#  @jvisserlabs Jordi Visser Jordi Visser posts on X about ai, bitcoin, youtube, china the most. They currently have [---------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1506324286130335759/interactions)  - [--] Week [-------] +17% - [--] Month [---------] +157% - [--] Months [----------] +1,087% - [--] Year [----------] +1,175% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1506324286130335759/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -53% - [--] Month [---] +176% - [--] Months [---] +69% - [--] Year [---] +147% ### Followers: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1506324286130335759/followers)  - [--] Week [------] +14% - [--] Month [------] +56% - [--] Months [------] +212% - [--] Year [------] +610% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1506324286130335759/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [countries](/list/countries) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [stocks](/list/stocks) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [currencies](/list/currencies) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [events](/list/events) **Social topic influence** [ai](/topic/ai), [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #3422, [youtube](/topic/youtube), [china](/topic/china), [market](/topic/market), [watch](/topic/watch), [inflation](/topic/inflation), [the next](/topic/the-next), [in the](/topic/in-the), [spx](/topic/spx) #73 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@youtube](/creator/undefined) [@apompliano](/creator/undefined) [@visserlabs](/creator/undefined) [@jordivisserlabs](/creator/undefined) [@fd_coop_ny](/creator/undefined) [@quantumquesodip](/creator/undefined) [@masontmoore](/creator/undefined) [@theallinpod](/creator/undefined) [@martybent](/creator/undefined) [@ten31funds](/creator/undefined) [@aperturepoo](/creator/undefined) [@srg444](/creator/undefined) [@palantirog](/creator/undefined) [@aiko_qstarlabs](/creator/undefined) [@defimorphosis](/creator/undefined) [@jackhandey14](/creator/undefined) [@cchungccc](/creator/undefined) [@aviagrawaal](/creator/undefined) [@raoulgmi](/creator/undefined) [@nicrypto](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [Rally (RLY)](/topic/rally) [Bounce (AUCTION)](/topic/bounce) [Spotify Technology (SPOT)](/topic/$spot) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "1/ Inflationistas seem to be hanging on Owners Equivalent Rent and they want to ignore the housing market weakness as a leading indicator. THREAD" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1560266086674706432) 2022-08-18T14:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "This year has been about #Fed rate hikes and inflation driving real 2y rates to trend higher all year. It has not been about a #recession. Now real 2yr yields are on the [--] day mvg avg before the next #Fed decision and cash on the sidelines" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1587440685971554305) 2022-11-01T13:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "MOVE index (rates vol) vs VIX future 6th contract. Major story so far this year is certainty on Fed rate hike path and China zero covid pivot to reduce US #recession risk. With global risk assets breaking [---] day mvg avgs squeeze is on the underinvested" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1613548107664588800) 2023-01-12T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "As the [----] crowd continues to talk about a possible US recession inflation and fed rate hikes China M2 has surged about 3t dollars since late October. Here is the overlay vs Hang Seng Tech index. This is not 2022" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1618635714232741894) 2023-01-26T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "For [--] months bears have gone from inflation forever to Fed wont slow down if FCI eases to job losses are coming to cause a hard landing. From 2001-2020 there was only [--] month with more than 400k job creation. I am sure todays 517k wont stop the hard landing narrative" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1621532655790473219) 2023-02-03T15:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Despite runs on #banks and bank failures #stocks #bonds and gold remain up for the year. #Bitcoin and #Ethereum lead the way up 70% and 52% respectively" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1638182734219685889) 2023-03-21T14:16Z 35.5K followers, [---] engagements "China Imports YoY overlaid with #CRB Raw Industrials index continues to signal the risk of #deflation being exported to the world unless they can get animal spirits going soon" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1673344600545587207) 2023-06-26T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Despite a lot of worries to climb over the last [--] months since Fed Funds rate was 1.75% to end June [----] risk assets have risen sharply led by #bitcoin #NDX and #SPX while commodities IG and long term bonds have been drags on performance" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1674496913087819782) 2023-06-29T21:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "At a time when the global #Centralbanks continue their fight against #inflation #China continues their fight against #deflation with YoY #CPI now at zero" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1678425647452921856) 2023-07-10T15:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "So far this year FDX has outperformed the #SPX by more than 25%. This is the historical relationship between that ratio and the #ISM. An #ISM above [--] by yearend would be a surprise" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1678425891641122816) 2023-07-10T15:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Rates vol has been elevated and in a historically risky position for assets since the #Fed suddenly shifted away from transitory. BBB IG spreads have diverged and remained strong despite higher rates vol. Rates vol will be important post #FOMC today" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisser_weiss/status/1704500672513630661) 2023-09-20T14:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Most importantly as a leading indicator for a recession YoY SPX sits +28%. Since [----] 7.5% of the days the US has been in a recession using NBER days. The NY Mets have made the World Series 7.5% of the years since [----]. Calling recessions is a losing game" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1826661005604389365) 2024-08-22T16:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Because of the enthusiams of AI and the Mag7 leadership NDX over the SPX had been driving the SPX. There is a noticeable divergence in this rally with NDX/SPX very weak. GS L/S AI pair and JPY also weak in the bounce. All suggests recent peak was a regime shift" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1826700402018189593) 2024-08-22T19:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@masontmoore AIPAIR is the relative index created by taking the long and short indices GS created for those benefitting and getting hurt by AI. That is the white line below overlaid with the SPX. I show it in the youtube video how it followed the IWM vs SPY unwind and ahead of JPY move" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1826705635221930107) 2024-08-22T19:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "More signs of a regime shift from AI dominant Goldilocks to Defensive recession fear/rate cut driven rotation. Weak bounces in USD/JPY NDX/SPX AIPAIR and IWM/QQQ up 4th day in a row. Today another day of defensives outperforming. Here is MTD by sector in SPX. #Recession" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1828154943053652212) 2024-08-26T19:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Looking for hated areas for possible positioning shift on back of regime shift to Fed rate cuts and US recession fears from Goldilocks. Hang Seng chart continues to find buyers short term. Hang Seng CRB RIND and ASIADOLR all above [---] day mov avg for first time since 2021" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1828451711138107738) 2024-08-27T15:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "With NDX/SPX down again today and nearing the lows during the July/Aug vol unwind NVDA is seeing a post earnings pattern shift. First time since ChatGPT launch it did not make all-time highs just before or after an earnings report. Below [--] day as well. Regime shift for AI" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1830976119094604282) 2024-09-03T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "VIX is having its largest weekly rise since [----]. The last time it was up over 40% in a week was the Friday in Aug before the Nikkei opened Monday and had its worst day since [----]. Think some people may be nervous for the weekend" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1832097060780384658) 2024-09-06T16:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "In my latest YouTube video I take a deep dive into last week's stock market activity and explore why shifting away from a "Goldilocks" regime does not mean a recession is coming. https://youtu.be/LYQILZuZSGQ https://youtu.be/LYQILZuZSGQ" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1832789749762785499) 2024-09-08T14:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "NDX/SPX currently up for third day in a row and best day since mid Aug. It will be difficult for SPX to sustain a rally until there is at least a short term bottom in NDX/SPX. Making new lows so far today. https://t.co/WGoNHe208v It will be difficult for SPX to sustain a rally until there is at least a short term bottom in NDX/SPX. Making new lows so far today. https://t.co/WGoNHe208v" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1833928366761594937) 2024-09-11T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Atlanta Fed Core Sticky ex shelter CPI continues to show more weakness to come in Core CPI. 5m avg of 3m Ann at 2.2% and avg of last [--] readings is 1.31%. With gas at pump falling and more to come falling inflation with no recession despite labor fears and fed cuts is new regime I see" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1833931978867179948) 2024-09-11T18:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Recession drums fading out with SPX having its best week since Nov [--]. If you notice that week on chart it was the beginning of the [--] week Fed pivot bounce when the recession drums were also beating loudly. Weaker USD/JPY will keep some of the drummers drumming" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1834622216413032777) 2024-09-13T15:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Lastest video is now up going through last week's market and economic summary as we approach the Fed rate decision and a Quad Witching expiration. https://youtu.be/R8OrUBatBtE https://youtu.be/R8OrUBatBtE" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1835324769555681481) 2024-09-15T14:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "As the Fed decides to cut [--] or [--] Junk Spreads have made new one year lows NYSE breadth is at all time highs and Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 3%. The Fed is easing into already loose conditions" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1836382502094553186) 2024-09-18T12:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Post the Fed Bitcoin now sits up 49% YTD and 140% from where it was a year ago today. It has consolidated for the last [---] days post the euphoria of the ETF launch. Looks poised to break above the [---] day mvg avg for its next leg higher" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1838287378672230790) 2024-09-23T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "BCOM index now up [--] days in a row breaking through [---] day. NZD/USD at highs for the year. 2yr TIPS BE now above [--] day mvg avg for the first time since Apr. In my latest video from the weekend I highlight that Fed cut combined with anything from China could lead to suprising contrarian trade. Inflation peaking its head up while recession fears are here Hmmm Fed just cut rates by 50bps while SPX is near all-time highs & up 30% YoY. Why are economists still worried I break it down + highlight areas to watch that could benefit in this new regime. And a BIG moment for AI outside tech + what it" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1838554718731170269) 2024-09-24T12:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Raoul's post about Global Liquidity and Bitcoin can also be seen in this chart of Global M2 vs SPX and Gold over last two years. This includes the Fed rate hikes and now cut. Global M2 is rising and in the last weeks the two biggest economies in the world are easing and sentiment for inflation is at lows" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1838579374922068276) 2024-09-24T14:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "In a world where China and their housing market will never again drive commodities like 2003-2010 the commodity to watch for a growing AI world and a slowing Industrial world is for electricity and that means Copper. Here is 2y RoC for Copper over ISM since [----]. Copper is on the move higher this month on back of the Fed and China" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1838947018355376431) 2024-09-25T14:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This month Fed cuts [--] BOJ says just kidding on hikes and China starts QE for stocks. This chart shows when Fed started raising rates we lost the connection between Asia FX and US PMI. After CB action this month seems like good reward to risk for a bounce in US PMI while recession fears are high. Watch AUD/JPY for signal" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1838961460522696809) 2024-09-25T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🧵 THREAD: The Convergence of AI Bitcoin and the US Debt Crisis 💡 1/ Last week while on a walk I tuned into the #AllInSummit and unexpectedly connected some major macroeconomic dots. Elon Musk Sergey Brin and Marc Benioff triggered a thought process that led to this paper on AI Bitcoin and the U.S. debt crisis. Lets dive in 👇 #AI #Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839006906209149186) 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "3/ The fiscal situation is unsustainable with the U.S. debt now at 123% of GDP. Projections show it could exceed 200% by [----] if we don't act. The interest burden is rising at an alarming rate$1.2 trillion on interest alone by [----]. #DebtSpiral" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839006910177227162) 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "4/ What if AI could help solve this At the Summit Sergey Brin spoke of AI's transformative power in areas like biology while Marc Benioff predicted AI agents replacing human call center jobs. AI-driven efficiency could be key to fixing our government operations. #AIImpact" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839006911708250428) 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "5/ AI agents are the next leap in tech. Imagine an Alexa that not only answers questions but autonomously performs complex tasks. This is where AI meets digital payments and the crypto ecosystem. A recent milestone: AI agents made their first crypto transaction via @coinbase 🔥" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839006913058496527) 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "7/ So why Bitcoin With the global math problem of debt and wealth inequality looming Bitcoin presents an alternative solution that gains more momentum every year. Just like the S&P [---] represents innovation today Bitcoin could become the symbol of tomorrows economic shift. 🌍" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839006915642142807) 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "8/ Want to know more about how AI Bitcoin and the U.S. debt crisis intersect I explore these ideas in detail in my latest paper on Substack. Give it a read and join the conversation. 👇 #Bitcoin #FutureOfFinance #Innovation Read more here : https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839006917076857212) 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "My synthetic proxy model for Bitcoin (white line) has broken out. The model is built on part gold for liquidity part QQQ for innovation and part copper for AI power needs. PBOC Fed and BOJ have spoken. Watch copper which has been the laggard. Copper has a great long term story now with a short term catalyst" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839319949786923186) 2024-09-26T15:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I was in Brazil when China last decided to announce they were stepping in to buy equities. That arrow on the HSI marks the month. Remember BofA most contrarian trade Long China and recession fears in US with massive rate cuts to come. Hmmm" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839354553684332910) 2024-09-26T17:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Great to sit and go through the macro world with Raoul today. We covered a lot in an hour . The big picture LIVE w/ my good friend .@jvisserlabs https://t.co/l8UH8Uchly https://t.co/vDIGCe8uM6 The big picture LIVE w/ my good friend .@jvisserlabs https://t.co/l8UH8Uchly https://t.co/vDIGCe8uM6" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839427335746961445) 2024-09-26T22:10Z [----] followers, 20K engagements "This week was the best weekly gain for the Hang Seng since the EM lows in [----]. Like then while I lived in Brazil I think this is a major inflection point for emerging markets. The PBOC moves combined with the Milei Davos speech and the rise of Bitcoin will lead to EM surprises going forward" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839651804780323135) 2024-09-27T13:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "What better sign stock proxy in the US for China PMI pickup and liquidity driven reflation around the world than CAT. Here is the overlay for Bitcoin this year. BTC to follow CAT breakout soon. October the best month for BTC over the last [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1839991559925743661) 2024-09-28T11:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The fading of China I hear is mainly around it being trapped in a Japan like situation. Remember the Nikkei finally made it back to ATH and look at chart below of Fed balance sheet vs NKY. If China wants stocks to rally they will follow the QE playbook. I cover this and more in my latest youtube video on the recent PBOC announcements and the possibility of inflation bottoming in the US while the Fed cuts. https://youtu.be/deH3hYxQMvQ https://youtu.be/deH3hYxQMvQ" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1840791294131503546) 2024-09-30T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "2yr rates are closing above the [--] day mvg avg for the first time since June and are now exactly where they were before the Fed surprised with the rate cut. With jobless claims continuing to show little to no signs of job losses and Powell guiding the market today NFP on Friday could bring a shift in rate expectations. I see inflation as the bigger risk moving forward post PBOC" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1840836326910001447) 2024-09-30T19:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Until today oil had not joined the recent rally in commodities post PBOC announcements. The CRB raw industrials index has had its largest [--] day bounce since early [----]. Any increased risk premium in oil will add to the upward broadening commodity move" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1841189848926793948) 2024-10-01T18:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Fed cuts rates with SPX at ATH. PBOC announces broad stimulus plan including a swap facility to buy stocks. Middle East tensions grow causing oil to spike 5+% over two days. [--] yr TIPS breakevens have first [--] bps rise since April with [--] day mvg avg breaking above [--] day. Don't forget inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1841461047737061494) 2024-10-02T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Fed cut a surprising [--] bps in Sept. PBOC announces stimulus. BOJ says just kidding. Now the ISM services new orders just saw the largest quarterly jump since Q2 of [----] coming out of the GFC and the second largest in the history of the series. Inflation soon" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1841850985867583851) 2024-10-03T14:41Z [----] followers, 16.4K engagements "Largest weekly rise for the US Citi Eco Surprise index since June '23. Both of the 100+bps rallies we have seen in 10yr rates had weeks like this after making tactical lows. If you are not thinking global reflation and repatriation after Sept CB moves you should be. I will cover this in this weekend's youtube (@JordiVisserLabs) as I see Q3 as a possible inflection point after a 15+ year of US asset domination" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1842256545091870948) 2024-10-04T17:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bloomberg Commodity Index up more than 1.5% for the week for the 4th week in a row. First time that has occurred since early [----] before the first rate hike. Overlay with 2yr rates" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1842282636821024789) 2024-10-04T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "📰 In my latest video see the latest on: China's stimulus and its market impact Fed Chair Powell's response to revised US data Did the Fed cut rates too aggressively Recent US data & stock market moves Yen carry trade unwind plus China stimulus the beginning of Asia Repatriation Watch here: https://youtu.be/4A2Ollw9aZA https://youtu.be/4A2Ollw9aZA" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1842910977274081626) 2024-10-06T12:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "CQQQ (China tech ETF) over QQQ posting its 7th 3.5%+% gain in last [--] days which is two days after the stimulus was first announced. This chart has a ways to go before the end of 2024" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1843291223731433808) 2024-10-07T14:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "China has been an exporter of goods deflation since its PPI YoY (orange) went negative in Q4 '22 as ChatGPT was released at. A deflationary boom started. Now Fed cuts AI loses euphoria China stimulates and CRB RIND (white) is approaching highs since early '23. Inflation coming" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1843303331256537527) 2024-10-07T14:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Given the extreme fall in Hong Kong overnight and despite people on both the bearish and bullish side despite thinking they KNOW what will happen let's take a broad look at where things stand on the charts heading into what is sure to be another volatile session" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1843726283437682908) 2024-10-08T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The CHINEXT the local Innovation index with high beta stocks fell like the SOE driven Shanhgai Comp but rallied to close near the highs of the day" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1843726300604969218) 2024-10-08T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Alibaba has retraced about 24% of the rally from the Sept lows" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1843726304023327062) 2024-10-08T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "China is a massive economy with many structural issues. Even with the bazookas for GFC EU breakup or many IMF bailouts during my EM days the structural issues are seldom taken care of and certainly not quickly. I believe they are trying to get the local animal spirits going that they lost during zero-covid and it will not be easy but I continue to believe if they want stocks to go higher GDP to bounce a little and housing to find a price floor they can accomplish those" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1843726311170421219) 2024-10-08T18:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🚨 New video alert 🚨 Inflation Bottoming Could Mean Stocks Peak Equity markets hit new all-time highs supported by strong credit markets. I break down the latest CPI data inflation risks and the Fed's easing cycle. Plus updates on China's stimulus and stock market moves. Check it out 📊 🔗 Watch here: #StockMarket #Inflation #CPI #CreditMarkets #China #Investing #Finance #Fed https://youtu.be/JYBGRQqIUOI https://youtu.be/JYBGRQqIUOI" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1845469447156273570) 2024-10-13T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Bloomberg Commodity Index has now traded back to the [--] day mvg avg. If this China and Fed cut driven commodity rally is going to be more than another dead cat bounce this is where it should hold. I am looking for PMIs and commodities to be strong for Q4 into Q1 so watching this closely this week" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1846177264569884953) 2024-10-15T13:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bitcoin is close to breaking above the late Sept highs. It has lagged other risk assets while in this range since highs in March but about to make higher highs and higher lows back to back since Aug lows. A breakout higher is coming. Despite the long 6+ month consolidation still up 135% YoY" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1846179154841965013) 2024-10-15T13:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "As global central banks ease liquidity is becoming a bigger story. Largest component of M2 in US bank deposits just had their largest monthly percent gain since before the Fed began hiking" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1846204161194393797) 2024-10-15T14:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "As Bitcoin continues to attempt to break its 6+ month consolidation I just released my latest Substack exploring the connection to AI and the expanding Bitcoin 'Fight Club.' Read more https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/ai-and-bitcoin-the-tyler-durden-andr=4b8i7t https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/ai-and-bitcoin-the-tyler-durden-andr=4b8i7t" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1846540303055855642) 2024-10-16T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "It is amazing after all the hard work to drive down inflation expetactions [--] yr TIPS breakevens are now higher for the year with the lows being made the week before the Fed decided to cut 50bps" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1847279907362975804) 2024-10-18T14:13Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements "And rates vol has moved higher four weeks in a row since the Fed cut with MOVE Index now ready to make the highest weekly close of 2024" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1847281717746270360) 2024-10-18T14:20Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements "Even Democrat megadonors have called this "waging war" on American business" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1847299910913171465) 2024-10-18T15:33Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements "The inflation rise int rate rise AI competition and China deflation have all hurt small vs big since Lina Khan was sworn in but now inflation is down Fed and China are easing and the wrath of Khan may be ending. Small over large looks good for a potential shift" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1847299914608312444) 2024-10-18T15:33Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements "In this week's video I cover highlights from Stan Druckenmiller's recent Bloomberg interview focusing on his views on the Fed and the election. I also discuss Lina Khan's impact on the markets and China. Watch here: #Fed #China #Inflation https://youtu.be/DMevzsS791s https://youtu.be/DMevzsS791s" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1848136613915709937) 2024-10-20T22:58Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements "🚨 Stripe's $1.1B acquisition of stablecoin start-up Bridge is huge In a world where US debt is exploding and macro experts urge gold & Bitcoin this move signals something deeper. 💸📈 Catch my latest video to explore the rapid adoption of stablecoins & its macro impact 👇📺 #Crypto #Bitcoin #Stablecoins #Macro 🎥 Watch here: http://youtu.be/SK3xu__QstA http://youtu.be/SK3xu__QstA" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1849874405263904850) 2024-10-25T18:03Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements "This week Paul Tudor Jones shared his view that All Roads Lead to Inflation. In my latest video I break down his insights and expand on his idea that the Nasdaq is an inflation hedge diving into AI Bitcoin and the case for keeping an eye on energy. Watch here: http://youtu.be/iaiqs0B87Ak http://youtu.be/iaiqs0B87Ak" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1850531713241264184) 2024-10-27T13:35Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements "At a time when the stock market gold and Bitcoin are all at all times while growth is 3% and CPI YoY is lower than before Covid we should be worried because when things look this good there is usually a problem we are missing. In this post I go through one place to watch for a possible future risk and how to hedge against it while insurance is cheap Read here: https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1851620691331756324) 2024-10-30T13:42Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements "GDP Personal Consumption for Q3 at 3.7% was the second highest quarterly increase since before the Fed's historic tightening cycle and as they just begin their easing cycle. In the spirit of Halloween the Fed should realize that killing consumer is like killing Jason Vorhees from Friday the 13th. [--] movies and counting. Inflation is coming. #inflation #FED #Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1851642041257594950) 2024-10-30T15:07Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements "Michael Saylor had the largest influence on my views of Bitcoin and how it fits into the macro future. It is not easy to bridge the gap between fiat macro and digital assets with a language that resonates with people too comfortable with the world they know. This is why I am trying to use a visual approach in my YouTube videos like today's around Lyn Alden's book "Broken Money" to introduce what we know and end with what we need to know Thank you Michael and Lyn #bitcoin #BitcoinWhitepaperDay https://youtu.be/SyCTI50Opx8 #Bitcoin is the etter Idea https://t.co/OhqoIIvxUb" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1853197002403954966) 2024-11-03T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "7/ 🗳 Most importantly election Results Signal a Crypto Mandate: Every candidate backed by the crypto-focused PAC won their race a clear sign of growing support for crypto-friendly policies in the U.S. #CryptoMandate #ElectionResults" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1855992353678319836) 2024-11-11T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "8/ 🚀 Key Crypto Advocates in Power: High-profile figures like Trump Senator Lummis JD Vance and Scott Bessent are openly pro-crypto bringing digital assets into mainstream policy conversations. This could drive significant shifts in crypto regulation. #CryptoPolicy #ProCrypto" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1855992355112861873) 2024-11-11T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Or 30% of GDP. In US equivalents that would be [---] trillion USD. If we would have put a few hundred billion in it when we were printing in [----] and [----] the deficit would have been covered. Bhutan now owns $1 Billion in #Bitcoin 🤯 https://t.co/97pvIK3r3n Bhutan now owns $1 Billion in #Bitcoin 🤯 https://t.co/97pvIK3r3n" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1856057859353559225) 2024-11-11T19:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Days like yesterday always bring calls and tweets from people who feel left out wanting to talk about Bitcoin and whether it's too late to buy. By evening the "Extraordinary Popular Delusions & the Madness of Crowds" group who also feel left out but don't want to admit it jump in to say it's a bubble that'll end badly" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1856339821817655704) 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "While it may seem like things are moving too fast Bitcoin is actually still playing catch-up to other fiat assets post the 10% inflation-driven Fed rate hikes and the fallout from SVB. Let's look at some visuals. 📊" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1856339823335797059) 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "1/ Yes Bitcoin vs USD has broken out" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1856339825118388499) 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "10/ With AI driving a capital spending boom for the MAG [--] in a race for a digital God and an end to scarcity combined with a new US government supportive of crypto and reduced regulations this is not a bubble for Bitcoin. This is the real beginning of a debasement of the fiat capital structure" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1856339855472464270) 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Post yesterdays Substack titled Bitcoin and the Digital Transformation of Capital people have asked for the chart that best represents the view that Bitcoin is the purest AI trade into abundance. BTC over NDX (AI capital acceleration funders) for a BTC beta explosion is the view as digital capital replaces fiat capital. Nice four year reverse head and shoulders pattern too" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1857066664635830430) 2024-11-14T14:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Week [--] post-election recap: 📉 Trump trades saw mean reversion 🥇 Gold posted its worst week in years 📊 CPI data raises concerns about Fed rate cuts 💥 Bitcoin hit new all-time highs with strong charts & favorable regulation positioning it for a strong [----] 🎥 Watch here: https://youtu.be/sSuE-1XOmSk https://youtu.be/sSuE-1XOmSk" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1858491597077320181) 2024-11-18T12:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "📊 Outlook 2025: DOGE AI Agents and Bitcoin 🚀 In this weeks video: ✅ What investment banks missed in their [----] predictions ✅ Javier Milei meets Trumpmarket implications ✅ Nvidias AI pivot & the next big theme ✅ Bitcoins headline-making week 📺 Watch now: 📈" https://youtu.be/3VZVcQnN5n8 https://youtu.be/3VZVcQnN5n8" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1860692348600283531) 2024-11-24T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "📈 November ends as the best month for markets in [----] 🔥 Marc Andreessen sparks debate on X with his bold debanking comments on Joe Rogan 🌍 Bitcoin stalls at $100K but global adoption stories keep growing 🎥 Watch the full breakdown: #debanking #bitcoin100k #DOGE https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1863221516130722011) 2024-12-01T14:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "6/ Finally at this stage as it is being adopted each day by more credible institutional investors and countries and impacting elections and there was the launch of now the fastest growing ETF in the history of ETFs there is one other important sign that remains missing" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1865121862264431028) 2024-12-06T19:51Z [----] followers, 68.8K engagements "7/ .Each day I receive more sell side research than I could ever look at covering every single thing they can make money on. Yet digital asset research is limited they are not included in outlooks and most smaller retail investors are still not encouraged or allowed to buy them on the bank's platforms" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1865121868421722281) 2024-12-06T19:51Z [----] followers, 81.9K engagements "📈 Is the Market in Bubble Territory 📉 This week I break down the latest market moves bubble chatter in US stocks & Bitcoin and Wall Street's "blowoff top" fears. Plus how Marc Andreessens "Software is Eating the World" still shapes markets today and helps answer the questions of bubbles and the future of abundance. 📺 Watch now: #Bitcoin #StockMarket #AI #Crypto #AIAgents https://youtu.be/8NeHsb_Lotc https://youtu.be/8NeHsb_Lotc" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1865752139336655323) 2024-12-08T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "There is something important brewing in factors that should be watched. The Momentum factor was hit hard on Monday and was down again yesterday. The one to watch is the Bloomberg Pure Momentum Index. We are ending the year with sentiment and positioning stretched. 1/" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1866852440647024999) 2024-12-11T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Here is the weekly chart so far. You can see the prior weekly fall periods in [----] and [----]. Both were important inflection points for markets. Remember Mo is not a directional indicator but a market neutral winners vs losers measure. When it shifts there is usually a shift in the overall investing environment and I think that is what we will see in [----]. 3/" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1866852446183596487) 2024-12-11T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This chart shows that historically rising Mo is when the cyclical economy (PMI) is low. This chart has Mo over inverted PMI. Mo is usually defined by overinvestment in tech and by definition US and underinvestment in commodities China and rest of world. That is what we have now so I think watching Mo for signs of a sentiment shift should be monitored" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1866852449295667221) 2024-12-11T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🚨 New Article Alert 🚨 "Monetary CGI: The Illusion of Wealth" 🦖💰 Just like Jurassic Park's CGI made us believe dinosaurs were real central banks use debt QE & inflation to create the illusion of prosperity. But every illusion has its limits. In this week's Substack I use Jeff Booth's insights on deflation abundance & Bitcoin to reveal the truth: The T-Rex of debt is loose. Read it here ➡ https://visserlabs.substack.com/ https://visserlabs.substack.com/" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1866921152192581685) 2024-12-11T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🚨 Is a Market Regime Shift Underway 🚨 In this week's video I cover: 🔹 [--] straight weeks of weakening breadth at market highs a rare historical signal. 🔹 Momentum turbulence & what it means for positioning. 🔹 Catalysts that could trigger the shift. 🔹 Why AI adoption is key for [----]. 🔹 Bitcoin near $100K why a sustained breakout may start soon. Dont miss it Watch now 📈📉🚀 👉 #StockMarket #AI #Bitcoin #Investing #MarketShift https://youtu.be/osmS1cyB1R8 https://youtu.be/osmS1cyB1R8" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1868288011839934837) 2024-12-15T13:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "4/ Momentum shifts have a history of occurring at shifting cyclical points in the economy. This chart shows momentum vs New Orders of PMI inverted" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1868671240132780228) 2024-12-16T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "5/ Already we have seen the Small Business Optimism Survey show risk of a shift in business optimism with the new administration as survey had largest monthly jump since early 1980s. PMI vs Small Biz Survey" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1868671244436218138) 2024-12-16T14:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "9/ China growth improving tariffs and stronger dollar hurting multinationals or higher rates could be a triggers but also a change in inflation expectations. below is the 2-10 inflation swap curve which has turned positive in the last month. The vertical lines are the last two regime shift points around Fed transitory and Fed Pivot. The chart also includes the Mag7 and how they did when Fed pivots" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1868671262026854758) 2024-12-16T14:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "SPX Momentum (white line) closed on the lows of the month yesterday. SPX breadth has now been negative [--] days in a row. SPX momentum and breadth breaking lower at same time as SPX remaining near highs last occurred as a warning sign for the last 3m correction in 2023" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1869020141889220735) 2024-12-17T14:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "SPX today is the worst of the days of the now [--] consecutive days negative days in Dec. The SPX advance decline line with today's number would be at the lowest level since Sept when SPX was down around 5600" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1869111952884330627) 2024-12-17T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Fed's Inflation Forecast has Fallen Apart In this week's video I go through: 📉 Equity market reaction to the surprising Fed press conference 📊 Signs of capitulation hinting at a short-term rally 📈 Rates & credit holding strong equity positioning reset ⚠ Risks ahead as [----] uncertainty rises Watch here: https://youtu.be/c6LWebezsEk https://youtu.be/c6LWebezsEk" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1870831663984599371) 2024-12-22T14:00Z 13.3K followers, 19.6K engagements "In May [----] Marc Andreessen was interviewed for an article in the Washing Post titled In [--] years well talk about Bitcoin like we talk about the Internet today. In that article he said: I have a lot of friends who are programmers. The programmers have always gone like 'Those Bitcoin guys are crazy.' And then almost [---] percent of the time they sit down read the paper read the code it takes them a couple weeks and they come out the other side. And they're like: 'Oh my god this is it. This is the big breakthrough. This is the thing we've been waiting for. He solved all the problems. Whoever he" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1871617356306288659) 2024-12-24T18:02Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "1/ "A mysterious new technology emerges seemingly out of nowhere but actually the result of two decades of intense research and development by nearly anonymous researchers."" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1875917366321946700) 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "2/ Bitcoin is the classic instance of that. Bitcoin didnt come from Citibank; it didnt come from the Federal Reserve; it didnt come from Visa. It came from the fringe" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1875917367638995351) 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "6/ Bitcoin is a digital bearer instrument. It is a way to exchange money or assets between parties with no pre-existing trust. This has never existed in digital form before" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1875917373108265392) 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "7/ The more people who use Bitcoin the more valuable Bitcoin is for everyone who uses it. Bitcoin shares this network effect property with the telephone system the web and popular Internet services like eBay and Facebook" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1875917374467272924) 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements "Given I have not read one of the large Wall Street investment banking firms mention Bitcoin in their outlooks for [----] it is nice to see Bernstein step up to the plate. How can you still prevent people from buying it on your platforms and not even mention the 7th largest asset in the world and the best performing asset for [----] and [----] despite fighting intense regulations from the outgoing administration. Now there is a new pro-crypto administration focused on deregulation particularly for the banking system and there is still no talk of it. I call this the race to abundance driven by AI and" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1876236825406439613) 2025-01-06T11:58Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements "In my video outlook for this year I highlighted the growing risk of two opposing forces influencing the markets creating uncertainty for investors looking the Fed's next move. Todays data and news provide a glimpse of that dynamic in action" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1876719861872697498) 2025-01-07T19:57Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements ".with inflation swaps curve which turned green again in Q4. As i highlighted in the video MAG7 had difficulty when inflation and rates moved higher which is why I would own energy instead of bonds as a hedge for [----] but also to look for a regime shift overall in factors" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1876719873423774141) 2025-01-07T19:57Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "today's ISM Service prices paid is important on this front as well indicated by this chart with its data overlaid with the PCE Deflator" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1876719875881677097) 2025-01-07T19:57Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "It has been a long emotional week with the passing of my father who trained me from a young age in game theory and data analytics through the art of handicapping a horse race. In this week's video and my latest Substack I pay tribute to the impact he had on my approach to markets while going through the weekly recap AI Bitcoin and Fiscal Dominance. Watch here: #AI #AIAgent #Robotics #fiscaldominance https://youtu.be/xFVjR_ikpy4 https://youtu.be/xFVjR_ikpy4" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1878441809212281093) 2025-01-12T14:00Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "In December I did a video highlighting the warning signs for a regime shift due to the breakdown in SPX breadth and Momentum. The market signs are spreading suggesting this will be a different year than last for the regime of declining inflation and AI/tech leadership. 4/ Momentum shifts have a history of occurring at shifting cyclical points in the economy. This chart shows momentum vs New Orders of PMI inverted. https://t.co/LIWYP1a2A8 4/ Momentum shifts have a history of occurring at shifting cyclical points in the economy. This chart shows momentum vs New Orders of PMI inverted." [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1878837201490092517) 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "HealthCare Sector Mo has been in collapse this month" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1878837212298826233) 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "After being up 2% in [----] Energy sector is leading the way on the back of oil prices helping to drive Fed rate cut expectations down" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1878837216820297908) 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "With the 12th Contract of NatGas breaking higher in a way not see except for post Covid and AI electricty demand to soar on the back of Ai agents and inference growth the next few years this will become a story for the year" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1878837225414369357) 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "Unless something changes regime shifts take time and with sentiment positioning and post-election conviction at the end of the year at high levels this will take weeks if not months for repositioning. I believe in a world of higher inflation and fiscal dominance bonds are uninvestible and energy is the new bond of a portfolio for regime shifts" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1878837229570928785) 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "2/ AAII net sentiment has fallen from near the highs of [----] to the lowest level since 2023" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1879907821556572332) 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "3/ The combination of stronger dollar and higher rates driven by rising inflation fears combined with expected higher growth has replaced the sentiment shifts associated with recession fears since [----]. Yesterday's CPI should temper fears until the next CPI report" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1879907824618315815) 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "4/ Looking for signs the dollar may change the commodity currencies are the one's to watch. The worst performing of the majors since the sept dollar lows is NZDUSD. Commodities are seeing a strong bounce so if cmdty fx follows it will make dollar strength breadth deteriorate. Weekly MACD buy in NZD at low levels" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1879907828778865120) 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "7/ and for equities SPX breadth has been the leader in the down move different than the last year where it was the broader breadth being weaker. SPX breadth has been +250 each day so far this week leading to a weekly MACD buy signal in SPX breadth" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1879907841802432944) 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "8/ The obvious hurdle for continued bounce from here will be breaking above the [--] day mvg avg in SPX and the downward trendline but the overall picture of extreme sentiment is in a better place ahead of inauguration day" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1879907845937975308) 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "In China we are looking for signs their measures from Q4 are showing up. They released the money supply numbers earlier this week. M1 posted its largest qrtly gain since [----]. Good for commodities. BCOM is up in jan for 3rd month in a row and currently best month since 2023" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1879910815731724541) 2025-01-16T15:17Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "1/ China released more data last night which show that the stimulus that began in September is working to at least put a floor in the economy. With bearish sentiment in the US around the dollar and rates moving higher people are forgetting China's importance to the regime" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298128672452714) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "2/ In the US our economy and sentiment is driven by the SPX. In China the housing market plays that role so this trend in house prices YoY is not something to ignore given it turned in Sept at the beginning of their "line in the sand." Markets move off rate of change and this is upward" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298130706690062) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "3/ As I posted yesterday M1 just had its largest qtrly rise since [----]. China's M2 is twice the size of the US so any rise in money supply in China is a liquidity injection to the world" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298134628364352) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "4/ This comes at a time when commodities have been left for dead. The last [--] days since the stimulus started in Sept have been the best [--] days in over two years" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298138491367812) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements "5/ China local stocks are still holding gains from the sharp rally in Sept. People continue to fade China using doom and gloom rhetoric around it being Japan which is sitting near all time highs ironically. Here is M1 YoY with China stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298141645472031) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "6/ Most importantly for US markets this comes at a time when we are already seeing manufacturing bounce on the back of a Trump Bump. If China adds anything to it you could see a larger bounce. Here was the Philly Fed outlook avg for [--] months with PMI components" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298146083008851) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "7/ What's left in assets is some weakness in the dollar vs commodity currencies. This is an equal weight index of [--] currencies with a MACD. The lines are prior inflection points where China sentiment bounced. Dollar positioning is not ready for a China eco bounce" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880298150575087763) 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "Bitcoin breaks below 90k on Monday and breaks above 105k on Friday ahead of the inauguration. Bubble In this week's video we go through the week ahead and show why China is important to stocks Bitcoin commodities and the dollar in [----]. Watch here: https://youtu.be/ZZ7_tFTnGLA https://youtu.be/ZZ7_tFTnGLA" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1880974743823847692) 2025-01-19T13:45Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "Reading everyone get excited about coins like the TRUMP coin is like watching people at the end of the Kentucky Derby screaming for their horse to win. These things end the same way. Most people lose and then you move on to the next race. The Super Bowl had [--] billion dollars bet on it last year. People gamble. Not everything is a bullish or bearish sign. Some times its just noise" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1881138517583200756) 2025-01-20T00:35Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "I wonder if the Fed governors sit and around and debate their dual mandate with robots driving down inflation and driving up the unemployment rate in the coming years" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1881349373269020780) 2025-01-20T14:33Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "As BTC consolidates above 100k looking for a catalyst from the new pro-crypto administration it seems like both TradFI and crypto crowd are still recovering from the TRUMP and MELANIA launch and arguing about what it means in the long run. It just highlights what the next four years will be like for BTC. In this week's Substack I use Keyer Soze to explain this battle and what to expect going forward. https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1882400937693659532) 2025-01-23T12:12Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "It has been a big week for the AI arms race with Stargate and DeepSeek. The GS Power AI winners Robotics and Data center baskets have ripped to new highs while Semis have lagged. We just got a weekly MACD buy signal in SOX. Look for semis to catch up after [--] months of consolidation" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1882847511389335936) 2025-01-24T17:46Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "Also imo been a bad week for the Mag7 with Stargate and DeepSeek. Spending needs to increase faster in the race and commoditization is here sooner. Good for AI acceleration and entrepreneurs. More DeepSeeks to come as competition for everything. My favorite trade this year BTC over Mag7 as AI accelerates" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1882848649882804453) 2025-01-24T17:51Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "Is it just me or are the Mag8 acting like crypto more every day. The 'volatile" BTC's largest single day fall in the last year was 8%. NVDA has now done more than 8% [--] times and AMZN META AVGO and TSLA each at least once. BTC down less than 3% from Friday" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1884210887168516506) 2025-01-28T12:04Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "More signs from Mon people should throw out the Mo playbook from [----]. When SPX was at lows of the day early in the morning after the open there were [---] more SPX stocks UP then down and closed at +199. That is why the equal weight SPX was flat for the day. Anti-concentration year" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1884261246318567930) 2025-01-28T15:24Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements "6/ But AI needs a financial layer. Enter stablecoins. Stripe calls stablecoins room-temperature superconductors for financial services. Why Because they make transactions: ✅ Cheaper ✅ Faster ✅ Programmable ✅ Borderless This is what enables global AI-native payments" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896163625062322550) 2025-03-02T11:40Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "7/ Stablecoin adoption is exploding. In just one year: Transaction volume doubled 40M active stablecoin wallets Businesses use them for treasury remittances and global payments Stripe even acquired Bridge the worlds leading stablecoin orchestration platform" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896163627348164779) 2025-03-02T11:40Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "This will help fuel Stagflation talk ahead of the tariffs. Highest ISM PMI Prices Paid since [----] and largest monthly drop in New Orders since Covid" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896577997903437880) 2025-03-03T15:06Z 16K followers, [----] engagements "2/ In an economy where wealth distribution is extremely unequal and most Americans live paycheck to paycheck these 'painful' solutions disproportionately impact median-income voters. In [----] the median age of a homebuyer rose to 58a stark sign of declining affordability and shrinking economic mobility" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628950555840897) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "3/ Everyone's focused on the U.S. fiscal deficit today but few pay attention to the deeper structural crisis beneath: our exploding debt-to-GDP ratio wealth inequality and accelerating entitlement obligations which prevent too much tinkering" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628952648880388) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "4/ Since [----] with the rise of the PC the debt-to-GDP ratio has nearly quadrupledfrom 32% to over 120%. Like Moore's Law accelerating technology our debt has also exponentially accelerated particularly after shocks like [----] and COVID" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628954259448093) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "7/ Wealth inequality grows as innovation acceleratesthose who own assets thrive while those reliant on wages or traditional jobs fall further behind. This imbalance pushes government to spend more on social programs worsening deficits" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628959238132113) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "8/ Entitlement spending (Social Security Medicare Medicaid) is about to explode due to demographic shifts (aging population). This further deepens structural debt problems again challenging any realistic path to balanced budgets over the long term" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628960659902948) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "9/ As we focus on the deficit the rise of AI and robotics will likely only accelerate this trend displacing jobs increasing reliance on government support and amplifying wealth disparities. It certainly won't help the wealth distribution" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628962056696019) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "10/ Bottom line: Our deficit today is just a symptom. The structural diseasehigh debt-to-GDP accelerating entitlements wealth inequality driven by exponential innovationis the real crisis" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1896628963600183672) 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements "The [--] day Rate of Change in the EUR/USD is at 3.5% on the back of a govt spending surprise. The last two times we saw a EUR RoC 3% BTC started its next leg up" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1897288247904272654) 2025-03-05T14:09Z 16K followers, [----] engagements "Getting EU to open the liquidity purse strings is never easy. When they do EU banks and EUR/USD fly. EU Banks vs BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1897299656096555045) 2025-03-05T14:54Z 15.9K followers, [----] engagements "Andreessen nailed it in 14: Bitcoins sparking a digital money revolution. @stripe $1.4T & $1.1B Bridge bet show AI agents & stablecoins surgingBitcoins the anchor. Read why 2025s the network effect moment: #AI #Stablecoins #Bitcoin2025 https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1897609681993863357) 2025-03-06T11:26Z 16.4K followers, [----] engagements "12/ As of now these are just warning signs on the fears of austerity. I only write this because of "smart" people on every podcast talking about this as needed without mentioning the size of the stock market and its impact on the economy. Buffett and Tyson have wisdom too" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1897716038273507437) 2025-03-06T18:28Z 16K followers, [----] engagements "More importantly as this unwind gathers steam and you refer to my thread about the risk of austerity in a debt bubble here is that 3m EPS Revision factor vs the Bloomberg All Hedge Fund Index back to [----]. Hmmm. Dangerous game. Tide of liquidity is going out" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1897725929436197067) 2025-03-06T19:08Z 16K followers, [----] engagements "An update on hedge fund deleveraging. The 3m EPS revisions factor continues to decline -2% today (not updated on chart). 5+% in [--] days now. Entire drop in factor during Yen unwind was 8%. This move now stands at 18%" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1898068253659787636) 2025-03-07T17:48Z 16K followers, [----] engagements "This is the scariest equity hedge fund unwind chart yet. This is the weekly GS HF VIP Index relative to the SPX. The only time we saw this was [----] after Lehman. VIX hit 80+ while now [--]. This matters because leverage was already reduced in [----]. Zelensky Friday event leading to German defense print and bund fall combined with tariff reality forcing massive unwinds across assets and factors" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1898090255712239981) 2025-03-07T19:15Z 16.6K followers, 27.6K engagements "📉 The White House warns "short-term pain for long-term gain" and No Trump Put. Tariffs recession fears and hedge fund deleveraging are shaking markets. Plus Bitcoin steps into the spotlight with the Crypto Summit. Watch now 🚨 https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1898720425036947828) 2025-03-09T13:00Z 16K followers, [----] engagements "And the same thing for [--] day rate of change for the GS Hedge Fund VIP basket vs the SPX" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1899106271107621010) 2025-03-10T14:33Z 16.1K followers, 19.6K engagements "On this week's video where I spent [--] minutes on the internal factor damage for hedge funds I highlighted this as the last line of defense before things get ugly. LQD over IEF is down [--] of [--] days and has now broken the bull trendline off the [----] lows. https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1899107987442032658) 2025-03-10T14:40Z 16.1K followers, [----] engagements "Hedge fund deleveraging spreads as losses grow. US growth fears have risen hitting the 3m EPS revision factor. Until Friday this was isolated to US. Now EU is seeing some weakness and SXXP has broken the [--] day mvg avg with it now pointing down for 1st day since 1/15" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1899444660654744047) 2025-03-11T12:57Z 16.1K followers, [----] engagements "Credit spreads are being drawn into the unwinds slowly. LQD/IEF continues its decline. IG CDX having worst week since Yen Panic in August. High Yield OAS currently posting the largest spread widening in back-to-back months since the worst of rate hikes in 2022" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1899505981664415834) 2025-03-11T17:01Z 16.1K followers, [----] engagements "I recently joint 22V Research to focus on AI impact to macro. Today at 11am I will be doing my first webinar on the recent factor unwind and what to expect going forward. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/22vresearch_marketunwind-factorperformanceanalysis-momentumindicators-activity-7305930775533608960-y8Zhutm_medium=ios_app&rcm=ACoAAAySM_IBp1-bUMXU9LuLlFUfiZcPLusjFTI&utm_source=social_share_send&utm_campaign=share_via" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1900178177067978941) 2025-03-13T13:32Z 16.6K followers, [----] engagements "5/Bitcoin and Nvidia have been very correlated as AI trades and without a lot of talk NVDA is back above the DeepSeek lows and post earnings day driven by some positive signs in semi prices" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1901229142030373053) 2025-03-16T11:08Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements "6/ DRAM prices have been rising rapidly since mid Feb" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1901229145721380968) 2025-03-16T11:08Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements "7/More importantly and recent we are going to see our price price rise for NAND prices since May which is when NVDA started running into a top" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1901229149617836307) 2025-03-16T11:08Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements "Bearish sentiment across asset and economic surveys as well as anecdotal phone calls is as extreme st as I can remember. A rotation away from austerity US vs Rest of world stimulus makes sense but recession talk is too bearish. Here is 6m copper vs US equity growth factor" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1902363508404003115) 2025-03-19T14:16Z 17.5K followers, 34.9K engagements "📊 This weeks video dives into soft vs hard data what people fear vs whats actually happening. We cover: The Feds transitory is back Scott Bessents recession view Nvidias AI regime shift Why $CVX $INTC $CSCO $IBM $MU benefit My first deep dive for 22V on AI Embodiment And why Bitcoin near its 200DMA matters less than debt/GDP 🎥 Watch here: #AI #Bitcoin #Markets #Macro https://youtu.be/N2qnyF7Sl1g https://youtu.be/N2qnyF7Sl1g" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1903793861593567409) 2025-03-23T13:00Z 17.7K followers, [----] engagements "The equity market is still adjusting to the new building momentum trade on the shift from software dominance to the revenge of the shift to power AI embodiment. Copper vs FCX/SPX. Until this catches up the rotation to hardware will continue. My new substack goes through it. https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/the-next-phase-of-ai-from-intelligence https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/the-next-phase-of-ai-from-intelligence" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1904847854931173429) 2025-03-26T10:48Z 17.6K followers, [----] engagements "4/ as the correlation with risk on assets broke down" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1908547438912086397) 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements "5/ Michael Saylor posted early on day [--] post liberation day" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1908547441181278430) 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements "10/ @matthew_sigel sent out his thoughts yesterday" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1908547453311123677) 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements "11/ even gold could not hold up for the aftermath of liberation day" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1908547455794266623) 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements "13/ or from an earnings perspective" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1908547460269498645) 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements "Investors waited for the Rose Garden tariff news on Liberation Daywhat they got sparked confusion and historic price moves. Tech led the selloff panic spread Friday and recession odds jumped. But amidst the chaos Bitcoin stood tall. My full breakdown: 📺 Now is the time to look for opportunity not exits. https://youtu.be/YthSHhrZKKg https://youtu.be/YthSHhrZKKg" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1908867291246162075) 2025-04-06T13:00Z 19K followers, 13.4K engagements "Must read this morning as the global financial plumbing system is breaking down. This is normally the point we start hearing about emergency Fed meetings so the market AS ALWAYS in a fiat debt levered system eventually applies pressure to the plans of leaders" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1909925987447357479) 2025-04-09T11:06Z 18.9K followers, [----] engagements "2/ Ben Bernanke (Fed Chair March 2007): The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910007748957270129) 2025-04-09T16:31Z 19K followers, [----] engagements "3/ Hank Paulson (Treasury Secretary April 2007): All the signs I look at show the housing market is at or near the bottom. This was one year before Bear Stearns and [--] months before Lehman" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910007750228115965) 2025-04-09T16:31Z 19K followers, [----] engagements "10/ Ben Bernanke (May 2007): We do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market. He would later say this was the worst financial crisis in [---] years" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910007758717345890) 2025-04-09T16:31Z 18.9K followers, [----] engagements "11/ Richard Fuld (Lehman CEO mid-2008): We have a strong capital position and access to liquidity. Lehman filed for bankruptcy that September" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910007759828889894) 2025-04-09T16:31Z 18.9K followers, [----] engagements "12/ Ken Lewis (BofA CEO Sept [----] after buying Merrill Lynch): This acquisition makes Bank of America the premier financial services company in the world. He needed billions in emergency aid within months" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910007760990707947) 2025-04-09T16:31Z 19K followers, [----] engagements "This is a historic week for the global fiat system. Largest rise in US 10yr yields vs Bunds and 3rd largest [--] day FALL in dollar vs the EUR behind two days in the GFC after the Bitcoin Whitepaper. The system is broken. New global system driven by AI and BTC starting now" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910635613310644468) 2025-04-11T10:06Z 19.9K followers, 61.4K engagements "13/ the global fiat system is breaking into national capitalism which will lead to more debt around the globe as countries focus on their economies in this trade reshuffling. the new global system of exchange will be driven by AI stablecoins and BTC" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1910776945480262018) 2025-04-11T19:28Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements "The white line is an asset vol index which combines equity fixed income and fx short term vol indices as [--] index. The green line is the 6th VIX contract and the orange line is Junk Sprds. Still more fear to come before risk is built in fully and Fed joins the party" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1911793343366856832) 2025-04-14T14:47Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements "UK 30y Gilts have been foreshadowing the debt to GDP problem in the US. They broke out to the highest level since [----] last week. US 30y held for now. Bond vol will remain high going forward now that the top of the global capital structure has broken down" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1911843371808600319) 2025-04-14T18:05Z 26.4K followers, [----] engagements "BofA FMS and all sentiment measures are at extreme levels meaning buying power liquidity exists. 64% of global debt is STILL in dollars so unlike other VIX [--] periods dollar is falling so liquidity improving for debtors. Global M2 has broken out to ATH. Bessent says "treasury has a big toolkit" after a panic pivot week due to bonds. Everyone I hear says sell rallies. I want to buy dips" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1912109111325376678) 2025-04-15T11:41Z 20.4K followers, 11.3K engagements "The world changed on April 2nd and since that day most days when I wake up there is a top headline in Bloomberg about the rise in gold and the fall in stocks. Since Liberation Day: Gold +4.9% SPX -6.7% BTC +7.9%" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1915039371235082407) 2025-04-23T13:45Z 27.2K followers, [----] engagements "Anthony and I talk macro humanoids AI and why Bitcoin surged to up on the year in this week's episode. via @YouTube https://youtu.be/OyBX0d0HPBssi=_7hFXHxE9pdN13bt https://youtu.be/OyBX0d0HPBssi=_7hFXHxE9pdN13bt" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1916215594761781251) 2025-04-26T19:39Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements "2/ Instead the next monetary system will evolve alongside the digital economy. Payment rails will be built around stablecoins with network effects reshaping how value moves globally. Bitcoin will play a key role not as a currency but as a critical store of value" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1917088879481340223) 2025-04-29T05:29Z 21.4K followers, [----] engagements "My annual Kentucky Derby writeup is live. [--] horses after scratches. Full pace post pedigree and betting breakdown. Remember its free. Enjoy the Derby Full analysis: https://bit.ly/4lZzF3j https://bit.ly/4lZzF3j" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1918373317347529099) 2025-05-02T18:33Z 21.9K followers, [----] engagements "🎥 In this weeks video: Bear market rally or V-bottom Whos buying this move Is AI CapEx already dead And is Bitcoin now the center of a new capital structure Watch the full breakdown 👉 https://youtu.be/IcUpPObnYsE https://youtu.be/IcUpPObnYsE" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1919014151931793903) 2025-05-04T13:00Z 26.4K followers, [----] engagements "2/ Most people still believe tariffs will trigger a recession. But the U.S. is a service-based economy. $14+T in services vs. $2.3T in goods. Jobs in goods production Flat since [----]. Despite 150mm more people" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1921652071163437123) 2025-05-11T19:42Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "3/ The real canary in the coal mine The Taiwan dollar. It just made its fastest move in decades. This signals a massive shift: Asia may be unwinding $2.5T in dollar reserves. The era of dollar privilege is ending" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1921652072534958577) 2025-05-11T19:42Z 22.8K followers, [----] engagements "12/ We need a new lens. What does underemployment look like in the creator economy How do we measure volatility in gig income What drives spending when retirees outnumber new hires Update your priors. Or get left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1922390577481384023) 2025-05-13T20:36Z 22.8K followers, [----] engagements "15/ Every time since the GFC that investors obsessed over a recession It was a buying opportunity. Remember that the next time you see a chart showing 50% recession odds from an economist using a model built before TikTokor the iPhone B.T.F.D. = Blame The Fiscal Deficit" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1922390581847744539) 2025-05-13T20:36Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "6/ 📦 Amazon (AMZN) Q1 [----] Most of the spend today in AI has been on training. But when you get to scale it flips. The overwhelming majority of the spend is actually on inference. Andy Jassy" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447099791655274) 2025-05-16T18:34Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "7/ 🎮 NVIDIA (NVDA) Q4 FY25 Inference has surpassed training as the primary AI workload in many applications They dont just sell the picks and shovels. They see the shift before anyone else" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447100974498003) 2025-05-16T18:34Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "11/ Heres the real problem: most economists and macro analysts dont know how to model AI. They see $300B in capex and treat it as a headwind. But heres how it actually works in todays economy 👇" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447106057965971) 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "12/ That $300B in AI capex ✅ Adds to business fixed investment in GDP ✅ Becomes revenue for companies like NVIDIA AMD AVGO EQIX ✅ Is expensed slowly via depreciation ✅ Boosts SPX margins now via accounting arbitrage" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447107223974067) 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "14/ And here's what really matters The top 10% of U.S. consumers account for 50% of total consumption. As long as their portfolios are up spending holds even if it feels like a recession for everyone else. This is how AI drives growth through inequality" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447110671728753) 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23K followers, [----] engagements "15/ Now after all this After earnings calls across tech confirmed inference at scale After CEOs reaffirmed capex After agents and automation began accelerating We still havent heard from the final piece: 📅 NVIDIA reports in two weeks" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447111799992434) 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23.1K followers, [----] engagements "16/ If Q1 was the moment AI inference broke out of the lab and into the economy Then NVIDIAs upcoming earnings may be the confirmation point for investors still waiting on the sidelines. The AI story isnt cooling down. Its just getting hotter. 🔥" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1923447112991154402) 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23.2K followers, [----] engagements "2/ Bessent The market and the economy have become hooked become addicted to excessive government spending and theres going to be a detox period. https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1897995482300891580 Scott Bessent on CNBC: The market and the economy have become hooked become addicted to excessive government spending and theres going to be a detox period. https://t.co/rte8U1nFUd https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1897995482300891580 Scott Bessent on CNBC: The market and the economy have become hooked become addicted to excessive government spending and theres going to be a detox period." [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006403656794378) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.6K followers, [----] engagements "5/ but this is not just US yields rising "There is a global element to the move in interest rates. 10Y yields are above nominal GDP in France Germany Italy Austria Finland and Australia amongst other places. Hard to pin it just on US fiscal dynamics." https://x.com/RenMacLLC/status/1924553493140144197 https://x.com/RenMacLLC/status/1924553493140144197" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006409889513834) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements "6/ and now Bessent with 30y yields back above 5% comes to the rescue with what would be the first verbal liquidity" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006411542016334) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements "11/ this week" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006424141713667) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements "12/ and Bessent: "The Trump Administration is going big on digital assets." https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1925967578540781743 The Trump Administration is going big on digital assets. Why Because the previous administration nearly destroyed the industry with its anti-innovation agenda and regulation-by-enforcement approach. No more. Digital asset companies deserve regulatory clarityand thats https://t.co/kqYxwWggEm https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1925967578540781743 The Trump Administration is going big on digital assets. Why Because the previous administration nearly destroyed the" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006426243068411) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements "13/ and next week" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006428126318877) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements "14/ The ETF buyers keep coming to diversify away from the system" [X Link](https://x.com/jvisserlabs/status/1926006433419542952) 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@jvisserlabs Jordi Visser
Jordi Visser posts on X about ai, bitcoin, youtube, china the most. They currently have [---------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [------] #
- [--] Week [-------] +17%
- [--] Month [---------] +157%
- [--] Months [----------] +1,087%
- [--] Year [----------] +1,175%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] -53%
- [--] Month [---] +176%
- [--] Months [---] +69%
- [--] Year [---] +147%
Followers: [---------] #
- [--] Week [------] +14%
- [--] Month [------] +56%
- [--] Months [------] +212%
- [--] Year [------] +610%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance cryptocurrencies technology brands countries social networks stocks automotive brands currencies celebrities events
Social topic influence ai, bitcoin #3422, youtube, china, market, watch, inflation, the next, in the, spx #73
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @youtube @apompliano @visserlabs @jordivisserlabs @fd_coop_ny @quantumquesodip @masontmoore @theallinpod @martybent @ten31funds @aperturepoo @srg444 @palantirog @aiko_qstarlabs @defimorphosis @jackhandey14 @cchungccc @aviagrawaal @raoulgmi @nicrypto
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Ethereum (ETH) Rally (RLY) Bounce (AUCTION) Spotify Technology (SPOT) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"1/ Inflationistas seem to be hanging on Owners Equivalent Rent and they want to ignore the housing market weakness as a leading indicator. THREAD"
X Link 2022-08-18T14:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"This year has been about #Fed rate hikes and inflation driving real 2y rates to trend higher all year. It has not been about a #recession. Now real 2yr yields are on the [--] day mvg avg before the next #Fed decision and cash on the sidelines"
X Link 2022-11-01T13:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"MOVE index (rates vol) vs VIX future 6th contract. Major story so far this year is certainty on Fed rate hike path and China zero covid pivot to reduce US #recession risk. With global risk assets breaking [---] day mvg avgs squeeze is on the underinvested"
X Link 2023-01-12T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As the [----] crowd continues to talk about a possible US recession inflation and fed rate hikes China M2 has surged about 3t dollars since late October. Here is the overlay vs Hang Seng Tech index. This is not 2022"
X Link 2023-01-26T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"For [--] months bears have gone from inflation forever to Fed wont slow down if FCI eases to job losses are coming to cause a hard landing. From 2001-2020 there was only [--] month with more than 400k job creation. I am sure todays 517k wont stop the hard landing narrative"
X Link 2023-02-03T15:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite runs on #banks and bank failures #stocks #bonds and gold remain up for the year. #Bitcoin and #Ethereum lead the way up 70% and 52% respectively"
X Link 2023-03-21T14:16Z 35.5K followers, [---] engagements
"China Imports YoY overlaid with #CRB Raw Industrials index continues to signal the risk of #deflation being exported to the world unless they can get animal spirits going soon"
X Link 2023-06-26T14:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Despite a lot of worries to climb over the last [--] months since Fed Funds rate was 1.75% to end June [----] risk assets have risen sharply led by #bitcoin #NDX and #SPX while commodities IG and long term bonds have been drags on performance"
X Link 2023-06-29T21:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"At a time when the global #Centralbanks continue their fight against #inflation #China continues their fight against #deflation with YoY #CPI now at zero"
X Link 2023-07-10T15:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"So far this year FDX has outperformed the #SPX by more than 25%. This is the historical relationship between that ratio and the #ISM. An #ISM above [--] by yearend would be a surprise"
X Link 2023-07-10T15:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Rates vol has been elevated and in a historically risky position for assets since the #Fed suddenly shifted away from transitory. BBB IG spreads have diverged and remained strong despite higher rates vol. Rates vol will be important post #FOMC today"
X Link 2023-09-20T14:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Most importantly as a leading indicator for a recession YoY SPX sits +28%. Since [----] 7.5% of the days the US has been in a recession using NBER days. The NY Mets have made the World Series 7.5% of the years since [----]. Calling recessions is a losing game"
X Link 2024-08-22T16:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Because of the enthusiams of AI and the Mag7 leadership NDX over the SPX had been driving the SPX. There is a noticeable divergence in this rally with NDX/SPX very weak. GS L/S AI pair and JPY also weak in the bounce. All suggests recent peak was a regime shift"
X Link 2024-08-22T19:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@masontmoore AIPAIR is the relative index created by taking the long and short indices GS created for those benefitting and getting hurt by AI. That is the white line below overlaid with the SPX. I show it in the youtube video how it followed the IWM vs SPY unwind and ahead of JPY move"
X Link 2024-08-22T19:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"More signs of a regime shift from AI dominant Goldilocks to Defensive recession fear/rate cut driven rotation. Weak bounces in USD/JPY NDX/SPX AIPAIR and IWM/QQQ up 4th day in a row. Today another day of defensives outperforming. Here is MTD by sector in SPX. #Recession"
X Link 2024-08-26T19:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looking for hated areas for possible positioning shift on back of regime shift to Fed rate cuts and US recession fears from Goldilocks. Hang Seng chart continues to find buyers short term. Hang Seng CRB RIND and ASIADOLR all above [---] day mov avg for first time since 2021"
X Link 2024-08-27T15:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"With NDX/SPX down again today and nearing the lows during the July/Aug vol unwind NVDA is seeing a post earnings pattern shift. First time since ChatGPT launch it did not make all-time highs just before or after an earnings report. Below [--] day as well. Regime shift for AI"
X Link 2024-09-03T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"VIX is having its largest weekly rise since [----]. The last time it was up over 40% in a week was the Friday in Aug before the Nikkei opened Monday and had its worst day since [----]. Think some people may be nervous for the weekend"
X Link 2024-09-06T16:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In my latest YouTube video I take a deep dive into last week's stock market activity and explore why shifting away from a "Goldilocks" regime does not mean a recession is coming. https://youtu.be/LYQILZuZSGQ https://youtu.be/LYQILZuZSGQ"
X Link 2024-09-08T14:35Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"NDX/SPX currently up for third day in a row and best day since mid Aug. It will be difficult for SPX to sustain a rally until there is at least a short term bottom in NDX/SPX. Making new lows so far today. https://t.co/WGoNHe208v It will be difficult for SPX to sustain a rally until there is at least a short term bottom in NDX/SPX. Making new lows so far today. https://t.co/WGoNHe208v"
X Link 2024-09-11T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Atlanta Fed Core Sticky ex shelter CPI continues to show more weakness to come in Core CPI. 5m avg of 3m Ann at 2.2% and avg of last [--] readings is 1.31%. With gas at pump falling and more to come falling inflation with no recession despite labor fears and fed cuts is new regime I see"
X Link 2024-09-11T18:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Recession drums fading out with SPX having its best week since Nov [--]. If you notice that week on chart it was the beginning of the [--] week Fed pivot bounce when the recession drums were also beating loudly. Weaker USD/JPY will keep some of the drummers drumming"
X Link 2024-09-13T15:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Lastest video is now up going through last week's market and economic summary as we approach the Fed rate decision and a Quad Witching expiration. https://youtu.be/R8OrUBatBtE https://youtu.be/R8OrUBatBtE"
X Link 2024-09-15T14:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"As the Fed decides to cut [--] or [--] Junk Spreads have made new one year lows NYSE breadth is at all time highs and Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 3%. The Fed is easing into already loose conditions"
X Link 2024-09-18T12:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Post the Fed Bitcoin now sits up 49% YTD and 140% from where it was a year ago today. It has consolidated for the last [---] days post the euphoria of the ETF launch. Looks poised to break above the [---] day mvg avg for its next leg higher"
X Link 2024-09-23T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"BCOM index now up [--] days in a row breaking through [---] day. NZD/USD at highs for the year. 2yr TIPS BE now above [--] day mvg avg for the first time since Apr. In my latest video from the weekend I highlight that Fed cut combined with anything from China could lead to suprising contrarian trade. Inflation peaking its head up while recession fears are here Hmmm Fed just cut rates by 50bps while SPX is near all-time highs & up 30% YoY. Why are economists still worried I break it down + highlight areas to watch that could benefit in this new regime. And a BIG moment for AI outside tech + what it"
X Link 2024-09-24T12:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Raoul's post about Global Liquidity and Bitcoin can also be seen in this chart of Global M2 vs SPX and Gold over last two years. This includes the Fed rate hikes and now cut. Global M2 is rising and in the last weeks the two biggest economies in the world are easing and sentiment for inflation is at lows"
X Link 2024-09-24T14:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"In a world where China and their housing market will never again drive commodities like 2003-2010 the commodity to watch for a growing AI world and a slowing Industrial world is for electricity and that means Copper. Here is 2y RoC for Copper over ISM since [----]. Copper is on the move higher this month on back of the Fed and China"
X Link 2024-09-25T14:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This month Fed cuts [--] BOJ says just kidding on hikes and China starts QE for stocks. This chart shows when Fed started raising rates we lost the connection between Asia FX and US PMI. After CB action this month seems like good reward to risk for a bounce in US PMI while recession fears are high. Watch AUD/JPY for signal"
X Link 2024-09-25T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🧵 THREAD: The Convergence of AI Bitcoin and the US Debt Crisis 💡 1/ Last week while on a walk I tuned into the #AllInSummit and unexpectedly connected some major macroeconomic dots. Elon Musk Sergey Brin and Marc Benioff triggered a thought process that led to this paper on AI Bitcoin and the U.S. debt crisis. Lets dive in 👇 #AI #Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"3/ The fiscal situation is unsustainable with the U.S. debt now at 123% of GDP. Projections show it could exceed 200% by [----] if we don't act. The interest burden is rising at an alarming rate$1.2 trillion on interest alone by [----]. #DebtSpiral"
X Link 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"4/ What if AI could help solve this At the Summit Sergey Brin spoke of AI's transformative power in areas like biology while Marc Benioff predicted AI agents replacing human call center jobs. AI-driven efficiency could be key to fixing our government operations. #AIImpact"
X Link 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"5/ AI agents are the next leap in tech. Imagine an Alexa that not only answers questions but autonomously performs complex tasks. This is where AI meets digital payments and the crypto ecosystem. A recent milestone: AI agents made their first crypto transaction via @coinbase 🔥"
X Link 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"7/ So why Bitcoin With the global math problem of debt and wealth inequality looming Bitcoin presents an alternative solution that gains more momentum every year. Just like the S&P [---] represents innovation today Bitcoin could become the symbol of tomorrows economic shift. 🌍"
X Link 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"8/ Want to know more about how AI Bitcoin and the U.S. debt crisis intersect I explore these ideas in detail in my latest paper on Substack. Give it a read and join the conversation. 👇 #Bitcoin #FutureOfFinance #Innovation Read more here : https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs"
X Link 2024-09-25T18:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"My synthetic proxy model for Bitcoin (white line) has broken out. The model is built on part gold for liquidity part QQQ for innovation and part copper for AI power needs. PBOC Fed and BOJ have spoken. Watch copper which has been the laggard. Copper has a great long term story now with a short term catalyst"
X Link 2024-09-26T15:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I was in Brazil when China last decided to announce they were stepping in to buy equities. That arrow on the HSI marks the month. Remember BofA most contrarian trade Long China and recession fears in US with massive rate cuts to come. Hmmm"
X Link 2024-09-26T17:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Great to sit and go through the macro world with Raoul today. We covered a lot in an hour . The big picture LIVE w/ my good friend .@jvisserlabs https://t.co/l8UH8Uchly https://t.co/vDIGCe8uM6 The big picture LIVE w/ my good friend .@jvisserlabs https://t.co/l8UH8Uchly https://t.co/vDIGCe8uM6"
X Link 2024-09-26T22:10Z [----] followers, 20K engagements
"This week was the best weekly gain for the Hang Seng since the EM lows in [----]. Like then while I lived in Brazil I think this is a major inflection point for emerging markets. The PBOC moves combined with the Milei Davos speech and the rise of Bitcoin will lead to EM surprises going forward"
X Link 2024-09-27T13:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What better sign stock proxy in the US for China PMI pickup and liquidity driven reflation around the world than CAT. Here is the overlay for Bitcoin this year. BTC to follow CAT breakout soon. October the best month for BTC over the last [--] years"
X Link 2024-09-28T11:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The fading of China I hear is mainly around it being trapped in a Japan like situation. Remember the Nikkei finally made it back to ATH and look at chart below of Fed balance sheet vs NKY. If China wants stocks to rally they will follow the QE playbook. I cover this and more in my latest youtube video on the recent PBOC announcements and the possibility of inflation bottoming in the US while the Fed cuts. https://youtu.be/deH3hYxQMvQ https://youtu.be/deH3hYxQMvQ"
X Link 2024-09-30T16:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"2yr rates are closing above the [--] day mvg avg for the first time since June and are now exactly where they were before the Fed surprised with the rate cut. With jobless claims continuing to show little to no signs of job losses and Powell guiding the market today NFP on Friday could bring a shift in rate expectations. I see inflation as the bigger risk moving forward post PBOC"
X Link 2024-09-30T19:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Until today oil had not joined the recent rally in commodities post PBOC announcements. The CRB raw industrials index has had its largest [--] day bounce since early [----]. Any increased risk premium in oil will add to the upward broadening commodity move"
X Link 2024-10-01T18:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Fed cuts rates with SPX at ATH. PBOC announces broad stimulus plan including a swap facility to buy stocks. Middle East tensions grow causing oil to spike 5+% over two days. [--] yr TIPS breakevens have first [--] bps rise since April with [--] day mvg avg breaking above [--] day. Don't forget inflation"
