# ![@weatherwilly Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::956398885.png) @weatherwilly Will Ciccone

Will Ciccone posts on X about jersey, euro, storm, if you the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::956398885/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::956398885/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +212%
- [--] Month [---------] +380%
- [--] Months [---------] +1,804%
- [--] Year [---------] +68%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::956398885/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::956398885/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -24%
- [--] Month [---] +171%
- [--] Months [---] +1,040%
- [--] Year [---] +6.90%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::956398885/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::956398885/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.31%
- [--] Month [------] +12%
- [--] Months [------] +19%
- [--] Year [------] +23%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::956398885/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::956398885/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[countries](/list/countries)  6.11% [currencies](/list/currencies)  4.58% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  1.53% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  0.76%

**Social topic influence**
[jersey](/topic/jersey) 4.58%, [euro](/topic/euro) 4.58%, [storm](/topic/storm) #743, [if you](/topic/if-you) 2.29%, [this is](/topic/this-is) 2.29%, [image](/topic/image) #876, [christmas](/topic/christmas) 2.29%, [strong](/topic/strong) 1.53%, [block](/topic/block) 1.53%, [canada](/topic/canada) 1.53%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@jayb7897](/creator/undefined) [@steveoweathaguy](/creator/undefined) [@mdawg41116321](/creator/undefined) [@mike61400](/creator/undefined) [@ryanodog123](/creator/undefined) [@fordr07](/creator/undefined) [@mark_glatfelter](/creator/undefined) [@xweareback2222](/creator/undefined) [@markglatfelter](/creator/undefined) [@speakeasymanny7](/creator/undefined) [@jblandscapingnj](/creator/undefined) [@devons93](/creator/undefined) [@kevdogg8675309](/creator/undefined) [@crazyplan9](/creator/undefined) [@whsvcodybwx](/creator/undefined) [@wxnjsn0wf4nn](/creator/undefined) [@tmztom](/creator/undefined) [@weatherposts](/creator/undefined) [@wxriskgrains](/creator/undefined) [@newinter_wx](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[MAPS (MAPS)](/topic/maps)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"This is awesome.heavy snow verifying from inverted trough.don't see this often"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020111142761238730)  2026-02-07T12:23Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"I believe you're going to see this [---] mb pattern tighten up even more for next weekend which means a consolidated storm that runs into HP and redevelops off coast. The AIFS is close to what I'm thinking. Would be front end thump snow to mix type situation with all snow interior. Why do I think this Because I have been consistently watching the model struggle with the block and overall wave lengths. For one they haven't been separating the energy coming out off the pacific properly and instead are hanging out back too far west vs breaking out ahead under block. This has shown a warmer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020132877493494064)  2026-02-07T13:49Z 13.4K followers, 17.3K engagements


"Broke subzero NW NJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020481175060447645)  2026-02-08T12:53Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@JayB7897 Not over yet Jay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020487845106876458)  2026-02-08T13:20Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"What ensembles initially showed for end of this week vs what they show now. Blocking this time of year works. Ensembles are far from perfect and many times most of spread can't capture this. Now we'll see if we can snow on the back of this later next weekend In NE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020499825368977603)  2026-02-08T14:07Z 13.4K followers, 18K engagements


"This is a good example of the Block and the models not handling the wavelengths properly per my last tweet. Notice how this is trending to tighten up. Look this doesnt mean I get this right I just want to explain my logic on this forecast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020579442217889836)  2026-02-08T19:24Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Late next weekend storm threat gaining traction as you can see by trends below. My confidence is growing something hits- now it's about where. The shading in image [--] shows where I think the best chance of accumulating snow will be this far out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020848442474385846)  2026-02-09T13:13Z 13.4K followers, 16K engagements


"@mark_glatfelter Haha that's fine doesn't bother me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2020948294185418897)  2026-02-09T19:49Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Storm Threat Update: Expand to Read Two clear scenarios right now. A southern escape or a stalled amped up coastal storm. This comes down to [--] factors seen below. If northern energy can partially come in and interact with main energy the block allows strong amplification. Will this happen Right now only a cluster of ensembles are showing this as hinted at by image [--]. However this far out means that cant be ruled out. If that was to occur you would see a solution like the Canadian and 6z Euro have. A deepening coastal storm that's blocked off from a fast escape. If it doesn't happen you get a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2021206524815724696)  2026-02-10T12:56Z 13.4K followers, 13.6K engagements


"Btw for second half of Feb if you get blocking up here in the Pacific look at the pressure pattern that creates at the surface. The northeast will not be warming up with a pressure pattern that features highs descending out of Canada"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2021574469727256682)  2026-02-11T13:18Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@SpeakeasyManny7 Northern Mid-Atlantic off the coast into New England can't run anything off until March 15th that's always my rule"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2021585315064848463)  2026-02-11T14:01Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"@jblandscapingnj Yeah I see no torch active pattern onto march for New England and northern mid Atlantic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2021938298495938954)  2026-02-12T13:23Z 13.4K followers, [--] engagements


"*Storm update* swamped with work today. I'm cutting video tonight. The storm threat is alive and my thinking hasn't changed but I will explain more and why tonight. The model shift isn't a surprise if you understand the "trigger" to this has been flirting the whole time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022437555611013546)  2026-02-13T22:27Z 13.4K followers, 12.9K engagements


"@mark_glatfelter @SteveOweathaguy @burgwx Thanks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022543126393467365)  2026-02-14T05:27Z 13.4K followers, [--] engagements


"This is far from a surprise at and it has nothing to do with me or my forecast. We have had a remarkably consistent pattern of ensemble clusters from European suite hinting at this since Monday. This is the whole point of ensembles To show what CAN happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022550124996481072)  2026-02-14T05:55Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@DevonS93 Well can't speak for others I identified target period for this weekend back on the 1st and tracked it and came close but didn't work out not sure if you followed but this time I missed the mark"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023019954761760949)  2026-02-15T13:01Z 13.4K followers, [--] engagements


"*Snowfall Map for Tomorrow Night* When this is all said and done I will give an honest assessment of how this works out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022793735004672271)  2026-02-14T22:03Z 13.4K followers, 15.7K engagements


"I'm confused what is the misinformation A few days ago you said: "And just to be clear my forecast has been from the start a few rain/snow showers to snow showers. Nothing major. Maybe a dusting to 1" for parts of the region." Will you admit if this ends up wrong @sssdsol @KevDogg8675309_ I wasn't. But the way there is so much misinformation I decided it is best to put some reality into the discussion. @sssdsol @KevDogg8675309_ I wasn't. But the way there is so much misinformation I decided it is best to put some reality into the discussion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022797002195542330)  2026-02-14T22:16Z 13.4K followers, 17.9K engagements


"Projection of the high res NAM looks reasonable. 1-2" a local spot may see a little more. Elevation will help due to surface temps. 2nd image was my forecast yesterday. 2-4" looks high but I am keeping the map and we will see how this plays out . Trying to be transparent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023047354165707081)  2026-02-15T14:50Z 13.4K followers, 10.6K engagements


"Future Storm Outlook 1/2 Looking ahead i think Fri has a snot of some decent accumulating snow across New England interior. That high over Can is filtering in just enough cold to keep it all snow up there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023119687970689332)  2026-02-15T19:38Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"2/2 for areas a further south we need to look towards next Monday where more cold air will be established and potentially locked in by a block (image 1). If there is enough separation in wavelengths you can see a coastal storm that would bring snow closer to coasts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023119690445287537)  2026-02-15T19:38Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Here's a snapshot of what I'm watching for next Monday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023149067078172782)  2026-02-15T21:35Z 13.4K followers, 11.4K engagements


"TEWR - Composite Reflectivity 7:50 PM Since mt holly radar is down teterboro airport composite reflectivity is getting the job done"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023201319784218842)  2026-02-16T01:02Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Final total Randolph NJ 2" Season total 37.5""  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023370835654758722)  2026-02-16T12:16Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Models being models guys. The surface changes bc there's more interaction at 500mb.(Animation 2). Doesn't mean this verifies but I've been trying to drive home the point that this is a lot closer than people think. And it's not because of wishcasting it's rooted in meteorology"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022002581023895906)  2026-02-12T17:39Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Look at the jet streak now popping up on the European model trend. Jet streak=dynamics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2022642280360824974)  2026-02-14T12:01Z 13.4K followers, 29.9K engagements


"Morning Update My forecast will likely be WRONG for tonight. We have seen a deamplification trend last [--] hours on models which means a weaker snow band. Looks like 1-2" in blue zone on second image not 2-4" I had. Now we wait and see final result"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023007680072392736)  2026-02-15T12:13Z 13.4K followers, 10.9K engagements


"The west ski areas will make up for Lost time this week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023134075188367582)  2026-02-15T20:35Z 13.4K followers, 15.8K engagements


"Underway.light to moderate snow [--] degrees Randolph NJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023213953598599673)  2026-02-16T01:52Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Going forecast for tonight yes its low confidence but well grade it at the end. At this point we need to let the flakes fly then count the score. All observations now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023123918551396370)  2026-02-15T19:55Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Forecast verification from last night's event. Forecast issued Sat afternoon left actual right. Technically no 4" amounts so 1-3" widespread more appropriate vs 2-4". Regardless better than if I went C-1""  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2023434330446729672)  2026-02-16T16:28Z 13.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Will put my first snow map out tonight for Friday. As of now the coastal plain will def struggle. Even though it cold enough aloft an easterly wind near coast will keep surface temps too high for initial snow. Snow showers on backend. Maybe a surprise band"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1869415323994386593)  2024-12-18T16:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Here is my initial snowfall forecast for Fri-Sat. Tricky system- we are trying to nail now an initial inverted trough which will cause a band of snow to west then trying to pin point a costal low that scrapes eastern New England. Note: Green/White mtns not captured in this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1869744247748116563)  2024-12-19T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Quite the arctic outbreak in the wake of tomorrow's storm.sub zero interior and highs in teens and single digits for many areas through Monday.you'll remember this one- and any snow that falls sticks around for Christmas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1869830106098897272)  2024-12-19T19:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Regarding tomorrow I do think this band is going to set up despite the fact some models lost it. It's just a matter of exact placement which is very tough to nail down. I tend to think a slight tick to the Northeast of this which is reflected in my forecast. Can surprise folks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1869929137504166017)  2024-12-20T02:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Alot of turbulence with this NAM model. Loose cannon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1869931795849834902)  2024-12-20T02:24Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Good Morning Here is my updated snowfall forecast. Kept everything the same except added Coating to localized 1.5" further south in NJ. Not worth changing much more these inverted trough are too volatile. Let see what happens and where band develops Will report form Randolph"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870098840344285411)  2024-12-20T13:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@hinikerguy88 yes but gametime decision"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870109686307201478)  2024-12-20T14:11Z 10.7K followers, [--] engagements


"As you can tell by the radar echoes moving towards each other . There's going to be a lot of opportunity for convergence/lift in the atmosphere for somebody today.nowcast time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870117696974528612)  2024-12-20T14:42Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Will likely launch my next target period for storm development for the first week of Jan. with a beautiful block like this and cold air to tap it's hard to ignore"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870254269951033515)  2024-12-20T23:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Will likely launch my next target period for storm development for the first week of Jan. with a beautiful block like this it's hard to ignore. Initially the cold needs to build in as we need to errode a warm airmass but still it has a signature I like to see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870254989530329248)  2024-12-20T23:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@mdawg41116321 5.3""  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870448863993106647)  2024-12-21T12:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Results are in First forecast Thurs am Final Fri AM vs verification (pic 3.) Some pros and some cons but given it was an inverted trough not a total failure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870559359476125769)  2024-12-21T19:57Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"@useTMX Sure you have my permission This is my video It was filmed yesterday morning and randolph New Jersey in my backyard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1870997267311976615)  2024-12-23T00:58Z 10K followers, [--] engagements


"@PENGSNOW1 I always do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1871355785206497438)  2024-12-24T00:42Z 10K followers, [--] engagements


"For anybody who's been studying the weather for a while this upcoming period is going to be one of the more interesting case studies in weather prediction.a strong consensus has emerged to support cold and stormy open to Jan and for good reason so many of the key variables we look for are showing up. And this goes beyond just model projections. So what ends up verifying is up to mother nature but boom or bust alot will be learned. I am as bullish as I have never been but I keep reminding myself never to forget that the weather can be very HUMBLING"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1871381709922427063)  2024-12-24T02:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RyanODog123 Thanks man I agree.Merry Christmas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1871639583320056169)  2024-12-24T19:30Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"@Crazyplan9 Feb of 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1871660892162769025)  2024-12-24T20:55Z 10K followers, [---] engagements


"Merry White Christmas [----] Of course I made the family go out and take a picture in the snow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1872061902580543661)  2024-12-25T23:28Z 10.1K followers, [----] engagements


"This is still the one to watch for significant winter storm threat near the 7th. classic signatures everywhere.the big ones for some reason usually get picked up early then the drama starts over who gets in on bullseye as period approaches"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1872717506462536080)  2024-12-27T18:53Z 10.4K followers, 10.5K engagements


"If anyone is wondering I absolutely do not buy the euro showing a cutter around 7th.it's bundling too much energy out west- ensemble has a great block ahead (pic2) to lock in deep cold in place (pic3).I'd say same thing if it was reversed always go by ensemble this far out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1873136226326462468)  2024-12-28T22:37Z 10.1K followers, 10.6K engagements


"Some people like to post fantasy surface maps but I'll show you a fantasy jet stream map that is as good as any of them Not a forecast I just think it's cool to see a projection like this as a lover of weather"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1873150625648918747)  2024-12-28T23:34Z 10.2K followers, [----] engagements


"20 years ago when we didn't have the detailed access to models I used to just look at teleconnections. You can't get a better teleconnection set up than this heading into January. Very negative AO NAO with positive PNA.sometimes that's all you need to see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1873365330242007447)  2024-12-29T13:47Z 10.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Operational models are a toy past [--] days it's why ensemble forecasting was such a big innovation years ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1873432730463256612)  2024-12-29T18:15Z 10.3K followers, 15K engagements


"Last night's Euro run might not be a fluke. This is a very good look [--] hours before potential heavy snowfall. We just need consolidation in the short wave and the rest will take care of itself with that block. Translation: do not discount the potential around the 6th"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1873797894618439859)  2024-12-30T18:26Z 10.3K followers, 15.7K engagements


"European continues to be consistent with winter storm threat for Monday and I continue to buy it. I like how it is handling the upper levels vs the GFS given block in place. Has room to trend more north but not much further than southern NE given confluence sheering it off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874081256528634164)  2024-12-31T13:12Z 10.4K followers, 15.3K engagements


"@WHSV_CodyBWx I think moderate and I think the block may be a little too overdone with how much it is suppressing it.the system I think will want to get very organized ahead of its arrival into the east so it should be able to edge more north than what is shown southern new England max"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874148946534367617)  2024-12-31T17:41Z 11.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@WHSV_CodyBWx But core id say is south of New England given the confluence we'll see by Thursday if it's still very suppressed it over imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874149193788637661)  2024-12-31T17:42Z 11.3K followers, [--] engagements


"Yes I still think this ends up more north (S New Eng max).storm is well organized before it gets to east on most models now. If block is just a little overdone this goes more north. Also tomorrow's storm moving through has implications. Only talking [---] miles [---] hours out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874153090385084850)  2024-12-31T17:58Z 10.3K followers, 22.1K engagements


"@mike61400 @RyanODog123 Absolutely.I've seen this so many times and I really like the setup ahead of this The fact of models have been trending to a stronger system earlier is a good sign where before was very strung out the whole time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874165896090181824)  2024-12-31T18:49Z 10.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Regarding this cold weather coming. The most impressive part about it is the staying power. Yes we have had shorter periods with lower high temperatures however look for Northern New Jersey how long it goes without going above freezing That's pretty significant"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874242694568198303)  2024-12-31T23:54Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Yeah I see that will def be sheered off in New England but put light blue as northern extent of light accumulation . I still do think there is potential to get as far north as the dark blue though.I've seen models overdo the confluence in the past and the fact the disturbance which seeds the upper level low hasn't swung through I see margin for error"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874469760156459102)  2025-01-01T14:56Z 10.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@RONPAULWUZRIGHT Haha well what's the point of drawing a forecast map and just copying what a model consensus says [--] days out i don't call that forecasting I had a rational why I think more north now next day or two we see if I'm right or wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874545399991861358)  2025-01-01T19:57Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@WXNJsn0wf4nn I will be concerned I'm wrong if by Thursday night we don't see any evidence to verify my map at that point I will have to make adjustments but we're far enough out I'm going by what I've seen in the past"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874562454413541816)  2025-01-01T21:04Z 10.3K followers, [--] engagements


"@BljediBardic One model though we'd want to see a larger consensus form by tomorrow night"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874602162766164002)  2025-01-01T23:42Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@Crazyplan9 @tmz_tom Last winter you guys did okay The winter before that was awful [----] was good"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874602323030487140)  2025-01-01T23:43Z 10.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@weatherposts I wouldn't even give up yet if zeros he doesn't have it I would wait till 12z tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874612725013443023)  2025-01-02T00:24Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Yeah it's crazy to me how people think the models are locked in over [---] hours out How many times have we seen this So if you're going to make a forecast aren't you supposed to make it based on where you think things are trending not what the models say today I think people forget that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874629846225084533)  2025-01-02T01:32Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Yeah but models agree on a lot of things [---] hours out just to change just because there's a consensus doesn't mean it's going to happen The consensus change is all the time think about for example how a hurricane cone can shift a week ahead of a hurricane or at the end the hurricanes not even in the original cone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874651559658745943)  2025-01-02T02:58Z 10.3K followers, [--] engagements


"@tmz_tom Yup"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1874941372618440958)  2025-01-02T22:10Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@bvro95 You guys look ok actually GFS north of others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875165549241811377)  2025-01-03T13:01Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"*Evening Update* Here is my updated forecast for Sun Night-Mon. This is first detailed release. Despite the fact we have seen trends north since Thurs It is unlikely it moves as far north as originally predicted. Regardless I still think some models are too far south"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875302750902460524)  2025-01-03T22:06Z 10.3K followers, [--] engagements


"*Evening Update* Here is my updated forecast for Sun Night-Mon. This is first detailed release. Despite the fact we have seen trends north since Thurs It is unlikely it moves as far north as originally predicted. Regardless I still think some models are too far south"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875303456606711936)  2025-01-03T22:09Z 10.3K followers, [--] engagements


"*Evening Update* Here is my updated forecast for Sun Night-Mon. This is first detailed release. Despite the fact we have seen trends north since Thurs It is unlikely it moves as far north as originally predicted. Regardless I still think some models are too far south"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875304440254886378)  2025-01-03T22:13Z 10.4K followers, 22.5K engagements


"How is it a guess The point of forecasting is to anticipate how a storm is going to trend not what the model verbatim show us today We know for a fact that models always change. It's not a guess to anticipate models or underdoing the strength of the upper level low and also the strength of the confluence zone. I'm using experience with similar situations there's a forecasting method here not just throwing a dart"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875363514514276435)  2025-01-04T02:07Z 10.7K followers, [--] engagements


"@JayB7897 @mike61400 @mhof314 it will linger in [--] longer than people think. Also its good the severe cold is trending less means less supression. Something will break"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875551913758093504)  2025-01-04T14:36Z 10.4K followers, [---] engagements


"By the way I am watching later next weekend. If we can just eject this damn shortwave out of Texas quicker you're going to have a big storm with the block still in place. The trend in the GFS shows what I'm We need to see evolve more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875575672766394754)  2025-01-04T16:11Z 10.5K followers, 10.3K engagements


"Euro also trended today to eject more energy out in front. Very good day for those who want to see the chance for a real snowstorm next weekend in northeast. Now we need this to continue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875606775078260753)  2025-01-04T18:14Z 10.6K followers, 15.4K engagements


"*Saturday Night Video Discussion* I like the trends and ingredients I am seeing for potential major cyclogenesis along the Eastern Seaboard next weekend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875719427733258539)  2025-01-05T01:42Z 10.4K followers, 15.6K engagements


"Good morning. Here is the final forecast for tonight's winter storm. A Beltway special Northern trends did not materialize as I expected this time. I judge my forecast skills based on accuracy with lead time. Anyone can put a good map out within [--] hours of an event"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875900543681663143)  2025-01-05T13:41Z 10.5K followers, 21.7K engagements


"Hey folks down near DC enjoy this storm its rare to have it snow this much then stick around for a decent amount of time (temps stay cold). Been a longggg time since you have felt a true winter down there with a snowpack"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1875936116303679548)  2025-01-05T16:03Z 10.5K followers, 10K engagements


"Good morning. Our storm is underway dumping heavy snow to the south. Radar echos have pushed pretty far north into PA. It will be interesting to see northern extent of totals across PA into NNJ vs yesterday's 12z European. If I get 1" up here i'll be very happy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876249769200492582)  2025-01-06T12:49Z 10.5K followers, 11.2K engagements


"@FordR07 I can't keep responding to you if you're going to be trolling like this I was trying to be nice to you for a while but it's non-stop man"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876262367270772799)  2025-01-06T13:39Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@GabeWil86654924 As it gets towards New Jersey it's going to get sheered off pretty bad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876262882930991497)  2025-01-06T13:41Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Very good sign to see the GFS at 12Z go back to the phased storm solution. Now we await ensemble support as data comes in though tonight. If we develop a consensus it's game on and we can start to discuss potential track and impacts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876301970908356776)  2025-01-06T16:17Z 10.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Isnt it a beautiful sight to see energy from multiple jet streams collapse into a mean trough under a block with arctic air in place"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876305394030797261)  2025-01-06T16:30Z 10.7K followers, 16.4K engagements


"@IamHBAR You still def got a shot need euro to correct more now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876418673260548124)  2025-01-07T00:00Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@WxRiskGrains The gefs ensembles have a hit here the euro is what gives me pause"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876419361428381983)  2025-01-07T00:03Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@EmmanuelLa34453 @mike61400 depends on what you mean by better Moderate event I can see that I do not see major"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876735731453808970)  2025-01-07T21:00Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Good morning. No reason to draw my standard [--] hours preliminary impact map it's a non event up here. Light snow can be expected with minor accumulations. Our friends in the South will get a decent snowfall including Atlanta Metro on Friday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1876976105317335375)  2025-01-08T12:55Z 10.5K followers, 14.7K engagements


"I think a big reason why everybody is frustrated and surprised by cold with no snow is because you've had so many warm winters in a row. We assume once it gets cold it's always going to snow. Perspective has changed after all the torches we've had last [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1877045289636303286)  2025-01-08T17:30Z 10.5K followers, 17.8K engagements


"This is an old fashioned physical football game where a good chunk is being played inside the box. You're not a real football fan if you don't enjoy watching a game like this. I wish football in general was played more like this still. Games changed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1877525827744629082)  2025-01-10T01:20Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Good morning. From my buddy down in midtown Atlanta. about [--] in on the ground and falling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1877703500261450185)  2025-01-10T13:06Z 10.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@weatherposts Yeah I think so too I'm in New Jersey northwestern part of the state so we're borderline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1877703824263008281)  2025-01-10T13:07Z 10.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@Birdprenorphine @FordR07 Right It's not the same as other years In some years it's impossible to find cold air eventually something will break"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1877708667807580391)  2025-01-10T13:26Z 10.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Good Morning.1.1" Randolph NJ.season total 17.1""  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1878058630756339942)  2025-01-11T12:37Z 10.6K followers, [----] engagements


"No changes to this idea. We have seen this before in other winters. New England should start to see some action down to possibly northern mid Atlantic. The SE ridge with cold press from NW sets up active storm track with potential SW flow events As we look to the long range out about [--] days.if this pattern *verifies* with big ridge over Alaska and TPV sitting over Canada you are not going to have big cutters cold air presses against Atlantic ridge and it means active winter storm track off coast into NE https://t.co/ZJZZow38a6 As we look to the long range out about [--] days.if this pattern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1878162351943279091)  2025-01-11T19:29Z 10.6K followers, 18.5K engagements


"For early next week. At this time I favor cold and dry. Look at adjustments in the ensembles from late last week (left) vs now (right). Cold air presses more due to AK ridge more east. This colder trend has been theme all year and impacts where baroclinic boundary is (black zig)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1879149705416069321)  2025-01-14T12:52Z 10.7K followers, 31.3K engagements


"@KevDogg8675309_ id do cartwheels but i think its south"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1879281231801819331)  2025-01-14T21:35Z 10.6K followers, [---] engagements


"Despite the fact I believe Mon is minor to non event we should watch towards later next week on the back of this cold outbreak. All ensembles show this tail indicating southern stream energy may try to attack the cold (form a winter storm). I understand the negativity lately due to a lack of snow in the Northeast but if I see a setup that may have potential i am going to show it. Need to take the emotion out of it. Translation: Coldest air of season arrives this weekend which likely suppresses any storms south or keeps snow light Monday. On the back of this major cold outbreak we need to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1879350819608551489)  2025-01-15T02:12Z 10.7K followers, 13.5K engagements


"Wed Night Storm Speculation: Coldest air of season arrives Monday. Weak wave can develop on arctic front causing light snow. I favor a very minor event. Speculation then turns to later next week where I do see some ingredients on the maps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1879665895548854634)  2025-01-15T23:04Z 10.7K followers, 13.7K engagements


"@nosmh_x @jtooch07 If the storm stays on colder side of model projections [--] to 6" but I need to evaluate more when I have time so tonight I'll have more info"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1879934476484243515)  2025-01-16T16:51Z 10.6K followers, [---] engagements


"*Update on Sunday's winter storm potential* I like the idea of accumulating snow centered along I-95. Key comes down to where the arctic front sets up for low to ride along. Some models too west some too east. Looks like general 3-6" but my first forecast not till tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1880048140335640965)  2025-01-17T00:23Z 10.7K followers, 14.7K engagements


"Setting up a poll in terms of the videos I post. Interested to know the length people prefer. I tend to like to keep them under [--] minutes so I don't lose anybody's attention. That does mean less detail sometimes however. More than [--] [--] or Less More than [--] [--] or Less"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1880051255667757100)  2025-01-17T00:35Z 10.7K followers, [----] engagements


"At the very least middle to end of next week is going to be a major issue for deep south. These trends keep the ride up the coast also in play. I keep talking about this bc it truly is a rare setup with this much arctic cold established"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1880290795133317297)  2025-01-17T16:27Z 10.7K followers, 11.7K engagements


"@hecht_asher @mike61400 I like what I have right now if I had to pinpoint I would say [--] to [--] in is a good bet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1880364842680484329)  2025-01-17T21:21Z 10.7K followers, [--] engagements


"Oh boy. The mountains of New Jersey sure are producing right now sorry to rub it in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1881043727617319349)  2025-01-19T18:19Z 10.7K followers, 11.1K engagements


"I am observing snowfall rates of one inch an hour right now. About [--] in on the ground.LFG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1881062779169456419)  2025-01-19T19:34Z 10.7K followers, 11.5K engagements


"Good snow moving into areas that been dry slotted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1881086522503639513)  2025-01-19T21:09Z 10.7K followers, 10.3K engagements


"@XAVIERJOEYJOE Thanks man"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1881188930915287134)  2025-01-20T03:56Z 10.7K followers, [--] engagements


"This is insane. Blizzard warning in Louisiana"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1881674482513031174)  2025-01-21T12:05Z 10.7K followers, [----] engagements


"*Long Range Update* The potential for something to spin up early next week is off the table in my opinion. Northern jet is too strong and suppressive. A larger storm system can develop later next week but its too far out to speculate on yet. In terms of Feb pattern. We can expect a period of moderation as we enter Feb but I am not sold on a warm Feb by any means. In fact I think February can be quite the active month with a good mix of enough cold air with storm energy. My main target zone is upper mid Atlantic to New England. Here is why: North pacific high pressure or blocking (-wpo) has"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1882192228564557896)  2025-01-22T22:22Z 10.7K followers, 14.6K engagements


"Need to keep eye on clipper system next week short wave can dig and I'd target New England pattern break for [--] days starting with cutter associated with +EPO Fri the [--]. Winter returns Feb 7th with alot of activity especially in New England suppression era will be over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1882782525682258257)  2025-01-24T13:28Z 10.7K followers, 18.1K engagements


"I really think February is going to surprise a lot of folks overall as it relates to winter precipitation. We will tally up the data when winters over and see how we land"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1882800334206382465)  2025-01-24T14:39Z 10.7K followers, 19.6K engagements


"*Storm(s) Update* A lot of action to talk about. Three winter events over next [--] days with the most signifigant threat middle of next week. Video below breaks down my thoughts. The next [--] weeks could be the period that defines this winter. Time will tell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1887313652409155839)  2025-02-06T01:33Z 10.8K followers, 14.1K engagements


"Going forecast. Will release a final tonight with any necessary tweaks. Then we will turn our focus to mid week winter storm threat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1887897108625186928)  2025-02-07T16:12Z 10.8K followers, 11.5K engagements


"@rb112578 could be but i think its seperated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1887965440208683243)  2025-02-07T20:43Z 10.8K followers, [--] engagements


"@BurnettA919 Yes Same that's all I did in early 2000s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1888291880372510925)  2025-02-08T18:20Z 11.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Final total Randolph NJ 2.4" 1.6" initial snow followed by 0.8" of sleet/ice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1888575344094900417)  2025-02-09T13:07Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Another big storm signal in about [--] days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1901708973671416228)  2025-03-17T18:55Z 11.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Don't take the bait on this I don't doubt there could be a storm given the pattern but the snow would be very very elevation dependant"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1902760977562575200)  2025-03-20T16:35Z 11.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@jcolman22 In new England In NJ I've seen two feet early April [----] I think but it was NW and over 1000ft where at [---] slushy few inches"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1902794008319103065)  2025-03-20T18:46Z 11.1K followers, [---] engagements


"From what I'm seeing flake should be flying tonight in many areas. The upper low wants to tighten up enough where it's going to cool aloft. I will emphasize you're going to have to be at [----] feet plus off the coast. That means Poconos NW NJ NW CT etc. mtn tops get some accum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1910710973633098116)  2025-04-11T15:06Z 11.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@MeteoMark @WeatherNut27 I think so too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1910809331026501969)  2025-04-11T21:37Z 11.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Nice accumulation at elevation in Sussex county New Jersey Just over [---] in Sussex NJ at [----]. Very heavy dense snow and still snowing. Currently [--] degrees at 8:20am. @nynjpaweather @StormTeam4NY @CBSNewYork @weatherchannel @News12NJ https://t.co/3Ow5cauId7 Just over [---] in Sussex NJ at [----]. Very heavy dense snow and still snowing. Currently [--] degrees at 8:20am. @nynjpaweather @StormTeam4NY @CBSNewYork @weatherchannel @News12NJ https://t.co/3Ow5cauId7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1911033065008251363)  2025-04-12T12:26Z 11.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The nicest week of summer is on tap starting tomorrow. Canadian high pressure takes control bringing in cooler dry air. Some hints of fall especially up in New England"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1950889478655979783)  2025-07-31T12:01Z 11.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Summers back has been broken cooler pattern in the works with less humidly for the next two weeks.Yes heat can always come back in Sept but by then it just doesn't have the same feel as "mid July" type heat as sun energy continues to decrease. enjoy a taste of fall"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1957817814468759785)  2025-08-19T14:51Z 11.3K followers, [---] engagements


"A crisp fall morning in New England ♥"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1969368350812676385)  2025-09-20T11:49Z 11.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Just completely epic the similarities between [----] and what the Euro shows.gotta hold this now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/689159768645197824)  2016-01-18T18:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Don't know about big storms but -epo ridge on major ens packages ensures no blow torch heading into Jan.we are in play still folks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/811922213683265536)  2016-12-22T13:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing