[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@KevinLMak](/creator/twitter/KevinLMak) "$CORZ CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) CEO Michael Intrator said the Core Scientific (NASDAQ:CORZ) deal "represents the value for them" he said in an interview with Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. This has some people spooked and the arb spread (premium) for CORZ has fallen dramatically in the last XX hours. I'd caution that him saying that is largely expected it doesn't make sense to increase the bid right now (wait until the last minute and only do it if you have to do it). As a comp here's the Cenovus announcement that just happened this morning. Cenovus Energy Inc. raised its takeover offer for MEG" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1975986755473113557) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-08T18:08Z 23K followers, 13.3K engagements "$SPHR To clarify my use of the word "weak" refers to your outlook on the company not the quality of the write up. But yes I think the rationale is not well substantiated. Specifically: a) MSGN is not a real catalyst. The equity contribution to the parent is near-zero in most/all scenarios because of the non-recourse nature of the remaining debt and the warrants/payments/etc associated with the upside scenarios. b) You note 'From the Edge being planned to take over from WoZ'. This isn't happening. They're not going to turn WOZ off and turn FTE on. It will be some sort of revenue mix (like" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1975043229801218144) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-06T03:39Z 23K followers, 30K engagements "$SPHR JP Morgan raises PT ahead of Q3 print from $XX to $XX Q3 AOI up to $13M from $11M Q3 Revenue up to $171M from $168M FY26 AOI up to $170M from $136M a XX% increase. They've done a good job substantiating their view: "To the extent WoZ can maintain its current momentum there could be notable upside to our estimates for the quarter. Looking further out we model a modest attendance deceleration beginning in Q126 and extending through Q326 based on prior seasonality observed for Postcard from Earth with a rebound in Q426." Personally I think Q4 does maintain momentum and so we're aligned" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1975933696591982666) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-08T14:37Z 23K followers, 7590 engagements "This post got a lot of traction so I want to circle back on it and go over more concepts. Mainly because I absolutely hate "cash secured put selling for yield" type of "strategies" and want to firmly dispel that notion on this trade here. When you're buying or selling an option you're betting on future volatility of the stock. Volatility is typically expressed as a distribution. (Black curve below) What implied volatility is basically pricing is how "fat" the distribution is. How likely is it that a stock could move up or down 10-20% etc. When there's earnings coming up the "IV ramps" because" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1976127087309160929) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-09T03:26Z 23K followers, 42.6K engagements "Yea this is the incorrect way to look at it but very common. A cash secured put is very similar to a GTC buy order with two key exceptions you CAN cancel a gtc order and you benefit from a better fill price if the market gaps down overnight. These differences are crucial because its what youre getting paid for (via collecting the premium). So its not the same thing except youre collecting a premium its youre collecting a premium because youre taking more risk. Its a small but extremely important difference. Because implicitly (and explicitly in your comment) youre only selling the put if the" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1976153295103082498) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-09T05:10Z 23K followers, 8850 engagements "In terms of becoming more institutionally recognized and investable Fidelity recently added Luckin to their non-China funds. FBGRX - Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund has disclosed XXX total holdings in their latest SEC filings. Most recent portfolio value is calculated to be $ 80104602685 USD. Actual Assets Under Management (AUM) is this value plus cash (which is not disclosed). FBGRX - Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Funds top holdings are NVIDIA Corporation (US:NVDA) Inc. (US:AMZN) Microsoft Corporation (US:MSFT) Apple Inc. (US:AAPL) and Meta Platforms Inc. (US:META) . FBGRX - Fidelity Blue Chip" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978473269519917537) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-15T14:49Z 23K followers, 4614 engagements "$SPHR Guggenheim with the increased PT today to $XX. Forgot to mention that Wolfe who has been consistently ahead of the group increased their PT to $XX last week. I'm still at $XX and I'm highly confident we get another round of revisions up after earnings. 2026 Estimates are still far too conserative. Will post a data update next week with some other info but overall everything still looking solid.👍" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978823965968646612) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-16T14:02Z 23K followers, 8241 engagements "I feel wonderful. I like taking profits. I actually like taking loses more than profits but theyre fine too. Fun fact I sold my $10k of NVDA shares back in 2003 when ATi Technologies beat them to the Nintendo console deal. Thats about $XX million dollars in todays terms. Every investor can point to any investment they sold and show a disgusting large missed opportunity. Its biased to survivorship and meaningless" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1977528458054967650) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-13T00:14Z 23K followers, 32.4K engagements "@stocksforlong I'm zero hard on myself. This position is actually the hardest to justify holding in my portfolio given my style of investing and expertise" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1975908080744595701) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-08T12:56Z 23K followers, 1301 engagements "I said theres was a 20-30% chance wizard oz flops in August. It didnt. Ive also said the stock falls if theres a recession or if live nation builds a competing venue. Despite these attempted balanced disclosures in my opinion: the risk factors of consumers suddenly changing their minds and not buying tickets to something that has a history of established demand is monumentally different from the risk factors of a company that doesnt have a working scaled commercial product yet nor any consumer revenues. But thats just my crazy opinion that probably hold no real substance. ASTS has plenty of" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1977437143355298191) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-12T18:12Z 23K followers, 4439 engagements "Doing some research to comp equity markets. 🫧 (Jokes aside Seriously a great show for people with young families)" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1977471229280870533) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-12T20:27Z 23K followers, 9273 engagements "$SPHR Bloomberg interview with Irving Azoff last week. Azoff is basically the "godfather of the music industry". If pretty much anything is happening in the industry Azoff is either involved with it or aware of it. Azoff reveals tons of subtle "inside baseball" about Sphere's deals coming up with lots of big players content holders franchises etc. He reveals the plan for groundbreaking Abu Dhabi is January 1st which hasn't been previously announced. Azoff wants to get X mini spheres built. He's talking about a site that they've selected and are trying to get approvals for in Chicago. (And" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978542593060270371) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-15T19:24Z 23K followers, 21.2K engagements "Disclosure: I'm long shares of SPHR and short November Puts" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978549314159849562) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-15T19:51Z 23K followers, 5378 engagements "Should be able to zoom into the graphic to see some of the tickers. Most are deleted though. I generally only post about the stuff that I have a lot of conviction in. The more 60/40 type of bets I make are the tickers that arent shown and I dont write about them. I wrote a lot about asts when it fell from $X to $X and pagaga from $XX to $X so losers (temporarily) get spotlight too" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978674518626328649) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-16T04:09Z 23K followers, 1078 engagements "@JasonKeenX I tried to learn day trading for a summer. This is an entry from my trade journal thats now XX years old (I was XX at the time)" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978834004146036961) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-16T14:42Z 23K followers, 1898 engagements "@JasonKeenX $4000 of losses that summer realistically kicked off my entire career. Also took me $4000/$7.25 =551.724 hours working at Tim Hortons to pay back my losses" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978834490706260303) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-16T14:44Z 23K followers, 2232 engagements "Fun fact if you traded $CORZQ in the last two days there was a XXXX% chance I was your counterparty :) (Playing around with a market making bot. or just clicking a lot)" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1745678846781784186) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2024-01-12T05:27Z 23K followers, 4068 engagements "$CORZQ For you market microstructure/corporate action wonks out there this is a doozie Buying shares today will either get you: A) one newco share worth about $XXXX B) one newco share plus warrants all together worth about $1.30+ C) absolutely nothing $X Company disclosure on the topic since last night has been contradictory without any independent verification. The issue is whether this is being handled on a settle date or trade date basis and the info the company has said seems to contradict both possible options. Its a fun one. I sold my shares this morning north of $X and now Ive bought" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1749844032992190650) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2024-01-23T17:18Z 23K followers, 8107 engagements "$ASTS Pretty amazing that the short interest continues to climb. They think dumb meme/momo retail is buying this. I'm pretty sure that's not the case. Datasource: IHS Markit" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1821907257107288510) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2024-08-09T13:51Z 23K followers, 35K engagements "Interesting dynamic as markets rip all time highs tons of low quality stuff rallying to nosebleed levels. Some companies are in the process of fundamental rerates. Despite very solid fundamentals justifying the price levels (and potentially much higher) its easy to assume theyre just up because everything else is and ignore them. ABVX comes to mind as it jumped from $XX to $XX and many would say well I missed the move but the value of the drug is in the $XXX range. Buying at $XX after the news still allowed a dramatic amount of value (derisked too) for those willing to take a closer look." [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1969405471736918140) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-09-20T14:17Z 23K followers, 62.5K engagements "$CORZ + CRWV Took a break from this position (I.e. closed out all of my spreads options etc) a bit ago as the dust settled a bit. Revisiting this I've recently put on a X% long equity position in $CORZ outright. Here's my updated thoughts - HPC demand has improved not softened in the past few weeks. I think that puts increased pressure on CRWV to make sure this deal gets done. - HPC comps (IREN/WULF/APLD etc) have all traded up dramatically. I think this means CORZ shareholders have more bargaining power to try to extract the full $XXXXX out of the CRWV deal. - With HPC comps up there's more" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1971593540485415314) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-09-26T15:11Z 23K followers, 10.8K engagements "This was me. The idea is that it's really hard(impossible)* to see us with a negative/bad print for Q3 earnings. Maybe it's a "sell the news" earnings event but even so I firmly believe the company would be buying back stock in the low 50's which would cushion losses on this trade if they were to occur. In other words I think the left tail of the distribution is far less likely than what the options IV implies so I'm selling that tail. Maybe the put is worth $XXXX ish as my "fair value" and market price is $XXXX so $XXXX alpha x 1000 contracts = $165k or a little more than XX bps of" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1975945771649224982) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-08T15:25Z 23K followers, 100.6K engagements "@penny_ether I don't know the complex so yeah maybe you're in an illiquid corner of "fed funds rate bets" that is less efficient" [X Link](https://x.com/KevinLMak/status/1978901920228978718) [@KevinLMak](/creator/x/KevinLMak) 2025-10-16T19:12Z 23K followers, XXX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@KevinLMak
"$CORZ CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) CEO Michael Intrator said the Core Scientific (NASDAQ:CORZ) deal "represents the value for them" he said in an interview with Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. This has some people spooked and the arb spread (premium) for CORZ has fallen dramatically in the last XX hours. I'd caution that him saying that is largely expected it doesn't make sense to increase the bid right now (wait until the last minute and only do it if you have to do it). As a comp here's the Cenovus announcement that just happened this morning. Cenovus Energy Inc. raised its takeover offer for MEG"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-08T18:08Z 23K followers, 13.3K engagements
"$SPHR To clarify my use of the word "weak" refers to your outlook on the company not the quality of the write up. But yes I think the rationale is not well substantiated. Specifically: a) MSGN is not a real catalyst. The equity contribution to the parent is near-zero in most/all scenarios because of the non-recourse nature of the remaining debt and the warrants/payments/etc associated with the upside scenarios. b) You note 'From the Edge being planned to take over from WoZ'. This isn't happening. They're not going to turn WOZ off and turn FTE on. It will be some sort of revenue mix (like"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-06T03:39Z 23K followers, 30K engagements
"$SPHR JP Morgan raises PT ahead of Q3 print from $XX to $XX Q3 AOI up to $13M from $11M Q3 Revenue up to $171M from $168M FY26 AOI up to $170M from $136M a XX% increase. They've done a good job substantiating their view: "To the extent WoZ can maintain its current momentum there could be notable upside to our estimates for the quarter. Looking further out we model a modest attendance deceleration beginning in Q126 and extending through Q326 based on prior seasonality observed for Postcard from Earth with a rebound in Q426." Personally I think Q4 does maintain momentum and so we're aligned"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-08T14:37Z 23K followers, 7590 engagements
"This post got a lot of traction so I want to circle back on it and go over more concepts. Mainly because I absolutely hate "cash secured put selling for yield" type of "strategies" and want to firmly dispel that notion on this trade here. When you're buying or selling an option you're betting on future volatility of the stock. Volatility is typically expressed as a distribution. (Black curve below) What implied volatility is basically pricing is how "fat" the distribution is. How likely is it that a stock could move up or down 10-20% etc. When there's earnings coming up the "IV ramps" because"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-09T03:26Z 23K followers, 42.6K engagements
"Yea this is the incorrect way to look at it but very common. A cash secured put is very similar to a GTC buy order with two key exceptions you CAN cancel a gtc order and you benefit from a better fill price if the market gaps down overnight. These differences are crucial because its what youre getting paid for (via collecting the premium). So its not the same thing except youre collecting a premium its youre collecting a premium because youre taking more risk. Its a small but extremely important difference. Because implicitly (and explicitly in your comment) youre only selling the put if the"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-09T05:10Z 23K followers, 8850 engagements
"In terms of becoming more institutionally recognized and investable Fidelity recently added Luckin to their non-China funds. FBGRX - Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund has disclosed XXX total holdings in their latest SEC filings. Most recent portfolio value is calculated to be $ 80104602685 USD. Actual Assets Under Management (AUM) is this value plus cash (which is not disclosed). FBGRX - Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Funds top holdings are NVIDIA Corporation (US:NVDA) Inc. (US:AMZN) Microsoft Corporation (US:MSFT) Apple Inc. (US:AAPL) and Meta Platforms Inc. (US:META) . FBGRX - Fidelity Blue Chip"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-15T14:49Z 23K followers, 4614 engagements
"$SPHR Guggenheim with the increased PT today to $XX. Forgot to mention that Wolfe who has been consistently ahead of the group increased their PT to $XX last week. I'm still at $XX and I'm highly confident we get another round of revisions up after earnings. 2026 Estimates are still far too conserative. Will post a data update next week with some other info but overall everything still looking solid.👍"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-16T14:02Z 23K followers, 8241 engagements
"I feel wonderful. I like taking profits. I actually like taking loses more than profits but theyre fine too. Fun fact I sold my $10k of NVDA shares back in 2003 when ATi Technologies beat them to the Nintendo console deal. Thats about $XX million dollars in todays terms. Every investor can point to any investment they sold and show a disgusting large missed opportunity. Its biased to survivorship and meaningless"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-13T00:14Z 23K followers, 32.4K engagements
"@stocksforlong I'm zero hard on myself. This position is actually the hardest to justify holding in my portfolio given my style of investing and expertise"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-08T12:56Z 23K followers, 1301 engagements
"I said theres was a 20-30% chance wizard oz flops in August. It didnt. Ive also said the stock falls if theres a recession or if live nation builds a competing venue. Despite these attempted balanced disclosures in my opinion: the risk factors of consumers suddenly changing their minds and not buying tickets to something that has a history of established demand is monumentally different from the risk factors of a company that doesnt have a working scaled commercial product yet nor any consumer revenues. But thats just my crazy opinion that probably hold no real substance. ASTS has plenty of"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-12T18:12Z 23K followers, 4439 engagements
"Doing some research to comp equity markets. 🫧 (Jokes aside Seriously a great show for people with young families)"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-12T20:27Z 23K followers, 9273 engagements
"$SPHR Bloomberg interview with Irving Azoff last week. Azoff is basically the "godfather of the music industry". If pretty much anything is happening in the industry Azoff is either involved with it or aware of it. Azoff reveals tons of subtle "inside baseball" about Sphere's deals coming up with lots of big players content holders franchises etc. He reveals the plan for groundbreaking Abu Dhabi is January 1st which hasn't been previously announced. Azoff wants to get X mini spheres built. He's talking about a site that they've selected and are trying to get approvals for in Chicago. (And"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-15T19:24Z 23K followers, 21.2K engagements
"Disclosure: I'm long shares of SPHR and short November Puts"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-15T19:51Z 23K followers, 5378 engagements
"Should be able to zoom into the graphic to see some of the tickers. Most are deleted though. I generally only post about the stuff that I have a lot of conviction in. The more 60/40 type of bets I make are the tickers that arent shown and I dont write about them. I wrote a lot about asts when it fell from $X to $X and pagaga from $XX to $X so losers (temporarily) get spotlight too"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-16T04:09Z 23K followers, 1078 engagements
"@JasonKeenX I tried to learn day trading for a summer. This is an entry from my trade journal thats now XX years old (I was XX at the time)"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-16T14:42Z 23K followers, 1898 engagements
"@JasonKeenX $4000 of losses that summer realistically kicked off my entire career. Also took me $4000/$7.25 =551.724 hours working at Tim Hortons to pay back my losses"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-16T14:44Z 23K followers, 2232 engagements
"Fun fact if you traded $CORZQ in the last two days there was a XXXX% chance I was your counterparty :) (Playing around with a market making bot. or just clicking a lot)"
X Link @KevinLMak 2024-01-12T05:27Z 23K followers, 4068 engagements
"$CORZQ For you market microstructure/corporate action wonks out there this is a doozie Buying shares today will either get you: A) one newco share worth about $XXXX B) one newco share plus warrants all together worth about $1.30+ C) absolutely nothing $X Company disclosure on the topic since last night has been contradictory without any independent verification. The issue is whether this is being handled on a settle date or trade date basis and the info the company has said seems to contradict both possible options. Its a fun one. I sold my shares this morning north of $X and now Ive bought"
X Link @KevinLMak 2024-01-23T17:18Z 23K followers, 8107 engagements
"$ASTS Pretty amazing that the short interest continues to climb. They think dumb meme/momo retail is buying this. I'm pretty sure that's not the case. Datasource: IHS Markit"
X Link @KevinLMak 2024-08-09T13:51Z 23K followers, 35K engagements
"Interesting dynamic as markets rip all time highs tons of low quality stuff rallying to nosebleed levels. Some companies are in the process of fundamental rerates. Despite very solid fundamentals justifying the price levels (and potentially much higher) its easy to assume theyre just up because everything else is and ignore them. ABVX comes to mind as it jumped from $XX to $XX and many would say well I missed the move but the value of the drug is in the $XXX range. Buying at $XX after the news still allowed a dramatic amount of value (derisked too) for those willing to take a closer look."
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-09-20T14:17Z 23K followers, 62.5K engagements
"$CORZ + CRWV Took a break from this position (I.e. closed out all of my spreads options etc) a bit ago as the dust settled a bit. Revisiting this I've recently put on a X% long equity position in $CORZ outright. Here's my updated thoughts - HPC demand has improved not softened in the past few weeks. I think that puts increased pressure on CRWV to make sure this deal gets done. - HPC comps (IREN/WULF/APLD etc) have all traded up dramatically. I think this means CORZ shareholders have more bargaining power to try to extract the full $XXXXX out of the CRWV deal. - With HPC comps up there's more"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-09-26T15:11Z 23K followers, 10.8K engagements
"This was me. The idea is that it's really hard(impossible)* to see us with a negative/bad print for Q3 earnings. Maybe it's a "sell the news" earnings event but even so I firmly believe the company would be buying back stock in the low 50's which would cushion losses on this trade if they were to occur. In other words I think the left tail of the distribution is far less likely than what the options IV implies so I'm selling that tail. Maybe the put is worth $XXXX ish as my "fair value" and market price is $XXXX so $XXXX alpha x 1000 contracts = $165k or a little more than XX bps of"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-08T15:25Z 23K followers, 100.6K engagements
"@penny_ether I don't know the complex so yeah maybe you're in an illiquid corner of "fed funds rate bets" that is less efficient"
X Link @KevinLMak 2025-10-16T19:12Z 23K followers, XXX engagements
/creator/twitter::956250651486400512/posts