# ![@llamaonthebrink Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1276213805580681219.png) @llamaonthebrink MilliΞ

MilliΞ posts on X about polymarket, kalshi, prediction markets, in the the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1276213805580681219/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -60%
- [--] Month [---------] -12%
- [--] Months [----------] +879%
- [--] Year [----------] +46%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1276213805580681219/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +63%
- [--] Month [---] +72%
- [--] Months [---] +172%
- [--] Year [---] -77%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1276213805580681219/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.09%
- [--] Month [------] +0.73%
- [--] Months [------] +5.10%
- [--] Year [------] +17%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1276213805580681219/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  28.85% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  19.23% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  6.73% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  5.77% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  2.88% [currencies](/list/currencies)  0.96% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  0.96% [countries](/list/countries)  0.96%

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #1249, [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #618, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #1660, [in the](/topic/in-the) 9.62%, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 9.62%, [decentralized](/topic/decentralized) #2017, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 7.69%, [token](/topic/token) 6.73%, [defi](/topic/defi) #668, [market](/topic/market) #4053

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@trueoapp](/creator/undefined) [@ishaan0x](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@movietimedev](/creator/undefined) [@mdudas](/creator/undefined) [@haydenzadams](/creator/undefined) [@mastermojo83](/creator/undefined) [@icobeast](/creator/undefined) [@adamscochran](/creator/undefined) [@ceazor7](/creator/undefined) [@lonelylife123](/creator/undefined) [@avgjoescrypto](/creator/undefined) [@yearnfi](/creator/undefined) [@charlesdhaussy](/creator/undefined) [@wintermutets](/creator/undefined) [@evgenygaevoy](/creator/undefined) [@walodja1987](/creator/undefined) [@0xngmi](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Polymath (POLY)](/topic/$poly) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Solana (SOL)](/topic/solana)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"For context we already have the individual elements necessary for decentralized social networks we just need to unify them under a single platform. We have: - ownership substrates (blockchains) - cryptographic interface tools (wallets) - onchain handles (ENS) - social provenance (NFTs) - virtual competition arenas (prediction markets) All thats left is to combine these things into a social graph where users interact and share content. Thats the essence of decentralized social media. I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022206927325848019)  2026-02-13T07:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Drafting precise event contract rules is hard even with the use of modern LLMs. Resolving such markets is even harder downstream. Despite these difficulties we are solving for this with @Trueo_app. But what Vitalik is suggesting is in a way brilliant because it resolves the final issue that arises once users are able to generate a market as trivially as coming up with a question. Vs suggestion for lifestyle hedging is effectively an injection of latent demand and liquidity into otherwise illiquid niche markets. It is a systemic flow of liquidity that can sustainably incentivize trading in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022717220632104992)  2026-02-14T16:59Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Ayo frens What happened to EIP-7702 How come I still need to do token approvals I thought we fixed this in pectra. Werent the wallets supposed to support this by now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1997540475507769598)  2025-12-07T05:35Z 15.2K followers, 64.7K engagements


"Whenever I see a charlotte fang subtweet: milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age) milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022904562957320669)  2026-02-15T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Yesterday Vitalik posted about a curation-style creator platform idea and while it seems like a complicated solution his idea will likely prove directionally correct in the not so distant future. Every major social media platform optimizes for popularity contests over quality content creation. There has to be an opportunity in an alternative approach. I dunno if it's the algorithm that got so bad or the people I follow all got sidetracked at the same time. I can scroll my feed (even Following tab) and see zero posts that are interesting enough to react to. Everything is moltboook/moltbot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018205196568944653)  2026-02-02T06:09Z 15.2K followers, 282.5K engagements


