--] years. [--]. WACC @ 7.6%. The implied market return used in the calculation is 8.2% [--]. An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] [--]. Tax rate 19% [--]. The input that drives reinvestment is the most recent Sales/Capital ratio adjusted for artificially inflated assets that dont scale"
X Link 2026-02-01T21:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@nataninvesting Dude I think you should start questioning your conviction. When I look at western union it's also 20% yield. [--] years in a row"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Invested_In_You It is now less relevant. Markets are global and borders are blurred. However some diversification is always a good thing"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Going to update my DCF models soon for $PYPL and $NVO. A lot has happened since last workings"
X Link 2026-02-06T10:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Dude is comparing market cap with revenue. No further comments from my side. $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dude is comparing market cap with revenue. This is not analysis. People didn't realise that $NBIS should be looked upon as a start-up (it really is). With all related conclusions about risk etc. $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc $NBIS is in the $60s after hours $NBIS market cap ($17.2B) is now LESS than the base value of the $MSFT contract ($17.4B) Insanity😵💫 https://t.co/AQf2cvndOc"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@EndicottInvests @genZinvest0r You have no idea what you are talking about"
X Link 2026-02-06T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@money_cruncher This should not be shocking at all. And you don't need to wait for Vanguard to tell you this. I am projecting actual returns will be somewhere between -5% to + 5%"
X Link 2026-02-07T20:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I just published the updated $NVO intrinsic value calculation. Also available on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/posts/nvo-dcf-model-150234985 https://t.co/moPq9xlpcd https://www.patreon.com/posts/nvo-dcf-model-150234985 https://t.co/moPq9xlpcd"
X Link 2026-02-08T12:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@investseekers I hold both Pandora and Novo. Not gonna sell with losses"
X Link 2026-02-08T14:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@IchLerne2 That's why I am holding"
X Link 2026-02-08T17:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$PHM Average 10Y ROIC 14% None Moat Average fcfe [--] years/price per share 5% Standard 10Y deviation of FCF per share 80% ROIC 10Y coefficient of variation 39% Market Price $135 Fair value $116 Shares OVERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 17%"
X Link 2026-02-08T17:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The LEI continued to decline in October and November [----]. This indicator will eventually work out as expected. Not to scare anyone but to prepare for the imminent market crash. If you have been following me long enough and reading my monthly letters you are already ahead"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@stonkmetal Isn't it current market price at the moment [----] There is no way you can get more they are buying from the market. You have no choice other than to sell it's open market"
X Link 2026-02-09T09:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$LH 10Y ROIC Average 9% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 32% FCFE 5Y Average/Price per share 7% 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 44% Narrow Moat Market Price $277 Fair value $273 Shares FAIRLY VALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 2%"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@leevalueroach Fine but [--] % of people will underperform index no matter how much time they spend"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@leevalueroach Read Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand if you are interested in this"
X Link 2026-02-11T07:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$ULTA 10Y ROIC Average 27% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation 29% FCFE 5Y Average/Price per share 4% 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation 56% Narrow Moat Market Price $679 Fair value $462 Shares OVERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+) 47%"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Follow the flow: how $XYL makes every drop count 🌍💧"
X Link 2025-11-04T20:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$GIS Here is why you should not base your decisions solely on a multiple that is lowest in a decade. In 95% of cases there will be a reason why company is trading where it is. Let's break it down using General Mills "defensive" play as an example. At first glance revenue is flat and FCF is only slightly up. So we can say it's a stable entity that is growing in line with inflation. However when you look at acquisitions over the last [--] years there is 10B USD spent as per cash flow statement. You literally need to deduct those cash flows when calculating FCF because those are not "growth""
X Link 2025-12-12T17:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$NTAP 10Y ROIC Average 21% 10Y ROIC Coefficient of variation33% FCFE 5Y Average/Price per share6% 10Y FCFE per share Coefficient of variation29% NarrowMoat Market Price$103 Fair value$130 SharesUNDERVALUED Discount (-)/Premium (+)-20%"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Water stock ran dry The $AWK story you mightve missed"
X Link 2025-11-23T09:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$GDDY: Strong Setup or Still Sleeping See the Data"
X Link 2025-11-27T20:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Today Passive ETFs manage c. 14% of the total US market cap. Still a long way to go. Likely destination range 5060% of equity fund assets. It means that ETFs like $SPY $VOO $VGT will keep outperforming stock pickers"
X Link 2026-02-14T14:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@EliteOptions2 This is worst advise ever for investor. Buying the dip is when wealth is built"
X Link 2025-04-18T20:55Z [----] followers, 12.2K engagements
"@Barchart Of course not. Interest rates play big role - eu downshifting"
X Link 2025-05-10T07:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheLongInvest No this is not the proof. It is just random chart. Independent source which shows your performance like portfolio tracker"
X Link 2025-05-12T16:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It's not a fus. Moody's was not the first major credit rating agency to downgrade the United States' credit rating. That distinction belongs to Standard & Poor's (S&P) which downgraded the U.S. from AAA to AA+ in August [----]. Fitch Ratings followed suit in August [----] also lowering the U.S. rating from AAA to AA+. Moody's maintained its AAA rating for the U.S. until May [--] [----] when it downgraded the rating to Aa1. This action marked the loss of the last remaining AAA rating from the three major credit rating agencies. Therefore Moody's was the last of the "Big Three" credit rating agencies"
X Link 2025-05-16T21:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@finchat_io I love Youtube. Since we live in attention economy my thesis is that it's shares will prosper going forward. That is one of the reasons why Google is my largest position"
X Link 2025-05-24T20:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@F_Compounders Show us his long-term performance where he worked is completely irrelevant"
X Link 2025-05-25T12:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"that's because stock price is based on expectations about the future not the past performance"
X Link 2025-05-26T16:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@realDonaldTrump God bless America"
X Link 2025-05-26T21:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@unusual_whales est. [----] not 0.75"
X Link 2025-05-28T20:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This transaction is now completed. Total value of $EVO shares bought 2k USD. Which is not a game changer probably since it's only 5% of my total portfolio but I really wanted to onboard this undervalued opportunity. I am ready to purchase more if share price keep declining. Tomorrow I am trimming my $PYPL position to buy some $EVO. https://t.co/8escDAO49K Tomorrow I am trimming my $PYPL position to buy some $EVO. https://t.co/8escDAO49K"
X Link 2025-06-09T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@oguzerkan Total visits recovered already from April drop. Yes advertising will be different but it's fine - world is not static. I know google is well positioned for the change and I know their teams are working hard on AI"
X Link 2025-06-11T07:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is how my portfolio looks after yesterday's reconstitution. Doubling down on $UNH and $EVO. Also parked some cash for now which will be allocated to $SHY within the next few days. Today made a small reconstitution to my portfolio (again). Now there is [--] positions but my largest will be $EVO $NVDA $UNH. How much do you have in your portfolio Today made a small reconstitution to my portfolio (again). Now there is [--] positions but my largest will be $EVO $NVDA $UNH. How much do you have in your portfolio"
X Link 2025-06-12T20:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This calculation will explain why $EVO is my largest position. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 39% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate alpha 15%. Key assumptions: Explicit 5Y growth @ 8% Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 3% WACC @ 10.6% EBITDA multiple [----] Historic EPS Growth (for context) Past 5year EPS growth averaged around 3050% per year but this includes early-stage catch-up and is not indicative of future expectations. Conclusion: I am in. How about you http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/vebitda.html"
X Link 2025-06-13T21:45Z [----] followers, 20.4K engagements
"@unusual_whales The median household wealth in USA is around $193k. US National debt per citizen 107k. The average number of people per household in the USA is approximately [---]. Total debt per household 267k. 267k - 193k = - 74k deficit. Where is wealth or am I missing smth"
X Link 2025-06-19T20:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@DrEliDavid @JMilei Ukraine might have had same decent result if Russia would not invade. They definitely don't want to see Ukraine succeed"
X Link 2025-06-25T09:57Z [----] followers, 20K engagements
"@MasculineBased @unusual_whales Insulating people is not guts. You should be ashamed of his tone if you know what shame means of course"
X Link 2025-06-25T15:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@DividendDude_X My bet is that it will not have major effect on markets since it was already priced in"
X Link 2025-06-26T20:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BarkInvesting Good achievement but purely due to luck. Investor on average can not pick such a stock without the high chance to lose most capital"
X Link 2025-06-26T21:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@unusual_whales And no one from X specialist community didn't tell us Upset"
