# ![@themarketradar Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1324919674077843457.png) @themarketradar Market Radar

Market Radar is currently indicating a risk-off regime, which has historically led to major market declines. This regime shift is affecting various assets, including equities, bitcoin, and commodities, with some showing signs of struggle or bearish trends. Analysts are advising patience and caution, suggesting it's time to take risk off the table or step aside.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1324919674077843457/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1324919674077843457/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---------] +290%
- [--] Month [---------] +259%
- [--] Months [---------] +398%
- [--] Year [---------] +65%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1324919674077843457/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1324919674077843457/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +40%
- [--] Month [---] +64%
- [--] Months [-----] +97%
- [--] Year [-----] +42%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1324919674077843457/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1324919674077843457/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.26%
- [--] Month [------] +1.30%
- [--] Months [------] +23%
- [--] Year [------] +54%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1324919674077843457/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1324919674077843457/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [countries](/list/countries)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [us election](/list/us-election) 

**Social topic influence**
[inflation](/topic/inflation), [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin), [fed](/topic/fed), [$spy](/topic/$spy), [stocks](/topic/stocks), [$qqq](/topic/$qqq) #299, [vix](/topic/vix) #444, [rates](/topic/rates), [$vix](/topic/$vix) #140, [money](/topic/money)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@watcherguru](/creator/undefined) [@fejauinc](/creator/undefined) [@calebfranzen](/creator/undefined) [@themarketdog](/creator/undefined) [@mrderivatives](/creator/undefined) [@mayhem4markets](/creator/undefined) [@cryptoparadyme](/creator/undefined) [@barchart](/creator/undefined) [@primary3down](/creator/undefined) [@peterschiff](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@geigercapital](/creator/undefined) [@gameoftrades](/creator/undefined) [@swordfishv44183](/creator/undefined) [@bobeunlimited](/creator/undefined) [@mfhoz](/creator/undefined) [@misterspread](/creator/undefined) [@stockmktnewz](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Rivian Automotive, Inc.  (RIVN)](/topic/$rivn) [Eclipse (ES)](/topic/$es) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)](/topic/$cl) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [DeepBrain Chain (DBC)](/topic/$dbc) [DIA (DIA)](/topic/$dia) [Spotify Technology (SPOT)](/topic/spotify) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$IMOEX #VAMP for the next session: Upper: $169447.4736 (+0.9457%) Lower: $161048.7071 (-4.0577%) Momentum: $155183.9191 #DDAP $ERUS #RUSSIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1432731914889269250)  2021-08-31T15:48Z 14.2K followers, [--] engagements


"$IMOEX #VAMP for the next session: Upper: $173273.034 (+0.6348%) Lower: $161090.2013 (-6.4408%) Momentum: $155671.3642 #DDAP $ERUS #RUSSIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1433456692583338000)  2021-09-02T15:48Z 14.2K followers, [--] engagements


"$IMOEX #VAMP for the next session: Upper: $171924.5289 (+0.3704%) Lower: $161014.7742 (-5.9987%) Momentum: $155479.2362 #DDAP $ERUS #RUSSIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1435234783089631242)  2021-09-07T13:33Z 14.2K followers, [--] engagements


"The European "#RiskOff" premium ( $CHFEUR) remains elevated. Unlike domestic indexes the $DAX can't even bounce to momo.#CHFEUR #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1516761348641722368)  2022-04-20T12:51Z 14.1K followers, [--] engagements


"$VIX and $ANFCI are not showing any signs of alleviating stress on financial markets. If anything they are signaling more stress is on the way. We go into depth on this topic in Ep. [--] of our weekly Radar Report podcast. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1517559833213513728)  2022-04-22T17:43Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Even the $CHF which is considered to be a safe haven global asset is getting whacked a bit. I wonder how many $EUR holders can't access #USD at the moment and are bidding $CHF. $CHFEUR has given decent #RiskOff protection in Europe for a while now. #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1519658438657073152)  2022-04-28T12:43Z 14.1K followers, [--] engagements


"$YENUSD is the pinnacle of monetary destruction over the past few decades outside of the $RUBUSD. We're approaching [----] lows and given their push on "Unlimited QE / YCC" we probably see those lows. Very oversold and very far from momo. #YENUSD #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1521472139127263234)  2022-05-03T12:50Z 14.2K followers, [--] engagements


"All other #Stablecoins for the rest of [----] $LUNA $UST $DAI $GUSD #Luna"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1524049779495428098)  2022-05-10T15:32Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Someone please inform me how this is egregious. $XOM Profit Margin Since [----] But yes let's call $XOM and tell them to stop price gouging. But yes let's call $XOM and tell them to stop price gouging"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1525190225273683969)  2022-05-13T19:04Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"The average UST real yield is moving higher today as it continues to hold within its multi-week consolidation. Still hovering just under 40bps. The bond trade won't come until AFTER real yields peak. Real Yields UP = #Bonds & #Gold DOWN $TIP $TLT $GLD $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1531718693947834369)  2022-05-31T19:26Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Our System has kept you out of #bonds since Oct. [----]. We've sidestepped one of the steepest declines in fixed income in the past decade. Our System is free all we ask you is to pay it forward. $TLT $TMF http://www.market-radar.com http://www.market-radar.com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1532113699049177089)  2022-06-01T21:35Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$VIX is holding up from that momo bounce yesterday. Under momo gives the bear market rally more legs. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1532738697078112257)  2022-06-03T14:59Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE continues to hold near highs as it still signals unfavorable price action for #bonds. We remain side lined on fixed income until there is a reason to be involved aka #Deflation. It's a waiting game until that happens. $TLT $TIP $TMF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1542515549661437952)  2022-06-30T14:29Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Who catches who first $VIX $MOVE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1542527880990601216)  2022-06-30T15:18Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"40 year JBG nominals are 140bps. But what inflation LMAO $JPYUSD $JGB #BOJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1542534927497019395)  2022-06-30T15:46Z 15.1K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE traded higher alongside #bonds today. This continues to signal that the action in bonds remain unfavorable and merely #Stagflation chop at the moment. We continue to wait for favorable #Deflation conditions. $TLT $TIP $TMF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1542874917636452357)  2022-07-01T14:17Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Implied volatility in Treasuries is rocketing toward levels last seen during the peak pandemic market fears of March [----] and JPMorgans Global FX Volatility Index is not too far behind it. - BBG Basically telling you a #RiskOn regime remains a fairy tale at the moment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1545045722126434304)  2022-07-07T14:03Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$DXY off early-session highs going into Job Report. The grand scheme of the current situation doesn't seem to be changing though. We've said this for months and it still remains true. As the market liquidity situation worsens it will continue to fuel DXY. $ANFCI #DDAP #MRD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1545375898882416645)  2022-07-08T11:55Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE traded lower yesterday with #bonds bouncing back and closing green post the CPI whack. The #System hasn't changed and we remain patient with bonds. Choppy action is likely. Until there is a regime pivot towards #Deflation it's just on the watchlist for us. $TLT $TMF #MRD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1547659672877813760)  2022-07-14T19:09Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE as of 7/14 (yesterday) Still not bullish for #bonds. $TLT $TMF #MRD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1547947341159620612)  2022-07-15T14:13Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE as of 7/19 (yesterday) We saw this decline yesterday alongside #bonds as #risk assets caught a bid. We're still waiting for the #Deflation pivot to spark the bond trade. $TLT $TMF #MRD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1549758525554950144)  2022-07-20T14:10Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE as of 7/20 (yesterday) While #bond volatility continues to decline they remain unfavorable from a regime perspective and still trade in a deep bearish trend.We're still waiting for the #Deflation pivot to spark the bond trade. $TLT $TMF #MRD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1550122423282008064)  2022-07-21T14:16Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$CL remains bearish trend long oil = fighting the fed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1550175676296093696)  2022-07-21T17:47Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$MOVE as of 7/21 (yesterday) #Bond volatility continues to compress and decline as bonds trade with sideways price action. Bond vol. still remains extremely elevated and unfavorable at the moment given the current trend and #Stagflation regime. $TLT $TMF #MRD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1550483553053335552)  2022-07-22T14:11Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$DXY is holding mid-VAMP as it bids higher in early trading. As this remains strong it's a signal of poor market liquidity and continues to emphasize the current #RiskOff environment we're experiencing. #USD #DXY #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1551906259477176320)  2022-07-26T12:24Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$SMH is down 215bps so far today and still has over 700bps of downside from here to lower VAMP.😬 #DDAP $NVDA $AMD $INTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1556666399900188673)  2022-08-08T15:39Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Adding to shorts here on $ES in the public portfolio as we get the counter-trend rally into momo. $SPY $SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1559550695203913728)  2022-08-16T14:40Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"The $DXY and $CHFEUR pair are showing you the same thing. We have a global liquidity crunch for safety. Very hard to get #RiskOn pivots when everyone is looking for dollars. The bid for safety continues. #DXY #CHFEUR *DXY divided by [---] to give a proportional overview"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1559571877995184129)  2022-08-16T16:04Z 14.1K followers, [--] engagements


"$DXY is holding its bid despite the attempted rally in risk assets. Given the lack of strength across the major dollar components higher prices remain likely as the bullish trend continues. Dollar up market liquidity down. #DXY #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1562772997017989120)  2022-08-25T12:04Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"no mercy for the macro guys $EUR $JPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1567497779387179013)  2022-09-07T12:59Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$DXY still holding above mid-VAMP as it coils just under the recent regime highs. More dollar demand = lower market liquidity. #DXY #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1570749689997426691)  2022-09-16T12:21Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Domestic indexes closed deep red yesterday following FOMC the more you know the more you realize equities react late. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1572891202508185600)  2022-09-22T10:11Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$GBPUSD (3rd largest $DXY component) moving lower this AM after the Fed pushed rates higher yesterday and the BoE is still stuck trailing the Fed even after hiking 50bps today. The bearish trend makes lower prices more likely. and even parity is a possibility. #GBPUSD #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1572917974608003072)  2022-09-22T11:57Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Our followers already know we watch $HYG total return vs $SPY very closely. $HYG (TR) is 1.67% away from new yearly lows. If that breaks before we see $SPY get down there we will likely see a rapid puke to new lows. Patience"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1572952942142955523)  2022-09-22T14:16Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$DIA is the only index that broke through 52week lows. so far. $SPY $QQQ $IWM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1574703393700028416)  2022-09-27T10:12Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$DXY is off highs but still holding near upper VAMP considerably well so far. Lower VAMP is about -400bps from here but even a move like that wouldn't shift the trend. It seems the dollar remains unstoppable for the time being while it sucks up market liquidity. #DXY #DDAP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1574724156221898752)  2022-09-27T11:34Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"As long as $HYG (adjusted for dividends) remains under the prior closing low of this year new 52w $SPY lows are imminent. Spooz could try and squeeze here but $HYG remains food for 🐻"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1574731134507819008)  2022-09-27T12:02Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$SPY officially made new 52week lows 🫡. $IWM $DIA $QQQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1575065529743818753)  2022-09-28T10:11Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Here is $AMD for the chaps "buying the dip". We don't buy bearish trends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1579590057845223424)  2022-10-10T21:49Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"$VIX is now sitting at momo. The key to the market here is going to be if we can or can't break below momo. A push and break below momo will just continue the short burn. We remain hedged as we head into FOMC unless something drastically changes.we sit on thumbs. $SPY $QQQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1587158017732222976)  2022-10-31T19:02Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Indexes remained flat yesterday it's a stalemate until FOMC. $SPY $IWM $DIA $QQQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1587392505569415168)  2022-11-01T10:34Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Don't expect markets to move until FOMC this is the calm before the storm. $SPY $IWM $QQQ $DIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1587754138477252608)  2022-11-02T10:31Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"Let's talk about tools used by the Fed to control rates. It may be surprising but the Fed cannot just "set" the EFFR (Effective Federal Funds Rate) and forget it. They require the utilization of tools via OMOs (Open Market Operations) to ensure rates stay within the target range"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1588572244703588354)  2022-11-04T16:41Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"⚡ Liquidity Risk Index Nice flush post-FOMC but we're still above [---] Issues remain under the surface and tail events present. We can't dive into Risk-On plays with disparities like this. $SPY $VIX $QQQ $IWM $DIA $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1603383625021628417)  2022-12-15T13:37Z 11K followers, [--] engagements


"In the last month we've talked a lot about the probabilities of a short-term Risk-On regime. That is not me saying we're in a Risk-On regime or I am positioned for one. In the past week odds shit the bed on that idea and we remain as we have been all year in Risk-Off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1603434399932026881)  2022-12-15T16:58Z 11.1K followers, [---] engagements


"$FANG not looking too hot. $META $AAPL $NFLX $GOOGL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1604131049910415360)  2022-12-17T15:07Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"$ES MOMENTUM LEVELS $SPY $SPX #ES_F"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1604850959007461377)  2022-12-19T14:47Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"TOMORROW'S #ES_F DDAP MOMENTUM LEVELS $SPY $ES $SPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1605387496371916800)  2022-12-21T02:19Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"$TDEX (measures demand for deep OTM puts) continues to fall apart. Nobody is seeing tail risk yet all of Twitter is talking about market implosions. One is full of 💩. We think the biggest market risk across equities and bonds is chop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1608126237402071042)  2022-12-28T15:42Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"Still not a single rate cut being priced in by futures for [----]. The bond long trade right now makes no sense to do. $ZB $ZN $TLT $TMF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1608204690378063877)  2022-12-28T20:54Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"⚡ Liquidity Risk Index The liquidity risk index hasn't been able to break below [---] so it's likely VIX is going to have some trouble going lower as market liquidity remains poor. No need to rush. Price action is reflective of this poor liquidity. $VIX $SPY $QQQ $IWM $TLT $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1608460452182245378)  2022-12-29T13:50Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"As we wrap up the final trading day of the year let's take a moment of silence for those who chased the dips that kept dipping. $SPY $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1608932437442138115)  2022-12-30T21:06Z 11K followers, [----] engagements


"For those wondering.here are some of the longest / strongest DDAP trends in macro right now: $ZN 🛟: Bearish since 10/20/20 $EEM ✈: Bearish since 7/8/21 #BTC : Bearish since 12/9/21 $NQ 📉: Bearish since 1/20/22 $LBS 🪵 : Bearish since 4/6/22 $CL 🛢: Bearish since 7/14/22"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1610687251175936006)  2023-01-04T17:19Z 14.1K followers, [---] engagements


"$SPY might not be grinding higher but $VIX is 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1611368856995463170)  2023-01-06T14:27Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"$EURUSD and $JPYUSD remain bullish trend. Not good for $DXY bulls"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1611399025420533761)  2023-01-06T16:27Z 14.9K followers, [---] engagements


"The back end of the curve is 50bps lower. The current FFR will rise beyond the last datapoint point of the forward curve w/in [--] meetings putting it into inversion. Still no 100% chance of [--] rate cut for at least [--] months (by market pricing). CPI will influence this on Thursday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1612412477672755200)  2023-01-09T11:34Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"⚡ Liquidity Risk Index (LRI) Flash crash in liquidity risk seems to be getting repaired today rather efficiently. Liquidity Risk remains one of the biggest market headwinds going into [----] $SPY $VIX $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1612529318571171861)  2023-01-09T19:18Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements


"$VIX is in a new regime. Constant OpEx higher market liquidity risk since pre-COVID and more volatile economic readings will all play a role in market volatility. We're still over 30pts from the Risk Pivot on the LRI (white line)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1612797656006549504)  2023-01-10T13:05Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"Ares leveraged (red) and unleveraged (yellow) vs SPY (blue). For those who think leverage is too much even the unleveraged returns historically have outperformed $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1612845220143439872)  2023-01-10T16:14Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"The yield curve (yc) reversions NOT inversions are very good at front-running recessions. Currently the economy is holding above water. It's going to take a recession to revert the yc. The yc doesn't revert without the Fed cutting rates. Reversion.Recession.Rate Cuts. ✍"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1613889838448615424)  2023-01-13T13:24Z 11K followers, 17.9K engagements


"$BTC still failing to break momo the winds are not in its sails in this regime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1614700541879398403)  2023-01-15T19:06Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"If you think the yield curve is "broken" and is "wrong" it's merely you that is. How absolutely dare you disrespect one of the best recessionary indicators of modern times. All that is really happening is you can't wrap your head around the most important part.REVERSION"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1626721665131610113)  2023-02-17T23:14Z 11K followers, [----] engagements


"US 5YR Credit Default Swaps. Pricing in a default is obviously on the rise with the debt ceiling approaching. Even with all the noise were still well under 2011/2008 levels. h/t to the perma @MichaelMOTTCM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1640793101236154370)  2023-03-28T19:08Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"Despite the recent rally in #crude it's still down over 15% YoY at current prices. Base effects folks. $CL $USO $OIL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1645444626449420288)  2023-04-10T15:12Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"The big argument behind "sticky" inflation is through core specifically services. But its mostly a bunch of noise Why is that Becuase there is more pricing power in core and further w/in services as the fall in commodities does not directly affect prices. Remember CPI inflation measurements are not a measure of price. They're a measure of the "change in price". Meaning for it to come down prices don't actually have to come down. They can just rise at a much slower rate. Many will disagree because it doesn't fit their narrative. But core and further services inflation metrics are cherry picked"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1645921033084448770)  2023-04-11T22:45Z 11K followers, 25.5K engagements


"If you're confused as to why "gold ain't biddin".here is your answer. I have had countless arguments over the past [--] months with a variety of simps & bugs about real yield correlations. It's simple. Gold is basically a zero-coupon treasury bond w/ no default risk. Hence the strong real yield correlation to BOTH #bonds and #gold. Want the gold bid Real yields need to break lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1648722488161861639)  2023-04-19T16:17Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"Lots of drama is being presented through the shorter-term US Credit Default Swaps. This looks "bad". It's implying roughly a probability of 1.8% that the US defaults on its debt within the next [--] months. 5yr swaps are trading about 3x less for what its worth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1649494277486006290)  2023-04-21T19:24Z 11K followers, [----] engagements


"Deflation = balls deep into bonds and $gold Inflation = balls deep into $NQ Keep it simple"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1650909560872517632)  2023-04-25T17:08Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"Chipotle $CMG is now less than 5% away from a new all-time high after earnings.🤯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1650962187496587264)  2023-04-25T20:37Z 13.8K followers, [----] engagements


"It's not bullish trend until it is momo held strong on $ZB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1658501603555688448)  2023-05-16T15:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Are you long #gold and confused It's because you don't understand real yields. Real yields need to break DOWN from here to ignite the gold and #bond trade. It's no coincidence neither of these two is working right now. Real yields DOWN = gold and bonds UP. $GLD $TLT $TIP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1658985909553967107)  2023-05-18T00:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Exactly why you do NOT front-run the tools $TLT $ZB #bonds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1658986266010984448)  2023-05-18T00:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter $JPM doesn't need to raise deposits. This is the premium you pay to bank with the world's safest bank"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1659540891692937216)  2023-05-19T12:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Inverted real yields $TIP vs $NDX This is a correlation that gets views. What they don't show you is how it's broken in the past. Just because real yields go up (down on this chart because they're inverted) doesn't mean it's automatically bearish for stocks. Context is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1659555354785488903)  2023-05-19T13:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@MenthorQpro Oil itself has been bearish radar trend for almost a year now. $CL $USO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1659592867814297601)  2023-05-19T16:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"If you want to know why #bonds are down and #gold has held up relatively welltune into this weeks podcast $GLD $TLT $ZB $GC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1660832961204199432)  2023-05-23T02:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Real yields continue to chug higher as the debt ceiling deadline heats up. Higher yields aren't due to rising inflation expectations. Fear of a credit downgrade inherently requires a premium. A recession counters the premium. Not there yet though. Credit risk Inflation risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1660994672892813313)  2023-05-23T13:02Z 10.4K followers, 78.3K engagements


"My feed is straight shambles with permabears coping on $NVDA. Its simple. Dont short bullish trends especially those of market leaders 🤡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1661482850640863233)  2023-05-24T21:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"It's an AI WAVE.not a BUBBLE. If it were a bubble the spread wouldn't be so severe. This can certainly turn into a bubble.but we're not there just yet 😉 $NVDA $BOTZ $ROBO $XT $ROBT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1661720608231522304)  2023-05-25T13:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@RJRCapital If you could reason with stocks they wouldnt do what $NVDA did. Thats why you dont fight bullish trends 🤷♂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1662245262700560384)  2023-05-26T23:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"If this was an #AI bubble.the company with the ticker $AI that does business in AI would not be trading at these levels. AI Wave not Bubble.yet. $NVDA $AMD $MSFT $GOOGL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1662251754367361026)  2023-05-27T00:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"If you believe that due to a lack of treasury issuances BOND investors are saying fuck it with their "liquidity" and go full port into $NVDA etc. you need a fundamental lesson on economics and common sense. Try reading the below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1662269869314785280)  2023-05-27T01:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Oil down 373bps this morning. What inflation This will drag down breakevens. The market really is having less concerns of inflation by the day. The lower breakevens go the more likely the Fed is making a policy mistake by adding hikes to the forward curve from here. $USO $CL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1663557047835824138)  2023-05-30T14:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@unusual_whales $NVDA has been bullish trend at Market Radar since January ($200). Simps short bullish trends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1663599030016802826)  2023-05-30T17:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Long bonds still have about 3% to go from here to get to momo. The trend is still bearish MR doesn't front-run the trend. $TLT $ZROZ $ZB $ZN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1663895217039196161)  2023-05-31T13:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"So far the peak in reals from last week has held. There was more uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling. Once a resolution is solidified it's likely reals will continue lower as credit risk dissipates. We need reals momo to ignite the bull trade in #gold & #bonds though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1663918036393271298)  2023-05-31T14:39Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Real yields continuing lower this morning. They immedistatly starting reversing once a debt ceiling resolution became probable. Real yields were rising to price in credit risk on a failed #debtceilingbill. If you take anything from this remember: Credit Risk Inflation Risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1664259027725942785)  2023-06-01T13:14Z 10.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Here's probably why you shouldn't try and time the housing market. Given the history of the Case Shiller Home Index we can see that housing only declined in one of the last [--] recessions that one being a crisis specifically around housing. Unless the U.S. pulls a Japan [---] it's very unlikely you will be successful in timing the housing market specifically with real property not ETFs. Our dollars are inflationary so our homes will be deflationary. Trying to short the housing market is like trying to short inflation in America.it can work but being short on paper ( $REZ etc ) is not the same as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1664464832899284992)  2023-06-02T02:51Z [----] followers, 114.3K engagements


"Real yields are up a bit this morning remember we're going to need to see this break momo to really get the bond/gold trade going. real yields DOWN = both #gold and #bonds UP $TLT $GLD $ZROZ $TIP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1665706262175047680)  2023-06-05T13:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"All the Saudi hype in oil from over the weekend has been killed. It's simple. #Crude has been bearish trend for almost a year now. Don't fight the trend $CL $USO #CL_F"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666051999262031872)  2023-06-06T11:58Z 10.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@WatcherGuru The $COIN IPO was about [--] years ago. Where were they during the filing review 🤡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666063784165744641)  2023-06-06T12:45Z 11K followers, 12.8K engagements


"While the simps focus on the T-Bill sales and "LiQuIdItY cRuNcH".we focus on the System. Patience chads. Strike from confidence not from emotion. Be the rattlesnake not the rabbit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666472464891740166)  2023-06-07T15:49Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Real yields are on the move higher today.remember we need these lower (bearish trend most likely) for the gold and bond trade to work. This is EXACTLY why you DO NOT front run the tools. $TLT $TIP $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666494846528282643)  2023-06-07T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$ZB puking today.we're still above the debt ceiling resolution low. I personally do not expect the long end to break out and take out [----] lows. This is where our tools and verbiage tie into each other. Just because I say yields should reverse lower doesn't mean I'm long bonds. I do not long bearish trends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666495841056481312)  2023-06-07T17:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Real yields are chopping around upper-VAMP. If they want to squeeze here is their shot. If you're long bonds right now please make sure you understand the correlation between bonds gold and real yields. $GLD $TLT $TIP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666799141744177152)  2023-06-08T13:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"5Y breakevens have failed to break lower numerous times. When the inevitable break lower occurs bonds will be ignited higher. $ZB $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666813678988189697)  2023-06-08T14:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"As we've now removed default risk from the table the 1M bills should gradually trade back above the reverse repo rate. This will suck excess reserves sitting in repo into the short-term bill issuances. Notice all repo balance surges pretty much occur during periods where STIRs are discounted to the Fed rate. This is where most of the liquidity will be coming from for the TGA rebuild.not from coupons which are duration assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1666867166090543105)  2023-06-08T17:57Z 10.7K followers, 10.5K engagements


"Deflation wont happen with real-yields looking like this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1668270928650723328)  2023-06-12T14:55Z 10.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Gap up in $DBC weighing a bid on bond yields this morning post-CPI. As long as $DBC remains bearish trend inflationary issues should remain on the downtrend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1668613678508257280)  2023-06-13T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Radar members you know the plan. $TLT $ZROZ $ZB $TMF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1669337409018904577)  2023-06-15T13:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Eye on the prize❗❗❗ 🫡 $TLT $ZB $TMF $ZROZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1669355307695493121)  2023-06-15T14:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$MSFT +330bps today 🫣"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1669420778142552079)  2023-06-15T19:05Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"@unusual_whales Not new for $JPM 🤪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1670804590265090054)  2023-06-19T14:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The severity of a deflationary regime is highly dependent on how deep the recession will be. A deep recession that forces the Fed to cut back to [--] can quickly move $ZB back to its highs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1671212933068767233)  2023-06-20T17:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"We called $ZB chop back in November we are nearing the end of the chop. There is minimal downside risk in bonds. But trend is still BEARISH. We do not long bearish trends"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1671239439891443719)  2023-06-20T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was told following the debt ceiling resolution that the TGA was going to obliterate market liquidity. What I can tell you liquidity risk is in range of another 52w low and down 16% over the past month. So yea. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1672041451046182912)  2023-06-23T00:38Z 10.8K followers, [----] engagements


"Inflationists are in shambles this morning with #crude down 260bps. I wonder why Crude is getting smoked this year. Actually I don't. Bearish trends tend to lead to lower prices. $USO $CL $OIL #CL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1672232338728648704)  2023-06-23T13:17Z 10.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Breakeven rates are a powerful tool. Theyre completely inaccurate they don't work as intended and it's much easier for inflation to run hotter than forecasted with the Feds finger on the unlimited QE button. We still use them. [---] likes & I post it here🚀 $SPY $QQQ $IWM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1672312947324887061)  2023-06-23T18:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Breakeven rates are a powerful tool. Theyre completely inaccurate they don't work as intended and it's much easier for inflation to run hotter than forecasted with the Feds finger on the unlimited QE button. [---] likes & I post how we use them here 🚀 $SPY $QQQ $IWM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1672317433506308122)  2023-06-23T18:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Your worry as an investor should have already shifted from inflation to growth. At Market Radar we have models for this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1672349240616427520)  2023-06-23T21:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Radar Podcast Episode #69 When Will Unemployment Skyrocket SPOTIFY: YOUTUBE: $SPY $QQQ $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1673060408557703168)  2023-06-28T14:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"For the $NVDA bros: Lots of damage needs to occur here to flip the trend. We don't short bullish trends. Ride the wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1673532585870344192)  2023-06-27T03:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"As we go over in this week's episode. There are literally zero reasons to fight the trend $ZROZ $TLT $TMF $ZB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1673703439354789889)  2023-06-27T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Slippery slope. Next mortgages get canceled"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1673709161664618500)  2023-06-27T15:20Z [----] followers, 12.1K engagements


"Are we going to see the big bear #crude breakdown below [--] soon We're in a rather strong bearish trend at the moment and bearish trends tend to lead to lower prices. This would also be even more bearish for breakevens and inflation expectations. 🐻🐻🐻 $USO $CL $OIL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1673729650055315457)  2023-06-27T16:26Z 10.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@Analyst_G We're not too fond of the Euro Zone. There are a lot of issues that have and will continue to weigh on this. Currently the Euro is on the verge of flipping back to bullish trend. Short-term EZ tightening will act as a tailwind.until it becomes a headwind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674114876401147924)  2023-06-28T18:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@CalebFranzen The trend flipped bullish just a few weeks ago on $JCI 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674139134506463238)  2023-06-28T19:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"You guys wonder why Gold can't catch a serious bid. Take a peek at all of our real-yield tweets. $GLD $TLT $TIP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674402639323226118)  2023-07-08T07:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Are you getting smoked in bonds If so please watch. It's free. $TLT $ZB $TMF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674407997911490561)  2023-06-29T13:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The banking crisis and inflation were supposed to send gold into a "new bull market". What happened @PeterSchiff Let me guess more inflation/dollar debasement Why isn't gold going up.answer below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674413520744480769)  2023-06-29T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674418958261424130)  2023-06-29T14:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Investing is a long game we'll show you in real-time the effects of a 37% CAGR over the next few decades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674469544583393280)  2023-06-29T17:27Z 10.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Recessions don't hit when everyone expects one keep that in mind as we see consumer confidence rise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674470454722199554)  2023-06-29T17:30Z 10.7K followers, [----] engagements


"However you decide to compute your yield curve "spreads" one thing remains constant. It's the reversions that crush not the inversions. Those quacking about a recession just haven't figured this one out yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674472472932917259)  2023-06-29T17:38Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"#Crude is bearish trend. As long as that holds lower prices remain likely. [--] can break soon 👀 $USO $CL #OIL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674630308782538753)  2023-06-30T04:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The $JPY fell apart real fast after flipping back to bearish trend back in early May. Were now back to BoJ Intervention territory. How secure is the dam can she hold another round $JPYUSD #JPYUSD #BoJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1674633338353594370)  2023-06-30T04:17Z 15.1K followers, [---] engagements


"$HYOAS remains near 52w lows as junk bonds show no signals of serious distress. The bond market is giving the recession the middle finger. What do you think happens next $JNK $HYG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1675142965604352000)  2023-07-01T14:03Z 10.2K followers, [---] engagements


"#Crude has been struggling to break below [--] as it sits in the bearish trend. I K N O W there are a ton of inflationists on here salivating for the next "crude run". If you want to see that you better get north of [--] and flip the trend $CL $OIL $USO #OIL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1675231800422178817)  2023-07-01T19:56Z 10.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@DylanLeClair_ Hard to hate when its bullish 👀 🔥 #bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1676681607111901186)  2023-07-05T19:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bonds in 🐻 land $TLT $ZB $TMF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1676775451279097861)  2023-07-06T02:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bonds under pressure this AM following a 🔥 ADP report. US ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE 497K (F 225K PR 278K) As always dont be a simp and fight the trends. We still expect a Fed pause as crazy as that sounds but were not shooting our shots like imbeciles. $TLT $TMF $ZB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1676939897003823105)  2023-07-06T13:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Crude approaching upper VAMP after failing to break the [--] floor multiple times. The only question you should be asking is: If we get a move to momo does it hold $USO $OIL $CL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1677315258489229316)  2023-07-07T13:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"This ETF wave for #bitcoin is interesting as lots of people are lining up comparisons to launches of gold ETFs. Everything about Bitcoin is "hyper" compared to gold. The price moves & community are examples. Bitcoin Gold. Speculators chase BTC & conservatives chase gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1677340398945988609)  2023-07-07T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This may sound stupid. Hear me out. The spot demand for #bitcoin is not the same as gold for the reasons above. Gold is the same as it was [-----] years ago maybe we've seen some newer electronic/medical use cases. But its innovation is pretty capped. Unlike gold the #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1677342469371904000)  2023-07-07T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"It really is that easy. I've yet to see Fintwit get anything right. Shameless. NO LIQUIDITY CRUNCH. The Permas will now move to the next insignificant and unaccountable topic. Reverse Repo Balance fell to new 52-week lows today. While you can argue taxes are a driver we're down over $260B in repo balances since the debt ceiling was raised. As long as bills hold a positive delta against the O/N RRP rate we should continue to see a drain here. I https://t.co/4MeQKurPoe Reverse Repo Balance fell to new 52-week lows today. While you can argue taxes are a driver we're down over $260B in repo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1677674779807981569)  2023-07-08T13:43Z 10.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Radar Podcast Episode #71 The Yield Curve Is Moving Here's What You Need To Know SPOTIFY: YOUTUBE:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678135685054705670)  2023-07-09T20:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Crazy how we tip based on % and not $"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678384645669265410)  2023-07-10T15:43Z [----] followers, 34.1K engagements


"@icebergy_ Looks like a lot of "Business Amex" charges to me lmao"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678398708361166851)  2023-07-10T13:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Being in the middle is hard. You don't get the love from either side of perma-bulls or bears and are almost isolated in no-mans land. This is the unfortunate side effect of maintaining a level head and minimizing bias"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678420811583987715)  2023-07-10T15:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Commodities $DBC chopping between here and momo (25s) can certainly give a bounce to inflation which we said should be expected. But for inflation to materially accelerate momo will have to be cleared and the trend flipped back to bullish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678421598901006337)  2023-07-10T15:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"How we trade: [--]. Understand the current macro regime landscape using the System [--]. Assess historical asset performance during said regime [--]. Allocate cash to these assets using DDAP to time entries and exits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678437808523051009)  2023-07-10T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Meanwhile in Canada: Due to rising rates some existing homeowners in Canada are seeing their amortization period go as high as 90-years as their fixed-payment variable-rate mortgages adjust automatically to rising interest rates while the monthly payment remains the same per Toronto Star"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678444229012357120)  2023-07-10T16:41Z 11K followers, [----] engagements


"Ex. System and model positioning: I do believe the Fed is restrictive enough to hold rates from here if they want to hike another 25bps whatever it's irrelevant at this point to both stocks and bonds (esp duration). The thing that will affect stocks and duration the most isn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678457131664564224)  2023-07-10T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@SantiagoAuFund Gold as a currency would never work it was for this exact reason they needed to ditch the gold standard. Population grows too quick and government has a fire within to control money supply so they can control the population"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678465066226835456)  2023-07-10T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If bench pressing makes me Hitler then eating spaghetti makes you Mussolini"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678487400346005504)  2023-07-10T19:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Ahhh the old bitcoin is crypto but crypto isn't bitcoin trick"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678489995848347663)  2023-07-10T19:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"You want #gold and #bonds to work I don't mean gold holds its value.I'm talking about a real bull market You need real yields lower preferably in a bearish trend. Real Yields DOWN = Gold and Bonds UP $TIP $TLT $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678492182343217169)  2023-07-10T19:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If you use TradingView we just dropped a script it's completely FREE. Are you tired of looking at FRED charts for recessionary periods You can now plot recessions on any data on TradingView. Check it out $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA $RUT $BTC $ETH $VIX $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678597867236208640)  2023-07-11T03:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@stackhodler Shorting housing is extremely hard if not impossible to time correctly as its been rather resilient to prior recessions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678768805802287105)  2023-07-11T14:23Z [----] followers, 42.5K engagements


"@unusual_whales Super easy:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678773313831845890)  2023-07-11T14:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"#Crude is on the move today but remember we still are bearish trend. We couldn't break below [--] but without some momentum here we likely won't break momo. If that is the case it's just more chop. $USO $CL #OIL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678815640780406795)  2023-07-11T17:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Crude +600bps in the past month and everyones on the energy is back train. Careful now dont get caught in still yet another counter trend move. Bullish trends tend to lead to higher prices wait for them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1678849973335597057)  2023-07-11T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Odds for July pause only up to about 11% following CPI. If these odds hold at these levels as we get closer to FOMC it becomes more and more likely the Fed lifts rates in July. FFF have a skew to them in accuracy. The closer you come to the event the more accurate they become even if the probability doesnt change. There is a 7.6% chance that the Fed will hold rates at the meeting later this month. We still have some economic data to see. Could we really see that 25bps Sure. But do you really think the odds of a pause are that low I think the odds of a pause remain higher. There is a 7.6%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679118478584827905)  2023-07-12T13:20Z 11K followers, [----] engagements


"The Fed is currently far more restrictive than their lagging indicators ("real" fed funds in orange) or commentary suggest. CPI has come down nicely and while it has some risks of being sticky it no longer possesses the same risks it did around this time last year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679123190755237888)  2023-07-12T13:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The Fed will have a delayed reaction when the inevitable recession hits. Its easier to cut rates late during a recession than it is to stop inflation that occurs from cutting rates too early"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679155054581014528)  2023-07-12T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I rarely give opinions on other macro guys we'll all be wrong at times. This is a game of managing waves not completely avoiding them. I think Market Radar's sharpest edge is our models are exempt from confirmation bias. We build narratives around the models not the other way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679161695279693829)  2023-07-12T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Asset prices are highly correlated with inflation. Consistent inflation is guaranteed. This is why being a perma bear is a guaranteed losing strategy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679165299961257984)  2023-07-12T16:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#Bonds and #gold are off lows because real yields are off highs. To see a continuation in Risk-Off assets (bonds and gold) we will need to see real yields lower. $GLD $TLT $TIP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679839379496349696)  2023-07-14T13:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"It's really simple this energy price action is just noise until it can flip trend to bullish. Only then do we consider inflationary upside risks. Energy is a big part but realistically both #Crude and $DBC should be pivoting bull if that was the case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1679878480895389701)  2023-07-14T15:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"$ZB has held above mid-vamp. Now we see if it has the momentum to hit momo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1681343821328838656)  2023-07-18T16:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Longing sub-30 DTE options is a straight gamble. They're called lottos because the odds are so stacked AGAINST you. Don't be a Simp. Play games where you can move odds in your favor. Longing products that decay in your face exponentially is Simp behavior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1681662283519344641)  2023-07-19T17:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Real yields are pretty sticky 1.50%. Real yields UP = Gold and Bonds DOWN ❗ $GLD $TLT $TMF $ZB $ZROZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1681669230096162817)  2023-07-19T14:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Soooo many lost souls getting absolutely rekt chasing call options for "new bull markets" in bearish trends. Complete simp behavior. $TLT $TMF $ZB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1681669674428145667)  2023-07-19T14:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Market Radar is not surprised by the Fed Net Liquidity completely imploding. We laid out why the indicator was bullshit almost [--] months ago. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DIA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1681849398425264135)  2023-07-20T23:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Momentum stopped on $ZB holding mid VAMP is key for a continuation upward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1682078426369495045)  2023-07-20T17:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ZB is not giving up mid-vamp that easily"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1682441251306737665)  2023-07-21T17:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$CL and $DBC both nearing momo a break above can be very problematic and will cause EFFR Futs to start pricing in further hikes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1683525891207602177)  2023-07-24T17:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Its going to be a lot harder getting inflation down from 5% to 2% than it was from 10% to 5%. Its evident now with $CL and breakevens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1683829672365412352)  2023-07-25T13:20Z 10.2K followers, [----] engagements


"As of now the move in commodities is simple. Counter-trend. $DBC $OIL $USO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1684035918674399234)  2023-07-26T03:00Z 11K followers, [----] engagements


"Unless #Crude can break above momo and hold this is a bear market rally and can be faded like all the bounces going back to Aug [--]. $OIL $USO $CL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1684144600993132544)  2023-07-26T10:12Z 10.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@RydogTrader Sure it would be bullish for treasuries. These are corporate junk bonds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1684228269556502528)  2023-07-26T15:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"US interest rates are now highest since [----] the median home price in [----] was $179k. Today it's $416k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1684264263517618181)  2023-07-26T18:07Z 11K followers, [---] engagements


"And there you have it the least important FOMC in [--] years. $ES $NQ both remained flat $ZB $ZN slight up moves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1684283292701585408)  2023-07-26T19:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Powell literally said the the way to measure a real Fed funds rate is by taking nominal Fed funds rate and subtracting near term inflation expectations from it. This isnt consistent with their EFFR-CORE PCE model. He literally validated what weve been reporting on consistently"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1684285687825043458)  2023-07-26T19:32Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"*GOLDMAN SACHS: GLOBAL OIL DEMAND REACHED A NEW HIGH IN JULY. - Yet Crude prices remain over 30% off their [----] highs. While overall prices have exhibited disinflationary pressures crude has acted more deflationary. $USO $CL $OIL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1685795613848309760)  2023-07-30T23:32Z 10.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Bonds have still to give any promising signal of reversing the nasty bearish trend they've been in for over a year and a half. $ZB $TLT $ZROZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1686756601879793664)  2023-08-02T15:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@SpencerKSchiff Deflation never equals an economic boom. Deflation and recessions are synonymous. Hyperdeflation will never occur either because the central bank can always inflate that's the easy part"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1687225825370742784)  2023-08-04T02:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Sadly for the bears this facility means that possibly insolvent banks are getting out of the corner theyve put themselves and improving liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1687251900360482817)  2023-08-04T01:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The Long End of the US treasury curve has been on 🔥 recently. Here's why this is happening and what it means for the soft landing: This past week Fitch a credit rating agency downgraded US debt by "one-notch". US Debt remains at a high grade but even the slightest change in debt quality will impact the cost to borrow especially on the long end of the curve. Despite the downgrade you can see the US is still in most upper percentile and still in "high grade". Fitch cited "fiscal deterioration over the next three years and repeated down-the-wire debt ceiling negotiations that threaten the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1688194133909741568)  2023-08-06T14:23Z 10.8K followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales Lets poll the Fed. Inflation Reduction Act was a psyop but the real blame is the Fed for assisting in easy policy through all 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1689276176924057600)  2023-08-09T14:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Bitcoin bears need to take control under [-----] or it's going to be another round of upside liquidation on late leveraged shorts. We don't short bullish trends. $BTC #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1689489147482796032)  2023-08-10T04:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$DBC (commodities) needs to accelerate higher from here to put real pressure on inflation. If not this will remain in a bearish trend and the move off the lows is just a counter-trend move. Bearish trends tend to lead to lower prices"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1689649113237946369)  2023-08-10T14:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@unusual_whales Not something you want to see if federal reserve interest rates have skyrocketed over 6000% in a year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1689673647177310217)  2023-08-10T16:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The United States Dollar will remain a WRC until there is another country with a more stable government major GDP exports independent central bank and transparent capital markets. If you think any component of BRICS has this you're drunk as fuck on kool-aid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1689974104013574144)  2023-08-11T12:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Bonds not buying the deflation hard landing idea yet. Could we be entering another inflation uncertainty wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1690044534007410688)  2023-08-11T16:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@haydenbaldwin10 Deflation will for sure cause home prices to drop but not to the extent seen in [----]. This will also quickly be met with rate cuts which directly positively impacts home prices"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1690055327033835520)  2023-08-11T17:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Our tools are the final drivers and our opinions are formed around them. WE DO NOT LONG BEARISH TRENDS $TLT $ZB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1690174192740679680)  2023-08-12T01:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Inflation expectations are still well controlled and in the choke-out zone. Meaning the rise in yields you're seeing isn't primarily inflation related. As long as the Fed remains restrictive breakevens should remain contained and slowly move lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1690414342129491968)  2023-08-12T17:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"A detailed version of the most prominent yield curve spread (10Y - 2Y). Bear steepening: This occurs when long-term interest rates rise faster than short-term interest rates. Bear flattening: This occurs when short-term interest rates rise faster than long-term interest rates. Bull steepening: This occurs when short-term interest rates fall faster than long-term interest rates. Bull flattening: This occurs when long-term interest rates fall faster than short-term interest rates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1690860573834043394)  2023-08-13T22:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The commodity index was rejected at Momo inflation concerns are abating. Now we need to see a reversal in crude. $CL $DBC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691128906324353024)  2023-08-14T16:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@MonkeyHuman420 Equity bull market started in Feb. Please elaborate on how we had a year of deflation with 10% CPI and bonds going straight down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691168767773151232)  2023-08-14T19:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Historical asset performance in deflation regimes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691174987636576260)  2023-08-14T19:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Long bonds down nearly 10% in the last three months. Another wonderful example of why we do not long bearish trends 🥵 DDAP and the System will guide. Patience Chads. $TLT $ZB $ZROZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691431618865479680)  2023-08-15T12:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Real Yields (10y) are pinned near highs. These real yields are restrictive and will compound with the Fed choking out inflation. The duration of Fed policy remains the real driver behind real yield bonds and gold $TIP $TLT $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691451070604816384)  2023-08-15T14:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Important Market Events Today: FOMC MINUTES @ 2PM EST"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691779839823360065)  2023-08-16T11:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"* FED MINUTES: AMID UNCERTAINTY ABOUT MONETARY POLICY LAGS PARTICIPANTS SAID RATE HIKES ARE WORKING AS INTENDED. They dont even know the lags behind their own actions. Risk is real they overstay their welcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1691873987549188553)  2023-08-16T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Real yields have kept both #bonds and #gold in the dumpster. Why chase bearish trends It's simp behavior. $GLD $GC $ZB $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1692260838449483851)  2023-08-17T19:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If this move in #bitcoin holds it will flip back into a bearish trend. In bearish trends bitcoin becomes shitcoin. $BTC #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1692530643266056196)  2023-08-18T13:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Lookin like #bitcoin wants that 🐻 🐻 $BTC #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1692632606737916367)  2023-08-18T20:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Radar Podcast Episode #77 What's Next For The Soft Landing SPOTIFY: YOUTUBE: $SPY $QQQ $TLT #FOMC #CPI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/themarketradar/status/1693291804639265064)  2023-08-20T16:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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