X Link 2024-10-02T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Fed cut a surprising [--] bps in Sept. PBOC announces stimulus. BOJ says just kidding. Now the ISM services new orders just saw the largest quarterly jump since Q2 of [----] coming out of the GFC and the second largest in the history of the series. Inflation soon"
X Link 2024-10-03T14:41Z [----] followers, 16.4K engagements
"Largest weekly rise for the US Citi Eco Surprise index since June '23. Both of the 100+bps rallies we have seen in 10yr rates had weeks like this after making tactical lows. If you are not thinking global reflation and repatriation after Sept CB moves you should be. I will cover this in this weekend's youtube (@JordiVisserLabs) as I see Q3 as a possible inflection point after a 15+ year of US asset domination"
X Link 2024-10-04T17:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bloomberg Commodity Index up more than 1.5% for the week for the 4th week in a row. First time that has occurred since early [----] before the first rate hike. Overlay with 2yr rates"
X Link 2024-10-04T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"📰 In my latest video see the latest on: China's stimulus and its market impact Fed Chair Powell's response to revised US data Did the Fed cut rates too aggressively Recent US data & stock market moves Yen carry trade unwind plus China stimulus the beginning of Asia Repatriation Watch here: https://youtu.be/4A2Ollw9aZA https://youtu.be/4A2Ollw9aZA"
X Link 2024-10-06T12:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"CQQQ (China tech ETF) over QQQ posting its 7th 3.5%+% gain in last [--] days which is two days after the stimulus was first announced. This chart has a ways to go before the end of 2024"
X Link 2024-10-07T14:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"China has been an exporter of goods deflation since its PPI YoY (orange) went negative in Q4 '22 as ChatGPT was released at. A deflationary boom started. Now Fed cuts AI loses euphoria China stimulates and CRB RIND (white) is approaching highs since early '23. Inflation coming"
X Link 2024-10-07T14:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Given the extreme fall in Hong Kong overnight and despite people on both the bearish and bullish side despite thinking they KNOW what will happen let's take a broad look at where things stand on the charts heading into what is sure to be another volatile session"
X Link 2024-10-08T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The CHINEXT the local Innovation index with high beta stocks fell like the SOE driven Shanhgai Comp but rallied to close near the highs of the day"
X Link 2024-10-08T18:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Alibaba has retraced about 24% of the rally from the Sept lows"
X Link 2024-10-08T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"China is a massive economy with many structural issues. Even with the bazookas for GFC EU breakup or many IMF bailouts during my EM days the structural issues are seldom taken care of and certainly not quickly. I believe they are trying to get the local animal spirits going that they lost during zero-covid and it will not be easy but I continue to believe if they want stocks to go higher GDP to bounce a little and housing to find a price floor they can accomplish those"
X Link 2024-10-08T18:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 New video alert 🚨 Inflation Bottoming Could Mean Stocks Peak Equity markets hit new all-time highs supported by strong credit markets. I break down the latest CPI data inflation risks and the Fed's easing cycle. Plus updates on China's stimulus and stock market moves. Check it out 📊 🔗 Watch here: #StockMarket #Inflation #CPI #CreditMarkets #China #Investing #Finance #Fed https://youtu.be/JYBGRQqIUOI https://youtu.be/JYBGRQqIUOI"
X Link 2024-10-13T14:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Bloomberg Commodity Index has now traded back to the [--] day mvg avg. If this China and Fed cut driven commodity rally is going to be more than another dead cat bounce this is where it should hold. I am looking for PMIs and commodities to be strong for Q4 into Q1 so watching this closely this week"
X Link 2024-10-15T13:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bitcoin is close to breaking above the late Sept highs. It has lagged other risk assets while in this range since highs in March but about to make higher highs and higher lows back to back since Aug lows. A breakout higher is coming. Despite the long 6+ month consolidation still up 135% YoY"
X Link 2024-10-15T13:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As global central banks ease liquidity is becoming a bigger story. Largest component of M2 in US bank deposits just had their largest monthly percent gain since before the Fed began hiking"
X Link 2024-10-15T14:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"As Bitcoin continues to attempt to break its 6+ month consolidation I just released my latest Substack exploring the connection to AI and the expanding Bitcoin 'Fight Club.' Read more https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/ai-and-bitcoin-the-tyler-durden-andr=4b8i7t https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/ai-and-bitcoin-the-tyler-durden-andr=4b8i7t"
X Link 2024-10-16T13:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It is amazing after all the hard work to drive down inflation expetactions [--] yr TIPS breakevens are now higher for the year with the lows being made the week before the Fed decided to cut 50bps"
X Link 2024-10-18T14:13Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements
"And rates vol has moved higher four weeks in a row since the Fed cut with MOVE Index now ready to make the highest weekly close of 2024"
X Link 2024-10-18T14:20Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Even Democrat megadonors have called this "waging war" on American business"
X Link 2024-10-18T15:33Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements
"The inflation rise int rate rise AI competition and China deflation have all hurt small vs big since Lina Khan was sworn in but now inflation is down Fed and China are easing and the wrath of Khan may be ending. Small over large looks good for a potential shift"
X Link 2024-10-18T15:33Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements
"In this week's video I cover highlights from Stan Druckenmiller's recent Bloomberg interview focusing on his views on the Fed and the election. I also discuss Lina Khan's impact on the markets and China. Watch here: #Fed #China #Inflation https://youtu.be/DMevzsS791s https://youtu.be/DMevzsS791s"
X Link 2024-10-20T22:58Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 Stripe's $1.1B acquisition of stablecoin start-up Bridge is huge In a world where US debt is exploding and macro experts urge gold & Bitcoin this move signals something deeper. 💸📈 Catch my latest video to explore the rapid adoption of stablecoins & its macro impact 👇📺 #Crypto #Bitcoin #Stablecoins #Macro 🎥 Watch here: http://youtu.be/SK3xu__QstA http://youtu.be/SK3xu__QstA"
X Link 2024-10-25T18:03Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements
"This week Paul Tudor Jones shared his view that All Roads Lead to Inflation. In my latest video I break down his insights and expand on his idea that the Nasdaq is an inflation hedge diving into AI Bitcoin and the case for keeping an eye on energy. Watch here: http://youtu.be/iaiqs0B87Ak http://youtu.be/iaiqs0B87Ak"
X Link 2024-10-27T13:35Z 34.1K followers, [----] engagements
"At a time when the stock market gold and Bitcoin are all at all times while growth is 3% and CPI YoY is lower than before Covid we should be worried because when things look this good there is usually a problem we are missing. In this post I go through one place to watch for a possible future risk and how to hedge against it while insurance is cheap Read here: https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs"
X Link 2024-10-30T13:42Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements
"GDP Personal Consumption for Q3 at 3.7% was the second highest quarterly increase since before the Fed's historic tightening cycle and as they just begin their easing cycle. In the spirit of Halloween the Fed should realize that killing consumer is like killing Jason Vorhees from Friday the 13th. [--] movies and counting. Inflation is coming. #inflation #FED #Bitcoin"
X Link 2024-10-30T15:07Z 34.1K followers, [---] engagements
"Michael Saylor had the largest influence on my views of Bitcoin and how it fits into the macro future. It is not easy to bridge the gap between fiat macro and digital assets with a language that resonates with people too comfortable with the world they know. This is why I am trying to use a visual approach in my YouTube videos like today's around Lyn Alden's book "Broken Money" to introduce what we know and end with what we need to know Thank you Michael and Lyn #bitcoin #BitcoinWhitepaperDay https://youtu.be/SyCTI50Opx8 #Bitcoin is the etter Idea https://t.co/OhqoIIvxUb"
X Link 2024-11-03T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"7/ 🗳 Most importantly election Results Signal a Crypto Mandate: Every candidate backed by the crypto-focused PAC won their race a clear sign of growing support for crypto-friendly policies in the U.S. #CryptoMandate #ElectionResults"
X Link 2024-11-11T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"8/ 🚀 Key Crypto Advocates in Power: High-profile figures like Trump Senator Lummis JD Vance and Scott Bessent are openly pro-crypto bringing digital assets into mainstream policy conversations. This could drive significant shifts in crypto regulation. #CryptoPolicy #ProCrypto"
X Link 2024-11-11T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Or 30% of GDP. In US equivalents that would be [---] trillion USD. If we would have put a few hundred billion in it when we were printing in [----] and [----] the deficit would have been covered. Bhutan now owns $1 Billion in #Bitcoin 🤯 https://t.co/97pvIK3r3n Bhutan now owns $1 Billion in #Bitcoin 🤯 https://t.co/97pvIK3r3n"
X Link 2024-11-11T19:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Days like yesterday always bring calls and tweets from people who feel left out wanting to talk about Bitcoin and whether it's too late to buy. By evening the "Extraordinary Popular Delusions & the Madness of Crowds" group who also feel left out but don't want to admit it jump in to say it's a bubble that'll end badly"
X Link 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"While it may seem like things are moving too fast Bitcoin is actually still playing catch-up to other fiat assets post the 10% inflation-driven Fed rate hikes and the fallout from SVB. Let's look at some visuals. 📊"
X Link 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"1/ Yes Bitcoin vs USD has broken out"
X Link 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"10/ With AI driving a capital spending boom for the MAG [--] in a race for a digital God and an end to scarcity combined with a new US government supportive of crypto and reduced regulations this is not a bubble for Bitcoin. This is the real beginning of a debasement of the fiat capital structure"
X Link 2024-11-12T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Post yesterdays Substack titled Bitcoin and the Digital Transformation of Capital people have asked for the chart that best represents the view that Bitcoin is the purest AI trade into abundance. BTC over NDX (AI capital acceleration funders) for a BTC beta explosion is the view as digital capital replaces fiat capital. Nice four year reverse head and shoulders pattern too"
X Link 2024-11-14T14:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Week [--] post-election recap: 📉 Trump trades saw mean reversion 🥇 Gold posted its worst week in years 📊 CPI data raises concerns about Fed rate cuts 💥 Bitcoin hit new all-time highs with strong charts & favorable regulation positioning it for a strong [----] 🎥 Watch here: https://youtu.be/sSuE-1XOmSk https://youtu.be/sSuE-1XOmSk"
X Link 2024-11-18T12:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"📊 Outlook 2025: DOGE AI Agents and Bitcoin 🚀 In this weeks video: ✅ What investment banks missed in their [----] predictions ✅ Javier Milei meets Trumpmarket implications ✅ Nvidias AI pivot & the next big theme ✅ Bitcoins headline-making week 📺 Watch now: 📈" https://youtu.be/3VZVcQnN5n8 https://youtu.be/3VZVcQnN5n8"
X Link 2024-11-24T14:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"📈 November ends as the best month for markets in [----] 🔥 Marc Andreessen sparks debate on X with his bold debanking comments on Joe Rogan 🌍 Bitcoin stalls at $100K but global adoption stories keep growing 🎥 Watch the full breakdown: #debanking #bitcoin100k #DOGE https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I https://youtu.be/xFhSliUKP1I"
X Link 2024-12-01T14:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"6/ Finally at this stage as it is being adopted each day by more credible institutional investors and countries and impacting elections and there was the launch of now the fastest growing ETF in the history of ETFs there is one other important sign that remains missing"
X Link 2024-12-06T19:51Z [----] followers, 68.8K engagements
"7/ .Each day I receive more sell side research than I could ever look at covering every single thing they can make money on. Yet digital asset research is limited they are not included in outlooks and most smaller retail investors are still not encouraged or allowed to buy them on the bank's platforms"
X Link 2024-12-06T19:51Z [----] followers, 81.9K engagements
"📈 Is the Market in Bubble Territory 📉 This week I break down the latest market moves bubble chatter in US stocks & Bitcoin and Wall Street's "blowoff top" fears. Plus how Marc Andreessens "Software is Eating the World" still shapes markets today and helps answer the questions of bubbles and the future of abundance. 📺 Watch now: #Bitcoin #StockMarket #AI #Crypto #AIAgents https://youtu.be/8NeHsb_Lotc https://youtu.be/8NeHsb_Lotc"
X Link 2024-12-08T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"There is something important brewing in factors that should be watched. The Momentum factor was hit hard on Monday and was down again yesterday. The one to watch is the Bloomberg Pure Momentum Index. We are ending the year with sentiment and positioning stretched. 1/"
X Link 2024-12-11T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Here is the weekly chart so far. You can see the prior weekly fall periods in [----] and [----]. Both were important inflection points for markets. Remember Mo is not a directional indicator but a market neutral winners vs losers measure. When it shifts there is usually a shift in the overall investing environment and I think that is what we will see in [----]. 3/"
X Link 2024-12-11T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This chart shows that historically rising Mo is when the cyclical economy (PMI) is low. This chart has Mo over inverted PMI. Mo is usually defined by overinvestment in tech and by definition US and underinvestment in commodities China and rest of world. That is what we have now so I think watching Mo for signs of a sentiment shift should be monitored"
X Link 2024-12-11T14:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 New Article Alert 🚨 "Monetary CGI: The Illusion of Wealth" 🦖💰 Just like Jurassic Park's CGI made us believe dinosaurs were real central banks use debt QE & inflation to create the illusion of prosperity. But every illusion has its limits. In this week's Substack I use Jeff Booth's insights on deflation abundance & Bitcoin to reveal the truth: The T-Rex of debt is loose. Read it here ➡ https://visserlabs.substack.com/ https://visserlabs.substack.com/"
X Link 2024-12-11T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨 Is a Market Regime Shift Underway 🚨 In this week's video I cover: 🔹 [--] straight weeks of weakening breadth at market highs a rare historical signal. 🔹 Momentum turbulence & what it means for positioning. 🔹 Catalysts that could trigger the shift. 🔹 Why AI adoption is key for [----]. 🔹 Bitcoin near $100K why a sustained breakout may start soon. Dont miss it Watch now 📈📉🚀 👉 #StockMarket #AI #Bitcoin #Investing #MarketShift https://youtu.be/osmS1cyB1R8 https://youtu.be/osmS1cyB1R8"
X Link 2024-12-15T13:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"4/ Momentum shifts have a history of occurring at shifting cyclical points in the economy. This chart shows momentum vs New Orders of PMI inverted"
X Link 2024-12-16T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"5/ Already we have seen the Small Business Optimism Survey show risk of a shift in business optimism with the new administration as survey had largest monthly jump since early 1980s. PMI vs Small Biz Survey"
X Link 2024-12-16T14:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"9/ China growth improving tariffs and stronger dollar hurting multinationals or higher rates could be a triggers but also a change in inflation expectations. below is the 2-10 inflation swap curve which has turned positive in the last month. The vertical lines are the last two regime shift points around Fed transitory and Fed Pivot. The chart also includes the Mag7 and how they did when Fed pivots"
X Link 2024-12-16T14:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"SPX Momentum (white line) closed on the lows of the month yesterday. SPX breadth has now been negative [--] days in a row. SPX momentum and breadth breaking lower at same time as SPX remaining near highs last occurred as a warning sign for the last 3m correction in 2023"
X Link 2024-12-17T14:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"SPX today is the worst of the days of the now [--] consecutive days negative days in Dec. The SPX advance decline line with today's number would be at the lowest level since Sept when SPX was down around 5600"
X Link 2024-12-17T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Fed's Inflation Forecast has Fallen Apart In this week's video I go through: 📉 Equity market reaction to the surprising Fed press conference 📊 Signs of capitulation hinting at a short-term rally 📈 Rates & credit holding strong equity positioning reset ⚠ Risks ahead as [----] uncertainty rises Watch here: https://youtu.be/c6LWebezsEk https://youtu.be/c6LWebezsEk"
X Link 2024-12-22T14:00Z 13.3K followers, 19.6K engagements
"In May [----] Marc Andreessen was interviewed for an article in the Washing Post titled In [--] years well talk about Bitcoin like we talk about the Internet today. In that article he said: I have a lot of friends who are programmers. The programmers have always gone like 'Those Bitcoin guys are crazy.' And then almost [---] percent of the time they sit down read the paper read the code it takes them a couple weeks and they come out the other side. And they're like: 'Oh my god this is it. This is the big breakthrough. This is the thing we've been waiting for. He solved all the problems. Whoever he"
X Link 2024-12-24T18:02Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"1/ "A mysterious new technology emerges seemingly out of nowhere but actually the result of two decades of intense research and development by nearly anonymous researchers.""
X Link 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ Bitcoin is the classic instance of that. Bitcoin didnt come from Citibank; it didnt come from the Federal Reserve; it didnt come from Visa. It came from the fringe"
X Link 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"6/ Bitcoin is a digital bearer instrument. It is a way to exchange money or assets between parties with no pre-existing trust. This has never existed in digital form before"
X Link 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"7/ The more people who use Bitcoin the more valuable Bitcoin is for everyone who uses it. Bitcoin shares this network effect property with the telephone system the web and popular Internet services like eBay and Facebook"
X Link 2025-01-05T14:48Z 13K followers, [----] engagements
"Given I have not read one of the large Wall Street investment banking firms mention Bitcoin in their outlooks for [----] it is nice to see Bernstein step up to the plate. How can you still prevent people from buying it on your platforms and not even mention the 7th largest asset in the world and the best performing asset for [----] and [----] despite fighting intense regulations from the outgoing administration. Now there is a new pro-crypto administration focused on deregulation particularly for the banking system and there is still no talk of it. I call this the race to abundance driven by AI and"
X Link 2025-01-06T11:58Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements
"In my video outlook for this year I highlighted the growing risk of two opposing forces influencing the markets creating uncertainty for investors looking the Fed's next move. Todays data and news provide a glimpse of that dynamic in action"
X Link 2025-01-07T19:57Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements
".with inflation swaps curve which turned green again in Q4. As i highlighted in the video MAG7 had difficulty when inflation and rates moved higher which is why I would own energy instead of bonds as a hedge for [----] but also to look for a regime shift overall in factors"
X Link 2025-01-07T19:57Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"today's ISM Service prices paid is important on this front as well indicated by this chart with its data overlaid with the PCE Deflator"
X Link 2025-01-07T19:57Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"It has been a long emotional week with the passing of my father who trained me from a young age in game theory and data analytics through the art of handicapping a horse race. In this week's video and my latest Substack I pay tribute to the impact he had on my approach to markets while going through the weekly recap AI Bitcoin and Fiscal Dominance. Watch here: #AI #AIAgent #Robotics #fiscaldominance https://youtu.be/xFVjR_ikpy4 https://youtu.be/xFVjR_ikpy4"
X Link 2025-01-12T14:00Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"In December I did a video highlighting the warning signs for a regime shift due to the breakdown in SPX breadth and Momentum. The market signs are spreading suggesting this will be a different year than last for the regime of declining inflation and AI/tech leadership. 4/ Momentum shifts have a history of occurring at shifting cyclical points in the economy. This chart shows momentum vs New Orders of PMI inverted. https://t.co/LIWYP1a2A8 4/ Momentum shifts have a history of occurring at shifting cyclical points in the economy. This chart shows momentum vs New Orders of PMI inverted."
X Link 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"HealthCare Sector Mo has been in collapse this month"
X Link 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"After being up 2% in [----] Energy sector is leading the way on the back of oil prices helping to drive Fed rate cut expectations down"
X Link 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"With the 12th Contract of NatGas breaking higher in a way not see except for post Covid and AI electricty demand to soar on the back of Ai agents and inference growth the next few years this will become a story for the year"
X Link 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Unless something changes regime shifts take time and with sentiment positioning and post-election conviction at the end of the year at high levels this will take weeks if not months for repositioning. I believe in a world of higher inflation and fiscal dominance bonds are uninvestible and energy is the new bond of a portfolio for regime shifts"
X Link 2025-01-13T16:11Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ AAII net sentiment has fallen from near the highs of [----] to the lowest level since 2023"
X Link 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"3/ The combination of stronger dollar and higher rates driven by rising inflation fears combined with expected higher growth has replaced the sentiment shifts associated with recession fears since [----]. Yesterday's CPI should temper fears until the next CPI report"
X Link 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"4/ Looking for signs the dollar may change the commodity currencies are the one's to watch. The worst performing of the majors since the sept dollar lows is NZDUSD. Commodities are seeing a strong bounce so if cmdty fx follows it will make dollar strength breadth deteriorate. Weekly MACD buy in NZD at low levels"
X Link 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"7/ and for equities SPX breadth has been the leader in the down move different than the last year where it was the broader breadth being weaker. SPX breadth has been +250 each day so far this week leading to a weekly MACD buy signal in SPX breadth"
X Link 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"8/ The obvious hurdle for continued bounce from here will be breaking above the [--] day mvg avg in SPX and the downward trendline but the overall picture of extreme sentiment is in a better place ahead of inauguration day"
X Link 2025-01-16T15:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"In China we are looking for signs their measures from Q4 are showing up. They released the money supply numbers earlier this week. M1 posted its largest qrtly gain since [----]. Good for commodities. BCOM is up in jan for 3rd month in a row and currently best month since 2023"
X Link 2025-01-16T15:17Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"1/ China released more data last night which show that the stimulus that began in September is working to at least put a floor in the economy. With bearish sentiment in the US around the dollar and rates moving higher people are forgetting China's importance to the regime"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ In the US our economy and sentiment is driven by the SPX. In China the housing market plays that role so this trend in house prices YoY is not something to ignore given it turned in Sept at the beginning of their "line in the sand." Markets move off rate of change and this is upward"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"3/ As I posted yesterday M1 just had its largest qtrly rise since [----]. China's M2 is twice the size of the US so any rise in money supply in China is a liquidity injection to the world"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"4/ This comes at a time when commodities have been left for dead. The last [--] days since the stimulus started in Sept have been the best [--] days in over two years"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements
"5/ China local stocks are still holding gains from the sharp rally in Sept. People continue to fade China using doom and gloom rhetoric around it being Japan which is sitting near all time highs ironically. Here is M1 YoY with China stocks"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"6/ Most importantly for US markets this comes at a time when we are already seeing manufacturing bounce on the back of a Trump Bump. If China adds anything to it you could see a larger bounce. Here was the Philly Fed outlook avg for [--] months with PMI components"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"7/ What's left in assets is some weakness in the dollar vs commodity currencies. This is an equal weight index of [--] currencies with a MACD. The lines are prior inflection points where China sentiment bounced. Dollar positioning is not ready for a China eco bounce"
X Link 2025-01-17T16:56Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Bitcoin breaks below 90k on Monday and breaks above 105k on Friday ahead of the inauguration. Bubble In this week's video we go through the week ahead and show why China is important to stocks Bitcoin commodities and the dollar in [----]. Watch here: https://youtu.be/ZZ7_tFTnGLA https://youtu.be/ZZ7_tFTnGLA"
X Link 2025-01-19T13:45Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Reading everyone get excited about coins like the TRUMP coin is like watching people at the end of the Kentucky Derby screaming for their horse to win. These things end the same way. Most people lose and then you move on to the next race. The Super Bowl had [--] billion dollars bet on it last year. People gamble. Not everything is a bullish or bearish sign. Some times its just noise"
X Link 2025-01-20T00:35Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"I wonder if the Fed governors sit and around and debate their dual mandate with robots driving down inflation and driving up the unemployment rate in the coming years"
X Link 2025-01-20T14:33Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"As BTC consolidates above 100k looking for a catalyst from the new pro-crypto administration it seems like both TradFI and crypto crowd are still recovering from the TRUMP and MELANIA launch and arguing about what it means in the long run. It just highlights what the next four years will be like for BTC. In this week's Substack I use Keyer Soze to explain this battle and what to expect going forward. https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs"
X Link 2025-01-23T12:12Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"It has been a big week for the AI arms race with Stargate and DeepSeek. The GS Power AI winners Robotics and Data center baskets have ripped to new highs while Semis have lagged. We just got a weekly MACD buy signal in SOX. Look for semis to catch up after [--] months of consolidation"
X Link 2025-01-24T17:46Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Also imo been a bad week for the Mag7 with Stargate and DeepSeek. Spending needs to increase faster in the race and commoditization is here sooner. Good for AI acceleration and entrepreneurs. More DeepSeeks to come as competition for everything. My favorite trade this year BTC over Mag7 as AI accelerates"
X Link 2025-01-24T17:51Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Is it just me or are the Mag8 acting like crypto more every day. The 'volatile" BTC's largest single day fall in the last year was 8%. NVDA has now done more than 8% [--] times and AMZN META AVGO and TSLA each at least once. BTC down less than 3% from Friday"
X Link 2025-01-28T12:04Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"More signs from Mon people should throw out the Mo playbook from [----]. When SPX was at lows of the day early in the morning after the open there were [---] more SPX stocks UP then down and closed at +199. That is why the equal weight SPX was flat for the day. Anti-concentration year"
X Link 2025-01-28T15:24Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements
"6/ But AI needs a financial layer. Enter stablecoins. Stripe calls stablecoins room-temperature superconductors for financial services. Why Because they make transactions: ✅ Cheaper ✅ Faster ✅ Programmable ✅ Borderless This is what enables global AI-native payments"
X Link 2025-03-02T11:40Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"7/ Stablecoin adoption is exploding. In just one year: Transaction volume doubled 40M active stablecoin wallets Businesses use them for treasury remittances and global payments Stripe even acquired Bridge the worlds leading stablecoin orchestration platform"
X Link 2025-03-02T11:40Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"This will help fuel Stagflation talk ahead of the tariffs. Highest ISM PMI Prices Paid since [----] and largest monthly drop in New Orders since Covid"
X Link 2025-03-03T15:06Z 16K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ In an economy where wealth distribution is extremely unequal and most Americans live paycheck to paycheck these 'painful' solutions disproportionately impact median-income voters. In [----] the median age of a homebuyer rose to 58a stark sign of declining affordability and shrinking economic mobility"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"3/ Everyone's focused on the U.S. fiscal deficit today but few pay attention to the deeper structural crisis beneath: our exploding debt-to-GDP ratio wealth inequality and accelerating entitlement obligations which prevent too much tinkering"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"4/ Since [----] with the rise of the PC the debt-to-GDP ratio has nearly quadrupledfrom 32% to over 120%. Like Moore's Law accelerating technology our debt has also exponentially accelerated particularly after shocks like [----] and COVID"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"7/ Wealth inequality grows as innovation acceleratesthose who own assets thrive while those reliant on wages or traditional jobs fall further behind. This imbalance pushes government to spend more on social programs worsening deficits"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"8/ Entitlement spending (Social Security Medicare Medicaid) is about to explode due to demographic shifts (aging population). This further deepens structural debt problems again challenging any realistic path to balanced budgets over the long term"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"9/ As we focus on the deficit the rise of AI and robotics will likely only accelerate this trend displacing jobs increasing reliance on government support and amplifying wealth disparities. It certainly won't help the wealth distribution"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"10/ Bottom line: Our deficit today is just a symptom. The structural diseasehigh debt-to-GDP accelerating entitlements wealth inequality driven by exponential innovationis the real crisis"
X Link 2025-03-03T18:29Z 15.1K followers, [----] engagements
"The [--] day Rate of Change in the EUR/USD is at 3.5% on the back of a govt spending surprise. The last two times we saw a EUR RoC 3% BTC started its next leg up"
X Link 2025-03-05T14:09Z 16K followers, [----] engagements
"Getting EU to open the liquidity purse strings is never easy. When they do EU banks and EUR/USD fly. EU Banks vs BTC"
X Link 2025-03-05T14:54Z 15.9K followers, [----] engagements
"Andreessen nailed it in 14: Bitcoins sparking a digital money revolution. @stripe $1.4T & $1.1B Bridge bet show AI agents & stablecoins surgingBitcoins the anchor. Read why 2025s the network effect moment: #AI #Stablecoins #Bitcoin2025 https://substack.com/@visserlabs https://substack.com/@visserlabs"
X Link 2025-03-06T11:26Z 16.4K followers, [----] engagements
"12/ As of now these are just warning signs on the fears of austerity. I only write this because of "smart" people on every podcast talking about this as needed without mentioning the size of the stock market and its impact on the economy. Buffett and Tyson have wisdom too"
X Link 2025-03-06T18:28Z 16K followers, [----] engagements
"More importantly as this unwind gathers steam and you refer to my thread about the risk of austerity in a debt bubble here is that 3m EPS Revision factor vs the Bloomberg All Hedge Fund Index back to [----]. Hmmm. Dangerous game. Tide of liquidity is going out"
X Link 2025-03-06T19:08Z 16K followers, [----] engagements
"An update on hedge fund deleveraging. The 3m EPS revisions factor continues to decline -2% today (not updated on chart). 5+% in [--] days now. Entire drop in factor during Yen unwind was 8%. This move now stands at 18%"
X Link 2025-03-07T17:48Z 16K followers, [----] engagements
"This is the scariest equity hedge fund unwind chart yet. This is the weekly GS HF VIP Index relative to the SPX. The only time we saw this was [----] after Lehman. VIX hit 80+ while now [--]. This matters because leverage was already reduced in [----]. Zelensky Friday event leading to German defense print and bund fall combined with tariff reality forcing massive unwinds across assets and factors"
X Link 2025-03-07T19:15Z 16.6K followers, 27.6K engagements
"📉 The White House warns "short-term pain for long-term gain" and No Trump Put. Tariffs recession fears and hedge fund deleveraging are shaking markets. Plus Bitcoin steps into the spotlight with the Crypto Summit. Watch now 🚨 https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM"
X Link 2025-03-09T13:00Z 16K followers, [----] engagements
"And the same thing for [--] day rate of change for the GS Hedge Fund VIP basket vs the SPX"
X Link 2025-03-10T14:33Z 16.1K followers, 19.6K engagements
"On this week's video where I spent [--] minutes on the internal factor damage for hedge funds I highlighted this as the last line of defense before things get ugly. LQD over IEF is down [--] of [--] days and has now broken the bull trendline off the [----] lows. https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM https://youtu.be/7mlqefvsExM"
X Link 2025-03-10T14:40Z 16.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Hedge fund deleveraging spreads as losses grow. US growth fears have risen hitting the 3m EPS revision factor. Until Friday this was isolated to US. Now EU is seeing some weakness and SXXP has broken the [--] day mvg avg with it now pointing down for 1st day since 1/15"
X Link 2025-03-11T12:57Z 16.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Credit spreads are being drawn into the unwinds slowly. LQD/IEF continues its decline. IG CDX having worst week since Yen Panic in August. High Yield OAS currently posting the largest spread widening in back-to-back months since the worst of rate hikes in 2022"
X Link 2025-03-11T17:01Z 16.1K followers, [----] engagements
"I recently joint 22V Research to focus on AI impact to macro. Today at 11am I will be doing my first webinar on the recent factor unwind and what to expect going forward. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/22vresearch_marketunwind-factorperformanceanalysis-momentumindicators-activity-7305930775533608960-y8Zhutm_medium=ios_app&rcm=ACoAAAySM_IBp1-bUMXU9LuLlFUfiZcPLusjFTI&utm_source=social_share_send&utm_campaign=share_via"
X Link 2025-03-13T13:32Z 16.6K followers, [----] engagements
"5/Bitcoin and Nvidia have been very correlated as AI trades and without a lot of talk NVDA is back above the DeepSeek lows and post earnings day driven by some positive signs in semi prices"
X Link 2025-03-16T11:08Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements
"6/ DRAM prices have been rising rapidly since mid Feb"
X Link 2025-03-16T11:08Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements
"7/More importantly and recent we are going to see our price price rise for NAND prices since May which is when NVDA started running into a top"
X Link 2025-03-16T11:08Z 16.7K followers, [----] engagements
"Bearish sentiment across asset and economic surveys as well as anecdotal phone calls is as extreme st as I can remember. A rotation away from austerity US vs Rest of world stimulus makes sense but recession talk is too bearish. Here is 6m copper vs US equity growth factor"
X Link 2025-03-19T14:16Z 17.5K followers, 34.9K engagements
"📊 This weeks video dives into soft vs hard data what people fear vs whats actually happening. We cover: The Feds transitory is back Scott Bessents recession view Nvidias AI regime shift Why $CVX $INTC $CSCO $IBM $MU benefit My first deep dive for 22V on AI Embodiment And why Bitcoin near its 200DMA matters less than debt/GDP 🎥 Watch here: #AI #Bitcoin #Markets #Macro https://youtu.be/N2qnyF7Sl1g https://youtu.be/N2qnyF7Sl1g"
X Link 2025-03-23T13:00Z 17.7K followers, [----] engagements
"The equity market is still adjusting to the new building momentum trade on the shift from software dominance to the revenge of the shift to power AI embodiment. Copper vs FCX/SPX. Until this catches up the rotation to hardware will continue. My new substack goes through it. https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/the-next-phase-of-ai-from-intelligence https://visserlabs.substack.com/p/the-next-phase-of-ai-from-intelligence"
X Link 2025-03-26T10:48Z 17.6K followers, [----] engagements
"4/ as the correlation with risk on assets broke down"
X Link 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.5K followers, [----] engagements
"5/ Michael Saylor posted early on day [--] post liberation day"
X Link 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements
"10/ @matthew_sigel sent out his thoughts yesterday"
X Link 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements
"11/ even gold could not hold up for the aftermath of liberation day"
X Link 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements
"13/ or from an earnings perspective"
X Link 2025-04-05T15:49Z 18.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Investors waited for the Rose Garden tariff news on Liberation Daywhat they got sparked confusion and historic price moves. Tech led the selloff panic spread Friday and recession odds jumped. But amidst the chaos Bitcoin stood tall. My full breakdown: 📺 Now is the time to look for opportunity not exits. https://youtu.be/YthSHhrZKKg https://youtu.be/YthSHhrZKKg"
X Link 2025-04-06T13:00Z 19K followers, 13.4K engagements
"Must read this morning as the global financial plumbing system is breaking down. This is normally the point we start hearing about emergency Fed meetings so the market AS ALWAYS in a fiat debt levered system eventually applies pressure to the plans of leaders"
X Link 2025-04-09T11:06Z 18.9K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ Ben Bernanke (Fed Chair March 2007): The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained"
X Link 2025-04-09T16:31Z 19K followers, [----] engagements
"3/ Hank Paulson (Treasury Secretary April 2007): All the signs I look at show the housing market is at or near the bottom. This was one year before Bear Stearns and [--] months before Lehman"
X Link 2025-04-09T16:31Z 19K followers, [----] engagements
"10/ Ben Bernanke (May 2007): We do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market. He would later say this was the worst financial crisis in [---] years"
X Link 2025-04-09T16:31Z 18.9K followers, [----] engagements
"11/ Richard Fuld (Lehman CEO mid-2008): We have a strong capital position and access to liquidity. Lehman filed for bankruptcy that September"
X Link 2025-04-09T16:31Z 18.9K followers, [----] engagements
"12/ Ken Lewis (BofA CEO Sept [----] after buying Merrill Lynch): This acquisition makes Bank of America the premier financial services company in the world. He needed billions in emergency aid within months"
X Link 2025-04-09T16:31Z 19K followers, [----] engagements
"This is a historic week for the global fiat system. Largest rise in US 10yr yields vs Bunds and 3rd largest [--] day FALL in dollar vs the EUR behind two days in the GFC after the Bitcoin Whitepaper. The system is broken. New global system driven by AI and BTC starting now"
X Link 2025-04-11T10:06Z 19.9K followers, 61.4K engagements
"13/ the global fiat system is breaking into national capitalism which will lead to more debt around the globe as countries focus on their economies in this trade reshuffling. the new global system of exchange will be driven by AI stablecoins and BTC"
X Link 2025-04-11T19:28Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements
"The white line is an asset vol index which combines equity fixed income and fx short term vol indices as [--] index. The green line is the 6th VIX contract and the orange line is Junk Sprds. Still more fear to come before risk is built in fully and Fed joins the party"
X Link 2025-04-14T14:47Z 19.9K followers, [----] engagements
"UK 30y Gilts have been foreshadowing the debt to GDP problem in the US. They broke out to the highest level since [----] last week. US 30y held for now. Bond vol will remain high going forward now that the top of the global capital structure has broken down"
X Link 2025-04-14T18:05Z 26.4K followers, [----] engagements
"BofA FMS and all sentiment measures are at extreme levels meaning buying power liquidity exists. 64% of global debt is STILL in dollars so unlike other VIX [--] periods dollar is falling so liquidity improving for debtors. Global M2 has broken out to ATH. Bessent says "treasury has a big toolkit" after a panic pivot week due to bonds. Everyone I hear says sell rallies. I want to buy dips"
X Link 2025-04-15T11:41Z 20.4K followers, 11.3K engagements
"The world changed on April 2nd and since that day most days when I wake up there is a top headline in Bloomberg about the rise in gold and the fall in stocks. Since Liberation Day: Gold +4.9% SPX -6.7% BTC +7.9%"
X Link 2025-04-23T13:45Z 27.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Anthony and I talk macro humanoids AI and why Bitcoin surged to up on the year in this week's episode. via @YouTube https://youtu.be/OyBX0d0HPBssi=_7hFXHxE9pdN13bt https://youtu.be/OyBX0d0HPBssi=_7hFXHxE9pdN13bt"
X Link 2025-04-26T19:39Z 21.8K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ Instead the next monetary system will evolve alongside the digital economy. Payment rails will be built around stablecoins with network effects reshaping how value moves globally. Bitcoin will play a key role not as a currency but as a critical store of value"
X Link 2025-04-29T05:29Z 21.4K followers, [----] engagements
"My annual Kentucky Derby writeup is live. [--] horses after scratches. Full pace post pedigree and betting breakdown. Remember its free. Enjoy the Derby Full analysis: https://bit.ly/4lZzF3j https://bit.ly/4lZzF3j"
X Link 2025-05-02T18:33Z 21.9K followers, [----] engagements
"🎥 In this weeks video: Bear market rally or V-bottom Whos buying this move Is AI CapEx already dead And is Bitcoin now the center of a new capital structure Watch the full breakdown 👉 https://youtu.be/IcUpPObnYsE https://youtu.be/IcUpPObnYsE"
X Link 2025-05-04T13:00Z 26.4K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ Most people still believe tariffs will trigger a recession. But the U.S. is a service-based economy. $14+T in services vs. $2.3T in goods. Jobs in goods production Flat since [----]. Despite 150mm more people"
X Link 2025-05-11T19:42Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"3/ The real canary in the coal mine The Taiwan dollar. It just made its fastest move in decades. This signals a massive shift: Asia may be unwinding $2.5T in dollar reserves. The era of dollar privilege is ending"
X Link 2025-05-11T19:42Z 22.8K followers, [----] engagements
"12/ We need a new lens. What does underemployment look like in the creator economy How do we measure volatility in gig income What drives spending when retirees outnumber new hires Update your priors. Or get left behind"
X Link 2025-05-13T20:36Z 22.8K followers, [----] engagements
"15/ Every time since the GFC that investors obsessed over a recession It was a buying opportunity. Remember that the next time you see a chart showing 50% recession odds from an economist using a model built before TikTokor the iPhone B.T.F.D. = Blame The Fiscal Deficit"
X Link 2025-05-13T20:36Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"6/ 📦 Amazon (AMZN) Q1 [----] Most of the spend today in AI has been on training. But when you get to scale it flips. The overwhelming majority of the spend is actually on inference. Andy Jassy"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:34Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"7/ 🎮 NVIDIA (NVDA) Q4 FY25 Inference has surpassed training as the primary AI workload in many applications They dont just sell the picks and shovels. They see the shift before anyone else"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:34Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"11/ Heres the real problem: most economists and macro analysts dont know how to model AI. They see $300B in capex and treat it as a headwind. But heres how it actually works in todays economy 👇"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"12/ That $300B in AI capex ✅ Adds to business fixed investment in GDP ✅ Becomes revenue for companies like NVIDIA AMD AVGO EQIX ✅ Is expensed slowly via depreciation ✅ Boosts SPX margins now via accounting arbitrage"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"14/ And here's what really matters The top 10% of U.S. consumers account for 50% of total consumption. As long as their portfolios are up spending holds even if it feels like a recession for everyone else. This is how AI drives growth through inequality"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23K followers, [----] engagements
"15/ Now after all this After earnings calls across tech confirmed inference at scale After CEOs reaffirmed capex After agents and automation began accelerating We still havent heard from the final piece: 📅 NVIDIA reports in two weeks"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23.1K followers, [----] engagements
"16/ If Q1 was the moment AI inference broke out of the lab and into the economy Then NVIDIAs upcoming earnings may be the confirmation point for investors still waiting on the sidelines. The AI story isnt cooling down. Its just getting hotter. 🔥"
X Link 2025-05-16T18:35Z 23.2K followers, [----] engagements
"2/ Bessent The market and the economy have become hooked become addicted to excessive government spending and theres going to be a detox period. https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1897995482300891580 Scott Bessent on CNBC: The market and the economy have become hooked become addicted to excessive government spending and theres going to be a detox period. https://t.co/rte8U1nFUd https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1897995482300891580 Scott Bessent on CNBC: The market and the economy have become hooked become addicted to excessive government spending and theres going to be a detox period."
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.6K followers, [----] engagements
"5/ but this is not just US yields rising "There is a global element to the move in interest rates. 10Y yields are above nominal GDP in France Germany Italy Austria Finland and Australia amongst other places. Hard to pin it just on US fiscal dynamics." https://x.com/RenMacLLC/status/1924553493140144197 https://x.com/RenMacLLC/status/1924553493140144197"
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements
"6/ and now Bessent with 30y yields back above 5% comes to the rescue with what would be the first verbal liquidity"
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements
"11/ this week"
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements
"12/ and Bessent: "The Trump Administration is going big on digital assets." https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1925967578540781743 The Trump Administration is going big on digital assets. Why Because the previous administration nearly destroyed the industry with its anti-innovation agenda and regulation-by-enforcement approach. No more. Digital asset companies deserve regulatory clarityand thats https://t.co/kqYxwWggEm https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1925967578540781743 The Trump Administration is going big on digital assets. Why Because the previous administration nearly destroyed the"
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements
"13/ and next week"
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements
"14/ The ETF buyers keep coming to diversify away from the system"
X Link 2025-05-23T20:04Z 24.4K followers, [----] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing