[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@Filapek](/creator/twitter/Filapek) "Have you heard about Macquarie's about-face this week "Jesse Livermore famously said Markets are never wrong only opinions are. Maybe the market wasnt crazy to re-rate stocks. Maybe its how we thought about PEs that was wrong." #allweatherman #XJO #stocks #equities #XJO"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1946006516122939709) 2025-07-18 00:38:03 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "Citi on South32 $S32: "JunQ broadly in-line to see FY25 prodn a modest beat with unit opex in-line with guidance Neutral. Target $XXXX #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947089552713429395) 2025-07-21 00:21:39 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "RBC Capital on Cettire $CTT: "CTT's XX month FY25 trading update was much softer than expected with most operating metrics deteriorating significantly. "In our view triple headwinds of declining sales negative profitability and a significant working capital unwind are culminating in elevated balance sheet risk. "Delivering 4Q profitability was a key focus of CTT's 3Q update on XX April. Losses have since accelerated. "This outcome suggests to us that at present management has limited ability to influence outcomes." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1933280727099199597) 2025-06-12 21:50:18 UTC 8852 followers, 1004 engagements "Citi on Iluka $ILU: "JunQ revenue of $289m was broadly in-line with Citi and up XX% on MarQ. "Total Z/R/ZR sales of 133kt were X% below Citi but up XX% on MaQ. Average Z/R/SR realisation of $2110/t was X% below Citi and up X% on MarQ. "ILU has not provided Z price or sales guidance for Q3 CY25 given macro uncertainty. "Q2 realised Z price was down X% on MarQ and it's not clear that Z prices have bottomed out. Balranald on track for 2H CY25 commissioning still. Net debt (including refinery) at $502m." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947804690860900525) 2025-07-22 23:43:21 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements "Short sellers in US targeting #healthcare and #consumerdiscretionary #investing #equities #stocks"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1948541193337667883) 2025-07-25 00:29:57 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "Citi on Genesis Minerals $GMD: "A record quarter from GMD with underlying FY25 NPAT expectations of A$210-230m in line with VA consensus. (.) "We maintain our TP of A$4.40/sh and stay Neutral rated ahead of SepQ index rebalances." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #gold #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1945985014531072470) 2025-07-17 23:12:36 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements "E&P on Netwealth $NWL: "NWL has performed very strongly since the nadir of the share price in April (+58%). "While we would be cautious in drawing too much inference for future flows from the quarterly performance (given the volatily seen during the quarter) we suspect it may see some share price softness relative to market today on the softer net flow print." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1943107762256515170) 2025-07-10 00:39:26 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements ""Federated Hermes macro team is sticking with our overweight position in equities and hanging tight; in our experience in bull markets you dont sell rallies; you buy dips. "We see a rotation into some of the market laggards as more likely than a full-blown market correction. "The team is forecasting a solid rebound in the back half of this year and an acceleration in 2026; recession calls have grown quieter today than they have been in years. "So far this earnings season has been solid. Growth this quarter seems poised for a XX% rate with more likely to come as the US economy re-accelerates"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1948515937801699412) 2025-07-24 22:49:35 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "Evans and Partners on Bank of Queensland $BOQ: "While 1H24 cash earnings of $172m are 6%/5% better than E&Pe/VA we view it as a low-quality beat driven by costs and the bad debt charge. "Revenue has missed E&Pe/VA by 2.6%/1.2% and pre-provision profit has missed by 3.4%/1.3%. Lower-than-expected costs have been assisted by the % of investment spend expensed remaining well below general industry levels. "BOQ has said this % will rise and we continue to see enough cost pressure over the next X years. "On asset quality there remains a notable