[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@oren_cass](/creator/twitter/oren_cass) "🧵Happy 25th Anniversary of granting permanent normal trade relations to China for those few who still celebrate Today I'm counting down XX classic examples of the failed consensus that led us off the cliff (h/t @AmerCompass Wrong All Along project)" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1976645366813433990) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-10T13:45Z 49.3K followers, 48K engagements ""Where GM stood poised XX years ago to support American war efforts todays hottest U.S. company Nvidia insists on selling its advanced semiconductors with potential military applications to China." Read the whole thing" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1978904747265470838) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-16T19:23Z 49.3K followers, 6715 engagements "The idea of spheres of influence offends liberal internationalist sensibilities. During the cold war @TheEconomist argued in July American- and Soviet-led blocs amounted to spheres of influence. After the USSR fell both Democratic and Republican administrations repudiated such spheres as deplorable artefacts of the past calling instead for a liberal world order open to all. That is true as a descriptive matter but it only underscores the wishful thinking that underpinned the repudiation. What happens to a liberal world order open to all when some accept the invitation to join but not the" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1979238792700793119) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-17T17:31Z 49.3K followers, 2327 engagements "According to Kit Smemo @jacobin a focus on immigration enforcement attempts "to improve the working conditions and living standards of workers without wholly alienating employers and investors." Methinks he hasn't spoken to a lot of employer groups and investors about that" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1979598443321463244) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-18T17:20Z 49.3K followers, 1174 engagements "@jacobin The Left's cognitive dissonance on immigration produces ideas like this: Mandatory E-Verify "empowers capital on the job by providing new technologies and capacities for the Department of Homeland Security to (re)classify those who have standing as citizen-workers." @jacobin" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1979599390148067816) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-18T17:24Z 49.3K followers, 1166 engagements "Economists and reporters assumed we should only ever max out immigration and imports screamed at the prospect of enforcement and tariffs and now as we reduce the illegal population and begin reshoring they just get confused by the old models instead of looking out the window" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1975204013865074993) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-06T14:18Z 49.3K followers, 86.2K engagements "Native-born male unemployment rate: - Last August: XXX% - This August: XXX% A level-to-falling unemployment rate with net negative job creation. How could this be How could this be Understanding directionally what is going on in the labor market is just not very hard if you start from the basic reality that a lot of illegal workers are exiting the labor force reducing net job growth especially in those areas where their influx during the Biden years artificially goosed job growth and that's just fine for workers who are supposed to be here. Understanding it is _very_ hard and leads to tweets" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1975265306978213999) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-06T18:22Z 49.2K followers, 26.1K engagements "This is a great question about the data on native-born women which shows a rising unemployment rate and an even sharper drop in the employment-to-population ratio (that is labor force participation rate falling as well). Discussion on the point would be welcome. Regardless it's not the question we were discussing which started with @mtkonczal posting that "native-born unemployment rate is increasing more subindustries are losing jobs than gaining and as tariffs hit production health care industries are providing 100%+ of job growth while men are losing jobs." While posting the data overall" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1975885285503197215) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-08T11:25Z 49.2K followers, 8090 engagements "Love this new essay from @chris_griz @commonplc: I Sharpie "Wherever you look you will find carefully calculated decisions by producers responding to market incentives determining how things are made. But perhaps in my simplicity I am an especially useful case."" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1977876144042217494) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-13T23:16Z 49.2K followers, 8563 engagements ""Someone explain why we source them from communist China instead of Montana & Colorado" So there was this market fundamentalism promoted by people like Steve Moore at organizations like the Club for Growth and editorial pages like the Wall Street Journal's and they said" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1978224824464945237) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-14T22:22Z 49.3K followers, 21.9K engagements "Really nice piece from @MarkADiPlacido @commonplc on the definition of an American corporation and how we could measure it if we wanted. Why isn't Commerce collecting and publishing these metrics for all major corporations Perhaps they could affect a corp's tax rate" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1978904322231480706) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-16T19:22Z 49.3K followers, 6140 engagements "1/ Why is American Compass launching Commonplace a new magazine about what matters in America (Follow: @commonplc) For the same reason we launched @AmerCompass: to do the work of revitalizing conservatism which legacy institutions have proved themselves incapable of. 🧵" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1866926387963027660) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2024-12-11T19:21Z 49.3K followers, 296.5K engagements "I write one thing each year that I ask everyone to please read. This year's is here leading the new issue of @ForeignAffairs and outside the paywall: A Grand Strategy of Reciprocity How to Build an Economic and Security Order That Works for America" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1979161754694230110) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-17T12:25Z 49.3K followers, 79.6K engagements "If you want to understand how far up a creek without a paddle the Left is on immigration enforcement read Jacobin's attempt to explain why Mandatory E-Verify "empowers capital." Couldn't make this stuff up" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1979597804491215047) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-18T17:17Z 49.3K followers, 21.9K engagements "👀Palantir via CTO @ssankar calls Jensen Huang @nvidia one of China's "useful idiots" in the pages of the Wall Street Journal. That escalated quickly. Underscores both the stakes in China and how far out of bounds @nvidia has gone" [X Link](https://x.com/oren_cass/status/1979612580768281063) [@oren_cass](/creator/x/oren_cass) 2025-10-18T18:16Z 49.3K followers, 176.6K engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@oren_cass
"🧵Happy 25th Anniversary of granting permanent normal trade relations to China for those few who still celebrate Today I'm counting down XX classic examples of the failed consensus that led us off the cliff (h/t @AmerCompass Wrong All Along project)"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-10T13:45Z 49.3K followers, 48K engagements
""Where GM stood poised XX years ago to support American war efforts todays hottest U.S. company Nvidia insists on selling its advanced semiconductors with potential military applications to China." Read the whole thing"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-16T19:23Z 49.3K followers, 6715 engagements
"The idea of spheres of influence offends liberal internationalist sensibilities. During the cold war @TheEconomist argued in July American- and Soviet-led blocs amounted to spheres of influence. After the USSR fell both Democratic and Republican administrations repudiated such spheres as deplorable artefacts of the past calling instead for a liberal world order open to all. That is true as a descriptive matter but it only underscores the wishful thinking that underpinned the repudiation. What happens to a liberal world order open to all when some accept the invitation to join but not the"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-17T17:31Z 49.3K followers, 2327 engagements
"According to Kit Smemo @jacobin a focus on immigration enforcement attempts "to improve the working conditions and living standards of workers without wholly alienating employers and investors." Methinks he hasn't spoken to a lot of employer groups and investors about that"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-18T17:20Z 49.3K followers, 1174 engagements
"@jacobin The Left's cognitive dissonance on immigration produces ideas like this: Mandatory E-Verify "empowers capital on the job by providing new technologies and capacities for the Department of Homeland Security to (re)classify those who have standing as citizen-workers." @jacobin"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-18T17:24Z 49.3K followers, 1166 engagements
"Economists and reporters assumed we should only ever max out immigration and imports screamed at the prospect of enforcement and tariffs and now as we reduce the illegal population and begin reshoring they just get confused by the old models instead of looking out the window"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-06T14:18Z 49.3K followers, 86.2K engagements
"Native-born male unemployment rate: - Last August: XXX% - This August: XXX% A level-to-falling unemployment rate with net negative job creation. How could this be How could this be Understanding directionally what is going on in the labor market is just not very hard if you start from the basic reality that a lot of illegal workers are exiting the labor force reducing net job growth especially in those areas where their influx during the Biden years artificially goosed job growth and that's just fine for workers who are supposed to be here. Understanding it is very hard and leads to tweets"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-06T18:22Z 49.2K followers, 26.1K engagements
"This is a great question about the data on native-born women which shows a rising unemployment rate and an even sharper drop in the employment-to-population ratio (that is labor force participation rate falling as well). Discussion on the point would be welcome. Regardless it's not the question we were discussing which started with @mtkonczal posting that "native-born unemployment rate is increasing more subindustries are losing jobs than gaining and as tariffs hit production health care industries are providing 100%+ of job growth while men are losing jobs." While posting the data overall"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-08T11:25Z 49.2K followers, 8090 engagements
"Love this new essay from @chris_griz @commonplc: I Sharpie "Wherever you look you will find carefully calculated decisions by producers responding to market incentives determining how things are made. But perhaps in my simplicity I am an especially useful case.""
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-13T23:16Z 49.2K followers, 8563 engagements
""Someone explain why we source them from communist China instead of Montana & Colorado" So there was this market fundamentalism promoted by people like Steve Moore at organizations like the Club for Growth and editorial pages like the Wall Street Journal's and they said"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-14T22:22Z 49.3K followers, 21.9K engagements
"Really nice piece from @MarkADiPlacido @commonplc on the definition of an American corporation and how we could measure it if we wanted. Why isn't Commerce collecting and publishing these metrics for all major corporations Perhaps they could affect a corp's tax rate"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-16T19:22Z 49.3K followers, 6140 engagements
"1/ Why is American Compass launching Commonplace a new magazine about what matters in America (Follow: @commonplc) For the same reason we launched @AmerCompass: to do the work of revitalizing conservatism which legacy institutions have proved themselves incapable of. 🧵"
X Link @oren_cass 2024-12-11T19:21Z 49.3K followers, 296.5K engagements
"I write one thing each year that I ask everyone to please read. This year's is here leading the new issue of @ForeignAffairs and outside the paywall: A Grand Strategy of Reciprocity How to Build an Economic and Security Order That Works for America"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-17T12:25Z 49.3K followers, 79.6K engagements
"If you want to understand how far up a creek without a paddle the Left is on immigration enforcement read Jacobin's attempt to explain why Mandatory E-Verify "empowers capital." Couldn't make this stuff up"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-18T17:17Z 49.3K followers, 21.9K engagements
"👀Palantir via CTO @ssankar calls Jensen Huang @nvidia one of China's "useful idiots" in the pages of the Wall Street Journal. That escalated quickly. Underscores both the stakes in China and how far out of bounds @nvidia has gone"
X Link @oren_cass 2025-10-18T18:16Z 49.3K followers, 176.6K engagements
/creator/twitter::423532685/posts