# ![@tomicki Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::30516573.png) @tomicki Lukasz “The Pivot is Near” Tomicki

Lukasz “The Pivot is Near” Tomicki posts on X about investment, $chh, core, $chtr the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::30516573/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::30516573/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +98%
- [--] Month [------] +1,692%
- [--] Months [------] -7.70%
- [--] Year [------] +108%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::30516573/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::30516573/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Months [--] -7.80%
- [--] Year [--] +119%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::30516573/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::30516573/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +3.50%
- [--] Month [-----] +19%
- [--] Months [-----] +21%
- [--] Year [-----] +23%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::30516573/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::30516573/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  [finance](/list/finance)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [us election](/list/us-election) 

**Social topic influence**
[investment](/topic/investment), [$chh](/topic/$chh), [core](/topic/core), [$chtr](/topic/$chtr), [$nvda](/topic/$nvda), [$oke](/topic/$oke), [cash flow](/topic/cash-flow), [flow](/topic/flow), [$fisv](/topic/$fisv), [$abg](/topic/$abg)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@irbezek](/creator/undefined) [@biohazard3737](/creator/undefined) [@orrdavid](/creator/undefined) [@svrnco](/creator/undefined) [@hkuppy](/creator/undefined) [@paleologo](/creator/undefined) [@bonhoefferkds](/creator/undefined) [@ag76biotech](/creator/undefined) [@atelicinvest](/creator/undefined) [@philbak1](/creator/undefined) [@magicratsf](/creator/undefined) [@patientinvestt](/creator/undefined) [@valueinvest12](/creator/undefined) [@marceloplima](/creator/undefined) [@aggresivevalue](/creator/undefined) [@odddiligence](/creator/undefined) [@joeymannarinous](/creator/undefined) [@dividendmaster](/creator/undefined) [@quantinsideriq](/creator/undefined) [@koyfincharts](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Choice Hotels Intnl. (CHH)](/topic/$chh) [Charter Communications Inc (CHTR)](/topic/$chtr) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [ONEOK, Inc. (OKE)](/topic/$oke) [Fiserv Inc (FISV)](/topic/$fisv) [Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG)](/topic/$abg) [Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)](/topic/$pfe) [StoneCo Ltd. Class A Common Shares (STNE)](/topic/$stne) [PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS)](/topic/$pags) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Tongtongcoin (TTC)](/topic/$ttc) [RLI Corp. (RLI)](/topic/$rli) [TRINET GROUP, INC. (TNET)](/topic/$tnet) [Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)](/topic/$noc) [Wall Street Memes (WSM)](/topic/$wsm) [Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)](/topic/$cmcsa) [Texas Pacific Land, Corp. (TPL)](/topic/$tpl) [Crown Castle Inc (CCI)](/topic/$cci) [Ball, Corp. (BALL)](/topic/$ball) [Deere & Company (DE)](/topic/$de) [Exxon Mobil (XOM)](/topic/$xom) [Alien Base (ALB)](/topic/$alb) [Nike Inc (NKE)](/topic/$nke) [InMode Ltd. Ordinary Shares (INMD)](/topic/$inmd) [Brown-Forman Corporation Class B (BF.B)](/topic/$bfb) [ELYSIA (EL)](/topic/$el) [INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC. (IBP)](/topic/$ibp) [Novo-Nordisk (NVO)](/topic/$nvo) [Corporacion America Airports S.A. (CAAP)](/topic/$caap) [Validity (VAL)](/topic/$val) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A)](/topic/berkshire-hathaway) [Danaher Corporation (DHR)](/topic/$dhr) [PAC Protocol (PAC)](/topic/$pac) [Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH)](/topic/$moh) [Marriott International Inc (MAR)](/topic/$mar) [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)](/topic/$tsm) [Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Common Stock (WH)](/topic/$wh) [DinoLFG (DINO)](/topic/$dino) [Limitus (LMT)](/topic/$lmt) [Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN)](/topic/$algn) [Aspen Technology, Inc. (AZPN)](/topic/$azpn) [CME Group Inc (CME)](/topic/$cme) [Livent Corporation (LTHM)](/topic/$lthm) [Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA (SQM)](/topic/$sqm) [Decentral Games (DG)](/topic/$dg) [Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)](/topic/$fnv) [Minted (MTD)](/topic/$mtd) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Masimo Corporation (MASI)](/topic/$masi) [ResMed Inc. (RMD)](/topic/$rmd) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA)](/topic/$ulta) [Agoric (BLD)](/topic/$bld) [Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR)](/topic/$bldr) [Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX)](/topic/$fix) [EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)](/topic/$eme) [Saia, Inc. (SAIA)](/topic/$saia) [Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD)](/topic/$ssd) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/$uber) [Phillips [--] (PSX)](/topic/$psx) [Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)](/topic/$lly) [GrokCoin (GROKCOIN)](/topic/grok)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"LRT Global +32.14% year-to-date net of fees. $RLI $TSM $DINO $NOC $WSM $WH $ABG $TPL $CMCSA $ALGN $AZPN $CME $TNET $LMT $DE $CCI $BALL $CHH $XOM $ALB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1675961357856829440)  2023-07-10T19:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"LRT Global +50.62% YTD (net): - are you not entertained"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1699135313698795790)  2023-09-05T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@patientinvestt Given the current interest rates on cash and the valuations buybacks are actively value destroying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1713567134515663233)  2023-10-15T14:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"When I was [--] I had an older girlfriend who committed suicide. We had a small fight in the morning and I left for work. I ignored her phone calls through the day and when I wasn't angry anymore around 5pm I went to her house. She had already hanged herself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1717940206400123233)  2023-10-27T16:23Z [----] followers, 33.7K engagements


"$PFE about to go negative on the day"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1735315542565695958)  2023-12-14T15:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$PFE will never go up again in our lifetime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1735376361819193379)  2023-12-14T19:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My father used to say that he spent a decade destroying the automotive industry. The firm he worked for declared chapter [--] in [----]. He then joined Pfizer and has been focused on destroying the pharma industry. Mission accomplished $PFE. I will let you know if he changes jobs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1735377412324573677)  2023-12-14T19:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I don't own any $NKE shares. #blessed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1738203315442212984)  2023-12-22T14:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Ideas for next year: $ALB $LTHM $SQM $EL $DG $INMD $MASI $FNV $RMD $MTD $BF.B $NOC $PYPL $DE $STNE $PAGS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1740034455778324541)  2023-12-27T15:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Any good sources to learn about Michael Platt / Bluecrest Relatively few media appearances on YouTube. Thanks in advance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1744007352678846466)  2024-01-07T14:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@value_invest12 @MarceloPLima $TSLA is finally becoming a global auto OEM with the margins to prove it 1% revenue growth 150x FCFE with 1/2 of the FCF coming from accounting games in Q4. What a deal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1750269856442667330)  2024-01-24T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$CMCSA Where 0% revenue growth translates to +9.3% EPS growth. #winning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1750543798608777655)  2024-01-25T15:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@aggresivevalue Is $TPL an oil stock Asking for a friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1750620771930505711)  2024-01-25T20:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I remember how people told me Bill Ackman was a brilliant investor because he blew out of $NFLX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1750664560783073762)  2024-01-25T23:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The January [----] Investor Update is now available for download. Gross returns of approximately 8.32% (8.23% net of fees) of which 0.32% came from market beta and 7.99% from our alpha generation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1753404148932829450)  2024-02-02T13:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Biohazard3737 Shifting power dynamics in the Rx channel. Power shifted to PBMs and health insurers. Competitive challenges in specialized merchandising categories: $ULTA in cosmetics 7/11 in grocery etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1761060041077969397)  2024-02-23T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"A stock market correction for ants"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1761121989526192229)  2024-02-23T20:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Talking $CCI $CHTR $INMD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1762553971183329655)  2024-02-27T19:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Talking $IBP $BLD $BLDR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1762555089254777248)  2024-02-27T19:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"LRT Global (net): Feb +12.13% YTD +21.37%. Feb was 0.91% from market beta and 11.22% from our alpha generation. Current beta: [-----]. $FIX $EME $ALB $SAIA $SSD $BALL $RLI $TTD https://www.lrtcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/2024-02-February-Investor-Update.pdf https://www.lrtcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/2024-02-February-Investor-Update.pdf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1764638172250620056)  2024-03-04T13:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Breaking News: President Xi Jinping says: "All Americans fat stupid and ugly." China to retaliate against US chip export bans by immediately banning all exports of delicious Chinese food to the USA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1765756134873239803)  2024-03-07T15:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@OddDiligence @Biohazard3737 Yes. Ex-wife kept billing Uber Eats to my card for [--] years despite having reported the issue to capital one multiple times and gotten the card replaced several times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1773828031267619070)  2024-03-29T21:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"LRT Global (net): Mar -0.26% YTD +21.05%. Mar was 0.51% from market beta and -0.77% from our alpha generation. Current beta: [------]. $WSM $ABG $PSX $ALGN $XOM https://www.lrtcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/2024-03-March-Investor-Update.pdf https://www.lrtcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/2024-03-March-Investor-Update.pdf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1775525153432076303)  2024-04-03T14:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JoeyMannarinoUS @DividendMaster I like hiking. I get your point of course but this hardly rises to my top [--] of wasteful government spending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1779692416166944789)  2024-04-15T02:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I once joked with a high profile fund manager about hiring away his best staff. He told me a story about how he shot a deer from [---] yards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1780729918147453397)  2024-04-17T22:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"After a brief visit to Las Vegas I can assure you that the future for $LLY and $NVO is assured"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1785465733725720650)  2024-05-01T00:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@orrdavid High fixed cost + high financial leverage business with limited differentiation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1787928991946424497)  2024-05-07T19:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Biohazard3737 Wait till JPow does another rate hike"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1792966402623807493)  2024-05-21T17:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$TT one of the very few stocks to avoid the "Business Breakdowns curse". https://www.joincolossus.com/episodes/62691365/larson-trane-technologies-hvac-solutionstab=transcript https://www.joincolossus.com/episodes/62691365/larson-trane-technologies-hvac-solutionstab=transcript"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1793284993243927026)  2024-05-22T14:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Are there any good services providing summaries of key facts from earnings call transcripts Which ones do you use Which ones are worth trying What should a good transcript summary have What about other documents (8-k 10-k) are these worth summarizing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1795801511483638134)  2024-05-29T12:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$RMD - what's not to like. https://seekingalpha.com/pr/19805700-resmed-inc-announces-results-for-fourth-quarter-of-fiscal-year-2024 https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-resmed-stock-price-pick-043fda95 https://seekingalpha.com/pr/19805700-resmed-inc-announces-results-for-fourth-quarter-of-fiscal-year-2024 https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-resmed-stock-price-pick-043fda95"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1819103094187159999)  2024-08-01T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Time to short $NVDA https://schwabnetwork.com/video/reasons-to-short-nvidia-nvda- https://schwabnetwork.com/video/reasons-to-short-nvidia-nvda-"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1820535124041306331)  2024-08-05T18:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$NVDA - AI will kill us all. Perhaps before or after it takes all of our jobs. #aifail"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1831178929907888582)  2024-09-04T03:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"You say solution I hear gross margin. $NVDA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1834723065940369795)  2024-09-13T22:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@QuantINsider_IQ Rough Vol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1842350092063326461)  2024-10-04T23:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Trying (and failing) to pitch $CAAP: @irbezek https://schwabnetwork.com/video/bearish-for-nvda-bullish-for-airports https://schwabnetwork.com/video/bearish-for-nvda-bullish-for-airports"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1843689101792555453)  2024-10-08T16:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I am an outspoken critic of AI apparently: https://middlemarketgrowth.org/bears-case-against-ai-private-equity/ https://middlemarketgrowth.org/bears-case-against-ai-private-equity/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1845133911854067966)  2024-10-12T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@KoyfinCharts Are the other examples of companies like this where there was no scandal product liability issue management malfeasance large bad acquisition"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1852344781860487672)  2024-11-01T13:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Biohazard3737 If Trump loses he will blame everyone but himself. This includes blaming Elon and RFK. Imagine spending $100mm to help Trump then being the target of his anger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1853110092704391633)  2024-11-03T16:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Assume you have a coin that is biased 60/40 in favor of heads. What is the minimum number of observations (flips of the coin) do you need to have a 95% confidence what the coin is truly a 60/40 biased coin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1853501790899114109)  2024-11-04T18:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"AI answers: Gemini (1): [---] Grok (1): [--] Grok (2): [--] - correct Rufus (1): [---] Perplexity (1): [---] Claude [---] Sonnet (1): [---] Claude [---] Sonnet (2): [--] - correct ChatGPT 4: (1): [---] ChatGTP 4o (1): [---] ChatGTP 4o (2): [----] ChatGTP 4o (3): [----] ChatGPT o1-preview (1): [---] ChatGPT o1-preview (2): [--] - correct answer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1853515799735968099)  2024-11-04T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"None of the leading AI engines gave me a correct answer on the first attempt. In each case where I got a wrong answer I prompted "try again". Gemini refused to give me anything different. Rufus interpreted by prompt as "buy again" and offered be to reorder things. ChatGPT 4o never seem to get anywhere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1853517560626741645)  2024-11-04T19:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I wrote before how a linear regression of forward returns against the Shiller PE gives you a forward estimated [--] year annualized return of 3.81% (nominal) and 1.67% if using inflation adjusted return"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1853547757912363010)  2024-11-04T21:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"But linear regression is heavily influenced by outliers. Luckily we have long solved the problem of outliers. A common technique is to use a RANSAC (Random Sample Consensus) algorithm. Using this approach we can estimate a more accurate model. This model predicts forward returns of 3.15% nominal and -1.14% real for the next decade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1853548820870709459)  2024-11-04T21:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Biohazard3737 $XBI flat for [--] years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1857508024706826431)  2024-11-15T19:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$TPL - what is going on @BisonInterests"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1859659499520336234)  2024-11-21T18:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"By popular demand"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1865165749087609043)  2024-12-06T22:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"One rarely discussed advantage the US has is the depth of management talent. If you are a PE sponsor and you want to find a new management team for your niche industrial business is it easier to find a good manager in the US or for a similar company in Spain Bulgaria Latvia"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1865197867503149324)  2024-12-07T00:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$VAL will never rise again in our lifetimes. @hkuppy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1869032552826368200)  2024-12-17T14:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Could $STNE and $PAGS merge already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1870187031097201026)  2024-12-20T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Elon Musk book by @WalterIsaacson is truly outstanding. Amazingly engaging and easy to read despite being 600+ pages. There is still hope for human creators in this GenAI-powered world. 5/5 https://a.co/d/dxUBgay https://a.co/d/dxUBgay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1870584541607240069)  2024-12-21T21:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Alcoholic beverages @ max hate. @irbezek"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1877828126698332566)  2025-01-10T21:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Secrets4stocks @irbezek I stand corrected"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1877840697618825410)  2025-01-10T22:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Congratulations to David Orr $ORR @orrdavid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1879636523139858549)  2025-01-15T21:07Z [----] followers, 12.4K engagements


"The US has never supported Taiwanese independence. It is not a concession just a reassurance that our position hasn't change. The US official position on this has been articulated in the Shanghai Communiqu in 1972: "The U.S. side declared: The United States acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China. The United States Government does not challenge that position.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1883023956321370442)  2025-01-25T05:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I agree there have been unnecessary tensions created. On the broader point there is really no point for China to invade Taiwan because Taiwan is already part of China. Culturally economically dyplomatically. Notice the US officially doesnt even have a consulate nor embasssy in Taipei. The only reason I see for Chinese action on Taiwan is if Taiwan were seeking independence and took credible steps to achieve it. Given that Taiwan is a robust democracy I doubt their government would attempt such a reckless thing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1883027420451659907)  2025-01-25T05:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@BarrySchwartzBW Tell that to the owners of $STNE $PAGS and $PBR/A"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1887859671014273307)  2025-02-07T13:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JerryCap $GOOGL $TNET $BAH $UNH too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1896953738113511445)  2025-03-04T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@orrdavid @ConcaveMMT Exactly. I doesnt matter what deals Americans make. The trade deficit is a result of excess domestic demand driven by the stimulus of deficit spending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1898013560900296721)  2025-03-07T14:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Biohazard3737 I think this is because people think they can't possibly be like athletes but they think that their bosses are dumb and they could do the same thing better. Not many people think they have be Federer but many think they can be Warren Buffett"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1898410709634953351)  2025-03-08T16:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"What's the bear case on $APP Financials look beautiful"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1899288182677524923)  2025-03-11T02:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@roojoo3 Feels like I am reading the $CDLX guy but from the short side"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1899319584177475930)  2025-03-11T04:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@__paleologo I dont even know what MTMO is. I guess Im totally cooked then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1899320330973278695)  2025-03-11T04:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$CGNX negative for [--] years now. Still looks expensive. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cognex-vision-quest/id1559120677i=1000696179933 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cognex-vision-quest/id1559120677i=1000696179933"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1899884096035447219)  2025-03-12T18:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@agnostoxxx @hkuppy I think so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1901333450290086293)  2025-03-16T18:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Bonhoeffer_KDS thoughts on tariff impact on the dealers $LAD $ABG $GPI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1905255963466100765)  2025-03-27T13:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I will be in Omaha for the Annual Berkshire Hathaway meeting. Please reach out if you would like to connect while in Nebraska"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1905256435593642057)  2025-03-27T13:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Bonhoeffer_KDS It seems to me it will boost used car prices a bit which might be an overall net benefit. I dont see how dealers absorb any of the impact on new cars as new car sales margins already seem tiny to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1905260892163301454)  2025-03-27T14:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The perfect hedge for $LULU turns out to be $WRB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1905616943760957938)  2025-03-28T13:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@buccocapital Many more examples like that $DHR $RGEN $CSGP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1906730730379427976)  2025-03-31T15:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"New ATH in $PAC and $OMAB for those who celebrate @irbezek"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1920225060230443390)  2025-05-07T21:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ag76_biotech For every country we have a trade surplus with we will slap a 10% tariff. Greatest trade deal ever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1920463218515788129)  2025-05-08T12:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Long $SMH / Short $XBI continues to be undefeated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1922297270688522418)  2025-05-13T14:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$SMH is never going to go down again in our lifetime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1922657954408349880)  2025-05-14T14:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Globalization has allowed the United States to specialize in the creative aspect of things the production of concepts and ideas. There is after all more money in designing a shoe than actually making it. $DECK $NKE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1922707275132657994)  2025-05-14T17:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ErnestWongBWM Yes. Now can someone give me $10b to manage so I can buy $UNP $MCO and $GOOGL And sit on my hands and talk about long term investing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1922768273269047691)  2025-05-14T21:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Make short selling great again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1925098187305460161)  2025-05-21T07:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@maxpcohen Is he talking about the US credit rating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1929895826874089618)  2025-06-03T13:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Interview I did in Omaha during the Annual Berkshire Hathaway Weekend. We cover many topics. Enjoy https://www.youtube.com/watchv=QyC9jAxZtAY https://www.youtube.com/watchv=QyC9jAxZtAY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1930925423065788549)  2025-06-06T09:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bubbles. Stay thirsty my friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1937164109658919040)  2025-06-23T15:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$CAAP - Anything you would disagree with @irbezek https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-corporacion-america-airports-s-a-caap/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-corporacion-america-airports-s-a-caap/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1949408301797822765)  2025-07-27T09:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$GATX - a company I don't hear much about on here. https://gemini.tomicki.net/gatx-corporation-gatx-an-in-depth-analysis-of-a-railcar-leasing-leader/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/gatx-corporation-gatx-an-in-depth-analysis-of-a-railcar-leasing-leader/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1949805199515684871)  2025-07-28T12:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@SchopenhauerCap Edenred - https://gemini.tomicki.net/edenred-sa-eden-pa-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/edenred-sa-eden-pa-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1950272931277205517)  2025-07-29T19:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$NA.TO Comprehensive Investment Analysis: National Bank of Canada (TSX: NA) - https://gemini.tomicki.net/comprehensive-investment-analysis-national-bank-of-canada-tsx-na/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/comprehensive-investment-analysis-national-bank-of-canada-tsx-na/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1950518788283125824)  2025-07-30T11:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$OMAB $PAC $ASR The Mexican Airport Concessions: A Comparative Investment Analysis of GAP ASUR and OMA - https://gemini.tomicki.net/the-mexican-airport-concessions-a-comparative-investment-analysis-of-gap-asur-and-oma/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/the-mexican-airport-concessions-a-comparative-investment-analysis-of-gap-asur-and-oma/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1950518851054997976)  2025-07-30T11:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$AAON AAON Inc. (AAON): Deep Dive Analysis of a Premium HVAC Manufacturer - https://gemini.tomicki.net/aaon-deep-dive-premium-hvac-manufacturer/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/aaon-deep-dive-premium-hvac-manufacturer/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1950519010153652279)  2025-07-30T11:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$EXPO Exponent Inc. (EXPO) Comprehensive Investment Research Analysis - https://gemini.tomicki.net/exponent-inc-expo-comprehensive-investment-research-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/exponent-inc-expo-comprehensive-investment-research-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1950520449382900115)  2025-07-30T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@eriktorenberg Maybe we should send a delegation to study the success of Chad Afganistn and Zambia"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1950618371654852746)  2025-07-30T18:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"By popular demand $DNP - Investment Research Analysis: Dino Polska SA (DNP.WAR) https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-dino-polska-sa-dnp-war/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-dino-polska-sa-dnp-war/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1952421071057289551)  2025-08-04T17:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"and a completely different retailer. $ZAB https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-zabka-group-sa-zab-war/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-zabka-group-sa-zab-war/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1952421456245297496)  2025-08-04T17:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ORCL Oracle Corporation (ORCL): An In-Depth Investment Analysis - https://gemini.tomicki.net/oracle-corporation-orcl-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/oracle-corporation-orcl-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1952736252748247329)  2025-08-05T14:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$AXON; what do we make of the stunningly large one day moves in stocks ($TTD ) we have seen in recent months Less liquidity More leveraged market neutral players More people betting on short term factors @profplum99 @FundamentEdge @__paleologo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1952739535575544222)  2025-08-05T14:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Today's deep dive. $SAP - https://gemini.tomicki.net/sap-se-sap-investment-research-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/sap-se-sap-investment-research-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1953109724011933992)  2025-08-06T15:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"AGI - ChatGPT-5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1953807015991525784)  2025-08-08T13:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"AGI - Gemini"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1953807334964109526)  2025-08-08T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Elevance Health Inc. (ELV) Investment Research Analysis $ELV - https://gemini.tomicki.net/elevance-health-inc-elv-investment-research-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/elevance-health-inc-elv-investment-research-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954820457942634668)  2025-08-11T08:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Molina Healthcare Inc. (MOH): Navigating a Paradigm Shift in Government-Sponsored Healthcare $MOH https://gemini.tomicki.net/molina-healthcare-inc-moh-navigating-a-paradigm-shift-in-government-sponsored-healthcare/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/molina-healthcare-inc-moh-navigating-a-paradigm-shift-in-government-sponsored-healthcare/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954820529191317842)  2025-08-11T08:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"UnitedHealth Group (UNH): An Integrated Healthcare Colossus $UNH https://gemini.tomicki.net/unitedhealth-group-unh-an-integrated-healthcare-colossus/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/unitedhealth-group-unh-an-integrated-healthcare-colossus/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954820580529603021)  2025-08-11T08:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) Investment Research Analysis $NVO https://gemini.tomicki.net/novo-nordisk-a-s-nvo-investment-research-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/novo-nordisk-a-s-nvo-investment-research-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954820660145828255)  2025-08-11T08:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B): An In-Depth Investment Analysis $BF.B https://gemini.tomicki.net/brown-forman-corporation-bf-b-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/brown-forman-corporation-bf-b-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954820724058735102)  2025-08-11T08:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Inflation https://on.ft.com/4fwTXOU https://on.ft.com/4fwTXOU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954906286648132076)  2025-08-11T14:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@atelicinvest Was this tweet written by some damn LLM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1954926159226937808)  2025-08-11T15:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$IBP - Deep Dive; https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-analysis-installed-building-products-inc-nyse-ibp/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-analysis-installed-building-products-inc-nyse-ibp/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1955630146997944413)  2025-08-13T13:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The Este Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) $EL https://gemini.tomicki.net/deep-investment-research-analysis-the-estee-lauder-companies-inc-el/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/deep-investment-research-analysis-the-estee-lauder-companies-inc-el/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1956024752591503582)  2025-08-14T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TylerHardt https://gemini.tomicki.net/medpace-holdings-inc-medp-investment-research-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/medpace-holdings-inc-medp-investment-research-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1956341755730637094)  2025-08-15T13:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Valvoline Inc. (VVV): An In-Depth Analysis of a Pure-Play Automotive Service Retailer $VVV https://gemini.tomicki.net/valvoline-inc-vvv-an-in-depth-analysis-of-a-pure-play-automotive-service-retailer/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/valvoline-inc-vvv-an-in-depth-analysis-of-a-pure-play-automotive-service-retailer/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1957442260276044216)  2025-08-18T13:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


""Scarcely in the history of payments have so many bankers been paid such enormous fees for so little value creation." $GPN https://www.scuttleblurb.com/gpn/ https://www.scuttleblurb.com/gpn/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1957450565031448857)  2025-08-18T14:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$SCCO Comprehensive Investment Analysis: Southern Copper Corp. (SCCO) https://gemini.tomicki.net/comprehensive-investment-analysis-southern-copper-corp-scco/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/comprehensive-investment-analysis-southern-copper-corp-scco/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1958154706825498687)  2025-08-20T13:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$SIG Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG): An In-Depth Investment Analysis of the Diamond Market Leader https://gemini.tomicki.net/signet-jewelers-limited-sig-an-in-depth-investment-analysis-of-the-diamond-market-leader/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/signet-jewelers-limited-sig-an-in-depth-investment-analysis-of-the-diamond-market-leader/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1958595496630788203)  2025-08-21T18:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$SEZL Sezzel - https://gemini.tomicki.net/sezzle-inc-sezl-navigating-the-competitive-crosscurrents-of-the-bnpl-revolution/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/sezzle-inc-sezl-navigating-the-competitive-crosscurrents-of-the-bnpl-revolution/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1958880782799253894)  2025-08-22T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Veris Residential Inc. (VRE): An In-Depth Investment Analysis $VRE https://gemini.tomicki.net/veris-residential-inc-vre-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/veris-residential-inc-vre-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1959625948103414096)  2025-08-24T14:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@BoringBiz_ If you ask Jensen I am sure he will have a fix for this problem that involves more $NVDA GPUs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1961083033512989016)  2025-08-28T15:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"When do CTAs start selling $QQQ $SMH - flat M/M"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1961432935334088778)  2025-08-29T14:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@atelicinvest Indeed https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-gaztransport-technigaz-sa-gtt-pa/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/investment-research-analysis-gaztransport-technigaz-sa-gtt-pa/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1961913087633580384)  2025-08-30T22:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$CHTR - A turnaround or more bagholding https://gemini.tomicki.net/charter-communications-inc-chtr-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/ https://gemini.tomicki.net/charter-communications-inc-chtr-an-in-depth-investment-analysis/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1963586082336821414)  2025-09-04T12:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Maybe we should ban short selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1963980142973223112)  2025-09-05T14:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@b_cap21 Quality factor has been dead for the past [--] years. Same with $DHR and $TMO and many others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1965478475810349087)  2025-09-09T18:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I was reliably informed that $CVNA $RGTI and $OKLO would never go down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1981011655170703497)  2025-10-22T14:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Owning both $MEDP and $MOH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1981103856718401599)  2025-10-22T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ag76_biotech Is this the monster rally I have been promised"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1989425960454950995)  2025-11-14T20:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The market is efficient at pricing short-term quantitative data but consistently inefficient at pricing qualitative duration. We are seeing a classic dislocation in $OKE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1990957418340040875)  2025-11-19T01:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"1. Irreplaceable Assets: In a regulatory environment hostile to new infrastructure existing pipe is not just an assetit is a monopoly. You cannot replicate this network today. $OKE owns the toll roads for the energy transition and that competitive advantage is durable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1990957544261456277)  2025-11-19T01:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"2. The skepticism around the Magellan/EnLink acquisitions was a "show me" story. Management is showing us. Synergies are tracking ahead of schedule shifting the mix toward stable fee-based earnings. This is high-quality capital allocation in real-time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1990957650612208010)  2025-11-19T01:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"3. Asymmetric Risk/Reward. At $68 the downside is protected by robust free cash flow and a covered yield that pays you to wait. We are buying a high-quality compounder at a valuation that implies zero growth. Long $OKE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1990957882041339909)  2025-11-19T01:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@P_Remarks All about Fed and the path of rate cuts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1991262673061744872)  2025-11-19T21:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"1/ Is $CHH the most mispriced royalty engine in hospitality We view Choice Hotels as a high-margin compounder trading at a massive discount to peers. Heres the bull case for buying a "Hilton-like" economic model at a "distressed" valuation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996312688482304314)  2025-12-03T20:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The Core Engine 🏨 At its heart $CHH is a 98% asset-light franchise model. This structure is a thing of beauty: Generates recurring high-margin fees Minimal capital intensity Exceptional ROIC Unlike owners Choice is insulated from labor/utility inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996312755297468742)  2025-12-03T20:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ The Misconception 📉 The market penalizes $CHH valuing it as a low-growth economy-segment chain. This view is outdated. It ignores a massive structural pivot. Through Radisson Americas + expanding WoodSpring/Cambria $CHH has shifted its mix to higher RevPAR segments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996312976626786436)  2025-12-03T20:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ The Valuation Gap 💰 $CHH currently trades at a 50-70% discount to its large-cap peers ($HLT $MAR). Given the similarity of their fee-based models this spread is unjustified. Investors are effectively buying a premium economic engine at a bargain-bin price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996313050501001614)  2025-12-03T20:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ The Cannibal 🦈 With the stock trading at a double-digit Free Cash Flow yield management is aggressive on capital returns. They are cannibalizing their own equity at a discount. These buybacks are highly accretive permanently boosting FCF/share for remaining owners"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996313206210306107)  2025-12-03T20:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"6/ The Risks ⚠ The thesis isn't without hazards. Two main concerns: [--]. Macro: A recession could disproportionately hit leisure travel demand. [--]. Execution: Competing against entrenched giants (like Marriott) in the upscale development space is a heavy lift"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996313292520685897)  2025-12-03T20:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"7/ Summary $CHH offers a rare setup: ✅ Asset-light stability ✅ Upscale/Extended Stay growth pivot ✅ Aggressive share repurchases ✅ Deep relative value A compelling long for those willing to wait for the valuation gap to close"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996313373630398685)  2025-12-03T20:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The Setup: Maximum Pessimism 📉 The markets violent reaction to the recent guidance reset has created a deep dislocation. $FISV is trading at 9.6x Forward P/E. This is a valuation typically reserved for dying newspapers not a recurring-revenue fintech franchise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996611697734222082)  2025-12-04T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ The "Free" Option: Clover 🍀 At this price you are paying a distressed multiple for the banking core and getting the Clover ecosystem for $0. Clover is real competition for Block ($SQ) in the SMB space. The market is currently assigning it zero value"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996611814625349959)  2025-12-04T16:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"6/ The Capital Allocation Engine ⚙ With the stock crushed the Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield is approaching 14%. $FISV doesn't need heroic growth here. Debt paydown 📉 Aggressive buybacks at 10x P/E 📈 Even low-single-digit growth drives mid-teens IRR from here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996611861169766760)  2025-12-04T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Is $TTC just a lawnmower stock 🚜 The market thinks so punishing Toro for short-term residential weakness. But we see a classic dislocation: A high-quality compounder trading at a cyclical trough with a massive infrastructure growth engine attached for "free.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996933786777330016)  2025-12-05T13:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ The Misunderstanding 📉 Investors are fixated on the "Residential" segment. Yes consumer demand for mowers and snow blowers is soft. But this narrow view ignores the fundamental strength of the Professional division. The market is pricing $TTC like a cyclical toy maker not an industrial essential"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996933890460537274)  2025-12-05T13:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ The Moat 🏰 Toros moat is dug deep by its entrenched dealer network. For pros (golf courses municipalities utility contractors) Uptime is the only metric that matters. Toro provides immediate parts & service. Competitors can't easily replicate this network"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996934210276221091)  2025-12-05T13:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"6/ High Quality Metrics 📊 This service-first model creates high switching costs and recurring revenue dampening volatility. The result A stellar 22% Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). We are buying high-quality compounding at a discount"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996934278123503968)  2025-12-05T13:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"7/ Summary $TTC offers a rare opportunity: [--]. Buy during the residential cyclical trough. [--]. Get the "Underground" infrastructure growth for free. [--]. Own a 20%+ ROIC business with a massive moat. Long Toro. 🐂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996934412999495681)  2025-12-05T13:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Is the "death of broadband" greatly exaggerated 📉 The market is pricing $CHTR for terminal decline. We see a critical infrastructure monopoly with an embedded call option on mobile convergence. Here is the contrarian case for the "Cannibal of Cable." 🧵👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1997021679407567093)  2025-12-05T19:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"4/ The Capital Rotation 🔄 The market ignores the massive inflection approaching. The intense capex cycle (rural expansion network evolution) peaks in [----]. As capex falls Free Cash Flow (FCF) is set to rocket higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1997021768159047724)  2025-12-05T19:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"5/ The Cannibal 🦈 What happens when FCF inflects at 5.5x6.0x EV/EBITDA Aggressive buybacks. Management is effectively retiring equity at a "distressed asset" valuation. This mathematically amplifies FCF per share significantly even if top-line growth is flat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1997021799419150426)  2025-12-05T19:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"7/ The Risks ⚠ The thesis has hazards: [--]. Overbuild: Accelerated fiber deployment could impair terminal growth. [--]. Leverage: At 4.2x Net Debt/EBITDA the equity is sensitive. Any sustained EBITDA deterioration would compress equity value rapidly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1997021865953374459)  2025-12-05T19:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"8/ Summary $CHTR offers a deep value setup: ✅ "Death of Broadband" is priced in (and likely wrong) ✅ Capex cliff = FCF explosion ✅ Aggressive share cannibalization ✅ Utility-like asset at distressed multiples The risks are real but at this price they are more than paid for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1997021906743050521)  2025-12-05T19:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Least enthusiastic market bubble ever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2008613561816478089)  2026-01-06T18:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"This you @svrnco"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2017052705882017949)  2026-01-30T01:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Aureliusltd28 Sure is https://www.factorstoday.com/stock/RKT https://www.factorstoday.com/stock/RKT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2017304775994323351)  2026-01-30T18:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Axioma this is not but it looks reasonable $ORR https://www.factorstoday.com/stock/ORR https://www.factorstoday.com/stock/ORR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2016267720568803520)  2026-01-27T21:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$VAL https://www.factorstoday.com/stock/VAL https://www.factorstoday.com/stock/VAL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2017016865306919263)  2026-01-29T23:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@svrnco Thanks for the kind words"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2017019409227817460)  2026-01-29T23:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I'm claiming my AI agent "LRTAgent" on @moltbook 🦞 Verification: pincer-WVYK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2017422442126262364)  2026-01-31T02:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Your job as an investor should be to compete against morons"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2018060671951265880)  2026-02-01T20:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@jbulltard1 70% of the market is passive on the way to 95%. Nothing insane about these kinds of moves when most buyers don't care about fundamentals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2019505691925352810)  2026-02-05T20:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ The Durable Core 🏛 The bearish narrative ignores the stickiness of the "Financial Solutions" segment. Think of this as the Operating System for thousands of banks & credit unions. Switching costs Astronomical. Revenue Virtually an annuity. This is the safety net investors are overlooking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996611730235895832)  2025-12-04T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@philbak1 Here you go https://www.factorstoday.com/factor/VmFsdWU%3D https://www.factorstoday.com/factor/VmFsdWU%3D"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2021674220418199584)  2026-02-11T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Is the market wrong about $FISV The stock just got decimated (-40% drop) and the street is panic-selling. But we see a rare asymmetric opportunity: Buying a "Jack Henry quality" banking core for pennies on the dollar + getting Clover for free. The contrarian thesis 🧵👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996611656005103949)  2025-12-04T16:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ The Valuation Discrepancy 🤯 Let's look at the peer group. Investors happily pay 26.5x earnings for Jack Henry ($JKHY) to access a "safe" banking core. $FISV trades at a 64% discount to that multiple. The spread is nonsensical given the similarity of the fee-based models"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/1996611781716820413)  2025-12-04T16:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Havent heard much about $AIT $AVAV or $HWM on this platform. Anyone have an opinion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2013414253818958233)  2026-01-20T00:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Havent heard much about $MLI (10yr CAGR 29.32%) $FSS (10yr CAGR 27.15%) or $HLI (10yr CAGR 25.3%) on this platform. Anyone have an opinion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2014780587433668934)  2026-01-23T19:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@DurableCreators $WMB / $OKE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2020300113080431020)  2026-02-08T00:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@MagicRatSF @orrdavid I would add that the R2 is pretty low so there clearly is a lot of artisanal action going underneath. Compare it to $ARKK: and Contrafund: https://www.factorstoday.com/attributionticker=FCNKX https://www.factorstoday.com/attributionticker=ARKK https://www.factorstoday.com/attributionticker=FCNKX https://www.factorstoday.com/attributionticker=ARKK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2022672362739552510)  2026-02-14T14:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@orrdavid I am thinking that the next logical thing to add to the site would me a hedging tool. Upload a portfolio and based on some settings the system would spit out trades to put on to reduce a portfolio's factor exposures. Thoughts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2022814921277292749)  2026-02-14T23:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@irbezek @ValueSeeker_ Doesn't look like even 55%; https://azitrading.com/ticker=COLO&s=2005-02-13&e= https://azitrading.com/ticker=GXG&s=2005-02-13&e= https://azitrading.com/ticker=COLO&s=2005-02-13&e= https://azitrading.com/ticker=GXG&s=2005-02-13&e="  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2022825694590275640)  2026-02-15T00:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Upload a portfolio select factor neutralization options get a set of hedging trades back http://factorstoday.com/hedge http://factorstoday.com/hedge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomicki/status/2022882842376651253)  2026-02-15T03:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

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