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[@Bluekurtic](/creator/twitter/Bluekurtic)
"As of first XX trading days this is 13th worst October for #SP500 since 1950. In prior XX cases rest of Oct was positive in X of XX with avg gain of +1.4% while entire month was down -3.6%. Aligns with a weak Oct as expected. Could be a great buy the dip setup $SPX $SPY #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978864784339603706) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T16:45Z XXX followers, 1485 engagements


"Important stat for traders: Its only the 6th time the #SP500 was within X% of an ATH fell over X% and then rose over X% the next day. In the prior X cases next two days were negative and third was positive. Always. Good trade on options for next X days $SPX $SPY #SPX #SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978044990702969078) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-14T10:27Z XXX followers, 7990 engagements


"@ChifoiCristian Bitcoin $200k✅ Ethereum $6k✅"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978429918116458942) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-15T11:57Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"According to @Polymarket the most likely end of 2025 price for #Bitcoin is $130k only about +14% for Q4. Historically when September is positive #BTCs avg Q4 gain was XX% which points to a $170k base case. Market looks to be underpricing upside. $BTC #crypto #markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978498145576218649) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-15T16:28Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Polymarket now gives XX% odds that $Micron Tech ( $MU ) will beat its quarterly EPS estimate. #MicronTech #Earnings #MU @Polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1970064276598534213) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-09-22T09:55Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#SP500 has stayed above its 50-day moving average for XXX consecutive days. Only the 10th longest streak since 1950. This highlights the resilience of the current bull market. However 12-month forward returns after similar streaks were positive only X out of X times. $SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976335599889248335) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-09T17:15Z XXX followers, 2071 engagements


"$PLTR is the most overvalued company in the #SP500 trading at a Price/Sales of XXX and Price/Cash Flow of 1990. Valuation isnt the only reason to buy or sell a stock but this level of disconnect is hard to ignore. $SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976432488349303115) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-09T23:40Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"$SPX completed one of its strongest 6-month runs in history: up XX% the 17th best streak since 1950. In all prior cases the next 12-month returns were positive XXX% of the time with an average gain of 15%. A sign of underlying market strength. Still bearish #SP500 #SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976583483448295595) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-10T09:40Z XXX followers, 2610 engagements


"There's limited economic data releases due to the government shutdown. But @Polymarket now prices in a XX% chance of a XX bps rate cut at the October FOMC meeting signaling strong confidence in a dovish Fed move. #FOMC #FederalReserve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976584742276387280) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-10T09:45Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"The $SPX is up XX% from its 2025 low to YTD close making it the most bullish year since 2020 and the 8th strongest since 1950. Such strong rebounds often mark powerful bull phases rather than short-lived rallies. #SP500"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976792359942996291) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-10T23:30Z XXX followers, 1445 engagements


"After todays XXXX% drop in #SP500 Oct is now down over 2%. Historically when $SPX stayed above its 100-DMA from JunSep October was negative XX% of the time. Still Q4 ended positive XXX% of the time. Even once after a 10%+ Oct drawdown. Follow for more data driven insights"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976808466481398214) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-11T00:34Z XXX followers, 1395 engagements


"This marks the 289th instance since 1980 where #VIX surged over XX% within XX trading days. Following such spikes #SP500 posted positive X X and X month returns on average with a median 3-month gain of 5%. Stats still point to a bullish Q4. $VIX $SPX $SPY h/t: @SethCL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976993298717036803) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-11T12:48Z XXX followers, 28.6K engagements


"Fun fact: This is only the fourth time since 1950 and the first since 1998 that the #SP500 hit an intraday all-time high and still closed more than X% lower for the day. 1980 marked a short-term top but both 1986 and 1998 went on to rally strongly afterward. $SPX $SPY #stocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1977010175434539523) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-11T13:55Z XXX followers, 1310 engagements


"Anyone short on #Bitcoin for Q4 Have a look. $IBIT #crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1977194666236973104) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-12T02:08Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"According to @Polymarket there is a XX% chance for 25bps #fed rate cut. Even if Oct brings a pullback (which is healthy) rate cut would be a tailwind that'd help #SP500 to resume its rally into Q4. Remember the stats that showed weak Oct & a XXX% hit-rate for positive Q4 $SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1977342024790765991) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-12T11:54Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#SP500 stayed above its XX day moving average for XXX days or more only XX times since 1950. Two and three month returns were positive in X out of X cases. #SPX $SPX $SPY #SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1977502037014155620) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-12T22:30Z XXX followers, 1405 engagements


"Why Fridays pullback isnt serious: Since 1950 there are only X years when the #SP500 fell 15%+ and still made a new ATH in the same year. In every case the next drawdown from ATH was less than 10%. Trust the price action. $SPX #Markets $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1977693735103418759) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-13T11:11Z XXX followers, 6992 engagements


"Since 2010 Financials ( $XLF ) have been the best performing #SP500 sector in Q4 with an average return of +9.4% and an average drawdown of -7.4%. All but one year (2018) ended positive. $SPX $SPY #SPX #SPY #XLF #Financials #banks h/t: @SethCL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978408005822492831) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-15T10:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"$TSLA is set to release earnings next week. According to @Polymarket Tesla has a XX% chance to beat its quarterly earnings. #Tesla"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978525877869695007) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-15T18:18Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Is buying the dip in #SP500 profitable Since the start of this bull market $SPX dropped over X% in a day XX times. In XX of the last XX it was positive XX days later. And the last X dips gained over XX% each. Be a dip buyer in a bull market #Investing #Markets #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978781106003489031) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T11:12Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#SP500 spent exactly XX days in overbought territory in 2023 & 2024 and just XX days so far in 2025 showing theres still room to run. Interestingly X years leading up to the dot-com bubble saw much higher readings. Showing this rally is far from euphoric. $SPY $SPX #SPY #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978803160933122541) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T12:40Z XXX followers, 1176 engagements


"#SP500 has stayed above its 50-day moving average for XXX days. The 9th longest streak since 1950. It highlights the strength of this bull market. But in the previous X cases $SPX dipped below the average within XXX days. Is another healthy breather on the horizon #SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978819264829174209) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T13:44Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#VIX has been above its XX day moving average for XX days. When the volatility index stayed above its 50-DMA this long the #SP500 often saw a minor secondary dip before resuming its rally. Not bearish. Use any dips as buying opportunities for Q4. $SPX #SPY #SPX $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978833513429250140) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T14:40Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"For #Bitcoin this is the worst first half of October since 2014. $BTC looks undervalued and might shake out short-term traders before a potential Q4 rally. Historically whenever September was positive Q4 has always been positive for Bitcoin. #Crypto #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978877654142194164) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T17:36Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#NASDAQ100 continues to show disciplined strength. $NDX spent only XX day in overbought territory so far in 2025 showing theres still room to run. It's also far below the 19961999 bubble years showing limited euphoria. This bull market still looks healthy. #NDX $QQQ #QQQ #AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978936488856555918) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T21:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@fxevolution Its been a great contrarian indicator since the beginning of this bull market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979004478926848135) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-17T02:00Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@aynirealtor @Matans8442 @data168 There were XX instances where VIX spiked when SPX was within ATHs. In XX out of XX cases SPX was positive XX months later. Data and analysis over speculation :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979049922642006497) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-17T05:00Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"@Natedogg1225880 Haha everyone loves dips during a bull market. And rightfully so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979545543929213088) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T13:50Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Top XX #SP500 companies with the highest operating margins. Leading the list are $VICI $TPL and $CME with margins above XX% followed by $V and $NVDA above 50%. $NVDA $META $HOOD $MSFT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978402972993507550) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-15T10:10Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"When #VIX falls below XX% after 40%+ spike in XX day period 12-month returns were positive XX% of the time with median gain of 14.4%. Last signal was on 10/13 signaling the bull market may be far from over. $VIX #Volatility $SPX #SPX $SPY h/t: Modified @SethCL's fav indicator"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979902855709421580) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T13:30Z XXX followers, 1285 engagements


"When a bull market lasts over 1092 days it continued for at least 1324 days as seen during 6266 cycle before a XX% drawdown. The current rally in #SP500 that began in Oct 2022 crossed that 1092 day mark as of 10/08 peak keeping the long-term uptrend intact. #SPX $SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979939994388033768) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T15:57Z XXX followers, 1197 engagements


"@RyanDetrick Wasnt the index composition different before 1956 So technically weve never seen a bull market end in year four.yet Haha"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979946660856750334) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T16:24Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"For #Bitcoin only X years saw $BTC drop 25%+ and still set a new ATH in the same year. In X of those the post-ATH drawdown was even larger than the initial drop. Yet every such year ended positive. Embrace the volatility in #crypto. By request: @ChifoiCristian 🫡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1977747130807656478) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-13T14:43Z XXX followers, 10.2K engagements


"Pfizer ($PFE) just fell over XX% in X trading days. Its sharpest 8-day drop since Apr 2025. It had similar drops in the past and it often saw the downtrend resume. $PFE #PFE #Pfizer #Stocks #Biotech #Pharma #Markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978482582145687735) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-15T15:26Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"More than two months left in the year and #Gold has already made XX all-time highs. Historic year for precious metals shaping up strong. #Commodities #Investing #Markets $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979178081618219073) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-17T13:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Day XX of the U.S. Government Shutdown and the #SP500 is down 0.9%. Back in Sept 2013 the shutdown ended at XX day mark but markets were up 3.1%. Equities often move independently of the shutdowns. #governmentshutdown2025 #GovernmentShutdown #RepublicanShutdown #Trump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979183116699787613) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-17T13:50Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"For investors worried about high valuations #Gold could be a strong alternative. Whenever CAPE's above current level $Gold s X year CAGR was always positive. As @sonusvarghese noted Chinese demand central bank diversification falling real yields etc. remain key tailwinds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979208283844989344) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-17T15:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Weight of evidence points to a weak October but a strong Q4. Since 1950 when Q4 was positive it averaged X% with a X% drawdown. Currently #SP500 is down about X% from its Q4 peak and gains are -XXX% suggesting a further healthy pullback followed by a Q4 rally. $SPX $SPY #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979215841800655334) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-17T16:00Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#Gold hits intraday all time high but closed the day over X% lower. This is 27th such instance since 2000 and 7th since 2024. This doesnt necessarily mark the end of the rally. Weight of evidence suggests a short term consolidation before momentum resumes. $GLD #Markets $Gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979517835740434521) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T12:00Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Update: The gap between the 200D and 20D moving averages of $VIX has been a reliable drawdown indicator for #SP500. Its now at +1.48 suggesting no major risk ahead. Likely minor pullbacks in October could be a buying opportunity before Q4 rally. #SPX $SPX #VIX #SPY $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979527678970749024) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T12:39Z XXX followers, 3306 engagements


"There were only XX cases where $VIX had an intraday drawdown of XX% or more & closed lower. In XX of XX cases #SP500 was higher X months later with median gain of XXXX% and higher XXX% of the time XX months later with median gain of 13.18%. #VIX #Volatility $SPX $SPY #SPX #SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979532918725697624) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T13:00Z XXX followers, 2311 engagements


"Regional #banks ( $KRE) underperformed #SP500 by over X% in X days. Only the 9th time since 2008. This doesnt signal weakness in $SPX. In prior X cases $SPX rose X of X times a month later with a median gain of 4.2%. On a relative basis it gained 6.2%. $SPY #SPY #SPX #KRE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979535059658182764) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T13:08Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Since this bull market began $VIX has touched XX for six or more straight days only XX other times. The longest streaks were XX & XX days during Liberation Day. Excluding that XX was the maximum. Suggesting a #VIX top soon and resume Q4 rally. #SP500 #Volatility $SPX #SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979540468535808470) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T13:30Z XXX followers, 2631 engagements


"In October #SP500 has bottomed most often between Oct XX (25 times) and next most between Oct 2531 (20 times) the likely base case for 2025. The average month-to-date drawdown was XXX% showing any further pullback in $SPX wouldn't be unusual. #SPY #SPX $SPY $SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979548025350758534) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T14:00Z XXX followers, 1227 engagements


"Correlation between equal & market weighted #SP500 peaked pre-COVID. Since the supply chain reset and #AI boom investors have favored innovation over value. Fundamentals have shifted. This isnt the time to look for value its time to look for vision. $SPX $RSP $SPY #SPY #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979567735496401180) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T15:18Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#Bitcoin is down XXXX% from its all-time high. But does that really look like a lot Historically such phases often marked periods of consolidation before the next leg higher. $BTC #Crypto #BTC #CryptoMarket #BTCUSDT #Blockchain $Bitcoin $IBIT #IBIT #BTCUSD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979596418344964464) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T17:12Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Ahead of major earnings season here are Wall Streets average price targets for the top XX #SP500 companies. #Apple #Tesla and #Palantir are the only three trading above their average analyst estimates. $AAPL $TSLA $PLTR #SPY #SPX $SPX $SPY #Markets #Investing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979887759155183856) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T12:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Update: #Nasdaq100 has now stayed above its 50-day moving average for XXX consecutive days. Only the 8th such streak since 1985. Historically 12-month forward returns were positive in X out of X similar cases. Strong momentum tends to stay strong. #NDX $QQQ #AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1976440038058754085) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-10T00:10Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Buying the dips in #NASDAQ100 has been rewarding in this bull market. Last three dips saw gains of over XX% each. Even before the 2000 dot-com bubble buying dips was profitable but far more frequent. This cycles limited dips suggest were not in a bubble yet. #NDX $NDX $QQQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1978944045885034679) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-16T22:00Z XXX followers, 1240 engagements


"#SP500 is XXX% above its 50-day MA and has stayed above it for XXX days. The best streak since 2011 and 9th longest since 1950. In X of the past X cases it fell below within XXX days hinting $SPX may likely see a brief pullback before the #Q4 rally resumes. #SPY $SPY #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979521067912720695) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T12:12Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"This is only the second time $VIX opened XX% or higher but closed under XX% or lower. It signals buyers stepping in intraday to buy the dip reinforcing the view that this bull market still has strong momentum. #VIX #SP500 #Volatility #Markets $SPX #SPX #SPY $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979525373609013556) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T12:30Z XXX followers, 1134 engagements


"$ARKK is now XX% above its 200-day moving average. A zone its been only XX% of the time and yielded XXX% annualized returns. Still XX% below its all-time high it offers a compelling risk-reward setup as momentum strengthens. @CathieDWood #ARKK #AI #SP500 $SPX $SPY #SPY #SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979619075560005955) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-18T18:42Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"The adaptive moving average has a strong record of signaling major #SP500 drawdowns early. Its been on a buy signal since the post-tariff low and still shows no signs of weakness in $SPX. Follow the trend. #SPX #SPY $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979895308646498765) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T13:00Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#Ethereum has been outperforming #Bitcoin since around the time @fundstrat announced $BMNR. Many believe $ETH is having its Bitcoin 2017 moment and could continue to outperform $BTC in the long run. The ratio still shows room for further upside. #Crypto #ETH #BTC $ETH $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979910233251078466) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T13:59Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"#NASDAQ100 is XXX% above its 50-day moving average. After ending a 118-day+ streak (only the 6th since 1950) the max 1-year drawdown averaged just X% while 12-month returns averaged over XX% and positive every time. Shows the bull run in #AI still intact $NDX $QQQ #Nasdaq #QQQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1979957294759596435) [@Bluekurtic](/creator/x/Bluekurtic) 2025-10-19T17:06Z XXX followers, XXX engagements