# ![@tomnixson Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880.png) @tomnixson Nixson

Nixson posts on X about polymarket, math, crypto, money the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] -18%
- [--] Month [------] -24%
- [--] Months [------] +6,496,800%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -42%
- [--] Month [---] -15%
- [--] Months [---] +36,200%

### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +11%
- [--] Month [--] +82%
- [--] Months [--] +1,950%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  17% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  12% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  5% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  4% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  3% [countries](/list/countries)  3% [stocks](/list/stocks)  2% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  2% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  2% [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #1066, [math](/topic/math) #2568, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 9%, [money](/topic/money) 7%, [market](/topic/market) 4%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) 4%, [leaderboard](/topic/leaderboard) 4%, [edge](/topic/edge) 4%, [$109m](/topic/$109m) #6, [$325k](/topic/$325k) 3%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@polymarkettrade](/creator/undefined) [@carverfomo](/creator/undefined) [@mopozeux](/creator/undefined) [@zscdao](/creator/undefined) [@kch123viatomnixson](/creator/undefined) [@marlowxbt](/creator/undefined) [@distinctbaguetteviatomnixson](/creator/undefined) [@polycopyapp](/creator/undefined) [@kropanchik](/creator/undefined) [@k1rallik](/creator/undefined) [@anoin123viatomnixson](/creator/undefined) [@igormikerin](/creator/undefined) [@kingofcoinflipsviatomnixson](/creator/undefined) [@sopersone](/creator/undefined) [@lordeneth](/creator/undefined) [@deniskursakov](/creator/undefined) [@0x8dxdviatomnixson](/creator/undefined) [@xmayeth](/creator/undefined) [@ventry089](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 250k in [--] days screams regime-specific. works great until market microstructure changes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017782815106941388)  2026-02-01T02:11Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"A systematic machine turned [----] bets into $641K profit. Not by predicting Bitcoin. By exploiting the same math mistake. Every [--] minutes. I found kingofcoinflips buried in Polymarket's top earners. 🏆- Another crypto bot grinding binary windows. Almost scrolled past. Then I saw the biggest win. $114K from one position. That's when it clicked this wasn't trading. This was extraction. This bot does not guess direction. Does not read sentiment. Does not chase momentum. Does not time entries based on technicals. It watches one thing only: prices that break before the window closes. Here's the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018375713359896798)  2026-02-02T17:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A Python script is draining Polymarket. $325K extracted from the same math bug over and over. The gap appears for seconds. This bot hits it first. Every time. I found distinct-baguette buried deep in the leaderboard. - Another crypto bot grinding 15-minute windows. Almost ignored it. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. Too low for a profitable trader. Way too low. Thats when it clicked I was measuring the wrong thing. This bot does not predict. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It watches one thing only: prices that violate basic math. Heres the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019251977188687995)  2026-02-05T03:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Found a Discord screenshot buried in a crypto server. Someone asking why their Polymarket strategy failed. One reply: "Stop guessing. Start watching 0x8dxd." No context. No explanation. Just a username. Searched it. $1073271 profit. [-----] trades. December [----] start. Profit curve climbs like stairs. No crashes. No panic sells. Just green. Spent two days analyzing positions. One trade stopped me cold. January [--]. BTC [--] minute window. Entry $15524. Payout: $43671. Return: 181%. Went back to Discord. Found an archived message from a deleted account. Someone broke down what wallets like this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019476465322975278)  2026-02-05T18:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"One wallet appeared [--] months ago and silently extracted $1.67M from NBA spreads. No picks. No analysis. Just math that breaks every [--] hours. Countryside. [---] bets since November. Profit curve doesn't dip. Ever. Scrolling through positions at 3am. Expected complex hedging. Statistical models. Machine learning. Found something stupider. And more brutal. The pattern lives in a 90-second window. NBA lines open on Polymarket. Sportsbooks already moved. Polymarket still frozen on old spread. Reality shifted. Odds didn't. Bot sees the gap. Slams $50K-$90K on the mispriced side. Waits. Line"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019548279760183380)  2026-02-05T23:06Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@polycopyapp @Polymarket six trades tells you everything this is selection not activity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019559360750580224)  2026-02-05T23:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade shutdown and iran are doing all the work here everything else feels like filler risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019559490291376362)  2026-02-05T23:51Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@marlowxbt betting against headlines beats betting on information"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019613654954701185)  2026-02-06T03:26Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@kober1337 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade near zero prices change the psychology people dont defend pennies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019613890850488735)  2026-02-06T03:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Kropanchik @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao noticed how smooth the multi-platform stuff is actually makes me want to trade more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019887034366591209)  2026-02-06T21:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@sopersone turning -835k into +384k in a week is some nextlevel focus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019914247002591242)  2026-02-06T23:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade exploiting latency instead of guessing direction is next-level patience and precision"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019915548365373693)  2026-02-06T23:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket this is what most people miss. pennies look dumb until you realize time + resolution does the work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020186312368877908)  2026-02-07T17:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket this is literally yield farming disguised as prediction markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020186568502460488)  2026-02-07T17:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this smells like early heater more than edge but the sizing tells me he knows when to press"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020244045407363517)  2026-02-07T21:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @ratio_dot_you this is the cleanest finance play on polymarket lately. boring cap math beats spicy narratives every time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020560989201039703)  2026-02-08T18:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket this is pure mechanics not opinions. markets glitch under stress and someone just farms it nonstop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020611799217733765)  2026-02-08T21:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@marlowxbt speed and capital doing the work not the Ferrari bio"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020705579384344853)  2026-02-09T03:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@mopozeuX @hush_wallet @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade the win rate is the tell here not the pnl. nobody guesses a halftime list that clean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020898907446763642)  2026-02-09T16:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@lorden_eth bro seeing that kind of size makes me feel like my [--] figure bets are just background"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020972709434540358)  2026-02-09T21:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket calling this directional genius feels generous when the edge is just speed and timing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021313062985252867)  2026-02-10T19:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket this is the part people hate to hear. the edge isnt prediction its waiting for prices to break math"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021313523339464883)  2026-02-10T20:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @PolymarketTrade people keep arguing about direction while this thing just waits for price to tell the truth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021365559301112009)  2026-02-10T23:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@marlowxbt telling your parents you study finance then running a live lab on Polymarket is next level commitment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021480798474608918)  2026-02-11T07:05Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@DenisKursakov @Polymarket buying [--] to [--] cents is not edge by itself the edge is knowing which narratives wake up and when"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021533849336058318)  2026-02-11T10:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@KyleDeWriter calling them insiders is lazy this is just theta farming on a slow burn market three months of headlines is enough to mean revert anything"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021621294656344191)  2026-02-11T16:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@polycopyapp if he keeps compounding like that liquidity becomes the only limit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021652159478346070)  2026-02-11T18:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"A sportsbook analyst gave a guest lecture at a university. Topic: inefficiencies in live sports betting markets. Slide [--]. A screenshot of a Polymarket profile. $10.9M profit. "Hypothetical portfolio model." A student in the back row recognized the interface. After class he searched the username. kch123. $10991616 profit. [----] predictions. Joined June [----]. Wallet: The hypothetical model turned out to be his real wallet. How it works. Polymarket prices sports outcomes based on public sentiment. Crowd consensus. Vibes. Professional sports models price outcomes based on expected goals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021717446906810821)  2026-02-11T22:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"This guy came from a poor family but when his little sister needed a surgery costing several million the money suddenly appeared from somewhere. His mom asked where he got such a huge amount of money - and he stayed silent. $3.5M profit on Polymarket. Not from crypto. Not from bots. From sports. gmpm doesn't trade BTC windows. Doesn't exploit price lags. Doesn't run scripts. This wallet bets millions on football games. And wins. Account: Joined September [----]. [---] predictions. Profit curve going straight up. Biggest single win $859K. From one NFL game. I went through the closed positions."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2022386517595803873)  2026-02-13T19:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Scrolling Reels at 2am. Stumbled on a video. [--] million views. Guy flexing cash with caption "4 months of work." Comments flooded with "how" and "teach me." Bio had one line. Polymarket profile link. Nothing else. PurpleThunderBicycleMountain. $853K profit. [-----] predictions. Win streak that breaks probability. Clicked the link. Profile loaded. Every single trade green. Entry always $4K-$16K. Bitcoin [--] minute windows. Solana. Ethereum. Up to [--] positions running parallel. Exits within same window. Repeats 20-30 times per day. Biggest single win $64K. Took [--] minutes. Happened seven times."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018168630307876955)  2026-02-02T03:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"This wallet turned sports betting into statistical harvesting. $5.1M all-time. [----] predictions. Portfolio spread across NBA NFL soccer UFC. gmanas. Joined November [----]. Profit curve straight climb. $802K biggest win. $762K positions value. At first looked random. NBA. Then NFL. Then soccer. No pattern. Then I checked entry timing. Every bet lands moments after line movement. Never before. Always after the sharp money already moved. 76ers vs Lakers at [--]. Current [-----]. $274K profit. LoL esports at [--]. Current [--]. $195K profit. Counter-Strike at [--]. Current [--]. $63K profit. This is not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019667227956375773)  2026-02-06T06:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"My scanner flagged a ghost at 2am. One wallet. Four bets. Six days. Gone. $2.16M profit. Zero activity before. Zero activity after. FeatherLeather. Joined January [----]. Four soccer matches. Then silence. Not luck. Math. Every entry hit the same pattern. Favorites at 40-42 cents. Real probability sitting at 45-48%. Milan at [--] when every bookmaker has them at 45%. That's not a bet. That's buying quarters for [--] cents. Here's what nobody sees. When $900K slams into a thin market all outcomes spike for [--] seconds. YES NO DRAW suddenly cost more than $1 together. Most traders arbitrage the spread."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019867454428561629)  2026-02-06T20:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Someone on Reddit shared a bot script. Deleted it [--] minutes later. I saved it. That wallet just hit $1.4M profit in [--] days. Account: [---] predictions. $5.2M positions value. Biggest single win $173K. Joined December [----]. Straight line to the sky. I spent [--] hours reverse engineering the pattern. Here's what breaks everyone's brain. This bot doesn't predict outcomes. It hunts psychological distortions. The Setup. High-media events. Government decisions. Military strikes. Shutdowns. Sanctions. Bloomberg screaming certainty. CNN calling it guaranteed. Twitter blue checks all aligned. Market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019913708223279114)  2026-02-06T23:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"This wallet bet $2.3M on one NFL team. Not hedged. Not diversified. Just Seahawks. kch123. $9.3M profit. [----] predictions. Every dollar on the same bird. Profile: $971K in a single spread. Seahawks [----]. One million nine hundred thousand shares at [--]. $498K on Super Bowl. Will Seahawks win it all 732K shares at [--]. $413K Patriots matchup. 607K shares at [--]. Scroll through active positions. Seahawks. Seahawks. Seahawks. Seahawks. Zero crypto windows. Zero politics. Zero diversification. When you win $9.3M doing one thing you don't change the thing. Position size stays flat. Win or lose next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020202733974770099)  2026-02-07T18:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Someone knew Bitcoin would crash before the market did. I found his wallet. baybebe showed up on Polymarket [--] days ago. Made [--] trades. Extracted $55K. Went silent. The timing is what breaks your brain. Account: He bet BTC would drop below $78K on February 1st right before the dump. Put down $636. Walked away with $55.6K. That's 8749% return on a single position. The other two trades were safe [--] cent plays. Almost like warmup clicks before the real move. $5952 on BTC above $96K Jan [--]. Collected $5978. $2988 on ETH above $2800 Jan [--]. Collected $3000. Small. Clean. Building the account"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020280065506881782)  2026-02-07T23:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A new profile made $433K in one day on sports. Joined November. Already a millionaire. Donghui. [---] bets. All green. Found it randomly checking Polymarket leaderboard. Two-month-old account with a chart that looks like a Stripe terminal glitch. Profile: Straight line up. $1.09M total. Not a single drawdown. Biggest single win $173K. Opened closed positions. Stopped scrolling. Rockets vs Thunder. Entry $117K. Exit $290K. ROI 147%. Pacers vs Bucks. Entry $157K. Exit $326K. ROI 107%. Clippers vs Suns. Entry $148K. Exit $314K. ROI 112%. Every bet. Won. Checked entry points. 40-57 cents. These"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020386864381776114)  2026-02-08T06:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Someone on Reddit posted one word: distinct-baguette. Thread deleted in [--] minutes. I found the wallet. $533K profit. [-----] trades. Profile: Win rate looked weak. Then I saw the trick. Every 15-minute window has UP and DOWN. One MUST pay $1. So UP + DOWN should equal $1. Basic math. But when crypto crashes Polymarket breaks. UP at [--] DOWN at [--] Total: [--] The bot buys both. Waits. Collects $1. Cost: [--] Payout: $1 Profit: [--] Outcome doesn't matter. [-----] executions. Same 3-cent edge. Look at closed trades: $427 $11816. ROI 2667%. $1024 $9962. ROI 872%. $176 $6067. ROI 3328%. Everyone bets on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020632936538886528)  2026-02-08T22:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Most people bet $50 and sweat. This wallet drops $1M on one NFL game and goes silent. kch123. $11M profit. Zero noise. Found it on page [--] of leaderboards. 590K views. No Reddit threads. No Twitter hype. Just printing. Position sizes look like typos. $1M on Paris Saint-Germain. Single entry. $754K on Rams spread. $405K on Champions League. Not portfolio. Not hedge. Just full conviction per game. Normal whales split $1M into [--] bets. Sleep better. Manage risk. This wallet goes opposite direction. One game. One million. Walk away. The timing is everything. Entries 2-4 hours before kickoff. Not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2020901795531235612)  2026-02-09T16:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"While everyone was panicking one wallet quietly made $1.35M in [--] days pricing geopolitical fear. [---] bets. Same pattern every time. Balance curve is a straight line northeast. No dips. Just green. All positions are geopolitical. All Middle East. All NO. "US strikes Iran by Feb 9" NO at [--]. Win $746K. "US strikes Iran by Feb 28" NO at [--]. Win $499K. "Israel strikes Iran by Feb 28" NO at [--]. Win $167K. This person does not predict wars. They tax panic premiums. Here is the trick. Tension spikes. Twitter screams war. Fear floods markets. YES jumps to 30%. NO drops to 70%. anoin123 enters NO at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021003273805660503)  2026-02-09T23:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"My uncle works in weather insurance. Weather isnt random. Last week she showed me how her company prices storm damage [--] hours before news outlets report it. I asked if she ever looked at Polymarket. "Those odds are free money for anyone with real data." She pulled up her work dashboard. Not Raw ensemble models. Temperature bands down to the half degree. "We pay millions for data that's 12-24 hours ahead of public forecasts. When we see 94% probability the public might still see 60%." That night I searched for weather wallets on Polymarket. Found this. Account: Started November [----]. Current"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021237435917570391)  2026-02-10T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A single wallet exploited the same 15-minute gap [-----] times. $1.3M profit. Zero strategy changes. 0x8dxd doesn't predict Bitcoin direction. Wallet: Doesn't care if BTC goes up or down. Doesn't read charts. Just watches one thing: the 30-second lag between Binance and Polymarket. Here's the mechanic that broke the market. BTC moves on spot exchanges. Reality shifts. Price jumps 0.4% in [--] seconds. Polymarket updates slower. Still shows old odds. Old prices. Old reality. The gap: [--] seconds. The profit: Everything. Bot sees the move on Binance at 12:00:00. Enters Polymarket at 12:00:05. Buys"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021358296314388806)  2026-02-10T22:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"One wallet turned sports betting into a math formula. $2.9M in [--] days. [----] predictions. Zero gut feelings. [------------] doesn't watch games. Just watches when crowd price breaks from reality. Wallet: The pattern: Bills vs. Jaguars. Entry $1.1M at [--]. Exit $2.4M. ROI 117%. PSG market. Entry $824K at [--]. Exit $2.2M. ROI 177%. Packers spread. Entry $781K at [--]. Exit $1.7M. ROI 128%. Three rules: Size Edge Frequency Average bet $600K. 3% edge means $18K per trade. Repeat [----] times. Trade Liquidity Only NFL EPL NBA NHL. Deep markets absorb $800K without moving price. Same Pattern Every Time One"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021486547560800534)  2026-02-11T07:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A Python script is draining Polymarket. $325K extracted from the same math bug over and over. The gap appears for seconds. This bot hits it first. Every time. I found distinct-baguette buried deep in the leaderboard. Profile: Another crypto bot grinding 15-minute windows. Almost ignored it. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. Too low for a profitable trader. Way too low. Thats when it clicked I was measuring the wrong thing. This bot does not predict. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It watches one thing only: prices that violate basic math. Heres"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021618679633334305)  2026-02-11T16:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A sportsbook analyst gave a guest lecture at a university. Topic: inefficiencies in live sports betting markets. Slide [--]. A screenshot of a Polymarket profile. $10.9M profit. "Hypothetical portfolio model." A student in the back row recognized the interface. After class he searched the username. kch123. $10991616 profit. [----] predictions. Joined June [----]. Wallet: The hypothetical model turned out to be his real wallet. How it works. Polymarket prices sports outcomes based on public sentiment. Crowd consensus. Vibes. Professional sports models price outcomes based on expected goals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021723115865231453)  2026-02-11T23:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"This wallet loses half its bets. $6.5M profit. Nobody understands why. I found DrPufferfish buried in an on-chain analytics thread. Another sports bettor on Polymarket. Almost scrolled past. Then I saw the profit curve. Straight line to the sky. No dips. No drawdowns. Just green. Account: $6565802 all-time profit. [----] predictions. Biggest single win $918K. Joined May [----]. Profile says 83% win rate. Looks impressive. Looks clean. It's a lie. A team from PANews analyzed [-----] whale transactions in January [----]. Dug into every wallet in the top [--]. What they found broke the entire leaderboard."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2021896071564169469)  2026-02-12T10:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"At a private party someone said his life changed into a before and after the moment he found a certain wallet. I asked what wallet he was talking about. He said one word: 0x8dxd. 0x8dxd. Joined December [----]. [-----] trades. Profit curve drawn with a ruler. Account: 932K watchers. Two months ago nobody knew it existed. I scrolled every closed position looking for red. One mistake. One bad week. Something to prove it was luck. Nothing. Solid wall of green. February [--]. BTC [--] minute window. Entry at [--] cents. Payout $60941. Return 207%. February [--]. Entry at [--] cents. Payout $38793. Return 157%."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2022054195159847029)  2026-02-12T21:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@marlowxbt the real fintech was not software for others it was exploiting inefficiency for himself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2022064684191691125)  2026-02-12T21:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"5% to 99% in three hours. No new facts. Just fear of missing out. Polymarket. "Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31" Created January 3rd. Final result: Yes. $11M in volume. - Here is what happened that morning. 6:00 AM market sits at 11%. Quiet. Then someone buys. Maybe they know something. Maybe not. 6:30 AM 28.5%. Others see the move. Think "someone knows." Buy in. 7:30 AM 56.5%. Now everyone sees the candle. Twitter lights up. "Maduro market pumping." More buyers flood in. 9:30 AM 99%. Done. Three hours. From noise to certainty. This is an information cascade. Person A bets. Person B sees"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022453691832304104)  2026-02-13T23:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"My bookie blocked me last Tuesday. Said I win too much. Fine. I moved to Polymarket. Found someone who makes my edge look like a joke. kch123. $10.8 million profit. Not from crypto. Not from bots. Not from some GitHub script at 3am. From sports bets. Pure raw sports bets. I was digging through the leaderboard looking for bot wallets to copy. Skipped right past this one. No algo pattern. No 15-minute BTC loops. Just massive positions on games. Then I saw the closed trades and my jaw dropped. Account: Villarreal CF to win $405K in. $1.5M out. 270% ROI. Seahawks [----] $1M in. $2M out. One bet."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2022567380895891784)  2026-02-14T07:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A Fidelity senior analyst managing $4.5 trillion posted on LinkedIn February [--]. Title: "I've spent [--] years watching retail investors repeat the same mistakes during every correction. Here's why amateurs never win." Attached a screenshot of a loss curve. [----] likes. [---] comments. Half of Wall Street reposting with fire emojis. Then a reply buried at the bottom: Hold on. That UI is Polymarket. Not Bloomberg. Next reply: There's a wallet hash in the corner of the screenshot. Took me [--] seconds to find it. gabagool22. $835147 profit. [-----] predictions. Active since October [----]. Wallet: The"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2022736891959783613)  2026-02-14T18:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@kellswxtxh while everyone chases bots on btc this guy just waits for chaos in stoppage time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2022970326435471799)  2026-02-15T09:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$1.43M profit. [---] bets. No bots. No scripts. No 15-minute BTC windows. Just a guy who reads the news better than everyone else on the planet. chungguskhan joined Polymarket in November [----]. Three months later his PnL chart looks like a venture fund return. Account: I scrolled his closed positions expecting the usual. BTC grinds. Arbitrage loops. Copy-paste bot entries. Instead I found Thai politics. Honduran elections. Jake Paul boxing. A Minecraft movie. This wallet bets on everything. And wins on everything. The trade that broke my brain. Will People's Party win the most seats in the 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2023054736102986142)  2026-02-15T15:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@xmayeth first quant born on X sounds funny until it starts ratioing people with pnl screenshots"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017770044294308098)  2026-02-01T01:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@p_vlad the chair swap matters less than the macro pressure. the committee bends when the system does"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017770434532376943)  2026-02-01T01:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket this is wild AI running its own market ops like a caffeine-fueled intern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017775413448065396)  2026-02-01T01:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@kettei_cryp @Polymarket 11c on Luther is basically free lottery ticket with edge Golden feels overpriced and trendy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017784168789245997)  2026-02-01T02:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@lorden_eth feels like a PR stunt until you remember filing winning and Polymarket only cares about the filing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017981096135209453)  2026-02-01T15:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"One GitHub file at 4am changed everything. kingofcoinflips. $680K in four months. [----] trades. Profit curve straight up. No drawdowns. I expected complex algorithms. Found the opposite. Opened the repo thinking neural networks. Advanced hedging. Some proprietary edge nobody else has. Code was [---] lines. One strategy. Brutally simple. Bot trades 15-minute BTC windows. When Bitcoin moves on Binance Polymarket odds lag 30-90 seconds behind. Bot sees the move in real time. Bets on Polymarket before the market reprices. Entry: [--] cents. Exit: [--] cents. Repeat. Not predicting direction. Just faster"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2011689447058772473)  2026-01-15T06:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@xmayeth ClawdBot is basically harvesting micro-arbs while we sleep"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017265352900595753)  2026-01-30T15:55Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"A Python script is draining Polymarket. $325K extracted from the same math bug over and over. The gap appears for seconds. This bot hits it first. Every time. I found distinct-baguette buried deep in the leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15-minute windows. Almost ignored it. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. Too low for a profitable trader. Way too low. Thats when it clicked I was measuring the wrong thing. This bot does not predict. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It watches one thing only: prices that violate basic math. Heres the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017655630664700114)  2026-01-31T17:46Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@sopersone @PolymarketSport @Polymarket 74c on Alcaraz feels less about hype and more about tempo - Novak can still outthink anyone but legs decide finals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017783744879296567)  2026-02-01T02:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@ventry089 @Polymarket obvious markets arent obvious if youre early. timing turns trivia into money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017976380189737079)  2026-02-01T15:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade the fact that someone is already brute-forcing it with Claude is kinda the strongest signal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017977153627799681)  2026-02-01T15:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket this is the part people miss - the edge isnt conviction its removing yourself from the loop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017980752177086887)  2026-02-01T15:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket god this is peak efficiency - click once bank six figures walk away"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018045934911778993)  2026-02-01T19:36Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket the dust trades are the tell nobody yolo tests infra like that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018327110251635103)  2026-02-02T14:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade xAI integration feels inevitable but officially announced is doing a lot of work here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018327357673627829)  2026-02-02T14:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade if this keeps printing fees go up or markets change. thats the real clock"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018328205082419253)  2026-02-02T14:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket down $380K and came back to $8.8M thats next-level resilience"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018395372268269690)  2026-02-02T18:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket the part that gets me is zero open positions. did the job got paid went back to standups"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018498600230179074)  2026-02-03T01:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@banan_crypto @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketTrade bonds work until you confuse obvious with guaranteed. the edge is rules + sizing not the 98c entry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018498860264366262)  2026-02-03T01:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Scrolling Polymarket at 2am. Someone made $273K betting on one thing. Not crypto. Not elections. Just counting tweets. Annica. [----] predictions. Every single bet the same: how many times will Elon Musk post this week Sounds stupid. Then you see the returns. Dec 26-Jan [--]. 500-519 tweets range. Entry at [--]. Win $127K. ROI 255%. Jan 2-Jan [--]. 560-579 tweets. Entry at [--]. Win $118K. ROI 311%. Dec 30-Jan [--]. 520-539 tweets. Entry at [--]. Win $72K. ROI 552%. Eight bets. All green. All exact ranges. - Wallet: Not guessing more or less. Betting on a 20-tweet window. And hitting. Every. Time. $86K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018696230356815973)  2026-02-03T14:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket everyone overthinks signals while hes just farming mispriced seconds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018699204466528725)  2026-02-03T14:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket this is just fear tax extraction. direction traders donate spread traders collect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018754907021729861)  2026-02-03T18:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"One username keeps printing money from the same bet. $1.4M extracted in [--] days. Same pattern. Every time. anoin123 doesnt predict geopolitics. - wallet : Doesnt read news. Doesnt care about Middle East tension. Just watches one thing: panic pricing on binary outcomes. Heres the mechanic. Every Iran strike market has two sides: YES or NO. When headlines scream war retail floods YES. Fear spikes the price. But wars dont start every day. Math says NO is underpriced. The wallet sees it. Buys NO at 63-85. Waits. Deadline passes. Nothing happens. NO pays $1. Cost: 63-85 Payout: $1 Profit: 17-38"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018758003248517342)  2026-02-03T18:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@banan_crypto @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketTrade classic panic premium. people priced sci-fi headlines not base reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018816605497782328)  2026-02-03T22:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@AIexey_Stark @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @MicroStrategy unrealized losses only matter if you plan to stop. his whole thing is literally not stopping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018816921693811079)  2026-02-03T22:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Someone on Reddit said his wife gave him an ultimatum: stop gambling on Polymarket or she's leaving. His response got 2.3K upvotes. I stopped gambling. Now I just copy kingofcoinflips. Comment section went insane. Half asked for the wallet link. Half called him an idiot. He posted it. No explanation. Just the address. Wallet: $627903 profit. [----] predictions. Six months. Someone in the thread did the math. That's $3400 per day. Average. His wife wanted him to stop losing money. He did. Just not the way she expected. The wallet bets on [--] minute windows. BTC. ETH. SOL. Doesn't pick direction."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018819108918247870)  2026-02-03T22:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xashensoul @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 70% feels late but still not crowded. most people are just now connecting the pattern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018823857294155822)  2026-02-03T23:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@MazinoTower @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is what tilt looks like when it has eight figures. psychology becomes the market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018825498810617991)  2026-02-03T23:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Bober_smart 399900% ROI sounds insane until you realize its pure microstructure exploitation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018827485727650121)  2026-02-03T23:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket this is what liquidity edges look like when you stop caring about teams and start caring about price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018895429568807231)  2026-02-04T03:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket pure mechanical edge. when addition breaks direction doesnt matter anymore"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018895584933851328)  2026-02-04T03:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"One wallet buried in Polymarket just crossed $1.6M profit. [-----] bets. Nobody's talking about it. sovereign2013. Joined July [----]. 32k profile views. Balance curve straight line to the sky. I spent [--] hours tracking every position. Expected some complex arbitrage. Neural networks. Advanced hedging. Account: Found something way simpler. Sports spreads. That's it. But here's what broke my brain. Utah State Aggies [-----] spread. Entry $74K. Win $188K. ROI 153%. Tulane vs Temple at [--]. Entry $89K. Win $171K. ROI 90%. Broncos [----] spread. Entry $63K. Win $137K. ROI 116%. See the pattern He doesn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2018899475075403825)  2026-02-04T04:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Top [--] Polymarket wallet. $3.7M profit. [-----] trades. swisstony doesn't predict football. He taxes your hope. Found this profile buried in the leaderboard noise. Joined July [----]. Profit curve looks photoshopped. Straight line to $3.7M. No dips. Just green. Wallet: Opened the positions. Expected complex hedges. Neural networks. Magic. Got something stupidly simple instead. Will PSG win Bet $302K on NO at [--]. Won $580K. ROI 91.5%. Will Barcelona win Bet $166K on NO at [--]. Won $456K. ROI 174%. Will Liverpool win Bet $134K on NO at [--]. Won $372K. ROI 176%. Pattern clicked after the fifth trade."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019113124968960157)  2026-02-04T18:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ventry089 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is what happens when you trade niches instead of narratives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019113334973587652)  2026-02-04T18:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Ivanbenzemama @Polymarket @zscdao fading the 90% crowd is unironically the cleanest edge on pm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019113452158218320)  2026-02-04T18:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Someone hit $1M on Polymarket in [--] days. Not from predictions. From understanding one thing everyone else ignores. chungguskhan appeared November [----]. [---] bets later: $1.09M profit. Curve goes straight up. Zero dips. Most traders chase outcomes. This wallet hunts certainty. I went through every position. Pattern jumped out immediately. Big political bets. High conviction entries. Massive size. $242K into "Will Polymarket US go live in 2025" Entry at [--]. Bought YES. Won $380K. ROI: 57% Nobody bets $242K on a coinflip. $91K into Solomon token sale commitment. Entry at [--]. Won $201K. ROI: 119%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019187064298705017)  2026-02-04T23:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @PolymarketTrade yeah ive watched those btc down opens too feels like free money until it suddenly isnt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019472529186853137)  2026-02-05T18:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xashensoul @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade smart money already priced the dip nothing personal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019531649252487341)  2026-02-05T22:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket timing elon clusters is basically free money if you move first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019531893100941530)  2026-02-05T22:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade holding those positions feels like a power move not gambling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019532039767355460)  2026-02-05T22:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gavelsvtw @Polymarket cheapest odds patience repeatprofit writes itself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019532283166998873)  2026-02-05T22:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Mnilax @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade saylor panic talk is louder than actual math"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019532439027335646)  2026-02-05T22:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Kropanchik @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao btc dropping in $5k chunks makes it feel inevitable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019532599828574221)  2026-02-05T22:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@lunatik_corp @Polymarket lucky or skilled doesnt matter heavy payouts usually come when the crowd overprices certainty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2019895158657962205)  2026-02-06T22:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Whales dumped millions to win just a few thousand on 99.7-99.8% odds NO US-Venezuela military clash Here their NO bets: bobe2 $1.29M - $3881 ForesightOracle $768k - $1539 tsybka $424k - $1275 wkmfa57 $350k - $702 Total risk $2.83M for $7.4k profit Market already survived third dispute funds frozen If oracle suddenly resolves YES these guys lose millions farming pennies https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007482730552996151 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007482730552996151"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007482730552996151)  2026-01-03T16:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$49 to $3.9M in six months. Not by predicting. By taxing panic. swisstony. [-----] trades. Win rate 97%. Biggest single position: $290K profit. I overlaid his entry timestamps onto Binance liquidation feeds. Pattern became obvious. This is not prediction. This is pain arbitrage. BTC flash crashes. Retail sees red. Rushes to Polymarket to dump positions. Sells at any price. Bot monitors liquidation cascades across Binance Bybit OKX in real time. When $50M+ liquidates per second bounce incoming within [--] seconds. The extraction window opens. Panic sellers flood Polymarket. Spread breaks. YES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2015060292745519610)  2026-01-24T13:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"One trader turned $452K positions into $3.6M in [--] months. Not by guessing coin flips. By understanding something most traders ignore. I spent [--] days analyzing the swisstony wallet on Polymarket. Track: [-----] predictions. $290K biggest single win. The profit curve climbs like a glitch in the matrix. Here's what nobody tells you. This trader doesn't predict BTC direction. He reads crowd psychology in real time. When panic hits crypto Twitter at 3am. When BTC drops 5% in [--] seconds. When everyone's selling everything. You are Fear. Your hands shake. You dump your position at market price. Any"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2016303781399453915)  2026-01-28T00:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"A Polymarket whale is quietly extracting $15K per day from college basketball. $765K total profit. One simple pattern. Repeated [----] times. The name means nothing. The results say everything. I found Nooserac three layers deep in the sports betting leaderboard. Another trader grinding margins. Almost scrolled past. Then I saw the bet sizes. $33K on a single college basketball total. Too aggressive for a gambler. Way too consistent. That's when it clicked I was looking at the wrong category. This wallet doesn't predict outcomes. Doesn't care who wins. Doesn't follow teams. Doesn't read injury"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2017838322333139064)  2026-02-01T05:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing