#  @CapitalPmh PMH Capital
PMH Capital posts on X about stocks, investment, fund manager, money the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [--] engagements in the last [--] hours.
### Engagements: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::3954306015/interactions)
- [--] Week [-----] -45%
- [--] Month [------] +107%
- [--] Months [-------] +23%
- [--] Year [-------] -39%
### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::3954306015/posts_active)
- [--] Week [--] -21%
- [--] Month [--] +122%
- [--] Months [---] +42%
- [--] Year [---] -25%
### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::3954306015/followers)
- [--] Week [-----] -0.11%
- [--] Month [-----] +0.23%
- [--] Months [-----] +2.90%
- [--] Year [-----] +8.20%
### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::3954306015/influencer_rank)
### Social Influence
**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [countries](/list/countries) [currencies](/list/currencies) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands)
**Social topic influence**
[stocks](/topic/stocks), [investment](/topic/investment), [fund manager](/topic/fund-manager), [money](/topic/money), [wrt](/topic/wrt), [ceo](/topic/ceo), [inflation](/topic/inflation), [tariffs](/topic/tariffs), [in the](/topic/in-the), [scott](/topic/scott)
**Top assets mentioned**
[Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Oxygen (OXY)](/topic/oxygen) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/morgan-stanley) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY)](/topic/$bmy)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Back in Oct'08 the US Treasury had to bail out its banks to the tune of $700bn (TARP). Since then the #Fed #BoE BoJ & ECB have all 'printed money' like drunken sailors (re QE). The upshot - there's now $21 trillion of QE & spreads on corporate bonds are crazily low"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1222919802592821250) 2020-01-30T16:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BDEV #TW #RDW #VTY #INL #SPR #WJG #BKG #BWY #MCS #CRST #PSN #BOOT #GLE #CSP. Here are all the latest UK homebuilders valuation metrics wrt Price-to-Book (sector average 2.0x) PER (12.1x) dividend yield (4.8%) and ROE (16.6%) vs Price:Book"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1224983580763480064) 2020-02-05T09:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Buying houses is a bit like purchasing shares in UK #homebuilders. You need a valuation benchmark to gauge whether you're paying the right price. As such here are all the latest metrics wrt Price-to-Book (avge 2.0x) PER (12.1x) dividend yield (4.8%) and ROE (16.6%) vs P:B"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1225001823158841344) 2020-02-05T10:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#TSLA. More pain for the shorts. @Tesla said today that it was planning to raise $2bn by issuing 2.7m shares at c.$740 each - fully underwritten by Goldman Sachs & Morgan Stanley. Thus there should be little to worry wrt running out of cash. Smart move at a crazy price"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1227956300929282051) 2020-02-13T14:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"What's also interesting is that along with the Saudis & other GCC states an increasing number of US shale investors can't now live with low oil prices either. So if Russia chooses the same path then the world's [--] largest producers will all be aligned wrt capital discipline Elsewhere US shale growth is falling (re lower well productivity & capital discipline) & due to a dearth in 2014-16 upstream capex today's supply glut could be reversed 2021-25. All told while I don't own #RDSB the stock does appear sensible for L/T income investors. Elsewhere US shale growth is falling (re lower well"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1231571004536827906) 2020-02-23T13:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The stock market giveth & the stock market taketh it away. FTSE100 futures trading down again -0.87% at 4.19am"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1232883510060441602) 2020-02-27T04:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"FTSE futures trading down 1% this morning at the bell which indicates that yesterdays dead cat bounce isn't proving sustainable. Also I understand the UK government is set to announce some emergency measures to combat the #coronavirus - cancelling non-essential travel etc Huge Bounce in the US but before everyone gets excited this is utterly normal for a Bear Market Rally (the reason is because lots of Shorts get Closed so they are forced to Buy). We need a lot more Up days for this to tell us it's safe to buy again. Huge Bounce in the US but before everyone gets excited this is utterly"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1234734175242137601) 2020-03-03T06:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"1 stock that could do well in a #COVID19 induced downturn is @begbiestraynor the insolvency/financial advisor. Today the firm said that it was trading well & expected to FY20 results to be at least in line with expectations. At 77p shares trade on a [----] PER & 3.6% div yield"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1234737691503276032) 2020-03-03T07:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#covid19 cases seem to be reducing in Italy & China. Plus masses of big biotech pharma & vaccine companies are pouring $bns into finding a cure eg Gilead Pfizer GSK Takeda AbbVie Moderna. I appreciate no-one has the answer yet but I suspect they'll get before the y/e"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1235092000363315202) 2020-03-04T06:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Investing in cyclical stocks especially those prone to terrorist &/or viral incidents is a dangerous game. Especially for those with the weakest business models. Today #FlyBe went bust again with shares of #WIZZ -19% #EZJ -33% #IAG -31% #RYA -28% all in correction territory"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1235540903038799872) 2020-03-05T12:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"What is your view Tom Another flight to safety Thus lowering absolute yields on BTPs aided by the ECBs forthcoming est 0.2% cut next week Equally spreads on Italian BTP & corporate bonds could blowout vs German Bunds. The most vulnerable being Italian banks again @CapitalPmh All eyes on Italian bonds. @CapitalPmh All eyes on Italian bonds"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1236575108455632897) 2020-03-08T08:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#CLSU. [--] factor driving Fri's robust US jobs report (+273k vs 165k Est) was hiring within Health (+32K) & Social Care (25k). A positive for tech-enabled US background/medical (MIS) screener @ClearStarInc which saw [----] MIS revs up 23% to Est $10.2m (44% group). Nb: I own shares"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1236630533448310784) 2020-03-08T12:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BARC looks a bit like a black box. I unfortunately just cant get my head around the balance sheet. There are so many moving parts. Personally Im looking for a Steady Eddie 'bond proxy' rather than anything particularly racy that might either double or half in a heartbeat @CapitalPmh @LloydsBank Would appreciate your view on #BARC at this level SP wise @CapitalPmh @LloydsBank Would appreciate your view on #BARC at this level SP wise"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1237798044403470337) 2020-03-11T17:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#bonds. Spreads on most US$-denominated corporate debt other than AAA investment-grade is blowing out. Highlighting once again that the financial plumbing is falling to pieces due to excessive risk aversion and fears over counterparty risk"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1238169227984547846) 2020-03-12T18:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"One leading indicator to track whether it's safe to buy equities - is the US BBB bond spread (see below) the last investment grade notch above junk. If it breaks rapidly above 3% (3.1% US Euro 1.4% UK 2.6%) & stays there - then it a good sign that stocks have further to fall"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1239915605437923329) 2020-03-17T14:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Aren't US BBB corporate bond yields vs spreads directionally pretty much the same in this case Regionally too America is the deepest most liquid global debt market & currently not (yet) manipulated by FED QE. Whereas Euro BBBs are being artificially held down by the ECB @CapitalPmh Be careful with spread comparisons in different rate environments. Spread is only one component. Plot outright yields and it will show a v different picture. @CapitalPmh Be careful with spread comparisons in different rate environments. Spread is only one component. Plot outright yields and it will show a v"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1239941253569089536) 2020-03-17T15:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"According to Chatham Financial "the US corporate bond market is bracing itself for a wave of credit rating downgrades with nearly $300 billion worth of investment grade (ie BBB) debt trading at yields above 6% - territory that is normally associated with junk Aren't US BBB corporate bond yields vs spreads directionally pretty much the same in this case Regionally too America is the deepest most liquid global debt market & currently not (yet) manipulated by FED QE. Whereas Euro BBBs are being artificially held down by the ECB https://t.co/tvFegdf7U8 Aren't US BBB corporate bond yields vs"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1239952665607577602) 2020-03-17T16:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Apologies Blake you'll need to make that call yourself IMO if there's a medical solution then equities will rocket from here. Otherwise the longer #COVID19 lasts the greater the chance of an economic depression where stocks could head lower & possibly much lower Coin toss @CapitalPmh @Notgoodatthiss1 @Accesso Im sitting on shares waiting for the real bounce. Would you hold until April or will too much value be lost in the upcoming sell off/market drop until then @CapitalPmh @Notgoodatthiss1 @Accesso Im sitting on shares waiting for the real bounce. Would you hold until April or will too much"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1240200826125258758) 2020-03-18T08:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#AV #LGEN Spreads on corporate bonds continue to blow out (see chart below) explaining why even in a slightly positive tape shares of life insurers @avivaplc and @landg_uk both continue to drift lower"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1240681437310922752) 2020-03-19T16:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#NBI Due to #COVID19 related site restrictions recessionary oil/gas conditions & the low #crude price @TasmanOilTools is experiencing lower activity levels - impacting #NorthbridgeIndustrial's overall FY20 expectations However the balance sheet is strong: 2.5m bank debt"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1243094074799816704) 2020-03-26T08:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Nothing like waking up on a bright Sunday morning with some cheerful news from Morgan Stanley wrt their Q2 US GDP forecast (chart) of -37.9% Morgan Stanley -3.4% (Q1) -37.9% (Q2) Deutsche Bank -2.2% -33% Goldman Sachs [----] -34% JP Morgan -10% -25% Wells Fargo 1.2% -14.7%"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1246690180788113408) 2020-04-05T06:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#recession #depression Morgan Stanley adding "We expect the US recovery will be more drawn out than previously anticipated marked by a deeper drop & slower climb out". Only returning to pre #COVID19 #GDP levels (ie in absolute terms) [--] years later in Q4'21 (see new chart). Nothing like waking up on a bright Sunday morning with some cheerful news from Morgan Stanley wrt their Q2 US GDP forecast (chart) of -37.9% Morgan Stanley -3.4% (Q1) -37.9% (Q2) Deutsche Bank -2.2% -33% Goldman Sachs [----] -34% JP Morgan -10% -25% Wells Fargo 1.2% -14.7% https://t.co/Bd8hce4W6f Nothing like waking up on a"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1246723510199820288) 2020-04-05T08:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#LLOY #RBS #HSBA #STAN #BARC Not sure whether anyone else senses it but one reason I remain nervous about the #FTSE rally is that the banks continue to trade very poorly. Indeed as the discount to NTA is so wide then there appears to be a balance sheet &/or insolvency issue"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1252297803713388547) 2020-04-20T18:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"As discussed earlier along with the oil price the #banks are another reason why I'm concerned about the sustainability of the rally. Today Credit Suisse in lockstep with its US cousins reported massive bad debt provisions. Which according to the BCG are only likely to balloon What do investors need to watch out for over the next few months and how much could the equity markets fall from current levels Find out in today's [--] minute video. #investing #stockmarkets #ftse100 #sp500 #crude https://t.co/lLt0YLPHUT What do investors need to watch out for over the next few months and how much could"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1253343532355653633) 2020-04-23T15:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#VTY Don't believe all the doomsayers. The UK housing market appears to be recovering with @bovishomes CEO saying "pricing over the past [--] weeks has been broadly in-line with forecasts. Website traffic & prospects have been strong & returned to the levels in Jan-Feb.""
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1262993806452051969) 2020-05-20T06:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"As most of us appreciate that equities are a forward discounting mechanism. Take US Q220 earnings which are set to fall -43.5% on revenues down -11.2% YoY. Yet since 1st April the #SP500 has soared 21.6%. Its not expected to get much better either for the rest of the year"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1272116330523774978) 2020-06-14T10:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BP Looks as though the #oil industry has smelt the coffee with @bp_plc today revising down its L/T #crude forecasts to $55/barrel. Wiping off $13bn-$17.5bn from its NAV (vs $86bn B4). IMO divi should also be cut. Other integrated oil majors will surely follow suite too"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1272417452606009345) 2020-06-15T06:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BDEV @Barrattplc's latest view on the UK housing market: Since the removal of Government restrictions on [--] May there has been a welcome recovery in internet activity site visitors and net reservations. Hence we remain "cautiously optimistic""
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1280025018123124736) 2020-07-06T06:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#LLOY #HSBA More encouraging banking news this morning this time from @HSBC. Reporting better-than-expected Q3 earnings thanks to lower #Covid related bad debt provisions (Act $785m vs $3.8bn Q2 & consensus $2bn)"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1320967778413748225) 2020-10-27T05:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BP #XOM #RDSB #CVX Looking for an energy stock to buy in light of the growing demand for oil as the global economy reopens Well it appears US investors have already "smelt the coffee" with @ExxonMobil outperforming the sector & up 34% YTD (see below). Equally though "
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1382186238124376068) 2021-04-14T04:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#AZN Geat news - the may have another tool to help people with compromised immune-systems. @AstraZeneca saying: "results from its AZD7442 Phase III trial had been successful in showing that PROVENT is the 1st long-acting antibody combination to prevent COVID (77% efficacy).""
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1428605044111314946) 2021-08-20T06:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@LeighRichardso No EOG Resources Inc. (US: #EOG)"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1453350146452885506) 2021-10-27T13:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$JPM $GS $BAC $MSFT $GOOG $AAPL $TSLA $RIVN $NIO $JCI $GOLD $XOM $CVX #BP #RDSB $AMC $GME Fabulous insights [----] predictions & US stock ideas from capital markets expert @LongviewEcon of @Lvieweconomics. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mPaJAGJibf4&t=196s https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mPaJAGJibf4&t=196s"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1463502004228141061) 2021-11-24T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"UK public sector net debt was 2344bn as at Mar22 (96.2% GDP). If interest rates were 3% then the bill would be 70bn/year. Or 20bn-25bn higher (40%) than the OBR are forecasting the government will have to spend. Never mind the damaging impact on GDP housing etc. @CapitalPmh @bankofengland What would you suggest it peaks at over the next [--] months @CapitalPmh @bankofengland What would you suggest it peaks at over the next [--] months"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1536582357238554625) 2022-06-14T05:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting to see that over the past year the Japanese #Yen has performed even worse vs the #Dollar than the #Pound & #Euro in the 'currency ugly sister competition'"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1569325244086640648) 2022-09-12T14:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Spot on Scotty. Indeed the Japanese Yen has weaken even more against the US$ over the past [--] months than either the or (see below). IMO this appears to be more a 'yield differential' & 'energy security' story than straight political point-scoring exercise. @grahambsi That's not actually true is it The dollar is very strong. So strong that it's breached parity with the Euro. Sterling is also weak. Slightly weaker than the Euro. @grahambsi That's not actually true is it The dollar is very strong. So strong that it's breached parity with the Euro. Sterling is also weak. Slightly weaker than the"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1571730806330073089) 2022-09-19T05:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"35 years on does anyone remember the [----] Black Monday crash I was in my 1st term studying Electrical Engineering at Southampton University & lost the equivalent to around [--] months rent on [--] day. All in all a good cheap lesson learnt early in my investing career"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1582968368339877888) 2022-10-20T05:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#TSLA #META You only truly understand your risk tolerance when you blow right through it. Indeed a vital insight that millions of 'newbie' / covid lockdown investors in the likes of @Tesla #Bitcoin & @Meta - now probably have a good grasp of"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1608146146253279233) 2022-12-28T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#VLG More great news from @venturelifegp today. This time wrt to licensing a new internally developed mouth ulcer treatment alongside signing additional distribution agreements for Gelclair & Pomi-T . All the details here. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-hill-a5994116_vlg-vlg-activity-7018119661841969153-g6Usutm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-hill-a5994116_vlg-vlg-activity-7018119661841969153-g6Usutm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1612354747519963136) 2023-01-09T07:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Who is going to pivot first on US interest rates The @federalreserve or #bond #investors"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1614676010531753985) 2023-01-15T17:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Fundamentals asset allocation valuation & careful stock picking are vital for investment successful. However one thing that repeatedly 'lifts & drops all boats' is pumping in or sucking out liquidity from the system. As shown by the US #M2 money supply vs #SP500 chart"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1616794112677613569) 2023-01-21T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The #Fed & #WallStreet are miles apart. The #Futures market is pricing in a peak US interest rate of 4.9% & cuts in Q4'23. However #jeromepowell continues to infer the #Fed will move to 5.0%-5.25% and hold. This difference will keep volatility high especially in smallcaps"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1621757107153379328) 2023-02-04T06:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#AGFX #ASHM #ASC #FUTR #GLE #MONY #OTB #PETS #RMV #SCS #VIC $PFE $NVDA #FDP #POLB #AVG #VLG #LORD #XPF #POLX Equities are up & razor sharp investor @SharePickers of @VOXmarkets is on a roll. In this bullish outlook we run thro [--] NEW stock purchases https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/hot-stocks-on-vox-markets-26862ad/ https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/hot-stocks-on-vox-markets-26862ad/"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1623365024818335774) 2023-02-08T16:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BP #SHEL $CVX $XOM $MRO Gushing profits (see below). Plus many oil experts believe that China's reopening will drive another strong year for energy stocks. And besides the industry doesn't need sky high prices anyway - as most mint money if crude remains above $60/barrel"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1623565421113749506) 2023-02-09T06:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Feb jobs (+311k vs 200k est) & wages (4.6% vs 4.4% Jan) come in hotter than expected. Offset by small downward revisions to Dec (-21k) & Jan (-13k). Basically the US labour market is still too hot for the #Fed. 0.5% interest rate hike on 22nd March looks a shoe-in"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1634190043442040832) 2023-03-10T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Given regulators have now taken control of #svb . How likely is it that the #FDIC will make all the bank's depositors 'whole' (ie incl corporates) Regardless of the amount of cash held/deposited at the bank & the official guaranteed $250k limit - ie as per the 2008/9 GFC"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1634401055923400705) 2023-03-11T03:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#svb basically grew too fast using borrowed S/T money from depositors who were burning cash & could ask to be repaid at any time. Worse still #svb then double downed & invested it in long-dated assets that it was unable or unwilling to sell. End result = LIQUIDITY CRUNCH"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1634844156031008769) 2023-03-12T09:09Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements
"Morning @SharePickers - great chart Indeed do you recall back in [----] when you once quipped that you took NO NOTICE of #bonds wrt #stock picking. Amazing how things change mate Especially as the global #bond market ($133 trillion in 2022) is worth more than the equity market"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1646388668989333504) 2023-04-13T05:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Clearly the fall in European commercial real estate prices is going to be major issue for landlords #reits lenders and associated service companies"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1648560877027704832) 2023-04-19T05:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Are London #house #prices going to be the first domino to fall across the UK's #Residential #property market Here "values in prime areas of the capital declined 5% YoY in March.""
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1648690818985721856) 2023-04-19T14:11Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"The US' key 'Leading Economic Indicator' (LEI) index falls further into recessionary territory (see below). Declining another -1.2% in Mar'23 after dropping by -0.5% in February"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1649289267653357568) 2023-04-21T05:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Albeit still early days it appears Q1'23 #SP500 #earnings (see below) are tracking for a slightly better than feared -6% fall YoY. That said with profit margins contracting - there's going to be much bigger hurdles to jump in Q4'23 (est 8.3% and [----] (est 11.7%)"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1650039722700333056) 2023-04-23T07:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Is #AI over-hyped or actual reality Well probably both. Especially given that #Megacap #Tech - who possess the biggest wallets & megaphones - will literally be spending $bns each on #artificial_intelligence"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1653405314752937993) 2023-05-02T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Why being a 'Perma #Bear' doesn't pay. Indeed @Carl_C_Icahn apparently lost $9bn shorting the market. In turn wiping out his entire $6bn of gains between [----] and today"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1659454554637848577) 2023-05-19T07:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Is the below leading indicator (see chart) wrt the US labour market good or bad for the #equities Whereby from recent #SP500 earnings calls & shareholder meetings there's been a marked rise in the number of job cut announcements alongside fewer problems with staff shortages"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1665951968475357187) 2023-06-06T05:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Est of May's US CPI MORGAN STANLEY: 4% JP MORGAN: 4.2% BARCLAYS: 4.1% NOMURA: 4.1% BMO: 4.1% JEFFERIES: 4% HSBC: 4.1% CREDIT AGRICOLE: 4% BERENBERG: 4.3% SOCIETE GENERALE: 4.1% TD SEC: 4% STANDARD CHARTERED: 4.3% BARCLAYS: 4% SCOTIABANK: 4.3% WELLS FARGO: 4% CREDIT SUISSE: 4%"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1668498920656318466) 2023-06-13T06:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Fixed income or equities Pick your poison. Indeed given Wenesday's super hawkish rhetoric from the #Fed the yield on [--] year US BBB corporate bonds is now higher (5.9%) than the 12M earnings yield (ie 5.1%) offered by the #SP500"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1669631664148946944) 2023-06-16T09:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#NVDA #MSFT #ADBE #GOOG #ASML #MT #STLA #C #BBVA #PYPL #DE #LVS #BABA #FTNT #NVO #MRK #BIIB #ZTS #NIO #RIVN #LAND In this fascinating fund manager interview 1st class investor @PatrickArmstr (CIO @Plurimicapital Wealth) takes me through. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Sp_i1s8W_4g https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Sp_i1s8W_4g"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1671048431488360457) 2023-06-20T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"00:00 Equity outlook 05:10 How to play #ai NVIDIA Microsoft Adobe Alphabet Inc. and ASML. 10:20 Luxury brands. LVMH and Herms. 12:35 Energy. Shell and EOG Resources. 14:20 When will wage growth crack 16:50 Under owned value stocks. Any much more https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/q-a-with-patrick-armstrong-cio-plurimi-wealth-cff62da https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/q-a-with-patrick-armstrong-cio-plurimi-wealth-cff62da"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1671048433099046912) 2023-06-20T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can the UK economy and housing market cope with interest rates staying this high for a prolonged period"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1673209815546441735) 2023-06-26T06:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#MBH #ELCO #FUTR #GBG $BMY #GOOD #IES #BELL #CBOX #ONC #DEST #AVCT #IHC #TRU #AWE #POLX #XPF #REVB Is it time to get back into equities Find out here from Duracell powered investor @stockpickers & myself of @VOXmarkets . https://www.youtube.com/watchv=uB5TuIKbG5k https://www.youtube.com/watchv=uB5TuIKbG5k"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1674451822059069440) 2023-06-29T16:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Food inflation maybe be falling worldwide but the UK is still at the top of the G8/DM league"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1674645639962001410) 2023-06-30T05:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Until the #Fed cracks wage inflation then there's a distinct possibility over the next [--] months of a full employment recession Where tight labour markets continue to encourage corporates to 'hoard' workers even if sales decline. Not good for interest rates though"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1677556357770223616) 2023-07-08T05:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"To me wage growth of 2%-3% should be consistent with a stable 2% CPI. Hence still plenty to do me thinks. Particularly given labour disputes strikes & the pandemic's enduring impact on the participation rate"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1677560152520548354) 2023-07-08T06:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Hollandpar91513 @RebelHQ Thanks - Why isn't wage inflation sticky"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1678268597129412608) 2023-07-10T07:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This week's #StockMarket news will be dominated by Wednesday's US CPI (Est 3.1% YoY vs 4.0% May and Core from 5.3% to est 5.0%) alongside the start of Q2 #SP500 earnings season (see below). IMO this will be where the rubber really hits the road"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1678274016556077056) 2023-07-10T05:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Happy days if you're coming up to retirement & need an income. UK annuity rates have improved materially over the past [--] months on the back of rising interest rates"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1678284596314529792) 2023-07-10T06:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#AGFX In this fascinating interview CEO Harry Adamsof#Argentex takes me through yesterday's 'in line' trading update alongside explaining what was behind #AGFX's impressive 28% YoY jump in H123 sales to 25m"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1678795284355207171) 2023-07-11T15:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$JPM $C $WFC #BAC $GS The rubber hits the road today with US Q2 bank earnings this afternoon from @Citi @jpmorgan & @WellsFargo Investors will be closely watching how their NTAVs cope with rising bankruptcies deposit rates (NIMs) & delinquencies on auto loans & credit cards"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1679725546475798529) 2023-07-14T05:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A sharp rally in the [--] year Treasury #yield today - after the latest weekly jobless claims showing no meaningful softening of the US #labormarket. Maybe we can kiss those expected [----] #Fed rate cuts goodbye"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1682018561609408512) 2023-07-20T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Average monthly salary after tax from 'World of statistics. [--]. #Switzerland : $6298 [--]. #Luxembourg : $5122 [--]. #Singapore : $4990 [--]. #USA : $4664 [--]. #Iceland : $4383 [--]. #Qatar : $4147 [--]. #Denmark : $3570 [--]. #Netherlands : $3550 [--]. #UAE : $3511"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1689205893387239424) 2023-08-09T09:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Woodywudpeck What do you think #ESYS will say at the their forthcoming y/e trading update Theres been a lots of conflicting newsflow wrt the flexible office/workspace market. IWG reporting record revs up 14%. Whereas WeWork said it could be about to go bust as clients stop using it"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1690390081851236353) 2023-08-12T15:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Anyone fancy a quick bite down memory lane at a Berni Inn (see menu) Literally 'cheap as chips' In fact the 'Chateauneuf du Pape' was apparently the go to bottle of plonk. Albeit elsewhere the Yugoslavian Riesling was probably an acquired taste"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1690627072450846720) 2023-08-13T07:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"At what point does 5% interest rates force governments to cut back on fiscal spend &/or raise taxes Here the UK's [---] trillion net debt has already hit 100% of GDP. Moreover it is still rising at 5% pa with a current interest bill of 125bn / month. God help Italy though"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1691015970884562944) 2023-08-14T09:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The UK's higher for longer interest rates alongside its sticky core/wage inflation - APPEARS to translate into sub-trend GDP growth. Equally though UK equity valuations remain far too low. Meaning I remain S/T bearish on the economy but L/T bullish on #FTSE stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1692839231754764474) 2023-08-19T10:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#ESYS #LLAI #BELL #CBOX In 'The Hobbit' Bilbo Baggins climbs out of the frying pan into the fire. Similarly in this entertaining video Gandalf style investor @SharePickers & myself of @VOXmarkets explain how to invest in today's 'Bear' market"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1694343568305873307) 2023-08-23T13:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#NVDA This is literally bonkers (see chartfrom last night's results). Plus#Nvidia's adjusted operating margins hit 58% vs an average of39% for the past [--] quarters"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1694676655879446732) 2023-08-24T11:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#LLOY Does anyone know why @LloydsBank uses a cashflow hedge reserve (see below) & why it was TNAV negative in its latest H1'23 results'"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1694937268857737487) 2023-08-25T04:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BELL A game-changing $55m licensing deal announced today by portable oxygen concentrator developer @Belluscura . All the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1696778805283557518) 2023-08-30T06:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"4 life lessons to help investors cope with 'Bear Markets'. @SharePickers @RebelHQ @DeGrooteMedia @marketgem"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1697898603463819671) 2023-09-02T09:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Nichola68391207 @SharePickers @VOXmarkets @YouTube That's an easy one for me Nicholas. Macro-wise its all to do with how long interest rates will stay at 5%+. Hence super core CPI ( ex food energy & housing) in the US and wage/services inflation in the UK. These need to be tracking below 3% before central banks begin cutting"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1698210011493584954) 2023-09-03T05:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"In today's @VOXmarkets stock picking program @SharePickers & talk about how to emotionally deal with a big hit plus: Our latest thoughts on equities. 00:00 Sondrel #SND08:10"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1699785847200243822) 2023-09-07T14:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Is the @federalreserve likely to keep interest rates "higher for longer" Well given the 2-year US Treasury #yield is back above 5.0% then there doesn't seem to be any doubt - at least ATM"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1700363851579998239) 2023-09-09T04:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@marketgem Is the 16% dividend yield sustainable"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1700406155749544036) 2023-09-09T07:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"US 'bad debts / delinquencies' on auto loans credit cards and consumer loans are at their highest levels in a decade. Maybe the #Fed's interest rate hikes are finally having an effect"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1700786603633873006) 2023-09-10T08:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The US yield curve inversion is the longest & deepest for [--] years. Albeit largecap / S&P valuations imply there won't be a recession. Meaning if correct then UK smallcaps should see a material 'mean reversion' catchup trade soon. Assuming of course UK interest rates fall"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1700883264309800972) 2023-09-10T14:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS Better than expected H1'23 numbers & upgraded guidance today from @equals__money - a leading B2B international e-payments & fintech platform. All the details & revised estimates here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1701479999998431488) 2023-09-12T06:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#NWG #LLOY #GOOG #META #Nintendo #SHEL #BP #BWY #BKG #BDEV #RDW #FRAS #PLUS #HL #LSEG #EZJ #RYA #GSK #HLN #JET #DHER In this fascinating interview top flight fund manager Kartik Kumar of @artemisinvest takes me through his equity outlook & [--] stock ideas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1701576675035693170) 2023-09-12T12:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Quote of the day Meaning typically invest more in high probability/conviction stocks offering the most attractive upside risk/reward profile (ie Alpha generation). Albeit equally never get so far over your skies that one single stock has the potential to break you"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1701610061699973353) 2023-09-12T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@OilinvestorAl @bankofengland Please feel free to ask Andrew Baily & Jerome Powell when you next speak to them 👍"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1702577241320780083) 2023-09-15T06:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"With the #FTSE only modestly up this year the valuation gap between UK vs US equities certainly isn't getting any smaller"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1702582509559587242) 2023-09-15T07:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#EQLS - Nice write-up in today's Sunday Mail "MIDAS VERDICT: @equals__money is that rare beast a cutting-edge financial technology firm that is expanding profitable and about to pay dividends. At [----] the shares should deliver long-term growth.""
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1703320765083365805) 2023-09-17T08:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There's "no gain without pain" After [--] profit warnings is quick succession (re #SND #IHC #ESYS & $BMY) I've become a little more battle hardened of late. Luckily though both #EQLS & #ELCO delivered positive interims last week. Hopefully "stopping the rot' at least for now"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1703350542288773323) 2023-09-17T10:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Does this mean the price of my favourite bottle of @yellowtailwine Pinot Gris will be less in the local @Tesco"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1703718023654256757) 2023-09-18T10:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Major gains today across the UK #housebuilders as softer than expected core CPI in August came in at 6.2% vs 6.8% forecast & 6.9% for July. In turn leading investors to speculate that the BoE won't now raise interest rates any higher. The is also lower vs the $ this morning"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1704420341555056945) 2023-09-20T09:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"IMO these guys are some of the smartest capital markets experts on the planet"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1704722919652282755) 2023-09-21T05:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Agreed Likewise I learn a ton from @PatrickArmstr @LongviewEcon & @TheIdleInvestor each time we record this monthly capital markets roundtable. It's a privilege to host & be able to ask questions"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1704763512810078309) 2023-09-21T07:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#BP #TSMC #BABA #META #AMZN In this fascinating interview 1st class fund manager Duncan MacInnes of Ruffer takes me through his thoughts on the markets importantly when will be the right time to back up the truck"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1705231439858422202) 2023-09-22T14:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"When should investors back up the truck Find out here in this fascinating interview with super smart fund manager @DuncanMacInnes8 of Ruffer Investment Management"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1705447331116544396) 2023-09-23T05:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@SimonMo98961881 @BMHLTD Many thanks Simon @LongviewEcon @PatrickArmstr & @TheIdleInvestor are superb capital markets experts and investors"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1705447689628811416) 2023-09-23T05:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BELL New regulatory approval granted in Hong Kong for @Belluscura's X-PLOR portable oxygen concentrator. Find out all the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1706556265504092342) 2023-09-26T06:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Stemis3 What about super smart institutional investors scientists VCs & fund managers too"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1707666367950799267) 2023-09-29T07:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Similarly here's some 'anecdotal' real-world examples - to help investors identify whether equity markets have peaked or toughed"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1708397066672636221) 2023-10-01T08:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One unwritten 'rule' of economic policy stipulates that when US real #yields rise above 2% (see below) the odds of a #recession disproportionally increase. Indeed today it appears equity markets are trying to factor in exactly this risk"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709030416798146666) 2023-10-03T02:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"After yesterday's [--] year Treasury (now 4.8% yield) induced bloodbath on the equity markets it appears investors are expecting another 'red day' on the major indices. VIX now also above 20x. Tin hat time"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709451463166984379) 2023-10-04T06:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The AIM All share is down -45% from its [----] peak. The #SP500 lost 50% during the 2008-9 GFC. However over the past [--] months the ultra long-duration (ie 24-25 years) US Treasury bond ETF has now fallen 55%. Who would want to be a 'safe/defensive' fixed income investor"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709462834155827705) 2023-10-04T06:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Dr_Twatter @RebelHQ Thanks - who's the fund manager & what do they hold"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709463846816043475) 2023-10-04T07:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Pigeoning holing oneself into a specific investment style can be dangerous - esp if/when one's objectives (eg risk tolerance income wealth preservation vs creation) change. That said I fall into a mix of the 1st three - with a higher weighting towards smallcap GARP stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709564587245273376) 2023-10-04T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Death by a [----] cuts. Today's smallcap markets are painful enough to make even grown-up investors cry. #AIM index breaks below [---] & may soon retest the March [----] pandemic low of 625"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709586954285678896) 2023-10-04T15:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"UK equity funds (see below) continued to suffer from investor redemptions in September - albeit at slower rate than the previous [--] months. However until interest rates start to fall then this 'capital outflow' into cash / money market funds will almost certainly persist"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1709872049634570245) 2023-10-05T10:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As dollars are sucked out the system by #QT - coupled with a huge jump in US Treasury issue (re post debt ceiling) - [--] year yields have spiked. Meaning unrealised bond losses for US banks have ballooned again - forcing them to cut lending. Liquidity crisis coming perhaps"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1710195449527783484) 2023-10-06T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Despite the recent spike in US [--] year Treasury yields #WallStreet are still pricing in (re 17.7x fwd PER) a 'softish-landing' into #SP500 EPS forecasts. The danger of course being that higher interest rates eventually break the consumer & US jobs markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1711322320747290812) 2023-10-09T10:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sky high interest rates on US consumer credit cards may deter people from splashing out this Xmas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1711364114453262388) 2023-10-09T12:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Why do UK small/microcap investors need to be optimists Because if they're not then life can get pretty miserable"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1712108330309587024) 2023-10-11T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Will this start showing up in today's Q3 US bank earnings from #JPM #C #WFC and #PNC"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1712798175071703189) 2023-10-13T11:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Probably one of the main reasons why many UK corporates (& European too) have decided to list their shares in North America. Rather than locally on the London Stock Exchange. Declining liquidity fewer domestic buyers lower valuations & a shift to liability-driven investing"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1713785122497978375) 2023-10-16T05:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Once the cost & recharging time of electric batteries fall alongside extending their mileage range. Then (logically) the adoption of all things #EV should literally take off. Today though batteries are still far too expensive (see below)"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1714120413549097084) 2023-10-17T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sept US #jobs #PPI #CPI & retail sales all coming in hotter (GDPNow 5.4%) than expected with [--] year Treasury yields up to 4.8%. Anticipating a 40% chance of another #fed rate hike by Jan24. Meaning good economic news is probably bad for bond investors & regional banks"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1714490718880706752) 2023-10-18T03:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#SUP Strong H1 trading alongside a host of new initiatives today from FMCG products group @SupremePLC in order to stamp out underage vaping and improve the industry's environmental footprint. All the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1714524367126696114) 2023-10-18T06:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It is often said that 'stock prices lead earnings which in turn lead the economy'. Assuming this is the case then #AIM must be pricing in a near nuclear winter wrt GDP jobs & growth. Sure this is part of the story. Yet equally #AIM just looks way over-sold to me"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1714642263043637312) 2023-10-18T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"According to @apollo__capital's Chief Economist Torsen Slok - the US' 'Magnificent 7' stocks trade on an aggregate trailing PE multiple of 45x vs 19x for the rest of the #SP500. In comparison the FTSE All Share is at 12.5x"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1714659950557888785) 2023-10-18T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As central banks held interest rates at rock bottom levels for [--] years (re post GFC) households loaded up on cheap debt & spent like mad. Oh those Halcyon days"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1714866676594778154) 2023-10-19T04:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Equities again look weak today on the back of a continued flight to safety/cash/gold (re Israel/Hamas concerns) higher long bond yields a stronger dollar & QT. Investors just need to accept that corrections are normal & stay long term positive. Things will improve"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1715258349141348791) 2023-10-20T06:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Here you go guys. Latest forward PERs below wrt the Magnificent Seven & the rest of the #SP500. In fact it looks as if you're both right. US stocks especially megacap tech still appear expensive with the M7 earnings yield at 3% vs 4.9% for the [--] year Treasury"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1715267555235967297) 2023-10-20T07:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Anyone looking for a $100bn market driven by strong demand secular growth & fewer suppliers What about specialist providers of 'home & building insurance' then - who cover property owners for damage caused by natural disasters floods & climate change"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1715987561871454431) 2023-10-22T07:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Not only has liquidity dried up in smallcap equities. But also 'risk aversion' has infected the European corporate debt markets where spreads on high yield fixed income securities have ballooned. Potentially creating another obstacle for companies looking to raise capital"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1716026481560760462) 2023-10-22T09:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#AAL #AHT #AZN #BP #CRH #DGE #EXPN #HL. #INCH #IMI #NG. #NEXT #RELX #SMIN #SN. #SSE #SSPG #ULVR #WTB In this interview fund manager Michael Ulrich of JO Hambro Capital Mgt takes me through his outlook for equities alongside highlighting [--] stock ideas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1716428396991750385) 2023-10-23T12:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lots of good long term value for anyone interested in largecap stocks"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1716471583982690549) 2023-10-23T15:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Nichola68391207 Agreed Nicholas. I like S&N too - on the watchlist"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1716691173517955237) 2023-10-24T05:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#LLOY #GOOG #PYPL #AAPL #TSLA #SCHW In this fabulous discussion Chris Watling (CEO @Lvieweconomics ) @PatrickArmstr (CIO @Plurimi1 ) and @TheIdleInvestor (CIO @BNPP_Wealth) take me through their thoughts on equities bonds & the capital markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1717171348449976721) 2023-10-25T13:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#RTO #STAN Like Japan's surprise attack on Pearl Harbour in [----] there seems to be few places to hide in equities. Indeed with the yield on the [--] year Treasury remaining steadfast at just below 5% then what can investors do Bail out the portfolio or accept the damage"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1717532534802661778) 2023-10-26T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Many thanks Simon for the very kind words. Agreed - these 'Three Musketeers' are top drawn capital markets experts. Next up in [--] month's time will be @LongviewEcon ' @TheIdleInvestor 's & @PatrickArmstr 's outlook for [----] & associated best investment ideas for the year ahead"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1717729926495793177) 2023-10-27T02:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The key for investors is when the stock market - which moves [--] to [--] months ahead of the economy - starts to rebound. Anticipating central bank interest rate cuts lower costs of capital & ultimately a recovery"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1718174750399156268) 2023-10-28T07:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MikeEdmunds1981 @DeGrooteMedia Hopefully investors will get an early read of this from retail sales during Black Friday Cyber Monday Amazon Prime and high street / mall foot traffic heading into Xmas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1718258356924584040) 2023-10-28T13:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Hopefully the smart money (re fund managers here) will be right this time (see below). If they are then smallcaps should (theoretically) be off to the races - provided of course the low bond yields are not due to a deep prolonged recession"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1718546605505147025) 2023-10-29T08:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Agreed David It's largely been a US [--] year bond yield story (see chart). Indeed higher rates QT & less liquidity have pushed more investors into cash. The good news being that eventually this money will come back into equities & drive prices higher. Time to be patient"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1719592100466233620) 2023-11-01T05:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS Interesting "4 week Strategic Review" process started by @equals__money today Both @FLEETCOR Europe ($16bn Mrkcap) & @mdpllc Capital (Investments: Paypal Moneygram & EVO Payments) seem to be serious & credible players in x-border payments. Time to be patient me thinks"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1719729796131758315) 2023-11-01T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Positive news for investors looking for a Santa Rally. The yield on the US 10-year bond fell yesterday after the Fed's neutral pause Treasury trimmed is L/T debt issuance plans and weaker than expected manufacturing data. Next Oct US payrolls data (Fri) & BoE decision today"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1719972338756624688) 2023-11-02T06:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looks like the war on inflation may now be 'largely' won. According to economic forecasts CPI in Europe the UK & US should all migrate to below 2.5% by the end of 2024"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1720335884002767041) 2023-11-03T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#WATR #RWS #GBG #ASTO It's time to be brave but not a hero. For those interested please find below my latest portfolio holdings and long term returns"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1721815972409954306) 2023-11-07T09:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US credit card and auto loan delinquencies in Q3'23 have risen to the highest level for more than a decade"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1724102512448340381) 2023-11-13T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Long term risk tolerant investors (like myself) are smelling opportunity in UK stocks. Indeed here average valuations are optically (ie if you can believe [----] consensus estimates that is) the cheapest in the world"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1724302624906756305) 2023-11-14T05:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"After yesterday's monster rally in smallcaps - triggered by lower US bond yields a weaker dollar & falling CPI - equities are set to open higher again at the bell. BEARS OUT BULLS IN"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1724666490865987958) 2023-11-15T05:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#VRCI Blockbuster licensing deal announced today by expert immunodiagnostics firm @VericiDx (Mrkcap 10m) with @thermofisher All the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1724703313227047047) 2023-11-15T08:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#CKN #ZTF #ITRK #BOY #LGEN #CBG #IGG #BRBY #DNLM #MONY #KITW #DCC #CCC #NWF #BWY #LTHM #PAGE #RWS #JEL In this stock picking masterclass private investor @rolandhead takes me through his thoughts on the markets alongside highlighting [--] stock ideas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1724813369868251204) 2023-11-15T15:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#NVDA As the poster child of all things #AI @nvidia's Q3 results are due out tonight with #wallstreet expecting another blow-out EPS fig of $3.09 on sales of $14.82bn. Clearly #NVDA's numbers & importantly outlook could 'make' or 'break' the #NASDAQ100's Santa rally"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1726827210823385375) 2023-11-21T04:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A massive step in the right direction wrt simplifying UK retirement saving. "Measures to be outlined by @Jeremy_Hunt in tomorrow's Autumn Statement will give employees the right to nominate a pension scheme into which their employer contributes.""
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1726852512072745118) 2023-11-21T06:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Dr_Twatter @nvidia Brave man"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1726854565587488923) 2023-11-21T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@serviceresult Yes - Likewise I think I'd be mad selling now whilst there's a POSSIBLE takeover being progressed. Sitting tight me"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1726872366129787231) 2023-11-21T07:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#NOVOB #ROG #SAN #ASML #BESI #AI #METSP #SENS #AIR #STLA #RNO #CARL #NESN #MC #EL #UHRN #RCO #UBSG #SWED In this fascinating interview on all things European equities 1st class fund manager James Sym of @RiverMercantile highlights [--] stocks ideas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1727343644397408355) 2023-11-22T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As interest rates are cut by the BoE next year @Schroders reckon this should support the UK residential property market & importantly house prices"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1728709607244345631) 2023-11-26T09:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@wheeliedealer Where have you seen this pick up WheelieDealer Haven't US tech stocks (Re Y2K dotcom boom social media cloud hyper-scalers cyber security AI etc) always been high in UK investors' minds over the past [--] years"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1729377259964813661) 2023-11-28T05:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#SUP Simon Thompson of @IChronicle retains his BUY rating for @SupremePLC . "A rating materially higher is clearly warranted hence why analysts at both PMH Capital and Equity Development have raised their fair value to 225p & Zeus Capital at 189p"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1729522464172966074) 2023-11-28T15:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS @equals__money - a fast growing B2B international & epayments platform - said today that: 1) YTD trading is in line with FY23 expectations & 2) it remains in discussions with US private equity house @mdpllc wrt a POSSIBLE takeover. Deadline extended to 5pm [--] Dec"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1729761355731702170) 2023-11-29T07:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"How is the global economy going to perform next year And importantly for investors what are the best opportunities to make money Find out here some macro & capital markets' predictions for [----] & how my portfolio is positioned for the year ahead"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1730113786198045148) 2023-11-30T06:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In this special Xmas edition of Macro Investing Masterclass @LongviewEcon (CEO @Lvieweconomics) & @PatrickArmstr (CIO @Plurimicapital Wealth) run through their [----] predictions wrt: 00:00 Global economy inflation & interest rates 09:55 China"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1730217279990722807) 2023-11-30T13:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"13:00 Stock markets profit margins & corporate earnings 20:25 Are cheap UK & European equities value plays & value traps 25:15 Fixed income & bonds 28:00 Money Supply 31:40 Key risks favourite investment ideas & which sectors to avoid"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1730217282649907689) 2023-11-30T13:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"What a great 'November to Remember' for UK small (+5%) & midcaps (+8%). Indeed if you'd like to ask about this or anything else on investing. Then please feel free to join @SharePickers & myself of @VOXmarkets at 3.00pm today for our LIVE Hot Stocks show"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1730469678487568496) 2023-12-01T06:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@real_mcc @SharePickers @VOXmarkets How often have central bankers & Wall Street experts been correct wrt their forecasts Transitory inflation anyone"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1730490651752460357) 2023-12-01T07:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Not surprisingly given supply chains are normalising & the cost of capital has soared for many firms (re higher interest rates). Corporates are today rapidly destocking to reduce working capital free up cash & slash their borrowing costs"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1730910390265983278) 2023-12-02T11:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The yield on the US [--] year Treasury seems to be dropping like a stone. Now 4.2% as investors anticipate the #Fed to cut rates faster than expected - in response to inflation falling below 3% in Q1'24"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1732268601229406499) 2023-12-06T05:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"With $33.2 trillion in government debt the US presently accounts for 34% of the world's $97.1 trillion total. Which itself is up 40% from [----] levels due to the pandemic splurge helicopter money & economic shutdowns"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1732401841655492702) 2023-12-06T14:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What a difference a month makes. Let's just hope the forecast US interest rate cuts are for the right reasons (ie soft landing) - rather than a deep protracted recession. Answers on a postcard please"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1732649928650879400) 2023-12-07T06:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#CSFS Paul Scott of @Stockopedia alerted me to UK specialist forex solutions firm @cornerstonefs_ (17.25p mrkcap 10m) last week. Indeed I think he's on to something. and here's why"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1733371522453012645) 2023-12-09T06:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One of the key marketing strategies of ultra-luxury brands is to limit supply. In turn artificially creating that perception of 'uniqueness' & 'exclusivity' (re FOMO effect) Well apparently today the strategy is beginning to unwind"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1733780130437181617) 2023-12-10T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#AURR #ABDP #SED #FADL #TRCS #YOU #KWS #GBG #SRT #PEBB #LTG #CRW #IUG #ALPH #EQLS #WATR #QQ #VTY #BRCK #CVSG #XPP #VLX Please find below the valuation metrics wrt the [--] stocks that were discussed yesterday with @Stradivari48 of @AmatiGlobal . Happy investing everyone. #AURR #ABDP #SED #FADL #TRCS #YOU #KWS #GBG #SRT #PEBB #LTG #CRW #IUG #ALPH #EQLS #WATR #QQ #VTY #BRCK #CVSG #XPP #VLX In this fascinating interview @Stradivari48 of @AmatiGlobal takes me through [--] stock ideas alongside his outlook for equities in [----]. https://t.co/X78OJSxcnU #AURR #ABDP #SED #FADL #TRCS #YOU #KWS #GBG #SRT"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1734446658979590439) 2023-12-12T05:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BELL Strategically important new regulatory approval from Singapore received today for leading portable oxygen concentrator firm @Belluscura. All the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1734477018077569090) 2023-12-12T07:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As always if anyone would like to ask me &/or @SharePickers of @VOXmarkets any investment share &/or macro related questions. Then please feel free to join us for our final [----] Hot Stocks show at 9.30am tomorrow on Youtube Crackers are ready"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1735330086830694505) 2023-12-14T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FredJamesShares @SharePickers @VOXmarkets Apologies Fred. Simply because we didn't get a chance to cover it (re ditto many other stocks in Amati's portfolios)"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1735331848266412055) 2023-12-14T16:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@RebelHQ #LIO is one of the few deep value stocks with a forward PE ratio (7.6x) more than 40% below its dividend yield (12.7%). Assuming of course the analyst expectations are believable"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1735516762018402625) 2023-12-15T04:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#PMI #LIO #ANG #JDW #COM #TRT #MPAC #SDY #EKF #SPR #VTY #RBGP #TRST #TM17 #WNWD In this terrific interview top flight fund manager @laurence_hulse of @DowgateWealth takes me through [--] stock ideas plus his outlook for equities in 2024"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1735661582565228817) 2023-12-15T14:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Valuation benchmarks wrt those stocks discussed"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1735694658284454370) 2023-12-15T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#MRK How important is Xmas dinner Well on Friday night the freezer packed up with our turkey & trimmings inside. Thus it was a race to buy a new one. 24hrs later @MarksElectrical had delivered & installed a new Hotpoint at a great price & removed the old one. Thanks guys"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1736392161254322306) 2023-12-17T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#PDG #SPI #NIOX #EKF #RENX #VRCI #ANCR #AVG #CAU #MORE #RCN #MAI #RST #TCAP #ASTO #POLR #FLO #CARR #GLE #FEN In this Xmas Special 1st class investor Christopher Mills of @harwoodcapital takes me through [--] stock ideas & his thoughts on the markets"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1736798512665297222) 2023-12-18T17:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BELL You can't keep a great business down. After delays wrt its pending 5.8m #TMTA acquisition @Belluscura said today that China (ie world's largest COPD market) had approved its leading XPLOR portable oxygen concentrator. All the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1737378397213610239) 2023-12-20T07:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#TBLD Games developer @tinyBuild plans to raise at least $10m at 5p/share - representing a 100% PREMIUM to yesterday's close of 2.5p. Indeed rather than a normal placing is this in fact similar to a takeover It feels so given the astronomical premium"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1737734043872198794) 2023-12-21T07:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"'Higher for shorter' A steeper descent to the BoE's 2% CPI target means earlier interest rate cuts. Plus the UK stock market appears to be the cheapest on the block - especially from a 'sharpe' ratio perspective"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1738056135981039652) 2023-12-22T04:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#CPI This is probably the best economic story of [----]. Inflation down massively over the past [--] months. Next up interest rates"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1738511598786900403) 2023-12-23T10:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Where will the smart money be made in [----] Well after the Santa rally then most of the gains from the #Fed's recent pivot has already been banked (multiple expansion). Meaning next year should (in theory) depend more on stock picking & EPS growth rather than index tracking"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1739204727311655423) 2023-12-25T08:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In line with the milder weather the US markets are set to continue their gradual 'melt-up' today at the open. Where investors continue to bask in the prospects of lower interest rates & higher stock prices for [----]. Time to enjoy the benign conditions whilst they last"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739511313057878498) 2023-12-26T04:59Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"According to the @Mastercard #SpendingPulse total US retail spending (ex auto) this holiday season (1st Nov to 24th Dec) was up 3.1% YoY with in-store sales 2.2% higher and e-commerce climbing 6.3%. The fastest growth at 7.8% came from restaurants vs jewellery down -2.0%"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739662240255463587) 2023-12-26T14:59Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"To me this is positive for L/T active stock pickers. Why Well if more money continues to be funnelled into passives. Then (theoretically) the markets will become less efficient (even in largecaps) & more liquid as these trackers buy high & sell low"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1741744543756947847) 2024-01-01T08:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#DEST #LLAI #TRU #IHC #BELL #IUG #EQLS #GOOD #TIME #SND #JD. #PFE #WATR #oil #bitcoin After a relaxing Xmas break the capital markets are off to the races again. Here @SharePickers & I of @VOXmarkets debate [--] stock ideas for the year ahead"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1742865016691310926) 2024-01-04T11:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#SUP Very astute 'bolt-on' acquisition today by FMCG/vaping business @SupremePLC . All the details here"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1743178726009958843) 2024-01-05T07:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Jamie_Parker88 @Terry71062540 @avacta To me @avacta's strategy of focusing on its core science/capabilities. Whilst also licensing out the technology to others in non-core areas makes perfect sense. Indeed its both impossible & counterproductive to try to do everything in house"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1743514599935156232) 2024-01-06T06:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite Friday's hottish US payrolls report (+216k new jobs & 4.1% wage growth). Bond investors are still expecting (62% chance) the @federalreserve to start cutting interest rates in March & close out Dec'24 at 4%. To me unless there's a recession this looks far too soon"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1743906084807495805) 2024-01-07T08:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@EquityTrader888 @VericiDx #VRCI's addressable market is kidney transplant patients"
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1744285429031965115) 2024-01-08T09:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"#ANCR #CVSG #ANP #FEVR #W7L #IHC #AVG #FRAN #FLO #TRCS #ECK #QTX #GAMA #OMG #RCN #KITW In this investing masterclass FM Stephen English of Stellar Asset Mgt takes me through his latest thoughts on the markets alongside highlighting [--] stock ideas"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1744671127870304592) 2024-01-09T10:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Valuation benchmarks wrt those stocks discussed above"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1744700047919345696) 2024-01-09T12:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"After the recent Santa rally @Schroders reckons equities are expensive - but NOT smallcaps. Certainly worth a quick look wrt strategic asset allocation @RebelHQ @MylesMcNulty @SharePickers"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1745692073095786825) 2024-01-12T06:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"UK smallcaps are cheap (2024 PER 12x 16% EPS growth & 0.75x PEG) even when rebased on 'tough' earnings. What niggles about US largecaps (PER 19x) is they trade on a fwd PEG of 2x-4x. Assuming either Ests from top down strategists (+5% EPS growth) or bottom up analysts (10.6%)"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1745725768791908548) 2024-01-12T08:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@davidcundell More importantly it presents 'opportunity' for long term risk tolerant investors"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1745737996781924395) 2024-01-12T09:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Given the cost of money has risen substantially over the past [--] years - then (in theory) a far bigger slug of an investor's return will come from astute stock picking. Meaning to me a diversified portfolio of well selected smallcaps offers the best risk/reward profile"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1746212424435327195) 2024-01-13T16:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Many congrats Richard. You bought #CARD [--] years ago when the shares were totally bombed out - & sold when the investment thesis changed. Redeploying the funds into other stocks (re #MKS #RR.) Discipline is key in order to generate sustainable 'alpha'. Well done mate👏👏👏👏 #CARD After all the 'materially ahead' trading updates they suddenly had no Nov t/s as the norm. Suggested momentum might have dropped off. Surprised they hadn't beaten by at least a bit. Reduced more today less that 3% of my holdings now. Probably cheap here now tho. #CARD After all the 'materially ahead' trading updates"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1747481871498318071) 2024-01-17T04:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Another tough day sledging for the markets is indicated at the open with the #FTSE100 called down [--] points. #Fed interest rate jitters continues to be main fault line for investors"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1747494890265510061) 2024-01-17T05:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#BIG #CSFS #EQLS #SNX #PMI #CHRT #ELCO #SBDS #LORD #GBG #RWS #SUP #VRCI #AVG #BELL #SED #DGI #GOOD #YU. Find out in today's Hot Stocks show what @SharePickers & I have recently been buying alongside my favourite AIM share for [----] & best recovery stock"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1748306029740191950) 2024-01-19T11:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS Things are obviously getting close. After [--] weeks another [--] day PUSU (Put Up or Shut UP) extension has been granted. Meaning @mdpllc are still interested & PROBABLY debating what price to submit formally to @equals__money shareholders. #EQLS trading all in line too"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1750056465778282940) 2024-01-24T07:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Clearly - just for the avoidance of any doubt - @mdpllc can still walk away at any time without submitting a formal takeover bid to @equals__money shareholders"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1750061354357035221) 2024-01-24T07:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Massive week coming up on the markets with Microsoft Amazon Apple Meta and Google all reporting [----] results. Alongside US Non Farm Payrolls Friday and Fed / BoE rate decisions/comments on Wedn/Thurs. Hold on to your investment hats guys"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1751133364197761437) 2024-01-27T06:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#MSFT #AAPL Is the #SP500 expensive Yes & No. 'No' for many 'perceived' old economy stocks eg oil banks healthcare etc. But 'Yes' for most of the #Nasdaq behemoths. Take @Microsoft & @Apple. Their combined mrkcaps are $6trn. That's $750 per person living on the planet"
[X Link](https://x.com/CapitalPmh/status/1751489689767284777) 2024-01-28T06:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
### Topic Creators
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/:topic/creators/v1
Get the top creators for a social topic
input parameters:
+ **topic**: _Provide the topic to get details for. A topic must be all lower case and can only include letters, numbers, spaces, # and $._ **required**
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/bitcoin/creators/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": [
{
"creator_id": "twitter::1605310254085980161",
"creator_name": "Bitcoin_Teddy",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1739753415134138368/FrWHMAnb_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 74293,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [-------]
}
]
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
---
### Category Creators
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/category/:category/creators/v1
Get the top creators for a social category
input parameters:
+ **category**: _Provide the category to get details for. A category must be all lower case and can only include letters, numbers, and spaces._ **required**
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/category/musicians/creators/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": [
{
"creator_id": "youtube::undefined",
"creator_name": "airshowfansh",
"creator_avatar": "https://yt3.ggpht.com/cUuwxYNRoYoO_rnBAgPbze39nOMI_rUq0pVmHiM-Fz40TsRDmv8gZcUxvqxLF_bsGzhdVu4u9A=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj",
"creator_followers": 79600000,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [---------]
}
]
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
---
### Creators List
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
Get a list of trending social creators over all of social based on interactions. To get lists of creators by category or topic see the topics and categories endpoints.
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": [
{
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_id": "44196397",
"creator_network": "twitter",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234295750,
"creator_posts": 3649,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [---------]
}
]
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_display_name**: The chosen display name for the influencer if available
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_network**: The social network for the post or influencer. We still refer to x as twitter out of developer preference.
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_posts**: total number of posts with interactions in the last [--] hours
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
---
### Creator
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/:network/:id/v1
Get detail information on a specific creator
input parameters:
+ **network**: _Provide the network for the creator. One of twitter, youtube, instagram, reddit, or tiktok_ **required**
+ **id**: _Provide the unique ID or screen name of the creator_ **required**
Example request:
```bash
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/twitter/elonmusk/v1
```
Example response:
```json
{
"data": {
"creator_id": "twitter::44196397",
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234296337,
"creator_rank": 2,
"interactions_24h": 318539577,
"topic_influence": [
{
"topic": "in the",
"count": 294,
"percent": 5.88,
"rank": [--]
}
],
"top_community": [
{
"creator_name": "grok",
"creator_display_name": "Grok",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1893219113717342208/Vgg2hEPa_200x200.jpg",
"count": [---]
}
]
}
}
```
Schema:
+ **creator_id**: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
+ **creator_name**: The unique screen name for the influencer
+ **creator_display_name**: The chosen display name for the influencer if available
+ **creator_avatar**: The URL to the avatar for the creator
+ **creator_followers**: number of followers the account has
+ **creator_rank**: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
+ **interactions_24h**: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
+ **topic_influence**: an array of social topics and the creators ranking on each topic
+ **topic**: LunarCrush social topic. Can only includes letters, numbers, spaces, #, and $
+ **top_community**: an array of the top accounts that have recently mentioned this creator or that this creator has mentioned
---
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@CapitalPmh PMH Capital
PMH Capital posts on X about stocks, investment, fund manager, money the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [--] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [--] #
- [--] Week [-----] -45%
- [--] Month [------] +107%
- [--] Months [-------] +23%
- [--] Year [-------] -39%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] -21%
- [--] Month [--] +122%
- [--] Months [---] +42%
- [--] Year [---] -25%
Followers: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] -0.11%
- [--] Month [-----] +0.23%
- [--] Months [-----] +2.90%
- [--] Year [-----] +8.20%
CreatorRank: undefined #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance stocks technology brands countries currencies travel destinations automotive brands fashion brands social networks luxury brands
Social topic influence stocks, investment, fund manager, money, wrt, ceo, inflation, tariffs, in the, scott
Top assets mentioned Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Oxygen (OXY) Goldman Sachs (GS) Morgan Stanley (MS) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Bitcoin (BTC) Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Back in Oct'08 the US Treasury had to bail out its banks to the tune of $700bn (TARP). Since then the #Fed #BoE BoJ & ECB have all 'printed money' like drunken sailors (re QE). The upshot - there's now $21 trillion of QE & spreads on corporate bonds are crazily low"
X Link 2020-01-30T16:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BDEV #TW #RDW #VTY #INL #SPR #WJG #BKG #BWY #MCS #CRST #PSN #BOOT #GLE #CSP. Here are all the latest UK homebuilders valuation metrics wrt Price-to-Book (sector average 2.0x) PER (12.1x) dividend yield (4.8%) and ROE (16.6%) vs Price:Book"
X Link 2020-02-05T09:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Buying houses is a bit like purchasing shares in UK #homebuilders. You need a valuation benchmark to gauge whether you're paying the right price. As such here are all the latest metrics wrt Price-to-Book (avge 2.0x) PER (12.1x) dividend yield (4.8%) and ROE (16.6%) vs P:B"
X Link 2020-02-05T10:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#TSLA. More pain for the shorts. @Tesla said today that it was planning to raise $2bn by issuing 2.7m shares at c.$740 each - fully underwritten by Goldman Sachs & Morgan Stanley. Thus there should be little to worry wrt running out of cash. Smart move at a crazy price"
X Link 2020-02-13T14:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"What's also interesting is that along with the Saudis & other GCC states an increasing number of US shale investors can't now live with low oil prices either. So if Russia chooses the same path then the world's [--] largest producers will all be aligned wrt capital discipline Elsewhere US shale growth is falling (re lower well productivity & capital discipline) & due to a dearth in 2014-16 upstream capex today's supply glut could be reversed 2021-25. All told while I don't own #RDSB the stock does appear sensible for L/T income investors. Elsewhere US shale growth is falling (re lower well"
X Link 2020-02-23T13:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The stock market giveth & the stock market taketh it away. FTSE100 futures trading down again -0.87% at 4.19am"
X Link 2020-02-27T04:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"FTSE futures trading down 1% this morning at the bell which indicates that yesterdays dead cat bounce isn't proving sustainable. Also I understand the UK government is set to announce some emergency measures to combat the #coronavirus - cancelling non-essential travel etc Huge Bounce in the US but before everyone gets excited this is utterly normal for a Bear Market Rally (the reason is because lots of Shorts get Closed so they are forced to Buy). We need a lot more Up days for this to tell us it's safe to buy again. Huge Bounce in the US but before everyone gets excited this is utterly"
X Link 2020-03-03T06:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"1 stock that could do well in a #COVID19 induced downturn is @begbiestraynor the insolvency/financial advisor. Today the firm said that it was trading well & expected to FY20 results to be at least in line with expectations. At 77p shares trade on a [----] PER & 3.6% div yield"
X Link 2020-03-03T07:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#covid19 cases seem to be reducing in Italy & China. Plus masses of big biotech pharma & vaccine companies are pouring $bns into finding a cure eg Gilead Pfizer GSK Takeda AbbVie Moderna. I appreciate no-one has the answer yet but I suspect they'll get before the y/e"
X Link 2020-03-04T06:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Investing in cyclical stocks especially those prone to terrorist &/or viral incidents is a dangerous game. Especially for those with the weakest business models. Today #FlyBe went bust again with shares of #WIZZ -19% #EZJ -33% #IAG -31% #RYA -28% all in correction territory"
X Link 2020-03-05T12:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"What is your view Tom Another flight to safety Thus lowering absolute yields on BTPs aided by the ECBs forthcoming est 0.2% cut next week Equally spreads on Italian BTP & corporate bonds could blowout vs German Bunds. The most vulnerable being Italian banks again @CapitalPmh All eyes on Italian bonds. @CapitalPmh All eyes on Italian bonds"
X Link 2020-03-08T08:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#CLSU. [--] factor driving Fri's robust US jobs report (+273k vs 165k Est) was hiring within Health (+32K) & Social Care (25k). A positive for tech-enabled US background/medical (MIS) screener @ClearStarInc which saw [----] MIS revs up 23% to Est $10.2m (44% group). Nb: I own shares"
X Link 2020-03-08T12:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BARC looks a bit like a black box. I unfortunately just cant get my head around the balance sheet. There are so many moving parts. Personally Im looking for a Steady Eddie 'bond proxy' rather than anything particularly racy that might either double or half in a heartbeat @CapitalPmh @LloydsBank Would appreciate your view on #BARC at this level SP wise @CapitalPmh @LloydsBank Would appreciate your view on #BARC at this level SP wise"
X Link 2020-03-11T17:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#bonds. Spreads on most US$-denominated corporate debt other than AAA investment-grade is blowing out. Highlighting once again that the financial plumbing is falling to pieces due to excessive risk aversion and fears over counterparty risk"
X Link 2020-03-12T18:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"One leading indicator to track whether it's safe to buy equities - is the US BBB bond spread (see below) the last investment grade notch above junk. If it breaks rapidly above 3% (3.1% US Euro 1.4% UK 2.6%) & stays there - then it a good sign that stocks have further to fall"
X Link 2020-03-17T14:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Aren't US BBB corporate bond yields vs spreads directionally pretty much the same in this case Regionally too America is the deepest most liquid global debt market & currently not (yet) manipulated by FED QE. Whereas Euro BBBs are being artificially held down by the ECB @CapitalPmh Be careful with spread comparisons in different rate environments. Spread is only one component. Plot outright yields and it will show a v different picture. @CapitalPmh Be careful with spread comparisons in different rate environments. Spread is only one component. Plot outright yields and it will show a v"
X Link 2020-03-17T15:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"According to Chatham Financial "the US corporate bond market is bracing itself for a wave of credit rating downgrades with nearly $300 billion worth of investment grade (ie BBB) debt trading at yields above 6% - territory that is normally associated with junk Aren't US BBB corporate bond yields vs spreads directionally pretty much the same in this case Regionally too America is the deepest most liquid global debt market & currently not (yet) manipulated by FED QE. Whereas Euro BBBs are being artificially held down by the ECB https://t.co/tvFegdf7U8 Aren't US BBB corporate bond yields vs"
X Link 2020-03-17T16:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Apologies Blake you'll need to make that call yourself IMO if there's a medical solution then equities will rocket from here. Otherwise the longer #COVID19 lasts the greater the chance of an economic depression where stocks could head lower & possibly much lower Coin toss @CapitalPmh @Notgoodatthiss1 @Accesso Im sitting on shares waiting for the real bounce. Would you hold until April or will too much value be lost in the upcoming sell off/market drop until then @CapitalPmh @Notgoodatthiss1 @Accesso Im sitting on shares waiting for the real bounce. Would you hold until April or will too much"
X Link 2020-03-18T08:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#AV #LGEN Spreads on corporate bonds continue to blow out (see chart below) explaining why even in a slightly positive tape shares of life insurers @avivaplc and @landg_uk both continue to drift lower"
X Link 2020-03-19T16:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#NBI Due to #COVID19 related site restrictions recessionary oil/gas conditions & the low #crude price @TasmanOilTools is experiencing lower activity levels - impacting #NorthbridgeIndustrial's overall FY20 expectations However the balance sheet is strong: 2.5m bank debt"
X Link 2020-03-26T08:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Nothing like waking up on a bright Sunday morning with some cheerful news from Morgan Stanley wrt their Q2 US GDP forecast (chart) of -37.9% Morgan Stanley -3.4% (Q1) -37.9% (Q2) Deutsche Bank -2.2% -33% Goldman Sachs [----] -34% JP Morgan -10% -25% Wells Fargo 1.2% -14.7%"
X Link 2020-04-05T06:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#recession #depression Morgan Stanley adding "We expect the US recovery will be more drawn out than previously anticipated marked by a deeper drop & slower climb out". Only returning to pre #COVID19 #GDP levels (ie in absolute terms) [--] years later in Q4'21 (see new chart). Nothing like waking up on a bright Sunday morning with some cheerful news from Morgan Stanley wrt their Q2 US GDP forecast (chart) of -37.9% Morgan Stanley -3.4% (Q1) -37.9% (Q2) Deutsche Bank -2.2% -33% Goldman Sachs [----] -34% JP Morgan -10% -25% Wells Fargo 1.2% -14.7% https://t.co/Bd8hce4W6f Nothing like waking up on a"
X Link 2020-04-05T08:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#LLOY #RBS #HSBA #STAN #BARC Not sure whether anyone else senses it but one reason I remain nervous about the #FTSE rally is that the banks continue to trade very poorly. Indeed as the discount to NTA is so wide then there appears to be a balance sheet &/or insolvency issue"
X Link 2020-04-20T18:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"As discussed earlier along with the oil price the #banks are another reason why I'm concerned about the sustainability of the rally. Today Credit Suisse in lockstep with its US cousins reported massive bad debt provisions. Which according to the BCG are only likely to balloon What do investors need to watch out for over the next few months and how much could the equity markets fall from current levels Find out in today's [--] minute video. #investing #stockmarkets #ftse100 #sp500 #crude https://t.co/lLt0YLPHUT What do investors need to watch out for over the next few months and how much could"
X Link 2020-04-23T15:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#VTY Don't believe all the doomsayers. The UK housing market appears to be recovering with @bovishomes CEO saying "pricing over the past [--] weeks has been broadly in-line with forecasts. Website traffic & prospects have been strong & returned to the levels in Jan-Feb.""
X Link 2020-05-20T06:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"As most of us appreciate that equities are a forward discounting mechanism. Take US Q220 earnings which are set to fall -43.5% on revenues down -11.2% YoY. Yet since 1st April the #SP500 has soared 21.6%. Its not expected to get much better either for the rest of the year"
X Link 2020-06-14T10:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BP Looks as though the #oil industry has smelt the coffee with @bp_plc today revising down its L/T #crude forecasts to $55/barrel. Wiping off $13bn-$17.5bn from its NAV (vs $86bn B4). IMO divi should also be cut. Other integrated oil majors will surely follow suite too"
X Link 2020-06-15T06:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BDEV @Barrattplc's latest view on the UK housing market: Since the removal of Government restrictions on [--] May there has been a welcome recovery in internet activity site visitors and net reservations. Hence we remain "cautiously optimistic""
X Link 2020-07-06T06:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#LLOY #HSBA More encouraging banking news this morning this time from @HSBC. Reporting better-than-expected Q3 earnings thanks to lower #Covid related bad debt provisions (Act $785m vs $3.8bn Q2 & consensus $2bn)"
X Link 2020-10-27T05:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BP #XOM #RDSB #CVX Looking for an energy stock to buy in light of the growing demand for oil as the global economy reopens Well it appears US investors have already "smelt the coffee" with @ExxonMobil outperforming the sector & up 34% YTD (see below). Equally though "
X Link 2021-04-14T04:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#AZN Geat news - the may have another tool to help people with compromised immune-systems. @AstraZeneca saying: "results from its AZD7442 Phase III trial had been successful in showing that PROVENT is the 1st long-acting antibody combination to prevent COVID (77% efficacy).""
X Link 2021-08-20T06:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@LeighRichardso No EOG Resources Inc. (US: #EOG)"
X Link 2021-10-27T13:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"$JPM $GS $BAC $MSFT $GOOG $AAPL $TSLA $RIVN $NIO $JCI $GOLD $XOM $CVX #BP #RDSB $AMC $GME Fabulous insights [----] predictions & US stock ideas from capital markets expert @LongviewEcon of @Lvieweconomics. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mPaJAGJibf4&t=196s https://www.youtube.com/watchv=mPaJAGJibf4&t=196s"
X Link 2021-11-24T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"UK public sector net debt was 2344bn as at Mar22 (96.2% GDP). If interest rates were 3% then the bill would be 70bn/year. Or 20bn-25bn higher (40%) than the OBR are forecasting the government will have to spend. Never mind the damaging impact on GDP housing etc. @CapitalPmh @bankofengland What would you suggest it peaks at over the next [--] months @CapitalPmh @bankofengland What would you suggest it peaks at over the next [--] months"
X Link 2022-06-14T05:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting to see that over the past year the Japanese #Yen has performed even worse vs the #Dollar than the #Pound & #Euro in the 'currency ugly sister competition'"
X Link 2022-09-12T14:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Spot on Scotty. Indeed the Japanese Yen has weaken even more against the US$ over the past [--] months than either the or (see below). IMO this appears to be more a 'yield differential' & 'energy security' story than straight political point-scoring exercise. @grahambsi That's not actually true is it The dollar is very strong. So strong that it's breached parity with the Euro. Sterling is also weak. Slightly weaker than the Euro. @grahambsi That's not actually true is it The dollar is very strong. So strong that it's breached parity with the Euro. Sterling is also weak. Slightly weaker than the"
X Link 2022-09-19T05:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"35 years on does anyone remember the [----] Black Monday crash I was in my 1st term studying Electrical Engineering at Southampton University & lost the equivalent to around [--] months rent on [--] day. All in all a good cheap lesson learnt early in my investing career"
X Link 2022-10-20T05:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#TSLA #META You only truly understand your risk tolerance when you blow right through it. Indeed a vital insight that millions of 'newbie' / covid lockdown investors in the likes of @Tesla #Bitcoin & @Meta - now probably have a good grasp of"
X Link 2022-12-28T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#VLG More great news from @venturelifegp today. This time wrt to licensing a new internally developed mouth ulcer treatment alongside signing additional distribution agreements for Gelclair & Pomi-T . All the details here. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-hill-a5994116_vlg-vlg-activity-7018119661841969153-g6Usutm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-hill-a5994116_vlg-vlg-activity-7018119661841969153-g6Usutm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop"
X Link 2023-01-09T07:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Who is going to pivot first on US interest rates The @federalreserve or #bond #investors"
X Link 2023-01-15T17:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Fundamentals asset allocation valuation & careful stock picking are vital for investment successful. However one thing that repeatedly 'lifts & drops all boats' is pumping in or sucking out liquidity from the system. As shown by the US #M2 money supply vs #SP500 chart"
X Link 2023-01-21T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The #Fed & #WallStreet are miles apart. The #Futures market is pricing in a peak US interest rate of 4.9% & cuts in Q4'23. However #jeromepowell continues to infer the #Fed will move to 5.0%-5.25% and hold. This difference will keep volatility high especially in smallcaps"
X Link 2023-02-04T06:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#AGFX #ASHM #ASC #FUTR #GLE #MONY #OTB #PETS #RMV #SCS #VIC $PFE $NVDA #FDP #POLB #AVG #VLG #LORD #XPF #POLX Equities are up & razor sharp investor @SharePickers of @VOXmarkets is on a roll. In this bullish outlook we run thro [--] NEW stock purchases https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/hot-stocks-on-vox-markets-26862ad/ https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/hot-stocks-on-vox-markets-26862ad/"
X Link 2023-02-08T16:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BP #SHEL $CVX $XOM $MRO Gushing profits (see below). Plus many oil experts believe that China's reopening will drive another strong year for energy stocks. And besides the industry doesn't need sky high prices anyway - as most mint money if crude remains above $60/barrel"
X Link 2023-02-09T06:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US Feb jobs (+311k vs 200k est) & wages (4.6% vs 4.4% Jan) come in hotter than expected. Offset by small downward revisions to Dec (-21k) & Jan (-13k). Basically the US labour market is still too hot for the #Fed. 0.5% interest rate hike on 22nd March looks a shoe-in"
X Link 2023-03-10T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Given regulators have now taken control of #svb . How likely is it that the #FDIC will make all the bank's depositors 'whole' (ie incl corporates) Regardless of the amount of cash held/deposited at the bank & the official guaranteed $250k limit - ie as per the 2008/9 GFC"
X Link 2023-03-11T03:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#svb basically grew too fast using borrowed S/T money from depositors who were burning cash & could ask to be repaid at any time. Worse still #svb then double downed & invested it in long-dated assets that it was unable or unwilling to sell. End result = LIQUIDITY CRUNCH"
X Link 2023-03-12T09:09Z [----] followers, 11.5K engagements
"Morning @SharePickers - great chart Indeed do you recall back in [----] when you once quipped that you took NO NOTICE of #bonds wrt #stock picking. Amazing how things change mate Especially as the global #bond market ($133 trillion in 2022) is worth more than the equity market"
X Link 2023-04-13T05:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Clearly the fall in European commercial real estate prices is going to be major issue for landlords #reits lenders and associated service companies"
X Link 2023-04-19T05:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Are London #house #prices going to be the first domino to fall across the UK's #Residential #property market Here "values in prime areas of the capital declined 5% YoY in March.""
X Link 2023-04-19T14:11Z [----] followers, 10.8K engagements
"The US' key 'Leading Economic Indicator' (LEI) index falls further into recessionary territory (see below). Declining another -1.2% in Mar'23 after dropping by -0.5% in February"
X Link 2023-04-21T05:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Albeit still early days it appears Q1'23 #SP500 #earnings (see below) are tracking for a slightly better than feared -6% fall YoY. That said with profit margins contracting - there's going to be much bigger hurdles to jump in Q4'23 (est 8.3% and [----] (est 11.7%)"
X Link 2023-04-23T07:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Is #AI over-hyped or actual reality Well probably both. Especially given that #Megacap #Tech - who possess the biggest wallets & megaphones - will literally be spending $bns each on #artificial_intelligence"
X Link 2023-05-02T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Why being a 'Perma #Bear' doesn't pay. Indeed @Carl_C_Icahn apparently lost $9bn shorting the market. In turn wiping out his entire $6bn of gains between [----] and today"
X Link 2023-05-19T07:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Is the below leading indicator (see chart) wrt the US labour market good or bad for the #equities Whereby from recent #SP500 earnings calls & shareholder meetings there's been a marked rise in the number of job cut announcements alongside fewer problems with staff shortages"
X Link 2023-06-06T05:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Est of May's US CPI MORGAN STANLEY: 4% JP MORGAN: 4.2% BARCLAYS: 4.1% NOMURA: 4.1% BMO: 4.1% JEFFERIES: 4% HSBC: 4.1% CREDIT AGRICOLE: 4% BERENBERG: 4.3% SOCIETE GENERALE: 4.1% TD SEC: 4% STANDARD CHARTERED: 4.3% BARCLAYS: 4% SCOTIABANK: 4.3% WELLS FARGO: 4% CREDIT SUISSE: 4%"
X Link 2023-06-13T06:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Fixed income or equities Pick your poison. Indeed given Wenesday's super hawkish rhetoric from the #Fed the yield on [--] year US BBB corporate bonds is now higher (5.9%) than the 12M earnings yield (ie 5.1%) offered by the #SP500"
X Link 2023-06-16T09:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#NVDA #MSFT #ADBE #GOOG #ASML #MT #STLA #C #BBVA #PYPL #DE #LVS #BABA #FTNT #NVO #MRK #BIIB #ZTS #NIO #RIVN #LAND In this fascinating fund manager interview 1st class investor @PatrickArmstr (CIO @Plurimicapital Wealth) takes me through. https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Sp_i1s8W_4g https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Sp_i1s8W_4g"
X Link 2023-06-20T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"00:00 Equity outlook 05:10 How to play #ai NVIDIA Microsoft Adobe Alphabet Inc. and ASML. 10:20 Luxury brands. LVMH and Herms. 12:35 Energy. Shell and EOG Resources. 14:20 When will wage growth crack 16:50 Under owned value stocks. Any much more https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/q-a-with-patrick-armstrong-cio-plurimi-wealth-cff62da https://www.voxmarkets.co.uk/articles/q-a-with-patrick-armstrong-cio-plurimi-wealth-cff62da"
X Link 2023-06-20T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Can the UK economy and housing market cope with interest rates staying this high for a prolonged period"
X Link 2023-06-26T06:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#MBH #ELCO #FUTR #GBG $BMY #GOOD #IES #BELL #CBOX #ONC #DEST #AVCT #IHC #TRU #AWE #POLX #XPF #REVB Is it time to get back into equities Find out here from Duracell powered investor @stockpickers & myself of @VOXmarkets . https://www.youtube.com/watchv=uB5TuIKbG5k https://www.youtube.com/watchv=uB5TuIKbG5k"
X Link 2023-06-29T16:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Food inflation maybe be falling worldwide but the UK is still at the top of the G8/DM league"
X Link 2023-06-30T05:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Until the #Fed cracks wage inflation then there's a distinct possibility over the next [--] months of a full employment recession Where tight labour markets continue to encourage corporates to 'hoard' workers even if sales decline. Not good for interest rates though"
X Link 2023-07-08T05:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"To me wage growth of 2%-3% should be consistent with a stable 2% CPI. Hence still plenty to do me thinks. Particularly given labour disputes strikes & the pandemic's enduring impact on the participation rate"
X Link 2023-07-08T06:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Hollandpar91513 @RebelHQ Thanks - Why isn't wage inflation sticky"
X Link 2023-07-10T07:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This week's #StockMarket news will be dominated by Wednesday's US CPI (Est 3.1% YoY vs 4.0% May and Core from 5.3% to est 5.0%) alongside the start of Q2 #SP500 earnings season (see below). IMO this will be where the rubber really hits the road"
X Link 2023-07-10T05:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Happy days if you're coming up to retirement & need an income. UK annuity rates have improved materially over the past [--] months on the back of rising interest rates"
X Link 2023-07-10T06:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#AGFX In this fascinating interview CEO Harry Adamsof#Argentex takes me through yesterday's 'in line' trading update alongside explaining what was behind #AGFX's impressive 28% YoY jump in H123 sales to 25m"
X Link 2023-07-11T15:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"$JPM $C $WFC #BAC $GS The rubber hits the road today with US Q2 bank earnings this afternoon from @Citi @jpmorgan & @WellsFargo Investors will be closely watching how their NTAVs cope with rising bankruptcies deposit rates (NIMs) & delinquencies on auto loans & credit cards"
X Link 2023-07-14T05:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A sharp rally in the [--] year Treasury #yield today - after the latest weekly jobless claims showing no meaningful softening of the US #labormarket. Maybe we can kiss those expected [----] #Fed rate cuts goodbye"
X Link 2023-07-20T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Average monthly salary after tax from 'World of statistics. [--]. #Switzerland : $6298 [--]. #Luxembourg : $5122 [--]. #Singapore : $4990 [--]. #USA : $4664 [--]. #Iceland : $4383 [--]. #Qatar : $4147 [--]. #Denmark : $3570 [--]. #Netherlands : $3550 [--]. #UAE : $3511"
X Link 2023-08-09T09:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Woodywudpeck What do you think #ESYS will say at the their forthcoming y/e trading update Theres been a lots of conflicting newsflow wrt the flexible office/workspace market. IWG reporting record revs up 14%. Whereas WeWork said it could be about to go bust as clients stop using it"
X Link 2023-08-12T15:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Anyone fancy a quick bite down memory lane at a Berni Inn (see menu) Literally 'cheap as chips' In fact the 'Chateauneuf du Pape' was apparently the go to bottle of plonk. Albeit elsewhere the Yugoslavian Riesling was probably an acquired taste"
X Link 2023-08-13T07:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"At what point does 5% interest rates force governments to cut back on fiscal spend &/or raise taxes Here the UK's [---] trillion net debt has already hit 100% of GDP. Moreover it is still rising at 5% pa with a current interest bill of 125bn / month. God help Italy though"
X Link 2023-08-14T09:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The UK's higher for longer interest rates alongside its sticky core/wage inflation - APPEARS to translate into sub-trend GDP growth. Equally though UK equity valuations remain far too low. Meaning I remain S/T bearish on the economy but L/T bullish on #FTSE stocks"
X Link 2023-08-19T10:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#ESYS #LLAI #BELL #CBOX In 'The Hobbit' Bilbo Baggins climbs out of the frying pan into the fire. Similarly in this entertaining video Gandalf style investor @SharePickers & myself of @VOXmarkets explain how to invest in today's 'Bear' market"
X Link 2023-08-23T13:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#NVDA This is literally bonkers (see chartfrom last night's results). Plus#Nvidia's adjusted operating margins hit 58% vs an average of39% for the past [--] quarters"
X Link 2023-08-24T11:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#LLOY Does anyone know why @LloydsBank uses a cashflow hedge reserve (see below) & why it was TNAV negative in its latest H1'23 results'"
X Link 2023-08-25T04:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BELL A game-changing $55m licensing deal announced today by portable oxygen concentrator developer @Belluscura . All the details here"
X Link 2023-08-30T06:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"4 life lessons to help investors cope with 'Bear Markets'. @SharePickers @RebelHQ @DeGrooteMedia @marketgem"
X Link 2023-09-02T09:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Nichola68391207 @SharePickers @VOXmarkets @YouTube That's an easy one for me Nicholas. Macro-wise its all to do with how long interest rates will stay at 5%+. Hence super core CPI ( ex food energy & housing) in the US and wage/services inflation in the UK. These need to be tracking below 3% before central banks begin cutting"
X Link 2023-09-03T05:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"In today's @VOXmarkets stock picking program @SharePickers & talk about how to emotionally deal with a big hit plus: Our latest thoughts on equities. 00:00 Sondrel #SND08:10"
X Link 2023-09-07T14:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Is the @federalreserve likely to keep interest rates "higher for longer" Well given the 2-year US Treasury #yield is back above 5.0% then there doesn't seem to be any doubt - at least ATM"
X Link 2023-09-09T04:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@marketgem Is the 16% dividend yield sustainable"
X Link 2023-09-09T07:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"US 'bad debts / delinquencies' on auto loans credit cards and consumer loans are at their highest levels in a decade. Maybe the #Fed's interest rate hikes are finally having an effect"
X Link 2023-09-10T08:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The US yield curve inversion is the longest & deepest for [--] years. Albeit largecap / S&P valuations imply there won't be a recession. Meaning if correct then UK smallcaps should see a material 'mean reversion' catchup trade soon. Assuming of course UK interest rates fall"
X Link 2023-09-10T14:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS Better than expected H1'23 numbers & upgraded guidance today from @equals__money - a leading B2B international e-payments & fintech platform. All the details & revised estimates here"
X Link 2023-09-12T06:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#NWG #LLOY #GOOG #META #Nintendo #SHEL #BP #BWY #BKG #BDEV #RDW #FRAS #PLUS #HL #LSEG #EZJ #RYA #GSK #HLN #JET #DHER In this fascinating interview top flight fund manager Kartik Kumar of @artemisinvest takes me through his equity outlook & [--] stock ideas"
X Link 2023-09-12T12:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Quote of the day Meaning typically invest more in high probability/conviction stocks offering the most attractive upside risk/reward profile (ie Alpha generation). Albeit equally never get so far over your skies that one single stock has the potential to break you"
X Link 2023-09-12T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@OilinvestorAl @bankofengland Please feel free to ask Andrew Baily & Jerome Powell when you next speak to them 👍"
X Link 2023-09-15T06:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"With the #FTSE only modestly up this year the valuation gap between UK vs US equities certainly isn't getting any smaller"
X Link 2023-09-15T07:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#EQLS - Nice write-up in today's Sunday Mail "MIDAS VERDICT: @equals__money is that rare beast a cutting-edge financial technology firm that is expanding profitable and about to pay dividends. At [----] the shares should deliver long-term growth.""