uptrend in both commercial and housing 90-day"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1780385186326380808) 2024-04-16 23:58:01 UTC 8850 followers, 1320 engagements "RBC Capital on Santana Minerals $SMI: "Santana's fast-track approvals submission is behind schedule. While it is only slightly behind we have used the announcement and our recent site visit to re-examine and re-evaluate our assumptions ahead of the feasibility update. "Key assumptions that we re-iterate or differ from studies include higher mining costs a minor production delay but a longer underground mine life. "Integrating the changes our rounded price target for SMI falls 5cps to A$0.85/sh. "We remain Outperform as we believe Santana still has a low-cost gold feasibility stage project"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1936927779712573872) 2025-06-22 23:22:23 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements "Citi on 29Metals $29M: "29M is annualising just below the low end of guidance with production still expected to be 2H weighted. "Golden Grove broke even for the quarter with another seismic issue occurring post quarter end. Group cash declined $33m QoQ excluding the $54m in final insurance proceeds to end at $187m from MarQ's $166m. Net debt $19m. (.) "Given Citi's bearish view on copper heading sub US$9k/t in the short term we maintain our Sell recommendation based on valuation." #stockinfocus #copper #XJO #investing #equities"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1945984313952203163) 2025-07-17 23:09:49 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements "Jarden on $CSL: "CSL received FDA approval for its highly anticipated next generation Hereditary Angioedema (HAE) product Garadacimab (branded ANDEMBRY). "This follows CSL being issued with a Complete Response Letter from the FDA in Oct-24 to provide more detail around the sterility of the manufacturing process. "Although the timing of this approval was in line with CSL's revised expectations fears had emerged of further delays due to FDA staff cuts. "CSL's focus will now shift to an immediate commercial launch of the product in the US as they look to win back share lost to Takeda's competing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1935122909548462372) 2025-06-17 23:50:29 UTC 8852 followers, 3028 engagements "Citi on Whitehaven Coal $WHC: "Good cost performance for FY25 unit costs at $139/t vs guidance of $140-$155/t. JunQ saleable prodn (100%) of 7.76mt up X% on MarQ and X% higher than Citi expectations. "ROM coal prodn (100%) of 10.6mt in JunQ up 15%. Cost guidance for FY26 to come with August FY25 financials. Net debt of $0.6bn at end FY25 following first US$500m deferred payment for Blackwater/Daunia. "Capex for FY25 of $390m vs guidance of $440-$550m. FY25 revenue mix 64%/36% met/thermal coal. "In H2 FY25 4.2m shares bought back for a total of $23.0m. WHC noted that in this period of softer"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1948536913692094754) 2025-07-25 00:12:56 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "Citi on Netwealth $NWL: "Netwealth reported weaker than expected net flows While outflows were elevated the miss vs. our forecast was driven by weaker in-flows which could be a function of market volatility through the course of quarter. "Custody FuA was in-line with our forecast while total FuA was stronger than VA consensus. "Net-net we see potential for slightly upgrades to consensus earnings with higher cash balances and managed accounts partially offset by higher mix of Ultra HNW FuA. "Net flows were weaker but was likely expected by investors and record account openings is a key"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1943099420771500482) 2025-07-10 00:06:17 UTC 8850 followers, XXX engagements "@wilson_trades @suntorybeverage @pastperformerAU @blackswan2023 Seqirus the flu vaccines business disappointed mainly because anti-vaxx in the US has become a popular political movement. Plus management indicated a more gradual margin recovery which continues to be flagged and pursued $CSL"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947793187374035369) 2025-07-22 22:57:38 UTC 8852 followers, XX engagements "To hold a #stock I need to see a pathway to growth. $CSL in comparison is growing at double digits (believe it or not). $WOW will refind its mojo too. But $IEL Great performer when the industry was booming but what is the outlook really I never invest for the occasional rally only. There needs to be more on the horizon. Being sold off or looking 'cheap' is