Dark | Light
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

# ![@tombos21 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::890300144691892225.png) @tombos21 Tombos21

Tombos21 posts on X about $ev, icm, hidden, wager the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::890300144691892225/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::890300144691892225/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXX +332%
- X Months XXXXXXX +224,869%

### Mentions: X [#](/creator/twitter::890300144691892225/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::890300144691892225/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Month XX -XX%
- X Months XX +1,800%

### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::890300144691892225/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::890300144691892225/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +8.60%
- X Month XXXXX +40%
- X Months XXXXX +5,559%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::890300144691892225/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::890300144691892225/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[currencies](/list/currencies) 

**Social topic influence**
[$ev](/topic/$ev) #8, [icm](/topic/icm), [hidden](/topic/hidden), [wager](/topic/wager), [if you](/topic/if-you), [theory](/topic/theory), [flop](/topic/flop), [threshold](/topic/threshold)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Evai (EV)](/topic/$ev)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Weird MTT fact: If two strategies have the same $EV in ICM then the riskier one must win more chips. For example A8o makes the same $EV regardless of whether you open or fold. Therefore opening must win more chips than folding to compensate for the extra risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1978519367303188782)  2025-10-15T17:52Z 2098 followers, 5392 engagements


"A (not so fun) fact about MTTs is that giving players more bet sizes can actually lower their $EV. More sizes more volatility lower ICM value for both players in the pot. This means unfortunately that ICM creates a hidden incentive for players to soft-play each other"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1979269433991299268)  2025-10-17T19:33Z 2098 followers, 3695 engagements


"Thought experiment: You're on a final table of a major MTT. You get a one-time offer to flip a fair coin against any other player for any amount of chips. You choose the player and the amount of chips to wager. Should you ever take that flip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1994497775384637632)  2025-11-28T20:05Z 2097 followers, 51.4K engagements


"An interesting observation is that we tend to see more mixing in NLHE GTO solutions and more pure strategies in PLO solutions. Perhaps this is related to the fact that in PLO you have many more combos per infoset so it's easier to achieve balance without mixing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1995583932319088665)  2025-12-01T20:01Z 2097 followers, 17.7K engagements


"Should you play tournaments early if you have a skill edge On the one hand late registration gives you and ICM advantage. On the other hand the field is softer at the beginning of a tournament. I simulated millions of vanilla tournaments to find out. - Pro cohort (300 players): Plays from start always re-enters if allowed has advantage vs recs. - Late-reg cohort (200 players): Max late registers has advantage vs recs. - Rec cohort (500 players): plays from start and re-enters at most once has disadvantage vs other cohorts. - Advantage: XX% to XX% coin flip. Late reg cutoff occurs when half"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1996305355421450523)  2025-12-03T19:47Z 2096 followers, 107.9K engagements


"Open poker theory problem: No one has invented canonical flop subsets. We have regular flop subsets which are a set of "average" flops that are useful for mini aggregate reports. But we don't have canonical subsets that aim to capture strategically distinct textures. For example if I open the Pio 3-flop subset you get three unpaired broadway FD flops. Why Because these are the most common flop types so they represent a kind of "average flop". They are minimizing the error of the average. What I'm looking for is more like a representative subset. Something that shows off the different types of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1997038013881503894)  2025-12-05T20:19Z 2097 followers, 5263 engagements


"How would you break down poker into subskills Most courses do it by formation or line e.g. here's how you play BTN vs BB SRP turn probes. But I feel this is off. There should be more fundamental subskills like hand evaluation or value threshold training"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tombos21/status/1996674870579450120)  2025-12-04T20:16Z 2072 followers, 7802 engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@tombos21 Avatar @tombos21 Tombos21

Tombos21 posts on X about $ev, icm, hidden, wager the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX -XX%
  • X Month XXXXXXX +332%
  • X Months XXXXXXX +224,869%

Mentions: X #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Month XX -XX%
  • X Months XX +1,800%

Followers: XXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXX +8.60%
  • X Month XXXXX +40%
  • X Months XXXXX +5,559%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence currencies

Social topic influence $ev #8, icm, hidden, wager, if you, theory, flop, threshold

Top assets mentioned Evai (EV)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Weird MTT fact: If two strategies have the same $EV in ICM then the riskier one must win more chips. For example A8o makes the same $EV regardless of whether you open or fold. Therefore opening must win more chips than folding to compensate for the extra risk"
X Link 2025-10-15T17:52Z 2098 followers, 5392 engagements

"A (not so fun) fact about MTTs is that giving players more bet sizes can actually lower their $EV. More sizes more volatility lower ICM value for both players in the pot. This means unfortunately that ICM creates a hidden incentive for players to soft-play each other"
X Link 2025-10-17T19:33Z 2098 followers, 3695 engagements

"Thought experiment: You're on a final table of a major MTT. You get a one-time offer to flip a fair coin against any other player for any amount of chips. You choose the player and the amount of chips to wager. Should you ever take that flip"
X Link 2025-11-28T20:05Z 2097 followers, 51.4K engagements

"An interesting observation is that we tend to see more mixing in NLHE GTO solutions and more pure strategies in PLO solutions. Perhaps this is related to the fact that in PLO you have many more combos per infoset so it's easier to achieve balance without mixing"
X Link 2025-12-01T20:01Z 2097 followers, 17.7K engagements

"Should you play tournaments early if you have a skill edge On the one hand late registration gives you and ICM advantage. On the other hand the field is softer at the beginning of a tournament. I simulated millions of vanilla tournaments to find out. - Pro cohort (300 players): Plays from start always re-enters if allowed has advantage vs recs. - Late-reg cohort (200 players): Max late registers has advantage vs recs. - Rec cohort (500 players): plays from start and re-enters at most once has disadvantage vs other cohorts. - Advantage: XX% to XX% coin flip. Late reg cutoff occurs when half"
X Link 2025-12-03T19:47Z 2096 followers, 107.9K engagements

"Open poker theory problem: No one has invented canonical flop subsets. We have regular flop subsets which are a set of "average" flops that are useful for mini aggregate reports. But we don't have canonical subsets that aim to capture strategically distinct textures. For example if I open the Pio 3-flop subset you get three unpaired broadway FD flops. Why Because these are the most common flop types so they represent a kind of "average flop". They are minimizing the error of the average. What I'm looking for is more like a representative subset. Something that shows off the different types of"
X Link 2025-12-05T20:19Z 2097 followers, 5263 engagements

"How would you break down poker into subskills Most courses do it by formation or line e.g. here's how you play BTN vs BB SRP turn probes. But I feel this is off. There should be more fundamental subskills like hand evaluation or value threshold training"
X Link 2025-12-04T20:16Z 2072 followers, 7802 engagements

@tombos21
/creator/twitter::tombos21