# ![@trackdalf Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1249464324654956544.png) @trackdalf Trackdalf The Green

Trackdalf The Green posts on X about $kkr, $ares, if you, ai the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1249464324654956544/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1249464324654956544/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +45%
- [--] Month [------] +4,538%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1249464324654956544/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1249464324654956544/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] no change
- [--] Month [---] +1,429%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1249464324654956544/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1249464324654956544/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +20%
- [--] Month [---] +53%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1249464324654956544/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1249464324654956544/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  56% [finance](/list/finance)  30% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  15% [financial services](/list/financial-services)  #998 [countries](/list/countries)  7% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  7% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  3% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  2% [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[$kkr](/topic/$kkr) #2, [$ares](/topic/$ares) #3, [if you](/topic/if-you) 8%, [ai](/topic/ai) 7%, [$pltr](/topic/$pltr) #294, [business](/topic/business) 5%, [bearish](/topic/bearish) #323, [$wmb](/topic/$wmb) #6, [$kmi](/topic/$kmi) #10, [$rkt](/topic/$rkt) 4%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@nerdcapk](/creator/undefined) [@rodalzmann](/creator/undefined) [@sfarringtonbkc](/creator/undefined) [@valuedrift](/creator/undefined) [@mikefritzell](/creator/undefined) [@frothyassets](/creator/undefined) [@moneyandmore72](/creator/undefined) [@khokandatta](/creator/undefined) [@tomicki](/creator/undefined) [@pandawatch88](/creator/undefined) [@joinyellowbrick](/creator/undefined) [@aryadeniz](/creator/undefined) [@jimbobmcflam](/creator/undefined) [@contrariancurse](/creator/undefined) [@negligiblecap](/creator/undefined) [@pernasresearch](/creator/undefined) [@ragingventures](/creator/undefined) [@dabao_](/creator/undefined) [@almostmongolian](/creator/undefined) [@derivativesdon](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[KKR & Co, Inc. (KKR)](/topic/$kkr) [Ares Management, Corp. (ARES)](/topic/$ares) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [Williams Companies Inc (WMB)](/topic/$wmb) [Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI)](/topic/$kmi) [Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT)](/topic/$rkt) [Carvana Co. (CVNA)](/topic/$cvna) [Legence Corp (LGN)](/topic/$lgn) [Costco Hot Dog (COST)](/topic/$cost) [Flagstar Financial, Inc. (FLG)](/topic/$flg) [PoolTogether (POOL)](/topic/$pool) [Ally Financial, Inc. (ALLY)](/topic/$ally) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/$wmt) [New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB)](/topic/$nycb) [DisChain (DIS)](/topic/$dis) [Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL)](/topic/$hdl) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)](/topic/$hims) [Novo-Nordisk (NVO)](/topic/$nvo) [Reddit, Inc.  (RDDT)](/topic/$rddt) [Compound (COMP)](/topic/$comp) [MAPS (MAPS)](/topic/$maps) [WEBTOON Entertainment, Inc.  (WBTN)](/topic/$wbtn) [Warner Bros Discovery, Inc. (WBD)](/topic/$wbd) [Portillo’s Inc. (PTLO)](/topic/$ptlo) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. (FIGR)](/topic/$figr) [Better Home & Finance Holding Company Class A Common Stock (BETR)](/topic/$betr) [OneStream, Inc (OS)](/topic/$os) [NuCypher (NU)](/topic/$nu) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [GitLab Inc. (GTLB)](/topic/$gtlb) [Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)](/topic/$mu) [WW International, Inc. Common Stock (WW)](/topic/$ww)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$KKR/ $ARES - Noted weakness. Dont underestimate initial momentum. Positive or negative. Other intriguing short ideas. A bit bold but unflashy: $ARES & $KKR. Potentially distributing. Public alts are priced like annuities but earnings remain cycle- and window-dependent. Consensus assumes a clean realization rebound at KKR and linear private credit growth with https://t.co/aIugrK2uSC Other intriguing short ideas. A bit bold but unflashy: $ARES & $KKR. Potentially distributing. Public alts are priced like annuities but earnings remain cycle- and window-dependent. Consensus assumes a clean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2015831354085167550)  2026-01-26T16:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MAPS mentioned should be noted the co-founders who still run the company previously tried to take it private around $1.7x but pulled the bid. Stating that they might revisit later With that in mind they have no interest in meaningfully supporting the stock price ( like IMAX China So they can take it private later at a much lower premium especially since theyve largely cornered the voting shares and doesnt need too much to take it private IR also sucks. It practically doesnt exist. No response or acknowledgement despite attempts to reach out. http://1970.HK http://1970.HK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019072689651188154)  2026-02-04T15:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$KKR / $ARES Honestly personally am neutral with this earnings. Nothing too surprising. Mix of segment robustness (asset mgmt) and concerns (private credit + asset realization cycle) For me its now pivoted into more of broader market hedge. Rather than idiosyncratic bet. See how factor momentum can persist there. I think other 10-15% unwind is plausible there to appropriately reprice the credit concerns. Wow $KKR/ $ARES what a liquidation since then. Alt mgmt short working much better than I expected :) taking partials there. Wow $KKR/ $ARES what a liquidation since then. Alt mgmt short"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019437614185456075)  2026-02-05T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Was $BYRN buyer this AM. its now trading at multiple that assume it no longer grow meaningfully despite still working toward [----] 20% rev growth and 40%+ EBITDA growth as per their ER Was trading at 8-9x FY2027 EV/EBITDA multiple at lows with growth mode still fully intact. Self Defense need isnt going to slow down. $BYRN hitting sub 13x NTM EV/EBITDA. now priced as single digit % growth name or lack of it Despite still guiding to grow at 20% ish clip + secular trend of self defense need. Tomorrow pre-bell ER. I initiated this week. $BYRN hitting sub 13x NTM EV/EBITDA. now priced as single"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019449245909107014)  2026-02-05T16:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Like $AAPL (and $COST ofc). Perma passive inflows + an investor base that wont sell. That basket is an headache to short. When the tape is constructive it trends up. When the tape gets heavy it catches defensive bids and holds anyway. With that in mind I have largely shifted any of my bearish bets to long puts To reduce my outlay and opportunity cost. Might as well take advantage of relatively low IV and make my reward more asymmetric. Obviously you need it to snap somehow lol. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020215349250314481 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020215349250314481"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020215349250314481)  2026-02-07T19:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RodAlzmann I did successfully hit $WMT/ $COST to downside early [----]. But it refuse to form any form of backside move per usual. One day perhaps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020215953976352825)  2026-02-07T19:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$FLG appears to be nearing an inflection point both technically and fundamentally. Im not a bank specialist but the setup here is intriguing. Formerly $NYCB the company nearly failed during the [----] banking crisis that included the collapses of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank. Since then it has received a $1B equity infusion from Steven Mnuchin and a consortium alongside the appointment of a new management team with a strong track record in distressed-bank turnarounds. The stock has remained extremely tight and range-bound since the recapitalization. Fundamentally net interest margin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2013004714892255505)  2026-01-18T21:44Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Other intriguing short ideas. A bit bold but unflashy: $ARES & $KKR. Potentially distributing. Public alts are priced like annuities but earnings remain cycle- and window-dependent. Consensus assumes a clean realization rebound at KKR and linear private credit growth with muted losses at Ares. Heavy reliance on model-based marks while exit timing and credit stress risks appear underappreciated. Not particularly cheap on a historical basis but also not going anywhere. More of a solid hedge or a good add to a short book than anything aggressive. Does my eye deceive me or $PLTR is potentially"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2014494022480338961)  2026-01-23T00:22Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@valuedrift great find. still pretty good on NTM basis. almost 1/4 of MC in cash. Bit of Op margin contraction. You know why NIM still good tho"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2014551164860141834)  2026-01-23T04:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Should be fine. I dont think theyve cornered the market yet and its still relatively small. One of my thematic picks for [----] has been IPs. $WBD and $BILI (top China entertainment pick for me). Also picked up $WBTN at all-time lows the $DIS partnership ended up being a great exit. Ive been stalking IMAX China for some time. I think its cheap asf but illiquid and the share structure is messy. IMAX Corporation (owns almost 3/4 of it) tried to absorb it via a HK$10/share privatization offer in [----] but failed to meet the required super-majority shareholder approval (75% minority approval). As a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2014555991719690498)  2026-01-23T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SFarringtonBKC @AlmostMongolian $BLNE and $PTLO mentioned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2015843108320104786)  2026-01-26T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Shippers doesnt have to be semiconductors related MaerskHapag-LloydCOSCO Shipping etc. Taiwan sits on one of the worlds most critical sea lanes. any war or blockade will disrupt their ops -------- $SMH. low IV on options chain. the invasion is systematic risk there. should yield good bit in that event of volatility expansion. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016416850255511694 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016416850255511694"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2016416850255511694)  2026-01-28T07:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$WMB $KMI + energy cohorts breaking out of big weekly base :) $WMB $KMI NG names look ready to trigger after long consolidation. A lot of energy cohorts showing similar set up as well. https://t.co/fe4uggUuEN $WMB $KMI NG names look ready to trigger after long consolidation. A lot of energy cohorts showing similar set up as well. https://t.co/fe4uggUuEN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2016561873143931120)  2026-01-28T17:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"What about Super Hi International. Ex-China spin off of Haidilao Also have US listing $HDL but illiquid. Insanely popular in China. Known for its strong service and experience. There has been some misexecutions but still have room to reaccel earnings it seem. http://9658.HK http://9658.HK http://9658.HK http://9658.HK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2016660339761279327)  2026-01-28T23:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Look like somebody with significant exposure on real estate/mortgage momentum got liquidated. $UWMC & $RKT On other note Ishiba (uwmc ceo)continuing to sell out of his shares to pay down his acquisition of Phx suns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017250765576741281)  2026-01-30T14:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@NerdcapK Only shows how much RE industry is ripe for disruption. $BLNE $FIGR $BETR (when it normalize from Eric pump)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017271984598532430)  2026-01-30T16:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I agree. We should bring back more symbolic architecture. Building not just for practicality or economic consideration but for meaning sight and memory. For most of history architecture wasnt treated as a cost function. It was teleological. Built with purpose beyond utility. Cathedrals temples civic buildings etc werent justified by ROI but by what they signaled about values time and permanence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018461511362973945)  2026-02-02T23:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@tomicki Any favorite works Mines crystal palace. https://youtu.be/lunN7Ob_R9ksi=VHUXnyzgG849fCQY https://youtu.be/lunN7Ob_R9ksi=VHUXnyzgG849fCQY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018461769090617486)  2026-02-02T23:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DerivativesDon Ive observed its still consensus long for PM with some polls hitting 70% (that bull market isn't over). Will likely see some pain over time if the [----] analog proves out. Curious on your thoughts there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018529509985980679)  2026-02-03T03:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@dirtcheapbanks $FLG :) formerly $NYCB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018531218208559269)  2026-02-03T03:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"CC: @MikeFritzell @DaBao_ @pandawatch88"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018555941759938707)  2026-02-03T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"IMO way too many people are trying to be the hero and chasing intellectual victory here versus AI terminal risk. The I told you so trade. The process should be much simpler. Look at the broader reality of the industry. No need for mental gymnastics. A lot of this feels like a category error forcing everything through an AI-disruption lens. Talking specifically about SaaS I think theres some conflation between old and new dynamics. Two overlapping realities: over-saturation across categories and the emergence of AI-driven terminal risk narratives. A lot of the discourse looks at everything"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018756818638610497)  2026-02-03T18:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I think Im warming up to $AMD a bit. The current stage of AI development is no longer about raw compute (GPUs). That constraint has largely been met for the leaders. The bottleneck is now moving downstream in the stack toward inference efficiency memory bandwidth and lower cost per token. You can see this shift with DeepSeek and now with the renewed focus on the memory cycle. Its less about peak FLOPs and more about model finesse and deployment efficiency. More tokens usage. That downstream shift creates room for some closing of the leadership gap versus $NVDA and challenges how durable the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018802406159736886)  2026-02-03T21:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Its a tough business right now. There are aggressive price undercuts across the board as retailers compete with each other. That pressure is driving a real contraction in their top and bottom line. But they dont care the incentive is clear: take it private get fat divy from that cash flow and keep the upside optionality tied to an eventual improvement in the retail market which should come with official rescheduling. Thats honestly our endgame at this point take private you can forget about any turnaround as public entity. So with that in mind lower is better for sure. .70s under cut I might"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019084400596599249)  2026-02-04T16:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RodAlzmann $OS Seem other interesting situation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019106007851397521)  2026-02-04T17:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@joinyellowbrick @ShmuelLon RSP (equal weight SP 500) still performing okay. I generally just remain long biased as long weekly structure remain intact. Just bunch of factors unwinding by those tight risk control pods hitting their threshold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019109096109273296)  2026-02-04T18:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SmallCapKing2 @chesir3cat its now trading as if its single digit growth or stagnant name on NTM basis. Even if theres deaccel. Seem silly when theres large upside optionality on right execution which have been robust lately. We already have secular tailwind there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019157569152119029)  2026-02-04T21:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Might be tripping but Nubank ( $NU ) feels too good to be true that it almost makes me wonder if theres some slight embellishment going on. Its ran and executed so well that it borders on unbelievable. Full disc.: $NU was one of the few stocks I blindly bought during the April market selloff. Im honestly just in awe of how theyre running the business. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019265726163419245 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019265726163419245"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019265726163419245)  2026-02-05T04:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@pandawatch88 Been watching closely. Ex-China Haidilao spin off. Have US listing $HDL but illiquid. I think their niche have plenty of runway in America. http://9658.HK http://9658.HK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019455187740434736)  2026-02-05T16:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Arya__Deniz So basically more tactical trading/positioning (turnover) than usual. Appreciate it anyway. Have always enjoyed your write ups esp on market reflexivity. You had a monster run over the fall last year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019484638410862741)  2026-02-05T18:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"That playbook playing out well thus far for $BTC. Things could get interesting over next few weeks especially if fear surrounding Saylors position accelerate. An undercut of Michael Saylors cost basis could mark an intermediate bottom for BTC if the [----] analog holds. In [----] BTC traded roughly 4050% below Saylors average cost. Peak concern around a potential Saylor margin call coincided with the bottom before a tremendous rally An undercut of Michael Saylors cost basis could mark an intermediate bottom for BTC if the [----] analog holds. In [----] BTC traded roughly 4050% below Saylors average"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019499548511457767)  2026-02-05T19:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@frothyassets Over/Under [---] hrs sleep for Saylor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019549015830843631)  2026-02-05T23:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Tintincapital Which one is the bigger terminal threat to SK companies: an aging population or cancel culture :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019561746319700136)  2026-02-06T00:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The Big Short and Michael Burry have arguably hurt a whole new generation of traders and investors by overemphasizing the virtue of being right and going against the grain when the real priority is simply making money not intellectual validation. I was right @joinyellowbrick @odysseusito I've seen his real track record since then and it's straight up bad. @joinyellowbrick @odysseusito I've seen his real track record since then and it's straight up bad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019785218350039492)  2026-02-06T14:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Branding himself as $CVNA guy. As source of credence and ability to identify turnaround but clearly he didn't benefit from it at all. If you have legitimate track record you wouldnt need saving and will be able to turn it around with time despite having bad year or so. I have zero respect for him. Eric actually got killed by OPEN for over 80% loss since his call before finally unwounding it. Then revisiting it at lows then miraculously catching a squeeze. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019793267915657584 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019793267915657584"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019793267915657584)  2026-02-06T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Once again lower the better for $GTLB :) As I said: Imo endgame and/or upside for $GTLB is acquisition. DevOps thrives when its deeply integrated into the tech stack because its value comes from context: CI/CD pipelines Infrastructure-as-code Monitoring logging incident response Security release cadence and As I said: Imo endgame and/or upside for $GTLB is acquisition. DevOps thrives when its deeply integrated into the tech stack because its value comes from context: CI/CD pipelines Infrastructure-as-code Monitoring logging incident response Security release cadence and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019795516414931448)  2026-02-06T15:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"A lot of the margin expansion has been driven largely by inorganic capacity constraints especially between SK Hynix and Samsung which together control roughly three-quarters of HBM memory supply. They also have a long history of some form of price/supply fixing which matters here. $MU accounting for the other 20% is the only one genuinely working its capacity up and benefiting from this manufactured bottleneck. Adds another layer of risk around intervention or regulatory scrutiny. On top of that theres a strong likelihood hyperscalers eventually build their own HBM especially with backlogs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019809037278126270)  2026-02-06T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$KMI $WMB Nice consolidation at highs. Perhaps wed see continuation soon. $WMB $KMI + energy cohorts breaking out of big weekly base :) $WMB $KMI + energy cohorts breaking out of big weekly base :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019827515364372914)  2026-02-06T17:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@jimbobmcflam Yes. I own just below reporting threshold. Have accumulated since last summer. Early innings imo. Mortgage normalization + upside optionality from tokenization. Latter imo very underlooked theme"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019833359636086815)  2026-02-06T17:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$WW bit of fintwit fave is a good actor in this (unlike $HIMS). Fully approved strategic partnership of $NVO and their GLP-1 offering. Might lead to material shift in price action. Worth watching FDA Says It Will Crack Down On Non-FDA-Approved Compounded GLP-1 Drugs Targeting Mass-Marketed APIs And Misleading Ads Warns Of Seizures And Injunctions $HIMS FDA Says It Will Crack Down On Non-FDA-Approved Compounded GLP-1 Drugs Targeting Mass-Marketed APIs And Misleading Ads Warns Of Seizures And Injunctions $HIMS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019900929672102164)  2026-02-06T22:28Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Holy copium 🤣 although I do see potential $hims long opportunity coming up after it de rate lower. Anybody remember Alex Cutler. That SPAC chump around Covid. Prediction: [--]. $HIMS turns quarrel with FDA and $NVO into massive marketing campaign with SuperBowl Ad. [--]. Ends in a fine. [--]. Business does fine long term. Prediction: [--]. $HIMS turns quarrel with FDA and $NVO into massive marketing campaign with SuperBowl Ad. [--]. Ends in a fine. [--]. Business does fine long term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019906035431903358)  2026-02-06T22:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@paulcerro @alc2022 Hes second coming of Alex Cutler. If you know him. SPAC chump back in Covid days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019942021289459901)  2026-02-07T01:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Appreciate you chiming in. Yeah I have observed same thing. Theres more and more quants thats taking advantage of that. I.e. evtols + Quantum + SMRs. Quants firm/pods would knowingly take advantage of shitco status and rational shorts crowding and mechanically squeeze them out. Creating more liquidity while benefiting from higher ATRs action. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019947904199188530 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019947904199188530"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019947904199188530)  2026-02-07T01:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@moneyandmore72 @ExpectingValue Said similar thing. It tickles our human mind to be able to say I was right and everybody was wrong. The Big Short and Michael Burry have arguably hurt a whole new generation of traders and investors by overemphasizing the virtue of being right and going against the grain when the real priority is simply making money not intellectual validation. I was right The Big Short and Michael Burry have arguably hurt a whole new generation of traders and investors by overemphasizing the virtue of being right and going against the grain when the real priority is simply"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020162535727452642)  2026-02-07T15:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Also path dependency is far more skewed. Contrarian approaches tend to have more binary outcomes compared with non-contrarian trend following. I dont know about you but I find Ray Dalio distasteful. He often makes outlandish calls while his former firm is largely quant-driven and runs a book very different from what he publicly signals. Great marketing though. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020232200055320945 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020232200055320945"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020232200055320945)  2026-02-07T20:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ShakePryzby1 @kick_clips @NickSchmidt Followed you two. Now my stonk gains are decomposing like Clavicular 🙃"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020941669579796913)  2026-02-09T19:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ContrarianCurse good work with that TWAP bids on $AXON"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021280649110270002)  2026-02-10T17:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$POOL in my opinion is an underappreciated play on lower rates. Even then 64% of revenue comes from maintenance & repair 22% from renovation & remodel and just 14% from new pool builds. It remained profitable during [----] [--------] and [----]. Theres some durability here despite the perceived cyclical nature of the business. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014116226478272560 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014116226478272560"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2014116226478272560)  2026-01-21T23:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$WMB $KMI NG names look ready to trigger after long consolidation. A lot of energy cohorts showing similar set up as well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2014121341620728170)  2026-01-21T23:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Yeah went one in Taiwan. It was great hot pot experience with nice entertainment. Also might be known for their viral dance on TikToks lol. Been tracking Super HI for quite some time and I think its nearing fair value. Roughly 6.6x NTM EV/EBITDA. Margin have been stable with room to expand under better op lvg via scale. Not over levered like most restaurant stocks. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016662241790275812 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016662241790275812"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2016662241790275812)  2026-01-28T23:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I longed $AVAV back in May [----] at ard 30x NTM EV/EBITDA when it started going from a niche drone player to a more integrated tech player using its high switching-cost status as a top drone provider to expand its product suite through contracts. Notably since [----] the company has seen a 100% win rate in every single contract bid it entered for the category of small unmanned aircraft systems. Thats a sign of their edge. Ukraine combat was a significant breakthrough for the business in terms of demonstrating the full capability of its drones. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018402643157319967"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018402643157319967)  2026-02-02T19:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"So are you saying youre generally dubious about their ability because theyre a Chinese tech name or are you pointing to more specific risks like eventually facing some form of walled-garden competition akin to $TTD Though its a bit apples and oranges using $TTD comp. As far as I can see its a quite Western-oriented company with very friendly IR. It reminds me a lot of $YUMC / in terms of Western-style governance. They arent shoveling cash back to shareholders but theres also no real reason to when theres a tremendous growth runway as long as social media and AI usage continue to rise."  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018559232103104908)  2026-02-03T05:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Wow $KKR/ $ARES what a liquidation since then. Alt mgmt short working much better than I expected :) taking partials there. $KKR/ $ARES beautiful lay up of short lately. yielded -15% and -17% drawdown respectively . Earnings ard the block for both so I will look to take partials and reevaluate after the print. :) $KKR/ $ARES beautiful lay up of short lately. yielded -15% and -17% drawdown respectively . Earnings ard the block for both so I will look to take partials and reevaluate after the print. :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018752792551194792)  2026-02-03T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@MikeFritzell Since you mentioned CUDA. Ill like your input on that in context of $AMD v $NVDA gap. If you can offer any. I think Im warming up to $AMD a bit. The current stage of AI development is no longer about raw compute (GPUs). That constraint has largely been met for the leaders. The bottleneck is now moving downstream in the stack toward inference efficiency memory bandwidth and lower I think Im warming up to $AMD a bit. The current stage of AI development is no longer about raw compute (GPUs). That constraint has largely been met for the leaders. The bottleneck is now moving"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018884938830152155)  2026-02-04T03:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$POOL forming solid structure. Perhaps recent extended cold front in the southern US could provide some interim tailwind @CDMCapital $POOL in my opinion is an underappreciated play on lower rates. Even then 64% of revenue comes from maintenance & repair 22% from renovation & remodel and just 14% from new pool builds. It remained profitable during [----] [--------] and [----]. Theres some durability @CDMCapital $POOL in my opinion is an underappreciated play on lower rates. Even then 64% of revenue comes from maintenance & repair 22% from renovation & remodel and just 14% from new pool builds. It"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019137706065031332)  2026-02-04T19:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MA/ $V structure very toppy looking but feel it's too audacious to say that lol. Drawdown doesn't exist there like $COST/ $WMT. Biz still robust and growing. multiples @ mean or even below it despite being ATH range But what if If Ive learned anything from Burry and Linares its that you can make good money marketing yourself as the audacious one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020887814028542148 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020887814028542148"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020887814028542148)  2026-02-09T15:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$RDDT long dated ITM calls/leaps looking very appealing there. One of fastest growing tech co. and still have runway left in terms of monetization. NTM multiples v attractive to me. Imo got lumped into wrong factor bundle and was force liquidated over last two weeks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020949249706557515)  2026-02-09T19:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@negligible_cap $ALLY. Perhaps could work as a proxy without ATR/volatility concern If you liked my $PLTR & $KKR / $ARES short ideas consider $ALLY similar distribution-style setup. A slower mean-reverting bearish bet on vehicle credit. Effectively a way to lean against $CVNA and subprime auto ABS. ALLY is fundamentally an auto bank with almost 3/4 of https://t.co/Mz02RUl2ZT If you liked my $PLTR & $KKR / $ARES short ideas consider $ALLY similar distribution-style setup. A slower mean-reverting bearish bet on vehicle credit. Effectively a way to lean against $CVNA and subprime auto ABS. ALLY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020966872292917494)  2026-02-09T21:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Lets adjust $RDDT NTM multiples for SBC assuming SBC remains fixed YoY (about 15% of LTM rev). On that basis adjusted NTM EV/EBITDA comes out to 24.8x versus indicated 18.6x Still reasonable for a company expected to grow 43% 29% 28% over the next three FY. $RDDT long dated ITM calls/leaps looking very appealing there. One of fastest growing tech co. and still have runway left in terms of monetization. NTM multiples v attractive to me. Imo got lumped into wrong factor bundle and was force liquidated over last two weeks. $RDDT long dated ITM calls/leaps looking very appealing there. One of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2020993705377763751)  2026-02-09T22:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"A lot of this comes from peoples difficulty compartmentalizing work performance from political or personal views. Once someone is judged negatively on ideology theres often a tendency to retroactively downgrade their competence or achievement. Good compd be J. K. Rowling. Shes among the most successful storytellers in modern history in terms of sales and cultural impact. That assessment holds regardless of ones views on her politics. Yet for some disagreement with her second-wave feminist views turns into claims that her success was mostly luck or that her work was never very good to begin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021028400035446896)  2026-02-10T01:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SFarringtonBKC @dailychartbook those fresh listings (listing change spin off IPO) is often one of best time to find those durable sneaky type of stock. one that quietly double in a year time. $FER $FERG. $LGN $CARR $TKO. one of best time to find durable but not "exciting" companies early"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021280067171557765)  2026-02-10T17:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Revenue growth is my projection roughly the midpoint of a 16% to 23% range. They dont give much guidance but they did guide to adjusted EBITDA margins above 40%. They also have a decent amount of inventory already built which should convert at very high incremental margins as inventory levels steadily normalize from seasonal highs supporting EBITDA growth. They had about $3234M of inventory and said they expect it to normalize. Assuming it returns to ard $20M (mean) that implies roughly $10M+ of conversion. Not elite fundamental guy myself. Feel free to correct me."  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021326346366890289)  2026-02-10T20:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RodriGo_ethe It isnt $IBKR Market cap ard double of $HOOD. It can be wonky with former on financial data due to their share structure and how much Peteriffy owns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021366033584427158)  2026-02-10T23:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ConnorJBates_ @dvandenbord Bitcoins main use case is generating (or incinerating) more fiat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021409354126327992)  2026-02-11T02:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I can believe $SPX 7k by EOD. Will delete if wrong :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021617547632906691)  2026-02-11T16:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Low stress 16% and 10%+ gains on $WMB/ $KMI with plenty of upside on weekly and monthly. Calls yield good bit there due to low IV. Energy names across the board showing rly nice broader trigger on big base. $WMB $KMI NG names look ready to trigger after long consolidation. A lot of energy cohorts showing similar set up as well. https://t.co/fe4uggUuEN $WMB $KMI NG names look ready to trigger after long consolidation. A lot of energy cohorts showing similar set up as well. https://t.co/fe4uggUuEN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021648281605132759)  2026-02-11T18:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"If you want something boring moaty and durable consider $SCI. Largest funeral services operator in the U.S. and among the largest globally. Quietly consolidating a highly fragmented industry for decades. Trading at sub-12x NTM EV/EBITDA. Roll-up model where growth is largely acquisition-driven but leverage is manageable at 3.6x. 5% shareholder yield via dividends + buybacks. Death comes for us no matter what. IMO much better alternative than many crowded non-cyclical consumer staple picks. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015631547827650601 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015631547827650601"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2015631547827650601)  2026-01-26T03:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ContrarianCurse $LGN. Mission critical Engineering ftw 🙏🏻"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021305315635986581)  2026-02-10T19:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@negligible_cap Thanks for sharing. Have been short $ARES/ $KKR but for wholly other reasons with no AI angle. I guess Ill take that :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018840767842709799)  2026-02-04T00:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$LGN - Mission critical engineering solutions (Big Data Center back log) $FLG - once distressed bank turning around with elite mgmt team $BAER - Potential to be quasi-state entity with big moat and cash generation. (now Space mob is in it ahh) $POOL - under-appreciated lower rate play. even then have proven to be surprisingly durable and well ran in time of perceived cyclical weakness energy cohorts like $WMB $BKR $KMI thats ready to rerate. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015860447803535852 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015860447803535852"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2015860447803535852)  2026-01-26T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@2_Cents_Worthy Have you came across $LGN Not much buzz on it despite its robust positioning. Fresh listing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2015867188339409127)  2026-01-26T19:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$KKR/ $ARES beautiful lay up of short lately. yielded -15% and -17% drawdown respectively . Earnings ard the block for both so I will look to take partials and reevaluate after the print. :) Other intriguing short ideas. A bit bold but unflashy: $ARES & $KKR. Potentially distributing. Public alts are priced like annuities but earnings remain cycle- and window-dependent. Consensus assumes a clean realization rebound at KKR and linear private credit growth with https://t.co/aIugrK2uSC Other intriguing short ideas. A bit bold but unflashy: $ARES & $KKR. Potentially distributing. Public alts are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018707626037481621)  2026-02-03T15:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Funnily enough the $KKR short has added about [---] bps YTD or [---] bps if you include $ARES for me. His concerns around private credit were spot on. However like banks these balance-sheet jungles make risks hard to clearly understand or surface until its too late. Often times they simply grow out of it on strong economic expansion. It usually takes cyclicality to finally expose the truth in the balance sheet. Still at the end of the day its all about making money not eventually being right. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019789229543293137 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019789229543293137"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019789229543293137)  2026-02-06T15:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Mortgage/ normalizing real estate market remains one of my high conviction bet getting thru [----] Long $BLNE (and $RKT/ $COMP) *TRUMP ADMIN EXPLORES OPENING ANTITRUST PROBE INTO HOMEBUILDERS $LEN $PHM $TOL $DHI etc all hit https://t.co/2OPIwFYJTT *TRUMP ADMIN EXPLORES OPENING ANTITRUST PROBE INTO HOMEBUILDERS $LEN $PHM $TOL $DHI etc all hit https://t.co/2OPIwFYJTT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019826909899813036)  2026-02-06T17:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"If you liked my $PLTR & $KKR / $ARES short ideas consider $ALLY similar distribution-style setup. A slower mean-reverting bearish bet on vehicle credit. Effectively a way to lean against $CVNA and subprime auto ABS. ALLY is fundamentally an auto bank with almost 3/4 of their biz being auto lending. CVNA sells roughly 3040% of its originated auto loans to Ally via a forward-flow agreement (not fixed). A meaningful portion skews subprime which could create strain if CVNA or auto credit deteriorates further. Bearish private-credit sentiment could easily spill into auto credit next. Trend still"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2019859356192260468)  2026-02-06T19:42Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Not trying to prove a point here. Its a genuine question. Maybe I could have worded it better. Im a fan of Chris Hohn. His approach is clearly durable and we share some same longs. The reason I bring this up is the tendency to look at P/L in isolation MoM QoQ YoY without enough context. That framing can be misleading. Long-term success is harder to quantify because it isnt linear. Sometimes it makes sense to position ahead of time even at the expense of near-term gains if it meaningfully improves outcomes the following year. Its an discussion about coverage and reporting incentives those"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021251480703869077)  2026-02-10T15:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Didnt execute $ALLY bear trade as well as I should (stopped out of puts) but potentially breaking structure. Still short commons. If you liked my $PLTR & $KKR / $ARES short ideas consider $ALLY similar distribution-style setup. A slower mean-reverting bearish bet on vehicle credit. Effectively a way to lean against $CVNA and subprime auto ABS. ALLY is fundamentally an auto bank with almost 3/4 of https://t.co/Mz02RUl2ZT If you liked my $PLTR & $KKR / $ARES short ideas consider $ALLY similar distribution-style setup. A slower mean-reverting bearish bet on vehicle credit. Effectively a way to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2021660268879864289)  2026-02-11T18:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@valuedrift ahh was REIT for long time before [----] restructuring into C-corp. that explains alot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2016601230026375180)  2026-01-28T19:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SFarringtonBKC Whats it about those Asians being degenerate lol. Some of biggest blow ups/bubble can be traced back to Asians 😅 Scared of straight line becoming even straighter. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kiasu https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kiasu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2016967654007869861)  2026-01-29T20:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Tesla (TSLA) just announced they will wind down and basically stop production of the Model S and Model X next quarter. The Fremont factory lines currently used for those models will be repurposed to produce their Optimus humanoid robots as part of a broader pivot toward autonomy AI and robotics. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017019295075553339 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017019295075553339"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017019295075553339)  2026-01-29T23:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@SFarringtonBKC Im a big cinema guy but admittedly I havent watched much Chinese cinema. Not surprising haha. After all theres reason why Macau makes Las Vegas look like a drop in the bucket when it comes to the casino business"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017031231179809093)  2026-01-30T00:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@valuedrift @orrdavid Short whoever extorts their consumers without adding value. It always comes back to them. *cough* $CMG *cough* QSRs Discretionary Retail Home/Lifestyle and subscriptions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017125546820354186)  2026-01-30T06:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"That was whole basis behind my $AAPL short bet over late [----]. I even have presentation slide on those companies on my short $AAPL. Obviously when you have audacity to attempt short (at the time) biggest company in world. Youd have to spend good bit of convincing ha. I used it in my pitch to LPs when I was launching my own 506(b) Lemme see if I can find it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017127942103437786)  2026-01-30T06:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$NKE $ADBE $MCD $SBUX $DIS mentioned https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017129162935296142 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017129162935296142"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017129162935296142)  2026-01-30T06:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@NerdcapK From my experience in market its likely this. Some pod that pyramided into it too much got blown out by unexpected gap down. Had to liquidate their mortgage momentum bet. This likely caught somebody over levered offside and force liquidated them. https://t.co/t3GJP7yD7L This likely caught somebody over levered offside and force liquidated them. https://t.co/t3GJP7yD7L"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017270876283044218)  2026-01-30T16:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@NerdcapK Yeah was pointed to $RKT and industry at large Absolutely but they arent doing great job of conveying that. Not consumer facing name hurts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017272794002653191)  2026-01-30T16:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@tomicki @Aureliusltd28 Somebody significant pyramided into it with size. That gap down caught them offside and forced liquidation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017314750091149690)  2026-01-30T19:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"still waiting on use case to emerge. rather lagging all things considered. so far its just means to gain more "fiat" money. decentralization narrative is dead with most of transactions being on regulated broker/platform. Blockchain usage although will see explosion for next few years. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017711767154286945 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017711767154286945"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017711767154286945)  2026-01-31T21:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@NerdcapK You just have straight commons for UWMC Curious on broader exposure you are having on mortgage. I am more concentrated myself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2011128428917842337)  2026-01-13T17:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Would that MBS purchase directive push out $FNMAT s exit from conservatorship Whats your endgame there I am long $RKT and $COMP commons. Initiated mid-2025. I thought RKT would be the strongest refi-cycle beneficiary out of the group. Both have cornered their respective markets with smart M&A during a secularly weak period and should benefit significantly from normalization off the trough. I also own a large position in $BLNE just under the threshold required to file a 13D/G. Its essentially a call options on mortgage normalization and real-estate tokenization."  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2011140143483068486)  2026-01-13T18:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@pernasresearch Not exactly pure product but your statement remind me of $XMTR. instant manufacturing quotes + supplier matching with intelligence layer on top of it. quoting algorithms tolerance and DFM logic& supplier reliability capacity and lead-time prediction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2011201165804126475)  2026-01-13T22:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Byrna Technologies - $BYRN feels extremely under-followed. Little to no sell-side coverage and no premium priced in. Revenue has CAGRd 3540% historically. Guidance implies 20% YoY growth in FY26 and 17% in FY27. Self-defense (unfortunately) is a secular need in todays society. BYRN is arguably one of the best non-lethal consumer products on the market. Plenty of TAM left via awareness alone. Trading around 15x NTM EV/EBITDA drifting lower despite fundamentals and a continued growth runway. Upcoming earnings in early Feb could reprice the stock quickly on a strong guide and continued sales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2015890675355562172)  2026-01-26T20:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@Arya__Deniz But its different this time around :( I dont mind wagering that implied volatility level seen now wouldnt be seen ever again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017252346397331749)  2026-01-30T15:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"An undercut of Michael Saylors cost basis could mark an intermediate bottom for BTC if the [----] analog holds. In [----] BTC traded roughly 4050% below Saylors average cost. Peak concern around a potential Saylor margin call coincided with the bottom before a tremendous rally followed. If the comparison scales smaller this time say 0.620.70x of the [----] analog that points to roughly $46k$52k. That said $60k-ish already feels like a reasonable area to start getting frisky. Not big Crypto guy. Just good ol pattern recognition https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017713997064155493"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017713997064155493)  2026-01-31T21:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"If so it likely leads to an explosion in overnight trading effectively turning equity markets into a 24-hour job. Imagine a factor unwind happening overnight while youre sleeping when AI discretionary investor just decides its done. Great thread. Some thoughts: As AI gets closer to superhuman in discretionary investing expect to see more jump risk. AI will integrate information into prices faster/better. Even w/o AI a more efficient market means more jumps when genuine news comes out. Great thread. Some thoughts: As AI gets closer to superhuman in discretionary investing expect to see more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2017726095924121823)  2026-01-31T22:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@frothyassets Melt-up ignition will be on June [--] [----]. White House UFC event. Mark it on your calendar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018061546841346416)  2026-02-01T20:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Saylor might be Hunt Brothers [---] of Silver Thursday (1980) Infamy. Saylor was a buyer of BTC since $10k never sold and is currently sitting flatish to unrealized loss. Due to aggressive levering up on gains. Hunt Brothers started picking Silver up at $2 a Oz tried to corner the market and still somehow got margin called after it dumped from a parabolic move toward $50 back in [----] despite absurdly low initial cost basis I shit you not these are the worst traders I've ever seen. https://t.co/E82RBZvifD I shit you not these are the worst traders I've ever seen. https://t.co/E82RBZvifD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018360977293521009)  2026-02-02T16:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I exited when NTM EV/EBITDA hit 50x. I didnt like the amount of premium especially when more than 3/4 of the backlog is unfunded ($3.0B unfunded vs $1.1B funded). A good bit of that premium could get shaved off if theres a ceasefire or peace in Ukraine. That backlog might fall through. I didn't like the r/r skew but I am open to revisit when i see further confirmation on funding of back log + more reasonable valuation. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018402926650446217 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018402926650446217"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018402926650446217)  2026-02-02T19:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Potential $PLTR short reload/scale up opp post ER Stage [--] potential to me. Incredible biz for sure but it will need either to consolidate further and grow into premium or finally rerate lower. $PLTR [--] pts unwind (-9%) since then. Alex Karp better come back from his ski vacay ⛷ Finally touching Daily [---] SMA for first time since 8/2024. $PLTR [--] pts unwind (-9%) since then. Alex Karp better come back from his ski vacay ⛷ Finally touching Daily [---] SMA for first time since 8/2024"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018462387297562794)  2026-02-02T23:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@finphysnerd @Fierce__beast @RagingVentures I can roughly remember that they had decent growth in the non-enterprise segment . Higher education + public sector. Less switching risk that way Schools arent going to vibe code their own software with AI. not sure if its meaningful enough though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/trackdalf/status/2018869795576500557)  2026-02-04T02:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

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