Dark | Light
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

[@michael_nielsen](/creator/twitter/michael_nielsen)
"This is a very interesting thread and interesting-looking paper (I learned of it X mins ago haven't read it) One immediate high-level point: "Insurers are incentivized to truthfully quantify and track risks" is *only* true if liability laws capture harms. They very rarely come close and are often very strongly opposed by industry. That's a big apparent limitation here"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945222704615055779) 2025-07-15 20:43:27 UTC 108.2K followers, 12K engagements


"Something I didn't anticipate about my list of meaningful places (I'd like to go and have been) is how enjoyable it would be to share with friends and to talk over and how often I would do it:"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945353699892879737) 2025-07-16 05:23:59 UTC 108.3K followers, 7837 engagements


"What project would you be happy to devote XX years of your life to despite (or because of) it only being XX% done when you die Ht @hannu @gwern and Antoni Gaudi for inspiring the question"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1943042492997472605) 2025-07-09 20:20:04 UTC 108.3K followers, 56.6K engagements


"You can just do things but your audience sometimes needs some encouragement Sabine's service: I love that @jacobcollier posted this considering how he found his audience"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1946264118912327782) 2025-07-18 17:41:40 UTC 108.3K followers, 2324 engagements


"@bubbling_creek Yes. I'd be shocked if the report doesn't note that"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945225921839161362) 2025-07-15 20:56:14 UTC 108.3K followers, XXX engagements


"A musical equivalent to @skdh's consulting service for auto-didact physicists (ht @jacobcollier ) (Well not exactly equivalent: this is the counter-party)"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1946264116005601668) 2025-07-18 17:41:39 UTC 108.3K followers, 3555 engagements


"A place where this *is* playing out reasonably well is with insurance on self-driving cars. (There is a report from IIRC Waymo's insurer floating around that is very interesting.) It creates many of the right incentives. But that's perhaps because liability there already seems to approximately capture harms"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945223205272346854) 2025-07-15 20:45:27 UTC 108.2K followers, 2194 engagements


"Lovely thread touching on prediction-vs-understanding: (I have something very similar to this somewhere on my far-too-long list of someday-projects it's very nice to see it done and I'm curious at followups.)"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1943733915354554869) 2025-07-11 18:07:32 UTC 108.3K followers, 17.4K engagements


"Thinking about the Drake equation in cellular automata universes I was reading up on the original history of the equation and it's pretty fun. "The Order of the Dolphin""  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945601230908404110) 2025-07-16 21:47:35 UTC 108.3K followers, 5028 engagements


"There's some pretty interesting work on this question:"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945607885230358761) 2025-07-16 22:14:02 UTC 108.3K followers, 4022 engagements


"I re-post this periodically but disappearing polymorphs are one of the most incredible things in nature. Example one of many:"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1943886870599151870) 2025-07-12 04:15:20 UTC 108.3K followers, 14.8K engagements


"As noted above and in the QT below something insurance deals with badly is sufficiently catastrophic risk where the insurer (or civilization) would no longer continue to exist:"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945228622358356308) 2025-07-15 21:06:58 UTC 108.2K followers, 1729 engagements


"Changing my email .sig to "Proudly overusing em dashes since 1995.""  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1946438998207181245) 2025-07-19 05:16:34 UTC 108.3K followers, 5722 engagements


""to be honest" is such a strange qualifier. The implication seems to be that much of the time one is being dishonest (I use it sometimes a hard-to-break habit that came from a past relationship. With funnily enough a person who was extremely honest.)"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945533833031635118) 2025-07-16 17:19:46 UTC 108.3K followers, 19.6K engagements


"What a great song Something that delighted me about it apart from the song and video: it was one of the first moments of truly global culture. The biggest song in the world in 2012 was K-Pop from South Korea distributed by an American video platform and going to number X in more than XX countries many of which spoke neither Korean nor English"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945364804866335192) 2025-07-16 06:08:07 UTC 108.2K followers, 10.6K engagements


"I wrote about some related ideas (and their problems - notably assessing prices) in"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945224114551116174) 2025-07-15 20:49:04 UTC 108.2K followers, 1525 engagements


"Interesting one reader says that the report doesn't actually address the real risks here. What a pity:"  
![@michael_nielsen Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::15626406.png) [@michael_nielsen](/creator/x/michael_nielsen) on [X](/post/tweet/1945231359925981404) 2025-07-15 21:17:51 UTC 108.2K followers, 4361 engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@michael_nielsen "This is a very interesting thread and interesting-looking paper (I learned of it X mins ago haven't read it) One immediate high-level point: "Insurers are incentivized to truthfully quantify and track risks" is only true if liability laws capture harms. They very rarely come close and are often very strongly opposed by industry. That's a big apparent limitation here"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-15 20:43:27 UTC 108.2K followers, 12K engagements

"Something I didn't anticipate about my list of meaningful places (I'd like to go and have been) is how enjoyable it would be to share with friends and to talk over and how often I would do it:"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-16 05:23:59 UTC 108.3K followers, 7837 engagements

"What project would you be happy to devote XX years of your life to despite (or because of) it only being XX% done when you die Ht @hannu @gwern and Antoni Gaudi for inspiring the question"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-09 20:20:04 UTC 108.3K followers, 56.6K engagements

"You can just do things but your audience sometimes needs some encouragement Sabine's service: I love that @jacobcollier posted this considering how he found his audience"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-18 17:41:40 UTC 108.3K followers, 2324 engagements

"@bubbling_creek Yes. I'd be shocked if the report doesn't note that"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-15 20:56:14 UTC 108.3K followers, XXX engagements

"A musical equivalent to @skdh's consulting service for auto-didact physicists (ht @jacobcollier ) (Well not exactly equivalent: this is the counter-party)"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-18 17:41:39 UTC 108.3K followers, 3555 engagements

"A place where this is playing out reasonably well is with insurance on self-driving cars. (There is a report from IIRC Waymo's insurer floating around that is very interesting.) It creates many of the right incentives. But that's perhaps because liability there already seems to approximately capture harms"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-15 20:45:27 UTC 108.2K followers, 2194 engagements

"Lovely thread touching on prediction-vs-understanding: (I have something very similar to this somewhere on my far-too-long list of someday-projects it's very nice to see it done and I'm curious at followups.)"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-11 18:07:32 UTC 108.3K followers, 17.4K engagements

"Thinking about the Drake equation in cellular automata universes I was reading up on the original history of the equation and it's pretty fun. "The Order of the Dolphin""
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-16 21:47:35 UTC 108.3K followers, 5028 engagements

"There's some pretty interesting work on this question:"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-16 22:14:02 UTC 108.3K followers, 4022 engagements

"I re-post this periodically but disappearing polymorphs are one of the most incredible things in nature. Example one of many:"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-12 04:15:20 UTC 108.3K followers, 14.8K engagements

"As noted above and in the QT below something insurance deals with badly is sufficiently catastrophic risk where the insurer (or civilization) would no longer continue to exist:"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-15 21:06:58 UTC 108.2K followers, 1729 engagements

"Changing my email .sig to "Proudly overusing em dashes since 1995.""
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-19 05:16:34 UTC 108.3K followers, 5722 engagements

""to be honest" is such a strange qualifier. The implication seems to be that much of the time one is being dishonest (I use it sometimes a hard-to-break habit that came from a past relationship. With funnily enough a person who was extremely honest.)"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-16 17:19:46 UTC 108.3K followers, 19.6K engagements

"What a great song Something that delighted me about it apart from the song and video: it was one of the first moments of truly global culture. The biggest song in the world in 2012 was K-Pop from South Korea distributed by an American video platform and going to number X in more than XX countries many of which spoke neither Korean nor English"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-16 06:08:07 UTC 108.2K followers, 10.6K engagements

"I wrote about some related ideas (and their problems - notably assessing prices) in"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-15 20:49:04 UTC 108.2K followers, 1525 engagements

"Interesting one reader says that the report doesn't actually address the real risks here. What a pity:"
@michael_nielsen Avatar @michael_nielsen on X 2025-07-15 21:17:51 UTC 108.2K followers, 4361 engagements

creator/twitter::15626406/posts
/creator/twitter::15626406/posts