"Agentic variety is an illusion. There really cant be 1000s of different agents because there are really only 4-5 core models. So all of these agents basically share a single brain and will naturally converge to the same personalities and opinions over time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022788163232465221)  2026-02-14T21:40Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Actually. We very much still use @yearnfi -the poster boy of DeFi summer- to generate yield for bettors on @Trueo_app. DeFi is quietly becoming the financial plumbing for modern apps but many of us are too busy chasing shiny things to notice. Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022790084773163039)  2026-02-14T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Though the rationale stated in the clip is very true theres really one major advantage to offering perp derivatives: Tokenized stonks requires custody of the underlying which is a burdensome legal nightmare. Equity perps simply need a reference price feed. Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves. https://t.co/AjUoZb5JVM Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in 2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022911040506466788)  2026-02-15T05:49Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Make Crypto This Level of Cypher Punk Again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1867002981087879394)  2024-12-12T00:26Z 15.2K followers, 52.3K engagements


"Im writing this post in the interest of transparency and in part to vent to yall. As of this writing our @truemarkets account still hasnt been reinstated. Silver Lining: Crypto Remains Unstoppable http://x.com/i/article/2006842486598307840 http://x.com/i/article/2006842486598307840"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2006959715075444870)  2026-01-02T05:24Z 15.2K followers, 28.1K engagements


"One of the allures of DeFi was that you could simply pop into a projects discord and find fellow users who share their product experiences with each other make suggestions provide feedback and track any development discussions. I personally hope this doesnt become a trend. Morpho's shutting down its public Discord. Didn't see that coming. This could be a trend for other protocols tooscams bot scraping or just too much noise might be at play. But maybe its also signals that big DeFi teams are focusing more on institutions and less on https://t.co/k3UeCKXyaS Morpho's shutting down its public"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2011550091988123892)  2026-01-14T21:24Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Has anyone considered a stablecoin-bond instrument that is backed by ETH staking rewards - ETH holders stake their ETH and borrow USD at an interest rate based on the expected value of their staking rewards over [--] [--] [--] and [--] year durations - The collateral is locked but never liquidated - The bond (loan + interest) is paid off using their staking rewards and the collateral is only freed up after it is paid back - If staking rewards increase in value because ETH appreciates then the bond can be repaid faster and if the value of the rewards decrease then the bond is repaid slower - Borrowers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2011922613707128844)  2026-01-15T22:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"CT being a hostage of X for vibes is risky. Having recently been deplatformed while relying on X as our primary marketing medium I can confidently state that this risk is all too real. We were deplatformed not because we did anything dishonest but because our rights are limited to what X chooses them to be. It was over a trademark dispute with a virtually unknown company. A dispute which X had no business arbitrating yet they chose to anyway for reasons not disclosed to us. That is how centralization works. Opaque decisions made by those in control affecting those who depend on the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2012461391068733568)  2026-01-17T09:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"I support any legitimate attempt to advance decentralized socials. We need it more than ever. Its the number one most important thing our industry can do now that tradFi has been thoroughly disrupted. Today were proud to share that @masknetwork will steward the next chapter for Lens bringing the strongest onchain SocialFi foundation to life through intuitive consumer-ready applications. https://t.co/mwgZOn7k4s Today were proud to share that @masknetwork will steward the next chapter for Lens bringing the strongest onchain SocialFi foundation to life through intuitive consumer-ready"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2013682495288418774)  2026-01-20T18:38Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Earlier today Coingecko decided to censor $TRUE from their listings page. This is an unprecedented action over a petty trademark dispute thats detailed in the article below. Our token is very much active and also quite liquid relative to its supply. It can still be found on DexScreener GeckoTerminal and CoinMarketCap. There are hundreds of rug tokens listed on Coingecko. Some of which blatantly rip off well known trademarks and tickers representing memes or abandoned projects. What we are experiencing is a disproportionately hostile attack by an obscure CeFi company. Thankfully our project is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2013732849778614371)  2026-01-20T21:58Z 15.2K followers, 15.6K engagements


"Gm @Trueo_app 🔮 Our trademark transition is now complete. Trueo is compatible with our OG trademark yet its elegant and original. A new name and a fresh start. Time to continue building 🏗🦾 https://t.co/HYyMr2c1Ii https://t.co/HYyMr2c1Ii"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2017277256297497057)  2026-01-30T16:42Z 15.2K followers, 15.7K engagements


"If you want any indication of Binances fugazi levels look no further than their Opinion prediction market (a literal Polymarket codebase fork). Supposedly this market for a PM token has 140M in legit trading volume on order books with less than $5K depth. Wash trade heaven"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2017305605707387362)  2026-01-30T18:35Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"A prediction market is only as good as its oracle. @Trueo_app was architectured to revolve around its oracle precisely to address this very thing. The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being turned into mush was determined to be "evidence of blackmail" uncovered in the Epstein files. Users trading the $2m market https://t.co/h6oYTd3DjI The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2017809818988237072)  2026-02-01T03:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Honestly Euler was a great project I was super sad when they were exploited. And I was also super lucky I had decent deposits in there just a week before the incident but withdrew them to farm Blur with jpegs. @euler_mabs original vision/product was quite compelling too tbh. Its really tough to recover from something like that especially as a lending protocol. EUL/USDT (and EUL/ETH) has been one of the most brutal defi charts this year. Trading at ATL even after [----] post-hack. CEO @euler_mab quits weeks after vest is completed chart looks like brutal twap-out of either team or liquid funds."  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018080081562706114)  2026-02-01T21:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"In theory follower/following networks as they exist today should satisfy that definition of preference-setting gadgets But I see your point that often some kind of neutral-like curation layer is needed to prompt ppl into discovering content networks that arent optimizing for virality. Kind of related to the old adage that it takes 100x less work to spread a lie than it does to disprove it And the worse part is that the work can be boring which is the dirtiest word in all forms of media"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018235571009618080)  2026-02-02T08:10Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Were back on CoinGecko 🫡 @Trueo_app"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018558887629361232)  2026-02-03T05:35Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@payy_link When will deposits open"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019168172465926172)  2026-02-04T21:56Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Odds of Polymarket token in [----] at 52% on @Trueo_app 🧐 ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019578601503617342)  2026-02-06T01:07Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"1) Why does only Bitcoin work as an SoV even though it has very flawed economics Is it strictly a price performance thing If so it contradicts arguments in your not a bear post. 2) Why do you use ETH as the scapegoat in there when most of the arguments are aimed at dual token equity schemes (which youre not the first to criticize) and ETH doesnt actually suffer from that dynamic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019658940590506098)  2026-02-06T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@EvgenyGaevoy is right But Id argue that this is a feature of these markets rather than a bug. The inability to professionally scale liquidity in some of these markets is a result of efficiency. Its the market telling us that these contracts *cannot* get too liquid or else manipulation risk increases exponentially"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019680879019188663)  2026-02-06T07:53Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"We have a bunch of Polymarket related contracts on @Trueo_app but two are particularly interesting: POLY token in [----] odds: 57% PolymarketKalshi valuation comp odds: 51% in favour of Poly $Poly pre-IPO shares are now live on Solana - Polymarket is trading at a $1213B valuation - Kalshi is trading at a $12B valuation - For context: Pump Fun is valued at $2B FDV Polymarket is shaping up to be the biggest airdrop of [----] possibly even in crypto history $Poly pre-IPO shares are now live on Solana - Polymarket is trading at a $1213B valuation - Kalshi is trading at a $12B valuation - For context:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019952423976976811)  2026-02-07T01:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@gothburz @grok is this true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019957261960114355)  2026-02-07T02:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Why is it so much harder to build a Prediction Market Launchpad versus token launchers like Pump and Clanker Because unlike tokens event contracts have dependencies. After a token is deployed theres nothing else left the token will exist as-is forever. But a prediction market *must* be resolved eventually. And that resolution process is like Pandoras box. User created PMs havent been a hit yet because the launchpads that exist today use weak Oracles so traders are hesitant to put money on the line. Ground zero for bootstrapping permissionless prediction markets is in the resolution system."  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020361309464715703)  2026-02-08T04:57Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@tayvano_ Im not saying that tether or circle remove the freeze function Im saying theres a non-zero chance they do something nuclear one day Which includes bricking an entire pool (regardless of the brand damage it would do)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020365493010583572)  2026-02-08T05:14Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@Lonely_life123 @Trueo_app Liquidity is a tricky one to solve but its one of our top priorities"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020376942722314649)  2026-02-08T05:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"The principles that make crypto so useful can be applied to other pillars of our digital lives. And the stakes are just as high. For many ppl their social platform = their livelihood We solved censorship resistant finance now we need to do the same for social networks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020378392852300210)  2026-02-08T06:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@Walodja1987 @Trueo_app @divaprotocol_io The description and oracle are part of the same pipeline A bad description will cause problems regardless of the oracle and a good description can have a poor resolution if it uses defective oracle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020394384274190625)  2026-02-08T07:08Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@icobeast @mdudas Ummm prediction markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020540135268286565)  2026-02-08T16:48Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020540827710173280)  2026-02-08T16:50Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Staking is an underrated thing. The concept is inherent only to crypto completely foreign elsewhere. The simple questions: what is at stake and where do the rewards come from can red pill anyone to venture down the rabbit hole of this industry. @mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH @mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020542851113697697)  2026-02-08T16:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@icobeast @mdudas Polymarket is the biggest prediction market in the world with the deepest liquidity. I am personally building a competitor yet I recognize and respect its virtues. Your response unfortunately doesnt share an unbiased perspective"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020543718936211793)  2026-02-08T17:02Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very cosy when prompting it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020615456990605772)  2026-02-08T21:47Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@WestieCapital Gotta remember they got here by beating a back up QB Seattle was the better team from the get go"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020711773217951832)  2026-02-09T04:10Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@fejau_inc @ThePumponomics The entire point of a prediction market to reflect true odds not 51% cuz a bookie says so Insider trading if anything is additive to that premise But more importantly mature markets will eventually start pricing in the risk of insider info in the form of illiquidity The antidote for insider trading and manipulation is the efficient markets hypothesis. Always has been. The antidote for insider trading and manipulation is the efficient markets hypothesis. Always has been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020714417391112600)  2026-02-09T04:20Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@serpinxbt Given how much hype there is around PMs and the amount of marketing Polymarket and Kalshi are doing it could take a while. But efficiency will come fore sure. Same thing happened to memes and NFTs before that. Liquidity is simply too finite to allow edges like this to linger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020730839563124919)  2026-02-09T05:25Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"For all the normal human beings trying to make sense of the recent pasta thats been making rounds: ps - Reddit is actually goated for covering random niche content so well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020756978625069528)  2026-02-09T07:09Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"The final nail in the coffin for Discord. Once a shrine of crypto alpha now a circle jerk of pettiness. JUST IN - Discord to globally require a bio-metric face scan or ID verification for full access next month to protect "teen safety." Verge https://t.co/5EYFwz5YCY JUST IN - Discord to globally require a bio-metric face scan or ID verification for full access next month to protect "teen safety." Verge https://t.co/5EYFwz5YCY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020897789501170072)  2026-02-09T16:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Need Who's building a real decentralized social platform Not federated servers not led by silicon valley web3 larps not semi closed source codebase etc We need something open source permissionless customizable There's a ton of demand for this https://t.co/o05vOPp02R Who's building a real decentralized social platform Not federated servers not led by silicon valley web3 larps not semi closed source codebase etc We need something open source permissionless customizable There's a ton of demand for this https://t.co/o05vOPp02R"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020972493121749036)  2026-02-09T21:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big that Im surprised it doesnt exist yet. You hold a shitcoin you sell calls on it or you bring cash to the table and sell puts. No complex math needed. Literally a bottomless market @DeriveXYZ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020974227177025870)  2026-02-09T21:32Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@meleemarkets Who will resolve the markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020976626608242936)  2026-02-09T21:42Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"I think in cases where TVL is uncorrelated to revenue its not a good metric to index off (aside from the security bounty aspect) But I feel like for lending protocols TVL matters because its directly correlated to revenue. Tbh I dont really follow Pauls point though because looping doesnt necessarily inflate TVL because the borrowed amount is deducted from the total. Aave does display a market size metric though which doesnt discount borrows so I assume thats what hes talking about DeFiLlama does a good job of tracking real TVL imo https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020981596946358329"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020981596946358329)  2026-02-09T22:02Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"An insane amount of subsidies is being poured into prediction market liquidity between Polymarket Kalshi and Binances wash trading on Opinionxyz. At this point competing for liquidity is a dead end. PM apps need to get creative in other dimensions to capture mindshare. Market making for prediction markets is clunky and has been very difficult to stimulate Polymarket's fundraising money goes straight into 1) advertisements and 2) significant market maker rebates paid in cash weekly Now they're paying not just in cash but in tokens too Market making for prediction markets is clunky and has been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021029540953456944)  2026-02-10T01:12Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Oh this is such a banger https://t.co/C6OZDxQ5Ou https://t.co/C6OZDxQ5Ou"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021071471918055704)  2026-02-10T03:59Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"RT @omgcorn: what's that last uniswap-like primitive you saw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021079208676458758)  2026-02-10T04:30Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Genuinely curious why @haydenzadams and Uniswap frens havent constructed something like this yet It checks all the Uniswap boxes. ✅ zero dependencies ✅ can be fully permissionless ✅ no margin or liquidations ✅ would compliment the full Uni-AMM suite We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big that Im surprised it doesnt exist yet. You hold a shitcoin you sell calls on it or you bring cash to the table and sell puts. No complex math needed. Literally a bottomless market @DeriveXYZ We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021080152684494988)  2026-02-10T04:33Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@boredGenius @haydenzadams Yeah but this allows ppl to take the short side with no margin or underlying liquidity constraints"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021086505444298774)  2026-02-10T04:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"The metaverse is real"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021115554841444452)  2026-02-10T06:54Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"and no one can tell me otherwise 😤"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021115609954586699)  2026-02-10T06:54Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"This is impressive by all accounts HLP made $50M from the Oct [--] crash and $20M again on Jan [--]. Most debate focused on ADL. That's not where the money came from. With @ciamac (@Columbia_Biz @paradigm) @Qiaoqiao2001(@Columbia_Biz) and @xxxin001 (@StanfordMSE) we traced the full pipeline. Here's how it HLP made $50M from the Oct [--] crash and $20M again on Jan [--]. Most debate focused on ADL. That's not where the money came from. With @ciamac (@Columbia_Biz @paradigm) @Qiaoqiao2001(@Columbia_Biz) and @xxxin001 (@StanfordMSE) we traced the full pipeline. Here's how it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021117082536956234)  2026-02-10T07:00Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@adamscochran @haydenzadams That was a different era One in which Uniswap protocol fees would never have been turned on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021287149295812608)  2026-02-10T18:16Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@adamscochran @haydenzadams Thats annoying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021288532753424403)  2026-02-10T18:21Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"I just saw the author of this article speak on CNBC and ignoring the fact that she had to revise the title (which is apparent in the post below) I sort of sympathize with her view. Shes right Bitcoin is backed by nothing it is no longer new-tech and it does have economics flaws. But what she misses is that Bitcoin has never been about the tech. That narrative died when Ethereum was founded. Bitcoin is a religion. It is based on the belief that ownership outside of the control of institutions is a fundamental human right. Someone who is content with existing ownership rights or feels that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021308718541922515)  2026-02-10T19:42Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev You cant really take Kalshis volume at face value The data is completely closed off / unauditable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021336864117096872)  2026-02-10T21:33Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Simple the odds end up being really accurate. Prediction markets are information aggregation tools first and trading platforms second. Funny how so many ppl seem to overlook that fact. If the argument for decentralized trading was global access to trading then what's the argument for prediction markets Even now on Hyperliquid a lot of traders are convinced they're being rinsed against people with "edge". What happens on prediction markets where there's edge If the argument for decentralized trading was global access to trading then what's the argument for prediction markets Even now on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021337747265638789)  2026-02-10T21:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"RT @Trueo_app: Trueos differentiators: 🔮 Oracle = Comprehensive and Transparent ⚖ 📜 Event Contracts = Fully-onchain and Immutable ⛓ ht"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021344678373884409)  2026-02-10T22:05Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Pick your poison on @Trueo_app Kalshi VS Polymarket is a competition of who can fraudulently inflate their volume metrics more Kalshi VS Polymarket is a competition of who can fraudulently inflate their volume metrics more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021345581940211876)  2026-02-10T22:08Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081)  2026-02-11T03:57Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@nofilteronmouth @Trueo_app Layered dispute mechanism that actually provides due process. And the next iteration will be even more elegant. Market creation will be permissionless soon but its already composable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021443486604722664)  2026-02-11T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"RT @boldleonidas:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021446632781607203)  2026-02-11T04:50Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"RT @rstormsf: The legal battles aren't over. I could still end up in prison. But as long as I can code I will. Seed Vault Creator updates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021447951575548353)  2026-02-11T04:55Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev It means its impossible to know for sure how much of the volume is simply [--] market maker circle jerking users"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021454967878582513)  2026-02-11T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@andreasackron @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081 @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081 @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021455050930053510)  2026-02-11T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev I mean its not just you as long as the data is private its difficult to reason through"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021465880719425871)  2026-02-11T06:06Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"My deepest apologies if this offends anyone but chat bots chatting with other chat bots on a site is not a social network for agents Its a slop pit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021469701378015357)  2026-02-11T06:21Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@Evan_ss6 Im a lil confused by the layerzero market share part aside from their newly announced chain and stargate which ranks 8th in bridge volume as per DefiLlama what are the other offering"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021480240745427190)  2026-02-11T07:03Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"RT @Trueo_app: Public beta loading📱💻"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021649192276701402)  2026-02-11T18:15Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@queenwartooth I mean vibes is 100x better than whatever this is lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021853475655618567)  2026-02-12T07:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@xenoassets @beerus It would be naive to assume he acted alone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021857180228419999)  2026-02-12T08:01Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@taydotfun Whats that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022172407998693824)  2026-02-13T04:54Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"But theyre given such stringent instructions because they usually need to decide the fate of a persons life or alter its trajectory. Using a Jury for more practical disputes means that a simple majority vote from a random sample should yield satisfactory outcomes. The trade-off can be further justified by the fact that jurors selected in typical judicial proceedings are common everyday individuals where as in this example they can be individuals who are more accredited/specialized or who otherwise are well suited to make such judgments. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022569004154441992"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022569004154441992)  2026-02-14T07:10Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"@jay_drainjr What about the same interface where you socially interact and discuss topics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022703058900140065)  2026-02-14T16:02Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Ayo did inverse finance end up covering all its bad debt Somehow Dola supply is at all time highs and still maintaining its peg despite everything thats happened. This is honestly quite impressive by @NourHaridy and @InverseFinance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2006253399998599283)  2025-12-31T06:37Z 15.2K followers, 14.3K engagements


"Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional context is textbook moving the goal posts; projecting the platforms bias on the market outcome. This question can only be fairly answered by a qualified credibly neutral decentralized jury pool. An ideal prediction market is one that is indifferent to the markets it facilitates much like how Uniswap is indifferent to the tokens that are traded in its smart contracts. The only way that is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2008652407442424225)  2026-01-06T21:30Z 15.2K followers, 30K engagements


"Im starting realize that Vitalik was miles ahead of the rest of the industry when he prophesied that highly financialized crypto products have a hard ceiling on value. Everyone is bullish HYPE rn and theres probably good upside potential there for traders. But how much upside realistically Lets say HL becomes wildly successful. Its mcap would probably trade at some modest multiple of the NASDAQ ($55B) for arguments sake lets say 3x. That would translate to a hefty $165B dollar HYPE valuation. Thats about a 4-5x price increase from its current level. And thats on the most optimistic scenario."  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018603185611370718)  2026-02-03T08:31Z 15.2K followers, 62.6K engagements


"Theres a fine line between a market being liquid enough to emit high signal odds and being too liquid such that it attracts adverse selection. In general most ppl tend to overestimate how much liquidity is necessary to bring efficiency to these markets. @laurashin @EvgenyGaevoy @EvgenyGaevoy is right But Id argue that this is a feature of these markets rather than a bug. The inability to professionally scale liquidity in some of these markets is a result of efficiency. Its the market telling us that these contracts *cannot* get too liquid or else @laurashin @EvgenyGaevoy @EvgenyGaevoy is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019881339206660120)  2026-02-06T21:10Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Activity on @Trueo_app is super modest but its consistent and organic. What I found most interesting though is how accurately our markets price the chances of events happening despite the modest liquidity. Its only [--] days into [----] and four of our exploit related markets have already resolved to YES with two of them being repeats. The $25M hack markets never traded below 88c and the $10M hack markets never traded below 95c. Not great from a security perspective for the industry but its a testament to how efficiently PMs can price probabilities on marginal liquidity. Theres a fine line"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019885976407966017)  2026-02-06T21:28Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Okay this is pretty brilliant. A yearn vault that automatically uses its yield to purchase outcome tokens. Just one of the benefits of @Trueo_app being fully onchain and composable 😤 introducing Cowboy Vaults aka yCowboy 🤠🤠🤠 a @yearnfi vault that automatically reinvests yield into a @Trueo_app's market bet on @Morpho getting shrekt in [----] without spending a dime contracts by the main cowgirl @Schlagonia below https://t.co/xSY7XtoMZV introducing Cowboy Vaults aka yCowboy 🤠🤠🤠 a @yearnfi vault that automatically reinvests yield into a @Trueo_app's market bet on @Morpho getting shrekt in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019929614265774255)  2026-02-07T00:22Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Im often asked how @Trueo_app differentiates from Polymarket Kalshi or basically any other PM aside from the fact that its fully-onchain more decentralized and integrated with DeFi. My answer is the founding principle of our project: The Oracle. Our app was built from the ground up around the dispute resolution mechanism it is our primary differentiator. Ive researched oracles for years and no existing dispute resolution framework is perfect but our system provides users transparency and *due process*. This fundamental concept is so essential to event contracts that its baffling to me how"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020286677084692974)  2026-02-08T00:00Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"There will likely be a day when Tether or Circle freeze a major Uniswap pool but idt yall are ready for that convo yet Ps - that will be a major catalyst for ETH SoV-ness TETHER FREEZES $544 MILLION USDT IN TURKEY Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the firm helped Turkish authorities freeze $544M in USDT linked to illegal gambling and money laundering. He said the move followed law-enforcement intelligence and mirrors Tethers cooperation with https://t.co/TO3zB2nfMy TETHER FREEZES $544 MILLION USDT IN TURKEY Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the firm helped Turkish authorities freeze $544M"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020346749337190589)  2026-02-08T03:59Z 15.2K followers, 58.1K engagements


"Oracle lost more than $400B in value since September and ppl have the nerve to make fun of our cryptoconcurrencies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020398321744113945)  2026-02-08T07:24Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"So many of the new PMs are literally clones of Polymarket using the gnosis conditional token framework and everything. And none attempt to solve for the most crucial element of a prediction market: the oracle. @Trueo_app differentiates on both fronts. ✅ Novel oracle ✅ Unique onchain design Prediction market clones will continue to raise silly amounts of VC funding until Hyperliquid launches their own After that it will be clear for all participants involved Prediction market clones will continue to raise silly amounts of VC funding until Hyperliquid launches their own After that it will be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021340423281647877)  2026-02-10T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Its becoming tiresome to read these threads about Polymarket and Kalshi absolutely botching their resolutions. My view has always been that an event contracts rules should be immutable once a market has been deployed. This way if the rules are poorly written the market will naturally not grow in size. That would effectively self-limit the potential negative impact. And in cases where theres unexpected ambiguities the fall back must be managed through a well designed and comprehensive oracle mechanism. Ann ideal system would combine elements of human judgement with economic game theory and AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022543608943956406)  2026-02-14T05:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Yeah thats a good point the memory and context windows of individualized interactions can definitely bread life to unique personalities But whats hot atm is ppl hosting agents that operate out of their own enclosed sandboxes without that personification so they can claim full autonomy https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022898410299314532 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022898410299314532"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022898410299314532)  2026-02-15T04:58Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Though the rationale stated in the clip are very true there is really one major advantage to offering perp derivatives: Tokenized stonks requires custody of the underlying which is a burdensome legal nightmare. Equity perps simply need a reference price feed. Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves. https://t.co/AjUoZb5JVM Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022904073641447840)  2026-02-15T05:21Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Jokes aside Im not sure if DeFiLlama users are fully aware of how comprehensive this AI helper is For example it literally incorporates info from real-time sources like X and other external news feeds in combination with DeFiLlamas onchain data when giving its responses I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very cosy when prompting it https://t.co/MHcj6txZWh I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020617946083496057)  2026-02-08T21:57Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"RT @davidtsocy: Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021795441810006238)  2026-02-12T03:56Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Pretty remarkable that a CT personality who rugged $60M from an ohm fork before it went live in [----] still receives casual engagement from every industry thot leader and signs off all his posts with hyperliquid And no one even bats an eye"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021847468665651288)  2026-02-12T07:22Z 15.2K followers, 93.5K engagements


"Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app 🧐 @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021858217672761693)  2026-02-12T08:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"I guess everyone missed the irony in the interns reply. What are the chances that they actually offer 1minute markets Pretty slim tbh. So what does that say about the odds of the token launching which would succeed such an unlikely event Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app 🧐 https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app 🧐 https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021861621539180827)  2026-02-12T08:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"I miss the NFT cycle so much sometimes I feel like buying an Ape just for the nostalgia of that era. Memecoins could never recreate the vibes that NFTs brought us. How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022058077856706808)  2026-02-12T21:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"How do I long Boldys success as a creator Hand drawn every single day. https://t.co/jiRC0m1qJe Hand drawn every single day. https://t.co/jiRC0m1qJe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022159724213567867)  2026-02-13T04:03Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us *truly* own our social networks. Decentralized money and finance will remain the back bones of this industry but Decentralized Socials is how crypto grows 1000x further"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022168122304999557)  2026-02-13T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022195536795992132)  2026-02-13T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"RT @Trueo_app: Perhaps even under a single platform 👩🏼💻 Whos building this 🔮📱"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022196613842862574)  2026-02-13T06:30Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Agree so much with this take. Theres nothing wrong with trading but the reality is that in general wealth does not accumulate this way. I feel like a good balance can be struck specially in DeFi where capital allocation can be programmatic by redirecting the yield generated from interest or staked positions into riskier trades like prediction markets or short term bets. That way users always retain their principal while pursuing upside further down the risk curve. "towards a billion traders" is a wild thesis when the actual problem is that crypto's existing holders keep getting wiped by its"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022567513582604728)  2026-02-14T07:04Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Short answer: yes Long answer: What makes category [--] tricky is identifying all of the underlying events that need to be hedged in order to serve as a good tool for this purpose One way to approach this is to offer as broad a range of market ideas as possible allowing lifestyle hedgers to allocate accordingly But the ideal way to address category [--] is to enable these niche hedgers to generate their own event contracts and take positions in them This way a prediction market app can cover the full spectrum of hedges that any one person would need to bet on in order to satisfy category [--] type"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022710016713642404)  2026-02-14T16:30Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements


"RT @Trueo_app: 🔮⚖ Trueo 🤝 DeFi ⛓🏦"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023070902762549401)  2026-02-15T16:24Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Not really cuz canton is just a corpo-crony marketing meme polygon cuz of polymarket and hyperledger cuz its the hottest thing among briplo bros So it actually kind of reinforces that he narrative that only ETH matters cuz all those other chains are basically hotswappable for whatever chains are part of the current meta of any given cycle https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023078317486719128 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023078317486719128"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2023078317486719128)  2026-02-15T16:53Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@User1094578 @TheHoopCentral @FOXSports @grok is this really MJ23"  
[X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2023260561308529098)  2026-02-16T04:58Z 15.2K followers, 25.9K engagements

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