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[@swissblock__](/creator/twitter/swissblock__)
"There is allot of information swirling around so here are a few relevant info pieces to inform short and medium term mindset: 🔴 Short-Term Outlook Theres an elevated probability that we retrace roughly half of yesterdays daily wick. This would be consistent with the behavior seen during prior major flushes brining us to mid $103-106k for $btc. This retrace is most likely to occur around the equity futures open tomorrow as global markets continue to digest the XXX% tariff announcement. 🟢 Mid-Term Outlook From both a liquidity and structural perspective the broader environment remains robust."  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977056261356060833) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-11T16:58Z 15.6K followers, 125.1K engagements


"This rally revealed something crucial: long-term holders have cooled their selling intensity. Theyre still distributing but with far less conviction. This eases supply pressure and allows new participants to accumulate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1974126268561137962) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-03T14:55Z 15.6K followers, 131.1K engagements


"Three converging forces: Privacy demand Quantum resilience Token supply fatigue Each is a structural tailwind. Together they redefine where long-term value accrues. Insightful framing by @AndyPavia"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1976642278782562412) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-10T13:33Z 15.6K followers, 24.4K engagements


"Stabilization (When the Panic Ends) After each selloff @bitcoinvector tracks volatility compression to identify when sellers exhaust. This triggers a Stabilizing Price phase 🟢 showing when local stress fades and the market resets. It helps you know when to pause and when to re-enter avoiding false recoveries that trap reactive traders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977160273321443331) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-11T23:51Z 15.6K followers, 16.9K engagements


"This is what a real capitulation looks like. Massive realized losses. Forced selling. Systemic panic. Terra/Luna Celsius FTX: each marked true on-chain capitulation not just leverage unwinds and manipulation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977808063039144012) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-13T18:46Z 15.6K followers, 76.8K engagements


"For bullish reconstruction two key ingredients are required: spot demand and time. Now with price pushing toward $115K theres strong resistance at $116K$116.5K. A V-shape recovery isnt impossible but bulls may need time to rebuild a sustainable trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977492054810017796) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-12T21:50Z 15.6K followers, 7456 engagements


"This doesnt look like a capitulation event: Forced BTC selling was minimal spot pressure low no panic no forced spot liquidation. Key this week: watch if constant fear turns into selling. For now one things clear: this collapse wasnt driven by intense selling pressure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977720983504158756) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-13T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 32.6K engagements


"@RicardoBSalinas This is macro disruption: if Bitcoin truly catches up with gold it would transcend golds static store-of-value role triggering a global repricing of money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1979284706211565749) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-17T20:33Z 15.6K followers, XXX engagements


"Bitcoin hit its ATH and lost momentum now bouncing after retesting $120K. This is the real test: Either BTC reignites from here or flattens into lower highs and fading upside potential. If $120K fails to hold a hard landing near $118K may be next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1976633822424052188) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-10T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 13.2K engagements


"The key question: Was it just stress or a structural breakdown In the chart 👇 (1) Regime Shift Signal volatility skew flips bearish first sign of structural change. (2) Risk-Off Signal confirms full systemic deterioration liquidity contraction and prolonged downside risk. August ATH: both (1) + (2) triggered full structural breakdown. Yesterday: only (1) stress elevated but not systemic yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977160276802715813) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-11T23:51Z 15.6K followers, 46.7K engagements


"Bitcoin whats the plan After the capitulation Bitcoin now needs to rebuild its structure. In the short term this will answer a key question: Will we see a continuation to the upside or is this the end of the cycle and the start of a bear market 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977492046144561333) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-12T21:50Z 15.6K followers, 12.4K engagements


"BTC Net Realized Profit/Loss shows short-term selling pressure emerging after Bitcoins new ATH near $126K. Investors are taking profits but unlike past tops this wave looks controlled not panic-driven. Conviction remains strong. This has the signs of being a healthy cooling phase. If selling pressure fades while BTC holds above $120K$121K it confirms a controlled reset paving the way for renewed spot demand and the next leg higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1975909040115884175) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-08T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 24.9K engagements


"Most traders see the crash after it happens. This thread shows how to spot market stress before it breaks and how to tell if the damage is short-term or structural. Well use two moments the August ATH and yesterdays selloff to show how @bitcoinvector alerts reveal the structure beneath price. 🧵 Read this if you trade volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1977160266489250070) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-11T23:51Z 15.6K followers, 201.6K engagements


"Despite the collapse the risk of a trend reversal remains contained. It may seem counterintuitive but selling intensity was low no panic no capitulation from strong hands. This weeks focus: watch Risk-Off stability. If it holds the structure stays intact: no bear market yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1978083367632417273) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-14T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 14.5K engagements


"The VIX spike during the Deleverage event signaled stress not capitulation. TradFi indices corrected as volatility returned to the fear zone but stayed far from panic levels. On the BTC side this points to a liquidity flush not a structural breakdown. Earlier this year the true VIX panic in April marked BTCs bottom; this time its just a volatility reset not a new risk-off regime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1978445761424887989) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-15T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 20.3K engagements


"Market dynamics are shifting. In recent weeks $BTC was leaving exchanges in large volumes as long-term holders paused their distribution. Now theyve resumed sellingbut with low intensity and BTC still flows out just no longer in big waves. The true impact of the weekends deleverage will surface as participants reposition. So far on-chain behavior supports short-term bullish structural consolidation not panic or forced selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1978808155296444538) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-16T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 11.1K engagements


"BTC Liquidity is rising again for the first time since July. Capital is re-entering the system and its flowing into Bitcoin. Historically this setup has preceded both major breakouts and the onset of Alt-season. Short at your own discretion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1979167363065950584) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-17T12:47Z 15.6K followers, 130.3K engagements


"Bitcoin has fallen to $105K and is fighting to reclaim its lifeline support. The Risk Index remains stable showing no signs of strong-hand panic selling yet. With price retesting the $105K$106K zone and below watch for signs of destabilization and rising risk. Any stress signal here just a week after the deleverage event would be a short-term red flag. Hint: Longs were wiped out during the deleverage event. There are few longs liquidation targets left meaning bears next move isnt to flush leverage but to shake holders conviction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1979170537390903416) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-17T13:00Z 15.6K followers, 12.9K engagements


"We are seeing peak fear. What is more interesting is that a large percentage of market participants think $btc has become predictable. That is a dangerous game to play given the large green bars you see below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/swissblock__/status/1979314353779122334) [@swissblock__](/creator/x/swissblock__) 2025-10-17T22:31Z 15.6K followers, 22.9K engagements