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[@adrianwjfritz](/creator/twitter/adrianwjfritz)
"10/ More jurisdictions will reconsider retail crypto bans UK Japan Korea loosening restrictions. Demand & hacks push reg toward safer access. Retail now drives 70%+ of ETP inflows in the US Rating: 4/5 clear shift: regulated access replacing offshore workarounds"  
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"🚨 Mid-Year Crypto Outlook Check-in 🔍📊Back in Jan we made bold calls for 2025. Now that were halfway through the year heres how those predictions are playing out. 🧵 Lets dive in:"  
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"1/ Another nation-state will adopt BTC as a strategic reserve The US launched its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Pakistan followed. Several US states are debating BTC reserve laws. Corporates added 250K BTC YTD Rating: 4/5 Bitcoin adoption to be continued"  
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"4/ Crypto ETPs will drive institutional adoption reaching $250B in AUM Global AUM stands at $180B (as of June-25) with strong flows. One ETF broke into the worlds top XX Rating: 4/5 Institutions are coming through regulated rails and the train is accelerating"  
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"2/ Bitcoins scalability solutions will drive TVL to $10B TVL hit $9.5B by end of June - up from $1.7B when we made the call. Babylon and CoreDAO alone drove $6.2B+. 'Staking' L2s yield opportunities are giving BTC new utility Rating: 5/5 Bitcoin's utility is evolving"  
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"Bonus/ Decentralized broadband will keep growing Helium partnered with AT&T and Telefnica. Subscriber growth is up 150%. SEC dropped its case. Rating: 5/5 Real-world adoption is here - and its scaling fast"  
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"5/ Solana will keep eating Ethereums mkt share and hit a new TVL high Solana is delivering: MetaMask added SOL. BUIDL now on Solana. Kraken R3 firms like DeFi Dev Corp are integrating. Alpenglow brings new tech faster finality Rating: 4/5 Solana to continue its rise"  
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"6/ UX-first L1s will drive the next wave of smart contract platforms TON Sui made progress but Solana BNB and Base are dominating. Hyperliquid & Solanas seamless UX lead the charge Rating: 2/5 Infra alone wont win the next wave of adoption - ease of use does"  
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"8/ Stablecoins will deepen integration into TradFi Stablecoin AUM at ATH: $252B (+$100B YoY) Stripe Shopify Standard Chartered are building full stablecoin stacks The GENIUS Act seals the deal. Rating: 5/5 Stablecoins will continue to be cryptos killer use case"  
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"7/ Revenue-sharing will change the DeFi investment case Aave and HyperLiquid lead with buybacks or partial sharing. Still direct revenue sharing remains rare regulatory clarity still missing Rating: 3/5 Yield-bearing tokens are coming but slowly"  
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