#  @marcwinn Marc Winn Marc Winn posts on X about guernsey, in the, ai, money the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::19792185/interactions)  - [--] Week [----------] +364% - [--] Month [-----------] +346% - [--] Months [-----------] +7,950,149% - [--] Year [-----------] +1,032,413% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::19792185/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +178% - [--] Month [--] +105% - [--] Months [--] +335% - [--] Year [---] +27% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::19792185/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] -0.12% - [--] Month [-----] -0.42% - [--] Months [-----] -0.96% - [--] Year [-----] -0.18% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::19792185/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [countries](/list/countries) [finance](/list/finance) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [stocks](/list/stocks) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [vc firms](/list/vc-firms) **Social topic influence** [guernsey](/topic/guernsey) #23, [in the](/topic/in-the), [ai](/topic/ai), [money](/topic/money), [investment](/topic/investment), [elon musk](/topic/elon-musk), [gdp](/topic/gdp), [term](/topic/term), [jersey](/topic/jersey), [finance](/topic/finance) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@davidpiesing63](/creator/undefined) [@oldfarmhorace](/creator/undefined) [@alasdairmilroy](/creator/undefined) [@richarddigard](/creator/undefined) [@yvonneburford](/creator/undefined) [@sashakmiller](/creator/undefined) [@guyplummer34449](/creator/undefined) [@rosslebrun](/creator/undefined) [@martynroussel](/creator/undefined) [@peterroffey5](/creator/undefined) [@gavinstpier](/creator/undefined) [@guernseypress](/creator/undefined) [@govgg](/creator/undefined) [@mattfallaize](/creator/undefined) [@stevefalla](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@dandeliongsy](/creator/undefined) [@heidisoulsby](/creator/undefined) [@valeberyl](/creator/undefined) [@jjh](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "For me central banking is a symptom and not a root cause. Centralisation meets a human need for order and control. You don't have to spend too much time in DAOs to realise that the root cause of humans needing order control still exists whether or not there is a central bank. True decentralisation (including the human bit) is a really hard problem. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1757403900129251418 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1757403900129251418" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1757403900129251418) 2024-02-13T13:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Of course. In periods of rapid transformation/chaos there are always new opportunities. Many of those opportunities arrive out of the subtle differences between jurisdictions. My old industry was possible in Guernsey and Jersey but not in IOM (because of the VAT relationship). It was shut down by the UK. Since reborn direct from China some years later. No doubt will be closed again. Given the recent global trade chaos there is no doubt lots of new ground to exploit" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1960026395909689580) 2025-08-25T17:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@alasdair_milroy @DavidPiesing63 @jojomay1 Asking chatGPTPro to come up with some ideas on the opportunities. https://chatgpt.com/s/dr_68ac9aff23d8819189b218860a80383c https://chatgpt.com/s/dr_68ac9aff23d8819189b218860a80383c" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1960029388327501837) 2025-08-25T17:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I did challenge it and produced a report on options for HSC as soon as I saw it in the news last week. At Innovate Guernsey we don't have the resourcing as yet to go out and get all of the quotes and call people etc. That will come either by resourcing the innovation process itself or by challenging all parts of the states to be more innovative when faced with issues like this (I'm personally in favour of the latter approach). It takes time but not a lot of time. Time that should already have been saved with widespread AI tool usage (this isn't happening yet)" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1983248828506747152) 2025-10-28T19:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A trade development process is an investment. Subsidising routes are an inefficient way of doing that. Right now I feel we create routes but don't do development work that needs to go with it that make those routes are successful in the medium term. There is too much left to chance. Too much build it and they will come. When we connect communities we have to build trade relationships between those communities so people have reasons to regularly travel" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1990079555961323681) 2025-11-16T15:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 @YvonneBurford @jjh @GsySill @matt_fallaize @pvbsc1 @PeterRoffey5 Demand isn't just about price. It is also about having a reason/invitation to be there. Relationships drive demand as well" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1990908257246875866) 2025-11-18T22:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@matthewclifford Guernsey 21% (close to Nordic level social outcomes). Is there a moonshot to trend to zero" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1991858062500729027) 2025-11-21T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Economic growth is barely mentioned in Guernseys new Fiscal Framework. That question deserves more attention. The Framework does what it sets out to do. It gives us a structure to protect long-term financial stability built around four solid pillars: balancing income and expenditure managing debt maintaining reserves and investing in infrastructure. No one can argue against those foundations. But and its a big one nowhere does it spell out how we grow the economy that supports it all. If you scan through the 28-page document the word "growth" mostly appears as a challenge we have to manage" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1992145203352707277) 2025-11-22T08:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The easiest way to stress test this model. If there is a sudden drop in Finance jobs due to AI automation does the framework facilitate the response required to develop new industries or do we need to create emergency frameworks If it doesn't then it fundamentally isn't a long term framework" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1992183032451658087) 2025-11-22T10:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Mini Case Study: What Iceland Teaches Us About Resilience and Innovation After Icelands financial system collapsed in [----] the country faced one of the most dramatic economic crises in modern history. Three major banks holding assets worth ten times Icelands GDP failed almost overnight. The shock was seismic. And yet within a decade Iceland had rebuilt its economy diversified its industries restored trust and returned to growth. Their recovery wasnt driven by wishful thinking. It was driven by intentional choices that sit right at the intersection of fiscal discipline and innovation. Iceland" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1992210582498369915) 2025-11-22T12:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 @ShaneLanglois @Lindsay_Gsy @YvonneBurford @gavinstpier @steve_falla @dep_parkinson There has to be an economy in all policies approach. That starts from the top middle and the bottom. It needs to be everyone's responsibility to create sustainable and resilient prosperity for all. Siloed economic development delivers flat growth so the model needs to change" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1992272956895252522) 2025-11-22T16:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "To bring some data into the mix that contradicts some of what is in the current proposal. There is an assumption that economic growth can't be much higher on a GDP per capita basis and also an assumption that growth will be flat going forward. This just doesn't add up. Ultimately we are not delivering from an economic growth perspective and we are not accountable to a long term economic growth rate KPI in our fiscal framework nor do we have mechanisms to invest in growth contained within it. My personal view is that we should be targeting a 3% rate and have economic investment mechanisms to" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1992553093620232349) 2025-11-23T11:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The public have been very clear that they don't want tax rises and growth is the primary medium and long term lever to deliver on that. It shows a lack of input more than anything. Not just by economic development but also by the public at large. It is the same old ivory tower policy development that I'm afraid will deliver the same results. Stagnant growth and cost increases moving faster than the economy can handle. It also shows a complete lack of technology experience which shows in all central forecasting. "a reasonable estimate for the shift in global annual growth rates due to AI is" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1993217191538225516) 2025-11-25T07:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@alasdair_milroy @TheVeloProject @thefarmshop @newbeginnings I'm afraid we are only looking to build a shirkpace in Guernsey. It looks really cool though. Nice work @TheVeloProject" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1993556751866896555) 2025-11-26T05:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Yes it is. The aspect of it that could be leveraged to invest in startups/business is something that Innovate Guernsey will look at getting off the ground next year one way or another. Historically we have made a tokenistic attempt with the Guernsey Investment Fund but not sure how it performed yet. It feels like it was more about looking good rather than being a well designed investment system that can support and accelerate local growth. Fundamentally we are not backing and trusting our own people at the moment which says a lot about our culture in general" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1998355538925462001) 2025-12-09T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I want to try and translate the noise around OpenAIs latest model launch into something grounded and relevant for Guernsey. Whats changed The newest model GPT5.2 Pro is significantly better at everyday knowledge work than previous versions. Not futuristic scifi tasks. The actual work people do all day. Reading information making sense of it drafting responses spotting gaps weighing options and explaining things clearly. In OpenAIs own testing GPT5.2 Pro outperforms experienced industry professionals around threequarters of the time on these kinds of tasks. That does not mean humans are" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1999847038851199080) 2025-12-13T14:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Honest question for Guernsey. Do we believe in Donald Trumps America more than we believe in ourselves I want to be transparent about why Im asking these questions about belief and whats coming up. The two documents Ive been reading closely are: Guernseys Fiscal Policy Framework which sets the long-term rules for how we manage public money debt reserves and infrastructure. This is the document that shapes what we think is affordable risky or out of bounds for years to come The States Investment Board Annual Report [----] which explains how our reserves and pension money are actually invested" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2000103431374012739) 2025-12-14T07:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I know you don't but I'm still going to challenge the thinking whenever I see it in public. 😉 I actually speak to healthcare innovators all over the world and have brought many here. Ultimately we have to prove to the local population that change is possible. That is what local prototyping is all about. What we do know is that successive strategy documents and meetings don't deliver change. The definition of madness is doing the same thing and expecting a different result" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2000933418511499463) 2025-12-16T14:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Estimated Healthcare Cost Savings from Full Transformation to Lifestyle Medicine in Guernsey Based on available data and research a full transformation of Guernsey's healthcare system to prioritize lifestyle medicine (LM) as the first-line approach for preventing and managing chronic diseases could yield significant annual cost savings. This estimate assumes widespread adoption of LM interventions across the population integrating them into primary care public health initiatives and community programs like the Healthier Weight Strategy and social prescribing. Key assumptions and calculations" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2000937718809850110) 2025-12-16T14:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @YvonneBurford The sum is less than the parts at the moment. I think the people are great but the outputs are pretty bad right now" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001020381617119410) 2025-12-16T20:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It was a little glib the response and based on what I see with the people I know rather than the trial data that is out there. It is still in the context of a political term which is the planning horizon that we are dealing with rather than a multi-decade long issue. Trial data is actually a hard problem structurally because the delivery model is the opposite of reductionist. It is easy to do research on a single pill across a cohort. Not so easy to do research across a spectrum of personalised lifestyle interventions. Cleveland attempted to do it and were one of the first to get good data on" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001045981672951922) 2025-12-16T21:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ShaneLanglois is right there are certainly some structural issues with Economic Development and how it works. It has been really eye opening the last period with Innovate Guernsey on how they work. They are very siloed in how they work and low leverage in a lot of their promotional activity. Guernsey Finance in particular. There shouldn't be any more money spent on Economic Development until structural reforms are finished both in terms of how ED work themselves and how the rest of government functions and supports them to grow the economy. This isn't a resources issue. This is a ways of" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001182358796484836) 2025-12-17T06:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Zero based budgeting alone will not solve the culture and ways of working issue. The current culture will try to cut its way out of the issue rather than create its way out. In some ways it is a very dumb idea to implement it before the ways of working has been addressed. It will just mean they cut more resources that go into community and keep their salaries which means more well paid people sit in meetings unable to act" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001183961297387872) 2025-12-17T06:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Certainly that is the path they have tried to take Innovate Guernsey down. Box us into writing strategy for us long as possible. Luckily we ignored them volunteered lots of time we haven't been paid for and got on and done grassroots work fixing issues. I still sit in meetings and they want us to write more documents rather than actually support the States to change their ways of working. 😂 They hired [--] very talented people and gave them [----] to act (which we didn't spend). They spend so much time on strategy and so little time on delivery. Most of the frontline people know what to do but" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001185299385205193) 2025-12-17T06:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "As a marketer the money spent is very low leverage. They are structured as an old school promotional agency rather than an industry development organisation. I've hardly seen them on the ground in the past year when the largest restructuring of the ways of working and culture of the GFSC has taken place. In my old direct marketing life we would have gone out of businesses if we used resources that ineffectively. And fundamentally all of their activity is hampered by the tax haven story and no work has been done on what Simon Anholt long ago said needed to be done with national branding. All" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001187530448806147) 2025-12-17T07:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The fundamental test of this new P&R is whether they go into defend and justify mode like all of the others or they use this as a crowdsourcing opportunity to improve the current outputs. The Fiscal Framework needs and economic pillar. The Government Work Plan needs to integrate government efficiency and economic development rather than having them in separate siloes. Two of the top issues are economic stagnation and government productivity. P&R's primary job must be to take down siloes wherever it sees them and model those behaviours in the way it works itself. The rhetoric must be embodied." [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2001214380457832651) 2025-12-17T08:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Policy and Resources forecasting in Guernsey on the other hand still doesn't consider technology in its data nor do its core plans consider economic growth as a major feature/opportunity for this term. cc (@gavinstpier @YvonneBurford @steve_falla @dep_parkinson @lyndsay_gsy) @pmarca Double-digit growth is coming within [--] to [--] months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth which it should be triple-digit is possible in [--] years. @pmarca Double-digit growth is coming within [--] to [--] months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth which it should be triple-digit is" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2004438773296517382) 2025-12-26T06:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@gavinstpier @richarddigard Great. So how many requettes per month are needed to accelerate the reduction of red tape and to delegate authority to act in a system that is bound by inaction It sounds like a growth in all policies approach to me" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2008551633157058909) 2026-01-06T14:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@gavinstpier @richarddigard If you add AI and crowdsourcing to that process then you have the forms of a next generation model of governance" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2008559633418588532) 2026-01-06T15:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "And to honest that was the only bit I found interesting in the recent version the Future Guernsey experiment. How it became a think tank/crowdsourcing policy ideas. If it were to be useful this term to build credibility then that is the bit that it should be doing. Could the infrastructure be developing ready to go policy/law for requettes I would be happy to participate in a process like that. What I can't get behind is manipulation/spin because if you amplify that behaviour with super intelligent AI you get quite draconian outcomes. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008583803241967787" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2008583803241967787) 2026-01-06T16:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@alasdair_milroy @jjh Again. Tax reform without culture reform is like pouring petrol onto a fire" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2009158886553747516) 2026-01-08T07:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@GuyPlummer34449 "Too much work" (in the era of AI). Also offered through Innovate Guernsey to mine the information and protect identities as well. We have that expertise on the board quickly and cheaply. Silence. Culture of comfort seeking and shame avoidance at most levels" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2012586145939353644) 2026-01-17T18:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Without a change in senior personnel and/or structure in the education office it would just burn political capital. It doesn't matter who goes in there. It seems to kill everyone who works in it. The politicians don't have much say in the ways of working. They keep getting blamed by the public though" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2013339527037772168) 2026-01-19T19:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Buy votes more like. Small countries in the UN often get a lot of Chinese support on infrastructure projects. It pays to have a voice rather than delegate it to someone else. Places like Singapore are booming because it bridges the AI constraints on China. India is booming because it bridges the constraints on Russia. The big money is always on geopolitical arbitrage. These are the big things but in reality there are always hundreds of small things where two countries need a third to trade because their trade policies are incompatible in some way." [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2013349893209829710) 2026-01-19T20:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@flick2leg @RossLeBrun @oldfarmhorace @MaryLowe501 Some submarine. Others Ivory Tower. Very few stay connected to the grass roots" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2013363445794541954) 2026-01-19T21:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "We are very well structured for [--] person AI companies and for human emulators to domicile offshore. Focusing on employees of AI companies when most of them will get wiped out is a temporary strategy and not necessarily one that plays to our strengths as a jurisdiction built on local income tax. Sark is probably better placed for that as somewhere built on no income tax/property tax. In the end all that really matters is how great a place is to live and how socially cohesive it is during rapid change. We don't need to be the cheapest or have the best regulations. We need to be the least crazy" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2014593969607348522) 2026-01-23T07:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Again no technology forecasting in Guernsey on the impact of biotech on long term healthcare costs nor what having very healthy older people will have on the economy. Youre right @elonmusk. Focus on this topic. Aging has a relatively simple explanation and is apparently reversible. Clinical trials begin shortly🤞 Youre right @elonmusk. Focus on this topic. Aging has a relatively simple explanation and is apparently reversible. Clinical trials begin shortly🤞" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2014782155642359856) 2026-01-23T19:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I challenge that it isn't a tech problem. Law is code. Ultimately if you have a system when the cost and time it takes to update the operating system then updates to that operating system will remain slow. If there is a change in the ease in writing "code" then there will be a step change difference in what is viable to change and produce. I saw this image today. It makes me reflect on what impact on what drafting new policy and regulation may look line in the coming years. I grant you regulation slop is a risk but ultimately the larges bottleneck in our system that impacts so many things is" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2014819625159295295) 2026-01-23T21:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I've no interest in writing code to solve this. What I do know is that I wrote 67k lines of code last year and I don't even know how to code. That enabled me to do many things I wouldn't have been able to do without a developer (which I didn't have the budget for). Life changing for me. From that point of view I'm more interested in giving politicians and members of the public the capacity/tools to explore how they can write and present their own regulations/code rather than needing the law officers to do it for them. If you want to be useful build software that helps everyone on the island" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2014821960396529908) 2026-01-23T22:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@lukas_m_ziegler @zipline How many cars would this take off the road @RossLeBrun" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2014825447347949605) 2026-01-23T22:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 We need a statue is his honour 🤣 If we are an island of alcoholics clinging to a rock then he was peak booze. I'm sure in [--] years we won't drink that much but we do need remember these quirky characters that spent time of the island. The good and the bad" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2016080088874312003) 2026-01-27T09:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "How much public money is tied up preparing for a scarce future In Guernsey the answer is billions. We have illiterate future forecasting in Guernsey. Elon Musk just said saving for retirement becomes pointless in [--] to [--] years. Not speculation. Math. Musk: Dont worry about squirreling money away for retirement in like ten or [--] years. It wont matter. We passed the event horizon. Retirement savings assumes scarcity https://t.co/XuHoFAJQ2i Elon Musk just said saving for retirement becomes pointless in [--] to [--] years. Not speculation. Math. Musk: Dont worry about squirreling money away for" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022908036822503474) 2026-02-15T05:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Very high growth. Very high unemployment. Not in Guernsey's forecasting. The largest megatrend is not included and yet we are having large conversations about future tax planning. we're heading to a world in which GDP rockets at the same level as unemployment. it's clearly going to be a bumpy ride in the short term as we head towards universal high income. https://t.co/4CWHpbC4Kp we're heading to a world in which GDP rockets at the same level as unemployment. it's clearly going to be a bumpy ride in the short term as we head towards universal high income. https://t.co/4CWHpbC4Kp" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2014414875179536423) 2026-01-22T19:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It is good to see consensus building but it is still without any of the forecasts having any technological component. It would be good to see how the model stress tests in an era of rapidly increasing growth and potential rising unemployment. I also think there has to be a lot of delivery on reducing the cost of government and public sector reform before any tax rises are implemented. Trust in delivery is at an all time low. In all irony the element of corporate tax reform is probably the easiest part of all of this to deliver. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016437178822238373" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2016437178822238373) 2026-01-28T09:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Absolutely. Creating economic growth is in the main a grassroots community development process which in general our government hasn't been that good at. It is hard to grow anything with ivory tower generated documentation. The Kauffman Foundation supports a lot of small town economic development in the US and has developed a playbook to show what good economic development can look like. Locally much of the resource and labour is in the wrong places at the moment https://www.kauffman.org/ecosystem-playbook-draft-3/create/ https://www.kauffman.org/ecosystem-playbook-draft-3/create/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2017585718827024829) 2026-01-31T13:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 Wouldn't you find it just a little bit disturbing if it didn't 🤣" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2021292821618016356) 2026-02-10T18:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "AI Review of Guernsey's Fiscal Forecasts Guernsey's States face ongoing structural fiscal challenges with persistent operating deficits and cash outflows exceeding inflows leading to reliance on reserves. The most recent independent assessment from the Fiscal Policy Panel (March 2025) warns that under the status quo maintaining current tax policies and capital investment at approximately 2% of GDP available reserves (primarily the General Revenue Reserve around [---] million based on recent States accounts) would be depleted by [----]. This projection builds on earlier analyses (e.g. [----] Panel" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2021295587476341123) 2026-02-10T18:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 One for you @HaleyCamp" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2021296149907284065) 2026-02-10T18:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Technology as a Key Variable in Guernsey's Fiscal Forecasting Traditional fiscal forecasts like the Fiscal Policy Panel's [----] depletion warning often adopt conservative "status quo" assumptions based on historical trends (low growth 2-2.5% nominal) and known pressures (ageing population underinvestment). These models typically underweight disruptive factors such as technology which can accelerate productivity create new revenue streams and improve efficiency. Over the 2025-2035 timeline emerging technologiesparticularly AI fintech blockchain and digital assetsrepresent a significant upside" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2021297705621094413) 2026-02-10T18:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "And this is how much belief S&P has in Economic Development at the moment. These are the figures that are driving all of the forecasts in the tax and spend discussion. 🤦Given the lack of and economic development plan with KPIs in the public domain I am not surprised. If this was ever a demonstration of how siloed the relationship is between policy and resources and Economic Development this is it. @YvonneBurford https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022205211071135952 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022205211071135952" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022205211071135952) 2026-02-13T07:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 @HenryHulme3 It will be universal high income. AIs will accelerate sovereign wealth returns once humans get out of the way" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2022997206349836663) 2026-02-15T11:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Guernsey should be able to move faster than a snail. 🐌 @boringcompanys mission is simple: beat the snail. Build tunnels faster than traffic moves. Rethinkngi infrastructure from first principles. So I mischievously entered their Tunnel Vision Challenge on behalf of Guernsey. Not because a crew is landing tomorrow. But because we need to question our tempo. Runway debates that ran for years. Harbour plans that circle endlessly. Bridge regeneration that never quite regenerates. The real snail isnt traffic. Its decision velocity. is a proposal for a pedestrian and cycling art tunnel linking The" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022706909149593985) 2026-02-14T16:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I get sentiment but honestly Lindsay sending 500k off island when you just did the amendment with @HaleyCamp to coordinate on the economy in all policies approach in the government work plan just shows how pointless and disjointed your policy approaches are. You've come up with a slow expensive off island expert led approach that has a high chance of failure because culturally we don't like outsiders telling us what to do. You've gone down the independent assessment route rather than independent facilitation route. As a way of working this makes is [--] times more expensive to get a worse" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2022903939155337443) 2026-02-15T05:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@alasdair_milroy Flow of value vs store of value. The more you hold on the harder it will feel. Ultimately advantage goes to those who can move capital to make real world impact" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2022926509779108247) 2026-02-15T06:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Retired people don't down tools. They do stuff they love for the intrinsic rewards rather than the extrinsic rewards. First time I retired I went round the world travelling and watching cricket and rugby. Second time I retired went around the world leaning about tech and human transformation and set up @DandelionGsy https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022993201469051260 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022993201469051260" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2022993201469051260) 2026-02-15T11:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@HenryHulme3 @DavidPiesing63 Open source AI is moving faster than the big US labs now. China are deliberately destroying US value creation. And now with Moltbot we have had the escape the lab moment so it doesn't really matter what either China or US do. Giant tidal wave that noone can do anything about" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/2023045949367427304) 2026-02-15T14:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@Louisa_J_22 They may well have. There is also an election happening which will bring into question the entire process. Fundamentally this whole model of transformation was built on the notion of requiring certainty. Covid has proved what a false god that was" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1297523841137344514) 2020-08-23T13:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@MartynRoussel Telepathy will be the primary communication channel. Language as we know it will die. Bandwidth too low. Orders of magnitude faster and more nuanced brain to brain. Realtime translation already works anyway. You go to jersey to have coffee not to sit in an office" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1641355843072294912) 2023-03-30T08:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the house my son Bertie wants. I'm not sure the plot is available. #imagination #parisdreams #frsttimebuyer" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1695748107282039153) 2023-08-27T10:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@oldfarmhorace Sure. Like many markets. With technological disruption the manipulators find it hard to hold onto the power to manipulate the market. They also find it hard to leap to the new way of doing things because of what it does to their old marker" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1698681225399894400) 2023-09-04T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Great to watch Blue Zones documentary on Netflix. There is a lot to learn for a place like Guernsey" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1700252691480580289) 2023-09-08T21:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Great to see more off island resources using Guernsey as a research/test hub. Research and test bedding is an economic and social enabler that isn't being leveraged that well" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1709116655459016709) 2023-10-03T08:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@danieleharford Peter has been to Guernsey to speak before" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1713808511467970907) 2023-10-16T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Guernsey is on the journey up the value chain. Tax haven ➡ Safe haven ➡ Well-being Haven ➡ Haven. The higher you move up this quality of life based value chain in the remote working era the less you have to worry about "competitive" tax rates. In a destabilising automating and aging world understanding this shift in economic proposition is key to long term tax and spend planning. The most successful governments of the future will be the most efficient at turning tax receipts into perceived quality of life gains for the local population. Recognising that perception is often far cheaper to" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1717065933548634349) 2023-10-25T06:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "People have no idea how fast change could be arriving and how small island states like Guernsey are much more able to manage the rapid and potentially destabilising transition from scarcity to abundance" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1717803461037695394) 2023-10-27T07:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey does like a bench" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1718301227555995908) 2023-10-28T16:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Building a new Channel Island for infrastructure.free port and regulatory innovation zone would bring a lot of economic benefits" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1722199832767631573) 2023-11-08T10:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "In the serene yet dynamic backdrop of Guernsey where politics often intertwine with daily life there's a conversation we need to have one that goes beyond policies and legislation. It's about the fabric of how we work together especially within the context of our local political landscape. In our beautiful island community the way we interact build trust and manage conflicts in our political and professional spheres can have far-reaching impacts. Guernsey with its unique blend of tradition and modernity isn't immune to the challenges faced by larger nations the inertia caused by low trust and" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1722917741156290939) 2023-11-10T10:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "At this pivotal moment the future of tertiary education in Guernsey demands our immediate attention and thoughtful discussion. We're facing the significant challenge of securing at least [--] million annually to sustain and elevate the quality of our educational provisions. This target is more than a financial goal; it represents a deep investment in the future of our students and our island community. A key area for consideration is our approach to funding tertiary education. There's a notable contrast between how we currently finance education on the island compared to abroad. On-island" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1723596937302102216) 2023-11-12T07:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This is a great to see. We have a good system of government in Guernsey when people leverage the right skills to make progress" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1725077709133365360) 2023-11-16T09:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Without truth there can be no reconciliation. Consensus building is as much an emotional process of trust acceptance and forgiveness as it is about finding rational solutions to problems. Ultimately we are collectively trying to solve problems without healing the old wounds" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1725458050859810826) 2023-11-17T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I listen to States of Guernsey debates in the context of what is going on in the world of AI 🤣 - "The company said it wants to improve workplace efficiency by up to eight times through the use of its AI agents. The company also wants to reduce the number of hours worked by human employees by 40% by 2029"" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1727660834334159138) 2023-11-23T12:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@FishwickDavid Welcome to Guernsey" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1727663242787316152) 2023-11-23T12:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@KentLangley @salimismail @OpenAI Human alignment is a hard problem" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1727711108440449290) 2023-11-23T15:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "How might AI reshape the art of decision-making in the States of Guernsey Picture a scenario where AI doesn't just process data but also sensitively navigates the complex dynamics of human interaction. In a room with [--] diverse voices could AI be the key to transforming debates into empathetic constructive conversations Imagine its potential to diffuse tension highlight commonalities and promote a culture of mutual respect and understanding. Could this be the future of governance a blend of technology and humanity leading to decisions that are not only smart but also kinder and more inclusive" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1729067528670867585) 2023-11-27T09:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "😉In response to the initial tweet about AI reshaping decision-making in the States of Guernsey and the follow-up suggestion regarding Red Teaming and LLMs it seems we're converging on a fascinating blend of ideas. AI particularly LLMs (Large Language Models) indeed has the potential to revolutionise how decisions are made in governance. Its ability to process vast amounts of data and provide insights can certainly aid in debates and committees as you've pointed out. This can be particularly useful in identifying key points and trends that might otherwise be missed in the heat of a" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1729099060357779739) 2023-11-27T11:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "It isn't an either/or thing. If you get the governance structure and team right then both usage and revenue can grow. As it has done at Bathing Pools St James and KGV. Guernsey is good at this. We need to trust the community more to take over the running of some of our government run assets" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1729866244567036024) 2023-11-29T14:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The largest innovation prize in world history has significant implications for Guernsey's long term tax and spend planning" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1729914519785275874) 2023-11-29T17:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@sashakmiller Longevity is a huge potential industry for Guernsey. Especially the healthcare side of it" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1731927975703068944) 2023-12-05T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@undergroundfox @oldfarmhorace @richarddigard @GuernseyPress I'm curious. Would you eschew local definitions for an indigenous tribe in the Amazon For me there is something sacred about place and the people that have lineage to it. Things will always slow down if you ignore it" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1733089211404739019) 2023-12-08T11:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "4% in real terms in a year of very high inflation the year after the COVID recovery year is crazy good. Some questions I hold. Why was this not forecasted correctly Is this a new trend What factors like the rapid adoption of zoom and cloud systems have structurally changed our economy If it is a structural change how does this influence the tax and spend debate" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1734192105994494263) 2023-12-11T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "It's interesting to think about how AI could enhance the effectiveness of consensus democracy in Guernsey especially considering the unique aspects of our local governance. Here are a few ways People's Deputies in Guernsey might leverage AI: Facilitating Consensus Building: AI-driven tools can assist in finding common ground among diverse opinions helping to identify compromise solutions that most stakeholders can agree upon. This is especially useful in a consensus democracy where agreement among a broad base of constituents is crucial. Enhancing Communication and Engagement: AI can be used" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1738133634366804069) 2023-12-22T09:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "My biggest wish for [----] is that it is the year that Guernsey fully accepts embraces and celebrates consensus democracy" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740330578048610519) 2023-12-28T11:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Could Guernsey's abundant renewable energy resources lead to other opportunities Metal without mining 🤯 @magratheametals is making Magnesium from seawater 🌊☀ this is a gamechanger 🦾 STOKED to be an investor with @HyperGuap & share this lab tour/founder interview with @big_lithium & @JacobLBrown 🤓 full video on X & YT 🍿 https://t.co/y1fQbw7sF2 https://t.co/KMwJjaR99e Metal without mining 🤯 @magratheametals is making Magnesium from seawater 🌊☀ this is a gamechanger 🦾 STOKED to be an investor with @HyperGuap & share this lab tour/founder interview with @big_lithium & @JacobLBrown 🤓 full" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1740811174973739053) 2023-12-29T19:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Answer from first chatGPT prompt of the year: Building a government from first principles for a new city aiming for low taxes yet high economic and social outcomes is an ambitious but fascinating concept. Here's how such a government might be structured: [--]. **Efficient Taxation Model**: Implementing a lean and efficient taxation system that maximizes revenue without overburdening citizens. This could involve progressive taxes consumption taxes or even innovative models like land value tax which discourages speculative land holding and encourages productive use of land. [--]. **Technology-Driven" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1741758621870919992) 2024-01-01T09:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey must significantly accelerate its policy-making and legislative processes to match the rapid advancements in AI. This calls for a paradigm shift in building consensus and evolving policy at a pace far quicker than what we've seen before. A key strategy in achieving this could be the adoption of sunsetting legislation where laws are set with predetermined expiration dates. This approach not only facilitates quicker consensus-building but also ensures that legal frameworks are regularly updated staying in step with the fast-paced developments in technology. For Guernsey it's not just" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1742171179383730459) 2024-01-02T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "In a modern Guernsey imagine a government guided by values as timeless as the island's cobbled streets yet as forward-thinking as the latest technology in its citizens' hands. It's a place where decisions are made with a reverence for tradition and an embrace of innovation. Here policies are crafted not just for the now but for the legacy they leave blending the wisdom of the past with the possibilities of the future. This is The Guernsey Way: a commitment to progress without losing sight of heritage ensuring every step forward honours the steps taken before" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1742474900848214500) 2024-01-03T09:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I wish that the education transformation discussion in Guernsey was less about buildings and more about the limitless potential that we are about to collectively unlock. "We're at the cusp of using AI for probably the biggest positive transformation that education has ever seen." @salkhanacademy Watch the full TED Talk to learn how AI can be the super tutor students need and the assistant every teacher wants: https://t.co/6zUry3ngNa https://t.co/0OYUhpFdiU "We're at the cusp of using AI for probably the biggest positive transformation that education has ever seen." @salkhanacademy Watch the" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1743031958186209726) 2024-01-04T22:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "It makes much more sense for one airport and a tunnel/vertiports to connect [--] million people to the world. Jersey strategy to position Jersey Airport as regional hub Jersey has re-iterated its intention to position its airport as a regional hub while promoting destination Channel Islands https://t.co/tKUY68QHGr Jersey strategy to position Jersey Airport as regional hub Jersey has re-iterated its intention to position its airport as a regional hub while promoting destination Channel Islands https://t.co/tKUY68QHGr" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1743183311034306976) 2024-01-05T08:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey's problem/opportunity in one graph. This brings us to the present day and that striking pattern: A culture of progress made the west but over recent decades western culture has been moving away from values of progress and betterment. In their place a culture of caution worry and risk-aversion is on the rise. https://t.co/TQV4ust1wi This brings us to the present day and that striking pattern: A culture of progress made the west but over recent decades western culture has been moving away from values of progress and betterment. In their place a culture of caution worry and" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1743267067124437420) 2024-01-05T13:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "I just don't think that is true. Most international airports are further away from their city centers than Jersey and Guernsey are apart and also involve train connections. A single airport for [--] million people will create network effects that are city like rather than island like. So yes Jersey may get some greater benefits but also losses (like an order of magnitude more aircraft noise)" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1743625498134036660) 2024-01-06T13:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "You go to London now when the airport is [--] miles (i.e. not in London) and a [--] plus minute train journey away. What is different if CI/Normandy airport is a [--] minute tunnel journey away An airport that could sustain an order of magnitude more flights and connections than our current disconnected model" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1743650765632078001) 2024-01-06T15:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is the mindset of scarcity. We are not competing with Jersey. We are competing globally. They've been more populous and have had more frequent connections since day one. We have still succeeded. Our airport is not the limiting factor. Our available workforce is the limiting factor. Connecting Normandy up with one tunnel and one airport gives us access to commuting population potential of [--] million and the global route network that this kind of scale population would plug into. Yes some businesses would change because of increased local competition but that is small relative to what" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1743663721958740002) 2024-01-06T16:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@notquitelocal @DavidPiesing63 Do you get on a tube to go between offices in London" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1743665521893998692) 2024-01-06T16:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "There are lots of finance based opportunities that come from being a Freeport. We have to understand that some things will die in a change like this but much more will grow. Besides a one airport and tunnel model will mean an increase in business traffic to Guernsey not a decrease. You essentially halve the cost of travel to Guernsey and increase the frequency and routes without technically adding more travel time to St Peter Port. The average passenger seat cost for an airport that serves [--] million is very different to an average passenger seat cost for an airport that serves [--] thousand" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1743680241787113932) 2024-01-06T17:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "chatGPT: Incorporating the concept of network effects in the context of Guernsey Jersey and Normandy sharing an airport and harbour through a tunnel network presents a unique set of economic and logistical considerations. Here's how the principles of network effects and urban economics might apply in this scenario: [--]. **Increased Connectivity and Economic Integration**: The tunnel network would significantly enhance connectivity between the islands and Normandy. This could lead to increased economic integration making the region more attractive for business investments tourism and trade. 2." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1743692116679610455) 2024-01-06T17:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@jviddy @john_ennis_btc And beer 🤣" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1744615607113249138) 2024-01-09T07:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "In my view Guernsey boasts one of the most pristine democracies in the world and I'm keen on preserving its integrity. For me the quest for better candidates is a personal responsibility. It's either about stepping into the fray myself or inspiring potential leaders to run for office. Likewise swaying public opinion in a certain direction is a task I see as my own along with others who share my views. It's about engaging with the community and presenting compelling arguments to align their votes with our perspective. However I staunchly oppose the idea of modifying our democracy to favour" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1747544524589564348) 2024-01-17T09:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@MartynRoussel The labour is separate from the currency in that case. You are still pricing that in a national currency" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1747938473758089703) 2024-01-18T11:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "The Guernsey Way New Policy & Resources president Lyndon Trott claimed yesterday that the States was learning how to make consensus government work again after the Assembly voted 35-3 in favour of a new funding plan for Les Ozouets. Story: https://t.co/IfqhH2tjt6 https://t.co/FTjDgjVHC1 New Policy & Resources president Lyndon Trott claimed yesterday that the States was learning how to make consensus government work again after the Assembly voted 35-3 in favour of a new funding plan for Les Ozouets. Story: https://t.co/IfqhH2tjt6 https://t.co/FTjDgjVHC1" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1750468021296984116) 2024-01-25T10:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "AI. Coming to a workforce near you. Layoffs Announced Over Last [--] Months: [--]. Twitch: 35% of workforce [--]. Hasbro: 20% of workforce [--]. Spotify: 17% of workforce [--]. Levi's: 15% of workforce [--]. Zerox: 15% of workforce [--]. Qualtrics: 14% of workforce [--]. Wayfair: 13% of workforce [--]. Duolingo: 10% of workforce [--]. Layoffs Announced Over Last [--] Months: [--]. Twitch: 35% of workforce [--]. Hasbro: 20% of workforce [--]. Spotify: 17% of workforce [--]. Levi's: 15% of workforce [--]. Zerox: 15% of workforce [--]. Qualtrics: 14% of workforce [--]. Wayfair: 13% of workforce [--]. Duolingo: 10% of workforce 9" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1751672254474158282) 2024-01-28T18:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Domiciling organisations in jurisdictions that can maintain political neutrality is going to be increasingly important. Especially as the chaos of large scale automation and system change. Guernsey's consensus democracy is much harder to game by special interests than executive and party led systems. We need to see this as a feature that we sell rather than a bug that we complain about. The Delaware Chancery Courts decision to strike down Teslas deal with Elon is a threat to the future of capitalism. Courts shouldnt second-guess the *business judgments* of boards to maximize shareholder" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1752960638043795506) 2024-02-01T07:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey makes no money from .gg domains despite them being really popular in the gaming sector" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1753103356175041023) 2024-02-01T17:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@john_ennis_btc If you want a place that is hard to corrupt politically then pick a socially cohesive consensus democracy like Guernsey. Most places are too centralised and are going to unravel in chaos of technological transition" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1754514464001478983) 2024-02-05T14:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ViaerFou I tend to reflect on the cost of fear. Scaling compliance is often a symptom of a fear based culture. It is a tough era when every mistake can hit social media within minutes" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1754529474870206915) 2024-02-05T15:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Delving into the realm of technology and its boundless potential the emergence of general-purpose humanoid robots presents an intriguing leap forward in how we perceive automation and artificial intelligence. Unlike their task-specific counterparts these robots embody versatility and adaptability poised to redefine the boundaries of human-machine collaboration. The true allure of general-purpose humanoid robots lies in their ability to seamlessly integrate into various aspects of human life. Imagine a future where these robots work alongside humans in hospitals offering care and support or in" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1755138336899952818) 2024-02-07T07:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "An opportunity missed to hire people who have direct experience in deploying capital innovatively to solve social problems. Fear breeds fear. SIF is recruiting for a new Board Member - could you help We are keen to hear from anyone with experience at a senior level in a relevant sector such as banking accounting law public services etc. See https://t.co/q0ZvRQoSj2 Closing date 12th Feb @Govgg @GuernseyCharity https://t.co/cCTPHzJMCA SIF is recruiting for a new Board Member - could you help We are keen to hear from anyone with experience at a senior level in a relevant sector such as banking" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1755187578339234284) 2024-02-07T11:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey was incredible during Covid. We do still need to question the quality of the regulatory regimes we followed if we are going to maintain trust in the system" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1755504536674861315) 2024-02-08T08:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@jviddy Indeed albeit I sense that the cryptos that solve useful compute (rather than arbitrary compute) will become a lot more valuable in a heavily compute constrained world. Bitcoin won't be able to compete with that long term. It requires the same infrastructure" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1755899011729400174) 2024-02-09T10:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Chateau des Marais is the perfect demonstration of why the Guernsey government is too centralised. In centralised hands it would never be a priority and would continue to decline. As a community run organisation or with the existence of a Heritage Commission it would likely have a social and economic purpose" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1756996605700374673) 2024-02-12T11:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@sashakmiller @PeterRoffey5 I asked chatGPT to rewrite the States of Guernsey Customer Charter into a Citizens Charter" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1757007660753334441) 2024-02-12T11:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "There will be a modern version of the luddite movement as AI starts to take lots of jobs. Keeping society cohesive through rapid change is going to be key. More video of the Waymo incident https://t.co/d2bU4BeoUb More video of the Waymo incident https://t.co/d2bU4BeoUb" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1757298400687456447) 2024-02-13T06:59Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements "There will be a spectrum of people in the anti-tech movement. Like in most movements. Many with very different motivations. The least cohesive places will have the greatest problem with it. Admittedly the San Francisco population response is going to be different to Detroit. Either way the benefits with automation are only fully realised if the population is on board or if there is Draconian style security" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1757312666370982009) 2024-02-13T07:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Cohesive caring and thriving communities will redeploy well. Those that aren't will struggle. Also a lot of challenges with speed of regulatory adaptation. I set up @DandelionGsy because I saw the drug addiction and homlessness outside of the X headquarters in San Francisco. It was easier back then to raise a billion dollars to deliver food [--] minutes to that building than it was to solve the societal issue that rapid change and created. Sustainable rapid wealth creation is a hard problem to solve" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1757338354503299215) 2024-02-13T09:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Guernsey has a real opportunity to sell itself as a hard to politically corrupt jurisdiction for domiciling organisations. As the world increasingly destabilises and polarises along ideological lines jurisdictions that are cohesive safe havens become increasingly attractive to base legal structures. It isn't necessarily about lowest costs as organisations in Delaware are finding out. Consensus democracies without a party structure are much harder to ideologically corrupt than executive and/or party based structures. JUST IN: SpaceX files to convert incorporation to Texas from Delaware per" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1758070727008268320) 2024-02-15T10:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Centralisation and economies of scale is such an aphrodisiac. Guernsey social and economic success and very low cost of government as a percentage of GDP is testament to the power of decentralisation and the economies of care. Decision by decision Guernsey seems bad but holistically our system adds up to something far greater than the sum of its parts" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1758479336905089082) 2024-02-16T13:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Meanwhile Open AI just revealed Sora. Our communities are not ready for the speed and scale of the disruptive forces that are arriving. Film production in London is a creative engine driving jobs & growth. Its generated [--] billion of investment in the capital over the past half decade alone. Ahead of the BAFTAs this weekend read Deputy Mayor for Culture @JustineSimons1 on why we need to nurture the industry. Film production in London is a creative engine driving jobs & growth. Its generated [--] billion of investment in the capital over the past half decade alone. Ahead of the BAFTAs this" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1758506622102458427) 2024-02-16T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "India is usually the best place for surgery innovation. They are often the world's most experienced surgeons as well because of the number of operations they do. 2kish Why wouldn't we build a private Indian hospital in Guernsey to deal with the UK backlog A good use of an innovative regulatory zone to match Indian systems rather than the UK ones" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761071465992966427) 2024-02-23T16:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "But a private hospital from India requires an independent regulator that is not in competition with it. Also one not wedded to the expensive and underperforming UK systems. Having a healthcare industry is not just about planning. It is primarily about building a principles based regulatory framework designed to foster innovation" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761426387494170925) 2024-02-24T16:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @sashakmiller @DavidPiesing63 @GuernseyPress More info on the Indian system. Task shifting is particularly difficult from a regulatory point of view" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761440158744760784) 2024-02-24T17:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Interesting from the CEO of Nvidia on it not being necessary to teach kids to code. It is the same reason why I think there will be an explosion of startups and self employed people. Jensen Huang CEO of Nvidia argues that we should stop saying kids should learn to code. He argues the rise of AI means we can replace programming languages with human language prompts thus enabling everyone to be a programmer. AI will kill coding. https://t.co/SxK9twhEby Jensen Huang CEO of Nvidia argues that we should stop saying kids should learn to code. He argues the rise of AI means we can replace" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761660103743176748) 2024-02-25T07:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The financial scale of automating the labour market is huge. The question is what wonders of the world are we going to build with all of this virtually free labour Cathie Wood predicted that the market for humanoid robots to grow to $1 trillion by [----] & Tesla is well positioned to cash in. https://t.co/p2wzX73X7e Cathie Wood predicted that the market for humanoid robots to grow to $1 trillion by [----] & Tesla is well positioned to cash in. https://t.co/p2wzX73X7e" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761668683288527242) 2024-02-25T08:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@StoneDeCroze @oldfarmhorace @sashakmiller @DavidPiesing63 @GuernseyPress If you pay per surgeon rather than per operation then there is no incentive for efficiency. None of the health funding of GPs or MSG in Guernsey is outcomes based as far as I am aware" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761670024350076947) 2024-02-25T08:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@richarddigard @oldfarmhorace Free labour will make tunneling much much cheaper. An Alderney tunnel will become viable at some point. And that is free labour along the whole supply chain to make a tunnel rather than just the tunneling itself" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761702677837181023) 2024-02-25T10:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I'd love to see Guernsey's data. Does anyone know if it is published anywhere We always produce and do PR on unemployment statistics but I don't see long term sickness statistics come up very often. @PeterRoffey5" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1761788110851981511) 2024-02-25T16:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@DrAseemMalhotra Fancy a visit It is easier to fully challenge the significant governance issues in Western healthcare in a small state like Guernsey" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1763460661034549698) 2024-03-01T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@oldfarmhorace Who do you define as our leaders" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1765648683993891020) 2024-03-07T08:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey decoupling from the UK's overall approach to wellbeing is essential. We need to regulate our own health system and then make it a health system. Right now we largely follow and are regulated by a system in collapse. Full hospitals are a symptom of a deeper problem that isn't just about ageing" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1766348952922730581) 2024-03-09T06:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I tend to think of the way educational assessment is done is similar to the GDP problem. Comparing the use of the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) for measuring educational outcomes to the use of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for measuring societal success is insightful. Both metrics provide valuable information but also have significant limitations when used as sole indicators of success in their respective fields: [--]. **Narrow Scope**: Just as GDP focuses mainly on economic activity and overlooks other aspects of societal well-being PISA tests concentrate on assessing" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1766380215746298264) 2024-03-09T08:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Indeed. It is very careful to be nuanced which the challenge to skills based education isn't right now. Especially when there is a youth mental health explosion and AI take off happening. PISA does very little to benchmark the largest emerging issues. Ultimately we are seeing people on the ground try to improve literacy and maths using techniques that are good for passing tests but not great for long term mental health. I did that analysis with a voice prompt on chatGPT in [--] seconds. It is like we are arguing on the beach about which shell to pick up with a tsunami coming in behind us" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1766399751308685725) 2024-03-09T09:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @MartynRoussel @RossLeBrun Not as crazy as it first seems" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1767184994093416543) 2024-03-11T13:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@RossLeBrun @MartynRoussel @oldfarmhorace Rather than no-overtaking I would turn the whole island into no-priority. I.e. that no form of transport has priority over the other and the roads are restructured that way" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1767192609368195272) 2024-03-11T14:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is why tech bros should never lead a design process. There has to be a nostalgic element in design otherwise you will get complete rejection by the generations that don't like technology or change. There is some interesting research going on already. Personally I prefer using AI and Robotics to free up the population from doing labour so they can spend more time with older people. South Korea's local governments are deploying around [----] AI-robot dolls to seniors and dementia patients. The $1800 robot doll by Hyodal can hold full conversations to tackle loneliness and remind users to" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1768890415388705279) 2024-03-16T06:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "We shouldn't be copying the Orkneys. Ultimately we don't have the resources as a small state to fund R&D like the UK does. We don't want higher electricity bills that a strategy like that would bring us. We are a place that can scale effective renewables when they are cheaper than current generation methods. The costs are coming down much faster than forecast for wind solar and batteries at least. We don't need France if we use all of the demand locally which things like offshore data centres for AI will need. Demand for energy is rocketing globally (much higher than forecast) and companies" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1768910557153796264) 2024-03-16T08:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Celebrating a Decade of Dandelion: Reflections on Community and Care Today I pause to celebrate a special milestone the 10th anniversary of The Dandelion Project Guernsey. It's been a remarkable journey filled with thought-provoking events inspiring speakers (over 200) and thousands of shared coffees enjoyed while fostering connection and collaboration. But beyond the highlights I want to share the heart behind why I founded Dandelion. Back in [----] a visit to Singularity University sparked a fascination with exponential technologies and the role of artificial intelligence in our future. But" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1770350526955233362) 2024-03-20T07:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "How would 50k humanoid robots impact the Guernsey economy Humanoid robots might be the right technology at the right time. Global businesses are facing unprecedented pressure due to labor shortages. @WHO research shows that by [----] 22% of people globally will be over [--] with the number of people over [--] tripling. @McKinsey's Humanoid robots might be the right technology at the right time. Global businesses are facing unprecedented pressure due to labor shortages. @WHO research shows that by [----] 22% of people globally will be over [--] with the number of people over [--] tripling. @McKinsey's" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1771424865582780497) 2024-03-23T06:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Is this something to offer to pilot in Guernsey @BBCGuernsey To avoid cuts in your own staffing how can you offer to be the innovation lab for the BBC as a whole Dynamic pricing is an interesting concept Repeal price discrimination laws https://t.co/BeLV7UNQSK Dynamic pricing is an interesting concept Repeal price discrimination laws https://t.co/BeLV7UNQSK" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1772957248412614999) 2024-03-27T12:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Why does Guernsey's government still rely on external consultants against the tide of public opinion The voice of our community is clear: there's a growing desire to reduce reliance on off-island consultants whose services drain our local resources and tax money. Yet the practice continues raising questions about transparency efficiency and respect for local expertise. In an age where Artificial Intelligence offers alternative solutions the question becomes even more pertinent. AI presents us with an opportunity to harness global knowledge and insights right here in Guernsey without the hefty" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1772966416301355107) 2024-03-27T12:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @pvbsc1 @richarddigard I'd love my community to be more corporatised. 🤣 I feel so loved as a citizen now that the new corporate centre for the States of Guernsey is opening soon. How human" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1773668221587001499) 2024-03-29T11:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "A convergence of breakthrough technologies means that aviation is set to radically change. Why are flying cars coming into existence now Its the convergence of advanced batteries new materials sensors direct electric propulsion and permissive regulations. Check out more details in my blog: https://t.co/zP4SrEeIjH https://t.co/3FKl22lEQj Why are flying cars coming into existence now Its the convergence of advanced batteries new materials sensors direct electric propulsion and permissive regulations. Check out more details in my blog: https://t.co/zP4SrEeIjH https://t.co/3FKl22lEQj" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1782355099047633104) 2024-04-22T10:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "A "health" culture of focusing on illness is unsustainable. A significant amount of chronic disease is reversible with good lifestyle medicine. I showcased what was possible at the Journey to [---] conference and brought some of the most globally recognised people in chronic disease reversal to the island. The Partnership of Purpose was essentially a watered down version of that conference in ambition terms. The HSC leadership and change management approach in healthcare has been so abjectly poor since that policy was released. So little has been delivered and yet so much money is being spent." [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1785916131728937075) 2024-05-02T06:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "If any tax payer is interested in what value for money in healthcare looks like then all of the talks to demonstrate how to reduce the cost of an ageing population in Guernsey are all still in the public domain. https://functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100 https://functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1785917100164366402) 2024-05-02T06:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Difficult but not impossible. Unfortunately economic development and tax positive health care strategies require new ground to be broken. That requires leadership in healthcare that we just don't have. "Meanwhile dozens of cities and states are proposing or enacting psychedelics legislation to promote research increase therapeutic and non-therapeutic access and decrease criminal penalties associated with producing possessing or consuming psychedelics." I'm more than happy to introduce you to the longevity folks to share what their experience was like in dealing with the States of Guernsey." [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1785936066983154048) 2024-05-02T07:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Dr Avi Roy and Liz Parrish were both in Guernsey multiple times @HeidiSoulsby. Their talks were part of Journey to [---] and can be found on the link for your interest. I see Liz is on the speaker roster in the Bahamas. I think you were busy or unavailable to be at that conference at the time. Many HSC representatives were there and follow up meetings took place. It went nowhere fast so they went to other more open for business in healthcare jurisdictions like The Bahamas. The only reason why psychedelic medicine interest and lobbying was more sustained is because there was resident local" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1785939123661938873) 2024-05-02T07:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "How wealthy will places like Guernsey become when all of the labour constraints disappear What will we do with all of that wealth Who will we become Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1787066585758261338) 2024-05-05T10:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @PeterRoffey5 @matt_fallaize I find the governance of HSC questionable. Isle of Man is interesting. I also think that given the UK health system is in collapse then there is no reason why health can't be a profit centre. https://www.gov.im/about-the-government/statutory-boards/manx-care/board-members/ https://www.gov.im/about-the-government/statutory-boards/manx-care/board-members/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1787415519957504389) 2024-05-06T09:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Great to hear Guernsey get a mention on the TED podcast. @johnmsweeney is a legend. I'd the absolute honour to do a podcast with head of @TEDTalks @TEDchris This may sound silly to some but I'm sat here crying my eyes out listening to it. I can't articulate how important kindness is but I hope if you listen to it you'll understand why https://t.co/0CNeIGGqLU I'd the absolute honour to do a podcast with head of @TEDTalks @TEDchris This may sound silly to some but I'm sat here crying my eyes out listening to it. I can't articulate how important kindness is but I hope if you listen to it you'll" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1789263683555655869) 2024-05-11T11:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oldfarmhorace The cost of producing this type of content is collapsing. Also the power of algorithmic Cambridge Analytica style personalised manipulation is scaling exponentially. I don't think large states can survive with their current governance structures" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1789568734140477525) 2024-05-12T08:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @richarddigard @HeidiSoulsby @matt_fallaize @advocategreen1 @BailiwickGsy I get that but the suggestion of reducing the other remaining information to the lowest common denominator isn't one I resonate with. I'd want to differentiate myself visually. One of my big issues is that government is too text based and that doesn't connect with people" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1791771784372510939) 2024-05-18T10:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Really cool. I've done a lot of work over the years supporting the @MOEFoundation in Guernsey. As a community we have quite a high density of trained coaches. I think the world will be a much better place if everyone was taught those skills so it is great to see you are investing in that direction" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1794990866328674315) 2024-05-27T07:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Nice community led approach to reducing waiting lists. Would this work in Guernsey https://www.newlocal.org.uk/articles/community-appointment-day/ https://www.newlocal.org.uk/articles/community-appointment-day/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1795500551628566763) 2024-05-28T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Good advice for Guernsey as well. It is an incredible time to be in Government. Tony Blair's single biggest piece of advice to Labour once they win the election: https://t.co/uWjdJgWoWX Tony Blair's single biggest piece of advice to Labour once they win the election: https://t.co/uWjdJgWoWX" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1809855779731619911) 2024-07-07T07:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Near zero cost labour. For an government that relies on income tax this will make for an interesting transition. NEW BLOG ALERT 🚨 The disruptive economics of humanoid robots 🤖 https://t.co/1wWmdxngFb Our research team have a brand new insight to share on the economics of the coming disruption of labor by humanoid robots 🚀🤖 "The future that awaits us is one where the ingenuity of NEW BLOG ALERT 🚨 The disruptive economics of humanoid robots 🤖 https://t.co/1wWmdxngFb Our research team have a brand new insight to share on the economics of the coming disruption of labor by humanoid robots" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1810917475409596690) 2024-07-10T06:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey has some challenges to face. Financial services has highest percentage of jobs that could be automated by AI. according to Accenture WEF and Citi research. https://t.co/ELp7SkLHV9 Financial services has highest percentage of jobs that could be automated by AI. according to Accenture WEF and Citi research. https://t.co/ELp7SkLHV9" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1811381633745920169) 2024-07-11T12:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@RossLeBrun @GuidoGsy @oldfarmhorace @argyllscricket I know what the status quo is. The community life breakthrough happens when that cost goes down to zero and everyone can access it with permission. The bar for the definition of vulnerable is getting lower and lower and that is putting a lot of inertia into community life" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1815004676791677425) 2024-07-21T12:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Interesting and valid question. Some long term trends in England and Wales here. I don't know what the Guernsey data is. Like all governance. Some of it is common sense. Some of it isn't. Spend time in countries where the governance doesn't exist and you see the difference however. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(19)30002-7/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(19)30002-7/fulltext" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1815019319694114904) 2024-07-21T13:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "AI will render the 11+ irrelevant everywhere. Like Brexit. It was always going to happen in this technological era. It is just a question of when you go through the shift/mess and how good you are at managing yourself through that change. We haven't managed that change well. We made it about buildings rather than transforming the way kids learn. In the decision making there was consistently too much focus on winning the argument/ideology rather than building the consensus necessary to make the huge shifts that this era needs" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1826664523387773383) 2024-08-22T16:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@doug_scott It isn't enough 🤣 https://gsy.bailiwickexpress.com/gsy/news/jersey-claims-sunniest-titleagain/ https://gsy.bailiwickexpress.com/gsy/news/jersey-claims-sunniest-titleagain/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1829808621925847429) 2024-08-31T09:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "There are a lot of people that are time rich who winter away. They have their home in Guernsey. My mum does Guernsey and Florida for instance. Another friend does Guernsey and Mauritius/South Africa. A lot of those people spent the whole year in Guernsey it went to chaos in Covid. Your first set of attributes are hard to get in a year round destination. It tends to only really matter in chaos" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1829810593320354302) 2024-08-31T09:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "There has been a lot of time in total discussing tax. This is one of the few areas of broad consensus that emerged. Pre built consensus good engagement and high trust on a decision is a good thing. The question that I reflect on is - what systems and processes need to be built to make it easier to get to more simple to ratify decisions in the future In this era consensus building should become much easier" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1832669638099894620) 2024-09-08T06:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "The hardest part of inclusion is including the people that you really disagree with. The hardest part of creating a shared set of governing principles is including the people you really disagree with in the design process. Then there is the whole process of living up to the principles. If you read the SoG customer charter you realise a lot the services don't reach their own bar for principles. Then it becomes do as I say and not as I do which is where a lot of the kickback against the liberal/nanny state movement has been historically. A good example would be income tax fining people in less" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1845742706665885872) 2024-10-14T08:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "You tried and didn't find a way to bring people along with you. In a world of infinite possibility there is learning for you in that as well. Our community is capable of making hard decisions if there is enough buy in. We don't understand how to create bottom up buy in to make changes very well. It is a key skill for us all to learn in consensus democracy. We have learned to do lots of neat rational documents very well but not to connect large amounts of the population to the deep why behind decisions that are made nor honour and deal with the underlying fears behind the changes that we try" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1847177912111284687) 2024-10-18T07:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "To provide balance. There are some consequences for people who don't need the salary also. It doesn't exactly encourage deep listening to the "customer". I think we've seen that the "I've been successful before so I know best" approach doesn't work that well in what is a much more complex environment that has thousands more deliverables than a traditional business. Being able to sense and respond to public sentiment is a necessary skill in complex environments where it is hard to see what is happening on the ground from the top of the ivory tower. I grant you that what happens with this" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1847537197550870826) 2024-10-19T07:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Relative to other jurisdictions it wasn't that draconian. What separated us from other jurisdictions was the public buy in. We had very good communication and a strong willingness to adapt and respond quickly based on public feedback. There was a huge social capital to build from and a public culture of taking responsibility to solve lots of small challenges without permission. In our peacetime governance we are failing to understand why we did well. It was far from being just about the rules as other draconian jurisdictions without public buy in demonstrated" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1847582042000691595) 2024-10-19T10:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "My mum lives in a big house over here in the summer. She spends half the time on her own maintaining and administering the house and dealing with all of the labour that comes with it. In the winter she is in Florida as part of a gated community in a [--] bedroom flat. She is out all day being sociable and spending hardly any time administering her accommodation. Her health and happiness is noticeably worse here than when she is away. We are a social species living in an individualist world. From a chronic disease point of view it is about moving from large houses to villages to replace the" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1847583925373173898) 2024-10-19T10:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Will an era of rapid automation restore the local market I don't think we can talk about housing market over the next decade without looking at the impact of accelerating job automation. How many license holders will be necessary for government and the private sector in 10/15 years If we want space and improving quality of life then we need to consider the role of automation in the mix" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1847945349018603712) 2024-10-20T10:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "There are more than millions to be taken off with a restructuring of government services. Not business as usual for less. Genuine systemic change to improve outcomes for less. A significant amount of the chronic disease burden we have is reversible yet we aren't structured to deliver that despite many opportunities to do so" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1848272566844063851) 2024-10-21T07:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@KelvinWhel35947 @letocq @oldfarmhorace @jameswpen @PeterRoffey5 @GuernseySpeaker @steve_falla There is enough capital available locally. Just not enough experience and inspiration to deploy it towards innovation. Also the curse of drinking from the firehouse. There is little incentive to innovate when you can make relatively easy returns without it" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1848337179619066278) 2024-10-21T12:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Could Guernsey be in the prison business UK prisons are full whilst we perform well from an outcomes point of view. https://guernseypress.com/news/2024/10/22/reconviction-rates-fall-to-lowest-level-in-five-years/ https://guernseypress.com/news/2024/10/22/reconviction-rates-fall-to-lowest-level-in-five-years/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1848625182425874921) 2024-10-22T07:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@alasdair_milroy @HeidiSoulsby @DavidPiesing63 @richarddigard @mjconcanno60904 @GuernseyPress @drandy_sloan And manager on manager" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1850449245549003016) 2024-10-27T08:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@alasdair_milroy @HeidiSoulsby @DavidPiesing63 @richarddigard @mjconcanno60904 @GuernseyPress @drandy_sloan Yes it is. SoG (and Guernsey) would really benefit from acknowledging its systemic discomfort avoidance. The solutions are out there to support a culture shift on that" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1850463026069098888) 2024-10-27T09:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@JohnClacy1 We can learn from places like Taiwan. They've improved consensus building without going down the road of centralising power. Fundamentally we have a long term culture of self determination that doesn't want an executive in control of their lives. https://www.plurality.net/ https://www.plurality.net/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1850464426849165314) 2024-10-27T09:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@JohnClacy1 Whilst recognising that the public built the early systems without permission in Taiwan to build consensus for a change. Banging on and building are two different mindsets" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1850494947494952988) 2024-10-27T11:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Classic comfort zone response. There is definitely opportunity to save that money with music community working together. Guernsey Music Service St James and community organisations like School of Popular music can reorganise and pool resources. ESC just isn't very good at difficult transformation projects that involve reducing headcount in central office. This is where the primary savings opportunity is and it feels like the perfect time to do it" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1851257067484365028) 2024-10-29T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@DavidPiesing63 Yes. We still haven't had full public transparency on the first crowd sourced cost savings yet so we aren't really committed to do anything at a speed beyond the internal comfort zone. You need high transparency and high discomfort to drive innovation and costs savings" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1856625608173769064) 2024-11-13T09:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@oldfarmhorace In the era of rapid automation there can be a convergence. It requires regulatory innovation that realistically only small self governing states can achieve initially. We have the opportunity to bridge worlds. Better than tax haven costs with beyond Nordic level social outcomes" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1857806865289072964) 2024-11-16T15:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@guyplum @oldfarmhorace @TigGuern Gold how low velocity and usefulness. The most value is linked to the most usefulness in this abundant context" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1857887463395700832) 2024-11-16T20:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements ""based on what you know about me. draw a picture of what you think my current life looks like" Gemini Grok and ChatGPT 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1858632383521796240) 2024-11-18T22:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@richarddigard In the end there is only one thing that matters in the era of rapid automation. Quality of life. The best places to live will domicile the most wealth as the constraints of scarce labour energy and intelligence disappear" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1858813301544669600) 2024-11-19T10:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Defining is for executive systems. In bottom up consensus systems like ours it is about us all investing in making life better for ourselves and each other. What I love may different to what you love. Us both investing in it what we love makes a positive difference to the whole. The cumulative effects of that culture of community investment will deliver something far better than we can create agreement on defining and delivering top down. We already have something far better than most of the world realises. The hard part is appreciating what we have enough to positively sell it to the world." [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1858817563670585432) 2024-11-19T10:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Consensus democracy is resistant to ideological corruption. This is where Guernsey has an advantage in a world of polarisation and rapid automation. Being able to domicile in a jurisdiction that has to build broad political consensus to make decisions and laws is a feature not a bug. AIs may work this out faster than humans. 🤣 It used to be automatic for startups to incorporate in Delaware. That will stop being the case if activist judges start overruling shareholders. It used to be automatic for startups to incorporate in Delaware. That will stop being the case if activist judges start" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1863899571555869015) 2024-12-03T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Bitcoin Hits $100K: A Moment for Reflection Today Bitcoin crossed the $100000 mark for the first timea monumental moment in the journey of the worlds most well-known cryptocurrency. As someone who bought significant holdings in [----] but no longer holds any crypto I find this milestone both fascinating and deeply reflective. Back in [----] Bitcoin felt revolutionary: decentralised independent and full of potential to reshape global finance. But the question Ive always asked remains: at every order of magnitude of value increase what works and what breaks A Lens from a Small Jurisdiction I live" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1864694119638945996) 2024-12-05T15:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I've written to them as well. Having a course is a useful tool albeit what they are teaching I don't feel will really deal with the core issues in our consensus democracy. It is about manipulating voters towards an ideology of "professionalism is best". Whilst there are aspects of professionalism that are good our poor mental health stats might hint to a canary in the coalmine that all is not well in the era of the corporatisation of our community. @YvonneBurford" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1869642131905851867) 2024-12-19T07:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "No need to apologise. It creates a great opportunity to articulate the difference. It does have similar vibes with a very different DNA. That is what makes it "dangerous". A wolf in sheep's clothing no less. I hope it is unintentional but ultimately Future Guernsey is about ideological control" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1869770339712188871) 2024-12-19T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Guernsey relies on income tax from white collar work. We aren't ready for the speed and scale of what is coming. Straight shot to ASI is looking more and more probable by the month this is what Ilya saw Straight shot to ASI is looking more and more probable by the month this is what Ilya saw" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1874070955909148962) 2024-12-31T12:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@ViaerFou @alasdair_milroy @MartynRoussel No idea who replaces. Not many incumbents make it through tech disruptions historically. I cannot see why this would be different in this case" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1874100778123878698) 2024-12-31T14:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@ViaerFou @alasdair_milroy @MartynRoussel Let's wait and see.😂" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1874111452048666997) 2024-12-31T15:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "We have to tackle the final year problem as well. There are emerging models for doing this. @mrjamesmaskell and I did a conference on this in Guernsey before the Partnership of Purpose was written. Early versions of the poliocy included some of this but it was watered down at the last minute for being too ambitious. Ultimately we have no choice but to deal with the final year challenge otherwise we will go bust as a jurisdiction. All jurisdictions will go bust unless they deal with it. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/27536130241293642" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1875868283817037956) 2025-01-05T11:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@alasdair_milroy @oldfarmhorace @letocq Agreed. We are starting to learn much more about prevention and reversal of Alzheimers. https://goevomed.com/podcasts/brain-health-reversing-alzheimers https://goevomed.com/podcasts/brain-health-reversing-alzheimers" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1875879633410994582) 2025-01-05T12:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Interesting work in the Netherlands. I'd be curious to see what the data in Guernsey is like. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/01/06/britain-worklessness-crisis-netherlands/ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/01/06/britain-worklessness-crisis-netherlands/" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1876546137928482875) 2025-01-07T08:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Guernsey's tax base is going to be in a lot of trouble. Finance will boom but headcount may collapse. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says that AI can draft 95% of an S1 IPO prospectus in minutes (a job that used to require a 6-person team multiple weeks). The last 5% now matters because the rest is now a commodity per Solomon. https://t.co/w3XOumrOFm Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says that AI can draft 95% of an S1 IPO prospectus in minutes (a job that used to require a 6-person team multiple weeks). The last 5% now matters because the rest is now a commodity per Solomon." [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1880179879943258319) 2025-01-17T09:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@oldfarmhorace @alasdair_milroy I would pay a small subscription to an AI that was hosted in an offshore jurisdiction to manage my affairs. Lots of AI will move offshore. Especially to an island that has GWs of renewable energy in its waters" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1883108655262048421) 2025-01-25T11:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I would say hardly anyone can see what is already arriving. Especially in government. The intelligence was good enough to automate most Guernsey finance jobs from September. It is just the software that needs to be created. If you haven't tried building software on something like then I recommend you do. The capability is coming to every white collar profession in months rather than years. I built [--] pieces of software in January. I can't code. People leaving university in silicon valley last year were getting $400k jobs. Now they are struggling to get work. http://lovable.dev" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1883110983629152468) 2025-01-25T11:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "I would say hardly anyone can see what is already arriving. Especially in government. The intelligence was good enough to automate most Guernsey finance jobs from September. It is just the software that needs to be created. If you haven't tried building software on something like then I recommend you do. The capability is coming to every white collar profession in months rather than years. I built [--] pieces of software in January. I can't code. People leaving university in silicon valley last year were getting $400k jobs. Now they are struggling to get work. http://lovable.dev" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1883111625500037582) 2025-01-25T11:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "This is why places like Guernsey have a huge advantage for building the next wave of startups. Taking the opportunity to offer the high net worth services that we already have to everyone in the world. @sashakmiller Simple heuristic for finding AI startup ideas: Look at things that rich people pay humans to do and give them to everyone using AI. Simple heuristic for finding AI startup ideas: Look at things that rich people pay humans to do and give them to everyone using AI" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1885255475387646349) 2025-01-31T09:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Equivalent to 90k per day in Guernsey. Roughly [--] million per year. We are still not publishing the cost saving data. AI has since opened up lots more opportunities since that survey. The US economy is roughly 9X size of the UK economy. @doge is already saving $1 billion a day by cutting unnecessary expenditure. Pro rata the UK could save [--] million a day if we did similar. Thats [--] billion a year Stop raising taxes and start cutting waste. The US economy is roughly 9X size of the UK economy. @doge is already saving $1 billion a day by cutting unnecessary expenditure. Pro rata the UK could" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1886505800564150392) 2025-02-03T20:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@bryan_johnson @danielcberk We did this in Guernsey. Trying to start a movement to be the first country in the world to break through the [---] year life expectancy barrier. https://www.functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100 https://www.functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1887076820891164780) 2025-02-05T09:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@oldfarmhorace There is no way that this type of spend should go unchecked and unreviewed. There has been belt and braces approach to both Brexit and Moneyval which has had really large opportunity costs for everything else that had to be done for the people of Guernsey" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1888877888167944307) 2025-02-10T09:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@ValeBeryl @NigelStaples @alasdair_milroy @DavidPiesing63 I don't think it is just the colleagues that are the whole problem. There are a lot of good people being put off because how some of the public behave as well. Certainly that is what puts me off. The colleagues I could deal with. 🤣" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1898263085997056453) 2025-03-08T06:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@NigelStaples @ValeBeryl @alasdair_milroy @DavidPiesing63 Also if you have vested interests then the last place you want to be is in politics directly.🤣 Guernsey is way too transparent for that" [X Link](https://x.com/marcwinn/status/1898277051460710690) 2025-03-08T07:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@marcwinn Marc Winn
Marc Winn posts on X about guernsey, in the, ai, money the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---------] #
- [--] Week [----------] +364%
- [--] Month [-----------] +346%
- [--] Months [-----------] +7,950,149%
- [--] Year [-----------] +1,032,413%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +178%
- [--] Month [--] +105%
- [--] Months [--] +335%
- [--] Year [---] +27%
Followers: [------] #
- [--] Week [-----] -0.12%
- [--] Month [-----] -0.42%
- [--] Months [-----] -0.96%
- [--] Year [-----] -0.18%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence countries finance technology brands celebrities stocks cryptocurrencies travel destinations social networks automotive brands vc firms
Social topic influence guernsey #23, in the, ai, money, investment, elon musk, gdp, term, jersey, finance
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @davidpiesing63 @oldfarmhorace @alasdairmilroy @richarddigard @yvonneburford @sashakmiller @guyplummer34449 @rosslebrun @martynroussel @peterroffey5 @gavinstpier @guernseypress @govgg @mattfallaize @stevefalla @elonmusk @dandeliongsy @heidisoulsby @valeberyl @jjh
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"For me central banking is a symptom and not a root cause. Centralisation meets a human need for order and control. You don't have to spend too much time in DAOs to realise that the root cause of humans needing order control still exists whether or not there is a central bank. True decentralisation (including the human bit) is a really hard problem. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1757403900129251418 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1757403900129251418"
X Link 2024-02-13T13:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Of course. In periods of rapid transformation/chaos there are always new opportunities. Many of those opportunities arrive out of the subtle differences between jurisdictions. My old industry was possible in Guernsey and Jersey but not in IOM (because of the VAT relationship). It was shut down by the UK. Since reborn direct from China some years later. No doubt will be closed again. Given the recent global trade chaos there is no doubt lots of new ground to exploit"
X Link 2025-08-25T17:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy @DavidPiesing63 @jojomay1 Asking chatGPTPro to come up with some ideas on the opportunities. https://chatgpt.com/s/dr_68ac9aff23d8819189b218860a80383c https://chatgpt.com/s/dr_68ac9aff23d8819189b218860a80383c"
X Link 2025-08-25T17:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I did challenge it and produced a report on options for HSC as soon as I saw it in the news last week. At Innovate Guernsey we don't have the resourcing as yet to go out and get all of the quotes and call people etc. That will come either by resourcing the innovation process itself or by challenging all parts of the states to be more innovative when faced with issues like this (I'm personally in favour of the latter approach). It takes time but not a lot of time. Time that should already have been saved with widespread AI tool usage (this isn't happening yet)"
X Link 2025-10-28T19:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A trade development process is an investment. Subsidising routes are an inefficient way of doing that. Right now I feel we create routes but don't do development work that needs to go with it that make those routes are successful in the medium term. There is too much left to chance. Too much build it and they will come. When we connect communities we have to build trade relationships between those communities so people have reasons to regularly travel"
X Link 2025-11-16T15:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 @YvonneBurford @jjh @GsySill @matt_fallaize @pvbsc1 @PeterRoffey5 Demand isn't just about price. It is also about having a reason/invitation to be there. Relationships drive demand as well"
X Link 2025-11-18T22:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@matthewclifford Guernsey 21% (close to Nordic level social outcomes). Is there a moonshot to trend to zero"
X Link 2025-11-21T13:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Economic growth is barely mentioned in Guernseys new Fiscal Framework. That question deserves more attention. The Framework does what it sets out to do. It gives us a structure to protect long-term financial stability built around four solid pillars: balancing income and expenditure managing debt maintaining reserves and investing in infrastructure. No one can argue against those foundations. But and its a big one nowhere does it spell out how we grow the economy that supports it all. If you scan through the 28-page document the word "growth" mostly appears as a challenge we have to manage"
X Link 2025-11-22T08:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The easiest way to stress test this model. If there is a sudden drop in Finance jobs due to AI automation does the framework facilitate the response required to develop new industries or do we need to create emergency frameworks If it doesn't then it fundamentally isn't a long term framework"
X Link 2025-11-22T10:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Mini Case Study: What Iceland Teaches Us About Resilience and Innovation After Icelands financial system collapsed in [----] the country faced one of the most dramatic economic crises in modern history. Three major banks holding assets worth ten times Icelands GDP failed almost overnight. The shock was seismic. And yet within a decade Iceland had rebuilt its economy diversified its industries restored trust and returned to growth. Their recovery wasnt driven by wishful thinking. It was driven by intentional choices that sit right at the intersection of fiscal discipline and innovation. Iceland"
X Link 2025-11-22T12:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 @ShaneLanglois @Lindsay_Gsy @YvonneBurford @gavinstpier @steve_falla @dep_parkinson There has to be an economy in all policies approach. That starts from the top middle and the bottom. It needs to be everyone's responsibility to create sustainable and resilient prosperity for all. Siloed economic development delivers flat growth so the model needs to change"
X Link 2025-11-22T16:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"To bring some data into the mix that contradicts some of what is in the current proposal. There is an assumption that economic growth can't be much higher on a GDP per capita basis and also an assumption that growth will be flat going forward. This just doesn't add up. Ultimately we are not delivering from an economic growth perspective and we are not accountable to a long term economic growth rate KPI in our fiscal framework nor do we have mechanisms to invest in growth contained within it. My personal view is that we should be targeting a 3% rate and have economic investment mechanisms to"
X Link 2025-11-23T11:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The public have been very clear that they don't want tax rises and growth is the primary medium and long term lever to deliver on that. It shows a lack of input more than anything. Not just by economic development but also by the public at large. It is the same old ivory tower policy development that I'm afraid will deliver the same results. Stagnant growth and cost increases moving faster than the economy can handle. It also shows a complete lack of technology experience which shows in all central forecasting. "a reasonable estimate for the shift in global annual growth rates due to AI is"
X Link 2025-11-25T07:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy @TheVeloProject @thefarmshop @newbeginnings I'm afraid we are only looking to build a shirkpace in Guernsey. It looks really cool though. Nice work @TheVeloProject"
X Link 2025-11-26T05:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Yes it is. The aspect of it that could be leveraged to invest in startups/business is something that Innovate Guernsey will look at getting off the ground next year one way or another. Historically we have made a tokenistic attempt with the Guernsey Investment Fund but not sure how it performed yet. It feels like it was more about looking good rather than being a well designed investment system that can support and accelerate local growth. Fundamentally we are not backing and trusting our own people at the moment which says a lot about our culture in general"
X Link 2025-12-09T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I want to try and translate the noise around OpenAIs latest model launch into something grounded and relevant for Guernsey. Whats changed The newest model GPT5.2 Pro is significantly better at everyday knowledge work than previous versions. Not futuristic scifi tasks. The actual work people do all day. Reading information making sense of it drafting responses spotting gaps weighing options and explaining things clearly. In OpenAIs own testing GPT5.2 Pro outperforms experienced industry professionals around threequarters of the time on these kinds of tasks. That does not mean humans are"
X Link 2025-12-13T14:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Honest question for Guernsey. Do we believe in Donald Trumps America more than we believe in ourselves I want to be transparent about why Im asking these questions about belief and whats coming up. The two documents Ive been reading closely are: Guernseys Fiscal Policy Framework which sets the long-term rules for how we manage public money debt reserves and infrastructure. This is the document that shapes what we think is affordable risky or out of bounds for years to come The States Investment Board Annual Report [----] which explains how our reserves and pension money are actually invested"
X Link 2025-12-14T07:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I know you don't but I'm still going to challenge the thinking whenever I see it in public. 😉 I actually speak to healthcare innovators all over the world and have brought many here. Ultimately we have to prove to the local population that change is possible. That is what local prototyping is all about. What we do know is that successive strategy documents and meetings don't deliver change. The definition of madness is doing the same thing and expecting a different result"
X Link 2025-12-16T14:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Estimated Healthcare Cost Savings from Full Transformation to Lifestyle Medicine in Guernsey Based on available data and research a full transformation of Guernsey's healthcare system to prioritize lifestyle medicine (LM) as the first-line approach for preventing and managing chronic diseases could yield significant annual cost savings. This estimate assumes widespread adoption of LM interventions across the population integrating them into primary care public health initiatives and community programs like the Healthier Weight Strategy and social prescribing. Key assumptions and calculations"
X Link 2025-12-16T14:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @YvonneBurford The sum is less than the parts at the moment. I think the people are great but the outputs are pretty bad right now"
X Link 2025-12-16T20:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It was a little glib the response and based on what I see with the people I know rather than the trial data that is out there. It is still in the context of a political term which is the planning horizon that we are dealing with rather than a multi-decade long issue. Trial data is actually a hard problem structurally because the delivery model is the opposite of reductionist. It is easy to do research on a single pill across a cohort. Not so easy to do research across a spectrum of personalised lifestyle interventions. Cleveland attempted to do it and were one of the first to get good data on"
X Link 2025-12-16T21:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ShaneLanglois is right there are certainly some structural issues with Economic Development and how it works. It has been really eye opening the last period with Innovate Guernsey on how they work. They are very siloed in how they work and low leverage in a lot of their promotional activity. Guernsey Finance in particular. There shouldn't be any more money spent on Economic Development until structural reforms are finished both in terms of how ED work themselves and how the rest of government functions and supports them to grow the economy. This isn't a resources issue. This is a ways of"
X Link 2025-12-17T06:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Zero based budgeting alone will not solve the culture and ways of working issue. The current culture will try to cut its way out of the issue rather than create its way out. In some ways it is a very dumb idea to implement it before the ways of working has been addressed. It will just mean they cut more resources that go into community and keep their salaries which means more well paid people sit in meetings unable to act"
X Link 2025-12-17T06:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Certainly that is the path they have tried to take Innovate Guernsey down. Box us into writing strategy for us long as possible. Luckily we ignored them volunteered lots of time we haven't been paid for and got on and done grassroots work fixing issues. I still sit in meetings and they want us to write more documents rather than actually support the States to change their ways of working. 😂 They hired [--] very talented people and gave them [----] to act (which we didn't spend). They spend so much time on strategy and so little time on delivery. Most of the frontline people know what to do but"
X Link 2025-12-17T06:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As a marketer the money spent is very low leverage. They are structured as an old school promotional agency rather than an industry development organisation. I've hardly seen them on the ground in the past year when the largest restructuring of the ways of working and culture of the GFSC has taken place. In my old direct marketing life we would have gone out of businesses if we used resources that ineffectively. And fundamentally all of their activity is hampered by the tax haven story and no work has been done on what Simon Anholt long ago said needed to be done with national branding. All"
X Link 2025-12-17T07:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The fundamental test of this new P&R is whether they go into defend and justify mode like all of the others or they use this as a crowdsourcing opportunity to improve the current outputs. The Fiscal Framework needs and economic pillar. The Government Work Plan needs to integrate government efficiency and economic development rather than having them in separate siloes. Two of the top issues are economic stagnation and government productivity. P&R's primary job must be to take down siloes wherever it sees them and model those behaviours in the way it works itself. The rhetoric must be embodied."
X Link 2025-12-17T08:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Policy and Resources forecasting in Guernsey on the other hand still doesn't consider technology in its data nor do its core plans consider economic growth as a major feature/opportunity for this term. cc (@gavinstpier @YvonneBurford @steve_falla @dep_parkinson @lyndsay_gsy) @pmarca Double-digit growth is coming within [--] to [--] months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth which it should be triple-digit is possible in [--] years. @pmarca Double-digit growth is coming within [--] to [--] months. If applied intelligence is proxy for economic growth which it should be triple-digit is"
X Link 2025-12-26T06:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@gavinstpier @richarddigard Great. So how many requettes per month are needed to accelerate the reduction of red tape and to delegate authority to act in a system that is bound by inaction It sounds like a growth in all policies approach to me"
X Link 2026-01-06T14:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@gavinstpier @richarddigard If you add AI and crowdsourcing to that process then you have the forms of a next generation model of governance"
X Link 2026-01-06T15:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"And to honest that was the only bit I found interesting in the recent version the Future Guernsey experiment. How it became a think tank/crowdsourcing policy ideas. If it were to be useful this term to build credibility then that is the bit that it should be doing. Could the infrastructure be developing ready to go policy/law for requettes I would be happy to participate in a process like that. What I can't get behind is manipulation/spin because if you amplify that behaviour with super intelligent AI you get quite draconian outcomes. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008583803241967787"
X Link 2026-01-06T16:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy @jjh Again. Tax reform without culture reform is like pouring petrol onto a fire"
X Link 2026-01-08T07:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@GuyPlummer34449 "Too much work" (in the era of AI). Also offered through Innovate Guernsey to mine the information and protect identities as well. We have that expertise on the board quickly and cheaply. Silence. Culture of comfort seeking and shame avoidance at most levels"
X Link 2026-01-17T18:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Without a change in senior personnel and/or structure in the education office it would just burn political capital. It doesn't matter who goes in there. It seems to kill everyone who works in it. The politicians don't have much say in the ways of working. They keep getting blamed by the public though"
X Link 2026-01-19T19:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Buy votes more like. Small countries in the UN often get a lot of Chinese support on infrastructure projects. It pays to have a voice rather than delegate it to someone else. Places like Singapore are booming because it bridges the AI constraints on China. India is booming because it bridges the constraints on Russia. The big money is always on geopolitical arbitrage. These are the big things but in reality there are always hundreds of small things where two countries need a third to trade because their trade policies are incompatible in some way."
X Link 2026-01-19T20:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@flick2leg @RossLeBrun @oldfarmhorace @MaryLowe501 Some submarine. Others Ivory Tower. Very few stay connected to the grass roots"
X Link 2026-01-19T21:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"We are very well structured for [--] person AI companies and for human emulators to domicile offshore. Focusing on employees of AI companies when most of them will get wiped out is a temporary strategy and not necessarily one that plays to our strengths as a jurisdiction built on local income tax. Sark is probably better placed for that as somewhere built on no income tax/property tax. In the end all that really matters is how great a place is to live and how socially cohesive it is during rapid change. We don't need to be the cheapest or have the best regulations. We need to be the least crazy"
X Link 2026-01-23T07:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Again no technology forecasting in Guernsey on the impact of biotech on long term healthcare costs nor what having very healthy older people will have on the economy. Youre right @elonmusk. Focus on this topic. Aging has a relatively simple explanation and is apparently reversible. Clinical trials begin shortly🤞 Youre right @elonmusk. Focus on this topic. Aging has a relatively simple explanation and is apparently reversible. Clinical trials begin shortly🤞"
X Link 2026-01-23T19:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I challenge that it isn't a tech problem. Law is code. Ultimately if you have a system when the cost and time it takes to update the operating system then updates to that operating system will remain slow. If there is a change in the ease in writing "code" then there will be a step change difference in what is viable to change and produce. I saw this image today. It makes me reflect on what impact on what drafting new policy and regulation may look line in the coming years. I grant you regulation slop is a risk but ultimately the larges bottleneck in our system that impacts so many things is"
X Link 2026-01-23T21:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I've no interest in writing code to solve this. What I do know is that I wrote 67k lines of code last year and I don't even know how to code. That enabled me to do many things I wouldn't have been able to do without a developer (which I didn't have the budget for). Life changing for me. From that point of view I'm more interested in giving politicians and members of the public the capacity/tools to explore how they can write and present their own regulations/code rather than needing the law officers to do it for them. If you want to be useful build software that helps everyone on the island"
X Link 2026-01-23T22:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@lukas_m_ziegler @zipline How many cars would this take off the road @RossLeBrun"
X Link 2026-01-23T22:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 We need a statue is his honour 🤣 If we are an island of alcoholics clinging to a rock then he was peak booze. I'm sure in [--] years we won't drink that much but we do need remember these quirky characters that spent time of the island. The good and the bad"
X Link 2026-01-27T09:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"How much public money is tied up preparing for a scarce future In Guernsey the answer is billions. We have illiterate future forecasting in Guernsey. Elon Musk just said saving for retirement becomes pointless in [--] to [--] years. Not speculation. Math. Musk: Dont worry about squirreling money away for retirement in like ten or [--] years. It wont matter. We passed the event horizon. Retirement savings assumes scarcity https://t.co/XuHoFAJQ2i Elon Musk just said saving for retirement becomes pointless in [--] to [--] years. Not speculation. Math. Musk: Dont worry about squirreling money away for"
X Link 2026-02-15T05:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Very high growth. Very high unemployment. Not in Guernsey's forecasting. The largest megatrend is not included and yet we are having large conversations about future tax planning. we're heading to a world in which GDP rockets at the same level as unemployment. it's clearly going to be a bumpy ride in the short term as we head towards universal high income. https://t.co/4CWHpbC4Kp we're heading to a world in which GDP rockets at the same level as unemployment. it's clearly going to be a bumpy ride in the short term as we head towards universal high income. https://t.co/4CWHpbC4Kp"
X Link 2026-01-22T19:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It is good to see consensus building but it is still without any of the forecasts having any technological component. It would be good to see how the model stress tests in an era of rapidly increasing growth and potential rising unemployment. I also think there has to be a lot of delivery on reducing the cost of government and public sector reform before any tax rises are implemented. Trust in delivery is at an all time low. In all irony the element of corporate tax reform is probably the easiest part of all of this to deliver. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016437178822238373"
X Link 2026-01-28T09:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Absolutely. Creating economic growth is in the main a grassroots community development process which in general our government hasn't been that good at. It is hard to grow anything with ivory tower generated documentation. The Kauffman Foundation supports a lot of small town economic development in the US and has developed a playbook to show what good economic development can look like. Locally much of the resource and labour is in the wrong places at the moment https://www.kauffman.org/ecosystem-playbook-draft-3/create/ https://www.kauffman.org/ecosystem-playbook-draft-3/create/"
X Link 2026-01-31T13:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 Wouldn't you find it just a little bit disturbing if it didn't 🤣"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"AI Review of Guernsey's Fiscal Forecasts Guernsey's States face ongoing structural fiscal challenges with persistent operating deficits and cash outflows exceeding inflows leading to reliance on reserves. The most recent independent assessment from the Fiscal Policy Panel (March 2025) warns that under the status quo maintaining current tax policies and capital investment at approximately 2% of GDP available reserves (primarily the General Revenue Reserve around [---] million based on recent States accounts) would be depleted by [----]. This projection builds on earlier analyses (e.g. [----] Panel"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 One for you @HaleyCamp"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Technology as a Key Variable in Guernsey's Fiscal Forecasting Traditional fiscal forecasts like the Fiscal Policy Panel's [----] depletion warning often adopt conservative "status quo" assumptions based on historical trends (low growth 2-2.5% nominal) and known pressures (ageing population underinvestment). These models typically underweight disruptive factors such as technology which can accelerate productivity create new revenue streams and improve efficiency. Over the 2025-2035 timeline emerging technologiesparticularly AI fintech blockchain and digital assetsrepresent a significant upside"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"And this is how much belief S&P has in Economic Development at the moment. These are the figures that are driving all of the forecasts in the tax and spend discussion. 🤦Given the lack of and economic development plan with KPIs in the public domain I am not surprised. If this was ever a demonstration of how siloed the relationship is between policy and resources and Economic Development this is it. @YvonneBurford https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022205211071135952 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022205211071135952"
X Link 2026-02-13T07:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 @HenryHulme3 It will be universal high income. AIs will accelerate sovereign wealth returns once humans get out of the way"
X Link 2026-02-15T11:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Guernsey should be able to move faster than a snail. 🐌 @boringcompanys mission is simple: beat the snail. Build tunnels faster than traffic moves. Rethinkngi infrastructure from first principles. So I mischievously entered their Tunnel Vision Challenge on behalf of Guernsey. Not because a crew is landing tomorrow. But because we need to question our tempo. Runway debates that ran for years. Harbour plans that circle endlessly. Bridge regeneration that never quite regenerates. The real snail isnt traffic. Its decision velocity. is a proposal for a pedestrian and cycling art tunnel linking The"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I get sentiment but honestly Lindsay sending 500k off island when you just did the amendment with @HaleyCamp to coordinate on the economy in all policies approach in the government work plan just shows how pointless and disjointed your policy approaches are. You've come up with a slow expensive off island expert led approach that has a high chance of failure because culturally we don't like outsiders telling us what to do. You've gone down the independent assessment route rather than independent facilitation route. As a way of working this makes is [--] times more expensive to get a worse"
X Link 2026-02-15T05:20Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy Flow of value vs store of value. The more you hold on the harder it will feel. Ultimately advantage goes to those who can move capital to make real world impact"
X Link 2026-02-15T06:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Retired people don't down tools. They do stuff they love for the intrinsic rewards rather than the extrinsic rewards. First time I retired I went round the world travelling and watching cricket and rugby. Second time I retired went around the world leaning about tech and human transformation and set up @DandelionGsy https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022993201469051260 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022993201469051260"
X Link 2026-02-15T11:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@HenryHulme3 @DavidPiesing63 Open source AI is moving faster than the big US labs now. China are deliberately destroying US value creation. And now with Moltbot we have had the escape the lab moment so it doesn't really matter what either China or US do. Giant tidal wave that noone can do anything about"
X Link 2026-02-15T14:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@Louisa_J_22 They may well have. There is also an election happening which will bring into question the entire process. Fundamentally this whole model of transformation was built on the notion of requiring certainty. Covid has proved what a false god that was"
X Link 2020-08-23T13:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@MartynRoussel Telepathy will be the primary communication channel. Language as we know it will die. Bandwidth too low. Orders of magnitude faster and more nuanced brain to brain. Realtime translation already works anyway. You go to jersey to have coffee not to sit in an office"
X Link 2023-03-30T08:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the house my son Bertie wants. I'm not sure the plot is available. #imagination #parisdreams #frsttimebuyer"
X Link 2023-08-27T10:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace Sure. Like many markets. With technological disruption the manipulators find it hard to hold onto the power to manipulate the market. They also find it hard to leap to the new way of doing things because of what it does to their old marker"
X Link 2023-09-04T12:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Great to watch Blue Zones documentary on Netflix. There is a lot to learn for a place like Guernsey"
X Link 2023-09-08T21:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Great to see more off island resources using Guernsey as a research/test hub. Research and test bedding is an economic and social enabler that isn't being leveraged that well"
X Link 2023-10-03T08:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@danieleharford Peter has been to Guernsey to speak before"
X Link 2023-10-16T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Guernsey is on the journey up the value chain. Tax haven ➡ Safe haven ➡ Well-being Haven ➡ Haven. The higher you move up this quality of life based value chain in the remote working era the less you have to worry about "competitive" tax rates. In a destabilising automating and aging world understanding this shift in economic proposition is key to long term tax and spend planning. The most successful governments of the future will be the most efficient at turning tax receipts into perceived quality of life gains for the local population. Recognising that perception is often far cheaper to"
X Link 2023-10-25T06:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"People have no idea how fast change could be arriving and how small island states like Guernsey are much more able to manage the rapid and potentially destabilising transition from scarcity to abundance"
X Link 2023-10-27T07:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey does like a bench"
X Link 2023-10-28T16:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Building a new Channel Island for infrastructure.free port and regulatory innovation zone would bring a lot of economic benefits"
X Link 2023-11-08T10:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In the serene yet dynamic backdrop of Guernsey where politics often intertwine with daily life there's a conversation we need to have one that goes beyond policies and legislation. It's about the fabric of how we work together especially within the context of our local political landscape. In our beautiful island community the way we interact build trust and manage conflicts in our political and professional spheres can have far-reaching impacts. Guernsey with its unique blend of tradition and modernity isn't immune to the challenges faced by larger nations the inertia caused by low trust and"
X Link 2023-11-10T10:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"At this pivotal moment the future of tertiary education in Guernsey demands our immediate attention and thoughtful discussion. We're facing the significant challenge of securing at least [--] million annually to sustain and elevate the quality of our educational provisions. This target is more than a financial goal; it represents a deep investment in the future of our students and our island community. A key area for consideration is our approach to funding tertiary education. There's a notable contrast between how we currently finance education on the island compared to abroad. On-island"
X Link 2023-11-12T07:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This is a great to see. We have a good system of government in Guernsey when people leverage the right skills to make progress"
X Link 2023-11-16T09:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Without truth there can be no reconciliation. Consensus building is as much an emotional process of trust acceptance and forgiveness as it is about finding rational solutions to problems. Ultimately we are collectively trying to solve problems without healing the old wounds"
X Link 2023-11-17T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I listen to States of Guernsey debates in the context of what is going on in the world of AI 🤣 - "The company said it wants to improve workplace efficiency by up to eight times through the use of its AI agents. The company also wants to reduce the number of hours worked by human employees by 40% by 2029""
X Link 2023-11-23T12:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishwickDavid Welcome to Guernsey"
X Link 2023-11-23T12:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@KentLangley @salimismail @OpenAI Human alignment is a hard problem"
X Link 2023-11-23T15:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"How might AI reshape the art of decision-making in the States of Guernsey Picture a scenario where AI doesn't just process data but also sensitively navigates the complex dynamics of human interaction. In a room with [--] diverse voices could AI be the key to transforming debates into empathetic constructive conversations Imagine its potential to diffuse tension highlight commonalities and promote a culture of mutual respect and understanding. Could this be the future of governance a blend of technology and humanity leading to decisions that are not only smart but also kinder and more inclusive"
X Link 2023-11-27T09:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"😉In response to the initial tweet about AI reshaping decision-making in the States of Guernsey and the follow-up suggestion regarding Red Teaming and LLMs it seems we're converging on a fascinating blend of ideas. AI particularly LLMs (Large Language Models) indeed has the potential to revolutionise how decisions are made in governance. Its ability to process vast amounts of data and provide insights can certainly aid in debates and committees as you've pointed out. This can be particularly useful in identifying key points and trends that might otherwise be missed in the heat of a"
X Link 2023-11-27T11:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"It isn't an either/or thing. If you get the governance structure and team right then both usage and revenue can grow. As it has done at Bathing Pools St James and KGV. Guernsey is good at this. We need to trust the community more to take over the running of some of our government run assets"
X Link 2023-11-29T14:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The largest innovation prize in world history has significant implications for Guernsey's long term tax and spend planning"
X Link 2023-11-29T17:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@sashakmiller Longevity is a huge potential industry for Guernsey. Especially the healthcare side of it"
X Link 2023-12-05T06:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@undergroundfox @oldfarmhorace @richarddigard @GuernseyPress I'm curious. Would you eschew local definitions for an indigenous tribe in the Amazon For me there is something sacred about place and the people that have lineage to it. Things will always slow down if you ignore it"
X Link 2023-12-08T11:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"4% in real terms in a year of very high inflation the year after the COVID recovery year is crazy good. Some questions I hold. Why was this not forecasted correctly Is this a new trend What factors like the rapid adoption of zoom and cloud systems have structurally changed our economy If it is a structural change how does this influence the tax and spend debate"
X Link 2023-12-11T12:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"It's interesting to think about how AI could enhance the effectiveness of consensus democracy in Guernsey especially considering the unique aspects of our local governance. Here are a few ways People's Deputies in Guernsey might leverage AI: Facilitating Consensus Building: AI-driven tools can assist in finding common ground among diverse opinions helping to identify compromise solutions that most stakeholders can agree upon. This is especially useful in a consensus democracy where agreement among a broad base of constituents is crucial. Enhancing Communication and Engagement: AI can be used"
X Link 2023-12-22T09:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"My biggest wish for [----] is that it is the year that Guernsey fully accepts embraces and celebrates consensus democracy"
X Link 2023-12-28T11:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Could Guernsey's abundant renewable energy resources lead to other opportunities Metal without mining 🤯 @magratheametals is making Magnesium from seawater 🌊☀ this is a gamechanger 🦾 STOKED to be an investor with @HyperGuap & share this lab tour/founder interview with @big_lithium & @JacobLBrown 🤓 full video on X & YT 🍿 https://t.co/y1fQbw7sF2 https://t.co/KMwJjaR99e Metal without mining 🤯 @magratheametals is making Magnesium from seawater 🌊☀ this is a gamechanger 🦾 STOKED to be an investor with @HyperGuap & share this lab tour/founder interview with @big_lithium & @JacobLBrown 🤓 full"
X Link 2023-12-29T19:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Answer from first chatGPT prompt of the year: Building a government from first principles for a new city aiming for low taxes yet high economic and social outcomes is an ambitious but fascinating concept. Here's how such a government might be structured: [--]. Efficient Taxation Model: Implementing a lean and efficient taxation system that maximizes revenue without overburdening citizens. This could involve progressive taxes consumption taxes or even innovative models like land value tax which discourages speculative land holding and encourages productive use of land. [--]. **Technology-Driven"
X Link 2024-01-01T09:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey must significantly accelerate its policy-making and legislative processes to match the rapid advancements in AI. This calls for a paradigm shift in building consensus and evolving policy at a pace far quicker than what we've seen before. A key strategy in achieving this could be the adoption of sunsetting legislation where laws are set with predetermined expiration dates. This approach not only facilitates quicker consensus-building but also ensures that legal frameworks are regularly updated staying in step with the fast-paced developments in technology. For Guernsey it's not just"
X Link 2024-01-02T13:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"In a modern Guernsey imagine a government guided by values as timeless as the island's cobbled streets yet as forward-thinking as the latest technology in its citizens' hands. It's a place where decisions are made with a reverence for tradition and an embrace of innovation. Here policies are crafted not just for the now but for the legacy they leave blending the wisdom of the past with the possibilities of the future. This is The Guernsey Way: a commitment to progress without losing sight of heritage ensuring every step forward honours the steps taken before"
X Link 2024-01-03T09:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I wish that the education transformation discussion in Guernsey was less about buildings and more about the limitless potential that we are about to collectively unlock. "We're at the cusp of using AI for probably the biggest positive transformation that education has ever seen." @salkhanacademy Watch the full TED Talk to learn how AI can be the super tutor students need and the assistant every teacher wants: https://t.co/6zUry3ngNa https://t.co/0OYUhpFdiU "We're at the cusp of using AI for probably the biggest positive transformation that education has ever seen." @salkhanacademy Watch the"
X Link 2024-01-04T22:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"It makes much more sense for one airport and a tunnel/vertiports to connect [--] million people to the world. Jersey strategy to position Jersey Airport as regional hub Jersey has re-iterated its intention to position its airport as a regional hub while promoting destination Channel Islands https://t.co/tKUY68QHGr Jersey strategy to position Jersey Airport as regional hub Jersey has re-iterated its intention to position its airport as a regional hub while promoting destination Channel Islands https://t.co/tKUY68QHGr"
X Link 2024-01-05T08:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey's problem/opportunity in one graph. This brings us to the present day and that striking pattern: A culture of progress made the west but over recent decades western culture has been moving away from values of progress and betterment. In their place a culture of caution worry and risk-aversion is on the rise. https://t.co/TQV4ust1wi This brings us to the present day and that striking pattern: A culture of progress made the west but over recent decades western culture has been moving away from values of progress and betterment. In their place a culture of caution worry and"
X Link 2024-01-05T13:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"I just don't think that is true. Most international airports are further away from their city centers than Jersey and Guernsey are apart and also involve train connections. A single airport for [--] million people will create network effects that are city like rather than island like. So yes Jersey may get some greater benefits but also losses (like an order of magnitude more aircraft noise)"
X Link 2024-01-06T13:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"You go to London now when the airport is [--] miles (i.e. not in London) and a [--] plus minute train journey away. What is different if CI/Normandy airport is a [--] minute tunnel journey away An airport that could sustain an order of magnitude more flights and connections than our current disconnected model"
X Link 2024-01-06T15:08Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is the mindset of scarcity. We are not competing with Jersey. We are competing globally. They've been more populous and have had more frequent connections since day one. We have still succeeded. Our airport is not the limiting factor. Our available workforce is the limiting factor. Connecting Normandy up with one tunnel and one airport gives us access to commuting population potential of [--] million and the global route network that this kind of scale population would plug into. Yes some businesses would change because of increased local competition but that is small relative to what"
X Link 2024-01-06T16:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@notquitelocal @DavidPiesing63 Do you get on a tube to go between offices in London"
X Link 2024-01-06T16:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"There are lots of finance based opportunities that come from being a Freeport. We have to understand that some things will die in a change like this but much more will grow. Besides a one airport and tunnel model will mean an increase in business traffic to Guernsey not a decrease. You essentially halve the cost of travel to Guernsey and increase the frequency and routes without technically adding more travel time to St Peter Port. The average passenger seat cost for an airport that serves [--] million is very different to an average passenger seat cost for an airport that serves [--] thousand"
X Link 2024-01-06T17:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"chatGPT: Incorporating the concept of network effects in the context of Guernsey Jersey and Normandy sharing an airport and harbour through a tunnel network presents a unique set of economic and logistical considerations. Here's how the principles of network effects and urban economics might apply in this scenario: [--]. Increased Connectivity and Economic Integration: The tunnel network would significantly enhance connectivity between the islands and Normandy. This could lead to increased economic integration making the region more attractive for business investments tourism and trade. 2."
X Link 2024-01-06T17:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@jviddy @john_ennis_btc And beer 🤣"
X Link 2024-01-09T07:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"In my view Guernsey boasts one of the most pristine democracies in the world and I'm keen on preserving its integrity. For me the quest for better candidates is a personal responsibility. It's either about stepping into the fray myself or inspiring potential leaders to run for office. Likewise swaying public opinion in a certain direction is a task I see as my own along with others who share my views. It's about engaging with the community and presenting compelling arguments to align their votes with our perspective. However I staunchly oppose the idea of modifying our democracy to favour"
X Link 2024-01-17T09:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@MartynRoussel The labour is separate from the currency in that case. You are still pricing that in a national currency"
X Link 2024-01-18T11:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"The Guernsey Way New Policy & Resources president Lyndon Trott claimed yesterday that the States was learning how to make consensus government work again after the Assembly voted 35-3 in favour of a new funding plan for Les Ozouets. Story: https://t.co/IfqhH2tjt6 https://t.co/FTjDgjVHC1 New Policy & Resources president Lyndon Trott claimed yesterday that the States was learning how to make consensus government work again after the Assembly voted 35-3 in favour of a new funding plan for Les Ozouets. Story: https://t.co/IfqhH2tjt6 https://t.co/FTjDgjVHC1"
X Link 2024-01-25T10:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"AI. Coming to a workforce near you. Layoffs Announced Over Last [--] Months: [--]. Twitch: 35% of workforce [--]. Hasbro: 20% of workforce [--]. Spotify: 17% of workforce [--]. Levi's: 15% of workforce [--]. Zerox: 15% of workforce [--]. Qualtrics: 14% of workforce [--]. Wayfair: 13% of workforce [--]. Duolingo: 10% of workforce [--]. Layoffs Announced Over Last [--] Months: [--]. Twitch: 35% of workforce [--]. Hasbro: 20% of workforce [--]. Spotify: 17% of workforce [--]. Levi's: 15% of workforce [--]. Zerox: 15% of workforce [--]. Qualtrics: 14% of workforce [--]. Wayfair: 13% of workforce [--]. Duolingo: 10% of workforce 9"
X Link 2024-01-28T18:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Domiciling organisations in jurisdictions that can maintain political neutrality is going to be increasingly important. Especially as the chaos of large scale automation and system change. Guernsey's consensus democracy is much harder to game by special interests than executive and party led systems. We need to see this as a feature that we sell rather than a bug that we complain about. The Delaware Chancery Courts decision to strike down Teslas deal with Elon is a threat to the future of capitalism. Courts shouldnt second-guess the business judgments of boards to maximize shareholder"
X Link 2024-02-01T07:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey makes no money from .gg domains despite them being really popular in the gaming sector"
X Link 2024-02-01T17:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@john_ennis_btc If you want a place that is hard to corrupt politically then pick a socially cohesive consensus democracy like Guernsey. Most places are too centralised and are going to unravel in chaos of technological transition"
X Link 2024-02-05T14:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ViaerFou I tend to reflect on the cost of fear. Scaling compliance is often a symptom of a fear based culture. It is a tough era when every mistake can hit social media within minutes"
X Link 2024-02-05T15:36Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Delving into the realm of technology and its boundless potential the emergence of general-purpose humanoid robots presents an intriguing leap forward in how we perceive automation and artificial intelligence. Unlike their task-specific counterparts these robots embody versatility and adaptability poised to redefine the boundaries of human-machine collaboration. The true allure of general-purpose humanoid robots lies in their ability to seamlessly integrate into various aspects of human life. Imagine a future where these robots work alongside humans in hospitals offering care and support or in"
X Link 2024-02-07T07:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"An opportunity missed to hire people who have direct experience in deploying capital innovatively to solve social problems. Fear breeds fear. SIF is recruiting for a new Board Member - could you help We are keen to hear from anyone with experience at a senior level in a relevant sector such as banking accounting law public services etc. See https://t.co/q0ZvRQoSj2 Closing date 12th Feb @Govgg @GuernseyCharity https://t.co/cCTPHzJMCA SIF is recruiting for a new Board Member - could you help We are keen to hear from anyone with experience at a senior level in a relevant sector such as banking"
X Link 2024-02-07T11:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey was incredible during Covid. We do still need to question the quality of the regulatory regimes we followed if we are going to maintain trust in the system"
X Link 2024-02-08T08:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@jviddy Indeed albeit I sense that the cryptos that solve useful compute (rather than arbitrary compute) will become a lot more valuable in a heavily compute constrained world. Bitcoin won't be able to compete with that long term. It requires the same infrastructure"
X Link 2024-02-09T10:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Chateau des Marais is the perfect demonstration of why the Guernsey government is too centralised. In centralised hands it would never be a priority and would continue to decline. As a community run organisation or with the existence of a Heritage Commission it would likely have a social and economic purpose"
X Link 2024-02-12T11:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@sashakmiller @PeterRoffey5 I asked chatGPT to rewrite the States of Guernsey Customer Charter into a Citizens Charter"
X Link 2024-02-12T11:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"There will be a modern version of the luddite movement as AI starts to take lots of jobs. Keeping society cohesive through rapid change is going to be key. More video of the Waymo incident https://t.co/d2bU4BeoUb More video of the Waymo incident https://t.co/d2bU4BeoUb"
X Link 2024-02-13T06:59Z [----] followers, 17.7K engagements
"There will be a spectrum of people in the anti-tech movement. Like in most movements. Many with very different motivations. The least cohesive places will have the greatest problem with it. Admittedly the San Francisco population response is going to be different to Detroit. Either way the benefits with automation are only fully realised if the population is on board or if there is Draconian style security"
X Link 2024-02-13T07:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Cohesive caring and thriving communities will redeploy well. Those that aren't will struggle. Also a lot of challenges with speed of regulatory adaptation. I set up @DandelionGsy because I saw the drug addiction and homlessness outside of the X headquarters in San Francisco. It was easier back then to raise a billion dollars to deliver food [--] minutes to that building than it was to solve the societal issue that rapid change and created. Sustainable rapid wealth creation is a hard problem to solve"
X Link 2024-02-13T09:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Guernsey has a real opportunity to sell itself as a hard to politically corrupt jurisdiction for domiciling organisations. As the world increasingly destabilises and polarises along ideological lines jurisdictions that are cohesive safe havens become increasingly attractive to base legal structures. It isn't necessarily about lowest costs as organisations in Delaware are finding out. Consensus democracies without a party structure are much harder to ideologically corrupt than executive and/or party based structures. JUST IN: SpaceX files to convert incorporation to Texas from Delaware per"
X Link 2024-02-15T10:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Centralisation and economies of scale is such an aphrodisiac. Guernsey social and economic success and very low cost of government as a percentage of GDP is testament to the power of decentralisation and the economies of care. Decision by decision Guernsey seems bad but holistically our system adds up to something far greater than the sum of its parts"
X Link 2024-02-16T13:11Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Meanwhile Open AI just revealed Sora. Our communities are not ready for the speed and scale of the disruptive forces that are arriving. Film production in London is a creative engine driving jobs & growth. Its generated [--] billion of investment in the capital over the past half decade alone. Ahead of the BAFTAs this weekend read Deputy Mayor for Culture @JustineSimons1 on why we need to nurture the industry. Film production in London is a creative engine driving jobs & growth. Its generated [--] billion of investment in the capital over the past half decade alone. Ahead of the BAFTAs this"
X Link 2024-02-16T15:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"India is usually the best place for surgery innovation. They are often the world's most experienced surgeons as well because of the number of operations they do. 2kish Why wouldn't we build a private Indian hospital in Guernsey to deal with the UK backlog A good use of an innovative regulatory zone to match Indian systems rather than the UK ones"
X Link 2024-02-23T16:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"But a private hospital from India requires an independent regulator that is not in competition with it. Also one not wedded to the expensive and underperforming UK systems. Having a healthcare industry is not just about planning. It is primarily about building a principles based regulatory framework designed to foster innovation"
X Link 2024-02-24T16:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @sashakmiller @DavidPiesing63 @GuernseyPress More info on the Indian system. Task shifting is particularly difficult from a regulatory point of view"
X Link 2024-02-24T17:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting from the CEO of Nvidia on it not being necessary to teach kids to code. It is the same reason why I think there will be an explosion of startups and self employed people. Jensen Huang CEO of Nvidia argues that we should stop saying kids should learn to code. He argues the rise of AI means we can replace programming languages with human language prompts thus enabling everyone to be a programmer. AI will kill coding. https://t.co/SxK9twhEby Jensen Huang CEO of Nvidia argues that we should stop saying kids should learn to code. He argues the rise of AI means we can replace"
X Link 2024-02-25T07:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The financial scale of automating the labour market is huge. The question is what wonders of the world are we going to build with all of this virtually free labour Cathie Wood predicted that the market for humanoid robots to grow to $1 trillion by [----] & Tesla is well positioned to cash in. https://t.co/p2wzX73X7e Cathie Wood predicted that the market for humanoid robots to grow to $1 trillion by [----] & Tesla is well positioned to cash in. https://t.co/p2wzX73X7e"
X Link 2024-02-25T08:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@StoneDeCroze @oldfarmhorace @sashakmiller @DavidPiesing63 @GuernseyPress If you pay per surgeon rather than per operation then there is no incentive for efficiency. None of the health funding of GPs or MSG in Guernsey is outcomes based as far as I am aware"
X Link 2024-02-25T08:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@richarddigard @oldfarmhorace Free labour will make tunneling much much cheaper. An Alderney tunnel will become viable at some point. And that is free labour along the whole supply chain to make a tunnel rather than just the tunneling itself"
X Link 2024-02-25T10:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I'd love to see Guernsey's data. Does anyone know if it is published anywhere We always produce and do PR on unemployment statistics but I don't see long term sickness statistics come up very often. @PeterRoffey5"
X Link 2024-02-25T16:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@DrAseemMalhotra Fancy a visit It is easier to fully challenge the significant governance issues in Western healthcare in a small state like Guernsey"
X Link 2024-03-01T07:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace Who do you define as our leaders"
X Link 2024-03-07T08:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey decoupling from the UK's overall approach to wellbeing is essential. We need to regulate our own health system and then make it a health system. Right now we largely follow and are regulated by a system in collapse. Full hospitals are a symptom of a deeper problem that isn't just about ageing"
X Link 2024-03-09T06:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I tend to think of the way educational assessment is done is similar to the GDP problem. Comparing the use of the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) for measuring educational outcomes to the use of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for measuring societal success is insightful. Both metrics provide valuable information but also have significant limitations when used as sole indicators of success in their respective fields: [--]. Narrow Scope: Just as GDP focuses mainly on economic activity and overlooks other aspects of societal well-being PISA tests concentrate on assessing"
X Link 2024-03-09T08:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Indeed. It is very careful to be nuanced which the challenge to skills based education isn't right now. Especially when there is a youth mental health explosion and AI take off happening. PISA does very little to benchmark the largest emerging issues. Ultimately we are seeing people on the ground try to improve literacy and maths using techniques that are good for passing tests but not great for long term mental health. I did that analysis with a voice prompt on chatGPT in [--] seconds. It is like we are arguing on the beach about which shell to pick up with a tsunami coming in behind us"
X Link 2024-03-09T09:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @MartynRoussel @RossLeBrun Not as crazy as it first seems"
X Link 2024-03-11T13:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@RossLeBrun @MartynRoussel @oldfarmhorace Rather than no-overtaking I would turn the whole island into no-priority. I.e. that no form of transport has priority over the other and the roads are restructured that way"
X Link 2024-03-11T14:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is why tech bros should never lead a design process. There has to be a nostalgic element in design otherwise you will get complete rejection by the generations that don't like technology or change. There is some interesting research going on already. Personally I prefer using AI and Robotics to free up the population from doing labour so they can spend more time with older people. South Korea's local governments are deploying around [----] AI-robot dolls to seniors and dementia patients. The $1800 robot doll by Hyodal can hold full conversations to tackle loneliness and remind users to"
X Link 2024-03-16T06:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"We shouldn't be copying the Orkneys. Ultimately we don't have the resources as a small state to fund R&D like the UK does. We don't want higher electricity bills that a strategy like that would bring us. We are a place that can scale effective renewables when they are cheaper than current generation methods. The costs are coming down much faster than forecast for wind solar and batteries at least. We don't need France if we use all of the demand locally which things like offshore data centres for AI will need. Demand for energy is rocketing globally (much higher than forecast) and companies"
X Link 2024-03-16T08:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Celebrating a Decade of Dandelion: Reflections on Community and Care Today I pause to celebrate a special milestone the 10th anniversary of The Dandelion Project Guernsey. It's been a remarkable journey filled with thought-provoking events inspiring speakers (over 200) and thousands of shared coffees enjoyed while fostering connection and collaboration. But beyond the highlights I want to share the heart behind why I founded Dandelion. Back in [----] a visit to Singularity University sparked a fascination with exponential technologies and the role of artificial intelligence in our future. But"
X Link 2024-03-20T07:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"How would 50k humanoid robots impact the Guernsey economy Humanoid robots might be the right technology at the right time. Global businesses are facing unprecedented pressure due to labor shortages. @WHO research shows that by [----] 22% of people globally will be over [--] with the number of people over [--] tripling. @McKinsey's Humanoid robots might be the right technology at the right time. Global businesses are facing unprecedented pressure due to labor shortages. @WHO research shows that by [----] 22% of people globally will be over [--] with the number of people over [--] tripling. @McKinsey's"
X Link 2024-03-23T06:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Is this something to offer to pilot in Guernsey @BBCGuernsey To avoid cuts in your own staffing how can you offer to be the innovation lab for the BBC as a whole Dynamic pricing is an interesting concept Repeal price discrimination laws https://t.co/BeLV7UNQSK Dynamic pricing is an interesting concept Repeal price discrimination laws https://t.co/BeLV7UNQSK"
X Link 2024-03-27T12:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Why does Guernsey's government still rely on external consultants against the tide of public opinion The voice of our community is clear: there's a growing desire to reduce reliance on off-island consultants whose services drain our local resources and tax money. Yet the practice continues raising questions about transparency efficiency and respect for local expertise. In an age where Artificial Intelligence offers alternative solutions the question becomes even more pertinent. AI presents us with an opportunity to harness global knowledge and insights right here in Guernsey without the hefty"
X Link 2024-03-27T12:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @pvbsc1 @richarddigard I'd love my community to be more corporatised. 🤣 I feel so loved as a citizen now that the new corporate centre for the States of Guernsey is opening soon. How human"
X Link 2024-03-29T11:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"A convergence of breakthrough technologies means that aviation is set to radically change. Why are flying cars coming into existence now Its the convergence of advanced batteries new materials sensors direct electric propulsion and permissive regulations. Check out more details in my blog: https://t.co/zP4SrEeIjH https://t.co/3FKl22lEQj Why are flying cars coming into existence now Its the convergence of advanced batteries new materials sensors direct electric propulsion and permissive regulations. Check out more details in my blog: https://t.co/zP4SrEeIjH https://t.co/3FKl22lEQj"
X Link 2024-04-22T10:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"A "health" culture of focusing on illness is unsustainable. A significant amount of chronic disease is reversible with good lifestyle medicine. I showcased what was possible at the Journey to [---] conference and brought some of the most globally recognised people in chronic disease reversal to the island. The Partnership of Purpose was essentially a watered down version of that conference in ambition terms. The HSC leadership and change management approach in healthcare has been so abjectly poor since that policy was released. So little has been delivered and yet so much money is being spent."
X Link 2024-05-02T06:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If any tax payer is interested in what value for money in healthcare looks like then all of the talks to demonstrate how to reduce the cost of an ageing population in Guernsey are all still in the public domain. https://functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100 https://functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100"
X Link 2024-05-02T06:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Difficult but not impossible. Unfortunately economic development and tax positive health care strategies require new ground to be broken. That requires leadership in healthcare that we just don't have. "Meanwhile dozens of cities and states are proposing or enacting psychedelics legislation to promote research increase therapeutic and non-therapeutic access and decrease criminal penalties associated with producing possessing or consuming psychedelics." I'm more than happy to introduce you to the longevity folks to share what their experience was like in dealing with the States of Guernsey."
X Link 2024-05-02T07:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Dr Avi Roy and Liz Parrish were both in Guernsey multiple times @HeidiSoulsby. Their talks were part of Journey to [---] and can be found on the link for your interest. I see Liz is on the speaker roster in the Bahamas. I think you were busy or unavailable to be at that conference at the time. Many HSC representatives were there and follow up meetings took place. It went nowhere fast so they went to other more open for business in healthcare jurisdictions like The Bahamas. The only reason why psychedelic medicine interest and lobbying was more sustained is because there was resident local"
X Link 2024-05-02T07:47Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"How wealthy will places like Guernsey become when all of the labour constraints disappear What will we do with all of that wealth Who will we become Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W"
X Link 2024-05-05T10:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @PeterRoffey5 @matt_fallaize I find the governance of HSC questionable. Isle of Man is interesting. I also think that given the UK health system is in collapse then there is no reason why health can't be a profit centre. https://www.gov.im/about-the-government/statutory-boards/manx-care/board-members/ https://www.gov.im/about-the-government/statutory-boards/manx-care/board-members/"
X Link 2024-05-06T09:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Great to hear Guernsey get a mention on the TED podcast. @johnmsweeney is a legend. I'd the absolute honour to do a podcast with head of @TEDTalks @TEDchris This may sound silly to some but I'm sat here crying my eyes out listening to it. I can't articulate how important kindness is but I hope if you listen to it you'll understand why https://t.co/0CNeIGGqLU I'd the absolute honour to do a podcast with head of @TEDTalks @TEDchris This may sound silly to some but I'm sat here crying my eyes out listening to it. I can't articulate how important kindness is but I hope if you listen to it you'll"
X Link 2024-05-11T11:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace The cost of producing this type of content is collapsing. Also the power of algorithmic Cambridge Analytica style personalised manipulation is scaling exponentially. I don't think large states can survive with their current governance structures"
X Link 2024-05-12T08:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @richarddigard @HeidiSoulsby @matt_fallaize @advocategreen1 @BailiwickGsy I get that but the suggestion of reducing the other remaining information to the lowest common denominator isn't one I resonate with. I'd want to differentiate myself visually. One of my big issues is that government is too text based and that doesn't connect with people"
X Link 2024-05-18T10:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Really cool. I've done a lot of work over the years supporting the @MOEFoundation in Guernsey. As a community we have quite a high density of trained coaches. I think the world will be a much better place if everyone was taught those skills so it is great to see you are investing in that direction"
X Link 2024-05-27T07:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Nice community led approach to reducing waiting lists. Would this work in Guernsey https://www.newlocal.org.uk/articles/community-appointment-day/ https://www.newlocal.org.uk/articles/community-appointment-day/"
X Link 2024-05-28T17:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Good advice for Guernsey as well. It is an incredible time to be in Government. Tony Blair's single biggest piece of advice to Labour once they win the election: https://t.co/uWjdJgWoWX Tony Blair's single biggest piece of advice to Labour once they win the election: https://t.co/uWjdJgWoWX"
X Link 2024-07-07T07:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Near zero cost labour. For an government that relies on income tax this will make for an interesting transition. NEW BLOG ALERT 🚨 The disruptive economics of humanoid robots 🤖 https://t.co/1wWmdxngFb Our research team have a brand new insight to share on the economics of the coming disruption of labor by humanoid robots 🚀🤖 "The future that awaits us is one where the ingenuity of NEW BLOG ALERT 🚨 The disruptive economics of humanoid robots 🤖 https://t.co/1wWmdxngFb Our research team have a brand new insight to share on the economics of the coming disruption of labor by humanoid robots"
X Link 2024-07-10T06:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey has some challenges to face. Financial services has highest percentage of jobs that could be automated by AI. according to Accenture WEF and Citi research. https://t.co/ELp7SkLHV9 Financial services has highest percentage of jobs that could be automated by AI. according to Accenture WEF and Citi research. https://t.co/ELp7SkLHV9"
X Link 2024-07-11T12:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@RossLeBrun @GuidoGsy @oldfarmhorace @argyllscricket I know what the status quo is. The community life breakthrough happens when that cost goes down to zero and everyone can access it with permission. The bar for the definition of vulnerable is getting lower and lower and that is putting a lot of inertia into community life"
X Link 2024-07-21T12:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting and valid question. Some long term trends in England and Wales here. I don't know what the Guernsey data is. Like all governance. Some of it is common sense. Some of it isn't. Spend time in countries where the governance doesn't exist and you see the difference however. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(19)30002-7/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(19)30002-7/fulltext"
X Link 2024-07-21T13:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"AI will render the 11+ irrelevant everywhere. Like Brexit. It was always going to happen in this technological era. It is just a question of when you go through the shift/mess and how good you are at managing yourself through that change. We haven't managed that change well. We made it about buildings rather than transforming the way kids learn. In the decision making there was consistently too much focus on winning the argument/ideology rather than building the consensus necessary to make the huge shifts that this era needs"
X Link 2024-08-22T16:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@doug_scott It isn't enough 🤣 https://gsy.bailiwickexpress.com/gsy/news/jersey-claims-sunniest-titleagain/ https://gsy.bailiwickexpress.com/gsy/news/jersey-claims-sunniest-titleagain/"
X Link 2024-08-31T09:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"There are a lot of people that are time rich who winter away. They have their home in Guernsey. My mum does Guernsey and Florida for instance. Another friend does Guernsey and Mauritius/South Africa. A lot of those people spent the whole year in Guernsey it went to chaos in Covid. Your first set of attributes are hard to get in a year round destination. It tends to only really matter in chaos"
X Link 2024-08-31T09:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"There has been a lot of time in total discussing tax. This is one of the few areas of broad consensus that emerged. Pre built consensus good engagement and high trust on a decision is a good thing. The question that I reflect on is - what systems and processes need to be built to make it easier to get to more simple to ratify decisions in the future In this era consensus building should become much easier"
X Link 2024-09-08T06:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"The hardest part of inclusion is including the people that you really disagree with. The hardest part of creating a shared set of governing principles is including the people you really disagree with in the design process. Then there is the whole process of living up to the principles. If you read the SoG customer charter you realise a lot the services don't reach their own bar for principles. Then it becomes do as I say and not as I do which is where a lot of the kickback against the liberal/nanny state movement has been historically. A good example would be income tax fining people in less"
X Link 2024-10-14T08:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"You tried and didn't find a way to bring people along with you. In a world of infinite possibility there is learning for you in that as well. Our community is capable of making hard decisions if there is enough buy in. We don't understand how to create bottom up buy in to make changes very well. It is a key skill for us all to learn in consensus democracy. We have learned to do lots of neat rational documents very well but not to connect large amounts of the population to the deep why behind decisions that are made nor honour and deal with the underlying fears behind the changes that we try"
X Link 2024-10-18T07:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"To provide balance. There are some consequences for people who don't need the salary also. It doesn't exactly encourage deep listening to the "customer". I think we've seen that the "I've been successful before so I know best" approach doesn't work that well in what is a much more complex environment that has thousands more deliverables than a traditional business. Being able to sense and respond to public sentiment is a necessary skill in complex environments where it is hard to see what is happening on the ground from the top of the ivory tower. I grant you that what happens with this"
X Link 2024-10-19T07:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Relative to other jurisdictions it wasn't that draconian. What separated us from other jurisdictions was the public buy in. We had very good communication and a strong willingness to adapt and respond quickly based on public feedback. There was a huge social capital to build from and a public culture of taking responsibility to solve lots of small challenges without permission. In our peacetime governance we are failing to understand why we did well. It was far from being just about the rules as other draconian jurisdictions without public buy in demonstrated"
X Link 2024-10-19T10:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"My mum lives in a big house over here in the summer. She spends half the time on her own maintaining and administering the house and dealing with all of the labour that comes with it. In the winter she is in Florida as part of a gated community in a [--] bedroom flat. She is out all day being sociable and spending hardly any time administering her accommodation. Her health and happiness is noticeably worse here than when she is away. We are a social species living in an individualist world. From a chronic disease point of view it is about moving from large houses to villages to replace the"
X Link 2024-10-19T10:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Will an era of rapid automation restore the local market I don't think we can talk about housing market over the next decade without looking at the impact of accelerating job automation. How many license holders will be necessary for government and the private sector in 10/15 years If we want space and improving quality of life then we need to consider the role of automation in the mix"
X Link 2024-10-20T10:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"There are more than millions to be taken off with a restructuring of government services. Not business as usual for less. Genuine systemic change to improve outcomes for less. A significant amount of the chronic disease burden we have is reversible yet we aren't structured to deliver that despite many opportunities to do so"
X Link 2024-10-21T07:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@KelvinWhel35947 @letocq @oldfarmhorace @jameswpen @PeterRoffey5 @GuernseySpeaker @steve_falla There is enough capital available locally. Just not enough experience and inspiration to deploy it towards innovation. Also the curse of drinking from the firehouse. There is little incentive to innovate when you can make relatively easy returns without it"
X Link 2024-10-21T12:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Could Guernsey be in the prison business UK prisons are full whilst we perform well from an outcomes point of view. https://guernseypress.com/news/2024/10/22/reconviction-rates-fall-to-lowest-level-in-five-years/ https://guernseypress.com/news/2024/10/22/reconviction-rates-fall-to-lowest-level-in-five-years/"
X Link 2024-10-22T07:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy @HeidiSoulsby @DavidPiesing63 @richarddigard @mjconcanno60904 @GuernseyPress @drandy_sloan And manager on manager"
X Link 2024-10-27T08:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy @HeidiSoulsby @DavidPiesing63 @richarddigard @mjconcanno60904 @GuernseyPress @drandy_sloan Yes it is. SoG (and Guernsey) would really benefit from acknowledging its systemic discomfort avoidance. The solutions are out there to support a culture shift on that"
X Link 2024-10-27T09:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@JohnClacy1 We can learn from places like Taiwan. They've improved consensus building without going down the road of centralising power. Fundamentally we have a long term culture of self determination that doesn't want an executive in control of their lives. https://www.plurality.net/ https://www.plurality.net/"
X Link 2024-10-27T09:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@JohnClacy1 Whilst recognising that the public built the early systems without permission in Taiwan to build consensus for a change. Banging on and building are two different mindsets"
X Link 2024-10-27T11:09Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Classic comfort zone response. There is definitely opportunity to save that money with music community working together. Guernsey Music Service St James and community organisations like School of Popular music can reorganise and pool resources. ESC just isn't very good at difficult transformation projects that involve reducing headcount in central office. This is where the primary savings opportunity is and it feels like the perfect time to do it"
X Link 2024-10-29T13:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@DavidPiesing63 Yes. We still haven't had full public transparency on the first crowd sourced cost savings yet so we aren't really committed to do anything at a speed beyond the internal comfort zone. You need high transparency and high discomfort to drive innovation and costs savings"
X Link 2024-11-13T09:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace In the era of rapid automation there can be a convergence. It requires regulatory innovation that realistically only small self governing states can achieve initially. We have the opportunity to bridge worlds. Better than tax haven costs with beyond Nordic level social outcomes"
X Link 2024-11-16T15:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@guyplum @oldfarmhorace @TigGuern Gold how low velocity and usefulness. The most value is linked to the most usefulness in this abundant context"
X Link 2024-11-16T20:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
""based on what you know about me. draw a picture of what you think my current life looks like" Gemini Grok and ChatGPT 😂"
X Link 2024-11-18T22:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@richarddigard In the end there is only one thing that matters in the era of rapid automation. Quality of life. The best places to live will domicile the most wealth as the constraints of scarce labour energy and intelligence disappear"
X Link 2024-11-19T10:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Defining is for executive systems. In bottom up consensus systems like ours it is about us all investing in making life better for ourselves and each other. What I love may different to what you love. Us both investing in it what we love makes a positive difference to the whole. The cumulative effects of that culture of community investment will deliver something far better than we can create agreement on defining and delivering top down. We already have something far better than most of the world realises. The hard part is appreciating what we have enough to positively sell it to the world."
X Link 2024-11-19T10:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Consensus democracy is resistant to ideological corruption. This is where Guernsey has an advantage in a world of polarisation and rapid automation. Being able to domicile in a jurisdiction that has to build broad political consensus to make decisions and laws is a feature not a bug. AIs may work this out faster than humans. 🤣 It used to be automatic for startups to incorporate in Delaware. That will stop being the case if activist judges start overruling shareholders. It used to be automatic for startups to incorporate in Delaware. That will stop being the case if activist judges start"
X Link 2024-12-03T10:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Bitcoin Hits $100K: A Moment for Reflection Today Bitcoin crossed the $100000 mark for the first timea monumental moment in the journey of the worlds most well-known cryptocurrency. As someone who bought significant holdings in [----] but no longer holds any crypto I find this milestone both fascinating and deeply reflective. Back in [----] Bitcoin felt revolutionary: decentralised independent and full of potential to reshape global finance. But the question Ive always asked remains: at every order of magnitude of value increase what works and what breaks A Lens from a Small Jurisdiction I live"
X Link 2024-12-05T15:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I've written to them as well. Having a course is a useful tool albeit what they are teaching I don't feel will really deal with the core issues in our consensus democracy. It is about manipulating voters towards an ideology of "professionalism is best". Whilst there are aspects of professionalism that are good our poor mental health stats might hint to a canary in the coalmine that all is not well in the era of the corporatisation of our community. @YvonneBurford"
X Link 2024-12-19T07:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"No need to apologise. It creates a great opportunity to articulate the difference. It does have similar vibes with a very different DNA. That is what makes it "dangerous". A wolf in sheep's clothing no less. I hope it is unintentional but ultimately Future Guernsey is about ideological control"
X Link 2024-12-19T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Guernsey relies on income tax from white collar work. We aren't ready for the speed and scale of what is coming. Straight shot to ASI is looking more and more probable by the month this is what Ilya saw Straight shot to ASI is looking more and more probable by the month this is what Ilya saw"
X Link 2024-12-31T12:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ViaerFou @alasdair_milroy @MartynRoussel No idea who replaces. Not many incumbents make it through tech disruptions historically. I cannot see why this would be different in this case"
X Link 2024-12-31T14:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@ViaerFou @alasdair_milroy @MartynRoussel Let's wait and see.😂"
X Link 2024-12-31T15:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"We have to tackle the final year problem as well. There are emerging models for doing this. @mrjamesmaskell and I did a conference on this in Guernsey before the Partnership of Purpose was written. Early versions of the poliocy included some of this but it was watered down at the last minute for being too ambitious. Ultimately we have no choice but to deal with the final year challenge otherwise we will go bust as a jurisdiction. All jurisdictions will go bust unless they deal with it. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/27536130241293642"
X Link 2025-01-05T11:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@alasdair_milroy @oldfarmhorace @letocq Agreed. We are starting to learn much more about prevention and reversal of Alzheimers. https://goevomed.com/podcasts/brain-health-reversing-alzheimers https://goevomed.com/podcasts/brain-health-reversing-alzheimers"
X Link 2025-01-05T12:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting work in the Netherlands. I'd be curious to see what the data in Guernsey is like. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/01/06/britain-worklessness-crisis-netherlands/ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/01/06/britain-worklessness-crisis-netherlands/"
X Link 2025-01-07T08:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Guernsey's tax base is going to be in a lot of trouble. Finance will boom but headcount may collapse. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says that AI can draft 95% of an S1 IPO prospectus in minutes (a job that used to require a 6-person team multiple weeks). The last 5% now matters because the rest is now a commodity per Solomon. https://t.co/w3XOumrOFm Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says that AI can draft 95% of an S1 IPO prospectus in minutes (a job that used to require a 6-person team multiple weeks). The last 5% now matters because the rest is now a commodity per Solomon."
X Link 2025-01-17T09:06Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace @alasdair_milroy I would pay a small subscription to an AI that was hosted in an offshore jurisdiction to manage my affairs. Lots of AI will move offshore. Especially to an island that has GWs of renewable energy in its waters"
X Link 2025-01-25T11:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I would say hardly anyone can see what is already arriving. Especially in government. The intelligence was good enough to automate most Guernsey finance jobs from September. It is just the software that needs to be created. If you haven't tried building software on something like then I recommend you do. The capability is coming to every white collar profession in months rather than years. I built [--] pieces of software in January. I can't code. People leaving university in silicon valley last year were getting $400k jobs. Now they are struggling to get work. http://lovable.dev"
X Link 2025-01-25T11:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"I would say hardly anyone can see what is already arriving. Especially in government. The intelligence was good enough to automate most Guernsey finance jobs from September. It is just the software that needs to be created. If you haven't tried building software on something like then I recommend you do. The capability is coming to every white collar profession in months rather than years. I built [--] pieces of software in January. I can't code. People leaving university in silicon valley last year were getting $400k jobs. Now they are struggling to get work. http://lovable.dev"
X Link 2025-01-25T11:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"This is why places like Guernsey have a huge advantage for building the next wave of startups. Taking the opportunity to offer the high net worth services that we already have to everyone in the world. @sashakmiller Simple heuristic for finding AI startup ideas: Look at things that rich people pay humans to do and give them to everyone using AI. Simple heuristic for finding AI startup ideas: Look at things that rich people pay humans to do and give them to everyone using AI"
X Link 2025-01-31T09:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Equivalent to 90k per day in Guernsey. Roughly [--] million per year. We are still not publishing the cost saving data. AI has since opened up lots more opportunities since that survey. The US economy is roughly 9X size of the UK economy. @doge is already saving $1 billion a day by cutting unnecessary expenditure. Pro rata the UK could save [--] million a day if we did similar. Thats [--] billion a year Stop raising taxes and start cutting waste. The US economy is roughly 9X size of the UK economy. @doge is already saving $1 billion a day by cutting unnecessary expenditure. Pro rata the UK could"
X Link 2025-02-03T20:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@bryan_johnson @danielcberk We did this in Guernsey. Trying to start a movement to be the first country in the world to break through the [---] year life expectancy barrier. https://www.functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100 https://www.functionalforum.com/cpages/journey-to-100"
X Link 2025-02-05T09:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@oldfarmhorace There is no way that this type of spend should go unchecked and unreviewed. There has been belt and braces approach to both Brexit and Moneyval which has had really large opportunity costs for everything else that had to be done for the people of Guernsey"
X Link 2025-02-10T09:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@ValeBeryl @NigelStaples @alasdair_milroy @DavidPiesing63 I don't think it is just the colleagues that are the whole problem. There are a lot of good people being put off because how some of the public behave as well. Certainly that is what puts me off. The colleagues I could deal with. 🤣"
X Link 2025-03-08T06:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@NigelStaples @ValeBeryl @alasdair_milroy @DavidPiesing63 Also if you have vested interests then the last place you want to be is in politics directly.🤣 Guernsey is way too transparent for that"
X Link 2025-03-08T07:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
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