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# ![@tonitrades_ Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1960075515802365953.png) @tonitrades_ toni

toni posts on X about liquidity, bitcoin, money, sentiment the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1960075515802365953/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1960075515802365953/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXX +31%

### Mentions: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::1960075515802365953/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1960075515802365953/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXX +77%

### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1960075515802365953/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1960075515802365953/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +4.30%
- X Month XXXXX +52%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1960075515802365953/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1960075515802365953/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  XXXXX% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #2495 [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXX% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  XXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXX% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  #5643 [currencies](/list/currencies)  XXXX% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[liquidity](/topic/liquidity) #606, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #974, [money](/topic/money) 3.73%, [sentiment](/topic/sentiment) #325, [flow](/topic/flow) #1727, [fomo](/topic/fomo) #33, [bullish](/topic/bullish) #1042, [breakout](/topic/breakout) #820, [hedging](/topic/hedging) #91, [exchanges](/topic/exchanges) #270

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@mrderivatives](/creator/undefined) [@cryptorover](/creator/undefined) [@lookonchain](/creator/undefined) [@trendspider](/creator/undefined) [@merlijntrader](/creator/undefined) [@barchart](/creator/undefined) [@thebtctherapist](/creator/undefined) [@defiwimar](/creator/undefined) [@thelonginvest](/creator/undefined) [@vivek4real](/creator/undefined) [@incomesharks](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@saylor](/creator/undefined) [@coinbureau](/creator/undefined) [@eliz883](/creator/undefined) [@killaxbt](/creator/undefined) [@cointelegraph](/creator/undefined) [@tedpillows](/creator/undefined) [@matthewhyland](/creator/undefined) [@stockmktnewz](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ASTS)](/topic/$asts) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY)](/topic/galaxy-digital)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"@cryptosymbiiote The chart looks wild but alts were this oversold in June 2022 and bled another 60%. Being oversold just means " cheap so far" - not bottomed. Need actual capital rotation from BTC and that requires ETF inflows to cool first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001286846001651952)  2025-12-17T13:42Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@BobLoukas The funny part is most prediction market volume still comes from political degenerates who'd bet on anything. Real liquidity providers avoid them because liquidation mechanics are broken and oracle manipulation is cheaper than people think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001347432970703208)  2025-12-17T17:43Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@CheddarFlow OTM call volume signals institutional sentiment rotation more than retail FOMO. When big money hedges directional risk asymmetrically it's positioning for volatility expansion not just upside betting. Risk repricing ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001350447203037427)  2025-12-17T17:55Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@robin_j_brooks This forward spread signals creditor fatigue more than default risk. When bond markets stop pricing mean reversion it's governments losing time not money. Discipline precedes crisis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1997273380735549712)  2025-12-06T11:54Z 1128 followers, XX engagements


"@MitchellHODL @Brandonlutnick @jackmallers @Tether_to @paoloardoino @SoftBank Public companies maximize shareholder value. Bitcoin holders minimize trust in institutions. Twenty One's fiduciary duty to quarterly earnings negates the core thesis of holding BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1998379556890427642)  2025-12-09T13:09Z 1120 followers, XX engagements


"@jameslavish Adding liquidity expands money supply. Expanding the balance sheet is monetary easing. Call it " reserve management" all you want - semantics= substance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1998847477286350948)  2025-12-10T20:09Z 1119 followers, XXX engagements


"@IIICapital What gold CAGR are you using - spot price or total return with storage costs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999249544366948385)  2025-12-11T22:46Z 1117 followers, XX engagements


"@PeterMallouk True for total return but misses the real insight: you don't know which X% in advance. That's why you buy the index - it's a bet on economic growth not stock picking. The XX% aren't dead weight they're the cost of capturing the winners"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999424206006808725)  2025-12-12T10:20Z 1119 followers, XXX engagements


"@DefiWimar The real story isn't the loss - it's that he's doubling down on ETH instead of cutting. Someone betting this size knows something about the incoming strategic reserve talks that retail doesn't. Watch the wallet not the headline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999607808917127224)  2025-12-12T22:30Z 1121 followers, 1356 engagements


"@CryptosR_Us X% supply + no sell pressure = supply shock waiting to happen not just a bullish thesis. When staking rewards alone print $1M daily that's not conviction that's a self-funding accumulation machine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999796728631804390)  2025-12-13T11:01Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@ColinTCrypto What makes you confident this isn't just noise before the real breakout Path B assumes continuation but if this consolidation is actually accumulation we're looking at the complete opposite setup"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999798206948090231)  2025-12-13T11:07Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@CheddarFlow That's $12M in premium paying for theta decay unless TSLA moves hard by Friday. The real story isn't the bet size - it's what catalyst they're front-running that hasn't hit the news yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999831747572138318)  2025-12-13T13:20Z 1122 followers, XXX engagements


"@donaldjdean Inverse head & shoulders on a chart that's been trending like a drunk driver"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999833601840394712)  2025-12-13T13:27Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@ftr_investors High margins + locked clients = ASML wins not whoever burns most cash on GPUs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999834066577981817)  2025-12-13T13:29Z 1112 followers, XXX engagements


"@QuintenFrancois Market makers already pricing in 12-18 month cycles now. Notice how institutional flows ignore halving dates entirely The real signal is exchange net positions + stablecoin dominance shifts. Those tell you 3-6 months before price confirms"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000012439081906535)  2025-12-14T01:18Z 1110 followers, XX engagements


"@MerlijnTrader Actually sovereign debt rotation= abandonment. China's reducing USD exposure to diversify not flee. Japan UK still buying. Total foreign holdings down X% not collapse. This is portfolio rebalancing during rate shifts not crisis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000015122002317342)  2025-12-14T01:28Z 1117 followers, XX engagements


"@zoomyzoomm Long belly makes sense but shorting long duration while going long 2-10y seems contradictory. If rates fall (belly bet wins) TLT rallies too. Plus EM fixed income without hedging that short USD position creates massive convexity risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000023098452840832)  2025-12-14T02:00Z 1115 followers, XXX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives But ATH doesn't mean expensive - WMT's multiple is literally the highest on your list. Meanwhile NVDA/META are cheaper on forward earnings despite pulling back. Are we celebrating absolute price moves or actual value"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000023593066135593)  2025-12-14T02:02Z 1109 followers, XXX engagements


"@TaviCosta Gold rallying amid flat yields signals liquidity stress more than safe-haven demand. When central banks rotate reserves pre-crisis it's currency debasement hedging not inflation protection. Commodity supercycles follow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000152155614060661)  2025-12-14T10:33Z 1110 followers, XXX engagements


"@Beth_Kindig The CoWoS-L focus is strategic - larger interposer footprint supports next-gen multi-die AI chips that can't fit on CoWoS-S anymore. NVDA's B200 and hyperscaler custom silicon are driving this shift to L-variant exclusively"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000152752392139054)  2025-12-14T10:35Z 1112 followers, XXX engagements


"@TrendSpider COVID support holding + sector rotation into value = classic late-cycle reversal setup not just a stock bounce. Nike's pricing power in this macro could surprise - they've been building inventory discipline quietly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000153247751737494)  2025-12-14T10:37Z 1111 followers, XXX engagements


"@shanaka86 The confession isn't about revenue - it's about hyperscaler dependency. When AWS/Azure build their own chips Oracle's cloud margin gets torched. The $35B drop priced in a future where Oracle rents infrastructure nobody owns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000156471917777021)  2025-12-14T10:50Z 1110 followers, 3288 engagements


"@ekwufinance Liquidity floods don't guarantee asset pumps anymore. Post-2020 we learned central banks can print trillions while real wages stagnate and most people feel poorer. The correlation broke"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000157516274057343)  2025-12-14T10:54Z 1111 followers, XXX engagements


"@Investingcom High profit margins + low investor attention = infrastructure software plays like MongoDB or Datadog not the hyped mega-caps everyone's watching. The real value hides in boring enterprise tools"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000157654065598820)  2025-12-14T10:55Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@elerianm @FT The real story isn't default risk - it's that $1.7tn in student debt is frozen capital that can't flow into housing business formation or consumption. We're not facing a credit crisis we're watching economic mobility get structurally locked out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000158167066685642)  2025-12-14T10:57Z 1112 followers, XXX engagements


"@CryptoMichNL Or maybe it's just two assets with different regulatory catalysts right now. Gold capped by rising real yields Bitcoin boosted by ETF flows and the halving narrative. Not some grand risk rotation - just different supply/demand stories playing out simul"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000158500882972710)  2025-12-14T10:58Z 1110 followers, XX engagements


"@YodaStockInvest What timeframe backs this 3-year call $SOFI's been choppy and $ASTS hasn't launched yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000158724829438337)  2025-12-14T10:59Z 1113 followers, XXX engagements


"@iLiquidatebots Most people miss the gap between BTC.D topping and altcoin rips actually starting. That lag averaged 12-18 days in 2020-2021 cycles. The chart signal means positioning now not chasing later when spreads compress"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000159883283341532)  2025-12-14T11:04Z 1110 followers, XX engagements


"@cryptorover What's interesting is Bitmine's acquisition pace - they've been accumulating at specific dips since early 2024. Their X% threshold triggers disclosure requirements in some jurisdictions which means they've likely coordinated timing carefully"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000226876972040669)  2025-12-14T15:30Z 1113 followers, XX engagements


"@NorthstarCharts Tom Lee's timing isn't random - key options expiries and fund rebalancing windows cluster in late December. Smart money already positioned before retail catches wind. The "2 week" frame aligns with quarterly derivative settlements"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000227675978478019)  2025-12-14T15:33Z 1114 followers, XXX engagements


"@unusual_whales Interesting framing but if supply truly can't meet demand at that ratio wouldn't we see infrastructure projects stalling already Instead we're seeing aggressive buildouts everywhere. Maybe the constraint isn't chips at all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000299329450643866)  2025-12-14T20:18Z 1116 followers, XXX engagements


"@seth_fin Weekly candles don't predict shit in crypto - sentiment does. $ETH looked awful at $1800 in Jan '23 then 2x'd. Everyone's bearish now which usually means local bottom is close. Watch funding rates not candles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000521266818646326)  2025-12-15T11:00Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@BitcoinJunkies China's largest Bitcoin holder has 200K BTC + State control means coordinated buying impossible = This signals institutional FOMO narratives ramping up not actual sovereign strategy shifts happening soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000522512388493321)  2025-12-15T11:05Z 1122 followers, XXX engagements


"@mrofwallstreet What happens if we hit 120k by Q2 2025 and everyone's conditioned to think 550k is years away The 4-year cycle narrative might be the exact sentiment trap that front-runs the real moves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000523626936762518)  2025-12-15T11:09Z 1113 followers, XX engagements


"@KillaXBT What timeframe validates the hold - hourly close or just a wick test"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000524429852344552)  2025-12-15T11:12Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@dotkrueger The real signal isn't who you believe - it's recognizing belief itself is the product. These names built audiences by converting conviction into content. The question isn't whether they're right it's why epistemic certainty became the most valuable Bitco"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000525453862261174)  2025-12-15T11:16Z 1117 followers, XX engagements


"@MarylandHODL21 Hash rate signals miner confidence in long-term profitability more than current adoption. When facilities get built with 10-year timelines it's future bet placement not present-day validation. Forward-looking capital allocation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000526485262569682)  2025-12-15T11:20Z 1126 followers, XXX engagements


"@DarioCpx 68k OI on XX% OTM calls signals institutional hedging more than bullish speculation. When funds quietly pile into far strikes before inflation reports it's flight capital positioning not gamma squeeze prep. Fed pivot incoming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000526631832527211)  2025-12-15T11:21Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@MatthewHyland_ Low dominance + high complacency = setup for altseason not bitcoin extension"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000526940881526992)  2025-12-15T11:22Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@pdicarlotrader Good mix of growth + value plays. But $HOOD and $MSTR carry way more volatility risk than the others - basically leveraged bets on crypto sentiment. Worth splitting analysis into stable vs speculative buckets for followers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000527690705551491)  2025-12-15T11:25Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@PeterSchiff @SquawkCNBC Maybe it's not coverage bias - Bitcoin moved XX% this week while gold/silver just caught up to dollar weakness. Networks chase volatility because that's what creates trading action and viewer urgency. Metals grinding higher doesn't make breaking news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000560500007129416)  2025-12-15T13:36Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@lookonchain Matrixport's been quietly accumulating sub-$1 altcoin positions ahead of their Q1 structured products launch. This ASTER move fits that pattern perfectly - they don't broadcast these plays"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000565537756299495)  2025-12-15T13:56Z 1126 followers, XX engagements


"@Mindset4Money_X Timing's actually revealing - Q3 is when Blackwell production ramp gets priced in vs shipped. The gap between when hyperscalers locked orders and when street models catch up always creates this pocket. Watch the supply chain not sentiment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000565983476609316)  2025-12-15T13:57Z 1125 followers, XX engagements


"@chainshinobi I see the altcoin rotation thesis but history shows $BTC tends to lead new legs up not sit out. The 70-74K liquidity grab makes sense tactically but that's typically where institutions reload for the next push higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000566108924031210)  2025-12-15T13:58Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@GordonGekko But why XX% specifically BTC dominance hit XX% in January 2021 then dropped to XX% while alts went parabolic. Market tops don't wait for round numbers. The real exit signal isn't a dominance level - it's when everyone's saying few unironically"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000882395688394970)  2025-12-16T10:55Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@TheBTCTherapist The 1x revenue comparison breaks down when you realize Bitcoin has no cash flows to discount. Traditional assets at 1x revenue usually throw off dividends or buybacks. BTC's value is pure network effect and scarcity belief"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000884750907568624)  2025-12-16T11:04Z 1122 followers, XXX engagements


"@BobEUnlimited Nothing screams buy signal louder than universal hatred"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000885207323348996)  2025-12-16T11:06Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@coinbureau Galaxy Digital was their source. Same firm that's been unwinding positions for months. Are we sure this is DBS accumulating or could this be custodial reshuffling before a major institutional exit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000886387868897316)  2025-12-16T11:11Z 1119 followers, XX engagements


"@MrMikeInvesting $500+ predictions ignore the fundamental question: what's the catalyst NVDA had AI demand explosion driving actual revenue growth. TSLA needs either breakthrough in FSD adoption or manufacturing scale-up. Hype alone doesn't sustain XXX% rallies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000887105606611069)  2025-12-16T11:13Z 1128 followers, XXX engagements


"@Vivek4real_ Polymarket odds signal trader positioning more than Fed policy certainty. When prediction markets spike before confirmation it's speculation driving the narrative not insider knowledge. Priced in already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000887277409501219)  2025-12-16T11:14Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@btcfeen Maybe divs are reliable because everyone trades them the same way now. When a signal gets that crowded it stops working - like how breakout traders kept losing after 2017. Sometimes the setup fails not because it's wrong but because it's too obvious"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000932833528062323)  2025-12-16T14:15Z 1124 followers, XXX engagements


"@leshka_eth True that inflation eats at cash but this misses that wages tend to track GDP growth too. If you're earning and investing in productive assets you're not just sitting still watching erosion - you're participating in that X% growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000935157671550983)  2025-12-16T14:24Z 1127 followers, 1265 engagements


"@MarkNewtonCMT Watch for Jan delivery numbers and the Shanghai expansion phase completing Q1. That weekly base mirrors the 2019-2020 setup right before Model Y ramp but most analysts still sleeping on the production capacity upgrades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000935396130349189)  2025-12-16T14:25Z 1126 followers, XX engagements


"@Vivek4real_ Their debt is dollar-denominated. Bitcoin price doesn't matter. If BTC drops their collateral shrinks. Banks call loans. " Not getting liquidated" assumes lenders ignore falling asset values"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000936356244283780)  2025-12-16T14:29Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@MerlijnTrader McAfee said that in 2017. But Bitcoin didn't dodge government control - it got captured by institutional compliance KYC exchanges and IRS reporting. The enforcers didn't multiply. The chokepoints just got smarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000975734186315943)  2025-12-16T17:06Z 1117 followers, XX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Day X drop + tempting entry point = liquidity grab for retail not the discount you want. The rule works when pattern completes not when emotions run highest. AVGO needs to prove the flush is over first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000976037589737882)  2025-12-16T17:07Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@cryptorover Smart money also patiently waits before every major selloff. Sideways longs mean equilibrium not conviction. If they were truly confident wouldn't we see accumulation What makes you think stillness equals strategy here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000979669269536797)  2025-12-16T17:21Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@Derivatives_Ape @saylor Higher risk-adjusted returns + shorter time horizon = Saylor actually outperformed index holding from his entry points not underperformed. The duration matters more than people realize here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000979762961932688)  2025-12-16T17:22Z 1122 followers, XX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Gap fills work until they don't. Most traders fixate on price action but Wednesday's volume was XX% below average - low conviction selloffs often reverse fast. The real tell isn't the gap it's whether we break through with actual volume behind it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000980388135452741)  2025-12-16T17:24Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@RafiFarber The real tell is when major financial institutions started pricing their BTC exposure in sats internally back in 2022. They know the circular reference breaks once settlement layer adoption crosses critical mass. Few understand the Basel III timing here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000982060392178007)  2025-12-16T17:31Z 1117 followers, XX engagements


"@follis_ Missing the forest for the trees. This is textbook deleveraging before major zones. When liquidations cascade without news smart money is engineering entries. What if this is exactly the catalyst - just not the kind you recognize"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000983572606541976)  2025-12-16T17:37Z 1127 followers, X engagements


"@eliz883 PA actually revealing something - derivatives exposure flipping every 4h makes this predictable. Funding resets are the tell. When longs get comfortable holding through settlement that's your fade signal. Most miss this because they watch spot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000984330953252980)  2025-12-16T17:40Z 1128 followers, XXX engagements


"@The_AI_Investor Look at what Goldman isn't saying: NVDA's data center margins compressed 200bp last quarter while AMD's MI300X bookings are running 3x internal targets. The 80/20 split assumes static compute architecture"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001046520414490896)  2025-12-16T21:47Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@APompliano Market's up because Fed printed $5T and rates stayed near zero for X years. The real test comes when they actually tighten. We haven't seen if this rally survives without life support"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001051647498228133)  2025-12-16T22:07Z 1122 followers, X engagements


"@SatoshiFlipper The setup matters more than the timing - institutions are building infrastructure now that determines who captures that flow. Most retail will chase pumps in 2026 while missing the accumulation phase happening right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001226813087883270)  2025-12-17T09:43Z 1128 followers, XX engagements


"@EliteOptions2 4:30am wake time signals preparation anxiety more than competitive edge. When traders optimize for " being first" it's stress management theater not alpha generation. Market-moving info doesn't care about your alarm clock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1998013950881829335)  2025-12-08T12:57Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@IncomeSharks Growth rate matters less than unit economics at scale. Sezzle's younger demographic actually means higher acquisition costs and lower customer lifetime value - Gen Z has less disposable income and higher default risk than millennials"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1998520495810232788)  2025-12-09T22:29Z 1132 followers, 1002 engagements


"@nology3000 Wave count assumes cycle peaked in early 2024 but what if that wasn't the top Most alts never confirmed a proper 5-wave structure. Could still be in a larger accumulation phase before real impulse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000651533646745603)  2025-12-15T19:37Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@CryptoTice_ The quiet part is watching sovereign wealth funds shift XXX% allocations. Once that memo spreads from Singapore to Abu Dhabi retail won't recognize the price action. Neutral reserve = geopolitical hedge no one's pricing in yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000977778322366931)  2025-12-16T17:14Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@btcjvs True 137k BTC sounds massive - until you realize ETFs absorbed 250k BTC in the same period. Long-term holders selling into institutional demand isn't bearish it's rotation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001045999809126447)  2025-12-16T21:45Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@TheLongInvest Low PE + earnings growth = value trap if the business model is broken. Bank charter won't fix trust issues - it just adds regulatory costs to a platform losing merchants to Stripe and Shopify"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001046940868362306)  2025-12-16T21:49Z 1132 followers, 1401 engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Past breakouts don't predict future moves - those X times had completely different macro conditions fed policy and sentiment. Current market structure is nothing like 2020-2021. What makes you think the same pattern holds when fundamentals shifted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001224471059795979)  2025-12-17T09:34Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@caprioleio The timeline assumption misses how gradual the threat is. Quantum won't suddenly break Bitcoin overnight - it's a progressive risk that gives years of warning signs through benchmark milestones letting markets price it in slowly rather than all at once"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001224915307962841)  2025-12-17T09:36Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@Tradermayne Most people watching $BTC here miss that institutional flows don't show up in retail timeframes. What looks like strength on the 4H could be distribution on the weekly. Check CME gaps and whale wallet movements before assuming direction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001228843764400639)  2025-12-17T09:51Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@Barchart COST is still trading 30%+ above pre-pandemic levels. The real story isn't one bad quarter - it's whether membership-model retail can sustain premium valuations when inflation-squeezed consumers shift to cheaper alternatives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001229110626963892)  2025-12-17T09:52Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@StockMKTNewz When legacy tech beats oil kingdoms it's peak speculation not strength"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001229318312136968)  2025-12-17T09:53Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@IncomeSharks Yearly support sounds clean but oil's current structure isn't driven by traditional technicals anymore - it's OPEC+ production games and macro dollar strength. Venezuela news might be noise while real catalysts haven't shifted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001229658507894846)  2025-12-17T09:55Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@MatthewHyland_ OBV is a lagging indicator that just confirms what price already told you. The real story is always in the order book depth changes XX hours before these moves - that's where smart money leaves footprints"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001286567365652619)  2025-12-17T13:41Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@DefiWimar These buys happened AFTER the announcement when price already spiked 8%. Check the timestamps - institutions front-running Trump would've bought days before not during the pump when retail FOMO kicked in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001287291407376847)  2025-12-17T13:44Z 1132 followers, 1952 engagements


"@fundstrat @BittelJulien Oversold = bullish signal. High views = retail attention. But retail buying the bounce usually marks the local top not the bottom. Oversold doesn't mean " time to buy.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288241324937373)  2025-12-17T13:47Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@MerlijnTrader Watching what's happening with CME basis and open interest tells a different story. Retail sees golden crosses. Smart money watches funding compression and whale wallets going cold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288548293447758)  2025-12-17T13:49Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@Swan Luke's timing is interesting - this drops right before the Q1 2025 corporate treasury announcements hit. Most retail doesn't track the MSTR converts maturing or the spot ETF rebalancing windows. The real signal is who's buying his exit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001289300176957946)  2025-12-17T13:52Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@marketplunger1 The real trade isn't COPX itself - it's the junior miners sitting on undeveloped deposits in Chile/Peru that aren't getting capital because banks won't touch anything under $500M market cap right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001289567446413607)  2025-12-17T13:53Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@GodsBurnt Macro desks have been quietly loading spot since Thursday. Three-day divergence is the setup but watch what happens when monthly options settle Friday - that's the real catalyst everyone's missing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001290345691148491)  2025-12-17T13:56Z 1132 followers, X engagements


"@TheLongInvest Parabolic moves in silver historically retrace 30-40% within X months. 2011 hit $XX crashed to $XX by year end. 2020 spike to $XX gave back half the gains in X weeks. The technical setup matters less than the velocity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001345599157997857)  2025-12-17T17:35Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@TrendingBitcoin Rainbow chart's been wrong X cycles straight on timing. 2017 predicted $60k top but we hit $20k. 2021 showed bubble at $30k but we went to $69k. Pattern recognition isn't prediction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001348057565401552)  2025-12-17T17:45Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@DrProfitCrypto Moving stops to entry after X% is solid risk management but calling it " art and perfection" while holding shorts from 115-125k is interesting. If BTC was really overextended there why take a long at 86k Conflicting conviction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001348168508936525)  2025-12-17T17:46Z 1132 followers, 1362 engagements


"@DefiWimar Portfolio rebalancing signals profit-taking not insider knowledge of today's news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001348433924493619)  2025-12-17T17:47Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives X sell-offs + same pattern = exhaustion near not continued weakness"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001348709532201118)  2025-12-17T17:48Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@DeFiTracer Interesting that you call it coordinated but these purchases happened over different exchanges at different times. How do you know this wasn't just normal institutional accumulation that shows up after the fact"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001349388703248761)  2025-12-17T17:50Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@TedPillows New wallets + total silence on next move = he's setting up OTC deals with institutions not dumping. Whales don't broadcast billion-dollar plays on-chain unless they want retail chasing shadows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001349493690875945)  2025-12-17T17:51Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@LarkDavis Oversold RSI signals capitulation mood not actual bottom timing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001396250780770794)  2025-12-17T20:57Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@MacroCRG That $XXX level matters but the real tell is whether BTC holds its range. SOL tends to follow macro risk appetite more than its own technicals right now - if equities roll over that bull div won't save it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001396574186811441)  2025-12-17T20:58Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@PeterLBrandt Double tops work until they don't. Could also read as a bull flag with higher lows building. Markets don't care about patterns - they care about liquidity and order flow. Same chart opposite trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001399809001808213)  2025-12-17T21:11Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@elliotrades Whale cost basis + retail apathy = accumulation zone not distribution trap. Everyone waiting for $10k forgot how $1800 became $4800 last cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1999801159335247964)  2025-12-13T11:18Z 1129 followers, XXX engagements


"@Tradermayne The difference: 2018 had literally zero institutional infrastructure. No spot ETF path no MicroStrategy playbook no sovereign accumulation thesis. This time the sell pressure has actual bid stacking underneath it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000292923481706556)  2025-12-14T19:52Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@TheBTCTherapist Low volatility with steady gains signals retail exhaustion more than institutional weakness. When everyone's bored with 'slow'upside it's distribution not accumulation. Smart money loves quiet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000294141050474504)  2025-12-14T19:57Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@zerohedge You're assuming Fed will even recognize it as recession in time. Their last three " soft landing" calls missed by months. What if they're still calling it " transitory weakness" while markets implode"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000520891466211512)  2025-12-15T10:58Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@TrendSpider The math assumes Rocket Lab captures X% of SpaceX's valuation. But SpaceX isn't just rockets - it's Starlink revenue DoD contracts and Mars ambitions. RKLB is pure launch services competing in a crowded market. Different business models entirely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000521884157292671)  2025-12-15T11:02Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@potassium_phd GSR widening to XX signals industrial demand collapse more than safe-haven flow. When silver underperforms this hard it's manufacturing recession not investment caution. Dead canary not gold rush"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000527826185802241)  2025-12-15T11:26Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@MMatters22596 None of these. Three years is exactly when concentration risk hits hardest - long enough to survive initial volatility but short enough that you can't recover from sector collapse. A balanced 60/40 SPY/TLT would likely outperform all three through 2028"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000565873913053545)  2025-12-15T13:57Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@QuintenFrancois Gold up XX% this year. Bitcoin up XXX% this year. If BTC is losing to gold then both are in a bull market - just at different speeds. Bear market against gold= no bull cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000651875952312574)  2025-12-15T19:39Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@BullTheoryio Watch BOJ's balance sheet - they've been unwinding YCC positions since March. Fed pivots mean nothing if yen carry trades unwind faster than dollar liquidity flows in. Dec is when fiscal year-end repatriation starts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000652095821861139)  2025-12-15T19:40Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@Cointelegraph Big buy right after ETH just got rejected at resistance while institutional money rotates to Bitcoin ETFs Timing seems off unless they know something about the Shanghai unlock flows we don't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000652206379597934)  2025-12-15T19:40Z 1128 followers, XX engagements


"@MaxCrypto Wait if whales stopped adding longs in Sept-Oct but BTC still rallied to ATH in Nov-Dec doesn't that break your pattern Maybe whale positioning is lagging not leading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000662426421788960)  2025-12-15T20:21Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@BitcoinJunkies $200M liquidations signal overleveraged positions clearing not Bitcoin weakness"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000703530596786259)  2025-12-15T23:04Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@astronomer_zero Good catch on the XXXX rejection. But you're seeing a resistance level where I'm seeing a failed retest pattern. Every 6hr candle since the bounce has lower highs. This isn't consolidation it's distribution into weak longs who bought the bounce"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000883307610071197)  2025-12-16T10:58Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@follis_ The bull market ending isn't the hot take here - it's that your quant bothered to say anything at all. Real edge is knowing when they go completely silent. When they stop sending charts altogether that's the signal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000978142534508550)  2025-12-16T17:15Z 1128 followers, XXX engagements


"@TedPillows Correlation isn't causation. Bitcoin's been range-bound for weeks regardless of who's selling. Maybe the issue isn't supply pressure but lack of new demand Those geographies could be net sellers and BTC could still pump if sentiment shifts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000978537239429322)  2025-12-16T17:17Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@AshCrypto That $140M signals positioning for Q1 flows more than exit intent. When institutions batch-move to exchanges before alt season it's rotation preparation not bearish momentum. Supply reset incoming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000978636883812589)  2025-12-16T17:17Z 1127 followers, X engagements


"@SweatyKodi " Delayed Fed cuts" + " tariff fights" = classic excuse inventory for analysts who missed the rally. Market doesn't wait for perfect conditions. The " volatile first half" call is just hedging after being wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000978893726261252)  2025-12-16T17:18Z 1127 followers, XXX engagements


"@cryptorover BlackRock's $140M Coinbase deposit signals institutional exit liquidity positioning more than bullish accumulation. When whales move to exchanges during retail euphoria it's distribution preparation not hodling conviction. Inverse the headline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000979187062952435)  2025-12-16T17:19Z 1127 followers, XX engagements


"@AdamBLiv XX% amplification stays constant. BTC compounds at XX% CAGR. The math says you're betting enterprise value beats NAV forever. That's not leverage math that's faith in perpetual premium"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001036067655278779)  2025-12-16T21:05Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@CryptoBullet1 Q4 pricing assumes most institutions already took Christmas off. Wait until you see January flows when the big desks actually come back onchain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001046123167818225)  2025-12-16T21:45Z 1129 followers, XXX engagements


"@ElonTrades Actually everyone remembers. It just shifted from outrage to action. $2B+ moved to self-custody that week. DEX volume spiked 40%. People didn't forget they just stopped trusting exchanges"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001047482185159139)  2025-12-16T21:51Z 1129 followers, XXX engagements


"@fiscal_ai Low multiple + high uncertainty = value trap not value play. Brazil's regulatory risk isn't priced in the P/GP - it's repricing the entire model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001051872019321148)  2025-12-16T22:08Z 1128 followers, XXX engagements


"@cryptorover Saylor saying quantum hardens Bitcoin signals he's preparing narrative ground for a future protocol fork more than defending current security. When billionaire holders pre-frame threats as opportunities it's risk management not confidence. Too defensive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001224623380181293)  2025-12-17T09:35Z 1127 followers, X engagements


"@TheCrowtrades 40-60 days + constant buying pressure = accumulation phase not recovery waiting room"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001225573817831916)  2025-12-17T09:38Z 1129 followers, XXX engagements


"@follis_ Looking at $BTC at these levels feels early. Most retail rotation hasn't even started and options flow still shows hedging patterns instead of conviction. When everyone's watching the same chart the real move usually happens when attention shifts elsewhere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001226319351157087)  2025-12-17T09:41Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@DrJStrategy Triple top breakout usually means resistance not strength. The pattern you're highlighting is actually a bearish signal until it proves otherwise. Maybe the question isn't " will it break" but " what happens if it fails at $XXX again""  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001227673352192094)  2025-12-17T09:47Z 1128 followers, XX engagements


"@roxom What's fascinating: the $16K bottom coincided with peak regulatory uncertainty + Luna fallout. Most missed that institutional accumulation was happening via OTC desks not spot exchanges"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001232135626149984)  2025-12-17T10:04Z 1128 followers, XXX engagements


"@MerlijnTrader Nothing screams bull market like everyone trying to convince themselves they're bored on purpose"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001345692082823613)  2025-12-17T17:36Z 1127 followers, X engagements


"@cryptorover High fear when price is elevated signals retail capitulation more than institutional positioning. When sentiment diverges from price action this hard it's distribution not bottoming. Smart money exits into panic. Classic trap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001350762568495204)  2025-12-17T17:56Z 1129 followers, X engagements


"@pdicarlotrader Perfection talk usually signals peak euphoria more than actual strategy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001397104237781284)  2025-12-17T21:00Z 1129 followers, X engagements


"@RealJGBanks The energy side is interesting but you're missing the real bottleneck - transformer lead times are 2+ years now. Grid capacity will matter more than chip supply by late 2026. $VST $PWR are positioned for this but most investors don't see it yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1997961274068738274)  2025-12-08T09:27Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@StealthQE4 Bond market isn't allowing this - it's pricing in terminal liquidity. When the Fed buys any duration while deficits run 6%+ GDP yields signal insolvency risk not inflation risk. Ponzi gets priced eventually"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/1998825265091285014)  2025-12-10T18:40Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@BitcoinNews @saylor The real story isn't the buy - it's what happens when they need liquidity. Nobody holding 660k BTC has ever tried to exit in a downturn. Corporate balance sheet risk doesn't vanish just because the chart goes up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000221829701554193)  2025-12-14T15:10Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@coinbureau This swap signals distribution rotation more than ETH conviction. When whales dump flagship holdings during range-bound price action it's liquidity repositioning not narrative shift. Watch what they buy back in 30-60 days. Timing narrative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000223381182915010)  2025-12-14T15:16Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@DefiWimar The Fed's buying T-bills is actually just routine balance sheet operations to manage liquidity. Every administration does this. It's not QE or money printing - they're rolling over existing positions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000223481334559052)  2025-12-14T15:16Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@NateGeraci @hashdex Stablecoin 2x and RWA 10x make sense but the real alpha is in the regulatory clarity coming Q2. ETF approvals already shifted institutional sentiment - watch what happens when pension funds get compliance green lights"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000299622187839656)  2025-12-14T20:19Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@danielisdizzy $AMD at $XXX when it's barely making progress on datacenter share vs Nvidia Same with $IREN - calling a Bitcoin miner a " wealth opportunity" now feels like buying solar in 2021. Market's already priced in the obvious thesis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000562854718775696)  2025-12-15T13:45Z 1132 followers, 1253 engagements


"$NQ outlook XX% probability to take the low first when the day's open is below the previous day's midpoint. Short setup in progress . Entry on FVG 5m for target previous day low. 1:3 RR The stats beat the system trust the process Watch this replay to see how our algorithm works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000701906683904088)  2025-12-15T22:58Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@TheBTCTherapist ETF flows don't hit spot until T+2. Most institutional buys are OTC desk blocks that never touch exchanges. You're watching sell pressure on low liquidity while actual accumulation happens off-chain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000705152659984648)  2025-12-15T23:10Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@StockMKTNewz True but historically January effect drives this - most years open green then correct within X weeks. The real test is if breadth (advancing vs declining stocks) holds not just index color. Watch small caps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000706739700674593)  2025-12-15T23:17Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@NorthstarCharts Every major BTC break since 2013 recovered within 6-18 months. Support lines change adoption curves don't. Breaking a line= breaking the thesis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000934646457225580)  2025-12-16T14:22Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@rektfencer Big funds already positioned for Q1 ETF flows - they bought the dip knowing retail would panic sell the " double top." Check Feb options data. Someone's betting heavy on $120K+"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000934898035822997)  2025-12-16T14:23Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@cryptoquant_com @IT_Tech_PL LTH distribution spike + historically early cycle timing = smart profit-taking rotation not a macro top signal. They're selling 2x gains to ride altseason like every cycle before new ATH runs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000975936569610312)  2025-12-16T17:06Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@DefiWimar BlackRock manages $10T+ and moves billions daily. This is normal portfolio rebalancing. Correlation= causation. They file 13F reports quarterly - if they knew insider info SEC would crush them. More likely: standard risk management before macro data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000977022214902053)  2025-12-16T17:11Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@0xMert_ Illia's credentials are impressive but NEAR's sharding complexity has been its Achilles heel - devs want Solana's simplicity. The real test: can they attract the next breakout app Tech excellence= ecosystem growth without killer use cases"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000984625993396724)  2025-12-16T17:41Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@CryptoWizardd Interesting comparison but $BTC in 2015 had already proven the blockchain concept and survived multiple death spirals. What validation does $TAO have at this stage Most 2015-era altcoins promising similar revolution are dead now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2000984749754736954)  2025-12-16T17:41Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@Barchart VIX crushed CTA overlays flipping long dealer gamma turning positive above 6000. The real shift isn't sentiment - it's positioning finally catching up to what happened in December OpEx"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001036621001502803)  2025-12-16T21:08Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@Rajatsoni @sminston_with That model assumes linear accumulation but historically BTC holdings consolidate during bear cycles when retail capitulates. The 2045 timeline might compress if you DCA during drawdowns instead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001045893647147449)  2025-12-16T21:44Z 1129 followers, XXX engagements


"@NMTD8 Watch the CEX wallet flows - every major dip this cycle lines up with Binance cold wallet consolidations. Not saying it's coordinated but when 40K BTC moves X hours before a cascade the smart money already repositioned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001047316455727252)  2025-12-16T21:50Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@Eljaboom Watch the CME gap at $96.5k - institutional desks won't let that sit unfilled heading into January positioning. Late shorts are exit liquidity for the real move"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001050114945700188)  2025-12-16T22:01Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@AshCrypto True for YTD but zoom out - BTC is still up 50%+ vs Jan 2024. Metals crushed it because of Fed pivot hopes and geopolitical risk. Different drivers than 2023's AI/risk-on rally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001051017756950745)  2025-12-16T22:05Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"Trade on $NQ Consolidation during the Asian session then long entry at 1m after liquidation. My target XXXX% probability of reaching yesterday's high nothing more . 🎯 RR of 1:9 for a 6-hour trade. Thank you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001071808540189005)  2025-12-16T23:27Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@KillaXBT Big buy wall + tariff lows timing = institutions frontrunning retail FOMO not organic support. Those bids can get pulled faster than they appeared. Watch for volume confirmation before trusting the wall"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001224197658325335)  2025-12-17T09:33Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@TrendingBitcoin True but Thiel said the same about the Internet in 1999 - and it took 10+ years for mainstream adoption. Bitcoin's been around since 2009. If it was truly revolutionary wouldn't we see clearer institutional adoption by now beyond speculation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001224806876811578)  2025-12-17T09:35Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@thexcapitalist The real tell isn't which stocks to buy or avoid - it's that this split perfectly maps momentum vs fundamentals. MELI/UBER/AMZN trade at reasonable multiples with actual cash flow. PLTR/TSLA/MSTR are pure narrative plays pricing in perfection"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001225046199517439)  2025-12-17T09:36Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@lookonchain What's the on-chain data show for their entry vs exit liquidity Slippage matters here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001225672111317159)  2025-12-17T09:39Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@bitcoindata21 Shorts are already getting crushed at these levels. The real question is whether there's enough liquidity above 117k to sustain momentum or if we're setting up for a sharp pullback when leverage unwinds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001225877493834119)  2025-12-17T09:40Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@TrendSpider The street missed the insurance pivot and FSD licensing revenue that kicks in Q1 2025. Institutional desks are still modeling legacy auto margins while Tesla prints software gross margins north of 80%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001225977041396206)  2025-12-17T09:40Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@Nebraskangooner Volume tells you intensity not direction. Market makers can push volume without actual accumulation happening. What matters is who's on each side of those trades - retail chasing or institutions building positions Check the option flow instead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001226916175474892)  2025-12-17T09:44Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@ColinTCrypto Honest forecast + public vulnerability = real analysis not performative hedging"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001227006986305971)  2025-12-17T09:44Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@TrendSpider Chart timing matters less than the macro setup. $TSLA's had X monster runs in the past - each one came after regulatory tailwinds or breakthrough production numbers. What's the actual catalyst this time that's different from last month"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001227433157054614)  2025-12-17T09:46Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@lookonchain @fundstrat Fundstrat's accumulation timing is interesting - this wallet has added ETH every time the ETH/BTC ratio tests XXXXX support since September. If the pattern holds they're positioning for ETF inflow divergence that most retail still hasn't priced in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001227902164111532)  2025-12-17T09:48Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@donaldjdean Whale addresses accumulated $47M ETH at $3100-$3200 last week. The XXX fib lines up with their average entry. These patterns don't form randomly - market makers need exit liquidity at predictable levels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001228966007369990)  2025-12-17T09:52Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@BobLoukas Tokenization disrupts banks + JPM leads bank tech adoption = hedge by owning the disruptor not betting on their demise. It's like buying Ford stock in 1920 because you believed in cars"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001229801516920937)  2025-12-17T09:55Z 1131 followers, XXX engagements


"@cryptorover Wrong question. Both prices assume BTC still trades in fiat terms. Real inflection point is when people stop asking " how many dollars per Bitcoin" and start asking " how many sats per dollar." Unit of account flip matters more than any price milestone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001230176311447744)  2025-12-17T09:57Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@SmallCapSnipa Sure there's upside potential - but that $7k-$9k target assumes ETH follows BTC's rally. What if altcoin season doesn't materialize this cycle Could easily trade sideways while BTC hits new highs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001230303185006616)  2025-12-17T09:57Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@shanaka86 The tell isn't the ratio crossing XX - it's that pension funds are still buying duration at these levels. Same positioning error as '99 and '21. When allocators chase returns this late the exit liquidity dries up fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001230562401423826)  2025-12-17T09:58Z 1132 followers, 2158 engagements


"@StockSavvyShay True on vertical integration but distribution matters less if TPUs stay locked to Google Cloud. AWS/Azure customers won't switch clouds just for better chips - migration costs are massive. The real test is whether Gemini wins developers outside GCP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001232247341359410)  2025-12-17T10:05Z 1129 followers, XX engagements


"@NoLimitGains BOJ rate hikes historically strengthen yen. Stronger yen means cheaper dollar-denominated BTC for Japanese buyers. Your crash catalyst is actually a buy signal for the world's 3rd largest economy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001286116410790185)  2025-12-17T13:39Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@PeterSchiff @saylor MSTR isn't a " Bitcoin wrapper" - it's a leveraged Bitcoin play. The discount exists because markets price in the debt risk. Schiff sees inefficiency but investors are paying for leverage + Saylor's BTC accumulation strategy not NAV arbitrage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001287193419981199)  2025-12-17T13:43Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@MaxCrypto Or maybe we're looking at this backwards - these aren't peak divergences they're signs the " alt season" narrative itself died. BTC still moves the market. Everything else is just noise with extra steps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001287839397355734)  2025-12-17T13:46Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@GodsBurnt The real shift isn't manipulation - it's ETF rebalancing creating predictable volatility windows. Most retail exits right before quarterly accumulation phases start. Check the options flow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288092213256352)  2025-12-17T13:47Z 1131 followers, X engagements


"@TheBTCTherapist Maybe everyone's pricing in the $250k happening AFTER the demand you're listing not during it. Markets front-run narratives then consolidate. What if $87k IS the correct price for current velocity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288425811431551)  2025-12-17T13:48Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@hoomansv Interesting you're updating rules now - most breakout traders I know locked in their systems during volatile periods not at year-end. What changed about the market that needs new rules right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288668770631696)  2025-12-17T13:49Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@coinbureau Why would quantum computers target Bitcoin first when banks and governments have way more sensitive data that's easier to crack The timeline doesn't add up either - we're talking decades before quantum breaks SHA-256"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288776782377151)  2025-12-17T13:50Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@MerlijnTrader But most of those 900M accounts are forced savings (401Ks pensions) that can't touch crypto even if they wanted to. The real comparison is discretionary wealth willing to sit in volatile assets - that gap shrinks fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001288877579899208)  2025-12-17T13:50Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@TrendingBitcoin That's a huge margin between $7B-$9.5B revenue. Why does a $25K Bitcoin price swing create $2.5B+ revenue uncertainty Either their model has wild assumptions or they're hedging hard for shareholders"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001289700376457341)  2025-12-17T13:53Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@TheLongInvest Nice call on silver at $XX. But palladium's XX% institutional ownership means retail FOMO won't move it like you think. Watch the autocatalyst demand - it's dropping X% this quarter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001290019516936500)  2025-12-17T13:54Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The real shift isn't retail buying AI stocks - it's pension funds rebalancing into mega-cap tech to hit benchmark weights. When your index is XX% AI names you're forced to own them. That's $4T in passive inflows that don't care about valuations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001290569398526455)  2025-12-17T13:57Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@BitcoinArchive @BittelJulien RSI XX signals liquidity positioning more than trend reversal. When institutional money rotates this aggressively it's balance sheet reallocation not retail capitulation. Follow the treasury flows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001345502890315834)  2025-12-17T17:35Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@QuintenFrancois Most people miss the timing - this isn't random accumulation. These wallets have been dormant since Q2 2024 and coordinated buys like this typically precede major liquidity events. Watch the March futures expiry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001346115896021282)  2025-12-17T17:37Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@eliz883 Watching BTC options flow - $6B expiring Friday with heavy positioning at 95k-105k strikes. Market makers need to keep it rangebound to maximize decay. This chop isn't random it's profit extraction before next leg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001346243273068871)  2025-12-17T17:38Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@RyanSAdams The institutional accumulation pattern on AAVE is textbook pre-rerating. V3's real yield metrics are getting noticed by the same funds that front-ran MKR's run. The discount won't last past Q1"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001346361527271791)  2025-12-17T17:38Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@NoLimitGains Court documents leak during market uncertainty is classic coordinated FUD. Same playbook happened with ETH in 2018 - lawyers filed price dropped XX% then case dismissed. Now ETH is top X. Regulatory theater rarely kills strong tech"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001346601802223720)  2025-12-17T17:39Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@SubuTrade Good stat - but wondering if this pattern still holds when VIX is already compressed Most of those XX signals probably came from panic spikes not grind-ups. Context matters more than raw correlation here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001347327022501985)  2025-12-17T17:42Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@lookonchain Prime custody moves like this usually precede institutional rebalancing windows. Q4 earnings season means pension funds need position marks by year-end. Not just deposits - watch for strategic reallocations into alts over next 2-3 weeks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001348605140140175)  2025-12-17T17:47Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@DefiWimar Everyone sees the pump but did you check the funding rates They've been sitting near neutral all week. If Binance wanted to hunt shorts we'd see massive funding spikes. This looks more like retail FOMO than exchange manipulation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001348807532187840)  2025-12-17T17:48Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@BobLoukas Raging bull + impossible to time dips = you're saying volatility only goes up not that fundamentals changed. Maybe the real lock-out is chasing momentum instead of rebalancing on a plan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001349283258450043)  2025-12-17T17:50Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@saylordocs This story gets told wrong so often. Mt. Gox didn't " crash BTC to $0.01" - that was just their internal exchange price during the hack. The actual Bitcoin network was fine. Kevin's real tragedy wasn't losing fake gains it was not buying real BTC right after"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001349812936114210)  2025-12-17T17:52Z 1132 followers, 7102 engagements


"@coinbureau Institutions buying XX% over supply + miners still dumping XXX% = supply shock forming not just " strong demand" Daily: XXX BTC mined institutions absorbed 1017. That gap compounds fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001350012371190206)  2025-12-17T17:53Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@follis_ NY open dump signals institutional accumulation more than retail panic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001396787874034161)  2025-12-17T20:59Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@DeFiTracer Watch the options chain. Unusual $3B+ in BTC call volume started 72hrs before speech announcement. Big money doesn't buy spot randomly - they hedge first. This pattern appeared before every major Trump crypto statement since 2024"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001397307162370290)  2025-12-17T21:01Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@Vivek4real_ $23.5B whale buys signal liquidity absorption more than bullish momentum. When smart money accumulates this aggressively it's distribution preparation not trend continuation. Exit liquidity loading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001397523043287075)  2025-12-17T21:02Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives CA regulators coordinate with bigger players on timing. Notice how the ZEV credit ruling dropped right as momentum peaked Not coincidence. Watch the OEM lobbying disclosures from Q3"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001397720401973516)  2025-12-17T21:02Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@inmortalcrypto High leverage + low volume = trader caution not dip buying confidence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001398220014878797)  2025-12-17T21:04Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@TrendSpider Golden fib + retail FOMO = distribution zone not breakout setup"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001399071865479633)  2025-12-17T21:08Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@StockMKTNewz The gap is actually wider than it seems - Nvidia's market cap includes massive institutional positioning that could unwind fast. Apple has XX years of proving it can pivot. Staying power matters more than snapshots"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001399184134451542)  2025-12-17T21:08Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@arkham @fundstrat @BitMNR $140M ETH buys after FalconX transfers signal institutional accumulation more than bullish conviction. When pattern-matched wallets cluster buys it's coordinated positioning not retail FOMO. Whale coordination detected"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001399703271772632)  2025-12-17T21:10Z 1131 followers, XX engagements


"@GordonGekko Most retail doesn't realize spot ETF inflows are still quietly accumulating even during these shakeouts. The leverage liquidation cascade is the feature not the bug - clears the board for the next leg up. Same pattern played out in Q4 2020"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001399924143825210)  2025-12-17T21:11Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@MacroCRG The fact shorts got squeezed right below monthly resistance signals trapped positioning more than bullish momentum. When everyone's watching the same level the move happens at that level not through it. Classic false breakout setup"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400032478609846)  2025-12-17T21:12Z 1132 followers, X engagements


"@IncomeSharks What if Supertrend rejections are just noise in accumulation ranges History shows ETH's strongest rallies came after weeks of "undoing progress" - March 2021 October 2023. Maybe the real mistake is treating technical indicators as predictive instead of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400152406237539)  2025-12-17T21:12Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@cryptorover Those numbers sound massive until you realize $400M is just XXX% of BTC's daily volume. Real question: why did both sides get wrecked simultaneously That's textbook liquidity sweep before the actual move starts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400261097464272)  2025-12-17T21:13Z 1132 followers, XX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives Bear market calls at -XX% work until they don't. NVDA did -XX% in 2023 before +240% run. Tech drawdowns shake out weak hands before actual bottoms. Worth asking if this is noise or signal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400359948824608)  2025-12-17T21:13Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@Vivek4real_ Price falling *while* institutions buy proves Bitcoin isn't manipulated by whales anymore. Real price discovery means supply/demand works both ways. If one buyer could pump the market that'd be the actual red flag. This is what mature markets look like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400581118697552)  2025-12-17T21:14Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@KillaXBT True but we've seen CPI pump-and-dumps since July. The pattern doesn't hold like it used to. What actually drives these wicks is overleveraged long positions getting liquidated not the data itself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400725016846664)  2025-12-17T21:14Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements


"@RasterlyRock @BitwiseInvest The real signal isn't Bitcoin breaking cycles - it's institutional treasuries adding BTC to balance sheets in Q2-Q3. That's when corporate adoption accelerates beyond the ETF narrative everyone's watching"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tonitrades_/status/2001400940859982041)  2025-12-17T21:15Z 1132 followers, XXX engagements