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[@thexcapitalist](/creator/twitter/thexcapitalist)
"This tiny area is all you need to power the United States with solar. Plus tons of energy storage. We are still so early in the storage boom. $FLNC $EOSE $NEE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980008458377167200) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-19T20:29Z 99.1K followers, 14.5K engagements


"Here is why I am avoiding $ORCL stock: Its debt-to-equity ratio is over XXX% as its heavily borrowing to fund its massive $XXX billion contract with OpenAI. If the Stargate project scales as planned it may have to borrow additional $XXX billion in the next decade. This is a big divergence from other hyperscalers like $AMZN and $MSFT that have Debt/Equity between 30-50%. Companies like $MSFT $GOOG and $META are heavily leasing capacity instead of building all themselves to avoid potential overbuilding. In such an environment if the demand proves persistent and ever increasing $ORCL may emerge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1973303544296972445) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-01T08:26Z 99.1K followers, 28.4K engagements


"People are rushing to data center stocks but the real AI play is energy. Morgan Stanley predicts a 36GW power shortfall in the U.S. due to the expected data-center buildout over the next three years. We need to ramp up capacity + storage ASAP. $CEG $FLNC $BEP $NEE $ET $SEI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1975849470345834625) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-08T09:03Z 99.1K followers, 88.4K engagements


"Energy is the real AI play. Goldman Sachs predicts that AI will lead to XX% growth in data center power demand by 2030 making up XX% of the total data center power demand. We need to add capacity and storage at an unprecedented rate. Long energy. $FLNC $CEG $BEP $SEI $NEE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977640995740323925) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-13T07:42Z 99.1K followers, 76.7K engagements


"Markets are waking up to energy storage. Financial Times reports that China and the US are rapidly growing battery capacity. Without storage renewables wont work. Without renewables data center power demand will be impossible to meet. Batteries are the future. $FLNC $EOSE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977967294178263045) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-14T05:18Z 99.1K followers, 21.2K engagements


"$FLNC is one of the leaders in energy storage. It generated $XXXX billion in revenue last year. Market cap $XXX billion. It's trading at 1.3x sales despite XX% annual growth since 2020. Meanwhile the storage capacity in the US is projected to triple by 2030. Long $FLNC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979583489839403135) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-18T16:20Z 99.1K followers, 50.1K engagements


"Average new car price is $50000 This says one thing: USD is worthless. Nothing else. If you bump the debt to $XX trillion and keep printing money to pay your bills this is what you get: - Confidence in fiat collapses. - Gold skyrockets. And new cars cost $50k. Shame"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979797684249862298) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-19T06:32Z 99.1K followers, 13K engagements


"2/ What does $PGY do Its platform is positioned between lenders and investors. Lenders forward the rejected loans to Pagaya for second look. Pagaya evaluates the applicants by its propriatery AI model which can bump up approval rates by 20-30%: Hear it from the CEO:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346563689083046) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 2107 engagements


"3/ It has created a two-sided network. On the one side there are lenders and on the other side there are investors. Pagaya raises money from investors and lenders send rejected applications to $PGY for second look. If $PGY approves a loan the lender extends the credit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346567484928033) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1612 engagements


"$ULTA is dirt cheap dont let anybody get you believe orherwise. Its average annual buyback rate since 2019 is XXX% and there is no earnings contraction. Its very cheap I dont think anybody could argue otherwise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1799394300448621016) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2024-06-08T10:53Z 99K followers, 163.6K engagements


"$PLTR has: - AI platform to create specialized LLMs. - More than XXX commercial customers. - Leading data integration platform. - Capability to create digital twins. - S&P XXX addition ahead of it. Why arent you buying it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1809306219942682967) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2024-07-05T19:19Z 99K followers, 65.5K engagements


"I believe these are the XX small-cap stocks that will skyrocket in 2025: - $HIMS Hims and Hers - $REAX Real Brokerage - $SOFI Sofi - $LMND Lemonade Inc. - $ROOT Root Inc. - $TMDX Transmedics - $JMIA Jumia - $DLO Dlocal Ltd. - $STNE Stoneco - $LRN Stride"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1871911724246515849) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2024-12-25T13:31Z 98.9K followers, 156.2K engagements


"Buy $OSCR and $UNH. Healthcare is going nowhere ignore the noise. Dont think next X months think next XX years. What do you see I see exploding healthcare spending due to aging population. Ignore the noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1943412986221035606) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-07-10T20:52Z 99K followers, 142.4K engagements


"$TSM is one of the most undervalued stocks relative to its performance and potential. They effortlessly delivered XX% YoY revenue growth last month. Their yields in 2nm are XX% higher than the closest competitor Samsung. They are the only foundry having started the development of 1nm process and they expect to start manufacturing on 1nm nodes in 2030. Regardless of who designs the best chips $TSM will be the one manufacturing it. Long $TSM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1965717511820980242) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-10T10:02Z 98.9K followers, 28.9K engagements


"This is alarming Almost XX% of the US real GDP growth last quarter was driven by tech capex. Bulk of the capex was AI-related investments. Aggregate capex cant keep climbing like this in the absence of real profits derived from AI investments. If this doesnt happen soon enough well likely see substantial slow-down in GDP growth which can trigger a deep correction in the market given that the valuations are already at elevated levels. I think its time to be more fearful than greedy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1974070769748517201) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-03T11:15Z 98.9K followers, 174K engagements


"$GRAB is the next big ecosystem business. It's dominating deliveries and mobility in Southeast Asia and it has a fast growing fintech division. Here is my investment thesis: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1891158237933686810) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-02-16T16:10Z 99.1K followers, 574.3K engagements


"Data centers already make up X% of US power demand. Apollo expects this to reach XX% of total US power demand in 2030. Energy is the real AI trade. $ET $CEG $BEP $FLNC $NEE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1970061386920202609) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-22T09:43Z 99.1K followers, 51.7K engagements


"This tiny area in the desert is all you need to power the United States with solar. Plus tons of energy storage. We are still so early in the storage boom. $FLNC $EOSE $NEE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980000905719054445) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-19T19:59Z 99.1K followers, 6384 engagements


"Buffetts mystery stock may be revealed on Thursdays filing. Its almost $X billion in size making it X% of his portfolio. What company is currently undervalued and big enough so Buffett could build $X billion position without getting noticed Maybe $UNH Its not X chance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1955146152552136981) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-12T05:55Z 99.1K followers, 230.8K engagements


"McKinsey predicts that data center capacity for AI workloads will grow XX% annually in the next X years. Total capacity is expected to grow XX% annually from XX GW this year to XXX GW in 2030. We are still early in the data center boom. $NBIS $IREN $ORCL $CRWV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1971585529004343503) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-26T14:39Z 99.1K followers, 100.7K engagements


"Im pounding the table on energy storage again. The energy storage market wont slow down anytime soon. Goldman Sachs predicts that S&P XXX companies will spend $XXX trillion on AI next year and most of that money will go to building data centers. Result Power demand will explode. The additional capacity will have to come from renewables since fossil fuel capacity wont grow from here and nuclear takes too long to build. That necessarily means deploying massive amounts of storage both on-site and at the grid level. Long energy storage. $FLNC $EOSE $NEE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979284380666286531) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-17T20:32Z 99.1K followers, 105.7K engagements


"Microsoft gives the signal for potential AI bubble. This is not the first time they raised concerns about excessive capacity. Satya said earlier this year that they want to avoid overbuilding so they are open to renting. Microsoft has been renting more and more capacity since then instead of building it all itself. Meanwhile everybody in the crypto mining space has pivoted to AI cloud and rapidly adding capacity. Hyperscalers like Google Oracle and Meta are building at full speed followed by neo-clouds like $CRWV and $NBIS. At some point excess capacity will be inevitable. When that happens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979656111272894925) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-18T21:09Z 99.1K followers, 60.1K engagements


"$NVDA says AI infrastructure spending will reach $X trillion by 2030. Everybody naturally focuses on $NVDA but $AMD has much more room to grow into this TAM. Assume 1/4 of the money will be spent on chips thats $X trillion. Even if $AMD captures just XX% of it itll generate $XXX billion revenue. At XX% net margin and 25x exit multiple well get a $XXX trillion company. Its valued just at $XXX billion now. Long $AMD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980154466033660320) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T06:09Z 99.1K followers, 39.5K engagements


"S&P is back at all time highs so there arent many opportunities around. Here are X high-quality stocks that are still undervalued and price targets: - $FLNC $XX - $LGCY $XX - $NVO $XXX - $AMZN $XXX - $MELI $2400 Its getting harder and harder to find attractive deals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980365711722897565) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T20:09Z 99.1K followers, 21.9K engagements


"No-revenue stocks are flying high. People are going to get rug-pulled pretty badly once market sentiment turns negative. Heres why these no-revenue stocks are skyrocketing: This bull market is now two years old and attractive opportunities have largely dried up. Investors are being pushed toward higher-risk profiles to find attractive rewards. Weve reached a point where the market has efficiently priced everything that can be valued. So asymmetric opportunities exist only in speculative positions that cant be valued. Basically you need to speculateand get it right. The thing is XX% of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980388972305035360) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T21:41Z 99.1K followers, 21.7K engagements


"9/ The stock got hammered because the management lowered the guidance for the full year 2025. As much as the slowing sales the USD's loss of XX% against the Danish Krone contributed to this revision. Anyways this growth prospect is enough for the stock to double from here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1952377451234881694) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-04T14:33Z 99K followers, 2567 engagements


"3/ $ASML P/E Ratio: XXXX Return on Capital: XXXX% 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XXXX% It's the sole manufacturer of the Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography Machines for cutting-edge chip manufacturing. It'll benefit from the skyrocketing chip demand as foundries like TSMC and Samsung are building new plants to meet the demand. ASML is the sole supplier of EUVL machines for these new plants. As foundries announce new projects their future outlook will become increasingly brighter. It's at an attractive price relative to its historical valuation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1959938329769652490) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-25T11:18Z 99K followers, 26.3K engagements


"4/ $NU P/E Ratio: XX Return on Equity: XX% 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XX% It's the largest digital bank in the world that is still growing extremely fast. Valuation took a hit last year as the Brazilian Real dipped against the USD but has recovered since then. It is rapidly expanding in Colombia and Mexico with entry to Argentina imminent. It'll also benefit from the weaker USD as the FED is preparing for rate cuts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1959938333829722304) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-25T11:18Z 99K followers, 26.7K engagements


"Goldman Sachs says healthcare sector experienced record outflow in 2025. Yet healthcare is going nowhere. Nothing has come out of the $UNH investigations and Trump announced that a deal for ACA subsidy extension is near. Companies are exiting money losing plans and actively raising prices literally in all markets. Meanwhile the sector is trading at just XX times earnings. Long healthcare $UNH $OSCR $CNC $ELV $MOH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1975955284511072559) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-08T16:03Z 99K followers, 31.7K engagements


"This is bullish for $AMD. It looks like the money spent on AI infrastructure is circulating among a few companies like $MSFT $NVDA and $ORCL. While all of them show both inflows and outflows $AMD is just entering the system with only inflows for now. If it can grow its order book without having to inject capital into its customers for liquidity it could become even more profitable than $NVDA. Long $AMD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1976147037750972601) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-09T04:45Z 99K followers, 69K engagements


"This is alarming. U.S. auto loan losses have reached their highest level since March 2020. First people stop paying their cards. Then they stop paying for their cars. Finally they stop paying for their homes. And government shutdown isnt helping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1976273910141510077) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-09T13:09Z 99K followers, 25K engagements


"$TSM is the most obvious AI/semiconductor play in the market. It expanded its overall market share from XX% in Q2 2024 to XX% in Q2 2025. This goes above XX% in advanced chip manufacturing. Its yields in 2nm process is XX% higher than that of Samsung. Long $TSM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1976618760728694805) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-10T12:00Z 99K followers, 17K engagements


"Say what you want but this isnt normal. Gold is after all is an asset driven by supply/demand. There are two reasons its skyrocketing: 1) People believe high inflation is inevitable under the current conditions. 2) Investors who missed the market rally are trying to catch up by betting on assets that are already riding some tailwinds. Together they inevitably inflate the asset prices. Suddenly people start saying things like gold is the only safe haven. If you look long-term its true. But that doesnt mean those who buy at inflated prices wont suffer huge drawdowns. Hard assets like gold may"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1978568560482943137) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-15T21:07Z 99K followers, 42K engagements


"The market is near all-time highs yet there are still attractive opportunities. Here are XX high-quality undervalued stocks I am watching now: 🧵 X. $UNH - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% - Return on Investment: XX% - Forward P/E: XX The healthcare industry as a whole mispredicted the activity rates and medical inflation this year resulting in reduced operating margins. This effect was even stronger for $UNH as they absorbed over 700000 customers who bounced from other providers at the beginning of the year. Yet they are poised to overcome these headwinds: - They are raising the prices for 2026. -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1972642963063775310) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-29T12:41Z 99.1K followers, 99.4K engagements


"7/ Result Revenues are exploding. It literally grew by 10x in the last X years. This is one of the most impressive growth stories I have seen in the last couple years. Giant total adressable market means that there is much room for them to maintain this performance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346582211215624) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, XXX engagements


"A record of $XXX trillion is now sitting in money market funds. They missed the whole rally starting from late-2022 because we literally didnt get the most expected recession of all times. In case of a correction substantial portion of this money will flow into stocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980517642730402040) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-21T06:12Z 99.1K followers, 17.2K engagements


"10. $WISE.L - Forward P/E: XX - Operating margin: XX% - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% International neobank that is preferred by those who want to cheaply move money internationally. Trading at a very attractive price despite the blockbuster revenue growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1890421355008397646) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-02-14T15:22Z 99K followers, 14.3K engagements


"8/ Last but not least oral weight loss pills. Eli Lilly announced last week that its pill led to X% reduction after XX weeks in a Phase III trial. Novo's oral semaglutide also at Phase III leads to XX% weight reduction after XX weeks. Again superior. Its oral Amycreting which Lilly has no peer of led to a XX% reduction after just XX weeks. Novo wins again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1952377447120351729) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-04T14:33Z 99K followers, 2712 engagements


"1/ $NBIS is my highest conviction stock for the next X years. Revenue is growing triple digits and they are looking to quadruple the capacity by the end of next year. It's just starting off. Here is why it can make 3x in the next X years: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1955320631907484087) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-12T17:29Z 99K followers, 144.7K engagements


"6. $GRG.L Forward P/E: XX 5-year Revenue CAGR: X% Year-to-date Drawdown: XXXX% Greggs is the largest bakery chain in the UK. The stock is having one of its largest drawdowns in the last XX years due to the combination of: - High inflation. - Extremely hot weather. - Elevated capital expenditures. It struggled to pass increasing prices to customers while simultaneously experiencing reduced traffic due to hot weather. All that happened in the middle of the peak capex cycle as it's building two new distribution centers. As the inflation subsides and we get into autumn I believe the net income"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1970456167999504853) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-23T11:52Z 99K followers, 14.2K engagements


"7. $INPST.AS Forward P/E: XX 5-year Revenue CAGR: XX% Year-to-date Drawdown: XXXX% The leading parcel locker operator in Europe. It's dominating Poland and rapidly expanding its locker network in Europe and the UK. The stock is currently having one of its largest drawdowns due to two main reasons: - Legal troubles with its recent acquisitions. - Competition from its biggest customer in Poland. The first one is about ot get resolved as the British High Court didn't issue an injunction and allowed it to carry on the restructuring of Yodel its recent acquisition. Second is due to the competition"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1970456172382523432) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-23T11:52Z 99K followers, 8843 engagements


"9. $GRG.L - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% - Return on Equity: XX% - Forward P/E: XX Greggs is the leading bakery chain in the UK. It recently suffered from extreme weather conditions last year which resulted in reduced foot traffic. Yet all the business metrics are going in the right direction: It's growing double digits planning to grow the store count from 2600 now to 3600 by 2034 and it's generating very high return on equity. I think XX times forward earnings is extremely cheap for such a healthy-growing market-leading business"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1972642998098731384) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-29T12:41Z 99K followers, 8272 engagements


"Rapid data-center buildouts are skyrocketing energy demand. Were adding renewable capacity at a record pace to keep up. Global renewable capacity is projected to double by 2030. Yet for this transition to be effective we need efficient energy storage fast. Long $FLNC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1975992144700768349) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-08T18:30Z 99K followers, 14.8K engagements