X Link 2023-09-17T08:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There's "no gain without pain" After [--] profit warnings is quick succession (re #SND #IHC #ESYS & $BMY) I've become a little more battle hardened of late. Luckily though both #EQLS & #ELCO delivered positive interims last week. Hopefully "stopping the rot' at least for now"
X Link 2023-09-17T10:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Does this mean the price of my favourite bottle of @yellowtailwine Pinot Gris will be less in the local @Tesco"
X Link 2023-09-18T10:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Major gains today across the UK #housebuilders as softer than expected core CPI in August came in at 6.2% vs 6.8% forecast & 6.9% for July. In turn leading investors to speculate that the BoE won't now raise interest rates any higher. The is also lower vs the $ this morning"
X Link 2023-09-20T09:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"IMO these guys are some of the smartest capital markets experts on the planet"
X Link 2023-09-21T05:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Agreed Likewise I learn a ton from @PatrickArmstr @LongviewEcon & @TheIdleInvestor each time we record this monthly capital markets roundtable. It's a privilege to host & be able to ask questions"
X Link 2023-09-21T07:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#BP #TSMC #BABA #META #AMZN In this fascinating interview 1st class fund manager Duncan MacInnes of Ruffer takes me through his thoughts on the markets importantly when will be the right time to back up the truck"
X Link 2023-09-22T14:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"When should investors back up the truck Find out here in this fascinating interview with super smart fund manager @DuncanMacInnes8 of Ruffer Investment Management"
X Link 2023-09-23T05:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@SimonMo98961881 @BMHLTD Many thanks Simon @LongviewEcon @PatrickArmstr & @TheIdleInvestor are superb capital markets experts and investors"
X Link 2023-09-23T05:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#BELL New regulatory approval granted in Hong Kong for @Belluscura's X-PLOR portable oxygen concentrator. Find out all the details here"
X Link 2023-09-26T06:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Stemis3 What about super smart institutional investors scientists VCs & fund managers too"
X Link 2023-09-29T07:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Similarly here's some 'anecdotal' real-world examples - to help investors identify whether equity markets have peaked or toughed"
X Link 2023-10-01T08:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One unwritten 'rule' of economic policy stipulates that when US real #yields rise above 2% (see below) the odds of a #recession disproportionally increase. Indeed today it appears equity markets are trying to factor in exactly this risk"
X Link 2023-10-03T02:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"After yesterday's [--] year Treasury (now 4.8% yield) induced bloodbath on the equity markets it appears investors are expecting another 'red day' on the major indices. VIX now also above 20x. Tin hat time"
X Link 2023-10-04T06:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The AIM All share is down -45% from its [----] peak. The #SP500 lost 50% during the 2008-9 GFC. However over the past [--] months the ultra long-duration (ie 24-25 years) US Treasury bond ETF has now fallen 55%. Who would want to be a 'safe/defensive' fixed income investor"
X Link 2023-10-04T06:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Dr_Twatter @RebelHQ Thanks - who's the fund manager & what do they hold"
X Link 2023-10-04T07:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Pigeoning holing oneself into a specific investment style can be dangerous - esp if/when one's objectives (eg risk tolerance income wealth preservation vs creation) change. That said I fall into a mix of the 1st three - with a higher weighting towards smallcap GARP stocks"
X Link 2023-10-04T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Death by a [----] cuts. Today's smallcap markets are painful enough to make even grown-up investors cry. #AIM index breaks below [---] & may soon retest the March [----] pandemic low of 625"
X Link 2023-10-04T15:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"UK equity funds (see below) continued to suffer from investor redemptions in September - albeit at slower rate than the previous [--] months. However until interest rates start to fall then this 'capital outflow' into cash / money market funds will almost certainly persist"
X Link 2023-10-05T10:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As dollars are sucked out the system by #QT - coupled with a huge jump in US Treasury issue (re post debt ceiling) - [--] year yields have spiked. Meaning unrealised bond losses for US banks have ballooned again - forcing them to cut lending. Liquidity crisis coming perhaps"
X Link 2023-10-06T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Despite the recent spike in US [--] year Treasury yields #WallStreet are still pricing in (re 17.7x fwd PER) a 'softish-landing' into #SP500 EPS forecasts. The danger of course being that higher interest rates eventually break the consumer & US jobs markets"
X Link 2023-10-09T10:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sky high interest rates on US consumer credit cards may deter people from splashing out this Xmas"
X Link 2023-10-09T12:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Why do UK small/microcap investors need to be optimists Because if they're not then life can get pretty miserable"
X Link 2023-10-11T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Will this start showing up in today's Q3 US bank earnings from #JPM #C #WFC and #PNC"
X Link 2023-10-13T11:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Probably one of the main reasons why many UK corporates (& European too) have decided to list their shares in North America. Rather than locally on the London Stock Exchange. Declining liquidity fewer domestic buyers lower valuations & a shift to liability-driven investing"
X Link 2023-10-16T05:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Once the cost & recharging time of electric batteries fall alongside extending their mileage range. Then (logically) the adoption of all things #EV should literally take off. Today though batteries are still far too expensive (see below)"
X Link 2023-10-17T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sept US #jobs #PPI #CPI & retail sales all coming in hotter (GDPNow 5.4%) than expected with [--] year Treasury yields up to 4.8%. Anticipating a 40% chance of another #fed rate hike by Jan24. Meaning good economic news is probably bad for bond investors & regional banks"
X Link 2023-10-18T03:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#SUP Strong H1 trading alongside a host of new initiatives today from FMCG products group @SupremePLC in order to stamp out underage vaping and improve the industry's environmental footprint. All the details here"
X Link 2023-10-18T06:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It is often said that 'stock prices lead earnings which in turn lead the economy'. Assuming this is the case then #AIM must be pricing in a near nuclear winter wrt GDP jobs & growth. Sure this is part of the story. Yet equally #AIM just looks way over-sold to me"
X Link 2023-10-18T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"According to @apollo__capital's Chief Economist Torsen Slok - the US' 'Magnificent 7' stocks trade on an aggregate trailing PE multiple of 45x vs 19x for the rest of the #SP500. In comparison the FTSE All Share is at 12.5x"
X Link 2023-10-18T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As central banks held interest rates at rock bottom levels for [--] years (re post GFC) households loaded up on cheap debt & spent like mad. Oh those Halcyon days"
X Link 2023-10-19T04:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Equities again look weak today on the back of a continued flight to safety/cash/gold (re Israel/Hamas concerns) higher long bond yields a stronger dollar & QT. Investors just need to accept that corrections are normal & stay long term positive. Things will improve"
X Link 2023-10-20T06:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Here you go guys. Latest forward PERs below wrt the Magnificent Seven & the rest of the #SP500. In fact it looks as if you're both right. US stocks especially megacap tech still appear expensive with the M7 earnings yield at 3% vs 4.9% for the [--] year Treasury"
X Link 2023-10-20T07:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Anyone looking for a $100bn market driven by strong demand secular growth & fewer suppliers What about specialist providers of 'home & building insurance' then - who cover property owners for damage caused by natural disasters floods & climate change"
X Link 2023-10-22T07:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Not only has liquidity dried up in smallcap equities. But also 'risk aversion' has infected the European corporate debt markets where spreads on high yield fixed income securities have ballooned. Potentially creating another obstacle for companies looking to raise capital"
X Link 2023-10-22T09:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#AAL #AHT #AZN #BP #CRH #DGE #EXPN #HL. #INCH #IMI #NG. #NEXT #RELX #SMIN #SN. #SSE #SSPG #ULVR #WTB In this interview fund manager Michael Ulrich of JO Hambro Capital Mgt takes me through his outlook for equities alongside highlighting [--] stock ideas"
X Link 2023-10-23T12:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lots of good long term value for anyone interested in largecap stocks"
X Link 2023-10-23T15:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Nichola68391207 Agreed Nicholas. I like S&N too - on the watchlist"
X Link 2023-10-24T05:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#LLOY #GOOG #PYPL #AAPL #TSLA #SCHW In this fabulous discussion Chris Watling (CEO @Lvieweconomics ) @PatrickArmstr (CIO @Plurimi1 ) and @TheIdleInvestor (CIO @BNPP_Wealth) take me through their thoughts on equities bonds & the capital markets"
X Link 2023-10-25T13:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#RTO #STAN Like Japan's surprise attack on Pearl Harbour in [----] there seems to be few places to hide in equities. Indeed with the yield on the [--] year Treasury remaining steadfast at just below 5% then what can investors do Bail out the portfolio or accept the damage"
X Link 2023-10-26T13:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Many thanks Simon for the very kind words. Agreed - these 'Three Musketeers' are top drawn capital markets experts. Next up in [--] month's time will be @LongviewEcon ' @TheIdleInvestor 's & @PatrickArmstr 's outlook for [----] & associated best investment ideas for the year ahead"
X Link 2023-10-27T02:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The key for investors is when the stock market - which moves [--] to [--] months ahead of the economy - starts to rebound. Anticipating central bank interest rate cuts lower costs of capital & ultimately a recovery"
X Link 2023-10-28T07:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@MikeEdmunds1981 @DeGrooteMedia Hopefully investors will get an early read of this from retail sales during Black Friday Cyber Monday Amazon Prime and high street / mall foot traffic heading into Xmas"
X Link 2023-10-28T13:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Hopefully the smart money (re fund managers here) will be right this time (see below). If they are then smallcaps should (theoretically) be off to the races - provided of course the low bond yields are not due to a deep prolonged recession"
X Link 2023-10-29T08:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Agreed David It's largely been a US [--] year bond yield story (see chart). Indeed higher rates QT & less liquidity have pushed more investors into cash. The good news being that eventually this money will come back into equities & drive prices higher. Time to be patient"
X Link 2023-11-01T05:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS Interesting "4 week Strategic Review" process started by @equals__money today Both @FLEETCOR Europe ($16bn Mrkcap) & @mdpllc Capital (Investments: Paypal Moneygram & EVO Payments) seem to be serious & credible players in x-border payments. Time to be patient me thinks"
X Link 2023-11-01T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Positive news for investors looking for a Santa Rally. The yield on the US 10-year bond fell yesterday after the Fed's neutral pause Treasury trimmed is L/T debt issuance plans and weaker than expected manufacturing data. Next Oct US payrolls data (Fri) & BoE decision today"
X Link 2023-11-02T06:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looks like the war on inflation may now be 'largely' won. According to economic forecasts CPI in Europe the UK & US should all migrate to below 2.5% by the end of 2024"
X Link 2023-11-03T07:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#WATR #RWS #GBG #ASTO It's time to be brave but not a hero. For those interested please find below my latest portfolio holdings and long term returns"
X Link 2023-11-07T09:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"US credit card and auto loan delinquencies in Q3'23 have risen to the highest level for more than a decade"
X Link 2023-11-13T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Long term risk tolerant investors (like myself) are smelling opportunity in UK stocks. Indeed here average valuations are optically (ie if you can believe [----] consensus estimates that is) the cheapest in the world"
X Link 2023-11-14T05:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"After yesterday's monster rally in smallcaps - triggered by lower US bond yields a weaker dollar & falling CPI - equities are set to open higher again at the bell. BEARS OUT BULLS IN"
X Link 2023-11-15T05:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#VRCI Blockbuster licensing deal announced today by expert immunodiagnostics firm @VericiDx (Mrkcap 10m) with @thermofisher All the details here"
X Link 2023-11-15T08:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#CKN #ZTF #ITRK #BOY #LGEN #CBG #IGG #BRBY #DNLM #MONY #KITW #DCC #CCC #NWF #BWY #LTHM #PAGE #RWS #JEL In this stock picking masterclass private investor @rolandhead takes me through his thoughts on the markets alongside highlighting [--] stock ideas"
X Link 2023-11-15T15:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#NVDA As the poster child of all things #AI @nvidia's Q3 results are due out tonight with #wallstreet expecting another blow-out EPS fig of $3.09 on sales of $14.82bn. Clearly #NVDA's numbers & importantly outlook could 'make' or 'break' the #NASDAQ100's Santa rally"
X Link 2023-11-21T04:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"A massive step in the right direction wrt simplifying UK retirement saving. "Measures to be outlined by @Jeremy_Hunt in tomorrow's Autumn Statement will give employees the right to nominate a pension scheme into which their employer contributes.""
