[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@DanNeidle](/creator/twitter/DanNeidle) "@JeromeDavies1 @QuakerPete @StevenB95549931 Luxury taxes have been abandoned in the developing world because there are too many arbitrary lines. A three piece suit might be 1200 so luxury tax. Buy pieces separately and no luxury tax. Etc etc"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949044683281162649) 2025-07-26 09:50:38 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements "Jonathan Reynolds is right. A wealth tax is "daft". Here's why:"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949017886023954644) 2025-07-26 08:04:09 UTC 172.1K followers, 66.5K engagements "I get that reform capital gains tax now isnt a great slogan but in the end evidence matters. Were not getting a wealth tax under this or any conceivable government. For good reasons. The Left should focus on effective and achievable tax policy: pro equity and pro growth"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947710900502495711) 2025-07-22 17:30:40 UTC 172.1K followers, 69.3K engagements "The press coverage is all about whether the wealthy will leave This is the wrong way to understand it The very wealthy live across multiple countries. A few months here; a few months there. If you've 10bn escaping 200m of wealth tax can mean just a few weeks less in the UK"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947569894662209626) 2025-07-22 08:10:21 UTC 172.1K followers, 5008 engagements "Today's quiz. There's a tax on the UK statute book that nobody has ever paid. Not once since it was introduced. What is it The prize is a lifetime subscription to the Tax Policy Associates newsletter"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1948677985482973254) 2025-07-25 09:33:31 UTC 172.1K followers, 87.3K engagements "@Sum1st Still in force. Not medieval. Actual tax"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1948703204352409862) 2025-07-25 11:13:43 UTC 172.1K followers, 1362 engagements "@julesw1lko @TimHarford That was pretty naughty of TJN. Theyre dividing the H&P number (millionaires liquid assets only) by the UBS number (including illiquid millionaires ie everyone with a house in London)"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949505638293287385) 2025-07-27 16:22:18 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements "A UK wealth tax sounds simple: "tax the superrich fund public services" But it's not. Our 16000 word deepdive shows revenues are fragile it puts growth investment and jobs at risk and there's no revenue before 2029. Heres the evidence:"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947569883878654071) 2025-07-22 08:10:19 UTC 172.1K followers, 228.2K engagements "@TimHarford If you want to read more analysis that annoys everyone please follow me here. Or you can subscribe here for a free update whenever we release a report"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949379404338966812) 2025-07-27 08:00:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 11.8K engagements "So that tiny X% tax has an outsize effect more than any existing taxes If you tax something you get less of it. Less savings. Less investment. Less foreign investment into the UK. The data wealth tax proponents rely upon expects a 200bn to 500bn drop Which has an impact"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947569893726990751) 2025-07-22 08:10:21 UTC 172.1K followers, 5251 engagements "Today's little mystery: how come three of Lord Ashcroft's companies haven't filed their accounts for last year"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947261683098955958) 2025-07-21 11:45:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 191.4K engagements "@hol40900 This isnt remotely what its about. You either care about stuff being true or you dont"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949386198235124057) 2025-07-27 08:27:42 UTC 172.1K followers, XXX engagements "Reform UK is proposing a "Britannia card" that would let wealthy foreigners pay a 250k fee to move to the UK and live here exempt from all tax on their foreign assets. What they don't say: it would cost the UK 34bn. Thread:"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1937061000450019568) 2025-06-23 08:11:46 UTC 172.1K followers, 1.3M engagements "By contrast the UK taxes average income significantly less than the average. Thats something almost nobody believes but it is nevertheless true"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1573628908477595648) 2022-09-24 11:02:23 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements "Its so weird to me that the wealth tax has become an article of faith - an end in itself. The consequences are irrelevant. Questioning the impact on growth is a sign of weakness. Oddest religion ever. They dont even have good tunes"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947985093034930283) 2025-07-23 11:40:12 UTC 172.1K followers, 73.9K engagements "P&O has a turnover of almost 1bn. So why have they just hired an audit firm with four employees Its deeply impossibly weird. I spoke to an auditor at a firm with XXX employees who said hed never dream of acting for a company of that size. So whats going on"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1933459737913254293) 2025-06-13 09:41:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 214.2K engagements "New data on farms and inheritance tax: a third of farm estates over 1.5m arent farmers but wealthy people avoiding IHT by sinking money into farmland. The Budget hits farmers too hard and tax avoiders too lightly. It needs to change"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1860609319865143318) 2024-11-24 09:00:04 UTC 172.1K followers, 1.3M engagements "@CALEBWAREAGLE7 @Outoftweet123 Taxing listed and unlisted companies differently is hugely distortionary"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949072277481431279) 2025-07-26 11:40:17 UTC 172.1K followers, XXX engagements "Wealth reports from other firms have as many odd numbers as even numbers - which is what you'd expect But the H&P wealth and migration figures have way too many odd numbers - the chance of that occurring naturally is X% Classic evidence of numbers typed not measured"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949379386391576733) 2025-07-27 08:00:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 2756 engagements "Meet Barbarat Giuseppe the world's most prolific banker. He's run most of the world's largest banks: JPMorgan Soc Gen SEB Citi Westpac Natixis Goldman Sachs and many more:"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1941049908410126668) 2025-07-04 08:22:15 UTC 172.1K followers, 9948 engagements "Douglas Barrowman made a fortune from selling tax avoidance schemes. When the schemes failed his companies aggressively sold their clients another avoidance scheme which supposed rescued them from the first scheme. It was all a scam. A disaster for the clients"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1946480318258536533) 2025-07-19 08:00:46 UTC 172.1K followers, 151.2K engagements "I asked earlier which tax was on the statute book but had never been paid. The answer is Public Interest Business Protection Tax. The winner: Aaron Maroke - rather appropriately he works at the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1948716908502507722) 2025-07-25 12:08:11 UTC 172.1K followers, 61.7K engagements "I worry that the Left has stopped making the argument for a more expansive state funded by most people paying more tax. Instead we're left with the false claim that Other People will always pay"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1942501684535533568) 2025-07-08 08:31:06 UTC 172.1K followers, 544K engagements "Henley & Partners wealth migration reports have been reported all over the world both to prove both that there's a massive exodus of wealth from the UK and that there isn't. Our forensic review finds the data riddled with anomalies - and in key places looks fabricated:"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949379372432986257) 2025-07-27 08:00:34 UTC 172.1K followers, 119.5K engagements "Zia Yusuf has published a response to our report on the Reform UK "Britannia card" proposal. It's disappointing: heavy on insults light on substance and revealing that Mr Yusuf cites an OBR paper he hasn't read"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1937432684269072563) 2025-06-24 08:48:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 735.2K engagements "@chr56228 Obviously false but I'll ask the question one more time before I block you: can you identify any specific error in our Green Jellyfish reporting"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1948678464757752294) 2025-07-25 09:35:25 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements "It's nuts that people can repeat something that's just not true. The OBR data shows a *rise* in CGT receipts pre-budget because people expected a rise in tax. I expect there will be a fall post-Budget but we won't get the data for a while (always a delay in CGT reporting)"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947741862736850965) 2025-07-22 19:33:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 82.4K engagements "@RichardBurgon Theres a pile of evidence that the wealth tax will hurt growth jobs and investment. There are many tax reforms that would tax wealth more effectively without these downsides. Please rethink this"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947710301883011207) 2025-07-22 17:28:17 UTC 172.1K followers, 26.4K engagements "@StevenB95549931 In the same period my children got taller You may be mistaking correlation with causation"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949149580634849687) 2025-07-26 16:47:28 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements "@iDeco_UK Doesnt count Has to be in force"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1948705942318596180) 2025-07-25 11:24:36 UTC 172.1K followers, 1776 engagements "Problem is that they'd also be giving that very valuable tax exemption to people who are *already here and planning to stay here*. And if they're already here that means no economic benefit. No jobs created. Just lost tax - 34bn of it"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1937223010986893468) 2025-06-23 18:55:32 UTC 172.1K followers, 223K engagements "There was a drop in 2023-24 (pre-change of government) but that was just the usual CGT cycle. The Telegraph GB News etc just need to look at the OBR report. It's really clear"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1947741865819705633) 2025-07-22 19:33:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 12.2K engagements "There are fifteen million men with beards in the UK. I propose a beard tax of 10000. It could raise 150bn"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1939365525139890439) 2025-06-29 16:49:07 UTC 172.1K followers, 432.4K engagements "What we see in the H&P reports: trailing digits cluster on 0s and 5s with almost no 1s. We don't see that with wealth reports from other firms The chance of this occurring naturally is about X in 240000. More evidence that the numbers are manually created or adjusted"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949379389839360219) 2025-07-27 08:00:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 2550 engagements "Iain Clifford Stamp runs a "sovereign citizen" scam which promises people he'll magically eliminate their mortgage and other debt (for a hefty fee). A judgment on Wednesday shows justice is catching up with him. Thread"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1946268018914349392) 2025-07-18 17:57:10 UTC 172.1K followers, 28.1K engagements "Our report is here with more detail and way more footnotes:"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1941049907558613165) 2025-07-04 08:22:15 UTC 172.1K followers, 9629 engagements "3. Digit patterns look madeup Humans are bad at generating random numbers. We pick round numbers (ending in .5 or .0). We prefer some numbers to others. So another classic forensic accounting technique is to look at last digits. We'd expect roughly as many 1s as 2s etc"  [@DanNeidle](/creator/x/DanNeidle) on [X](/post/tweet/1949379387830182206) 2025-07-27 08:00:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 2695 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@DanNeidle
"@JeromeDavies1 @QuakerPete @StevenB95549931 Luxury taxes have been abandoned in the developing world because there are too many arbitrary lines. A three piece suit might be 1200 so luxury tax. Buy pieces separately and no luxury tax. Etc etc"
@DanNeidle on X 2025-07-26 09:50:38 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements
"Jonathan Reynolds is right. A wealth tax is "daft". Here's why:" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-26 08:04:09 UTC 172.1K followers, 66.5K engagements
"I get that reform capital gains tax now isnt a great slogan but in the end evidence matters. Were not getting a wealth tax under this or any conceivable government. For good reasons. The Left should focus on effective and achievable tax policy: pro equity and pro growth" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 17:30:40 UTC 172.1K followers, 69.3K engagements
"The press coverage is all about whether the wealthy will leave This is the wrong way to understand it The very wealthy live across multiple countries. A few months here; a few months there. If you've 10bn escaping 200m of wealth tax can mean just a few weeks less in the UK" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 08:10:21 UTC 172.1K followers, 5008 engagements
"Today's quiz. There's a tax on the UK statute book that nobody has ever paid. Not once since it was introduced. What is it The prize is a lifetime subscription to the Tax Policy Associates newsletter" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-25 09:33:31 UTC 172.1K followers, 87.3K engagements
"@Sum1st Still in force. Not medieval. Actual tax" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-25 11:13:43 UTC 172.1K followers, 1362 engagements
"@julesw1lko @TimHarford That was pretty naughty of TJN. Theyre dividing the H&P number (millionaires liquid assets only) by the UBS number (including illiquid millionaires ie everyone with a house in London)" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 16:22:18 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements
"A UK wealth tax sounds simple: "tax the superrich fund public services" But it's not. Our 16000 word deepdive shows revenues are fragile it puts growth investment and jobs at risk and there's no revenue before 2029. Heres the evidence:" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 08:10:19 UTC 172.1K followers, 228.2K engagements
"@TimHarford If you want to read more analysis that annoys everyone please follow me here. Or you can subscribe here for a free update whenever we release a report" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 08:00:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 11.8K engagements
"So that tiny X% tax has an outsize effect more than any existing taxes If you tax something you get less of it. Less savings. Less investment. Less foreign investment into the UK. The data wealth tax proponents rely upon expects a 200bn to 500bn drop Which has an impact" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 08:10:21 UTC 172.1K followers, 5251 engagements
"Today's little mystery: how come three of Lord Ashcroft's companies haven't filed their accounts for last year" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-21 11:45:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 191.4K engagements
"@hol40900 This isnt remotely what its about. You either care about stuff being true or you dont" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 08:27:42 UTC 172.1K followers, XXX engagements
"Reform UK is proposing a "Britannia card" that would let wealthy foreigners pay a 250k fee to move to the UK and live here exempt from all tax on their foreign assets. What they don't say: it would cost the UK 34bn. Thread:" @DanNeidle on X 2025-06-23 08:11:46 UTC 172.1K followers, 1.3M engagements
"By contrast the UK taxes average income significantly less than the average. Thats something almost nobody believes but it is nevertheless true" @DanNeidle on X 2022-09-24 11:02:23 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements
"Its so weird to me that the wealth tax has become an article of faith - an end in itself. The consequences are irrelevant. Questioning the impact on growth is a sign of weakness. Oddest religion ever. They dont even have good tunes" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-23 11:40:12 UTC 172.1K followers, 73.9K engagements
"P&O has a turnover of almost 1bn. So why have they just hired an audit firm with four employees Its deeply impossibly weird. I spoke to an auditor at a firm with XXX employees who said hed never dream of acting for a company of that size. So whats going on" @DanNeidle on X 2025-06-13 09:41:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 214.2K engagements
"New data on farms and inheritance tax: a third of farm estates over 1.5m arent farmers but wealthy people avoiding IHT by sinking money into farmland. The Budget hits farmers too hard and tax avoiders too lightly. It needs to change" @DanNeidle on X 2024-11-24 09:00:04 UTC 172.1K followers, 1.3M engagements
"@CALEBWAREAGLE7 @Outoftweet123 Taxing listed and unlisted companies differently is hugely distortionary" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-26 11:40:17 UTC 172.1K followers, XXX engagements
"Wealth reports from other firms have as many odd numbers as even numbers - which is what you'd expect But the H&P wealth and migration figures have way too many odd numbers - the chance of that occurring naturally is X% Classic evidence of numbers typed not measured" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 08:00:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 2756 engagements
"Meet Barbarat Giuseppe the world's most prolific banker. He's run most of the world's largest banks: JPMorgan Soc Gen SEB Citi Westpac Natixis Goldman Sachs and many more:" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-04 08:22:15 UTC 172.1K followers, 9948 engagements
"Douglas Barrowman made a fortune from selling tax avoidance schemes. When the schemes failed his companies aggressively sold their clients another avoidance scheme which supposed rescued them from the first scheme. It was all a scam. A disaster for the clients" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-19 08:00:46 UTC 172.1K followers, 151.2K engagements
"I asked earlier which tax was on the statute book but had never been paid. The answer is Public Interest Business Protection Tax. The winner: Aaron Maroke - rather appropriately he works at the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-25 12:08:11 UTC 172.1K followers, 61.7K engagements
"I worry that the Left has stopped making the argument for a more expansive state funded by most people paying more tax. Instead we're left with the false claim that Other People will always pay" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-08 08:31:06 UTC 172.1K followers, 544K engagements
"Henley & Partners wealth migration reports have been reported all over the world both to prove both that there's a massive exodus of wealth from the UK and that there isn't. Our forensic review finds the data riddled with anomalies - and in key places looks fabricated:" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 08:00:34 UTC 172.1K followers, 119.5K engagements
"Zia Yusuf has published a response to our report on the Reform UK "Britannia card" proposal. It's disappointing: heavy on insults light on substance and revealing that Mr Yusuf cites an OBR paper he hasn't read" @DanNeidle on X 2025-06-24 08:48:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 735.2K engagements
"@chr56228 Obviously false but I'll ask the question one more time before I block you: can you identify any specific error in our Green Jellyfish reporting" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-25 09:35:25 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements
"It's nuts that people can repeat something that's just not true. The OBR data shows a rise in CGT receipts pre-budget because people expected a rise in tax. I expect there will be a fall post-Budget but we won't get the data for a while (always a delay in CGT reporting)" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 19:33:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 82.4K engagements
"@RichardBurgon Theres a pile of evidence that the wealth tax will hurt growth jobs and investment. There are many tax reforms that would tax wealth more effectively without these downsides. Please rethink this" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 17:28:17 UTC 172.1K followers, 26.4K engagements
"@StevenB95549931 In the same period my children got taller You may be mistaking correlation with causation" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-26 16:47:28 UTC 172.1K followers, XX engagements
"@iDeco_UK Doesnt count Has to be in force" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-25 11:24:36 UTC 172.1K followers, 1776 engagements
"Problem is that they'd also be giving that very valuable tax exemption to people who are already here and planning to stay here. And if they're already here that means no economic benefit. No jobs created. Just lost tax - 34bn of it" @DanNeidle on X 2025-06-23 18:55:32 UTC 172.1K followers, 223K engagements
"There was a drop in 2023-24 (pre-change of government) but that was just the usual CGT cycle. The Telegraph GB News etc just need to look at the OBR report. It's really clear" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-22 19:33:42 UTC 172.1K followers, 12.2K engagements
"There are fifteen million men with beards in the UK. I propose a beard tax of 10000. It could raise 150bn" @DanNeidle on X 2025-06-29 16:49:07 UTC 172.1K followers, 432.4K engagements
"What we see in the H&P reports: trailing digits cluster on 0s and 5s with almost no 1s. We don't see that with wealth reports from other firms The chance of this occurring naturally is about X in 240000. More evidence that the numbers are manually created or adjusted" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 08:00:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 2550 engagements
"Iain Clifford Stamp runs a "sovereign citizen" scam which promises people he'll magically eliminate their mortgage and other debt (for a hefty fee). A judgment on Wednesday shows justice is catching up with him. Thread" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-18 17:57:10 UTC 172.1K followers, 28.1K engagements
"Our report is here with more detail and way more footnotes:" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-04 08:22:15 UTC 172.1K followers, 9629 engagements
"3. Digit patterns look madeup Humans are bad at generating random numbers. We pick round numbers (ending in .5 or .0). We prefer some numbers to others. So another classic forensic accounting technique is to look at last digits. We'd expect roughly as many 1s as 2s etc" @DanNeidle on X 2025-07-27 08:00:38 UTC 172.1K followers, 2695 engagements