never a good enough reason for an investor like me ;)"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947435794085646796) 2025-07-21 23:17:29 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements "Morgan Stanley: ".we dont think that American Exceptionalism is necessarily over. But we do think a new investment regime is approaching. "If American Exceptionalism was premised on tailwinds like negative real interest rates and outsized policy accommodation we think thats now being supplanted by an economy facing constraints and radical imbalances. "Specifically were likely to see a new setup characterized by higher real rates positive term and risk premiums greater volatility and a much weaker dollar." #investing #XJO #equities #stocks"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947802239432847501) 2025-07-22 23:33:36 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements "Citi on Paladin $PDN: "Strong quarterly production print should be a relief to the market. "However Q4-FY25 realised pricing and FY26 cost guidance may disappoint." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947817057179091047) 2025-07-23 00:32:29 UTC 8852 followers, 1184 engagements "Stephen Innes SPI Asset Management: "If Trump does deliver on his August X tariff barrage the street will be forced to reckon with a scenario that's been largely waved off a true exogenous policy shock in the heart of a late-cycle rally. "The correction wouldn't be technical; it would be philosophical. The market's confidence in the U.S. as a stable steward of capital would take a visible dent and with it the cost of equity the price of debt and the value of the dollar could all adjust sharply perhaps violently. "This is no longer about whether markets are too hot. It's about whether the"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1944526097208795372) 2025-07-13 22:35:23 UTC 8853 followers, 1628 engagements "So. if the Australian economy is mostly honky dory why I am seeing so many consumer discounts being offered Some days my inbox is literally being flooded with special discounts for wine clothing eating out golf balls holidays etc. Is the economy just as polarised as the share market is #investing #XJO #equities #stocks"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947803435761602731) 2025-07-22 23:38:22 UTC 8851 followers, 1134 engagements "Citi on Newmont Corp $NEM: "NEM reported 2Q25 EPS of $1.43/sh vs Citi $1.27/sh and EBITDA of $3.0bn vs Citi $2.8bn. Gold production was 1.5moz from core mines (+12% YoY - adj. for divestments). "1H production from core mines was 2.8moz leaving the company well on track for 5.6moz guidance especially given that NGM is 2H weighted. FCF was a record $1.7bn thanks to record high gold prices and a working cap benefit. "Asset divestments are complete & the company has $6bn cash with net debt $1.5bn. The company has added another $3bn to its buyback (4.4% of float) with $2.8bn of the prior $3.0bn"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1948538442360782971) 2025-07-25 00:19:01 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "Macquarie: "We expect the bank sector to underperform as macroeconomic fundamentals realign with valuations. "Our econometric model indicates that while the macro backdrop remains broadly favourable it currently signals a potential 15%+ underperformance. "In particular moderating labour market strength and stretched housing affordability are likely to remain key headwinds. "Despite rate cuts offering some upside for housing sentiment and credit growth increased margin pressures are likely to offset these benefits. "The sector's recent outperformance appears increasingly unsustainable and we"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1948254285143351385) 2025-07-24 05:29:53 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements "#stockinfocus @FNArena $CSL #equities #investing #XJO"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1943143696234385621) 2025-07-10 03:02:13 UTC 8853 followers, 1705 engagements "Negative operational momentum needs to stop before the market will revisit this #stock in earnest again. Global anti-immigration policies are clearly creating a challenging environment for what once seemed one of the most promising growth stories on the ASX $IEL #stocksinfocus #equities #investing #XJO"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1929727319503155634) 2025-06-03 02:30:20 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements "Joe Ashton on Regal Partners $RPL and Cettire $CTT: "Regal's Cettire stake in March 2024 was worth $XXX million. It then bought a further $XX million of shares. "At the closing bell on Friday Regal's XX per cent stake was worth just $XX million. "The losses for Regal's fund clients would be unrivalled if not for King's other recent catastrophic investment: in insolvent biotech Opthea." #stocksinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1934371156993495451) 2025-06-15 22:03:17 UTC 8853 followers, 4060 engagements "As Bank of Queensland $BOQ releases financial result well below market expectations those brokers who'd warned about this and downgraded the stock in advance have been well and truly vindicated. They don't always get it right of course #investing #equities #banks #XJO #stocksinfocus"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1711890266876186951) 2023-10-10 23:43:39 UTC 8852 followers, 2205 engagements "Citi: "Iron ore equities have experienced a strong rebound in risk appetite from March low levels. The risk-on trade reflects renewed interest in iron ore with China imports up despite weakening China steel production. "Citi remains cautious on this iron ore rebound; steel production cuts in China should favour steel pricing rather than iron ore pricing. "However for now the interest seems to lie with iron ore and its exposed equities. "We favour BHP in the big caps and CIA in the mid cap iron ore space. BHP for operational performance versus peers and CIA for leverage to higher grade iron"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947779250259669199) 2025-07-22 22:02:15 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements "My Weekly Insights this week zooms in the share market's extreme polarisation in favour of larger cap companies which is not new and neither has it been ASX-specific #investing #XJO #stocksinfocus #equities #allweatherman @FNArena"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1947851974248173707) 2025-07-23 02:51:14 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements "Telstra $TLS today closed at a XXX years high while Transurban $TCL reached X year high and companies including Carsales $CAR Nanosonics $NAN Wesfarmers $WES and Webjet #WEB are on 1-year highs. Bank of Queensland $BOQ and Brainchip $BRN are the opposites #XJO #stocksinfocus"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1651119779560800257) 2023-04-26 07:03:26 UTC 8853 followers, 3375 engagements "RBC Capital on ResMed $RMD: "We expect RMD to produce a strong 4Q25 result driven by solid revenue growth and continued gross margin improvement. "We have a positive outlook for RMD given increased awareness of OSA its main competitor likely remaining out of the US market for the next XX months and RMD's products being largely exempt from US tariffs. "We have revised our forecasts and lifted our PT to US$294/share (from US$255). We upgrade to an OP rating given the stock's undemanding valuation and appealing TSR." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing"  [@Filapek](/creator/x/Filapek) on [X](/post/tweet/1945241832889442315) 2025-07-15 21:59:28 UTC 8853 followers, 1312 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@Filapek
"Have you heard about Macquarie's about-face this week "Jesse Livermore famously said Markets are never wrong only opinions are. Maybe the market wasnt crazy to re-rate stocks. Maybe its how we thought about PEs that was wrong." #allweatherman #XJO #stocks #equities #XJO"
@Filapek on X 2025-07-18 00:38:03 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"Citi on South32 $S32: "JunQ broadly in-line to see FY25 prodn a modest beat with unit opex in-line with guidance Neutral. Target $XXXX #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-07-21 00:21:39 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"RBC Capital on Cettire $CTT: "CTT's XX month FY25 trading update was much softer than expected with most operating metrics deteriorating significantly. "In our view triple headwinds of declining sales negative profitability and a significant working capital unwind are culminating in elevated balance sheet risk. "Delivering 4Q profitability was a key focus of CTT's 3Q update on XX April. Losses have since accelerated. "This outcome suggests to us that at present management has limited ability to influence outcomes." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-06-12 21:50:18 UTC 8852 followers, 1004 engagements
