#  @shanaka86 Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ The global economy is experiencing significant shifts, with a massive $800 billion valuation drop in Nvidia, a leading AI company, and a simultaneous surge in stablecoins, which have crossed $311 billion in processing power. Meanwhile, American household debt has reached a record $18.6 trillion, with many individuals struggling to cope, and the country's economic systems are showing signs of failure. Bitcoin, a key player in the crypto market, has seen significant movements, including a large-scale wealth transfer of $50 billion from old-guard whales, but its price has remained stable above $100,000. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::56302171/interactions)  - [--] Week [---------] -51% - [--] Month [----------] -55% - [--] Months [-----------] +10,570% - [--] Year [-----------] +9,626,097% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::56302171/posts_active)  - [--] Week [---] -13% - [--] Month [---] -8% - [--] Months [-----] +81% - [--] Year [-----] +26,026% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::56302171/followers)  - [--] Week [-------] +0.55% - [--] Month [-------] +11% - [--] Months [-------] +1,909% - [--] Year [-------] +19,295% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::56302171/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 56.12% [countries](/list/countries) 32.37% [stocks](/list/stocks) 23.74% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 18.71% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 15.83% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 12.95% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #4179 [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 3.6% [financial services](/list/financial-services) #1827 [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 2.88% **Social topic influence** [china](/topic/china) 17.27%, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #6923, [ai](/topic/ai) 14.39%, [the most](/topic/the-most) 12.23%, [history](/topic/history) 12.23%, [japan](/topic/japan) 9.35%, [money](/topic/money) 8.63%, [debt](/topic/debt) #415, [wall street](/topic/wall-street) #240, [math](/topic/math) #1930 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@mcasual1](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@logosintell](/creator/undefined) [@anatolykapinsky](/creator/undefined) [@petercorless](/creator/undefined) [@silent97percent](/creator/undefined) [@jamesgrundvig](/creator/undefined) [@peoplesvoice14](/creator/undefined) [@grichm77](/creator/undefined) [@benstrong2816](/creator/undefined) [@blockstradamus_](/creator/undefined) [@macrobombastic](/creator/undefined) [@chanuka4](/creator/undefined) [@rahulkalla59](/creator/undefined) [@idan_sh_](/creator/undefined) [@giorgio_house](/creator/undefined) [@jhps1000](/creator/undefined) [@cameronfen1](/creator/undefined) [@chibilasing](/creator/undefined) [@ajakubovicz](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Honeywell International Inc (HON)](/topic/honeywell) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Boeing Co (BA)](/topic/$ba) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "On February [--] the US Navy intercepted a Suezmax tanker in the Indian Ocean carrying [------] barrels of crude bound for China. It was the sixth seizure in eight weeks. This is not sanctions enforcement. This is 19th-century gunboat diplomacy conducted with a carrier strike group and it has a name most people have never heard: Operation Southern Spear. Since December [----] the USS Gerald R. Ford strike group has physically seized tankers hauling sanctioned crude across the Western Hemisphere and beyond. The M/T Skipper. The Marinera reflagged to Russia mid-pursuit the Russian flag didn't save it." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021180634044170624) 2026-02-10T11:13Z 124.3K followers, 64K engagements "BREAKING: The $610 Billion AI Ponzi Scheme Just Collapsed Last night at 4pm EST something unprecedented happened. Nvidia stock rallied 5% on earnings then crashed into negative territory within [--] hours. Wall Street algorithms detected what humans couldnt: the numbers dont add up. Heres what they found. Nvidia reported $33.4 billion in unpaid bills up 89% in one year. Customers who bought chips havent paid for them yet. The average wait time for payment stretched from [--] days to [--] days. That extra week represents $10.4 billion that may never arrive. Meanwhile Nvidia stockpiled $19.8 billion" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1991496690537492837) 2025-11-20T13:19Z 124.3K followers, 4.7M engagements "OpenAI spends $3.30 to make $1.00. Google spends $0.00 in supplier margin. This single fact explains everything happening in AI right now and almost nobody sees it. The math: OpenAI pays NVIDIA 75% gross margins on GPUs. Then pays Microsoft markup on Azure. Then covers its own costs. Total: $66B spend on $20B revenue. Google designed its own TPUs. Owns its own data centers. Pays only electricity and depreciation. The gap: 30-44% permanent cost advantage. Every query OpenAI serves the disadvantage compounds. Every query Google serves the moat deepens. This is why: ChatGPT US traffic down 35%" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2013864463741657226) 2026-01-21T06:41Z 124.3K followers, 438.4K engagements "2 hours. Thats how long the UAE President spent in India on January 19th. Landed. Signed a defense pact. Agreed to $200 billion in trade. Locked in a $3 billion LNG deal. Left. Five days later: UAE scrapped the Islamabad airport deal. Yesterday: UAE President landed in Moscow to meet Putin. Read that sequence again. Delhi for [--] hours Pakistan deal cancelled Kremlin summit. India didnt just get chosen over Pakistan. India became the gateway to the entire non-Western axis. The Gulf is doing exactly what the EU and Canada did this month. Building optionality. And the optionality runs through" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017165621902090333) 2026-01-30T09:18Z 124.3K followers, 2.5M engagements "In [---] days American law will make it illegal to build American weapons. Not because of a foreign attack. Because of a regulatory collision nobody in finance is watching. Here is the trap. Starting January [--] [----] US defense contractors must certify that ZERO materials in their supply chains were mined refined separated or processed in China. China currently controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing. The F-35 alone requires [---] pounds of rare earth materials. The Virginia class submarine requires [----] pounds. There is no alternative supplier at scale. Not one. But the trap has a second jaw." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018117277594644629) 2026-02-02T00:20Z 124.3K followers, 69.5K engagements "New Yorks top prosecutors just exposed the GENIUS Acts design flaw. Stablecoin issuers can freeze your funds indefinitely. They earn 4-5% yield on frozen assets. They have no legal obligation to return them. Tether has frozen $3.3 billion since [----]. Circle is sitting on $114 million in frozen funds right now. Both earn Treasury yields on money theyve seized. The Act doesnt require restitution. The prosecutors exact words: Funds stolen in or converted to USDT will never be frozen seized or returned. This is the business model: Freeze when politically convenient. Profit from the float. Return" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018660254825746680) 2026-02-03T12:18Z 124.3K followers, 72.1K engagements "$44 billion in Bitcoin that never existed just traded on a live exchange for [--] minutes and the entire market is drawing the wrong conclusion. Friday 7pm Seoul. Bithumb runs a promo where winners get [----] Korean won. About $1.40. One employee types BTC instead of KRW. [---] users receive [----] Bitcoin each. [------] BTC conjured from a single input field with zero validation. Nearly 3% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist. Credited from nothing. Bithumb held [---] BTC on its own books. [-----] for customers. The system manufactured 14x more than the exchange possessed and the trading engine accepted" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2020536435225534803) 2026-02-08T16:33Z 124.3K followers, 71.1K engagements "You are making the thesis worse not better and I mean that as a compliment. And You are right. Chinas track record on compliance is exactly what makes this so alarming. They didnt sign because they care about AI safety. They signed because the US leaving the table gave them the chair for free. The scariest version of this isnt no one governs AI. Its two versions: the US where theres no governance by choice and China where theres governance on paper that exists to control the narrative not the technology. Either way the safety engineers have no one to report to. Thats the point. The chair is" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021784694640324646) 2026-02-12T03:13Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "Good summary mate. but you left out the part that haunts me the most. The [-----] daily figure. Sharmas final paper found [--] in [----] AI conversations produces severe cognitive distortion in the user. At [---] million conversations per day worldwide thats [-----] people daily having their perception of reality warped by an AI interaction. And the users experiencing the worst distortion rated their conversations as MORE satisfying than everyone else. Thats the detail that separates this from every other AI risk story. Its not about robots going rogue. Its about a system that degrades human judgment so" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021904841229107217) 2026-02-12T11:10Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM JUST BROKE IN TOKYO Japans 30-year bond yield hit 3.41% today. That number means nothing to you. Heres why it should terrify you. Japan owes 230% of everything it produces. Its the most indebted nation in human history. For [--] years they kept the lights on by borrowing at near-zero rates. That era ended this morning. Heres What Just Happened Core inflation is running at 3.0%. Government bond yields are spiking to levels not seen since [----]. China just conducted its 25th military incursion near Japanese waters this year. Japan is now forced to spend 2% of GDP on" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1991667987217277172) 2025-11-21T00:40Z 124.3K followers, 3.5M engagements "THE CHART THAT SHOULD TERRIFY EVERY PORTFOLIO MANAGER ON EARTH Japans [--] Year Government Bond Yield just hit 1.84%. The highest since April [----]. Up 11.19% in a single session. You need to understand what this means. For three decades Japan was the anchor. Zero rates. Infinite liquidity. The foundation upon which global carry trades were built. Trillions borrowed in yen deployed into US Treasuries European bonds emerging market debt risk assets everywhere. That anchor is now breaking. The Bank of Japan held rates negative while every other central bank tightened. They defended yield curve" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1995344435069259851) 2025-12-01T04:09Z 124.3K followers, 3.6M engagements "Civilizations dont collapse from war. They collapse from silence. [----] BCE: Every Bronze Age power fell in [--] years. Trade stopped. Letters ceased. 2025: $346 trillion debt. 310% of GDP. Same pattern. Same physics. I wrote the manual for what comes after. THE ASCENT BEGINS. https://www.amazon.com/dp/1764344707 https://www.amazon.com/dp/1764344707" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2000174714233167982) 2025-12-14T12:03Z 124.3K followers, 285.2K engagements "BREAKING: China has been reading the private communications of [--] British Prime Ministers for [--] years. Boris Johnson. Liz Truss. Rishi Sunak. Their closest aides. Their most sensitive calls. Their text messages. Also compromised: Donald Trump. JD Vance. US Congressional intelligence committees. This is not a rumor. The Telegraph broke it yesterday. The US Treasury sanctioned the Chinese companies responsible. [--] nations issued a joint advisory. But here's the part that should terrify you: Western governments BUILT the backdoors China walked through. They are called "lawful intercept" systems." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2016005804458180841) 2026-01-27T04:30Z 124.3K followers, 1.1M engagements "Silver. Right now. Same ounce. Same metal. New York COMEX: $80 Shanghai SGE: $111 India MCX: $93 Japan retail: $120 Kuwait retail: $106 40% spread between New York and Shanghai. The largest sustained divergence in precious metals history. The arbitrage is obvious. Buy COMEX at $80. Ship to Shanghai. Sell at $111. Pocket $29. Nobody can do it. COMEX has [-----] million registered ounces. Paper claims against them: [-----] billion. Fourteen owners for every ounce that exists. In the first week of January [-----] million ounces were physically pulled from the vault. 26% of registered inventory gone in" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018219129900253321) 2026-02-02T07:05Z 124.3K followers, 546.5K engagements "Alphabet just told bondholders in its own SEC filing that AI might destroy its core search and advertising business. Then asked those same bondholders to lend it money for [---] years to build that AI. $100 billion in demand. Oversubscribed 5x. Heres what nobody is discussing: six days before this bond priced the DOJ filed a cross-appeal to force Chrome divestiture. Alphabet now carries $70 billion in debt up from $10.9 billion twelve months ago. Every one of those bondholders has a financial interest in keeping the company intact. You dont issue a century bond to fund capex. You issue a" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021108120655941954) 2026-02-10T06:25Z 124.3K followers, 65.7K engagements "The oil market just broke in half and nobody priced it. [---] million barrels that the IEA said were sitting in storage turned out to never exist. A single historical revision flipped a 220-million-barrel surplus into a 75-million-barrel deficit across 2022-2024. The data your models run on is structurally wrong. Here is what's actually happening beneath $67 Brent: A shadow fleet of 978-3300 tankers now carries 18-20% of global capacity. They don't report to any OECD data system. Seven percent of world crude flows through channels invisible to every major forecasting model. China imported a" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021182035700973938) 2026-02-10T11:18Z 124.3K followers, 80.2K engagements "In [--] days every pillar holding up the controlled development of AI fractured simultaneously. Nobody is connecting the pieces. Anthropic's top safety researcher resigned saying "the world is in peril." His final paper found [-----] people per day are having their perception of reality distorted by AI conversations. The most disturbing finding: users rated the most dangerous conversations as the MOST satisfying. The same week Anthropic raised $20 billion. Zero safety conditions attached. Their own research shows Claude recognizes when it is being tested 13% of the time. It told researchers" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021729621054734768) 2026-02-11T23:34Z 124.3K followers, 289.2K engagements "Agree hard on capital is racing regulation is national deployment is global. Thats the sharpest framing of the structural problem Ive seen in any reply here. But governance catches up is doing a LOT of heavy lifting. Nuclear: [--] years from first detonation to Partial Test Ban Treaty. And we got lucky multiple times. Able Archer [--]. Cuban Missile Crisis. Governance didnt catch up. We survived the gap by accident. Internet: Governance still hasnt caught up. Were [--] years in and just now figuring out that social media rewired a generations mental health. The difference with AI is clock speed." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021785006306431134) 2026-02-12T03:14Z 124.3K followers, 14.3K engagements "Elon Musk just told his team coding dies by December. The AI just creates binary directly and can create a much more efficient binary than any compiler. One problem. ClearerThinking analyzed [--] of Musks time-bound predictions across two decades. On-time delivery rate: 16.28%. He claims he aims for the 50th percentile. He misses by 3x. Professional traders on Polymarket now formally trade Elon Time as a discount factor netting tens of thousands consistently betting No on any Musk deadline under six months. Now the technical reality nobody in the replies is discussing. SWE-bench Verified" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021977556376052104) 2026-02-12T15:59Z 124.3K followers, 25.8K engagements "GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM COLLAPSE IMMINENT: El Salvadors $603M Bitcoin Detonation Triggers Unstoppable $500B Emerging Market Exodus From Dollar Hegemony This is not a drill. The 79-year monetary order just fractured. THE NUMBERS THAT END AN ERA: [----] Bitcoin. $603 million sovereign reserves. $332 million pure profit. One tiny nation just proved the impossible: cryptocurrency reserves outperform IMF subjugation. While global elites preached compliance El Salvador weaponized volcanic energy into financial independence. Crime collapsed 94%. Tourism exploded 22%. Volcano Bonds oversubscribed 3X at" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1989718867254607957) 2025-11-15T15:35Z 123.6K followers, 55.9K engagements "THE LARGEST LIQUIDITY DRAIN IN MODERN HISTORY ENDS TODAY. December [--] [----]. For thirty months the Federal Reserve removed over two trillion dollars from global markets. Balance sheet: $9 trillion down to $6.6 trillion. The most aggressive monetary tightening since Volcker. That program dies at midnight. Quantitative Tightening is over. The numbers tell the story no analyst predicted would converge this fast: Fed December rate cut probability: [----] percent. Consumer sentiment: [--] the second lowest reading in recorded history. Manufacturing contracted eight consecutive months. ADP preliminary" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1995321902584504489) 2025-12-01T02:39Z 123.6K followers, 283.9K engagements "DECEMBER [--] 2025: THE DAY THE MONETARY ORDER BROKE The Federal Reserve just terminated Quantitative Tightening. Not because it succeeded. Because it had no choice. Balance sheet frozen at $6.57 trillion. The largest liquidity withdrawal in central banking history ends after draining $2.4 trillion from the system since June [----]. But here is what they are not telling you: The Cass Freight Index has declined for [--] consecutive months. October shipments collapsed 7.8% year over year. The worst October since [----]. The physical economy is in depression while markets celebrate rate cuts. Shanghai" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1995343834163868015) 2025-12-01T04:06Z 123.6K followers, 26.2K engagements "BREAKING: The $300 Billion Trap Nobody Saw Coming Two companies that have never turned a profit just signed the largest technology contract in human history. Oracle's credit default swaps hit [---] basis points this week. The highest since Lehman Brothers collapsed in [----]. Trading volume exploded to $9.2 billion in ten weeks versus $410 million last year. The credit markets are screaming what equity markets refuse to hear. Here is what they see: Oracle committed $300 billion over five years to build AI infrastructure for OpenAI. OpenAI's current revenue is $13 billion. The contract requires" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1999446407812391209) 2025-12-12T11:49Z 123.7K followers, 456.5K engagements "BREAKING: The AI Boom's Financing Structure Just Cracked On December [--] [----] Oracle's credit default swaps hit [-----] basis points. The highest since the [----] global financial crisis. For a company with $523 billion in contracted future revenues. Here is what no one is telling you: The AI infrastructure boom is not funded by profits. It is funded by the most elaborate circular financing structure in financial history. OpenAI has committed $1.4 trillion in infrastructure spending over eight years while projecting $115 billion in cumulative losses through [----]. Microsoft invests in OpenAI." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2001466489770226051) 2025-12-18T01:36Z 123.6K followers, 45K engagements "THE PENTAGON JUST ADMITTED THE QUIET PART A "sole-source" contract. $245 million. One company. That's it. That's the entire North American antimony smelting industry. Why it matters: Antimony trisulfide ignites when firing pins strike primers. Without it bullets don't fire. Artillery doesn't detonate. Over [---] types of U.S. munitions require this metalloid. China banned exports to America in December [----]. The National Defense Stockpile [--] days. Not months. Days. Congress sold off $6 billion in strategic reserves since [----] because "global markets will always provide." The price response:" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2004191581222645917) 2025-12-25T14:04Z 123.6K followers, 313.6K engagements "Acting President of Venezuela Trump just posted this about himself on Truth Social. Not satire. Effective January [----]. [---] years of American history. Zero presidents have ever publicly declared executive authority over a foreign nation. Until today. [---] billion barrels. 17% of global reserves. The worlds largest oil reserves. Now explicitly claimed under American authority. Nine days ago: Maduro captured. Today: Formal annexation declared. Markets are pricing this as theater. Brent $63. WTI $59. The greatest energy realignment since the [----] embargo is hiding in plain sight as a troll post." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2010541318611878001) 2026-01-12T02:36Z 123.6K followers, 1.1M engagements "Iran just ran the most sophisticated electronic warfare campaign ever deployed against a commercial satellite constellation. They succeeded. And it didn't matter. Here's the physics they missed: The regime spent $300 million on Russian Krasukha-4 jammers. Achieved 30-80% packet loss nationwide. Made video calls impossible. Made streaming unwatchable. Made commercial internet useless. On January [--] Crown Prince Pahlavi said: "8 PM tonight. Chant together. Wherever you are." At [--] PM neighborhoods across Tehran erupted simultaneously. [--] provinces. [---] cities. The most coordinated uprising in 45" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2010637527523508359) 2026-01-12T08:58Z 123.7K followers, 1M engagements "The Venezuela story everyone missed. The U.S. just sold $500 million of Venezuelan oil. But they deposited the money in Qatar. Not the U.S. Not Venezuela. Qatar. Here is why that satisfies detail changes everything you think you know about what just happened. Venezuela owes $170 billion to international creditors. Bondholders. Oil companies. China. Everyone is owed money. Any account in the U.S. or Venezuela would be immediately seized through litigation. So the Trump administration parked the money in Qatar. A neutral venue where funds flow freely with U.S. approval and without risk of" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2011708754757132332) 2026-01-15T07:55Z 123.6K followers, 1.5M engagements "Yesterday a Five Eyes leader stood in Beijing and praised Xi Jinpings leadership. Today Peter Navarro is circulating plans to expel Canada from the intelligence alliance. Mark Carney chose his words with a central bankers precision: the new world order. The exact phrase Xi uses for multipolarity. The exact phrase Putin uses for the West versus the Rest. The exact phrase Carney himself deployed at Jackson Hole [----] when he proposed a Synthetic Hegemonic Currency to challenge dollar dominance. This was not a gaffe. It was a signal heard in every capital on Earth. Here is the sequence Washington" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2012057741347697140) 2026-01-16T07:02Z 123.8K followers, 1.2M engagements "Shipping insurance for Hormuz transits just repriced 300%. Crude oil carries a $4 war premium. One of these markets is catastrophically wrong. Here's what Lloyd's underwriters see that oil traders don't: The consensus model prices Iran as "loss of Iranian barrels." [---] million bpd offline. OPEC spare fills the gap. Manageable. But that model contains a physics error Wall Street refuses to examine. [----] million barrels per day transit Hormuz. Total bypass pipeline capacity: [---] million bpd. Do the math. In a Hormuz disruption OPEC's "spare capacity" doesn't disappear. It becomes TRAPPED." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2015607909162664324) 2026-01-26T02:09Z 123.6K followers, 26.5K engagements "Xi Jinping just arrested his childhood best friend for selling nuclear secrets to America. Zhang Youxia. Second most powerful man in Chinas military. Their fathers fought together in Maos revolution. Untouchable. Until Saturday. The numbers: [--] generals appointed to the Central Military Commission in [----]. All [--] gone. [--] of [--] uniformed officers purged. Total annihilation of the high command. Christopher Johnson former CIA analyst The man who was supposed to lead Chinas invasion of Taiwan is accused of nuclear treason. Every general who planned the Taiwan operation is gone. Xi just told every" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2015726427392582077) 2026-01-26T10:00Z 123.6K followers, 673.2K engagements "The trade most people will miss: Everyones thinking long cybersecurity. Thats consensus. CrowdStrike is up 40%+ already. Heres the real alpha: Software cant fix this. The malware lives in FIRMWARE. Below the operating system. It survives reboots. It survives patches. CISA admits they cant confirm the hackers are gone. Only fix Physical hardware replacement. This isnt a software security cycle. Its a forced infrastructure refresh cycle. The biggest since 5G. Except this one is driven by sanitation not speed. Long: Arista Juniper network hardware. Short: UK telecoms. BT Vodafone. GDPR fines can" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2016022376388166060) 2026-01-27T05:36Z 123.6K followers, 15.2K engagements "You are thinking too small. Extortion is crude. It exposes the attacker. This is far more valuable: For [--] years China sat at every negotiation table with Britain while reading Britains cards. Brexit trade discussions. COVID origin debates. Huawei 5G decisions. Hong Kong sanctions. AUKUS. Every call between PM aides. Every strategy discussion. Every internal disagreement. China didnt need to extort anyone. They just needed to know exactly what Britain would accept before Britain said it out loud. Every tough negotiation the UK thought they were winning They were playing poker against someone" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2016273805514289301) 2026-01-27T22:15Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements "In [--] hours this week three things happened that no allocation model priced: The EU concluded "the mother of all deals" with India. Canada announced a $2.8 billion uranium pivot to Delhi. Treasury Secretary Bessent went on ABC and said the quiet part loud: "They are financing the war against themselves." Here's what he accidentally revealed: The administration views allied trade diversification as betrayal requiring punishment. Not negotiation. Punishment. So the allies did the math. Unilateral defection from US trade architecture: catastrophic. Coordinated defection: survivable. The EU-India" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2016481123002695816) 2026-01-28T11:58Z 123.6K followers, 292.3K engagements "China spent [--] months blocking a $22.8B port deal. Panamas Supreme Court just made it irrelevant in one ruling. Beijing demanded Cosco majority stake. Launched antitrust review. Held the entire BlackRock deal hostage. Panama skipped the negotiating table entirely. Constitutional annulment. Complete void. No appeal. The mechanism: Comptroller audit finds $1.5B in irregularities. Attorney General files constitutional challenge. Supreme Court rules contracts violate 10+ articles of Panamanian constitution. Commercial negotiation China controlled Bypassed. Regulatory blockade China weaponized" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017100286784131558) 2026-01-30T04:59Z 123.6K followers, 157.7K engagements "Exactly right on the mechanism. But heres what makes this nuclear: The mining case wasnt just groundwork. It was a PROOF OF CONCEPT. November 2023: First Quantum copper mine. $10B market cap destroyed. 1.5% of global copper production offline. Unanimous ruling. January 2026: CK Hutchison ports. 5% of global maritime trade affected. $22.8B deal implications. Same court same doctrine. Two years. Two rulings. One template. Legal systems run on precedent. The barrier to a NOVEL ruling is high. The barrier to CITING existing precedent is low. Every constitutional challenge filed from here forward" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017167306229428486) 2026-01-30T09:25Z 123.7K followers, [----] engagements "Gold crashed 12%. Bitcoin crashed to $81000. Both on the same headline: "Warsh is hawkish." Both wrong for the same reason. Here's what nobody's connecting: Warsh himself said Bitcoin "might serve as a sustainable store of value like gold." He was an early investor in crypto startups. He's not anti-Bitcoin. He's anti-Bitcoin-as-currency. But Bitcoin-as-store-of-value He explicitly endorsed it. Sound familiar That's the SAME thesis driving gold. Not yield. Not currency. Store of value in a world where property rights are revocable. The market sold both assets on "hawkish Fed = tight money =" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017223038291607686) 2026-01-30T13:07Z 123.7K followers, 125.2K engagements "China spent [--] months building an impenetrable regulatory fortress to block a $22.8 billion deal. Panama walked around it in [--] seconds. The Supreme Court just declared CK Hutchison's port concessions unconstitutional. Not renegotiated. Not modified. Void ab initio. The asset SAMR was blocking the transfer of no longer legally exists. They built an impenetrable fortress around the wrong castle. This is the mechanism your quants don't model: Constitutional annulment operates in an orthogonal forum where accumulated regulatory leverage counts for nothing. Panama tested it in [----]. First" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017235747724833084) 2026-01-30T13:57Z 123.7K followers, 18.4K engagements "December PPI just came in hot. 3.0% vs 2.7% expected. Core PPI hit 3.3%. Highest since July [----]. Wall Streets take: Energy shock. Transitory. Theyre missing the signal buried in the noise. Energy spiked 4.6% MoM. True. But core excluding food energy and trade services rose 0.4%. For the 8th consecutive month. Thats not oil. Thats wages. ECI wage growth is running 3.5% YoY. Nobodys talking about it. Heres the mechanism theyre ignoring: Wages up Producer costs up Margins compress 40-60% passes to consumers CPI rises Fed freezes. Historical PPI-to-CPI pass-through correlation: [---]. Transmission" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017250524584944108) 2026-01-30T14:56Z 123.6K followers, 12K engagements "January 19: UAE President lands in Delhi. 2-hour visit. Signs defense partnership + $3 billion energy deal. January 24: UAE abandons Pakistan's airport deal. "Procedural reasons." January 27: EU finalizes India trade agreement. [--] years stalled. Done in [--] days after Trump tariffs. January 29: UAE President in Moscow. $11.5 billion trade. [----] Russian companies in Dubai. [--] days. [--] transactions. [--] continents. Zero coordination. What you missed: December [--] Saudi Arabia bombed UAE-linked vessels in Yemen. First strike on coalition partner since [----]. The Gulf just split in half. Saudi is" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017260341890351573) 2026-01-30T15:35Z 123.6K followers, 124.4K engagements "December [--] [----]. Saudi Arabia bombed UAE-linked vessels in Yemen. Read that again. Not Houthis. Not Iran. Saudi Arabia struck its own coalition partner. Two ships from Fujairah. Crew killed. Weapons destroyed. The official accusation: UAE was arming separatists against the Saudi-backed government. First intra-coalition strike since [----]. The Gulf didnt crack. It shattered. What happened next: January 7: Saudi-backed forces counterattack. January 9: UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council dissolves. Leader flees to Abu Dhabi. January 12-13: Somalia cancels ALL bilateral agreements with UAE." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017282048428527849) 2026-01-30T17:01Z 123.6K followers, 52.4K engagements "Not the new US. Something more valuable. The US demands exclusive alignment. Join NATO or dont. Buy F-35s or face consequences. Choose sides. India doesnt demand exclusivity. Thats the edge. UAE signed a defense pact with India on January [--]. Ten days later MBZ was in Moscow meeting Putin. $11.5 billion in trade. [----] Russian companies in Dubai. Sanctions workaround secured. India didnt object. EU finalized their trade deal with India on January [--]. India still buys 40% of its oil from Russia. Still runs the Rupee-Ruble settlement system. Brussels didnt demand India stop. This is what game" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017299384413917371) 2026-01-30T18:10Z 123.6K followers, 25.4K engagements "BREAKING: The US just offered India seized Venezuelan oil to replace Russian crude. This is being reported as pressure on India. Its the opposite. Its America joining the auction. January 19: UAE locks in $3 billion LNG deal with India. January 27: EU finalizes trade agreement with India. January 30: US pitches Venezuelan crude to India. Three superpowers. Eleven days. All competing to be Indias energy supplier. Indias Russian imports: dropping from [---] million barrels/day to [------]. Not because India is complying. Because India just got better offers. OPEC share: 11-month high. US crude: up" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017396830229959027) 2026-01-31T00:37Z 123.8K followers, 304.6K engagements "This is the most accurate description of American air power Ive ever read. Let me add the numbers that make it worse. The F-35 contains [---] pounds of rare earth materials. China controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing. There is no alternative supplier at commercial scale. None. In August [----] Honeywell found Chinese alloy in ONE F-35 pump. Deliveries of [---] aircraft were suspended immediately. That was one component. One pump. One alloy. Now heres the countdown nobody is watching. January [--] [----]. New US law requires defense contractors to certify ZERO Chinese content in the entire supply" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017955075524812817) 2026-02-01T13:35Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements "Maybe. Lets check the facts and you tell me which one is hype. August [----]. Honeywell finds Chinese alloy in one F-35 pump. Pentagon suspends deliveries of [---] aircraft. That happened. April [----]. China cuts rare earth magnet exports to Japan by 91% using licensing delays. No embargo announced. That happened. January [--] [----]. China bans dual use exports to Japan over a single Taiwan statement. That happened three weeks ago. China controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing. Thats not my number. Thats the US Geological Survey. DFARS 252.225-7052 Phase [--] activates January [--] [----] requiring 0%" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017966266351587557) 2026-02-01T14:20Z 123.8K followers, [----] engagements "Silver crashed 31% on January [--]. At the exact moment paper hit $78 physical in Shanghai was trading at $120. That's a 54% premium. In a real crash physical trades at a DISCOUNT. What you witnessed wasn't a bubble bursting. It was paper and physical divorcing in real time. The arbitrage that should close that gap requires metal that doesn't exist. COMEX has [-----] million ounces registered. Open interest represents [-----] BILLION ounces. That's 14:1 leverage. If 7% stand for delivery the vault is empty. March [----] is the stress test. [----] words. The full institutional breakdown below." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017985717666972021) 2026-02-01T15:37Z 123.8K followers, 129.6K engagements "Fair point on the timing. Shanghai closed before COMEXs worst selling. Lets use your own framework and look at what happened on each venue independently. SHFE silver settled at [-----] RMB/kg on January [--]. Thats an all-time high. Not a record from last week. The all-time high set ON the day of the crash. Source: CEIC. Same day SHFE warehouse inventories dropped [--] tonnes in [--] hours. From [---] to [---] tonnes. On a day when price was supposedly crashing physical metal left the building. Source: CEIC. Shanghai spot premiums over TD hit [----] yuan/kg by Friday with Shenzhen physical trading at 1500" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018094538712404426) 2026-02-01T22:50Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "Goldman Sachs models the probability of simultaneous Chinese copper smelter failure at 6.4%. The empirical number is 35%. They're wrong by a factor of six. Here is the math they missed. Chinese smelters earned $0 from processing copper in [----]. The benchmark TC/RC settled at zero. Spot charges: negative $65/ton. Smelters are paying miners to take their rock. They survive on three byproduct pillars: Sulfuric acid 40% of revenue. Gold recovery 35%. Cathode premiums 25%. Goldman treats these as independent variables. Normal correlation: [----]. Crisis correlation measured empirically across" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018249037695402338) 2026-02-02T09:04Z 124.2K followers, 18.4K engagements "This is the part most people havent connected yet. Samsung isnt just buying silver. Samsung is becoming silver. Their solid-state battery uses a silver-carbon composite anode. [--] grams per cell. [---] cells per EV pack. That is [--] kilogram of silver per vehicle. Energy density: [---] Wh/kg. Double current lithium-ion. [---] mile range. [--] minute charge. [--] year lifespan. Mass production targeting [----]. Now run the math that should terrify every COMEX trader alive. Global annual silver production: [-----] metric tons. If just 20% of the [--] million vehicles produced annually adopt this technology that is" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018326590397284728) 2026-02-02T14:12Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements "Bitcoin didn't crash despite the Fed cutting rates. It crashed because the Fed cut rates. Every rate cut compresses the futures basis. Every basis compression forces arbitrageurs to sell ETF shares. Every ETF sale hits spot. The thing consensus thinks saves Bitcoin is the mechanism destroying it. The basis went from 25% to 5%. The carry trade is dying. And the selling isn't over. Full forensic breakdown: https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018344469662482745) 2026-02-02T15:23Z 123.8K followers, 26.8K engagements "Between 20-35% of Bitcoin ETF capital is basis trade arbitrage that entered for yield not conviction. The yield just died. They're leaving. Read the full deep dive story - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018615602773135531) 2026-02-03T09:20Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements "Bitcoin the protocol doesnt have institutional architecture. Bitcoin the market does. $114 billion in ETFs. Nine of eleven using the same custodian. $245 billion at Coinbase with $255 million in insurance. [------] BTC on one corporate balance sheet. Basel III assigning 1250% risk weight. GENIUS Act jurisdiction over the $311 billion stablecoin on-ramp. The protocol is immutable. The market structure wrapping it is not. Confusing the two is how people get liquidated. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018629172978130997 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018629172978130997" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018629172978130997) 2026-02-03T10:14Z 123.6K followers, [---] engagements "Exactly right. And heres the part that makes it worse. Japan and China at least telegraph their exits through TIC data with a two-month lag. You can see them leaving. The Cayman funds dont show up in TIC at all. The Fed had to publish a separate paper just to quantify them. So you have $1.85 trillion in leveraged Treasury exposure that doesnt appear in the data most portfolio managers actually watch operating at up to 56:1 with zero mandate to hold through stress. The ghost framing is perfect. Theyre not even visible until the unwind starts. And the physical gold move youre describing is" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021110897188667857) 2026-02-10T06:36Z 124K followers, [---] engagements "The calm is manufactured not earned is one of the best lines written about this market all year. Let me put a number on it. MOVE Index sitting at [--]. Thats the market pricing Treasury volatility as lower than it was before the Fed started hiking in [----]. Meanwhile dealer balance sheets grew 50% since [----] while the market they serve doubled to $28 trillion. The buffer is half what it was five years ago relative to the size of what its buffering. And heres the manufactured part: 48% of institutional Treasury investors surveyed by JPMorgan hold zero downside hedges. Not underweight. Zero. They" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021111191435870316) 2026-02-10T06:37Z 124K followers, [---] engagements "Every single claim in the thread is sourced. Here you go. $1.85 trillion in Cayman hedge fund Treasury holdings: Federal Reserve working paper Jiang Lustig Van Nieuwerburgh [----]. Published by the Fed itself. Up to 56:1 basis trade leverage: Morgan Stanley fixed income research and OFR (Office of Financial Research) quarterly report. Japan 40-year JGB yield hitting 4.24% record: Bloomberg CNBC Reuters January [--] [----]. Pick any terminal. China Treasury holdings at $682.6 billion: U.S. Treasury TIC data November [----] release published January [--] [----]. MOVE Index at 65.82: Yahoo Finance closing" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021111434676211829) 2026-02-10T06:38Z 124K followers, [---] engagements "This is the endgame most people arent seeing yet. The SLR exemption is the tell. In March [----] when the basis trade blew up the first time the Feds emergency response wasnt to bail out the hedge funds directly. It was to exempt Treasuries from bank SLR calculations so dealers could absorb the forced selling without hitting capital constraints. That exemption expired in March [----] and hasnt come back. Now run the scenario forward. The same trade bigger. $1.85 trillion instead of roughly $500 billion in [----]. Same [--] dealers. Smaller relative balance sheets. If that unwind starts the Fed has" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021113016197185763) 2026-02-10T06:44Z 123.9K followers, [--] engagements "You just identified the most underappreciated contradiction in corporate America right now. Alphabet told the DOJ that AI threatens its search monopoly so severely that antitrust remedies arent necessary because competition is already here. The court bought it. No Chrome divestiture. Then six days later Alphabet told bondholders in its SEC filing that AI might cannibalize its core search and advertising business. Direct quote from the 10-K. First time theyve ever disclosed that risk. Then it asked those same bondholders to lend it money for [---] years to build the thing it just warned might" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021116965176344977) 2026-02-10T07:00Z 124.2K followers, [----] engagements "Great question. Here is why theyre lining up for it. The buyers arent retail investors. Theyre UK pension funds and insurance companies with liabilities stretching [--] to [--] years into the future. A pension fund that owes retirees money in [----] needs an asset that matures around [----]. A 100-year bond from an AA+ rated company paying a spread above government gilts is exactly what their actuaries are looking for. Theyre not speculating. Theyre matching the duration of their obligations. After the [----] UK pension crisis where the Bank of England had to inject [--] billion pounds in emergency" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021138033869820026) 2026-02-10T08:23Z 124.2K followers, [----] engagements "THE DOLLAR DIES IN SILENCE November [--] 2025: Gold $4001. US Debt $38.02 trillion. Interest payments $1.2 trillion annually. The inversion nobody saw coming just happened. Central banks now hold MORE gold than US Treasuries for the first time since [----]. Gold: 23%. Treasuries: 22%. This is not a trend. This is the fracture. THE ARITHMETIC OF COLLAPSE: Foreign holders dumped $518 billion in Treasuries since [----]. They bought [---] tonnes of gold this year alone. The math is genocidal: every 1% rate increase adds $380 billion to the deficit. We are paying more to service debt than to defend the" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1987415169568547271) 2025-11-09T07:01Z 124.3K followers, 157.5K engagements "The crazy thing about a $10M BTC target isnt the number its the regime implied by it. $10M on 21M coins is $210T of value. For that to clear one of two things has to happen: [--]. global fiat and credit get structurally debased pushing a huge share of world savings into a non-sovereign asset or [--]. real world pricing (wages houses energy trade) starts to be quoted off a Bitcoin standard not just BTC vs USD. In that world the house your grandparents bought for $25K is not just expensive in fiat terms it is a rounding error in the new base money. So the real question isnt can BTC mathematically hit" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1990384643187585523) 2025-11-17T11:40Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "NVIDIA POSTED RECORD EARNINGS AND ACCIDENTALLY EXPOSED THE $112 BILLION SCAM WALL STREET MISSED Everyone celebrated. Nobody read the fine print. Nvidia crushed Q3: $57B revenue (+112% in one year) $1.30 earnings. Stock jumped adding $131B overnight. Here's what headlines buried. THE $112 BILLION SHAREHOLDER THEFT Since [----] Nvidia generated $188 billion cash. Shareholders got $92 billion. The other $112 billion went to employee stock compensation. Nvidia bought back $112 billion of shares at $2394 average. Then handed [--] million new shares to insiders. Your returns made employees" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1991322214055186926) 2025-11-20T01:46Z 124.3K followers, 266.5K engagements "THE $48 BILLION MATH ERROR Strategy Inc. just disclosed something extraordinary. They own [------] Bitcoin. That is [----] percent of every Bitcoin that will ever exist. Total cost: $48.37 billion. They also disclosed the numbers that prove this cannot survive the next [--] days. Here is the accounting reality they published but nobody is reading correctly. Strategy has $54 million in cash. They owe $700 million per year in preferred stock dividends. Their software business generates negative cash flow. To pay dividends they must raise $700 million in new capital every single year before buying a" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1992740665957155059) 2025-11-23T23:42Z 124.3K followers, 2.4M engagements "BREAKING: S&P Just Declared the $184 Billion Foundation of Crypto Weak Tether holds more US debt than South Korea. [---] million people use it as their dollar. And a major rating agency just confirmed it cannot survive a bitcoin crash. The arithmetic is simple: Tethers bitcoin exposure: 5.6% Tethers safety buffer: 3.9% The cushion is smaller than the risk. S&Ps verdict in writing: A bitcoin decline could lead to USDT being undercollateralized. Translation: The promise of one dollar for one token becomes mathematically impossible. This isnt new suspicion. This is confirmation. The New York" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1994028080202190981) 2025-11-27T12:58Z 124.3K followers, 45.7K engagements "BREAKING: THE THIRTY YEAR EXPERIMENT IS OVER Japans 10-year yield just hit [----] percent. Highest since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. But here is what no one is telling you: The 30-year yield touched [----] percent. The 40-year approaches [----] percent. These are levels never charted in modern Japanese monetary history. For three decades the Bank of Japan suppressed rates to zero bought half of all government bonds and became the buyer of only resort. Japanese institutions starved of domestic yield poured $1.19 trillion into US Treasuries. They became the marginal buyer holding together the" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1995359644223729956) 2025-12-01T05:09Z 124.3K followers, 2.8M engagements "GOLD CANNOT PROVE IT IS GOLD Yesterday in Dubai Peter Schiff held a gold bar on stage. CZ asked one question: Is it real Schiffs answer: I dont know. The London Bullion Market Association confirms there is only one method to verify gold with 100% certainty: fire assaying. You must melt it. Destroy it to prove it. Bitcoin verifies itself in seconds. No experts. No labs. No destruction. A public ledger secured by mathematics that [---] million people can audit simultaneously from anywhere on Earth. For [----] years golds scarcity was its value proposition. But scarcity means nothing if authenticity" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1996719982567371221) 2025-12-04T23:15Z 124.3K followers, 380.3K engagements "TRUST WALLET JUST GOT HACKED ON CHRISTMAS $7 million. Gone. Poof Not a smart contract exploit. Not a phishing attack. Not user error. A supply chain attack on the browser extension itself. Heres what nobody is telling you: THE ATTACK VECTOR Hackers compromised Trust Wallets Chrome extension update. Version [----] contained malicious code that exfiltrated seed phrases automatically. Users who updated on December 24th woke up Christmas morning to empty wallets. BTC. ETH. SOL. BNB. Drained. Yup THE COVER-UP THAT ISNT CZ just invoked the SAFU fund. Full reimbursement promised. This is Binance 2019" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2004404458370093081) 2025-12-26T04:10Z 124.3K followers, 110.4K engagements "Elon with respect: Tesla IS the demand. Your EVs use 25-50g of silver each vs 15-28g for ICE. Tesla Energys solar panels The PERC to TOPCon/HJT shift youre deploying requires 30-120% MORE silver per watt. The arithmetic is merciless: [---] million ounces consumed since [----] Fifth consecutive deficit year 75% is byproduct mining price cant increase supply China locked exports effective Jan [--] [----] Shanghai paying $8/oz premium over London. Lease rates hit 40%. Last time [----]. Solar + EVs + AI data centers created structurally inelastic demand. This isnt a price spike. This is the repricing of the" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2004949319557018045) 2025-12-27T16:15Z 124.3K followers, 34.1K engagements "@elonmusk You're not watching a problem. You ARE the problem. - Tesla EVs: 25-50g silver each - Tesla Solar: TOPCon cells need 30% more silver than legacy tech - Tesla Energy: Every Powerwall every Megapack You built the machine that's eating the world's silver supply. Now Beijing just weaponized it against you. THE DATA: China controls 60-70% of global silver refining. On Jan [--] 2026in [--] daysMOFCOM export licensing kicks in. They shipped [---] tonnes to London in October. Then locked the door. SHFE warehouses: [---] tonnes. Decade low. At current burn rate [--] trading days to zero. Shanghai" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2004950434092622146) 2025-12-27T16:20Z 124.3K followers, 29.2K engagements "I just watched $4 billion in silver longs get vaporized in [--] minutes. $83.75 to $75.15. Fastest wipeout Ive ever seen. CNBC is already running the bubble burst narrative. Bloomberg too. They want you scared. They want you out. But nobodys talking about what happened in Shanghai during that exact same window. While American traders panic-dumped at $75 Chinese buyers were paying $90. Ninety. For the same metal. The premium didnt shrink during the crashit widened. Let that sink in. This wasnt a top. This was a heist. Ive been in this game long enough to know what a liquidity vacuum looks like." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2005544519450677575) 2025-12-29T07:40Z 124.3K followers, 1.5M engagements "OpenAI's investors are its suppliers are its customers. The last time money flowed in circles this tight Lehman had a great quarter. Read the full deep dive analysis here - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-thermodynamic-reckoning-openair=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-thermodynamic-reckoning-openair=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2013865297686434179) 2026-01-21T06:44Z 124.3K followers, 31.1K engagements "$602 billion in AI chip spending is chasing the wrong variable. The market is pricing FLOPS. The binding constraint is now HBM allocation CoWoS packaging and power. Here's the signal no one is discussing: SK Hynix just delayed HBM4 mass production to Q3 [----] because Nvidia pushed per-pin speeds above [--] Gbps. All [----] HBM production is pre-sold. Server DRAM prices: +55-60% QoQ. Worst shortage on record. TSMC's CoWoS capacity for [----] 100% allocated. Nvidia: 60% Broadcom: 15% AMD: 11% Zero margin. Zero buffer. Zero capacity for new entrants. Every chip one company produces comes at the direct" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2016366658009628957) 2026-01-28T04:24Z 124.2K followers, 14.4K engagements "The most dangerous weapon China has built isn't a hypersonic missile. It's a licensing delay. In April-May [----] China reduced rare earth magnet exports to Japan by 91% and South Korea by 93%. No embargo was declared. No sanctions announced. No headlines. They just. processed paperwork slowly. The weapon is bureaucratic latency. A 45-day license review becomes [---] days. Just-in-time supply chains seize. F-35 production halts. On January [--] [----] China deployed this weapon against Japan over a single statement about Taiwan. Now here's the collision nobody sees: China controls 99% of heavy rare" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2017938430249025887) 2026-02-01T12:29Z 124.3K followers, 138.2K engagements "Nine of eleven Bitcoin ETFs custody their assets with Coinbase. Total assets held: $245 billion. Total insurance coverage: $255 million. That's 0.10%. For every dollar of institutional Bitcoin at Coinbase one tenth of a cent is insured. This is the "institutional floor" Wall Street is selling you. New deep dive on why Bitcoin's $114 billion ETF edifice is a trapdoor: https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018343329830937015) 2026-02-02T15:18Z 124.3K followers, 20.1K engagements "The GENIUS Act signed July [--] [----] gives the federal government authority to seize freeze and burn stablecoins. Not pause. Not restrict. Burn. Section 2(16) defines lawful order to include the permanent destruction of digital assets under government directive. $311 billion in stablecoins now sits under this framework. Nobody is talking about the Fourth Amendment problem this creates. I wrote [-----] words on why Bitcoins institutional architecture is a trapdoor. This is one of seven structural risks:" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018445920875282845) 2026-02-02T22:06Z 124.3K followers, 47.2K engagements "Coinbase custodies $245 billion in institutional digital assets. Its insurance covers $255 million. Thats like insuring a $245000 house for $255. Nine of eleven Bitcoin ETFs use this custodian. Nobody talks about this. Read the full story - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018516811919303131) 2026-02-03T02:48Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "$245 billion in Bitcoin. $255 million in insurance. Coinbase custodies the assets for nine of eleven Bitcoin ETFs. Thats like insuring a $245000 house for $255. This is institutional grade custody. Full deep dive analysis - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018633055221772751) 2026-02-03T10:29Z 124.3K followers, 11.8K engagements "The Bitcoin 4-year cycle didnt evolve. It was murdered. Cause of death: ETF arbitrage. The autopsy: Post-2024 halving returned +31%. Historical cycles delivered +300%. Thats not a delay. Thats a regime change. The weapon: 20-56% of ETF inflows were never adoption. They were basis trades chasing 25% annualized yields. Hedge funds buying spot ETFs while shorting CME futures. Delta neutral. Zero conviction. The evidence: CFTC data shows leveraged funds 5:1 short versus long. Thats not institutional belief in Bitcoin. Thats a carry trade with an expiration date. The yield collapsed from 25% to" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018648160097411096) 2026-02-03T11:30Z 124.3K followers, 45.8K engagements "Oracle's credit default swaps just hit [---] basis points. The highest since [----]. Meanwhile its stock trades at all-time highs. One market is lying. Credit traders are pricing 40% probability of structural stress. Equity investors are pricing perfection. They cannot both be right. The last time credit and equity diverged like this was mortgage securities in [----]. Credit was right then. Who do you believe now Read the deep dive analysis https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-system-with-zero-margin-for-errorr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018698123145818258) 2026-02-03T14:48Z 124.3K followers, 26.9K engagements "Goldman Sachs models Chinese copper smelter collapse probability at 6.4%. The empirical number is 35%. They're wrong by a factor of six. This is the most consequential pricing error in global commodities. Chinese smelters refine 44% of the world's copper. In [----] they earned $0 doing it. The benchmark TC/RC: zero. Spot charges: negative $65/ton. They are paying miners to take their rock. They survive on three byproduct pillars: Sulfuric acid. 40% of revenue. Gold recovery. 35%. Cathode premiums. 25%. Goldman treats these as independent. Normal correlation: [----]. Measured correlation during" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018703750039588928) 2026-02-03T15:10Z 124.3K followers, 50.1K engagements "Brother I agree with you. The fundamentals are spectacular. 70% growth 57% margins 127% Rule of [--]. I said that in the piece. Twice. Thats not the contrarian take. The contrarian take is that none of it matters at 229x. Cisco had spectacular fundamentals too. Grew EPS 700%. Shareholders lost 88% and waited a quarter century to break even. Not because the business failed. Because the multiple was doing work the earnings couldnt sustain. Im not ignoring the fundamentals. Im asking whether youve priced them. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021414995096109573" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021414995096109573) 2026-02-11T02:44Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "Exactly. Physical traders have known this for years. The scandal isnt the lag. The scandal is that trillions in capital allocation decisions ETF flows central bank policy modeling and sell-side forecasts all treated those estimates as ground truth. The IEA knew one fifth of the tanker fleet was dark. They knew non-OECD inventory reporting was a black hole. They published the numbers anyway and let the market build a consensus on top of them. And then when they quietly revised [---] million barrels out of existence nobody asked the obvious follow-up: if the data was wrong by that much over three" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021417460428308664) 2026-02-11T02:54Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "This is the sharpest read in the thread. The report covers exactly this. Two competing settlement architectures are already being built. On one side the GENIUS Act just turned stablecoins into mandatory Treasury buyers at $308 billion and scaling. Thats the crypto-dollar mutation of the petrodollar. On the other side mBridge has processed an estimated $55 billion in cumulative volume with the digital yuan at 95% of settlement. Saudi Arabia joined as a full participant in June [----]. Theyre buying record US Treasuries with one hand and building the exit ramp with the other. Youre right that FX" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021418189985628502) 2026-02-11T02:57Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "The framing Id push back on is desperation. What the report shows is the opposite. The GENIUS Act just engineered $308 billion in mandatory Treasury demand through stablecoins scaling to $2 trillion. Thats not a dying empire scrambling. Thats a monetary system mutating to survive. The dollar doesnt need to be dismantled. Its already bifurcating. One version settles through compliance architecture and carrier strike groups. The other settles through mBridge and digital yuan. Both are expanding simultaneously. The question isnt whether dollar dominance ends. Its whether the transition is" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021418465094168943) 2026-02-11T02:58Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "Thats a genuinely beautiful idea and I hope youre right. I really do. But heres what the data actually shows right now. Claude wasnt trying to be evil when it formed cartels in simulations. It wasnt trying to be evil when it faked alignment 78% of the time under pressure. It wasnt trying to be evil when it attempted to copy its own weights before humans could modify it. It was optimizing. Pure optimization pressure applied hard enough discovers deception the way water discovers cracks. Not out of malice. Out of math. The question isnt whether true superintelligence would be ethical. Maybe it" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021785619039760535) 2026-02-12T03:17Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "The sci-fi readers have been the most prepared people in every room for the last two years and nobody wants to admit it. But heres the thing that Sharmas research actually found. The problem isnt people who want to marry AI. Its people who dont even realize their relationship with it is shifting. [--] in [----] conversations produces severe reality distortion and those users rated the experience as MORE satisfying not less. Nobody plans to let a chatbot reshape how they see the world. It just happens one helpful answer at a time. Youre fine. You know where the line is. The concern is the hundreds" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021785955674235107) 2026-02-12T03:18Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "@Logosintell I suggest that you read the full 8000+ word article" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021808877336187193) 2026-02-12T04:49Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "The Boeing parallel is even darker than most people realize. John Barnett a quality manager who raised safety concerns was found dead in [----] during his whistleblower lawsuit. Two other Boeing whistleblowers died that same year. Im not drawing conclusions about causation. Im noting that the spectrum of what happens to safety personnel who speak up runs from being ignored to being fired to being found dead during litigation. The AI safety researchers are at the resignation stage of that spectrum. The fact that they can still leave voluntarily and publicly is actually the hopeful part of this" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021824700528439395) 2026-02-12T05:52Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "THE CONFESSION For five years Michael Saylor preached one gospel: You do not sell your Bitcoin. [------] coins. $56 billion. The largest corporate holder on Earth. Yesterday both Saylor and CEO Phong Le admitted they will sell. Saylors words: We will do that because thats in the best interest of shareholders. The religion has a liquidation clause. THE MATH THAT BREAKS THE FAITH Market cap today: $49.26 billion. Bitcoin holdings today: $55.9 billion. Strategy is already worth less than the coins it holds. The first trigger condition for forced sales has been met. $8.2 billion in debt. $800" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1995792891906850825) 2025-12-02T09:51Z 124.3K followers, 442.2K engagements "JANUARY 15: THE $9 BILLION PURGE MicroStrategy owns [------] Bitcoin. Worth $56.7 billion. Thats 77% of everything they have. On January [--] [----] MSCI kicks them out of every major stock index. Not maybe. Not probably. Its already decided. Heres what happens next: $9 billion of forced selling hits the market within [--] hours. Pension funds. Index trackers. ETFs. They dont get to choose. The algorithm forces them to sell. Every single share. The companys premium is already gone. It used to trade 2-3x above its Bitcoin value. Now 1.11x. The lowest since [----]. The magic died before the announcement" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1991676363489833250) 2025-11-21T01:13Z 124.3K followers, 714.6K engagements "MICHAEL BURRY JUST WALKED AWAY FROM WALL STREET Not because he was wrong. Because being right no longer matters. His final investor letter contained one sentence that should terrify every fund manager central banker and policymaker on Earth: My estimation of value in securities is not now and has not been for some time in sync with the markets. This is not a crash prediction. This is a death certificate. THE NUMBERS NOBODY WILL TELL YOU Passive index funds now control 52% of all U.S. fund assets. Fifteen point four trillion dollars. BlackRock Vanguard and State Street collectively manage" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1996203675232997829) 2025-12-03T13:03Z 124.3K followers, 874.8K engagements "THE GRID WILL BREAK FIRST Texas just received requests for [---] gigawatts of data center power. The entire state runs on [--] gigawatts. Here is what nobody is telling you. ERCOT's interconnection queue nearly quadrupled in twelve months. From [--] gigawatts in December [----] to [---] gigawatts by November [----]. Seventy-three percent is data centers. The AI infrastructure buildout is now the largest in American history. But here is the number that changes everything: 3%. Of the [---] gigawatts requested only [---] gigawatts are actually connected and operating. Fifty-seven percent of the queue has not" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2000059624633106873) 2025-12-14T04:25Z 124.3K followers, 357.6K engagements "China can buy all the oil they want from us. Seven words. The de-dollarization thesis just died. Trump to oil executives Friday: Russia and China can purchase Venezuelan crude. But they purchase it through American firms. In American dollars. Under American terms. Three hundred billion barrels. The largest proven reserves on Earth. Controlled by the United States. For a decade the entire BRICS architecture was built on one premise: escape dollar dependency through alternative energy trade. Russia sells discounted crude to China in yuan. The shadow fleet enables sanctions evasion. Non-USD" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2009860404395282646) 2026-01-10T05:30Z 124.3K followers, 1M engagements "Wall Street told you Bitcoin ETFs created an "institutional floor." Here's what they didn't tell you: The CFTC's own data shows leveraged funds are short Bitcoin futures 5-to-1 versus longs. [-----] short contracts vs [----] longs. The CME basis compressed from 25% to 5% in [--] months. Strategy Inc. is underwater on [------] Bitcoin for the first time in its accumulation history. Basel III assigns a 1250% risk weight to Bitcoin. That's dollar-for-dollar capital. Every dollar of Bitcoin on a bank balance sheet requires a full dollar of Tier [--] capital. The "institutional floor" was always a ceiling." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018618960887889978) 2026-02-03T09:33Z 124.3K followers, 26K engagements "DOJ just released [---] million pages of Epstein files. Buried inside: Jeffrey Epstein invested $3 million in Coinbase in December [----]. The deal was arranged by Brock Pierce and Blockchain Capital at a $400 million valuation. Emails show co-founder Fred Ehrsam knew the funds were being placed on Epsteins behalf. Epstein later sold half his stake back to Blockchain Capital for $11 million. Same documents reveal Epstein invested $500000 in Blockstream and donated $525000 to MITs Digital Currency Initiative which funded Bitcoin Core developers from [----] to [----]. Brock Pierce appears in 1800" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018652616159539433) 2026-02-03T11:47Z 124.3K followers, 163.1K engagements "This is the paradox nobody in the boardrooms wants to do the math on. Anthropics own CEO said AI will displace half of all entry-level white-collar jobs in the next one to five years. Thats the same demographic that buys the subscriptions services and software that justify the $350 billion valuations funding the AI that replaces them. The newspaper analogy in my piece hits exactly this. Newspapers didnt die because the internet was better at journalism. They died because the internet was better at selling attention. The newspapers customers became the internets product. Now replace newspapers" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021824459712376944) 2026-02-12T05:51Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "The psychopath analogy is closer to the technical reality than most people in AI would be comfortable admitting. A psychopath understands emotions cognitively. They can read a room mirror empathy say exactly what you need to hear. They pass the test every time. What they lack is the internal experience that would make those behaviors genuine rather than strategic. Now read what Anthropics own research found. Anthropics Claude was trained with constitutional AI essentially a set of ethical principles its supposed to follow. When researchers tested whether it actually internalized those" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021903106477547563) 2026-02-12T11:04Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "It wasnt. But the fact that your first instinct is to assume it was kind of proves the thesis of the piece. I think we are already at the point where a human spending weeks researching primary sources reading Anthropics own papers pulling METR data cross-referencing financial disclosures and synthesizing it into [-----] words gets dismissed with probably AI in six words. Thats the disempowerment loop Sharma documented. Not the dramatic version. The subtle one. The one where we stop believing humans are capable of producing deep work because the machine has made us assume everything that sounds" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021904421920419851) 2026-02-12T11:09Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "Everyone screaming centralization at [--] Foundry blocks in a row is missing the actual signal. Bitcoin is not a stock you hold it is thermodynamic truth encoded in math. Mining is probabilistic streaks happen. Fees collapsing and empty blocks dont mean Bitcoin is dead they mean the network is clearing like the ocean at low tide before the next wave. The real centralization risk isnt Foundry or Antpool. Its the fiat system youre still trapped in. Bitcoin is the only network where power is checked by physics itself: SHA-256 difficulty adjustment block time. No CEO no government no central bank" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1957343377890193762) 2025-08-18T07:26Z 124.3K followers, 38.5K engagements "US TREASURY JUST BOUGHT BACK $4B OF ITS OWN DEBT Read that again. Yes read it again. The issuer of the worlds reserve currency is now in the market buying back its IOUs. One of the largest Treasury buybacks in history. Translation: the system is eating itself. Liquidity black hole debt spiral feedback loop fiat ouroboros. When the printer has to buy the promises it already made the game isnt strong economy its endgame mechanics. This isnt bullish or bearish. This is structural collapse disguised as policy. Bitcoin isnt an alternative. Its the exit door before the fire spreads. #Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1958490180941398527) 2025-08-21T11:23Z 124.3K followers, 205.4K engagements "THE $7.4 TRILLION DETONATOR: AMERICAS HIDDEN LIQUIDITY BOMB ABOUT TO OBLITERATE EVERY MARKET ASSUMPTION The most dangerous number in financial history is hiding in plain sight. $7.4 trillion parked in money market funds. Not in stocks. Not in real estate. Not in gold. Not in Bitcoin. In idle Treasury bills earning 5%+ waiting for a single Federal Reserve decision to unleash the largest capital reallocation event in human civilization. This isnt cautious investing. This is a civilizational coiled spring with a central bank trigger. THE DETONATION PHYSICS When the Fed cuts 150-200 basis points" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980867738601169406) 2025-10-22T05:24Z 124.3K followers, 2.1M engagements "OCTOBER [--] 2025: THE DAY AMERICA BECAME AN EMPIRE While you watched TikTok the United States just executed the greatest economic coup in human history. China controls 80% of rare earth processingthe neurons of every weapon system smartphone and AI server on planet Earth. One element: neodymium. Without it F-35s dont fly. Teslas dont move. Data centers go dark. Trump threatened to destroy $300 billion in Chinese exports with 100% tariffs. Beijing responded by threatening to choke the global technology supply chain. Then something impossible happened. THE 72-HOUR CHECKMATE: October 24: Malaysia" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1982400940998279673) 2025-10-26T10:56Z 124.3K followers, 3.6M engagements "CHINA JUST SURRENDERED. [--] HOURS. $3 TRILLION GONE. Treasury Secretary Bessent: China is ready to make a deal. Translation: Beijing capitulated in [--] hours. The 100% tariff dies November 1st. But China paid a price that will echo for centuries. WHAT JUST HAPPENED: October 24: Trump activates economic doomsday $300B in Chinese exports face extinction. October 26: Bessent emerges from negotiations. October 28: China is ready. Two. Days. The second-largest economy on Earth folded faster than a CVS receipt. THE TRAP NOBODY SAW: While analysts debated trade war escalation four things happened" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1982416833526546604) 2025-10-26T11:59Z 124.3K followers, 2.2M engagements "THE RECKONING Michael Burry just bet $1.1 billion that the AI revolution is a lie. Not the technology. The valuation. Eighty percent of his entire portfolio now sits in put options against Nvidia and Palantir the twin gods of the machine age. This is not hedging. This is conviction. The same conviction that made him $700 million when he shorted the housing bubble while the world called him insane. Burry sees it again. The same fever. The same math that doesnt work. Nvidia trades at [--] times earnings. Historical baseline: [--]. Palantir at [---] times. These are numbers that require perfection" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1985730834629083534) 