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[@FerragamoWx](/creator/twitter/FerragamoWx)
"Invest 96L is definitely starting to display subtropical characteristics. The NHC has sharply increased its development odds as a result. This is very impressive given its 44N latitude in October"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976417345494241727) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-09T22:39Z 15.1K followers, 3027 engagements


"Subtropical Storm #KAREN has formed over the far northern Atlantic. At 44.5N it is by far the northernmost forming system on record in the Atlantic Basin surpassing the previous record of 42N by UNNAMED 1952"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976481656992301261) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-10T02:55Z 15.1K followers, 28.1K engagements


"Hello Texas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977055005623697468) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-11T16:53Z 15.1K followers, 1215 engagements


"@StephenCourton Certainly an active period but chasers wouldve been even more spoiled in the 1880s Lack of landfalls in the 70s/early 80s no doubt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977155774284513294) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-11T23:34Z 15.1K followers, 1279 engagements


"Theres a signal for some potential activity in the Caribbean late next week. October/November in the Caribbean is notorious for producing some monsters not saying thats what were looking at here but worth watching no doubt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978489717327831334) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-15T15:54Z 15.1K followers, 5419 engagements


"Doing some simple calculations we take the average hurricane season (which features about 6-8 hurricanes) and multiply that by the target year (in this case XX million - I use XX million because that's how long the continents have roughly looked the same). With this we get an estimate of 90-120 million hurricanes that *possibly* occurred over the last XX million years. Taking it a step further we can figure out *roughly* how many Category 5s have occurred by taking the XX we've recorded since 1851 and obtaining the ratio. This gives us roughly XXX% of all XXX hurricanes recorded in the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978876585567498298) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-16T17:31Z 15.1K followers, 3349 engagements


"Still watching the Caribbean next week. Models still suggesting development Google DeepMind (which has been impressive this year) indicating a faster earlier turn to the north"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1979204826475983155) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-17T15:16Z 15.1K followers, 11.5K engagements


"On October 17th 1947 a U.S. Air Force plane dropped nearly 82kg of dry ice into the 1947 Cape Sable hurricane off the U.S. east coast as part of Project Cirrus. This was the first attempt by man to control a tropical cyclone. Due to high pressure to the north the hurricane abruptly changed direction making landfall near Savannah Georgia. The public thought this unusual movement was due to the dry ice seeding and the project was soon cancelled"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1979208680265371657) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-17T15:31Z 15.1K followers, 56.6K engagements


"#PRISCILLA casually the size of central Mexico this morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1975219793092546971) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-06T15:21Z 15.1K followers, 7256 engagements


"September 2025 joined 2023 as the only two Septembers during the last decade to not feature a hurricane landfall on the mainland U.S. IDALIA 2023 made landfall in Florida on August 30th"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1975236263331471506) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-06T16:26Z 15.1K followers, 12.2K engagements


"Tropical Storm #JERRY has formed in the MDR. Its expected to become a hurricane as it nears the Lesser Antilles and soon turn north. Bermuda is once again in a forecast cone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1975583964455956783) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-07T15:28Z 15.1K followers, 3910 engagements


"1 year ago we were watching records fall in real time. Hurricane MILTON plunged in pressure surpassing DORIAN first then MARIA then MITCH then KATRINA then CAMILLE. It bottomed out at XXX mb with winds of XXX kts (180 mph) the 4th-most intense Atlantic hurricane on record"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1975585325100486964) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-07T15:33Z 15.1K followers, 10.6K engagements


"The 2025 release of this map will be easy if theres no landfalls in the U.S this year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1975637075052667364) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-07T18:59Z 15.1K followers, 10.2K engagements


"Hurricane HUMBERTO last month makes twelve Category X hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin since only 2016. This is the most ever recorded in a 9-year timeframe since our records began in 1851 keep in mind that Category X hurricanes definitely occurred in the 1800s however we werent able to detect or measure them (first one was recorded in 1924). The previous record for most Category X hurricanes in a 9-year timeframe was X set from 1998-2007: MITCH 1998 - XXX kts (180 mph) ISABEL 2003 - XXX kts (165 mph) IVAN 2004 - XXX kts (165 mph) EMILY 2005 - XXX kts (160 mph) KATRINA 2005 - XXX kts (175"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1975989669520343103) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-08T18:20Z 15.1K followers, 21K engagements


"Invest 96L is trying at 44N Looks like winds are up to XX kts (50 mph) in the system. If it wraps more convection around its LLC I could see a subtropical storm almost similar to PABLO 2019. Remarkable little system this far north"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976343200068702646) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-09T17:45Z 15.1K followers, 5949 engagements


"The 2025 version of this graphic is complete and will be released November 30th I have made significant changes visually including sharpening of land borders text rearrangements and more. Should look a bit cleaner"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978251339051258071) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-15T00:07Z 15.1K followers, 5875 engagements


"Incredibly cool graphic. KAREN 2025 is the northernmost formation on record but the point to the north of it is TWO 1858. TWO 1858 is one of many one-point tracks in the early database (a storm is recorded once typically by a ship then never seen again)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976772446339711018) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-10T22:10Z 15.1K followers, 6282 engagements


"This should say XX years ago not sure why it corrected to a random XX lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977513857774985317) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-12T23:16Z 15.1K followers, 2037 engagements


"Same people demanding this gets named are the same ones who will accuse the NHC of naming random things💀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977803489788186934) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-13T18:27Z 15.1K followers, 1040 engagements


"HAZEL 1954 is also the northernmost landfalling Category X on record at 33.8N"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978849502858555861) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-16T15:44Z 15.1K followers, 4180 engagements


"And also the ratio of Category X hurricanes could be higher since from 1851 to 1924 none were recorded (even though there were likely several)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978877462479061083) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-16T17:35Z 15.1K followers, 2496 engagements


"NHC increases 96Ls chances to 60%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976438849925714352) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-10T00:05Z 15.1K followers, 2818 engagements


"Sitting above 44N if Invest 96L develops into a tropical/subtropical cyclone it would easily become the northernmost forming system on record in the Atlantic Basin. Next name is #KAREN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976455148068380873) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-10T01:10Z 15.1K followers, 18.6K engagements


"7 years ago Hurricane MICHAEL made landfall on the Florida Panhandle as a XXX mph Category X. MICHAEL 2018 is one of only four Category X hurricanes on record to strike the U.S. mainland as well as the only one to strike during daylight hours. It is the shortest-lived Category X on record maintaining C5 status for only XX minutes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976637131691856054) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-10T13:13Z 15.1K followers, 16.5K engagements


"Heres a cool visualization the track and intensity of Hurricane MICHAEL X years ago today. MICHAEL was a classic American hurricane rapidly intensifying all the way up to landfall. It was a Category X for XX minutes at landfall"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1976703164733628548) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-10T17:35Z 15.1K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Its not unheard of to have a season that features zero activity in the Gulf or Caribbean but it is very rare. The seasons of 1962 1976 and 2006 heavily resemble the 2025 season so far with all activity remaining over the central/subtropical Atlantic. However 2025 is different in terms of intensity. Seasons without Gulf or Caribbean activity often dont feature intense storms but 2025 so far has had THREE major hurricanes including TWO Category 5s. I wouldnt be surprised to continue seeing these recurving storms in the central Atlantic but you can never rule out the Caribbean in October/November"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977089545351905415) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-11T19:10Z 15.1K followers, 33K engagements


"55 years ago the king of all hurricanes peaked in intensity. Super Typhoon TIP achieved its world record peak intensity its pressure bottoming out at XXX mb (couldve been in the high 860s before recon got there). TIP is also the largest tropical cyclone ever observed spanning over 1380 miles wide"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977503649937985981) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-12T22:36Z 15.1K followers, 22.1K engagements


"The formation of Tropical Storm #LORENZO marks the 2000th recorded system in the Atlantic Hurricane Database (HURDAT) since it began in 1851. Over the last XXX years we've now recorded 2000 systems. This averages out to about XXXX systems per year (depressions storms and hurricanes all included)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977767094121791540) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-13T16:03Z 15.1K followers, 9540 engagements


"I dont get the confusion. This is so clearly not a tropical cyclone like what"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1977803188251267216) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-13T18:26Z 15.1K followers, 9705 engagements


"Nearing XXX ACE for the season which puts 2025 near-normal. Could squeak more ACE as models are hinting at the Caribbean next week. Certainly a little comeback story in the ACE department from that peak-season lull"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978846940050739613) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-16T15:34Z 15.1K followers, 6125 engagements


"Liking the odds we see #MELISSA in the Caribbean later this week what remains uncertain is where it goes. A north turn sooner/later is the difference between a landfall in Hispaniola Cuba or even Jamaica. Intensity guidance keeps it weaker for now but this is the Caribbean after all. Watching closely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1980298878327968112) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-20T15:43Z 15.1K followers, 5678 engagements


"Tropical Storm #MELISSA has formed in the Caribbean. Models have it becoming a hurricane by the weekend. Notice how large the NHC cone is a reminder that the forecast remains rather uncertain. Most models however do favor a later turn north into Jamaica and Cuba. Watching very closely. Intensity does remain one of our poorest aspects of hurricane forecasting after all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1980651426385711266) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-21T15:04Z 15.1K followers, 7234 engagements


"I've compiled and mapped all the notable records/feats of the hurricane season so far. Even with huge inactivity during the peak-season there's still been impressive records/feats. Tropical Storm #MELISSA also just became the latest 'first storm' in the Caribbean Sea since 1997 (which had no Caribbean storms)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1980687371239838039) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-21T17:27Z 15.1K followers, 8702 engagements


"I dont like the look of #MELISSA one bit. A slow moving track as forecast brings an onslaught of rain to the islands biggest threat likely going to be mudslides with this system. Slow movement *could* also mean a much stronger system especially in this part of the basin. It takes a lot of tropical energy (especially for a weaker MELISSA) to upwell an OHC this high. The stage could be set for major problems here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1980738473410621785) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-21T20:50Z 15.1K followers, 12.4K engagements


"At 10:11 am on August XX 2005 NWS New Orleans broadcasted one of the most chilling warnings ever heard ahead of Hurricane Katrina. PERSONS EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH With a 30-foot storm surge KATRINA would soon alter the U.S. Gulf Coast forever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1960948366734463445) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-08-28T06:11Z 15.1K followers, 166.9K engagements


"Here's something that sparked a bit of curiosity: How many Category X hurricanes could have occurred in the Atlantic during the last XX million years Imagine that - XX million years and we've only barely recorded XXX years of that. Obviously this graphic and statistics are all theoretical due to changing factors but to nobody's surprise we've missed out on a TON. (1/2)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1978876581419356639) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-16T17:31Z 15.1K followers, 36.2K engagements


"20 years ago we observed the most intense Atlantic hurricane that we know of. Hurricane WILMA rapidly intensified dropping XX MILLIBARS in XX HOURS bottoming out at XXX mb. At its peak its eye was only XXX miles wide the smallest ever recorded. WILMA was the 4th and last Category X hurricane of the incredible 2005 season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1979948810207125899) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-19T16:32Z 15.1K followers, 6731 engagements


"The scenarios could get very interesting with #MELISSA as it crawls north. As long as atmospheric conditions stay decently favorable well see the Caribbean Sea at work. Models agree on a hurricane with more and more hinting at a possible major. Too early to rule out any intensity including Category 3+ but the main threat will likely remain flooding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1980827784634073298) [@FerragamoWx](/creator/x/FerragamoWx) 2025-10-22T02:45Z 15.1K followers, 4141 engagements