# ![@AxelAdlerJr Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::92823417.png) @AxelAdlerJr Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr posts on X about bitcoin, coins, #btc, sentiment the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::92823417/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::92823417/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +13%
- [--] Month [-------] +52%
- [--] Months [---------] +10%
- [--] Year [---------] -34%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::92823417/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::92823417/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -22%
- [--] Month [--] -7.40%
- [--] Months [---] +51%
- [--] Year [---] +10%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::92823417/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::92823417/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.03%
- [--] Month [------] +0.30%
- [--] Months [------] +7.60%
- [--] Year [------] +37%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::92823417/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::92823417/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #7110 [finance](/list/finance)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [countries](/list/countries)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [social networks](/list/social-networks) 

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #2802, [coins](/topic/coins), [#btc](/topic/#btc), [sentiment](/topic/sentiment), [exchanges](/topic/exchanges), [inflation](/topic/inflation), [holders](/topic/holders), [longterm](/topic/longterm), [market](/topic/market), [hodl](/topic/hodl)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@cryptoquantcom](/creator/undefined) [@jobtcfx](/creator/undefined) [@jamaartun](/creator/undefined) [@jjcmoreno](/creator/undefined) [@kiyoungju](/creator/undefined) [@darkfost_coc](/creator/undefined) [@inbtcwetrusts](/creator/undefined) [@darkfostcoc](/creator/undefined) [@ittechpl](/creator/undefined) [@woominkyu](/creator/undefined) [@teddyvision](/creator/undefined) [@saylor](/creator/undefined) [@blackrock](/creator/undefined) [@adam3us](/creator/undefined) [@binhdangg1](/creator/undefined) [@russianpropbot](/creator/undefined) [@checkmatey](/creator/undefined) [@cryptovizart](/creator/undefined) [@santtles](/creator/undefined) [@oneminerbtc](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [BlackRock Inc (BLK)](/topic/blackrock) [Rally (RLY)](/topic/rally) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [USDC (USDC)](/topic/usdc) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Reserve (RSV)](/topic/reserve)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"The Power of Realized Capitalization 👇Chart via @cryptoquant_com https://cryptoquant.com/quicktake/63dd1e8df4b6234f7e9686fa-The-Power-of-Realized-Capitalization https://cryptoquant.com/quicktake/63dd1e8df4b6234f7e9686fa-The-Power-of-Realized-Capitalization"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1621521002579791875)  2023-02-03T14:48Z 14.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Model update. Compared to the first review the graph now shows the bottom of the cycle 🤷♂ When should we expect the market to bottom https://t.co/8i8j7tz3F4 When should we expect the market to bottom https://t.co/8i8j7tz3F4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1626293792797081600)  2023-02-16T18:53Z 14.2K followers, [---] engagements


"🧵1/3: 📈 Check out the latest #BTC Normalized Address Activity graph This metric helps identify trends & network activity changes useful for analyzing user behavior & price fluctuations in the #crypto market. Values range from [--] (low) to [--] (high). #Bitcoin $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1638474016980647938)  2023-03-22T09:33Z 14.2K followers, [---] engagements


"SQL is available in my dashboard👇 BTC Price and NUPL Daily Chart chart via @cryptoquant_com https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/643e36073828b5351d0a754b-BTC-Price-and-NUPL-Daily-Chart https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/643e36073828b5351d0a754b-BTC-Price-and-NUPL-Daily-Chart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1648210663876046850)  2023-04-18T06:23Z 14.3K followers, [---] engagements


"🔔 New report Growth Binary CDD: Impact on Long-Term Investors and Selling Pressure 👇 via @cryptoquant_com https://cryptoquant.com/quicktake/6448d11312ca611e263bf5ac-Growth-Binary-CDD:-Impact-on-Long-Term-Investors-and-Selling-Pressure https://cryptoquant.com/quicktake/6448d11312ca611e263bf5ac-Growth-Binary-CDD:-Impact-on-Long-Term-Investors-and-Selling-Pressure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1651124933953482754)  2023-04-26T07:23Z 14.3K followers, [---] engagements


"🧵 1/3 BTC Velocity Velocity is a measure of how fast #BTC circulates in the network. Formula: [--] / NVT Ratio = Transaction Volume USD / Market Cap USD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1652215853897723905)  2023-04-29T07:38Z 22K followers, [----] engagements


"✍ Wrote a brief post about the increase in active addresses within the #Bitcoin network. Bitcoin Active Addresses Surge: Key Indicators Suggest Growing Adoption and Network Expansion. via @cryptoquant_com https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/644f656b12ca611e26463bb1-Bitcoin-Active-Addresses-Surge-Key-Indicators-Suggest-Growing-Adoption-and-Netwo https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/644f656b12ca611e26463bb1-Bitcoin-Active-Addresses-Surge-Key-Indicators-Suggest-Growing-Adoption-and-Netwo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1652934392933654528)  2023-05-01T07:14Z 14.3K followers, [---] engagements


"🧵 1/4 In this SQL query the Bitcoin Volatility Index is calculated based on three metrics: Historical BTC price volatility Inflow/outflow Ratio and Taker Buy/Sell Ratio. Data is obtained for the last [----] days approximately [--] years up to the current date. #Bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1655566923696943104)  2023-05-08T13:34Z 14.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Network transaction fees have normalized. Yet BRC-20 despite its intent appears flawed failing to foster meaningful evolution within the system. We must seek deeper more impactful solutions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1658119718782357506)  2023-05-15T14:38Z 14.2K followers, [----] engagements


"The #BTC aSOPR metric on the daily timeframe has dipped into the negative zone. This could be interpreted as 'Everyone who wanted to sell at these levels has done so #Bitcoin #aSOPR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1658463751605985282)  2023-05-16T13:25Z 20.9K followers, [----] engagements


"On the daily timeframe the SMA [--] BTC aSOPR (Adjusted SOPR) is above [--] which will put pressure on selling until this metric approaches values less than 1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1659081099228610560)  2023-05-18T06:18Z 20.9K followers, [----] engagements


"🫡 GM 🧵 1/4 The Bitcoin Sum Coin Age Distribution chart (spanning from [--] day to [--] months) shows that holders of 3-6 month old coins are actively selling BTC. #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1660182178473410560)  2023-05-21T07:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🧵 1/3 The decline in the number of BTC deposits on exchanges may suggest a decrease in selling pressure as fewer investors are transferring their Bitcoins to exchanges for sale"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1661274477190172672)  2023-05-24T07:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"BTC Performance: This metric reveals asset movement over a period. Rising performance indicates swift price increase or decrease. Evaluating this investors/traders can decide if an asset's buy/sell worthy. #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1663271689126330385)  2023-05-29T19:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"2023 May [--] Stablecoin Exchange Reserve (%) usdt: 55.8% (N1🥇) busd: 28.8% (N2🥈) usdc: 11.2% (N3🥉) tusd: 2.6% dai: 0.79% usdp: 0.5% gusd: 0.06% susd: 0.01%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1663605248315781120)  2023-05-30T17:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"GM ☀ 🛎 New research reveals 'Definitive Shift in Bitcoin Trend'. 👉 You can find this SQL in my dashboard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1665637656485609473)  2023-06-05T08:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The behavior of whales over the past [--] years 🐳 (#BTC wallet volumes = 1K-5K) is not always rational but in most cases their actions are justified"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1667198212338339842)  2023-06-09T15:53Z 14.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin held by new investors (3 months old) nearly doubled from a cycle low of 10.3% to 20.8%. It indicates early wealth transfer from experienced to new participants a usual cycle bottom trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1669672995466498051)  2023-06-16T11:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"High CDD implies long-term Bitcoin holders are transferring coins. However a significant CDD spike last seen on Nov [--] last year suggests "old" Bitcoins are largely untouched indicating market veterans' confidence in Bitcoin's long-term prospects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1670060109769109504)  2023-06-17T13:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Since the beginning of the year the #Bitcoin aSOPR metric has only dropped below [--] four times. This is one of those cases right now. This behavior of investors is typical for a bull market when SOPR serves as support and selling pressure decreases"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1670286642957918209)  2023-06-18T04:25Z 20.9K followers, [----] engagements


"🛎New Quicktake The Secret Signal of Bitcoin's Rise: Why are LTH Holding Their Assets via @cryptoquant_com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1670415895900848133)  2023-06-18T12:59Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The BTC Volatility Index has been moving sideways within a narrow corridor for the past three weeks. It seems like the market needs a shake-up 😤"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1670684473598386180)  2023-06-19T06:46Z 10.2K followers, [----] engagements


"ELR the ratio of Open Interest to Exchange Reserves has been rising since April [--] peaking on June [--]. Recently it's rising again suggesting traders are increasingly using high leverage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1671055297551425538)  2023-06-20T07:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Since June [--] Open Interest has surged from 527M to 584M with 7-day ELR momentum showing high volatility. This implies traders are actively opening high-leverage positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1671057103031529474)  2023-06-20T07:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ResearchBTCNow It's hard for me to answer your question as the SQL does not account for BRC-20 transactions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1674524767288717319)  2023-06-29T21:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"This tweet is for long-term holders: BTC: 1-Month Realized Volatility is in the green zone which indicates low volatility and an opportunity to buy the asset. This is confirmed by another metric BTC: Volatility Index. #HODL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1674665736319426560)  2023-06-30T06:26Z 10.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin bulls on the rise 10-day UTXO P/L Ratio 70% The network is buzzing with profitable moves. 🚀💰 #BTC #Crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1676639964581490688)  2023-07-05T17:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Bitcoin was actively bought from February 16th to May 8th after which it started being actively sold. People bought it at 20K and sold at 30K. Okay we can understand them 😀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1676971038788423680)  2023-07-06T15:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"When will Bitcoin rocket to the moon 🚀 No one knows the exact date a trigger needs to be set off. Approval of an ETF could be such a trigger. We should see an explosive increase in BTC: Total Transfer Volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1677173918514176000)  2023-07-07T04:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The main cohort that actively sold at the 30K level is Octopus and Fish (10-100BTC). It's surprising to see that retail investors created such pressure on the market as these groups typically have less capital than larger investors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1678345069403811845)  2023-07-10T10:28Z [----] followers, 10.3K engagements


"The 10-year volatility index of BTC has been decreasing since April 13th and it appears that this decrease is coming to an end. I think that as the sell pressure from retail subsides about which I wrote this morning the price has every chance of rising above 30K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1678356338890485760)  2023-07-10T10:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"👉 The supply of BTC (1m-3m) has decreased from 1.6M to 1.2M which amounts to 400K #BTC. Once this cohort finishes their sale the market may start moving upwards. 🛎 As of today this is arguably the only reason why the price is at a standstill"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1679016410050174976)  2023-07-12T06:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"BTC: Net Unrealized P/L Ratio has set a new ATH for this year OK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1679832902761054209)  2023-07-14T12:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🫡 GM The BTC market has entered a period of extremely low volatility. Two independent indicators are telling us this. It's common to see a major price shift after such a period I'll keep you updated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1681186633171845121)  2023-07-18T06:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"SMA 7D indicator for BTC: The Net Taker Volume has decreased to this year's lowest point at -2.4%. Traders have opened the highest quantity of shorts through Taker orders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1681531332004855808)  2023-07-19T05:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"In the spot market the 30-day simple moving average (SMA-30d) inflow of ERC-20 stablecoins has seen an increase over the past month while the reserve of Bitcoin has decreased. This dynamic could potentially create a Bitcoin deficit pushing its price higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1681655131584995328)  2023-07-19T13:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Starting from June [--] miners have increased the inflow to exchanges which puts pressure on sales. This doesn't mean that miners don't believe in the growth of BTC it means that miners need cash to upgrade their equipment to stay competitive after the halving"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1681964989505056768)  2023-07-20T09:51Z 18.1K followers, [----] engagements


"#BTC: Adjusted SOPR and STH SOPR have become negative - this should relieve selling pressure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1683715386703851520)  2023-07-25T05:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"How to Profit from Crypto Trading Using Metrics Many traders and investors use only technical analysis but in [----] this is not enough. Over the past [--] months I've written over [---] SQL queries to the on-chain database and know a bit more about it than others. Let's dive in👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1683827238662283266)  2023-07-25T13:11Z [----] followers, 19.3K engagements


"Bitcoin: Funding Rates - this metric shows which way traders are opening their positions. Green bar for long red for short. If you want to understand the trend add SMA-7d and see which way the indicator points"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1683827716280262656)  2023-07-25T13:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bitcoin: Open Interest - shows the volume of contracts open on the market and from the previous tweet we know which way they are opened. An increase in open interest indicates the emergence of new money or interest in the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1683828302165819397)  2023-07-25T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bitcoin: Taker Buy Sell Ratio - this metric shows which way market orders are opened the principle is the same as for the Funding Rate. Green bar for long red for short"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1683828722250526725)  2023-07-25T13:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"BTC: Short-Term Holders Realized Price Support Levels 🚧 🟢 1D - 1W: 29.6K 🔴 1W - 1M: 30.4K 🟠 1M - 3M: 27.3K 🔵 3M - 6M: 26.1K ⚪ Bitcoin Realized Price: 20.4K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1684061836641959936)  2023-07-26T04:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Due to the capitulation of cohorts 1d-1w 1w-1m the BTC: UTXO Profit and Loss Supply Ratio has sharply decreased. In this metric SMA-365d can act as a support which has already happened in the two previous corrections"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1684074625851097088)  2023-07-26T05:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"BTC: UTXO Profit/Loss Ratio has dropped to 58% if there are no positive triggers in the market in the next few days the decline may continue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1684455451302195201)  2023-07-27T06:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Why couldn't BTC rise above 31K Because retail (wallets with a balance less than 1K BTC) started selling actively"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1684457010656337920)  2023-07-27T06:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Eight years ago the #Ethereum blockchain was launched. Today the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap is the backbone of numerous projects. Congratulations @VitalikButerin @gavofyork and all ecosystem participants 🎉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1685704439036862466)  2023-07-31T01:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The 30-day exponential moving average (EMA-30d) of the BTC metric: Adjusted SOPR has entered the red zone. This will weaken sales as trading at a loss can only be in emergency cases and presently there are no such cases in the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1685969760104697856)  2023-07-31T11:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Since May there has been a significant increase in the number of wallets seeing a rise in their BTC balance. While we might lament that Bitcoin isn't growing as rapidly as we'd like it's clear that people are taking advantage of this period to buy Bitcoin at lower prices"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1686271613820411905)  2023-08-01T07:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The volatility of #Bitcoin has been so low over the past month that a 1% price change is already a cause for celebration among traders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1686452041437036576)  2023-08-01T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM ✌ BTC Velocity shows how frequently BTC is transferred between users. In past cycles a similar pattern was seen before the bull run. At the macro level for BTC: 30-day Price High and Low everything is roughly the same low volatility (🟦) and breakout (🟥)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1686624406909382656)  2023-08-02T07:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin can move in a narrow range while retail investors (100BTC) are actively selling. Something will change in the market when this cohort starts to accumulate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1686978121826742272)  2023-08-03T08:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"BTC: Trading Volume in the spot market has dropped to a one-year low. There are almost no sellers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1687330725828198401)  2023-08-04T05:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The trading volume of BTC on the spot market has dropped to the 30K level setting a new record for the last [--] years. The futures trading volume is approaching the 350K level corresponding to the level at the beginning of the year after the FTX crash. What next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1688446088062144512)  2023-08-07T07:04Z 10.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Good news The main cohorts of STH have stopped selling or have moved to accumulation: 1d-1w - neutral 1w-1m - accumulation 1m-3m - neutral 3m-6m - accumulation The overall picture of BTC supply: STH is showing growth which indicates the absence of sales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1688799451320590337)  2023-08-08T06:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The trading volume on spot exchanges has decreased tenfold since March 20th to 1.1B which at the current exchange rate equals 37K BTC. Such a level is not considered critical; before [----] the current volume was considered large"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1689143842304339968)  2023-08-09T05:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@BradK87287 I don't think anything will happen to BTC. Even if there is a crash the exchanges will buy up all the bitcoins as happened during the Luna/FTX crash"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1689146534141550592)  2023-08-09T05:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@BradK87287 No the market is not fake. The trading volumes have just dropped significantly. The purchasing power is all good. The whales are currently asleep and the market activity is coming from retail with a balance of less than [---] BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1689235688456175617)  2023-08-09T11:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The biggest influence on the price of BTC is the All Stablecoin Inflow. In most cases a large volume of Stablecoins either buys up BTC on a decline or pushes the price up when there is high demand"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1689288709911289858)  2023-08-09T14:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"All summer BTC sales were well absorbed by the market. Despite the pressure from the bears over the last two weeks the price of BTC remained in the same range. Ratio = Inflow/Outflow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1689516361427402752)  2023-08-10T05:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I don't think anything terrible can happen to #BTC and the main beneficiaries of this will be the exchanges that have a lot of free liquidity. In other words any potential black swan event (Luna/FTX) would be absorbed by the exchanges"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1689518413763260416)  2023-08-10T06:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"New Diamond 💎 BTC: Sentiment Vote Up - how users are voting for the rise of Bitcoin. SMA-7d 🟦 - The fast moving average shows a smoothed weekly sentiment. Supported by SMA-365d 🟥. SMA-30d 🟨 - Represents the overall trend. Retweet and follow 👉 @AxelAdlerJr for updates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1690297681661345793)  2023-08-12T09:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"As of now the Bitcoin futures market is positive: BTC Momentum Open Interest - 🟢 BTC Funding Rate - 🟢 BTC Net Taker Position Volume - 🟢"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1690953258406150145)  2023-08-14T05:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"UTXO Exchange Inflow Retail (100 BTC) indicates that the daily inflow from retail investors has dropped to 13K BTC. This is the lowest level all summer. Currently selling pressure from retail is at its minimum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1690979304341950464)  2023-08-14T06:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The BTC aSOPR SMA7 is currently at [----]. The previous drop to [----] didn't have any significant effect on the price rise or fall. The market needs a push and a very strong one at that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1691010201749524481)  2023-08-14T08:53Z 21.3K followers, [---] engagements


"BTC: Realized Profit and Loss Ratio Range Currently the Ratio is at a level of [---]. During the two previous corrections the Ratio dropped to the range of 1.59-1.64. What do you think will we drop further or will we go up Retweet = Down Like = Up Flat = Comment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1691075869589069824)  2023-08-14T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The BTC market has entered a macro "crypto-winter". 🥶 Spot market trading volumes have dropped to the historic lows of [----]. The volume of trades with taker orders and the volume of derivatives are approaching the levels seen during the New Year holidays. 😴"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1691326271160983552)  2023-08-15T05:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The price of Bitcoin is in a very narrow trading range and if the situation does not change tomorrow we will see a BB spread of 6% (🚩 Red Flag). The two previous instances this year with similar compression led to a breakout 🌪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1691457652050845696)  2023-08-15T14:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The average weekly trading volume on the BTC futures market has dropped to 285K BTC per day setting a new low record for the past year. The previous record was 351K and it was recorded during the New Year holidays. 🥶 Do you think this will last"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1691682130588311731)  2023-08-16T05:23Z [----] followers, 13.6K engagements


"Exchange Inflow with wallet balances 1K BTC (🐳) has decreased to the lowest level this year. Currently the market is in a unique situation where all activity is driven by retail players without the participation of whales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1692047570204266924)  2023-08-17T05:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Right now there is a war of Taker orders between bulls and bears with bears currently winning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1692216492983529566)  2023-08-17T16:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"BTC: UTXO Profit/Loss Supply Ratio will drop to the correction levels of March and June this year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1692466903871025154)  2023-08-18T09:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Miners👷♀ as always are doing great. They sold large reserves at the 30K level bought equipment and network sentiment has grown. 💪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1692495499176112551)  2023-08-18T11:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"WSJ news article was actually about something different than the clickbait headline released by crypto publications. However the fact remains that this occurred when the market was at its maximum compression setting the stage for a squeeze. 🧐"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1692540104508637185)  2023-08-18T14:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"On Saturday traders tried to open long positions but to no avail. BTC: Funding Rates turned negative again with short positions dominating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1693171671421661581)  2023-08-20T08:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM ✌ Average trading volume on Spot exchanges has grown from 19K to 42K and in absolute terms from 9K to 109K but this is still too small compared to the volume at the beginning of the year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1693858225915855343)  2023-08-22T05:30Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements


"Realized losses continue to accumulate and are becoming greater than they were in April and May. The stress index has begun to decrease but it is still too high to instill market confidence for the next step"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1693882758945202302)  2023-08-22T07:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"There is a BTC metric called Sentiment Vote which is the Ratio of those who vote for the rise and fall of BTC. Currently the metric is negative with short votes dominating for almost a week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1693970800301236405)  2023-08-22T12:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM✌ Since the beginning of the year there has been a decrease in network activity which is reflected in the low transaction volumes (represented by blue bars). Throughout this year all BTC price drops stayed at Level [--]. Thus further major BTC declines seem unlikely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1694240142435762456)  2023-08-23T06:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Although the adjusted SOPR is negative you can see how it has started to rise - this means that #BTC is being bought at the current levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1694286151173963787)  2023-08-23T09:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"If you look at the Price 7d % Change chart you can see that only the FTX crash resulted in a 20% drop. In all other instances the correction hovered around 10%. We're anticipating a Black Swan event of which I've never heard 💬 Write if you have any short-trigger ideas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1694308682287214676)  2023-08-23T11:20Z 10.3K followers, 11.7K engagements


"Yesterday I wrote about the high level of stress in the market. One of the reasons for this is that the UTXO Profit/Loss Ratio has hit a new low for the year. Currently the index is below the FTX crash level. Investors are grappling with the fear from their incurred losses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1694951421123104866)  2023-08-25T05:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Positive news at the end of the week. 1) Realized losses have ceased to accumulate; now they are equal to profits. 2) Over the last two days users have voted more for the rise of BTC than for its fall albeit not very confidently"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1695058549112504552)  2023-08-25T13:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"GM ✌ Bitcoin: Exchange Depositing Transactions (SMA 7d) dropped to a 5-year low reaching [-----] BTC per day a similar figure was recorded on December [--] [----]. People do not want to sell BTC. The supply deficit will continue to stimulate growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1696042727744450644)  2023-08-28T06:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Today there will be interesting and useful data on GBTC (Grayscale) as to how much the NAV of the fund corresponds to the market value of the assets the chart is ready I am waiting for CQ to update the data. 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1696784045592412288)  2023-08-30T07:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"See how quickly the psychology of investors/traders changed after @Grayscale victory. It's hard to imagine how fast the market will start growing 🚀 if the SEC approves the ETF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1696790817141064174)  2023-08-30T07:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The 30-day sentiment index of the futures market has not been able to recover and continues to fall along with the BTC price. The index takes into account the Funding Rate and Open Interest in a 50/50 proportion. When the index starts to rise it can push the BTC price up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1697590388742086872)  2023-09-01T12:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"GM ✌ I wrote a few thoughts on the long-term faith of investors in the growth of Bitcoin confirmed by analytics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1697868484552647037)  2023-09-02T07:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Three metrics for quick analysis of the BTC futures market: Funding Rate 🟢 (small) Net Taker Volume 🔴 (maximum) Open Interest 🔵 (neutral) Due to the strong pressure of Taker Volume the market is currently bearish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1698923238057750895)  2023-09-05T04:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Three indicators that will help you not to miss the trend: EMA Cross (730) SuperTrend (103) BB (202) Use these settings on the daily timeframe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1698936044563927445)  2023-09-05T05:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This metric indicates how much GBTC shares are overpriced or underpriced relative to the value of BTC. The fair price of GBTC is at the level when SMA-30d = [--]. In other cases it's either a lower or higher price. Currently the price of GBTC is undervalued"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1699021137697464778)  2023-09-05T11:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"GM ✌ The number of realized losses is decreasing and will soon turn positive. This means that investors will start selling to take profits. This will put selling pressure on the market. We might see a macro squeeze soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1699289614605828239)  2023-09-06T05:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"All markets including cryptocurrencies go through cycles of growth and decline. Sometimes a "cleansing" or correction can be beneficial for the long-term health of the market as it eliminates irrational behavior and allows the market to stabilize"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1699665381856592176)  2023-09-07T06:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I've revamped the volatility index to provide a more objective view of market changes regardless of whether it's moving up or down. The index ranges from -3% (extremely low volatility) to 8% (extremely high volatility) and it's currently at 4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1700070887473455538)  2023-09-08T08:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The adjusted SOPR is still below [--] with the current value being [------] - this means that BTC sales are occurring at a loss in other words - it's capitulation. However since the aSOPR is almost reaching the neutral zone of [--] fewer people are willing to sell at a loss"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1700565134224089337)  2023-09-09T17:41Z 20.7K followers, [----] engagements


"The positive or negative activity of addresses on the network serves as an additional "weight" influencing the movement of BTC's price. Over the last few days the metric has increased and reached 33.9% compared to the cumulative changes over the past [--] days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1700766536011563094)  2023-09-10T07:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Throughout its history Bitcoin has faced periods of low volatility. This is clearly seen on the chart (in yellow). Such periods constantly occurred in the past but back then there were no tools to observe it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1700932233224221164)  2023-09-10T18:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"GM✌ For the past [--] days there haven't been significant changes in the market. The market began to contract and the BB Range dropped by 9% to 16%. After a contraction to 5% a squeeze usually occurs which is signified by a red flag. I'll keep you updated if it appears"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1701121776065957912)  2023-09-11T06:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🚨 Rumors are circulating on Twitter that large volumes of BTC associated with FTX assets have been deposited on exchanges. At the moment no anomalously large volumes have been deposited on the exchanges On the contrary a red flag has appeared indicating low volumes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1701208249645645917)  2023-09-11T12:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Only extreme average values 150% change (red circles) of the inflow across all exchanges can influence the BTC price as was the case in November [----] (FTX crash) the market recovery in January [----] and the end of the correction in March 2023"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1701494975425339449)  2023-09-12T07:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The upcoming EMA 50/200 crossover concerns me and the fact that the price couldn't break above the WMA200. 😾 What's crucial here is not the fact of technical analysis itself but the effect it creates as many traders recognize this pattern and open short positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1701680666084065568)  2023-09-12T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"GM✌ The market has almost recovered after dropping from 29.1K to 26.3K most of the realized losses have been sold off and the indicator will turn green soon. This means that new players will start making profits since they acquired #BTC during this dip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1701846141560639872)  2023-09-13T06:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Don't get too excited there [---] billion in FTX assets isn't that much for the crypto market. In April LTH sold BTC worth [--] billion dollars to the newly arrived STH 😀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1702032004252905749)  2023-09-13T18:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I want to remind everyone that the market is still in a period of very low volatility and that it may end soon as the SMA-30d has turned upwards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1702201917596725268)  2023-09-14T06:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"On this graph the drawdown of LTH (Long-Term Holders) and STH (Short-Term Holders) is shown and it seems that experienced investors behave more rationally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1702561951467876806)  2023-09-15T05:56Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"This year LTH (Long Term Holders) are behaving very smart but it wasn't always this way. In [----] the cohort bought into the beginning of the bear market twice. And in [----] there was a risky move when LTH bought the dip at the end of the bull rally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1702605270126412141)  2023-09-15T08:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Open Interest Net Delta is the accumulated difference between closed long and short positions - this metric indicates the net trend of the futures market since the beginning of the year. 🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1702733715179184310)  2023-09-15T17:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Over the last [--] days Whales (🐳 1K BTC) had three major inflows totaling 5.9K + 6.4K + 7.1K = 19.4K BTC at an average price of $25.7K amounting to $498M"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1703696122529591740)  2023-09-18T09:03Z [----] followers, 13.3K engagements


"Sales of BTC by whales amounting to $0.5B did not objectively create significant selling pressure. I wonder what would happen if Elon sold $500M worth of Tesla shares"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1703769644220166368)  2023-09-18T13:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"BTC: Short-Term Holder Net Profit Loss to Exchanges - shows how STH sell their bitcoins; when [--] it's a profit [--] a loss. The SMA-30d (🔵) reflects the cumulative effect of profit/loss"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1703845353823314279)  2023-09-18T18:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Over the last [--] hours traders closed $300M in open positions thus the open interest dropped from $8.2B to $7.9B. The FOMC announcement is scaring traders. 🫨 #volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1704486401138438620)  2023-09-20T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM ✌ The attempt to rise to 27K looks weak and uncertain. Yesterday the cumulative weekly open interest reached 10% and started to decline. Usually for an upward movement more than 15% is needed preferably 20%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1704757593212588320)  2023-09-21T07:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin Support & Resistance update 🚧 BTC Price: $26.8K BTC SMA 365d: $24.0K BTC Average Realized Price: $20.2K BTC STH (Short Term Holders) Realized Price: $27.9K BTC STH 1m-3m Realized Price: $29.6K BTC STH 3m-6m Realized Price: $27.6K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1705152979634982938)  2023-09-22T09:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"🔔 New dashboard ver [---] is available: BTC: Whale-to-Exchange Inflows BTC vs USDT 30d Change BTC: Support and Resistance BTC: Realized Cap Drawdown From All-Time High BTC: Open Interest 7d Change BTC: Net Unrealized Profit/Loss by Cohort"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1705318852442161534)  2023-09-22T20:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Analyzing transitions from bear market peaks to recovery. 🟢 Investor Price ($17.4k) reflects the average acquisition price excluding coins bought by miners. 🟣 Delta Price ($12.0k) is a combined blockchain-based pricing model often used to determine cycle lows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1705622283094561179)  2023-09-23T16:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🚨 On the hourly timeframe of Bitcoin there's a strong compression Be careful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1705997069712752723)  2023-09-24T17:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Rolling Standard Deviation of Price Change - displays the daily standard deviation from price changes with hours highlighted in red indicating potential market squeezes. Suitable for traders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1706261631410262197)  2023-09-25T10:57Z [----] followers, 10.1K engagements


"Morning ✌ Not only is @saylor buying BTC. The balance of 🐋 wallets holding 1K BTC has seen a net increase of 64.9K BTC over the past [--] days as indicated by the change in whale supply compared to [--] days ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1706555612245463313)  2023-09-26T06:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🧵 1/7 The block reward that miners receive can indicate market sentiment. When the reward increases as it did in February [----] we see a rise in BTC price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1706915667461431716)  2023-09-27T06:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Strong 🟢 bullish position on the 1-hour chart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1707017221690863957)  2023-09-27T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The metric shows how new investors influence the cycles red flags = extreme values when the market has a minimal inflow of new investors. I apologize if I disappointed anyone. 🤷♂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1707276622947061798)  2023-09-28T06:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Spot Inflow 🙌 🚨🚨🚨 [-------] #BTC ($108519425) aggregated inflows to #Coinbase Pro 🧐"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1707343676383301672)  2023-09-28T10:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Adjusted Market Power can be used to determine the overbought/oversold state of the futures market across three levels where Level [--] = maximum. The current level is neutral but since the growth came from a negative zone the bullish 🟢 sentiment carries more weight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1707384590577418430)  2023-09-28T13:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"At the peak of the next BTC price cycle it may rise to [------] USD. The Bull Run will begin when the blue bars disappear from the chart and the red line crosses the current BTC price from below to above"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708016429725897137)  2023-09-30T07:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@svnswarz The foundation is based on the relationship between the blockchain transaction volume and market capitalization. The other metrics are derived from these"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708026458126360812)  2023-09-30T07:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Nobody knows what the future price will be; all predictions are just 🙌🔮. With aggressive model settings the peak price = [------] USD. For significant growth to start an influx of money is needed. This could be due to the Fed's printing press turning on ETF approval etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708033884372279584)  2023-09-30T08:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"GM✌ On the daily time frame there's a bullish macro trend on the futures the Market Power indicates a bullish dominance and young investors are currently holding their coins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708370347676823744)  2023-10-01T06:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This metric shows how many dollars need to be added to or withdrawn from the Realized Cap in order to change the Market Cap by one dollar. When the metric is below $1 and a green 🟩 appears it's a bullish signal. The lower the metric the faster the growth will be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708476107022868626)  2023-10-01T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"30-day Open Interest is signaling bullish momentum. 🟢"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708579558528602572)  2023-10-01T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"At the 28000-28100 level there is 🚧 strong resistance. Most likely investors and traders will start selling as soon as they realize a profit creating selling pressure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1708730686234902792)  2023-10-02T06:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"On the hourly timeframe the indicator displays Squeeze Level [--] (medium) 🚩"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709097787915125047)  2023-10-03T06:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Hey @tradingview Seriously only two free indicators Aren't you ashamed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709105826084921415)  2023-10-03T07:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Real BTC Address Activity = (Number of addresses that received BTC - Number of addresses that sent BTC) / Number of active addresses. Since mid-April the metric has turned negative; a return to the positive zone would be a good signal 🚀 for the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709122340150276256)  2023-10-03T08:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Delta P/L UTXO indicates compression and maximum deviation post-compression based on UTXO Supply Profit and Loss. 🟪 compression 🩵 deviation post-compression 👉Will be 100% effective when the spot market dominates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709469388057804819)  2023-10-04T07:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Inflow to All Exchanges of BTC and ETH in relation to the inflow of All Stablecoins. The paradox is that when the ratio increases price goes up. At the moment the ratio is increasing. 🟢"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709586398066458683)  2023-10-04T15:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Miners 👷♂ ⛏ are still doing well. The "sentiment" metric which takes into account (hashrate difficulty block reward) is increasing indicating that the core indicators of the Bitcoin network are getting stronger. #BTC #Power"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709811449717989832)  2023-10-05T06:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#BTC Macro Sentiment 🦬💚 Funding Rate 🟢 Open interest Taker Volume but it's positive for the current hour 🟢"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1709913564171882629)  2023-10-05T12:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM ✌ Over the last month there has been an increase in transfers from other exchanges to the derivative exchange. 🙌 This usually leads to increased market volatility. #btc #trading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1710188820463821195)  2023-10-06T07:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"📈 Oct [--] Key levels to watch: Support: SMA 365d at 24.4K Realized Price at 20.2K. Resistance: SMA 111d at 28.2K STH 1m 3m Realized Price at 28.5K. 🔥 Near the pivotal point: Adjusted & STH Realized Price at 27.9K. Stay alert #Trading #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1710543539661131806)  2023-10-07T06:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@IT_Tech_PL This is classic technical analysis: The Pi Cycle Indicator - 111D-SMA The Mayer Multiple - 200D-SMA Yearly Moving Average - 365D-SMA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1710559734128849203)  2023-10-07T07:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why do I use these moving averages in technical analysis It's classic Bitcoin Pricing Models: BTC Price (USD) 27.9K The Pi Cycle Indicator (111D-SMA) 28.2K The Mayer Multiple (200D-SMA) 28.0K Yearly Moving Average (365D-SMA) 24.4K The [---] Week Moving Average (200W SMA) 28.01"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1710572209100447923)  2023-10-07T08:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"For almost [--] days the Price High and Low indicator showed a 🟣 Alert and the price was trapped in a narrow corridor. A slight shift occurred in the last week but it's not enough to cancel the Alert after which there's usually a breakout"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1710905160111624603)  2023-10-08T06:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin STH Supply vs LTH Supply (%) - shows how the supply shifts from one cohort to another. As of today LTH hold 15.7M BTC or (86.18%) and STH hold 2.5M BTC or 13.82%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1711268606070173749)  2023-10-09T06:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin Oracle🔮 - it can predict price movements using on-chain data. If Oracle N1 (Agatha) N2 (Arthur) and N3 (Dash) have given a prediction it indicates an upcoming market momentum. Furthermore the Oracle predicts both the direction and strength of the momentum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1711305105037767138)  2023-10-09T08:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"24h Funding Rate Waves have the highest correlation with the BTC price verified using the Pearson method. 24h waves more accurately reflect the real situation as traders do not close their positions immediately making this metric more accurate than the regular Funding Rate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1711606602854178914)  2023-10-10T04:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Leooo08925958 This chart shows the cumulative Funding Rate over different periods of time. As it turned out the 24-hour accumulation has a more accurate correlation with BTC price changes than the original metric"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1711626222453612823)  2023-10-10T06:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"BTC: Simple Moving Average Price Model [----] Oct [--] TF [--] day Bull Sentiment 💚 btc sma 200d: $28.0K btc price: $27.6K btc sma 30d: $26.9K btc sma 50d: $26.5K btc sma 365d: $24.4K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1711631943463223449)  2023-10-10T06:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"📢 Quick note on the selling pressure from the STH cohort #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712011358567346509)  2023-10-11T07:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Check the price change after [--] hours: Avg_price [-----] Prediction_price [-----] #ML #test"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712028200732094839)  2023-10-11T08:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"If the detrended price is positive BTC's current price is above its typical trend. The average seasonal effect shows when BTC's price usually rises or falls during the day. Anomalies indicate unusual market fluctuations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712057220781813954)  2023-10-11T10:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"BTC: Precogs Oracle (Agatha Arthur and Dash) Real Time Model - negative bearish trend starting from the evening of October 8th"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712187718698967345)  2023-10-11T19:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"If you're interested in the leading players in asset management here are the three leaders: 1) As of Q2 2023@BlackRock had about $9.4 trillion AUM. 2) As of March [--] [----] @Vanguard_Group managed over $6 trillion. 3) As of March [--] 2023@StateStreet had $3.6 trillion AUM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712350194011185615)  2023-10-12T06:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jobtcfx If it's an inflow into the spot market it won't affect the price. If poured into futures it will create additional volatility and pressure but the direction can't be determined by this indicator. At the moment the sentiment is more bearish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712427282801762552)  2023-10-12T11:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The volatility index at the beginning of October showed a peak for the last [--] months. The market is currently in a pullback/correction and the index is at the midpoint. 👉 The reasons for the correction are strong levels at which selling intensifies and the price falls"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712489497189822658)  2023-10-12T15:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@generalbtc As it turned out no because inflows to exchanges are not always sales; they can be collateral for opening long/short positions in the futures market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712713921453297705)  2023-10-13T06:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The activity index of addresses has been increasing for the last [--] days. The index formula: (addresses received - addresses sent) / active addresses. An increase in the index = increased volatility in the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1712742342988357711)  2023-10-13T08:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Funding Rate Wave continues to rise signaling an overly optimistic market. Unsure if traders' expectations for the upcoming week will be met but I hope they're right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1713087505644331445)  2023-10-14T07:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"On the hourly timeframe the Squeeze Detector indicates a market compression followed by a breakout. 🛟 Be careful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1713426247940718935)  2023-10-15T05:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Optimized volatility index on the hourly with a 40% correlation to the BTC price. The peak over the last [--] days was on October 3rd at 75%. The current level is 42%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1713831831726879128)  2023-10-16T08:18Z 13.6K followers, [----] engagements


"It so happened that all the key resistance levels converged at the $28K level. As soon as the price approaches it people lock in profits and start selling BTC which is why $28K is hard to surpass quickly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1713840156359246327)  2023-10-16T08:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jobtcfx Traders began to open short positions and then closed the remaining longs which is why the price dropped"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1713877328470651379)  2023-10-16T11:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The projected 6-sigma value for the next cycle is approximately $186508 with an estimated date of May [----]. This is a statistical forecast based on this model. What will actually happen I do not know"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1714010957645574483)  2023-10-16T20:10Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"What it feels like for these people or a single person who sold 1.3K BTC ($351) at a loss this morning at a price of $27K with the current price being $28.5K 🤦♂🥃"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714016765628322074)  2023-10-16T20:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I hope you all survived this nightmare with the fake news. 🤦♂ Traders are now scared and disoriented. The Estimated Leverage Ratio has dropped to 5%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714168064680333753)  2023-10-17T06:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The 30-day USDT capitalization change in October moved out of the negative zone and turned positive. The metric correlates with the bitcoin price by 34.2% essentially making it a bullish signal with a moderate correlation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714285812135985212)  2023-10-17T14:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The market still has a chance to rise further the selling pressure from STH is cooling off but the negative values of cumulative Open Interest indicate that traders have closed more positions in the last [--] hours than they have opened new ones. #btc #macro"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714526326911078720)  2023-10-18T06:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Market Power is at the 80% level a range of 15-20% can be considered as potential for growth. The index calculates key indicators of the derivatives market and the BTC price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714609149500170332)  2023-10-18T11:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The activity of addresses on the Bitcoin network has increased and is now at the level it was in mid-May. However there's one caveat: in May the activity was declining but now it's rising. This is primarily due to the potential adoption of an ETF. #volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714885908736901412)  2023-10-19T06:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"A macro correction is coming in the market. Other metrics also show a bearish sentiment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1714898432668684667)  2023-10-19T06:57Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"The Exchange inflow seems rather weak for such a strong trend; compare the inflow in March and June"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1714951974800535723)  2023-10-19T10:29Z 14.3K followers, [----] engagements


"The current situation on the hourly timeframe: The market was driven up due to Taker orders the Funding Rate is negative and the increase in Open Interest against the backdrop of a negative Funding Rate indicates a rise in short positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715268555690635572)  2023-10-20T07:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"This isn't organic growth; it's a pump driven by taker orders. If you want to find out who's behind this check where the large volume of stablecoins has come from in the last [--] hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715316979010035806)  2023-10-20T10:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The market successfully passed the resistance of all key levels that held back the price. A fake news story and pump might have greatly contributed to this as otherwise we could have been stuck at this level for a very long time. #30K #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715323162664042619)  2023-10-20T11:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The average Flow over the last week was negative which means that Bitcoins entering the exchanges were well bought up in the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715614335278403978)  2023-10-21T06:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@fakeprince_ Key metrics are concentrated at the 28K level which currently serve as support"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715615937930363082)  2023-10-21T06:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Analyzed the rolling 30-day Pearson correlation between Bitcoin and major market indices. The data showcases how BTC's relationship with traditional markets evolves over time. Positive correlation indicates markets moving in sync while negative suggests they're moving inversely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715634377533575396)  2023-10-21T07:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The #Bitcoin network has entered a High Profit Level period. Previous entries into this level significantly slowed growth and led to market corrections. However due to #ETF FOMO this time things might be different. #btc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715987707854270636)  2023-10-22T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Last week there was a record in the number of transactions on the network; the volume was equivalent to the spike seen in April. Activity decreased over the weekend but I don't think it will impact the FOMO associated with the potential approval of an ETF. #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1715996951467245943)  2023-10-22T07:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Over the last [--] hours there's been a strong long dominance in the market the detrended price rose by more than $500. The Dynamics index is overheated. I'm expecting a minor macro correction followed by a continuation of the bullish trend amid rumors of the adoption of the ETF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1716356276270125338)  2023-10-23T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I'm slightly concerned about the lack of new addresses. It's an essential condition for a robust trend because it's crucial to sell to new players at the local peak and buy back from them when they sell (capitulate) during a correction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1716707478727995755)  2023-10-24T06:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Pressure from short-term holders (STH) to sell is easing. It's hardly a shock; if the market surges from 26.5K to 34K just on whispers of an ETF's acceptance then post-approval we can anticipate a parabolic increase"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1717098744439615716)  2023-10-25T08:40Z [----] followers, 14.2K engagements


"🚩 Old money has awakened For the first time since the beginning of the year a red flag has appeared in the Binary CDD metrics. This is a good sign as judging by past cycles LTHs start activity before a bullish run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1717113685645160840)  2023-10-25T09:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The two most important alerts from the on-chain analysis that could not be missed were at the end of August and the beginning of September. #FOMO #etf #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1717216066542186659)  2023-10-25T16:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Do you know what this is about It concerns the reserve of top exchanges which is decreasing significantly. Can you guess why It's because the demand for BTC is on the rise as is the price #btc #FOMO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1717427949006164098)  2023-10-26T06:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"In 48h the market has yet to decide which direction to move in. Currently there's a slight tilt towards short positions. The best scenario would be for the market to continue to remain flat decrease activity over the weekend and then consolidate on Monday with a breakout"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1717827935787176224)  2023-10-27T08:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM ✌ The average supply of whales 🐋 (1K BTC) has increased by [-----] BTC in recent days. This doesn't mean that whales always behave rationally. Just a fact: whales are buying BTC at the current level. #btc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1718170132076183578)  2023-10-28T07:37Z [----] followers, 20.5K engagements


"🔔 Early signal for market squeeze Yesterday many short positions were closed the market is now neutral there is no clear bias the situation might change by midday or evening"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1718528190774186208)  2023-10-29T07:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The network activity has dropped again down to the summer level. 🥱"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1719233818727501832)  2023-10-31T06:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM✌ Sales at current levels are almost finished the weekly Exchange Flow is close to zero = selling pressure is diminishing. The total volume of BTC movement on the network is at an average level 1M BTC per day"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1719590741805306107)  2023-11-01T05:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Responding to the question about my expectations for the market: After SEC approval SPOT ETF the BTC market may see a price 50K. Hoping old scheme works with selling high to new users then buying low supporting rise to 100-200K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1719718693049909567)  2023-11-01T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"In recent days there has been an inflow of new addresses. The values are much higher than standard and are reminiscent of the period before the start of the October rally. For the market this is a positive signal. ✊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1721407884473364520)  2023-11-06T06:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The supply of Long-Term Holders (LTH) since the beginning of the year has increased from [----] million BTC to [----] million BTC an increase of [------] BTC. Short-Term Holders (STH) might contemplate maintaining their holdings for a while longer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1722520914376491179)  2023-11-09T07:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Since October the US Market (Coinbase Premium Index) has been showing positive momentum not as explosive as it was in March but it still indicates growing investor optimism"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1724314157883838971)  2023-11-14T06:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"On a macro level yesterday's bearish pressure is intensifying. After nearly a month of bullish rally the market needs a breather and a correction the depth of which we do not yet know. The current fair price for BTC is 33.3K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1724684770859217177)  2023-11-15T07:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM ✌ Today marks exactly two months since the start of the longest and largest bull rally of the year. There are no signs of the rally stopping yet 🚀🟢 #daily #btc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1725419707329646677)  2023-11-17T07:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"GM✌ 🧵 1/2 The graph shows the distribution of profits and losses in the network over the last [--] years. The 30K level is key above which the network becomes profitable the likelihood that we will see 🟠 bars in this cycle is very low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1726875745828675606)  2023-11-21T08:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"How difficult it is to create something big and truly useful and how easily it can all be destroyed by one strange decision. #OpenAI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1726900091594621314)  2023-11-21T09:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Rumors are circulating that Wall Street players ousted Binance before an ETF approval. Why would BlackRock or Fidelity do this What are your thoughts on this matter 🧐"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1727247240207413275)  2023-11-22T08:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The updated model of MVRV and Realized Pricing Bands with fine-tuned settings for cycle identification only considers complete cycles with a green bar for buying and a red bar for selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1727313112733569309)  2023-11-22T13:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bitcoin Daily Exchange Flow (sma-7d) has become negative - this means that currently more is being bought than sold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1727779388752527594)  2023-11-23T20:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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