X Link 2025-06-26T21:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ Super Micro Computer Inc Today I am sharing with you DCF valuation together with my research on $SMCI. Summary: Industry: Computer Hardware Valuation: shares undervalued Moat: Narrow Market Cap: $28B"
X Link 2025-06-30T19:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ChifoiCristian Dude you will do us a lot of favour by just stopping posting this non-sense"
X Link 2025-07-05T19:42Z [----] followers, 23.7K engagements
"@pepemoonboy I disagree. If you track all your performance from this strategy and compare to holding index fund directly you will see that in long-term it's underperforming. Otherwise we should have seen many billionaires in Forbes who made wealth by doing this. There are none"
X Link 2025-07-07T20:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$SBH DCF valuation model (Top-10). Sally is a professional beauty-products retailer a mature industry in most developed markets. They are based in the United States with operations also in Puerto Rico the United Kingdom Belgium Canada Chile Mexico Peru France Ireland Spain Germany and the Netherlands. I started accumulating this position in Dec [----] and sold a few months later with 100% profit. The highest price since I became interested in the stock was recorded in May [----]. Subsequently it was consistently falling lower and lower and now my weighted average price is barely breakeven. Recent"
X Link 2025-07-09T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$LULU DCF valuation model. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 20% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate alpha 8%. Key assumptions: Explicit 5Y growth @ 5% Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2% WACC @ 7.7% EBITDA multiple [----] Historic Growth (for context) Historically Lululemon repeatedly outperformed due to a combination of premium brand power direct-to-consumer strategy category diversification and effective global execution. However we need to use projection variables that are cautious by default and reflect industry-wide expected growth"
X Link 2025-07-10T16:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BarbellFi No it's not normal. If you don't have peace inside it doesn't matter how much you have. And for some people the more they have gives them more headache and anxiety"
X Link 2025-07-11T14:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives You can not really beat index with technical charts. Like [--] % can't do it neither with any other means"
X Link 2025-07-14T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@oguzerkan It's not [--] analysts do not confuse people. It's simple wall street calculation of intrinsic value with DCF model. Please check what you are writing"
X Link 2025-07-18T11:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$OKE Stock price is currently -4% YTD and the reason is in falling ROIC which dropped from 12% in [----] to just 9% in [----] and even lower in 1H [----]. We observed such a low level of ROIC only in [----] and [----] both crisis years for the energy sector. Not surprisingly investors are dumping the stock. Investors dont like decreasing ROIC and for a good reason they understand that growth and ROIC are the primary drivers of value. On other timeframes (3Y 5Y and 10Y) stock performed much better especially on 5Y where it had outperformed SPX by 10%. However this outperformance clearly comes after"
X Link 2025-08-08T16:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Ace & Ten: The House Favors $EVO"
X Link 2025-08-13T15:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$GOOG updated DCF model just landed Base case valuation scenario suggests that the stock is trading at 26% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate alpha 8%. What I like about the stock 🔹High (and rising) return on invested capital 28% as of today higher than 10Y average of 19%. Rising ROIC accompanied by a high growth rate is a powerful combination. 🔹I personally use and like Google products. This gives me some additional comfort. Logic is simple if you dont need this product why would others care 🔹Alphabet has a massive opportunity in the lucrative public"
X Link 2025-08-16T13:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@IlyaYashin @anatoliisharii - . . . "
X Link 2025-09-18T13:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"You asked I deliver. Here is my actionable DCF model for $ADBE. Base case scenario suggests that the stock is trading at 17% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate an annual alpha 6%. Key assumptions: Explicit 5Y growth @ 8%. Most analysts suggest 10% growth or higher but I prefer to be conservative. You can call me a sandbagger. Alternatively you can use my bull case scenario which can better reflect your optimism. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 3% (long-term GDP growth for developed economies) WACC @ 8.7% An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] which I believe"
X Link 2025-09-20T13:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$PYPL valuation model As promised sharing with all of you my carefully crafted DCF model for PayPal. Do not forget to hit the like button if you find it useful. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 18% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate an annual alpha 7%. Key assumptions: 1) Explicit 5Y growth @ 6% subsequently 4% until reaching the perpetuity stage in [----]. From [----] to [----] PayPal delivered strong double-digit revenue growth averaging 1520% annually driven by rising transaction volumes global expansion and pandemic-era e-commerce tailwinds."
X Link 2025-09-24T16:46Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements
"@grok @Rational_Answer @Big_Belot @grok . "
X Link 2025-10-18T09:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"lululemon athletica inc $LULU DCF valuation model (Top-15). The last time I shared with you my intrinsic valuation for LULU was [--] months ago. So I thought its about time to give you a heads-up on this promising opportunity. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 43% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate annual alpha 20%. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 10Y growth @ 3-5% Over the past ten years Lululemon delivered strong historic growth representing a CAGR of around 20%+ while EPS also expanded sharply due to both sales momentum and margin gains; this"
X Link 2025-10-19T21:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Everyone Talks AI. Few Notice $EVO Printing Free Cash Flow Like a Casino Banker 🏦🎰 Updated $EVO valuation model = shares undervalued by 41%. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate annual alpha @ 20%. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 5Y growth @ 5-6% [--]. Long-term growth in perpetuity @ 2.6% (Global economic growth projection) [--]. WACC @ 8.2% [--]. An EBITDA exit multiple of [----] [--]. Reinvestment: The input that drives reinvestment is the most recent Sales to Capital ratio of the Company = [---] [--]. Tax rate 15% = in line with OECDs Pillar [--] Global Minimum Tax Conclusion: great business"
X Link 2025-10-22T15:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$UNH - DCF valuation model. Valuation suggests that the stock is trading at 27% discount to fair value. If adjusted to FV within [--] years it will generate annual alpha 11%. Key assumptions: [--]. Explicit 5Y growth @ 6-7% Over the past decade UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has delivered consistently strong revenue growth expanding from about $157 billion in [----] to roughly $400 billion in [----]. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 11%. Year-over-year growth has generally ranged between 7% and 15% with recent years showing some moderation as the companys scale has increased for"
X Link 2025-10-22T19:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@valuations_ No it means that company might be destroying value and growth prospectives are poor. Nothing to do with what market think about estimats"
X Link 2025-11-01T15:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$CSU.TO : if Warren Buffett ran a software company it would look like this"
X Link 2025-11-07T20:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$JD: The Logistics Machine Behind Chinas Online Boom"
X Link 2025-11-13T20:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$SPMO quite surprisingly had only 31% max 10Y drawdown lower than $USMV or $SPLV. SPMO is a momentum ETF and is expected to be riskier than low-volatility ETFs. However the reality shows a different story which I find quite weird 🧐. Add to this 10Y returns: $SPMO - 17.93% $SPY - 14.53% And you will get a superior Sharpe ratio meaning you can get much better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P500. Crazy market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008259092817514668 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008259092817514668"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@BourbonCap @theTIKR Trying to relate historical data to stock price is so sick. Price is based on future expectations not historical data"
X Link 2025-09-14T13:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"From Gas to Grid: How $WEC Fuels the Midwest Economy"
X Link 2025-11-01T17:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$AVB AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of [---] apartment communities with almost [-----] units and is developing [--] additional properties with approximately [----] units. The company focuses on owning large high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England New York/New Jersey Washington D.C. California and the Pacific Northwest. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989742477247467660 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1989742477247467660"
X Link 2025-11-15T17:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"REIT Rumble: $VTR or $DOC Who Reigns Supreme"
X Link 2025-11-16T20:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@elonmusk @WSJ If you really care about Tesla you should consider whether company will be better off without you. And it's fine"
X Link 2025-05-01T13:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"i was too young as I was born in [----] in USSR city (Eastern Ukraine nowadays). 90s were tough but at the same time very exciting and interesting. Maybe it's just about being a child maybe no. But now I don't think it's the same. We used to spend all time outside the apartment and only arrive for a lunch. No one was scared. Mum told me that during USSR times they did not even bother to close the entrance door. There were no thefts. After USSR collapse this has changed"
X Link 2025-05-26T21:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@unusual_whales And guess why Cause no one wants to live in the world that politicians have created"
X Link 2025-06-25T15:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@HolySmokas VGT is better than qqq. But ye i will go for qqq from the list"
X Link 2025-07-08T07:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MichaelMOTTCM That is divergence. Not necessarily good for dollar it only shows that strength of downward trend is weakening. But it is still downward"
X Link 2025-07-11T14:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@LeStonkJames @TheLongInvest He is a clown chartist no hate but true"
X Link 2025-09-20T19:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Best performing S&P500 components YTD: Seagate Technology Holdings $STX +227% Micron Technology $MU +200% Western Digital Corporation $WDC +184% Warner Bros. Discovery $WBD +167% Newmont Corporation $NEM +153% Palantir Technologies $PLTR +140% Lam Research Corporation $LRCX +130% Intel Corporation $INTC +102% Amphenol Corporation $APH +99% KLA Corporation $KLAC +95% https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998753057341931668 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1998753057341931668"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@SEC_digger @dirtcheapbanks The LRBI portfolio looks safer I agree"
X Link 2026-02-01T20:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"5/✅ Consider rebalancing now while S&P is near ATH. Increase exposure to low-volatility ETFs to 30-40% of your portfolio: $SHY $SPHD $USMV $LQD $IEF $SPLV $AGG (I currently hold [--] of these 15% of my portfolio and plan to add more.)"
X Link 2025-07-23T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ That experience changed how I manage risk. This time Im prepared and I want you to be as well. Heres an actionable guide to prepare your portfolio for the next inevitable crash:"
X Link 2025-07-23T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$TRGP vs The Market: Quiet Climber or Bubble Risk Targa Resources Corp is involved in gathering processing separation and delivery services of gas & liquids. Lets break down past performance and look into the value proposition of this oil & gas midstream company. Notable outperformance on 5Y timeframe but dont get excited too fast this is coming from COVID market crash. In fact on 10Y they only delivered 14% which is also decent but a more down-to-earth performance in line with S&P index. Revenue growth is 7% which is ok and in line with industrial rates; however last few years registered a"
X Link 2025-09-27T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
/creator/x::CompoundingLab