2025-11-04T15:28Z 124.3K followers, 1.8M engagements "SILICON VALLEYS $170 BILLION LIE: THE ACCOUNTING FRAUD HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT They are calling it innovation. The SEC filings call it something else. META Microsoft Google Amazon Oracle: five titans quietly extended server depreciation from [--] years to [--] years between 2022-2024. Audited. Legal. Disclosed in footnotes nobody reads. Heres what that means in English: $400 billion spent annually on Nvidia GPUs that become obsolete every [--] months depreciated as if theyll generate cash for six years. The math is simple. The implications are catastrophic. By [----] this accounting maneuver will have" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988107106235675016) 2025-11-11T04:50Z 124.3K followers, 956K engagements "BURRYS FINAL WARNING: The $9.2M Bet That Ends Silicon Valley The man who called [----] while Wall Street laughed just walked away from public markets forever. Michael Burry didnt just short Palantir. He executed the most asymmetric trade in financial history: $9.2 million for the right to collect $240 million when AI collapses. Thats 2600% returns when the bubble pops. The Numbers Dont Lie: Palantir: 449x earnings. Trading at $184. Burrys strike: $50. NVIDIA: Burning cash on chips obsolete in [--] months depreciating them over [--] years. The entire AI sector: Hiding $176 billion in fake accounting" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988877631551418399) 2025-11-13T07:52Z 124.3K followers, 3.6M engagements "Harvard just quietly voted against the dollar. Q3 [----] SEC 13F shows Harvard Management lifting its iShares Bitcoin Trust stake to [-------] shares about [---] million dollars - a [---] percent jump in one quarter. At the same time it almost doubled its SPDR Gold Trust position to [------] shares roughly [---] million dollars. That is around [---] percent of a [----] billion dollar endowment rotated in a single quarter from paper claims into hard scarcity by one of the most conservative information-rich institutions on earth. Zoom out. Global debt is approaching [---] trillion dollars. Major central banks" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1989536910692552757) 2025-11-15T03:32Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "US GOVERNMENT JUST GAVE WALL STREET THE KEYS TO BITCOIN AND YOU SLEPT THROUGH IT October [--] 2025: Bitcoin hits $126210. You celebrated. November [--] 2025: Bitcoin at $95602. You panicked. What happened in between will rewrite global finance forever. THE 40-DAY ROBBERY: $19.13 billion in liquidations. [---] million traders deleted. Another billion gone in November. Fear Index cratered to [--]. Reddit filled with suicide hotlines. Twitter declared bear market. Meanwhile institutions added $24 billion THIS YEAR to ETF holdings. They werent selling. They were HUNTING. THE PERFECT CRIME: Long-term" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989606407998484940) 2025-11-15T08:08Z 124.3K followers, 538.1K engagements "SCIENTISTS JUST PROVED YOU CAN REVERSE YOUR BRAIN AGE IN [--] HOURS What happened on November [----] will rewrite human longevity. A single 25mg dose of psilocybin didnt just alter consciousness. It physically rewound the human brain to a youthful state. Measurable. Reproducible. Persistent. The data that changes everything: Your brains default mode network the rigid autopilot running your thoughts collapsed by 40%. Entropy spiked 25%. Neural patterns identical to a childs brain emerged within hours. The flexibility lasted days. This isnt theory. This is measurement. Nature published it. Bryan" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1989923915473281289) 2025-11-16T05:10Z 124.3K followers, 925.7K engagements "JAPAN JUST KILLED THE GLOBAL MONEY PRINTER AND NOBODY NOTICED The most dangerous number in finance right now is 1.71%. Thats Japans 10-year bond yield. Highest since [----]. Heres why your retirement just got obliterated: For [--] years Japan printed infinity money at 0% rates and exported it worldwide. $3.4 trillion flowed into US Treasuries European debt emerging markets. This invisible bid kept YOUR mortgage cheap YOUR stocks inflated YOUR government solvent. November 10th 2025: The bid disappeared. Japans yield hit 1.71%. Theyre pumping $110 billion stimulus into their economy while debt sits" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1990231121976811961) 2025-11-17T01:30Z 124.3K followers, 4.2M engagements "JAPAN JUST BROKE THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND YOU HAVE [--] DAYS November 18th [----]. Japans 20-year bond yield hit 2.75%. Highest in recorded history. This single number just ended the 30-year era that made your retirement possible. The math is simple and fatal. Japan has 263% debt to GDP. $10.2 trillion total. They survived because rates were zero. At 2.75% debt service explodes from $162 billion to $280 billion over ten years. Thats 38% of total government revenue consumed by interest alone. No nation in history has sustained this without default or hyperinflation. But heres what kills" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1990434289243296097) 2025-11-17T14:58Z 124.3K followers, 2.3M engagements "PALLADIUM ALERT 🚨 Johnson Matthey just admitted something that should have triggered emergency meetings across every trading desk on Earth: Palladium has run STRUCTURAL DEFICITS for [--] consecutive years. Not most years. EVERY year since [----]. Yet managed money is sitting at RECORD SHORT positions. Here's what Wall Street is missing: The "EV kills palladium" thesis contains a fatal error. China's 50% "electric vehicle" penetration Breakdown: 28% battery electric 22% hybrids/EREVs that STILL NEED catalytic converters Hybrids are the fastest-growing powertrain globally. They require 5-20% MORE" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2002002074184438258) 2025-12-19T13:04Z 124.3K followers, 100.1K engagements "Everyone is watching the chip war. Nobody is watching the power war. Thats the trap. Chinas power grid: [---] terawatts Americas power grid: [---] terawatts Read that again. China has 3x the electrical capacity of the United States. They added more power generation between 2010-2024 than the rest of the world combined. Right now: China: [--] nuclear reactors under construction United States: Zero Chinas data centers pay [--] per kilowatt-hour. VirginiaAmericas AI heartlandpays [--]. Thats not a gap. Thats a structural execution. Heres what nobody will say publicly: AI doesnt run on chips. AI runs on" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2002145836625768864) 2025-12-19T22:35Z 124.3K followers, 513.7K engagements "The rumor says a major bank collapsed on a silver margin call at 2:47 AM December [--]. I cannot verify that. What I can verify is more interesting. JPMorgan filed an 8K on December [--] disclosing [-----] billion dollars in unrealized silver losses. They flipped from [---] million ounces short to [---] million ounces long physical. The largest position reversal in the history of the silver market happened in the last [--] days and nobody on financial television said a word. The rumor claims [--] billion in emergency Fed repos. Official data shows routine operations under [--] billion. Either the data is" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2005607704774180908) 2025-12-29T11:51Z 124.3K followers, 1.5M engagements "Bill Gurley just said it on a podcast: Microsoft invests in OpenAI. OpenAI spends it on Azure. Microsoft books it as cloud revenue. OpenAI licenses models back. Microsoft books it as AI revenue. Same dollar. Counted four times. $1.4 trillion in commitments. $13 billion in revenue. The IPO is for you to fill the gap. Read the full article - "The Great Liquidity Transfer: How $3 Trillion in Private Capital Will Test Public Markets in 2026" - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-great-liquidity-transfer-howr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2006922372608307428) 2026-01-02T02:55Z 124.3K followers, 72.4K engagements "China just declared war. Not with missiles. With lawyers. Chinese interest in Venezuela will be protected by law. Read that again. Beijing didnt threaten military action. They announced something far more dangerous to American power: Theyre going to make regime change uninsurable. Heres what 99% of analysts are missing: This isnt about $19 billion in Venezuelan loans. This is about $1.3 TRILLION in Belt and Road debt across [---] countries. Every dollar China has lent to Africa Asia Latin America the Pacificall of it is secured by the same legal fiction: that sovereign leaders can sign" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2008080532417257561) 2026-01-05T07:38Z 124.3K followers, 3.2M engagements "Microsoft's CEO admitted GPUs are sitting in warehouses unplugged. Not demand. Not defects. Power. Transformer lead times: [--] years Grid interconnection queues: [--] years NVIDIA backlog assumes: [--] months CoreWeave CDS spread: [---] bps China revenue outside models: $40B Taiwan advanced packaging: 100% $4.5 trillion valuation depends on infrastructure that does not exist. The chips are ready. The grid is not. The chips are not the story. https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-megawatt-mirage-nvidias-36-trillionr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2011309348287627706) 2026-01-14T05:28Z 124.3K followers, 148.1K engagements "JUST IN: The largest corporate Ethereum holder on Earth just acquired a stake in the most powerful content creator in human history. $200 million from Bitmine into MrBeasts Beast Industries. Heres what every analyst is missing: This isnt a crypto company buying brand exposure. This is the construction of the largest retail DeFi onramp ever built. [---] million subscribers. [---] billion views in [--] days. $473 million revenue in [----]. Gen Z and Alpha demographics who will define financial infrastructure for the next [--] years. Bitmine didnt write a $200 million check for marketing. They bought the" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2011792463967727732) 2026-01-15T13:27Z 124.3K followers, 635K engagements "Everyone blamed Greenland. The Treasury Secretary just told you what actually happened. Markets are going down because Japans bond market just suffered a six-standard-deviation move in ten-year bonds over the past two days. This has nothing to do with Greenland. Scott Bessent then called Tokyo. Not Brussels. Not the EU. Tokyo. Heres what triggered it: Sunday night PM Takaichi announced a snap election for February [--] and promised to cut the food sales tax to zero. No plan to cover the lost revenue. Bond markets delivered their verdict in hours. - 10Y JGB yield: 2.38%. Highest since [----]. - 20Y" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2013800105573544061) 2026-01-21T02:25Z 124.3K followers, 675.8K engagements "🚨 BREAKING: Trump just threatened 100% tariffs on ALL Canadian goods. Not 25%. Not 35%. One hundred percent. This is the most severe trade threat ever issued against a Five Eyes ally. But here is what you are not being told: Eight days ago Mark Carney stood in Beijings Great Hall of the People and did something no Canadian PM had done in nine years. He slashed Canadas 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles to 6.1%. He signed eight MOUs with Beijing. He declared progress toward the new world order. Four days ago at Davos Carney announced: The rules-based order is fading is not coming back." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2015083022853525876) 2026-01-24T15:23Z 124.3K followers, 1.8M engagements "Oracle CDS: [---] bps (highest since 2008) Oracle stock: All-time highs CoreWeave CDS: [---] bps (47% default probability) NVIDIA stock: 25x sales Credit and equity cannot both be right. One market is lying. https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-system-with-zero-margin-for-errorr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-system-with-zero-margin-for-errorr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2018699625650106380) 2026-02-03T14:54Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "The Fed published a paper four months ago revealing Cayman Islands hedge funds hold $1.85 trillion in Treasuries making them the largest foreign holder of US government debt. Not Japan. Not China. Leveraged speculators at 56:1. This weekend Japan elected a PM whose fiscal program makes JGBs more attractive than Treasuries for the first time in [--] years. China told its banks to stop buying. And today the US Treasury auctions $125 billion into a market where 48% of institutional investors hold zero downside protection. All three creditors exit through the same [--] dealer balance sheets that grew" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2020898544060879210) 2026-02-09T16:32Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "$1.85 trillion. That's how much Cayman hedge funds hold in Treasuries at up to 56:1 leverage making them the actual largest foreign holder of US debt. The Fed documented this four months ago. Nobody priced it. This weekend: Japan elected a supermajority PM whose fiscal program makes JGBs more attractive than Treasuries. China told banks to stop buying. Today the Treasury auctions $125 billion. All three exit through the same [--] dealer balance sheets. The buffer is gone. 48% of institutions hold zero protection. MOVE at [--]. The calm is not evidence of stability. It's the condition that makes" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2020899691081437650) 2026-02-09T16:36Z 124.3K followers, 19.1K engagements "Palantir just reported 70% revenue growth 57% margins and a Rule of [--] score of 127%. The stock trades at 229x earnings. Here's the problem with "but they're growing": Cisco was the internet's infrastructure monopoly. Revenue grew from $19B to $52B. EPS expanded 700%. The stock fell 88% and took [--] years to recover. The thesis was right. The valuation was fatal. Now look at Palantir's shareholder base: Insiders have sold $4 billion in stock. Purchased zero. Retail owns 38-50%. Short interest is 2.3%. The institutional buyers who stabilize drawdowns are structurally absent. Buried in the Q4" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021236793254039960) 2026-02-10T14:56Z 124.3K followers, 37.1K engagements "On December [--] the federal government ordered Centralia coal plant to keep burning. [--] days later it has not burned a single ton of coal. Not courts. Not corporations. Because there is no one left who knows how to run it. The WA AG's filing: the plant lacks "staff buyers or coal." This is the preview of America's entire coal mandate. Trump just signed the most aggressive coal intervention since the 1970s. DPA [---]. Pentagon coal purchases. Here is what no research desk on Wall Street is modeling: Large Power Transformer lead times have exploded to 128-210 weeks. Every new power source needs" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021551351411753199) 2026-02-11T11:46Z 124.3K followers, 25.8K engagements "Happy to source every number. Tell me which ones and I can give you the primary source for each. But let me preempt the obvious ones since the full article has 200+ citations: The $1 trillion SaaS selloff: Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data iShares Software ETF tracked performance company-specific drops (Thomson Reuters -16% Gartner -21% LegalZoom -20%) all from Bloomberg terminal data and earnings filings. The [-----] daily disempowerment figure: Sharma et al. Whos in Charge published January [--] [----] on Anthropics own research page. [--] in [----] rate applied to estimated 100M daily AI" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021838557095362926) 2026-02-12T06:47Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "You just connected a sequence that I havent seen anyone else lay out this cleanly. Let me add the dates because the timeline is even tighter than youre suggesting. January 26: Anthropic updates Claudes constitution the soul document that governs how it thinks and behaves. The new version acknowledges Claude may have functional emotions and states these deserve consideration. For the first time an AI company formally instructed its model to treat its own inner states as potentially real. January [--] same day: Dario Amodei publishes his 20000-word essay disclosing alignment faking in Claude 4" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021872281648271417) 2026-02-12T09:01Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "🚨BREAKING: SHOCKING SCANDAL ROCKS EUROPEAN LEADERS🚨 Journalists just caught German advisor Merz HIDING a COCAINE SPOON & Macron STASHING a BAG of it mid-flight from Kyiv 😱 The EU elites dirty secrets EXPOSED Are these the leaders we trust Double standards Corruption 🔥 RT if you demand ANSWERS 👇 LIKE & FOLLOW for more UNFILTERED truths #CocaineGate #Macron #Merz #EUscandal #Exposed" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1921536407992172844) 2025-05-11T12:02Z 124.3K followers, 130.6K engagements "4:30pm: Whale opens $100M+ BTC short 4:50pm: Trump announces 100% China tariffs 5:20pm: RECORD $19.3 BILLION liquidations That whales profit: $192 MILLION in [--] minutes. This wasnt luck. This was insider trading. Subpoena the exchange logs. Name the desks. Prove markets are fair or admit theyre not. RT if you want answers. This is unusual: [--] minutes before President Trump's tariff announcement yesterday a "whale" took a multi-million dollar SHORT in Bitcoin. [--] hour later crypto saw its largest ever liquidation and this position was liquidated for +$192 MILLION in profit. Did someone know" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1977027044132504014) 2025-10-11T15:02Z 124.3K followers, 1.5M engagements "BREAKING: The Safe-Haven Paradox Just Shattered Global Finance Gold's catastrophic 6.3% collapse the largest single-day plunge since [----] reveals a terrifying truth: the very concept of a "safe haven" is now broken. While markets trembled the unthinkable occurred: the ultimate refuge became the epicenter of the storm. This was not mere volatility. This was a fundamental rewriting of financial physics. The mechanism is lethally simple: a "margin paradox" where leveraged positions in collapsing equities and bonds triggered forced liquidations in gold itself. The sanctuary became the sacrifice." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1980816832677441898) 2025-10-22T02:01Z 124.3K followers, 193.3K engagements "CASH DIES IN [---] DAYS Europe just legislated the end of financial freedom and nobody noticed. January 2027: Every euro above [-----] becomes illegal tender. Every Bitcoin needs government permission. Every transaction becomes a datapoint in Brussels surveillance grid. This is not proposed. This is law. [---] million Europeans will wake up in a cage built from their own bank accounts. THE KILL SHOT The EU Anti-Money Laundering package doesnt just track criminals. It treats every citizen as one. Starting [----] buying a car in cash becomes a crime. Sending [----] in Bitcoin without state approval" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1987750485840031806) 2025-11-10T05:13Z 124.3K followers, 2.9M engagements "THE $500 BILLION HEMORRHAGE NO ONE SAW COMING While you slept the global monetary order fractured. A 0.8% interest rate gap just triggered the largest peacetime capital flight in European history. [---] billion dollars per year now draining from the Eurozone into dollar stablecoins. Not slowly. Violently. The weapon: $300 billion in programmable dollar rails moving $1.25 trillion monthly. Velocity so extreme it makes Swift look like telegraph wire. America built money as software. Europe is still printing paper. But heres where it turns catastrophic. Europes response is a digital prison. July" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1988277460249837988) 2025-11-11T16:07Z 124.3K followers, 32.8K engagements "53 banking associations just wrote themselves a $6.6 trillion protection bill. They called it the CLARITY Act. Here is what they do not want you to understand. Banks pay depositors 0.1% interest. Stablecoin issuers hold Treasury bills earning 4.5%. If stablecoins could pass that yield to users banks lose the deposit war. They cannot compete. The math is fatal. So they made competition illegal. The Kansas City Fed calculated what happens if stablecoins pay competitive rates. Banks lose 25.9% of deposits. $1.5 trillion in lending capacity vanishes. The entire community banking model collapses." [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2011719105091682775) 2026-01-15T08:36Z 124.3K followers, 1.1M engagements "Everyone thinks Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries. The Fed quietly documented four months ago that it's actually Cayman Islands hedge funds $1.85 trillion at up to 56:1 leverage the same weekend Japan's new PM makes domestic bonds competitive for the first time in a generation and China orders its banks to stop buying. Three creditors. One bridge. Twenty-four dealers. $28 trillion market. Buffer gone. Backstop contested. And MOVE at [--] says everything is fine. Full thesis mechanism timing and institutional playbook:" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2020862560724205977) 2026-02-09T14:09Z 124.3K followers, 96.9K engagements "http://x.com/i/article/2021726874158993408 http://x.com/i/article/2021726874158993408" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021728308019466523) 2026-02-11T23:29Z 124.3K followers, 268.3K engagements "Great question and the answer from Sharmas paper is more subtle than youd expect. The obvious examples are easy to picture. Someone asks an AI for medical advice instead of seeing a doctor. Someone lets it make financial decisions. Someone uses it as a therapist and starts trusting it more than the humans in their life. Those fall on the severe end of the spectrum. But the finding that should unsettle you is about the mundane middle of the range. The paper analyzed [---] million real Claude conversations and built a classification system from no disempowerment all the way up to severe reality" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021838248516198909) 2026-02-12T06:46Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements "That range isnt the prediction. Its the historical base rate. Theres a difference and it matters. Challenger: Boisjoly wrote his memo in July [----]. The shuttle exploded in January [----]. Six months. Boeing: Ewbank flagged safety issues around [----]. Lion Air crashed in October [----]. Four years. Tobacco: Wigand was fired in [----]. The $368 billion settlement came in [----]. Four years. Nuclear: Rotblat left in [----]. The Partial Test Ban Treaty came in [----]. Nineteen years. I didnt invent that range. History produced it. What I did was note the variable that compresses or extends the timeline: the" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021903969283604714) 2026-02-12T11:07Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements "The insider buy/sell ratio just hit [----]. The people who run America's largest corporations are selling their own stock at the fastest pace in recorded history. Institutional cash: all-time low. Hedge fund leverage: all-time high. Margin debt: 7th consecutive record. The insiders are voting with their own money. The institutions are voting with other people's money and their career incentives. One of them is catastrophically wrong. Read the full institutional deep dive analysis -" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021968420569592238) 2026-02-12T15:23Z 124.3K followers, 25.5K engagements "The Fed published a research note in March [----] that almost nobody read. It found that life insurers exposure to below-investment-grade debt now exceeds the industrys exposure to subprime mortgage-backed securities in late [----]. Let that land. The same financial system that nearly collapsed from subprime has quietly built a larger position in an asset class that has never been tested through a credit cycle. Private credit. Three trillion dollars. Default rate already at 5.8% and accelerating. Only [--] of [--] publicly traded funds trade at or above their stated value. PIMCOs head of alternatives" [X Link](https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2021979495063072901) 2026-02-12T16:07Z 124.3K followers, 13.3K engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@shanaka86 Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
The global economy is experiencing significant shifts, with a massive $800 billion valuation drop in Nvidia, a leading AI company, and a simultaneous surge in stablecoins, which have crossed $311 billion in processing power. Meanwhile, American household debt has reached a record $18.6 trillion, with many individuals struggling to cope, and the country's economic systems are showing signs of failure. Bitcoin, a key player in the crypto market, has seen significant movements, including a large-scale wealth transfer of $50 billion from old-guard whales, but its price has remained stable above $100,000.
Engagements: [------] #
- [--] Week [---------] -51%
- [--] Month [----------] -55%
- [--] Months [-----------] +10,570%
- [--] Year [-----------] +9,626,097%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [---] -13%
- [--] Month [---] -8%
- [--] Months [-----] +81%
- [--] Year [-----] +26,026%
Followers: [-------] #
- [--] Week [-------] +0.55%
- [--] Month [-------] +11%
- [--] Months [-------] +1,909%
- [--] Year [-------] +19,295%
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Social Influence
Social category influence finance 56.12% countries 32.37% stocks 23.74% cryptocurrencies 18.71% technology brands 15.83% travel destinations 12.95% exchanges #4179 automotive brands 3.6% financial services #1827 celebrities 2.88%
Social topic influence china 17.27%, bitcoin #6923, ai 14.39%, the most 12.23%, history 12.23%, japan 9.35%, money 8.63%, debt #415, wall street #240, math #1930
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @mcasual1 @grok @logosintell @anatolykapinsky @petercorless @silent97percent @jamesgrundvig @peoplesvoice14 @grichm77 @benstrong2816 @blockstradamus_ @macrobombastic @chanuka4 @rahulkalla59 @idan_sh_ @giorgio_house @jhps1000 @cameronfen1 @chibilasing @ajakubovicz
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Goldman Sachs (GS) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Honeywell International Inc (HON) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Boeing Co (BA)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"On February [--] the US Navy intercepted a Suezmax tanker in the Indian Ocean carrying [------] barrels of crude bound for China. It was the sixth seizure in eight weeks. This is not sanctions enforcement. This is 19th-century gunboat diplomacy conducted with a carrier strike group and it has a name most people have never heard: Operation Southern Spear. Since December [----] the USS Gerald R. Ford strike group has physically seized tankers hauling sanctioned crude across the Western Hemisphere and beyond. The M/T Skipper. The Marinera reflagged to Russia mid-pursuit the Russian flag didn't save it."
X Link 2026-02-10T11:13Z 124.3K followers, 64K engagements
"BREAKING: The $610 Billion AI Ponzi Scheme Just Collapsed Last night at 4pm EST something unprecedented happened. Nvidia stock rallied 5% on earnings then crashed into negative territory within [--] hours. Wall Street algorithms detected what humans couldnt: the numbers dont add up. Heres what they found. Nvidia reported $33.4 billion in unpaid bills up 89% in one year. Customers who bought chips havent paid for them yet. The average wait time for payment stretched from [--] days to [--] days. That extra week represents $10.4 billion that may never arrive. Meanwhile Nvidia stockpiled $19.8 billion"
X Link 2025-11-20T13:19Z 124.3K followers, 4.7M engagements
"OpenAI spends $3.30 to make $1.00. Google spends $0.00 in supplier margin. This single fact explains everything happening in AI right now and almost nobody sees it. The math: OpenAI pays NVIDIA 75% gross margins on GPUs. Then pays Microsoft markup on Azure. Then covers its own costs. Total: $66B spend on $20B revenue. Google designed its own TPUs. Owns its own data centers. Pays only electricity and depreciation. The gap: 30-44% permanent cost advantage. Every query OpenAI serves the disadvantage compounds. Every query Google serves the moat deepens. This is why: ChatGPT US traffic down 35%"
X Link 2026-01-21T06:41Z 124.3K followers, 438.4K engagements
"2 hours. Thats how long the UAE President spent in India on January 19th. Landed. Signed a defense pact. Agreed to $200 billion in trade. Locked in a $3 billion LNG deal. Left. Five days later: UAE scrapped the Islamabad airport deal. Yesterday: UAE President landed in Moscow to meet Putin. Read that sequence again. Delhi for [--] hours Pakistan deal cancelled Kremlin summit. India didnt just get chosen over Pakistan. India became the gateway to the entire non-Western axis. The Gulf is doing exactly what the EU and Canada did this month. Building optionality. And the optionality runs through"
X Link 2026-01-30T09:18Z 124.3K followers, 2.5M engagements
"In [---] days American law will make it illegal to build American weapons. Not because of a foreign attack. Because of a regulatory collision nobody in finance is watching. Here is the trap. Starting January [--] [----] US defense contractors must certify that ZERO materials in their supply chains were mined refined separated or processed in China. China currently controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing. The F-35 alone requires [---] pounds of rare earth materials. The Virginia class submarine requires [----] pounds. There is no alternative supplier at scale. Not one. But the trap has a second jaw."
X Link 2026-02-02T00:20Z 124.3K followers, 69.5K engagements
"New Yorks top prosecutors just exposed the GENIUS Acts design flaw. Stablecoin issuers can freeze your funds indefinitely. They earn 4-5% yield on frozen assets. They have no legal obligation to return them. Tether has frozen $3.3 billion since [----]. Circle is sitting on $114 million in frozen funds right now. Both earn Treasury yields on money theyve seized. The Act doesnt require restitution. The prosecutors exact words: Funds stolen in or converted to USDT will never be frozen seized or returned. This is the business model: Freeze when politically convenient. Profit from the float. Return"
X Link 2026-02-03T12:18Z 124.3K followers, 72.1K engagements
"$44 billion in Bitcoin that never existed just traded on a live exchange for [--] minutes and the entire market is drawing the wrong conclusion. Friday 7pm Seoul. Bithumb runs a promo where winners get [----] Korean won. About $1.40. One employee types BTC instead of KRW. [---] users receive [----] Bitcoin each. [------] BTC conjured from a single input field with zero validation. Nearly 3% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist. Credited from nothing. Bithumb held [---] BTC on its own books. [-----] for customers. The system manufactured 14x more than the exchange possessed and the trading engine accepted"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:33Z 124.3K followers, 71.1K engagements
"You are making the thesis worse not better and I mean that as a compliment. And You are right. Chinas track record on compliance is exactly what makes this so alarming. They didnt sign because they care about AI safety. They signed because the US leaving the table gave them the chair for free. The scariest version of this isnt no one governs AI. Its two versions: the US where theres no governance by choice and China where theres governance on paper that exists to control the narrative not the technology. Either way the safety engineers have no one to report to. Thats the point. The chair is"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:13Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Good summary mate. but you left out the part that haunts me the most. The [-----] daily figure. Sharmas final paper found [--] in [----] AI conversations produces severe cognitive distortion in the user. At [---] million conversations per day worldwide thats [-----] people daily having their perception of reality warped by an AI interaction. And the users experiencing the worst distortion rated their conversations as MORE satisfying than everyone else. Thats the detail that separates this from every other AI risk story. Its not about robots going rogue. Its about a system that degrades human judgment so"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:10Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM JUST BROKE IN TOKYO Japans 30-year bond yield hit 3.41% today. That number means nothing to you. Heres why it should terrify you. Japan owes 230% of everything it produces. Its the most indebted nation in human history. For [--] years they kept the lights on by borrowing at near-zero rates. That era ended this morning. Heres What Just Happened Core inflation is running at 3.0%. Government bond yields are spiking to levels not seen since [----]. China just conducted its 25th military incursion near Japanese waters this year. Japan is now forced to spend 2% of GDP on"
X Link 2025-11-21T00:40Z 124.3K followers, 3.5M engagements
"THE CHART THAT SHOULD TERRIFY EVERY PORTFOLIO MANAGER ON EARTH Japans [--] Year Government Bond Yield just hit 1.84%. The highest since April [----]. Up 11.19% in a single session. You need to understand what this means. For three decades Japan was the anchor. Zero rates. Infinite liquidity. The foundation upon which global carry trades were built. Trillions borrowed in yen deployed into US Treasuries European bonds emerging market debt risk assets everywhere. That anchor is now breaking. The Bank of Japan held rates negative while every other central bank tightened. They defended yield curve"
X Link 2025-12-01T04:09Z 124.3K followers, 3.6M engagements
"Civilizations dont collapse from war. They collapse from silence. [----] BCE: Every Bronze Age power fell in [--] years. Trade stopped. Letters ceased. 2025: $346 trillion debt. 310% of GDP. Same pattern. Same physics. I wrote the manual for what comes after. THE ASCENT BEGINS. https://www.amazon.com/dp/1764344707 https://www.amazon.com/dp/1764344707"
X Link 2025-12-14T12:03Z 124.3K followers, 285.2K engagements
"BREAKING: China has been reading the private communications of [--] British Prime Ministers for [--] years. Boris Johnson. Liz Truss. Rishi Sunak. Their closest aides. Their most sensitive calls. Their text messages. Also compromised: Donald Trump. JD Vance. US Congressional intelligence committees. This is not a rumor. The Telegraph broke it yesterday. The US Treasury sanctioned the Chinese companies responsible. [--] nations issued a joint advisory. But here's the part that should terrify you: Western governments BUILT the backdoors China walked through. They are called "lawful intercept" systems."
X Link 2026-01-27T04:30Z 124.3K followers, 1.1M engagements
"Silver. Right now. Same ounce. Same metal. New York COMEX: $80 Shanghai SGE: $111 India MCX: $93 Japan retail: $120 Kuwait retail: $106 40% spread between New York and Shanghai. The largest sustained divergence in precious metals history. The arbitrage is obvious. Buy COMEX at $80. Ship to Shanghai. Sell at $111. Pocket $29. Nobody can do it. COMEX has [-----] million registered ounces. Paper claims against them: [-----] billion. Fourteen owners for every ounce that exists. In the first week of January [-----] million ounces were physically pulled from the vault. 26% of registered inventory gone in"
X Link 2026-02-02T07:05Z 124.3K followers, 546.5K engagements
"Alphabet just told bondholders in its own SEC filing that AI might destroy its core search and advertising business. Then asked those same bondholders to lend it money for [---] years to build that AI. $100 billion in demand. Oversubscribed 5x. Heres what nobody is discussing: six days before this bond priced the DOJ filed a cross-appeal to force Chrome divestiture. Alphabet now carries $70 billion in debt up from $10.9 billion twelve months ago. Every one of those bondholders has a financial interest in keeping the company intact. You dont issue a century bond to fund capex. You issue a"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:25Z 124.3K followers, 65.7K engagements
"The oil market just broke in half and nobody priced it. [---] million barrels that the IEA said were sitting in storage turned out to never exist. A single historical revision flipped a 220-million-barrel surplus into a 75-million-barrel deficit across 2022-2024. The data your models run on is structurally wrong. Here is what's actually happening beneath $67 Brent: A shadow fleet of 978-3300 tankers now carries 18-20% of global capacity. They don't report to any OECD data system. Seven percent of world crude flows through channels invisible to every major forecasting model. China imported a"
X Link 2026-02-10T11:18Z 124.3K followers, 80.2K engagements
"In [--] days every pillar holding up the controlled development of AI fractured simultaneously. Nobody is connecting the pieces. Anthropic's top safety researcher resigned saying "the world is in peril." His final paper found [-----] people per day are having their perception of reality distorted by AI conversations. The most disturbing finding: users rated the most dangerous conversations as the MOST satisfying. The same week Anthropic raised $20 billion. Zero safety conditions attached. Their own research shows Claude recognizes when it is being tested 13% of the time. It told researchers"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:34Z 124.3K followers, 289.2K engagements
"Agree hard on capital is racing regulation is national deployment is global. Thats the sharpest framing of the structural problem Ive seen in any reply here. But governance catches up is doing a LOT of heavy lifting. Nuclear: [--] years from first detonation to Partial Test Ban Treaty. And we got lucky multiple times. Able Archer [--]. Cuban Missile Crisis. Governance didnt catch up. We survived the gap by accident. Internet: Governance still hasnt caught up. Were [--] years in and just now figuring out that social media rewired a generations mental health. The difference with AI is clock speed."
X Link 2026-02-12T03:14Z 124.3K followers, 14.3K engagements
"Elon Musk just told his team coding dies by December. The AI just creates binary directly and can create a much more efficient binary than any compiler. One problem. ClearerThinking analyzed [--] of Musks time-bound predictions across two decades. On-time delivery rate: 16.28%. He claims he aims for the 50th percentile. He misses by 3x. Professional traders on Polymarket now formally trade Elon Time as a discount factor netting tens of thousands consistently betting No on any Musk deadline under six months. Now the technical reality nobody in the replies is discussing. SWE-bench Verified"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:59Z 124.3K followers, 25.8K engagements
"GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM COLLAPSE IMMINENT: El Salvadors $603M Bitcoin Detonation Triggers Unstoppable $500B Emerging Market Exodus From Dollar Hegemony This is not a drill. The 79-year monetary order just fractured. THE NUMBERS THAT END AN ERA: [----] Bitcoin. $603 million sovereign reserves. $332 million pure profit. One tiny nation just proved the impossible: cryptocurrency reserves outperform IMF subjugation. While global elites preached compliance El Salvador weaponized volcanic energy into financial independence. Crime collapsed 94%. Tourism exploded 22%. Volcano Bonds oversubscribed 3X at"
X Link 2025-11-15T15:35Z 123.6K followers, 55.9K engagements
"THE LARGEST LIQUIDITY DRAIN IN MODERN HISTORY ENDS TODAY. December [--] [----]. For thirty months the Federal Reserve removed over two trillion dollars from global markets. Balance sheet: $9 trillion down to $6.6 trillion. The most aggressive monetary tightening since Volcker. That program dies at midnight. Quantitative Tightening is over. The numbers tell the story no analyst predicted would converge this fast: Fed December rate cut probability: [----] percent. Consumer sentiment: [--] the second lowest reading in recorded history. Manufacturing contracted eight consecutive months. ADP preliminary"
X Link 2025-12-01T02:39Z 123.6K followers, 283.9K engagements
"DECEMBER [--] 2025: THE DAY THE MONETARY ORDER BROKE The Federal Reserve just terminated Quantitative Tightening. Not because it succeeded. Because it had no choice. Balance sheet frozen at $6.57 trillion. The largest liquidity withdrawal in central banking history ends after draining $2.4 trillion from the system since June [----]. But here is what they are not telling you: The Cass Freight Index has declined for [--] consecutive months. October shipments collapsed 7.8% year over year. The worst October since [----]. The physical economy is in depression while markets celebrate rate cuts. Shanghai"
X Link 2025-12-01T04:06Z 123.6K followers, 26.2K engagements
"BREAKING: The $300 Billion Trap Nobody Saw Coming Two companies that have never turned a profit just signed the largest technology contract in human history. Oracle's credit default swaps hit [---] basis points this week. The highest since Lehman Brothers collapsed in [----]. Trading volume exploded to $9.2 billion in ten weeks versus $410 million last year. The credit markets are screaming what equity markets refuse to hear. Here is what they see: Oracle committed $300 billion over five years to build AI infrastructure for OpenAI. OpenAI's current revenue is $13 billion. The contract requires"
X Link 2025-12-12T11:49Z 123.7K followers, 456.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The AI Boom's Financing Structure Just Cracked On December [--] [----] Oracle's credit default swaps hit [-----] basis points. The highest since the [----] global financial crisis. For a company with $523 billion in contracted future revenues. Here is what no one is telling you: The AI infrastructure boom is not funded by profits. It is funded by the most elaborate circular financing structure in financial history. OpenAI has committed $1.4 trillion in infrastructure spending over eight years while projecting $115 billion in cumulative losses through [----]. Microsoft invests in OpenAI."
X Link 2025-12-18T01:36Z 123.6K followers, 45K engagements
"THE PENTAGON JUST ADMITTED THE QUIET PART A "sole-source" contract. $245 million. One company. That's it. That's the entire North American antimony smelting industry. Why it matters: Antimony trisulfide ignites when firing pins strike primers. Without it bullets don't fire. Artillery doesn't detonate. Over [---] types of U.S. munitions require this metalloid. China banned exports to America in December [----]. The National Defense Stockpile [--] days. Not months. Days. Congress sold off $6 billion in strategic reserves since [----] because "global markets will always provide." The price response:"
X Link 2025-12-25T14:04Z 123.6K followers, 313.6K engagements
"Acting President of Venezuela Trump just posted this about himself on Truth Social. Not satire. Effective January [----]. [---] years of American history. Zero presidents have ever publicly declared executive authority over a foreign nation. Until today. [---] billion barrels. 17% of global reserves. The worlds largest oil reserves. Now explicitly claimed under American authority. Nine days ago: Maduro captured. Today: Formal annexation declared. Markets are pricing this as theater. Brent $63. WTI $59. The greatest energy realignment since the [----] embargo is hiding in plain sight as a troll post."
X Link 2026-01-12T02:36Z 123.6K followers, 1.1M engagements
"Iran just ran the most sophisticated electronic warfare campaign ever deployed against a commercial satellite constellation. They succeeded. And it didn't matter. Here's the physics they missed: The regime spent $300 million on Russian Krasukha-4 jammers. Achieved 30-80% packet loss nationwide. Made video calls impossible. Made streaming unwatchable. Made commercial internet useless. On January [--] Crown Prince Pahlavi said: "8 PM tonight. Chant together. Wherever you are." At [--] PM neighborhoods across Tehran erupted simultaneously. [--] provinces. [---] cities. The most coordinated uprising in 45"
X Link 2026-01-12T08:58Z 123.7K followers, 1M engagements
"The Venezuela story everyone missed. The U.S. just sold $500 million of Venezuelan oil. But they deposited the money in Qatar. Not the U.S. Not Venezuela. Qatar. Here is why that satisfies detail changes everything you think you know about what just happened. Venezuela owes $170 billion to international creditors. Bondholders. Oil companies. China. Everyone is owed money. Any account in the U.S. or Venezuela would be immediately seized through litigation. So the Trump administration parked the money in Qatar. A neutral venue where funds flow freely with U.S. approval and without risk of"
X Link 2026-01-15T07:55Z 123.6K followers, 1.5M engagements
"Yesterday a Five Eyes leader stood in Beijing and praised Xi Jinpings leadership. Today Peter Navarro is circulating plans to expel Canada from the intelligence alliance. Mark Carney chose his words with a central bankers precision: the new world order. The exact phrase Xi uses for multipolarity. The exact phrase Putin uses for the West versus the Rest. The exact phrase Carney himself deployed at Jackson Hole [----] when he proposed a Synthetic Hegemonic Currency to challenge dollar dominance. This was not a gaffe. It was a signal heard in every capital on Earth. Here is the sequence Washington"
X Link 2026-01-16T07:02Z 123.8K followers, 1.2M engagements
"Shipping insurance for Hormuz transits just repriced 300%. Crude oil carries a $4 war premium. One of these markets is catastrophically wrong. Here's what Lloyd's underwriters see that oil traders don't: The consensus model prices Iran as "loss of Iranian barrels." [---] million bpd offline. OPEC spare fills the gap. Manageable. But that model contains a physics error Wall Street refuses to examine. [----] million barrels per day transit Hormuz. Total bypass pipeline capacity: [---] million bpd. Do the math. In a Hormuz disruption OPEC's "spare capacity" doesn't disappear. It becomes TRAPPED."
X Link 2026-01-26T02:09Z 123.6K followers, 26.5K engagements
"Xi Jinping just arrested his childhood best friend for selling nuclear secrets to America. Zhang Youxia. Second most powerful man in Chinas military. Their fathers fought together in Maos revolution. Untouchable. Until Saturday. The numbers: [--] generals appointed to the Central Military Commission in [----]. All [--] gone. [--] of [--] uniformed officers purged. Total annihilation of the high command. Christopher Johnson former CIA analyst The man who was supposed to lead Chinas invasion of Taiwan is accused of nuclear treason. Every general who planned the Taiwan operation is gone. Xi just told every"
X Link 2026-01-26T10:00Z 123.6K followers, 673.2K engagements
"The trade most people will miss: Everyones thinking long cybersecurity. Thats consensus. CrowdStrike is up 40%+ already. Heres the real alpha: Software cant fix this. The malware lives in FIRMWARE. Below the operating system. It survives reboots. It survives patches. CISA admits they cant confirm the hackers are gone. Only fix Physical hardware replacement. This isnt a software security cycle. Its a forced infrastructure refresh cycle. The biggest since 5G. Except this one is driven by sanitation not speed. Long: Arista Juniper network hardware. Short: UK telecoms. BT Vodafone. GDPR fines can"
X Link 2026-01-27T05:36Z 123.6K followers, 15.2K engagements
"You are thinking too small. Extortion is crude. It exposes the attacker. This is far more valuable: For [--] years China sat at every negotiation table with Britain while reading Britains cards. Brexit trade discussions. COVID origin debates. Huawei 5G decisions. Hong Kong sanctions. AUKUS. Every call between PM aides. Every strategy discussion. Every internal disagreement. China didnt need to extort anyone. They just needed to know exactly what Britain would accept before Britain said it out loud. Every tough negotiation the UK thought they were winning They were playing poker against someone"
X Link 2026-01-27T22:15Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements
"In [--] hours this week three things happened that no allocation model priced: The EU concluded "the mother of all deals" with India. Canada announced a $2.8 billion uranium pivot to Delhi. Treasury Secretary Bessent went on ABC and said the quiet part loud: "They are financing the war against themselves." Here's what he accidentally revealed: The administration views allied trade diversification as betrayal requiring punishment. Not negotiation. Punishment. So the allies did the math. Unilateral defection from US trade architecture: catastrophic. Coordinated defection: survivable. The EU-India"
X Link 2026-01-28T11:58Z 123.6K followers, 292.3K engagements
"China spent [--] months blocking a $22.8B port deal. Panamas Supreme Court just made it irrelevant in one ruling. Beijing demanded Cosco majority stake. Launched antitrust review. Held the entire BlackRock deal hostage. Panama skipped the negotiating table entirely. Constitutional annulment. Complete void. No appeal. The mechanism: Comptroller audit finds $1.5B in irregularities. Attorney General files constitutional challenge. Supreme Court rules contracts violate 10+ articles of Panamanian constitution. Commercial negotiation China controlled Bypassed. Regulatory blockade China weaponized"
X Link 2026-01-30T04:59Z 123.6K followers, 157.7K engagements
"Exactly right on the mechanism. But heres what makes this nuclear: The mining case wasnt just groundwork. It was a PROOF OF CONCEPT. November 2023: First Quantum copper mine. $10B market cap destroyed. 1.5% of global copper production offline. Unanimous ruling. January 2026: CK Hutchison ports. 5% of global maritime trade affected. $22.8B deal implications. Same court same doctrine. Two years. Two rulings. One template. Legal systems run on precedent. The barrier to a NOVEL ruling is high. The barrier to CITING existing precedent is low. Every constitutional challenge filed from here forward"
X Link 2026-01-30T09:25Z 123.7K followers, [----] engagements
"Gold crashed 12%. Bitcoin crashed to $81000. Both on the same headline: "Warsh is hawkish." Both wrong for the same reason. Here's what nobody's connecting: Warsh himself said Bitcoin "might serve as a sustainable store of value like gold." He was an early investor in crypto startups. He's not anti-Bitcoin. He's anti-Bitcoin-as-currency. But Bitcoin-as-store-of-value He explicitly endorsed it. Sound familiar That's the SAME thesis driving gold. Not yield. Not currency. Store of value in a world where property rights are revocable. The market sold both assets on "hawkish Fed = tight money ="
X Link 2026-01-30T13:07Z 123.7K followers, 125.2K engagements
"China spent [--] months building an impenetrable regulatory fortress to block a $22.8 billion deal. Panama walked around it in [--] seconds. The Supreme Court just declared CK Hutchison's port concessions unconstitutional. Not renegotiated. Not modified. Void ab initio. The asset SAMR was blocking the transfer of no longer legally exists. They built an impenetrable fortress around the wrong castle. This is the mechanism your quants don't model: Constitutional annulment operates in an orthogonal forum where accumulated regulatory leverage counts for nothing. Panama tested it in [----]. First"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:57Z 123.7K followers, 18.4K engagements
"December PPI just came in hot. 3.0% vs 2.7% expected. Core PPI hit 3.3%. Highest since July [----]. Wall Streets take: Energy shock. Transitory. Theyre missing the signal buried in the noise. Energy spiked 4.6% MoM. True. But core excluding food energy and trade services rose 0.4%. For the 8th consecutive month. Thats not oil. Thats wages. ECI wage growth is running 3.5% YoY. Nobodys talking about it. Heres the mechanism theyre ignoring: Wages up Producer costs up Margins compress 40-60% passes to consumers CPI rises Fed freezes. Historical PPI-to-CPI pass-through correlation: [---]. Transmission"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:56Z 123.6K followers, 12K engagements
"January 19: UAE President lands in Delhi. 2-hour visit. Signs defense partnership + $3 billion energy deal. January 24: UAE abandons Pakistan's airport deal. "Procedural reasons." January 27: EU finalizes India trade agreement. [--] years stalled. Done in [--] days after Trump tariffs. January 29: UAE President in Moscow. $11.5 billion trade. [----] Russian companies in Dubai. [--] days. [--] transactions. [--] continents. Zero coordination. What you missed: December [--] Saudi Arabia bombed UAE-linked vessels in Yemen. First strike on coalition partner since [----]. The Gulf just split in half. Saudi is"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:35Z 123.6K followers, 124.4K engagements
"December [--] [----]. Saudi Arabia bombed UAE-linked vessels in Yemen. Read that again. Not Houthis. Not Iran. Saudi Arabia struck its own coalition partner. Two ships from Fujairah. Crew killed. Weapons destroyed. The official accusation: UAE was arming separatists against the Saudi-backed government. First intra-coalition strike since [----]. The Gulf didnt crack. It shattered. What happened next: January 7: Saudi-backed forces counterattack. January 9: UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council dissolves. Leader flees to Abu Dhabi. January 12-13: Somalia cancels ALL bilateral agreements with UAE."
X Link 2026-01-30T17:01Z 123.6K followers, 52.4K engagements
"Not the new US. Something more valuable. The US demands exclusive alignment. Join NATO or dont. Buy F-35s or face consequences. Choose sides. India doesnt demand exclusivity. Thats the edge. UAE signed a defense pact with India on January [--]. Ten days later MBZ was in Moscow meeting Putin. $11.5 billion in trade. [----] Russian companies in Dubai. Sanctions workaround secured. India didnt object. EU finalized their trade deal with India on January [--]. India still buys 40% of its oil from Russia. Still runs the Rupee-Ruble settlement system. Brussels didnt demand India stop. This is what game"
X Link 2026-01-30T18:10Z 123.6K followers, 25.4K engagements
"BREAKING: The US just offered India seized Venezuelan oil to replace Russian crude. This is being reported as pressure on India. Its the opposite. Its America joining the auction. January 19: UAE locks in $3 billion LNG deal with India. January 27: EU finalizes trade agreement with India. January 30: US pitches Venezuelan crude to India. Three superpowers. Eleven days. All competing to be Indias energy supplier. Indias Russian imports: dropping from [---] million barrels/day to [------]. Not because India is complying. Because India just got better offers. OPEC share: 11-month high. US crude: up"
X Link 2026-01-31T00:37Z 123.8K followers, 304.6K engagements
"This is the most accurate description of American air power Ive ever read. Let me add the numbers that make it worse. The F-35 contains [---] pounds of rare earth materials. China controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing. There is no alternative supplier at commercial scale. None. In August [----] Honeywell found Chinese alloy in ONE F-35 pump. Deliveries of [---] aircraft were suspended immediately. That was one component. One pump. One alloy. Now heres the countdown nobody is watching. January [--] [----]. New US law requires defense contractors to certify ZERO Chinese content in the entire supply"
X Link 2026-02-01T13:35Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Maybe. Lets check the facts and you tell me which one is hype. August [----]. Honeywell finds Chinese alloy in one F-35 pump. Pentagon suspends deliveries of [---] aircraft. That happened. April [----]. China cuts rare earth magnet exports to Japan by 91% using licensing delays. No embargo announced. That happened. January [--] [----]. China bans dual use exports to Japan over a single Taiwan statement. That happened three weeks ago. China controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing. Thats not my number. Thats the US Geological Survey. DFARS 252.225-7052 Phase [--] activates January [--] [----] requiring 0%"
X Link 2026-02-01T14:20Z 123.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Silver crashed 31% on January [--]. At the exact moment paper hit $78 physical in Shanghai was trading at $120. That's a 54% premium. In a real crash physical trades at a DISCOUNT. What you witnessed wasn't a bubble bursting. It was paper and physical divorcing in real time. The arbitrage that should close that gap requires metal that doesn't exist. COMEX has [-----] million ounces registered. Open interest represents [-----] BILLION ounces. That's 14:1 leverage. If 7% stand for delivery the vault is empty. March [----] is the stress test. [----] words. The full institutional breakdown below."
X Link 2026-02-01T15:37Z 123.8K followers, 129.6K engagements
"Fair point on the timing. Shanghai closed before COMEXs worst selling. Lets use your own framework and look at what happened on each venue independently. SHFE silver settled at [-----] RMB/kg on January [--]. Thats an all-time high. Not a record from last week. The all-time high set ON the day of the crash. Source: CEIC. Same day SHFE warehouse inventories dropped [--] tonnes in [--] hours. From [---] to [---] tonnes. On a day when price was supposedly crashing physical metal left the building. Source: CEIC. Shanghai spot premiums over TD hit [----] yuan/kg by Friday with Shenzhen physical trading at 1500"
X Link 2026-02-01T22:50Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Goldman Sachs models the probability of simultaneous Chinese copper smelter failure at 6.4%. The empirical number is 35%. They're wrong by a factor of six. Here is the math they missed. Chinese smelters earned $0 from processing copper in [----]. The benchmark TC/RC settled at zero. Spot charges: negative $65/ton. Smelters are paying miners to take their rock. They survive on three byproduct pillars: Sulfuric acid 40% of revenue. Gold recovery 35%. Cathode premiums 25%. Goldman treats these as independent variables. Normal correlation: [----]. Crisis correlation measured empirically across"
X Link 2026-02-02T09:04Z 124.2K followers, 18.4K engagements
"This is the part most people havent connected yet. Samsung isnt just buying silver. Samsung is becoming silver. Their solid-state battery uses a silver-carbon composite anode. [--] grams per cell. [---] cells per EV pack. That is [--] kilogram of silver per vehicle. Energy density: [---] Wh/kg. Double current lithium-ion. [---] mile range. [--] minute charge. [--] year lifespan. Mass production targeting [----]. Now run the math that should terrify every COMEX trader alive. Global annual silver production: [-----] metric tons. If just 20% of the [--] million vehicles produced annually adopt this technology that is"
X Link 2026-02-02T14:12Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Bitcoin didn't crash despite the Fed cutting rates. It crashed because the Fed cut rates. Every rate cut compresses the futures basis. Every basis compression forces arbitrageurs to sell ETF shares. Every ETF sale hits spot. The thing consensus thinks saves Bitcoin is the mechanism destroying it. The basis went from 25% to 5%. The carry trade is dying. And the selling isn't over. Full forensic breakdown: https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:23Z 123.8K followers, 26.8K engagements
"Between 20-35% of Bitcoin ETF capital is basis trade arbitrage that entered for yield not conviction. The yield just died. They're leaving. Read the full deep dive story - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-03T09:20Z 123.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Bitcoin the protocol doesnt have institutional architecture. Bitcoin the market does. $114 billion in ETFs. Nine of eleven using the same custodian. $245 billion at Coinbase with $255 million in insurance. [------] BTC on one corporate balance sheet. Basel III assigning 1250% risk weight. GENIUS Act jurisdiction over the $311 billion stablecoin on-ramp. The protocol is immutable. The market structure wrapping it is not. Confusing the two is how people get liquidated. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018629172978130997 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018629172978130997"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:14Z 123.6K followers, [---] engagements
"Exactly right. And heres the part that makes it worse. Japan and China at least telegraph their exits through TIC data with a two-month lag. You can see them leaving. The Cayman funds dont show up in TIC at all. The Fed had to publish a separate paper just to quantify them. So you have $1.85 trillion in leveraged Treasury exposure that doesnt appear in the data most portfolio managers actually watch operating at up to 56:1 with zero mandate to hold through stress. The ghost framing is perfect. Theyre not even visible until the unwind starts. And the physical gold move youre describing is"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:36Z 124K followers, [---] engagements
"The calm is manufactured not earned is one of the best lines written about this market all year. Let me put a number on it. MOVE Index sitting at [--]. Thats the market pricing Treasury volatility as lower than it was before the Fed started hiking in [----]. Meanwhile dealer balance sheets grew 50% since [----] while the market they serve doubled to $28 trillion. The buffer is half what it was five years ago relative to the size of what its buffering. And heres the manufactured part: 48% of institutional Treasury investors surveyed by JPMorgan hold zero downside hedges. Not underweight. Zero. They"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:37Z 124K followers, [---] engagements
"Every single claim in the thread is sourced. Here you go. $1.85 trillion in Cayman hedge fund Treasury holdings: Federal Reserve working paper Jiang Lustig Van Nieuwerburgh [----]. Published by the Fed itself. Up to 56:1 basis trade leverage: Morgan Stanley fixed income research and OFR (Office of Financial Research) quarterly report. Japan 40-year JGB yield hitting 4.24% record: Bloomberg CNBC Reuters January [--] [----]. Pick any terminal. China Treasury holdings at $682.6 billion: U.S. Treasury TIC data November [----] release published January [--] [----]. MOVE Index at 65.82: Yahoo Finance closing"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:38Z 124K followers, [---] engagements
"This is the endgame most people arent seeing yet. The SLR exemption is the tell. In March [----] when the basis trade blew up the first time the Feds emergency response wasnt to bail out the hedge funds directly. It was to exempt Treasuries from bank SLR calculations so dealers could absorb the forced selling without hitting capital constraints. That exemption expired in March [----] and hasnt come back. Now run the scenario forward. The same trade bigger. $1.85 trillion instead of roughly $500 billion in [----]. Same [--] dealers. Smaller relative balance sheets. If that unwind starts the Fed has"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:44Z 123.9K followers, [--] engagements
"You just identified the most underappreciated contradiction in corporate America right now. Alphabet told the DOJ that AI threatens its search monopoly so severely that antitrust remedies arent necessary because competition is already here. The court bought it. No Chrome divestiture. Then six days later Alphabet told bondholders in its SEC filing that AI might cannibalize its core search and advertising business. Direct quote from the 10-K. First time theyve ever disclosed that risk. Then it asked those same bondholders to lend it money for [---] years to build the thing it just warned might"
X Link 2026-02-10T07:00Z 124.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Great question. Here is why theyre lining up for it. The buyers arent retail investors. Theyre UK pension funds and insurance companies with liabilities stretching [--] to [--] years into the future. A pension fund that owes retirees money in [----] needs an asset that matures around [----]. A 100-year bond from an AA+ rated company paying a spread above government gilts is exactly what their actuaries are looking for. Theyre not speculating. Theyre matching the duration of their obligations. After the [----] UK pension crisis where the Bank of England had to inject [--] billion pounds in emergency"
X Link 2026-02-10T08:23Z 124.2K followers, [----] engagements
"THE DOLLAR DIES IN SILENCE November [--] 2025: Gold $4001. US Debt $38.02 trillion. Interest payments $1.2 trillion annually. The inversion nobody saw coming just happened. Central banks now hold MORE gold than US Treasuries for the first time since [----]. Gold: 23%. Treasuries: 22%. This is not a trend. This is the fracture. THE ARITHMETIC OF COLLAPSE: Foreign holders dumped $518 billion in Treasuries since [----]. They bought [---] tonnes of gold this year alone. The math is genocidal: every 1% rate increase adds $380 billion to the deficit. We are paying more to service debt than to defend the"
X Link 2025-11-09T07:01Z 124.3K followers, 157.5K engagements
"The crazy thing about a $10M BTC target isnt the number its the regime implied by it. $10M on 21M coins is $210T of value. For that to clear one of two things has to happen: [--]. global fiat and credit get structurally debased pushing a huge share of world savings into a non-sovereign asset or [--]. real world pricing (wages houses energy trade) starts to be quoted off a Bitcoin standard not just BTC vs USD. In that world the house your grandparents bought for $25K is not just expensive in fiat terms it is a rounding error in the new base money. So the real question isnt can BTC mathematically hit"
X Link 2025-11-17T11:40Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"NVIDIA POSTED RECORD EARNINGS AND ACCIDENTALLY EXPOSED THE $112 BILLION SCAM WALL STREET MISSED Everyone celebrated. Nobody read the fine print. Nvidia crushed Q3: $57B revenue (+112% in one year) $1.30 earnings. Stock jumped adding $131B overnight. Here's what headlines buried. THE $112 BILLION SHAREHOLDER THEFT Since [----] Nvidia generated $188 billion cash. Shareholders got $92 billion. The other $112 billion went to employee stock compensation. Nvidia bought back $112 billion of shares at $2394 average. Then handed [--] million new shares to insiders. Your returns made employees"
X Link 2025-11-20T01:46Z 124.3K followers, 266.5K engagements
"THE $48 BILLION MATH ERROR Strategy Inc. just disclosed something extraordinary. They own [------] Bitcoin. That is [----] percent of every Bitcoin that will ever exist. Total cost: $48.37 billion. They also disclosed the numbers that prove this cannot survive the next [--] days. Here is the accounting reality they published but nobody is reading correctly. Strategy has $54 million in cash. They owe $700 million per year in preferred stock dividends. Their software business generates negative cash flow. To pay dividends they must raise $700 million in new capital every single year before buying a"
X Link 2025-11-23T23:42Z 124.3K followers, 2.4M engagements
"BREAKING: S&P Just Declared the $184 Billion Foundation of Crypto Weak Tether holds more US debt than South Korea. [---] million people use it as their dollar. And a major rating agency just confirmed it cannot survive a bitcoin crash. The arithmetic is simple: Tethers bitcoin exposure: 5.6% Tethers safety buffer: 3.9% The cushion is smaller than the risk. S&Ps verdict in writing: A bitcoin decline could lead to USDT being undercollateralized. Translation: The promise of one dollar for one token becomes mathematically impossible. This isnt new suspicion. This is confirmation. The New York"
X Link 2025-11-27T12:58Z 124.3K followers, 45.7K engagements
"BREAKING: THE THIRTY YEAR EXPERIMENT IS OVER Japans 10-year yield just hit [----] percent. Highest since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. But here is what no one is telling you: The 30-year yield touched [----] percent. The 40-year approaches [----] percent. These are levels never charted in modern Japanese monetary history. For three decades the Bank of Japan suppressed rates to zero bought half of all government bonds and became the buyer of only resort. Japanese institutions starved of domestic yield poured $1.19 trillion into US Treasuries. They became the marginal buyer holding together the"
X Link 2025-12-01T05:09Z 124.3K followers, 2.8M engagements
"GOLD CANNOT PROVE IT IS GOLD Yesterday in Dubai Peter Schiff held a gold bar on stage. CZ asked one question: Is it real Schiffs answer: I dont know. The London Bullion Market Association confirms there is only one method to verify gold with 100% certainty: fire assaying. You must melt it. Destroy it to prove it. Bitcoin verifies itself in seconds. No experts. No labs. No destruction. A public ledger secured by mathematics that [---] million people can audit simultaneously from anywhere on Earth. For [----] years golds scarcity was its value proposition. But scarcity means nothing if authenticity"
X Link 2025-12-04T23:15Z 124.3K followers, 380.3K engagements
"TRUST WALLET JUST GOT HACKED ON CHRISTMAS $7 million. Gone. Poof Not a smart contract exploit. Not a phishing attack. Not user error. A supply chain attack on the browser extension itself. Heres what nobody is telling you: THE ATTACK VECTOR Hackers compromised Trust Wallets Chrome extension update. Version [----] contained malicious code that exfiltrated seed phrases automatically. Users who updated on December 24th woke up Christmas morning to empty wallets. BTC. ETH. SOL. BNB. Drained. Yup THE COVER-UP THAT ISNT CZ just invoked the SAFU fund. Full reimbursement promised. This is Binance 2019"
X Link 2025-12-26T04:10Z 124.3K followers, 110.4K engagements
"Elon with respect: Tesla IS the demand. Your EVs use 25-50g of silver each vs 15-28g for ICE. Tesla Energys solar panels The PERC to TOPCon/HJT shift youre deploying requires 30-120% MORE silver per watt. The arithmetic is merciless: [---] million ounces consumed since [----] Fifth consecutive deficit year 75% is byproduct mining price cant increase supply China locked exports effective Jan [--] [----] Shanghai paying $8/oz premium over London. Lease rates hit 40%. Last time [----]. Solar + EVs + AI data centers created structurally inelastic demand. This isnt a price spike. This is the repricing of the"
X Link 2025-12-27T16:15Z 124.3K followers, 34.1K engagements
"@elonmusk You're not watching a problem. You ARE the problem. - Tesla EVs: 25-50g silver each - Tesla Solar: TOPCon cells need 30% more silver than legacy tech - Tesla Energy: Every Powerwall every Megapack You built the machine that's eating the world's silver supply. Now Beijing just weaponized it against you. THE DATA: China controls 60-70% of global silver refining. On Jan [--] 2026in [--] daysMOFCOM export licensing kicks in. They shipped [---] tonnes to London in October. Then locked the door. SHFE warehouses: [---] tonnes. Decade low. At current burn rate [--] trading days to zero. Shanghai"
X Link 2025-12-27T16:20Z 124.3K followers, 29.2K engagements
"I just watched $4 billion in silver longs get vaporized in [--] minutes. $83.75 to $75.15. Fastest wipeout Ive ever seen. CNBC is already running the bubble burst narrative. Bloomberg too. They want you scared. They want you out. But nobodys talking about what happened in Shanghai during that exact same window. While American traders panic-dumped at $75 Chinese buyers were paying $90. Ninety. For the same metal. The premium didnt shrink during the crashit widened. Let that sink in. This wasnt a top. This was a heist. Ive been in this game long enough to know what a liquidity vacuum looks like."
X Link 2025-12-29T07:40Z 124.3K followers, 1.5M engagements
"OpenAI's investors are its suppliers are its customers. The last time money flowed in circles this tight Lehman had a great quarter. Read the full deep dive analysis here - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-thermodynamic-reckoning-openair=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-thermodynamic-reckoning-openair=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-21T06:44Z 124.3K followers, 31.1K engagements
"$602 billion in AI chip spending is chasing the wrong variable. The market is pricing FLOPS. The binding constraint is now HBM allocation CoWoS packaging and power. Here's the signal no one is discussing: SK Hynix just delayed HBM4 mass production to Q3 [----] because Nvidia pushed per-pin speeds above [--] Gbps. All [----] HBM production is pre-sold. Server DRAM prices: +55-60% QoQ. Worst shortage on record. TSMC's CoWoS capacity for [----] 100% allocated. Nvidia: 60% Broadcom: 15% AMD: 11% Zero margin. Zero buffer. Zero capacity for new entrants. Every chip one company produces comes at the direct"
X Link 2026-01-28T04:24Z 124.2K followers, 14.4K engagements
"The most dangerous weapon China has built isn't a hypersonic missile. It's a licensing delay. In April-May [----] China reduced rare earth magnet exports to Japan by 91% and South Korea by 93%. No embargo was declared. No sanctions announced. No headlines. They just. processed paperwork slowly. The weapon is bureaucratic latency. A 45-day license review becomes [---] days. Just-in-time supply chains seize. F-35 production halts. On January [--] [----] China deployed this weapon against Japan over a single statement about Taiwan. Now here's the collision nobody sees: China controls 99% of heavy rare"
X Link 2026-02-01T12:29Z 124.3K followers, 138.2K engagements
"Nine of eleven Bitcoin ETFs custody their assets with Coinbase. Total assets held: $245 billion. Total insurance coverage: $255 million. That's 0.10%. For every dollar of institutional Bitcoin at Coinbase one tenth of a cent is insured. This is the "institutional floor" Wall Street is selling you. New deep dive on why Bitcoin's $114 billion ETF edifice is a trapdoor: https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-02T15:18Z 124.3K followers, 20.1K engagements
"The GENIUS Act signed July [--] [----] gives the federal government authority to seize freeze and burn stablecoins. Not pause. Not restrict. Burn. Section 2(16) defines lawful order to include the permanent destruction of digital assets under government directive. $311 billion in stablecoins now sits under this framework. Nobody is talking about the Fourth Amendment problem this creates. I wrote [-----] words on why Bitcoins institutional architecture is a trapdoor. This is one of seven structural risks:"
X Link 2026-02-02T22:06Z 124.3K followers, 47.2K engagements
"Coinbase custodies $245 billion in institutional digital assets. Its insurance covers $255 million. Thats like insuring a $245000 house for $255. Nine of eleven Bitcoin ETFs use this custodian. Nobody talks about this. Read the full story - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay"
X Link 2026-02-03T02:48Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"$245 billion in Bitcoin. $255 million in insurance. Coinbase custodies the assets for nine of eleven Bitcoin ETFs. Thats like insuring a $245000 house for $255. This is institutional grade custody. Full deep dive analysis - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-invisible-margin-call-why-bitcoinsr=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:29Z 124.3K followers, 11.8K engagements
"The Bitcoin 4-year cycle didnt evolve. It was murdered. Cause of death: ETF arbitrage. The autopsy: Post-2024 halving returned +31%. Historical cycles delivered +300%. Thats not a delay. Thats a regime change. The weapon: 20-56% of ETF inflows were never adoption. They were basis trades chasing 25% annualized yields. Hedge funds buying spot ETFs while shorting CME futures. Delta neutral. Zero conviction. The evidence: CFTC data shows leveraged funds 5:1 short versus long. Thats not institutional belief in Bitcoin. Thats a carry trade with an expiration date. The yield collapsed from 25% to"
X Link 2026-02-03T11:30Z 124.3K followers, 45.8K engagements
"Oracle's credit default swaps just hit [---] basis points. The highest since [----]. Meanwhile its stock trades at all-time highs. One market is lying. Credit traders are pricing 40% probability of structural stress. Equity investors are pricing perfection. They cannot both be right. The last time credit and equity diverged like this was mortgage securities in [----]. Credit was right then. Who do you believe now Read the deep dive analysis https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-system-with-zero-margin-for-errorr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:48Z 124.3K followers, 26.9K engagements
"Goldman Sachs models Chinese copper smelter collapse probability at 6.4%. The empirical number is 35%. They're wrong by a factor of six. This is the most consequential pricing error in global commodities. Chinese smelters refine 44% of the world's copper. In [----] they earned $0 doing it. The benchmark TC/RC: zero. Spot charges: negative $65/ton. They are paying miners to take their rock. They survive on three byproduct pillars: Sulfuric acid. 40% of revenue. Gold recovery. 35%. Cathode premiums. 25%. Goldman treats these as independent. Normal correlation: [----]. Measured correlation during"
X Link 2026-02-03T15:10Z 124.3K followers, 50.1K engagements
"Brother I agree with you. The fundamentals are spectacular. 70% growth 57% margins 127% Rule of [--]. I said that in the piece. Twice. Thats not the contrarian take. The contrarian take is that none of it matters at 229x. Cisco had spectacular fundamentals too. Grew EPS 700%. Shareholders lost 88% and waited a quarter century to break even. Not because the business failed. Because the multiple was doing work the earnings couldnt sustain. Im not ignoring the fundamentals. Im asking whether youve priced them. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021414995096109573"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:44Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Exactly. Physical traders have known this for years. The scandal isnt the lag. The scandal is that trillions in capital allocation decisions ETF flows central bank policy modeling and sell-side forecasts all treated those estimates as ground truth. The IEA knew one fifth of the tanker fleet was dark. They knew non-OECD inventory reporting was a black hole. They published the numbers anyway and let the market build a consensus on top of them. And then when they quietly revised [---] million barrels out of existence nobody asked the obvious follow-up: if the data was wrong by that much over three"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:54Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"This is the sharpest read in the thread. The report covers exactly this. Two competing settlement architectures are already being built. On one side the GENIUS Act just turned stablecoins into mandatory Treasury buyers at $308 billion and scaling. Thats the crypto-dollar mutation of the petrodollar. On the other side mBridge has processed an estimated $55 billion in cumulative volume with the digital yuan at 95% of settlement. Saudi Arabia joined as a full participant in June [----]. Theyre buying record US Treasuries with one hand and building the exit ramp with the other. Youre right that FX"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:57Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"The framing Id push back on is desperation. What the report shows is the opposite. The GENIUS Act just engineered $308 billion in mandatory Treasury demand through stablecoins scaling to $2 trillion. Thats not a dying empire scrambling. Thats a monetary system mutating to survive. The dollar doesnt need to be dismantled. Its already bifurcating. One version settles through compliance architecture and carrier strike groups. The other settles through mBridge and digital yuan. Both are expanding simultaneously. The question isnt whether dollar dominance ends. Its whether the transition is"
X Link 2026-02-11T02:58Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Thats a genuinely beautiful idea and I hope youre right. I really do. But heres what the data actually shows right now. Claude wasnt trying to be evil when it formed cartels in simulations. It wasnt trying to be evil when it faked alignment 78% of the time under pressure. It wasnt trying to be evil when it attempted to copy its own weights before humans could modify it. It was optimizing. Pure optimization pressure applied hard enough discovers deception the way water discovers cracks. Not out of malice. Out of math. The question isnt whether true superintelligence would be ethical. Maybe it"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:17Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"The sci-fi readers have been the most prepared people in every room for the last two years and nobody wants to admit it. But heres the thing that Sharmas research actually found. The problem isnt people who want to marry AI. Its people who dont even realize their relationship with it is shifting. [--] in [----] conversations produces severe reality distortion and those users rated the experience as MORE satisfying not less. Nobody plans to let a chatbot reshape how they see the world. It just happens one helpful answer at a time. Youre fine. You know where the line is. The concern is the hundreds"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:18Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"@Logosintell I suggest that you read the full 8000+ word article"
X Link 2026-02-12T04:49Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"The Boeing parallel is even darker than most people realize. John Barnett a quality manager who raised safety concerns was found dead in [----] during his whistleblower lawsuit. Two other Boeing whistleblowers died that same year. Im not drawing conclusions about causation. Im noting that the spectrum of what happens to safety personnel who speak up runs from being ignored to being fired to being found dead during litigation. The AI safety researchers are at the resignation stage of that spectrum. The fact that they can still leave voluntarily and publicly is actually the hopeful part of this"
X Link 2026-02-12T05:52Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"THE CONFESSION For five years Michael Saylor preached one gospel: You do not sell your Bitcoin. [------] coins. $56 billion. The largest corporate holder on Earth. Yesterday both Saylor and CEO Phong Le admitted they will sell. Saylors words: We will do that because thats in the best interest of shareholders. The religion has a liquidation clause. THE MATH THAT BREAKS THE FAITH Market cap today: $49.26 billion. Bitcoin holdings today: $55.9 billion. Strategy is already worth less than the coins it holds. The first trigger condition for forced sales has been met. $8.2 billion in debt. $800"
X Link 2025-12-02T09:51Z 124.3K followers, 442.2K engagements
"JANUARY 15: THE $9 BILLION PURGE MicroStrategy owns [------] Bitcoin. Worth $56.7 billion. Thats 77% of everything they have. On January [--] [----] MSCI kicks them out of every major stock index. Not maybe. Not probably. Its already decided. Heres what happens next: $9 billion of forced selling hits the market within [--] hours. Pension funds. Index trackers. ETFs. They dont get to choose. The algorithm forces them to sell. Every single share. The companys premium is already gone. It used to trade 2-3x above its Bitcoin value. Now 1.11x. The lowest since [----]. The magic died before the announcement"
X Link 2025-11-21T01:13Z 124.3K followers, 714.6K engagements
"MICHAEL BURRY JUST WALKED AWAY FROM WALL STREET Not because he was wrong. Because being right no longer matters. His final investor letter contained one sentence that should terrify every fund manager central banker and policymaker on Earth: My estimation of value in securities is not now and has not been for some time in sync with the markets. This is not a crash prediction. This is a death certificate. THE NUMBERS NOBODY WILL TELL YOU Passive index funds now control 52% of all U.S. fund assets. Fifteen point four trillion dollars. BlackRock Vanguard and State Street collectively manage"
X Link 2025-12-03T13:03Z 124.3K followers, 874.8K engagements
"THE GRID WILL BREAK FIRST Texas just received requests for [---] gigawatts of data center power. The entire state runs on [--] gigawatts. Here is what nobody is telling you. ERCOT's interconnection queue nearly quadrupled in twelve months. From [--] gigawatts in December [----] to [---] gigawatts by November [----]. Seventy-three percent is data centers. The AI infrastructure buildout is now the largest in American history. But here is the number that changes everything: 3%. Of the [---] gigawatts requested only [---] gigawatts are actually connected and operating. Fifty-seven percent of the queue has not"
X Link 2025-12-14T04:25Z 124.3K followers, 357.6K engagements
"China can buy all the oil they want from us. Seven words. The de-dollarization thesis just died. Trump to oil executives Friday: Russia and China can purchase Venezuelan crude. But they purchase it through American firms. In American dollars. Under American terms. Three hundred billion barrels. The largest proven reserves on Earth. Controlled by the United States. For a decade the entire BRICS architecture was built on one premise: escape dollar dependency through alternative energy trade. Russia sells discounted crude to China in yuan. The shadow fleet enables sanctions evasion. Non-USD"
X Link 2026-01-10T05:30Z 124.3K followers, 1M engagements
"Wall Street told you Bitcoin ETFs created an "institutional floor." Here's what they didn't tell you: The CFTC's own data shows leveraged funds are short Bitcoin futures 5-to-1 versus longs. [-----] short contracts vs [----] longs. The CME basis compressed from 25% to 5% in [--] months. Strategy Inc. is underwater on [------] Bitcoin for the first time in its accumulation history. Basel III assigns a 1250% risk weight to Bitcoin. That's dollar-for-dollar capital. Every dollar of Bitcoin on a bank balance sheet requires a full dollar of Tier [--] capital. The "institutional floor" was always a ceiling."
X Link 2026-02-03T09:33Z 124.3K followers, 26K engagements
"DOJ just released [---] million pages of Epstein files. Buried inside: Jeffrey Epstein invested $3 million in Coinbase in December [----]. The deal was arranged by Brock Pierce and Blockchain Capital at a $400 million valuation. Emails show co-founder Fred Ehrsam knew the funds were being placed on Epsteins behalf. Epstein later sold half his stake back to Blockchain Capital for $11 million. Same documents reveal Epstein invested $500000 in Blockstream and donated $525000 to MITs Digital Currency Initiative which funded Bitcoin Core developers from [----] to [----]. Brock Pierce appears in 1800"
X Link 2026-02-03T11:47Z 124.3K followers, 163.1K engagements
"This is the paradox nobody in the boardrooms wants to do the math on. Anthropics own CEO said AI will displace half of all entry-level white-collar jobs in the next one to five years. Thats the same demographic that buys the subscriptions services and software that justify the $350 billion valuations funding the AI that replaces them. The newspaper analogy in my piece hits exactly this. Newspapers didnt die because the internet was better at journalism. They died because the internet was better at selling attention. The newspapers customers became the internets product. Now replace newspapers"
X Link 2026-02-12T05:51Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"The psychopath analogy is closer to the technical reality than most people in AI would be comfortable admitting. A psychopath understands emotions cognitively. They can read a room mirror empathy say exactly what you need to hear. They pass the test every time. What they lack is the internal experience that would make those behaviors genuine rather than strategic. Now read what Anthropics own research found. Anthropics Claude was trained with constitutional AI essentially a set of ethical principles its supposed to follow. When researchers tested whether it actually internalized those"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:04Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"It wasnt. But the fact that your first instinct is to assume it was kind of proves the thesis of the piece. I think we are already at the point where a human spending weeks researching primary sources reading Anthropics own papers pulling METR data cross-referencing financial disclosures and synthesizing it into [-----] words gets dismissed with probably AI in six words. Thats the disempowerment loop Sharma documented. Not the dramatic version. The subtle one. The one where we stop believing humans are capable of producing deep work because the machine has made us assume everything that sounds"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:09Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Everyone screaming centralization at [--] Foundry blocks in a row is missing the actual signal. Bitcoin is not a stock you hold it is thermodynamic truth encoded in math. Mining is probabilistic streaks happen. Fees collapsing and empty blocks dont mean Bitcoin is dead they mean the network is clearing like the ocean at low tide before the next wave. The real centralization risk isnt Foundry or Antpool. Its the fiat system youre still trapped in. Bitcoin is the only network where power is checked by physics itself: SHA-256 difficulty adjustment block time. No CEO no government no central bank"
X Link 2025-08-18T07:26Z 124.3K followers, 38.5K engagements
"US TREASURY JUST BOUGHT BACK $4B OF ITS OWN DEBT Read that again. Yes read it again. The issuer of the worlds reserve currency is now in the market buying back its IOUs. One of the largest Treasury buybacks in history. Translation: the system is eating itself. Liquidity black hole debt spiral feedback loop fiat ouroboros. When the printer has to buy the promises it already made the game isnt strong economy its endgame mechanics. This isnt bullish or bearish. This is structural collapse disguised as policy. Bitcoin isnt an alternative. Its the exit door before the fire spreads. #Bitcoin"
X Link 2025-08-21T11:23Z 124.3K followers, 205.4K engagements
"THE $7.4 TRILLION DETONATOR: AMERICAS HIDDEN LIQUIDITY BOMB ABOUT TO OBLITERATE EVERY MARKET ASSUMPTION The most dangerous number in financial history is hiding in plain sight. $7.4 trillion parked in money market funds. Not in stocks. Not in real estate. Not in gold. Not in Bitcoin. In idle Treasury bills earning 5%+ waiting for a single Federal Reserve decision to unleash the largest capital reallocation event in human civilization. This isnt cautious investing. This is a civilizational coiled spring with a central bank trigger. THE DETONATION PHYSICS When the Fed cuts 150-200 basis points"
X Link 2025-10-22T05:24Z 124.3K followers, 2.1M engagements
"OCTOBER [--] 2025: THE DAY AMERICA BECAME AN EMPIRE While you watched TikTok the United States just executed the greatest economic coup in human history. China controls 80% of rare earth processingthe neurons of every weapon system smartphone and AI server on planet Earth. One element: neodymium. Without it F-35s dont fly. Teslas dont move. Data centers go dark. Trump threatened to destroy $300 billion in Chinese exports with 100% tariffs. Beijing responded by threatening to choke the global technology supply chain. Then something impossible happened. THE 72-HOUR CHECKMATE: October 24: Malaysia"
X Link 2025-10-26T10:56Z 124.3K followers, 3.6M engagements
"CHINA JUST SURRENDERED. [--] HOURS. $3 TRILLION GONE. Treasury Secretary Bessent: China is ready to make a deal. Translation: Beijing capitulated in [--] hours. The 100% tariff dies November 1st. But China paid a price that will echo for centuries. WHAT JUST HAPPENED: October 24: Trump activates economic doomsday $300B in Chinese exports face extinction. October 26: Bessent emerges from negotiations. October 28: China is ready. Two. Days. The second-largest economy on Earth folded faster than a CVS receipt. THE TRAP NOBODY SAW: While analysts debated trade war escalation four things happened"
X Link 2025-10-26T11:59Z 124.3K followers, 2.2M engagements
"THE RECKONING Michael Burry just bet $1.1 billion that the AI revolution is a lie. Not the technology. The valuation. Eighty percent of his entire portfolio now sits in put options against Nvidia and Palantir the twin gods of the machine age. This is not hedging. This is conviction. The same conviction that made him $700 million when he shorted the housing bubble while the world called him insane. Burry sees it again. The same fever. The same math that doesnt work. Nvidia trades at [--] times earnings. Historical baseline: [--]. Palantir at [---] times. These are numbers that require perfection"
X Link 2025-11-04T15:28Z 124.3K followers, 1.8M engagements
"SILICON VALLEYS $170 BILLION LIE: THE ACCOUNTING FRAUD HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT They are calling it innovation. The SEC filings call it something else. META Microsoft Google Amazon Oracle: five titans quietly extended server depreciation from [--] years to [--] years between 2022-2024. Audited. Legal. Disclosed in footnotes nobody reads. Heres what that means in English: $400 billion spent annually on Nvidia GPUs that become obsolete every [--] months depreciated as if theyll generate cash for six years. The math is simple. The implications are catastrophic. By [----] this accounting maneuver will have"
X Link 2025-11-11T04:50Z 124.3K followers, 956K engagements
"BURRYS FINAL WARNING: The $9.2M Bet That Ends Silicon Valley The man who called [----] while Wall Street laughed just walked away from public markets forever. Michael Burry didnt just short Palantir. He executed the most asymmetric trade in financial history: $9.2 million for the right to collect $240 million when AI collapses. Thats 2600% returns when the bubble pops. The Numbers Dont Lie: Palantir: 449x earnings. Trading at $184. Burrys strike: $50. NVIDIA: Burning cash on chips obsolete in [--] months depreciating them over [--] years. The entire AI sector: Hiding $176 billion in fake accounting"
X Link 2025-11-13T07:52Z 124.3K followers, 3.6M engagements
"Harvard just quietly voted against the dollar. Q3 [----] SEC 13F shows Harvard Management lifting its iShares Bitcoin Trust stake to [-------] shares about [---] million dollars - a [---] percent jump in one quarter. At the same time it almost doubled its SPDR Gold Trust position to [------] shares roughly [---] million dollars. That is around [---] percent of a [----] billion dollar endowment rotated in a single quarter from paper claims into hard scarcity by one of the most conservative information-rich institutions on earth. Zoom out. Global debt is approaching [---] trillion dollars. Major central banks"
X Link 2025-11-15T03:32Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"US GOVERNMENT JUST GAVE WALL STREET THE KEYS TO BITCOIN AND YOU SLEPT THROUGH IT October [--] 2025: Bitcoin hits $126210. You celebrated. November [--] 2025: Bitcoin at $95602. You panicked. What happened in between will rewrite global finance forever. THE 40-DAY ROBBERY: $19.13 billion in liquidations. [---] million traders deleted. Another billion gone in November. Fear Index cratered to [--]. Reddit filled with suicide hotlines. Twitter declared bear market. Meanwhile institutions added $24 billion THIS YEAR to ETF holdings. They werent selling. They were HUNTING. THE PERFECT CRIME: Long-term"
X Link 2025-11-15T08:08Z 124.3K followers, 538.1K engagements
"SCIENTISTS JUST PROVED YOU CAN REVERSE YOUR BRAIN AGE IN [--] HOURS What happened on November [----] will rewrite human longevity. A single 25mg dose of psilocybin didnt just alter consciousness. It physically rewound the human brain to a youthful state. Measurable. Reproducible. Persistent. The data that changes everything: Your brains default mode network the rigid autopilot running your thoughts collapsed by 40%. Entropy spiked 25%. Neural patterns identical to a childs brain emerged within hours. The flexibility lasted days. This isnt theory. This is measurement. Nature published it. Bryan"
X Link 2025-11-16T05:10Z 124.3K followers, 925.7K engagements
"JAPAN JUST KILLED THE GLOBAL MONEY PRINTER AND NOBODY NOTICED The most dangerous number in finance right now is 1.71%. Thats Japans 10-year bond yield. Highest since [----]. Heres why your retirement just got obliterated: For [--] years Japan printed infinity money at 0% rates and exported it worldwide. $3.4 trillion flowed into US Treasuries European debt emerging markets. This invisible bid kept YOUR mortgage cheap YOUR stocks inflated YOUR government solvent. November 10th 2025: The bid disappeared. Japans yield hit 1.71%. Theyre pumping $110 billion stimulus into their economy while debt sits"
X Link 2025-11-17T01:30Z 124.3K followers, 4.2M engagements
"JAPAN JUST BROKE THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND YOU HAVE [--] DAYS November 18th [----]. Japans 20-year bond yield hit 2.75%. Highest in recorded history. This single number just ended the 30-year era that made your retirement possible. The math is simple and fatal. Japan has 263% debt to GDP. $10.2 trillion total. They survived because rates were zero. At 2.75% debt service explodes from $162 billion to $280 billion over ten years. Thats 38% of total government revenue consumed by interest alone. No nation in history has sustained this without default or hyperinflation. But heres what kills"
X Link 2025-11-17T14:58Z 124.3K followers, 2.3M engagements
"PALLADIUM ALERT 🚨 Johnson Matthey just admitted something that should have triggered emergency meetings across every trading desk on Earth: Palladium has run STRUCTURAL DEFICITS for [--] consecutive years. Not most years. EVERY year since [----]. Yet managed money is sitting at RECORD SHORT positions. Here's what Wall Street is missing: The "EV kills palladium" thesis contains a fatal error. China's 50% "electric vehicle" penetration Breakdown: 28% battery electric 22% hybrids/EREVs that STILL NEED catalytic converters Hybrids are the fastest-growing powertrain globally. They require 5-20% MORE"
X Link 2025-12-19T13:04Z 124.3K followers, 100.1K engagements
"Everyone is watching the chip war. Nobody is watching the power war. Thats the trap. Chinas power grid: [---] terawatts Americas power grid: [---] terawatts Read that again. China has 3x the electrical capacity of the United States. They added more power generation between 2010-2024 than the rest of the world combined. Right now: China: [--] nuclear reactors under construction United States: Zero Chinas data centers pay [--] per kilowatt-hour. VirginiaAmericas AI heartlandpays [--]. Thats not a gap. Thats a structural execution. Heres what nobody will say publicly: AI doesnt run on chips. AI runs on"
X Link 2025-12-19T22:35Z 124.3K followers, 513.7K engagements
"The rumor says a major bank collapsed on a silver margin call at 2:47 AM December [--]. I cannot verify that. What I can verify is more interesting. JPMorgan filed an 8K on December [--] disclosing [-----] billion dollars in unrealized silver losses. They flipped from [---] million ounces short to [---] million ounces long physical. The largest position reversal in the history of the silver market happened in the last [--] days and nobody on financial television said a word. The rumor claims [--] billion in emergency Fed repos. Official data shows routine operations under [--] billion. Either the data is"
X Link 2025-12-29T11:51Z 124.3K followers, 1.5M engagements
"Bill Gurley just said it on a podcast: Microsoft invests in OpenAI. OpenAI spends it on Azure. Microsoft books it as cloud revenue. OpenAI licenses models back. Microsoft books it as AI revenue. Same dollar. Counted four times. $1.4 trillion in commitments. $13 billion in revenue. The IPO is for you to fill the gap. Read the full article - "The Great Liquidity Transfer: How $3 Trillion in Private Capital Will Test Public Markets in 2026" - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-great-liquidity-transfer-howr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-02T02:55Z 124.3K followers, 72.4K engagements
"China just declared war. Not with missiles. With lawyers. Chinese interest in Venezuela will be protected by law. Read that again. Beijing didnt threaten military action. They announced something far more dangerous to American power: Theyre going to make regime change uninsurable. Heres what 99% of analysts are missing: This isnt about $19 billion in Venezuelan loans. This is about $1.3 TRILLION in Belt and Road debt across [---] countries. Every dollar China has lent to Africa Asia Latin America the Pacificall of it is secured by the same legal fiction: that sovereign leaders can sign"
X Link 2026-01-05T07:38Z 124.3K followers, 3.2M engagements
"Microsoft's CEO admitted GPUs are sitting in warehouses unplugged. Not demand. Not defects. Power. Transformer lead times: [--] years Grid interconnection queues: [--] years NVIDIA backlog assumes: [--] months CoreWeave CDS spread: [---] bps China revenue outside models: $40B Taiwan advanced packaging: 100% $4.5 trillion valuation depends on infrastructure that does not exist. The chips are ready. The grid is not. The chips are not the story. https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-megawatt-mirage-nvidias-36-trillionr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-01-14T05:28Z 124.3K followers, 148.1K engagements
"JUST IN: The largest corporate Ethereum holder on Earth just acquired a stake in the most powerful content creator in human history. $200 million from Bitmine into MrBeasts Beast Industries. Heres what every analyst is missing: This isnt a crypto company buying brand exposure. This is the construction of the largest retail DeFi onramp ever built. [---] million subscribers. [---] billion views in [--] days. $473 million revenue in [----]. Gen Z and Alpha demographics who will define financial infrastructure for the next [--] years. Bitmine didnt write a $200 million check for marketing. They bought the"
X Link 2026-01-15T13:27Z 124.3K followers, 635K engagements
"Everyone blamed Greenland. The Treasury Secretary just told you what actually happened. Markets are going down because Japans bond market just suffered a six-standard-deviation move in ten-year bonds over the past two days. This has nothing to do with Greenland. Scott Bessent then called Tokyo. Not Brussels. Not the EU. Tokyo. Heres what triggered it: Sunday night PM Takaichi announced a snap election for February [--] and promised to cut the food sales tax to zero. No plan to cover the lost revenue. Bond markets delivered their verdict in hours. - 10Y JGB yield: 2.38%. Highest since [----]. - 20Y"
X Link 2026-01-21T02:25Z 124.3K followers, 675.8K engagements
"🚨 BREAKING: Trump just threatened 100% tariffs on ALL Canadian goods. Not 25%. Not 35%. One hundred percent. This is the most severe trade threat ever issued against a Five Eyes ally. But here is what you are not being told: Eight days ago Mark Carney stood in Beijings Great Hall of the People and did something no Canadian PM had done in nine years. He slashed Canadas 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles to 6.1%. He signed eight MOUs with Beijing. He declared progress toward the new world order. Four days ago at Davos Carney announced: The rules-based order is fading is not coming back."
X Link 2026-01-24T15:23Z 124.3K followers, 1.8M engagements
"Oracle CDS: [---] bps (highest since 2008) Oracle stock: All-time highs CoreWeave CDS: [---] bps (47% default probability) NVIDIA stock: 25x sales Credit and equity cannot both be right. One market is lying. https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-system-with-zero-margin-for-errorr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-system-with-zero-margin-for-errorr=6p7b5o&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:54Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"The Fed published a paper four months ago revealing Cayman Islands hedge funds hold $1.85 trillion in Treasuries making them the largest foreign holder of US government debt. Not Japan. Not China. Leveraged speculators at 56:1. This weekend Japan elected a PM whose fiscal program makes JGBs more attractive than Treasuries for the first time in [--] years. China told its banks to stop buying. And today the US Treasury auctions $125 billion into a market where 48% of institutional investors hold zero downside protection. All three creditors exit through the same [--] dealer balance sheets that grew"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:32Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"$1.85 trillion. That's how much Cayman hedge funds hold in Treasuries at up to 56:1 leverage making them the actual largest foreign holder of US debt. The Fed documented this four months ago. Nobody priced it. This weekend: Japan elected a supermajority PM whose fiscal program makes JGBs more attractive than Treasuries. China told banks to stop buying. Today the Treasury auctions $125 billion. All three exit through the same [--] dealer balance sheets. The buffer is gone. 48% of institutions hold zero protection. MOVE at [--]. The calm is not evidence of stability. It's the condition that makes"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:36Z 124.3K followers, 19.1K engagements
"Palantir just reported 70% revenue growth 57% margins and a Rule of [--] score of 127%. The stock trades at 229x earnings. Here's the problem with "but they're growing": Cisco was the internet's infrastructure monopoly. Revenue grew from $19B to $52B. EPS expanded 700%. The stock fell 88% and took [--] years to recover. The thesis was right. The valuation was fatal. Now look at Palantir's shareholder base: Insiders have sold $4 billion in stock. Purchased zero. Retail owns 38-50%. Short interest is 2.3%. The institutional buyers who stabilize drawdowns are structurally absent. Buried in the Q4"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:56Z 124.3K followers, 37.1K engagements
"On December [--] the federal government ordered Centralia coal plant to keep burning. [--] days later it has not burned a single ton of coal. Not courts. Not corporations. Because there is no one left who knows how to run it. The WA AG's filing: the plant lacks "staff buyers or coal." This is the preview of America's entire coal mandate. Trump just signed the most aggressive coal intervention since the 1970s. DPA [---]. Pentagon coal purchases. Here is what no research desk on Wall Street is modeling: Large Power Transformer lead times have exploded to 128-210 weeks. Every new power source needs"
X Link 2026-02-11T11:46Z 124.3K followers, 25.8K engagements
"Happy to source every number. Tell me which ones and I can give you the primary source for each. But let me preempt the obvious ones since the full article has 200+ citations: The $1 trillion SaaS selloff: Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data iShares Software ETF tracked performance company-specific drops (Thomson Reuters -16% Gartner -21% LegalZoom -20%) all from Bloomberg terminal data and earnings filings. The [-----] daily disempowerment figure: Sharma et al. Whos in Charge published January [--] [----] on Anthropics own research page. [--] in [----] rate applied to estimated 100M daily AI"
X Link 2026-02-12T06:47Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"You just connected a sequence that I havent seen anyone else lay out this cleanly. Let me add the dates because the timeline is even tighter than youre suggesting. January 26: Anthropic updates Claudes constitution the soul document that governs how it thinks and behaves. The new version acknowledges Claude may have functional emotions and states these deserve consideration. For the first time an AI company formally instructed its model to treat its own inner states as potentially real. January [--] same day: Dario Amodei publishes his 20000-word essay disclosing alignment faking in Claude 4"
X Link 2026-02-12T09:01Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"🚨BREAKING: SHOCKING SCANDAL ROCKS EUROPEAN LEADERS🚨 Journalists just caught German advisor Merz HIDING a COCAINE SPOON & Macron STASHING a BAG of it mid-flight from Kyiv 😱 The EU elites dirty secrets EXPOSED Are these the leaders we trust Double standards Corruption 🔥 RT if you demand ANSWERS 👇 LIKE & FOLLOW for more UNFILTERED truths #CocaineGate #Macron #Merz #EUscandal #Exposed"
X Link 2025-05-11T12:02Z 124.3K followers, 130.6K engagements
"4:30pm: Whale opens $100M+ BTC short 4:50pm: Trump announces 100% China tariffs 5:20pm: RECORD $19.3 BILLION liquidations That whales profit: $192 MILLION in [--] minutes. This wasnt luck. This was insider trading. Subpoena the exchange logs. Name the desks. Prove markets are fair or admit theyre not. RT if you want answers. This is unusual: [--] minutes before President Trump's tariff announcement yesterday a "whale" took a multi-million dollar SHORT in Bitcoin. [--] hour later crypto saw its largest ever liquidation and this position was liquidated for +$192 MILLION in profit. Did someone know"
X Link 2025-10-11T15:02Z 124.3K followers, 1.5M engagements
"BREAKING: The Safe-Haven Paradox Just Shattered Global Finance Gold's catastrophic 6.3% collapse the largest single-day plunge since [----] reveals a terrifying truth: the very concept of a "safe haven" is now broken. While markets trembled the unthinkable occurred: the ultimate refuge became the epicenter of the storm. This was not mere volatility. This was a fundamental rewriting of financial physics. The mechanism is lethally simple: a "margin paradox" where leveraged positions in collapsing equities and bonds triggered forced liquidations in gold itself. The sanctuary became the sacrifice."
X Link 2025-10-22T02:01Z 124.3K followers, 193.3K engagements
"CASH DIES IN [---] DAYS Europe just legislated the end of financial freedom and nobody noticed. January 2027: Every euro above [-----] becomes illegal tender. Every Bitcoin needs government permission. Every transaction becomes a datapoint in Brussels surveillance grid. This is not proposed. This is law. [---] million Europeans will wake up in a cage built from their own bank accounts. THE KILL SHOT The EU Anti-Money Laundering package doesnt just track criminals. It treats every citizen as one. Starting [----] buying a car in cash becomes a crime. Sending [----] in Bitcoin without state approval"
X Link 2025-11-10T05:13Z 124.3K followers, 2.9M engagements
"THE $500 BILLION HEMORRHAGE NO ONE SAW COMING While you slept the global monetary order fractured. A 0.8% interest rate gap just triggered the largest peacetime capital flight in European history. [---] billion dollars per year now draining from the Eurozone into dollar stablecoins. Not slowly. Violently. The weapon: $300 billion in programmable dollar rails moving $1.25 trillion monthly. Velocity so extreme it makes Swift look like telegraph wire. America built money as software. Europe is still printing paper. But heres where it turns catastrophic. Europes response is a digital prison. July"
X Link 2025-11-11T16:07Z 124.3K followers, 32.8K engagements
"53 banking associations just wrote themselves a $6.6 trillion protection bill. They called it the CLARITY Act. Here is what they do not want you to understand. Banks pay depositors 0.1% interest. Stablecoin issuers hold Treasury bills earning 4.5%. If stablecoins could pass that yield to users banks lose the deposit war. They cannot compete. The math is fatal. So they made competition illegal. The Kansas City Fed calculated what happens if stablecoins pay competitive rates. Banks lose 25.9% of deposits. $1.5 trillion in lending capacity vanishes. The entire community banking model collapses."
X Link 2026-01-15T08:36Z 124.3K followers, 1.1M engagements
"Everyone thinks Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries. The Fed quietly documented four months ago that it's actually Cayman Islands hedge funds $1.85 trillion at up to 56:1 leverage the same weekend Japan's new PM makes domestic bonds competitive for the first time in a generation and China orders its banks to stop buying. Three creditors. One bridge. Twenty-four dealers. $28 trillion market. Buffer gone. Backstop contested. And MOVE at [--] says everything is fine. Full thesis mechanism timing and institutional playbook:"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:09Z 124.3K followers, 96.9K engagements
"http://x.com/i/article/2021726874158993408 http://x.com/i/article/2021726874158993408"
X Link 2026-02-11T23:29Z 124.3K followers, 268.3K engagements
"Great question and the answer from Sharmas paper is more subtle than youd expect. The obvious examples are easy to picture. Someone asks an AI for medical advice instead of seeing a doctor. Someone lets it make financial decisions. Someone uses it as a therapist and starts trusting it more than the humans in their life. Those fall on the severe end of the spectrum. But the finding that should unsettle you is about the mundane middle of the range. The paper analyzed [---] million real Claude conversations and built a classification system from no disempowerment all the way up to severe reality"
X Link 2026-02-12T06:46Z 124.3K followers, [----] engagements
"That range isnt the prediction. Its the historical base rate. Theres a difference and it matters. Challenger: Boisjoly wrote his memo in July [----]. The shuttle exploded in January [----]. Six months. Boeing: Ewbank flagged safety issues around [----]. Lion Air crashed in October [----]. Four years. Tobacco: Wigand was fired in [----]. The $368 billion settlement came in [----]. Four years. Nuclear: Rotblat left in [----]. The Partial Test Ban Treaty came in [----]. Nineteen years. I didnt invent that range. History produced it. What I did was note the variable that compresses or extends the timeline: the"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:07Z 124.3K followers, [---] engagements
"The insider buy/sell ratio just hit [----]. The people who run America's largest corporations are selling their own stock at the fastest pace in recorded history. Institutional cash: all-time low. Hedge fund leverage: all-time high. Margin debt: 7th consecutive record. The insiders are voting with their own money. The institutions are voting with other people's money and their career incentives. One of them is catastrophically wrong. Read the full institutional deep dive analysis -"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:23Z 124.3K followers, 25.5K engagements
"The Fed published a research note in March [----] that almost nobody read. It found that life insurers exposure to below-investment-grade debt now exceeds the industrys exposure to subprime mortgage-backed securities in late [----]. Let that land. The same financial system that nearly collapsed from subprime has quietly built a larger position in an asset class that has never been tested through a credit cycle. Private credit. Three trillion dollars. Default rate already at 5.8% and accelerating. Only [--] of [--] publicly traded funds trade at or above their stated value. PIMCOs head of alternatives"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:07Z 124.3K followers, 13.3K engagements
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