[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@thedefivillain](/creator/twitter/thedefivillain) "When everyone is long a coin because of the "crime thesis" it kind of becomes a self-defeating prophecy and doesn't work $FF The purest crime pumps happen on the coins that absolutely no one on CT is longing (and that's by design)" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976420872346042714) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-09T22:53Z 58.8K followers, 7684 engagements "What's the most obvious long here that people don't see yet" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978768335031402978) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-16T10:21Z 58.8K followers, 71.6K engagements "$MYX is probably the wildest crime I have ever seen on @binance Spot supply is completely cornered and current FDV is $16bn Are you okay with this @cz_binance" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1965322280499851559) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-09-09T07:52Z 58.8K followers, 112.5K engagements "$PUMP felt like a good entry when it dumped back to ICO price at $4bn But then it went down another -XX% $XPL has been trading in pre-market for weeks between $6bn and $8bn FDV I suspect you are going to see these prices again Because people are still buying the dips here" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1974045976819032571) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-03T09:36Z 58.8K followers, 60K engagements "The fake 'we are so back' pump on $XPL also happened on $PUMP That being said PUMP was bottoming there while I think the potential downside risk is higher for XPL" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975860976001208346) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-08T09:49Z 58.8K followers, 37.2K engagements "$IBIT: most successful ETF launch ever 4y cyclers: "yeah let me fade that"" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975939389135155560) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-08T15:00Z 58.8K followers, 4886 engagements "Monad is trading at $10bn FDV on HyperLiquid now" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976597939821989908) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T10:37Z 58.8K followers, 6645 engagements "Unfortunately that project failed. YZiLabs did not recoup any of its investment. It happens" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976603073138368636) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T10:57Z 58.8K followers, 49.6K engagements "@coldcupidrong I disagree because that's an unusual pattern If having a high funding rate was the best way to scam a coin up then that's what we would usually see and it's not the case. We usually see the exact opposite" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976622371743408593) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T12:14Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "The $ASTER joke has to stop now" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976649356523798614) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T14:01Z 58.8K followers, 33.2K engagements "Absolutely wild If you got liquidated know that a lot of people got liqd too this is insane And don't do anything stupid its only money you can always make it back" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976762129605967890) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T21:29Z 58.8K followers, 21.8K engagements "Price dislocation has been crazy on that liquidation cascade For example there was a XX% difference between SOL spot and perp contracts on Binance at some point" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976775924323696793) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T22:24Z 58.8K followers, 6654 engagements "These wicks on alts don't even look real it's insane" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976789335103140128) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T23:17Z 58.8K followers, 8262 engagements "$IP went from $X to $X today lmao" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976789719548854553) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T23:19Z 58.8K followers, 5857 engagements "Manipulated coins will go up during a market crash because the insiders don't sell while the 'organic' traders who are short get liquidated and are forced to buy back their short positions Any coin that didn't follow the market dump yesterday has a tightly controlled supply" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976955558986178965) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-11T10:18Z 58.8K followers, 15.9K engagements "Kind of insane that $ETH was so resilient yesterday It basically had the same move as $BTC In 2024 this would have been a -XX% wick on ETH How is that possible" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976981440043925790) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-11T12:01Z 58.8K followers, 15.6K engagements "Hilarious chart $H Another coin with a very inorganic PA not touching it" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977794850335400046) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-13T17:53Z 58.8K followers, 6053 engagements "Pile of shit still valued at $10bn FDV" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978763171205730790) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-16T10:01Z 58.8K followers, 10.5K engagements "For example in late August there was $PUMP which proceeded to pump 3x in three weeks with almost no drawdown after completely washing all the dip buyers" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978768658282246468) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-16T10:23Z 58.8K followers, 5959 engagements "Performance of $BTC and gold has been nearly identical since BTC ETFs launched in Jan 2024. BTC : +122% Gold : +116% But with gold your largest drawdown would only be -XX% compared to -XX% for BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979127283932656030) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-17T10:08Z 58.8K followers, 15.1K engagements "@cuntycakes123 That's as disingenuous as saying that retail lost a lot of money buying any BTC top when BTC is having a substantial drawdown Any $MSTR retail long-term holder has made massive gains" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979514526589394955) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-18T11:46Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "@0xIrisss Are the BTC ETFs accruing BTC per share" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979976191672029642) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T18:21Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "Strongest looking memes : $SPX $BONK $PENGU" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1949022855716331562) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-07-26T08:23Z 58.8K followers, 6474 engagements "$ETH almost at ATH $SOL already back at $XXX $DOGE up +50% in a week But somehow I feel zero euphoria in the market Am I completely off on sentiment here" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1966915132476584421) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-09-13T17:21Z 58.8K followers, 42.9K engagements "$20-$25bn FDV remains the massive ceiling even for the absolute s-tier scams that are completely detached from reality - $MYX : topped at $20bn FDV - $M : topped at $15bn FDV - $IP : topped at $15bn FDV Current new candidates : - So far $ASTER topped at almost $20bn FDV (this does not qualify as a scam to be clear) - $XPL traded at $14bn at the top a few hours ago Only X new coins went above the ceiling this cycle : - $HYPE = $60bn top. The absolute winner of this cycle since SOL - $SUI = $54bn top. The alt L1 winner of this cycle - $WLD = $120bn top. When a criminally low float can do" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1971536152281694366) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-09-26T11:23Z 58.8K followers, 40.2K engagements "$APT $STRK $ETHFI $EIGEN $W $BERA yes thats right thats the list" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975191124294897930) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-06T13:27Z 58.8K followers, 40.4K engagements "Huge crime on $RFC on Bybit perps rn" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975302768815710607) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-06T20:50Z 58.8K followers, 4364 engagements "Monad $MON trading at $15bn on pre-market on HL Pretty sure that it will dip sub $10bn at some point" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975846196959948807) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-08T08:50Z 58.8K followers, 13.3K engagements "A lot of over-valued coins were decent fades lately $AVNT literally went up 13x in less than X weeks on CEXes on the back of the perp DEX mania $STBL reached a stupidly high val of $6bn FDV $WLFI is a perma-fade above $20bn FDV $IP reached $15bn FDV through short liquidations and KBW anticipation trade 5x in X months $XPL was obviously a very juicy short too ($15bn+) but it wasn't launched when I posted the tweet below Now still waiting to see $ASTER break down properly. Not certain it will happen it's the leading coin so it's the one getting the most buy pressure (see how the beta coin AVNT" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976416647171760527) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-09T22:37Z 58.8K followers, 31.6K engagements "$TIA topped at $20bn FDV $XPL topped at $17bn FDV TIA was almost a 10x ROI because it launched at a "small valuation" but you can't expect anything similar from a coin immediately launching at almost $10bn FDV" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976594841946435665) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T10:25Z 58.8K followers, 11.8K engagements "The way the crypto market will move in the coming days is entirely reliant on Trump If he keeps pushing for tariffs against China we're in for a bad ride But the most likely scenario imo is that this calms down and stocks get back to the 'business as usual' grind up In which case nothing materially changed that would suddenly make $110k a bad entry on $BTC. It seems likely to me that we get back to $120k+ in a not so distant future. The crypto market just had a cataclysmic nuke and BTC is trading at the same price as *checks notes* X weeks ago. If Trump deescalates the China situation boomers" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977315004412985694) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-12T10:06Z 58.8K followers, 13.7K engagements "Absolutely insane Price on Bitget spot : $XX Price on Binance perps : $XX $COAI is a disgusting scam" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977469519653449912) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-12T20:20Z 58.8K followers, 41.6K engagements "BREAKING: $COAI REACHES TOP XX LARGEST COINS BY FDV AT $35BN" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977473065073172929) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-12T20:34Z 58.8K followers, 75.7K engagements "If you want to avoid being on the wrong side of these scams one simple rule is to avoid shorting new coins that are not listed on HyperLiquid. It sounds stupid but if you write down the list of the most egregious scams they were not on HL (M MYX AIA COAI). Same for SOON or H here" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977797754983440828) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-13T18:05Z 58.8K followers, 3453 engagements "I will never cease to be amazed by the crypto market's ability to create this kind of chart" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978413053713510437) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-15T10:50Z 58.8K followers, 9965 engagements "@binance Did the $MYX and $COAI token allocations go XXX% to users" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978442730888954164) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-15T12:47Z 58.8K followers, 5093 engagements "Current energy in the crypto market $SNX giving back gains relentlessly" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978754407362642362) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-16T09:26Z 58.8K followers, 15.5K engagements "I know some normies that are still buying the dip on $FET lmao" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978831973943513113) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-16T14:34Z 58.8K followers, 10.9K engagements "Never trust teams that launch X tokens imo" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979209449676960109) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-17T15:34Z 58.8K followers, 30.3K engagements "$PRIME / $PROMPT $THETA / $TFUEL" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979474293080698984) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-18T09:07Z 58.8K followers, 3474 engagements "@CL207 @0xMert_ @Knowles_M7 Where is your data for that Wealth is not "more of a EQ thing than intelligence" that's not correct" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979512865984774187) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-18T11:40Z 58.8K followers, 6218 engagements "I don't see how people can be calling for sub $75k $BTC without expecting a major correction on stocks at the same time" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979516619224187134) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-18T11:55Z 58.8K followers, 22.5K engagements "@comic @fundstrat And BTC regularly underperforms USD for a year. Duh" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979970679169511820) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T17:59Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "@Pickle_cRypto I don't think Jonah deserves this much hate" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979971682874916948) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T18:03Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "Hmmm. some account should get banned from Bybit after that @benbybit $SERAPH $RFC" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975303714559975555) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-06T20:54Z 58.8K followers, 13.1K engagements ""Now people are gonna ask themselves if we just saw the cycle top." Dude my altcoins are at all time lows wtf are you talking about" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976960094824022080) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-11T10:36Z 58.8K followers, 11.5K engagements "Crypto bros should realize that Trump doesn't give a single f about altcoins wicking down -XX% and liquidating people He doesn't know it doesn't care and rightfully so Stocks are almost unfazed BTC is back to prices from XX weeks ago A bunch of crypto degens got destroyed but you have to realize that in the "real world" nothing really happened $BTC could very well go back to $120k this week" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977668876012826875) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-13T09:32Z 58.8K followers, 31.4K engagements "$USELESS is the new $FARTCOIN" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976240298889236593) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-09T10:56Z 58.8K followers, 77.7K engagements "One of the best examples of "annualizing weekly revenue to extrapolate valuation is a bad idea" $LIGHT" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976617347109781981) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T11:54Z 58.8K followers, 9489 engagements "Can @HyperliquidX list $USELESS please" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1977673814021751136) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-13T09:52Z 58.8K followers, 60.1K engagements "I'm adding this relevant thread here:" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979330386359669097) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-17T23:35Z 58.8K followers, 4462 engagements ""We can always get another weak bounce but I've taken action accordingly" (and took profit on my $TIA position at $X after holding through a -XX% drawdown)" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979520436586066296) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-18T12:10Z 58.8K followers, 4123 engagements "Well it's infinitely healthier to have retail buy BTC treasury companies than altcoins. At the end of the day the money that goes into treasury companies gets funneled into = $BTC The money that goes into altcoins gets funneled into = the pockets of the insiders and early investors Bagholding $MSTR is also WAY better than bagholding an altcoin because the long-term value of the altcoin is most likely X while the long-term value of MSTR is most likely the performance of BTC + a premium. (That's of course if you believe that MSTR is a viable model)" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979842243453124862) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T09:29Z 58.8K followers, 12.5K engagements "The buyers of the absolute pico-top of $MSTR in 2021 are still up +120% right now on their investment. The buyers of the pico-top of any 2021 hot altcoin are most likely very down on their investment with almost no shot at getting back to breakeven outside of top XX coins" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979845127507235077) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T09:40Z 58.8K followers, 4754 engagements "Q4 XX was pretty crazy in terms of PA $AVAX went from $X to $XX in two months after spending X years in the euthanasia rollercoaster Look at how brutal the reversal is from the dire endless bleed to suddenly nothing but green candles" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979974219636048156) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T18:13Z 58.8K followers, 15.8K engagements "Tbh I'm not expecting this scenario to repeat right here I've just been spending my day looking at a lot of charts over the past X years and so I tweeted this because I just truly find it impressive :) Maybe I should have clarified that I'm not pushing for an analogy to current conditions" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980193832470720920) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T08:46Z 58.8K followers, 3655 engagements "@JuanGerber9 The pump on BIO is much smaller than the ones I mentioned so it's not as straightforward at all" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980261061681963140) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T13:13Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "$ASTER feels like the most obvious pick tbh" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980337618576626071) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T18:17Z 58.8K followers, 2992 engagements "$200M+ injected into a chart in one day followed by $5M of permanent daily emissions $WLD" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1975907711289291038) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-08T12:54Z 58.8K followers, 8740 engagements "$COAI is clearly the top scam of October running the MYX playbook It is literally up 50x bottom to top in two weeks and is now trading around $7bn FDV I am very much of the opinion that the scale of the scams that are allowed on Binance and Bybit perps is now unprecedented after seeing $M $MYX $AIA and $COAI all happen in two months "But Viktor coins can go up a lot without being scams" Well one simple filter that should make such coin ineligible to a perp listing on Binance is for example the fact that the main on-chain liquidity provider made sure not to have any COAI liquidity above $1.5" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1976609567753543901) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-10T11:23Z 58.8K followers, 63.8K engagements "$AR / $AO both did very bad" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979283029064392928) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-17T20:27Z 58.8K followers, 5997 engagements "I don't think BTC buyers care about an SFP on $XRP" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980206087224881251) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T09:34Z 58.8K followers, 10.8K engagements "$ZORA trading at -XXX% annualized funding rate on HL with a chart looking like that. I think it should resolve higher" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980567749391974579) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-21T09:32Z 58.8K followers, 6859 engagements "Not sure these can be saved actually 💀" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980594083107312040) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-21T11:16Z 58.8K followers, 12.5K engagements "Some VC coins started looking good and then we immediately got the largest liquidation event in crypto history Lesson in that" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980595953435332770) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-21T11:24Z 58.8K followers, 2748 engagements "Tom Lee will end up holding all the ethereum in the world and it won't be worth anything anymore" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980597020654989442) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-21T11:28Z 58.8K followers, 3949 engagements "$PEAQ - New coin - Depin L1 - Chart looks good - Popular on Crypto Youtube / gives me KAS vibes" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1872756946446766185) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2024-12-27T21:30Z 58.8K followers, 14.8K engagements "@SSnuffalupagus Agreed we had memes and AI mania WLD to $120bn FDV both ETH and BTC giga up in X months 10x gains on the largest memes" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980194136038007275) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T08:47Z 58.8K followers, XX engagements "@Mars_DeFi no" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980254066178466245) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T12:45Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "$STRC is probably the perfect product to shove Saylor's preferred shares strategy down people's throat $STRK and $STRF might be too confusing for people because the price can move anywhere (but they are severely under-valued in my opinion) STRC is simple and becomes a no-brainer as "cash holdings with yield" - Stable price around $XXX - 10%+ APR - Paid monthly (People f-ing LOVE that) There is no ceiling in the demand for this product once the floodgates open. Just a matter of time imo" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1974432862314078410) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-04T11:14Z 58.8K followers, 7869 engagements "Why has CZ stopped shilling $ASTER" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1978761096598007900) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-16T09:53Z 58.8K followers, 98.3K engagements "Many coins that were hot in early 2024 have been absolute permanent under-performers since then: $FET $ARKM $ORDI $RON $RNDR $INJ $TIA $AR $BEAM Which coins are now the new perma-shorts" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979281813030998194) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-17T20:22Z 58.8K followers, 14.6K engagements "The new structure of $MSTR since they switched from convertible bonds to preferred shares is extremely elegant Pristine collateral with a pristine corporate structure They don't get credit for it yet but it will come" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1979953896874516650) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-19T16:52Z 58.8K followers, 27K engagements "Homogenous infinitely scalable cleaner and simpler balance sheet for everyone to understand it no principal to pay back in X years so you don't depend on some random re-financing date that could theoretically happen at the worst time If you want a perpetual swap between USD and BTC then you want a perpetual instrument You can't just compare cash yield vs no yield without accounting for the fact that you have to pay back the principal on one and not on the other But as you said indirectly it's also a question of demand yes: there is not enough demand for CBs at great terms (for MSTR) but there" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980193256198545714) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T08:43Z 58.8K followers, 4428 engagements "One thing to always check when you are shorting a coin is whether it's already listed on Upbit or not The Upbit listings can be extremely dangerous if you are short On the other side an Upbit listing that leads to an enormous pump usually marks a top which makes it a good short from there $MOCA $DEEP $DRIFT $HYPER (Apparently there are going to be new rules for Upbit listings soon let's see if this phenomenon will stop existing or not)" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980244692294877295) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T12:08Z 58.8K followers, 11.3K engagements "Welcome to Sysifud Airlines The MSTR mNAV premium is still higher than where it was after the BTC ETFs launched when the whole village was convinced that $MSTR was rendered useless by the ETFs From that level $MSTR is still up +140% vs $IBIT despite only trading at a XX% premium to its BTC holdings It's VERY easy (based on current numbers) for Saylor to pay the quarterly dividends on his pref shares. "But he has to sell shares" yes but given the size of MSTR and its daily trading volume the size of these dividends is honestly close to immaterial right now" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980260862087549384) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T13:12Z 58.8K followers, 10.3K engagements "@atalantis7 Done by magnus :) It's for Korea more than Upbit specifically" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980272871734673409) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-20T14:00Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements "The euthanasia rollercoaster on $AVAX / OTHERS" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980576298771865849) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-21T10:06Z 58.8K followers, 4110 engagements "***MSTR tweet*** Most people still don't understand where Saylor gets his money from when he's buying $BTC He's not sitting on a pile of cash that he's "deploying strategically". When he's buying $BTC it means that he just sold something else. This thing he's selling can either be : - The common stock $MSTR = ie he issues new shares and immediately sells them onto the market ("ATM" = at-the-market offering) - Or any of his X preferred shares (STRF STRC STRK STRD) = same mechanism he issues new shares and sells them in the market Once again this means that he is NOT trying to time the BTCUSD" [X Link](https://x.com/thedefivillain/status/1980612241490624539) [@thedefivillain](/creator/x/thedefivillain) 2025-10-21T12:28Z 58.8K followers, 7632 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@thedefivillain
"When everyone is long a coin because of the "crime thesis" it kind of becomes a self-defeating prophecy and doesn't work $FF The purest crime pumps happen on the coins that absolutely no one on CT is longing (and that's by design)"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-09T22:53Z 58.8K followers, 7684 engagements
"What's the most obvious long here that people don't see yet"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-16T10:21Z 58.8K followers, 71.6K engagements
"$MYX is probably the wildest crime I have ever seen on @binance Spot supply is completely cornered and current FDV is $16bn Are you okay with this @cz_binance"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-09-09T07:52Z 58.8K followers, 112.5K engagements
"$PUMP felt like a good entry when it dumped back to ICO price at $4bn But then it went down another -XX% $XPL has been trading in pre-market for weeks between $6bn and $8bn FDV I suspect you are going to see these prices again Because people are still buying the dips here"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-03T09:36Z 58.8K followers, 60K engagements
"The fake 'we are so back' pump on $XPL also happened on $PUMP That being said PUMP was bottoming there while I think the potential downside risk is higher for XPL"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-08T09:49Z 58.8K followers, 37.2K engagements
"$IBIT: most successful ETF launch ever 4y cyclers: "yeah let me fade that""
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-08T15:00Z 58.8K followers, 4886 engagements
"Monad is trading at $10bn FDV on HyperLiquid now"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T10:37Z 58.8K followers, 6645 engagements
"Unfortunately that project failed. YZiLabs did not recoup any of its investment. It happens"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T10:57Z 58.8K followers, 49.6K engagements
"@coldcupidrong I disagree because that's an unusual pattern If having a high funding rate was the best way to scam a coin up then that's what we would usually see and it's not the case. We usually see the exact opposite"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T12:14Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"The $ASTER joke has to stop now"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T14:01Z 58.8K followers, 33.2K engagements
"Absolutely wild If you got liquidated know that a lot of people got liqd too this is insane And don't do anything stupid its only money you can always make it back"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T21:29Z 58.8K followers, 21.8K engagements
"Price dislocation has been crazy on that liquidation cascade For example there was a XX% difference between SOL spot and perp contracts on Binance at some point"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T22:24Z 58.8K followers, 6654 engagements
"These wicks on alts don't even look real it's insane"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T23:17Z 58.8K followers, 8262 engagements
"$IP went from $X to $X today lmao"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T23:19Z 58.8K followers, 5857 engagements
"Manipulated coins will go up during a market crash because the insiders don't sell while the 'organic' traders who are short get liquidated and are forced to buy back their short positions Any coin that didn't follow the market dump yesterday has a tightly controlled supply"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-11T10:18Z 58.8K followers, 15.9K engagements
"Kind of insane that $ETH was so resilient yesterday It basically had the same move as $BTC In 2024 this would have been a -XX% wick on ETH How is that possible"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-11T12:01Z 58.8K followers, 15.6K engagements
"Hilarious chart $H Another coin with a very inorganic PA not touching it"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-13T17:53Z 58.8K followers, 6053 engagements
"Pile of shit still valued at $10bn FDV"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-16T10:01Z 58.8K followers, 10.5K engagements
"For example in late August there was $PUMP which proceeded to pump 3x in three weeks with almost no drawdown after completely washing all the dip buyers"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-16T10:23Z 58.8K followers, 5959 engagements
"Performance of $BTC and gold has been nearly identical since BTC ETFs launched in Jan 2024. BTC : +122% Gold : +116% But with gold your largest drawdown would only be -XX% compared to -XX% for BTC"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-17T10:08Z 58.8K followers, 15.1K engagements
"@cuntycakes123 That's as disingenuous as saying that retail lost a lot of money buying any BTC top when BTC is having a substantial drawdown Any $MSTR retail long-term holder has made massive gains"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-18T11:46Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"@0xIrisss Are the BTC ETFs accruing BTC per share"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T18:21Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"Strongest looking memes : $SPX $BONK $PENGU"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-07-26T08:23Z 58.8K followers, 6474 engagements
"$ETH almost at ATH $SOL already back at $XXX $DOGE up +50% in a week But somehow I feel zero euphoria in the market Am I completely off on sentiment here"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-09-13T17:21Z 58.8K followers, 42.9K engagements
"$20-$25bn FDV remains the massive ceiling even for the absolute s-tier scams that are completely detached from reality - $MYX : topped at $20bn FDV - $M : topped at $15bn FDV - $IP : topped at $15bn FDV Current new candidates : - So far $ASTER topped at almost $20bn FDV (this does not qualify as a scam to be clear) - $XPL traded at $14bn at the top a few hours ago Only X new coins went above the ceiling this cycle : - $HYPE = $60bn top. The absolute winner of this cycle since SOL - $SUI = $54bn top. The alt L1 winner of this cycle - $WLD = $120bn top. When a criminally low float can do"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-09-26T11:23Z 58.8K followers, 40.2K engagements
"$APT $STRK $ETHFI $EIGEN $W $BERA yes thats right thats the list"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-06T13:27Z 58.8K followers, 40.4K engagements
"Huge crime on $RFC on Bybit perps rn"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-06T20:50Z 58.8K followers, 4364 engagements
"Monad $MON trading at $15bn on pre-market on HL Pretty sure that it will dip sub $10bn at some point"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-08T08:50Z 58.8K followers, 13.3K engagements
"A lot of over-valued coins were decent fades lately $AVNT literally went up 13x in less than X weeks on CEXes on the back of the perp DEX mania $STBL reached a stupidly high val of $6bn FDV $WLFI is a perma-fade above $20bn FDV $IP reached $15bn FDV through short liquidations and KBW anticipation trade 5x in X months $XPL was obviously a very juicy short too ($15bn+) but it wasn't launched when I posted the tweet below Now still waiting to see $ASTER break down properly. Not certain it will happen it's the leading coin so it's the one getting the most buy pressure (see how the beta coin AVNT"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-09T22:37Z 58.8K followers, 31.6K engagements
"$TIA topped at $20bn FDV $XPL topped at $17bn FDV TIA was almost a 10x ROI because it launched at a "small valuation" but you can't expect anything similar from a coin immediately launching at almost $10bn FDV"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T10:25Z 58.8K followers, 11.8K engagements
"The way the crypto market will move in the coming days is entirely reliant on Trump If he keeps pushing for tariffs against China we're in for a bad ride But the most likely scenario imo is that this calms down and stocks get back to the 'business as usual' grind up In which case nothing materially changed that would suddenly make $110k a bad entry on $BTC. It seems likely to me that we get back to $120k+ in a not so distant future. The crypto market just had a cataclysmic nuke and BTC is trading at the same price as checks notes X weeks ago. If Trump deescalates the China situation boomers"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-12T10:06Z 58.8K followers, 13.7K engagements
"Absolutely insane Price on Bitget spot : $XX Price on Binance perps : $XX $COAI is a disgusting scam"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-12T20:20Z 58.8K followers, 41.6K engagements
"BREAKING: $COAI REACHES TOP XX LARGEST COINS BY FDV AT $35BN"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-12T20:34Z 58.8K followers, 75.7K engagements
"If you want to avoid being on the wrong side of these scams one simple rule is to avoid shorting new coins that are not listed on HyperLiquid. It sounds stupid but if you write down the list of the most egregious scams they were not on HL (M MYX AIA COAI). Same for SOON or H here"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-13T18:05Z 58.8K followers, 3453 engagements
"I will never cease to be amazed by the crypto market's ability to create this kind of chart"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-15T10:50Z 58.8K followers, 9965 engagements
"@binance Did the $MYX and $COAI token allocations go XXX% to users"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-15T12:47Z 58.8K followers, 5093 engagements
"Current energy in the crypto market $SNX giving back gains relentlessly"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-16T09:26Z 58.8K followers, 15.5K engagements
"I know some normies that are still buying the dip on $FET lmao"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-16T14:34Z 58.8K followers, 10.9K engagements
"Never trust teams that launch X tokens imo"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-17T15:34Z 58.8K followers, 30.3K engagements
"$PRIME / $PROMPT $THETA / $TFUEL"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-18T09:07Z 58.8K followers, 3474 engagements
"@CL207 @0xMert_ @Knowles_M7 Where is your data for that Wealth is not "more of a EQ thing than intelligence" that's not correct"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-18T11:40Z 58.8K followers, 6218 engagements
"I don't see how people can be calling for sub $75k $BTC without expecting a major correction on stocks at the same time"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-18T11:55Z 58.8K followers, 22.5K engagements
"@comic @fundstrat And BTC regularly underperforms USD for a year. Duh"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T17:59Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"@Pickle_cRypto I don't think Jonah deserves this much hate"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T18:03Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"Hmmm. some account should get banned from Bybit after that @benbybit $SERAPH $RFC"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-06T20:54Z 58.8K followers, 13.1K engagements
""Now people are gonna ask themselves if we just saw the cycle top." Dude my altcoins are at all time lows wtf are you talking about"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-11T10:36Z 58.8K followers, 11.5K engagements
"Crypto bros should realize that Trump doesn't give a single f about altcoins wicking down -XX% and liquidating people He doesn't know it doesn't care and rightfully so Stocks are almost unfazed BTC is back to prices from XX weeks ago A bunch of crypto degens got destroyed but you have to realize that in the "real world" nothing really happened $BTC could very well go back to $120k this week"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-13T09:32Z 58.8K followers, 31.4K engagements
"$USELESS is the new $FARTCOIN"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-09T10:56Z 58.8K followers, 77.7K engagements
"One of the best examples of "annualizing weekly revenue to extrapolate valuation is a bad idea" $LIGHT"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T11:54Z 58.8K followers, 9489 engagements
"Can @HyperliquidX list $USELESS please"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-13T09:52Z 58.8K followers, 60.1K engagements
"I'm adding this relevant thread here:"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-17T23:35Z 58.8K followers, 4462 engagements
""We can always get another weak bounce but I've taken action accordingly" (and took profit on my $TIA position at $X after holding through a -XX% drawdown)"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-18T12:10Z 58.8K followers, 4123 engagements
"Well it's infinitely healthier to have retail buy BTC treasury companies than altcoins. At the end of the day the money that goes into treasury companies gets funneled into = $BTC The money that goes into altcoins gets funneled into = the pockets of the insiders and early investors Bagholding $MSTR is also WAY better than bagholding an altcoin because the long-term value of the altcoin is most likely X while the long-term value of MSTR is most likely the performance of BTC + a premium. (That's of course if you believe that MSTR is a viable model)"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T09:29Z 58.8K followers, 12.5K engagements
"The buyers of the absolute pico-top of $MSTR in 2021 are still up +120% right now on their investment. The buyers of the pico-top of any 2021 hot altcoin are most likely very down on their investment with almost no shot at getting back to breakeven outside of top XX coins"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T09:40Z 58.8K followers, 4754 engagements
"Q4 XX was pretty crazy in terms of PA $AVAX went from $X to $XX in two months after spending X years in the euthanasia rollercoaster Look at how brutal the reversal is from the dire endless bleed to suddenly nothing but green candles"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T18:13Z 58.8K followers, 15.8K engagements
"Tbh I'm not expecting this scenario to repeat right here I've just been spending my day looking at a lot of charts over the past X years and so I tweeted this because I just truly find it impressive :) Maybe I should have clarified that I'm not pushing for an analogy to current conditions"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T08:46Z 58.8K followers, 3655 engagements
"@JuanGerber9 The pump on BIO is much smaller than the ones I mentioned so it's not as straightforward at all"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T13:13Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"$ASTER feels like the most obvious pick tbh"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T18:17Z 58.8K followers, 2992 engagements
"$200M+ injected into a chart in one day followed by $5M of permanent daily emissions $WLD"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-08T12:54Z 58.8K followers, 8740 engagements
"$COAI is clearly the top scam of October running the MYX playbook It is literally up 50x bottom to top in two weeks and is now trading around $7bn FDV I am very much of the opinion that the scale of the scams that are allowed on Binance and Bybit perps is now unprecedented after seeing $M $MYX $AIA and $COAI all happen in two months "But Viktor coins can go up a lot without being scams" Well one simple filter that should make such coin ineligible to a perp listing on Binance is for example the fact that the main on-chain liquidity provider made sure not to have any COAI liquidity above $1.5"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-10T11:23Z 58.8K followers, 63.8K engagements
"$AR / $AO both did very bad"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-17T20:27Z 58.8K followers, 5997 engagements
"I don't think BTC buyers care about an SFP on $XRP"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T09:34Z 58.8K followers, 10.8K engagements
"$ZORA trading at -XXX% annualized funding rate on HL with a chart looking like that. I think it should resolve higher"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-21T09:32Z 58.8K followers, 6859 engagements
"Not sure these can be saved actually 💀"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-21T11:16Z 58.8K followers, 12.5K engagements
"Some VC coins started looking good and then we immediately got the largest liquidation event in crypto history Lesson in that"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-21T11:24Z 58.8K followers, 2748 engagements
"Tom Lee will end up holding all the ethereum in the world and it won't be worth anything anymore"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-21T11:28Z 58.8K followers, 3949 engagements
"$PEAQ - New coin - Depin L1 - Chart looks good - Popular on Crypto Youtube / gives me KAS vibes"
X Link @thedefivillain 2024-12-27T21:30Z 58.8K followers, 14.8K engagements
"@SSnuffalupagus Agreed we had memes and AI mania WLD to $120bn FDV both ETH and BTC giga up in X months 10x gains on the largest memes"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T08:47Z 58.8K followers, XX engagements
"@Mars_DeFi no"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T12:45Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"$STRC is probably the perfect product to shove Saylor's preferred shares strategy down people's throat $STRK and $STRF might be too confusing for people because the price can move anywhere (but they are severely under-valued in my opinion) STRC is simple and becomes a no-brainer as "cash holdings with yield" - Stable price around $XXX - 10%+ APR - Paid monthly (People f-ing LOVE that) There is no ceiling in the demand for this product once the floodgates open. Just a matter of time imo"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-04T11:14Z 58.8K followers, 7869 engagements
"Why has CZ stopped shilling $ASTER"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-16T09:53Z 58.8K followers, 98.3K engagements
"Many coins that were hot in early 2024 have been absolute permanent under-performers since then: $FET $ARKM $ORDI $RON $RNDR $INJ $TIA $AR $BEAM Which coins are now the new perma-shorts"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-17T20:22Z 58.8K followers, 14.6K engagements
"The new structure of $MSTR since they switched from convertible bonds to preferred shares is extremely elegant Pristine collateral with a pristine corporate structure They don't get credit for it yet but it will come"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-19T16:52Z 58.8K followers, 27K engagements
"Homogenous infinitely scalable cleaner and simpler balance sheet for everyone to understand it no principal to pay back in X years so you don't depend on some random re-financing date that could theoretically happen at the worst time If you want a perpetual swap between USD and BTC then you want a perpetual instrument You can't just compare cash yield vs no yield without accounting for the fact that you have to pay back the principal on one and not on the other But as you said indirectly it's also a question of demand yes: there is not enough demand for CBs at great terms (for MSTR) but there"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T08:43Z 58.8K followers, 4428 engagements
"One thing to always check when you are shorting a coin is whether it's already listed on Upbit or not The Upbit listings can be extremely dangerous if you are short On the other side an Upbit listing that leads to an enormous pump usually marks a top which makes it a good short from there $MOCA $DEEP $DRIFT $HYPER (Apparently there are going to be new rules for Upbit listings soon let's see if this phenomenon will stop existing or not)"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T12:08Z 58.8K followers, 11.3K engagements
"Welcome to Sysifud Airlines The MSTR mNAV premium is still higher than where it was after the BTC ETFs launched when the whole village was convinced that $MSTR was rendered useless by the ETFs From that level $MSTR is still up +140% vs $IBIT despite only trading at a XX% premium to its BTC holdings It's VERY easy (based on current numbers) for Saylor to pay the quarterly dividends on his pref shares. "But he has to sell shares" yes but given the size of MSTR and its daily trading volume the size of these dividends is honestly close to immaterial right now"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T13:12Z 58.8K followers, 10.3K engagements
"@atalantis7 Done by magnus :) It's for Korea more than Upbit specifically"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-20T14:00Z 58.8K followers, XXX engagements
"The euthanasia rollercoaster on $AVAX / OTHERS"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-21T10:06Z 58.8K followers, 4110 engagements
"MSTR tweet Most people still don't understand where Saylor gets his money from when he's buying $BTC He's not sitting on a pile of cash that he's "deploying strategically". When he's buying $BTC it means that he just sold something else. This thing he's selling can either be : - The common stock $MSTR = ie he issues new shares and immediately sells them onto the market ("ATM" = at-the-market offering) - Or any of his X preferred shares (STRF STRC STRK STRD) = same mechanism he issues new shares and sells them in the market Once again this means that he is NOT trying to time the BTCUSD"
X Link @thedefivillain 2025-10-21T12:28Z 58.8K followers, 7632 engagements
/creator/twitter::1522870521414787072/posts