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[@CryptoVizArt](/creator/twitter/CryptoVizArt)
"Unpopular Opinion: Bear market roadmap: MSTR implodes first XRP bloodbath follows and it all wraps up with ETH/BTC sliding into a fresh cycle low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1957545202115309812) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-08-18T20:48Z 42.6K followers, 24.4K engagements


"Despite the bearish sentiment Unrealized Loss at $107K is only equivalent to XXX% of Bitcoins market cap. In mild bear markets this typically exceeds X% and in severe ones it exceeds 50%. 👉 The market pain is still far from what defines a true bear phase"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1983955973791244577) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-10-30T17:55Z 42.6K followers, 62.8K engagements


"NOW everyone is talking about seasoned (LTH) investors spending exhausting the market. UNTIL yesterday CT was chasing fin-fluencers shilling: - lagged M2-BTC delusion - useless Quantile Interpolation astrology (version n) - miraculous GLD rotation to BTC - top outdated coinglass top indicators Ignore the noise and stop chasing engagement farming nonsense here. DCA into BTC & other hard assets and forget about outperforming the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984448200535625747) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T02:31Z 42.6K followers, 4658 engagements


"This metric gauges the confidence of recent investors by comparing the cost basis of active spenders to the overall short-term holder base (normalized by spot price). Its decline shows top buyers are losing conviction spending coins under pressure as prices trend lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984579257054753140) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T11:12Z 42.6K followers, 1185 engagements


"A hallmark of bull markets is a low Relative Unrealized Loss (5%) measuring the USD loss of all coins underwater relative to market cap. Even after the drop to $107K its just 1.3%. In mild bears this exceeds X% in severe ones 50%. Therefore todays pain is modest and a true capitulation phase may still lie ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984576859862954222) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T11:02Z 42.6K followers, 1040 engagements


"Since July price has failed to hold above the cost basis of the top X% X% and XX% of supply. This raises the odds of retesting the XX% supply quantile cost basis signalling that top buyers are capitulating/transferring coins to new holders with stronger conviction which requires more time and/or a deeper discount"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984582330510369127) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T11:24Z 42.6K followers, 41.8K engagements


"Across the top XXX assets the rally to $126K wasnt fueled by overheated perpetual markets as in prior cycle peaks. Since the Black Friday reset on Oct XX funding rates have cooled notably. This reflects reduced appetite for leveraged upside bets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984586232848916749) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T11:40Z 42.6K followers, 1988 engagements


"I was surprised we got to 126k and was calling for crash since FOMC. Unsurprisingly I was wrong and too early/ I believe we definitely need some time/discount to heal. A shallow bear market. Now I think its possible to touch 93k in mid-term but surprised if we break below the true market mean (around $81k -$88k) in coming months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984458374314869211) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T03:12Z 42.6K followers, XXX engagements


"I expected the 124k on 13th September to be the top. Now I expect some shallow bear market with a low around True Market Mean now trading $80k (but dynamically changing). I was wrong about and we reached a new ATH early October. So I could be wrong again. My point was that the models/correlations listed above were fundamentally flawed by oversimplifying how markets work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984566706019209602) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T10:22Z 42.5K followers, XXX engagements


"The vast majority of points made in this article can be visualized using on-chain data. Thats what I am bullish about the demand for analyst who can quantitatively investigate the theoretical concepts such as one discussed here. The transformation of supply into new cohort of patient buyers have been covered by objective on-chain analysts since first bearish phase after ETF lunch. Glad to see the TradFi community now starting to confirm this macro trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/CryptoVizArt/status/1984771919254536364) [@CryptoVizArt](/creator/x/CryptoVizArt) 2025-11-01T23:57Z 42.5K followers, 3137 engagements