[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@KasperStats](/creator/twitter/KasperStats) "To be clear they're making it look like they're claiming accuracy in the measurement process to the TEN BILLIONTH of a foot"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1945107011860926872) 2025-07-15 13:03:44 UTC 2379 followers, 2.1M engagements "I have zero doubt they did NOT intend to present it this way it's just when you're storing a decimal number you might as well store as much of it as you can. but it woulda been a non-issue if they just said "470.5 and 470.6""  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1945129018870698481) 2025-07-15 14:31:11 UTC 2379 followers, 62.7K engagements "@notgaetti Everyone should be like Sandy Koufax -- XX complete games in back-to-back years (Don't look at what happened to him after or why those were his last two seasons or why he only pitched XX years)"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947657571114094619) 2025-07-22 13:58:45 UTC 2380 followers, 6468 engagements "People will believe ANYTHING rather than face the fact that pitching has just outpaced hitting over the last XX years. (Apologies for the profanity in the quoted tweet)"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947655993766400137) 2025-07-22 13:52:29 UTC 2379 followers, 66.7K engagements "@BigBlueLukeE It's absolutely true that the modern approach has lowered BA as well but people see the decline in BA as an *inherent* problem rather than just a symptom of a recognition of how runs are actually scored"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947687747898298770) 2025-07-22 15:58:40 UTC 2380 followers, 1355 engagements "OPS is to baseball what GDP is to economics; it has no business being as good of a metric as it is and yet"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1946989859979055203) 2025-07-20 17:45:30 UTC 2372 followers, 149.9K engagements "From the exact same 10-year dataset R-Squared with Runs per Game: OPS: .863 O2PS: .853 O3PS: .836 O4PS: .821 OP2S: .858 OP3S: .852 OP4S: .848 It really legitimately is magic"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947506519421161477) 2025-07-22 03:58:31 UTC 2379 followers, 18K engagements "@philliesandawgs So that's not QUITE the right takeaway and in retrospect I should've left avg. exit velo off -- it is a PERIPHERAL metric (rather than an events-based one like "walks" or "batting average") and peripheral metrics will never correlate well with final results like runs when"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1946989229453516879) 2025-07-20 17:43:00 UTC 2370 followers, 1499 engagements "It's probably time the correlations list got updated so here we go XX years of MLB seasons (300 team-seasons of data) spanning 22763 games and over XXX million pitches. This shows the relative impact that various stats have on a team's ability to score runs"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1946828722025226432) 2025-07-20 07:05:12 UTC 2382 followers, 216.5K engagements "@LeeTrocinski Analytics nerds get accused of "math over winning" all the time and it turns out all along we're the ones who care about winning"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1948421745083318600) 2025-07-24 16:35:18 UTC 2383 followers, XX engagements "@eldiesel87 @notgaetti I already said I'd rather be Koufax a million times out of a million. I'd give it all for my team and put everything on the line. All I'm saying is can you be surprised that MLB teams DON'T encourage that when many of their players represent 8- to 9-figure investments"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947852843496489127) 2025-07-23 02:54:41 UTC 2379 followers, 3760 engagements "@werter34r This is a great point yes -- just because something doesn't correlate well to runs/game doesn't mean it's a *bad* stat especially things like BB % or exit velo. I included some of those for some variation but things like exit velo and other peripheral metrics shouldn't"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947309291800506628) 2025-07-21 14:54:49 UTC 2377 followers, XX engagements "@Daviscornell2 @GreatWhite85 @RyanGarciaESM To be fair there are much worse stats they just weren't included -- and this is TEAM-specific as well. but when I've done player-specific correlations between contact % and OPS it's very clear that how frequently you put the ball in play has no impact on productivity"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947340150163243066) 2025-07-21 16:57:26 UTC 2378 followers, XX engagements "@sunshinevvn I'll look into that I've gotten some great suggestions and I have some I want to add so I'll put that on the list :) I also want to correlate it to Runs/PA instead of Runs/Game"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947520882420674809) 2025-07-22 04:55:36 UTC 2379 followers, XXX engagements "@werter34r I'm writing a pretty long-form and in-depth article that'll come out (hopefully later this month) and it talks about how a lot of those peripheral metrics (exit velo launch angle etc.) can't correlate well to things like RUNS because there's so much noise and the distributio"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947313202942881801) 2025-07-21 15:10:21 UTC 2375 followers, XX engagements "i mean i've been eating a ton of McDonalds this week and feelin' chunky but i guess i could post the 6-pack if you guys REALLY wanted"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1948417422295204319) 2025-07-24 16:18:07 UTC 2382 followers, XXX engagements "@BravesStash Here's an example of what I mean -- OPS outperformed AVG as a predictor of run scoring in XX straight seasons even before OPS existed as a concept. The game DEFINITELY changed in this time span (imagine guys from '72 playing guys in 2022 😂) but the important metrics didn't"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1939704482520035802) 2025-06-30 15:16:01 UTC 2379 followers, 20.5K engagements "@werter34r And the other reason I like including the xStats is not that their main goal IS to correlate to real results but rather to show that things like xwOBA STILL correlate higher than say batting average"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947310579607105937) 2025-07-21 14:59:56 UTC 2375 followers, XX engagements "@sunshinevvn I've got a whole bunch of player-level stuff I'm preparing for tomorrow Would you say there's still value in the team-level correlations like these or is there just too much "noise" to determine anything"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947526016349397415) 2025-07-22 05:16:00 UTC 2372 followers, XXX engagements "@dren_braves That's the reason I left off things like "RBI per game" and stuff like that but I included wRC because it's basically a projection from wOBA and a whole bunch of other stuff so it *really* is not based at all on real runs yet manages to come incredibly close"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1947515596947726502) 2025-07-22 04:34:36 UTC 2379 followers, XX engagements "@ProGenitor09 @YankeesFiles For the most part I took away either a) peripheral metrics (which will never correlate well with results like runs they need to be correlated to intermediary results metrics like OPS/wOBA) and also non-rate stats like "number of singles." Those"  [@KasperStats](/creator/x/KasperStats) on [X](/post/tweet/1946998677874049339) 2025-07-20 18:20:32 UTC 2372 followers, 2739 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@KasperStats
"To be clear they're making it look like they're claiming accuracy in the measurement process to the TEN BILLIONTH of a foot"
@KasperStats on X 2025-07-15 13:03:44 UTC 2379 followers, 2.1M engagements
"I have zero doubt they did NOT intend to present it this way it's just when you're storing a decimal number you might as well store as much of it as you can. but it woulda been a non-issue if they just said "470.5 and 470.6"" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-15 14:31:11 UTC 2379 followers, 62.7K engagements
"@notgaetti Everyone should be like Sandy Koufax -- XX complete games in back-to-back years (Don't look at what happened to him after or why those were his last two seasons or why he only pitched XX years)" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 13:58:45 UTC 2380 followers, 6468 engagements
"People will believe ANYTHING rather than face the fact that pitching has just outpaced hitting over the last XX years. (Apologies for the profanity in the quoted tweet)" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 13:52:29 UTC 2379 followers, 66.7K engagements
"@BigBlueLukeE It's absolutely true that the modern approach has lowered BA as well but people see the decline in BA as an inherent problem rather than just a symptom of a recognition of how runs are actually scored" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 15:58:40 UTC 2380 followers, 1355 engagements
"OPS is to baseball what GDP is to economics; it has no business being as good of a metric as it is and yet" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-20 17:45:30 UTC 2372 followers, 149.9K engagements
"From the exact same 10-year dataset R-Squared with Runs per Game: OPS: .863 O2PS: .853 O3PS: .836 O4PS: .821 OP2S: .858 OP3S: .852 OP4S: .848 It really legitimately is magic" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 03:58:31 UTC 2379 followers, 18K engagements
"@philliesandawgs So that's not QUITE the right takeaway and in retrospect I should've left avg. exit velo off -- it is a PERIPHERAL metric (rather than an events-based one like "walks" or "batting average") and peripheral metrics will never correlate well with final results like runs when" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-20 17:43:00 UTC 2370 followers, 1499 engagements
"It's probably time the correlations list got updated so here we go XX years of MLB seasons (300 team-seasons of data) spanning 22763 games and over XXX million pitches. This shows the relative impact that various stats have on a team's ability to score runs" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-20 07:05:12 UTC 2382 followers, 216.5K engagements
"@LeeTrocinski Analytics nerds get accused of "math over winning" all the time and it turns out all along we're the ones who care about winning" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-24 16:35:18 UTC 2383 followers, XX engagements
"@eldiesel87 @notgaetti I already said I'd rather be Koufax a million times out of a million. I'd give it all for my team and put everything on the line. All I'm saying is can you be surprised that MLB teams DON'T encourage that when many of their players represent 8- to 9-figure investments" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-23 02:54:41 UTC 2379 followers, 3760 engagements
"@werter34r This is a great point yes -- just because something doesn't correlate well to runs/game doesn't mean it's a bad stat especially things like BB % or exit velo. I included some of those for some variation but things like exit velo and other peripheral metrics shouldn't" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-21 14:54:49 UTC 2377 followers, XX engagements
"@Daviscornell2 @GreatWhite85 @RyanGarciaESM To be fair there are much worse stats they just weren't included -- and this is TEAM-specific as well. but when I've done player-specific correlations between contact % and OPS it's very clear that how frequently you put the ball in play has no impact on productivity" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-21 16:57:26 UTC 2378 followers, XX engagements
"@sunshinevvn I'll look into that I've gotten some great suggestions and I have some I want to add so I'll put that on the list :) I also want to correlate it to Runs/PA instead of Runs/Game" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 04:55:36 UTC 2379 followers, XXX engagements
"@werter34r I'm writing a pretty long-form and in-depth article that'll come out (hopefully later this month) and it talks about how a lot of those peripheral metrics (exit velo launch angle etc.) can't correlate well to things like RUNS because there's so much noise and the distributio" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-21 15:10:21 UTC 2375 followers, XX engagements
"i mean i've been eating a ton of McDonalds this week and feelin' chunky but i guess i could post the 6-pack if you guys REALLY wanted" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-24 16:18:07 UTC 2382 followers, XXX engagements
"@BravesStash Here's an example of what I mean -- OPS outperformed AVG as a predictor of run scoring in XX straight seasons even before OPS existed as a concept. The game DEFINITELY changed in this time span (imagine guys from '72 playing guys in 2022 😂) but the important metrics didn't" @KasperStats on X 2025-06-30 15:16:01 UTC 2379 followers, 20.5K engagements
"@werter34r And the other reason I like including the xStats is not that their main goal IS to correlate to real results but rather to show that things like xwOBA STILL correlate higher than say batting average" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-21 14:59:56 UTC 2375 followers, XX engagements
"@sunshinevvn I've got a whole bunch of player-level stuff I'm preparing for tomorrow Would you say there's still value in the team-level correlations like these or is there just too much "noise" to determine anything" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 05:16:00 UTC 2372 followers, XXX engagements
"@dren_braves That's the reason I left off things like "RBI per game" and stuff like that but I included wRC because it's basically a projection from wOBA and a whole bunch of other stuff so it really is not based at all on real runs yet manages to come incredibly close" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-22 04:34:36 UTC 2379 followers, XX engagements
"@ProGenitor09 @YankeesFiles For the most part I took away either a) peripheral metrics (which will never correlate well with results like runs they need to be correlated to intermediary results metrics like OPS/wOBA) and also non-rate stats like "number of singles." Those" @KasperStats on X 2025-07-20 18:20:32 UTC 2372 followers, 2739 engagements