"$NVDA sees that chips are no longer a limiting factor for AI development. Foundries have ramped up the capacity and $AMD has largely caught up in hardware performance. What keeps $NVDA ahead It is following an ecosystem leader strategy. It made so much money by selling XX% of GPUs in the last three years that it now has so much money idle money. $NVDA is using this money to provide liquidity to the ecosystem players especially neo-cloud providers. Thus it makes them dependent on itself keeping the likes of $AMD at a distance despite the eroding hardware moat. Mastery in business strategy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977495748456399240) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-12T22:05Z 99K followers, 26.7K engagements


"Batteries arent just for backup they also enable energy arbitrage. Companies deploying utility-scale batteries can charge them at night when prices are low and sell power back to the grid during the day when prices are high. This is only just getting started. Long $FLNC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977806794065121370) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-13T18:41Z 99K followers, 22.3K engagements


"Ray Dalio sees the future. He warned "Something worse than a recession is coming." It's already happening. Gold prices are soaring while the USD index is collapsing. What Ray Dalio sees coming next is disastrous: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1962900527533998149) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-02T15:28Z 99.1K followers, 2M engagements


"10. $INPST.AS - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% - Return on Equity: XX% - Forward P/E: XX InPost is one of my highest conviction picks right now. It's the leading parcel delivery network in Europe and it's rapidly expanding in the UK. Its acquisition of Yodel a UK logistics company was stopped early this year leading to a decline in stock price. That issue is solved now but the competition from its biggest customer in Poland Allegro keeps the stock under pressure. Even if it loses all the Allegro revenue it'll be at most XX% hit to the top-line which will be compensated easily by rapid growth in the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1972643002410549693) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-29T12:41Z 99.1K followers, 14K engagements


"5/ This is also critical for data centers. Regardless of whether they consume from the grid or also have on-site generators they need storage to: - Use as backup - Regulate frequency in the grid This way they can avoid blackouts that could lead to the collapse of whole systems or frequency irregularities that could damage valuable equipment like servers and GPUs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977743179836235823) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-13T14:28Z 99.1K followers, 3009 engagements


"6/ $FLNC is one of the leaders in utility-scale storage solutions. It has three integrated businesses: - Storage solutions - Long-term maintenance services - Software for energy trade and monitoring This integrated stack differentiates it from competitors and makes it a preferred partner for energy solutions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977743183023849560) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-13T14:28Z 99.1K followers, 3489 engagements


"6. $SEZL Revenue Growth: XX% Operating Margin: XX% Forward PE: XX The most attractive and fastest growing Buy Now Pay Later company in the market. It's making AI based lending decisions not depending just on FICO stores. Extremely profitable and market overstates the risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1876645588005232949) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-01-07T15:02Z 99.1K followers, 3644 engagements


"$OSCR was a market darling a week ago but everybody is dumping the stock now. Yet nothing has changed in the business fundamentals. Here is why it's an asymmetric opportunity now: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1940477454248038744) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-07-02T18:27Z 99.1K followers, 538.6K engagements


"$NU is one of my highest conviction stocks for the next decade. It is still growing very fast despite dominating its market. Yet the stock is still cheap. Here is everything you need to know about $NU business investment thesis financials everything. (Thread 🧵)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1957435504426668389) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-08-18T13:32Z 99.1K followers, 284.1K engagements


"I bought $NBIS before it was popular at $XX per share. It's already 5x for me. This is only the beginning as they have just announced a massive $XX billion deal with Microsoft. It can easily make another 5x from here. Here is why $NBIS is an asymmetric opportunity: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1965374277894729857) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-09T11:18Z 99.1K followers, 94.6K engagements


"Demand for compute capacity is off the roof and its not slowing down anytime soon. Here are XX stocks that will massively benefit from the AI gold rush: Cloud $NBIS $CRWV $IREN $ORCL Energy $ET $CEG $GEV $GNRC Cooling $VRT $SBGSF $ETN $PPIH Networking $ALAB $ANET $CLS $FN Chips $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $MRVL What else would you add"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1966143598627291478) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-11T14:15Z 99.1K followers, 72.5K engagements


"4. $DLO P/E Ratio: XX 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XX% Return on Capital Employed: XX% It's one of the most effective online payment gateways for emerging markets. It enables merchants to receive payment in over XXX local payment methods. The stock got hammered down last year because its take rates were plummeting; however the management shifted the strategy to focus on volume growth instead to offset declining take rates. That strategy has worked well so far as it's on its way to deliver 40-50% volume growth this year. This growth won't slow down anytime soon as e-commerce penetration in emerging"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1967589160677695822) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-15T13:59Z 99.1K followers, 10.7K engagements


"5. $INTR P/E Ratio: XX 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XX% Return on Equity: XX% Inter is the second-largest neo-bank in Brazil and it's actively pursuing expansion in both Latin America and the US. Its monetization strategy is based on loans. This leads users to keep idle money in their accounts to service debt. They utilize idle deposits to fund loan portfolio growth resulting in one of the lowest costs of funding in the industry. They have also created complementary products around their core banking operations like investment insurance brokerage and shopping. This opens up ample cross monetization"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1967589165542871272) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-15T13:59Z 99.1K followers, 9145 engagements


"$TTD is grossly undervalued now. It's facing some headwinds but nowhere near to justify a XX% drop. Let's make some very conservative assumptions: - XX% annual growth - XX times exit multiple - XX% net income margin We get a $XX billion company in 2030. Discount it back to this day at X% annual rate and we get a $XX billion company. It's currently valued at $XX billion meaning it's undervalued even on very conservative assumptions. In a bit bullish scenario it can easily double in the next X years. Why wouldn't this work from here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1967884726250688562) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-16T09:34Z 99.1K followers, 50.3K engagements


"David Tepper went on CBNC after 2008 crisis and said buy everything. That worked great. He went on CBNC again last year and said buy China. His $BABA position is up XX% since then. He just went live on CNBC again and said he is still bullish on China. Long $BABA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1968712969325330854) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-18T16:25Z 99.1K followers, 533.6K engagements


"I am buying a new growth stock with 3x potential: Since 2020 it has delivered: - XX% annual revenue growth. - XX% annual earnings growth. - Median ROCE of 20%. It's just trading at XX times forward earnings. Here is my full investment thesis:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1969757694601879879) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-21T13:36Z 99.1K followers, 68.9K engagements


"The real AI play is the energy. Global data center power demand will double in the next X years and triple by 2034. Niche companies that can supply power to or store it for data centers will skyrocket. $ET $CEG $FLNC $BEP $NEE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1970503907110707514) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-23T15:01Z 99.1K followers, 101.1K engagements


"OpenAI expects its energy capacity will grow 125x in the next X years. Itll consume more energy than India. Yet the market is so focused on data center stocks that it completely ignores the energy. The real AI play is energy. $CEG $FLNC $NEE $ET $BEP $SEI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1971884352863969619) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-09-27T10:27Z 99.1K followers, 130.9K engagements


"This is alarming. Over XX% of VC money is now going to AI companies. For reference only XX% of the VC money went to internet companies in 1999. If those AI companies dont start generating real revenue soon enough investors will start stepping back. When this happens all those unprofitable companies will go bankrupt and potentially trigger a systematic collapse similar to what happened in 2000. Time to be more cautious than greedy when it comes to AI driven investment theses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1975108100328673749) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-06T07:57Z 99.1K followers, 253.4K engagements


"$OSCR is still cheap. Despite rising XX% from its April lows its still trading at 0.5x sales. Meanwhile: - Members doubled in year. - Revenues grew by XX% TTM. - Its raising prices in all marketplaces. Its trading just at XX times 2027 EPS guidance. Long $OSCR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1975544579299635259) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-07T12:51Z 99.1K followers, 37.9K engagements


"We may literally be entering a bubble. Last month retail investors bought a record $XXX billion worth of stocks. Given that the market was already expensive they likely got caught up in FOMO and poured most of this money into already overvalued stocks further stretching valuations. At some point smart money will inevitably start dumping some of these overextended names to take profits and de-risk their portfolios. When that happens retail investors will panic and flee the market faster than they bought in. This will likely trigger the long-overdue correction. Its time to be more fearful than"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1976335390647971956) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-09T17:14Z 99.1K followers, 60.5K engagements


"1/ $FLNC is the leading utility-scale battery provider with 5x potential. Power demand is exploding due to rapid data center buildout. Most of the new capacity should come from renewables where storage is critical. Here is why $FLNC is an asymmetric opportunity: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1977743166573867103) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-13T14:28Z 99.1K followers, 56K engagements


"$AMD is rapidly catching up with $NVDA. Oracle announced yesterday that it will deploy 50000 $AMD GPUs. Demand for the MI450s is off the charts as they go head-to-head with $NVDA Rubin. This market is expected to reach $XXX billion by 2030. If $AMD can capture just XX% of that it will generate $XX billion in revenue from this segment alone. The entire company generated only $XX billion in revenue last year. Long $AMD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1978370978372612535) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-15T08:02Z 99.1K followers, 49.5K engagements


"This is why you should never short. To make money by going short you shouldnt just be right on the stock you should also be right on timing. The former is relatively easy to do the latter is very hard. Being right on both consistently is near impossible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1978440600610300052) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-15T12:39Z 99.1K followers, 28.5K engagements


"$TSM just reported Q3 results and its nothing other than fascinating. - Revenue grew XX% YoY - Earnings grew over XX% - Net margin reached XX% Its expanding market share in all segments. It has 20-40% better yields in 2nm process than Samsung and its targeting 1nm process by 2030. Its currently trading at around 23-25 forward earnings which makes it one of the cheapest monopolies with one of the highest growth potential ahead. Long $TSM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1978724392008929612) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-16T07:27Z 99.1K followers, 45.6K engagements


"Smart money keeps buying $UNH. Dodge & Cox recently disclosed a $XXX billion position at a reported price of $XXX per share. Davenport & Company also disclosed that it increased its position by 26%. If they beat this quarter and guide for growth next year this can quickly climb over $XXX levels. Long $UNH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1978762367262408723) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-16T09:58Z 99.1K followers, 97.5K engagements


"$AMZN -X% YTD despite the market rally. This is due to the underperformance of AWS relative to other cloud giants. AWS grew just XX% last year while $MSFT Azure grew XX% and $GOOG Cloud grew 30%. This will change once Anthropic's AWS clusters go live. Two gigawatt-scale clusters are beginning operations this year and they will accelerate AWS growth from XX% to XX% levels according to SemiAnalysis. If Anthropic gets performance from them further deployment of Trainium-equipped clusters will follow. If Anthropic validates the performance many smaller AI labs may follow and AWS's growth can"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1978825444611723724) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-16T14:08Z 99.1K followers, 47.7K engagements


"Few words about how to benefit from regional bank weakness: I am not sure whether the perceived weakness in regional banks may turn to a full blown banking crisis. If it does though there will be opportunities in fintech that arent much exposed to commercial loans. To start with banks went over their loan portfolios after the collapse of Tricolor and First Brands. All Zion could find was a $XX million bad loan in a $XX billion asset base. However even if we assume the issue is more extensive and common than we see on the surface itll primarily effect the regional banks heavily exposed to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979086442090410113) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-17T07:25Z 99.1K followers, 20.9K engagements


"Here is how I see the market right now: - The overall market is expensive. - Inflation may tick up soon due to tariffs etc. - Commercial credit is weaker than consumer credit. This is a time to think more defensively than offensively. Healthcare is there for defensive positioning trading at just XX forward earnings versus XX for the S&P. The largest healthcare providers are still down about XX% from their highs and they are guiding for growth next year. Hedge funds are buying members of Congress are buying and even Buffett is buying. I think the sector deserves some attention now. Especially"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979183821695148198) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-17T13:52Z 99.1K followers, 16.1K engagements


"I think there is no single reason of the volatility we got in the last two days. I think the reason is that the valuations are stretched right now and everybody knows this. This makes the market fragile. Its basically looking for a trigger to correct itself a bit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979218908461625833) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-17T16:12Z 99.1K followers, 10.4K engagements


"I have just published my long-awaited research on $PGY. It has grown XX% annually since 2020 while expanding its take rate from X% levels to nearly 5%. Yet it's exposed to lethal balance sheet risks. Read the full deep dive here; it's free👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1979919728698175732) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-19T14:37Z 99.1K followers, 47.1K engagements


"$AMZN is the cheapest mega-cap stock now. Its only up XX% since 2020 despite doubling the revenue. It has grown into its overvaluation. Now its cheap again trading at just XX times operating cash flow. The stock didnt move because the market believes that AWS is losing the AI infrastructure race as its growth lagged other hyperscalers. However AWS will reaccelerate as Anthropics gigawatt scale Trainium clusters start operation this quarter. Once AWS accelerates the market will reprice it. Long $AMZN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980017037163286660) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-19T21:03Z 99.1K followers, 155.3K engagements


"Waymo will complete X million trips per week in 2030 according to Bloomberg. Meanwhile $UBER completes XX million trips everyday. $UBER is not going to be disrupted anytime soon. Long $UBER"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980265802222784710) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T13:32Z 99.1K followers, 32.1K engagements


"1/ $PGY is one of the cheapest growth stocks in the market. It has grown revenues 10x since 2020 yet it's trading just at XX times forward earnings. Here is everything you need to know about $PGY business investment case financials everything. (Thread 🧵)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346559834526149) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 23.2K engagements


"4/ $PGY uses special purpose vehicles (SPV) to buy the debt from the lenders. SPV's are pre-funded by investors' money who get bonds in exchange. Thus these bonds are actually asset backed securities (ABS) backed by the loans $PGY approved and bought through SPVs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346571364659436) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1427 engagements


"5/ This is a win-win model for all the partners. Lenders don't hold any extra loan in their balance sheet yet they make money through origination fees. Investors make money because they get higher yields on their otherwise idle money. $PGY makes money through: - Getting a percentage of the origination fees - Performance bonuses from the investors - Securitization fees. Its fees are currently around X% of the total origination volume:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346574963093685) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1304 engagements


"6/ This is a huge market. According to Bankrate XX% of all personal applications are rejected. NBRE Research suggests that approximately XX% of those applications are actually admissable but they get rejected because insufficient credit history. Including auto loans and point of sale loans the incremental volume for admissable loans reaches over $XX billion. $PGY is filling this $XX billion gap between admissable lons originations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346578683793845) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1034 engagements


"8/ So what's the downside Pagaya as an ABS sponsor must hold X% of the credit risk on its balance sheet per Dodd & Frank Act. Investors generally demand it to hold the most junior X% to align its interest with that of investors. Default rate is significantly high in those junior tranches. Some of the loans it made back in 2022-2023 worked pretty poorly and Pagaya's write-offs increased by 3x from December 2023 to December 2024"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346587009179991) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, XXX engagements


"9/ If Pagaya's losses on junior loans keep increasing it may be lethal for the business. If Pagaya's losses increase by XX% more it may wipe the XX% of its equity pool. Losses climbs to XX% and all the equity base is gone. Is it probable No. Is it possible Yes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346590666846629) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, XXX engagements


"10/ If Pagaya can manage the credit risk the potential is huge. It grew revenues by XX% annually in the last X years. If it grows by only XX% annually in the next X years it'll reach $XXX billion revenue in 2030. Assuming conservative XX% net margin it'll generate $XXX million net income. Slap a conservative 15x earnings and we'll get a $X billion company. It is currently valued at just $XXX billion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346594945036576) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 5621 engagements


"Do you want to learn more about $PGY I have just published a deep dive. It's free read it below 👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980346598791238139) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 5386 engagements


"Speculative-grade defaults are coming down despite concerns about consumer credit. This is bullish for fintechs dealing with potentially sub-prime borrowers especially for $PGY. The chances of further markdowns are shrinking so the market can revisit $PGY valuation soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980583691442352498) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-21T10:35Z 99.1K followers, 17.7K engagements


"The market is just wrong about $NVO. Its still ahead of $LLY in the weight-loss market. Novos oral GLP-1 will be launched later this year while Lillys oral weight-loss pill is expected in early 2026. Novos oral drug led to XXXX% weight-loss after XX weeks while Lillys pill showed XXXX% weight drop. Its not that different for weight-loss injections too. Novo has Amycretin and Lilly has Retatritude as the upcoming flagship drugs. While they both delivered XX% weight-loss in trials Retatritude did that in XX weeks while it only took XX weeks for Amycretin. In sum $NVO is well positioned to keep"  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980639005537431953) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-21T14:15Z 99.1K followers, 44.1K engagements


"Here are some contrarian thoughts about ChatGPT Atlas: I think its a mistake for OpenAI to enter the browser market. Google has ignored AI browsers so far because they werent a threat. Now that OpenAI is also in the game Google will have to turn Chrome more agentic. So Geminis usage will explode given Chromes dominant position in browsers. As a result users may start getting used to Gemini and drop ChatGPT as their preferred foundational AI model. Gemini already tripled its market share last year so pushing Google to further integrate Gemini into Chrome is not a smart move for OpenAI I think."  
[X Link](https://x.com/thexcapitalist/status/1980691649953943795) [@thexcapitalist](/creator/x/thexcapitalist) 2025-10-21T17:44Z 99.1K followers, 7108 engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@thexcapitalist "This tiny area is all you need to power the United States with solar. Plus tons of energy storage. We are still so early in the storage boom. $FLNC $EOSE $NEE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-19T20:29Z 99.1K followers, 14.5K engagements

"Here is why I am avoiding $ORCL stock: Its debt-to-equity ratio is over XXX% as its heavily borrowing to fund its massive $XXX billion contract with OpenAI. If the Stargate project scales as planned it may have to borrow additional $XXX billion in the next decade. This is a big divergence from other hyperscalers like $AMZN and $MSFT that have Debt/Equity between 30-50%. Companies like $MSFT $GOOG and $META are heavily leasing capacity instead of building all themselves to avoid potential overbuilding. In such an environment if the demand proves persistent and ever increasing $ORCL may emerge"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-01T08:26Z 99.1K followers, 28.4K engagements

"People are rushing to data center stocks but the real AI play is energy. Morgan Stanley predicts a 36GW power shortfall in the U.S. due to the expected data-center buildout over the next three years. We need to ramp up capacity + storage ASAP. $CEG $FLNC $BEP $NEE $ET $SEI"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-08T09:03Z 99.1K followers, 88.4K engagements

"Energy is the real AI play. Goldman Sachs predicts that AI will lead to XX% growth in data center power demand by 2030 making up XX% of the total data center power demand. We need to add capacity and storage at an unprecedented rate. Long energy. $FLNC $CEG $BEP $SEI $NEE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-13T07:42Z 99.1K followers, 76.7K engagements

"Markets are waking up to energy storage. Financial Times reports that China and the US are rapidly growing battery capacity. Without storage renewables wont work. Without renewables data center power demand will be impossible to meet. Batteries are the future. $FLNC $EOSE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-14T05:18Z 99.1K followers, 21.2K engagements

"$FLNC is one of the leaders in energy storage. It generated $XXXX billion in revenue last year. Market cap $XXX billion. It's trading at 1.3x sales despite XX% annual growth since 2020. Meanwhile the storage capacity in the US is projected to triple by 2030. Long $FLNC"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-18T16:20Z 99.1K followers, 50.1K engagements

"Average new car price is $50000 This says one thing: USD is worthless. Nothing else. If you bump the debt to $XX trillion and keep printing money to pay your bills this is what you get: - Confidence in fiat collapses. - Gold skyrockets. And new cars cost $50k. Shame"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-19T06:32Z 99.1K followers, 13K engagements

"2/ What does $PGY do Its platform is positioned between lenders and investors. Lenders forward the rejected loans to Pagaya for second look. Pagaya evaluates the applicants by its propriatery AI model which can bump up approval rates by 20-30%: Hear it from the CEO:"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 2107 engagements

"3/ It has created a two-sided network. On the one side there are lenders and on the other side there are investors. Pagaya raises money from investors and lenders send rejected applications to $PGY for second look. If $PGY approves a loan the lender extends the credit"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1612 engagements

"$ULTA is dirt cheap dont let anybody get you believe orherwise. Its average annual buyback rate since 2019 is XXX% and there is no earnings contraction. Its very cheap I dont think anybody could argue otherwise"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2024-06-08T10:53Z 99K followers, 163.6K engagements

"$PLTR has: - AI platform to create specialized LLMs. - More than XXX commercial customers. - Leading data integration platform. - Capability to create digital twins. - S&P XXX addition ahead of it. Why arent you buying it"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2024-07-05T19:19Z 99K followers, 65.5K engagements

"I believe these are the XX small-cap stocks that will skyrocket in 2025: - $HIMS Hims and Hers - $REAX Real Brokerage - $SOFI Sofi - $LMND Lemonade Inc. - $ROOT Root Inc. - $TMDX Transmedics - $JMIA Jumia - $DLO Dlocal Ltd. - $STNE Stoneco - $LRN Stride"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2024-12-25T13:31Z 98.9K followers, 156.2K engagements

"Buy $OSCR and $UNH. Healthcare is going nowhere ignore the noise. Dont think next X months think next XX years. What do you see I see exploding healthcare spending due to aging population. Ignore the noise"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-07-10T20:52Z 99K followers, 142.4K engagements

"$TSM is one of the most undervalued stocks relative to its performance and potential. They effortlessly delivered XX% YoY revenue growth last month. Their yields in 2nm are XX% higher than the closest competitor Samsung. They are the only foundry having started the development of 1nm process and they expect to start manufacturing on 1nm nodes in 2030. Regardless of who designs the best chips $TSM will be the one manufacturing it. Long $TSM"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-10T10:02Z 98.9K followers, 28.9K engagements

"This is alarming Almost XX% of the US real GDP growth last quarter was driven by tech capex. Bulk of the capex was AI-related investments. Aggregate capex cant keep climbing like this in the absence of real profits derived from AI investments. If this doesnt happen soon enough well likely see substantial slow-down in GDP growth which can trigger a deep correction in the market given that the valuations are already at elevated levels. I think its time to be more fearful than greedy"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-03T11:15Z 98.9K followers, 174K engagements

"$GRAB is the next big ecosystem business. It's dominating deliveries and mobility in Southeast Asia and it has a fast growing fintech division. Here is my investment thesis: 🧵"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-02-16T16:10Z 99.1K followers, 574.3K engagements

"Data centers already make up X% of US power demand. Apollo expects this to reach XX% of total US power demand in 2030. Energy is the real AI trade. $ET $CEG $BEP $FLNC $NEE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-22T09:43Z 99.1K followers, 51.7K engagements

"This tiny area in the desert is all you need to power the United States with solar. Plus tons of energy storage. We are still so early in the storage boom. $FLNC $EOSE $NEE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-19T19:59Z 99.1K followers, 6384 engagements

"Buffetts mystery stock may be revealed on Thursdays filing. Its almost $X billion in size making it X% of his portfolio. What company is currently undervalued and big enough so Buffett could build $X billion position without getting noticed Maybe $UNH Its not X chance"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-12T05:55Z 99.1K followers, 230.8K engagements

"McKinsey predicts that data center capacity for AI workloads will grow XX% annually in the next X years. Total capacity is expected to grow XX% annually from XX GW this year to XXX GW in 2030. We are still early in the data center boom. $NBIS $IREN $ORCL $CRWV"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-26T14:39Z 99.1K followers, 100.7K engagements

"Im pounding the table on energy storage again. The energy storage market wont slow down anytime soon. Goldman Sachs predicts that S&P XXX companies will spend $XXX trillion on AI next year and most of that money will go to building data centers. Result Power demand will explode. The additional capacity will have to come from renewables since fossil fuel capacity wont grow from here and nuclear takes too long to build. That necessarily means deploying massive amounts of storage both on-site and at the grid level. Long energy storage. $FLNC $EOSE $NEE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-17T20:32Z 99.1K followers, 105.7K engagements

"Microsoft gives the signal for potential AI bubble. This is not the first time they raised concerns about excessive capacity. Satya said earlier this year that they want to avoid overbuilding so they are open to renting. Microsoft has been renting more and more capacity since then instead of building it all itself. Meanwhile everybody in the crypto mining space has pivoted to AI cloud and rapidly adding capacity. Hyperscalers like Google Oracle and Meta are building at full speed followed by neo-clouds like $CRWV and $NBIS. At some point excess capacity will be inevitable. When that happens"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-18T21:09Z 99.1K followers, 60.1K engagements

"$NVDA says AI infrastructure spending will reach $X trillion by 2030. Everybody naturally focuses on $NVDA but $AMD has much more room to grow into this TAM. Assume 1/4 of the money will be spent on chips thats $X trillion. Even if $AMD captures just XX% of it itll generate $XXX billion revenue. At XX% net margin and 25x exit multiple well get a $XXX trillion company. Its valued just at $XXX billion now. Long $AMD"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T06:09Z 99.1K followers, 39.5K engagements

"S&P is back at all time highs so there arent many opportunities around. Here are X high-quality stocks that are still undervalued and price targets: - $FLNC $XX - $LGCY $XX - $NVO $XXX - $AMZN $XXX - $MELI $2400 Its getting harder and harder to find attractive deals"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T20:09Z 99.1K followers, 21.9K engagements

"No-revenue stocks are flying high. People are going to get rug-pulled pretty badly once market sentiment turns negative. Heres why these no-revenue stocks are skyrocketing: This bull market is now two years old and attractive opportunities have largely dried up. Investors are being pushed toward higher-risk profiles to find attractive rewards. Weve reached a point where the market has efficiently priced everything that can be valued. So asymmetric opportunities exist only in speculative positions that cant be valued. Basically you need to speculateand get it right. The thing is XX% of"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T21:41Z 99.1K followers, 21.7K engagements

"9/ The stock got hammered because the management lowered the guidance for the full year 2025. As much as the slowing sales the USD's loss of XX% against the Danish Krone contributed to this revision. Anyways this growth prospect is enough for the stock to double from here"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-04T14:33Z 99K followers, 2567 engagements

"3/ $ASML P/E Ratio: XXXX Return on Capital: XXXX% 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XXXX% It's the sole manufacturer of the Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography Machines for cutting-edge chip manufacturing. It'll benefit from the skyrocketing chip demand as foundries like TSMC and Samsung are building new plants to meet the demand. ASML is the sole supplier of EUVL machines for these new plants. As foundries announce new projects their future outlook will become increasingly brighter. It's at an attractive price relative to its historical valuation"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-25T11:18Z 99K followers, 26.3K engagements

"4/ $NU P/E Ratio: XX Return on Equity: XX% 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XX% It's the largest digital bank in the world that is still growing extremely fast. Valuation took a hit last year as the Brazilian Real dipped against the USD but has recovered since then. It is rapidly expanding in Colombia and Mexico with entry to Argentina imminent. It'll also benefit from the weaker USD as the FED is preparing for rate cuts"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-25T11:18Z 99K followers, 26.7K engagements

"Goldman Sachs says healthcare sector experienced record outflow in 2025. Yet healthcare is going nowhere. Nothing has come out of the $UNH investigations and Trump announced that a deal for ACA subsidy extension is near. Companies are exiting money losing plans and actively raising prices literally in all markets. Meanwhile the sector is trading at just XX times earnings. Long healthcare $UNH $OSCR $CNC $ELV $MOH"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-08T16:03Z 99K followers, 31.7K engagements

"This is bullish for $AMD. It looks like the money spent on AI infrastructure is circulating among a few companies like $MSFT $NVDA and $ORCL. While all of them show both inflows and outflows $AMD is just entering the system with only inflows for now. If it can grow its order book without having to inject capital into its customers for liquidity it could become even more profitable than $NVDA. Long $AMD"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-09T04:45Z 99K followers, 69K engagements

"This is alarming. U.S. auto loan losses have reached their highest level since March 2020. First people stop paying their cards. Then they stop paying for their cars. Finally they stop paying for their homes. And government shutdown isnt helping"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-09T13:09Z 99K followers, 25K engagements

"$TSM is the most obvious AI/semiconductor play in the market. It expanded its overall market share from XX% in Q2 2024 to XX% in Q2 2025. This goes above XX% in advanced chip manufacturing. Its yields in 2nm process is XX% higher than that of Samsung. Long $TSM"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-10T12:00Z 99K followers, 17K engagements

"Say what you want but this isnt normal. Gold is after all is an asset driven by supply/demand. There are two reasons its skyrocketing: 1) People believe high inflation is inevitable under the current conditions. 2) Investors who missed the market rally are trying to catch up by betting on assets that are already riding some tailwinds. Together they inevitably inflate the asset prices. Suddenly people start saying things like gold is the only safe haven. If you look long-term its true. But that doesnt mean those who buy at inflated prices wont suffer huge drawdowns. Hard assets like gold may"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-15T21:07Z 99K followers, 42K engagements

"The market is near all-time highs yet there are still attractive opportunities. Here are XX high-quality undervalued stocks I am watching now: 🧵 X. $UNH - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% - Return on Investment: XX% - Forward P/E: XX The healthcare industry as a whole mispredicted the activity rates and medical inflation this year resulting in reduced operating margins. This effect was even stronger for $UNH as they absorbed over 700000 customers who bounced from other providers at the beginning of the year. Yet they are poised to overcome these headwinds: - They are raising the prices for 2026. -"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-29T12:41Z 99.1K followers, 99.4K engagements

"7/ Result Revenues are exploding. It literally grew by 10x in the last X years. This is one of the most impressive growth stories I have seen in the last couple years. Giant total adressable market means that there is much room for them to maintain this performance"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, XXX engagements

"A record of $XXX trillion is now sitting in money market funds. They missed the whole rally starting from late-2022 because we literally didnt get the most expected recession of all times. In case of a correction substantial portion of this money will flow into stocks"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-21T06:12Z 99.1K followers, 17.2K engagements

"10. $WISE.L - Forward P/E: XX - Operating margin: XX% - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% International neobank that is preferred by those who want to cheaply move money internationally. Trading at a very attractive price despite the blockbuster revenue growth"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-02-14T15:22Z 99K followers, 14.3K engagements

"8/ Last but not least oral weight loss pills. Eli Lilly announced last week that its pill led to X% reduction after XX weeks in a Phase III trial. Novo's oral semaglutide also at Phase III leads to XX% weight reduction after XX weeks. Again superior. Its oral Amycreting which Lilly has no peer of led to a XX% reduction after just XX weeks. Novo wins again"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-04T14:33Z 99K followers, 2712 engagements

"1/ $NBIS is my highest conviction stock for the next X years. Revenue is growing triple digits and they are looking to quadruple the capacity by the end of next year. It's just starting off. Here is why it can make 3x in the next X years: 🧵"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-12T17:29Z 99K followers, 144.7K engagements

"6. $GRG.L Forward P/E: XX 5-year Revenue CAGR: X% Year-to-date Drawdown: XXXX% Greggs is the largest bakery chain in the UK. The stock is having one of its largest drawdowns in the last XX years due to the combination of: - High inflation. - Extremely hot weather. - Elevated capital expenditures. It struggled to pass increasing prices to customers while simultaneously experiencing reduced traffic due to hot weather. All that happened in the middle of the peak capex cycle as it's building two new distribution centers. As the inflation subsides and we get into autumn I believe the net income"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-23T11:52Z 99K followers, 14.2K engagements

"7. $INPST.AS Forward P/E: XX 5-year Revenue CAGR: XX% Year-to-date Drawdown: XXXX% The leading parcel locker operator in Europe. It's dominating Poland and rapidly expanding its locker network in Europe and the UK. The stock is currently having one of its largest drawdowns due to two main reasons: - Legal troubles with its recent acquisitions. - Competition from its biggest customer in Poland. The first one is about ot get resolved as the British High Court didn't issue an injunction and allowed it to carry on the restructuring of Yodel its recent acquisition. Second is due to the competition"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-23T11:52Z 99K followers, 8843 engagements

"9. $GRG.L - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% - Return on Equity: XX% - Forward P/E: XX Greggs is the leading bakery chain in the UK. It recently suffered from extreme weather conditions last year which resulted in reduced foot traffic. Yet all the business metrics are going in the right direction: It's growing double digits planning to grow the store count from 2600 now to 3600 by 2034 and it's generating very high return on equity. I think XX times forward earnings is extremely cheap for such a healthy-growing market-leading business"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-29T12:41Z 99K followers, 8272 engagements

"Rapid data-center buildouts are skyrocketing energy demand. Were adding renewable capacity at a record pace to keep up. Global renewable capacity is projected to double by 2030. Yet for this transition to be effective we need efficient energy storage fast. Long $FLNC"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-08T18:30Z 99K followers, 14.8K engagements

"$NVDA sees that chips are no longer a limiting factor for AI development. Foundries have ramped up the capacity and $AMD has largely caught up in hardware performance. What keeps $NVDA ahead It is following an ecosystem leader strategy. It made so much money by selling XX% of GPUs in the last three years that it now has so much money idle money. $NVDA is using this money to provide liquidity to the ecosystem players especially neo-cloud providers. Thus it makes them dependent on itself keeping the likes of $AMD at a distance despite the eroding hardware moat. Mastery in business strategy"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-12T22:05Z 99K followers, 26.7K engagements

"Batteries arent just for backup they also enable energy arbitrage. Companies deploying utility-scale batteries can charge them at night when prices are low and sell power back to the grid during the day when prices are high. This is only just getting started. Long $FLNC"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-13T18:41Z 99K followers, 22.3K engagements

"Ray Dalio sees the future. He warned "Something worse than a recession is coming." It's already happening. Gold prices are soaring while the USD index is collapsing. What Ray Dalio sees coming next is disastrous: 🧵"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-02T15:28Z 99.1K followers, 2M engagements

"10. $INPST.AS - X Year Revenue CAGR: XX% - Return on Equity: XX% - Forward P/E: XX InPost is one of my highest conviction picks right now. It's the leading parcel delivery network in Europe and it's rapidly expanding in the UK. Its acquisition of Yodel a UK logistics company was stopped early this year leading to a decline in stock price. That issue is solved now but the competition from its biggest customer in Poland Allegro keeps the stock under pressure. Even if it loses all the Allegro revenue it'll be at most XX% hit to the top-line which will be compensated easily by rapid growth in the"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-29T12:41Z 99.1K followers, 14K engagements

"5/ This is also critical for data centers. Regardless of whether they consume from the grid or also have on-site generators they need storage to: - Use as backup - Regulate frequency in the grid This way they can avoid blackouts that could lead to the collapse of whole systems or frequency irregularities that could damage valuable equipment like servers and GPUs"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-13T14:28Z 99.1K followers, 3009 engagements

"6/ $FLNC is one of the leaders in utility-scale storage solutions. It has three integrated businesses: - Storage solutions - Long-term maintenance services - Software for energy trade and monitoring This integrated stack differentiates it from competitors and makes it a preferred partner for energy solutions"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-13T14:28Z 99.1K followers, 3489 engagements

"6. $SEZL Revenue Growth: XX% Operating Margin: XX% Forward PE: XX The most attractive and fastest growing Buy Now Pay Later company in the market. It's making AI based lending decisions not depending just on FICO stores. Extremely profitable and market overstates the risk"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-01-07T15:02Z 99.1K followers, 3644 engagements

"$OSCR was a market darling a week ago but everybody is dumping the stock now. Yet nothing has changed in the business fundamentals. Here is why it's an asymmetric opportunity now: 🧵"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-07-02T18:27Z 99.1K followers, 538.6K engagements

"$NU is one of my highest conviction stocks for the next decade. It is still growing very fast despite dominating its market. Yet the stock is still cheap. Here is everything you need to know about $NU business investment thesis financials everything. (Thread 🧵)"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-08-18T13:32Z 99.1K followers, 284.1K engagements

"I bought $NBIS before it was popular at $XX per share. It's already 5x for me. This is only the beginning as they have just announced a massive $XX billion deal with Microsoft. It can easily make another 5x from here. Here is why $NBIS is an asymmetric opportunity: 🧵"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-09T11:18Z 99.1K followers, 94.6K engagements

"Demand for compute capacity is off the roof and its not slowing down anytime soon. Here are XX stocks that will massively benefit from the AI gold rush: Cloud $NBIS $CRWV $IREN $ORCL Energy $ET $CEG $GEV $GNRC Cooling $VRT $SBGSF $ETN $PPIH Networking $ALAB $ANET $CLS $FN Chips $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $MRVL What else would you add"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-11T14:15Z 99.1K followers, 72.5K engagements

"4. $DLO P/E Ratio: XX 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XX% Return on Capital Employed: XX% It's one of the most effective online payment gateways for emerging markets. It enables merchants to receive payment in over XXX local payment methods. The stock got hammered down last year because its take rates were plummeting; however the management shifted the strategy to focus on volume growth instead to offset declining take rates. That strategy has worked well so far as it's on its way to deliver 40-50% volume growth this year. This growth won't slow down anytime soon as e-commerce penetration in emerging"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-15T13:59Z 99.1K followers, 10.7K engagements

"5. $INTR P/E Ratio: XX 5-Year Revenue CAGR: XX% Return on Equity: XX% Inter is the second-largest neo-bank in Brazil and it's actively pursuing expansion in both Latin America and the US. Its monetization strategy is based on loans. This leads users to keep idle money in their accounts to service debt. They utilize idle deposits to fund loan portfolio growth resulting in one of the lowest costs of funding in the industry. They have also created complementary products around their core banking operations like investment insurance brokerage and shopping. This opens up ample cross monetization"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-15T13:59Z 99.1K followers, 9145 engagements

"$TTD is grossly undervalued now. It's facing some headwinds but nowhere near to justify a XX% drop. Let's make some very conservative assumptions: - XX% annual growth - XX times exit multiple - XX% net income margin We get a $XX billion company in 2030. Discount it back to this day at X% annual rate and we get a $XX billion company. It's currently valued at $XX billion meaning it's undervalued even on very conservative assumptions. In a bit bullish scenario it can easily double in the next X years. Why wouldn't this work from here"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-16T09:34Z 99.1K followers, 50.3K engagements

"David Tepper went on CBNC after 2008 crisis and said buy everything. That worked great. He went on CBNC again last year and said buy China. His $BABA position is up XX% since then. He just went live on CNBC again and said he is still bullish on China. Long $BABA"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-18T16:25Z 99.1K followers, 533.6K engagements

"I am buying a new growth stock with 3x potential: Since 2020 it has delivered: - XX% annual revenue growth. - XX% annual earnings growth. - Median ROCE of 20%. It's just trading at XX times forward earnings. Here is my full investment thesis:"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-21T13:36Z 99.1K followers, 68.9K engagements

"The real AI play is the energy. Global data center power demand will double in the next X years and triple by 2034. Niche companies that can supply power to or store it for data centers will skyrocket. $ET $CEG $FLNC $BEP $NEE"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-23T15:01Z 99.1K followers, 101.1K engagements

"OpenAI expects its energy capacity will grow 125x in the next X years. Itll consume more energy than India. Yet the market is so focused on data center stocks that it completely ignores the energy. The real AI play is energy. $CEG $FLNC $NEE $ET $BEP $SEI"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-09-27T10:27Z 99.1K followers, 130.9K engagements

"This is alarming. Over XX% of VC money is now going to AI companies. For reference only XX% of the VC money went to internet companies in 1999. If those AI companies dont start generating real revenue soon enough investors will start stepping back. When this happens all those unprofitable companies will go bankrupt and potentially trigger a systematic collapse similar to what happened in 2000. Time to be more cautious than greedy when it comes to AI driven investment theses"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-06T07:57Z 99.1K followers, 253.4K engagements

"$OSCR is still cheap. Despite rising XX% from its April lows its still trading at 0.5x sales. Meanwhile: - Members doubled in year. - Revenues grew by XX% TTM. - Its raising prices in all marketplaces. Its trading just at XX times 2027 EPS guidance. Long $OSCR"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-07T12:51Z 99.1K followers, 37.9K engagements

"We may literally be entering a bubble. Last month retail investors bought a record $XXX billion worth of stocks. Given that the market was already expensive they likely got caught up in FOMO and poured most of this money into already overvalued stocks further stretching valuations. At some point smart money will inevitably start dumping some of these overextended names to take profits and de-risk their portfolios. When that happens retail investors will panic and flee the market faster than they bought in. This will likely trigger the long-overdue correction. Its time to be more fearful than"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-09T17:14Z 99.1K followers, 60.5K engagements

"1/ $FLNC is the leading utility-scale battery provider with 5x potential. Power demand is exploding due to rapid data center buildout. Most of the new capacity should come from renewables where storage is critical. Here is why $FLNC is an asymmetric opportunity: 🧵"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-13T14:28Z 99.1K followers, 56K engagements

"$AMD is rapidly catching up with $NVDA. Oracle announced yesterday that it will deploy 50000 $AMD GPUs. Demand for the MI450s is off the charts as they go head-to-head with $NVDA Rubin. This market is expected to reach $XXX billion by 2030. If $AMD can capture just XX% of that it will generate $XX billion in revenue from this segment alone. The entire company generated only $XX billion in revenue last year. Long $AMD"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-15T08:02Z 99.1K followers, 49.5K engagements

"This is why you should never short. To make money by going short you shouldnt just be right on the stock you should also be right on timing. The former is relatively easy to do the latter is very hard. Being right on both consistently is near impossible"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-15T12:39Z 99.1K followers, 28.5K engagements

"$TSM just reported Q3 results and its nothing other than fascinating. - Revenue grew XX% YoY - Earnings grew over XX% - Net margin reached XX% Its expanding market share in all segments. It has 20-40% better yields in 2nm process than Samsung and its targeting 1nm process by 2030. Its currently trading at around 23-25 forward earnings which makes it one of the cheapest monopolies with one of the highest growth potential ahead. Long $TSM"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-16T07:27Z 99.1K followers, 45.6K engagements

"Smart money keeps buying $UNH. Dodge & Cox recently disclosed a $XXX billion position at a reported price of $XXX per share. Davenport & Company also disclosed that it increased its position by 26%. If they beat this quarter and guide for growth next year this can quickly climb over $XXX levels. Long $UNH"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-16T09:58Z 99.1K followers, 97.5K engagements

"$AMZN -X% YTD despite the market rally. This is due to the underperformance of AWS relative to other cloud giants. AWS grew just XX% last year while $MSFT Azure grew XX% and $GOOG Cloud grew 30%. This will change once Anthropic's AWS clusters go live. Two gigawatt-scale clusters are beginning operations this year and they will accelerate AWS growth from XX% to XX% levels according to SemiAnalysis. If Anthropic gets performance from them further deployment of Trainium-equipped clusters will follow. If Anthropic validates the performance many smaller AI labs may follow and AWS's growth can"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-16T14:08Z 99.1K followers, 47.7K engagements

"Few words about how to benefit from regional bank weakness: I am not sure whether the perceived weakness in regional banks may turn to a full blown banking crisis. If it does though there will be opportunities in fintech that arent much exposed to commercial loans. To start with banks went over their loan portfolios after the collapse of Tricolor and First Brands. All Zion could find was a $XX million bad loan in a $XX billion asset base. However even if we assume the issue is more extensive and common than we see on the surface itll primarily effect the regional banks heavily exposed to"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-17T07:25Z 99.1K followers, 20.9K engagements

"Here is how I see the market right now: - The overall market is expensive. - Inflation may tick up soon due to tariffs etc. - Commercial credit is weaker than consumer credit. This is a time to think more defensively than offensively. Healthcare is there for defensive positioning trading at just XX forward earnings versus XX for the S&P. The largest healthcare providers are still down about XX% from their highs and they are guiding for growth next year. Hedge funds are buying members of Congress are buying and even Buffett is buying. I think the sector deserves some attention now. Especially"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-17T13:52Z 99.1K followers, 16.1K engagements

"I think there is no single reason of the volatility we got in the last two days. I think the reason is that the valuations are stretched right now and everybody knows this. This makes the market fragile. Its basically looking for a trigger to correct itself a bit"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-17T16:12Z 99.1K followers, 10.4K engagements

"I have just published my long-awaited research on $PGY. It has grown XX% annually since 2020 while expanding its take rate from X% levels to nearly 5%. Yet it's exposed to lethal balance sheet risks. Read the full deep dive here; it's free👇"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-19T14:37Z 99.1K followers, 47.1K engagements

"$AMZN is the cheapest mega-cap stock now. Its only up XX% since 2020 despite doubling the revenue. It has grown into its overvaluation. Now its cheap again trading at just XX times operating cash flow. The stock didnt move because the market believes that AWS is losing the AI infrastructure race as its growth lagged other hyperscalers. However AWS will reaccelerate as Anthropics gigawatt scale Trainium clusters start operation this quarter. Once AWS accelerates the market will reprice it. Long $AMZN"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-19T21:03Z 99.1K followers, 155.3K engagements

"Waymo will complete X million trips per week in 2030 according to Bloomberg. Meanwhile $UBER completes XX million trips everyday. $UBER is not going to be disrupted anytime soon. Long $UBER"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T13:32Z 99.1K followers, 32.1K engagements

"1/ $PGY is one of the cheapest growth stocks in the market. It has grown revenues 10x since 2020 yet it's trading just at XX times forward earnings. Here is everything you need to know about $PGY business investment case financials everything. (Thread 🧵)"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 23.2K engagements

"4/ $PGY uses special purpose vehicles (SPV) to buy the debt from the lenders. SPV's are pre-funded by investors' money who get bonds in exchange. Thus these bonds are actually asset backed securities (ABS) backed by the loans $PGY approved and bought through SPVs"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1427 engagements

"5/ This is a win-win model for all the partners. Lenders don't hold any extra loan in their balance sheet yet they make money through origination fees. Investors make money because they get higher yields on their otherwise idle money. $PGY makes money through: - Getting a percentage of the origination fees - Performance bonuses from the investors - Securitization fees. Its fees are currently around X% of the total origination volume:"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1304 engagements

"6/ This is a huge market. According to Bankrate XX% of all personal applications are rejected. NBRE Research suggests that approximately XX% of those applications are actually admissable but they get rejected because insufficient credit history. Including auto loans and point of sale loans the incremental volume for admissable loans reaches over $XX billion. $PGY is filling this $XX billion gap between admissable lons originations"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 1034 engagements

"8/ So what's the downside Pagaya as an ABS sponsor must hold X% of the credit risk on its balance sheet per Dodd & Frank Act. Investors generally demand it to hold the most junior X% to align its interest with that of investors. Default rate is significantly high in those junior tranches. Some of the loans it made back in 2022-2023 worked pretty poorly and Pagaya's write-offs increased by 3x from December 2023 to December 2024"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, XXX engagements

"9/ If Pagaya's losses on junior loans keep increasing it may be lethal for the business. If Pagaya's losses increase by XX% more it may wipe the XX% of its equity pool. Losses climbs to XX% and all the equity base is gone. Is it probable No. Is it possible Yes"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, XXX engagements

"10/ If Pagaya can manage the credit risk the potential is huge. It grew revenues by XX% annually in the last X years. If it grows by only XX% annually in the next X years it'll reach $XXX billion revenue in 2030. Assuming conservative XX% net margin it'll generate $XXX million net income. Slap a conservative 15x earnings and we'll get a $X billion company. It is currently valued at just $XXX billion"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 5621 engagements

"Do you want to learn more about $PGY I have just published a deep dive. It's free read it below 👇"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-20T18:53Z 99.1K followers, 5386 engagements

"Speculative-grade defaults are coming down despite concerns about consumer credit. This is bullish for fintechs dealing with potentially sub-prime borrowers especially for $PGY. The chances of further markdowns are shrinking so the market can revisit $PGY valuation soon"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-21T10:35Z 99.1K followers, 17.7K engagements

"The market is just wrong about $NVO. Its still ahead of $LLY in the weight-loss market. Novos oral GLP-1 will be launched later this year while Lillys oral weight-loss pill is expected in early 2026. Novos oral drug led to XXXX% weight-loss after XX weeks while Lillys pill showed XXXX% weight drop. Its not that different for weight-loss injections too. Novo has Amycretin and Lilly has Retatritude as the upcoming flagship drugs. While they both delivered XX% weight-loss in trials Retatritude did that in XX weeks while it only took XX weeks for Amycretin. In sum $NVO is well positioned to keep"
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-21T14:15Z 99.1K followers, 44.1K engagements

"Here are some contrarian thoughts about ChatGPT Atlas: I think its a mistake for OpenAI to enter the browser market. Google has ignored AI browsers so far because they werent a threat. Now that OpenAI is also in the game Google will have to turn Chrome more agentic. So Geminis usage will explode given Chromes dominant position in browsers. As a result users may start getting used to Gemini and drop ChatGPT as their preferred foundational AI model. Gemini already tripled its market share last year so pushing Google to further integrate Gemini into Chrome is not a smart move for OpenAI I think."
X Link @thexcapitalist 2025-10-21T17:44Z 99.1K followers, 7108 engagements

creator/twitter::1671992086424432640/posts
/creator/twitter::1671992086424432640/posts