# ![@ChazNuttycombe Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::861919615752044544.png) @ChazNuttycombe Chaz Nuttycombe

Chaz Nuttycombe posts on X about in the, dems, the new, west virginia the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::861919615752044544/interactions)
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### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::861919615752044544/posts_active)
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- [--] Week [--] +13%
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- [--] Months [---] +304%
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### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::861919615752044544/followers)
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- [--] Week [------] +0.13%
- [--] Month [------] +0.81%
- [--] Months [------] +7.80%
- [--] Year [------] +9.20%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::861919615752044544/influencer_rank)
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### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  8.63% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  5.76% [countries](/list/countries)  0.72%

**Social topic influence**
[in the](/topic/in-the) 10.79%, [dems](/topic/dems) #1167, [the new](/topic/the-new) #2093, [west virginia](/topic/west-virginia) 4.32%, [house of](/topic/house-of) 4.32%, [twitter](/topic/twitter) 2.88%, [we are](/topic/we-are) 2.88%, [democrats](/topic/democrats) 2.88%, [imo](/topic/imo) 2.88%, [just a](/topic/just-a) 2.88%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@statenavigate](/creator/undefined) [@cnalysis](/creator/undefined) [@kevsaucebro](/creator/undefined) [@cgillauthor](/creator/undefined) [@lowkeykarlee](/creator/undefined) [@christianheiens](/creator/undefined) [@marywitha4](/creator/undefined) [@transraven332](/creator/undefined) [@spicy1812](/creator/undefined) [@rkudeshi](/creator/undefined) [@dumptrump_45](/creator/undefined) [@kaylayoungforwv](/creator/undefined) [@jhkersting](/creator/undefined) [@allieatstatenav](/creator/undefined) [@allymutnicks](/creator/undefined) [@speakerdonscott](/creator/undefined) [@jaaavis](/creator/undefined) [@davidpoolerva](/creator/undefined) [@tomperriello](/creator/undefined) [@statenavigates](/creator/undefined)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Governor has made it official: redistricting amendment vote on the way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019778047247831085)  2026-02-06T14:19Z 32K followers, 287.4K engagements


"Starting on Monday @StateNavigate will be doing weekly news roundups for all states we're live in besides MI and AK. Subscribe here to get the latest: https://statenavigate.us5.list-manage.com/subscribeu=02432c905bac1a066d5c1de2b&id=9d6289ba1f https://statenavigate.us5.list-manage.com/subscribeu=02432c905bac1a066d5c1de2b&id=9d6289ba1f"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022295682917224855)  2026-02-13T13:03Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"The power of Bird JUST IN: My official portrait https://t.co/m08Phv1cFY JUST IN: My official portrait https://t.co/m08Phv1cFY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022433937218523582)  2026-02-13T22:13Z 32K followers, 18.7K engagements


"One big thing we're seeing is that DEMs are not lacking in recruiting candidates for [----] nationwide. One tell tale is in VA where there are [--] Democratic candidates for Congress whose names I have never heard off. Lot of first-time candidates for state legislative races too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021782061380452479)  2026-02-12T03:03Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Rumor is Olivia Nuzzi is the running mate NEW: Mark Sanford is eyeing a political comeback -- including a possible primary challenge to Lindsey Graham Sanford met with GOP strategist Jeff Roe earlier this week to discuss his options https://t.co/nVPkQcecZe NEW: Mark Sanford is eyeing a political comeback -- including a possible primary challenge to Lindsey Graham Sanford met with GOP strategist Jeff Roe earlier this week to discuss his options https://t.co/nVPkQcecZe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022462258526200034)  2026-02-14T00:05Z 32K followers, 25.7K engagements


"WOW - Republicans are leaving WV HD-56 uncontested. Incumbent Democrat @kaylayoungforwv who has been in the WV House since [----] and won re-election by 3.8% in [----] does not have a Republican opponent this year. Trump won this seat by 10.4% https://projects.statenavigate.com/districts/states/wv/lower/56 https://projects.statenavigate.com/districts/states/wv/lower/56"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2018417888969777547)  2026-02-02T20:14Z 32K followers, 96.2K engagements


"In West Virginia a Civil War is brewing. [--] Republican primaries out of [--] State Senate seats. [--] Republican primaries out of [---] House of Delegates seats. This is the first time the WV GOP will have closed primaries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2018739432094883942)  2026-02-03T17:32Z 32K followers, 167.8K engagements


"Also West Virginia Democrats were able to field candidates in a whopping [--] House districts this year. 17/19 Senate seats too. https://westvirginiawatch.com/2026/02/03/surge-of-democrats-women-file-to-run-for-office-in-west-virginias-2026-primary-election/ https://westvirginiawatch.com/2026/02/03/surge-of-democrats-women-file-to-run-for-office-in-west-virginias-2026-primary-election/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2018742490107609408)  2026-02-03T17:44Z 32K followers, 94.9K engagements


"Thank you for referencing actual data on the upcoming elections instead of your usual vomit on what degenerate gamblers are up to Harry. It's like seeing Anakin Skywalker inside Darth Vader. Big state polling is showing a huge rebound for Dems in NY & CA (where there are plenty of GOP House seats) from [----]. Meanwhile in TX House polling shows a double-digit gain for Dems from the [----] baseline. Overall: chance of a Dem landslide in [----] is increasing. https://t.co/rWC481bxwz Big state polling is showing a huge rebound for Dems in NY & CA (where there are plenty of GOP House seats) from 2024."  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019221440826864061)  2026-02-05T01:28Z 32K followers, 20.9K engagements


"The WaPo layoffs today make this probably the worst day in journalism since [---] shutdown. The for-profit model for news simply no longer works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019250316441698512)  2026-02-05T03:22Z 32K followers, 17.3K engagements


"Ironic that Harris is making this her schtick for this year after being the first Democratic nominee for President since Al Gore to lose 18-year-olds and in general posted the worst Gen Z performance since pre-Obama. Welcome to Headquarters the new Gen-Z led progressive content hub. https://t.co/7EQyz3DFpd Welcome to Headquarters the new Gen-Z led progressive content hub. https://t.co/7EQyz3DFpd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019414903145263196)  2026-02-05T14:16Z 32K followers, 10.4K engagements


"I can't show a preview because it'd spoil the West Virginia forecast but for those who remember the @CNalysis Make Your Own Forecast tool: we're returning this feature in [----] starting in WV. @jhkersting started on it yesterday; our goal is to have it out this month"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019422758187462984)  2026-02-05T14:47Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"I'm at the General Assembly today with @allieatstatenav. Given @allymutnick's reporting and news on potential maps today we asked Senators Bagby and Perry if they have seen the maps and they said they haven't. When I attempted to ask Delegate Helmer a question unrelated to guns at his and Delegate Clark's gaggle his staffer said he was only taking questions on guns today. I asked Helmer if I could ask him a question before the gaggle and he also declined. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019498360650989581 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019498360650989581"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019498360650989581)  2026-02-05T19:48Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Unless the Speaker can see the future and knows who is in the White House in [----] he doesn't know this. We know at least [--] seats are highly competitive thus far and a simple normal Republican midterm (R+3 or greater) flips the Perriello and Luria seat. Maybe even R+2 gets the job done (2022 was about R+2 maybe R+1.5). Without Dobbs [----] would've been R+4 or greater The craziest thing I realized today (after @SpeakerDonScott said it) was that these maps would hold for [--] terms. Thats a decent career in DC before the commission comes back. #valeg The craziest thing I realized today (after"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019556756993577334)  2026-02-05T23:40Z 32K followers, 13.5K engagements


""It's a big club and you ain't in it" SWVA Democrat Beth Macy on her own partys redistricting push: its tough to sit by and read the redistricting tea leaves as political factions in Richmond and Washington draw maps in backrooms to favor career politicians not working people https://t.co/QhknJ2zNe1 SWVA Democrat Beth Macy on her own partys redistricting push: its tough to sit by and read the redistricting tea leaves as political factions in Richmond and Washington draw maps in backrooms to favor career politicians not working people https://t.co/QhknJ2zNe1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019560243022426159)  2026-02-05T23:54Z 32K followers, 12.1K engagements


"VIRGINIA MAP IS OUT @Jaaavis WITH THE SCOOP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019566203958649175)  2026-02-06T00:17Z 32K followers, 144K engagements


"Jay Jones won every district but the new 6th and 2nd will definitely be competitive in even environments and will flip in red-wave environments. Thank you to the VA LIS for publishing the shapefile NEW @StateNavigate INTERACTIVE: VA ELECTION RESULTS PROPOSED US HOUSE SEATS https://t.co/mIRZNVzEO7 [----] now up [----] and [----] data to come https://t.co/iza2vGHqsd Thank you to the VA LIS for publishing the shapefile NEW @StateNavigate INTERACTIVE: VA ELECTION RESULTS PROPOSED US HOUSE SEATS https://t.co/mIRZNVzEO7 [----] now up [----] and [----] data to come https://t.co/iza2vGHqsd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019583908514300087)  2026-02-06T01:28Z 32K followers, 15.3K engagements


"You shouldn't take analysis seriously from anyone or any organization who is using the [----] VA Gov results as a partisan baseline for the new districts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019593225489805414)  2026-02-06T02:05Z 32K followers, 10.3K engagements


"@ChristianHeiens It was R+1 in [----] US House results"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019593355521585607)  2026-02-06T02:05Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"@DavidPoole_RVA Don't go to Vegas David"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019599201248931998)  2026-02-06T02:29Z 32K followers, [--] engagements


"In the [----] GOV primary the new 6th district gave @tomperriello 73% of the vote while losing by double digits to Ralph Northam"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019601157245809024)  2026-02-06T02:36Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"In short Republicans should celebrate the Democrats hiring a moron to draw their map. God will damn us all when the Election Twitter kids on here get into political professions that let them draw gerrymanders for we will have few competitive districts in Congress w/o a ban"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019612279130714387)  2026-02-06T03:21Z 32K followers, 41.8K engagements


"President [----] HoD [----] US House [----] and US Senate [----] now up on this page. [----] up next and then [----] primary data last Thank you to the VA LIS for publishing the shapefile NEW @StateNavigate INTERACTIVE: VA ELECTION RESULTS PROPOSED US HOUSE SEATS https://t.co/mIRZNVzEO7 [----] now up [----] and [----] data to come https://t.co/iza2vGHqsd Thank you to the VA LIS for publishing the shapefile NEW @StateNavigate INTERACTIVE: VA ELECTION RESULTS PROPOSED US HOUSE SEATS https://t.co/mIRZNVzEO7 [----] now up [----] and [----] data to come https://t.co/iza2vGHqsd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019616398520250679)  2026-02-06T03:37Z 32K followers, 19.6K engagements


"Like I said on Twitter spaces [--] of these Harris seats voted for congressional Rs in 2024"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019616607840915775)  2026-02-06T03:38Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"We are now calculating what % of the proposed VA-6 district (the college town seat) is age 18-24. Take your picks 10-15% 15-20% 25% 20-25% 10-15% 15-20% 25% 20-25%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019618291225096562)  2026-02-06T03:44Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"If you've enjoyed @StateNavigate's lightning-speed work tonight make sure to make a donation if you ain't already https://statenavigate.org/donate https://statenavigate.org/donate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019620470816141691)  2026-02-06T03:53Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Seventh Scorpion going into my lexicon looking at the new district shapes on https://t.co/g50E6y9ABq check out the Seventh Scorpion https://t.co/ALG0Ipxuwt looking at the new district shapes on https://t.co/g50E6y9ABq check out the Seventh Scorpion https://t.co/ALG0Ipxuwt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019628799315329276)  2026-02-06T04:26Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Whoever is saying this is dead wrong. The new CD-2 voted for Republican candidates for the US House in [----]. Most of those votes were for Kiggans. @NCisbased @hunterb73 @NVindependent1 @PollTracker2024 @vademocrats They literally wrote in the release of the maps that Kiggans lost this seat in [----] so clearly Nuttycombe is wrong. @NCisbased @hunterb73 @NVindependent1 @PollTracker2024 @vademocrats They literally wrote in the release of the maps that Kiggans lost this seat in [----] so clearly Nuttycombe is wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020223604034613272)  2026-02-07T19:50Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Honestly this stat and incorrect part of whatever press release is probably the most indicative part of the "10-1 in blue wave years" gerrymander that the map drawers are fuck-ups"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020224428882407872)  2026-02-07T19:53Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Out Tuesday AM for West Virginia @StateNavigate: - [----] Forecast Release - [----] Forecast Summary - GOP Civil War Overview"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020232946649592274)  2026-02-07T20:27Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Political Science rant: My theory on why the Republican party is more ideologically diverse than their Democrat counterparts is because Republican primaries are almost always racially homogenous. Democrats' voting base is much more racially diverse making primaries more often than not about group interests and representation. Messaging in primaries outside of ones that are incredibly white more often than not uses group-oriented terms rather than ideological. Delivering for communities as an incumbent is much more important to racial minorities in majority-white western counties making"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020248055011037495)  2026-02-07T21:27Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"@Richard_Harambe @dannylaub Full map https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020265524069089778)  2026-02-07T22:36Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Two updates to West Virginia Navigate today: - Freedom Caucus identifications added - Committees added"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020522043700031709)  2026-02-08T15:36Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"TOMORROW: West Virginia [----] forecast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2020866768311362048)  2026-02-09T14:25Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"🚨1ST [----] FORECAST LAUNCH🚨 WV is the 1st state to have a [----] forecast. Right now Rs are slightly favored to gain [--] seat in the House and Ds are expected to hold their ground in the Senate by cancelling out an R flip. https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/wv/forecast.html#lower https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/wv/forecast.html#lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021206984951837051)  2026-02-10T12:57Z 32K followers, 17.3K engagements


"Small display error on WV Senate showing Ds "losing" a seat it's because we put [--] R current seats instead of [--]. It'll be fixed in tomorrow's daily push. Forecast overview article: https://statenavigate.org/election-forecast-shows-either-party-could-gain-seats-in-west-virginia-legislature/ https://statenavigate.org/election-forecast-shows-either-party-could-gain-seats-in-west-virginia-legislature/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021206987262845396)  2026-02-10T12:57Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Also from me: an overview on the WV Civil War https://statenavigate.org/west-virginia-republicans-prepare-for-civil-war/ https://statenavigate.org/west-virginia-republicans-prepare-for-civil-war/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021206988651172117)  2026-02-10T12:57Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Me when I lie. We just added precinct zooms and we also now have cartograms showing you where most of the votes are coming from at the precinct level on the map. https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html @andrrvt No https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html @andrrvt No"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021283697450762464)  2026-02-10T18:02Z 32K followers, 10.2K engagements


"Now that we've got precinct zoom you can really see what I mean by how the map drawers weren't going all in on trying to maximize their gerrymanders. i.e. - they could've taken in more of Christiansburg with Spanberger/narrow Sears precincts and taken out some Bedford precincts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021288543654486065)  2026-02-10T18:21Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Any video game recommendations for stuff in the 2020s for PC gaming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021385661824278590)  2026-02-11T00:47Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Thank you to the VA LIS for publishing the shapefile NEW @StateNavigate INTERACTIVE: VA ELECTION RESULTS PROPOSED US HOUSE SEATS [----] now up [----] and [----] data to come https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019572281685733641)  2026-02-06T00:42Z 32K followers, 216K engagements


"I would caution young Election Twitter people from disparaging Congressman Bobby Scott. As I understand it based on several people who have reached out to me since the maps dropped the decision to not change Scott's district much is to keep the map VRA S2 compliant. However"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019612275078738128)  2026-02-06T03:21Z 32K followers, 18.9K engagements


"Any one of the Election Twitter kids on here who have spent countless hours in DRA can tell you that you only need to change the 3rd slightly to draw a safer VA-2 that will in-fact be VRA S2-compliant. This was a masterful screwup by the NDRC who apparently drew the map"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2019612276840608182)  2026-02-06T03:21Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Fun fact in the [----] WV House of Delegates election the Democrats outran Donald Trump's simultaneous electoral performance in contested districts by 7.4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2021717662884094286)  2026-02-11T22:47Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"NEW from me at @StateNavigate: The State Freedom Caucus Network is launching a chapter in West Virginia as I anticipated last year. Here's what you need to know. https://statenavigate.org/state-freedom-caucus-network-plants-seed-in-wv/ https://statenavigate.org/state-freedom-caucus-network-plants-seed-in-wv/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022002994372653211)  2026-02-12T17:40Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"VIRGINIA SUPREME COURT ALLOWS REDISTRICTING REFERENDUM ON APRIL [--] TO GO THROUGH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022340668165873926)  2026-02-13T16:02Z 32K followers, 94.3K engagements


".@StateNavigate will be bringing back its jam-packed VA election coverage including: - Daily county/precinct updates of early voting - Calls to registrars to monitor turnout on Election Day - Election night race call https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/voter-registration https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/voter-registration"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022341366311977303)  2026-02-13T16:05Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"That last part tells you enough to know that this referendum is going to pass unless Ds lose their voters on persuasion. We'll probably see a Spanberger +17-18 electorate in turnout this April especially with Rs not really trying to win IMO so Ds would have to screw up badly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022377689785475371)  2026-02-13T18:29Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"McGuire is running against Taylor in the 5th. He's from Goochland just outside of the district's boundaries. It is a safe Democratic pickup should the district be implemented. 2024: Harris +9 DEM +5 in US House elections in [----] 2025: Spanberger +17 Hashmi +13 Jones +7 https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/new_house_map.html New: @RepJohnMcGuire says he is running for reelection in VA-05. VA-05 as currently drawn is Trump +12.2. Per @StateNavigate the new VA-05 (if it goes into effect) is Harris +8.7. https://t.co/CygtXBf1EC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022390604848861674)  2026-02-13T19:21Z 32K followers, 13.1K engagements


"Is the new proposed VA-7 a scorpion or lobster Lobster Scorpion Lobster Scorpion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022676166591857024)  2026-02-14T14:15Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Recommendations for local Richmond jewelry stores that ain't a chain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022731980476223605)  2026-02-14T17:57Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"@ChristianHeiens Democrats were winning the House before this the President's approval rating is about the same as it was in [----]. You can't gerrymander your way out of that frankly. Even if the Rs got to gerrymander MO IN TX & the DEMs didn't fire back the Ds still win a majority this year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/2022860571603873935)  2026-02-15T02:28Z 32K followers, [--] engagements


"This is incredible history being made. It's a turning point in this midterm and it's a turning point for the state of Alaska IMO which has been trending leftward for a long time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1565129489377640448)  2022-09-01T00:08Z 32K followers, [---] engagements


"📈FORECAST UPDATE📉 We have a whopping [--] () changes in our US House forecast all in favor of Democrats as we have taken into account the current political environment for this year's election. The chamber however remains Lean Republican. https://projects.cnalysis.com/21-22/house https://projects.cnalysis.com/21-22/house"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1566865833929883650)  2022-09-05T19:08Z 32K followers, [---] engagements


"In a stunning upset Jason Probst (D) of KS HD-102 has apparently won re-election to his Trump +15 State House seat in Hutchinson"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1590192516720394240)  2022-11-09T04:00Z 32K followers, 16.5K engagements


"Apparently Democrats are just outrunning our expectations in general in the Kansas House as well we've missed two Very Likely R districts a Likely R district and a Tilt R district"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1590194305695551489)  2022-11-09T04:07Z 32K followers, [---] engagements


"A lot of people are posting the [---] WA-3 forecast but if your forecast doesn't show at least [--] 2-in-100 race of going the other way you don't really have a forecast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1591620650166554625)  2022-11-13T02:35Z 32K followers, [---] engagements


"In a narrow race for the House majority you can literally point to anything ever and say "this cost Democrats the House" or vice versa with Rs barely being able to win the House. Redistricting a flop of a campaign an upset win what have you. We get it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1592027923917279233)  2022-11-14T05:33Z 32K followers, [---] engagements


"I don't think people recognize the situation Alaska Republicans have put the national Republicans in. The state has already been trending leftward (5 points almost in 2020) and Dunleavy and Peltola have made it all-but-inevitable a D wins it for Pres by 2028"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1596358364229140483)  2022-11-26T04:21Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"Oh man that's a sick logo. I haven't seen a political logo this good in ages. As Democrats we tell our story through an Alaska lens; a story steeped in our rich tradition and driven by our shared values. Welcome to the AK Dems - where we do things the AK way. 🧵 https://t.co/QpYUE7zBy9 As Democrats we tell our story through an Alaska lens; a story steeped in our rich tradition and driven by our shared values. Welcome to the AK Dems - where we do things the AK way. 🧵 https://t.co/QpYUE7zBy9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1654300977724375044)  2023-05-05T01:44Z 32K followers, 85.1K engagements


"Virginia Democrats are frothing at the mouth reading this tweet. Were going to have a shutdown its just a matter of how long GOP @RepRalphNorman says. We believe in what we are doing. The jury will be the country. And the jury is fed up with reckless spending. Were going to have a shutdown its just a matter of how long GOP @RepRalphNorman says. We believe in what we are doing. The jury will be the country. And the jury is fed up with reckless spending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1702438228932907298)  2023-09-14T21:44Z 32K followers, 98.1K engagements


"A two-week shutdown is very very likely going to result in Democratic majorities in both the House and Senate in this year's Virginia state legislative elections. TWO WEEK SHUTDOWN: GOP lawmakers saying plan now is to spend next two weeks passing full year spending bills during a shutdown. Say Oct [--] paycheck for troops is the real deadline TWO WEEK SHUTDOWN: GOP lawmakers saying plan now is to spend next two weeks passing full year spending bills during a shutdown. Say Oct [--] paycheck for troops is the real deadline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1707851141399167086)  2023-09-29T20:13Z 32K followers, 177.9K engagements


"@reclaimuc WE'RE STILL TALKING ABOUT OK BOOMER [--] YEARS LATER"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1711172275536294269)  2023-10-09T00:10Z 32K followers, 38.8K engagements


"North Carolina is a prime example of why we should not let state legislatures draw any maps of any sort. They should quite frankly be taken out of the redistricting process. Forever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1717552660503576737)  2023-10-26T14:43Z 32K followers, 38.5K engagements


"This is pretty funny but also we are going to see so much of this kind of stuff next year and I quite frankly don't think anyone especially the media is prepared for it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721284565841441102)  2023-11-05T21:53Z 32K followers, 149.1K engagements


"🚨📊FINAL VA FORECAST🚨📊 In our final VA [----] state legislative forecast at @CNalysis each chamber is rated as "Lean Democratic." State Senate 71% DEM Majority 29% GOP Majority House of Delegates 61% DEM Majority 31% GOP Majority 8% TIE 1/4 https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/state-leg/virginia#lower https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/state-leg/virginia#lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1721573198561505376)  2023-11-06T17:00Z 32K followers, 272.3K engagements


"If Trump wins it's not just a "blowout" it's the Coloradoification of Virginia. That's the end of the Virginia GOP. The thing with Virginia's [----] gubernatorial election is that unless Mark Warner decides he wants to have another shot at it the race is almost certain to be highly competitive if Biden wins re-election. (That said if Trump wins it's probably more likely to be a Dem blowout) The thing with Virginia's [----] gubernatorial election is that unless Mark Warner decides he wants to have another shot at it the race is almost certain to be highly competitive if Biden wins re-election."  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1724268227360899316)  2023-11-14T03:29Z 32K followers, 353.3K engagements


"The conservative justices on the Wisconsin Supreme Court are pretty clearly pissed about all this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1726993592844198193)  2023-11-21T15:58Z 32K followers, 152.2K engagements


"JFK Faithful to his wife HELLO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1727335122905788482)  2023-11-22T14:36Z 32K followers, 105K engagements


"Something that would be smart for Democrats to do in [----] is to run on Republicans' book bans. Given the local elections this year and their simultaneous results for partisan offices it has been an unsung winning issue for them in 2023"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1731527409868939354)  2023-12-04T04:14Z 32K followers, 279.5K engagements


"@schizarella You've gone too far"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1732410654483710215)  2023-12-06T14:44Z 32K followers, 74.3K engagements


"I think this has to be the funniest carpetbag in congressional history. Boebert lives somewhere around the red circle here and is now running in CO-04 https://t.co/UJyjOqmrAA Boebert lives somewhere around the red circle here and is now running in CO-04 https://t.co/UJyjOqmrAA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1740372390356603051)  2023-12-28T14:01Z 32K followers, 112.2K engagements


"Polling shows this race is a Toss-Up now. But I really really really don't think that's going to be the case as the list of absolutely insane things Robinson has said continue to come to light and are used in attack ads and mailers. Heres the video of far-right NC-GOP nominee Mark Robinson saying that I absolutely want to go back to the America where women couldnt vote. https://t.co/QH2k6ujt2v Heres the video of far-right NC-GOP nominee Mark Robinson saying that I absolutely want to go back to the America where women couldnt vote. https://t.co/QH2k6ujt2v"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1765503039413063742)  2024-03-06T22:21Z 32K followers, 58.4K engagements


"Absolute landslide victory in this suburban Huntsville district that elected its GOP rep by [--] points in [----]. DEM pickup in a Trump +1 seat. Democrats are winning the Trump +1 Huntsville based AL-10 special election by **30** points. IVF backlash definitely played a role. https://t.co/4p1QZjsEt2 Democrats are winning the Trump +1 Huntsville based AL-10 special election by **30** points. IVF backlash definitely played a role. https://t.co/4p1QZjsEt2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1772797701219930615)  2024-03-27T01:28Z 32K followers, 36.6K engagements


"Trump wins in [----] 22nd amendment somehow repealed Obama beats Trump in [----] The "conservative" movement is begging for authoritarianism. https://t.co/uUBP9nugzF The "conservative" movement is begging for authoritarianism. https://t.co/uUBP9nugzF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1774222472331620697)  2024-03-30T23:49Z 32K followers, 258.2K engagements


"@MappingFL I am failing to understand your point are you blaming the Communists for the Nazi rise to power Because they were absolutely not to blame it was the conservative and centrists who allied with the Nazis against the Communists. Once Hindenburg died they reaped what they sewn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1778629508360253786)  2024-04-12T03:41Z 32K followers, 23.5K engagements


"The odds of Republicans losing AZ on all levels this year just continues to increase quite frankly. Democrats' second effort to suspend the rules in an effort to roll back the [----] law fails as well again on a tied 30-30 vote. https://t.co/fOYIVGYRBz Democrats' second effort to suspend the rules in an effort to roll back the [----] law fails as well again on a tied 30-30 vote. https://t.co/fOYIVGYRBz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1780679950426611843)  2024-04-17T19:29Z 32K followers, 97.5K engagements


"We need to make stats [---] a requirement to graduate high school. Reminder. https://t.co/osVktUuLQz Reminder. https://t.co/osVktUuLQz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1800649505785757968)  2024-06-11T22:01Z 32K followers, 476.1K engagements


"I think anyone who pulls the "he was voted for in the primary" nonsense is being disingenuous I can't take them seriously. You can make many arguments for why you believe Biden should be the nominee but don't try and pull the wool over your detractors' eyes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1811012856978026950)  2024-07-10T12:21Z 32K followers, 19.2K engagements


"IMO - Beshear is the strongest possible contender for a Harris ticket. Decisive voters will see Harris as too liberal given her gender race and party; she needs a white moderate to help her balance that issue. Cooper's old; having the "young" ticket can be a newfound advantage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1813991734763725261)  2024-07-18T17:38Z 32K followers, 129.9K engagements


"@politicsluo LBJ's approval tanked not just because of Vietnam it was mostly because Americans were fiercely racist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1815113042428100790)  2024-07-21T19:54Z 32K followers, 33.3K engagements


"The fact the Harris campaign's posting this makes me believe it's Beshear. Gov. @AndyBeshearKY: JD Vance aint from here https://t.co/0ISRjCO18Y Gov. @AndyBeshearKY: JD Vance aint from here https://t.co/0ISRjCO18Y"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1815403097319207147)  2024-07-22T15:06Z 32K followers, 367.9K engagements


"Palin II I'm tellin' you. Youngkin who knows how to work a crowd and appeal to suburbanites was there the entire time. Vance: I had a Diet Mountain Dew yesterday and one today. I'm sure they will call that racist. https://t.co/z3ra8Y5F2f Vance: I had a Diet Mountain Dew yesterday and one today. I'm sure they will call that racist. https://t.co/z3ra8Y5F2f"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1815467843036807341)  2024-07-22T19:23Z 32K followers, 78.9K engagements


"Pretty incredible how Bidenistas thought they'd be able to get away with blatantly lying about ballot deadlines"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1815878519429452266)  2024-07-23T22:35Z 32K followers, 143.6K engagements


"IMO: Beshear Kelly Cooper Shapiro in terms of which helps Harris the most *overall*. Only ranking these four because if we can be realistic it will be one of these four men. Full thread on my thoughts:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1816231101813383262)  2024-07-24T21:56Z 32K followers, 79K engagements


"Pretty clear who's ahead: Consumer sentiment is way up more Americans would rather grab a beer with Harris than Trump Harris's favorables have skyrocketed Walz is much more popular than Vance Harris's polling has been pretty good and the WA primary points to a D+4-5 general"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1823393471979282766)  2024-08-13T16:17Z 32K followers, 135.2K engagements


"Here are the chamber rating changes as a result of these district-level changes: AZ House (Classic) Toss-Up - Tilt D (FLIP) AZ Senate (Classic) Tilt D - Lean D (FLIP) GA House (Classic) Solid R - Very Likely R"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1823646036029505992)  2024-08-14T09:01Z 32K followers, 97.1K engagements


"Democrats are now favored to create a trifecta in the Arizona state government this year in the @CNalysis forecasts: Here are the chamber rating changes as a result of these district-level changes: AZ House (Classic) Toss-Up - Tilt D (FLIP) AZ Senate (Classic) Tilt D - Lean D (FLIP) GA House (Classic) Solid R - Very Likely R Here are the chamber rating changes as a result of these district-level changes: AZ House (Classic) Toss-Up - Tilt D (FLIP) AZ Senate (Classic) Tilt D - Lean D (FLIP) GA House (Classic) Solid R - Very Likely R"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1823675210643501181)  2024-08-14T10:57Z 32K followers, 224.3K engagements


"🚨FORECAST UPDATE🚨 60+ classic state legislative rating changes today all but one in favor of Democrats. PA ND NC NY. PA House Tilt D - Lean D https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/sl/ https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/sl/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1824822465517789344)  2024-08-17T14:55Z 32K followers, 79.5K engagements


"🚨PRESIDENTIAL US HOUSE STATE LEGISLATIVE FORECAST UPDATES🚨 Today we have a LOT of rating changes at @CNalysis up and down the ballot so this is going to be a whole thread of them please read through 1st the presidency. Harris is now favored: https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1825149566754124076)  2024-08-18T12:35Z 32K followers, 1.2M engagements


"Calling Stacey Abrams a "rapidly ascending star" is so ridiculous. She's a star that's burnt out electorally speaking. Lmao no https://t.co/gVsm9HlBFA Lmao no https://t.co/gVsm9HlBFA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1827773770875928690)  2024-08-25T18:23Z 32K followers, 47.6K engagements


"Unironically: this would be a smart move by Harris. https://t.co/yESlesgapE https://t.co/yESlesgapE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1834660772049211652)  2024-09-13T18:29Z 32K followers, 120.2K engagements


"🚨FORECAST UPDATE🚨 Today we're making some rating changes in our Presidential US Senate and US House forecasts at @CNalysis President: VA Very Likely D Solid D FL Very Likely R Likely R AK Solid R Very Likely R NC Tilt R Toss-Up https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1835093105239810366)  2024-09-14T23:07Z 32K followers, 87.6K engagements


"That sound you hear was the odds of NC Republicans having a veto-proof supermajority in both chambers crashing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1836856705235231190)  2024-09-19T19:55Z 32K followers, 31.1K engagements


"Sure but Trump's not winning Virginia. Point blank period. Youngkin is at 60% approval so yeah. If Trump wins VA this thing will be over early. Youngkin is at 60% approval so yeah. If Trump wins VA this thing will be over early"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1837629837349126475)  2024-09-21T23:07Z 32K followers, 50.6K engagements


"We have to go back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1839684133699625251)  2024-09-27T15:10Z 32K followers, 45.3K engagements


"May or may not regret this tweet later but this feels more like [----] to me than [----] or [----] in terms of expectations vs. outcomes on the federal level"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1845306434260697576)  2024-10-13T03:31Z 32K followers, 87.6K engagements


"🚨FORECAST UPDATE🚨 Today we're making major changes to our presidential US House and Governor forecasts. MI-PRES Toss-Up Tilt D PA-PRES Toss-Up Tilt D AZ-PRES Toss-Up Tilt R NH-GOV Toss-Up Tilt R DEMs favored in a majority of US House seats"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1852419458448466220)  2024-11-01T18:36Z 32K followers, 107.4K engagements


"Holy shit. Holy shit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1852850577082044802)  2024-11-02T23:09Z 32K followers, 35K engagements


"🚨FINAL FORECASTS🚨 Our final forecasts ever at @CNalysis are out now. Harris 308-230 - 69.8% chance of winning 51-49 GOP Senate - 66% chance of winning 225-210 DEM House - 57.1% chance of winning DEMs net [---] state legislative seats 4* chambers https://projects.cnalysis.com/ https://projects.cnalysis.com/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1853495625834541068)  2024-11-04T17:52Z 32K followers, 1.6M engagements


"WHOA - Williamsburg City VA (Biden +41) college town 2PM: [----] 99.25% of [----] vote"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1853891369456341307)  2024-11-05T20:05Z 32K followers, 278K engagements


".@hasanthehun I disagree on "shy Harris" voters. If Harris wins and outruns the polls it's pollsters who missed Harris-leaning (esp. college-educated) voters on purpose to save face in the worry of another Trump over-performance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1853898364468998390)  2024-11-05T20:33Z 32K followers, 41.2K engagements


"MAINE DEMOCRATS OFFICIALLY HOLD THEIR TRIFECTA: Incumbent Rep. Michel Lajoie a Democrat proved victorious in the race for Maine House District [--] which covers part of Lewiston after election officials conducted a recount on Friday. https://t.co/K2FufspeTZ Incumbent Rep. Michel Lajoie a Democrat proved victorious in the race for Maine House District [--] which covers part of Lewiston after election officials conducted a recount on Friday. https://t.co/K2FufspeTZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1857563643107487793)  2024-11-15T23:17Z 32K followers, 98.7K engagements


"The western NC swings are likely from the Biden admin response to the hurricane by the way. Seems folks in the area approved of the admin's response despite online conservative coverage of it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1861583960515526857)  2024-11-27T01:32Z 32K followers, 35.6K engagements


"Lots of reasons Wikler would be a strong DNC Chair the WI DEM track record being the biggest one especially in comparison to other state parties here. Folks have noted ad infinitum just how MASSIVELY WI Dems outperform its demographics. Super white rural & non-college yet Dems hold its rurals to merely R+20 - a margin unmatched in the Midwest. Probable that WI Dem machinery plays a BIG role in keeping them competitive. https://t.co/5MuHNI7yse Folks have noted ad infinitum just how MASSIVELY WI Dems outperform its demographics. Super white rural & non-college yet Dems hold its rurals to merely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1863301847605199143)  2024-12-01T19:19Z 32K followers, 123.8K engagements


"Two Democrats in the Florida House have now become Republicans both in districts that narrowly voted for Trump. This state party is dead and gone the way of the dodo. We'll look back upon [----] as the last time Florida was truly winnable for Democrats. See statement below. https://t.co/YJbqjpt8Kh See statement below. https://t.co/YJbqjpt8Kh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1872793526075064701)  2024-12-27T23:55Z 32K followers, 53.6K engagements


"@ettingermentum Either Trump or Sanders would fundamentally change our politics. The Dems chose Trump they just didn't know it yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1878996814407569664)  2025-01-14T02:45Z 32K followers, 126.6K engagements


"Voting habits form hard during your youngest years (they still grow more conservative over time of course) and the Biden presidency has done an incredible amount of damage to Democrats in winning over new voters and it only took [--] years. Oh great https://t.co/TdzAeR5C20 Oh great https://t.co/TdzAeR5C20"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1881066461629927664)  2025-01-19T19:49Z 32K followers, 67.9K engagements


"There's something so pure about the "Zoomer [---] vs. Zoomer 2.0" discourse symbolized by a mid-20s white liberal guy trying to dunk on a Broccoli head conservative teenager Surely he got there purely on merit. Surely he got there purely on merit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1890586610204397819)  2025-02-15T02:19Z 32K followers, [----] engagements


"I don't see how Fetterman doesn't get Sinema'd in 2028"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1900657036620111896)  2025-03-14T21:15Z 32K followers, 265.9K engagements


"This is how a "DEM Tea Party" starts. NBC News poll: Just [--] percent of Americans have a very favorable opinion of the Democratic Party. the lowest number ever recorded NBC News poll: Just [--] percent of Americans have a very favorable opinion of the Democratic Party. the lowest number ever recorded"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1901630718150660122)  2025-03-17T13:44Z 32K followers, 76.2K engagements


"If Mamdani wins it's easily the biggest electoral victory for progressives since the 1960s and I could understand an argument that says it's the biggest victory for progressives in over [---] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1933533703495692810)  2025-06-13T14:35Z 32K followers, 187K engagements


"The Mamdani has done a good job at something progressives are awful at: coalition building. Unlike Sanders [----] Mamdani's trying to make *some* with groups that have been traditionally against progressivism: Jewish bloc voters (NYC-specific) black voters especially"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1933533706372988932)  2025-06-13T14:35Z 32K followers, 13.4K engagements


"This is done. Zohran Mamdani wins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1937688437592601049)  2025-06-25T01:44Z 32K followers, 19.1K engagements


"This tweet is absolutely perfect now. I do not envy the Mamdani campaign having to explain how they went from leading to being down by [--] points. I do not envy the Mamdani campaign having to explain how they went from leading to being down by [--] points"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1940079842612912433)  2025-07-01T16:07Z 32K followers, 161.7K engagements


"🔶FORECAST LAUNCH🔶 The long-awaited @StateNavigate Virginia [----] forecasts are LIVE. House of Delegates 🔷Democrats net [--] seats 🔷58 - [--] Democratic Majority In the race for statewide elections: GOV 🔷D +11.4 LG 🔷D +8.0 AG 🔷D +8.4 https://statenavigate.org/election-forecasts-show-democrats-overwhelmingly-favored-in-virginia-2025-elections/ https://statenavigate.org/election-forecasts-show-democrats-overwhelmingly-favored-in-virginia-2025-elections/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1949809593334346201)  2025-07-28T12:30Z 32K followers, 159.8K engagements


"TX Dems breaking quorum means each member'll have to pay $500/day they're absent IIRC. The reason why they're going to IL Perhaps Pritzker is paying the bill: TX Dems could leave the state for a year and it's "only" cost the billionaire Governor $13.3 million. My Democratic colleagues and I just left the state of Texas to break quorum and stop Trumps redistricting power grab. Trump is trying to rig the midterm elections right before our eyes. But first hell have to come through us. Its time to fight back. https://t.co/xOshwmy2eA My Democratic colleagues and I just left the state of Texas to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1952122275177636134)  2025-08-03T21:39Z 32K followers, 205.9K engagements


"Peltola is eyeing GOV FYI. And you can see why. Fun fact: AK Dems haven't had a trifecta in the state government since [----]. But if Peltola runs they'll likely get it. Data For Progress poll 7/21-7/27 LV (Final RCV round) Alaska Governor 🟦Mary Peltola 65% 🟥Nancy Dahlstrom 35% Alaska Senate 🟥Dan Sullivan 46% 🟦Mary Peltola 45% I would rank neither 5% Not sure 4% https://t.co/dsLIXBmb9Y Data For Progress poll 7/21-7/27 LV (Final RCV round) Alaska Governor 🟦Mary Peltola 65% 🟥Nancy Dahlstrom 35% Alaska Senate 🟥Dan Sullivan 46% 🟦Mary Peltola 45% I would rank neither 5% Not sure 4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1953873526424744423)  2025-08-08T17:38Z 32K followers, 61.1K engagements


"I fear we are returning to an era of political violence not seen since the 1960s-70s. Two successful political assassinations in just a short amount of time and Trump's attempts last year. I'm terrified of where we're heading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1965874527487013120)  2025-09-10T20:26Z 32K followers, 36.9K engagements


"They're really milking that "I am speaking" clip and it's because it's effective. Under the Trump-@winwithwinsome economy Virginians pay more so billionaires can pay less. Thats just wrong. https://t.co/vaV6FNRaJ6 Under the Trump-@winwithwinsome economy Virginians pay more so billionaires can pay less. Thats just wrong. https://t.co/vaV6FNRaJ6"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1970491932674580918)  2025-09-23T14:14Z 32K followers, 111.7K engagements


"Federal worker Describe a Trump [----] voter who is voting for Jay Jones as Virginias next Attorney General: https://t.co/u5nTlOQ4r7 Describe a Trump [----] voter who is voting for Jay Jones as Virginias next Attorney General: https://t.co/u5nTlOQ4r7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1979911854949367887)  2025-10-19T14:05Z 32K followers, 86.2K engagements


"🚨NEW POLL from @StateNavigate VA-GOV 🔵Spanberger +13; 55-42 VA-LG 🔵Hashmi +11; 53-42 VA-AG 🔵Jones +5; 50-45 VA-HoD Generic 🔵DEM +12; 53-41 @marywitha4 and I with the breakdown and takeaways https://statenavigate.org/state-navigate-poll-shows-spanberger-with-13-point-lead-in-virginia-governor-race/ https://statenavigate.org/state-navigate-poll-shows-spanberger-with-13-point-lead-in-virginia-governor-race/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1980948582212505807)  2025-10-22T10:45Z 32K followers, 500K engagements


"1. Weighted to [----] [--]. D+1 Party ID [--]. 48% college educated Good luck New Suffolk Virginia POLL GOV Spanberger (D) [--] Sears (R) [--] LG Reid (R) [--] Hashmi (D) [--] AG Miyares (R) [--] Jones (D) [--] https://t.co/GB8zHdyzPw New Suffolk Virginia POLL GOV Spanberger (D) [--] Sears (R) [--] LG Reid (R) [--] Hashmi (D) [--] AG Miyares (R) [--] Jones (D) [--] https://t.co/GB8zHdyzPw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1981360107968696727)  2025-10-23T14:00Z 32K followers, 163.7K engagements


"Latino turnout in VA relative to [----] honestly pretty impressive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1983009654587482304)  2025-10-28T03:15Z 32K followers, 40.5K engagements


"Made our custom text message for 18-29s yesterday all lowercase and increased our sample from 1% 18-29 to 9% lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1983161600870887669)  2025-10-28T13:19Z 32K followers, 232.3K engagements


"For the first time ever in the @StateNavigate forecast Democrats are favored to win [--] seats in the VA House https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/forecast.html https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/forecast.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1984591927426048459)  2025-11-01T12:02Z 32K followers, 106.4K engagements


"FINAL VA @StateNavigate POLL GOV 🔵Spanberger +13 LG 🔵Hashmi +12 AG 🔵Jones +3/4 (49-46 but [--] when rounding) HoD Generic 🔵DEM +11 https://statenavigate.org/virginia-poll-shows-spanberger-maintaining-wide-lead-and-a-dead-heat-for-attorney-general/ https://statenavigate.org/virginia-poll-shows-spanberger-maintaining-wide-lead-and-a-dead-heat-for-attorney-general/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1984636053312217410)  2025-11-01T14:58Z 32K followers, 322K engagements


"@StateNavigate "Norfolk and Hampton Roads will always be my home and I love each and every one of you""  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984665140328087910)  2025-11-01T16:53Z 32K followers, 18K engagements


"As the kids say we cooked. 🚨NEW POLL from @StateNavigate VA-GOV 🔵Spanberger +13; 55-42 VA-LG 🔵Hashmi +11; 53-42 VA-AG 🔵Jones +5; 50-45 VA-HoD Generic 🔵DEM +12; 53-41 @marywitha4 and I with the breakdown and takeaways https://t.co/FN8QBd9pRg https://t.co/DYKDsEGjmv 🚨NEW POLL from @StateNavigate VA-GOV 🔵Spanberger +13; 55-42 VA-LG 🔵Hashmi +11; 53-42 VA-AG 🔵Jones +5; 50-45 VA-HoD Generic 🔵DEM +12; 53-41 @marywitha4 and I with the breakdown and takeaways https://t.co/FN8QBd9pRg https://t.co/DYKDsEGjmv"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1985909885955903709)  2025-11-05T03:19Z 32K followers, 97.3K engagements


"Me when I lie More: https://t.co/K7vCIXkmtX https://t.co/RmpnT6FfI6 More: https://t.co/K7vCIXkmtX https://t.co/RmpnT6FfI6"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1985931173818749277)  2025-11-05T04:44Z 32K followers, 73.2K engagements


"Can't say for certain yet but I believe the biggest [----] Pres to [----] Gov shift in VA is a heavily Latino precinct in Fairfax County Harris +9.9 Spanberger +51.3 https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/en-gov.htmlmap=margin_24 https://projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states/va/en-gov.htmlmap=margin_24"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986478782979391847)  2025-11-06T17:00Z 32K followers, 72.9K engagements


"Remarkable stat and shows how much VA has changed since [----]. There are now more female Democrats in the Virginia House of Delegates than there are Republicans. https://t.co/AZ2n6DSiDU There are now more female Democrats in the Virginia House of Delegates than there are Republicans. https://t.co/AZ2n6DSiDU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1986900698303504814)  2025-11-07T20:56Z 32K followers, 106.3K engagements


"Lily Franklin has won HD-41 by an incredible 6.7%. She won VT campus provisionals with 85% of the vote. Rs have lost all of their gains with young voters they made last year and Zoomers are now on track to become as liberal as Millennials"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1988708731706605855)  2025-11-12T20:41Z 32K followers, 116.4K engagements


"2 years ago. If Trump wins it's not just a "blowout" it's the Coloradoification of Virginia. That's the end of the Virginia GOP. If Trump wins it's not just a "blowout" it's the Coloradoification of Virginia. That's the end of the Virginia GOP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1989919940745519209)  2025-11-16T04:54Z 32K followers, 232K engagements


"CALL: Democrats have flipped the House of Delegates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1191903037641678849)  2019-11-06T02:20Z 32K followers, [---] engagements


"FiveThirtyEight made the right call in removing them. Very normal thing for a major polling company to tweet. https://t.co/zE60yhOwCJ Very normal thing for a major polling company to tweet. https://t.co/zE60yhOwCJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1800901393471180939)  2024-06-12T14:42Z 32K followers, 41.2K engagements


"🚨DEMS HAVE FLIPPED THE ALASKA HOUSE🚨 With the Bush Caucus rejoining Democrats a majority coalition has been formed with [--] Democrats [--] Nonpartisans and [--] Republicans totaling [--] seats. We have just one more uncalled race in the AK House. https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/sl/results/states/alaska#lower https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/sl/results/states/alaska#lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1857991784653090921)  2024-11-17T03:38Z 32K followers, 1M engagements


"🚨FINAL VIRGINIA FORECASTS🚨 GOV 🔵Spanberger +11.2 (FLIP) LG 🔵Hashmi +6.4 (FLIP) AG 🔵Jones +2.1 (FLIP) HoD 🔵DEM 60-40 (+9 FLIPS) https://statenavigate.org/final-2025-virginia-forecasts-show-democrats-poised-to-win-virginia-elections/ https://statenavigate.org/final-2025-virginia-forecasts-show-democrats-poised-to-win-virginia-elections/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1985338427295109247)  2025-11-03T13:29Z 32K followers, 138.5K engagements

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