X Link 2023-11-21T06:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Dr_Twatter @nvidia Brave man"
X Link 2023-11-21T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@serviceresult Yes - Likewise I think I'd be mad selling now whilst there's a POSSIBLE takeover being progressed. Sitting tight me"
X Link 2023-11-21T07:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"#NOVOB #ROG #SAN #ASML #BESI #AI #METSP #SENS #AIR #STLA #RNO #CARL #NESN #MC #EL #UHRN #RCO #UBSG #SWED In this fascinating interview on all things European equities 1st class fund manager James Sym of @RiverMercantile highlights [--] stocks ideas"
X Link 2023-11-22T15:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As interest rates are cut by the BoE next year @Schroders reckon this should support the UK residential property market & importantly house prices"
X Link 2023-11-26T09:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@wheeliedealer Where have you seen this pick up WheelieDealer Haven't US tech stocks (Re Y2K dotcom boom social media cloud hyper-scalers cyber security AI etc) always been high in UK investors' minds over the past [--] years"
X Link 2023-11-28T05:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#SUP Simon Thompson of @IChronicle retains his BUY rating for @SupremePLC . "A rating materially higher is clearly warranted hence why analysts at both PMH Capital and Equity Development have raised their fair value to 225p & Zeus Capital at 189p"
X Link 2023-11-28T15:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS @equals__money - a fast growing B2B international & epayments platform - said today that: 1) YTD trading is in line with FY23 expectations & 2) it remains in discussions with US private equity house @mdpllc wrt a POSSIBLE takeover. Deadline extended to 5pm [--] Dec"
X Link 2023-11-29T07:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"How is the global economy going to perform next year And importantly for investors what are the best opportunities to make money Find out here some macro & capital markets' predictions for [----] & how my portfolio is positioned for the year ahead"
X Link 2023-11-30T06:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In this special Xmas edition of Macro Investing Masterclass @LongviewEcon (CEO @Lvieweconomics) & @PatrickArmstr (CIO @Plurimicapital Wealth) run through their [----] predictions wrt: 00:00 Global economy inflation & interest rates 09:55 China"
X Link 2023-11-30T13:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"13:00 Stock markets profit margins & corporate earnings 20:25 Are cheap UK & European equities value plays & value traps 25:15 Fixed income & bonds 28:00 Money Supply 31:40 Key risks favourite investment ideas & which sectors to avoid"
X Link 2023-11-30T13:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"What a great 'November to Remember' for UK small (+5%) & midcaps (+8%). Indeed if you'd like to ask about this or anything else on investing. Then please feel free to join @SharePickers & myself of @VOXmarkets at 3.00pm today for our LIVE Hot Stocks show"
X Link 2023-12-01T06:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@real_mcc @SharePickers @VOXmarkets How often have central bankers & Wall Street experts been correct wrt their forecasts Transitory inflation anyone"
X Link 2023-12-01T07:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Not surprisingly given supply chains are normalising & the cost of capital has soared for many firms (re higher interest rates). Corporates are today rapidly destocking to reduce working capital free up cash & slash their borrowing costs"
X Link 2023-12-02T11:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The yield on the US [--] year Treasury seems to be dropping like a stone. Now 4.2% as investors anticipate the #Fed to cut rates faster than expected - in response to inflation falling below 3% in Q1'24"
X Link 2023-12-06T05:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"With $33.2 trillion in government debt the US presently accounts for 34% of the world's $97.1 trillion total. Which itself is up 40% from [----] levels due to the pandemic splurge helicopter money & economic shutdowns"
X Link 2023-12-06T14:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What a difference a month makes. Let's just hope the forecast US interest rate cuts are for the right reasons (ie soft landing) - rather than a deep protracted recession. Answers on a postcard please"
X Link 2023-12-07T06:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#CSFS Paul Scott of @Stockopedia alerted me to UK specialist forex solutions firm @cornerstonefs_ (17.25p mrkcap 10m) last week. Indeed I think he's on to something. and here's why"
X Link 2023-12-09T06:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"One of the key marketing strategies of ultra-luxury brands is to limit supply. In turn artificially creating that perception of 'uniqueness' & 'exclusivity' (re FOMO effect) Well apparently today the strategy is beginning to unwind"
X Link 2023-12-10T09:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#AURR #ABDP #SED #FADL #TRCS #YOU #KWS #GBG #SRT #PEBB #LTG #CRW #IUG #ALPH #EQLS #WATR #QQ #VTY #BRCK #CVSG #XPP #VLX Please find below the valuation metrics wrt the [--] stocks that were discussed yesterday with @Stradivari48 of @AmatiGlobal . Happy investing everyone. #AURR #ABDP #SED #FADL #TRCS #YOU #KWS #GBG #SRT #PEBB #LTG #CRW #IUG #ALPH #EQLS #WATR #QQ #VTY #BRCK #CVSG #XPP #VLX In this fascinating interview @Stradivari48 of @AmatiGlobal takes me through [--] stock ideas alongside his outlook for equities in [----]. https://t.co/X78OJSxcnU #AURR #ABDP #SED #FADL #TRCS #YOU #KWS #GBG #SRT"
X Link 2023-12-12T05:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BELL Strategically important new regulatory approval from Singapore received today for leading portable oxygen concentrator firm @Belluscura. All the details here"
X Link 2023-12-12T07:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As always if anyone would like to ask me &/or @SharePickers of @VOXmarkets any investment share &/or macro related questions. Then please feel free to join us for our final [----] Hot Stocks show at 9.30am tomorrow on Youtube Crackers are ready"
X Link 2023-12-14T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@FredJamesShares @SharePickers @VOXmarkets Apologies Fred. Simply because we didn't get a chance to cover it (re ditto many other stocks in Amati's portfolios)"
X Link 2023-12-14T16:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@RebelHQ #LIO is one of the few deep value stocks with a forward PE ratio (7.6x) more than 40% below its dividend yield (12.7%). Assuming of course the analyst expectations are believable"
X Link 2023-12-15T04:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#PMI #LIO #ANG #JDW #COM #TRT #MPAC #SDY #EKF #SPR #VTY #RBGP #TRST #TM17 #WNWD In this terrific interview top flight fund manager @laurence_hulse of @DowgateWealth takes me through [--] stock ideas plus his outlook for equities in 2024"
X Link 2023-12-15T14:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Valuation benchmarks wrt those stocks discussed"
X Link 2023-12-15T16:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#MRK How important is Xmas dinner Well on Friday night the freezer packed up with our turkey & trimmings inside. Thus it was a race to buy a new one. 24hrs later @MarksElectrical had delivered & installed a new Hotpoint at a great price & removed the old one. Thanks guys"
X Link 2023-12-17T14:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#PDG #SPI #NIOX #EKF #RENX #VRCI #ANCR #AVG #CAU #MORE #RCN #MAI #RST #TCAP #ASTO #POLR #FLO #CARR #GLE #FEN In this Xmas Special 1st class investor Christopher Mills of @harwoodcapital takes me through [--] stock ideas & his thoughts on the markets"
X Link 2023-12-18T17:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#BELL You can't keep a great business down. After delays wrt its pending 5.8m #TMTA acquisition @Belluscura said today that China (ie world's largest COPD market) had approved its leading XPLOR portable oxygen concentrator. All the details here"
X Link 2023-12-20T07:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#TBLD Games developer @tinyBuild plans to raise at least $10m at 5p/share - representing a 100% PREMIUM to yesterday's close of 2.5p. Indeed rather than a normal placing is this in fact similar to a takeover It feels so given the astronomical premium"
X Link 2023-12-21T07:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"'Higher for shorter' A steeper descent to the BoE's 2% CPI target means earlier interest rate cuts. Plus the UK stock market appears to be the cheapest on the block - especially from a 'sharpe' ratio perspective"
X Link 2023-12-22T04:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#CPI This is probably the best economic story of [----]. Inflation down massively over the past [--] months. Next up interest rates"
X Link 2023-12-23T10:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Where will the smart money be made in [----] Well after the Santa rally then most of the gains from the #Fed's recent pivot has already been banked (multiple expansion). Meaning next year should (in theory) depend more on stock picking & EPS growth rather than index tracking"
X Link 2023-12-25T08:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In line with the milder weather the US markets are set to continue their gradual 'melt-up' today at the open. Where investors continue to bask in the prospects of lower interest rates & higher stock prices for [----]. Time to enjoy the benign conditions whilst they last"
X Link 2023-12-26T04:59Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"According to the @Mastercard #SpendingPulse total US retail spending (ex auto) this holiday season (1st Nov to 24th Dec) was up 3.1% YoY with in-store sales 2.2% higher and e-commerce climbing 6.3%. The fastest growth at 7.8% came from restaurants vs jewellery down -2.0%"
X Link 2023-12-26T14:59Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
"To me this is positive for L/T active stock pickers. Why Well if more money continues to be funnelled into passives. Then (theoretically) the markets will become less efficient (even in largecaps) & more liquid as these trackers buy high & sell low"
X Link 2024-01-01T08:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#DEST #LLAI #TRU #IHC #BELL #IUG #EQLS #GOOD #TIME #SND #JD. #PFE #WATR #oil #bitcoin After a relaxing Xmas break the capital markets are off to the races again. Here @SharePickers & I of @VOXmarkets debate [--] stock ideas for the year ahead"
X Link 2024-01-04T11:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#SUP Very astute 'bolt-on' acquisition today by FMCG/vaping business @SupremePLC . All the details here"
X Link 2024-01-05T07:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Jamie_Parker88 @Terry71062540 @avacta To me @avacta's strategy of focusing on its core science/capabilities. Whilst also licensing out the technology to others in non-core areas makes perfect sense. Indeed its both impossible & counterproductive to try to do everything in house"
X Link 2024-01-06T06:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite Friday's hottish US payrolls report (+216k new jobs & 4.1% wage growth). Bond investors are still expecting (62% chance) the @federalreserve to start cutting interest rates in March & close out Dec'24 at 4%. To me unless there's a recession this looks far too soon"
X Link 2024-01-07T08:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@EquityTrader888 @VericiDx #VRCI's addressable market is kidney transplant patients"
X Link 2024-01-08T09:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"#ANCR #CVSG #ANP #FEVR #W7L #IHC #AVG #FRAN #FLO #TRCS #ECK #QTX #GAMA #OMG #RCN #KITW In this investing masterclass FM Stephen English of Stellar Asset Mgt takes me through his latest thoughts on the markets alongside highlighting [--] stock ideas"
X Link 2024-01-09T10:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Valuation benchmarks wrt those stocks discussed above"
X Link 2024-01-09T12:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"After the recent Santa rally @Schroders reckons equities are expensive - but NOT smallcaps. Certainly worth a quick look wrt strategic asset allocation @RebelHQ @MylesMcNulty @SharePickers"
X Link 2024-01-12T06:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"UK smallcaps are cheap (2024 PER 12x 16% EPS growth & 0.75x PEG) even when rebased on 'tough' earnings. What niggles about US largecaps (PER 19x) is they trade on a fwd PEG of 2x-4x. Assuming either Ests from top down strategists (+5% EPS growth) or bottom up analysts (10.6%)"
X Link 2024-01-12T08:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@davidcundell More importantly it presents 'opportunity' for long term risk tolerant investors"
X Link 2024-01-12T09:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Given the cost of money has risen substantially over the past [--] years - then (in theory) a far bigger slug of an investor's return will come from astute stock picking. Meaning to me a diversified portfolio of well selected smallcaps offers the best risk/reward profile"
X Link 2024-01-13T16:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Many congrats Richard. You bought #CARD [--] years ago when the shares were totally bombed out - & sold when the investment thesis changed. Redeploying the funds into other stocks (re #MKS #RR.) Discipline is key in order to generate sustainable 'alpha'. Well done mate👏👏👏👏 #CARD After all the 'materially ahead' trading updates they suddenly had no Nov t/s as the norm. Suggested momentum might have dropped off. Surprised they hadn't beaten by at least a bit. Reduced more today less that 3% of my holdings now. Probably cheap here now tho. #CARD After all the 'materially ahead' trading updates"
X Link 2024-01-17T04:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Another tough day sledging for the markets is indicated at the open with the #FTSE100 called down [--] points. #Fed interest rate jitters continues to be main fault line for investors"
X Link 2024-01-17T05:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"#BIG #CSFS #EQLS #SNX #PMI #CHRT #ELCO #SBDS #LORD #GBG #RWS #SUP #VRCI #AVG #BELL #SED #DGI #GOOD #YU. Find out in today's Hot Stocks show what @SharePickers & I have recently been buying alongside my favourite AIM share for [----] & best recovery stock"
X Link 2024-01-19T11:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#EQLS Things are obviously getting close. After [--] weeks another [--] day PUSU (Put Up or Shut UP) extension has been granted. Meaning @mdpllc are still interested & PROBABLY debating what price to submit formally to @equals__money shareholders. #EQLS trading all in line too"
X Link 2024-01-24T07:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Clearly - just for the avoidance of any doubt - @mdpllc can still walk away at any time without submitting a formal takeover bid to @equals__money shareholders"
X Link 2024-01-24T07:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Massive week coming up on the markets with Microsoft Amazon Apple Meta and Google all reporting [----] results. Alongside US Non Farm Payrolls Friday and Fed / BoE rate decisions/comments on Wedn/Thurs. Hold on to your investment hats guys"
X Link 2024-01-27T06:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"#MSFT #AAPL Is the #SP500 expensive Yes & No. 'No' for many 'perceived' old economy stocks eg oil banks healthcare etc. But 'Yes' for most of the #Nasdaq behemoths. Take @Microsoft & @Apple. Their combined mrkcaps are $6trn. That's $750 per person living on the planet"
X Link 2024-01-28T06:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
Topic Creators
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/:topic/creators/v1
Get the top creators for a social topic
input parameters:
- topic: Provide the topic to get details for. A topic must be all lower case and can only include letters, numbers, spaces, # and $. required
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/topic/bitcoin/creators/v1
Example response:
{
"data": [
{
"creator_id": "twitter::1605310254085980161",
"creator_name": "Bitcoin_Teddy",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1739753415134138368/FrWHMAnb_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 74293,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [-------]
}
]
}
Schema:
- creator_id: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
- creator_name: The unique screen name for the influencer
- creator_avatar: The URL to the avatar for the creator
- creator_followers: number of followers the account has
- creator_rank: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
- interactions_24h: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
Category Creators
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/category/:category/creators/v1
Get the top creators for a social category
input parameters:
- category: Provide the category to get details for. A category must be all lower case and can only include letters, numbers, and spaces. required
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/category/musicians/creators/v1
Example response:
{
"data": [
{
"creator_id": "youtube::undefined",
"creator_name": "airshowfansh",
"creator_avatar": "https://yt3.ggpht.com/cUuwxYNRoYoO_rnBAgPbze39nOMI_rUq0pVmHiM-Fz40TsRDmv8gZcUxvqxLF_bsGzhdVu4u9A=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj",
"creator_followers": 79600000,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [---------]
}
]
}
Schema:
- creator_id: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
- creator_name: The unique screen name for the influencer
- creator_avatar: The URL to the avatar for the creator
- creator_followers: number of followers the account has
- creator_rank: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
- interactions_24h: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
Creators List
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
Get a list of trending social creators over all of social based on interactions. To get lists of creators by category or topic see the topics and categories endpoints.
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creators/list/v1
Example response:
{
"data": [
{
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_id": "44196397",
"creator_network": "twitter",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234295750,
"creator_posts": 3649,
"creator_rank": 1,
"interactions_24h": [---------]
}
]
}
Schema:
- creator_name: The unique screen name for the influencer
- creator_display_name: The chosen display name for the influencer if available
- creator_id: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
- creator_network: The social network for the post or influencer. We still refer to x as twitter out of developer preference.
- creator_avatar: The URL to the avatar for the creator
- creator_followers: number of followers the account has
- creator_posts: total number of posts with interactions in the last [--] hours
- creator_rank: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
- interactions_24h: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
Creator
https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/:network/:id/v1
Get detail information on a specific creator
input parameters:
- network: Provide the network for the creator. One of twitter, youtube, instagram, reddit, or tiktok required
- id: Provide the unique ID or screen name of the creator required
Example request:
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer <API_KEY>" https://lunarcrush.com/api4/public/creator/twitter/elonmusk/v1
Example response:
{
"data": {
"creator_id": "twitter::44196397",
"creator_name": "elonmusk",
"creator_display_name": "Elon Musk",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2008546467615580160/57KcqsTA_200x200.jpg",
"creator_followers": 234296337,
"creator_rank": 2,
"interactions_24h": 318539577,
"topic_influence": [
{
"topic": "in the",
"count": 294,
"percent": 5.88,
"rank": [--]
}
],
"top_community": [
{
"creator_name": "grok",
"creator_display_name": "Grok",
"creator_avatar": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1893219113717342208/Vgg2hEPa_200x200.jpg",
"count": [---]
}
]
}
}
Schema:
- creator_id: The [network]::[unique_id] for the influencer
- creator_name: The unique screen name for the influencer
- creator_display_name: The chosen display name for the influencer if available
- creator_avatar: The URL to the avatar for the creator
- creator_followers: number of followers the account has
- creator_rank: ranking based on all posts in the last [--] hours that have interactions
- interactions_24h: Number of interactions in the last [--] hours
- topic_influence: an array of social topics and the creators ranking on each topic
- topic: LunarCrush social topic. Can only includes letters, numbers, spaces, #, and $
- top_community: an array of the top accounts that have recently mentioned this creator or that this creator has mentioned
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing