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[@MoonlightMLB](/creator/twitter/MoonlightMLB)
"@KMiksovsky Again realistically my hopes and dreams are that he's LHH Soler. Anything more is gravy"  
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"@KMiksovsky Define the difference between productive starter and superstar. Like left handed Jorge Soler vs Yordan Is there awar threshold If he hit XX homers in a couple seasons he's flirting with stardom just based on national media attention even with bad defense"  
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"@KMiksovsky I mean Laz does have a XX% walk rate at XX years old. Schwarber was XXXX at XX in A+ and then XX% in AA at XX. But yeah better contact rate. I would take left handed Soler in a second tho"  
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"4/ NO STRANGER TO A DEADLINE DEAL After debuting with the Padres in 2019 Naylor was dealt at the 2020 deadline for the second time in his career (now it's X times) in a X player deal that would shape Cleveland's next playoff team"  
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"With Bryan Woo on the bump vs the Angels today I suggest he pitch around Jo Adell. Adell vs Woo 3-3 2HRs"  
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"Colt Emerson since June 1: Games: XX .303/.411/.529 XXX wRC+ 5HR 3SB XXXX% KRate XXXX% BBRate"  
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"2/ HISTORY LESSON Josh Naylor was drafted 12th overall in the 2015 draft out of St. Joan of Arc Catholic HS in Ontario by the Miami Marlins making him the highest selected Canadian position player ever"  
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"@KMiksovsky That contact bit is my only concern. If he can be about .230/.340/.460 that's a top XX DH in mlb. Would love that. Basically what Ben Rice is doing this year"  
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"@EmeraldYard3 This is a really interesting X team mock. Value-wise I think DBacks and Rays make out pretty well. If I'm the Mariners GM I probably do this but ask for Garrett Cleavinger instead of fairbanks to feel a little better about it"  
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"@DiamondAndDeep @BrashFan Ben Williamson could be the LHP platoon and when you need late game defensive sub Castro to RF Ben to 3B. Williamson vs LHP XX wRC+"  
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"Contreras is XX years old but has a XXX wRC+ and 95th percentile in OAA 👀 at 1B. Oh and he's a RHH"  
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"@KMiksovsky The route is actually pretty straight it's just that at the last moment he decides he doesnt think he can turn his glove to catch it above his head so he swings his whole body out to basket catch it beside his body while running toward the wall"  
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"@luke_arkins But opposing teams OPS is .649 at t Mobile so they're still above average at home"  
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"NEW MARINER THREAD: Josh Naylor In the first big move of the deadline Josh Naylor heads to Seattle. Whether you care about vibes xwOBA origin stories or classic baseball card stats I got you covered. Please allow me to introduce you to your new 1B/DH. 🧵1/14"  
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"2 days til the MLB Draft. X years ago the Seattle Mariners top X draft picks looked like this: Round (Pick) X (22) Colt Emerson SS PPI (29) Jonny Farmelo OF C-A (30) Tai Peete SS X (57) Ben Williamson 3B 📸 X (92) Teddy McGraw RHP"  
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"@Jim21696509 @brandon_sw4 I just meant Arizona wants controllable arms. That will be a mid tier arm for a rental. So it comes down to does Arizona like a Michael Morales package or an Elmer Rodriguez Cruz package Personally I think the latter is more interesting. Maybe we dangle Brandyn Garca I guess"  
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"8/ GOING DEEP Naylor has a fascinating profile. He is an elite contact hitter but can also unload on fastballs and has an above average pull-air%. Max EV 117.9mph Zone contact XXXX% Pull Air XXXX% (avg = 16%) .348 wOBA .350 xwOBA XXX BB% XXXX K%"  
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"7/ WHAT HAVE YOU DONE FOR ME LATELY In 2025 Naylor is hitting .292/.360/.447 with XX HR and playing below average defense at 1B by OAA. He's crushing RHP (144 wRC+) but has been vulnerable to LHP (82 wRC+). He has also delivered in some clutch spots"  
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"6/ FASTFORWARD Naylor hit .308/.354/.489 with 17HR in 2023 and followed it up with a lower .243 avg in 2024 but he hit XX HR. In the offseason CLE traded him to the DBacks even though Naylor publicly stated he wanted to play for Cleveland long term"  
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"@KMiksovsky Like schwarber is in between those too and it's say he's a star. Maybe not a superstar but a star. But I'm just going off gut here"  
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"The Cardinals have lost X of their last XX. Their playoff odds are down to 18%. Could Willson Contreras be on the market Owed $18m each of the next X seasons but he has been what the Mariners hoped and dreamt Mitch Garver would be who is paid about the same and a FA in 2026"  
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"@mrvulture88 @EmeraldYard3 Miller and Taj have same amount of control. Bryce's numbers have been better but at home but his career away era is same as Taj's era. They have similar stuff ratings from models. Taj is X years younger and better prospect pedigree. Bryce is slightly more valuable but not much"  
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"4 days til the MLB Draft. X years ago the Seattle Mariners top X draft picks looked like this: Round (Pick) X (12) Harry Ford C X (48) Edwin Arroyo SS X (83) Michael Morales RHP X (113) Bryce Miller RHP X (144) Andy Thomas C X (174) Bryan Woo RHP 📸"  
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"@KMiksovsky Agree that Schwarber is elite in MLB so a long way to go to get to that level but Laz is a patient hitter especially considering age. We'll see Chase rates when he gets to AAA. He will chase at times but he's not overly aggressive"  
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"Potentially available OF by wRC+ vs LHP XXX Luis Robert Jr. XXX Miguel Andujar XXX Willi Castro XXX Alex Call XXX Austin Slater XXX Harrison Bader XXX Randal Grichuk"  
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"@BrashFan Raley could be bench bat and rotate in with Dom and Jorge 🤷🏻♂ Decent chance either Raley or Dom move. Would put slightly higher likelihood on Dom but idk"  
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"5/ THE BREAKOUT YEAR In 2022 Naylor put it together. Hitting XX HRs and a XXX wRC+ while leading Cleveland to the ALDS where in game X Naylor hit a HR off Gerrit Cole leading to this unforgettably unhinged celebration"  
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"@KMiksovsky Yes this is a fair assessment. The kid is more athletic than you expect and he is a very high effort player which I think is why people are defensive but it's mostly just a disconnect in how scouts/analysts talk and how fans perceive defense vs offense"  
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"Welcome to the Seattle Mariners Josh Naylor 2025 Games: XX XX HR XX RBI .292/.360/.447 XXX wRC+ XXX BB% XXXX K%"  
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"@TridentTruee Don't think we had the right MLB ready arm for Cleveland. They have a whole system. Doubt Hancock or Evans for their mold"  
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"@ShaptzCommonL He's a good defender but out of XX primary 3B with at least XXX Plate appearances he ranks XX in wRC+ and OPS. The lineup is pretty good but there are upgrades potentially available"  
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"Mariners Deadline if I'm GM Leo Rivas+Victor Labrada+Charlie Beilenson+Tai Peete 🔄 Willi Castro+Danny Columbe Michael Morales+Chia Shi-Shen 🔄 Josh Naylor Luis Suisbel+Jared Sundstrom+Brandyn Garcia 🔄 David Bednar Sauryn Lao+Michael Hobbs 🔄 Charlie Morton Roster below"  
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"6 days til the MLB Draft. X years ago the Seattle Mariners top X draft picks looked like this: Round (Pick) X (20) George Kirby RHP 📸 X (59) Brandon Williamson LHP C-B (76) Isaiah Campbell RHP X (97) Levi Stoudt RHP X (126) Tim Elliott RHP"  
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"CALL UP THREAD: Brandyn Garcia The big lefty gets the call Garcia moved from the Arkansas rotation to the bullpen to fast track to the MLB and now he's made it. Meet the newest Mariner. 1/7 🧵"  
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"Some interesting Relievers. I've been interested in Cleavinger awhile. Curious if the Rays move him for a big leaguer or prospects near MLB ready"  
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"@frightwigwam @MarinersSUR He's not hitting lefties though. XX wRC+ vs lefties. XXX vs RHP. Maybe he'll find it and be average vs lefties but probably not worth a roster spot imo"  
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"@KMiksovsky He isn't the hitter Yordan is but for comparison I think he's faster more athletic and higher motor than Yordan's first MLB seasons and Yordan put up an average LF performance in 2021. We'll see if Laz can mature and keep that edge at the same age"  
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"wRC+ Splits Vs RHP Vs LHP Willi Castro XXX XXX Eugenio Surez XXX XXX Josh Naylor XXX XX Ryan O'Hearn XXX XX Maikel Garcia XXX XXX Ramon Uras XX XXX Ben Williamson XX XX Luke Raley XXX -XX Donovan Solano XXX XX Seattle Mariners* XXX XXX *Active Roster"  
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"9/ DIFFERENCE MAKER Naylor lengthens a solid Mariners lineup that is still X pieces away from being elite. As a 1B/DH his fWAR will be limited but when it comes to context specific contributions Josh is top XX in Win Probability Added since 2022"  
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"@KMiksovsky Hard to say. Looked like the jump was so-so and he got to a decent speed probably MLB average speed (faster than Dom). I'd be pretty Happy with him being Randy-like in RF. He has a rifle for an arm and he would play next to one of the rangiest CF in MLB in a smallish park"  
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