"Citi on Iluka $ILU: "JunQ revenue of $289m was broadly in-line with Citi and up XX% on MarQ. "Total Z/R/ZR sales of 133kt were X% below Citi but up XX% on MaQ. Average Z/R/SR realisation of $2110/t was X% below Citi and up X% on MarQ. "ILU has not provided Z price or sales guidance for Q3 CY25 given macro uncertainty. "Q2 realised Z price was down X% on MarQ and it's not clear that Z prices have bottomed out. Balranald on track for 2H CY25 commissioning still. Net debt (including refinery) at $502m." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-07-22 23:43:21 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements
"Short sellers in US targeting #healthcare and #consumerdiscretionary #investing #equities #stocks" @Filapek on X 2025-07-25 00:29:57 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"Citi on Genesis Minerals $GMD: "A record quarter from GMD with underlying FY25 NPAT expectations of A$210-230m in line with VA consensus. (.) "We maintain our TP of A$4.40/sh and stay Neutral rated ahead of SepQ index rebalances." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #gold #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-07-17 23:12:36 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements
"E&P on Netwealth $NWL: "NWL has performed very strongly since the nadir of the share price in April (+58%). "While we would be cautious in drawing too much inference for future flows from the quarterly performance (given the volatily seen during the quarter) we suspect it may see some share price softness relative to market today on the softer net flow print." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-07-10 00:39:26 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements
""Federated Hermes macro team is sticking with our overweight position in equities and hanging tight; in our experience in bull markets you dont sell rallies; you buy dips. "We see a rotation into some of the market laggards as more likely than a full-blown market correction. "The team is forecasting a solid rebound in the back half of this year and an acceleration in 2026; recession calls have grown quieter today than they have been in years. "So far this earnings season has been solid. Growth this quarter seems poised for a XX% rate with more likely to come as the US economy re-accelerates" @Filapek on X 2025-07-24 22:49:35 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"Evans and Partners on Bank of Queensland $BOQ: "While 1H24 cash earnings of $172m are 6%/5% better than E&Pe/VA we view it as a low-quality beat driven by costs and the bad debt charge. "Revenue has missed E&Pe/VA by 2.6%/1.2% and pre-provision profit has missed by 3.4%/1.3%. Lower-than-expected costs have been assisted by the % of investment spend expensed remaining well below general industry levels. "BOQ has said this % will rise and we continue to see enough cost pressure over the next X years. "On asset quality there remains a notable uptrend in both commercial and housing 90-day" @Filapek on X 2024-04-16 23:58:01 UTC 8850 followers, 1320 engagements
"RBC Capital on Santana Minerals $SMI: "Santana's fast-track approvals submission is behind schedule. While it is only slightly behind we have used the announcement and our recent site visit to re-examine and re-evaluate our assumptions ahead of the feasibility update. "Key assumptions that we re-iterate or differ from studies include higher mining costs a minor production delay but a longer underground mine life. "Integrating the changes our rounded price target for SMI falls 5cps to A$0.85/sh. "We remain Outperform as we believe Santana still has a low-cost gold feasibility stage project" @Filapek on X 2025-06-22 23:22:23 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements
"Citi on 29Metals $29M: "29M is annualising just below the low end of guidance with production still expected to be 2H weighted. "Golden Grove broke even for the quarter with another seismic issue occurring post quarter end. Group cash declined $33m QoQ excluding the $54m in final insurance proceeds to end at $187m from MarQ's $166m. Net debt $19m. (.) "Given Citi's bearish view on copper heading sub US$9k/t in the short term we maintain our Sell recommendation based on valuation." #stockinfocus #copper #XJO #investing #equities" @Filapek on X 2025-07-17 23:09:49 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements
"Jarden on $CSL: "CSL received FDA approval for its highly anticipated next generation Hereditary Angioedema (HAE) product Garadacimab (branded ANDEMBRY). "This follows CSL being issued with a Complete Response Letter from the FDA in Oct-24 to provide more detail around the sterility of the manufacturing process. "Although the timing of this approval was in line with CSL's revised expectations fears had emerged of further delays due to FDA staff cuts. "CSL's focus will now shift to an immediate commercial launch of the product in the US as they look to win back share lost to Takeda's competing" @Filapek on X 2025-06-17 23:50:29 UTC 8852 followers, 3028 engagements
"Citi on Whitehaven Coal $WHC: "Good cost performance for FY25 unit costs at $139/t vs guidance of $140-$155/t. JunQ saleable prodn (100%) of 7.76mt up X% on MarQ and X% higher than Citi expectations. "ROM coal prodn (100%) of 10.6mt in JunQ up 15%. Cost guidance for FY26 to come with August FY25 financials. Net debt of $0.6bn at end FY25 following first US$500m deferred payment for Blackwater/Daunia. "Capex for FY25 of $390m vs guidance of $440-$550m. FY25 revenue mix 64%/36% met/thermal coal. "In H2 FY25 4.2m shares bought back for a total of $23.0m. WHC noted that in this period of softer" @Filapek on X 2025-07-25 00:12:56 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"Citi on Netwealth $NWL: "Netwealth reported weaker than expected net flows While outflows were elevated the miss vs. our forecast was driven by weaker in-flows which could be a function of market volatility through the course of quarter. "Custody FuA was in-line with our forecast while total FuA was stronger than VA consensus. "Net-net we see potential for slightly upgrades to consensus earnings with higher cash balances and managed accounts partially offset by higher mix of Ultra HNW FuA. "Net flows were weaker but was likely expected by investors and record account openings is a key" @Filapek on X 2025-07-10 00:06:17 UTC 8850 followers, XXX engagements
"@wilson_trades @suntorybeverage @pastperformerAU @blackswan2023 Seqirus the flu vaccines business disappointed mainly because anti-vaxx in the US has become a popular political movement. Plus management indicated a more gradual margin recovery which continues to be flagged and pursued $CSL" @Filapek on X 2025-07-22 22:57:38 UTC 8852 followers, XX engagements
"To hold a #stock I need to see a pathway to growth. $CSL in comparison is growing at double digits (believe it or not). $WOW will refind its mojo too. But $IEL Great performer when the industry was booming but what is the outlook really I never invest for the occasional rally only. There needs to be more on the horizon. Being sold off or looking 'cheap' is never a good enough reason for an investor like me ;)" @Filapek on X 2025-07-21 23:17:29 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements
"Morgan Stanley: ".we dont think that American Exceptionalism is necessarily over. But we do think a new investment regime is approaching. "If American Exceptionalism was premised on tailwinds like negative real interest rates and outsized policy accommodation we think thats now being supplanted by an economy facing constraints and radical imbalances. "Specifically were likely to see a new setup characterized by higher real rates positive term and risk premiums greater volatility and a much weaker dollar." #investing #XJO #equities #stocks" @Filapek on X 2025-07-22 23:33:36 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements
"Citi on Paladin $PDN: "Strong quarterly production print should be a relief to the market. "However Q4-FY25 realised pricing and FY26 cost guidance may disappoint." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-07-23 00:32:29 UTC 8852 followers, 1184 engagements
"Stephen Innes SPI Asset Management: "If Trump does deliver on his August X tariff barrage the street will be forced to reckon with a scenario that's been largely waved off a true exogenous policy shock in the heart of a late-cycle rally. "The correction wouldn't be technical; it would be philosophical. The market's confidence in the U.S. as a stable steward of capital would take a visible dent and with it the cost of equity the price of debt and the value of the dollar could all adjust sharply perhaps violently. "This is no longer about whether markets are too hot. It's about whether the" @Filapek on X 2025-07-13 22:35:23 UTC 8853 followers, 1628 engagements
"So. if the Australian economy is mostly honky dory why I am seeing so many consumer discounts being offered Some days my inbox is literally being flooded with special discounts for wine clothing eating out golf balls holidays etc. Is the economy just as polarised as the share market is #investing #XJO #equities #stocks" @Filapek on X 2025-07-22 23:38:22 UTC 8851 followers, 1134 engagements
"Citi on Newmont Corp $NEM: "NEM reported 2Q25 EPS of $1.43/sh vs Citi $1.27/sh and EBITDA of $3.0bn vs Citi $2.8bn. Gold production was 1.5moz from core mines (+12% YoY - adj. for divestments). "1H production from core mines was 2.8moz leaving the company well on track for 5.6moz guidance especially given that NGM is 2H weighted. FCF was a record $1.7bn thanks to record high gold prices and a working cap benefit. "Asset divestments are complete & the company has $6bn cash with net debt $1.5bn. The company has added another $3bn to its buyback (4.4% of float) with $2.8bn of the prior $3.0bn" @Filapek on X 2025-07-25 00:19:01 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"Macquarie: "We expect the bank sector to underperform as macroeconomic fundamentals realign with valuations. "Our econometric model indicates that while the macro backdrop remains broadly favourable it currently signals a potential 15%+ underperformance. "In particular moderating labour market strength and stretched housing affordability are likely to remain key headwinds. "Despite rate cuts offering some upside for housing sentiment and credit growth increased margin pressures are likely to offset these benefits. "The sector's recent outperformance appears increasingly unsustainable and we" @Filapek on X 2025-07-24 05:29:53 UTC 8853 followers, XXX engagements
"#stockinfocus @FNArena $CSL #equities #investing #XJO" @Filapek on X 2025-07-10 03:02:13 UTC 8853 followers, 1705 engagements
"Negative operational momentum needs to stop before the market will revisit this #stock in earnest again. Global anti-immigration policies are clearly creating a challenging environment for what once seemed one of the most promising growth stories on the ASX $IEL #stocksinfocus #equities #investing #XJO" @Filapek on X 2025-06-03 02:30:20 UTC 8852 followers, XXX engagements
"Joe Ashton on Regal Partners $RPL and Cettire $CTT: "Regal's Cettire stake in March 2024 was worth $XXX million. It then bought a further $XX million of shares. "At the closing bell on Friday Regal's XX per cent stake was worth just $XX million. "The losses for Regal's fund clients would be unrivalled if not for King's other recent catastrophic investment: in insolvent biotech Opthea." #stocksinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-06-15 22:03:17 UTC 8853 followers, 4060 engagements
"As Bank of Queensland $BOQ releases financial result well below market expectations those brokers who'd warned about this and downgraded the stock in advance have been well and truly vindicated. They don't always get it right of course #investing #equities #banks #XJO #stocksinfocus" @Filapek on X 2023-10-10 23:43:39 UTC 8852 followers, 2205 engagements
"Citi: "Iron ore equities have experienced a strong rebound in risk appetite from March low levels. The risk-on trade reflects renewed interest in iron ore with China imports up despite weakening China steel production. "Citi remains cautious on this iron ore rebound; steel production cuts in China should favour steel pricing rather than iron ore pricing. "However for now the interest seems to lie with iron ore and its exposed equities. "We favour BHP in the big caps and CIA in the mid cap iron ore space. BHP for operational performance versus peers and CIA for leverage to higher grade iron" @Filapek on X 2025-07-22 22:02:15 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements
"My Weekly Insights this week zooms in the share market's extreme polarisation in favour of larger cap companies which is not new and neither has it been ASX-specific #investing #XJO #stocksinfocus #equities #allweatherman @FNArena" @Filapek on X 2025-07-23 02:51:14 UTC 8851 followers, XXX engagements
"Telstra $TLS today closed at a XXX years high while Transurban $TCL reached X year high and companies including Carsales $CAR Nanosonics $NAN Wesfarmers $WES and Webjet #WEB are on 1-year highs. Bank of Queensland $BOQ and Brainchip $BRN are the opposites #XJO #stocksinfocus" @Filapek on X 2023-04-26 07:03:26 UTC 8853 followers, 3375 engagements
"RBC Capital on ResMed $RMD: "We expect RMD to produce a strong 4Q25 result driven by solid revenue growth and continued gross margin improvement. "We have a positive outlook for RMD given increased awareness of OSA its main competitor likely remaining out of the US market for the next XX months and RMD's products being largely exempt from US tariffs. "We have revised our forecasts and lifted our PT to US$294/share (from US$255). We upgrade to an OP rating given the stock's undemanding valuation and appealing TSR." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing" @Filapek on X 2025-07-15 21:59:28 UTC 8853 followers, 1312 engagements