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[@robinhanson](/creator/twitter/robinhanson)
"The type of person that the current generation of LLMs seem to me to most benefit are: polymaths. They can now more easily learn the basics of many new fields. LLMs seem much less useful to folks focused on particular areas where they are already near the world frontier"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1950599517947990213) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-07-30T16:49Z 114.3K followers, 39.8K engagements


"The X alg has decided I want to see lots of posts on zcash in the last week; I have no idea why"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976060490955837719) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-08T23:01Z 114.2K followers, 8746 engagements


"A bit odd actually that democracy ever elected anyone else but populists. Past elites apparently actually gained the respect of the masses. How did they do that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976394368786563559) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-09T21:08Z 114.3K followers, 35.6K engagements


"So I hope to be proven right on many things but not to get that much more respect and inclusion as a result"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976733539866734934) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-10T19:36Z 114.3K followers, 23.9K engagements


"The more you see that people aren't usually much rewarded for being right the bigger an advantage we can see in prediction markets adding to such rewards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976749748485791995) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-10T20:40Z 114.3K followers, 21.9K engagements


"Inflation winter is coming:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1977754199577231773) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-13T15:12Z 114.3K followers, 9784 engagements


"On a plane as you walk past 1st & bus. class seats on your way to your coach seat do you feel (A) resentment re their ostentatious display of wealth or (B) gratitude that that they by paying more $/sqft of plane space make your seats cheaper"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978235531252084948) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-14T23:04Z 114.2K followers, 31.1K engagements


"'There are certain altitudes where weve already passed the threshold for the Kessler syndrome' McKnight says. For instance at XXX km altitude as well as at XXX km and XXX km the collision risk is scaling up rapidly.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978512406448832770) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-15T17:24Z 114.3K followers, 5558 engagements


"Overwhelming majority claim to feel nothing at all when they walk past 1st class to get to their plane seats"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978625525074493844) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-16T00:54Z 114.2K followers, 18.7K engagements


"LLMs seem to me to give much longer answers than a human would to the same question. Why A suggestive analogy: Students unsure of exam answers often write overly long essays hoping that something in them will get partial credit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978811807234965682) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-16T13:14Z 114.3K followers, 11.5K engagements


"couples counselor demanded that he renounce his politics before she would discuss his marriage. . prior therapist steered every session back to race and politics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1980242535332389169) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-20T11:59Z 114.3K followers, 6400 engagements


"Also polls got unusually few responses suggesting people find it hard to choose here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1979604616451944825) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-18T17:44Z 114.3K followers, 2472 engagements


"Consistent rise & fall of civs requires something bad to accumulate over centuries. Which is most common (A) Degrade environment deplete resources (B) Inequality including elite numbers & aspirations (C) Org/institution inflexibility (D) Values norms and status markers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1980287521243234344) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-20T14:58Z 114.3K followers, 2723 engagements


"Historically sports betting has been legal and illegal for long periods in each Western nation. How long (if ever) til a big fall in the legality of US sports betting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976644645179588996) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-10T13:43Z 114.3K followers, 10.5K engagements


"The number of claims in MSM is many orders of magnitude larger than the number of claims in all the prediction markets put together. Implausible that will be in the same ballpark anytime in the next few decades. So MSM is safe. It should cite pred. mkt. more often though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976667718725079251) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-10T15:14Z 114.3K followers, 7677 engagements


"Median estimate of X years til big fall of legality of US sports betting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1977011296919826734) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-11T13:59Z 114.3K followers, 7077 engagements


""It probably will not happen on Monday but it is time to give Robin Hanson the father of prediction markets and Vitalik Buterin the co-father of Ethereum a Nobel prize in economics for applied mechanism design.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976406445173375185) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-09T21:56Z 114.3K followers, 60.2K engagements


"Years ago a NYC based software firm ran some prediction markets hoping in part to find & promote "diamonds in the rough" employees who predict especially well. They did find such but then said "Oh not them"; such folks didn't have the polish & style they wanted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1976716452234186994) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-10T18:28Z 114.3K followers, 201.5K engagements


""you could easily have someone looking at Pagerank in 1997 and doing a 'bio risk uplift study' and deciding Google and search is a threat to mankind. or 'microprocessor computational safety' in the 1980s forecasting Moore's law as the chart that leads us to doom.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978484805948854767) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-15T15:35Z 114.3K followers, 12.3K engagements


""SpaceXs Starlink satellites maneuvered around possible debris impacts 144404 times over the first half of 2025.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978510939801416039) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-15T17:19Z 114.3K followers, 9081 engagements


"Does he understand that this would crash civilization"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978555565853794366) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-15T20:16Z 114.3K followers, 37.3K engagements


"@DefenderOfBasic And you more trust the people with polish and style"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1978947051686629594) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-16T22:11Z 114.3K followers, 1917 engagements


"Rational probabilities should follow a zero-mean random walk in time. So they can have risen but you can't expect them to rise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1979679701087215701) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-18T22:43Z 114.3K followers, 40.7K engagements


"My employer & others I'm told insist on bricking laptops more than a few years old due to "security" issues. Is this really the future of computers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1979957232214106123) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-19T17:06Z 114.3K followers, 7196 engagements


"@Jess_Riedel Unusable to employees who cant sell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1979973494851919976) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-19T18:10Z 114.3K followers, XXX engagements


"@lacker @Jess_Riedel Employers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1980237268775485568) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-20T11:38Z 114.3K followers, XX engagements


"@lacker @Jess_Riedel I didnt say I got a new one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1980294718849237448) [@robinhanson](/creator/x/robinhanson) 2025-10-20T15:27Z 114.3K followers, XX engagements